Houston enters into this road game against UTah flying high, having made at least 10 3 pointers in 16 straight games. Breaking the record and getting 17 straight may not come so easily vs a Utah side, that generally plays a top tier defensive game and leads the league in scoring D, allowing just 93.4 ppg. The Jazz have also won 3 straight and are no pushovers, especially here at home. I know the visitors are explosive  offensively , but I am betting defense and not offense is the difference maker tonight in Salt Lake City.Jazz are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Rockets are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game which happened last time out in a win vs Portland 130-114.

 UTAH is 22-10 ATS L/32 versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more. HOUSTON is 9-21 ATS L/30 when the total is 200 to 209.5 dating back to last season.Houstons HC D'Antoni is 22-40 ATS L/62 after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more .  Home team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 Rockets  - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, with a winning record on the season are just 36-71 ATS for a go against conversion rate of 66%. 

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Pitt comes in with a loss to SMU as the only blemish  on its record this  season, and that’s a respectable loss. Maryland’s still undefeated, but they’ve gone down to the wire against almost every opponent and will be lucky to win or pull away with a cover tonight, according to my own power rankings and matchup discrepencies. Getting to the charity stripe, and preventing others from doing the same is a strength of the Panthers. The Panthers are 36th in field goals conversion rate. Meanwhile,  they also rank 15th in opponents’ field goals per free throw attempt, which shows their a disciplined group. This is key a projected close matchup, with getting points looking golden. 

MARYLAND is 3-13 ATS L/16 in home games in non-conference games.

Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Maryland a hot team- after 6 or more consecutive wins, playing only their 3rd game in a week are a bankroll depleting 9-30 ATS L/39.

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Oregon was ranked as high as No. 4 in the country before losses to Baylor and Georgetown and may not be ranked after tonight. Boise State, which beat Oregon 74-72 last season, lost to College of Charleston and Mississippi State before winning two straight against Western Michigan and Presbyterian and look like a strong bet getting points tonight. 

BOISE ST is 19-9 ATS L/28 versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game.

Play on Boise State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Portland and Houston love to run and gun. Both shoot threes in machine gun fashion and play with wreckless transistional abandon. Today I am betting the difference maker will come via rebounding. The Blazers started out their season consistently playing lazy ball and getting out rebounded, but lately a new kind of tenaciousness has over taken the team, and they have won the rebound batte in 4 of their L/5 tilts. 

HOUSTON is 11-22 ATS L/33 after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games dating back to last season. 

Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 Houston - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, with a winning record on the season are 35-71 ATS L/106 for a go against conversion rate of 67% for bettors.

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In their L/5 trips to the floor, the New Orleans Pelcians are ranking sixth in defensive rating (99.0) in the league. Their offense is hitting effectively, but its the D that stands out. Against a Dallas team averaging 89.4 ppg game at home on offnese Im betting on the Mavericks output to be muted once again. With that said, look for the  Mavs to try to slow this down to a crawll knowing that at this time out scoring the Pelicans is not an option. ( The Mavs have eclipsed the 95 point plateau on offense just twice in their L/ 12 trips to the floor)

Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 199.5  Mavs - after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread, lower tier team, winning 25% or less of their games on the season 41-18 under for a 70% conversion rate on the Total for bettors.

Under is 7-2 in Pelicans last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Under is 11-4 in Pelicans last 15 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.NEW ORLEANS is 11-1 UNDER L/12 in road games versus lower tier teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game with an average of 186.1 ppg going on the scoreboard. In 14 games as an underdog this season, the average combined score of their games has rung in at 195.4 ppg. Under is 39-17-1 in Mavericks last 57 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Dallas.

Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

MUSIC CITY CHALLENGE - Final Rnd - Nashville Auditorium - Nashville, TN

Projected score: Evansville 69 Midd Tenn State 66

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Orlando enters this game struggling , with a 6-10 record, thanks to a very inconsistent offense, averaging just 91 ppg. Meanwhile, the Bucks own a 6-8 record, and are also an inconsistent side, but one thing they do have that the Magic do not, is a sometimes explosive offense that has averaged 101.5 ppg.

Magic are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Road favorites like the Bucks - with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season, on Sunday games are 29-8 ATS L/37 opportunities.

Play on Milwaukee to cover 1 unit reg selection 

UAB returns 11 of 12 players, including four of five starters, from last season's 26-7 squad, which won the Conference USA regular-season title. With their experience, and hardcore never say die mentality Im expecting they do well, against a methodical SMU team that struggles with speed and bases its successes on their D. Look for the Blazers' 6-foot-8 Chris Cokley who is averaging 13.2 points on 58.7 percent shooting from the field,to be a key cog in UABs cover in this tilt. UAB is 11-1 ATS L/12 versus top tier defensive teams - allowing 64 points/game or less. 

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The Cornhuskers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. ACC opponents and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games. Scoring D, will be the difference makers here today vs Vtech, as the Cornhuskers rank 38th in the nation. In games against Dayton and UCLA the Huskers proved their worth physically and Iam betting the Hokies , wear down as this game progresses, levaing room for a Nebraska upset and more importantly a cover. 

