NCAA Tournament - First Four - Univ. of Dayton Arena - Dayton, OH

Arizona State was the darlings of the College basketball world earlier this season, but they cooled off considerably during conference play and finished their season losing 5 of their L/6 games, and are playing very inconsistent  ball at the moment. Meanwhile, Syracuse despite of an average campaign are a hard working defensive minded program, with pedigree and experience in this NCAA tournament, and must be respected with HC Boheim on the sideleines . With that said, my own power rankings also suggest Syracuse is the side that should be favored and not Arizona State making gets points here in my humble opinion a viable wagering opportunity.

Note: The Orange had a non-conference schedule ranked No. 14. Its overall schedule was ranked 18. SU played Virginia, the No. 1 team in the RPI, twice. It played North Carolina (RPI 4) twice, it played Kansas (5), Duke (7) and Clemson (11). ........Kansas (5), St. Bonaventure (24) and Buffalo (25) were all non-conference opponents. Needless to say their ready for whats coming their way today.

ARIZONA ST is 2-10 ATS L/12 when playing against a team with a winning record and is 1-7 ATS  L/8 when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%).

CBB underdog (SYRACUSE) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 62-31 ATS L/12 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Syracuse to cover

NIT - First Round

My CBB Hoops tourney Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

 TEMPLE is 11-3 ATS  L/14 in all tournament games. Temple is 8-2 SU L/10 meetings in this series.

TEMPLE is 23-12 ATS  L/35  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.PENN ST is 31-52 ATS  L/83 when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%).

Play on Temple to cover

 CBI Tournament - First Round

My CBB Hoops tourney Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.
  
Play on UT Rio Grande Valley  to cover

CBI Tournament - First Round

My CBB Hoops tourney Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

MIAMI OHIO is 8-2 ATS    in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Play on Miami O to cover

The very under rated  Bonnies  had a 13 game losing streak snapped last time out,  but got some great news when they were informed of an at-large bid to the Tournament and now  will primed to face  UCLA in the First Four on Tuesday.  To beat UCLA you have to play fast and need quality guard play , something the Bonnies have.

St.Bonaventure  are lead by All-Conference backcourt  seniors Jaylen Adams and Matt Mobley, who combine to average 38 points per game and I'm betting they will be the catalysts behind  a Bonnies cover vs the Bruins this evening.

Bruins are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 non-conference games.Bonnies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.Bonnies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home.

Play on St.Bonaventure to cover

The Utah Valley Wolverines,  have been on the rise in the college basketball world as of late and despite of not being a school you might recognize , it has a quality group of talent on board with 4 returning starters. QUOTE: “This is my most talented roster, so I think we have some higher expectations we’re trying to meet,” HC Pope said. END QUOTE.Last year, the Wolverines, made the final four of the CBI tournament, and upset BYU during the regular season, and than played Duke in Kentucky earlier this season, and are battle tested and more than capable of taking out Eastern Washington here today on their own home floor.

Wolverines are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.Wolverines are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Play on Utah Valley to cover

NIT - First Round

 The Vermont Catamounts had a great season, but faltered in the conference championship and were surprisingly upset. I really don't think this hoops group is now happy to be here as they expected to be in the NCAA tourney. I know Middle Tennessee is also disappointed, after losing their bid, but from reading different quotes from the Raiders, its become obvious their more motivated. QUOTE: 
"I feel like we have a chance to prove people wrong," King said. "As a mid-major we have to come in with that chip on our shoulder and show people what we're really capable of and this is still an opportunity to do that." END UOTE: With that said I'm betting  the superior home side according to my power rankings will eventually pull away for a cover in this tilt.  ( Middle Tennessee State to cover ) 

MIDDLE TENN ST is 25-11 ATS  L/36 when playing against a team with a winning record.MIDDLE TENN ST is 7-0 ATS  L/7 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or better of their attempts after 15+ games dating back to last season. MIDDLE TENN ST is 7-0 ATS  versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or better of their shots.VERMONT is 2-10 ATS  L/12 in road games after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers .

CBB underdog (VERMONT) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off 2 or more consecutive losses as a favorite are 69-126 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 63% for bettors on the blind.

Play on Middle Tennessee State to cover

NCAA Tournament - First Four - Univ. of Dayton Arena - Dayton, OH

Two 16 seeds go head to head today in tourney action as Radford takes on Long Island.
Radford finished their season on fire winning 7 straight tilts and must not be disrespected here as short favs.

The Radford Blackbirds are led by NEC Tournament MVP Joel Hernandez (20.9 ppg) and Raiquan Clark (17.4 ppg). Clark is the team's top rebounder with 7.1 per game, while possessing a 55.7 field goal percentage. Hernandez dishes out 2.6 dimes a game, while shooting 38.0 percent from beyond the arc. I'm betting these two key cogs will be the difference maker in this tilt.

Highlanders are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games and have lost 12 of 18 games away from home this season SU.

Radford HC Jones is 6-0 ATS L/6 versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games in his career as coach at Radford. LIU HC Kellogg is 9-23 ATS L/32 in road games after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games in all games.


CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LONG ISLAND) - after 5 or more consecutive wins, when seeded 13 through 16 in the NCAA tournament are 16-44 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 73% for bettors.

