The set-up: These teams met three times in the regular season and two of their three games went "under" the number. Each has played two games so far in the bubble and Las Vegas has seen both go "over," while Colorado has seen both go "under." 

The pick: Both starting goaltenders are loaded with experience and talent and I believe they'll "steal the show." 

Las Vegas: Marc-Andre Fleury - playoffs - 1-0, 4.00 GAA, .765 SV% (season - 27-16-5, 2.77 GAA, .905 SV% ) or Robin Lehner - playoffs - 1-0, 3.02 GAA, .893 SV% (season - 19-10-5, 2.89 GAA, .920 SV%) 

Colorado: Philipp Grubauer - playoffs - 1-0, 1.01 GAA, .969 SV% (season - 18-12-4, 2.63 GAA, .916 SV%) or Pavel Francouz - playoffs - 1-0, 0.00 GAA, 1.000 SV% (season - 21-7-4, 2.41 GAA, .923 SV%)

This is a 10* SUPER TOTAL on the UNDER Knights/Avs.

The set-up: Mashairo Tanaka has gotten out to a better start for the Yankees than Blake Snell has had for the Rays. Tanaka is 0-0 with a 3.80 ERA, while Snell is 0-0 with a 5.40 ERA. The Yanks come off a four-game split with the Phillies, while the Rays stumbled against the Red Sox yesterday. New York is 9-3 and Tampa is 5-7. This is a series that the Rays would have had circled at the start of the year though and we expect them to come to play today. 

The pick: Additionally note that Snell has been at his best vs. New York at home, going 2-1 with a 2.08 ERA in five starts vs. them there. Off their 5-0 home loss to Boston on Wednesday and with an extra day off to prepare and focus, look for TAMPA to come out firing today.

This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Tampa Bay Rays.

The set-up: Yes, Blake Snell has struggled to start this season a bit, but he's always been at his best vs. the Yankees at home, going 2-1 with a 2.08 ERA in five starts opposed in friendly confines. The problem for Tampa here is that it's offense has been downright terrible, hitting a collective .211 with an on-base percentage of only .303. 

The pick: The Yanks Masahiro Tanaka is 0-0 with a 3.38 ERA this year, but note that he's pretty much dominated the Rays throughout his career by going 10-4 with a 3.20 ERA in 18 starts opposed, including 4-2 with a 1.79 ERA in his last eight vvs. them. I look for these starting pitchers to be the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries. 

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the UNDER Yanks/Rays.

The set-up: I think the Penguins are going to dip deep here and find a way to get the job done and push this series to a pivotal Game 5. Matt Murray is still 1-2 with a 2.50 GAA in this series. He also is 4-1-0 with a tiny 2.19 GAA lifetime vs. Montreal. 

The pick: Carey Price has been key in his clubs early success, as he's 2-1-0 with a 2.19 GAA. Overall though Price is only 13-14-5 with 3.01 GAA lifetime vs. Pittsburgh. Montreal has exceeded expectations and I believe a very predictable letdown is imminent here. The Pens are loaded with offensive talent and heart and I look for that to be on full display tonight. I'm laying the price and expecting a blowout and then our first official Game 5.

This is a 10* PLAYOFF GAME OF THE YEAR on the Pittsburgh Penguins.

The set-up: The Jazz come in off a 124-115 victory over the Grizzlies. Utah has looked better after a shaky first couple of games, as its depth and overall defensive acuity has been on full display of late. With a chance to lock up the fourth spot, clearly the last thing the Jazz will want to do is to turn this into a "track meet" with the speedier Spurs. 

The pick: The Spurs come in off a crushing 132-126 loss to the Nuggets and San Antonio is now running out of time. San Antonio will have to commit to playing defense if it has any shot at gaining entry to the postseason in my opinion. I expect a slower-paced, defensive affair between these two hungry Western Conference opponents.

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER Jazz/Spurs.

The set-up: Denver pulled away for a 132-126 win vs. the Spurs last night, but I think that the Nuggets will predictably come up short here with their overall offensive effort in the second game of the back-to-back scenario. 

The pick: The Blazers are playing well and still have a shot at a playoff spot if they can continue to find ways to win. Last time out Portland controlled the tempo and beat the high-scoring Rockets 110-102 and I expect a similar game-plan deployed tonight as well. This one has the feel of a "chess match," rather than a high-scoring "run and gun shootout." This number is a little high.

This is a 10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the UNDER Blazers/Nuggets.

The set-up: The Astros turn to Brandon Bielak (2-0, 1.69 ERA) here and he most recently gave up one run and struck out six over five innings in a win out of the bullpen vs. the Angels. 

The pick: Zac Gallen (0-0, 2.70) gets the nod for the D-Backs after allowing two runs over six innings vs. the Dodgers on Friday. The problem for Gallen here is the lack of production that his team is making right now at the plate. The Astros are raking and I believe they'll get the job done here in this favorable road matchup. Lay it.

This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Houston Astros.

The set-up: Two veteran pitchers who have been accustomed to success over their careers, but who have struggled somewhat to open this abbreviated season, collide in this AL matchup on Thursday afternoon and suffice it to say, I'm expecting this total to fly over sooner, rather than later. Mike Minor (0-2, 5.91 ERA) gets the nod for the Rangers and he most recently got rocked for six runs off nine hits in a loss to the Giants on Friday. Over 10.2 innings of work Minor now has a poor 1.41 WHIP.

The pick: The A's counter with Mike Fiers (0-0, 5.40) who allowed two runs off four hits and one walk over six frames in a no-decision vs. the soft-hitting Mariners on Saturday, also striking out three. Previous to that Fiers was rocked for four runs off seven hits over four innings in a fortunate no-decision vs. the Angels. These two pitchers have seen better days and I think they'll each "get the hook" early, which will ultimately help in pushing this total over the posted number as the game comes down the stretch.

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the OVER Rangers/A's.

The set-up: The Wild won Game 1 by shutting down the Canucks, but Vancouver bounced back in Game 2 by pushing the pace from the outset and the result was a 4-3 victory. So which way will Game 3 go? A defensive affair like Game 1, or a more wide open contest like Game 2? In my opinion, it will definitely be more like Game 2. Vancouver looked sluggish in its first game back, but it got its "game legs" underneath it and all signs point to this young team pushing the pace from the opening face-off, until the final horn blares.

The pick: It's interesting to note as well that Vancouver has seen the total go over the number in eight of its last 11 after scoring four or more goals in a victory. As mentioned off the top, this one has wide open "shootout" written all over it.

This is a 10* TOTAL DESTRUCTION on the OVER Canucks/Wild.

The set-up: I think the home side is well worth the price of admission in this spot. The visitors hand the ball to Adrian House (0-0, 1.80 ERA) who gave up one run and three walks over five innings in a no-decision vs. the Pirates in his last outing. Houser for the most part has been very consistent for the Brewers the last couple of seasons, but if he had one clear weakness last year it was his play on the road where he was just a pedestrian 4-4 with a 4.84 ERA. 

The pick: The ChiSox counter with Dallas Keuchel (2-0, 3.38) who earned a win over the Royals on Friday by allowing two runs over six innings while also striking out seven. Keuchel is the correct call here in my opinion, as I don't trust Houser in this difficult interleague road venue. Lay the price.

This is a 10* PLAY-BOOK on the Chicago White Sox.

The set-up: This series is all tied up at one-game a piece after the Penguins won 3-1 in Game 2. I believe we'll see a similar type of ending here, with Pittsburgh's depth, offensive skill and superior defensive play proving to be too much for Montreal to handle as this series wares on. Not only do I expect the Penguins' offense to finally "wake up" here (note, their potent power play is just 1 for 12 so far in this series and I don't expect that trend of futility to continue) and win this game, but I believe they're going to win by a significant margin.

The pick: And that makes laying this goal and a half for the signficant return the sharp wager in my opinion. Additionally note that the Pens are 7-3 in their last ten after a playoff win by two or more goals. 

This is a 10* PUCK-LINE BEST OF THE BEST on the Pittsburgh Penguins.

The set-up: Toronto averages 112.8 PPG and it allows 106.3, while Orlando averages 107.1 PPG and it concedes 107.6. Toronto has looked good defensively so far vs. the Lakers and Heat, but I think it'll finally have it hands full here with the very hungry Magic. 

The pick: Orlando has been off since Sunday after demolishing the Kings 132-116 and I expect it to keep that offensive momentum rolling here (it also plays Indiana on Tuesday, but note that it's seen the total fly over the number in 8 of its last 12 when playing on B2B nights.) The Magic got much healthier with the extra time off and its paying dividends in production on the court. I look for this total to fly over sooner, rather than later.

This is a 10* TOTAL BLOOD-BATH on the OVER Raptors/Magic.

