Wofford sits atop the SoCon standings with a perfect 3-0 league record and is 11-4 overall. The Terriers rank near the top in virtually every conference statistical category but Mercer must not be underestimate in their ability to cover here. Note: Under Coach Bob Hoffman, Mercer has won 203 games over the past 10-plus seasons (2008-09 to present) and are viable program with good work ethic and are never out of a game as has been the case in quite of few of their tilts this season.Team Statistics

WOFFORD is 1-8 ATS in home games after 2 consecutive conference games over the last 2 seasons

CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (MERCER) - off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival against opponent after 2 straight covers as a double digit favorite are 58-26 ATS for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Mercer to cover 

Denver despite of slightly below average points output owns the 7th ranked offensive effecincy in the league, despite of being a slow paced squad and are capable of lighting opponents up in a hurry with shabby defences like the Hornets as is evident by a 112.3 ppg  offensive output at home. Meanwhile, the Hornets, are ranked in the bottom 15 teams in the NBA in defence, and allowing 115.1 ppg on the road this season, but ranked 9th overall in offensive output and  10th in efficiency and have scored 125 or more points in 3 of their L/5 games, and are 113.1 ppg on the road this season.

My projections estimate that Charlotte will put at least 106 points on the board, while Denver will score 114 points. Note: DENVER is 14-2 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 231.3 ppg scored.CHARLOTTE is 15-4 OVER  when they allow 112 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 233.6 ppg scored.

DENVER is 27-10 OVER versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of  227.4 ppg scored.DENVER is 20-8 OVER after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 221.8 ppg scored.  

 Hornets are 10-0 OVER L/10 off a game as a favorite in which they scored fewer than 10 fast break points and it is before the All-Star break with the average combined score clicking in at 236.3 ppg. The Nuggets are 10-0 OVER L/10 off a game as a favorite facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with a combined average of 231.2 ppg scored.

NBA  Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (CHARLOTTE) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 35-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the OVER 

But No. 5 Kansas has owned that Big 12 championship pedigree for 14 consecutive seasons, so Iowa State and despite of up trending and looking very talented are not ready to upend this over powering hoops program just yet as their key weaknesses are just to  blatant  and will not serve them well vs this type of team no. matter how motivated they are.  Some of their problems come with their lack of being able to Draw foul as the Cyclones are a not a very physical team, ranking in the bottom half of the NCAA in offensive free-throw rate. In a game like this charity stripe shooting will be critical and despite of an aggressive run and gun mentality can't sink the downtown shots with consistency as Iowa State attempts an above average number of treys, but rank just 142nd in three-point accuracy at 35 percent.

KANSAS is 15-4 ATS in road games versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or better with a defense of 42% or better over the last 3 seasons.KANSAS is 8-1 ATS  in road games after having won 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Kansas to cover 

SIU E is playing pretty good basketball at the moment winning 3 straight games, ad despite of having a losing record so far , are up trending and viable underdogs according to my power charts in this tilt vs Eastern Illinois.

SIU EDWARDSVL is 22-10 ATS L/32  in road games in January games .E ILLINOIS is 9-21 ATS L/30 in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games. 

Play on SIU Edwardsville to cover 

 The Ramblers know how to win on the road and  have won three straight and seven of their last eight MVC road tilts.Loyola, which through games of January 2 ranked 11th in the nation in scoring defense (59.5 ppg), has limited four straight opponents to fewer than 50 points are a dangerous matchup for Drake, 

LOYOLA-IL is 6-0 ATS in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 16 or more assists/game over the last 3 seasons. LOYOLA-IL is 11-3 ATS  vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more  of their attempts over the last 2 seasons and is is 9-2 ATS  in road games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. 

CBB road team (LOYOLA-IL) - after allowing 55 points or less 4 straight games, with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent are 24-5 ATS L/22 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Loyola Chicago to cover 

Indiana State  lost its opener on Wednesday, dropping a 79-44 contest at Loyola. The loss was ISU's second-straight as it finished the non-conference season with a defeat to TCU and enter this game looking a little bit ragged.  I know Bradley has also been inconsistent, but they matchup well vs the Sycamores, and in what is expected to be a close game have an edge behind, the second ranked charity stripe shooting in the MVC and 57th nationally with 313 free throw attempts this season.Bradley ranks 30th in the country with a free-throw rate of 43.1 percent (FTA/FGA), while placing 40th by scoring 22.6 percent of its points from the line.

INDIANA ST is 0-7 ATS  after playing 3 consecutive games as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. Lansing is 0-6 ATS  after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half as the coach of INDIANA ST.

CBB  underdog (BRADLEY) - after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games are 248-173 L/5 seasons for a 59% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Bradley to cover 

Oklahoma State has been struggling to this point in the season, while their long time rivals the Sooners are looking like a future tournament team. However, everything goes out the window when these two instate enemies meet and Im expecting the Cowboys to stand tall and get us the cover vs a Sooners side off their first loss in 8 games. that loss was a hard a hard fought physical affair vs Kansas last time out and could easily see this group in a letdown spot here. 

This is the 237th Bedlam meeting, and the Cowboys have taken four of the last five, including the last two.

Note: With its win vs No. 19/21 LSU in November, Oklahoma State racked up its fifth victory over a ranked opponent in its last six opportunities. The Cowboys are one of just five teams in college basketball that can claim to have beaten five of their last six ranked opponents. 

CBB road underdogs of 10 or more points (OKLAHOMA ST) - cold team - failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread against opponent hot team - covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread are 62-30 ATS L/22 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Oklahoma State to cover 

   Cleveland State took 319 free throws through 15 games, a mark that ranks among the top 40 in Division I. It is their ability to get to the charity stripe is what makes them dangerous underdogs in this spot. 

 CLEVELAND ST is 8-1 ATS  in road games when playing only their 3rd game in a week over the last 2 seasons. CLEVELAND ST is 17-4 ATS after playing a game as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons.CLEVELAND ST is 6-0 ATS  after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons.Felton is 18-3 ATS L/21 after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread in all games he has coached.

Play on Cleveland State to cover 

Fairfield faces the MAAC's top scoring tonight in Iona, which averages 77.8 points per game, after battling the second-highest scoring team in Rider (77.0) on Thursday evening. The Stags currently stand third in the MAAC for scoring average at 71.9 points every forty minutes and have the capabilities to hang here with Iona. 

IONA is 1-9 ATS in all lined games this season.

CBB home team (IONA) - after going over the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, a bad team, winning 20% to 40% of their games on the season are 83-136 for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Fairfield to cover 

Oklahoma City (24-13) might have a better record than the Blazers,( 22-16)  but from a matchup perspective , the Blazers according to my head to head systems ratings offer up a huge amount of trouble for the Thunder. 

The Thunders top player Westbrook has has hands full going against Portland's Damian Lillard, who is having a career season offensively. He ranks eighth in the NBA in scoring at 26.7 points while shooting 45.2 percent from the field, 39.4 percent from 3-point range and 89.5 percent from the foul line, and Thunder also must contend with Portland center Jusuf Nurkic, who is coming off the best game of his career in a 113-108 overtime win over Sacramento on Tuesday.  Note:The Trailblazers are 17-3 ATS and 16-4 SU when the line is within 3 of pick after they had overtime which happened last time out. 

Thunder are 7-21 ATS in their last 28 vs. NBA Northwest.Thunder are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Trail Blazers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Trail Blazers are 29-13 ATS in their last 42 home games.PORTLAND is 11-1 ATS  in home games after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.PORTLAND is 15-5 ATS  in home games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons. Portland is 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 at home in this series.Thunder are 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

The Thunder are 0-10 ATS/SU when the line is within 3 of pick off a game as a favorite after a win in which they trailed after the third which was the case last time out.The Trailblazers are 10-1 ATS/SU at home with more than one day of rest facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game.

Play on the Portland Blazers to cover 

The Lakers are a banged up team, with their key super star LeBron James out with an injury, and will will also go without Kyle Kuzma ( back) and Rajon Rondo. I know the Knicks wont inspire bettors, but they actually have an opportunity to compete and pull off an upset here vs this short handed group tonight according to my current matchup projections based on both teams existing lineups. It must also be noted that the Lakers took part in a gruelling 107-100 loss last time out where numerous lead changes took place and will now be in an emotional letdown situation, and probably less than motivated taking on a lower tier team, that they could easily overlook. Note: The Lakers are 3-19 ATS L/21 and 2-20 SU with rest off a loss as a home dog after a game that was tied 5+ times and 0-8 ATS SU L/8  at home off a home game after a game that was tied 5+ times.

LA LAKERS are 5-13 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record this season and are 2-10 ATS  versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game this season. The Knicks are 6-0 ATS L/6 with more than one day of rest off a loss in a road game facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5 and it is before the All-Star break.