CBB Neutral court teams as a favorite or pick (RADFORD) - average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (32-36.5%) after 15+ games, after 3 straight games - attempting 10+ more free throws than opponent are 25-6 ATS L/21 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Radford to cover

Philadelphia enters this game having lost  eight of its last 11 road games, and are being over valued here vs a Brooklyn side that has been very competitive of late covering 5 of their L/6 games overall including a DD win last time out. Note: BROOKLYN is 7-0 ATS after a win by 10 points or more this season.  Meanwhile, The Sixer's issues of late seem to be a lack of conditioning as they have looked fatigued , with key contributors like Joel  Embiid  who has looked gassed in recent outings averaging just 18.8 points on 41 percent shooting in five games in March after averaging 24.4 ppg on 50.3 percent shooting in February. QUOTE: "I think fatigue definitely has a part to say in some of Joel's performances recently," Philadelphia coach Brett Brown told reporters after Thursday's game when Embiid shot less than 30 percent for the first time all season. END QUOTE: With that said, I'm betting on a fairly well rested Brooklyn side to make a game of this and not be easy outs . Take the points.

( The last time these teams played here in Brooklyn back on Jan 31 the Nets won 116-108 as 8 point dogs)

BROOKLYN is 15-7 ATS  when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days this season.BROOKLYN is 25-12 ATS  after a game where they covered the spread this season.BROOKLYN is 32-20 ATS   as an underdog this season. BROOKLYN is 19-9 ATS  L/28 versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

NBA Home teams (BROOKLYN) - after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games, on Sunday games are 71-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points against opponent off a double digit win as a road underdog of 6 more are 6-26 SU L/21 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Brooklyn to cover

AAC Conference Tournament - Championship Game - Orlando, FL

The No. 8 Bearcats face No. 21 Houston on Sunday afternoon in the American Athletic Conference Tournament championship in Orlando, Fla., very focused and ready  to avenge their loss in last year's tourney final . Houston is admittedly playing some great hoops at the moment, but as is usually the case in big games like this the superior D, will be the difference maker. Which makes the Bearcats the go to team here. Note: Cincinnati is No.2 in the DFG and ranked in the nation No.8 in rebounding.

 Cincinnati is 15-2 SU vs Houston L/17 meetings. All 4 championship games in this conference have been won by the fav SU/ATS.

CBB An underdog (HOUSTON) - after 2 or more consecutive overs, an explosive offensive team (76 PPG or better ) against a good offensive team (74-76 PPG) are  76-124 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Cincinnati to cover

Rhode Island and Davidson split their two games this season with Rhode Island taking a DD victory at home while, Davidson barley slipped by Rhode Island in a high charged atmosphere at home by a 63-61 count. Watching clips of those tilts it became obvious to me the Rams were the superior hoops program, and if they met again in the A10 conference tourney that Rhode Island would get the automatic nod at -5 or less. My own power rankings makes the Rams 5 point chalk here in a neutral court environment and they are my choice in this spot. Note: .

Rams are 25-11-1 ATS in their last 37 games following a straight up win. Rams are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games.


CBB favorite (DAVIDSON) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in four consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games are 13-39 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate on the blind.

Play on Rhode Island to cover

Toledo is the type of team that matches up very well against Buffalo's high powered offense, and I had them pegged for the champions of this conference from the very beginning of the season. 

The Rockets  have played their best basketball down the stretch covering 8 of their L/11 and were 4-1 ATS against top tier sides with a .666 record or better this season. According to my power rankings we have a live dog here that has the capabilities of pulling off a SU upset.

Rockets are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 neutral site games. the underdog has won 7 of the L/8 MAC conference tourneys straight up. Buffalo is 0-3 SU/ATS in this tourney vs a side off back to back SU/ATS wins.

Play on Toledo to cover

Charlotte enters this game in a big time funk having lost 5 straight games, and should not be DD favs against any team at the NBA in their current form not even the lowly Phoenix Suns. That was evident in a disheartening loss to the Brooklyn Nets on Thursday night which will make getting up off the proverbial matt very difficult for the Hornets.

The Hornets nasty D, makes them fade material as DD home chalk. The Hornets have allowed 121 or more points six times in their last 15 games.

CHARLOTTE is 2-11 ATS  L/13 versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game.CHARLOTTE is 2-11 ATS  L/13 playing 8 or more games in 14 days this season.

The Suns are 13-0 ATS L/13 covering by 9.6 ppg on the road off a game as a dog when they are off two double-digit ATS losses. The Suns were 9-4 SU in those games with non of the losses coming by more than 7 points.The Hornets are 1-18 SU and 2-17 ATS with rest when they are off two consecutive games in which they had six-plus double-digit scorers.

NBA Road underdogs (PHOENIX) - after a blowout loss by 20 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games are 62-29 ATS L/21 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Phoenix Suns to cover

Atlantic Ten Conference Tournament - Semifinals - Washington, DC

St.Bonnie enters this game on a 13 game winning streak, which includes a victory vs Davidson 117-113. and have proven themselves a top tier squad that must be respected this season. If they lose to Davidson here today I'm betting they won't go easily and must be respected a dogs in this spot.

St.Bonnie has won 7 of its L/10 A10 conference tourney games.Bonnies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Wildcats are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

ST BONAVENTURE is 6-0 ATS  L/6 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more  of their attempts after 15+ games over the last few seasons.

