The set-up: Zack Greinke will help his team break its current six game slide. Greinke is looking to bounce back after a poor outing vs. the Tigers, allowing six runs over 4.2 innings. The Mariners are in a rebuilding year, but they're somehow atop the AL West with an 8-5 record. Seattle starter Chris Flexen was crushed in his opener as well, getting shelled for five runs off eight hits over five innings in a setback to the Twins. 

The pick: I give the advantage for sure in this spot to the veteran Greinke, who has the track record and pedigree to make some minor adjustments and take full advantage of this advantageous matchup. I think Houston is the better team in every regard and despite some injuries, I look for it to finally get untracked here with its ace on the mound.

This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on the Astros.

The set-up: The Bulls are out for revenge here after the lost 103-94 here to Cleveland back on March 24th. The Cavs are coming off a listless 119-101 loss to the Warriors. Despite having played and lost just last night at home to the Grizzlies, I like Chicago to dig deep here and find a way to get the job done vs. the lowly Cavaliers. 

The pick: The Cavaliers are just 7-15 ATS in their last 22 road games, while Chicago is 8-2 ATS in its last ten in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent in which it scored 95 or less points in. Look for the hungry home side to defend its court and lay the short points.

This is a 10* COACHS CORNER on the Bulls.

The set-up: The Blackhawks still have a legitimate shot at the playoffs, but they're out for revenge here after falling 4-1 in this building two nights ago. These teams are similar defensively (poor), but Chicago has the vastly superior offense. 

The pick: Detroit is a poor 6-15 in its last 21 following a victory, while Chicago is 4-1 in its last five following a loss of three or more goals. Despite the loss last time out, Chicago is still 5-2 the last seven in this series and now playing with the added incentive of "revenge," all signs point to the visitors as the savvy move here.

This is a 10* REVENGE BEST OF THE BEST on the Blackhawks.

The set-up: The Reds smashed the Indians 10-3 on Friday night, but I'm expecting a more defensive, lower-scoring "duel" here on Saturday afternoon. The Indians rank near the bottom of the league in runs scored. Triston McKenzie gets the nod here for the visitors and he's 0-0 with a 4.70 ERA. This is his third appearance of the season and he's been solid thus far. 

The pick: Sonny Gray makes his season debut for Cincinnati. Last year he was 5-3 with a 3.70 ERA and 1.21 WHIP. Before last night's big offensive explosion though, the Reds' bats had cooled off considerably. I think this interleague affair on Saturday afternoon will be highlighted by solid starting pitching. 

This is a 10* TOTAL CHAOS on the UNDER Indians/Reds.

The set-up: Denver is coming off a 123-106 home win over Miami. With a couple nights off after this before a home game vs. the Grizzlies, there's no need for the visiting side to try and run up this score. Houston isn't going to win this game with its great defensive play, so the last thing the Nuggets want to do, especially without offensive standout Jamal Murray in the line-up, is to turn this into a track-meet with Houston.

The pick: HOuston has lost nine of ten and four in a row, but note that it's seen the total dip "under" the number in eight of its last 11 after three or more straight SU/ATS losses in a row. When you add it all up, I expect a more methodical pace from Denver here, one which will help in driving this total "under" once it's all said and done.

This is a 10* TOTAL DESTRUCTION on the UNDER Nuggets/Rockets.

The set-up: I like the Giants to find a way to get the job done here. Anthony Desclafani went six innings vs. the Rockies in his last outing and he gave up no runs and struck out eight. So far the efficient righty has allowed just one run over 11 innings of work this year. 

The pick: Daniel Castano is making his season debut for the Marlins today, and clearly he draws a tough opponent. He posted a 3.03 ERA in six starts in 2020, but getting called up on Sunday, it's hard to imagine he'll last very long here. The Marlins are only 1-5 at home and this is another major mismatch on the mound for them. Lay the price.

This is a 10* COACHS CORNER on the Giants.

The set-up: I base my totals on "situations." Montreal has lost four of five, including a 4-1 setback here to these very Flames two nights ago. Calgary has won two straight, and it can't afford to take the foot off the gas with the regular season's end fast approaching. These are two teams in need of a victory here and each has plenty of motivation. As I said, this one sets up great as more of an offensive game from a situational standpoint.

The pick: ALso note though that the Habs have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last ten in trying to revenge  a home loss vs. an opponent in which they were held to one or less goals in. Expect a wide-open "shootout."

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAYBOOK on the OVER Flames/Canadiens.

The set-up: I think there's value on this hungry underdog side out to break an eight-game slide. That includes a 123-111 setback at home to Washington just last night. Clearly Phoenix is the better team, but it's interesting to note that it's been exchanging ATS wins/losses over its last ten games straight. 

The pick: Off a big 106-86 SU/ATS win/cover at home over the Heat, there's no reason not to believe this incredibly strong pattern won't continue here. The Suns don't need to run up the score in the second half if they have a lead. The Kings are 7-2 ATS in their last nine after five or more straight ATS losses in a row. No outright, but closer than expected.

This is a 10* COACHS CORNER on the Kings.

The set-up: Buffalo has struggled on the defensive end, but it's equally as horrible on the offensive end of the ice. Washington is one of the highest scoring teams in the league, but it's been phenomenal of late defensively as well. So why is this game going "under" today instead of "over?" 

The pick: Buffalo has seen the total go "under" eight of its last 11 in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent in which it allowed four or more goals in, while Washington has seen the total dip below the posted number in seven of its last ten after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. I think the Capitals shut down Buffalo here and believe this'll be a tight, lower-scoring "under" once the final horn blares.

This is a 10* TOTAL DESTRUCTION on the UNDER Sabres/Capitals.

The set-up: Two teams that got out to poor starts, but which have looked a bit better of late collide in the Nation's capital in the opener of this three-game series. Each team sends a pitcher to the hill that struggled in his opening start, and I expect that trend to carry over here and I look for this total to fly over sooner, rather than later. 

The pick: Merrill Kelly is 0-2 for the D-Backs. In his most recent loss he was shelled for seven runs off nine hits over six innings vs. the Rockies. His counterpart Patrick Corbin is 0-1 after allowing six runs off six hits with three walks over four innings vs. the Dodgers on Saturday. Look for these two still volatile starting pitchers to get the hook early and for these suspect pens to collapse late. This number is low, the play is the "over."

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAYBOOK on the OVER D-Backs/Nationals.

The set-up: The Clippers are rolling along, as they've now won six in a row. However, after last night's high-scoring 126-115 road win in Indiana, I believe LA comes out a bit flat here and rests some of its super stars vs. the lowly Pistons. And that's because the Clippers will end their Eastern swing two nights later in Philadelphia. It's a classic "trap," which I believe will result in a lower-scoring output from the visiting side tonight. 

The pick: Detroit has lost two in a row, most recently a 131-124 setback at the Clippers three nights ago. Detroit only averages 107.8 PPG, and I have a hard time seeing it reaching that mark vs. this tough Clippers defense. This one has lower-scoring battle written all over it.

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAYBOOK on the UNDER Clippers/Pistons.

The set-up: The Braves have yet to hit their stride this year. Perhaps ATL won't live up to its preseason expectations, but it's a really good team that's out to avenge yesterday's 14-8 humbling defeat to these very Marlins. In fact the Braves have now lost three straight. And after four straight losses, the Marlins have now won three in a row. But not only is ATL clearly the more motivated side in this matchup, but it also definitely has the superior starting pitcher on the hill. And it's this massive talent discrepancy that makes me have no issues at all in laying the 1.5 runs for the pick-em price. 

The pick: Nick Neidert gave up one earned run off three hits with five walks over 4.1 innins in a no-decision to the lowly Mets on Thursday. Clearly he'll have his hands full here though in this difficult road venue. Charlie Morton is 1-1 with a 3.27 ERA this season. The veteran holds a 12:3 K:BB and I think he's well worth the price of admission (-1.5 runs) in this matchup and considering how desperate/hungry his team is. 

This is a 10* RUN-LINE DESTRUCTION on the Braves.

The set-up: The Canadiens can ill afford to take the foot off the gas despite a 4-2 win over Montreal here two nights ago, because previous to that it had lost three in a row. The Canadiens also play with revenge after losing to Calgary 3-1 in their most recent matchup. 

