The set-up: Both teams come in off wins. Each won late. The Phillies continue to roll after a 6-5 extra innings win over the Nats at home, while the Mets beat the Yanks 9-7 at home. NY is just 2-7 in its last nine after scoring nine or more runs in a victory at home in its last outing and I think it'll have difficulty containing this red hot visiting side. The Phillies go with Jake Arrieta (2-4, 6.49 ERA) who comes in off an outing to forget vs. the Braves on Sunday, allowing seven runs over 1.1 innings. Arrieta has to be feeling confident here though facing the Mets, as despite a 4-5 record, he sports a sharp 3.21 ERA in 14 career starts vs. them. 

The pick: Rick Porcello (1-4, 6.00) gets the nod for the home side and he's 3-3 with a 4.61 ERA in seven career starts vs. the Phillies. He faced them on August 16th and took a loss by allowing four runs off ten hits over six innings. I think the Phillies' momentum is real and getting "plus money" is a big bonus here. 

The is a 10* PLAY-BOOK on the Philadelphia Phillies.

The set-up: Do I think that the Miami Heat are a better team than the Milwaukee Bucks?! Of course not. I'll admit that Miami has definitely played a lot better than the Bucks to this point, but I think that'll finally change in Game 3. Giannis Antetokounmpo fouled Jimmy Butler with no time left on the clock in Game 2 and that's how the Bucks would lose. Clearly Giannis is going to be feeling responsible and I like the back-to-back MVP to come out and dominate in this game.

The pick: And that's good news for the rest of the Bucks, who will finally have some room to operate. The Heat have been excellent, they could easily win this series, but I think they finally have a letdown here after playing at such a high-level for such an extended period of time. Milwaukee actually won the rebound battle in Game 2 (50-38). Look for the Bucks to finally hit their stride and lay the points with confidence.

The is a 10* BEST OF THE BEST on the Milwaukee Bucks.

The set-up: I think the "over" is a great situational call here in Game 7. And that's because if one of these teams is down by two or more goals in the third period, they're going to pull the goaltender early. Regardless of that though, I'm expecting a much more wide open affair in Game 7. Colorado is injured and it's down to its third string goaltender. Dallas is injured and it's down to its second string netminder. 

The pick: Additionally note that the Stars have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 after back-to-back losses. For all the reasons listed above, play the over.

The is a 10* TOTAL BLOCKBUSTER on the OVER Stars/Avs.

The set-up: South Alabama was just 2-8 last year, but with QB Desmond Trotter back under center, along with most of the defensive unit, the Jaguars are expected to take a big step forward. Trogger had 820 yards passing with eight touchdowns and two interceptions in seven games. Four starters return to the offensive line as well. Trotter also has six of the Jag's top seven receivers returning. Also seven of the top eight defenders return.

The pick: Southern Miss was 7-6 last year and senior QB Jack Abraham is back after completing nearly 68 percent of his chances, with 19 touchdowns and 15 interceptions. Abraham though lost five of his top seven pass receivers, and while the defense will be a strength of the team, the questions marks on the other side of the ball are a concern to open the season in my opinion. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points.

The is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on South Alabama.

The set-up: I had a play on the Flyers in Game 4, but in Game 5 I look for the deep and talented Islanders to finally get the job done here and punch their ticket to the next round. With a line like this, clearly the oddsmakers feel these teams are evenly matched. And they are in all honesty. Goaltenders are a wash, but I do think that New York's depth over its four lines will prove to be the difference maker in Game 6

The pick: Additionally note that the Islanders are 7-2 in their last nine after allowing four or more goals in an OT loss in their previous outing. I expect New York's most determined effort so far of the playoffs as it puts the final nail in the Flyers' playoff coffin!

The is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the Islanders.

The set-up: I've played on Toronto through each of the first two games of this series and while those two picks came up short, I think the stage is now set for the defending champs to make this second round series a "real" series with their best effort yet. Boston has done an incredibly good job of slowing down Toronto's shooters, while also doing just enough offensively to earn two straight victories. Nick Nurse is a hell of a coach though and I think he's going to make the necessary adjustments for Toronto to finally get back into the winners circle here.

The pick: Additionally note that TO is 7-3 ATS in its last ten after back-to-back SU/ATS losses in the playoffs. Boston is also just 4-6 ATS in its last ten after back-to-back SU/ATS victories. I'm banking on the defending champs delivering with their best performance yet.

The is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the Toronto Raptors.

The set-up: The Phillies are rolling right now and I think they offer great value in this spot to keep it rolling. The visitors hand the ball to the volatile Anibal Sanchez (1-4, 6.90 ERA) who returned to the line-up on Saturday to face the Red Sox and allowed five runs off eight hits over four innings. To go along with his ballooned ERA, Sanchez also sports a poor 1.70 WHIP. 

The pick: Zach Eflin (2-1, 4.10) comes in off a win over the Braves on Saturday, going seven scoreless with eight strikeouts and zero walks. Eflin has gotten progressively better as the season has worn on and he enters with a sharp 37:8 K:BB over only 26.1 innings of work. Finally note that Philadelphia is 7-2 in its last nine home games following a shutout at home in its previous outing. Lay the price, expect a lop-sided win.

The is a 10* ULTIMATE DESTRUCTION on the Philadelphia Phillies.

The set-up: Houston held on for a 2-1 win last night, but I think that the finale of this series sets up as more of a slug-fest. The visitors hand the ball to Lance Lynn (4-1, 1.93 ERA) who was shelled for four runs off five hits over six innings in a loss to the Dodgers on Saturday. Lynn has been sharp overall, but I don't think his early sparkling numbers are sustainable and regression is imminent again here in my opinion.

The pick: The home side counters with Zack Greinke (2-0, 2.68), who has been sharp in his limited time. I'll point out though that Houston has seen the total eclipse the posted number in seven of its last nine home games after allowing one or less runs in a victory in its previous outing. I think this number is low, play the over.

The is a 10* TOTAL ELITE OF THE ELITE on the OVER Rangers/Astros.

The set-up: I think the Thunder will have trouble keeping up with James Harden and company. The Beard is about to take over this game in my opinion and I don't think that Chris Paul and his supporting cast will have what it takes to win a third straight in this series. 

The pick: This one sets up great from a trend based stand point as well, as note that Houston is still 15-7 ATS in its last 22 vs. teams with a win percentage above .600, while OKC is just 1-5 ATS in its last six after a SU/ATS victory. I'm laying the points and expecting a dominant victory from start to finish.

The is a 10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Houston Rockets.

The set-up: Colorado clearly isn't giving up after its impressive 6-3 win in Game 5. The Avs will look to extend this series to a Game 7, but while the last few contests have flown well above the number, I think that Game 6 finally sets up as a more defensive affair. Clearly these teams have been putting up some crazy offensive numbers of late, but I believe fatigue is now definitely a factor at this point. 

The pick: With Anton Khudobin in net for the Stars and Michael Hutchinson for the Avs, there's a sense of stability in net for both sides. Note as well that Colorado has seen the total dip below the posted number in eight of its last 12 after back-to-back "overs." This number is indeed high.

The is a 10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the UNDER Avs/Stars.

The set-up: The first two games of this series stayed under the number, but I believe the third will find a way to fly over as it comes down the stretch. Charlie Morton (1-1, 5.40 ERA) gets the call after coming off the IL for the visitors tonight. Morton has been poor this year with a 1.50 WHIP and I think he'll get the hook early here as well vs. this determined home side. 

The pick: Jordan Montgomery (2-1, 4.66) gets the call for New York and he most recently allowed three runs off five hits while striking out six over five innings in a loss to the Mets on Friday. Note though that the Yankees have seen the total go over the number in seven of their last ten home games after playing to back-to-back "unders" at home. This number is a little low.

The is a 10* TOTAL DESTRUCTION on the OVER Rays/Yanks.

The set-up: St. Louis embarrassed the Reds 16-2 in yesterday's series opener, but I like the home side to bounce back here. The visitors hand the ball to Johan Oviedo (0-0, 3.60 ERA) who has just been added to the rotation (out of necessity.) So far he's allowed four runs with four walks over ten innings of work in his rookie season. 

The pick: Tyler Mahle (0-0, 3.38) gets the call for the home side and he comes in off a gem vs. the Cubs on Friday, striking out 11, walking two and allowing two runs off two hits over seven innings for the victory. Mahle owns a sharp 32:10 K:BB and I think he's going to easily outduel his untested counterpart. Finally note that the Reds are 7-2 in their last nine after allowing 15 or more runs in a loss in their previous outing. I'm banking on a home side blowout from start to finish!

The is a 10* ELITE OF THE ELITE on the Reds.

The set-up: I think that from a situational stand point, this one sets up great as a higher-scoring affair. The Heat are 3-1 SU/ATS in this season series after taking Game 1 SU/ATS as an underdog. The Bucks will be on a mission here after being held to 11 points less than their playoff average in Game 1's loss. 

The pick: Milwuakee is averaging 114.2 PPG in the playoffs and the Heat are averaging 112. Miami got 115 in Game 1 and I believe it'll be able to duplicate that points total here again in Game 2 with what I expect to be a much faster-paced affair. This number is indeed a little low.

The is a 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the OVER Heat/Bucks.

