Memphis has lost 11 straight after Saturdays heart braking 116-111 defeat at the hands of the Cleveland Cavaliers. It was one of the Grizzlies best efforts of late, and the first time they cracked the 100 point plateau in scoring in 7 straight games. Tonight, exasperated, and feeling dejected, their desperation may turn into a defeatist mindset which will not serve them well vs a talented young Minnesota group, that is more than capable of taking a road win here as short favs.

MEMPHIS is 3-12 ATS L/15 when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%.MEMPHIS is 0-8 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive losses this season.MEMPHIS is 1-8 ATS after playing a road game this season.

NBA team vs the money line (MEMPHIS) - struggling team - failing to cover the spread in 8 or more of their last 10, a lower tier team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are jus 5-41 SU L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate SU including 0-5 this season.

Play on Minnesota to cover 1 unit reg selection

Chicago does not have the offensive firepower to score a lot of points and keep track with a side like the Cleveland Cavaliers. The Bulls have only eclipsed the 100 point plateau 5 times in their L/18 games, and average just 92.8 ppg at home this season with a overall 30th ranked offensive efficiency in the league . Needless to say it won't be hard to imagine the Bulls wanting to slow this tilt down to a crawl or just make it physically grueling on a veteran side. All in all I expect the total combined output of this affair to fall short of the lines-makers projections because of these key factors.



CHICAGO is 17-5 UNDER L/22 in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game with a combined average of 202 ppg scored.CHICAGO is 8-1 UNDER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a combined average of 194.1 ppg going on the board.

Under is 4-1-1 in Cavaliers last 6 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 20-7 in Bulls last 27 home games.Under is 14-3 in Bulls last 17 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 4-1 in Bulls last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.




NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (CHICAGO) - tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days, terrible team, winning 25% or less of their games on the season are 37-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (CHICAGO) - after 4 or more consecutive losses against opponent after 4 or more consecutive wins are 35-11 UNDER  L/20 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Using my own power ranking and plyer/systems matchups suggest this line should be closer tp -16.5, which give us value taking the underdog in this spot.

OKLAHOMA is 0-8 ATS  L/8  in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season . OKLAHOMA is 3-12 ATS  L/15  in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game. OKLAHOMA is 0-6 ATS L/6 after 2 or more consecutive wins. Oklahoma HC Kruger is 12-27 ATS  L/44 after playing 3 consecutive games as favorite.

CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (TX-SAN ANTONIO) - after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 80 points or more 3 straight games 74-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Texas San Antonio to cover

Iowa has a lot of versatility and not used a set lineup every night making them hard to prepare against.  The Hawjkeyes did lose their opener  to Michigan 77-73 , but looked good against a strong side. I know their not highly respected at this time, after losing 20 ppg man Peter Jok, in the off season, but their still capable. Hawkeyes are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Big Ten.

Meanwhile, Indiana despite of their legendary home court advantage, still are not a premier Big10 team quite yet, and Archie Miller has his work cut out for him. He might get by Iowa tonight but I'm betting it won't come easily , especially after two grueling tilts vs Duke and Michigan

Play on Iowa to cover

The Atlanta Hawks go  head to head with the Brooklyn Nets for the back end of a home-and-home set this Monday night.The Hawks took out  the Nets  Saturday with a 114-102 victory and now the men form Brooklyn come looking for revenge, and I'm betting they get it.

BROOKLYN is 17-7 ATS L/24 in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent .

Brooklyn is 8-1 ATS L/9 overall.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog, in December games are 9-21 L/5 seasons for 70% go against conversion rate.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ATLANTA) - off an upset win as a road underdog, with a losing record are 45-78 L/5 seasons for a 64% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Brooklyn to cover 1 unit reg selection

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals

Play on UNDER

The Spurs continue to play decent ball despite of being without  Kawhi Leonard and are 15-7 SU without him in the lineup. The Spurs have won four consecutive games and 11 of their last 14 and this veteran laden team with one of the all time great NBA HC behind the bench are dangerous underdogs, and must be respected . Tonight against a very inconsistent Thunder side, that is still learning to play as a team behind the star trio Paul George and Carmelo Anthony added to superstar Russell Westbrook who  are volatile in their coordination as a group.

SAN ANTONIO is 23-8 ATS  L/31 in December games .Thunder are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Thunder are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.Thunder are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Spurs are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. NBA Northwest.

Play on San Antonio to cover

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals

Play on UNDER

Boise State is off an emotional hard fought win vs Oregon last time out on the road, and could easily find themselves in a letdown spot here today vs a Portland team despite a lot of new faces this season have enough scoring options to get us the cover here today. Portland also proved their metal in two games vs N.Carolina and Oklahoma and did not look completely out of place.

Broncos are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Broncos are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win.Pilots are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Play on Portland to cover

After facing the explosive Golden State Warriors last time out this trip to NY to play the  Knicks  will be like taking walk in Central Park.  Meanwhile, the Knicks  know the  Magic are not an easy  out especially playing without their leading scorer  Porzingis. (25.8 ppg), who is injured ( ankle) and if he plays will see limited minutes. It must be noted that the last time the NYK played without their star they lost a  112-99 tilt at Orlando on Nov. 8th. With that said, and on the flip side look for emerging Magic star Aaron Gordon, to be the catalyst behind his teams cover and or win today. Note: the Magic are ranked 8th in the NBA in offensive production, and the Knicks are ranked 18th.

New York also could be without first-round pick Frank Ntilikina, who also has a sprained ankle -- his left , and is listed as questionable.

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW YORK) - struggling defensive team - allowing 103+ points/game on the season against opponent after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 47-83 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Orlando to cover

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals

Play on UNDER

The Blazers recently took four of five games on their last road trip and than came home in an emotional letdown state and looked asleep at the proverbial  wheel in a home loss to the Milwaukee Bucks.QUOTE: "The first game back home is a set-up for a letdown," point guard Damian Lillard said. "We talked about that before a game. We wanted to come out and play above that, but (the Bucks) came in ready. They played a great game, and we made one too many mistakes to give ourselves a great chance to win it." END QUOTE

Now rested and getting used to home cooking again, I expect we will see the upward trending Portland Trailblazers at their best vs a Pelicans team that they look to get revenge on for a 103-93 loss to back on Oct 24th in the Bayou.

NEW ORLEANS is 2-16 ATS L/18 in road games after 2 or more consecutive overs .

Note: Anthony Davis if he plays tonight will be less 100%.

Play on the Portland Blazers to cover

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals

Play on Arizona   to cover

Write-up (analysis):

My owns projections make this game a pickem, which give us an edge on the line.The Miners really had a good camp playing against some Latin American pro teams, and will not be intimidated by any team. They actually matchup very well vs a side like New Mexico that is having trouble implementing a run and gun system early on this season. 

NEW MEXICO is 2-11 ATS L/13 after a game where they covered the spread which happened last time out. 

CBB A road team vs. the money line (NEW MEXICO) - good pressure defensive team - forcing 18 or more turnovers/game, after 4 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers are 6-28 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 83% SU conversion rate for bettors.

CBB Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (UTEP) - after scoring 65 points or less 3 straight games, with four starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season are 32-10 ATS L/20 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on UTEP to cover

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals

Play on SF  to cover

I know Sacramento may not inspire bettors but they have been very competitive  of late, and have only failed to cover 2 of their L/8 games. Now with revenge on board for a recent loss to the Bucks where they were not competitive losing by a 112- 87 count, I'm betting they will be more prepared. That above mentioned loss came right after the Kings upset the Golden State Warriors , and they were in an emotional let down spot and the Bucks took advantage of it.