The pick: The Flames come in off a highly-satisfying 3-2 OT win at Toroto just last night. Can anyone say "letdown" spot? Montreal's offensive and defensive numbers are vastly superior. The Habs have the advantage of playing at home, they play with revenge and their catching a contented Calgary side off an exhausting OT win on the road just last night. All things considered, I believe this to be the very definition of "great line value."

This is a 10* COACHS CORNER on the Canadiens.

The set-up: The Clippers have won 11 of their last 13. LA averages 115.1 PPG, while coneding just 108.3. The Pacers enter playing their best basketball of the season, as they've won four of their last five. Indiana averages 113.5 PPG, and it allows 113.7. 

The pick: Kawhi Leonard won't be playing tonight, but LA is used to playing without him. The under is 14-3 the last 17 in this series here and everything points to more of lower-scoring contest here, where each offense is run through the half-court. With Indiana looking to impose its will and keep its momentum going, everything points to the "under" as the correct move here in my opinion.

This is a 10* TOTAL COACHS CORNER on the UNDER Clippers/Pacers.

The set-up: Boston's lost two in a row. First it was a 3-2 loss at Philly, then it was an 8-1 blowout beatdown destruction setback at home to Washington. The Bruins only average 2.72 GPG, and despite the letdown against Boston, their strengthy for sure lies on the defensive end, as they only allow 2.62. 

The pick: The Bruins earned a 3-2 win over Buffalo the last time these teams played. The Sabres have been playing a lot better of late, as they come in off a 5-3 win on the road in Philadelphia, two nights after a tight 4-3 loss at home to Washington. Note though that the Sabres have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 road games following a road victory in which they scored five or more goals in. This number is high.

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the UNDER Sabres/Bruins.

The set-up: Whether it's JA Happ or Nathan Eovaldi pitching for Boston, or Martin Perez or Kenta Maeda going for the Twins, I believe the conditions of this particular contest will help in making it a very lower-scoring pitchers duel. Yesterday's game was postponed at the last minute due to the civil unrest in Minnesota and I believe this distraction will effect these team's chemistry at the plate. 

The pick: Weather could be a major factor here as well. The postponements are working in favor of these starting pitchers in my opinion. Too many off-field distractions for these players leads to a lower-scoring "under."

This is a 10* TOTAL ELITE OF THE ELITE on the UNDER Red Sox/Twins.

The set-up: After winning three of their last five games, including a big 135-115 rout of the Cavaliers on the road last night, I expect Toronto to finally come out flat here vs. the defensive-minded Knicks.

The pick: New York will look to take advantage and grind out a win here. The Knicks are in the Top 10 in most defensive categories, but after losing five of their last seven, they'll look to double down on the defensive end here vs. their exhausted opponent. Everything points to these two teams fighting hard, but for this total to fall well "under" at the end of the night.

This is a 10 TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the UNDER Raptors/Knicks.

The set-up: I'm expecting a bit of a "duel" here between Matt Moore and Drew Smyly. Moore earned a no-decision in his first start of hte year vs. the Mets, allowing two runs over 3.1 innings. Smyly allowed four runs (just two earned though), over six innings in a no-decision to the Nationals on Tuesday. It was a solid debut for Smyly. 

The pick: Neither starter instills a ton of confidence, but the overall situation points to a lower-scoring duel here in my opinion. Further note that the Braves have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after scoring five or more runs in a one run victory in its last outing. This number is a little high.

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the UNDER Phillies/Braves.

The set-up: The Rangers won here 4-1 two nights ago. So why is Sunday's "Battle of New York" going to go "over" the total, when the last one stayed "under?" Note that the Islanders have seen the total go "over" in eight of their last 11 home games in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent in which they scored one or less goals in.

The pick: The Rangers have been trading wins and losses over their last five games and they'll be out to break that trend here. There's no reason not to think that the high-flying visiting side can't duplicate its latest offensive peformance, and with the home side out to match pace, expect this total to fly "over" sooner, rather than later.

This is a 10* TOTAL DESTRUCTION on the OVER Rangers/Isles.

The set-up: Both teams are banged up. The Lakers more so. This is a lot of points to be giving up though to the defending champs, who I expect to keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. LA has split its last eight games. The Lakers fell 110-104 to the Heat last time out. I expect a very competitive affair here as well. 

The pick: Brooklyn enters off a 139-111 blowout win over the Pels at home. The Nets though are still just 1-6 ATS in their last seven as double-digit favorites. I think this is a great situational play. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points.

This is a 10* PLAY-BOOK on the Lakers.

The set-up: San Diego has seen the total go "under" in six straight, but I expect that lop-sided trend to end here today. The Padres have plenty of key injuries, but they remain competitive. Texas is 3-3 and it'll be eager to bounce back after its 3-0 defeat in the opener of this series. Chris Paddack gets the start for the visitors after allowing three runs off four hits over four innings in a loss to Arizona last Sunday. 

The pick: Jordan Lyles gets the nod for the home side, he's 1-0 with a 3.18 ERA so far. The Rangers have been good at the plate as well, averaging .262 as a team, which ranks sixth in MLB. I don't trust either starter and these line-ups are primed to take advantage. Look for this one to fly "over" in the latter frames.

This is a 10* TOTAL COACHS CORNER on the OVER Padres/Rangers.

The set-up: Seattle is 3-4. The Mariners are still "rebuilding," but they won't be going down without a fight here with Yusei Kikuchi on the mound. Kikuchi is coming off a great Spring and fantastic opening start, allowing three runs over six innings, walking one and striking out ten in the victory. 

The pick: The Twins got five shutout innings from Michael Pineda in his season opening win over the Brewers. Milwaukee continues to struggle at the plate no matter who it faces though, so Pineda's performance needs to be taken with a grain of salt in my opinion. I like Kikuchi to match his counterpart inning for inning and in a situation like that, I believe the value swings to the undervalued underdog. That said, I'm going to lay the very reasonable price here for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance in the end.

This is a 10* RUN-LINE PLAY OF THE MONTH on the Mariners.

The set-up: Philly is very much in the mix for a playoff spot. The Flyers are coming off back-to-back losses and they play with revenge after falling 4-2 to the Bruins in these team's most recent matchup. Boston's won three of its last four, including tow in a row, but with a home game vs. Washington tomorrow night, this absolutely sets up as a classic "look-ahead" spot for the visiting side. 

The pick: Note that the Flyers are 7-2 in their last nine in trying to revenge a two-goals or greater loss to an opponent. I'm banking on the hungrier, more focussed and revenge-minded home side delivering the goods at this great price.

This is a 10* ULTIMATE DESTRUCTION on the Flyers.

The set-up: The Reds are 5-1 and the D-Backs are 2-5. The Reds' offense is on fire and everything points to that trend continuing on Friday night in this favorable matchup. The visitors hand the ball to Tyler Mahle, who gave up two runs over five innings while striking out nine in his season debut. 

The pick: Arizona's offense has been inconsistent to say the least. The home side sends Taylor Widener to the hill and in his opening start he went six scoreless innings. The problem Widener though is that the D-Backs are 2-9 in their last 11 vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600. Arizona's going to break out of this rut at some point, but not here. Great value on the red hot Reds.

This is a 10* NL BLOWOUT BEST OF THE BEST on the Reds.

The set-up: San Antonio plays with revenge here after falling 106-96 on this floor just two nights ago. Despite that loss, the Spurs have actually been pretty good on the road, going 12-8 SU and 13-7 ATS. Denver is 17-9 SU at home but only 12-14 ATS. Note that the Nuggets are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine after holding their previous opponent to 99 points or less in a SU/ATS victory as well. 

The pick: The Spurs are still in the mix for a playoff spot, but they desperately need to find a spark. Note though that San Antonio is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to revenge a road loss vs. an opponent in which it was held to under 100 points in. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points.

This is a 10* COACHS CORNER on the Spurs.

The set-up: The A's come in off their first win of the season, a tight, extra innings 4-3 victory over the defending champs at home last night, and they can obviously not afford to take the foot off the gas here. The A's play with revenge here as well after droppping all four of their seasoning opening home series vs. the Astros. Off a 4-2 win at LA two nights ago, the Astros return home for the first time this season. 

The pick: The A's hand the ball to Cole Irvin for his first start of the year. He features a five-pitch arsenal, highlighted by a 90.9 MPH sinker. Chrisitan Javier got hit hard in his opener and note that he's a terrible 0-2 with a ballooned 6.94 ERA in 11.2 innings vs. the A's in his career. The fact that the Astros haven't seen Irvin yet is working in favor of Oakland as well here. While the outright is possible, I'm going to lay this very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs.

