DeAndre Ayton is upgraded to probable Friday vs Toronto ( Ankle ) which will be a big boost for the Suns in this game vs the defending champs. I know the Suns have been highly inconsistent this season, but with Toronto expected to be without Norman Powell and Marc Gasol their short handed and vulnerable. 

The Suns are 15-0 ATS L/15 on the road with rest off a game as a favorite when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent.

The Raptors are 0-12 ATS L/12 off a loss as a road favorite after being outscored in the paint by double digit

Phoenix is 12-0 ATS L/12 games in this series.  

Suns HC Williams is 104-69 ATS  as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points in all games he has coached since 1996. 

Play on Phoenix to cover 

Indiana's successes and failures on predicated on  their defensive play, as they rank only 21st in the NBA in offensive output, and 9th in ppg allowed, behind a slower grinding type of play that has them ranked 25th in pace. Meanwhile, NYK ranks 28 in offensive output and 21st in pace . Considering both sides modus operandi  my projections make this total one possession off the mark, which has me leaning strongly  to the under. 

The Pacers are 0-11 UNDER L/11 on the road with more than one day of rest off a game as a favorite in which they scored 15 or more points in the first than the second half with a combined average of 182.2  ppg scored. 

 The Knicks are 3-18-1 UNDER L/22 as a home dog off a home game facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws with a combined average of 206.6 ppg scored. 

 INDIANA is 21-6 UNDER as a road favorite of 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 209.2 ppg scored. 

NEW YORK is 10-2 UNDER as a home underdog of 6 points or less this season with a combined average of 209. 6 ppg scored. 

NBA Teams like the Knicks are 0-12-1 UNDER L/13  with more than one day of rest off a 10+ loss as a home favorite after a game with 8+ lead changes with a combined average of 209 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

 NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (INDIANA) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 44-16 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (NEW YORK) - poor team - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after allowing 105 points or more 5 straight games are 51-19 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

 Washington ranks 6th in the NBA in offensive ppg output, and rank dead last at 30th in the league in defense , behind the 6th ranked pace. Its obvious when the Wizards go on the court, you better be prepared to run and score non stop or be blown off the court. With the Wizards fresh after the all star break you can bet they will come out of the gates , like their hairs on fire and will force Cleveland to reciprocate with offensive fireworks of their own.

NBA Teams like the Cavaliers are 11-0-1 OVER L/12 as a road dog off a 10+ win as a dog in which they shot over 50% from the field with a combined average of 243.3 ppg scored. 

NBA Teams like the Wizards  are 14-0-1 OVER  L/15 off a 10+ win in a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 15 turnovers per game with a combined average of 242.4 ppg scored.

The Wizards are 18-1 OVER at home with more than one day of rest facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with a combined average of 238.2 ppg scored. 

Play OVER 

Dartmouth has allowed 60.1 ppg at home this season, and their system is predicated oin playing tough defensive ball and nothing changes tonight on their own home court. When these teams played earlier this season, they took part in a 54-46 affair that Penn won, and this is a rinse and repeat situation in the rematch. 

PENNSYLVANIA is 8-0 UNDER  after 4 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 128.5 ppg scored. 

DARTMOUTH is 7-0 UNDER L/7 in home games after a win by 15 points or more with a combined average of  130.6 ppg scored.DARTMOUTH is 7-1 UNDER  after playing a home game this season with a 119.7 ppg scored. (Dartmouth beat Cornell 75-53 at home last time out)

Play on the UNDER 

Cornell was blasted last time out at Dartmouth 75-53 in a sleepy effort, and after being total embarrassed will be ready and motivated for redemption against a top teir opponent. Earl is 11-0 ATS  in home games off a road loss as the coach of CORNELL.

CORNELL is 6-0 ATS  in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.CORNELL is 6-0 ATSin home games off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

CBB Home underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (CORNELL) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, a bad team (20% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 48-23 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Cornell to cover 

Utah has lost 2 straight and 4 of their L/6 , but the two wins came at home, where they play their best hoops, as their 10-1 record as hosts would indicate. Tonight against a strong looking UCLA group, Im betting they find a way to win, with the extra motivation of revenge for a earlier lopsided loss to the Bruins in LA a couple of weeks ago. Note: Utah is 16-4-1 ATS at home with same-season conference revenge under head coach Larry Krystowiaki and a perfect 12-0 ATS when they own a win percentage of less than .655.

UCLA is 0-7 ATS at road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. UCLA is 0-8 ATS in road games after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons.

 The Utes  are  3-11 ATS vs. teams who are called for 3+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 3 season.

Utah is 16-4-1 ATS at home with same-season conference revenge under head coach Larry Krystowiaki. 

CBB road team (UCLA) - after 3 or more consecutive wins, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 19-47 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Utah to cover 

I know Chicago lost 6 straight entering the All Star break, but thats makes them all the more hungry, and now  Im betting they are more than capable of taking out a inconsistent Charlotte side that has lost 20 of their 30 road games this season, with average overall diff clicking in at -8.9 ppg. 

The Hornets are 0-12 ATS /SU L/12 on the road with rest off a game as a dog after out scoring their opponent in the paint by double digits.

The Hornets are 1-16 ATS /0-17 SU as a road dog off a road game facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls-against per game.

NBA Favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (CHICAGO) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%), after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ less free throws than opponent are 33-0 L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +13.2 ppg which qualifies under the perimeters of this side wager. 

NBA favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CHICAGO) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%), after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ less free throws than opponent are 28-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Chicago 

Chicago was   playing alot of offensive back and forth affairs before the all star break, but Charlotte does not have the fire power to take part in that type of affair ranking 30th in the league in offence, and will look to slow this game down behind the 30th ranked pace in the NBA . This Im betting has a direct effect on this total to the under. 

The Bulls are 0-17-1 UNDER L/18 as a favorite off a 10+ loss in a road game when they are off two losses as dogs with a combined average of 184.2 ppg scored with non of the tilts in the subset going over this total. 

The Hornets are 1-13 UNDER L/14 on the road after a game as a road dog in which they scored 15 or more points in the second than the first half with a combined average of 192.9 ppg .NBA Teams like the Hornets are 0-13 UNDER L/13  with more than two days of rest off a win as a dog facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s with the combined average score of 208 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

NBA team (CHARLOTTE) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, second half of the season are 32-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

 analysis to follow- thank you for your patience 

The Milwaukee Bucks key players Giannis Antetokounmpo and Khris Middleton took part in the all star game and Im betting will be a bit of an emotional letdown situation on the road today vs a stumbling Motown side Im sure their overlooking. The Bucks have had a propensity to play down to their opponents this season, and with Philadelphia on board for this weekend in a key eastern conference battle, they could easily just go through the motions here, while Detroit will look at this as a big time redemption game , and an opportunity to get some pride and momentum back after a nasty first half of the season. 