 I'm betting the Bucks downfall or inability to cover this DD line, is their rocky defensive rhythm as is evident by  being ranked last in the  league with a 17.5 percent offensive rebounding mark  while ranking near the bottom in defensive rebounding (76.7 percent). The Kings have been working hard on this part of their game, and have shown tenacious work habits for a blue collar team and must be respected here today.

Kings are 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Milwaukee.Road team is 16-5 ATS in the last 21 meetings. Bucks HC Kidd is 19-40 ATS L/59  after 2 or more consecutive wins.MILWAUKEE is 3-15 ATS  in home games after having won 3 of their last 4 games .MILWAUKEE is 17-39 ATS L/56 as a favorite of 10 or more points.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog, in December games are just 8-21 SU L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of  73% for bettors.

Road underdogs of 10 or more points (SACRAMENTO) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 60-29 ATS L/21 seasons, for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover

My own projections on this game based on power rankings and system matchups tells me of a high probability situation that favors the  OVER. The  Bucks have gone Over in 11-1 of their  last 12 vs. a team with a losing straight up record like the Kings. Meanwhile, the Kings have gone over in 5 of their L/6 , and from a divisional standpoint have cruised over the Total in 8 of their L/9 vs Central teams and have gone over in 6 of their L/8 on the road. both teams are playing decent ball at this time, and I'm betting they run at each other in a tilt that ends up being higher scoring than the lines-makers might anticipate.

Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Milwaukee.Over is 11-1 in the last 12 meetings.

MILWAUKEE in their L/27 games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of  46% or  more have seen a combined average score of 211.2 ppg get scored.

NBA Home teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - after 2 or more consecutive wins, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 52-18 OVER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. The average combined score of those tilts was 206.5 ppg.

Play OVER

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals

Play on Missouri State  to cover

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals

Play on Akron to cover

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals

Play on Oral Roberts to cover

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals

Play on Tulsa to cover

Brooklyn enters this game as weak hosts and are just 1-5 in its last six home games allowing a whopping 115.3 ppg overall at home in 9 games this season. After playing three straight grueling road games, and getting an underdog win last time out,  I'm betting on Brooklyn not having top tier energy to deal with a rebuilding Atlanta side desperate for wins.

Brooklyn's down fall today vs the spread will center around their energy levels  and a  26th ranked    72.8 percent conversion rate  at the charity stripe, which includes a below 70 percent conversion rate over the last 10 games.

Hawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Home teams vs. the money line (BROOKLYN) - off an upset win as a road underdog, in December games are just 35-60 SU for a go against conversion rate of 63% L/5 seasons.

Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals

Play on UC Davis  to cover

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals

Play on Air Force  to cover

The Clippers are banged up and playing  without four starters -- Blake Griffin (MCL sprain), Patrick Beverley (knee surgery), Danilo Gallinari (sprained ankle) and Milos Teodosic (plantar fascia). But despite of this according to my own power rankings and cross reference player system matchup are still  a viable investment opportunity as a side wager on this line. The Clippers had won three straight until losing to Utah last time out , and are more than capable of keeping this close enough for a possible out right upset. The Clippers beat the Mavs 119-98 at home back on Nov 1. and despite of Dallas now having revenge on board have not been good bets in this spot in the  past as is evident by  HC Carlisle  9-21 ATS record  in home games revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more.

Clippers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game which happened against Utah last time out.Mavericks are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Mavericks are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Pacific

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a terrible team ( 25% or less) are 26-6 SU L/21 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LA Clippers to cover 1 unit reg selection

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals

Play on Oakand to cover

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals

Play on Wis Green Bay to cover

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals

Play on Indiana Purdue to cover

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals

Play on Wichita St to cover

Boise State has been playing good ball early this season, and are a strong Mountain West basketball program, but in their only really test, vs Iowa State they go run over by a 75-64 count. Yes, their a veteran laden team, but here tonight in a PAC12 teams back yard I'm betting their over matched. The Ducks get the nod here.

OREGON is 9-2 ATS L/11 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37%  or more of their attempts .OREGON is 23-8 ATS  L/31 versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing  14 or less turnovers/game.OREGON is 14-4 ATS  L/18 versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game.OREGON is 10-2 ATS  L/12 as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points BOISE ST is 0-6 ATS  L/6 after scoring 85 points or more .

CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OREGON) - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 8+ PPG, after allowing 45 points or more in the first half last game are 28-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Oregon to cover

Memphis is desperate after losing 9 straight games. They know they have to up their tempo and get into an offensive flow. After going 6 straight games without breaching the 95 point plateau on offense a sense of urgency now permeates around the team. This is the second of back-to-back games against each other this  Friday night  at the FedEx Forum in Memphis, Tenn. The first meeting saw the Spurs grab a 104-95 win, which eclipsed the 194 point Total and similar score is not out of the question, and actually a high probability outcome according to my own numbers making this a viable OVER wager.

SAN ANTONIO is 9-0 OVER  L/9 in a road game where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points dating back to last season with a combined average of 206.6 ppg going on the board.

MEMPHIS in 17 games  versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season have seen a combined average score of 199.3 ppg scored.SAN ANTONIO is 17-6 OVER  L/23 when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points  with a combined average score of 201.8 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (MEMPHIS) - after failing to cover the spread in 6 or more consecutive games are 37-12 OVER  L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

Play on the OVER

Oklahoma City since changing up the dynamic of the team in the off season are struggling as the big 3 of Russell Westbrook, Paul George and Carmelo Anthony just are not meshing in the way management had hoped. The Thunder have lost 5 of their L/6 and three straight overall, and are fade material vs a hard working and talented young Minnesota Wolves group.Minnesota beat the Thunder 115-113 at Oklahoma City in October. and must not be underestimated in this spot. The Timberwolves showed their abilities last time out knocking down a  120-102 victory over New Orleans on Wednesday . Minnesota is a conference-best 10-3 against the West.

MINNESOTA is 17-6 ATS L/23  in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game.Timberwolves are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Thunder are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Northwest.Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MINNESOTA) - after having won 2 of their last 3 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 24-3 L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Minnesota to cover 1 unit reg selection

According to my own numbers Fresno State should only be a 5 point favorite here vs Weber State a team that according to my own cross reference power rankings and system/players matchups is vastly under rated in this spot. Weber State previous to season played old school big man basketball, a sort of power game with a couple big guys up front, but this year HC Randy Rahe has changed things up, with mixed results going 4-2 and showing some offensive explosiveness along the way averaging 81.5 ppg while allowing just 61.8 ppg. Rahe now has four guys that can spread things out which makes them dangerous. I know Fresno State and HC Rodney Terry must be respected but this line is a little bloated. Terrys group has a good core of players, and good guard play, but are weak up front in my humble opinion are vulnerable against a side like Weber State.

FRESNO ST last 8 games versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 39% or better has seen the average score registered : Fresno State 70.3 Opposition 67.1 ... which is indicative of my own line settings gives us value with Weber State taking points.

Play on Weber State to cover 1 unit reg selection

Chicago enters this game vs Denver averaging just 94.8 ppg on offense (worst in the league), and have failed to eclipse the 99 point plateau in 5 straight games, behind a 17th ranked pace, that should even slow down more tonight in the high altitudes of the Mile High city vs a team that they know they can't run and gun with. Meanwhile, the Nuggets own the 14th ranked offense, and the 13th ranked pace, so their in the middle of the pack , as far as speed and offensive production goes. What I'm betting happens  tonight, is what most sides, with sluggish offenses do when they go into Denver, and that is play a conservative energy conserving style of basketball, that more often than not translates into a lower scoring game than many might anticipate.

Under is 12-4 in Bulls last 16 vs. Western Conference.Under is 4-0 in Bulls last 4 vs. NBA Northwest.Under is 5-0 in Nuggets last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Under is 9-4 in Nuggets last 13 home games.