This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on the A's.

The set-up: This is a bad spot for the Lakers. LA is coming off a win over the Raptors, but it has a tough game here vs. a hungry Miami team that's off a 124-112 loss at Memphis, but which had won four in a row previous. The Heat also hit the road after this for a tough four-game Western road swing, putting added importance onto this contest. 

The pick: LA I think is going to go through the motions with its superstars injured and sidelined. LA plays tonight against the Heat, and then tomorrow night in Brooklyn, making this a prime "look ahead" spot for the visiting side as well. This one is going to be personal to Pat Riley and the home side. Lay the points.

This is a 10* COACHS CORNER on the Miami Heat.

The set-up: These are two really good teams. Their offensive and defensive numbers are comparable. New York had question marks in net at the start of the year. SO too did Pittsburgh. However, defense and goaltending have been strengths for each club. Honestly, it would not be difficult to write a convincing argument for either of these sides to win this one. So why do I like Pittsburgh here?

The pick: Revenge. It's off a humbling 8-4 loss here two nights ago. Note that Pittsburgh is 7-1 in its last eight in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent in which it conceded six or more goals in a four goals or greater setback. I think the Rangers come in complacent and I expect the revenge-minded Pens to take advantage.

This is a 10* REVENGE BEST OF THE BEST on the Penguins.

The set-up: Antonio Senzatela got roughed up in his opening start, but I think he'll rebound nicely here and earn the win over his veteran counterpart. Senzatela allowed seven runs over 3 1/3's innings to the Dodgers in his opening start, but starts like that have truly been few and far between for the Rockies' ace. Note the he was 3-0 with a 2.00 ERA in 2020 at Coors Field and finished with a rotation-best 3.44 ERA over 12 starts. 

The pick: Madison Bumgarner has had success at this field and vs. Colorado over his career, but that's only because he's an ancient dinosaur. Bumgarner allowed six runs, including two homers in four innings in a fortunate no-decision to the Padres in his opener. Look for Senzatela to be the one to bounce back here. Great value on the home side.

This is a 10* COACHS CORNER on the Rockies.

The set-up: These two teams have identical records at 25-26. Each still has a good shot at making the playoffs, but both need a win here. New York has lost four of its last five. The Knicks only average 105 PPG, while allowing 104.4. 

The pick: The Celtics have split their last ten games. Boston is coming off a lacklustre loss just last night vs. Philly, but I'm not buying into the fatigue factor here. Note that the Celtics average 112.4 PPG, while conceding 110.6. Boston is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after three or more straight ATS losses in a row. The panic button has been pressed in Boston. Expect a big response/win this evening and lay short points.

This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on the Celtics.

The set-up: Two of the best in the West face off on Tuesday night and everything points to a faster-paced, high-scoring "shoot-out." The Blazers come to town on fire as they've won five of their last six games. Most recently they destroyed the Thunder 133-85. The combination of CJ McCollum, Norman Powell and Damian Lillard is proving to be a formidable one and I think the Clippers defense will have troubles containing them.

The pick: The Clippers have been playing well too though, as they've won nine of their last 13. Most recently they come in off a 104-86 win over the undermanned Lakers. The Blazers are 0-4 ATS the last four in this series, so with the visiting side pushing the pace and trying to run up the score, look for this total to fly "over" sooner, rather than later.

This is a 10* TOTAL COACHS CORNER on the OVER Blazers/Clippers.

The set-up: Clearly, the panic button has been smashed in Oakland after its 0-5 start. The A's have drawn two tough opponents right out of the gate in Houston and LA, but there's no question that "enough is enough" for the A's right now. Is Clayton Kershaw a better pitcher than Chris Bassitt? Both pitchers got off to terrible starts in their respective openers. Kershaw is 0-1 with a 7.94 ERA after getting shelled for six runs over 5 2/3's innings in an 8-5 loss to the Rockies. He also saw the A's in Spring training and was rocked for nine runs over three innings, finishing the tune-up with an 0-2, 10.22 ERA record. 

The pick: Bassitt is 0-1 with a 5.06 ERA. Unlike his counterpart though, he had a great Spring, finishing 2-0 with a 1.74 ERA. Note though, that he left that game vs. Houston with a 1-0 deficit, only to watch his relievers instantly give up two home runs. Note that the A's are also 7-2 in their last nine after three or more straight losses in a row. Lay the price, grab the extra 1.5 runs of insurance.

This is a 10* RUN-LINE BEST OF THE BEST on the A's.

The set-up: Both teams have been terrible this year, but Buffalo enters in better current form and I like it to find a way to get the job done here vs. the putrid Devils. Buffalo has won two of its last three, including a 3-2 shootout victory at home over the Rangers last time out. 

The pick: The Devils have lost three in a row, including back-to-back extra time setbacks, followed by a tight 5-4 home loss to the Capitals in their last outing. The Sabres play with revenge here as well after falling 3-2 in the most recent matchup in mid March. Look for Buffalo to deliver in this favorable matchup.

This is a 10* UNDERDOG ELITE OF THE ELITE on the Sabres.

The set-up: Both teams are fantastic. Baylor is great at shooting the three-ball, and Gonzaga is the best at shooting from two-point range. The Bulldogs allow just 89.1 points per 100 possessions on the season. The Bulldogs also have size at every position, which is a mismatch issue for Baylor, as it starts four players 6-foot-5 or shorter.

The pick: The Bears are also tough defensively, but not on the same level as the Zags, allowing 91.8 points per 100 possessions overall (and 97.9 points per 100 possessions vs. Big 12 opponents.) Baylor would have had difficulties with that red hot UCLA team too. Expect Gonzaga's size, experience and depth to prove to be the difference maker and lay the points.

This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Gonzaga.

The set-up: After starting off the year with three straight losses to the Astros, I think that the A's will find a way to deliver here in this fourth and final game. The visitors go with Jose Urquidy, who looked decent in the Spring. Note that he was 0-1 with a 3.00 ERA in two starts vs. the A's last year. 

The pick: Sean Manaea gets the nod for the A's, and he'll be confident here as he was 1-0 with a 1.29 ERA in two starts vs. Houston last season. I think Manaea is the better starting pitcher. I also expect Oakland to finally break out of its hitting slump here. Great value on the desperate home side and superior starter.

This is a 10* AL GAME OF THE WEEK on the A's.

The set-up: THe Lakers have won three of their last four. They're still playing without the services of LeBron James and Anthony Davis, but I think that actually helps in our play on the "over" in this one. James and Davis are two of the best defenders on this team, and the Clippers will now look to take advantage and push the pace from start to finish. 

The pick: The Clippers have won eight of their last ten games. When you add up these team's season offensive averages, we get around 225 points combined. Finally note that the Lakers have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 road games as a double-digit underdog. This number is a little low.

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the OVER Lakers/Clippers.

The set-up: The Braves were picked by many to possibly upset the Dodgers in the National League this year, so after their 0-2 start, there's no question that they'll be eager to finally break into the winners circle here this afternoon. Ian Anderson gets the nod for the visiting side and he enters off a strong Spring showing. In his final tune-up he struck out nine over just 4.2 innings of work, finishing with a huge 18:3 K:BB over 8.2 innings of work. 

The pick: Zach Eflin goes for the home side. Eflin dealt with some minor injuries in the Spring, so his workload was less than usual. I give Anderson the slight nod in this matchup, as he had a full and dominant spring. Also note that Philly is just 1-6 in its last seven vs. right-handed starters, while ATL is still 37-14 in its last 51 as a favorite. Look for Atlanta to finally break through with a victory tonight.

This is a 10* NL GAME OF THE WEEK on the Braves.

The set-up: UCLA is great at shooting the three-ball, and it's been super efficient so far in its big Cindarella run. The Bruins had to play an extra game as well in the FIRST FOUR to even advance into the Big Dance. Gonzaga is on a mission to go undefeated, but after three straight covers to advance here, I'm expecting the Zags to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish in this one.

The pick: Gonzaga is the highest scoring team in the nation, averaging 92.9 PPG. UCLA only averages 72.6. The Bruins are just happy to be here, while the Bulldogs are going to want to send a message at this point to its final opponent. On the National stage, look for Gonzaga to lay the hammer down from the opening tip, until the final horn.

This is a 10* FINAL FOUR GAME OF THE WEEK on Gonzaga.