The set-up: This series shifts from Cincinnati to Cleveland for two more. Despite what happens on Tuesday in Cincinnati, I expect these two starting "studs" to be the main storylines in tomorrow's summaries. Luis Castillo (0-1, 4.50 ERA) has faced the Tigers twice already this year and in one game he was downright filthy and in the other he got shelled. Castillo was 15-8 with 3.40 ERA last year and he was especially dominant on the road by going 7-1 with a 3.88 ERA (also 12-3 with a 3.53 ERA in all "night" games.) 

The pick: Mike Clevinger (0-1, 4.91) is coming off back-to-back tough outings, which is uncharacteristic for the Indians' hard-throwing right-hander. Clevinger was 13-4 with a 2.71 ERA last year and he was particularly awesome at home by going 5-1 with a 1.79 ERA. With these two starters expected to throw deep, I look for this total to stay under.

This is a 10* TOTAL ELITE OF THE ELITE on the UNDER Reds/Indians.

The set-up: Both teams are in desperate need of a victory here. Dating back finds the Grizzlies entering on a four-game losing slide, while the Jazz are just 1-2 in the Bubble, including losing back-to-back games. The Grizz enter averaging 112.7 PPG and allowing 113.9, while the Jazz are averaging 110.7 and conceding 108. 

The pick: Utah though has performed incredibly well for bettors in this spot for bettors, going 7-2 ATS in its last nine after back-to-back SU/ATS losses. These teams are very familiar with each other, but the Jazz have the upper hand in a number of matchups (especially in the middle of the paint) and I expect them to pull away down the stretch for a comfortable cover by the end of the night.

This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on the Utah Jazz.

The set-up: This was a pick-em priced game and series, but the Wild dominated with a 3-0 victory in Game 1. The Canucks are a highly talented offensive squad though and I think they'll make the necessary adjustments and come out firing from start to finish in the second battle. 

The pick: Some strong trends back up this play as well, as Minnesota has interestingly seen the total fly over the number in 15 of its last 21 after a shutout victory of three or more goals, while the Canucks have seen the total go over the number in eight of their last 12 after being blanked by three or more goals in their previous outing. Expect a much faster paced affair and for this total to fly over sooner, rather than later.

This is a 10* PLAYOFF TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the OVER Wild/Canucks.

The set-up: Both teams have plenty of "pop" in their respective lineups, but I believe that these hungry starting pitchers will be the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries once it's all said and done. Matt Shoemaker (0-0, 1.50 ERA) who comes in extra rested after the Jays' series with the Phillies was postponed over the weekend. Shoemaker looked brilliant in his season debut, holding the Rays to one run off three hits over six frames, and I don't have any reason not to believe that the veteran won't carry that momentum over here as well.

The pick: Max Fried (1-0, 2.31) get the nod for the home side and he was even better than his counterpart in his opener, holding the Rays to one run off three hits while striking out seven over seven innings. These two pitchers already have a similar opponent and each looked brilliant (note as well that Fried was a sharp 9-3 with a 3.21 ERA at home last season as well.) This one has "duel" written all over it. Play the under.

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the UNDER Jays/Braves.

The set-up: Patrick Corbin (0-0, 1.42 ERA) had the weekend off because of the postponed series vs. the Marlins and I think that benefits the defending champs' starter. In his first start Corbin looked fantastic as well, retiring the first 11 Yankees he faced (and five via strikeout), ultimately striking out eight with no walks and just one run over seven innings in what turned out to be an unfortunate no-decision.

The pick: Steven Matz (0-1, 3.18) gets the nod for the visitors. Matz allowed three runs off eight hits with two walks over five innings in a loss to the Reds on Thursday. Matz has been consistently inconsistent with his game-to-game performance though and note that he was particular poor on the road last season, going just 3-8 with a 6.67 ERA. Look for the well rested home side to take advantage and lay this very reasonable price.

This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the Washington Nationals.

The set-up: The Suns entered the Bubble healthier than they've been all season and that has translated into two straight victories, but I think that Phoenix will finally stumble here vs. this "step up" in competition. The Clippers lost to the Lakers in their first game, before recovering to hammer the Pelicans 126-103 in their second. Phoenix is still 2.5 games behind the Spurs for the eighth spot with six games remaining, but the Clippers are only two games up on third-place Denver. Unfortunately for the Suns, the Clippers can't afford to take the foot off the gas either. 

The pick: Note that the Clippers are now 8-1 ATS in their last nine vs. the Western Conference, while the Suns are a poor 2-9 ATS in their last 11 in this series. I believe the Suns lack of depth on the bench gets exposed here as the game comes down the stretch. Lay the points.

This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the LA Clippers.

The set-up: The Mets and Braves conclude their three game series on Monday night and in my opinion, I think the home side has the advantage here in this duel of team "aces." The visitors go with Jacob deGrom (0-0, 1.64 ERA) gave up two runs over six innings while striking out four in a no-decision vs. the Red Sox on Wednesday. deGrom continues to be the victim of poor run support and with the recent off field issues involving Yoenis Cespidis, things aren't looking any better for this already struggling New York hitting line-up. 

The pick: Mike Soroka (0-0, 1.59) gets the nod for the home side and he'd give up three runs (just two earned) over 5.1 innings while also striking out five in a no-decision vs. the Rays on Wednesday. Note that Soroka was extremely dominant in all "night" games last year as well, going 9-2 with a 2.50 ERA. I like Soroka and the Braves to lay the hammer down here.

This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Atlanta Braves.

The set-up: The Pacers laid the hammer down on Philly 127-121 in their opener and I expect them to keep the foot on the gas here as well in their second game vs. the undermanned and "gassed" Wizards. Washington has a game vs. the Nets on Sunday afternoon and I believe it's going to predictably come into this one with "heavy legs." 

The pick: Indiana took two of three in the regular season series and that was without the services of Victor Oladipo. I believe Indiana will push the pace/tempo from the opening tip until the final horn and that's why I have no issues at all in laying these points.

This is a 10* play on the Indiana Pacers.

The set-up: Dallas lost 153-149 to the Rockets in OT in its opening game back, but I believe it'll get the job done tonight in its second outing vs. the Suns, who enter off a 125-112 win over the Wizards in their opener. 

The pick: Dallas took two of three in the season series, as this is a matchup which definitely favors it. Note as well that the Mavs are a sharp 8-4 ATS in their last 12 Western Conference contests after allowing 150 points or more in a loss in their prevoius outing. I'm banking on a bounce back blowout here.

10* play on the Dallas Mavericks.

The set-up: With a line like this, clearly the oddsmakers think these teams are evenly matched. On paper that would appear to be the case, as each pretty much dominated right up until the coronavirus break. Both teams have plenty of depth, talent and each is backed by superb goaltending. It honestly wouldn't be too difficult to write a convincing argument for either team. All of that said though, I do indeed feel the best way to approach these opening games is from a "situational" stand point and in my opinion, Boston's experience is the trump card in this particular matchup. The Bruins have been among the league's best for many years and they lead the NHL in almost every offensive and defensive statistical category this season. 

The pick: "Momentum" is a very real, almost "tangible" thing in sports and I think the long lay off will absolutely throw the proverbial "monkey wrench" into the Flyers fantastic start to the 2019/20 campaign. All things considered, I'd say that this is the very definition of "great line value."

10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the Boston Bruins.

The set-up: The Nets looked great for one quarter vs. the Magic in their Opener, but they then predictably stumbled and then end up losing 128-118, the total sailing well over the posted numer. The Wizards similarily looked strong at points in their opener vs. the Suns, but in the end they also fell behind and were unable to catch up, eventually succumbing 125-112, the total also eclipsing the posted number by a significant margin. Both teams entered the bubble with significant injury issues and that's again the case here. Instead of a high-scoring, back and forth shootout though, I believe this total will stay well under the number once it's all said and done. 

The pick: The Wizards won all three regular season matchups between the clubs. Note that two of those three would have fallen well under this number as well. Despite these teams both playing to "overs" in their respective first games back, I believe their second will be much more of a sloppy, defensive affair.

10* EASTERN-CONFERENCE TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the UNDER Wizards/Nets.

The set-up: One team which is certainly not a "fraud" is the Toronto Raptors. The long lay off definitely helps the defending champs, as they had several key players dealing with nagging injury issues. Those are now resolved and this under-rated team comes in looking for a back-to-back opportunity. 

The pick: I think the Lakers come in a step slow here after their opening night contest vs. division rival Clippers. I'm grabbing the points, but I wouldn't be shocked by a straight up situational victory here.

10* play on the Toronto Raptors.

The set-up: I think this is a great spot to the pull the trigger on the hungry underdog side. The visitors hand the ball to Zack Godley (0-0, 0.00 ERA) who gave up four hits with seven K's over four scoreless frames vs. the Mets in his team debut. It was a great showing and I think the veteran can carry that momentum over here and at the very least, match Masahiro Tanaka inning for inning.