The set-up: Yesterday's series opener flew over the number in the White Sox come from behind 8-5 win, but I expect a much lower-scoring "duel" here between White Sox' ace Dallas Keuchel (5-2, 2.70 ERA) and Michael Pineda (0-0, 0.00). Pineda finally makes his return after a 60 game suspension and he'll be given a full work load right out of the gates. Pineda threw a 70 pitch simulation recently and has been given the green light. Before his suspension he was one of the most consistent in the league and I think the time off for his arm will be huge moving forward. 

The pick: Keuchel gave up two runs over six innings while also striking out seven in a victory last time out and there's no reason not to believe that the southpaw won't carry that momentum over here. Finally note that Minnesota has seen the total go under the number in eight of its last 11 home games after allowing eight or more runs in a home loss in its previous outing. This number is a little high.

The is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the UNDER WhiteSox/Twins.

The set-up: I think Philly will extend this series at least one more game. Down 3-1, I like Philadelphia to give its best effort yet of this series. Much like the Avalanche did last night vs. the Stars. Dallas came back down to Earth last night and I believe that the same thing is going to happen to the Isles here. One team is desperate and the other is complacent. With a line like this, the oddsmakers believe this is a very even game, but the motivation levels/factor tip the scales in favor of the Flyers in my opinion. 

The pick: Additionally note that Philly is 7-2 in its last nine after a one-goal loss. The Flyers had a lead going into the third period last time out and messed up, but I don't expect that to happen again. All things considered, I believe this to be the very definition of "great line value." 

The is a 10* BEST OF THE BEST on the Philadelphia Flyers.

The set-up: These teams are moving in opposite directions right now and I expect that trend to continue here. The Phillies came from behing to knock off the Nats 8-6 last night. The visitors hand the ball to Patrick Corbin (2-2, 3.82 ERA), who has done decently this season and who has a good track record vs. the Phillies in his career as well. Philadelphia goes with ace Aaron Nola (3-2, 3.00) who has also done decently this season, but who has a pedestrian 5-6, 4.12 ERA lifetime record vs. the Nats. Despite how well Corbin has done against the Nationals in the past, I still think that Nola is undervalued by a lot in this matchup. 

The pick: Washington is a poor 1-6 in its last seven as an underdog and unfortunately for it, it will see no mercy from the .500 Phillies, who look to put the pedal to the metal over the next three weeks until the playoffs start: "It's go time," Rhys Hoskins said after last night's victory. "It's always good to be able to help the club win." This line should be a lot larger in my opinion.

The is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the Philadelphia Phillies.

The set-up: Yes, Toronto is 0-2 SU/ATS vs. Boston in the bubble and just 4-6 SU/ATS the last ten in this series, but I still think the defending champs are going to bounce back in a big way here and get the job done. An 0-2 hole would be difficult to climb out of with no home crowd, so I'm expecting a full four quarter effort from Toronto here. The Raptors were still distracted by the recent stoppage and didn't look like their normal "selves" whatsover in that contest. I think Boston is a great team and I believe it has a very legitimate shot at winning this series, but I believe the overall situation definitely favors the Raptors here, who are 11-0 vs. all other competition in the bubble. 

The pick: Note that despite its recent difficult with Boston, Toronto is still 8-3 ATS the last 11 in this series, while Boston is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after a four-games or longer unbeaten streak. I think Toronto wins this game.

The is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Raptors.

The set-up: My NHL Playoff TOTAL OF THE YEAR was on the UNDER in this game last night and that was obviously a big time loser, with the Stars jumping out to an early lead and then holding on for the 5-4 win. The Stars have over-achieved to this point and a letdown is imminent in my opinion. Dallas got the job done in the regular season with tough defensive play and some of the best goaltending in the league. That's not been the case in the playoffs though, with its offense somehow coming to the fore. 

The pick:Colorado was one of the best in the regular season on both ends of the ice. The Avs will have to risk life and limb today to avoid the series loss and as such, I finally expect a lower-scoring contest in Game 5. Additionally note that Colorado has seen the total go UNDER in seven of its last ten after allowing five or more goals in a loss in its last outing. For all the reasons listed above, I'm on the "under" in this one.

The is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER Stars/Avs.

The set-up: The Thunder have looked great in this series at times and poor in others. The same can be said of the Rockets as well. Russell Westbrook only had 7 points for Houston last time out, but the Rockets still dominated from start to finish. Whether Westbrook has a better game or not, I still think that the Thunder will once again "dig deep" here (just like they did in Game's 1 and 2). Individual player matchups or coaching stratgies are meaningless at this point in my opinion, as the Thunder did in fact dominate this series during the regular season. These teams are evenly matched and I'm expecting a battle until the final horn. 

The pick: Note as well that that Thunder are 7-1 ATS in their last eight following a 30-points or greater loss in their previous outing. Expect OKC to dictate the tempo today and while I wouldn't be shocked by the outright upset, in the end I'm grabbing the points.

The is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Thunder.

The set-up: I think that Game 1 of this series will be a very defensive affair, with each team trying to establish itself and dictate the tempo. I don't think there's going to be any "feeling out" period as I expect each to play highly aggressive on the defensive end to try and send an early message. The Bucks are much more skilled in guarding the perimeter than the Pacers, so the Heat's three-point advantage it had in its last series is going to be nullified for the most part.

The pick: Miami played great defense in its opening round as well, holding the Pacers to just 100.8 PPG. Milwaukee also looked stout defensively in its first round win, holding the Magic to an average of 107 PPG. This number is high. 

The is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER Heat/Bucks.

The set-up: Toronto has won all six in this season series thus far, including three straight in this one. All good things have to come to end though and I believe that the over-achieving Jays finally have a letdown here, despite having the "better" starting pitcher on the mound tonight. Toronto has two walk off wins as well, including yesterday's 6-5 victory. It's been an exciting and "magical" season to this point for Toronto, but with a road-trip starting in Miami tomorrow and ending in Boston next weekend, I do indeed believe that Toronto will suffer a classic "letdown" here. 

The pick: Starting pitching is less relevant than its ever been in MLB and I think that's the case today. Note that Baltimore is 7-2 in its last nine AL road games following a three-games or longer losing streak as well. I'm banking on Toronto finally having a letdown here. 

The is a 10* PLAY-BOOK on the Baltimore Orioles.

The set-up: These teams haven't been playing since Wednesday because of the protests and I think that after back-to-back higher-scoring games, that we'll finall see a lower-scoring one here. The last two games have been outliers, as seven of the past ten between the teams have gone "under" the number. 

The pick: The Stars' Anton Khudobin is 6-4 with a 2.59 GAA so far in the playoffs, while the Avalanches Pavel Francouz is 2-2 with a 2.69 GAA lifetime vs. the Stars. Look for these capable goaltenders to be the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries.

This is a 10* PLAYOFF TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the UNDER Avs/Stars.

The set-up: Yesterday's game flew well over the number in LA's 16-3 victory, but I expect this one to stay under once it's all said and done. Griffin Canning (0-3, 4.88 ERA) will be eager to notch his first victory of the year here for the home side. Note that Canning has to be feeling pretty confident here as well, as he was a sharp 4-2 with a 3.83 ERA at home last year.

The pick: Justin Dunn (2-1, 5.57) gets the nod for the home side and he enters off a gem vs. the Rangers on Sunday, allowing one hit and striking out six over six scoreless in the victory. Finally note that the M's have seen the total go under the number in 18 of their last 26 after allowing 15 or more runs in a loss in their previous outing. This number is high.

The is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the UNDER Mariners/Angels.

The set-up: Both teams are under .500 and each still has aspirations of making it into the playoffs. Cueto is 2-0 with a 5.40 ERA and he's had plenty of success vs. the D-Backs throughout his career, I simply feel that he's in the wrong place at the wrong time here. Taylor Clarke is 1-0 with a 2.33 ERA and while he's had less succcess vs. the Giants in his career, note that he was at his best in all "day" games last season, going 3-1 with a 3.94 ERA. 

The pick: Additionally note that Arizona is 7-3 in its last ten after allowing five or more runs in a three run or greater home setback. I'm banking on the hungrier home side getting the job done in the finale here!

The is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Arizona Diamondbacks.

The set-up: Whether Kristaps Porzingis plays or not, I like Dallas to at the very least, keep this one close enough to easily cover with the large spread that it's been afforded here. The extra time off because of the BLM movement will definitely help in healing up Mavericks' star Luca Doncic's knee as well. Each team has looked great in this series and pedestrian at other times. Bottom line is though is that I feel that they're very evenly matched.

The pick: Dallas is also 7-3 ATS in its last ten after allowing 150 points or more in a loss in its previous outing. Expect Doncic to put the Mavs on his back and while I'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, all signs point to this one coming right down to the wire.

This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Dallas Mavericks.

The set-up: The Celtics, Raptors and Bucks. It's not hard to picture any of these three teams as the Eastern Conference representative. All three teams possess the talent and experience to take down the Eastern crown, but in this particular contest, I think the savvy call is on the UNDER. Both teams can score. Both teams can defend. But I simply feel that from a situational stand point, this one sets up as a highly defensive affair, where full court pressure is applied and players risk life and limb getting into shooting and passing lanes. 

The pick: Additionally note that Toronto has seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of its last ten playoff games after three or more days of rest. This number is just a tad high.