Play on St.Bonaventure to cover

SEC Tournament - Semifinals - ST Louis, MO

Alabama ended their regular season on a 5 game losing streak, and looked downtrodden entering the conference championship tourney. Then suddenly and surprisingly they won their first two games of tournament and find themselves going up against  Kentucky side that has  won and covered 5 of their L/ games including this tourney and enter todays semi finals matchup as deserving favorites. John Calapri's wildcats teams have been lights out dominant in the Semi final and finals rounds going 31-5 SU  while covering 26 of those tilts, and I'm betting they come out on top again and get us the cover.

Kentucky has won 6 straight meetings in this series SU, and beat Alabama this season 81-71 and last year in a neutral court environment 79-74 and once again have the edge today as short chalk.

Crimson Tide are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings.Favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

Play on Kentucky to cover

The Portland Trail Blazers' current eight-game winning streak began Feb. 14, when the Golden State Warriors visited here just before the all star break. The Blazers won that game by a 123-117 count, but will be hard pressed to do it again vs
 a revenge minded team with superior talent base.   With that said,  I'm betting on a  alpha and omega situation that will see the Blazers run come to an abrupt end right where their streak began, in the Moda Center.

Golden State is 27-5 SU on the road this season with the average margin of victory coming by 7 ppg.
Warriors are 13-6 ATS in the last 19 meetings in Portland.
Trail Blazers are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

NBA Home underdogs (PORTLAND) - after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 32-66 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (GOLDEN STATE) - very good shooting team - shooting 48% or better on the season, after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots are 148-82 ATS L/21 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

NBA Favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, a top-level team (75% or better ) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 58-10 SU winning by a combined average of 8.4 ppg game , which gives credence to us laying 4 points or less in this situation.

Play on Golden State to cover

Big 12 Conference Tournament - Semifinals - Kansas City, MO

Texas Tech, enters this game against West Virginia  highly ranked according to my power rankings and also ranks fourth nationally in the KenPom defensive efficiency ratings. This is a team that is currently healthy and playing with a lot of confidence. QUOTE: High, high confidence," star G Evans said after scoring 25 points in a 73-69 victory over Texas on Thursday. "We got everybody back. We're getting healthier by the day. We all know what we can do and what we're capable of." END QUOTE:  Both these NCAA tournament locks, will be very motivated here today, but as is usually the case superior  Ds, wins big games and this one will be no different. ( They split their two meetings this season, but Evans did not play in the loss) Note: The No.2 Seed ( Texas Tech I) n this Tourney is a perfect 9-0 SU since 2006 in Semi Finals games and 7-0 SU L/7 seven seasons.

Play on Texas Tech to cover

analysis to follow-thank you for your patience.

AAC Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals - Orlando, FL  

The linesmkaers are expecting Cincinnati to take out the SMU Mustangs by a DD margin of victory, which translates to the Bearcats putting up 72+ plus points here according to my own projections with the Mustangs reciprocating with 58+ points in a game that I have pegged to go OVER the total. The meetings between the programs this season have seen 127 and 132 points go on the scoreboard. I'm expecting a score of around 130+ here in a neutral court environment giving us an edge for an over wager.

SMU HC Jankovich in 23 i neutral court games in his career has seen an a combined average of 130.4 ppg scored. Jankovich  in all 33 tournament games  he has coached  have seen a combined average score of 131.6 ppg  scored. HC Cronin of Cincinnati  in  203  games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game has seen a combined average of 130.2 ppg go on the board.

Neutral court teams where the total is 129.5 or less (SMU/CINCINNATI) - after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, on Fridays are 26-2 OVER  L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 137.2 ppg.

Play OVER

Pac 12 Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals - Las Vegas, NV

Oregon State has had a decent season, but are still very over matched vs a talented USC Trojans side. The Beavers have won 5 of their 13 , but four of those wins were home and away victories vs Washington and Washington State. Their systems matchup well against those two programs, but according to my power rankings they do not matchup well vs this kind of talented athletic side. With that said, I'm expecting an easy cover by the Trojans here tonight.

Trojans smashed the Beavers by a 72-59 count last time they met Feb 17 and a rinse and repeat situation will not be surprising.

Oregon States -Tres Tinkle injured last game, is probable Thursday vs USC ( Ankle ) but likely to be less 100%.

No.2 Seeds like USC in this PAC12 tourney are 10-2 ATS L/12 and 10-2 ATS when they are favs of less than 6 points.

Trojans are 8-0 ATS L/8 neutral site games. Favorite is 4-1 ATS L/5 in this series.

Play on USC Trojans to cover

The 76ers and Miami Heat have played three times already this season with the home team holding serve in each tilt, and I'm betting the status quo remains the same after tonight. Miami has won the last six times it has faced the 76ers at home.

MIAMI is 20-8 ATS  L/28  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts - 2nd half of the season dating back to the last campaign.

The Heat are 18-0 ATS/SU off a loss in which their opponent shot 50% or better from beyond the arc and it is after the All-Star break with the wins coming by an average of 17 ppg.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHILADELPHIA) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (43.5-45.5%) after 42+ games, after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better are just 6-27 ATS L/21 seasons for a 81% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Miami Heat to cover

ACC Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals - Brooklyn, NY

The University of Notre Dame  matchup well according to my power rankings  against No. 4 seed (and No. 5/4 national rank) Duke   on Thursday night .(Fighting Irish are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. )

 Last season the Blue Devils took out t the Irish 75-69 in last season’s ACC Championship game - a contest the Irish led by three points in the final minutes . Notre Dame is currently in top form and have won 7 of their L/10 with  two of those losses coming by 3 points to Miami fl, and to top ranked Virginia by 5 points and  they must not be disrespected here as dogs. Note: ACC defending Champs like Duke  are 3-14 ATS as a fav in the first round, and Duke is 4-14 ATS in their first round conference tourney game dating back to the 2001 campaign.