The pick: Tanaka (0-0, 0.00) suffered a concussion in Spring Training after taking a come back liner to the head, but he's now been cleared to go. Tanaka was a mediocre 11-9 with a 4.45 ERA last year, including a sub-par 4-5 with a 5.46 ERA in all "night" contests. Despite what happens on Friday night, I like Godley here to get the better of Tanaka, who I believe comes in "rusty" after his unfortunate injury in Spring training. 

10* SITUATIONAL UNDERDOG DESTRUCTION on the Boston Red Sox.

The set-up: New Orleans has a tough game out of the gate in Utah on Opening night and I think it'll come in tired here. New Orleans was one of the hottest teams before the break, but one has to wonder if the long lay off will a proverbial "monkey wrench" into its momentum? 

The pick: Same for the Clippers though, who sit three games back of the Lakers, a team which they face on Opening night July 30th. All three of their regular season games would have easily blasted past this posted number, but the overall situation makes the "under" the correct call finally in this matchup.

10* play on the UNDER Pels/Clips.

The set-up: The Mavericks have a golden opportunity to catch up to the Rockets, who are first int he Southwest at 40-24. Dallas is 40-27. To say this is a "big" game right out of the gates would be an understatement. Note that Houston is 29-35-0 ATS this year, while Dallas is 35-29-3. 

The pick: Both teams are dealing with a few injury issues, but certainly Houston's Russell Westbrook having to deal with the coronavirus right now is the biggest blow. Westbrook is listed as questionable for this contest. That's a major issue in my opinion for Houston and I believe that Dallas will attack from the outset in this game. Houston opened as the fav, but now Dallas is. Regardless, I look for the Mavericks depth to prove to be too much for James Harden to overcome by himself on Opening Night.

10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the Dallas Mavericks.

The set-up: The Rays "ace" continues to struggle. Blake Snell (0-0, 0.00 ERA) was 6-8 with a 4.29 ERA last year and he'd allow three hits and two walks while striking out five in a no-decision vs. the Jays on Sunday. Note that he was particularly ineffective on the road as well last season, going just 2-5 with a 5.82 ERA. 

The pick: Alex Cobb (1-0, 1.69) is a late fill in here and while he did well with a victory over the Red Sox on Saturday in his season debut, I still think the book is out on the veteran, who previously hadn't won a game since 2018. Cobb was 0-2 with a 10.95 ERA last year and I think that regression is definitely imminent in this difficult second matchup. I am anticipating that each starter will get chased early which will help tremendously in pushing this total over the number by the end of the night.

10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the OVER Rays/Orioles.

The set-up: The White Sox can't be too happy on how they've started, so they'll be extra anxious to here to get untracked vs. the lowly Royals. The visitors hand the ball to Dallas Keuchel (1-0, 3.38 ERA) who earned a victory vs. the Twins on Saturday, allowing two runs off three hits with zero walks over six innings. There's no reason not to believe that Keuchel won't be able to carry that momentum over here. 

The pick: Kris Bubic is 22 years old and he's yet to even throw at the Double A level, but the talent-strapped Royals have little choice but to throw the rookie to the hungry wolves here. Perhaps Bubic will go on to be the greatest pitcher in the history of the game, but I think he'll struggle here in this difficult first matchup. All things considered, a great price.

10* COACH'S CORNER on the Chicago White Sox.

The set-up: Both teams need victories to advance past the first eight games. The longer lay off though has me believing that each side will come out with some "offensive rust" to start. 

The pick: Also note, I'm basing this pick on the massive amount of talent that's going to be sidelined for each club.

Sacramento 

De'Aaron Fox Ankle is questionable 

Harrison Barnes COVID-19 is questionable Friday vs San Antonio

Richaun Holmes COVID-19 is questionable Friday vs San Antonio

Buddy Hield COVID-19 is questionable Friday vs San Antonio

Alex Len COVID-19 is questionable Friday vs San Antonio

Jabari Parker COVID-19 is questionable Friday vs San Antonio

Marvin Bagley III Foot is out indefinitely

San Antonio Spurs 

LaMarcus Aldridge Shoulder is out for season

Dejounte Murray Calf is out indefinitely

Jakob Poeltl Knee is out indefinitely

10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the UNDER Kings/Spurs.

The set-up: Is Dylan Bundy the better pitcher in this matchup? I'm not so sure. It was just last week that Shohei Ohtani was favored on the road in Oakland over Mike Fiers despite having not thrown in the majors since 2018. I had a play on the A's then, as I thought the line was way off and that's the case here as for this particular matchup as well. The M's go with Marco Gonzales (0-1, 6.23 ERA) who lost on Opening day to Houston. Gonzales though is 5-1 with a 4.17 ERA in 12 starts vs. the Angels, which includes a sparkling 3-0, 3.12 ERA in six starts in Anaheim. 

The pick: Bundy (1-0, 1.35) gave up one run over six innings in a win over the A's in his opener and while he's enjoyed success vs. the M's in the past, I still think he's over priced here. I look for Gonzales to match Bundy inning for inning and in a scenario like that, I'll definitely jump on the hungry dog. Look for Seattle to build off yesterday's 10-7 victory.

10* UNDERDOG BEST OF THE BEST on the Seattle Mariners.

The set-up: To say these are unprecedented times would be an understatement. Whoever is on the court today, I believe the overall circumstances of this situation will help in driving this total well under the number once it's all said and done. 

The pick: Also note that these teams have played three games against each other already, with the Clippers winning 112-102 on October 22nd, LA also prevailing 111-106 on December 25th, before the Lakers coming out on top 112-103 on March 8th. All three of those games would have also stayed "under" this number that we have posted for Opening Night. This number is just a little high in my opinion.

10* SUPER TOTAL on the Clippers/Lakers UNDER.

The set-up: I think the Braves' ace could/should easily be a much bigger in this particular matchup. The Rays turn to Charlie Morton (0-1, 13.50 ERA), who after going 16-6 with a 3.05 ERA last season, struggled mightily in his first start of 2020, allowing six runs off seven hits over four innings to the Jays. 

The pick: Mike Soroka (0-0, 0.00) was 13-4 with a 2.68 ERA last year and he dominated in his first start of the year vs. the Mets on Friday, going six scoreless, allowing four hits, no walks and striking out three (note that Soroka was also a sharp 9-2 with a 2.50 ERA in all "night" games last season). I believe Morton's regression is going to be significant over the short-term and I have no reason not to expect Soroka to be able to carry his momentum and confidence over into his first home contest. I'm laying the price.

10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the Atlanta Braves.

The set-up: The White Sox need to wake up and start living up to their expected potential and they'll be eager to bounce back after a listless 4-3 loss yesterday. While that game stayed "under" the number, all signs point to this one finally flying over as the game comes down the stretch in my opinion. Lucas Giolito (0-1, 17.18 ERA) was rocked for seven runs off six hits with three walks over three innings in an opening day loss to the Twins on Friday. Things certainly aren't going to get any easier for Giolito here eitehr facing this 

The pick: Zach Plesac (0-0, 0.00) gets the nod for the home side. Last year he was 8-6 with a 3.81 ERA. Plesac did enough in the short spring tune up to get a shot in the rotation, but note that he had a 4.56 ERA in all "night" contests a year ago. I look for these pitchers to get the hook early and I expect these line-ups to be the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries.

10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the OVER White Sox/Indians.

The set-up: Despite what happens between these teams on Modnay, I think that Alec Mills is getting little respect in this spot. Mills was 1-0 with a 2.75 ERA last year as a starter. He also posted a 42:11 K:BB over 36 innings (nine appearances.) 

The pick: Tyler Mahle was 3-12 with a 5.14 ERA for the Reds last season and he's being pressed into service out of necessity. Mahle did go four innings last Friday in a scrimmage and he'd allow four runs, including a three run dinger. In this case I love the experience and proven track record that swingman Mills brings in this matchup and I'll gladly back him at this value. 

10* SITUATIONAL UNDERDOG BEST BET on the Chicago Cubs.

The set-up: Despite what happens on Monday night between these two clubs, I'm fully expecting offensive fireworks on Tuesday night, as I'm not convinced either starter will last long before getting the hook. ATL turns to Kyle Wright, who was 0-3 with an 8.69 ERA last year and who enters having had a mediocre spring tune-up, in which he arrived to the team late. Note that he was particularly poor after the All Star Break last year as well, posting a 13.85 ERA.

The pick: The home side counters with Yonny Chrinos, who was 9-5 with a 3.85 ERA last year. Chirinos though also arrived to camp late due to a positive COVID-19 test. While he's been given the green light, clearly he'll be on a leash and yanked quickly if he starts to run out of gas. I look for these two "gas cans" to exit early and I expect this total to fly over sooner, rather than later.

10* TOTAL ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE on the OVER Braves/Rays.

The set-up: The Jays lost two of three in Tampa to open, including allowing a 4-2 lead going into the bottom of the 9th evaporate. Yes, the Nationals are down some men, but I still think the defending champs will find a way to get the job done here once it's all said and done. The Jays hand the ball to Trent Thornton, who was 6-9 with a 4.84 ERA last year and while he had a decent spring, I still think he's in over his head in this difficult road venue.