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW YORK) - in non-conference games, off 3 or more consecutive road losses are 33-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NY Knicks to cover 

Cleveland enters this game ranked 28thin in scoring in the NBA behind a slow down system that ranks 29th in pace  having scored 94 points or less in 6 of their L/8 games overall and Im betting will have problems breaching that plateau again vs a  physical Jazz defence that is ranked 7th in ppg allowed and 5th in defensive efficiency. Meanwhile, on the flip side, Utah has averaged only 105 ppg on the road this season and rank 21st in the league in points ouptut in the league, and 22nd in offensive efficiency behind a average pace ranked 14th overall. Also previous to going over in their L/2 trips to the hardwood they had gone under 8 straight times in grinding fashion. Note: The Jazz are 0-18 UNDER L/18 as a favorite off a road game when the line is at least 10 points lower than their last game and it is before the All-Star break with no combined score clicking in above 201 ppg, with the average combined score registering at 185.1 ppg. Bottom line : The Jazz will happily grind away on a Cavs team with very little fire power, in a game that I expect will see the combined score stay on the low side of the total. 

The Cavaliers are 0-13 UNDER as a dog with less than two days rest after a game as a home dog in which rebounding less than 20% of their own misses with the average combined score coming in at 198.4 ppg. The Cavaliers are 0-8 OU L/8 as a 8+ dog off a 10+ loss when they are off two games in which more than 65 percent of their field goals were assisted and it is before the All-Star break with a combined average of 201.1 ppg scored with non of the tilts exceeding this posted total. 

NBA Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (CLEVELAND) - a offense that scores (+102 PPG) against a sub par defensive team (102 or more PPG), after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games are 90-46 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play under 

All my college Hoops selections both totals and sides are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and  overall head to head team system and player vs player  analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. Because of extensive betting opportunities associated with the large number of games, there are certain days when individual analysis is not included. Thank you and God Bless . Alex Smart 

Northern Arizona to cover 

 USF had a 5 game win streak abruptly end last time out vs Santa Barbara 73-71 and will now be in a  letdown situation here after that hard fought loss, and now going against another tough opponent in. St.Marys. This may not be the same kind of potent team that HC Randy Bennett has had in the past but this still must not be under estimated in their ability to pull off an upset and are still ranked No.44 in the KenPom rankings behind one of the slowest and most methodical paces in the league, ,something this version of the Dons will not enjoy playing against. 

Play on St.Marys to cover 

Toronto has been erratic in their play of late,  especially as far as converting for their betting backers is concerned as they are just 5-14 ATS L/19 overall including  1-4 SU/ 0-5 ATS L/5 on the road.  Injuries have played a role in the Raptors current state, as key contributor Kyle Lowry remains sidelined and is not expect to play tonight, and also some bloated lines because of their obvious big time superiority on the east. Do not get me wrong, the Raptors are still a talented team with a lot of depth, but here tonight on the road, vs a up trending  San Antonio side that has cashed 11 of their L/13 overall Im betting the Dinos are in trouble. San Antonio is 17-4 L/21 here vs the Raptors and 2-0 SU/ATS here in Texas in their most recent meetings and get the nod again.

Im not going to delve into the Kawhi Leonard / DeMar DeRozen trade because these teams, because I don't believe it will be a deciding factor for which side wins here tonight. 

SAN ANTONIO is 16-4 ATS  at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. ANTONIO is 12-1 ATS  in home games after covering 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread over the last 3 seasons

SAN ANTONIO is 14-3 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or less of their shots this season and  13-4 ATS  versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season. 

NBA Underdogs vs the money line (TORONTO) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 15-69 SU L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate fro bettors. 

NBA Underdogs (TORONTO) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 23-58 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on San Antonio. to cover 

Even though Southern is on the road, they are according to my power ranking strong candidates to pull off an upset here this Thursday night . Yes, I know that Texas  State has looked strong so far this season, behind a  experienced roster, but Im betting they will have their hands full vs a. side that is aiming directly at the giant target on their backs. 

TEXAS ST is 2-10 ATS L/10  in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game.TEXAS ST is 1-8 ATS in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on Georgia Southern to cover 

 Green Bay enters the game with a 7-7 overall record and a 1-0 mark in the Horizon League and are according to my numbers not a solid 12.5 point favorite not even vs struggling  Youngstown State. 

CBB team (YOUNGSTOWN ST) - a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (78 or more PPG), after a close loss by 3 points or less are 88-48 ATS L/22 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Youngstown State to cover 

All my college Hoops selections both totals and sides are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and  overall head to head team system and player vs player  analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. Because of extensive betting opportunities associated with the large number of games, there are certain days when individual analysis is not included. Thank you and God Bless . Alex Smart 

Cleveland State to cover 

The Wolverines host Penn State on Thursday. Michigan (13-0) is one of four teams nationally that reached New Year's Day undefeated.The Wolverines have won 27 of their last 28 games, with the lone loss coming in last year's national championship against Villanova and their extremely hard to beat at home where they have also won 27 of their L/28 .I know Penn State at 7-6 might not inspire bettors but this line is bloated according to my projections and we have value taking the visitor in what Im betting will be a hard fought conference affair. The public is all over the Wolverines, but as part of a long term go against the public system that has cashed at a 68% clip  for me over a 168 game sample size I recommend we take the points in this spot.

PENN ST is 16-7 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.MICHIGAN is 0-6 ATS  as a home favorite of 10 or more points this season. Beilein is 2-9 ATS in home games after 8 or more consecutive wins as the coach of MICHIGAN.

Play on Penn State to cover 

 After opening Colonial Athletic Association play 2-0 with a pair of home wins last week,  W&Mary have now won  4 of their L/5 games and are currently firing on all cylinders. For the second time this season, freshman Chase Audige was named the CAA Rookie of the Week on Monday. He averaged 16 points, four assists, three rebounds, 1.5 steals and 1.5 blocked shots per game, while shooting 60 percent from the field and 66.7 percent from 3 last week and will be a difference maker here this evening vs inconsistent Delaware side.

Defense has been a key to W&M's 2-0 start in CAA play. In league action, the Tribe ranks second in defensive efficiency (101.8), turnover rate (20.4) and 3-point percentage (30.3).

WM& MARY has won and covered 4 straight games in this series.

WM & MARY is 21-8 ATS in road games after playing 2 consecutive games as a home favorite .WM & MARY is 33-14 ATS after 2 straight games where they made 10 or more 3 point shots.

Shaver is 11-3 ATS in road games after 4 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers as the coach of WM & MARY.

Play on William Mary to cover 

The Raiders, 7-8 and 1-1, dropped the Horizon League opener to UIC in overtime 75-72 before bouncing back to defeat IUPUI 72-64 Sunday afternoon and enter this game with momentum as  they go against the Detroit Mercy Titans (5-9 ) a side that won twice last week at Youngstown State 78-66 and at Cleveland State 73-61 to open their Horizon League schedule after dropping the final six non-conference games. UDM was tabbed to finish tenth in the pre-season Horizon League poll under first-year head coach Mike Davis and according to my head to matchup stats do not matchup well vs the Raiders.

Wright State is 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 meetings in this series.

DETROIT is 11-26 ATS off a road win by 10 points or more.

Play on Wright State to cover 

 As it has numerous times this season,  a young but talented Mercer battled back from a double digit deficit to position themselves for a big comeback victory only to come up short in losing 71-67 to Harvard in a neutral site game played Dec. 28 at Atlanta's State Farm Arena. Mercer has been very competitive despite of a negative record and must be respected here as dogs , Yes even against a Furman team that has been one of the most impressive teams in the SoCon thus far this season.

MERCER is 11-2 ATS  versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season.MERCER is 11-3 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. 

Play on Mercer to cover 

Illinois Im betting has the ability to make life rough for a top shelf Indiana hoops program in this tilt that to their ability to play a strong brand of pressure defence that eads the Big Ten in forcing turnovers (18.4 per game). Meanwhile Indiana leads the Big Ten in committing turnovers (14.5 per game). I know Illinois will not inspire bettors, but there is actually line value here with Illinois and this I'm recommending we take the points in this conference matchup. 

Play on Illinois to cover 

Utah State is off to its best start under a first-year head coach in school history as Craig Smith has led the Aggies to a 10-3 record over their opening 13 games. They will have their hands full with undefeated Nevada tonight, but this number Im betting is slightly bloated giving us an edge with a value line to buy into.Utah State has held four opponents to their lowest shooting percentages of the year, including Saint Mary's (.290), Northern Iowa (.310), Alabama State (.207) and Houston (.317) and  have scored more points in the paint than its opponents in all but two games this season and this combo of hard working traits Im betting will  make them competitive in this road game . 

Utah State leads the Mountain West in nine statistics, including scoring defense (64.8), scoring margin (+16.5), free throw percentage (.764), field goal percentage defense (.359), rebounding offense (42.4), rebounding margin (+11.6), assists (16.2), defensive rebounds (31.4) and defensive rebound percentage (.786).