This is a 10* TOTAL DESTRUCTION on the UNDER Celtics/Raptors.

The set-up: The Lakers exploded for a 3-1 series lead in Game 4, but with star player Damian Lillard sidelined for the Blazers, I think that we'll see a much more defensive affair in Game 5, as the normally defensive minded Lakers "double down" on that end to finally crush the BLazers hopes out of existence. 

The pick: At this point, the Lakers have a firm grip on this series and the last thing they can afford to do at this point is play stupid. LA can't afford to have any star players get injured here. I look LA to body up and to slow this game down as it looks to control and dictate and get out of this one without any injuries. This number is a little high.

This is a 10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the UNDER Blazers/Lakers.

The set-up: The Rangers won 6-2 last night and I think the home side will find a way to get the job done here as well on Saturday night. The disinterested visitors hand the ball to Ross Stripling (3-1, 5.61 ERA) who allowed two runs off six hits over four innings in a no-decision vs. Colorado on Sunday. Stripling was "lucky" the damage wasn't worse, as the two runs were solo dingers. Note that over 29.2 innings of work Stripling has been shelled for ten home runs. 

The pick: The home side counters with ace Lance Lynn (4-0, 1.37) who enters on top form, most recently allowing two runs off five hits while striking out eight over six innings in a victory over the A's on Monday. At some point Lynn will have a letdown, but I don't think that'll be vs. the league's No. 1 team. LA does indeed seem complacent and I don't trust Stripling at all in this hot Texas stadium. I'm banking on another upset in Texas tonight!

The is a 10* ULTRA DESTRUCTION on the Texas Rangers.

The set-up: Orlando is getting a lot of points here. The Magic won Game 1 outright, but since then it's gone 0-3 SU/ATS vs. the surging Bucks. Do I think that the Magic are going to win this contest outright? I do not. Note though that Orlando has been just a single 3-point shot away in each of the last three games to actually cover the spread. And now it's getting more points in Game 5 than in any other to this point. 

The pick: The strengths and weaknesses are well known for each side, but note that the Bucks are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven following an ATS win, while the Magic are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 following a double-digit loss. Orlando's players are playing for a position on the team next year and I don't expect it to go down without a fight tonight. Grab the points.

This is a 10* EXPRESS on the Orlando Magic.

The set-up: After yesterday's high-scoring affair, I'm expecting much more a duel in the finale of this interleague contest. The visitors hand the ball to Carlos Carrasco (2-2, 3.71 ERA) who gave up four runs off seven hits while striking out four over four innings in a setback to the Tigers on Sunday. Carrasco has a 35:15 K:BB and the veteran will look to bounce back here after a couple of pedestria outings. 

The pick: Joe Flaherty (2-0, 3.12) gets the nod for the hom eside and he most recently struck out three Royals over five scoreless to pick up his second win of the season on Monday. Last year Flaherty was 11-8 with a 2.75 ERA and now the hard-throwing right-hander has been given the green light to go deep into this contest. Finally note that St. Louis has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 after allowing 13 or more runs in a loss in its previous outing. This one has "duel" written all over it. 

The is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the UNDER Indians/Cardinals.

The set-up: I don't have the usual amount of time today to spend on my analysis because of the events going on in sports. 

The pick: The White Sox lead the AL with 59 home runs in 31 games and Chicago pitching has posted a tiny 2.60 ERA since July 29th. 

The is a 10* ABSOLUTE DESTRUCTION on the Chicago White Sox.

The set-up: Colorado was a huge favorite in both Game's 1 and 2, but it's 0-2 in this series and now Game 3 is much closer to a "pick em." The Stars have looked great on both ends of the ice, but I think that the desperation in which Colorado plays with tonight will in the end be the difference maker. I don't expect Colorado to get swept and it'll be risking life and limb to try and avoid an 0-3 hole. 

The pick: Note as well that Colorado is 21-9-3 in their last 33 after getting outshot by its opponent, while Dallas is just 2-6 in its last eight after back-to-back victories on the road (technically, that's the case of course.) Look for this series to get a lot more interesting.

This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Colorado Avalanche.

The set-up: Yesterday's game ended in a 10-3 win over the A's and I believe we'll see a similar final combined score here in the finale of this series on Wednesday night. The visitors hand the ball to Mike Fiers (3-1, 5.81 ERA) who earned a win over the Angels by allowing three runs over 5.1 innings. It was the third time Fiers had the advantage of facing the Angels this year and it was his first win over them. Fiers enters with a poor 5.81 ERA and ballooned 1.55 WHIP. 

The pick: The home side counters with the volatile Kolby Allard (0-2, 7.82) who allowed four runs off five hits in a loss to the Mariners on Friday, unable to even get out of the first inning. Previous to that he conceded six runs in three innings to the Rockies. Note as well that Texas has interestingly seen the total go over the number in seven of its last 11 after allowing ten or more runs in a loss in its previous outing. Look for these starters to get chased early and expect this total to fly over sooner, rather than later.

This is a 10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the OVER A's/Rangers.

The set-up: I think the White Sox stumble here in the finale of this interleague series and after yesterday's 4-0 victory. The Pirates hand the ball to "ace" Trevor Williams (1-4, 3.70 ERA) who gave up one run over four innings in an unfortunate loss to the Indians on Thursday. Through 24.1 innings of work so far Williams sports a sharp 23:8 K:BB ratio.

The pick: Dallas Keuchel (4-2, 2.65) gets the nod for the home side and I just think that he's in the wrong place at the wrong time today. Note that Williams is 1-0 with a 3.00 ERA in two career starts vs. the White Sox. Additionally note that the Pirates are 6-3 in their last nine Interleague games after getting shutout in their previous outing. Great value on this hungry dog to bounce back and catch Chicago complacent!

This is a 10* BLOOD-BATH ON THE DIAMOND on the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The set-up: While yesterday's game went "under" the number, all signs point to Tuesday's contest going well "over." The visitors hand the ball to the erratic German Marquez (2-4, 4.38) who allowed ten earned runs off ten hits  over five innings in a loss to the Astros on Thursday. That's his second straight loss. 

The pick: The home side counters with the volatile Alex Young (1-1, 4.50) who is in the rotation due to the injury to Madison Bumgarner. So far over 8.1 innings as a starter, Young has conceded three home runs. Note that Arizona has seen the total go over the number in eight of its last 12 as well after scoring two runs or less in a loss at home in its previous outing. This number is a little low.

This is a 10* TOTAL DESTRUCTION on the OVER Rockies/D-Backs.

The set-up: The first game of this series went under the number, but the last three have all gone "over." I think that Game 5 sets up as more of a defensive affair though. These two teams are now fatigued for sure, especially after the Game 4 OT contest. These players aren't super human and I believe the bookmakers are slow in recognizing how exhausted these players will be tonight. 

The pick: Additionally note that Dallas has seen the total go under the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to three or more straight "overs," while the Clippers have seen the total dip below in nine of their last 14 after allowing 125 points or more in a setback in their last outing. THis number is high.

This is a 10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the UNDER Mavericks/Clippers.

The set-up: The Rangers held on for a one run victory last night and I think they'll find a way to get the job done here as well. The vistors hand the ball to the out of form Sean Manaea (1-2, 6.39 ERA) who comes in off his first win of the year, allowing one run over five innings vs. the lowly D-Backs. Previous to that he'd allowed three or more runs in each of his first four starts. I'm not convinced Manaea is "all the way back" though. 

The pick: Kyle Gibson (1-2, 4.73) won't be lacking for motivation here after allowing five runs over five innings in a no-decision to the hard-hitting Padres on Thursday. Gibson was 13-7 with a 4.74 ERA for the Twins last year, but note that he was 8-4 with a 3.55 ERA before the All Star break. I like Gibson to outlast Manaea here and I love the Rangers to build off yesterday's victory.

This is a 10* PLAY-BOOKE on the Texas Rangers.

The set-up: It's do or die for the Nuggets. The Jazz have looked great over their last two games, but I think Utah doesn't have that "killer instinct" in it and I look for it to struggle against this desperate Nuggets side. The Nuggets got 50 points from Jamal Murray in the 129-127 Game 4 setback. 

The pick: Utah shot almost 60% from the field in Game 4 and I simply don't see that happening again either. Additionally note that the Nuggets are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after allowing 125 points or more in a loss in their previous game, while the Jazz are just 4-16-2 ATS in their last 22 as a favorite. I'm grabbing the points.

This is a 10* PLAY-BOOK on the Denver Nuggets.

The set-up: Previous to the Stars' 4-3 Game 1 victory, seven straight in these team's series had gone "under" the number and suffice it to say, I expect things to "return to the norm" in Game 2. Both teams like to wear the opposition down and then captalize on mistakes and after Game 1 sailed well over, I believe this trend of hard-hitting, lower-scoring "unders" continues in Game 2. Anton Khudobin had 28 saves in the Stars 5-3 win on Saturday and and despite being only 2-3 vs. Colorado all time, he still sports a sharp 2.12 GAA. 

The pick: Avs' goalie Philipp Grubauer is 5-0-1 with a 1.87 GAA and .922 save percentage in the playoffs. The Avs can get it done on both ends of the ice and during the regular season they gave up the fourth lowest quantity of goals (2.00 per game.) Expect these two top notch defensie units to play to a very defensive affiar in Game 2.