The set-up: Colorado won the opener, and LA bounced back with the 11-6 victory yesterday. The Rockies though look good to respond here on Saturday against Walker Buehler, who enters off a putrid Spring showing, most recently getting shelled for nine runs off ten hits with one walk over five innings in a loss to Milwaukee. Walker finished Spring with a poor 7.94 ERA. 

The pick: Jon Gray had a poor spring as well, posting a 9.90 ERA over ten innings. Current "form" makes these starters a "wash." Gray gets the slight nod here for throwing at home, where he's very familiar. Also note that Colorado is 6-2 in its last eight in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent in which it conceded ten or more runs in. A great price on a game which I believe is much more even than what this line is suggesting.

This is a 10* UNDERDOG GAME OF THE MONTH on the Rockies.

The set-up: Philly could really use a win here. The Flyers have lost six of their last ten, including a 6-1 defeat to a desperate Buffalo team las time out. They play with revenge here after a 2-1 defeat to the Isles in these teams last outing. Everything points to a similar low-scoring affair here as well. 

The pick: The Isles brok a two-game slide with a lop-sided 8-4 win over Washington, but previous to that had managed just four goals over those two losses. New York only allows an average of 2.43 GPG, which is ranked third in the league. After each team enters of such a high-scoring game in their last outings, look for a tighter, lower-scoring goaltenders battle this time around.

This is a 10* TOTAL COACHS CORNER on the UNDER Flyers/Islanders.

The set-up: Off an embarrassing 8-1 loss last night, I like Oakland to dip deep and find a way to respond on Friday night. The Astros go with Christian Javier on the mound tonight and while he's shown plenty of promise, in his two outings vs. the A's last year he would get shelled for seven runs off six hits over eight innings. 

The pick: The A's will turn to Jesus Luzardo, who has a decent .235 opponent batting average over the last two years. He faced Houston twice last year and allowd four runs over 12.2 innings of work. Javier only pitched three total innings in spring training. I'm going with Luzardo at this great price and in this revenge spot.

This is a 10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the A's.

The set-up: Houston has lost 18 of its last 20. The Rockets have plenty of issues, and they have since Day 1. Houston averages 107.3 PPG this year, while allowing 113.6. Christian Wood and John Wall are a solid core to build around though and they'll each be out to try and pull off an upset here vs. the 23-25 Celtics. 

The pick: Boston was picked by some to come out of the East as top dog, but the C's are in rebuilding mode themselves. The Celtics average 112.2 PPG, while allowing 111.3. These teams have played to several "unders" of late, but with each pushing the pace as I expect from the opening tip until the final horn, it sets up great from a situational stand point, for this one to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later.

This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE TOTAL BEST OF THE BEST on the OVER Houston/Boston.

The set-up: I like Kevin Gausman and Buster Posey and the visiting side to find a way to get the job done in this one. Gausman is in a contract year as well, so this is big for him to get out to a solid start. Good news is, he's coming off a strong Spring with a 3.97 ERA. Marco Gonzalez had a decent season for Seattle, but he's given up 11 runs over his last four innings of work in his final two Spring tune-ups and I simply can't see the veteran "throwing a switch" here and resolving all of his early command issues. 

The pick: Finally note that Gausman owns a sharp 2.88 ERA in 34.1 innings of work vs. the Mariners, while Gonzalez is 1-1 with a 6.75 ERA in ten frames vs. the Giants. Seattle is just 1-5 in its last six interleague home games, while San Fran is 8-2 in its last ten interleague contests. Great value here on the visitors.

This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the Giants.

The set-up: Charlotte's won four of its last five and it'll be out to push the pace here as it tries to pull off another upset. Overall the Hornets average 111.7 PPG, while allowing 112.7. 

The pick: Brooklyn's won eight of its last ten. The Nets average 119.1 PPG, while allowing 114.2. James Harden is now one of the favorites to win MVP this season. Charlotte enter off a 114-104 road win at Washington and it now faces a similar defense in the Nets. No reason not to think the Hornets won't be able to at least match that scoring output here. With two whole nights off afrer this before a game at lowly Chicago, whoever is on the floor for the home side tonight won't have anything to "look past" to either. It all sets up great for a higher-scoring "over."

This is a 10* TOTAL BEST OF THE BEST on the OVER Hornets/Nets.

The set-up: Florida won here 4-1 two nights ago, breaking the Red Wings two-game win streak. Detroit looks to bounce back here and I think it'll find the net a couple times tonight in this immediate revenge scenario. It's interesting to note that the Wings have in fact seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of their last 11 in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent in which they scored one or less goals in. 

The pick: Florida has seen the total go "over" the number in 14 of its last 21 as well after back-to-back victories in which it's allowed a combined two or less goals in. Look for the Wings to push the pace here and for this total to fly "over" before the final buzzer sounds.

This is a 10* TOTAL COACHS CORNER on the OVER Wings/Panthers.

The set-up: Portland has won three straight on the road. Detroit is just 8-13 at home, so the Blazers have a big opportunity to extend that streak here. The Blazers haven't played since Sunday, when they hammered they beat the Raptors 122-117. Detroit enters off a win over Toronto as well by a score of 129-105. The Pistons have won all three vs. the Raptors this year. 

The pick: But Detroit's only won back-to-back games twice all year. The Pistons only average 107.2 PPG this season and it's failed to reach the 100-point plateau in 12 games already this year. I don't trust Detroit's offense, and there's not going to be a need for the Blazers to push the pace either. Finally note that the Blazers have seen the total go "under" in eight of their last 11 road games following a SU/ATS road victory in which they scored 120 or more points in. This number is a little high.

This is a 10* TOTAL COACHS CORNER on the UNDER Blazers/Pistons.

The set-up: Both teams can score. Both teams can defend. Honestly, it wouldn't be difficult to write a convincing argument for this one to go "over" the number either. But in my opinion, this one does in fact set up great for a lower-scoring "under." It's interesting to note, that both teams have gone 3-0 ATS to open up the tournament. Each will be wary not to give the other an open look from the outside. USC averages 79.7 PPG, while allowing only 64.5, but note that it's conceded just 58.3 over its first three NCAA Tourney games.

The pick: Gonzaga's nation-leading offense (91.8 PPG) is going to have its hands full with this aggressive Trojans' defense. The Bulldogs are allowing just 68.6 PPG this year, and everything, in my opinion, points to this one being an extreme defensive battle, rather than a high-scoring "shootout." I expect a war until the final buzzer and for this total to fall "under" once it's all said and done.

This is a 10* ELITE 8 BEST OF THE BEST on the UNDER USC/Gonzaga.

The set-up: Pretty much this one comes down to plain old common sense. The Wizards are off a high-scoring 132-124 home victory over the Pacers just last night and I'm expecting them to come out a bit tired here after that explosion. 

The pick: Charlotte has been playing better of late, especially for bettors by winning four in a row ATS, despite rookie sensation LaMelo Ball sidelined with injury for the rest of the year. That said, it's coming off a terrible 101-97 home loss to Phoenix, a contest which actually went to overtime. Washington has seen the total go "under" the number in ten of its last 14 when playing the second game of a back-to-back and off a SU/ATS victory in the first in which it scored 125 or more points in. This number is a little high in my opinion.

This is a 10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the UNDER Hornets/Wizards.

The set-up: Calgary enters off a much-needed 4-2 win over these very Jets on Saturday. The Jets though average 3.26 GPG this year and with revenge on their minds, I expect them to hit that average sooner, rather than later vs. this "on again, off again" Flames defense. 

The pick: Calgary only averages 2.61 GPG, but note that it's seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten home games after scoring four or more goals, in a two goals or greater victory in its last outing. The Jets have seen the total soar "over" the number in nine of their last 12 in trying to revenge a two-goals or greater loss to an opponent. Expect a faster-paced, wide-open "shootout." 

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the OVER Jets/Flames.

The set-up: Baylor will be wary to get into a "shootout" here with the dangerous Razorbacks. The Bears hammered Villanova into submission by a score of 62-51 last tome out and I expect their tough defensive play to carry over here. How much gas does Arkansas have left in the tank after fighting tooth and nail in its 72-70 win over Oral Roberts as an 11-point favorite last time out? Not much in my opinion.

The pick: Further note that Arkansas has seen the total go "under" in eight of its last 11 neutal site games after allowing 70 or more points in its last outing, while Baylor has seen the total dip below in five of its last seven after holding its previous opponent to 55 points or less in a SU/ATS victory. I expect a war until the final buzzer and for this total to fall "under" once it does.