Play on Utah State to cover 

This Air Force team is very under rated in my humble opinion and  have more height, inside scoring ability and quickness than any other group HC Pilipovich has coached. Air Force has played Michigan , Villanova, North Carolina , and Colorado, and despite of losing all by DDs, did not look out of place and looked pretty good to me. Now against less formidable competition in New Mexico on their own home court Im betting their ready to compete and grab a win to open up Mountain West Conference play. Note: New Mexico's Key transfer JaQuan Lyle is out for the season with an Achilles injury and former McDonald’s All-American Carlton Bragg wasn’t cleared by the NCAA until mid-December.

AIR FORCE is 6-0 ATS  in home games when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days over the last 2 seasons.AIR FORCE is 12-3 ATS  in all home games over the last 2 seasons.

Weir is 0-7 ATS  versus struggling  pressure defensive teams - forcing 12or less turnovers/game as the coach of NEW MEXICO. Pilipovich is 26-16 ATS as a home underdog or pick as the coach of AIR FORCE.

Play on Air Force to cover 

Chicago is playing some competitive basketball of late winning 3 of their L/5 straight up while covering 4 of those games. Now tonight vs a Orlando team expected to play without starting point guard D.J. Augustin and backup Jonathon Simmons after each sustained ankle injuries they are at a disadvantage here on the road. Ever since  Coach Jim Boylen,  took over the team from  the fired Fred Hoiberg, the Bulls are playing a physical grinding style of offense that is led by guard Zach LaVine, averaging 23.5 points per game  and must not be underestimated in their new system. HC Boylen was QUOTED:"We're playing the way I think we have to play for us to have a chance to win. We are going to get a defensive mentality in this program first, and then we're going to work on the rest of it. And as we grow together, we get healthy together, I'm confident the offense will come"END QUOTE:. With that said, I like the way the Bulls matchup here and Ill lay the short chalk in their support. 

Chicago is 6-0 SU L/6 at home in this series dating back to the 2015 season. 

ORLANDO is 15-28 ATS  when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons. CHICAGO is 19-5 ATS  against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road underdogs (ORLANDO) - after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 16-45 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Chicago to cover 

 Minnesota is on a 8 game OVER  streak,  and  Boston has gone over 6 straight times and the linesmakers know this, so they have bumped this number up , and have not  based this Total on the current matchup but on the streak itself, which according to my projections gives us value with an under wager on this offered total. 

Teams that have gone over in at eight or more straight games are 75-91-1 UNDER since the 2013/14 season.

NBA team (BOSTON) - after 5 or more consecutive overs, good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game are 224-142 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play UNDER 

Tulsa at 10-3 and Houston at 13-0 are two teams that must be respected. Im sure Tulsa however, is feeling disrespected by this line. TU has won five straight games and is coming off a 69-59 win over Oral Roberts on Dec. 22 at the Mabee Center. 

  The Canes  lost to Nevada by 10, and on the road to Utah by 5, and have not lost any of their games by this margin this season, and Im betting they cover again vs a good but slightly over rated Cougars team. Snapping  Houston's 26-game home winning streak, which currently is the longest in Division I does not look viable but as far as Im concerend covering does look like a solid opportunity.

TULSA is 6-0 ATS  versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game over the last 2 seasons. 

TULSA is 14-5 ATS as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on Tulsa to cover 

The Mavericks despite of playing much improved hoops this season , are  a team currently struggling desperate for a win away from home . With that said, Im betting  they will be hell bent on trying to snap a nine-game road losing streak in a place Charlotte where they have covered their L/2 visits .  Note: The road team has snatched five of the last six in the series, with Dallas earning a 115-111 win at Charlotte last season. All good bad runs must come to an end, and Im betting the Mavs current run of road futility ends tonight. 

Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.( the Mavs lost vs Ok St last time out by DDs )Mavericks are 19-0 ATS/18-1 SU when the line is within three of pick off a loss as a underdog when they allowed 100+ points in each of their last two games and it is before the All-Star break with the only loss coming by just 1 point. DALLAS is 20-6 ATS  after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons

Hornets are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Hornets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall.Hornets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Hornets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Hornets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.Hornets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.Hornets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.Hornets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference.Hornets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

CHARLOTTE is 7-17 ATS  at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Dallas to cover 

Harvard  must not be underestimated in their ability to cover here vs a North Carolina hoops program as they returned 99.4 percent of its scoring and 99.0 percent of its minutes from last year's squad, which captured the program's sixth Ivy League championship and made its second-ever appearance in the NIT. Showcasing its depth, 10 different Harvard players have started a game in 2018-19 and 11 players are averaging at least nine minutes per game. Im betting they compete and play hard here and use their top tier IQs to make sure mistakes are kept to a minimum.Note: Harvard is 8-4 against ACC teams in the Tommy Amaker era.Note: HARVARD is 11-2 ATS as a road underdog or pick over the last 2 seasons. 

HARVARD is 6-0 ATS  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 2 seasons and  is 7-0 ATS versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or better  with a defense of 42%  or less over the last 3 seasons.HARVARD is 15-2 ATS (+12.8 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or better of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.HARVARD is 15-3 ATS L/18 in road games versus teams who average 40 or more rebounds/game on the season. 

Harvard to cover 

The Sixers looked flat without Joel Embiid in the lineup last time out in at lopsided loss to Portland and will look to bounce back with him expected to play tonight despite of a questionable status. He is really a game changer and a difference maker for the Sixers. The 76ers are 9-0 ATS/SU in franchise history off a road loss in which Ben Simmons had a plus/minus at least ten points better than the team which happened in that game vs Portland last time out. Just like the Sixers, the Clippers will enter Tuesday's game coming off a loss losing 122-111 to the San Antonio Spurs, in a game when Williams was held to 16 points .  Their energy levels looked weak which is a troubling factor for them going forward and especially tonight. 

PHILADELPHIA is 25-8 ATS  after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.PHILADELPHIA is 24-8 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. 

Play on the 76ers to cover 

Sacramento loves to run and gun with wreck-less abandon, but Portland knowing this will not allow them to flow, and will look to slow this game down. Blazers road games have seen a combined average of 222.1 ppg scored, but have recently played much better defensively which has resulted in 4 straight unders overall. None of the 4 most recent meetings in this series dating back to last season have seen more than 218 combined points scored and Im betting on this this one staying under the total as well. 

The Trailblazers have gone under 12 straight times as a road favorite with rest after a game in which they shot 50% or better from beyond the arc with the average combined score clicking in at 185.5 ppg with non of the 12 games seeing more than 210 ppg.

PORTLAND is 18-8 UNDER vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 201.1 ppg.PORTLAND is 27-12 UNDER  when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 207.5 ppg scored. PORTLAND in their L/26 games when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over dating back to last season have seen a combined average score of 219.2 ppg going on the board. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (SACRAMENTO) - in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%), in January games are 24-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 206.6 ppg scored.

Play UNDER 

Detroit is desperate for a win, after a heart breaking loss to Orlando on a last second buzzer beater.  Following a previous loss to the Pacers -- a 125-88 beatdown -- the Pistons  had  a players-only meeting to clear the air and hopefully find a way to get on track. Now with them at their very lowest point, Im expecting an extremely motivated effort vs a strong Milwaukee side that wont be overly motivated to take them on. 

 DETROIT is 14-6 ATS  versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season.MILWAUKEE is 23-48 ATS   L/71 as a favorite of 10 or more points.

Bucks are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.Bucks are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.Bucks are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 Tuesday games.

The Bucks are 0-19 ATS as a 8-plus point favorite off a home game when their opponent is seeking same-season revenge for a loss at home , they were 14-5 SU in those games but none  of the victories came by more than 8 points.

NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (MILWAUKEE) - explosive offensive team - scoring 103+ points/game on the season, on Tuesday nights are 19-48 ATS L/5 seasons L/22 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Take the points with the Pistons 

St.Johns enters this game against Marquette of their first loss of the season vs Seton Hall last time out. But it was a fragrant ugly  call that gave them that loss. The Conference admitted that officials made a erroneous call when an inadvertant whistle led to Seton Hall getting the ball down one with 3.1 seconds left on the game clock. Shavar Reynolds' 3-pointer beat the buzzer and delivered St. John's its first defeat of the season. Now with a chip on their shoulder St.Johns looks to rebound, and notch a win. I know the Golden Eagles have won eight straight games overall but this is just their second true road game of the season -- their last road game ended in a blistering behind the wood shed  96-73 beatdown by Indiana back on Nov. 14.The Red Storm and Golden Eagles split the season a year ago, with each team winning on it's own court and Im betting the host has the edge again. 

 MARQUETTE is 0-7 ATS  in road games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. 

MARQUETTE is 1-8 ATS  in road games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons

CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MARQUETTE) - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 8+ PPG, after scoring 80 points or more 3 straight games are just 34-76 L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on St.John's to cover 

 The Matadors head into the 2019 year on a season-high three-game winning streak after beating Morgan State 94-86 last Saturday and owns one of the top offenses in the conference, CSUN leads the Big West in points per game (78.2), field goals made per game (29.3), field goal percentage (48.5) and assists per game (16.9). On the defensive side, the Matadors are tops in the Big West in steals per game (6.7) and blocks per game (4.8) and have the capability of hanging tough here as underdogs vs San Diego State .