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the UNDER Stars/Avs.

The set-up: So far this total has gone "under" the number in all three games of this series, but I think that trend finally gets broken in Game 4. Mostly because I expect the Blazers to really get out and push the pace of this one. Portland is most effective when it shoots the three ball and stretches the Lakers' defense, which then in turn opens things up for Nurcic down low. 

The pick: Additionally note that LA has seen the total eclipse the number in 11 of its last 17 after seeing the total go "under" in three straight games. With the Blazers looking to push the pace, I expect this total to fly over sooner, rather than later.

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the OVER Lakers/Blazers.

The set-up: Off their 9-3 loss yesterday, I like the Marlins to bounce back here and pull off the slight upset. The visitors hand the ball to their "ace" Pablo Lopez (2-1, 2.42 ERA) who gave up two runs and one walk while striking out five over seven innings in an unfortunate no-decision. Lopez enters with one of the best ERA's in the National League.

The pick: Austin Voth (0-2, 5.00) also comes off a no-decision, but a very fortunate one after he was rocked for five runs off nine hits over four innings vs. the Braves on Tuesday. Through 18 innings the right-hander has a pedestrian 12:6 K:BB and a poor 1.44 WHIP. Note as well that Washington is just 2-6 in its last eight after a five runs or greater victory in its previous outing. I'm banking on Lopez delivering here. 

This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Miami Marlins.

The set-up: While yesterday's game "pushed" with the 9 total, I believe that Monday afternoon's game sets up as a "slug-fest." The visitors hand the ball to the erratic Tanner Roark (2-1, 4.76 ERA) who gave up two runs off nine hits over five innings in a victory over the lowly Orioles on Wednesday. Through four starts Roark enters with a pedestrian 15:10 K:BB and poor 1.71 WHIP. 

The pick: Blake Snell (2-0, 3.00) gets the nod for the home side and while he's been sharp early, I believe the southpaw is poised for regression. Note as well that Tampa has seen the total soar over the number in seven of its last ten after a one run victory and in which it scored five or more runs in. This number is a tad low.

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the OVER Jays/Rays.

The set-up: What's the first thing that comes to mind when you think about these two clubs? For many, it'll be high-flying, high-scoring offensive units. And that is definitely the case. But to do well in the regular season and advance into the playoffs, you also have to have good goaltending and once again, that's definitely the case with both of these teams. When the dust does settle at the end of the night, I expect these two red hot netminders to be the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries.

The pick: Note that Canucks goaltender Jacob Markstrom is 7-3 in the playoffs so far with a 2.44 GAA and .929 save percentage, while Knights' goalie Robin Lehner is 5-1 with a 2.44 GAA. I think Vancouver will be play extremely disciplined here as well vs. the opportunistic Knights. This number is a little high.

This is a 10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the UNDER Nucks/Vegas.

The set-up: The last two games of this series have blasted past the posted number, but I have more than enough reason to believe that Game 4 will finally be a bit slower-paced, which will ulimtately lead to this total staying well "under" once it's all said and done. The Mavs are down 2-1 and with an ankle injury to Luca Doncic last time out, I believe they're going to have to change up their game play "on the fly" here and try to body up and slow this one down. 

The pick: Additionally note Dallas has seen the total go under the number in 14 of its last 21 after allowing 130 points or more in back-to-back outings. I'm banking on Game 4 being a very aggressive and slower-paced "under" once it's all said and done.

This is a 10* ULTIMATE O/U BEATDOWN on the UNDER Clippers/Mavs.

The set-up: Yes, Yu Darvish has looked very good for the Cubs to start the season, but so too has Dylan Cease for the White Sox. Off their 7-4 win yesterday, I like the ChiSox to deliver the goods here as well. Cease (4-1, 3.16 ERA) allowed two runs over six innings with three K's in a victory over the Tigers on Tuesday. Cease enters on top form, having won his last four starts and posting three quality outings during that stretch. 

The pick: Darvish (4-1, 1.80) allowed one run off eight hits while striking out seven in a win over the Cardinals on Tuesday. Darvish appears as he's finally returning to his former dominant form which he had when he was a member of the Rangers, but regression is imminent in my opinion. Darvish was 6-8 with a 3.98 ERA last year and I think he'll finally stumble here. Look for the White Sox to build off yesterday's big win and let's grab up that PLUS MONEY!

This is a 10* BALL-CRUSHER on the Chicago White Sox.

The set-up: I had a play on the Pirates in their upset yesterday and they went on to win in blowout fashion. Today though I think this contest will sneak "under" the number once it's all said and done. The visitors hand the ball to Corbin Burnes (0-0, 3.00 ERA) who went five innings vs. the Twins last time out, allowing one run off one hit and striking out five in the unfortunate no-decision. 

The pick: JT Brubaker (0-0, 4.91) conceded three runs off three hits over three innings vs. the hard-hitting Indians on Tuesday, also receiving a no-decision. So far the rookie has a 10:6 K:BB and I think he'll be able to keep the Brewers off balance here. Additionally note that the Pirates have seen the total dip below the posted number in eight of their last 11 after scoring ten or more runs in their previous game. This number is a little high.

This is a 10* TOTAL BEST OF THE BEST on the UNDER Brewers/Pirates.

The set-up: Yesterday's game ended with an 8-5 win for Boston and I believe we'll see a similar final combined score here as well once the dust settles on Saturday night. The visitors hand the ball to Martin Perez (2-3, 4.07 ERA) who enters off a loss after allowing three runs over three innings vs. the Yanks on Monday. Perez enters with a 17:14 K:BB over 24.1 innings of work. NOte that he's 4-5 with a ballooned 5.19 ERA in ten starts vs. Baltimore as well.

The pick: Alex Cobb (1-2, 3.76) was shelled for five runs off eight hits over 6.2 innings in a loss to the Jays on Monday. After a nine-game losing streak though, the Red Sox are starting to "rake" and I think Cobb will once again have difficulties today vs. this team that's clearly seeing the ball really well right now. This one has "over" written all over it.

This is a 10* ULTIMATE SLUG-FEST on the OVER Red Sox/Orioles.

The set-up: Pittsburgh won 7-2 yesterday afternoon and I think it'll find a way to get the job done on Saturay as well. The visitors hand the ball to Josh Lindblom (1-0, 6.62 ERA) who was rocked for five earned runs off three hits over five innings vs. the Cubs on Sunday, lucky to earn a no-decision. 

The pick: Derek Holland (0-1, 7.36) pitched two scoreless innings of relief on Tuesday vs. Cleveland and in 12 career appearances vs. Milwaukee (which includes three starts), Holland is 1-0 with a 2.05 ERA. I think the stage is definitely set for another upset here considering the fact that Pittsburgh is 7-3 in its last ten after a five runs or larger victory. 

This is a 10* WRONG-SIDE BOOK DESTROYER on the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The set-up: Indiana played very well up until this point, but Miami's defense has so far been suprisingly good. That said, I'm now confident that that trend will end here finally. Indiana has now seen the total go under the number in five straight, including in both of these playoff games. The Heat have seen the total dip under in four of their last five. I thought the Pacers would have done much better against Miami, at least splitting out by this point. The Pacers are going to have to be the aggressors throughout again obviously. I'll point out as well that Indiana has seen the total go OVER the number in seven of its last ten after back-to-back UNDERS in the playoffs. 

The pick: I'll admit now, Jimmy Butler and the Heat are the tougher dog in this fight, but he'll be nervous here not to let his younger teammates have any sort of a letdown. I finally expect a wide open, faster-paced OVER in Game 3!

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the OVER Pacers/Heat.

The set-up: The Mavericks could easily be up 2-0 in this series if star center Kristaps Porzingis wasn't ejected in the second period of Game 1. Dallas was clearly the better team in Game 2 and with the Clippers dealing with injuries to important players still, I have a hard time seeing LA keeping pace with this well oiled Mavericks team which is playing with a chip on its shoulder right now.

The pick: LA is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight as well after a ten points or larger loss in its last game. Does Dallas have a legitimate shot at winning Game 3 outright? With a spread like this, clearly the oddsmakers believe it does. And so do I. Grab the points.

This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Dallas Mavericks. 

The set-up: With a chance to finally put the Canadiens away, I like the Flyers to dig deep here in Game 6 and to dominate on both ends of the ice. Montreal has definitely defied the odds to make it this far, getting past the Penguins in the first round and then winning two games so far in this series. Montreal has had a hard time stringing back-to-back victories together though and facing this skilled Flyers team, I think that'll again be the case here. 

The pick: Additionally note that Philly is 8-3 in its last 11 after a two goals or larger loss and allowing five or more goals at the same time. The Flyers were a significant favorite heading into this series and I think we're getting the "better" team at a great price in Game 6. Lay it.

This is a 10* BLOOD-BATH ON THE ICE on the Flyers.

The set-up: The Rays come off a great series in New York, including a 10-5 victory yesterday and I think they carry that momentum over here vs. a Jays side which played a double header at "home" vs. the Phillies yesterday, very satisfyingly winning both contests. Jays' starter Matt Shoemaker (0-1, 5.23 ERA) was ejected from his last start because of a verbal argument with the umpire. Before he got the boot he allowed three runs over four innings.