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER Arkansas/Baylor.

The set-up: The Grizzlies four-game win streak against-the-spread came to an end in its second straight straight-up loss to Utah, falling 126-110 last time out. With the rematch at home against the Jazz on Wednesday, this absolutely sets up as a "look-ahead" spot as well for the visiting side.

The pick: The Rockets struggles this season are well documented. First it was the James Harden ordeal, and then they were hit hard by COVID. The Rockets are getting healthier though and after hammering the Wolves 129-107 last time out, I expect the still hungry home side to catch this Memphis team flat-footed. The outright is definitely possible, but in the end grab as many points as you can.

This is a 10* COACHS CORNER on the Houston Rockets.

The set-up: The Ducks smashed Iowa 95-80 behind 23 points from Chris Duarte last time out and I like them to carry that momentum over here into another victry. USC advanced by beating Kansas 85-51. These teams met on February 22nd in LA, and the Trojans won 72-58, setting this up as a classic revenge spot as well for Oregon. 

The pick: The Mobely brothers are tough to stop, but the Ducks perimeter defense has vastly improved since the last time these teams played against each other. The Ducks won the Pac 12 Championship and they've won 11 of their last 12. With a chance to avenge the earlier loss, I look for the red hot Ducks to do just that (that said, grab as many points as you can!)

This is a 10* ELITE OF THE ELITE on Oregon.

The set-up: Boston's coming off a high-scoring 122-114 win at Milwaukee just last night and I don't think it'll be able to muster up the same energy levels here in the second game of the back-to-back. 

The pick: The Thunder are off a 116-107 home loss to Memphis. OKC has still won five of its last seven. The "under" is 4-1 the last five in this series in this building, and I absolutely expect that strong trend to continue here. Expect Boston to have a much different game-plan in the second game of the back to back and with each team playing a lot of half-court sets on offense, everything points to this one falling under once the final horn sounds.

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the UNDER C's/Thunder.

The set-up: Recent form sees Florida having lost three in a row, most recently a 3-0 setback at Chicago. Normally I like playing on team's that are hungry to break out of a slide, but in this case I think that the Panthers early fantastic start was just unrealistic to begin with, and what we're seeing now is the inevitable regression. 

The pick: The Stars play with revenge here after falling 3-2 in these teams most recent matchup on February 25th. Dallas just broke a three-game slide of its own with a tough 4-3 win at home over the defending champs and after such a rocky stretch over the last two months, this hungry home side can ill afford to take the foot off the gas right now. Especially facing this dejected Florida side in this revenge scenario. Great price on Dallas!

This is a 10* COACHS CORNER on the Dallas Stars.

The set-up: Oral Roberts has been fantastic, most recently advancing past Florida 81-78. The Golden Eagles have a dynamic offense which averages 82.0 PPG. The one weakness of Oral Roberts though is its defensive play, as it concedes 75.9 PPG. 

The pick: Arkansas held on for a tight 68-66 win over a dangerous Texas Tech side and I expect it to lay the hammer down here with the Elite Eight in sight. The Razorbacks already defeated Oral Roberts 87-76 in mid-December, but all signs point to an even bigger blowout here. This is simply a really bad matchup for Oral Roberts, as Arkansas has a couple players over 7 feet. Lay the points, expect a rout.

This is a 10* SWEET 16 GAME OF THE YEAR on Arkansas.

The set-up: These teams have faced each other twice this season and they've gone 1-1. The Sharks enter on a rare two-game win streak, most recently handling the Kings 4-2. Despite that victory though, note that the Sharks have still scored two goals or less in four out of their last six games. Defense and goaltending have improved for San Jose though, as it's allowed two goals or less in seven out of its last nine.

The pick: Arizona is coming off a high-scoring 5-4 shootout win over the Avs on Tuesday and I expect an immediate return to mediocrity here after that big/emotional win. Despite the victory as well, note that the Coyotes have scored two goals or less in six of their last eight games. Two hungry teams, which I predict will play to a classic lower-scoring battle on Friday night.

This is a 10* TOTAL BEST OF THE BEST on the UNDER Sharks/Coyotes.

The set-up: Both teams need a win here. Houston is 12-31 and it enters having lost 20 of its last 21 games. The Wolves are 10-34, and they've dropped ten of their last 13. Both teams are poor offensively, and poor defensively. Houston averages 106.9 PPG, while allowing 113.6, while Minnesota averages 109.3 PPG, while allowing 117.3. Suffice it to say, I don't expect any defense to be played tonight. These are two teams with nothing to lose, and I expect this atmosphere to result in a more up-tempo contest, rather than a slower-paced "chess match." 

The pick: Minnesota has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 after a 20 points or greater loss in its last outing (lost 128-108 at home to Dallas.) The play is indeed the "over."

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the OVER Rockets/Wolves.

The set-up: Washington enters having lost nine of its last ten games. Overall the Wizards are averaging 114.9 PPG, while allowing 120.1. Fortunately for Washington, they're facing a Knicks offense that's definitely not classified as "explosive."

The pick: The Knicks have split their last ten games. New York averages 105.3 PPG, while allowing 105 on the defensie end. These teams played here two nights ago and the Knicks exploded for the 131-113 win. Expect Washington to buckle down defensively as it tries to avenge that setback and expect the Knicks scoring to "return to the norm" after that bigger than usual output last time out. This number is high for sure.

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the UNDER Wizards/Knicks.

The set-up: Using a "situational" approach to this strange NHL season can be effective. Team's are having to play double and triple headers against each other on a regular basis, so there are many scheduling, revenge factors, injuries and other external factors to consider, other than just offensive and defensive averages. That's the case every season, but not playing out of their respective divisions is certainly something that's never occured before.

The pick: Here's a great spot to pull the trigger on Toronto to win big. The Senators are coming off a satisfying come-from-behind 3-1 win at home over Calgary, sweeping the Flames in two straight. Can anyone say "letdown" spot here? Toronto just broke a three-game slide with a 2-0 win over Calgary and it's had four whole nights off to prepare for this one. Toronto also plays with revenge here after falling 4-3 in these team's most recent matchup against each other in early March. I look for the visiting side to not only win, but to win by a decisive margin.

This is a 10* PUCK-LINE ULTIMATE DESTRUCTION on the Leafs.

The set-up: The Celtics enter on terrible form, desperate to break out of a funk which has seen them lose five of their last seven games. Boston averages 112 PPG, while allowing 111.3. Jayson Tatum continues to be a bright spot, averaging 24.9 points and 6.8 boards per game. 

The pick: The Bucks are playing like Eastern Conference Champs right now, entering on a seven-game win streak and averaging 120 and allowing 112.5 per game. Giannis Antetokounmpo is questionable/out for this one, which obviously will effect the home side's game-plan today. I'm banking on this one being much slower-paced than what this large O/U line is suggesting.

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the UNDER Celtics/Bucks.

The set-up: The 76ers have won eight of their last ten, most recently holding on for a 101-100 win in New York. The Warriors have been rolling as well, as they've won three of their last five. Most recently Golden State beat the Grizzlies 111-103. Curry wasn't playing that game and he'll be out here as well, but the Warriors are deep and they play much better at home than on the road. 

The pick: Philadelphia has seen the total go "over" in eight of its last after coming off a SU road victory that went "under" the number, while Golden State has seen the total go "over" in ten of its last 15 home games after a SU/ATS road victory in which it scored 110 or more points in. There are a few key players out for each side, but don't expect either to concentrate to heavily on the defensive side here. These are non-conference opponents and I definitely am expecting a very wide-open contest, one which blasts past this number sooner, rather than later.

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the OVER 76ers/Warriors.

The set-up: The Coyotes play with revenge here, as they've dropped four of five in this season series. I think that matters here. The Avalanche now suddenly resemble the team that everyone thought they'd be before the season started. Colorado waffled with consistency for most of the first portion of the campaign, but it enters on a seven-game win streak. 

The pick: Arizona has lost six of seven. That includes a 5-1 setback here just last night. But I do now absolutely feel that this sets up as a classic "letdown/look-ahead" spot for the red hot visiting side, which will have one night off, before an important two-game home set against the division leading Golden Knights. The Coyotes have two whole nights off after this, before a home set with the Sharks, so it's time to "put up, or shut-up" for the home side here. I'm going to lay the price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance.

This is a 10* PUCK-LINE DESTRUCTION on the Coyotes.