Matadors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.Matadors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.Matadors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.

CS-NORTHRIDGE is 10-1 ATS  in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.

CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (CS-NORTHRIDGE) - after allowing 75 points or more 5 straight games, with just one or fewer starters returning from last season are 44-23 ATS L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on CS Northridge to cover 

The Magic wrapped are off a 109-107 win over the Detroit Pistons on Sunday afternoon, and will now be in a letdown spot here on the road vs a Charlotte team, that is averaging 113.4 points-per-game , the seventh-best output average in the NBA. Meanwhile, The Magic have scored more than 100 points just 19 times in their 35 games, which is not a good omen here as they  shot just 38.3 percent in the first meeting.vs the Hornets this season, and have now  lost six straight in Charlotte and been held under 100 points in four of those games. With that said,  Im betting the Hornets romping to a comfortable victory here tonight. 

Orlando F Jonathon Simmons left the win over Detroit with a sprained right ankle and is questionable for Monday.

ORLANDO is 19-32 ATS (versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons with the point differential clicking in at 8.2 ppg.

Play on Charlotte to cover 

North Colorado (7-5) has won their L/2 visits to take on  Portland State (5-6) and 3 in row SU/ATS and get the nod again. Both sides have been inconsistent but according to my power rankings NC has the edge by -4 or more. 

N COLORADO is 11-2 ATS in road games after 2 straight games where they made 10 or more 3 point shots.PORTLAND ST is 4-14 ATS after playing a game as favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Play on N.Colorado to cover 

The Idaho Vandals won the lone meeting last season, defeating the Weber State Wildcats, 68-62, in Ogden and has won the L/2 meetings overall. I know Idaho is slumping having lost 5 straight, but the home team has been a solid bet in the recent past when these teams have played and Im betting the hosts grabs the cheese again. 

Wildcats are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 road games.Wildcats are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games overall.Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Monday games.Wildcats are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Big Sky.Wildcats are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.

Verlin is 30-18 ATS  when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) as the coach of IDAHO.

CBB underdog (IDAHO) - after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games are 243-167 ATS L/5 seasons for a 59% conversion rate for bettors.

Montana State has proven in the recent past not to travel well as their   2-14 SU record in its last 16 games on the road would indicate. According to my matchup stats their run of visitor futility will continue today at Northern Arizona.

MONTANA ST is 3-13 ATS  after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons. N ARIZONA is 12-4 ATS after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons. 

N ARIZONA is 9-2 ATS when playing their 2nd game in 3 days over the last 2 seasons.N ARIZONA is 12-4 ATS after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons

Montana State is 4-20 SU in its last 24 games when playing on the road against Northern Arizona.

Play on N.Arizona to cover 

We are getting a cheap line here, because super star LeBron James is expected to remain sidelined with a groin injury and the Lakers are 0-2 without him and also because their playing their 3rd game in 4 nights. However, in contrarian fashion, Im going against the Kings, as Im not liking their current form, and their consistent slow starts despite of notching wins. Note: Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA LAKERS)  tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, in December games are actually good long term bets going 66-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Los Angeles was also  without LeBron James when they lost 117-116 at Sacramento on the 27th of this Month, and competed fine without James, and actually had a DD lead, before getting lazy and falling apart. Now with a fire lit underneath their proverbial butts,Im betting they bounce back in the rematch here at home. Note:The Kings are 0-14 ATS/SU L/14 on the road off a game as a favorite when they are facing a team that is averaging more than 24 assists per game like the Lakers. 

LA LAKERS are 15-4 ATS in home games off 2 consecutive losses against division rivals.

Play on the LA Lakers to cover 

The Sixers are an upward trajectory team, that seems to just keep getting better with experience and jell as a unit. I can see a dominant  type of confidence creeping over this side since the king of egos Jimmy Butler has arrived. making them extremely dangerous for all comers in this league.    Since Butler  has arrived  Philadelphia have been performing optimally especially against top tier opponents winning  7 of 10 against .500 or greater opposition.  With that said, Im betting on a the Sixers  continuing  their climb to elite status in the East with another win tonight vs a side they have revenge against for loss thye suffered here last season by a 114-110 count. With the Trail Blazers off  two consecutive hard fought  back to back tilts against defending champion Golden State, and on tired legs after playing last night  I expect the home team will be at a disadvantage vs a top tier side.  

76ers are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

 Philadelphia is 76-43-1 ATS in its last 120 non-conference games under head coach Brett Brown.PHILADELPHIA is 32-17 ATS  when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 3 seasons.

Trail Blazers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Trail Blazers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss.76ers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.76ers are 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 vs. NBA Northwest.76ers are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games playing on 2 days rest.76ers are 37-16-1 ATS in their last 54 vs. Western Conference.

NBA  Underdogs vs the money line (PORTLAND) - after allowing 100 points or more 5 straight games against opponent after a blowout win by 15 points or more are just are 37-152 for a go against 81% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Philadelphia 76ers to cover 

The Oral Roberts men's basketball team will travel to Omaha to kick off Summit League play Sunday against the Mavericks and despite of being underdogs matchup well here vs Nebraska Omaha according to my line projections.Omaha has used the same starting lineup in 11 of the 14 games entering Sunday's game and because of this will start becoming more cohesive as this season progresses. ORU is 14th in the nation in total rebounds with 537, and 38th in the nation in total assists with 206 and their tenaciousness under the basket Im betting will be the difference maker in us covering today. 

CBB NEBRASKA-OMAHA is 0-6 ATS L/6 versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18  or less free throws/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.NEBRASKA-OMAHA is 1-8 ATS ( versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on Oral Roberts to cover 

My projections make Northestern a 8 to 8.5 point favourite here and with this much deviation on the line, Ill recommend we take the points. 

NORTHEASTERN is 5-13 ATS  vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.

Coen is 11-25 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points as the coach of NORTHEASTERN and is 11-21 ATS  as a home favorite of 10 or more points as the coach of NORTHEASTERN.

Play on Delaware to cover 

My head to head systems and performance charts are indicating a low scoring affair here this afternoon. When these teams met on Nov 7 they combined for 199 points in a 103-96 Pistons win. Im betting on a similar output here that remains on the low side of the number. 

 DETROIT is 33-16 L/49 UNDER  after allowing 120 points with a combined average of 196.7 ppg scored.

Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (DETROIT)  - scoring 103+ points/game on the season, after allowing 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are124-76 UNDER L/22 seasons for a long term 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

Lipscomb climbed to 32nd in the latest NCAA NET Rankings. Liberty (64) is the next highest ASUN squad.The Bisons came in ranked ninth in this week’s CollegeInsider.com Mid-Major Top 25 poll, and remained 11th in the SB Nation Mid-Major Madness poll.Dating back to last season, Lipscomb has won 17 of its last 21 games. In that span they are 7-2 in road games and must not be underestimated in their abilities to upset  a top tier Clemson  side here in Little John behind a offence that is averaging a  ASUN-best 87.3 PPG, which ranks 10th nationally . Lipscomb also leads the conference in free throw percentage (77.4%), assists per game (18.7), steals per contest (8.3), field goal percentage defense (40.5%), assist-turnover ratio (1.49) and defensive rebounds per game (28.58).

Play on Lipscomb to cover 

New York has won just two games in December and carries a six-game losing streak into Salt Lake City after losing back-to-back games against Milwaukee on Tuesday and Thursday and because of that form we are getting decent value here on a slightly bloated line. vs an inconsistent Jazz side.  The Knicks swept the season series with the Jazz last season and have a recent history of playing well against Utah as is evident by going 23-3 ATS in this series, including 12-1 ATS at Salt Lake City. Its never easy backing a side like NYK, but I  have enough line value here to warrant a solid investment recommendation. 

Knicks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference.

Jazz are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Jazz are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Jazz are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

Play on the NY Knicks to cover 

The Celtics have won the last five in this inter conference rivalry vs Memphis, limiting the Grizzlies to 93 and 98 points in last year's two-game season-series sweep and have the edge again here tonight as I expect the Celtics  behind their top tier D will be primed to rebound off a  127-113 loss in Houston on Thursday night. Yes, the Celtics have struggled of late, but they are a resilient bunch, as far as providing their betting backers with profits as the clovers, are 13-1 ATS after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons. 

OSTON is 23-8 ATS  vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons.

 Celtics are 15-0 SUATS as a road favorite with rest off a loss in which they scored at least 30% of their points from threes which happened last time out vs Houston. 