The pick: The home side counters with Anibal Sanchez, who was 11-8 with a 3.85 ERA last year and who gave up three runs while striking out eight in an instrasquad matchup in his final tuneup. Note as well that he was particularly good in all "night" games last year, going 7-5 with a 3.10 ERA. And finally note that the Nats are 7-2 in their last nine interleague night home games as a favorite in the -105 to -135 range. Lay the price.

10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Nationals.

The set-up: I like the A's to battle tough here in the finale of this three-game set. Shohei Ohtani was decent in spring and he won't be restricted here, but note that he did struggle with his command, allowing four walks and five hits over five innings in his final tune-up. 

The pick: Mike Fiers was a consistent bright spot for Oakland last year, going 15-4 with a 3.90 ERA, including going 9-2 with a 2.91 ERA at home. Finally I'll point out that Oakland is 7-2 in its last nine home games as a favorite in the -101 to -121 range. All things considered, I believe this to be the very definition of "great line value." 

10* BLOWOUT BEST OF THE BEST on the Oakland A's. 

The set-up: The Rays evened up this series with a 4-1 victory last night, but neither side can be too happy yet with how it's performed at the plate in the early going. Tampa had just five hits for the second straight game yesterday. Tampa ace was 0-1 with a 2.51 ERA in three starts vs. the Jays last year.

The pick: Thomas Hatch is expected to make his debut for the Jays this afternoon. Toronto will then make a quick turn around for a series vs. the Washington Nationals. Note as well that Toronto has seen the total go over the number in seven of its last ten AL road games after losing and scoring one run or less in the process. Look for these two offenses to be the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries.

10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the OVER Jays/Rays.

The set-up: Both of these AL teams are expected to compete and possibly make the playoffs this season. Each is loaded with talented hitters, but I think that these two studs on the mound will be the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries. Jose Berrios gets the nod for the Twins and he was 14-8 with a 3.68 ERA last year. Berrios had a great camp and there's no reason not to believe that he can't bring the smoke here on Opening night. 

The pick:Lucas Giolito was 14-9 with a 3.41 ERA last year. In 2018 he was 10-13 with a 6.13 ERA. That's a huge improvement and there's no doubt the White Sox expect him to continue to develop this year as well. Teams don't have the luxury to "get up to speed," everyone needs to hit the ground running and establish something early. I believe these two starting pitchers battle deep and as such, look for this one to stay well below the number once it's all said and done.

10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER Twins/White Sox.

The set-up: There's no doubt that Jacbo deGrom is easily one of the best pitchers in the league. Last year he was 11-8 with a 2.43 ERA and in 2018 he was 10-9 with a 1.70 ERA. deGrom has been given little support by the Mets throughout his career and with many of his sluggers sidelined with injury or other issues to open the 2020 season, I believe that trend of futility gets carried over here. 

The pick: Mike Soroka is the Braves' ace heading into 2020 after finishing 13-4 with a 2.68 ERA last season. Many predict that Atlanta will at the very least earn a Wild Card spot this year and I think it gets off on the right foot here in this favorable matchup. I look for Soroka to match deGrom inning for inning and in a situation like that, I'm taking the under-valued underdog.

10* BLOWOUT BEST OF THE BEST on the Atlanta Braves.

The set-up: Norwich is terrible, but I expect it to find the back of the net here at Carrow Road on the penultimate day of the campaign. Norwich clearly has nothing to lose here after five straight losses. The Canaries did not secure a spot in the league next year, so they'll only be playing for pride here. 

The pick: The Clarets on the other hand have not lost a league game in seven straight matches. Burnley most recently went to a 1-1 draw with Liverpool and Wolverhampton and there's no reason not to believe that it won't have the gas on the pedal from start to finish this afternoon as well. I expect each team to play loose and ultimately I believe this will help in this total soaring over the number sooner, rather than later.

10* TOTAL BEST OF THE BEST on the OVER Norwich City/Burnley.

The set-up: Leicester had a 1-0 lead over Bournemouth going into half last week, but when the smoke cleared at the end of the game, the Foxes would end up losing 4-1. Leicester is in trouble of falling out of the top four and it will surely be giving a better effort, but the Blades have looked a lot better themselves of late, most recently coming off a commanding 3-0 win over Chelsea. 

The pick: With a Europa League spot still on the line for Sheffield United, combined with the "home field" advantage, I'll gladly lay the small price for the extra 0.5 goal of insurance in this one. 

10* PLAY-BOOK on Sheffield United +0.5 -114 Pinnacle.

The set-up: Calvin Kattar is 21-4 and Dan Ige is 14-2. Kattar is a 3-1 favorite to win this fight, but I think Ige will take this one distance. Kattar has won his first seven UFC fights and four have come by knockout, but Ige won't be an easy "out," as he comes in on top form from as far as being in shape right now, as this is his third fight since early February. 

The pick: I think Ige bides his time in the early rounds and doesn't push, instead waiting for an opportunity to score an upset after wearing Kattar down. 

10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the OVER 2.5 -134 Pinnacle Kattar/Ige.

The set-up: The Wolves hammered Everton 3-0 last time out, while Burnley earned some much needed points with a 1-1 draw vs. Liverpool. In my opinion, this particular contest has "war of attrition" written all over it. The Clarets were admittedly "lucky" to earn the draw vs. Liverpool, but regardless their defense was solid and I expec that to be carried over here. 

The pick: The Wolves looked stout defensively in tehir shutout vs. Everton and with a spot in the Europa League in their grasp, I expect a similar clamp down defensive style here as well. Expect a classic hard-fought, but ultimately lower-scoring affair here.

10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER 2.5 -158 Burnley/Wolverhampton.

The set-up: Both teams return to action for the first time since the break. Both teams are completely healthy, except the visitors will be without the services of attacker Will Bruin. Each side will be cautious in my opinion, waiting for the other to make the first mistake.

The pick: This tournament has so far seen some higher-scoring affairs in the early going, but the timing of this contest, combined with the overall situation lead me to believe that we'll finally see a classic, lower-scoring match between these two hungry clubs. 

10* SUPER TOTAL on the UNDER Seattle/Chicago.

The set-up: I had a play on Bournemouth +1 -140 on Thursday and it drew at home with Tottenham 0-0. Yes, the Cherries are now three points behind in relegation, meaning they have to win here to keep their chances alive, but Leicester City comes in equally as motivated, as it lookt to retain a top four spot with Man U breathng down its neck. 

The pick: After crushing Crystal Palace 3-0, the Foxes drew 1-1 with Arsenal last time out, but considering the circumstances and familiarity of venue, I think Leicester could/should in fact be a much larger favorite here. Lay it.

10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Leicester City.

The set-up: Both Leicester and Chelsea dropped points last weekend, but Tottenham will be careful not to do the same. Everton looks primed finally for a "letdown" here after two straight victories and I think that's imminent in this difficult matchup. 

The pick: Jose Mourinho’s will look to control the ebb and flow of this contest and I have a hard time seeing Everton even posting a goal here. Carlo Ancelotti’s men finally come out flat after the rare b2b victories. This one has lower-scoring "under" written all over it.

10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the UNDER Tottenham/Everton.

The set-up: Everton is off a 1-0 win over Norwich City and it's gunning for its third straight "clean sheet" here. The Toffee's will be looking to do what they do best here, and that's clamp down defensively and wear out Leicester City by winning the war of attrition. 

The pick: The Foxes enter off a goalless draw with Brighton and I have a hard time seeing City mustering much of an attack here vs. this elite defensive club in Everton. This game has the feel of a "chess match," where each club patiently waits for the other to make the first mistake. This one has "under" written all over it in my opinion.

10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER Everton/Leicester City.

The set-up: I think we'll witness a lop-sided blowout here once the smoke finally clears at the end of the night. Tottenham restarted the season with a 1-1 draw with Man U, but now midfielder Dele Alli returns from suspension for the Spurs and I think he'll spell trouble for the Hammers this afternoon. Tottenham can ill afford to let this golden matchup go to the wayside, as it still tries to track down a Champions League spot.

The pick: Westham looked horrible in its 2-0 loss to Wolverhampton in its first game back and I have a hard time seeing it keeping pace with a now focussed, motivated and vastly superior Tottenham side. I think there's big value betting on Mr. Harry Cane and his crew.

10* COACH'S CORNER on Tottenham.

The set-up: It's the Merseyside Derby and I don't expect any upsets here. Liverpool vastly overmatches the home side in every respect today and it needs just two more wins to clinch the trophy for the first time in 30 years. Motivation won't be an issue for the favored side today. 

The pick: Everton hasn't won this game at home in ten years. Nothing is going to change here as I look for the superior and more motivated side to deliver the goods. Lay the price.

10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Liverpool.