Notre Dame is 8-2 all-time in the Barclays Center - but the current group of Irish players have a 8-1 record in the home of the Brooklyn Nets.

Play on Notre Dame to cover

ACC Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals - Brooklyn, NY

BC has  gotten better as this season has progressed because of their ability to punch it out offensively with anyone in this conference behind the talented backcourt duo of Robinson and Bowman and I'm betting this group will force a defensive minded Clemson into responding with some offensive fireworks of their own in this conflict.

Yesterday Boston took out NC State by a 91-87 count and scored a 88-77 opening round win vs Georgia Tech .  This BC team knows only one way to play and that is fast transitional basketball, and nothing will change here today. When these teams played earlier this season Clemson took a 74-70 win and my own projections estimate a combined score of the 145+ points range to be scored here which makes for a viable over wager.

BOSTON COLLEGE is 12-2 OVER  L/14 versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games dating back to last  season with  a combined average score of 160.4 ppg going on the board. BOSTON COLLEGE is 10-2 OVER  L/12 versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game with a  combined average score of  157.3 ppg going on the board.BOSTON COLLEGE is 8-1 OVER  L/9 after 2 or more consecutive overs this season with a combined average score of 158.9 ppg scored.

BOSTON COLLEGE is 6-0 OVER  L/6  vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts with a combined average of 157.7 ppg scored.

Play OVER

Atlantic Ten Conference Tournament - Second Round - Washington, DC


Both these top tier mid major programs, are in rebuilding seasons. But according to my power rankings in a neutral court environment, Virginia Commonwealth has an edge. VCU owns a 17-14 overall record while Dayton is under .500 with a 14-16 record.

Both have not performed well away from home this season, but the Flyers have been particularly atrocious losing 12 of 14 games on the road, including 7 straight and are fade material in this spot.

VCU is 11-4 in this tourney and lost and last years finals to Rhode Island. This program knows how to take care of business.

( Dayton won their final home game of the season, vs George Washington by a 88-78 count, but that has not been a good omen for them in the recent past as some of these trends below would indicate.)

DAYTON is 0-11 ATS off a home win this season.DAYTON is 0-8 ATS after a win by 10 points or more this season. DAYTON is 1-12 ATS (after 1 or more consecutive wins this season.

VA COMMONWEALTH is 20-8 ATS L/28 in a neutral court game where the total is 140 to 149.5 .VA COMMONWEALTH is 10-2 ATS L/12 off a road blowout win by 20 points or more.

DAYTON is 0-7 ATS L/7 in road games versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game after 15+ games over the last few seasons.DAYTON is 5-17 ATS L/22 versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season.

Play on VCU to cover

 Cleveland will be out  looking for payback when they  meet in Denver on Wednesday night for a 126-117 loss they suffered at home to the Nuggets last week. But with that said,  you don't always get what you want as the Rolling Stones song suggests.  Tonight, I'm betting the young Nuggets despite of playing last night and looking disinterested in a loss to Dallas as road chalk, will be very motivated for a bounce back at home vs a Cavaliers side I'm betting they will be up for playing against and that they actually matchup well against according to my own system vs system analysis.  Note: Nuggets are a well conditioned group and are  11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games playing  with no rest.

CLEVELAND is 3-15 ATS   versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season and is 4-12 ATS   versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season. CLEVELAND is 9-21 ATS   versus below average defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more this season.

Cavaliers are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Cavaliers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Home team is 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (DENVER) - off an upset loss of 10 points or more as a road favorite, second half of the season are 32-3 SU L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors with the average margin of victory coming by 11 ppg.

Play on Denver to cover

Atlantic Ten Conference Tournament - First Round - Washington, DC

GW enters this game against Fordham  having won the last seven meetings in this series a row, and 10 of the last 11, and  lead the all-time series 26-6. The Colonials just  defeated the Rams in the Smith Center, 72-56, last Wednesday and now they are my pick to get the job done again here today SU/ATS. The Colonials have won their opening game four straight years in the conference tourney. After starting their season very slowly the Colonials   averaging just 61.3 points per game in their first eight conference tilts , they  than began to get things going and are now performing in  top tier fashion offensively as   GW  is now  averaging 74.5 ppg in its last 10 outings and should once again be dominating vs a Fordham side on a 6 game losing streak, and struggling with their offense  scoring  60 points or less points in 5 of those 6  trips to the hardwood. 

FORDHAM is 12-27 ATS in all tournament games since 1997.FORDHAM is 0-6 ATS  after allowing 80 points or more .FORDHAM is 7-23 ATS  as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997.FORDHAM is 5-16 ATS   as an underdog this season.