 Casey is 18-6 ATS  in home games after 4 or more consecutive losses in all games he has coached .

NBA Teams like the Pistons are 19-3-1 ATS at home with more than two days of rest off a loss as a road dog in which they scored fewer than 10 fast break points. 

NBA Home underdogs of 10 or more points (DETROIT) - revenging 2 straight losses where opp scored 100 or more points, off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog are 27-7 ATS L/23 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Detroit to cover 

GARDNER WEBB is 8-1 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% or better  of their shots after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.GARDNER WEBB is 12-3 ATS  versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.Craft is 20-8 ATS in road games against conference opponents as the coach of GARDNER WEBB.

Gardner Webb is 3-0 SUL/3 in this series. 

Drexel  lost at home to Hofstra 72-59 on January 25 and according to my power rankings do not matchup well vs Hofstra. Considering how over powering the  Pride have  been as visitors this season recording a   a 6-1 record in CAA play with the  average ppg diff in their wins clicking in at  10.3 points it will be an easy decision to lay the points here with the top tier road warrior. 

HOFSTRA is 7-1 ATS  versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games this season.HOFSTRA is 14-2 ATS (when playing only their 2nd game in a week this season.

CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (HOFSTRA) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half are 63-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate.

Play on Hofstra to cover 

Indiana is tied with Minnesota in the Big Ten standings and Im expecting a hard fought affair here tonight, but the home team has the advantage vs a Hoosiers side in disarray after having  lost five out of its last six games. Last time out , the Hoosiers  were smashed by a 89-65 count at Michigan on Sunday afternoon and once again look like fade material here on the road where they have struggled to score consistently averaging just 60.8 ppg, while being out scored by -9 ppg. 

CBB Favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after a combined score of 115 points or less are 97-15 L/5 seasons and 15-2 this season  with the average ppg diff clicking in at +8.7 ppg. 

Play on Minnesota to cover 

Mississippi has played their best hoops at home this sesaon  in Starkville, notching  five consecutive SEC home victories by an average of 17.8 points per game. I know south Carolina has played better of late, but looked winded in a close win vs Tennessee last time out, by a 63-61 count and look ready to succumb to their tired legs in this spot. 

Play on Miss State to cover

The Texas basketball program has now slipped down to seventh place in the Big 12 standings . Head coach Shaka Smart isn’t in a good spot. The Longhorns are in desperation mode and this TCU team is a side they can handle as was evident in a 62-61 road win in this series a couple of weeks ago.  TCU is 0-6 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

.TCU is 2-12 ATS  versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.TCU is 3-13 ATS versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less  turnovers/game this season.TEXAS is 23-7 ATS L/30 in home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games. 

Play on Texas to cover 

After winning 10 straight games Louisville has hit a speed bump losing two straight on the road as favorites. Now thoroughly embarrassed, and probably losing their No.1 seed in the upcoming NCAA tournament, Im expecting a big redemption effort here at home as Louisville also has revenge on board for a ugly looking DD loss earlier this season vs the Orange on the road  . It must be noted that Louisville   is  14-1 SU  this season as hosts, with the average ppg diff clicking in at 16.3 ppg. More of the same one sided action is my prediction tonight vs a Syracuse side that has lost 4 of their L/5 games.

CBB Home teams as a favorite or pick (LOUISVILLE) - off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a road favorite are 117-69 ATS L/23 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Louisville to cover 

Rutgers because of their strong defensive play have really stepped up their ability to compete in the Big 10. Here at home the Scarlet Knights are especially tough to play against allowing just 57.5 ppg in 17 games. Tonight at the RAC the Scarlet Knights have revenge on board for a loss to Michigan on the road earlier this season by 69-63 count, and in the past when they have been in redemption mode , playing extremely tough D, has been their modus operandi , under HC Pickell  especially  this season , as they have seen a combined average of 126.2 ppg scored in the 8 tilts that fit revenge perimeters.  Meanwhile, Michigan is off a big 89 point offensive output last time vs Indiana, thanks to some explosive beyond the arc conversion rates ( 57.4%)  and Im betting they will have natural regression here tonight. Note: MICHIGAN is 8-1 UNDER  after a game where they made 50% of their 3 point shots or better over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 118.7 ppg scored. Im betting on a scrappy physical game and a total combined score that stays on the low side of the total.

Play on the UNDER 

Auburn is expected to be without key starter Okoro  who recently suffered a hamstring injury and sat out Saturday's loss to Missouri and its likely he will miss this tilt vs a Georgia team that may not represent a major threat to Bruce Pearls hierarchal  SEC run. Auburn certainly missed his presence, especially on the defensive end of the court last time out in a loss to Missouri and he will once again Im betting be missed tonight against a highly motivated Georgia  team that will be looking at this game like it were a championship affair. Georgia HC Crean is 31-15 ATS  as a home underdog of 6 points or less or pick in all games he has coached since 1997.

Play on Georgia to cover 

Under rated Army 8-2 L/10 and Loyola winners of 4 of their L/5  played a tough hard fought tilt back on Jan 18  with the Black Knights winning by a 81-80 score and now Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation in what will be according to my projections another close game, that favors the road dog getting points. The last two meetings here at Loyola between these teams has been decided by 3 and 2 points respectively. Look for history to repeat itself. 

Play on Army to cover 

The Sooners have only one home loss this season and it came against a top-flight Kansas team and Im betting they  wont be easily defeated here tonight, by the No,.1 ranked  team in the country (Baylor). 

Play on Oklahoma to cover 

Mississippi (13-12) is currently in top form as is evident by  having won three of their last four games with the one loss coming to Kentucky by 4 points.
Mississippi's  average ppg diff in in the above mentioned 3 wins  click in at   +18.8 points per game.

OLE MISS is 13-4 ATS L/17 in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) . MISSOURI is 4-13 ATS L/17 in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) after 15 or more games of a season. 

Play on Ole Miss to cover 

VA COMMONWEALTH is 6-0 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams - making 45% or better  of their shots after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

VA COMMONWEALTH is 4-1 straight up against DAYTON L/5 here at home.

Play on VCU to cover 

The Razorbacks, , have dropped four straight while scoring scoring 65, 54, 77 and 75 points against SEC teams since losing standout guard Isaiah Joe to what is likely a season-ending knee injury . The Hogs  are fade material in their current form vs a coach and program that has them figured out as is evident by Coach Mike White, which has seen the go 7-0L/7 overall in their series  3-0 at home. Note: Florida has won 12 straight at home in this series.