Nebraska to cover 1 unit reg selection 

According to my power rankings these teams are dead even. Thus getting points is a strong option. FLORIDA is 0-6 ATS L/6 against ACC opponents.MIAMI is 15-4 ATS L/19 against SEC opponents. Canes HC  Larranaga is 26-13 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 .

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Minnesota enters this game against Golden State on tired legs after  playing last night and than having to play break neck 4th quarter ball outscoring Phoenix 31-10 in the final period to end a three-game losing streak. Wiggins  played 41 of the 48 minutes and three other starters, including Towns, at least 35, which means running the floor tonight is not an option. Meanwhile, Golden State has won 10 in a row, and have shown a top tier two game in the process, as was evident last time out, vs the Lakers in a 109-85 win. No Golden State starter played more than 36 minutes in the wire-to-wire effort, so needless say the Dubs are fresh, and scoring against them or keeping them from running will be a difficult proposition. Thus, what I am betting happens is that the Wolves knowing the situation, will revert to trying to slow this game down, to a crawl ,with a more physical appraoch behind their young bodies. It must also be remembered that the Wolves HC Thibodeau is a defensive specialist and has gone seen his teams go under in  37 of their L/56 versus frantic teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season like Golden State with the combined score of those tilts ringing in at a combined average of 191.4 ppg. 

Minnesota in their L/8 when playing back to back games have seen a combined  average of 212.1 ppg go on the scoreboard.  Minnesota in their L/ 47 road games have seen a combined average,  of 208.9 ppg. 

GOLDEN STATE in their L/102  home games where the total is greater than or equal to 200 over the last 3 seasons have seen an average of 214 ppg go on the board.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210  - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (82 shots/game or more), hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50% or better of their shots have stayed under at a 99-59 clip for a powerful 63% conversion rate.

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Washington to cover 1 unit reg selection 

After the Miami Heat beat the host Memphis Grizzlies 90-81 on Friday night, the teams fly south for the home-and-home rematch on Saturday night at AmericanAirlines Arena. I am expecting another hard fought physical affair tonight in the rematch. Memphis is 25th in the NBA in scoring. Miami is 28th in the league in scoring, and scoring will once again be at a premium.

NBA teams like Memphis - revenging a home loss vs opponent, a top tier team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) like Miami has seen 116 of the L/182 games go under for a 63% conversion rate. 

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

EMERALD COAST CLASSIC - Final Rnd - The Arena at NW FL ST - Niceville, FL

Virginia is looking for its fourth straight regular-season tournament title after winning the Charleston Classic last year and my power rankins suggest they will get it vs Providence here tonight. Neutral court teams as a favorite or pick (like the Cavs - good 3PT shooting team making (36.5% or more of their shots) against an average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%), after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 33% or less are 32-7 ATs L/39. VIRGINIA is 10-1 ATS L/11 after allowing 60 points or less 2 straight games winning su by just under 20 ppg and 7-0 ATS L/7 after allowing 55 or less points in two straight games with the average margin of victory clicking at 20 ppg.PROVIDENCE is 8-31 ATS L/39 after a combined score of 115 points or less points which happened last time out. 

Virginia to cover 1 unit reg selection 

MEN VS CANCER CLASSIC - Round 2 - Nutter Center - Dayton, OH

HC Nagy of Wright State  is 12-1 ATS  in home games versus disciplined teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game.

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EASTERN WASHINGTON CLASSIC - Round 1 - Reese Court - Cheney, WA

SAN FRANCISCO is 20-8 ATS L/28 in road games after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more. Sacramento States Katz is 1-8 ATS   versus good passing teams, averaging 16 or more assists/game .

SF to cover 1 unit reg selection 

SANFORD PENTAGON SHOWCASE - Round 2 - Sanford Pentagon - Sioux Falls, SD 

E.Tenn State has blowout wins in 3 of their 4 games thus far, and another one here acoording to my power rankings is a strong bet. 

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GLOBAL SPORTS CLASSIC - Final Rnd - Thomas & Mack Center - Las Vegas, NV

ARIZONA is 0-7 ATS L/7 when playing their 2nd road game in 3 days and 1-8 ATS L/9in road games when playing with one or less days rest. Jck States HC Harper is 17-6 ATS L/23 in all tournament games in all games . 

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Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 like PennState - attempting 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season, in November games are 75-40 ATS for a 65% conversion rate.HC Chambers is 27-7 ATS vs. teams like G Washington who are called for 3+ less fouls/game than their opponent.

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Portland enters this game having lost 5 of their L/6 games and are exhausted after a 5 game east coast road trip, that culminated in a track meet vs the Cleveland Cavaliers. Meanwhile, their opponents the New Orleans Pelicans are rolling and playing with confidence winning 5 of their L/6 and once again look like solid bets going against the leagues worst defense.