CHICAGO is 45-20 UNDER  L/65 versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 free throws/game or less with a combined average score of 199.4 ppg getting scored. CHICAGO in 8  in non-conference games this season have seen a combined average score of 196.3 ppg scored. CHICAGO is 23-9 UNDER  L/32 after 2 or more consecutive losses dating back to last season with the combined average score of 200.6 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (DENVER) - after being beaten by the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 65-26 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (DENVER) - an explosive offensive team (102 or less  PPG) against an average offensive team (92-98 PPG), after scoring 90 points or less are 35-12 UNDER L/21 seasons for 75% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

NBA Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (CHICAGO) - off a home loss against opponent off an upset loss as a road favorite are 45-17 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for totals bettors.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection

South Florida plays a defensive system, and their scores so far this season have been indicative of this as they average a lowly 62.1 ppg on offense while the defense is staunch allowing just  63.1 ppg. Meanwhile, Elon has shown some offensive explosiveness, this season, but  they have played overall very strong defense, especially as hosts as is evident by allowing just  63.5 ppg.

When these teams played last season the final score was Elon 74 S.Florida 61 ( 135) and now the linesmakers are setting the line based in part on last seasons meeting. My own projections make the output from both teams to be in a low to mid 60's which is a good indicator of this game going under the set total. ELON is 44-8 UNDER  when they allow 61 to 66 points with a combined average score of 129.9 ppg on average being scored.ELON in their L/57  versus slow-down teams averaging 53 or less shots/game have seen a combined average score of 128.1 ppg scored.

Play UNDER

UNDER ARMOUR REUNION - Madison Square Garden - New York, NY

I expect these two heavyweights to play a physical grueling defensive game that remains on the low side of the number. Texas Tech is  allowing  just 55.3 ppg on the season, while Seton Hall is allowing 64.7 ppg mostly in garbage time when using their fringe bench players.

SETON HALL is 8-1 UNDER  in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing 64  or less points/game with a combined average of 127.1 ppg scored.TEXAS TECH is 9-2 UNDER L/11 in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game with a combined average of 132.9 ppg scored. TEXAS TECH is 9-1 UNDER  when playing on a neutral court with a combined average of 133.6 ppg scored.
 

Neutral court teams against the total (TEXAS TECH) - dominant rebounding team - outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game, in November games are 540-398 to the UNDER for a 58% conversion rate on the blind for bettors dating back 20 seasons.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection

Evansville is a defense first team, that averages just 66.2 ppg on the season on offense while allowing 58.2 ppg on defense. I'm not sure that is what HC Simmons had planned for this season, but watching this group is a good way to lull yourself to sleep. Meanwhile, New Mexico is team still trying to find its way under a run and gun system, that has stalled in recent games , scoring just 65, 67 points in their L/2 games. Tonight I'm betting in their usual methodical way that Evansville makes this into a slow grinding affair, and slows the flow of their opposition.

 NEW MEXICO is 15-4 UNDER  L/19 after a game where they made 88% of their free throws or better with a combined average of 134.7 ppg going on the board . Evansville is is 8-1 UNDER L/9  in November games dating back to last season with a combined average of 128.4 ppg scored.

Play UNDER

HC Fizdale is no longer the coach of the Memphis Grizzlies after his team struggled for much of this season and on a current 8 game losing streak mostly because of offensive production problems . His firing came after he benched star forward Mac Gasol, which started the firestorm. Now with a lot to prove and 2 days rest  I expect the Grizzlies new  HC  J.B. Bickerstaff and company  to come out fired up tonight, and really push their pace up a few notches, in an effort to get a offensive flow going  which I'm betting results in a higher scored than expected by the lines-makers.  

Over is 5-2 in Grizzlies last 7 games playing on 2 days rest.Over is 9-4 in Spurs last 13 vs. NBA Southwest.Over is 4-1 in Spurs last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

SAN ANTONIO in their  L/22 when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points have seen a  combined average of 202 ppg scored. Memphis in 9 games vs winning sides this season have seen a combined average of 197.2 ppg scored.

NBA Road teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (MEMPHIS) - after failing to cover the spread in 6 or more consecutive games are 25-4 OVER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

Play OVER

Southern Miss is averaging 63 ppg on offense this season  on the road while allowing just 68.9 points per game is a team that is struggling a they try to continue to deal with sanctions from past regressions, that we don't need to get into here. But they have problems with their personell and continue to try fluidity. Meanwhile South Alabama is averaging 64 ppg on offense, while  allowing just 61.9 ppg overall, in a very slow paced methodical system. Considering both teams offensive issues and the systems that they play a lower scoring game must be expected, as the linesmakers suggest with their number.

  SOUTHERN MISS is 9-1 UNDER  L/10  in road games versus poor passing teams, averaging  12 or less assists/game over the last few seasons with a combined average of 124 ppg going on the board and is 8-1 UNDER  L/9  in road games versus poor shooting teams - making 42% or less of their shots with a combined average of 115.4 ppg scored.

Play UNDER

My College   Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

 Under is 5-1 in Matadors last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Under is 4-1 in Matadors last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 4-1 in Golden Bears last 5 games after allowing more than 90 points in their previous game.

CS-NORTHRIDGE is 29-15 UNDER  in road games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%). HC Theus is 15-4 UNDER L/19 after 2 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers.

CBB Road teams against the total (CS-NORTHRIDGE) - bad team from last season who won only 20% to 40% of their games, after 2 or more consecutive losses are long term 125-77 UNDER L/20 seasons for a 61% conversion rate on the blind.

Play UNDER

The Sacramento Kings carry positive momentum into their Tuesday night matchup with the Milwaukee Bucks and are showing competiveness especially on their own floor where they   5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.The Kings  are fresh their best game of this season,  , after a  a 110-106 road decision over the Golden State Warriors and are now full of confidence. Meanwhile, the Bucks are really getting frustrated and playing poorly.

Antetokounmpo, their star and one of the best young players in the league has shown  frustration with Milwaukee's inconsistency, when he was filmed swearing at assistant coach Sean Sweeney on Saturday during the Bucks' 121-108 loss to the Jazz in Utah. The kid should cool it, as a lot of the Bucks problems are based on his inconsistencies, as opposing defenses are figuring out ways to slow him down. With that said, I'm betting on the home team getting us the cover here tonight.

NBA Road teams (MILWAUKEE) - an explosive offensive team (102 PPG) or more against an average offensive team (92-98 PPG), after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games are 18-46 L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 72% for bettors.

Play on Sacramento Kings to cover

 Illinois is a dangerous run and gun team, that's playing out side of the box of most Big 10 programs. The Illini just have to much firepower for Wake Forest and getting points here is definitely a bonus  in a game I have pegged at being a SU victory for Illinois.

ILLINOIS is 9-1 ATS  L/10 after scoring 85 points or more 3 straight games and  15-4 ATS L/19 after a combined score of 155 points or more 2 straight games.

Play on Illinois to cover 1 unit reg selection

My College  Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play UNDER

Georgetown/Maine UNDER the set total

Two rebuilding teams go head to  head tonight when Phoenix visits the Chicago Bulls . With both teams defenses a big concern, I'm expecting both sides to play special attention to being stoppers and being physical, in a game I have pegged at staying under the total. Chicago is especially fragile as they rank last in the NBA scoring averaging just 94.3 ppg which makes them even more interested in turning this into a slow grinding affair.

CHICAGO is 33-17 UNDER  L/50 when playing against a team with a losing record  with a combined average of 202 ppg going on the board and 20-7 UNDER   versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game with a combined average score of  200.7 ppg going on the board and also 16-5 UNDER  /21  in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game with a combined average of 201.9 ppg getting scored.CHICAGO is 14-3 UNDER L/17  in home games in non-conference games . CHICAGO is 10-1 UNDER  L/11  in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHOENIX) - off a road loss by 10 points or more, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing against a terrible team (25% or less) are 25-5 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (CHICAGO) - tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days, terrible team, winning 25% or less of their games on the season are 36-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER

Roadrunners are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall as they go against a Golden Hurricane side that  are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. The Golden Hurricane are also just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and according to my own power rankings are fade material tonight on a bloated line. I know Tulsa returns 8 of their top 10 scorers from last season, but I was not impressed with the program last season and feel their getting to much love here in this spot.