The pick: Ryan Yarbrough (0-2, 4.13) went three scoreless vs. these very Jays before his game was suspended due to rain. These starters' numbers are similar, but I'm giving Yarbrough the big nod, especially considering how Shoemaker's last start ended. All signs point to the Rays extending their power streak. Lay this larger price with confidence.

This is a 10* PLAY-BOOK on the Tampa Bay Rays.

The set-up: Denver beat the Jazz in double OT in the regular seaosn and then it also managed to pull for an OT win in Game 1 of this series. The Jazz battled tough though and in Game 2 they laid down the 124-105 smack down and I think they can build off that victory with another one in Game 3. 

The pick: And guess what? Utah won Game 2 without the services of star guard Mike Conley, who now returns to the team after the birth of his son. Additionally note that the Jazz are 7-2 ATS in their last nine after a 10 points or larger victory. Grab the points.

This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on the Utah Jazz.

The set-up: These teams played to a lower-scoring under in the A's 4-1 win last night and I believe we'll see a similar final combined score here as well. The D-Backs hand the ball to Alex Young (1-0, 3.86 ERA) who gave up one run off four hits while striking out five in an unfortunate no-decision to the Padres on Saturday. With Mad-Bum still sidelined with inury, I like Young to continue to make the most of his opportunity. 

The pick: The home side counters with Sean Manaea (0-2, 7.65) who is slowly getting back into shape, coming off his best start of the year so far, allowing three runs (two earned) off three hits while striking out five in a no-decision to the Giants on Saturday. I like Manaea to also continue his progression here. I expect these two hungry starting pitchers to be the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries.  

This is a 10* TOTAL DESTRUCTION on the UNDER D-Backs/A's.

The set-up: I like the Capitals to continue their climb out of the 0-3 hole and push this series to a Game 6. Alexander Ovechkin had two goals in Game 4 and I love this experienced Capitals side to now respond, while all signs point to a classic letdown here for the Isles in my opinion. 

The pick: Note as well that the Isles are just 2-7 in their last nine after a one goal loss in the playoffs in their previous outing. "Momentum" becomes almost a tangible factor in the playoffs and if the Capitals really wanted to "bow out" they would have done that in Game 4. Washington is going to try and pull off the impossible here, but it's one game at a time.

This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Washington Capitals.

The set-up: Colorado lost 13-6 last night, but I think it'll bounce back here with what I believe to be the superior starter on the mound for it. THe visitors hand the ball to Cristian Javier (2-1, 2.91 ERA) who has been decent in the early going, having gone at least six frames in two of his last three starts. The sample size is still pretty small for Javier though and certainly he faces his stiffest test of the year in this difficult Park. 

The pick: German Marquez (2-3, 2.25) has yet to allow more than two earned runs in any start this year. Houston won the first two games of this four-game interleague series at home and then it routed last night. But Marquez was 5-2 at home last year and with a chip on his shoulder, I think he'll be the main reason why his team pulls out a victory in the series finale.

This is a 10* SITUATIONAL PITCHING MISMATCH on the Rockies.

The set-up: Indiana was swept in four games by the Celtics in the first round last year. So far the Pacers are only 1-4 vs. the Heat this season, including falling both SU and ATS in Game 1 of this series. Indiana is led by TJ Warren and with revenge on their minds, I believe the more experienced and hungrier Pacers will bounce back and deliver the goods here.

The pick: Additionally I'll point out that Indiana has gone 10-4 ATS in its last 14 after losing by ten or more points in a playoff contest. Look for Indiana to at the very least, push Miami until the final moments. Grab the points.

This is a 10* PLAY-BOOK on the Indiana Pacers.

The set-up: The Canucks dominated the first two games of this series, but then the Blues managed to take Game 3 and then on the second game of the back to back, they also pulled out the Game 4. This series is all tied up now. Momentum is a funny thing, it has ebbs and flows and in this case, I believe Vancouver is going to come out firing and find a way to get the lead back in this series. 

The pick: These teams are very evenly matched (a sentiment clearly shared by the oddsmakers), but I'll point out that Vancouver is 7-2 in its last nine after back-to-back losses. Great value on this double revenge side!

This is a 10* UPPER-SHELF DESTROYER on the Vancouver Canucks

The set-up: The Padres held on for a 6-4 win in Texas last night and I like them to do it again here at home. San Diego got out to a hot start, but a recent scuffling stretch will have it completely focused on the task at hand tonight. The visitors hand the ball to Lance Lynn (3-0, 1.11 ERA) who gave up two runs off two hits over nine innings in a complete game win over the Rockies on Friday. Regression is imminent at some point for Lynn and I think that time is now. 

The pick: Chris Paddack (2-2, 4.91) is looking to bounce back here after getting shelled for six runs by the Dodgers over four frames in his last start. While Paddack is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA on the road, he's 2-1 with a 3.14 ERA at home. Lynn's numbers are unsustainable, expect that regression tonight. Lay the price.

This is a 10* ELITE OF THE ELITE on the San Diego Padres.

The set-up: The Mavericks had an eight point lead half way through the third quarter of Game 1, and then big man Kristaps Porzingis got ejected and the Mavs fell apart mentally and failed to cover the spread in the end. Porzingis is back though in Game 2 and I do legitimately believe that Dallas has a chance at taking Game 2 outright. LA is still dealing with several key players missing and I think that catches up to them here.

The pick: Additionally note that the Clippers are still a poor 2-6 ATS in their last eight playoff games as a favorite. In a contest which I see coming down to whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points.

This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Dallas Mavericks.

The set-up: The frist game of this series went well "over" the number in Toronto's 134-110 victory in Game 1 on Monday, but I think we'll see a much lower-scoring defensvie affair this time around. The Nets defied the odds to even make the playoffs, but after the Game 1 loss, clearly they're overmatched here and I think the team will simply go through the motions here. 

The pick: Additionally note that Brooklyn has seen the total go under the number in eight of its last 11 after a loss by 20 points or more, while Toronto has seen the total dip below the posted number in ten of its last 16 after scoring 130 points or more in a playoff game. This number is a little high.

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the UNDER Nets/Raptors.

The set-up: Both teams are struggling to find consistency at the starting pitchers position, but after yesterday's 8-7 win for the Jays, I expect a much lower-scoring duel on Wednesday. These two starters won't be lacking for motivation. The Jays' Tanner Roark (1-1, 6.00 ERA) has struggled against the Orioles in the past. The same can be said of Tommy Milone (1-2, 4.00) and the Jays. Despite that though, a couple of very strong O/U trends leads me to believe this one will indeed fall "under." 

The pick: As note that Toronto has seen the total go under in eight of its last 11 after scoring eight or more runs in a victory in its previous outing, while the O's have seen the total dip under in seven of their last nine after posting 15 or more runs combined with a team in their previous outing. This number is a little high.

This is a 10* TOTAL BEST OF THE BEST on the UNDER Jays/Orioles.

The set-up: We've seen some really high-scoring games in the bubble and it wouldn't be hard to write a convincing argument for this total to fly over. Both teams are loaded with offensive talent and each likes to get out and push the pace. So why is Game 1 going to go under then? Despite all three regular season games between the clubs eclipsing the posted number, I believe the circumstances that each team finds itself in coming into this contest will help in driving this total below the posted number. 

The pick: I think the last thing LA wants to do though is to turn this into a "track meet." Yes big man Nurcis has been playing well for Portland, but LA has Dwight Howard, JaVale McGee and Anthony Davis ready to shut him down. Note that LA was third in defensive efficiency in the regular season and now that the playoffs are here, I look for the team to double down on that end and ride its strenght. Portland could be out of gas here as well after playing so hard over the first eight games to even qualify for the playoffs. When you add it all up, the under is definitely the correct call in my opinion. 

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the UNDER Blazers/Lakers.

The set-up: So far this series has been dominated by the Islanders, but I don't expect the Capitals to go down quietly. Before the pandemic started, the Caps were ranked No. 2 on offense. Down 3-0, the Capitals will need to push the pace from start to finish. This will leave the open and suscepitble on the back end though, as the defense will also have to push and play up throughout (that will in turn of course open up scoring opportunities for the opportunistic Islanders.) 

The pick: The first two games of this series went over the number and all signs point to a wide open affair here as well. Additionally note that the Caps have seen the total go over the number in seven of their last ten after three or more straight losses. This one flies over sooner, rather than later!

This is a 10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the OVER Capitals/Islanders.

The set-up: I like the Orioles to bounce back here after yesterday's 7-2 defeat. Toronto got the win despite slugger Bo Bichette out of the line-up with inury. Bichette will be out for a week or two and I don' think that's going to help this visiting side here. Toronto hands the ball to rookie Nate Pearson (0-0, 5.11 ERA), who has a big fast ball, but who is untested after just three big league games. 

The pick: Baltimore goes with Wade LeBlanc (1-0, 7.13), who benefits greatly from the fact that the O's are one of the AL's top offensive teams this year, as their .779 on-base-plus-slugging percentage ranks fifth in MLB. I like LeBlanc in this matchup and I think the Orioles' offense takes advantage. 

This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Baltimore Orioles.