The set-up: Indiana is coming off a hard-fought 109-106 OT victory in Miami just last night and I think it'll stumble here as it comes in "gassed." The Pacers managed to win both in Miami, but an imminent letdown does in fact seem, imminent. 

The pick: Milwaukee is coming off six straight SU victories, but it's gone just 2-4 ATS in that span, including going 0-2 ATS the last two. The Bucks hammered the Pacers 130-110 the last time these teams faced off and all signs point to a similar style beatdown here in my opinion. A great situational play, as I think that the Pacers are tired, and I expect the home side to push the pace and pull away down the stretch.

This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Bucks.

The set-up: Ohio is coming off a monumental 62-58 upset win over Virginia in the first round. Can anyone say letdown spot? The Bobcats are in unchartered territory now and I think they'll stumble here vs. the deeper and more experienced Blue Jays. Creighton avoided an upset with a 63-62 win over UCSB. 

The pick: Don't read too much into Ohio's win though. Yes, it was big and signficant, however UVA got hit by some major COVID issues just a week and half before the Tournament started. There's a big asterisk beside that victory. However, we can read a lot from Creighton's win, as the Blue Jays bent, but didn't break. The Blue Jays' numbers on the defensive end are more efficient and I expect that to play a part here as well. I'm laying the points and expecting a blowout.

This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Creighton.

The set-up: Oral Roberts has been fantastic, but I think its Cindarella run comes to an end tonight. The Golden Eagles most recently go by Ohio State in the first round as 15 point underdogs. Florida though comes off an impressive victory over Virginia Tech as a 1.5 point dog and I think it's superior defensive play, and experience will be just too much Oral Roberts to handle in the second round. The Golden Eagles are great offensively, averaging 81.5 PPG, but they've been poor defensively, conceding 75.6. 

The pick: Florida averages 74 PPG, while conceding 69.8. There were plenty of BIG upsets in the first round. Both of these teams come in off upsets. Oral Roberts upset win in the first round can absolutely be classified as a "major" upset though. And this then sets it up for a letdown for sure. Look for Florida's depth on both ends of the court to be the difference and lay the points with confidence.

This is a 10* SECOND ROUND GAME OF THE YEAR on Florida.

The set-up: After seeing a bunch of favorites get the hook early on Friday, the Virginia Cavaliers will be cautious not to follow the same fate here in what is actually a very favorable matchup for them. Note that the Cavs are still the reigning NCAA Champion, because last year's tournament was cancelled. The Cavs had a small COVID issue, and one player will not be at the game today, but they've won seven of their last ten and three in a row. 

The pick: Ohio has won nine of its last ten games. It's had to deal with COVID issues this year as well. The Bobcats lack the depth and experience a this level though, and note that the Cavs are 10-3 straight-up in their last 13 NCAA Tournament games and 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 after an ATS loss. The Cavs are well-coached and their defense is suffocating. Look for UVA to pull away for a comfortable win and cover on Saturday night.

This is a 10* FIRST ROUND GAME OF THE YEAR on UVA.

The set-up: I think this one sets up well for the Celtics. Sacramento plays better at home than on the road, and after its 121-119 win oat Washington two nights ago, an inevitable letdown is imminent. Note that not only is it a "letdown" spot for the visiting side, but it's also a "look-ahead" spot as well with a game in Philadelphia tomorrow night. 

The pick: BOston has lost two in a row and is in desperation mode. The Celtics also play with revenge here after falling 116-111 in Sacramento in early February. It's a perfect set of situational circumstances working in favor of Boston tonight, so lay the points with confidence.

This is a 10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Cetlics.

The set-up: Houston smoked Cincinnati in the ACC Tournament Championship game, but I think it'll have its hands full here with this underrated Cleveland State side. The Vikings are the Horizon League Tourney champ after dispatching Oakland 80-69. Cleveland State averages only 69.5 PPG, but it's one of the best on the defensive ends, especially at defending the three-ball, allowing just 30.4 percent from range, which ranks 34th in the country.

The pick: Houston allows only 57.6 PPG, while scoring 77.6. Clearly the Cougars are a good team, but note that they're just 1-4 ATS in their last five after scoring 90 or more points in their previous outing. The Vikings on the other hand are 7-1 ATS in their last eight as an underdog and 4-0 ATS in their last four neutral site games. I think the Vikings tough defensive play keeps them competitive late. No outright, but much closer than what this massive spread would suggest. Grab the points.

This is a 10* COACHS CORNER on Cleveland State.

The set-up: UCLA enters on a four-game losing streak. That included a first round exit in the conference tournament to the eventual champion Oregon State Beavers. It was a tight game though, as the  Bruins eventually lost 83-79 in OT. Michigan State had an up and down year as well. The Spartans lost in the first round of their conference tournament as well by a score of 68-57 to Maryland. 

The pick: UCLA averages 72.8 PPG, and it concedes 68.5. Michigan State on the other hand averages 69 PPG, while allowing 70.6. The Spartans are also a poor 5-11 ATS in their last 16 following an ATS loss and just 1-6 ATS in their last seven neutral site games, while UCLA has in fact performed very well in this spot for bettors of late, going 7-3 ATS in its last ten as an underdog. Clearly I think the outright is going to happen, but in the end I'm still grabbing the points.

This is a 10* FIRST-FOUR PLAY-BOOK on UCLA.

The set-up: The Thunder have split their last ten games. Overall they average 106.4 PPG, while allowing 112.1. Atlanta is on a six-game win streak. The Hawks average 112.9 PPG, while allowing 111.4. OKC though has performed well in this spot for bettors, going 4-1 ATS in its last five following an ATS loss. The Thunder are also a great 13-7 ATS on the road this season. 

The pick: With an eight-game extended Western road swing starting at the Lakers on Saturday night, there's no question that this also sets up as a "look ahead" spot for the home side. The Thunder have been trading good starts with bad of late, but with upcoming road dates at Houston and Minnesota, a three-game win skein is a very real possibility. I like the "hungrier" team to at the very least, keep this one close down the stretch.

This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE ELITE OF THE ELITE on the Thunder.

The set-up: These two teams are evenly matched, but after losing 109-99 to the Clippers here two nights ago, I expect the Mavericks to lay everything on the line here to avenge that setback. Note that the Mavs are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent in which it scored 100 or less points in. 

The pick: The Clippers have been alternating ATS wins/losses over their last four games and I look for that pattern to continue here, especially with three whole nights off after this before a home game against the Hornets. While the outright win is clearly not out of the question, I'm still grabbing the points.

This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Mavericks.

The set-up: Both teams are struggling with defensive and goaltending issues, but that just means that each will be putting a concerted effort on that end of the ice tonight. Especially after the Flyers high-scoring 5-4 OT victory here two nights ago. 

The pick: The Rangers have seen the total go "under" the number in ten of their last 14 home games in trying to revenge an OT home loss in which they allowed five or more goals in. If we wagered on games based entirely on team's seasonal defensive and offensive averages, then we'd lose a lot of money. The situation here definitely points to a scrappy, but lower-scoring contest on Wednesday.

This is a 10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the UNDER Flyers/Rangers.

The set-up: Toledo finished 21-8, while Ricmond was 13-8. The Rockets finished averaging 81.3 PPG, whiel conceding 71.4. The Spiders average 75.6 PPG, while allowing only 69.3. 

The pick: Richmond ended the season by losing three straight, but this is a deep and talented Spiders team which comes from the much tougher conference. Toledo has been great no doubt, but its competition has to be called into question here, as its offensive numbers are skewed due to that talent level faced. I think Richmond can win this one outright, but in the end I'll grab the points.

This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on Richmond.

The set-up: Obviously the Lakers are the better team. LA is still having to play without the services of big man AD though, so consistency from game to game has been an issue for the defending champs of late. Minnesota has had problems since Day 1 this year (COVID, injuries), but it comes in playing its best basketball of the season, having covered in three straight and going 2-1 SU as well. With two road games at Phoenix upcoming, the road ahead isn't going to get any kinder for the Wolves either. Not surprisingly, Minnesota plays with revenge here as well after a 112-104 loss as a six-point dog in early February. 

The pick: The Lakers have won and covered in two straight since the break, but a letdown is imminent here facing this lowly Wolves side and with LaMelo Ball and the Hornets (Jordan), coming to town on Thursday. I look for the hungrier visiting side to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Grab the points.

This is a 10* UNDERDOG BEST OF THE BEST on the T-Wolves.