Take the points with UTSA

The Cavs, who beat the 76ers 113-91 on Monday night in Philadelphia, will play consecutive nights for the first time since Oct. 28-29 and now this veteran laden team  will  be on tired legs and ready to slow things down again.  Last night it was the Cavs ability to slow the flow of their younger opposition down, and come out of that game with a easy DD win. Tonight, I'm betting on the same tactics and game plan to make this into a conservative tilt, vs a Miami side that also practices a controlled style of defensive play behind key cog Hassan Whiteside. .Note: The Heat have held 4 of their L/5 opponents to under 98 points or less. While the Cavs have held 3 of their L/4 opponents, to 99 points or less.

Miami is ranked 21st in the pace in the league, 7th best ppg allowed in the NBA and rank 26th in offensive points production.

Cleveland ranks 12th in the league in pace.

MIAMI is 9-1 UNDER L/10  in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) with a combined average of 193.5 ppg going on the board.MIAMI is 30-14 UNDER  L/44 as a road underdog of 6 points or less with a combined average score of 194 ppg going on the score board.

Under is 20-8 in Heat last 28 road games.Under is 3-0-1 in Cavaliers last 4 overall.Under is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 games playing with  no rest.Under is 12-4-1 in the last 17 meetings in Cleveland.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MIAMI) - after 3 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 4 or more consecutive wins are 73-27 UNDER for a 73% conversion rate for totals bettors.

Play UNDER

My College   Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

FLORIDA ST is 22-10 UNDER  L/32 vs. poor free throw shooting teams - making 63% or less  of their attempts .FLORIDA ST is 8-0 UNDER L/8  in road games after a combined score of 175 points or more which happened last time out in a 113-78 win vs Citadel.

CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (FLORIDA ST) - excellent team - shooting 45% or better with a defense of 42% or less on the season, hot shooting team - 5 straight games making 47% or more  of their shots are 54-22 UNDER the L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for under bettors.

Play UNDER

The Clippers enter this game banged up and dealing  with injuries, and  already lost guard Patrick Beverley for the season following knee surgery. Yes, they have won two in a row, but beating Atlanta and Sacramento are not great resume builders, and I feel like their still not ready to reach any lofty heights any time soon with key players forward Danilo Gallinari (hip) and guard Milos Teodosic (foot) still out. Prior to this mini streak, they lost 9 straight, and allowed 110 plus points per game during that stretch which is atrocious for a defensive minded team.  Meanwhile, the LA Lakers, enter this game well rested, after coming out and looking emotional drained last time out in loss to the lowly Kings. That defeat after consecutive wins vs the Denver Nuggets and Chicago Bulls in back to back home games. That  is a key problems with some young teams in the NBA, and now they will be primed ready to get back to work . Note: Larry Nance Jr. should help the Lakers' overall level of play and is supposed to return from injury tonight. With that said, and according to my own matchup reference numbers this game should be closer to a pickem here on a neutral floor, thus giving us value with taking the points.

Clippers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference.Clippers are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG differential.), after a close win by 3 points or less are 30-44 L/5 seasons for a go against  60% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LA Lakers to cover 1 unit reg selection

The lowly Kings enter this game knowing they handed Golden State one of its 15 losses last season, 109-106 in overtime in February.  Nothing is impossible and no team in the NBA no matter how great they maybe is infallible , especially from an ATS perspective. I know that  these teams are operating at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum,  and at the opposite ends of the Pacific Division standings, with the  Warriors having won six in a row at home while the last-place Kings have crapped out nine successive road tilts. However, despite of this, and also knowing the Warriors propensity to do just enough to get wins , and rest their stars against sides like this ,gives me confidence in recommending we take the points with a team that has nothing to lose in what many expect to be an inevitable beat down.

Note: Kevin Durante, Draymond Green, and Steph Curry could be rested tonight, completely held out of the lineup or on the bench for much of this game because of nagging injuries and playing at less than 100%.

NBA Home favorites (GOLDEN STATE) - good 3PT shooting team (=36.5% or better ) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5%or better), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a horrible rebounding team ( 5.5 or less  reb/game) are just 14-51 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

NBA Road underdogs (SACRAMENTO) - off a close loss by 3 points or less to a division rival against opponent after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite are 23-4 ATS L/21 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Sacramento Kings to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Rockets as we all know by now are an explosive offensive juggernaut,  but  their defensive 17.5 net rating is something that may be over looked by the average punter. Their ability to be stopper was on display last time out against the  Knicks who  scored  29 points over the first 7 1/2 minutes  of that game , only to fall short of that mark in  any of three following three quarters of action. Meanwhile, Brooklyn after struggling with D, of late, finally played the kind of game their coach wants from them more consistently holding the Memphis Grizzlies to 88 points in a win. Last night the Nets had success taking their time with their attack, and being selective with shots, and tonight I expect they will try to slow down the game via slower paced effort vs what they know is a dangerous run and gun opponent. I'm also betting on the Rockets D, showing us their under rated abilities as well in a tilt I have pegged to stay on the low side of the number. Note: Houston has held 4 of their L/7 opponents under 96 points or less.

Under is 9-4-3 in Nets last 16 games following a straight up win.Under is 4-1-1 in Nets last 6 road games.BROOKLYN in 7 games  versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season have seen a average combined score of 218 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (BROOKLYN) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more are 34-8 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (BROOKLYN) - after 1 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 2 or more consecutive wins are 57-24 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection

The Philadelphia 76ers and their home crowd are going to be wild tonight with excitement as their team continues to grow and show competitiveness. Bigger and better things are on the horizon for the Sixers.. But first they have to deal with the Cavaliers. QUOTE: "Cleveland is going to come in, and it's going to be amazing for the building," coach Brett Brown said. "This building is wild. How about our fans? Are you kidding me? I can't even talk to my coaching staff sometimes and they're a foot from me. It's fantastic. What a great thing for our city." END QUOTE But now irrational exuberance may get the best of the Sixers, as a veteran laden Cleveland Cavaliers come to town, looking to slow down any early momentum the home team has by playing methodical slow paced style hoops, while saving their best for last quarter and a half. This I'm betting will curtail both teams scoring out put making this a much lower scoring affair than the lines-makers expect .

PHILADELPHIA is 18-5 UNDER  L/23  in home games after a combined score of 235 points or more with a combined average of 199 ppg going on the board. PHILADELPHIA is 26-9 UNDER  L/25  in home games after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite with a combined average of 185.2 ppg going on the board

.Under is 4-0-1 in Cavaliers last 5 vs. NBA Atlantic.Under is 7-2 in 76ers last 9 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Philadelphia.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (CLEVELAND) - after 2 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 3 or more consecutive wins are 25-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHILADELPHIA) - after 3 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 4 or more consecutive wins are 40-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

Play UNDER

WOODEN CLASSIC - Final Rnd - Titan Gym - Fullerton, CA

Washington State enters this game on a 5 game winning streak, and are jelling much faster than many of expected. Now they are being made DD underdogs vs what my own numbers is a  SD State team that is not all that much more superior to their own group. New HC Brian Dutcher, despite of being a assistant here for years, has put his own signature on this team, by trying to address an anemic offense. There has been more flow from his side, but in their only really tough game vs Arizona State they score jus t68 points. Today I'm betting that  their lack of offensive acumen will be their downfall.