The set-up: Man City laid the smack down on Arsenal 3-0 in mid December, but I believe that we'll witness a much tighter affair after the extended break. Arsenal is currently in ninth, but it hasn't lost a league game since the start of the new year and it won its final three matches before the pandemic. Of course Man City is still trying to lock down a Champions League spot, but the Gunners could still move into the Top 4 if they can pull off the outright here. 

The pick: Man City has already dropped four of 13 matches at home this year, which does give the Gunners a glimmer of hope here as well. And finally note that Arsenal has found the back of the net at Etihad Stadium at least once on each of its last seven visits. I'm laying the short price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance.

10* PLAY OF THE WEEK on ARSENAL +1.5 -115 Pinnacle.

The set-up: Freiburg still has a shot at Europa League action, but Monchengladbach has a Champions League spot in mind and it's fresh off a 4-1 destruction of Union Berlin and I believe it'll just be too much for Freiburg to hang with. Freiburg enters with zero momentum, having drawn and lost twice since action returned. Gladbach is tied with Leverkusen right now, so it can ill afford to look past this golden opportunity. 

The pick: Alassane Plea and Marcus Thuram combined for three goals for Gladbach last week vs. Union Berlin and I have a hard time seeing Freiburg slowing them down either. Freiburg is back in eighth place right now and it looks ripe for the picking here. No upset here, I like the "better" team to deliver. 

10* COACH'S CORNER on Monchengladbach.

The set-up: Yes the last three UFC main events have seen the underdog come out on top, but I believe that Gilbert Burns' current five-fight win streak comes to an end here vs. Tyron Woodley, the fomer champion. Woodley was last in action in UFC 235 where he was soundly thumped in an unanimous decision vs. Kamaru Usman. Usman still holds that title and if Woodley wants a shot at a rematch, he'll need to focus on Burns here. Burns is clearly no push over, but Woodley is a huge step up in competition here in my opinion. 

The pick: Burns enters off a first-round KO of Demian Maia just two months ago, but Woodley has a sizeable advantage here with a three-inch reach advantage. And while Burns would love to take this to the ground, note that Woodley is incredibly adept at guarding vs. the takedown, as only eight percent of takedown attempts in the UFC have been successful against him. I like the ex-champ to step up here and to finally break this trend of underdogs winning in the main event. Lay it.

8* DESTRUCTION on Tyron Woodley.

The set-up: These teams are coming off a couple of higher-scoring affairs last weekend, but when they met on November 23rd, they'd lock horns and battle to a 1-1 draw. I believe when the smoke does clear at the end of this one, that we'll see a similar final combined score as well. Freiburg went to a 3-3 draw with Eintracht Frankfurt last time out, while Bayer Leverkusen fell 4-1 to Wolfsburg. 

The pick: Over their last six head-to-head meetings, 11 goals have been scored for both sides, which comes out to an average of 1.83 per contest. Expect a similarily hard-fought one here this afternoon and look for this total to stay well below the posted number. 

10* SUPER TOTAL on the UNDER Freiburg/Leverkusen.

The set-up: Fortuna Dussledorf stumbled down the stretch last week and allowed Koln to score two late goals, which earned it a single point in the 2-2 draw. Dusseldorf faltered, but it must still feel vindicated after that performance and I expect it to keep the foot on the gas here vs. the struggling FC Schalke 04, which has come out gone scoreless over its first two matches after the break.

The pick: It's do or die, now or never for Schalke though and I expect it to finally step and answer with at least one marker. And then look for Dusseldorf to take care of the rest. This number is a little low.

10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the OVER Fortuna Dusseldorf vs. FC Schalke. 

The set-up: Bayer Leverkusen will be set to put the pedal to the metal here as it looks to secure a Champions League spot. Werder Bremen has just 18 points from 24 matches this season and I have a hard time seeing it putting up much of an attack here after the long lay off (the River Islanders have given up the most and scored the least thus far.) Leverkusen owns one of the best defensive units in the league and with RB Leipzig’s slip-up against SC Freiburg, it has a big opportunity to move up in the standings.

The pick: Considering the form of Werder Bremen this year and the overall situation that Leverkusen finds itself in, I'm expecting a lower-scoring battle. 

10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER Werder Bremen/Leverkusen.

The set-up: Alistair Overeem is 45-18-0 and the 39 year old weighs 265 pounds. Walt Harris is 13-7-0 in the UFC and the 36 year old weighs 250 pounds. Harris comes off a Round 1 win over Aleksei Oleinik, while Overeem lost by TKO in the fifth round to Jairzinho Rozenstruik. 

The pick: Both fighters are similar in some respect, but I think Harris' power will be too much for Overeem to overcome here. Great that the veteran stepped up to take this fight, but I think the younger and hungrier fighter delivers the goods. I'll lay this reasonable mid-sized price as I expect hard-hitting Harris to get the job done.

10* UFC GAME OF THE MONTH on Walt Harris.

The set-up: I'm taking three underdogs in UFC 249. That includes in the main fight of the night between Justin Gaethje and Tony Ferguson. This is for the UFC Interim Lightweight Championship. Gaethje is 21-2 and he's won ten of his last 12 fights. Gaethje most recently beat Donald Cerrone. In fact, it was Gaethje's third first round knock out in a row. Ferguson is 25-3 and he's won 12 fights in a row. Ferguson also most recently beat Donald Cerrone, back in June. 

The pick: This is a letdown spot for Ferguson though, who was scheduled to fight Khabib originally, but a combination of injury delay and now the virus has him now facing the hungry and red hot Gaethje. With nothing to lose, I like the underdog to deliver the goods in this tite match.

10* play on Justin Gaethje.

The set-up: Demian Maia is a legend in Brazil. He takes on Gilbert Burns, his fellow countryman in this fight. Maia is 28-9, while Burns is 17-3. Maia is 42 years old and he enters on a three-fight win streak, finishing Ben Askren in the third round in October, his 14th submission of his career. 

The pick: Burns is on a four-fight win streak himself. Burns is 33 and Maia is 42. Most recently Burns got the better of Gunnar Nelson and his last loss came in July 2018, when he was knocked out by Dan Hooker. Maia though hasn't been finished in a bout since way back in 2009 though and I don't think Burns has what it takes either. I think this one goes to decision and I look for Maia to earn the hard-fought victory.

10* Coachs' Corner on Demian Maia.

The set-up: The schools split a pair of games in the regular season, with each team winning on its home floor. Cal would need to win the Tournament to make the NCAA Tournament. Unfortunately for the Bears they come in with zero momentum after two straight losses to end the regular season. Stanford can't take any chances, although its still projected to be within the projected field for The Big Dance. 

The pick: Note that Cal is ranked 318th in the country with an average of 68 possessions per game, while Standford enters ranked 198th in the nation with an average of 70.6 possessions per contest. Neither of these Pac 12 teams pushes the pace, each instead relying on a lot of half court sets while on offense. Expect this one to stay well below the posted number.

10* PAC 12 TOURNAMENT TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the UNDER Cal/Stanford.

The set-up: These teams have played twice this year already and Indiana is 2-0. Both games have been very competitive though and I fully expect a repeat performance of those contests here. Indiana won 96-90 in OT in the first game, while then also winning 82-74 in the second. The Cornhuskers are the worst team in the Big Ten, but Indiana had plenty of issues as well this season. Not only does Nebraska play with revenge here after the two regular season losses, but it'll also be out to play spoiler, as the Hoosiers are definitely on the bubble as far as making the NCAA Tournament is concerned. 

The pick: Nebraska is also already 2-1 ATS in neutral court games this year and 3-1 ATS in revenging a home loss vs. an opponent, while Indiana is a poor 1-4 ATS in its last five after scoring 60 points or less in its previous contest. No outright, but expect a battle until the end. Grab as many points as you can.

10* SHOCKER ELITE OF THE ELITE on Nebraska.

The set-up: The situation and the numbers/trends both point to this one falling well below the posted number in my opinion. Philly is 2-0 in the season series so far and looking back finds the Pistons 0-5 the last five in this series. Both teams are hungry to break losing streaks here though and I think that's going to lead to a more defensive affair here. Detroit enters having lost four straight and Philly's gone just 1-3 in its last four. 

The pick: NOte as well that Detroit has seen the total go under in seven of its last 11 road games as an underdog, while Philadelphia has seen the total dip under in eight of its last 11 after scoring 110 points or more in two straight games. Expect an all out war here, where every possession is contested and look for this total to stay well under once it's all said and done.

10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the UNDER Pistons/76ers.

The set-up: Sacramento State is 15-14 and Weber State is 12-19. These teams split a pair of games during the regular season, but I still think that the Hornets are the better and ultimately deeper team in this particular matchup. Sacramento State stumbled down the stretch of the regular season, but it ranks sixth in the nation in defense by allowing only 59.9 PPG. Weber State lost three of their final four regular season games, allowing an average of 81.7 PPG in the setbacks. 