Play on George Washington to cover

The schizophrenic Indiana Pacers are currently on a 3 game win streak,  and have  7 wins  in their L/9 and look very much like their revving up into top gear, and must be respected here on their own home floor where they have thrived going 22-11 SU this season. When they visited tonight's guests Utah back on Jan 15 the Pacers looked like they matched up well against their opponents, and despite of Jazz looking for revenge I'm betting they fall short. Note: Utah has lost 19 of their 31 road games this season.Pacers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Meanwhile, the  Jazz have won three in a row and are 15-2 in the last 17 games. But now on tired legs with this their 4th game in 7 days and  short handed as they are expected to  be  without forward Derrick Favors, who is sidelined with neck spasms, their at a disadvantage. If Favors plays I, expecting he will be less 100%. QUOTE: "We're going to have a very difficult game at Indiana," Jazz coach Quin Snyder said. "We know that. They played well against us here and beat us pretty good (109-94 on Jan. 15). END QUOTE

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (UTAH) - revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a home win by 10 points or more are 44-211 SU L/21 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Indiana Pacers to cover

ACC Conference Tournament - Second Round - Brooklyn, NY

Louisville has won 10 of its last 12 conference tournament games and has a 15-4 record with three championships over its last eight conference tournaments and have top tier pedigree on this sides, and a lot to prove after receiving some disturbing NCAA sanctions recently .Louisville has a 33-11 series advantage over Florida State winning three of the last five matchups while covering 4 of those tilts. It must also be noted that the Cardinals took down the No.23 Noles 73-69 earlier this season breaking a 28-game Seminoles home winning streak as UofL fought back from a 17-point deficit to notch the victory. If they could win there, the Cardinal can beat this team here in a much friendlier environment.

Louisville has made 41.8 percent of their threes over the last nine games (84-of-201) and is third in the ACC in three-point percentage for conference games only (.382). I'm betting this will be the catalyst behind what I'm betting will be a cover for the Cardinal in this spot.

Florida State has failed to cover 8 straight games.

FLORIDA ST is 4-14 ATS L/18 in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons. FLORIDA ST is 5-14 ATS (L.19  in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games dating back 3 seasons.FLORIDA ST is 0-8 ATS  L/8 in road games after a home game where both teams scored 75 points or more. FLORIDA ST is 1-9 ATS  in road games off a home win against a conference rival.

Play on Louisville to cover

Golden State continues their quest for another NBA championship and are currently in top form  having  won five straight as they host the downtrodden Brooklyn Nets this Tuesday night. Despite of the Warriors over whelming fire power and superior record compared the  the Brooklyn Nets  recent meetings  in this series ,have been competitive .

The last time these teams played the Nets made  the Warriors work hard  for a 118-111 win  at home in November. It must also be noted that  six of their last seven games at Golden State have been decided by nine or fewer points, with one loss going to overtime. Recently despite of their continued futility the Nets have shown some fight, as their L/3 road losses have been decided by a total margin of 14 points ( 4.66 ppg). With that said, lets plug our noses, closes our eyes and  quickly squeeze the proverbial trigger on the Nets to cover taking points.

GOLDEN STATE is 8-19 ATS  L/27 against Atlantic division opponents.Warriors are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. Eastern Conference. Warriors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 3 or more days rest.BROOKLYN is 30-20 ATS  as an underdog this season. BROOKLYN is 8-1 ATS  when playing against a top-tier team (Win Pct. 70% or better) this season. 

Road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings

NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (BROOKLYN) - cold team - having lost 8 or more of their last 10 games against opponent hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games are a long term quality wager, going 241-160 ATSL/21 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Brooklyn Nets to cover

I don't make a habit of laying a lot of lumber with my NBA selections, but every now and than playing chalk makes sense. Right now NY is just playing out its schedule, and despite of a hungry group of bench players and G League scrubs getting a lot of court time they  are still fade material vs a Portland side currently in top form, as is evident by winning 7 straight. The Blazers have also only lost once in their L/14 at home in the Moda Center where they consistently play their best hoops behind super star Damian Liilard. The Knicks have lost in 11 of their last 13 meetings with the Blazers, including a 103-91 defeat at Madison Square Garden on Nov. 27  and once again look like they will end up on the wrong side of a lopsided score.
QUOTE: "We're really showing our growth," Lillard said. "We're continuing to stay locked in. Right now, we're playing good basketball. If shots aren't falling, we're not letting that dictate how we defend, how we communicate and our energy. We're controlling games with our consistency." END QUOTE:

Knicks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Knicks are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Knicks are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games overall.Favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

NEW YORK is 3-13 ATS  as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points this season with the average margin of defeat coming by 12.6 ppg.

NBA team vs the money line (NEW YORK) - cold team - failing to cover the spread in 8 or more of their last 10, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 7-55 SU losing by an average of just under 10 ppg.

Play on Portland to cover

Northeast Conference Tournament - Championship Game

The No. 1 seeded Wagner men's basketball team takes on  No. 4 seed, LIU Brooklyn, in Tuesday's championship game. If Wagner wins, the Seahawks will earn the NEC's automatic bid but  I'm betting if they get that big prize tonight, it won't come easily. Tuesday's championship tilt  is the  rubber match between the Seahawks and Blackbirds as the teams split their two meetings this season, each retaining victories on their respective home courts.In the two previous games between Wagner and LIU the difference of scoring margin  was a combined six points as on January 13, LIU earned a last-second 69-67 victory in Brooklyn while the Seahawks grinded out a 78-74 home win on February 17.  A rinse and repeat situation looks to be on tonights agenda. With that said, I'm recommending we take the points.