The set-up: These teams played a four-game series at the start of August and they split. Snell threw opposite Tanaka back on August 8th and he was under a pitch count at the time...he looked pretty good though, he went three scoreless, allowing no hits and two walks while striking out five. Snell is 1-0 with a 2.08 ERA this year so far, posting his first win of the season last time out, allowing four hits and going five scoreless in Boston, striking out six and walking none. And so with that stellar performance, Snell has been cleared to return to normal starter activity tonight.

The pick: Tanaka was in a similar boat as Snell coming into the season...started on the IL because of concussion protocol after taking a come-back to the head in his final Spring tune-up. He threw 69 pitches opposite Snell and went five scoreless, allowing one hit, no walks and he also struck out five. And then in his last start Tanaka allowed two runs over four innings in a no-decision to the Braves. They weren't even close to 100% when they squared off on August 8th...they've both been cleared for full duties and they're each coming off a strong start. I think recent form is important. I think the UNDER is definitely the correct call in this one.

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER Rays/Yanks.

The set-up: I took this game early and have an unfavorable line, but I still love this play and while I'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, I do think the deep and talented Magic will easily keep this one close enough to cover with the ample points they've been afforded. Both teams were 3-5 in the bubble. The Bucks swept all four regular season games, but the Magic were dealing with several injuries to key players back then. Orlando has Vucevic back which is signficant, but is dealing with an injury to Aaron Gordon, meaning that Terrence Ross and Evan Fournier will have to step up here. 

The pick: I think the Bucks classically get caught a bit complacent in this very first game. Milwaukee is also just 2-6 ATS in its last eight following a ten points or greater loss (fell 119-106 to the Grizz.) The odds are clearly against Orlando winning this series or this game, but if it has any shot, it will be in trying to pull off the upset in Game 1. As I stated off the top, I'm not calling for an outright upset, but I do expect this one to be competitive until the final moments. Grab the points.

This is a 10* PLAYOFF GAME OF THE YEAR on the Magic.

The set-up: Are the Clippers really deeper and more talented than the Mavericks? Both teams are dealing with injuries right now, but I'd argue that Montrezl Harell's absence for LA is the most significant. Also note that Patrick Beverley and Landry Shamet are both questionable for this one as well. The Mavs have a possible injury to Seth Curry, but guys like Tim Hardaway Jr and Trey Burke have been very steady for the Mavs. 

The pick: I'll point out as well that the Clippers are a devastatingly poor 8-22 ATS in their last 30 playoff games as a favorite. The Clippers supporting cast is banged up, while the Mavs have two stars in Luca Doncic and Kristaps Porzingis playing at their highest level of their careers. The outright win is possible, but in the end let's grab the points!

This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Mavericks.

The set-up: The White Sox lost both games of their double header to the Cards on Saturday, but they bounced back with a 7-2 win in the finale on Sunday. I think the ChiSox keep that momentum rolling here in this favorable matchup. The visitors hand the ball to the volatile Matthew Boyd (0-2, 10.24 ERA) who faced these very White Sox last Wednesday and took the loss, getting shelled for seven runs off seven hits over 4.2 innings. In his previous outing he also gave up seven runs over 4.2 innings. 

The pick: The home side counters with Gio Gonzalez (0-1, 6.61) who looked decent vs. Detroit last week, allowing two runs over 4 2/3's innings, almost qualifying for the victory. The White Sox bullpen remains a strength as well, as Jimmy Cordero has conceded one of 33 inherited runners to score. All things considered, I think this is a great price on the hungry home side.

This is a 10* SITUATIONAL BEATDOWN on the ChiSox.

The set-up: Gary Harris and Will Barton are both out for the Nuggets, but Jamal Murray has played well in their absence. The Nuggets also got big contributions from Michael Porter Jr. over the first eight games. 

The pick: The Jazz haven't looked great in the bubble, they went 3-5 SU and there was one point where they conceded over 125 points in three straight games. Utah lost 134-132 in OT to the Nuggets in early August and while this game won't reach that many points, I do expect another wide-open affair and for this total to fly over sooner, rather than later.

This is a 10* TOTAL ELITE OF THE ELITE on the OVER Utah/Denver.

The set-up: So far the first two games of this series have fallen UNDER the number (or pushed in Game 2, depending on the line you got), but now that the "feel out" stage is done between these clubs, I finally expect a much more wide-open affair in Game 3. Especially from the Flyers, as they now face their first adversity since the re-start. Philadelphia looked completely unstoppable up to this point, so the Flyers will clearly be looking to push the pace from the opening face off, until the final horn. And for the Habs, they've proven that they can easily score in this series as well.

The pick: Additionally note that the Flyers have seen the total go OVER the number in eight of their last 11 after getting shutout and losing by five or more goals in their previous game. Don't be shocked if this one flies over sometime in the second period.

This is a 10* EASTERN-CONFERENCE PLAYOFF TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the OVER Flyers/Habs.

The set-up: Arizona got out to a sluggish start to this abbreviated 60 game season, so the D-Backs have some work to do if they want a shot at the playoffs. Last night they came from behind to win 7-6 and I think they'll have an easier of time of it on Sunday. Garrett Richards (1-1, 3.74 ERA) has had a ton of success vs. the D-Backs in the past, but I simply feel that he's in the wrong place at the wrong time tonight (note that Arizona has scored 25 runs over its last three games.) 

The pick: Arizona starter Robbie Ray (1-2, 10.59) won't be lacking for motivation here obviously. Ray had a good spring tune-up as well, so his poor start to the regular season is a bit strange. He's 5-6 with a 4.40 ERA in 17 career starts vs. the Friars. The Padres are spiralling down the proverbial toilet right now with four straight losses and I believe they're primed to get swept in this series tonight. Great value on the hungry and under-valued home side.

This is a 10* ULTIMATE BEST OF THE BEST on the D-Backs.

The set-up: Both games of yesterday's double-header went "under" the number. Double-headers this year only go seven innings, but despite that, I still think that the finale of this AL series sets up as a "slug-fest." Brady Singer (1-1, 4.50 ERA) earned a loss in his MLB debut by allowing four runs over five innings to the ChiSox, before then allowing two runs over five innings in a win over these very Twins last Friday. Now that Singer is on the road though, I think the rookie takes a predictable step back here, especially now that the Twins' have had a look at him. 

The pick: Randy Dobnak (3-1, 0.90) has so far been "lights out" for the Twins, most recently allowing one run in a win over Milwaukee. Are these numbers sustainable? Dobnak is throwing well right now, but regression also seems imminent to me and I expect that downward trend to start tonight. Additionally note that the Twins have seen the total go over the number in eight of their last 11 home games after two or more straight "unders." This number is a little low.

This is a 10* ULTIMATE SLUG-FEST on the OVER Royals/Twins.

The set-up: These two teams played to a lower-scoring "under" last night, with the Rangers coming out on top 3-2. While tonight's game could see a little more offense, I do still think that this number is much too high. Kyle Gibson (0-2, 4.11 ERA) gave up four runs off nine hits over 4.1 innings in a loss to the Mariners on Monday. In his previous start he struck out nine in an unfortunate setback. The veteran was 13-7 with respectable 4.14 ERA for the Twins in 2019. 

The pick: German Marquez (2-2, 2.08) gets the call for the home side and he allowed five runs (just two earned) over seven innings in a loss to the Mariners as well. Marquez still owns a sharp 27:6 K:BB and there's no reason not to think that he won't be able to carry over that progression here. I expect these two competent starting pitchers to be the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries.

This is a 10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the UNDER Rangers/Rockies.

The set-up: So far both of these contests have gone "under" the number. Game 1 so five OT's and then the Blue Jackets won Game 2 by a score of 3-1. While the first two games of this series have gone UNDER and while it's so far been dominated by great goaltending, I believe that trend changes dramatically in Game 3. This has been an exhausting series and I believe each team will struggle to maintain the same defensive intensity.

The pick: Addtionally note that Tampa has seen the total go over the number in 13 of its last 20 after back-to-back "unders" and off a two goals or greater loss. The gloves are off and the "feeling out" period is over. Game 3 has "shootout" written all over it!

This is a 10* TOTAL ELITE OF THE ELITE on the OVER Lightning/Jackets.

The set-up: The Phillies won 6-5 yesterday and with the vastly superior starting pitcher on the mound Saturday afternoon, I look for them to find a way to get the job done here as well. The visitors hand the ball to the volatile Steven Matz (0-3, 8.20 ERA), who was most recently crushed by the Nationals on Monday, allowing eight runs off eight hits, including three dingers, over only 4.1 frames of work. So far Matz has been shelled for 13 runs and five home runs over 7.1 innings. 

The pick: Philadelphia counters with ace Aaron Nola (1-1, 2.79) who allowed one run off two hits with a walk while striking out ten over eight innings in a victory over Atlanta on Monday. Nola continues to dominate, entering with a sharp 27:2 K:BB over 19.1 innings of work this year. With a chance to extend his Cy Young candidate season in front of the home town crowd and in this favorable matchup, I'm going to lay the price and expect a big time blowout from start to finish.

This is a 10* PLAY-BOOK on the Philadelphia Phillies.

The set-up: Ja Morant hasn't played very well in the Bubble, but the dynamic guard has a chance to reverse his fortunes here in which he hopes will be a two-game play in series. If Portland wins, then this series is over and the Blazers will go on to face the Lakers. But if Memphis wins, these two teams will play a second game. Portland has played well behind Damian Lillard, but the Grizzlies matchup well with Portland in my opinion. 