WASHINGTON ST is 6-0 ATS  L/6 in a neutral court game where the total is 140 to 149.5 and 6-0 ATS L/6  in road games when playing only their 3rd game in a week .

SAN DIEGO ST is 2-12 ATS  L/14 after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite.

Play on Washington State to cover

PK 80 INVITATIONAL - Final Rnd - Moda Center - Portland, OR

These upper tier teams will do battle in test of wills . Both are deep and explosive but are also extremely capable on the defensive end. When two behemoth teams like this do battle its not uncommon for a conservative wait and  see approach from both opponents. This will see a the score much more muted than the linesmakers and the public might expect.

CBB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 (DUKE/Florida ) - playing their 2nd road game in 3 days, in a game involving two top-level teams ( 80% or better) are 33-6 UNDER L/20 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for totals bettors.

Neutral court teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (DUKE/Florida) - playing their 2nd game in 3 days, in a game involving two top-level teams (80% or better ).  are 27-3 UNDER L/20 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

Play UNDER

A showdown of Pac-12 and Southeastern Conference undefeated hoops programs tips off Sunday at Galen Center in Los Angeles, with No. 10 USC hosting No. 16 Texas A&M. I'm betting on a Texas A&M defense that is ranked No. 9 nationally in adjusted efficiency, per KenPom  metrics to be the catalyst behind them covering this evening. . Texas A&M also has size, which will negate the Trojans ability to go small with a group of talented guards. Last season when these teams met USC took a closely contested 65-63 win.

TEXAS A&M is 44-27 ATS L/71 versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game. USC  H C Enfield is 7-16 ATS  L/23 when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or better).

Play on Texas A&M to cover

PK 80 INVITATIONAL - Final Rnd - Veterans Memorial Coliseum - Portland, OR

Portland state plays a fast paced full court system, and will be a tough out for Stanford. The Vikings are deep and use a fast and furious 9 -10 man rotation.  Yes, their still rebuilding towards bigger and better things but still vastly under rated. Meanwhile, HC Haase still deals with a part of a group that were not his recruits, and may still not be meshing as a group as fast as their coach had hoped as is evident by very average at best play this season, having lost 4 of their L/5 overall.

STANFORD is 1-8 ATS  L/9 in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%).PORTLAND ST is 9-1 ATS  L/10 in road games after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog.PORTLAND ST is 13-4 ATS  L/17 as an underdog.PORTLAND ST is 11-2 ATS   when the total is 160 plus over.

Play on Portland State to cover

ADVOCARE INVITATIONAL - Final Rnd - HP Field House - Lake Buena Vista, FL

Missouri has a deep team in Martin's first season. The bench has scored 80 of the Tigers' 185 points in the two games at the Advocare Invitational and are more evenly matched  vs W.Virginia than the linesmakers are estimating.

Take the points with Missouri to cover

WOODEN CLASSIC - Final Rnd - Titan Gym - Fullerton, CA

CS Fullerton plays a Defensive slowed paced deliberate type of basketball, and can not be easily pushed into play run and gun ball. This I'm betting will result in a low scoring affair with their counterparts Harvard this evening.

HARVARD is 21-9 UNDER L/30 in road games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game with a combined average of 130.8 ppg going on the board and is 24-9 UNDER  in road games versus poor offensive teams - scoring 64  or less points/game with a combined average of 126.7 ppg scored.

CS-FULLERTON is 6-0 UNDER L/6 when playing only their 3rd game in a week with a combined average of with a combined average of 134.8 ppg scored.

Play UNDER

PK 80 INVITATIONAL - Final Rnd - Moda Center - Portland, OR

Two of the greatest all time  coaches in college basketball history will go head to head tonight in the championship game of one of the biggest college basketball tournaments ever Sunday when No. 4 Michigan State faces ninth-ranked North Carolina in the championship game of the Victory bracket of the Phil Knight 80 Invitational.

This will be a hard fought matchup, but in the end, it will come down to charity stripe conversion rates. My own cross reference players rankings suggest the Heels are the better overall team at the line when the chips are down.  Mich State HC Izzo is  just 3-11 ATS  in his career vs. excellent free throw shooting teams - making  77% or more  of their shots.

These teams last met in 2013 when the Tar Heels dominated then-No. 1 Michigan State 79-65. Rinse  and repeat here today. 

Play on N.Carolina to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Miami Heat are expected to be missing   their most important player when they take the court on Sunday afternoon vs the rebuilding Chicago Bulls. Hassan Whiteside, if he plays will not be 100% and may see more bench time than playing time today if he plays at all. He's the heartbeat of this Heat group, and without him on the court the Heat are vulnerable. I know the Bulls may not inspire confidence in bettors, with a 3-14 record on the season, but two of those wins have come at home, where they play today. With that said, I'm recommending we take the points with the host team.

Heat are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Central.Bulls are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Southeast.Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

MIAMI is 3-13 ATS  versus lower tier  foul drawing teams - attempting  21  or less free throws/game. CHICAGO is 9-0 ATS L/9 in home games after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more .

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection

GREAT ALASKA SHOOTOUT - Final Rnd - Alaska Airlines Center - Anchorage, AK

Central Mich lost two of its top contributors offensively from last season, but the replacements and supporting cast are even better. Central Mich was picked to finish 11th last season, and did much better than the prognosticators thought, and this years version is even better. The Roadrunner's lost 4 of their top 5 scorers' from last season, and despite of being dangerous are still over rated as they must contend with  chemistry issues. With that said, take the points with Central Michigan.

C MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS   after allowing 60 points or less over the last few seasons.

CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points lime Central Mich - good offensive team from last season - scored 77 or more points/game are 91-45 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Central Mich to cover

The Sacramento Kings are retooling and rebuilding ,but have protected their home court well, and have  won four of their past five at Golden 1 Center. Meanwhile, the LA Clippers, just ended a 9 game losing streak vs the lowly Atlanta Hawks, but overall have struggled mightily and don't deserve to road favs here of almost 5 points. That above mentioned losing streak included a season-ending injury to guard Patrick Beverley, a defensive specialist and has really hurt the Clippers. With that said, I'm betting on the Kings being very competitive tonight and getting us the all important cover.

Clippers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Western Conference.Clippers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Kings are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (SACRAMENTO) - an average offensive team (92-98 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (102 PPG or more), after scoring 110 points or more are 114-47  SU dating back 21 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover 1 unit reg selection

GREAT ALASKA SHOOTOUT - Final Rnd - Alaska Airlines Center - Anchorage, AK

HC Callero and company are on my watch list of up trending teams. Since making the NCAA tournament in 2014 everything has gone down hill for this program, thanks to key injuries whsihc resulted in shooting issues last season. Now healthy and ready to move in the right direction again this group may surprise some pundits this season, and tonight I won't be surprised if they win vs Idaho SU.

CAL POLY-SLO is 33-18 ATS  L/51  in road games after playing 3 consecutive games as an underdog

Play on Cal Poly Slo to cover

The Golden State Warriors and the Pelicans will be playing their second game in two nights. Each is coming off a win on Friday and both will be on tired legs, and not ready or capable to run and gun. These teams did partake in a 128-120 slugfest in their first meeting this season, at New Orleans that Golden State won, but this time around , I expect a more conservative approach from the Pelicans. It must be noted that new Orleans has held their last two opponents to 91 points or less. On the flipside I'm betting  Golden State underrated D , ranked 9th in the league in efficiency to stand tall and to slow down Pelicans stars Cousins and Davis . With the above scenarios playing out, I expect a score that does not eclipse the total.

NEW ORLEANS is 33-19 UNDER  L/51  in road games revenging a loss vs opponent with a combined average of 207.1 ppg going on the board.

GOLDEN STATE is 20-7 UNDER L/27 after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread with a combined average of 213.1 ppg going on the board.