LONG ISLAND is 10-1 ATS  L/11 revenging a same season loss vs opponent and is a perfect 7-0 ATS  L/7 revenging a road loss vs opponent. LIU HC Kellogg is 15-3 ATS  L/18 in his career as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points .

CBB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LONG ISLAND) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, after a home game where both teams scored 75 points or more are 79-43 ATS L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Long Island to cover

West Coast Conference Tournament - Semifinals - Las Vegas, NV

The Gaels have been nationally-ranked in nine weeks of the season and have been on my radar as being a top tier team with big dance credentials from the onset of this campaign.The Gaels have advanced to semifinals in 15 of the last 16 seasons.

From a power rankings perspective the Gaels according to my numbers should be a 7.5 point fav here, which makes laying around 5 points a value line wager.

SMC has won the last five meetings versus BYU. The Gaels defeated the Cougars last year in the semifinals, 81-50 and I won't be surprised by another DD margin of victory again.

BYU HC
Rose is 2-21 ATS as a neutral court underdog or pick  -Opponent 80. BYU 69.5. .
Overall BYU is 5-30 ATS  as a neutral court underdog or pick and is  4-21 ATS as a neutral court underdog of 6 points or less or pick.

BYU is 2-11 ATS L/13 revenging 2 straight losses vs opponent of 10 points or more.BYU is 6-17 ATS L/23 vs. excellent free throw shooting teams - making 77% or better of their shots.

Play on St.Mary;s Gaels to cover

The Bucks and Pacers go head to head for the second time in less than a week in Central Division action this Monday night . The last time they played it was a hard fought affair. Pacers managed to eek out a  103-96 win at Milwaukee  despite of nearly blowing a 17-point lead in the fourth quarter. Now in the return bout, I'm expecting to the Bucks to have a good chance of returning the unsavory favor of dumping the Pacers in front of their own fans and more importantly get us the cover. It must be noted that the Bucks and their  Greek Freak looked to be coming out of a mini slump when he provided his team with 35 points in a come from behind win vs Philadelphia last night . When this top tier baller is on his game, the Bucks are hard to defeat, and I'm betting he will be the catalyst for his team to cover in this spot. Yes, I know Indiana has played well of late, and off two consecutive road upsets. But in the past this has not be a good scenario for the Pacers as they are  just 2-12 ATS  L/14 off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog.

Bucks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Bucks are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games playing on 0 days rest.Pacers are 7-23-1 ATS in their last 31 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (INDIANA) - off a road win by 3 points or less, playing on back-to-back days are just 5-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 85% for bettors.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MILWAUKEE) - off a home win, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 30-13 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (INDIANA) - off a road win by 3 points or less, playing on back-to-back days are 4-28 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Milwaukee to cover

The Bucks enter this game against the Sixer's slumping ( 4 straight losses) but they are more than capable of turning things around, and  have won or tied the last five season series with Philadelphia  .Each team has won once on its home court already this season . QUOTE: "We can't worry about these last couple games," Middleton said. "I know they were big games for us; we lost them, we've been through it before. Now we've just got to bounce back, pull together and show the kind of team that we are." END QUOTE. With that said, I'm expecting a big time effort here from the Dr.Jekyll  and Mr. Hyde Bucks in this spot.

76ers are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 road games.Bucks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Atlantic.

MILWAUKEE is 19-6 ATS  L/25 in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last few seasons.MILWAUKEE is 84-48 ATS after 4 or more consecutive losses .aVERAGE COMPOSITE score: Bucks 99 Opp 99.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - after failing to cover the spread in 4 or more consecutive games, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 42-9 SU L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Milwaukee to cover

 These two rebuilding programs have gone through a lot of struggles this season, and both have looked a little winded here late in the campaign. A team that is particular tired are the young Suns, as was evident against Oklahoma City Thunder on Friday, falling 124-116 despite 39 points from emerging star Devin Booker. QUOTE: "I think we probably fatigued a little bit," Phoenix interim coach Jay Triano told reporters afterward. "I don't know if our guys are used to playing at that level for that long of a period of time, but that's what we'll get to." END QUOTE. Today here in Atlanta I'm expecting their tired legs to effect the Suns, and they won't be up to taking part in a run and gun affair, which is just fine for a Atlanta side that prefers a slower pace behind a 26th ranked offensive effecnicy rating. With that said, I'm betting we see the combined score of this affair to stay below the number.
 
Four of the L/5 meetings in this series have stayed under including the L/4 here in Georgia.

Under is 11-2 in Suns last 13 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 4-1 in Suns last 5 road games. Under is 20-9 in Suns last 29 games following a straight up loss. Under is 17-8 in Suns last 25 games playing on 1 days rest. Under is 7-1 in Hawks last 8 vs. Western Conference. Under is 21-7 in Hawks last 28 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

ATLANTA is 21-7 UNDER  L/28 when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season with a combined average of 207.6 ppg scored. ATLANTA is 9-0 UNDER  versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season with a combined average of 196.8 ppg scored .  PHOENIX is 16-7 UNDER  L/23 after a combined score of 225 points or more this season with a combined average of 213.2 ppg scored.

NBA All teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (ATLANTA/PHOENIX) - in a game involving two struggling teams (25% to 40%), second half of the season are 38-10 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 216.5 ppg going on the scoreboard.