The pick: Note as well that Sacramento State is 10-4 ATS this year when playing the role of favorite and 8-4 ATS this season after playing its last game as an underdog, while Weber State is a poor 1-3 ATS in all neutral cour games this year. I think the Hornets' incredible defensive play is the difference maker in this one. Lay the points.

10* BIG SKY TOURNAMENT GAME OF THE YEAR on Sacramento State.

The set-up: This is a big game for both teams, because if the Playoffs started today, neither would be involved. Phoenix leads the season series 2-1 and this is the final game between the clubs this year. The Suns have taken two in a row, including a 127-117 victory at home on March 6th. I think the finale though sets up as a defensive affair. The Suns have somehow won each of their last two road games and they also finished a four-game homestand on a two game win streak. The Blazers are now nine games under .500 and they've allowed an average of 125 points and 20 triples over the last two games: "It's an understatement to say that we're disappointed with the way that we played in the first quarter, first half," said Trail Blazers head coach Terry Stotts. "We didn't play like a desperate team, a team fighting for a playoff spot, and it's hard enough to win in this league, much less when you don't compete as hard as you need to compete."

The pick: Note as well that Phoenix has seen the total go under the number in seven of ten this year off a home victory, while Portland has seen the total dip below in four of five this year off a home loss by ten points or more. I think Portland doubles down on the defensive side after getting destroyed the last couple of games. This number is indeed high.

10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the UNDER Suns/Blazers.

The set-up: The Pens will be highly motivated to break a scuffling stretch. Most recently Pittsburgh comes in off a 6-2 loss to Carolina. In fact, the Penguins have lost two in a row by a combined score of 11-4. The Pens though only allow 2.85 GPG this season and I expect the visiting side to double down on the defensive end as they attempt to break the slide. The Devils only average 2.69 GPG and they come in having played much better of late by winning three of their last four. 

The pick: The Pens have also seen the total go under the number in four of five this year already after playing to three or more straight "overs," while the Devils have seen the total go under in eight of their last 12 following a win by two goals or more. Considering all of the above factors, I do definitely expect this one to fall under once it's all said and done.

10* TOTAL DESTRUCTION on the UNDER Pens/Devils.

The set-up: Virginia Tech beat UNC 79-77 in double OT on January 22nd, the only meeting between the schools this season. Both teams ended the regular season with a loss. Both teams disappointed this year overall. Cole Anthony is a lone bright spot for the Tar Heels (19.6 PPG), but beyond him that Tar Heels are very thin. 

The pick: UNC has been a downright disaster for bettors in this spot all year though, going just 5-14 ATS in its last 19 as a favorite, while VT has been money in the bank by going 7-3 ATS this year after allowing 65 points or less in two straight games and 4-1 ATS in its last five after playing a game as a road underdog. I'm expecting an outright win, but I'm grabbing the points as insurance.

10* ELITE OF THE ELITE on Virginia Tech.

The set-up: Vegas comes in off a 5-3 win in Calgary just last night and I think the Oilers can take advantage of this now tired (and fully contented) visiting side in the second game of the back-to-back. Edmonton is off a convincing 4-1 win at home Columbus and it plays with revenge here after a 3-0 loss in Las Vegas at the end of February. Situationally this one definitely sets up nicely for the home side.

The pick: Note as well that Edmonton is a super 22-15 (+9.9 units) this season in revenging a loss vs. an opponent. All things considered, I believe this to be the very definition of "great line value." 

10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Edmonton Oilers.

The set-up: Toronto comes in off a hard-fought win in Sacramento just last night and I think it'll predictably stumble in this difficult road venue in the second game of the back-to-back scenario. The Jazz are rested and out to avenge a humbling 130-110 loss in Toronto back in December. This is also the final game of a five-game trip in which the Raptors have already posted three straight wins in. From a situational stand point, I definitely believe this one sets up fantastically for the home side. 

The pick: Note as well that Toronto is a poor 3-5 ATS this year as a road dog of six points or less and only 10-14 ATS vs. clubs with winning records, while Utah is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 in trying to revene a same season loss vs. an opponent. Lay the points, expect a rout.

10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Utah Jazz.

The set-up: The Capitals enter off a 5-2 win over Pittsburgh. Buffalo is now officially out of playoff contention this season after six straight losses and setbacks in seven of its last nine. Washington is averaging 3.44 GPG and it's allowing 3.09, while Buffalo is averaging 2.81 GPG and allowing 3.13. 

The pick: Buffalo has seen the total go under the number in 15 of 21 this year after a loss by two goals or more. After the big win over the Pens and with two whole nights off before home games vs. "cream puffs" Detroit and Chicago, I think Washington comes out a bit flat here as well. When you add it all up, I definitely feel this number is high. 

10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER Capitals/Sabres.

The set-up: The Cajuns are ranked eighth and the Eagles are ranked fifth. The Cajuns enter off a 73-66 win over Arkansas State in the first round. The Eagles got a bye into the second round, but ended the regular season with a 76-75 loss to Arkansas State. Georgia Southern swept the Cajuns in two meetings this year, with one game going well under, and one going well over. The Cajuns average 73.0 PPG and the Eagles average 75.2. Add those two totals up and you get 148.2. 

The pick: These teams are playing at Georgia Southern today and the last time these schools played here, they totaled 122 points. Both teams are poor shooting teams, as the Cajuns are ranked 284th in the country from thee floor, while the Eagles are ranked 175th. Considering all of the above factors, I expect this total to stay well under once it's all said and done.

10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER UL Lafayette/Georgia Southern.

The set-up: I think the No. 8 Ohio Bobcats are going to have their hands full here vs. the No. 9 CMU Chippewas this evening. CMU plays with revenge after a 77-69 road defeat to Ohio in mid February. The Chips won't be lacking for motivation here. They opened the season 6-2 and then lost nine straight, before then finally posting an 85-68 win over WMU in its finale. CMU has the firepower to match anyone in the conference, as it is in fact the highest scoring team by averaging 78.7 PPG. The Bobcats started 2-7 and then won six of their final nine in conference play. Overall though the Bobcats average only 71.1 PPG this year. 

The pick: Yes the Chips have struggled defensively, but they closed out the regular season on a high-note and I like them to carry that momentum over here. Outright victory is possible, but in the end let's grab the points.

10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Central Michigan.

The set-up: Columbus comes in off a terrible 4-1 loss in Edmonton just last night and at this price, I think the Canucks offer great value to post the victory. Vancouver finally broke a four game slide with a 6-3 win over Colorado (one of those four losses was a 5-3 setback at Columbus as well, setting this up as a revenge contest.) The Blue Jackets have three whole nights off after this before home games vs. the Penguins and Predators, so this also sets up as a "look ahead" for the visitors. 

The pick: Note that COlumbus is now just 9-18 (-10.3 units) in non-conference games this year, while Vancouver is 17-11 (+6.3 units) this season after scoring four or more goals in its previous contest. All things considered, a great price on this one.

10* COACH'S CORNER on the Vancouver Canucks.

The set-up: The Suns are desperate for victories. Playing in the packed Western Conference isn't easy and a big win over the East leading Bucks would go a long way in getting th eball rolling. The Bucks on the other hand are coming off a listless loss in LA to the Lakers and they'll be eager to return to form here and take advantage of this poor Suns defense. From a "situational" stand point, I absolutely believe this one sets up as more of a "shootout" than a "chess match." 

The pick: Despite losing and having the total go "under" the number in LA last time out, note that the BUcks have still seen the total go over the number in 14 of 24 non-conferece games this year. Also note that Phoenix has seen the total go OVER the number in 27 of its last 47 vs. teams which average 106 points or more per contest (Bucks average 118.7 PPG, No. 1 in the league). Expect this one to fly over soon, rather than later.

10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the OVER Bucks/Suns.

The set-up: This is the final day of the Big Ten regular season and I think the home side will find a way to get the job done on Seniors Night. The Terps will be especially motivated here as well after dropping three of their last four. Overall the Wolverines average 75.2 PPG, while allowing 67.8. The Wolverines though are a sub-par 4-6 as the away team this season. Maryland averages 71.4 PPG and it allows 64.3. The Terps though are 15-1 at home this year. 

The pick: Regardless of today's result, both teams will be in The Tournament. It's been a big sucess for Michigan and first year head coach Juwan Howard, but I think the home side continues its brilliant play on its own floor. I expect the No. 1 team in the conference to shake off some recent scuffling play with a signature victory on Sunday afternoon. Lay the points.

10* BLOCKBUSTER on Maryland.

The set-up: Portland comes in off another disappointing loss in Phoenix just last night and I think it'll predictably struggle here in the second game of the back-to-back. Neither team has thrown in the towel yet on the playoffs, but this is a spot that definitely benefits the Kings. Sacramento has a formidable backcourt in Buddy Hield and D'Aaron Fox, who counter Portland's Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum. 

The pick: Note as well that Sacramento is 20-12 ATS on the road this year and 20-13 ATS this season in trying to revenge a loss where an opponent scored 100 points or more, while Portland is just 12-17 ATS at home this season and only 14-15 ATS as a favorite. I'm grabbing the points. 