NBA team (GOLDEN STATE) - after a huge blowout win by 30 or more against opponent after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half are 47-12 L/20 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for totals bettors. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more are 30-7 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for totals bettors.

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (NEW ORLEANS) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off a road win are 34-9 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

Play UNDER

The Boston Celtics (17-3), who have won 17 of 18 including a 118-103 win on Friday night against Orlando, travel to Indiana on Saturday as short road chalk . The Pacers  have been playing strong ball, but last night were taken to the brink , eking out a 107-104 victory. Now on tired legs I'm betting they will have problems, dealing with what my own power rankings suggest is the superior side.Note: Pacers are 6-20-1 ATS in their last 27 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day.

Celtics are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Celtics are 21-4-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up win.

BOSTON is 8-0 ATS L/8 versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots this season and  8-0 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.BOSTON is 13-2 ATS  L/15 versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season.BOSTON is 13-2 ATS  L/15  in road games against Central division opponents.

Home underdogs (INDIANA) - off a close home win by 3 points or less, in November games are 11-35 ATS L/21 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Boston Celtics to cover 1 unit reg selection

 The Philadelphia 76ers and the visiting  Orlando Magic on Saturday night are two teams playing at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum.  The Sixer's have won 4 of their L/5 while Orlando has lost 7 straight. However, despite of their current runs, my own cross reference players and systems matchup statistics actually favor the downtrodden dog to cover. Orlando has won 4 straight meetings here in Philly and I'm betting this desperate team won't go easily in this tilt.

76ers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

NBA Road teams (ORLANDO) - after 7 or more consecutive losses, on Saturday games are 67-35 ATS L/21 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Orlando Magic to cover

The Charlotte Hornets  come in to this  back-to-back situation vs the visiting  San Antonio Spurs in a letdown situation after an emotional and physical grueling 100-99 loss last night to the Cleveland Cavaliers. Meanwhile, the Spurs, are off 2 straight days off an will be energized for this tilt. With that said, I'm recommending we back a Spurs side that owns a one-sided season series 40-15 record, including  five of their last six visits to Charlotte.

CHARLOTTE is 21-35 ATS  L/56 versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game.Hornets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Southwest.Hornets are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SAN ANTONIO) - off a road loss by 10 points or more, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days. are 30-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on San Antonio to cover

Memphis allowed 62 and 52 points in their L/2 games at home, and it looks very much like playing a strong brand of D along with conservative disciplined hoops will be the name of the game this year for the Tigers. Meanwhile, N.Kentucky has allowed 68 ppg on the season, and also have an aggressive offense.   What I'm betting on today is the Tigers knowing the offensive capabilities of N.Kentucky will be primed to play a tough defensive slow down type of basketball, in an effort to keep the visitors from flowing. This in turn , will make for a much lower scoring game than the lines-makers anticipate.

 MEMPHIS is 8-0 UNDER    in home games on Saturday games over the last few seasons with a combined average of 131.4 ppg going on the board. MEMPHIS is 6-0 UNDER L/6  in home games after a game where they failed to cover the spread which happened last time out.

Play on the UNDER

Hofstra has depth with their perimeter shooting, and are working hard on getting their defense on par with their offense. They are off two consecutive games vs a top tier opponents Clemson and Auburn, and played very well in their last game vs a offensive minded Auburn side. Tonight against a Siena  program that lost 4 of their top 5 sorcerers from last season, the Pride have an edge and from a defensive perspective as they face a group that has looked unbalanced this season, allowing 86,91, 115 points in their L/3games all losses.

Hofstra is the type of team that can take advantage of  this kind of porous defence, and have a edge here in a line I have set at closer to 6.5 to 7 points favoring Hofstra.

HOFSTRA is 10-2 ATS L/12  in road games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread

CBB team like Siena  - after allowing 80 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 45 points or more in the first half last game are 35-74 SU for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Hofstra to cover 1 unit reg selection

Nevada is picking off where they left off last season, and proving that they are the front runners for the Mountain West Conference and another NCAA tournament invite. They Pack have won 5 straight and proven resilient in the past when playing against another  team with a winning record like their hosts Hawaii,  going 18-4 ATS L/22 and  8-0 ATS  versus good foul drawing teams - attempting 25  or more free throws/game.NEVADA is also 12-1 ATS  L/13 after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite and  6-0 ATS    in road games after scoring 80 points or more 2 straight games . I'm recommending we take Nevada to continue to roll.

Play on Nevada to cover

PK 80 INVITATIONAL - Round 2 - Moda Center - Portland, OR

The first ranked matchup of the Phil Knight Invitational comes between No. 7 Florida and No. 17 Gonzaga in the second round of the "Motion" bracket of the Phil Knight 80 Invitational on Friday. It's never easy for a east coast team to play out west, especially a team that resides in this part of the country. After watching Gonzaga (4-0) cruise in  their its first-round game, and easily defeating Ohio State 86-59 its has become obvious to me that they are going to be a force to be reckoned with again this season, despite of the new faces.
Gonzaga, has  six players are averaging double figures and it will be their versatile depth that will be the difference maker here tonight.

GONZAGA is 8-1 ATS L/9 versus very good shooting teams - making  48% or more  of their shots.

Play on Gonzaga to cover

Toronto had won four in a row until a 41-10 third-quarter meltdown in Madison Square Garden last time out saw them go down to defeat by a 108-100 score. Nothing surprises me in the NBA anymore, and even consistent sides like the Raptors fall into these types of lapses. Today, however, I expect Canada's only NBA team to come back looking for redemption vs a Indiana side they matchup very well against. I know Indiana has won four in a row and surprised a couple of teams as underdogs, but tonight, they won't sneak up on anyone, and will have the full attention of their dangerous hosts.

Toronto has  won nine of the last 11 meetings after taking two of three last season.Raptors are 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Indiana.

INDIANA is 1-12 ATS  L/13 off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog .INDIANA is 9-22 ATS  L/31 off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like Indiana - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 6-26 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against  81% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams like Toronto - off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite against opponent off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog are 26-6 ATS L/21 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover

The Hornets and the Cavaliers meet again at Friday in Cleveland. both teams are on winning streaks. The last time these two sides played each other 222 combined points went on the board in a 115 -107 Cleveland win.  Controlling or at least slowing LeBron James is critical to holding down the explosiveness of the Cavaliers, and the Hornets I'm betting will focus their attention on him, and playing better overall defense on the whole especially here on the road behind the 12th ranked pace in the league .QUOTE: "His big, big nights, which he's had against us, it's going to be the fast-break baskets, the second-chance baskets and the cuts," Clifford said prior to Cleveland's 115-107 win over the Hornets on Nov. 15. "That's how he gets from, he's averaging 28, that's how he's going to get to 38. You know, if you do a good job on those, then you hope he gets 28. You control what you can control but again, the great, great ones, you've got to take those other easy ones away." END QUOTE: With that said, Cleveland has been playing fast and furious of late, but the old guys now will be on tired legs, as they play their 8th game in 13 days, and with Charlotte looking to slow this game down, I'm betting on point production output in this tilt to me more muted than what might expect.

CHARLOTTE is 25-11 UNDER  L/36 revenging a home loss vs opponent with a combined average of 200 ppg going on the board.

NBA team like Charlotte - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or less), dominant rebounding team (+5.5 reb/game or more ) against an average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) are 53-24 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 695 conversion rate for totals bettors.

 NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 like Charlotte - after 3 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 4 or more consecutive wins are 39-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for  81% conversion rare for bettors.