Play on Boston to cover 

The Wizards enter this game on tired legs as they play their 3rd game in 4 nights , which Im betting translates into them playing at a slightly less elevated tempo , which will effect the total projected score to be much lower than the linesmakers expect. With the Wizards John Wall still out the  flow of the home side  will also being effected, as has been the case of late  as the Wizards have been unable to produce more than 95 points 3 straight games. I know the Hornets will come at the wounded Wizards hard, but the visitors have not been very good on the road this season going just 4-10 overall away from home, and have proven they are less than capable of controlling pace in most of their games on the road. 

The Wizards are 0-16 UNDER  off a home game when they are off two games in which they held their opponent to 10+ less than they usually allow and it is before the All-Star break with no combined  score exceeding 219 point plateau with the average combined score clicking in at 192.6 ppg. 

Under is 4-0 in Wizards last 4 vs. Eastern Conference.

WASHINGTON is 13-4 UNDER in home games after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 203.9 ppg scored.

Play UNDER

The  NAU Lumberjacks played eight of their 10 non-conference games on the road and will be playing their first game in seven days following an eight-day, three-game road trip , but now well rested are fresh enough to make this a closer game the linesmakers are estimating vs a good but over rated Montana side. 

I know the Lumberjacks are on a losing streak, but in the recent  past N ARIZONA has proven resilient in their ability to be competitive when in a slump as  is evident by their  8-1 ATS  record after 5 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.Murphy is 32-16 ATS  versus teams who average 33 or less rebounds/game on the season as the coach of N ARIZONA.

CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (N ARIZONA) - after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games, terrible team, winning 20% or less of their games on the season 131-77 L/21 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on N.Arizona to cover 

 Instate rivals Kentucky and Louisville meet at the KFC Yum! Center where the Cardinals will be hell bent on getting revenge  for a 90-61 behind the shed spanking in Lexington last season.The Cards new head COACH  Chris Mack formerly at Xavier was a strong underdog in  non- division matches cashing 27 of 38 times . With the Cards playing their best hoops at home where they are  8-0 SU this season Im betting on them being extremely competitive here and if they lose they will still cover.

KENTUCKY is 1-8 ATS  in road games after scoring 75 points or more 4 straight games over the last 3 seasons.LOUISVILLE is 8-1 ATS in home games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 3 seasons

CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (KENTUCKY) - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 8+ PPG, after scoring 80 points or more 3 straight games are 33-76 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Louisville to cover 

Xavier (8-5 ) has owned this series of late and has won eight straight over the Blue Demons and wins in 11 of the last 12 meetings. XU is 10-1 vs. DePaul (8-3) since the two teams became BIG EAST rivals in the 2013-14 season and Im betting they have the edge again here tonight according to my power rankings and system vs system matchup stats. Note:The Musketeers are 4-1 in BIG EAST Conference openers.

XAVIER is 11-2 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 2 seasons.DEPAUL is 73-101 ATS in home games against conference opponents since 1997.

Play on Xavier to cover 

According to my power ranking estimations Missouri should only be 13 point favs here, thus giving 1 possession value with Morehead State. I know Missouri (8-3) has won five straight , however Morehead state coach  Spradlin is familiar with SEC basketball having spent five seasons on head coach John Calipari's staff at Kentucky and will Im betting devise a game plan to keep his team competitive here. Note:Morehead State ranks second in the Ohio Valley Conference in offensive rebounds. The Eagles pull down 13.1 boards off the offensive glass, and the Eagles also rank second in offensive rebounding percentage at .327. This is key to them keeping Missouri honest today and giving us an edge on the line.

Play on Morehead State to cover 

A gritty defensive performance buoyed Butler to a 61-54 win over Florida Nov. 23 in the final contest of the 2018 Battle 4 Atlantis on Paradise Island, Bahamas, which proved to me how well Butler matches up vs Florida. Only two of Butler's 12 opponents this season have scored more than 70 points as the Bulldogs' defense is allowing only 63.5 points per game on average, which is the stingiest mark in the BIG EAST and Top 35 nationally. Butler has now covered 4 straight in this series and Im betting that their tough defence will get them the cover again.

Play on  Butler to cover 

My own projections estimate that this line is bloated and that we have value with the visitor here. Loyola Marymount is off to fast start and looking good but this UC Davis side has a top tier championship coach on the sidelines and will not allow his team to be easily intimidated. 

Lions are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.Aggies are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Aggies are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Aggies are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games.Aggies are 20-9-1 ATS in their last 30 games following a straight up loss.Les is 11-2 ATS  after 3 straight games with 31 or less rebounds as the coach of CAL DAVIS. 

LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 44-70 ATS  as a home favorite or pick since 1997 with the average point differential over that 114 game sample size clicking in at 3.1 ppg. HC Dunlap is 0-8 ATS  in home games versus poor passing teams, averaging 12 or less assists/game as the coach of LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT and he is 9-20 ATS as a home favorite or pick as the coach of LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT.

Play on UC Davis to cover 

This will be the Spurs fourth game in a week, with their last game coming on Dec 26th in San Antonio when they beat this same Nuggets group 110-103. Now the Nuggets  wth revenge on board and on fresher legs playing only their second game in 6 days, and 3rd in 10 days, look to have an edge here in the thin air of the Mile High City especially as the game goes into the 2nd half. 

DENVER is 16-2 ATS after 1 or more consecutive unders this season.DENVER is 12-4 ATS in home games this season.

SAN ANTONIO is 9-24 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.SAN ANTONIO is 4-13 ATS  in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons. Popovich is 10-22 ATS in road games after 4 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less as the coach of SAN ANTONIO.

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 45-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SAN ANTONIO) - good shooting team - shooting 46% or more on the season, after 4 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less are 4-22 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (DENVER) - off a road loss, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 23-2 SU L/3 seasons for a 92% conversion rate going back father these teams are 49-5 SU 91% going back 5 seasons with the average point differential clicking in at 10.9 ppg. Also Home favorites vs. the money line (DENVER) - off a road loss, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 47-3 L/5 seasons for a 94% conversion rate with a point differential of 12 ppg.

Play on Denver Nuggets to cover 

Im not a big fan of New Orleans HC Gentry and when he goes against a top tier coach like Randy Carlisle I look for variables that make fading Gentry a viable investment wagering opportunity. Currently the Pelicans are not performing well, as Super Star Anthony Davis is banged up and not operating at 100% efficiency. Anthony has also said, that hes not committed to the Pelicans in the longterm no matter how much money he gets, and trade is now on the table and also a distraction. That kind of thing in itself has a negative  energy sucking effect on a team. With that said, look for the Mavs to be competitive here tonight and get us the cover. 

DALLAS is 31-18 ATS  as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.

DALLAS is 22-11 ATS  when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons.

Carlisle is 106-82 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less as the coach of DALLAS.

NEW ORLEANS is 0-8 ATS  off 2 or more consecutive road losses this season. NEW ORLEANS is 3-15 ATS after playing a road game this season.NEW ORLEANS is 1-10 ATS (after 2 or more consecutive losses this season.

Play on Dallas to cover 

Minnesota is coming off a DD win last time out vs Chicago , and for whatever reason, its seems HC Thibodeau, cannot inspire his troops to fire on all cylinders in consecutive tilts as he is just 8-22 ATS in home games after a blowout win by 20 points or more in all games he has coached since 1996 and during that lifetime 30 game sample size the point differential click ins in at at just 2.1 ppg. Meanwhile, the young Atlanta Hawks desoite of still being inconsistent, are showing some flashes of brilliance, and have won 3 of heir L/4 SU and been mostly competitive on the road covering 3 of their L/5 as visitors.

Timberwolves are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. NBA Southeast.Underdog is 5-0-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ATLANTA) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in December games are 43-20 ATS L/5 seasons. 

Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover 

All my in and non conference totals selections use a long standing system, that takes into consideration , system vs system,  scoring projections . Of course injury reports can alter the totals projections as can other variables, but no stone is left unturned to make sure the estimations are used in proper contexts. . Every offensive output  option and various defensive strengths of each team are weighed in the overall process of making these investment decisions.

Play UNDER 

The Charlotte Hornets  will be out looking for revenge vs the  Brooklyn Nets tonight on their own home court after the Nets shocked the Hornets 134-132 in two overtimes Wednesday night. When Hornets coach was asked about the loss he responded with this : QUOTE: We'll see this team again on Friday night," Hornets coach James Borrego vowed to reporters afterward. "We'll play hard on Friday night. I expect our guys to respond." END QUOTE

I like backing motivated teams and Charlotte is very motivated tonight. 

The Hornets are 11-0 ATS SU as a favorite with rest off a game as a dog in which they scored at least 30% of their points from threes with none of the wins coming by less than 5 points.

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CHARLOTTE) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 45-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Charlotte to cover 

Indiana really gets physical against run and gun uptempo teams like the Detroit Pistons especially at home. Note:I NDIANA is 11-1 UNDER in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season with a combined average 199.9 ppg scored. 

INDIANA is 8-0 UNDER in home games after a game where they covered the spread this season which happened last time out with a combined average of 200.1 ppg scored.NDIANA is 15-3 UNDER (+11.7 Units) after a combined score of 225 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 203.6 ppg scored.