PORTLAND is 1-10 ATS L/11 versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game and s 0-8 ATS L/8 versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game.PORTLAND is 1-8 ATS L/9 when playing 6 or more games in 10 days this season.

New Orleans to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Wiggins a key cog in Minnesota's basketball machine has been slumping lately.  The Wolves have lost three straight, which is not a good omen, vs a Suns side, that is off a strong defensive showing last time out, which resulted in them holding their 4th opponent of the season to under 90 points. Meanwhile, the Wolves have been outscored by a league-worst 8.3 points per game. With that said,  my  data charts and head to head matchup statistics, suggest Phoenix will deliver the cash in this spot.

MINNESOTA is 4-17 ATS L/21 after a blowout loss by 20 points or more which happened when New Orleans crushed them by a 117-96 count. Phoenix is 4-0 SU L/4 as hosts in this series.

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The Raptors have won 10 of the last 11 meetings with the Bucks, including all four contests last season and once again are solid choices in this spot.  With Toronto's floor general DeRozan showing super man attributes in streaky fashion Im betting a Milwaukee side that  is giving up 102.6 points per game this season, will have their hands full here.

 TORONTO is 12-2 ATS L/14 after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Raptors - off an upset win as a road underdog  are 160-103 for a 61% conversion rate on the line, which happened against Houston last time out in a 115-102 victory as 4 point dogs. TORONTO is 12-2 ATS L/14 after a road game where both teams score 100 or more winning SU by an average of 9.7 ppg. 

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Despite of the recent hype behind USCs big win on the road vs Texas A&M and their 4-0 record, my own data base tells me for now despite of SMUs one loss, are the superior side , even here on the road. I don't think we have seen SMU in their full stride yet, but tonight they will be primed for a big showing vs a side they matchup well against.     

USCs HC Enfield is 3-11 ATS L/12 in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more of their attempts like SMU and just 2-11 ATS L/13 against disciplined opposition that is called for less than 17 fouls per game. The Trojans are just 3-7 ATS L/10 against a winning team, and 4-1 against the spread in their L/5 non conference games. 

SMU to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Elon to cover 1 unit reg selection 

IONA is 6-0 ATS L/6 in road games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game like Drake .IONA is 2-9 ATS L/11 in non-conference games .

Play on Drake to cover 1 unit reg selection 

WOODEN CLASSIC - Round 1 - Titan Gym - Fullerton, CA

Virginia Tech is a east coast team traveling out West in a difficult environment. New Mexico is closer to home, and will be very fresh for this game. I expect this tilt to be much closer than many might expect, thus getting points will be golden.

NEW MEXICO is 54-32 ATS L/86 when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  80% or better ) and is 36-15 ATS L/51 after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more, which they just achieved .

New Mexico to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Louisville is unbeaten so far this season,  despite of losing three key starters from last season, all three of whom were among the team's top four scorers. Wichita State is also undefeated , despite of some off season losses. Yesterday they clobbered LSU in merciless fashion 82-47 and once again look like a solid side to back . WICHITA ST is 21-9 ATS L/30 as a neutral court favorite of 6 points or less or pick. Louisville is 0-6 ATS after being favored in 3 straight games, and are 0-6 ATS L/6 away from home after failing to cover the spread last time out.  WICHITA ST is 6-0 ATS L/6 in road games after 2 straight blowout wins by 20 points or more . 

Neutral court teams as a favorite or pick like Wichita State - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better) against an average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%), after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 33% or less are 31-6 ATS L/37.  

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ADVOCARE INVITATIONAL - Round 1 - HP Field House - Lake Buena Vista, FL

No. 21 Iowa State is off to a 3-0 start against lower tier competition. The undefeated Cyclones beat Savannah State, Mount St. Mary's and The Citadel by an average margin of 42.3 points. Meanwhile, their opponents Indiana State despite of owning a respected hoops program and good coach has lost eight consecutive games to ranked teams, a stretch that dates back to Nov. 17, 2013.  It must be noted that HC Prohm of Iowa State is 7-0 ATS L/7 after a game - shooting 57% or higher, and  allowing an opponent a 43% or lower FG conversion rate  , which happened against Citadel last time out with the average margin of victory coming by 15 ppg. My own line places Iowa State as 16 point favs, thus we have value taking this -12 chalk line. 

Play on Iowa State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Oakland to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Kings' new, smaller starting five -- center DeMarcus Cousins, guards Darren Collison and Ty Lawson, and forwards Rudy Gay and Matt Barnes matches up well against some opponents, but I personally think this Oklahoma City squad is not one of them. I know Oklahoma City has lost six of eight since a 6-1 SU start and do not inspire alot of bettors because of their recent play, but I like them here against a very inconsistent Sacramento Kings squad tonight. 