Play UNDER

EMERALD COAST CLASSIC - Semifinals - The Arena at NW FL ST - Niceville, FL

New Mexico snagged the coach of New Mexico State in the off season Paul Weir. In his lone season a coach, he took the Aggies to the NCAA Tournament and procured a 28-6 record on the season. Weir has an unproven roster, and they are a wait and see type of program at the moment, but tonight on a neutral court I believe they run and gun Lobos are being underestimated  in their ability to cover vs a TCU side, that according to my own power rankings should be a 10 point favorite at most .

TCU is 2-9 ATS  L/11  vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% more of  their attempts. NEW MEXICO is 35-19 ATS  L/54  in road games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%).TCU is 4-13 ATS  L/17 after playing 2 consecutive home games and 14-28 ATS L/42  in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins .

Play on New Mexico to cover

Winthrop is a spoiler type team that finished 71st in RPI last season and made it the NCAA tournament.  With a key player like Cooks in their lineup, this program will once again challenge for the Big South championship. Meanwhile, Auburn under Bruce Pearl remains a entertaining team, without actually making a run in post season play . The Tigers have talent, but the problem seems to be  staying focused in the defensive end . That I'm betting will be their downfall tonight vs a feisty side.

Play on Winthrop to cover 1 unit reg selection

 Western Carolina is really over matched here , on paper and as far as talent goes. This is a mismatch of mammoth proportions and if anything Arlington is not a getting the respect they deserve. With that said, lay the points.

TX-ARLINGTON is 11-3 ATS  L/14 when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%).TX-ARLINGTON is 13-2 ATS  L/15 when playing only their 3rd game in a week

Neutral court teams as a favorite or pick Texas Arlington - off a close road loss by 3 points or less, in November games 31-9  ATS L/40 L/20 seasons for a 78% conversion rate.

Play on Texas Arlington to cover

BATTLE 4 ATLANTIS - Final Rnd - Imperial Arena at Atlantis Resort - Nassau
My College Hoops Totals calculations use a formula I have used for the L/16 years, and take into consideration player and systems ratings, and past trends, and  the most recent performance numbers.

W KENTUCKY is 21-9 UNDER L/30  in road games in November games.

CBB Neutral court teams against the total (W KENTUCKY) - off an upset win as an underdog, marginal losing team from last season who won 40-49% of their games are 50-20 UNDER L/70 for a 72% conversion rate.

Play UNDER

UNC Wilmington under new head coach  McGrath  and former assistant at North Carolina ( national champs) after mentoring under Roy Williams, brings instant creditability to this up trending side, that made it to the NCAA tourney last year. He changed up the Seahawks style of play but I'm pretty sure they will remain competitive in the Colonial. As far as today goes, their opponents Loyola Chicago are team with a good starting 5 , but lack depth , something Wilmington has. With that said, I'm recommending we take the points.

Loyola Chicago HC Moser is 2-12 ATS  L/14 as a neutral court favorite or pick in all games.

Play on NC Wilmington to cover

Rider is a team with a lot of size and despite of losing key scorers from last season remain a dangerous side behind a solid D, that plays differently than a lot of teams in the MAAC where they reside. UC Irvine plays a hard defensive type of basketball, but this Rider team is tough under glass and in the paint, and will over power UC Irvine . Note:  Cal Irvines HC Turner is 14-30 ATS  versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game.

UC-IRVINE is 0-8 ATS  L/8 in a neutral court game where the total is 140 to 149.5 .

Play on Rider to cover 1 unit reg selection

GREAT ALASKA SHOOTOUT - Round 2 - Alaska Airlines Center - Anchorage, AK

My College Hoops Totals calculations use a formula I have used for the L/16 years, and take into consideration player and systems ratings, and past trends, and  the most recent performance numbers.

Neutral court teams against the total (SAM HOUSTON ST) - in a game involving two poor shooting teams (40-42.5%) are 80-40 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

 Play UNDER

Arizona States HC Hurley one the greatest point guards in NCCAA history is ultra competitive and now in his third  year as the head man, is ready to bolt his team to the next level. This group jelled over the summer in trip to Italy and Spain, and have chemistry and more versatility than the pundits might have expected . Both themselves and their opponents  Kansas State are 4-0 on the season, and both are pretty evenly matched, thus taking points makes a a golden opportunity.

Play on Arizona State to cover 1 unit reg selection

My own line and projections make this an evenly matched pickem, thus getting points is a viable wagering opportunity. This will be the Longhorns first real test of the season, after playing three fluffy games to start their season vs lower tier opposition.

BUTLER is 7-0 ATS  L/7 versus good defensive teams - allowing 64  or less points/game over the last couple of  seasons and is 12-3 ATS  L/15 versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game .BUTLER is 10-1 ATS L/11 when the line is +3 to -3  . TEXAS is 8-19 ATs L/27 as a neutral court favorite of 3 points or less or pick.

Take the points with Butler to cover 1 unit reg selection

This Wash St team only won 6 games last season, but have won 3 already this season. Cougars HC Kents recruiting looks like its been spot on. He has a group that can get up and down the floor in a hurry, and according to my own cross reference players /teams rankings match up very well vs St.Josephs.

Take the points with Washington State

The Lakers (8-10) enter into this tilt vs Sacramento off their second straight win. Last night  Los Angeles posted a 103-94 home victory over the Chicago Bulls on Tuesday in a come from behind effort and very much look to be the superior team entering this tilt. Last night they controlled the boards , with a  54-39 rebounding advantage, and are currently ranked 4th in the NBA . thanks to those efforts the Lakers defensive rating, has them ranked 4th as well , as their top tier abilities fly under the radar of most pundits. Meanwhile, the Kings do not rebound well as is evident by giving up 7.8 more per game than their opponents, for last place in the  NBA. With Sacramento also expected to play its third straight game without second-leading scorer Buddy Hield (11.6 points per game), they are at a disadvantage tonight from multiple perspectives including their ability to outscore an opponent behind a lowly 93.2 points per game which is the worst  output in the NBA.

SACRAMENTO is 1-8 ATS  L/9 vs lower tier  defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season (this is mostly because of their won lack of scoring power)

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Lakers - with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season, in November games are 71-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate.

Play on the Lakers to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Bulls and Jazz enter this game both struggling. Both are desperate for wins, and both I expect will play hard tonight. The Jazz have dropped eight of their past 10 games, including a 107-86 road loss against the Philadelphia 76ers on Monday and without top tier center Rudy Gobert look like a key component has their usually well disciplined team  in disarray . Meanwhile, visiting  Chicago is 0-2 on a four-game trip after losing  by a 103-94 count  to the Los Angeles Lakers last night. The Bulls threw away a 19-point second-half lead against the Lakers, which was embarrassing for them. Like the call from the French revolution, which said " Heads Will roll".  That's exactly the situation now in Bulls land, and this group of players need to stand up and get some respect for themselves immediately .  These are professionals that   know that this will have an adverse financial  effect on their careers going forward and how they are looked as players if they don't bounce  back and make amends for that ugly 2nd half effort last night. The Bulls won both of last season's meetings and have prevailed in three straight meetings and are my pick to cover here.

Bulls are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Bulls are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest.Jazz are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.Jazz are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 vs. Eastern Conference.Underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

NBA Road underdogs like Chicago- off 2 or more consecutive road losses, playing on back-to-back days are 67-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection

 
The San Antonio Spurs play consistent basketball which is evident by a 11-6 record despite missing   All-Star forward Kawhi Leonard and veteran  point guard Tony Parker. However, tonight on the road vs New Orleans I'm betting they will suffer a set back, vs an opponent that has some very talented players  in their lineup , namely the  super star duo Davis and Cousins. ( Cousins seems to elevate his games vs top tier teams). Note: Cousins was ejected last time out, because of what looked like he the and elbow)  HC Gentry said it was a bad call, and now this talented player, despite of being extremely moody will have a chip on his shoulder entering this tilt and be ready and motivated  to show case his talent and  ego vs a big time opponent on his own home floor.