NBA Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (INDIANA) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite against opponent off a home win are 36-12 UNDER L/5 for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

Oakland has won six of the last eight contests against the Vikings including its last three games inside the Wolstein Center.

CBB home team (CLEVELAND ST) - average shooting team (42.5-45%) against an terrible defensive team (47.5% or more ), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a poor rebounding team (-3 to -6 reb/game) are 57-100 ATS L/21 seasons for go against 66% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on Oakland to cover 

The Tribe has played one of the toughest schedules in the country. According to the NCAA's new NET rankings, W&M's schedule currently ranks 65th in the country, and are very prepared for their rivals James Madison tonight.The Tribe has won nine of the last 11 games vs. JMU, including both last season and the nod to win and cover again.The Tribe has turned the ball over 10 or fewer times in each of the last five games, averaging just 8.8 miscues per contest during that stretch and Im also betting their discipline will be the difference maker vs JMU this evening.

Dukes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.Dukes are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Dukes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Dukes are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.Dukes are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Tribe are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Colonial Athletic Association.Tribe are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Tribe are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring less than 50 points in their previous game.Tribe are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 Friday games.Tribe are 37-13-2 ATS in their last 52 games following a straight up loss.Tribe are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games.Tribe are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points.Tribe are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss.

Play on William Mary to cover 

Huskies are 0-2-2 ATS in their last 4 games overall and my projections estimate they are not a solid favorite here vs a side like Drexel. 

DREXEL is 11-3 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or better of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. NORTHEASTERN is 5-16 ATS in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997. 

CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (DREXEL) - after allowing 80 points or more against opponent after scoring 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 69-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Drexel to cover 

Detroit has owned this series vs  4-9 Youngstown State as is evident by their 11-0 SU record in the L/11 meetings .Detroit Mercy's finished its non-conference schedule at just 3-9, but should not be underestimated as it was one of the toughest in the country with nine road games and teams posting a 90-53 (62.9%) record so far.The schedule was featured as the 14th hardest by ESPN's BPI standard in a recent article released on Dec. 17. That rough and tumble schedule will have them very ready to compete in this Horizon league opener. 

Play on Detroit Mercy to cover

This is the second meeting between the teams this season. Philadelphia won 113-107 on November 16  and matchup well vs the defensive minded Jazz. Philadelphia  also swept the season series a year ago.

Utahs key defensive stalwart Gobert will have his hands full with Sixers center Joel Embiid. The Sixers top tier group of   Jimmy Butler and Ben Simmons play a style of  hoops that could easily exhaust the Jazz giving us an edge here taking points in what should be a closely contested affair. Getting points with a up trending team like Philadelphia is a good long term wager. 

Brown is 32-18 ATS against Northwest division opponents as the coach of PHILADELPHA and  is 42-17 ATS off a road loss over the last 3 seasons which happened at Boston last time out in OT. UTAH is 8-18 ATS  after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons. 

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHILADELPHIA) - after having won 2 of their last 3 games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 33-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Philadelphia 76ers to cover 

Both these teams played back forth exhausting games on Christmas day and could easily feel the effects of that this Thursday in a tilt that I have pegged to stay under the set total. Houston ranks 28th in pace while Boston ranks 18th in pace and 3rd overall in defensive efficiency in the league. 

Under is 19-7 in Celtics last 26 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Under is 40-19-1 in Rockets last 60 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

D'Antoni is 36-10 UNDER L/36  when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of HOUSTON with a combined average of 212.2 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

Long term these two franchises have a history of playing low scoring games with 15 of the L/19 staying under the total. 

Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Houston.

HOUSTON is 19-6 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 208.8 ppg scored.HOUSTON is 16-5 UNDER after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 206 ppg. 

NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (BOSTON) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after 4 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 55-15 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 207.2 ppg.

Play the UNDER

Sacramento has been flirting with disaster in their L/2 games before the Christmas break and came back from being down by DDs in those home tilts vs Memphis and New Orleans for wins.  I like Sacramento and their upward overall performance trajectory , but their recent issues with slow starts are an ominous sign in my opinion tonight against a run and gun opponent here in hostile territory. With that said,  Im betting the Kings are in trouble vs a Clippers team that is offensively explosive especially at home where they have averaged just under 117 ppg on the season. 

The Clippers have won 8 of the L/9 meetings in this series.

My projections estimate that LA will score 117 or more points here tonight, vs a side that allows an average of 117.2 ppg on the road this season. Note: SACRAMENTO is 13-33 ATS  when they allow 112 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons with the average point differential clicking in at 19.7 ppg. Also the  LA CLIPPERS are 13-3 ATS when they score 117 or more points in a game this season with a point diff of 6.9 ppg. 

Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA CLIPPERS) - after a game where they covered the spread, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 68-20 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on the LA Clippers to cover 

 Both visiting Denver  Nuggets and their hosts the San Antonio Spurs  return from a five-day Christmas break for a contest at the AT&T Center in San Antonio. Both are slower paced teams but both are obviously on fresh legs and Im betting they  will be energized and ready run and gun here tonight just like of it were the beginning of the season. 

Over is 6-0 in Spurs last 6 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Over is 20-8 in Spurs last 28 vs. NBA Northwest.Over is 12-5-1 in Nuggets last 18 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. These teams have gone over in their 2 most recent meetings last season, with a combined average of 231 ppg scored.

Note: Denver looked defensively deficient last time out ,  as they suffered a  132-111 setback at the Los Angeles Clippers on Saturday. Note: DENVER is 21-7 OVER  in road games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 222.3 ppg scored and 15-5 OVER  in road games after allowing 120 points or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 223.4 ppg going on the board.

Spurs home games have seen a combined average of 221.1 ppg scored.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (DENVER) - after having covered 3 of their last 4 against the spread, playing with 3 or more days rest are 33-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

The Celtics opened the season with a 105-87 victory over the Sixers in Boston, but now the Sixers have Jimmy Butler in the lineup, and should be more competitive. However, Im still betting the Celtics have an edge here at home as short chalk vs a Sixers. side that is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
 I also know the Celtics have been inconsistent of late and the team has had some internal meetings, to try to right their ship, which will have positive effect going forward  . With the Celtics off a momentum building win vs Charlotte last time out, Im betting they are ready to show the pundits and their opponents that they are still a force to be reckoned with in the NBA east. 

BOSTON is 22-8 ATS  after having lost 3 of their last 4 games over the last 3 seasons.

 Sixers are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Boston and have lost 7 of 8 SU. .76ers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 vs. NBA Atlantic.76ers are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 road games.

BOSTON is 12-3 ATS  in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 3-14 ATS  in road games vs. division opponents over the last 2 season.

The Celtics are 16-0 SUATS L/16 as a favorite with rest off a game as a dog facing an opponent averaging more than five blocks per game.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (BOSTON) - off a home win by 10 points or more, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 38-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Boston Celtics to cover

DIAMOND HEAD CLASSIC - Final Rnd - Stan Sheriff Center - Honolulu, HI

My own line makes Rhode Island a 2.5 point favorite which according to projections makes Hawaii playing here in their own back yard as solid underdog choices here on a value line  today. 

Hawaii outlasted Colorado in OT yesterday and lost their  tourney opener to UNLV. Meanwhile Rhode Island lost to Bucknell in their opener and beat Charlotte yesterday. 

Note:

Rams are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games.Rams are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win.Play on the Hawaii Warriors to cover 

Play on Hawaii to cover 

Houston has had some inconsistent stretches during this season, but right now they are in top form after having won 6 of their L/7 games overall SU/ATS. With that said, Im betting they continue their top tier play vs the Oklahoma City Thunder with a win here at home  where they are 10-5 SU this season .The Rockets have won 5 of the L/6  head to head battles vs the Thunder here deep in the heart of Texas are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 overall home games and get the nod again. 

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, on Tuesday nights are 63-105 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47%  or more of their shots against opponent after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots are 16-80 L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors on the blind and 10-0 this season for a 100% conversion rate.

Play on the Houston Rockets to cover 

The Lakers held the Grizzlies to 88 in a 23-point win Dec. 8 in Memphis. Im betting the Lakers keep  a Memphis team that has failed to score more than 99 points in 8 straight and 10 of their L/11  to under the century mark again . Meanwhile, the Grizzlies behind the 30th ranked pace, and the 2nd best ppg allowed average to fight back in a methodical way, in effort to end a current cycle of 5 straight losses. This Im betting will see a muted combined score that remains on the low side of the total. 

Walton is 11-1 UNDER  in home games after scoring 105 points or more 5 straight games as the coach of LA LAKERS with a combined average of 206.5 ppg scored. 