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The New Orleans Pelicans have been playing , some very good ball of late and went into Atlanta, full of gusto and took out a sleep walking, Hawks side. It was a high energy, performance , and will have them in a physical and emotional situation tonight, which favors a well conditioned visiting Minnesota Wolves side.  NEW ORLEANS is 3-16 ATS L/19 off an upset win as a road underdog over the last few seasons. HC Gentry is 8-19 ATS L/27 as a favorite.

Play on the Minnesota Timberwolves to cover 1 unit reg selection 

San Antonio has opened up their season with a perfect 7-0 way record , but still are not playing inspired basketball of late, as their 7 new players on this years roster look to fit in and get use to playing Popovich's system. Meanwhile, Charlotte has lost two straight ,  and looked lethargic as favs last time out losing to Memphis, but are an under rated opponent for the Spurs,  according to my own power rankings , especially here on their own home floor. 

League Wide NBA Trend: Home underdogs like the Hornets - off a upset loss as a favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are a bankroll expanding 53-21 ATS L/74.

Play on the Charlotte Hornets 1 unit reg selection 

Favorites of 10 to 19.5 points Rutgers 65-30 ATS - a top caliber team (11 PPG plus  differential) against a terrible team (8 PPG or less differential), after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games.

N TEXAS is 3-12 ATS L/15 when playing against a team with a winning record and 1-8 ATS L/9 in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game.N TEXAS is 1-9 ATS L/10 as an underdog of 10 or more points . N TEXAS is 0-6 ATS L/6 in November games over.N TEXAS is 1-9 ATS L/9 in non-conference games.

Rutgers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

TENN-MARTIN is 9-1 ATS L/10 versus poor passing teams, averaging 12 assists/game or less. DUQUESNE 4-15 ATS L/19 in home games versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots like Tenn Martin. DUQUESNE is 2-11 ATS L/13 in a home game where the total is 160 or more. Duquesenr coach Ferry is 2-9 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 16 or more assists/game. 

Tennessee Martin to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

South Dakota State ,  HC Mihalich of Hofstra is 4-13 ATS L/17 vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game. HOFSTRA is 5-14 ATS L/19 after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds. Smith is 12-4 ATS L/16 in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread.

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UNLV is a far superior side to N.Arizona and my own numbers suggest a win of closer -17 points giving us value here with this favorite line. N ARIZONA is 0-7 ATS L/7 in road games after 2 consecutive non-conference games and 5-16 ATS L/21 after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog. N ARIZONA is 0-6 ATS L/6 when playing their 2nd road game in 3 days losing SU by ana verage of 25 ppg. 

Play on UNLV to cover 1 unit reg seleciton 

The young Nuggets after some early season injury woes are starting to get healthier, add to that their current form and tenacious work ethic, and have the formula for a team on rise. After watching the Nuggets play a top tier Raptors squad very tough and eventually suffering a heart breaking 113-111 loss, and than following that up with a rebound with  105-91 win vs Utah, I see tremendous potential in this team , and recommend backing them tonight. Meanwhile, the Bulls are off a upset win on the road vs the Lakers las time out, and have won 5 of their L/6, but it must be noted that CHICAGO is  just 13-33 ATS L/46 off a road win.

All NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Bulls - off an upset win as a road underdog are a long term bad bet going 102-159 ATS for a lowly 39% conversion rate....All NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like Denver  - off a home win by 10 points or more against opponent off an upset win as a road underdog are a bankroll expanding 26-6 ATS.

CHICAGO is 11-24 ATS L/35  when playing against a lower tier team (Win Pct. 25% to 40% on the season) . DENVER is 20-7 ATS L/27 after playing 3 consecutive home games.(this is their fourth straight home tilt)

Denver Nuggets to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The unranked Hoyas upset No. 13 Oregon 65-61 in the first round of the Maui Invitational Monday to set up a second-round game Tuesday against No. 16 Wisconsin, which beat Tennessee 74-62 in the first round. This game is going to be physical and tough and getting points with the underdog Im betting will be golden. WISCONSIN is 3-12 ATS L/15 after 2 consecutive non-conference games.WISCONSIN is 1-8 ATS L/9 in November games.

Play on Georgtown to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The New Orleans Pelicans  after starting their season, 0-8 are now on a two game run,  and have won 4 of their L/6 since True Holiday returned to the court. The Pelicans play with more energy on both offense and defense when he;s playing. Meanwhile, Atlanta ,  after a six game winning streak have lost two in a row after a six-game winning streak, and look to be out of sync entering this tilt. Considering that both sides are operating at the opposite end of the proverbial performance spectrum, it will not be a hard decision to take the points with the surging visitors . NEW ORLEANS is 21-10 ATS L/31 versus top tier  offensive teams - scoring 103+ points/game.

Play on the New Orleans Pelicans to cover 1 unit reg selection 

New York has won three of its last four games, but are still not getting alot of love from lines-makers as they are short favorites here on their own home floor vs 8-7 Portland, and rightly so. Meanwhile,  the Blazers ended a three-game losing streak with a 129-109 win over the Nets in Brooklyn on Sunday. Both teams defenses are a problem for them, but from a power ranking perspective and my own player to player team to team matchup scenarios I like the Blazers to deliver the cash tonight, thanks to a superior backcourt and offense. 