The set-up: I am a "situational/motivational" handicapper at heart. I also look for strong trends. I also like to go against completely lop-sided trends and numbers. This particular contest sets up great for the Stars in a number of ways. Tampa is off a 4-1 loss at Nashville just yesterday afternoon. The Lightning have lost two of three and I think some minor regression is in order here now after such a long and strong start to the season. I'm not talking any epic losing streaks, but even Tampa's lofty standards were being stretched. 

The pick: Dallas, not surprisingly, plays with revenge here after a 2-0 loss to the Bolts in their latest matchup in early March. The Stars broke a two-game slide with a tough 3-1 shootout win at Columbus, but note that Dallas is 7-2 in its last nine in trying to revenge a shutout loss to an opponent. Great situational play and fantastic value on the revenge-minded home side here.

This is a 10* UNDERDOG BEST OF THE BEST on the Stars.

The set-up: I use "motivation" a lot when handicapping games. Which team is going to be more "motivated" than the other (for varying different reasons.) Clearly, both teams are "hungry" for a win here. Ottawa is likely the worst team in the league, while Vancouver's inconsistent start has it having to play "catch up" as we get closer to ending the first half of the season. Both teams are equally as "hungry" for a victory here. 

The pick: The Canucks though have unquestionably been playing a lot better hockey of late, winning five of their last seven, including a 2-1 victory over Edmonton in their last game. Goaltending and defense were the two major weak points for Vancouver to open the season, but the adjustments its made over the last month have worked. As for Ottawa, it snapped a three-game slide with a rare road victory over the Leafs just last night. Can anyone say "letdown" spot?! I love the Canucks to take advantage here and dominate from start to finish.

This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the Vancouver Canucks.

The set-up: The WIzards are one of the worst defensive teams in the league, but I still think this number is much too high. Milwaukee has won eight of its last nine. The Bucks average 119.4 PPG, while allowing 112.4. Washington on the other hand has lost five of its last six. It averages 114.4 PPG, while allowing 119.7. 

The pick: Washington's losing, but it's been competitive. It hung with the Bucks just a few days ago, but then fell apart down the stretch. The Wizards though have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 home games in trying to revenge a SU loss vs. an opponent in which it allowed 125 or more points in. With a much tougher and more high-profile game coming up next at surging Philadelphia, it's also a look-ahead spot for the visiting side. I expect a slower-paced game here, one which does indeed fall "under" once it's all said and done.

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the UNDER Bucks/Wizards.

The set-up: Are the Jazz a better overall team than the Warriors? Their win/loss record would certainly indicate that. However, I think this one sets up well for the home side to at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Utah's numbers both defensively and offensively are superior, but after its rather easy victory at home over the Rockets, and with upcoming road contests at Boston, Washington, Toronto and Chicago, this sets up as a look-ahead spot for the visiting side. 

The pick: No such luxury for the Warriors though, who not only play with revenge here after falling 127-108 to the Jazz back on January 23rd, but who have lost four straight overall. Note that GS is 7-2 ATS in its last nine home games after three games or longer losing ATS/SU streak. A great situational call on the home side here in my opinion. Grab the points.

This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Warriors.

The set-up: Two hungry teams collide in the Big Ten Championship game. Illinois beat No. 5 Iowa 82-71, while Ohio State upset No. 3 Michigan with a 68-67 victory. Ohio State jumped out to an early lead, but the Buckeyes faltered late and allowed Michigan back into it. Duane Washington Jr. was a stand out with 24 points, six boards and four assists. Overall the Buckeyes average 77 PPG, while allowing 70.3. 

The pick: Ohio State is going to have its hands full today with one of the Nation's top offenses, as the Fighting Illini average 81 PPG, while allowing 68.6. Ohio State is very efficent offensively, ranking fifth in the KenPom rankings in shooting splits and in free-throw shooting. Expect these two highly effective offenses to push this total well "over" once it's all said and done.

This is a 10* TOTAL DESTRUCTION on the OVER Ohio State/Illinois.

The set-up: Edmonton is off a big 6-2 win at home just last night over Ottawa and I think it'll have a hard time duplicating its energy levels here on the road vs. a Canucks team which had its three-game win streak snapped in a 5-1 loss to the Canadiens two nights ago. Vancouver plays with revenge here though after losing its most recent matchup with the Oilers 3-0. And with an extended Eastern road swing up next, it puts added importance onto this contest for the home side. 

The pick: The Oilers, content with their big win at home over the Sens, are going to also be caught looking ahead here to a two-game series vs. Provincial rival Calgary on Monday. This is a great situational/spot wager for the revenge-minded and hungrier home side.

This is a 10* UNDERDOG GAME OF THE YEAR on the Canucks.

The set-up: Both teams are "hungry" for a victory here and I expect this competitiveness to result in a lower-scoring defensive battle. Toronto has lost five of six. The Raptors average 113.2 PPG, while allowing 111.8. 

The pick: The Hornets have won five of their last eight. Overall Charlotte averages 112.5 PPG, while allowing 112.9. Toronto's still a banged up team. The only chance the visiting side has is to grind out a win a here. Expect a slower pace and for this one to fall "under" the number once it's all said and done.

This is a 10* TOTAL DESTRUCTION on the UNDER Raptors/Hornets.

The set-up: Michigan advanced to the semi finals with a 79-66 win over Maryland. Ohio State has won two straight in the Conference tournament to advance, most recently an 87-78 OT win over Purdue to advance. Michigan won the lone regular season battle on the road between the teams, a 92-87 thriller and I'm expecting a similar style battle, and ultimately higher-scoring contest here as well. Ohio State has gotten out to two early big leads so far in the tournament, only to then allow its opponent to get back into the contest. The Buckeyes will look to avoid that here, and they'll have to match pace obviously with the high-flying Wolverines. 

The pick: Ohio State averages 77.3 PPG, while Michigan averages 76.6. Each is adept defensively as well, but their strengths lie on the offensive end. And I believe it'll be these offenses on full display on Saturday afternoon as each side gets out and pushes the pace from start to finish. This number is a little low.

This is a 10* TOTAL DESTRUCTION on the OVER Buckeyes/Wolverines.

The set-up: Both teams have been playing to several OVERS of late. Washington came out of the break and lost a high-scoring game to the Grizzlies, while Philadelphia won just last night in a high-scoring win at Chicago. These teams love to get out and push the pace and defense is usually an afterthought, but the overall conditions in this one point to a lower-scoring affair in my opinion. Philly's obviously gassed after last night's win, so I expect it to come out and play a different style here, more of a half-court set while on offense. 

The pick: Note that Washington has seen the total go "under" in eight of its last 11 after allowing 120 or more points in a SU/ATS road loss in its last outing. Considering all of the above information, I'm hammering this under.

This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the UNDER 76ers/Wizards.

The set-up: Both teams have been playing to a whole lot of "unders" of late, but I believe that has now pushed this O/U number a little bit too low. Both regular season matchups between these teams flew well "over" the number, and I absolutely expect that again to be the case here. 

The pick: Yes, these are two great defenses, but these offenses are loaded with talent as well. The trends/numbers support our theory this morning as well, as note that Maryland has seen the total go "over in seven of its last ten after holding its previous opponent to under 60 points in a SU/ATS victory, while Michigan has seen the total soar "over" in eight of its last 12 after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. This number is low, the play is the over.

This is a 10* BIG TEN TOURNEY TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the OVER Maryland/Michigan.

The set-up: South Carolina plays with revenge here in the Tournament after losing the only regualr season matchup with Ole Miss by a score of 81-74. While the Gamecocks lost that contest by seven, I expect this one to come right down to the wire, where whichever team has its hands on the ball last will come out on top. South Carolina lost its final two games of the regular season, but it played the Rebels competitively in the regular season and I expect that to happen again here. 

The pick: Ole Miss has a significant advantage on the defensive side of the ball, but the Rebels are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight neutral site games as a favorite in the +6 to +9 points range as well. I like SC to battle tough and to at the very least, take this one down to the final moments. Grab the points.

This is an 8* SITUATIONAL TOURNEY BLOWOUT on South Carolina.

The set-up: Montreal's been consistently inconsistent over the last month, and after it's big bounce back 5-1 win in Vancouver just last night, I think a very predictable letdown is in the cards here for the visiting side. 

The pick: The Flames offer great value in this spot. The Flames always play better at home than on the road and after back-to-back losses, there's no question that they're the hungrier team in this fight. Home ice advantage is a very real factor here in my opinon and one which the oddsmaker have not properly taken into account. I'm banking on a blowout from start to finish.