The pick: Additionally note that Portland is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten as a favorite in the +6 to +12 range. In a game which comes down to the wire, I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can.

This is a 10* BEST OF THE BEST on the Memphis Grizzlies.

The set-up: Clayton Kershaw went seven scoreless in his season debut vs. the D-Backs, so he took a bit of a predictable step back in his second, allowing four runs over four innings in a loss to the Giants. He did go on to strike out seven. Overall Kershaw continues to look solid, so there's no reason not to think that he won't be able to give the Dodgers are least six innings in this favorable matchup. 

The pick: Patrick Sandoval (0-1, 2.70) was called up and he looked decent in a 2-0 loss to the Rangers on Saturday, allowing two runs over six innings. Sandoval was 0-4 with a 5.03 ERA last year and there's no doubt that this is the stiffest competition he's seen in a while. The sample size is small for the Angels' young hurler and I don't have any confidence in him here. And that means that I have no issues at all in laying this mid sized road chalk.

This is a 10* MASSACRE ON THE DIAMOND on the LA Dodgers.

The set-up: The Clippers have seen the total go over the number in four straight and in five of their first seven overall, while the Thunder have seen the total go over in four of their first seven, including in three straight. While these teams have been firing on all cylinders offensively during the re-start, I believe their finale finally sets up as a lower-scoring "under." 

The pick: And that's because LA is locked into the No. 2 spot and I think it will just go through the motions tonight as it looks to avoid any serious injury. And the same thing for the Thunder, who are tied with the Rockets in fourth spot and will be facing Houston in the first round. This meaningless contest has "under" written all over it.

This is a 10* TOTAL BEST OF THE BEST on the UNDER Thunder/Clippers.

The set-up: This game was close until the third period and then the Canucks pulled away for the 5-2 win. The defending champs are still loaded with talent and veteran leadership though and I believe they're going to find a way here to bounce back. The Canucks young core is hungry, but they're in unchartered territory here now. I believe that St. Louis has the goaltending and pedigree to bounce back in this spot.

The pick: And I also think this does indeed set up as a classic "letdown" position for Vancouver, which is 5-10 in its last 15 after scoring five or more goals and winning by three or more goals in its previous outing. The dogs were barking in Game 1, but look for St. Louis to deliver this time around.

This is a 10* BEST OF THE BEST on the St. Louis Blues.

The set-up: Game 1 was tied at 0-0 until the final ten minutes of the third period, in which the Avs would then go on to explode for their three goals in the span of about eight minutes. The Coyotes waited patiently for Colorado's aggressive style of play to cause it to make the first mistake in Game 1, but that didn't end up happening in the end. Instead, Colorado looked really good on both ends of the ice and now the Coyotes will be forced to open things up to try and equalize. From a situational stand point, I absolutely believe this sets up great as more of an offensive affair in Game 2.

The pick: Additionally note that the Coyotes have seen the total go over the number in 12 of their last 19 after getting shutout and losing by three or more goals in their last outing. Expect this total to fly over the number sooner, rather than later.

This is a 10* TOTAL DESTRUCTION on the OVER Coyotes/Avs.

The set-up: I had a play on the Flames in Game 1 and if you didn't have a chance to read that analysis, I believe it's worth a look here, because for the most part the logic behind that selection, basically directly applies to this one as well:

Calgary took two of three from Dallas in the regular season and considering these clubs recent form, I believe the Flames are going to find a way to get the job done in Game 1 of their opening round series. Interesting that these clubs have never met in the playoffs before. Yes the Flames finished the regular season with the 20th ranked offense, bu from January 1st on they moved up into the top seven. In fact Calgary averaged 4.0 GPG in its series win over the Jets. The Flames' special teams was solid with the power play producing at 29.4 per cent and the penalty kill at 88.2 per cent (while also adding a shorthanded goal.) A strong performance from Cam Talbot certainly didn’t hurt either. The netminder went 12-10-1 with average numbers in the regular season but posted a .945 save percentage, 1.51 goals-against average and one shutout in four starts against the Jets. The Stars looked terrible in their three round robin games, allowing an average of 36.5 shots per game to the opposition. Dallas was ranked 26th in the NHL in scoring before the break and it looked terrible on that end of the ice during the re-start. I'll back the better in form team here!

The pick: Additionally note that the Flames are 7-2 in their last nine after allowing two or less goals in a victory in their last outing. Calgary looks better on both ends of the ice and I expect that trend to carry over here.

This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Calgary Flames.

The set-up: I like Tyler Glasnow to finally settle down here and I look for the Rays to take advantage of this very favorable starting pitching matchup and to jump out to an early lead and then to never look back. Glasnow (0-1, 5.56 ERA) gave up four runs off five hits over three innings in a loss to the Yanks on Saturday. Glasow was 6-1 with a 1.78 ERA last year and I think the veteran will get the better of his younger counterpart today. 

The pick: Kyle Hart (0-0, 0.00) makes his MLB debut today. Last year he had a 3.86 ERA and 1.27 WHIP over 100.1 innings in Triple-A. The book is out on Hart here, while the pressure is on Glasnow. I like Tampa and I actually believe this line could/should be much higher.

This is a 10* ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE on the Tampa Bay Rays.

The set-up: Tampa won Game 1 in five overtime periods by a score of 3-2. The Lightning had almost 90 shots on net and the Jackets had almost 70 shots on goal. Every person in every position is exhausted, but I think this fact will lead to more goals, not less in Game 2. I believe the goaltenders and the defensive aggressivenss will be the victims here, not the offense. 

The pick: And note that Columbus has seen the total go over the number in seven of its last nine after losing in OT and scoring two or less goals in its previous game. As stated off the top, I believe each team drags its ass on the defensive end and I look for this total to fly over sooner, rather than later.

This is a 10* PLAYOFF TOTAL BEST OF THE BEST on the OVER Blue Jackets/Lightning.

The set-up: Both of these starting pitchers have a lot of talent and potential, but I think each will get the hook early on Wednesday night and I believe that'll lead to this total flying over the posted number sooner, rather than later. Jordan Yamamoto (0-0, 9.00 ERA) allowed four runs off six hits, including two dingers, in a fortunate no-decision vs. the O's on Thursday. Last year he was 4-5 with a 4.96 ERA and I think he'll struggle in this difficult matchup. 

The pick: Nate Pearson (0-0, 2.70) gets the call for the Jays and he most recently allowed three runs over five innings in a no-decision to the Braves on Thursday. Pearson has been decent over his first two MLB starts, but regression at some point does seem imminent. The sample size is simply too small still and I'm unconvinced Pearson can keep up these numbers for much longer. As stated off the top, I look for both pitchers to get the hook early and I look for that to help in seeing this total eclipse the posted number once it's all said and done.

This is a 10* ULTIMATE SLUG-FEST DESTRUCTION on the OVER Fish/Jays.

The set-up: Enough is enough! The White Sox were picked by many to go deep into the post-season, if not legitimately contend for the World Series, but shoddy starting pitching and lack of production has been the early theme for Chicago. Detroit wasn't supposed to do well at all and it's probably done better than most would have though to this point. But all of that said, I think that the visiting side will step up here and take full advantage of this favorable starting pitching matchup. Chicago goes with Dylan Cease (2-1, 4.05 ERA) who enters off a gem vs. Cleveland on Friday, allowing two hits and striking out four over five scoreless for the victory. 

The pick: The home side counters with the beleagured Matthew Boyd (0-1, 9.20) who allowed seven runs off eight hits with three walks over 4.2 innings vs. the Pirates on Friday. Last year Boyd was a shaky 9-12 with a 4.56 ERA and it appears as if his issues are carried over into 2020. I'm banking on Cease being a difference maker here!

This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Chicago White Sox.

The set-up: For this pick I'm concentrating solely on the starting pitching in this matchup and in my opinion, Dylan Bundy's current form makes him the correct call here. Mike Fiers (1-0, 5.40 ERA) earned his first win of the year despite allowing four runs off seven hits with two walks over six innings vs. the Rangers on Thrusday. Through 16 frames Fiers has posted just five K's. 

The pick: Bundy (2-1, 2.84) gave up one run off four hits with ten K's in a complete game victory over the Mariners in his last outing. So far the 27-year old has a sharp 25:2 K:BB and I believe he'll be the difference maker for LA in this matchup. I'm laying the short price.

This is a 10* ULTIMATE BEATDOWN on the LA Angels.

The set-up: Both of these starters has been decent and each of these clubs has struggled somewhat with offensive consistency. Despite that though, I think this one sets up as a classic "slug-fest." Jon Lester gets the call for Chicago (1-0, 0.82 ERA) and he's allowed just one run over two starts. If Lester had one weakness last season though it was definitely his play on the road, where he was only 5-6 with a 4.90 ERA. Regression seems imminent for the over-acheiving veteran hurler. 

The pick: The home side counters with Adam Plutko, who makes a spot start here in place of Clevinger, who is placed on the 14 Day Covid list for breaking protocol. Plutko allowed two runs over six innings in a win over the White Sox on Tuesday, but I think that being thrust into the spot-light here is not going to be conducive in registering a decent outing. When you add it up, this number is just a little low, as I look for these two hungry clubs to eclipse sooner, rather than later.