PORTLAND is 15-4 ATS L/19 after having lost 3 of their last 4 games.

Play on Portland to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Auburn has the edge here according to my early season, power rankings. I also like Pearls coaching abilities much more than the Red Raiders Beard. TEXAS TECH is 15-40 ATS L/55 in road games versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 39% or less. HC Pearl is 43-24 ATS  when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or better ) in all games he has coached . 

Auburn to cover 1unit reg selection 

Central Michigan has won 4 straight games to start their current College Hoops campaign all by DDs, and are in top form . C MICHIGAN is 7-0 ATS L/7 after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more.

Central Michigan to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Pistons are falling apart at the seams and losses keep piling up. The usually calm Stan Van Gundy has this to say about the his teams current situation. Quote: "It's tough," Detroit coach Stan Van Gundy said. "We've lost three in a row now, six out of eight. We're in a really tough stretch. That weighs on everybody."

The Pistons are in a three-week stretch where they play 13 games, with no more than one day off in-between those games and their already exhausted. Now in comes the Houston Rockets, a team starting to find themselves and currently on a two game win streak.. Quote: "We're getting better," Rockets Harden told ESPN. "We're continuing to get better and to grow. Each and every guy knows their role. They do it at a high level, and the result is we don't turn the basketball over and we get really good shots."

 Key League Wide Trend: Home underdogs vs. the money line like the Pistons after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are just 9-45 SU for a go against 83% conversion rate on the moneyline. 

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The Pacers own a .500 record on the season, but have played their best basketball at home compared to the road, as is evident by their  6-2 SU record in Indianapolis this season. They will look to their home crowd to pump them up as they play the Western Conference Champions vs Golden State . Both teams are in the top seven in the NBA in 3-point percentage shooting and overall field-goal percentage, so Indiana can keep pace here and I'm betting that what they do.The Pacers are 3-1 SU against the Western Conference this season, and get the nod from me to cover tonight. Dating back to last season, INDIANA is 32-18 ATS L/50 when playing against a team with a winning record.

Play on Indiana to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Miami enters this game ranked 3rd in D, in the league ad 27th in offense and 23rd in pace . Meanwhile, their opponents Philadelphia rank 24th in offense, and 29th in offensive rating, and 11th in pace. Using my own formula, this total and matchup consistencies/discrepencies  this total should be closer to 194.5 giving us some very nice cushion room , according to my data. This is a value total to the under ,in my humble opinion .

Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

I was on St.Josephs yesterday, and lost, Im coming right back with them again tonight. This team is under rated and NC State is over rated according to my own early season ratings/ranking. ST JOSEPHS is 16-4 ATS L/20 in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game are 11-1 ATS L/12 versus good shooting teams - making 45% plus of their shots . 

St,Jospeh's to cover 1 unit reg selection 

I expect a tight defense first mindset to dictate this contest. All College Hoops teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 like Creighton and NC State - playing their 2nd road game in 3 days, in a game involving two top-level teams  with a 80% or better win percentage the under is 24-2 L/26 for a 92% conversion rate. 

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection

Two programs, from different conferences. I know SEC programs have great recruiting abilities, but St.Josepshs HC Martelli, is a top tier coach, that follows a systems formula, that is really unmatched in my opinion.  From a betting perspective, taking the points in my humble opinion is a solid option. ST JOSEPHS is 9-1 ATS L/10 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=37% of their attempts is is 11-0 ATS L/11 versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game. ST JOSEPHS is 17-4 ATS L/21 versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over like Olr Miss. ST JOSEPHS is 8-1 ATS L/9 in road games in non-conference games.

Play on St.Joseph's to cover 1 unit reg selection 

My own power rankings suggest the wrong team is favored here. With that siad, lets take the points. CS-NORTHRIDGE is 4-13 ATS L/17 versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game and is 3-17 ATS L/20 after 2 consecutive non-conference games and s 0-9 ATS when playing only their 3rd game in a week. CS-NORTHRIDGE is 0-6 ATS L/6  in home games off a road loss by 10 points or more, which happend last time out in a 96-69 loss at Stanford. Northridge coach Theus is 4-16 ATS L/20 in November games .

Northern Illinois to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Albany to cover 1 unit reg selection 

LA Tech to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Two teams Phoenix and Philadelphia are both having problems notching wins. From a talent standpoint both are evenly matched, but the Suns show more consistency and promise at the moment. With both sides desperate for wins I expect the more experienced side (Sun) to get the W here and to deliver the cash to their betting backers. Stats check shows: Sixers ranked 26thin the league in D, and 27th in the league in offense and dead last in offensive rating and last in SRS ( a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule.)