NBA Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (LA LAKERS) - an excellent offensive team (102 or more  PPG) against a horrible defensive team (102 or more  PPG), after allowing 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight game are 47-19 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

Dallas lost a hard fought 120-116 tilt   at Golden State Saturday night. That was the Mavericks 5th straight loss and their 4th straight game going over the total, with a combined average of 239.8 ppg scored . Now in desperation mode, and still reved up after that fairly fast paced affair, Im betting this well conditioned group behind Slovenia rookie Doncic come out running and gunning. Meanwhile, Portland enters the Mavericks game coming off its most one-sided home loss in 14 years, a 120-90 beatdown at the hands  of Utah Jazz on Friday and now rank 18th in defensive efficiency. The threes were raining down on the Blazers, and Im betting in their current form , nothing will change defensively. I do however, expect a much better bounce back offensive effort and a spirited affair that goes over the set total. 

 DALLAS is 21-8 OVER in road games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game with a combined average of 219.4 ppg scored.DALLAS is 11-2 OVER versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game this season with a combined average of 225.7 ppg. 

NBA road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (DALLAS) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team 33-9 OVER  L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play OVER 

DIAMOND HEAD CLASSIC - Round 2 - Stan Sheriff Center - Honolulu, HI

 The Hawaii Warriors  are in a bounce back situation from a  disappointing 73-59 loss to UNLV in their last outing. I know home court advantage did not help the Warriors last time out, but this is a team that thye matchup well against from a system vs system power rankings  team vs team power ranking comparison chart  that  I use. 

COLORADO is 8-20 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. COLORADO is 4-14 ATS in road games versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season over the last 3 seasons

COLORADO is 0-6 ATS  in a road game where the total is 140 to 144.5 over the last 3 seasons and is 0-6 ATS ( in road games in December games over the last 2 seasons. COLORADO is 1-10 ATS  after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 3 seasons.COLORADO is 2-13 ATS  in road games after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 3 seasons. 

Play on Hawaii to cover 

The Pelicans had eight scorers record double figures in a 149-129 home win over the Kings during the first week of the season in October. Now the Kings will play this game with revenge in mind and Im betting they get vs a poor traveling Pelicans side that have lost 13 of their 17 road games this season. 

SACRAMENTO is 9-1 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season.

NEW ORLEANS is 1-12 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36%  or better of their attempts this season.SACRAMENTO is 13-5 ATS  versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

Play on Sacramento to cover 

The Bucks are off exerting alot of effort in last nights start to finish win vs Boston.  They were a team on a mission from the outset as they wanted badly to break the 6 game losing streak in Boston and get some revenge for last years play off series loss. Now in a bit of emotional letdown state Im betting they wont have the same energy as last night as they are now also on tired legs. What Im betting on here is for Miami in their usual physical fashion to control the pace of this game on their own home court , as they will have no choice but  to be diligent defensively against one of the leagues most explosive teams. Miami owns the 24th ranked offense in the league and the 9th best D, and they run at a 99 pace which ranks in the bottom 3rd of the league at 20. 

MIAMI is 11-0 UNDER  off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 198.9 ppg scored. Those two wins were also defensive gems not allowing Houston or New Orleans to breach the 99 point plateau. 

NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (MILWAUKEE) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after 4 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 49-15 UNDER  L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER 

Cornell's bench has outscored its opponents' reserves in all 11 games this season and 15 straight contests dating back to last year and Im betting they will be the difference makers here tonight vs SMU. Cornells Senior guard Matt Morgan enters the week among the national leaders at 23.1 ppg. while adding 4.8 rpg., 2.7 apg., 1.2 spg. and 0.5 bpg. This guy looks dangerous and must also be respected a difference maker. 

CORNELL is 7-0 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons.CORNELL is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after allowing 85 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Cornell to cove r

With the final two games of the Continental Tire Las Vegas Classic played inside Orleans Arena, the Aggies will have a slight advantage over their opponents as they own an 18-2 overall record when playing games there since the WAC moved its conference tournament to Orleans Arena in 2011. Drake is a good team, but New Mexico state advances and cover for us today in this tourney game.

CBB Neutral court teams (DRAKE) - after 3 or more consecutive unders, good offensive team - scoring 77+ points/game on the season are 46-87 L/5 seasons for a go against  66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on New Mexico State to cover 

The Suns enter this game on a 4 game win streak, thanks to a much better brand of transitional basketball and overall defensive play, allowing two of the 4 opponents to 99 or less points. Now against a  Washington side, that they are not built to  run in gun with ranking 26th in the league in offence Im betting they will continue their diligent play and try to slow this game down behind their 17th ranked overall pace. Note: PHOENIX is 15-4 UNDER L/19  versus good passing teams, averaging 23  or more assists/game this season with a combined average of 212.4 ppg scored.

WASHINGTON is 10-1 UNDER  vs. struggling  rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 5+/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined score of 209.1 ppg scored. 

NBARoad teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHOENIX) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 30-3 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

No. 17 Mississippi State is coming off a scare against dangerous Wofford on Wednesday night  and heading into Saturday's game against Wright State in Jackson, Miss and will now be wide awake for this tilt. At 10-1 Mississippi State .The Bulldogs have shot 53.2 percent from beyond the arc in their last four games and that why they are so dangerous and viable DD favs here vs a good but over rated Wright State team that is in over their heads here  and 0-5 on the road this season.The Raiders are the third non-conference opponent that Mississippi State has faced from the State of Ohio on the season. MSU has already defeated Dayton (66-58 on 11/30) and Cincinnati (70-59 on 12/15).

WRIGHT ST is 3-11 ATS  in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 3 seasons

MISSISSIPPI ST is 7-0 ATS  in home games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.

CBB Home teams as a favorite or pick (MISSISSIPPI ST) - team from a major division 1-A conference against a team from a mid-major division 1-A conference, off a home win scoring 85 or more points are 373-247 L/22 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors.

Miss State to cover 

Mississippi State to cover 

Under fourth-year head coach Eric Musselman, the Wolf Pack has gone 48-5 at Lawlor Events Center, including a 37-2 record in its last 39 home games.

Even more impressive is that no out-of-conference interlopers have been able to pick up a single win in Reno in the last four seasons. Under Musselman, Nevada is a perfect 26-0 in non-conference home games. While those numbers are impressive, Im more interested in what Im betting is a bloated line, that gives us value on the under rated visitors. It must be noted that Overall, Akron’s four losses this season  have come by a combined 12 points.

Note:Nevada might be without its best 3-point shooter, Jazz Johnson, because of a concussion. If he dresses he will be less than 100% and could see limited playing time. 

NEVADA is 2-12 ATS L/14 as a home favorite of 15.5 to 18 points .

Play on Akron to cover 

The Tenn Martin Skyhawks (5-4) are coming off back-to-back wins, including an exhilarating 75-72 win over in-state rival Chattanooga on Tuesday and have momentum heading into this tilt vs an explosive Fresno State hoops team. Im betting we have value here with the underdog.

CBB Favorites of 10 or more points (FRESNO ST) - average defensive team (67-74 PPG) against a poor defensive team (74-78 PPG), after scoring 85 points or more 2 straight games are 4-24 ATS L/5 seasons for go against 86% conversion rate for bettors. 

CBB Favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (FRESNO ST) - after 3 straight wins by 15 points or more against opponent after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games are 12-36 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Tenn Martin to cover 

The game is on the heels of a tough loss to another former MWC foe, UNLV. The Cougars' late comeback fell short with the Rebels' taking a dramatic 92-90 overtime win. The loss ended BYU's three-game winning streak put forth after taking a humiliating 113-103 loss to Weber State Dec. 1. According to my power rankings Im betting BYU bounces back here vs a side they matchup well against. 

Play on BYU to cover 

Green Bay will make the trip to Evansville for the first time since December 5, 1988, but will be looking for its third-straight win in the series.Green Bay's pressure defense continues to force teams into bad passes and turnovers, having now forced double-figure turnovers in every game this season. GB ranks 24th in the NCAA in turnovers forced, averaging 17.3 forced per game. Been Bay is even better when measuring turnover margin, ranking 15th in the NCAA with a 4.9-1 turnover margin.   The turnovers and steals have the Phoenix, ranked 11th in the NCAA with 107 steals this season.Here against Evansville, Im betting their ability to cause havoc will be key in a cover. 

WI-GREEN BAY is 6-0 ATS L/6 in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% ormolu of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. WI-GREEN BAY is 12-4 ATS  versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

WI-GREEN BAY is 8-1 ATS when the total is 160 to 169.5 over the last 2 seasons. 

WI-GREEN BAY is 14-3 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in a week over the last 2 seasons.  

CBB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (WI-GREEN BAY) - after a road game where both teams scored 75 points or more, playing with 5 or 6 days rest are 25-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Wisconsin GB to cover 

The Pacific Tigers improved to 9-4 after snatching a hard fought 79-77 victory at Cal State Northridge last Sunday. This is a hard working team, that plays all out but are well rested. so their energy levels Im betting will be sky high here.  CBB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PACIFIC) - after a road game where both teams scored 75 points or more, playing with 5 or 6 days rest are 25-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Boise State has a good hoops program but from a bettors perspective they have not faired well vs top tier competition as is evident by this following trends that shows BOISE ST is 3-11 ATS  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 2 seasons.BOISE ST is also a lowly 0-6 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 3 seasons and are fade material against a hot well rested team on a 4 game win streak. 