New Orleans owns a 4-0 ATS  l/4 mark at home  in this series. The Spurs are 0-5 ATS L/5 road games.Home team is 20-6 ATS in the last 26 meetings. The Spurs have failed to cover 9 of the L/12 meetings in this series.

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50% or more of their shots against opponent after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less are 29-4 SU for a 88% SU conversion rate over the L/5 seasons.

Play on New Orleans Pelicans  to cover

 Miami O under a new head coach former assistant at Purdue Jack Owens isa side I'm going to keep an eye on going forward. Just like his mentor at Purdue (Painter) hard work and top tier defense first basketball will be the name of the game. There are some decent hardworking seniors on board, and versatile group that is hard working blue collar types. Their a feisty crew and here as underdogs have merits that I can back on a DD underdog line. Meanwhile, Tulane -was a 6 win team last season, and played to that level, they are improving, but I'm not buying this 11 point line the odds makers have placed on this tilt.

TULANE is 0-7 ATS L/7 in home games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less and  10-21 ATS   when playing against a team with a winning record.

Play on Miami Ohio to cover 1 unit reg selection

This is a tilt of 2 fairly evenly matched teams, with home court advantage worth 3 points according to my own cross reference power rankings. Thus in a game I have pegged at close to one possession or 2 possession game, the Bulls  have an edge based on the numbers being offered by the sportsbooks both in Vegas and off shore. I will not be surprised at all if the Bulls pull of the SU upset here vs a Lakers team that should be on tired legs as they prepare to play their 8th game in 13 days.

LA LAKERS are 9-20 ATS  L/29 when playing 8 or more games in 14 days. LAKERS are 6-21 ATS  L/27 after playing 2 consecutive home games.CHICAGO is 15-4 ATS L/19  in road games after a game where they attempted 100 or more shots.

NBA teams like Chicago  have done well from a SU perspective vs NBA Home teams vs. the money line like the LAKERS- off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team winning SU 21 of the L/35 times for a 60% conversion rate dating back 5 seasons.

NBA Home favorites like the Lakers - after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games. 61-111 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of more than 64% for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection

Davidson after depending way to much on two key players last season, had a down campaign, but with recruiting remaining strong, they should be more versatile and explosive this season, as was evident in their first two games when they  scoried 108 and 110 points. Nevada is a fine team, but Davidson I'm betting gives them a big time battle, making getting the points golden. 

CBB team (NEVADA) - off a road win, first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season with 7+ spread covers in last 8 games 9-21 SU L/30 dating back 20 seasons.

Play on Davidson to cover 1 unit reg selection

Valparaiso won 3 straight Horizon league championships behind the duo of Tevonn Walker and Max Joseph, both from Montreal Canada. They lead their college programs in Canada winning the Vanier Cup as well, and now here now in the Missouri Valley Conference they prepare to make another run at a championship. Look for a  group that knows how to win to run rough shot over a Samford  side trying to figure out a guard heavy style of play.

CBB team  like SAMFORD - mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games, with 3+ more starters returning from last year than opponent, in the first five games of the season are 17-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate 67% for bettors.

Play on Valparaiso to cover

Donnie Marsh the HC of Alabama A&M takes over a team with the worst RPI in the nation last season. That is in part why this chalk line is this big. This is a hard working group,  with some size, and I'm betting they stay within the number here and get the cover vs a Big 10 program Minnesota. Alabama A&M will face its second straight Top 25 team after losing 104-67 at No. 25 Alabama on Friday. Alabama A&M has hit 15 3-pointers and shot .500 from beyond the arc in its past two games. Johnson has four of the 3s and are capable of back door cover here.

Play on the Alabama A&M to cover 1 unit reg selection

CBE HALL OF FAME CLASSIC - Final Rnd - Sprint Center - Kansas City, MO

Wisconsin will face No. 23 UCLA in the consolation game of the CBE Hall of Fame Classic on Tuesday night at Sprint Center. My won cross reference power rankings suggest that Wisconsin should be 4 point favs, and are the superior overall team at the moment with these rosters on the floor.

UCLA is 4-14 ATS L/18  in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game
UCLA is 2-15 ATS L/15  after having won 2 of their last 3 games

CBB  underdog (UCLA) - after 2 or more consecutive overs, an explosive offensive team (76 PPG or more) against a good offensive team (74-76 PPG) are 55-95 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 64% for bettors.

Play on Wisconsin to cover

UMass has played decently to this point in the season , and is on route to a quick turnaround after last years subpar results. McCall and company could surprise the pundits this season, and as far as tonight goes, very much over match a W Carolina group, that limps into this season, after suffering the injury bug last year, as key players such as Parks and Williams are still not 100%. Lay the points with UMASS.

W CAROLINA is 2-10 ATS L/12 versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less losing SU by an average of 24.6 ppg. W CAROLINA is 2-9 ATS L/11 in road games when playing against a team with a winning record winning SU by an average 29.4 ppg. W CAROLINA is 4-16 ATS L/20 as an underdog of 10 or more points .W CAROLINA is 0-6 ATS L/6 as a road underdog of 12.5 to 18 points .

Home teams as a favorite or pick MASSACHUSETTS - after scoring 95 points or more, with just two starters returning from last year in the first 5 games of the season are 31- 6 ATS for a 80% conversion rate for bettors over the L/5 seasons.

Play on UMass to cover 1 unit reg selection

 After a single-digit win over 0-4 Omaha on Friday, No. 19 Louisville is facing a big step up in competition Tuesday night when Southern Illinois visits the KFC Yum! Center.. The Salukis (2-0) brought three starters and a host of role players back from last season's third-place Missouri Valley Conference team and have the edge on the line tonight.

Hinson is 32-13 ATS L/45 off a home win as the coach of S ILLINOIS.

Play on Southern Illinois to cover

The Portland Blazers go against a reeling Memphis Grizzlies  team that is playing with out point guard Mike Conely  and on a current four game losing streak. Without Conely on the floor the team just doesn't seem to have consistent rhythm , and once again look like fade material in this spot. The Memphis D has also broken down and has allowed 100 or more points in eight of its past nine games. The Grizzlies went 1-7 in those games.  It's also interesting to note that despite of appearances of a Grizzlies side that can supposedly play uptempo basketball as well as defense, the numbers and data don;t support their prowess, as they rank 29th in the league in pace  and 25th in offensive production. With that said, I'm fading them tonight and keeping a eye on them until they can right their sinking ship.

MEMPHIS is 4-16 ATS  L/20  in home games off a home loss .

NBA Road favorites vs. the money line like PORTLAND  - after allowing 90 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games are  106-25 SU during the L/21 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Portland Blazers to cover 1 unit reg selection

Tyronn Lue's Cavaliers are starting to jell, as  they are currently on a 4 game win streak. The victories have not been over powering, but they are getting the job done, behind a veteran crew that prefers a methodical game plan rather than a fast paced run and gun style game. After their recent come from behind  victory vs the LA Clippers, key veteran Dwayne Wade said, QUOTE:"We're one of the oldest teams in the league. We're not built for all of this," Wade said. "We're built for when the game slows down -- and late in games, the game slows down, and that's kind of when we're at our best." END QUOTE. Tonight against a Motown group on tired legs as they play back to back after playing last night, I'm betting the tempo will be to the Cavaliers liking and give them a much needed edge. Detroit won a close grueling tilt last night, 100-97 score at Minnesota. Note: NBA  teams where the line is +3 to -3 like DETROIT- off a road win by 3 points or less, playing on back-to-back days are 5-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

DETROIT is 10-22 ATS  L/32 when the line is +3 to -3 .

CLEVELAND is 13-4 ATS L/17 road games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days.DETROIT is 18-33 ATS  L/51 after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread.

Play on the Cleveland Cavs to cover 1 unit reg selection