 Add to that their inability to consistently reblound, as they rank last in rebounding margin at minus-10.1 and next-to-last in offensive and defensive rebounding

CBB Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (FLORIDA) - after a cover as a double digit favorite against opponent off an upset loss as a favorite are 32-12 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Florida to cover 

UMass (10-15, 4-8 Atlantic 10)did not look put of place vs the conference-leading Dayton  Flyers  losing a heart breaker in OT , and now get ready for a  rematch with Saint Louis (18-7, 7-5 A-10)  The Minutemen almost pulled of the upset in the first matchup with the Billikens in early January after  turning the ball over 25 times at Chaifetz Arena for a 83-80 loss. The Billikens are a big man team, but Umass can handle them physically, and recently have consistently been changing up their defesnive stances which are difficult for a rigid team like St.Louis to deal with. 

MASSACHUSETTS is 10-2 ATS  in all home games this season and is 11-3 ATS  as a home underdog or pick over the last 3 seasons.

Play on UMass to cover 

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

Play on Illinois to cover 

Norfolk State clobbered Coppin State by a 82-59 count as 1 point road favs earlier this season and Im betting are more than capable of covering once again as heftier chalk. The L/3 most recent meetings in this series have all been DD victories vs Norfolk State . 

Dixon is 0-6 ATS  in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent as the coach of COPPIN ST.

Jones is 10-1 ATS in home games when playing only their 2nd game in a week as the coach of NORFOLK ST.

CBB Favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (NORFOLK ST) - off 2 or more consecutive home wins, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a bad team (20-40%) are 80-12 SU with the average margin of victory by 8.6 ppg , which was coincidentally the opening line (-8.5). Im betting on that number being breached here today and for a Norfolk State cover . 

Play on Norfolk State to cover 

North Carolina Central plays a slow grinding type of defensive basketball. On the road they have only averaged 61.4 ppg in offence, so its imperative they continue to grind it out and thanks to a defence that has been solid on a consistent basis this season, allowing just 66.1 ppg , Im betting on more of the same action here which will influence to this total the under. 

NC Carolina A&T off a loss a favorite are 0-9 UNDER with the average ppg diff clicking in at 116.2 ppg going on the board. ( They lost last time out at Florida A&M)

NC CENTRAL is 12-3 UNDER L/15 in road games versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making 31% or ,less of their attempts with a combined average of 127.9 ppg scored. 

CBB Road teams against the total (NC CENTRAL) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after allowing 65 points or less 5 straight games are 30-11 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

Xavier's won three of its last four games and took the first meeting with the Red Storm at Cintas Center on Jan. 5.  Meanwhile, St. John's has lost three of its last four. St.Johns did however, surprise Providence last time out, which was shocking  since St. John's senior Mustapha Heron, who led the team in scoring earlier this season, didn't play and is likely done for the season, according to the New York Post. However, now in a letdown situation, after that huge win, Im betting the Red Storm falter vs a Xavier program that has beaten them 10 straight times and is bigger and more physical, than St.Johns, and have a big advantage on the board s where the Red Storm rank 300th in the nation in rebounding on the defensive glass.Xavier's sitting squarely on the bubble right now, according to a number of postseason projections and Im betting we see them at their best here as they leave everything on the floor.

XAVIER is 6-0 ATS after covering 4 of their last 5 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Xavier to cover

Because of rule changes -my projections estimate that LeBron and company will have the edge entering the 4th quarter. Note:  The fourth quarter will be untimed and the teams will play to a final target score. The final target score is determined by taking the team that is  leading after  three quarters and adding 24 points ( in honor of Kobe Bryant.)   The team that is behind need to score 29 points before the leading team scored 24 points in order to win the All-Star Game. I know its alot to take in, but my mathematical projections estimate  LeBron gets it done. 

Play on LEBRON to cover 

After watching the World vs USA rising stars tilt on Friday night when 282 total points went on the board, it became obvious to me that this is also going to be  another no defence affair that easily flies over the total, thanks in part the 24 added points the Kobe Bryant output gives to this total score. The NBA wants their all star game to be as entertaining as possible so they are going facilitate 

Play OVER 

My College basketball totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

LOYOLA-MD is 15-3 OVER  off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 season with a combined average off 155 ppg scored. 

LOYOLA-MD is 11-2 OVER  when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 152.4 ppg scored.

Home teams against the total (LOYOLA-MD) - average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against a good 3PT defense (32% or less) after 15+ games, hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47% or better of their shots are 90-42 OVER L/23 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play OVER

Michigan has beaten Indiana in six straight meetings with a 15.5-point average margin of victory. Rinse repeat situation now on board. 

INDIANA is 1-8 ATS  in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.

MICHIGAN is 8-0 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons.

Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MICHIGAN) - off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 80%) are 121-69 over the last 5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Michigan to cover 

  Washington has lost seven straight in conference play and are really suffering alot of close losses and unlucky situational defeats.  KenPom  ranks them  353 out of 353 in something called the  luck factor. Five of the Huskies Big 12 losses have come  by a single basket and two in overtime.  Today in revenge mode vs a UCLA side that beat them earlier this season and now feeling like they have nothing to lose Im expecting Washington to be loose and focused and to quite possibly pick up the SU win but more importantly the cover. 

CBB some teams as an underdog or pick (UCLA) - off a close win by 3 points or less over a conference rival against opponent off an embarrassing road loss scoring less than 60 points are 18-45 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Washington to cover 

North Carolina are no pushovers on their own floor where  head coach Roy Williams is 21-1 SU at home in his career when his team owns a losing record. Meanwhile, Virginia despite of a top tier D, continues to struggle to score consistently ,  behind a offence  that is  shooting just 41.7 percent from the field and 25.7 percent from three on the road.

Play on North Carolina to cover 

Villanova is off a huge win vs Villanova last time out and will now be in a letdown situation against a hungry Providence side that needs a win badly here , if they have hopes for a NCAA tournament appearance. Add to that the Friars are in revenge mode for a 73-64 loss a few weeks ago at the Hall and you have a motivated team to back against a side that may not have the nergy needed to get them a road win. SETON HALL is 1-8 ATS  after playing a game where both teams score 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons which was the case vs Villanova last time out. 

Play on Providence to cover 

The  Liberty Flames  owned  the NJIT Highlanders  in their first meeting  winning by a 65-38 score  covering as a 10-point favorite in Newark. the Liberty held clamped down on  NJIT allowing them a measly 23.5% shooting FG conversion rate, and are more than capable of dominating   again here at home.NEW JERSEY TECH is 0-6 ATS  vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -18.2 ppg. 

Play on Liberty to cover

Auburn be without star freshman Isaac Okoro and Im betting because of this their flow will be curtailed enough to make them vulnerable today. I know Missouri may not inspire bettors, but after Missouri outscored ranked LSU 42-38 in the paint and held a slight rebounding edge I feel they can do the same here and be competitive and thus get us the cover. Missouri HC Martin is 14-4 ATS ( in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games in all games he has coached since 1997.