This is a 10* SITUATIONAL UPPER-SHELF SLAP-SHOT on the Flames.

The set-up: Philadelphia is 24-12 and the Bulls are 16-18. Philly is going to have to make some adjustments coming out of the break, with a few key players still on the COVID list. Overall the 76ers are averaging 114.7 PPG, while allowing 111.2. 

The pick: The Bulls have won six of their last nine games. Overall Chicago is averaging 115 PPG, while allowing 115.2. Chicago comes in healthier than its been in a long time and it plays with revenge. Note as well that the 76ers are just 13-36-2 ATS in their last 51 on the road, while the Bullds are a solid 4-1 ATS in their last five as the favorite. Philly struggles on the road even with its best players in the line-up, but with Simmons and Embiid out, I have a hard time seeing the visiting side competing whatsoever today. Lay the points.

This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Bulls.

The set-up: Oklahoma State just upset the Mountaineers 85-80 as ten-point dogs, but after winning six of their final seven games down the stretch of the regular season, I look for the Cowboys to finally take a step back here. Overall Oklahoma State averages a decent 76.7 PPG, but it concedes 72.3. 

The pick: WVU is etter on both end of the floor, averaging 77.6 PPG, while allowing 72.1. The Cowboys have actually won four out of the last seven in this series, so the Mountaineers have added incentive in this matchup. Finally note that WVU is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent in which it allowed 85 or more points in. Lay the short points.

This is a 10* BIG 12 BEST OF THE BEST on West Virginia.

The set-up: Vancouver's been playing a lot better of late, as it enters having won four of its last five, including three in a row. In its last three wins, all three have gone "under" the number. That includes a 2-1 shootout win over the Habs here two nights ago. These teams have another game here two nights from now. I think Vancouver can build off its recent run, but I absolutely also expect a much better effort from Montreal here to in this immediate bounce-back scenario. 

The pick: Note that Montreal has seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to revenge an OT loss vs. an opponent in which it score one or less goals in. I expect a much faster-paced contest here and I look for this total to fly over sooner, rather than later.

This is a 10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the OVER Habs/Canucks.

The set-up: Both teams are hungry for a win here. San Antonio entered the break just at the right time, as it had lost three of its final five. The Mavs won three straight heading into the break, so the timing was very bad for them. Also note that Luke Doncic is questionable for this contest and if he does play, he's not going to be at 100%.

The pick: Finally note that San Antonio is 5-2 ATS in its last seven on the road, while the Mavericks are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine vs. clubs with winning records. Expect this rested Spurs team to at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. Grab the points.

This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the San Antonio Spurs.

The set-up: The Horned Frogs are allowing 71.2 PPG. K-State and TCU play at slower paces, but all signs point to this opening conference tournament game being a bit more wide open.  

The pick: And that's because note, K-State has seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row, while TCU has seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of its last 12 in trying to revenge a loss to an opponent in which it scored 55 points or less in. This number is now a little too low, the play is the over.

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the OVER K-State/TCU.

The set-up: After back-to-back defeats to end a five-game Western swing in Vancouver, I expect Toronto to not only win this game, but to win big. The Leafs still by far have the best numbers in the league, posting 3.46 GPG, while allowing only 2.42.  

The pick: Winnipeg enters off a humbling 7-1 loss at Montreal, and note that it's just 2-6 in its last eight after a five goals or greater loss in its previous outing. The Jets have also conceded three goals or more in seven of their last ten games. Look for Toronto to pull away late for a big win on home ice!

This is a 10* PUCK-LINE DESTRUCTION on the Leafs.

The set-up: Boston College enters this game with a 4-15 record, losing by four to Miami on the road in its last game. Duke enters with an 11-11 record, falling by 18 points on the road in its previous outing. BC has been terrible this season, on both ends of the court. 

The pick: This has been Duke's worst year in memory as well, as it enters the Tournament on a three-game slide. Duke still has an oppportunity to make the Big Dance though if it can win a couple games in the Conference Tournament, so here's the perfect opponent to get untracked against. I think Duke doubles down on the defensive end now that the Tournament is here and I look for this total to sneak under once the final buzzer blares.

This is a 10* ACC TOURNEY TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the UNDER BC/Duke.

The set-up: This is the Summit League Tournament. South Dakota State is 14-10 and it's coming off a win over UM Kansas on Sunday to advance. The Bison average only 69.3 PPG, but they make up for it on the other end by conceding just 67.2. 

The pick: South Dakota advanced by beating Western Illinois. The Coyotes average 75.6 pPG, while allowing 72. Both teams though have struggled with offensive consistency in this position, as evidenced by the fact that North Dakota State has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 12 games following a SU win and on zero days rest, while South Dakota has seen the total go "under" in nine of its last 13 after scoring 85 points or more in a SU/ATS victory in its last outing. I expect each team to double-down on the defensive end here, as each comes in tired after their respective victories on Sunday. This number is indeed high.

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER North Dakota State/South Dakota.

The set-up: These teams played on Thursday and the Wolverines managed the 69-50 victory. Michigan is still in hunt for the No. 1 seed in the Big Dance, but with the regular season title wrapped up and the Big Ten Tournament to now look ahead too, I do indeed believe that the Wolverines will get caught looking past their lowly opponent today. 

The pick: Michigan State could earn a spot in the NCAA Tournament with an upset win today. It's also senior night at Michigan State. There's a lot on the line today for the home side. Revenge from the immediate loss. Senior night. A spot in the Big Dance on the line. Michigan isn't going to lose this game, but I believe the conditions are definitely right for a much more competitive battle than what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe. This is a few too many points to be giving up, so make sure to grab as many as you can.

This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on Michigan State.

The set-up: These teams have played to a couple of high-scoring "overs," but I expect more of a defensive affair in their third-straight game here. Tampa has a two-game set in Detroit after this, so it'll have to be cautious to not get caught looking ahead. Chicago's weakness is on the defensive side, but note that it's seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last 11 home games after scoring four or more goals in a home victory in its last outing.

The pick: The Lightning have seen the total go "under" in six of their last eight in trying to revenge a road loss vs. an opponent in which they allowed four or more goals in as well. Tampa still has the No. 1 ranked defense and I expect it to double-down on the end today as it looks to leave Chicago with a series victory. This one has "under" written all over it.

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the UNDER Lightning/Hawks.

The set-up: The Rebels lost to No. 19 SDSU last time out. With the victory, the Aztecs claimed the MWC regular season title. Despite that though, UNLV has been playing well of late, winning three of its last five. Overall the Rebels have averaged 69.7 PPG this season, while allowing 67.3. 

The pick: Wyoming is ripe for the picking here after having four of its last seven games canceled or postponed due to COVID. Most recently the Cowboys lost 72-59 to Utah State. Wyoming has poor numbers, averaging 75.4 PPG, while allowing 75.9. The Rebels are playing better and have a golden opportunity to close out strong against this disorganized Wyoming side. A great situational spot wager on UNLV.

This is a 10* MOUNTAIN WEST GAME OF THE MONTH on UNLV.

The set-up: The Habs just recently fired their head coach after a scuffling stretch. Montreal has continued to scuffle, but I expect it to dig deep here and finally post a victory against the Jets. Winnipeg has won all three meetings over the Habs so far this year, but I expect that streak to come to an end here finally. 

The pick: Obviously, if we were to simply look at these team's recent form, then the Jets would be the correct call here. But gambling on sports isn't that easy obviously either. These teams are evenly matched, but I think the Habs can finally get it together here (note as well that the Canadiens are 7-2 in their last nine in trying to revenge two straight losses two an opponent.) All things considered a very fair price on the absolutely desperate home side here. 

This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Montreal Canadiens.

The set-up:

The pick:

This is a 10* PUCK-LINE DESTRUCTION on the Hawks.

The set-up: Both offenses can for sure "light it up," but this total is just too high in our opinion now. The total earlier in the year between these clubs was set at 147, and it did go "over" in the final seconds of that contest, but I don't see that happening again here. Ball State has scored at least 90 points over its last three games, but that offensive output is unsustainable now. 

The pick: Both teams are poor at rebounding, so second chance points are going to be hard to come by (also note that Toledo does a great job of limiting its fouling.) Ball State is second best in the conference as well in defending the three ball. When you add it all up, this total is indeed a little high, definitely considering how competitive I'm expecting it to be. 

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the UNDER Ball State/Toledo.