Play on the UNDER

Colonial Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals - Charleston, SC

William Mary is one of the must under rated small team schools in the nation, and despite of losing both their games vs Towson this season, have the talent to get their revenge in this post season spot play. It must be note that the Tribe is the best shooting team in the country, as the only program to rank among the top 10 nationally at all three levels. W&M leads the country in 3-point percentage (43.5) and free throw shooting (80.9), while ranking fourth in field goal percentage (51.2). No team in NCAA history has shot 50 percent from the field, 40 percent from 3-point range and 80 percent from the free throw line in the same season, and only three have shot 50-40-75 since 1993.  According to advanced statistical website KenPom, the Tribe ranks second nationally in effective field goal percentage (59.5) and 32nd in adjusted offensive efficiency  (116.3). They get the nod here today.


TOWSON ST is 4-11 ATS L/15 versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season this season.TOWSON ST is 1-9 ATS L/10 after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games this season. TOWSON ST is 5-12 ATS against conference opponents this season.

WM & MARY is 13-1 ATS L/14 revenging a loss vs opponent dating back last season. WM & MARY is 10-0 ATS L/10 revenging a road loss vs opponent .


CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WM & MARY) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 29-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on William Mary to cover

The 10th ranked Cincinnati Bearcats go head to head with the 11th ranked  Wichita State Shockers  this Sunday in a battle that I'm betting favors the road side getting points. I know that Wichita took out Cincinnati 76-62  earlier this season, on the road , but I have a great deal of confidence in the Bearcats refocusing and  clawing back with some revenge here as visitors, vs a program that has lost 6 of their L/7 home finales vs a .666 or better opposition. Yes, the Shockers are a big nasty group of big young men, but the Bearcats are not easily intimidated behind the nations No.2 FG % and No.7 Rebound  margin. Note: Bearcats are a perfect 7-0 SU with revenge on the road vs .850 or better opposition when their hoops program owns a .800 or better record.

WICHITA ST is 5-12 ATS  after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games this season.

CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CINCINNATI) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off a blowout win by 20 points or more over a conference rival are 47-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (CINCINNATI) - off a road blowout win by 20 points or more against opponent off a road win are 28-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Cincinnati to cover

The Kings enter this game in a positive state of mind and momentum on their sides as they come off a home victory. Sacramento's 116-111 overtime winner over the Brooklyn Nets ended a four-game home losing streak and a five-game skid overall. The Kings will face a  Utah Jazz side off a revenge win last night vs Minnesota  on tired legs and susceptible to being in a letdown situation vs a team that they could easily be over looking. Note: Jazz are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.

Jazz are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (UTAH) - off a home win against a division rival, on Saturday games are 17-42 SU L/5 seasons for 71% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams (SACRAMENTO) - revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 35-13 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover

Nevada is off wrapping Mountain west Conference with a  blowout beat down of UNLV last time out, and will now be in a letdown spot and  focused on staying healthy for the post season. Tonight against a SD State Aztecs side that plays their best hoops at home ( 12-2 SU) I expect to see a mild upset on a short chalk line, especially considering the Aztecs have revenge on board for a ugly 94-56 smack down the last time these teams played. Note: HC Fisher is 8-2 ATS in his career when seeking same season revenge of a loss of 20 points or more.SAN DIEGO ST is also a perfect 6-0 ATS L/6 in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent .

SAN DIEGO ST is 6-0 ATS L/6 as a home favorite of 6 points or less or pick.
San Diego State is a perfect 15-0  SU in final home games when they own a .500 record or better.

CBB underdog (NEVADA) - after 2 or more consecutive overs, an explosive offensive team (76 or more  PPG) against a good offensive team (74-76 PPG) are 75-120 ATS L/5 seasons for a 62% go against conversion rate for bettors.

San Diego State to cover

The Spurs,  have lost four of their past five games and seven of their last 10 trips to the hardwood, and are now in need of getting their ship righted and quickly before the post season arrives. Tonight against a Lakers side that they have revenge against for a 93-81 upset loss earlier this season, I expect Popovich and company to come out here with all guns blazing in the friendly confines of the AT & T Center where they own a 22-7 SU record . It must be noted that Popovich is a perfect 12-0 SU in his career vs Pacific division sides with revenge for a same season loss and once again looks to notch a win and more importantly a cover.

Spurs are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS loss. Lakers are 1-10 SU L/11 after playing in Miami. ( That's a place where a lot  ballers go over board with extra curricular activities and hangovers for young groups like the Lakers are common.)

NBA  Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SAN ANTONIO) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games are 41-15 ATS L/21 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover

These two sides have bi polar records , with UL Lafayette with a 24-6 mark and 14-0 SU at home and Arkansas Little Rock with a 6-24 W/L overall record. I know the Trojans may not inspire bettors but despite of their lack of success SU have been very competitive of late, with their L/4 games being decided by 4,5,2 and 4 points. This team also has a lot of road games under their belts this season, and won't be easily intimidated here. Note: Little Rock's 16 road opponents have a combined record of 274-204 (.573) as 11 of the 16 currently own winning records.

Arkansas Little Rock plays a hardcore style of physical D, and go hard in the paint, which makes them difficult to play against  if your a free flowing side like Cajuns. The Trojans have outscored their opponents 863-726 in points in the paint through 30 games this season, averaging 28.8 points in the key per game and accounting for 45.4% of their offensive production, and I'm betting this will be the catalyst to them getting the cover today vs a superior foe that I'm sure is over looking them.

ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 18-7 ATS  L/25  in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games. ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 11-2 ATS  after allowing 55 points or less over the last few seasons.