Play on Missouri to cover 

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

 LSU will be on the road for the third time in a four-game stretch when the No. 25 Tigers take on Alabama on Saturday afternoon in Tuscaloosa, Ala and may not be as fresh as they need to be vs what will by a hard environment for a visiting team to play in. 

ALABAMA is 13-4 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season. ALABAMA is 6-0 ATS as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons.ALABAMA is 12-0 ATS  after scoring 80 points or more this season which they achieved against Auburn last time out. 

Play on Alabama 

Im betting on Bob Huggins Mountaineers to come out here and play hard  against the No. 1 team in the country after suffering back to back losses. West Virginia has the D and size advantage, needed to give Baylor problems especially under the glass. Note:Baylor   ranks 229th in defensive rebounding percentage.

W VIRGINIA is 13-3 ATS  in road games off an embarrassing home loss scoring less than 60 points. West Virginia has covered their last two visits to Baylor. 

Play on West Virginia to cover 

The Rice Owls are connecting on 43.4% from the floor and 34.3% from three while allowing their opponents to connect on 46.0% from the field but just 32.4% from three.
• Rice's opponents are outrebounding the Owls, 37.0-to-35.7 but the Owls lead the conference and are 12th in the country in three-pointers made per game (10.0).
• The Owls are also third in Conference USA in assists with 14.1 per game.

Rice enters Saturday afternoon's contest vs Charlotte with a 12-14 record, including 4-9 in Conference USA. The Owls had their three-game winning streak snapped on Thursday, falling to Old Dominion, 73-70. The Owls continue to uptrend in my rankings and despite of playing against a team with a better record matchup well . 

My projections give them the edge vs a program that they have beaten 5 of the L/6 times here on Seniors day.

Play on Rice to cover 

Badgers beat up on  Nebraska in an 82-68 win when these teams faced off against each other on January 21. But Im betting the Cornhuskers will be able to hang here in redemption mode at home behind an offence that has picked up their numbers of late  .Nebraska (7-17, 2-11 Big Ten) comes off a heartbreaking 72-70 loss to ninth-ranked Maryland on Tuesday in College Park where they showed their resiliency .Tuesday's loss at No. 9 Maryland marked the fifth loss by five points or less this season, including losses at Maryland and at Rutgers, who are a combined 30-0 at home this season, which proves this teams never say die attitude and ability to be competitive here today.

WISCONSIN is 0-6 ATS  versus poor shooting teams - making 42% or lerss of their shots after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.WISCONSIN is 0-6 ATS off a win against a conference rival this season ( They beat Ohio /state last time out)

Hoiberg is 9-1 ATS in home games after a close loss by 3 points or less in all games he has coached since 1997.

Nebraska to cover 

 This game is revenge tilt for Southern Illinois for a loss they suffered to the Bradley Braves on the road in Peoria six weeks ago. In the past when the Salukis have been beaten by the Braves they have responded well in the rematch going a bankroll expanding  15-2-1 ATS, including 8-0 SUATS the last eight as hosts in this series . Considering the Salukis love home cooking and beating up on opponents here on a regular basis Im betting they cover in redemption mode here today. Note:  Southern Illinois average ppg diff clicks in at 11.8 ppg at SIU Arena this season. 

Play on Southern Illinois to cover 

Playing the high altitudes of Clune Arena for San Jose State will not be an easy task.

SAN JOSE ST is 0-10 ATS  in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -31.3 ppg.

Play on Air Force 

 Texas Tech is off a huge win last time  out which delivered their biggest margin of victory in Big 12 action.  Im now expecting an emotional letdown and natural offensive regression in this followup tilt . They also will be without key  freshman guard Terrence Shannon Jr. who suffered a concussion vs TCU.  Meanwhile, Oklahoma State is up trending according to my power rankings after three straight covers, and deserve our respect getting points here this afternoon at home.  I know the Cowboys were clobbered by Texas Tech and  their first meeting but now with a chance at redemption vs a side that could easily be over looking them their viable underdogs.TEXAS TECH is 9-26 ATS in road games versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making 31% or less of their attempts.OKLAHOMA ST is 15-4 ATS  revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more.

Play on Oklahoma State to cover 

Two teams on horrendous losing streaks, but according to my power rankings the lesser of the two evils is Samford. 

THE CITADEL is 0-6 ATS  versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.

CBB underdog (THE CITADEL) - after 7 or more consecutive losses against opponent after 8 or more consecutive losses are 8-27 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. 

Samford to cover 

The Boilermakers have struggled away from home for most of the year and Im betting nothing changes here today against the Buckeyes. Ohio State has been playing with better flow after a bit of mid season slump  and  Im betting they will get it done in front of the home crowd to get back to .500 in the conference play. PURDUE is 5-13 ATS in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. Ohio State is 13-4 SU l/17 at home in this series.

 PURDUE is 0-6 ATS  in road games versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 39% or better over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Ohio State to cover 

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

North Western to cover 

Team USA is packed full of explosive star power, with guys like  Ja Morant/Jaren Jackson / Trae Young/ Miles Bridges and Devonte Graham out to prove to the world on a international stage how over powering they are. With team Worlds super star Luka Doncic banged up they just don't seem as formidable and Im betting they get stomped on tonight. 

Play on Team USA to cover 

Siena plays their best hoops at home where they are 10-0 this season behind what has become a very strong defence , as is evident by allowing an average 10 ppg less trhan they do on the road . They have won 3 straight home games covering by more than 9.6 ppg above the number. Considering their love for home cooking and their current form Im betting the Saints will come marching into this game and grab us the cover vs a public fav that has lost 4 of their L/6 road games. 

RIDER is 0-6 ATS  in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff registering at -13.8 ppg. 

Favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (SIENA) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after a combined score of 115 points or less ate 95-15 L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 8.7 ppg. 

Play on Siena to cover 

Two of the top teams in the conference will do battle tonight in what Im betting will be hard fought affair in a critical Ivy League event .Princetons overall record may not inspire bettors vs a top tier team like Yale, but recently the Tigers are really revving up  as is evident by a 8-1 SU /ATS record L/9  .

Henderson is 17-6 ATS  versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game after 15+ games as the coach of PRINCETON.

Play on Princeton to cover 

My College basketball Totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

Play UNDER 

Oregon (18-6, 7-4 Pac-12) has revenge on board for a loss to the Buffaloes earlier this season on the road, and their HC Altman said it was because of a lack of toughness. Now the redemption reminded Ducks  will have sophomore center Francis Okoro, back in the lineup who went home to Nigeria last week for the funeral service for his father. Hes a big physical presence  and adds a dimension to Altmans lineup that the HC said his team is lacking . 