10* ATS BLOOD-BATH on the Kings.

The set-up: Philadelphia has been playing well, as it enters off a 17-point road win over Sacramento. Golden State has gone through plenty of injury adversity this year and while Stephen Curry is back in the line-up again, I don't think that's going to help in pushing this total over tonight. Philadelphia is without Ben Simmons and Joel Embiid, and the last thing it'll want to do here is to turn this into a "track meet" with the upstart Warriors. Philly controlled the game from start to finish vs. the Kings and the result was a resounding victory. 

The pick: Philly has also seen the total go under the number in eight of 13 as a road favorite this year, while GS has seen the total dip below in six of nine this season as a home dog of six points or less. I think this one definitely sets up as more of a defensive affair, rather than a high-scoring shootout.

10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the UNDER 76ers/Warriors.

The set-up: This is the final game of the regular season for each team. I think this one means a lot more to the Seniors on Xavier as the Musketeers look to avenge a 66-61 road loss to the Butler Bulldogs in February. As primarily a "situational handicapper," this is exactly the type of "situation" and "motivation" I look for when breaking down a contest. Overall Butler averages 68.4 PPG and it allows 61.8. But not only is Xavier hungry to avenge the loss to Butler on Senior night, but it's still in a fight for one of the final spots in the upcoming NCAA Tournament. Most recently the Musketeers fell 80-74 to Providence, making this a "must win" game for all intents and purposes. Overall Xavier averages 70.8 PPG and it allows 67.3. 

The pick: Xavier is 16-4 in its last 20 at home and 7-1 ATS in its last eight home games as well. I think Xavier pulls away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. Lay the points.

10* GAME OF THE MONTH on Xavier. 

The set-up: These are two of the best teams, not only in the Eastern Conference, but in the entire league. These are two of the best defensive clubs in the league, but they're also filled with offensive talent. Honestly, it wouldn't be hard to write a convincing argument for either the "over" or the "under" in this game. So why do I think this one is going to fly over the number this time? 

The pick: Tampa is ranked among the league leaders on offense on the road and Boston is one of the best offenses when at home. Finally note that TB has seen the total go over the number in 12 of 20 this year following a win by two goals or more in its previous contest, while Boston has seen the total go over in four of its last five after playing three straight on the road. Play the over.

10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the OVER Bolts/Bruins.

The set-up: This is the second game of a home and home set. The Predators won the first one at home by a score of 2-0, snapping a three-game skid. Dallas has now lost four straight and I believe it'll risk life and limb here to try and avenge the loss in Nashville, while also breaking the slide. Nashville averages 3.16 GPG and it allows 3.09, while Dallas averages 2.63 GPG, while allowing 2.52. Clearly the margin for error is very slim for both teams on most nights, but situationally I think this one sets up fantastically for the home side and it definitely makes this a price in which I have on issues at all in laying. 

The pick: Note as well that Nashville is already just 2-3 (-1.3 units) this year after shutting out its opponent in its last game, while Dallas is 17-12 (+3 units) in revenging a loss vs. an opponent. I'm banking on a big time win for the Stars here. 

10* NHL GAME OF THE MONTH on the Dallas Stars.

The set-up: This is a matchup of the 8th and 9th seeds in the Sun Belt Tournament and when the smoke does finally clear, I expect this total to stay under the posted number. These teams split a pair of games this year, each winning on its home floor. The Red Wolves won 79-67 in December and then the Cajuns returned the favor with a 77-74 win in February. While both of those games went OVER the number, I do now finally feel that this conference contest will be more of a defensive affair. 

The pick: And the numbers/trends support that theory as well, as note that Arkansas State has seen the total go under the number in seven of its last ten tournament games when the total is set at 150 or higher, while UL Lafayette has seen the total dip under in eight of its last 11 Conference Tournament home games as a favorite in the -2.5 to -5.5 points range. Expect each team to double down defensively now that it's Tournament time and a one and done format.

10* TOP TOTAL on the UNDER Arkansas State/UL Lafayette.

The set-up: Colorado's 4-3 loss to Anaheim last time out snapped a seven-game winning streak. Vancouver is looking to snap a streak of its own, as the Canucks enter on a four-game slide. These are two of the best in the Western conference and each is looking to bounce back. From a situational stand point, I think this one definitely sets up as more of a defensive goaltenders battle, than a wide-open "shootout." Overall Colorado averages 3.41 GPG, while allowing just 2.67, while the Canucks average 3.23 GPG and allow 3.11. 

The pick: Vancouver will be playing with extreme desperation here as it looks to get into shooting and passing lanes from the opening tip until the final horn. Expect these two Western Conference heavyweights to under once it's all said and done.

10* COACH'S CORNER on the UNDER Avs/Canucks.

The set-up: I like the Thunder to finally get back on track here in this favorable situation. After losses to the Bucks and Clippers, OKC bounced back with a win over Detroit last time out. New York won two in a row, but then it returned to form with a listless loss to the Jazz at home last time out. OKC averages 110.6 PPG and New York allows 112.0, while the Knicks average just 105.4 PPG, while the Thunder allow 108.5. 

The pick: Note as well that OKC is 21-8 ATS on the road this year and 4-1 ATS this season after allowing 105 points or more in five straight games, while New York is just 8-14 ATS in its last 22 after playing three straight at home. I think the Knicks "go through the motions" here in this non-conference matchup, while I look for the visitors to take full advantage of another favorable matchup. Lay the points.

10* ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE on the Oklahoma City Thunder.

The set-up: This is the final game of the regular season for each. I'm basing this play most only the "revenge angle," as Georgia Tech posted the 68-59 home victory in the reverse fixture earlier in the season. The Yellow Jackets won't be participating in any tournaments this year because of a ban, so this is a meaningless game to them. Overall Georgia Tech averages 68.7 PPG and it allows 66.6. The Tigers average 66.9 PPG, but they make up for it on the other end by allowing only 63.9. 

The pick: Not only does Clemson play with revenge on Seniors Night, but note that Georgia Tech is 0-14 on the road in its last 14 in this series (the Tigers have won those games by an average of 10.1 points). Georgia Tech has lost four of its last five on the road and I expect the home side to take full advantage.

10* BEST OF THE BEST on Clemson.

The set-up: The Beavers upset the Cardinal by five on the road earlier in the season and I believe they'll find a way to do it again on their own floor tonight. The home side will be looking to play spoiler here on Seniors Night, as Stanford comes in having won four straight and on the verge of punching its ticket to The Big Dance. The Beavers are desperate to stop a four-game slide of their own and while they'll likely need to win the Conference tournament now to get an invite, there's still plenty to play for here for the home side. 

The pick: Note as well that Stanford is already 0-2 ATS this year after successfully covering the spread in four or more consecutive games, while Oregon State is a sharp 9-5 ATS at home this season. I'm laying the points on the hungrier home side on Seniors night.

10* ELITE OF THE ELITE on Oregon State.

The set-up: Neither team has played to many high-scoring affairs of late, but I'm expecting a wide open affair here and I expect this total to soar over sooner, rather than later. The Bruins have won three in a row and only given up four goals in the process. The Panthers on the other hand have lost three in a row and five of six. The Panthers defense is a mess, coming in ranked 29th in the league in GAA. The Panthers have a strong offensive attack though, as they have five players with at least 20 goals, led by Mike Hoffman (27). I think the home side plays with wreckless abandon here as it tries to get off the schneid. 

The pick: Note as well that Florida has seen the total go over in 12 of 18 vs. the division this year and in five of seven when playing with three or more days rest. As I mentioned off the top, I expect a wide-open, faster-paced "shootout" in this one.

10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the OVER Bruins/Panthers.

The set-up: The Nuggets have won three of their last four, but after a straight up loss at home to the Warriors as 15 point favorites, clearly they'll be out to atone for that pathetic performance and take out their frustrations on the defensively challenged Hornets. Denver earned the 100-86 win at home over Charlotte earlier in the season, but I'm predicting a much faster-paced, up-tempo style of play today and I expdect this total to fly over as it comes down the stretch. 

The pick: Neither teams plays at a fast pace, but I think the value has swung to the higher-number here. Note as well that Denver has seen the total go over in both games that it's played in this year off a double digit loss as a favorite of six points or more (supporting my theory above that the visitors will be out to atone for their truly embarrassing performance vs. Golden State), while Charlotte has seen the total fly over in five of its last seven off a cover where it lost the game SU as an underdog. This number is a little low.

10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the OVER Nuggets/Hornets.

The set-up: Utah enters having won two straight. It crushed New York 128-104 at home earlier in the year, but I'm expecting a much more methodically paced affair this evening. Utah averages 112.7 PPG and it allows 109.5, while the Knicks average only 106.1 points per 100 possessions. New York has looked better of late, having posted two straight victories, but I think a return to medocrity is imminent here facing this tough defensive non-conference opponent tonight. 