Play on Phoenix Suns to cover 1 unit

 After jumping out of gate on fire  with a 10-1 record, the Clippers looked a little tired in their last game against Memphis and lost a 111-107 decision as -12.5 point favorites. It is very hard to sustain the kind of momentum the Clippers had in the new NBA, and it showed on them as the game progressed vs the Grizzlies. Now they have to go against the leagues premier big man in Cousins, and Im betting, that their early season tenaciousness will get the better of them again vs a equally tenacious Kings squad that never seems to quit, despite of an ugly record. Be brave here folks, and take the points. 

Sacramento Kings to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Spurs (9-3) are riding a four-game winning streak after a 110-105 victory over the Sacramento Kings on Wednesday night, but are just 2-2 ATS . Meanwhile, LA has also been playing well winning 3 of their L/4 and covering 9 of their 12 games this season.  According to my own power ranking systems, the Lakers are a viable options at +7 points. 

Take the points with the LA Lakers 1 unit reg selection 

The Denver Nuggets experimented with two 7-footers in the starting lineup but things did not go well, as was evident by a 3-5 record . Coach Michael Malone  was than forced to insert Kenneth Faried at power forward.It took a couple of games but the Nuggets finally got a win with Faried starting and Jokic coming off the bench. Now this team appears to be in a flow and should only get better with time. Meanwhile, the Raptors are in a bit of a funk after two straight losses, but their speedy play may be hindered in the thin air of the Mile High City, especially after an exhausting game against the Warriors last time out. DENVER is 14-1 ATS L/15 after allowing 100 points or more 5 straight games.TORONTO is 8-20 ATS  in road games after playing a game as an underdog. 

Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover 1 unit reg selection 

According to my own power rankings, and data estimates the Gophers should only be 4 point home favs here. But also  factoring in some old fashioned analysis, I feel St.Joh's style of play and overall player personnel matchup well here.  MINNESOTA is 1-9 ATS L/10 after 2 consecutive non-conference games and 1-8 ATS L/9 after 3 straight conference games, which has just happened . Gophers HC Pitino is 41-53 ATS in all games as the coached. 

Play on Canisius to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Oklahoma City might have won last time out against Houston, but are lucky to have won that game, and its become obvious, that the Thunder are not flowing well of late. Brooklyn may not inspire confidence in bettors, but I expect they make a game of this vs a struggling side.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-17 ATS L/22 against Atlantic division opponents. OKLAHOMA CITY is 1-10 ATS L/11 after 2 straight games where opponent was called for 18 or less fouls. OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-26 ATS L/41 when playing against a team with a losing record.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points Oklahoma City - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days are just 35-68 ATS for a 66% go against conversion rate .

Brooklyn to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Warriors lost just nine games in their record-setting regular season last year. One of those losses was to the Celtics, in Oakland on April 1 . Boston also came close to  beating Golden State again On Dec. 11, but , the Warriors rallied for a 124-119 double-overtime win against the Celtics. The Warriors are coming off a hard fought win vs Toronto last time out, and could be ripe again for a possible upset scenario. I know some the Celtics are banged up, but Im betting TD place will be rocking tonight, and that the momentum of the home crowd make this closer than the linesmkaers expect.  NBA Favorites like Golden State - in a game involving two struggling  defensive teams (102 PPG), after scoring 110 points or more 4 straight games are just 6-27 ATS L/33. 

BOSTON is 24-11 ATS L/ 35 versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots. GOLDEN STATE is 1-9 ATS L/10 in road games after scoring 110 points or more 4 straight games.

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Utah to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Detroit enters this game ranking 22nd in pace in the NBA and 25 th in offensive output, and 4th in defensive rating. This is a team that defends well and is very inconsistent of offense. Meanwhile, Cleveland is ranked 12th in pace and 13 in defensive rating, bot towards the middle of the league. The offense is 3rd in output, but with Motown unable to run and gun with Cleveland Van Gundy a smart coach knows what has to be done. Look for a slower more methodical approach from the Pistons and for their Cavs flow to be interrupted just enough for this contest to stay on the low side of the number. 

Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 Cleveland  - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games have gone under in 31 of the  L/36 times.

HC Van Gundy of Motown is 10-1 UNDER L/11 in road games after 5 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers.  HC Lue  of Cleveland is 10-1 UNDER L/11 after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread. Both totals from these games were well below todays number. 

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

N.Iowa is a very under rated team, according to my own power ranking and very well coached. OKLAHOMA is 0-7 ATS L/7 in road games on Friday nights.N IOWA is 13-4 ATS  in all neutral court lined games.  N.Iowa HC Jacobson is 9-1 ATS L/10 against Big 12 conference opponents as the coach.

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Canisius played Kentucky to open up their season, and did not completely look out of place. That matchup will have them more than ready to compete here vs Duquesne. CANISIUS is 46-23 ATS 69 versus good 3 point shooting making 37% or more of their attempts.CANISIUS is 13-3 ATS L/16 in a road game where the total is 150 to 159.5.

Duquesne is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against the MAAC and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games.

Canisius to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Third-ranked Villanova (3-0)  battles Wake Forest  (3-0) in the semifinals of the Gildan Charleston (S.C.) Classic Friday afternoon.