 HC Dana Altman is  10-0 SUATS  in his last ten games playing with revenge. 

The home team in this series has been golden going  12-2 ATS the last fourteen meetings, with Oregon having  covered four straight at home against the Colorado. 

Oregon to cover 

Washington smashed USC 72-40 back in Jan, and now USC has revenge on board. However, it must be noted that HC  Enfield is just 10-20 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent as the coach of USC and now after 3 straight losses the Trojans look in a disarray and could easily struggle here today vs a program that has shown to have their number in recent meetings. 

WASHINGTON is 4-0 straight up against USC over the last 3 seasons.

USC is 1-10 ATS in home games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 3 seasons.USC is 2-11 ATS  in home games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 season.

Play on Washington 

This is the final game for both teams before the All-Star Break. The Thunder have lost two straight after a 114-106 home loss to San Antonio on Tuesday. Oklahoma City had won nine of 10 games before that and now finally look tired after  all out grueling run that saw them play strong start to finish basketball. The way the Thunder have played is hard on a team, and tonight Im betting it will come back to bite them here in the bayou vs Zion Williamson and company. 

It must be noted that Pelicans were getting clobbered by what was a red hot Portland side in their last tilt , before embarking on a comeback. Note:

The Pelicans are 10-0 ATS/SU L/10 as a favorite after a win in which they trailed by 15. 

The Pelicans are 10-0 ATS /SU as a favorite with less than two days rest off a win in which they had at least a 10 percent higher BAP than their opponent.

New Orleans to cover 

Previous to their last game , where Cal Irvine only scored 61 points in a loss at UC Santa Barbara they had put up 80, 91, 83 points respectively and now Im betting a big out put here tonight against Cal Riverside, in a tilt I have projected to eclipse this total.  CBB  teams where the total is 129.5 or less (UC-IRVINE) - off a close road loss by 3 points or less, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are  26-4  OVER L/23 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

Previous to their last game , where Cal Irvine only scored 61 points in a loss at UC Santa Barbara they had put up 80, 91, 83 points respectively and now Im betting a big out put here tonight against Cal Riverside, for a conclusive win and cover which will be their 7th straight victory and cover in this series.UC-IRVINE is 8-0 ATS  versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing 12 or les  turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.UC-IRVINE is 6-0 ATS  versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 15 or less free throws/game after 15+ games over the last 2 season.

Play on UC Irvine to cover 

Since San Jose State joined the Mountain West in 2013, Fresno State is 10-2 against the Spartans and the Bulldogs have won its last two road games at The Event Center.  Fresno State is 3-0 against SJSU in head coach Justin Hutson's tenure, which includes a 79-64 victory over the Spartans back on Jan. 4 in Fresno at the Save Mart Center.  Last season, the Bulldogs beat San Jose State 73-53 on the road on Jan. 2, 2019 and then added a 121-81 win over SJSU in both teams' regular season finale on March 9, 2019. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here again tonight. 

Play on Fresno State to cover 

This is the fifth game in the Heats Western road trip and they are now on tired legs and wont have their usual jump here tonight in the high altitude of Utah which Im betting directly effects their  offensive output tonight which favors an under wager . 

The Heat are 0-12 UNDER L/12 as a road dog with rest off a 10+ win in a road game facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with a combined average of 189.5 ppg scored.The Heat are 0-11-1 UNDER L/12 as a dog off a win facing an opponent that has a season-to-date average points per FGA of better than 1.3 with a combined average of 205.1 ppg scored.

The Jazz are 0-18 UNDER L/18 as a home favorite off a road game in which they had fewer than 4 times as many field goal attempts as turnovers with a combined average of 189.7 ppg scored. 

Snyder in his L/49 in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of UTAH has seen a combined average of 203.3 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (UTAH) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, second half of the season are 30-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

While Northwestern has been on the wrong end of plenty of blowouts and have had a crap season overall, the Wildcats have shown flashes of brilliance vs some tough Big Ten teams. At one point, it led by 18 at Rutgers, 10 against Purdue and 15 against Maryland and must not be underestimated in their ability to get us the cover here tonight at home vs Michigan who are just 1-5 SU in true road games this season.

Play on Northwestern to cover 

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

SFlorida to cover 

The Grizzlies enter with seven victories in their past nine games, including a 106-99 road win over the Washington Wizards on Sunday, while Portland is off a loss last night in New Orleans in a tilt where they look exhausted in the 2nd half losing by a DDs. Now on back to back games and their 5th game in 8 days, Im betting the Blazers are a big disadvantage vs a Grizzlies side on 3 days rest after playing 3 straight on the road. MEMPHIS is 10-1 ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games this season.

MEMPHIS is 8-0 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season.

The Grizzlies are 18-2 ATS/SU as a home favorite with more than one day of rest facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game.The Grizzlies are 11-0 ATS /SU as a favorite with more than one day of rest off a road game facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end. 

The Trailblazers are 2-19 ATS/SU with no rest off a loss as a road dog after allowing 50-plus points in the paint.

Play on Memphis to cover 

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

Play OVER 

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

Play OVER 

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

Georgia Tech to cover 

The Raptors are on a 15 game win streak, with one of those wins coming against Brooklyn by just one point. Some teams no matter what the metrics suggest matchup well against what might seem like superior opponents and Brooklyn is one of those teams when considering this matchup vs the Raptors. With that said, Im taking the points here with the home team. BROOKLYN is 14-3 ATS  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Teams like the Raptors  are 0-11 ATS /1-10 SU off a 10+ win in which they shot over 55% from the field with the one SU win in the subset coming by just 1 points. 

NBA teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (TORONTO) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games are 8-33 SU L/23 seasons for a 81% go against conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TORONTO) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games are 5-24 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Brooklyn to cover 

The media has suddenly fell in love with how well the Knicks are playing recently, but Washington is also up-trending winning four of their L/6 overall and matchup well vs the Knicks and get my support here tonight .I know the Wizards played last night but they are on the of the leagues better conditioned teams, as is evident by a    17-4 ATS record when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.

 Wizards are 12-0 ATS /SU on the road when the line is within 3 of pick off a win as a home favorite in which they shot over 50% from the field.

The Knicks are 0-15-1 ATS /0-16 SU off a loss after scoring 15+ points more than Vegas projected. 

Play on Washington to cover 

Detroit has really looked bad of late, but Im betting after some embarrassing efforts will be able to muster some energy and here and keep this game competitive vs a Orlando side that might be getting just a bit to much respect from linesmakers. Look for Center John Henson and point guard Brandon Knight, the players acquired from the Cavaliers in the Drummond deal, to get things rolling in the right direction before the all star break. 

The Magic are 1-15 ATS/SU with less than two days rest off a win as a favorite facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls per game.The Magic are 0-11 ATS /2-9 SU at home with less than two days rest off a win in a home game after a game with 8+ lead changes.