This is a 10* TOTAL SLUG-FEST on the OVER Cubs/Indians.

The set-up: Portland has seen four of five go over the number, including in three straight. The Mavericks rested both Luca Doncic and Kristaps Porzingis in their game vs. the Jazz yesterday and while each may see some action today, the rest of the Mavs are clearly going to be "gassed" in the second game of the back to back scenario. While both teams have played to several OVERs, I think the overall situation finally points to a lower-scoring affair.

The pick: Situationally it sets up great for an "under," but also note that the Blazers have seen the total go under the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to three or more consecutive "overs." This number is indeed just a little high.

This is a 10* TOTAL BEST OF THE BEST on the UNDER Blazers/Mavericks.

The set-up: Washington's game vs. the Orioles was suspended yesterday after the seventh innings, a 5-2 Baltimore win. The Mets were also involved in a very low-scoring affair yesterday, as they beat Miami 4-2 with their ace Jacob deGrom on the mound. While yesterday's games both went "under" for these teams, I think that Monday's contest sets up more as an offensive affair.

The pick: Patrick Corbin allowed three runs off eight hits over 5.2 innings in a win over these very Mets last Tuesday. Corbin was rock solid last year, but note he had a rather pedestrian 4.48 ERA on the road. He'll be opposed by confirmed "gas can" Steven Matz (0-1, 3.18) who was rocked for five runs off seven hits over three innings in a loss to these very Nationals last Tuesday. Additionally note that New York has seen the total go over the number in seven of its last ten after allowing two runs or less in a victory. This number is a little low in my opinion.

This is a 10* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the OVER on the Nats/Mets.

The set-up: No need to overanalyze this pick, as I think Phillies' ace Aaron Nola is well worth the price of admission in this matchup. Nola (0-1, 3.97 ERA) has one terrible start so far and one great one. In his last start he allowed one run off three hits and no walks while striking out 12 over six innings in an unfortunate no-decision to the Yanks on Wednesday. Note that Nola was particularly good in this spot by going 6-2 with a 2.92 ERA at home last year. 

The pick: The visitors counter with Sean Newcomb (0-0, 8.22) who allowed two runs off five hits over 4.2 innings in a fortunate no-decision to the Jays on Wednesday. In his previous outing Newcomb allowed six runs over four innings vs. the Mets. Considering the talent discrepancy on the mound, I feel that this line should/could in fact be much steeper.

This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Philadelphia Phillies.

The set-up: These two teams enter off high-scoring OT contests last time out and I think each enters with "heavy legs." The Mavs are two games behind the Jazz and they come off a thrilling 136-132 OT win over the Bucks, while the Jazz actually went two OT's, but they instead fell 134-132 to the Nuggets. From a situational stand point, I absolutely love how this sets up as more of a "defensive affair," rather than a "run and gun shootout." 

The pick: Both teams have had less than 40 hours since their last game and I expect that fact to lead to extreme fatigue from both sides. This is a great situational play on the under.

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER Mavericks/Jazz.

The set-up: The Suns are 5-0 in the Bubble, that's both SU and ATS, but I think Phoenix finally takes a step back here vs. surging OKC, who enters off a relatively simple 121-103 win over Washington on Sunday afternoon. Note that that Thunder are a super 7-2 ATS in their last nine when playing the second game of a back to back and off a 15 points or more victory. 

The pick: Additionally note that the Suns have a tough game tomorrow night vs. the 76ers, who are just as hungry for victories right now as well. Everything's been going right for the Suns, but now they face a red hot Thunder team with even greater depth and experience. So while clearly the outright win isn't out of the question, in the end I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. 

This is a 10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the OKC Thunder.

The set-up: The Indians beat the White Sox on Saturday afternoon, but I think the home side will dig deep and find a way to get the job done in the finale. The visitors hand the ball to Shane Bieber (2-0, 0.00 ERA) who allowed two runs off five hits over 7.2 innings in a win over the Reds on Tuesday. Bieber's been great, but note that the two runs he gae up in his last game were of the "solo dinger" variety. 

The pick: Lucas Giolito (0-1, 6.52) gets the call for the home side and he enters off a gem as well, allowing two runs while striking out nine over six innings in a 3-2 win over the Brewers on Tuesday. So far over 12 innings Giolito owns a sharp 15:5 K:BB and note that he was particularly strong in this spot last season by posting a 3.37 ERA in all "night" games. Look for the home side to bounce back here behind a vintage performance from Giolito.

This is a 10* ULTIMATE DESTRUCTION on the Chicago White Sox.

The set-up: The Blazers come in off a tough 122-117 loss to the Clippers yesterday afternoon and I think they'll have a hard time mustering up the same energy here. Philadelphia has struggled with consistency in the bubble and it just found that it's lost the services of scorer Ben Simmons for the rest of the season to injury. From an overall "situational" stand point, this contest defintiely sets up as more of a "chess match" than a "run and gun shootout." 

The pick: The eight-game "re-start" was definitely going to be about strategy for most teams and for handicappers that means being flexible with their approach. Certainly approaching the games from a "situational" stand point makes sense to me and that's primarily what this pick is based on. However, not, Portland has also seen the total go under in 12 of its last 18 after allowing 120 points or more in a loss and in the second game of a back-to-back scenario. This number is a tad high.

This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the UNDER 76ers/Blazers.

The set-up: After yesterday's high-scoring 8-4 Yanks win, I'm expecting much more of a "duel" in the finale of this three game set. James Paxton (0-1, 13.50 ERA) gets the nod for the visitors, who comes off a pair of poor starts to the 2020 campaign. Paxton had surgery in February and it's caused a decrease in velocity on his fast ball, which has led to a pair of poor outings. The veteran should improve with each outing though, as his track and pedigree definitely point to a comeback effort here sooner, rather than later. 

The pick: Charlie Morton (1-1, 8.00) gets the call for the visitors and he comes off his first win of the year, allowing one run off five hits with no walks and five K's over six innings vs. the Reds on Tuesday. After a shaky first outing, Morton definitely returned to the form which saw him go 16-6 with a 3.05 ERA last season. I'm banking on Morton continuing his progression and I absolutely expect Paxton to be much better here. With these two starters battling deep, look for this one to stay under once it's all said and done.

This is a 10* TOTAL BLOWOUT on the UNDER Yanks/Rays.

The set-up: Both teams have lost both of their round robin contests, but the winner of this one will have the higher seed once the playoff begins. The last time these teams played together was on X-Mas Eve and the B's won 7-3. With one last chance before the playoff start and with the top seed on the line, I look for the league's No. 1 defense to dominate and to post a similar score here once it's all said and done. 

The pick: Additionally note that Boston is 7-2 in its last nine after back-to-back losses, while Washington is just 4-7 in its last 11 in the same position. I think the Bruins come with their "A" game here, so lay the short price.

This is a 10* PLAY-BOOK on the Boston Bruins.

The set-up: With a win in their last game, the Bucks have now clinched the top spot in the East. Everything from here on out is to work on playoff strategy, so don't expect to see much of Giannis Antetokounmpo in this one if you're a Milwaukee fan. 

The pick: The Mavericks on the other hand have lost five of their last seven, most recently getting blown out by the Clippers. Dallas is still in a fight for positioning and it absolutely needs to start playing better if it has any shot at advancing in the postseason. So far it's been a letdown for Luca Doncic and company in the bubble, but a game vs. the Bucks' "B-Team" is just what the doctor ordered to get back on track. Outright victory?! Of course! That said, let's grab the points.

This is a 10* UNDERDOG ELITE OF THE ELITE on the Dallas Mavericks.

The set-up: A couple of confirmed "gas cans" go head to head in this NL matchup on Saturday night and suffice it to say, I'm expecting runs to be plentiful. Anthony DeSclafani (0-0, 0.00 ERA) went five scoreless in his debut vs. the toothless Tigers last Sunday. DeSclafani was only 3-5 with a 4.28 ERA on the road and I believe he'll struggle here as well in this difficult road venue. 

The pick: Brett Anderson (0-0, 6.00) goes for the Brewers and he most recently allowed two runs over three innings to the White Sox on Monday. So far Anderson has struggled with consistency in the early going and all signs point to this trend continuing here. I believe these starters get the hook early and that will ultimately help in contributing to this total flying over sooner, rather than later. 

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the OVER Reds/Brewers.

The set-up: Despite there being no fans in the stands, I don't think that the home field advantage can be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in this particular matchup. Framber Valdez (0-1, 2.53 ERA) gets the nod for the visitors and after getting rocked for three runs over four innings in a loss to the Dodgers, Valdez bounced back in his last start to allow one run over six innings of relief vs. the Angels in his last outing. He was an unremarkable 4-7 with a 5.69 ERA last year, including just 1-6 with a ballooned 7.76 ERA in all "night" games. 

The pick: Frankie Montas (1-1, 2.25) counters for the home side and he most recently comes off a commanding 11-1 win over the Mariners, allowing one run off four hits with nine K's over seven innings. Montas was 9-2 with a 2.63 ERA last year overall and he was particularly tough in all "day" games, going 3-0 with a 1.50 ERA. All things considered, I think this is the very definition of "great line value." Lay it.

This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Oakland A's.