The Wildcats improved to 3-0 following a hard-fought 76-65 victory over Western Michigan in Thursday's quarterfinals.The Demon Deacons (3-0) advanced via crushing 103-81 victory over UTEP.Villanova's defense struggled at times against the Broncos in their last win and will be their demise here today vs a under rated opponent. 

College Hoops  team like Villanova  - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 5 or more straight wins, team that had a winning record last season are just 13-38 ATS L/51 for a go against 75% conversion rate on the line. 

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Oregon earned its highest ranking ever in the Associated Press poll on Monday but then started to drop on Tuesday when the fourth-ranked Ducks fell to 1-1 with a 66-49 loss at Baylor. Now also related to that event, we now get a decent line to bet into , because of how the lines-makers like to play to public perceptions. Valparaiso is 3-0  SU after notching victories vs  lower tier hoops programs  Southern Utah, Trinity Christian and Coppin State, but Oregon will present a bigger challenge. Oregon has a veteran team, with four returning starters  even though  injured F Dillion Brooks wont return til next week.With that said,  we are getting value with them as favorites in a spot where they will unleash a sustanied attack to get back some respect.

Oregon to cover 1 unit reg selection 

In their last game the Houston Rockets struggled to contain one of the highest scoring guards in the NBA, (Westbrook) and now the Rockets find themselves going against Trail Blazers point guard Damian Lillard Thursday night at the Toyota Center on Thursday night . What is the most troubling about the Rockets is their conditioning. Because of their lack of conditioning Houston has struggled with pace, scoring and shooting percentage in the fourth quarter this season and this Im betting works against them tonight.
HOUSTON is 11-23 ATS L/34 as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points.

Portland to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Eastern Illinois Panthers return four of their top five scorers room last season and must not be disrespected. Panthers lost a close battle last time out in in a 70-67 defeat at Troy covering as a seven point dog. Meanwhile, St.Louis is a side, that are not getting alot of positive press, but I won;t give up on them yet , and keep my eye on their progress. Right now , however, I like E.Illinois, because of their experience and tenacious mindset and chemistry. Lets grab the points in a game that should be close. 

E ILLINOIS is 9-1 ATS L/10 in road games after a close loss by 3 points or less.SAINT LOUIS is 3-15 ATS L/18 after a non-conference game.SAINT LOUIS is 4-13 ATS  when the total is 140 to 149.5.SAINT LOUIS is 0-8 ATS L/8 after 2 consecutive non-conference games.SAINT LOUIS is 3-14 ATS L/17 in non-conference games

Eastern Illinois to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Troy to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Florida to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Providence to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Northern Iowa to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Sacramento may not inspire alot of bettors, but from a power ranking perspective, the Kings are better than many might believe. Sacramento has lost its last two games but has been off since Friday so it will be well-rested for the Spurs. They already have a signature win on the road, against Toronto so are capable of recording an upset.  When the Kings played the Spurs at home earlier this season at home they lost by a 102-94 count and once again should keep this close as Cousins and his huge ego come  out to play against the big boys. 

Kings are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Kings are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Western Conference.

Kings are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 1 days rest.Spurs are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

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The red hot Clippers have won 8 straight, but its not always easy to play at such a high level consistently, and fatigue and a lack of urgency also may impact their play. Meanwhile, Memphis started slowly and are beginning to play a tough two way game, as was evident when they beat a feisty Utah group by a 102-96 as road pups. Tonight, I expect the Grizzlies to be much more competitive than the linesmakers expect .

Rivers is 1-13 ATS L/14  after a game committing 10+ less turnovers than opponents.LA CLIPPERS are 0-9 ATS L/9 after a game committing 10+ less turnovers than opponents .

Favorites like the Clippers  - a top tier team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games are just 15-39  ATS L/54. Grizzlies are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Los Angeles.

Memphis Grizzlies to cover 1 unit reg selection

According to my own early season power ranking charts, UC Santa Barbara is over rated by 4.5 points, giving us value on a 9+ point line with SF. It must be noted HC  Smith is 11-2 ATS L/13 as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points !

SF to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Nuggets have lost 4 straight games, and allowing a ugly 112.8 ppg during their negative run and once again look like fade material vs a up down Suns side that is showing signs of progression. Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Nuggets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.DENVER is 0-9 ATS L/9 in home games after 2 straight games with 19 or less assists.DENVER is 7-21 ATS L/28 in home games off a road loss. PHOENIX is 11-2 ATS off a loss by 10 points or more to a division and 15-3 ATS vs the league under the same perimeters. Suns are 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings.

Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Morehead State and Marshall battle for the Ellis Johnson Trophy, honoring the man who coached at both schools — and tutored HC D’Antoni in the late ‘60s. Morehead has won the last three -and Im betting on a repeat performance tonight. MOREHEAD ST is 15-6 ATS L/21 in road games when playing against a team with a winning record and 17-7 ATS L/24 as a road underdog or pick.