NBA Home teams (ORLANDO) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game are 4-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Detroit Pistons to cover 

There’s no place like home in the Big Ten, and tonight despite of what many may feel, Ohio State has the edge here at 6 points or less vs a Rutgers team that has been much better at home then on the road where they are just 1-7 SU. It must also be noted that Rutgers was down by 18 to Northwestern last time out at home, before staging an enormous energy draining coming back for a 77-73 win and could easily be in a letdown situation here tonight, giving Ohio State a clear edge. 

Ohio State is 4-0 SU at home in this series  covering 3 of the 4 tilts, with a 76-62 win here last February. 

Ohio State to cover 

Auburn after a 15-0 start  to their current season lost their first game of the campaign to Alabama  as road chalk by a ugly DD margin and now have revenge on board and will be out to get their proverbial pint of blood here tonight in front of their own alumni. Auburn is 18-4-1 ATS at home in their series , including 4-0 SUATS the last four, 11-2-1 ATS as a favorite, and 9-1 ATS with 3 or more days of rest. 

CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (AUBURN) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 75 or more points against opponent off an upset win as a road underdog are 67-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Auburn to cover 

Despite its record, VMI has provided a strong challenge in virtually every SoCon outing. Near misses at ETSU (61-55) and Furman (74-72 OT), along with home losses to Mercer (69-66) and Samford (78-75) have the Keydets well behind the race to the top six but definitely a dangerous proposition here especially when getting points. VMI is 6-0 ATS  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Play on VMI to cover 

Boston enters this game fully healthy and will be primed to play top tier defence here behind the 17th ranked pace and  2nd ranked ppg D in the league. Meanwhile, Houston since changing over to a predominant small ball lineup have shown mixed results with the most troubling aspect seeing difficulties from beyond the arc which Im betting will effect output here tonight in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total. 

The Rockets are 9-35-5 UNDER when the line is within 3 of pick with rest with a combine average of 217.3 ppg scored.

The Celtics are 0-11-1 UNDER l/12 on the road with rest off a win in which they had at least a 10 percent higher BAP than their opponent with a a combined average of 200.9 ppg scored. 

BOSTON is 24-9 UNDER in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 209.2 ppg. 

HOUSTON is 23-10 UNDER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  70% or better) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 217.7 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER

When the season started i  Michigan State was a nearly-unanimous No. 1 team. On paper, it had explosive scoring, experience, in future NBA draft pick Cassius Winston, excellent defense and a proven coach in Tom Izzo and now Im not so sure that all the hype was correct, at least about being the best team in the conference. Since the Spartans beat up on Illinois earlier this season, Im seeing a regression from them as is evident by their current 3 game losing steam and Illinois is uptrending. Now with revenge on board for the earlier DD beatdown Im expecting retribution and redemption to show up in Illinois tonight.MICHIGAN ST is 1-9 ATS   in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Illinois is 12-2 SU at home this season, while Michigan State is 6-6 in 12 road games.

Play on Illinois to cover 

Portland Super star Lillard has scored 30 or more points in 25 games this season, but he had one of his worst shooting games the last time Portland faced New Orleans. He shot just 6 of 21 from the field and missed all 10 of his 3-pointers while scoring just 18 points in the visiting Pelicans' 102-94 win Dec. 23 and Im betting his bauyou voodoo will come out to haunt him here again tonight as Zion Williamson and company outshine the visitors. 

Trail Blazers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Trail Blazers are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings in New Orleans.

The Trailblazers are 4-22-1 ATS/ 3-23 SU as a road dog off a win as a home favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 15 turnovers per game.The Trailblazers are 2-17 ATS /SU as a road dog off a win as a home favorite in which their opponent had at least a 10 percent higher BAP. 

Pelicans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.

Pelicans are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 2 days rest.

Pelicans are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Play on New Orleans to cover 

When these teams played back on Jan 4th Ohio lost as 1 point favs 77-65 and now will be ready for pay back here in revenge mode on their own home floor where they have won 12 of tghe L/15 meetings. . OHIO U is 24-11 ATS in home games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite.

CBB Home favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (OHIO U) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite, off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival are 244-44 L/23 seasons for a 85% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at 9.3 ppg. 

Play on Ohio to cover 

The Bonnies are off a big road win Duquesne as road dog last time and will now be in an emotional letdown spot vs a long time rival. It is never easy winning on the road in this conference and getting points is my opinion a golden opportunity to cash a ticket here with a side that is being understimated. 

last ST BONAVENTURE is 5-16 ATS  when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons.
 ST BONAVENTURE is 15-29 ATS off an upset win as a road underdog since 1997.
 ST BONAVENTURE is 0-6 ATS  after 2 straight games where they had 5 or less steals over the last 2 seasons.

Play on St.Joes to cover 
 

With Andrew Wiggins now in the fold after the Warriors pulled off a trade with the Timberwolves, Im betting on more offensive continuity and more output going forward. Meanwhile, Miami after playing all out top tier hoops for much of the first part of the season, have now suddenly hit a speed bump, and are slumping as they embark on their 4th road game in 6 days in a back to back situation after playing last night against Portland in a loss where they look exhausted and were out worked on the boards. Advantage: Golden State 

OLDEN STATE is 8-1 ATS after a game being outrebounded by opponent by 15 or more this season. MIAMI is 0-9 ATS  in road games versus struggling  defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game this season.

Teams like the Heat are 1-15 ATS /SU on the road off a loss as a road dog facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5

The Warriors are 13-1 ATS L/14 as a dog with rest off a home game when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent.

NBA team (MIAMI) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against a poor shooting team (41.5-43.5%), good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO's) against an average pressure defensive team (14.5-16.5 TO's) 22-42 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Golden State to cover

No. 1 Baylor brings a school-record 20-game winning streak when it travels south on I-35 on Monday to take on Texas in Austin in Big 12 Conference action. tonight Im betting of this streak continues it will not come easily which makes getting points with the home dog a viable investment opportunity.TEXAS is 25-12 ATS L/37 as a home underdog of 6 points or less or pick.

Pressure is building on coach Shaka Smart, who has yet to win a NCAA Tournament game in four-plus seasons. The Longhorns are 14-9 and need a win here badly. They have shown enough life for me to back them here in desperation mode. 

Play on Texas to cover 

We all know the Bucks go at full throttle most nights behind the no1 pace and no 1 offence in the league, but their D continues to get better and is now ranked 7th in ppg allowed and ranked 1st in defensive rating. Note: DRating - Defensive Rating for players and teams it is points allowed per 100 possessions. Because of slightly bloated lines the Bucks have seen 6 of their L/9 stay under the total, and tonight Im betting there is more value to the under on board according to my projections which are a full possession under this number at 224. I know might seem like . small edge, but any edge against very accurate overall totals is a contrarian go signal situation for me. 