The pick: Note as well that Utah has seen the total go under the number in four of its last five after allowing 105 points or more in five straight games, while New York has seen the total dip below in 14 of 23 already this season when the total in the contest is set at 220 or higher. I think the Jazz slow the pace of this one down whenever possible and because of that, I look for this total to stay well under once it's all said and done.

10* TOTAL BLOOD-BATH on the UNDER Jazz/Knicks.

The set-up: The Pacers beat the Bucks in their final game before the All Star break. Giannis Antetokounmpo didn't play in that contest though and I think he's going to come out and play with a chip on his shoulder this evening. Both teams have won four of their last five, but the Bucks come in off a loss in Miami, one night after winning in Charlotte. Milwaukee averages 119.1 PPG and it allows 106.8, while Indiana averages 109.4 PPG and it allows 107.2. 

The pick: Milwaukee is almost always a big favorite, but I think it's going to easily cover this larger spread tonight, as note that it's 5-0 ATS in its last five at home and 9-2 ATS in its last 11 after a SU loss of ten or more points. The stage is set for a 20 point blowout victory here. I'm laying the points.

10* PLAY-BOOK on the Milwaukee Bucks.

The set-up: What's the first thing that comes to mind when you think about these two teams? For me it's high-flying offense and high-scoring games. While each team has played to many "overs" of late, I think the conditions are now finally correct for more of a defensive goaltenders battle. Philadelphia averages 3.31 GPG and it allows 2.85, while Washington averages 3.42 GPG and it allows 3.03. 

The pick: Note though that Philly has already seen the total go under the number in ten of 16 this year when playing with two days rest, while Washington has seen the total dip below in eight of 13 this season in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent. I think the value has finally swung to the lower number here.

10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the UNDER Flyers/Capitals.

The set-up: I think 17-10 Siena is going to lay the smackdown on 11-18 Niagara. This is a revenge game for the Saints after the Purple Eageles somehow managed a SU outright, 1-point win over the Saints. Niagara has won four of its last six games, while Sienna has won seven of its last ten. 

The pick: The Purple Eagles though for the most part have been terrible defensively, allowing their opponents to hit at a 46 percent rate from the floor. The Saints on the other hand have turned up the pressure defensively of late and I look for that trend to carry over here vs. this poor Niagara offense (note that the Saints have given up an average of just 60 points in their last seven conference contests.) The Saints are also 4-1 ATS in their last five at home. I'm laying the points here and expecting a blowout of epic proportions.

10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Siena. 

The set-up: In this battle between 15-13 Clemson and 15-14 Virginia Tech, I think that the "home court advantage" will be significant for the Hokies tonight. VT has to be feeling confident here as well, as it already beat the Tigers on their own floor earlier in the season. Both teams have big victories on the season, but each has looked downright terrible at times as well. 

The pick: And after losing nine of its last ten, I absolutely believe that Virginia Tech is the "hungrier" team in this fight, especially considering that the Tigers enter off an improbable last-second upset over Louisville! Can anyone say letdown spot?! Each team is playing for pride for the most part here, but VT is desperate on Seniors Night. Lay the short points.

10* ACC BEST OF THE BEST on Virginia Tech.

The set-up: Both teams are "hungry" for a win after three straight losses. But Phoenix is at home and it has the motivation of "revenge" as well after falling in Toronto earlier in the year. Toronto has been dealing with injuries to several key players all year and now guard Fred VanVleet is questionable tonight as well. Kelly Oubre has been lost for the season for Phoenix, but this one sets up perfectly for the Suns tonight in my opinion. 

The pick: Note as well that Toronto is just 2-4 ATS this year after allowing 120 points or more in its previous contest and interestingly a poor 21-23 ATS this year vs. teams which allow 106 points or more per game, while Phoenix is a solid 10-5 ATS in its last 15 in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent of ten points or more. I'm expecting an outright win here for the home side, but I'm going to grab the points in the end.

10* NON-CONF ELITE OF THE ELITE on the Phoenix Suns.

The set-up: These are not only two of the best teams in the Eastern Conference, but they're two of the best in the entire NHL. Both are similar, as they're loaded with depth on the offensive end, while also possessing strong defensive units and goaltending. This pick for the most part for me is based on some very strong O/U ATS trends/stats. 

The pick: As note that Boston has seen the total go UNDER the number in 15 of 24 this year in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent, while TB has seen the total dip below in five of seven this year when playing with two days rest. I'm banking on a hard-fought and ultimately lower-scoring goaltenders battle once it's all said and done.

10* TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the UNDER Boston/Lightning.

The set-up: After winning seven straight and opening up a three-game road trip here, I believe the defending champs finally have a letdown in the Big Apple tonight. New York plays with revenge here after it fell 5-2 in St. Louis earlier in the season. New York had won five in a row, before back-to-back losses to the Flyers in a home and home set. The Rangers still have a shot at the playoffs, but they no longer have the luxury to look past anyone in the jam-packed Metropolitan. After a 4-3 shootout win over the Stars last time out though, I think the Blues do indeed finally have a letdown here vs. this desperate home side. Situationally everything sets up beautifully for the home side here. 

The pick: The Rangers are only six points behind third place Pittsburgh and note that they're 11-7 (+6.7 units) after a loss by two goals or more in their previous game. The stage is set for the minor upset in this one.

10* ULTIMATE SHOCKER on the New York Rangers.

The set-up: Michigan State enters having won three straight, while Penn State enters off a road loss to Iowa. The Hawkeyes failed to cover for a fourth straight game and clearly the home side will be eager to return to form here. The Spartans have two players scoring in double figures and they average 75.7 PPG and they allow 64.4. Penn State also has two players scoring in double figures and it averages 75.4 PPG and it allows 67.4. Both teams play at a faster pace than the average NCAA tempo and I expect an all out war from start to finish. 

The pick: Note as well that Michigan State has seen the total go over the number in seven of its last ten conference road games after a three-games or longer SU/ATS unbeaten streak. I think the Nittany Lions come out and push the pace and MSU will have to match that tempo. This number is a little low.

10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the OVER MSU/Penn State.

The set-up: The Bearcats will be in the NCAA Tournament, but they won't want to take the foot off the gas now with just two games left in the regualr season. USF is just 6-10 in AAC action. The only way the Bulls are going to The Dance is if they can somehow win the conference tournament, and obviously that's not going to happen. I think the Bearcats can "smell the blood in the water" and I look for them to deliver the knock out blow to the home side's hopes tonight. The Bearcats can lock up a spot in the NCAA Tournament today and I expect them to play with desperation from the opening tip, until the final horn. 

The pick: Note as well that Cincinnati is 7-2 ATS in its last nine conference road games as a favorite in the -1.5 to -4.5 points range. The Bearcats are deeper, more talented and are the "hungrier dog" in this fight. I'm laying the points.

10* ULTIMATE BLOWOUT BEST OF THE BEST on Cincinnati.

The set-up: I think the Jazz will lay the hammer down here in this favorable position. Utah just hammered the Wizards by double digits and I expect this deep visiting side to once again win by a sizeable margin. Cleveland for the most part has been a complete disaster and it enters with zero momentum after having lost two straight. 

The pick: The Jazz have been fantastic in this spot for bettors all year as well, going 5-1 ATS in their last six when playing with two days rest and interestinly 10-4 ATS this season after scoring 120 points or more in their previous contest, while Cleveland is just 9-12 ATS after a home loss this year and a poor 9-15 ATS vs. clubs with winning records. Donovan Mitchell and Rudy Gobert are firing on all cylinders right now and I like them to combine and obliterate this home side. Lay the points.

10* ELITE OF THE ELITE on the Utah Jazz.

The set-up: Houston will have to be careful not to have a letdown here after its big road win over the Celtics. The Knicks are looking ahead to next year and have been for a while, but after breaking a six-game slide with a victory over Chicago last time out, the home side isn't going to simply roll over here. And clearly the last thing the Knicks can do is to turn this into a track meet and expect to hang with the high-flying Rockets. When looking at this one from a situational stand point, in my opinion it sets up as more of a "chess match," than a "shootout." 

The pick: Also note that Houston has seen the total go under the number in ten of 12 already this season after allowing 110 points or more in three straight games, while New York has seen the total dip below in 14 of 20 this season as a home dog. This number is a tad high.

10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER Rockets/Knicks.

The set-up: These team's recent forms are polar opposities and I expect those trends to continue here. The Capitals are 3-6-1 in their last ten, while the Wild are 6-3-1 in their last ten. The Wild are peaking right now though and I believe they come in and fight to the death to try and win this game. 

The pick: Additionally note that Wasington is just 3-5 in its last eight as a non-conference road favorite in the -101 to -125 range, while Minnesota is 13-6 in its last 19 non-conference games. I think "home ice" matters big time in this particular matchup right now.

10* COACH'S CORNER on the Minnesota Wild.