Play on Morehead State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

You can play this as low as +2 to +1.5. My own power ranking and early season matchup projections. HC of Weber State Rahe is 43-23 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 . Projected score: Weber State 77 Pepperdine 74 

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CHAMPIONS CLASSIC - Madison Square Garden - New York, NY

Defensive breakdowns have been frustrating Kansas HC Self after his team allowed Indiana to connect for 15  treys from 3-point range. He wants his team to pay attention to defense in transition, and Im betting that will be a big part of his game plan tonight vs Krzyzewski's Duke. Meanwhile, dukes struggling with some of their big men being injured, and will be coherent to exhaustion issues, in what should be a physical game. So a more methodical approach by the Blue Devils must be expected, which I am betting leads to a total score that fails to eclipse the number. 

Neutral court teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points like Duke and Michigan State  - in November games. In Dukes L/9 neutral court games a average combined score of 157.3 ppg have gone on the scoreboard. KANSAS is 10-2 UNDER L/12 as a neutral court underdog of 3 points or less or pick with a combined average of score of 139.8 ppg going on the scoreboard.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

Middle Tennessee faces a tough early season test Tuesday as former Ohio Valley Conference and are being over estimated according to my own early season numbers. Murray State started off the year with a top tier win against Illinois State, a very good Missouri Valley Conference team,They have excellent guards in transition, and Midd Tenn State will have problems dealing with them. Projected score : Middle Tenn State 75 Murray State 74 

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N TEXAS is 1-8 ATS as a road underdog of 10 or more points losing by an average of 19 ppg.G] 11/15/2016 - J-Mychal Reese "?" Tuesday vs. Texas Tech ( Hamstring ) if he plays he will be less than 100%. Advantage Texas Tech... Projected score: Texas Tech 86 N.Texas 62

Play on Texas Tech to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Toronto Raptors and the Cleveland Cavaliers go head to head for the second time this season. In the first meeting the Cavs took a 94-91 victory. I am betting on another physical affair, where Defense takes center stage.  This will result in a lower scoring affair that fails to eclipse this total. Note: Cavs are ranked 15th in pace and the Raptors 24th in the NBA. TORONTO is 10-1 UNDER L/11 in road games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread with an average of 184 combined points going on the scoreboard.CLEVELAND is 19-9 UNDER L/28 against Atlantic division opponents with an average combined score of 196.4 ppg getting scored. HC Lue is 9-0 UNDER L/9  after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread with a combined average score of 198.3 ppg going up on the board.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

The Heat (2-6) are struggling this season, losing four straight games including Saturday's 102-91 defeat at home to Utah. However, according to my own power ranking this line is a little high .Meanwhile, the Spurs have a tendency of playing down to their opponents and tonight Im betting thats what happens. in this spot. MIAMI is 34-14 ATS L48 in road games vs. excellent free throw shooting teams - making 80% or more of their shots.Underdogs of 10 or more points like the Heat- after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games against opponent after a game where they covered the spread have covered 61% of the time using a sample size of 304 games. .

Play on the Miami Heat to cover 1 unit reg selection 

  Oklahoma City is very hungry after losing 3 straight games and will come out here with all guns blazing in an attempt to upend their hosts the Detroit Pistons tonight.  Last night the Thunder lost as 9 point favs, SU vs Orlando as they came out asleep at the proverbial wheel. Meanwhile, the young men from Motown won last time out as pups vs Denver in their 4th road game in a row after losing their three previous games and 4 of their L/6 overall. Both teams are tired, but one of these teams is now in desperation mode, and ready for redemption. 

DETROIT is 23-41 ATS L/64 ATS in a home game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Pistons - off an upset win as a road underdog are 99-158 ATS for a play against conversion rate of 61%. NBA Road sides, like the Thunder   where the line is +3 to -3  - after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days are 57-25 ATS L/82 for a very profitable 70% conversion rate on the line.

Play on Oklahoma City to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Indiana is 2-1 against the Magic last season and have won 11 of the last 13 meetings overall. Meanwhile, Orlando, is off a upset win last night vs the Thunder in will be in a let down spot tonight, after almost blowing a huge DD lead. The Pacers, have proven explosive as they've averaged 108.4 points per game so far, good enough for fifth in the NBA, and Im betting they have the edge tonight.- Favorites like Indiana - with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season, in November games are 62-33 ATS for a 65% conversion rate.

Play on Indiana to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Columbia to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Old Dominion to cover 1 unit reg selection 

St.Johns to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Nebraska according to my early season own power rankings, should be closer to 20 point favorities. Lay the points -SACRAMENTO ST is 9-21 ATS L/30 as a road underdog of 15.5 to 18 points

Play on the Nebraska Corn Huskers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 College Hoops Favorites of 10 or more points like the Gators - with four starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season, team from a major division 1-A conference against a team from a weak division 1-A conference are 49-17 ATS L/63.

Florida to cover 1 unit reg selection