The Bucks are 1-20 UNDER L/21 off a 10+ win in a road game after a win in which they never trailed with a combined average score of 195.1 ppg scored with only 1  game in the 21 sub set going over this set total. The Bucks are 0-13 UNDER L/13  as a home favorite with less than two days rest off a 10+ win as a road favorite in which they had less than 15% of their points from free throws with a combined average 0f 202 ppg going on the board with none of the games eclipsing this posted total. 

NBAl teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MILWAUKEE) - after a blowout win by 15 points or more against opponent after a blowout win by 20 points or more are 51-14 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 216.1 ppg going on the scoreboard.

Play UNDER 

Things are not good for both these franchises. However, it seems at the time of this game, that the Hornets are the lesser of these two evils. Detroit has absolutely no continuity, and looked extremely weak, last time out, as they were out rebounded by a 47-28 in a 95-92 loss Saturday to the New York Knicks. I feel strongly that trading veteran Andre   Drummond to Cleveland  will wreak temporary havoc on the flow of this team making them fade material in their curret form. Overall, Charlotte has defeated Detroit nine consecutive times and Im betting they get us the cover here tonight. DETROIT is 0-8 ATS when playing with triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent this season. The Pistons are 1-16 ATS/SU with less than two days rest off a loss in a home game when they lost 3 straight vs current opponent. 

'NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CHARLOTTE) - after 5 or more consecutive losses, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 53-25 ATS L/23 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Charlotte to cover 

The Jazz are 1-18 L/19 with rest off a win in a home game after a game that was tied 5+ times with a combined average of 201 ppg scored with the highest combined score during the 19 game run clicking in at 227. 

The Jazz are 1-17-2 UNDER L/20 off a win in a home game when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent with the average combined score clicking in at 191.7 ppg with none of the 20 games going over this set total. 

The Rockets are 1-16-1 UNDER L/18 as a home favorite off a loss as a road favorite after allowing 50-plus points in the paint with a combined average of 206.7 ppg going on the board. 

HOUSTON is 31-16 UNDER  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 215.8 ppg. HOUSTON is 23-11 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season. HOUSTON is 23-12 UNDER  against Northwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 218.2 ppg going on the board.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (UTAH) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season are 32-7 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

After suffering two straight close road losses  this is a critical game for the Scarlet Knights as they return home to the RAC and try to maintain an undefeated record. Im betting on them really bringing the heat here vs a Northwestern team that is on a 6 game losing streak. Key here is Rutgers 60th ranked defensive rebounding efficiency and 45th in offensive rebounding conversion rate. Meanwhile, in conference play Northwestern ranks 12th in limiting opponents’ second-chance opportunities and just dont matchup well here. 

NORTHWESTERN is 0-6 ATS  in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.

RUTGERS is 9-0 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days this season.

Starting with the 2017 season, Big 10 teams ranked outside the top 11 that are home vs an unranked team and favored by less than 8 or a dog are 26-2-1 ATS.

Play on Rutgers to cover 

Memphis  has been uptrending for a while now but are off a hard fought loos last night in Philadelphia and are now on tired legs with this being their 3rd game in 4 night. Meanwhile, Washington has shown signs of life of late, as they play hard and show great work ethic , while winning 3 of their L/4 while covering 6 of their L/9. Tonight vs the Grizzlies I expect more consistent work, and some extra motivation in revenge mode for a loss they suffered to the Grizzlies in Memphis on Dec 14th . 

WASHINGTON is 22-11 ATS  in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 12-3 ATS in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 assists/game or more  this season.

The Grizzlies are 1-15-1 ATS /0-17 SU off a road game when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road.

NBA Teams like the Grizzlies are 0-14 ATS /SU on the road off a loss as a road dog facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5.

Play on Washington to cover 

This will be the second time Atlanta and New York have played. The Knicks won the first contest 143-120 on Dec. 17 and now Im betting they come at each other with same energy here today and get us an over winner. 

ATLANTA is 11-3 OVER versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more this season with a combined average of 234.2 ppg scored.

NBA Teams like the Knicks  are 15-0 OVER L/15 after playing as a road favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 7 refereed turnovers per game with a combined average of 237.1 ppg scored. 

NBA Teams like the Hawks are 15-0-1 OVER L/16 as a favorite with less than two days rest after playing as a road dog facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls-against per game with the average combined score clicking in at 231.4 ppg.

Play on the OVER 

Clemson has played their best basketball at home this season, and have recent wins vs Duke, Syracuse , NC Stare and Wake Forest as hosts. I know Notre Dame has been playing well, and on a 3 game win streak, but the Tigers are highly motivated after two straight hard fought defensive road losses, and will come out here like their hair is on fire.NOTRE DAME is 8-18 ATS  versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (CLEMSON) - after allowing 65 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 80 points or more 5 straight games. CBB teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (CLEMSON) - after allowing 65 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 80 points or more 5 straight games are 40-15 SU L/23 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Clemson

Since losing five out of six games during a mid-year slog, the Buckeyes have clawed their way back into a tie for No. 10 in the Big Ten standings with a three-game winning streak, but Im betting that all comes to an end vs a Wisconsin side that matches up very well against them and is able to play their rough and tumble style of rugby/hoops. 

 Starting with the 2017 season, Big 10 teams ranked outside the top 11 that are home vs an unranked team and favored by less than 8 or a dog are 26-2-1 ATS.

Play on Wisconsin to cover 

Gonzaga's HC Mark Few has one loss in his L/27 league games and that was to St.Marys last season in the conference tournament. Now with big time revenge on board I look for Gonzaga to bring their A game.  St.Mary is a just 3-15 ATS in this series, including 0-7 ATS at home. 

ST MARYS-CA is 1-9 ATS L/10 in home games versus teams who average 40 or more rebounds/game on the season after 15+games .ST MARYS-CA is 4-13 ATS  in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  80% or better ) after 15 or more games.

Play on Gonzaga to cover 

Utah State is  now finally fully healthy and owns one of the nation’s best home-court advantages and have revenge on board for blowing a big lead and suffering a surprising loss to Boise State . This indicates a pedal to the metal situation here that favors the Aggies here to get us the cover. 

Play Utah State to cover 

Phoenix blasted the Houston Rockets on the first leg of a back to back Friday, 127-91, snapping a four-game losing skid. However, the Suns have proven highly inconsistent and Im betting they fall flat here tonight vs a Denver Nuggets team that went into Utah and pulled off an upset last time out. NBA Road favorites (DENVER) - off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog against opponent off an upset win as an underdog are 33-8 L/23 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

The Nuggets are 15-0 ATS /14-1 SU when the line is within 3 of pick when they are off two games in which they allowed fewer than 100 points.