Play on Pacific to cover 

ORANGE BOWL CLASSIC - BB&T Center - Sunrise, FL

St.Louis is a intricate slow down team that prioritizes playing top tier defence and now going head going head to head  with a deadly accurate Florida State offence Im betting they slow down things even more this Saturday afternoon in a tilt that looks promising  to be a low scoring affair. 

SAINT LOUIS is 12-3 UNDER in road games versus good shooting teams - making  45% or more  of their shots over the last 3 seasons. with a combined average of 116.3 ppg scored.SAINT LOUIS is 21-9 UNDER vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more  of their attempts over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 128.7 ppg scored.

FLORIDA ST is 15-6 UNDER in all neutral court games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 131.5 ppg scored.   

Play UNDER 

No 11/12 Florida State, which has won five consecutive games, travels to play Saint Louis in the 2018 Metro by T-Mobile Orange Bowl Classic on Saturday. St.Louis is a fine team, but this is their toughest test of the season, and could make this game interesting but as we closer to the finish line Im betting Florida State will pull away for a cover.No. 11 Florida State owns a 7-2 record in nine previous Orange Bowl Classic appearances and enters the 2018 Classic having won seven of their last eight games with victories . Add one more those numbers today and a cover. 

Play on Florida State to cover 

Northern Iowa enters Saturday's match riding a two-game losing streak and has lost its last five contests vs. Division I opponents. They just don't seem to have that extra bit of energy it takes to notch wins which is uncharacteristic of a Ben Jacobson team. My own projections suggest that N.Iowa does not matchup well against this type of team, and should be closer to 4 point chalk here, thus giving us value on this slightly bloated line. 

N IOWA is 4-17 ATS versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or more  with a defense of 42% or less over the last 3 seasons.N IOWA is 6-25 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 45%  or more of their shots over the last 3 seasons. 

N IOWA is 0-8 ATS in December games over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on N.Dakota to cover 

USC has lost four consecutive games for the first time since the 2017 season, and will be primed to take care of business tonight in a convincing manner. 

USC is 17-3 ATS after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 3 seasons. 

Play on USC to cover 

Right now entering this game Memphis is struggling and have not scored more than 99 points in a tilt in 7 straight trips to the hardwood. To make matters worse their top player and the energy behind this team Mike Conley is hobbled with a hamstring injury. He is expected to play but is less than 100%.The Grizzlies had no such offensive issues in their 112-104 home win over Sacramento last month, but things have changed since then and Sacramento will have revenge on board. Here at home the Kings have the advantage. 

Grizzlies are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Pacific.Grizzlies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.Grizzlies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.Grizzlies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Grizzlies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.Grizzlies are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 1 days rest.Grizzlies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Grizzlies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. Western Conference.Grizzlies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.Grizzlies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.

MEMPHIS is 9-21 ATS after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 6-19 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons.  

 SACRAMENTO is 8-1 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 this season. 

Play on Sacramento to cover 

I look for a key element when Im backing big DD underdogs and that is their ability to convert at a high level of their shots and in particularly their ability to sink from beyond the arc. Note: DU is shooting 44.7 percent from the field on the year.
• Denver is also hitting 3s at a good rate, ranking second in the Summit League in 3-point percentage at 39.7 and 20th in the country. Gonzaga is a big time time program, and we all know how explosive they can be, and supporting them comes at a hefty line cost. With that said,Im betting we have the value you needed to get the cover here this evening.

Play on Denver to cover 

The Spurs  were defeated by a 128-89 count at Minnesota back on November 28 and now have revenge on board for that loss. Thats not good news for the Wolves, as the Spurs have now won 4 straight games by 25 points or more behind the league's best 3-point shooting conversion rate of 38.2 %. Note:MINNESOTA is 9-20 ATS in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. Meanwhile, the Spurs are  10-0 ATS  revenging a road loss vs opponent this season. 

Spurs are 10-0 SU L/10 at home in this series with every win coming by 4 points or more. 

Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover 

The Celtics try to bust out of a two game losing run as they host the Bucks this Friday night in a game that Im betting favours the home side. I know the Bucks are now considered a NBA power house and hell bent on taking out a Celtics team  that beat them in last years play offs, but Im betting the Clovers have got what it takes to get the win here at home tonight, and extending a 6-0 SUATS home run in this series. ( Boston won the last meeting here on Nov 1 by a 117 -113 count ) 

BOSTON is 11-2 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 12-2 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 31-12 ATS  when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons. 

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BOSTON) - off a upset loss as a favorite, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 65-29 ATS L/22 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Boston to cover 

After 16 years working as the head basketball coach at Middle Tennessee State, the first-year Ole Miss coach will return to Tennessee on Friday to face off against his former team. He will back looking to make an impression and prove hes not showing favouritism . Note: MIDDLE TENN ST is 0-8 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season and is  0-7 ATS  versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.MIDDLE TENN ST is 0-9 ATS in non-conference games this season. MISS is 7-0 ATS as a favorite this season.

Play on Ole Miss to cover 

Brooklyn enters this game red hot  winning 7 straight , while the Pacers are off a loss to the very good Raptors team by 3 points last  time out. Im betting Indiana will be ready to put that defeat behind them with big time victory on road vs Brooklyn here tonight and show their doubters that they are a team on the rise. 

Pacers are 8-0 SU & 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings and the nod to cover here.

Pacers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Friday games.Pacers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.Pacers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.Pacers are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 vs. NBA Atlantic.Pacers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games.Pacers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference.Pacers are 37-18 ATS in their last 55 games following a straight up loss.

Play on Indiana to cover 

Play on Towson to cover 

Dallas's DeAndre Jordan  takes on his old team the Los Angeles Clippers at Staples Center on Thursday for . the first time since he signed with the Mavericks as a free agent this past offseason. In the first meeting at  home in Dallas on Dec. 2, the Mavs came away with a 114-110 victory and according to my power rankings match up very well vs the Clippers. Tonight Im betting Jordans tough D, and rebounding circus act will be one of the the difference makers for a Dallas cover. Quote: "(Jordan) is one of the best rebounders in the land," Clippers head coach Doc Rivers said at practice Wednesday. "We know there are some things you have to do with D.J. to at least try to keep him off the glass. He's tough. END QUOTE: 

DALLAS is 7-0 ATS  versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season this season.DALLAS is 30-18 ATS  as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.

The Clippers are 0-10 SUATS  at home off a loss in which they allowed 50-plus points in the paint. The Mavericks are 9-0 ATS /8-1 SU with rest off a game as a dog in which they allowed 55%-plus shooting from the field. the lone SU loss came by 2 pts. 

NBA team vs the money line (DALLAS) - after failing to cover the spread in 4 or more consecutive games, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 66-35 SU L/5 seasons . 

Play on Dallas to cover 

Fordham plays some solid defence, and James Madison ha shown a propensity to be inconsistent offensively of late, but from a system vs system standpoints, Im betting that these teams will eclipse this ultra low total based on my projections . 

JAMES MADISON is 10-1 OVER  versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18 or less free throws/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 150.4 ppg scored.JAMES MADISON is 10-2 OVER  versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 154.6 ppg scored.

JAMES MADISON is 20-5 OVER after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 152.7 ppg going on the board.JAMES MADISON is 6-0 OVER  after a combined score of 125 points or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 157.5 ppg going on the board.JAMES MADISON is 11-2 OVER off a road loss over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 147.2 ppg scored. 

Play on the OVER 

Monmouth is playing its first game in 12 days dating back to December 8th at Albany and should be ready to compete vs a very good Yale team here . I know Monmouth is a ugly 0-11 SU on the season, but because of this this....  the line is a  little bit tainted and we now have value with the home side. 

Hawks are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games following three or more consecutive road gamesBulldogs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. Metro Atlantic Athletic.CBB A home team vs. the money line (MONMOUTH) - after 8 or more consecutive losses, terrible team, winning 20% or less of their games on the season are 31-25 SU L/5 seasons.

Take the points with Monmouth 

Purdue enters Thursday's contest with the Bobcats with a 6-5 record and will be  looking to snap a two-game losing streak, that surrounds around playing uncharacteristically soft defensive basketball .  Painters team Im betting in an effort to get back in a winning mind set will be very physical and defensive minded here vs over matched Ohio  as they prepare to go on break before taking on Big 10 conference play. 

Ohio is 7-3 after defeating Detroit Mercy 63-61 and Radford in its last two games which were defensive and physical in nature, and nothing will change here as they look to stop the flow of a superior Power 5 team.

PURDUE is 12-3 UNDER versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 2 season with a combined average of 139.2 ppg scored. Painter is 14-5 UNDER in a home game where the total is 145 to 149.5 as the coach of PURDUE.

OHIO U is 10-2 UNDER  in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 143.3 ppg. 

Play UNDER