NBA  teams like the Suns are 0-19 ATS /0-19 SU as a home dog with less than two days rest off a 10+ win in which they had at least 30% of their points from threes. 

Play on Denver to cover 

Iowa is off a ugly road loss to Purdue and will now be very hungry here today to bounce back and take out their frustrations on a team that they matchup very well against. Lay it and play it. 

IOWA is 6-0 ATS in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 23.3 ppg. OWA is 9-2 ATS in home lined games this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at +14.3 ppg. 

Starting with the 2017 season, Big 10 teams ranked outside the top 11 that are home vs an unranked team and favored by less than 8 or a dog are 25-1 ATS.

Play on Iowa to cover 

Orlando owns the best ppg defence in the NBA and ranks 29th in offence, behind the 28th ranked pace, so its obvious to see the type of game plan they implement. Mean while, ee all know Milwaukee can light the board up quickly behind the No.1 offence  so Orlando will take special care here and try to drag this game down to a speed that takes the Bucks out of their flow. Note: Milwaukee also ranks 9th in ppg D, in the league so the Magics pedestrian O is really going to have trouble tonight with output. Advantage to the under.

The Magic are 0-15 L/15 as a dog with rest off a loss in a road game in which they had at least 5 turnovers more than their season-to-date average with a combined average of 181.5 ppg going on the board. 

The Magic are 0-17 UNDER L/17 at home off a loss when they lost 3 straight vs current opponent with a combined average of 200 ppg scored. 

ORLANDO is 12-2 UNDER in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 204.8 ppg going on the board.

Play UNDER 

Penn State has won 5 straight games thanks to a tenacious style of hoops and blue collar play around the rim as they continue to scoop up rebounds at a high rate. Last time out they went into Michigan State and upset the mighty Spartans by a 75-70 count and are now directly eyeing the possibility of Big 10 championship. Im betting on early season low expectations to have now disappeared for this Nitanny Lions team to continue to play with purpose. 

MINNESOTA is 4-19 ATS L/23 in road games after game - where they allowed a shooting pct. of 33% or less. Pitino is 8-21 ATS  as a road underdog of 6 points or less or pick as the coach of MINNESOTA. 

PENN ST is 7-0 ATS  off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

PENN ST is 9-0 ATS in February games over the last 2 seasons.

PENN ST is 22-9 ATS  versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 season

Starting with the 2017 season, Big 10 teams ranked outside the top 11 that are home vs an unranked team and favored by less than 8 or a dog are 25-1 ATS.

Play on Penn State to cover 

  Mizzou after two losses needs to rebound and todays atmosphere in a Rally For Rhyan game is perfect to get some energy up for the feat . The Razorbacks are a solid team but their rebounding issues show their weaknesses making them vulnerable. The Tigers struggled a great deal against Texas A&M on Tuesday and now Missouri knowing this will be pushing even harder .Look for Mizzou to pulls off a grinder here an stay perfect in Rally For Rhyan games. 

ARKANSAS is 10-23 ATS  when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) after 15 or more games.ARKANSAS is 0-7 ATS  after 2 straight games where both teams score 75 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Missouri to cover 

According to the metrics Seton Hall matches up well vs Villanova.The Pirates have frecorded a remarkable road record of 6-2, including 5-0 in the Big East play and despite not winning here in Villanova since 1994 this program is not going to be intimidated behind a veteran roster. If there was ever a time for an upset and long drought to end its here today. 

Play on Seton Hall to cover 

There are a lot of similarities with Indiana and Purdue this season. Both teams, most notably, have been great at home and have struggled on the road.  Purdue played Wednesday night against Iowa, so that' a quick turnaround and Im betting they will be a little tired while Indiana has  not  played since last Saturday at Ohio State Im betting they will be fresh and ready to work hard today on their way to win and cover .

PURDUE is 0-6 ATS  in road games versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season this season. PURDUE is 1-7 ATS  in road games versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game this season. PURDUE is 0-6 ATS  in road games against conference opponents this season.

INDIANA is 8-1 ATS  in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game after 15+games over the last 3 seasons.

Starting with the 2017 season, Big 10 teams ranked outside the top 11 that are home vs an unranked team and favored by less than 8 or a dog are 25-1 ATS.

TCU Basketball has lost four games in a row after a 4-0 start in conference play, and are very desperate to end their skid, and Im betting they leave everything on the floor here in an attempt to somehow salvage their season with a marquee win. 

Self is 10-20 ATS  in road games after a game where they made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse as the coach of KANSAS.

CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (KANSAS) - off a home win against a conference rival, a top-level team ( 80% or more ) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 29-64 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on TCU to cover 

 Auburn. Bruce Pearl’s has seen his side work hard to  take a  victory in double overtime against Ole Miss, and previous to that  a home win over Kentucky and overtime with Arkansas. Needless to say the Tigers are exhausted which makes taking points here with LSU a legit-mate side investment option. I know LSU came our flat las time and were upset by Vanderbilt but Im sure they were caught looking ahead to this tilt. 

Play on LSU to cover 

Temple, under the direction of first-year head coach Aaron McKie, sports a balanced attack with two players averaging double figures and another four averaging 6.0 points or more and matchup well at home vs a  Mustangs program that is  4-4 on the road this season, including 1-3 in conference games..

Jankovich is 2-10 ATS  in road games versus poor shooting teams - making 42%or less  of their shots after 15+ games in all games he has coached since 1997.

Play on Temple to cover 

Utah looked asleep at the wheel vs a short handed Denver side the other night and suffered a 3 point loss at home as 9 point favorites. It was embarrassing to say the least, for a team that prides itself on hardcore blue collar work ethic. Now looking for redemption Im betting they get it vs a exhausted Portland team that played last night in as come from behind win  and now playing their 4th game in week . UTAH is 13-3 ATS off an upset loss as a home favorite over the last 2 season. Note: The Trailblazers are 0-10 ATS/SU L/10 as a dog after a win in which they trailed after the third with the average ppg diff registering at -13.6 ppg. 

PORTLAND is 4-12 ATS  as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.

The Jazz are 13-1 ATS /SU as a favorite off a loss after a game with 8+ lead changes.

The Jazz are 11-0 ATS/SU off a loss in a home game facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc with the average ppg diff clicking in at 14.3 ppg.

The Jazz are 19-3-1 ATS /21-2 SU at home with rest facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws with the average ppg diff clicking in at +12.5 ppg.

NBA Teams like the Jazz are 11-0 ATS /SU L/14 as a home 8+ favorite with less than two days rest off a loss in which their opponent shot worse than 25% from beyond the arc with at least 20 attempts with the average ppg diff clicking in at +20.9 ppg.

Play on Utah to cover