CBB Underdogs of 20 or more points (ARK-LITTLE ROCK) - off 3 straight losses against conference rivals, playing their 2nd game in 3 days are 51-21 ATS L/21 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Arkansas Little Rock to cover

Florida State is off two straight road losses, but have played their best basketball at home this season, winning 12 of 14 games outscoring opposition sies by 14.4 ppg . The Noles desperately need to get back into the win column here this afternoon vs Boston College in their home finale. With this game also being a revenger for the Seminoles , I'm expecting we see them very motivated and  in top form here. ( BC beat FSU 81-75 earlier this season)

Florida States HC is 16-2 ATS in home finales when seeking revenge. FSU is also 6-1 ATS L/7 home finales and have covered 4 of the L/5 meetings here.

Hamilton is 8-1 ATS off 2 consecutive road losses of 10 or more as the coach of FLORIDA ST with the combined average margin of victory coming by more than 11.4 ppg.

Play on Florida State to cover

Kentucky and Florida enter this game both playing top tier hoops at the moment. I'm expecting like the linesmkaers for this to be a closely contested 2 possession game that will see both teams according to my own projections putting 72+ points on the board, which gives me justification in call for an over wager here in this spot. Note: Florida has averaged  76.4 ppg at home this season, and Kentucky has averaged 73.3 ppg away.    The  total combined score according to my projections and systems analysis  could easily eclipse this number by 5 points , making this a viable over wager.

FLORIDA is 11-2 OVER L/13  in home games versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season with a combined average of 148.7 ppg going on the board.KENTUCKY is 11-1 OVER after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games with a combined average score of 168.7 ppg going on the board. KENTUCKY is 6-0 OVER  in road games off 2 consecutive wins by 10 points or more against conference rivals with a combined average of 163.5 ppg  going on the board. KENTUCKY is 6-0 OVER  after scoring 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games this season with a combine average score of 168.2 ppg scored.

CBB Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (KENTUCKY) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after a combined score of 165 points or more are 75-33 OVER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

The young Suns broke an 0-for-February run with a 110-102 victory at Memphis on Wednesday and now have a little momentum on their sides as they face the Oklahoma City Thunder this Friday night in Arizona.  Phoenix took a  114-100 victory over Oklahoma City seven weeks ago , and strangely enough according to my system vs system power rankings matches up well against the Thunder. Considering how the Thunder consistently play down to lower tier opponents it will not be a difficult decision to take the points with home side in this spot.

Suns are 3-1 SU/ATS L/4 at home in this series.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-16 ATS  as a road favorite this season.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 0-11 ATS   revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite this season.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-22 ATS L/28 versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of  46% or worse this season.

NBA team vs the money line (PHOENIX) - average free throw shooting team (72-76%) against a poor free throw shooting team (69-72%), average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against a good ball handling team (14.5 TO's or less ) are 26-9 SU L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA  Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after a win by 6 points or less against opponent after scoring 100 points or more 4 straight games are 10-34 ATS L/21 seasons for a 77% go against conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover

Horizon Conference Tournament - First Round - Detroit, MI

These teams just took part in a back and forth game on Feb 24 that saw Cleveland State grab a 99-94 victory. However, now in the rematch I expect a more tempered approach by both sides, and a reversion to the norm from a  offensive output standpoint. Tourney play tends to be more tactical, and physically grueling which should aid this score to stay on the low side of the number.

CLEVELAND ST is 12-2 UNDER  off a win against a conference rival with a combined average of 128.8 ppg scored and is 6-0 UNDER  off an upset win as a road underdog with a combined average of 129.3 ppg going on the board.CLEVELAND ST is 8-1 UNDER  after scoring 80 points or more dating back to last season with the combined average score of 132.3 ppg scored.

CBB Neutral court teams against the total (CLEVELAND ST) - off an upset win as a road underdog, a struggling/losing team (20% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 27-4 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors with the total combined score of those tilts clicking in at 126.7 ppg.

CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (YOUNGSTOWN ST) - in a conference tournament game, a struggling/losing team, winning 20% to 40% of their games on the season are 36-12 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Southern Conference Tournament - First Round - Asheville, NC

In both meetings this season, the total combined score did not exceed this posted number. UT Chatanooga 78 Samford 71 - Samford 73 Chatanooga 56. My own projections expect both sides to not exceed the 75 point offensive plateau, which makes for a viable under wager according to these estimates.

UT-CHATTANOOGA is 14-3 UNDER  L/17  in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game with a combined average of 145.8 ppg scored.UT-CHATTANOOGA is 8-1 UNDER   after scoring 25 points or less in the first half last game over the last few seasons with a combined average score of 143.4 ppg scored.

CBB Neutral court teams against the total (SAMFORD) - after going over the total by more than 12 points in three consecutive games, on Friday nights are 27-6 UNDER L/21 seasons for 82% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 128.4 pgg scored.

CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (SAMFORD) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, a struggling team, winning 20% to 40% of their games on the season are 32-9 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 146.4 ppg scored.

CBB Neutral court teams against the total (UT-CHATTANOOGA) - cold team - failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, in a game involving two struggling  teams (20% to 40%) are 38-12 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 132.2 ppg scored.

Play UNDER

Eastern Michigan  is a hoops program I have been keeping a close on eye on as this season has progressed, as this team looks to have a lot of chemistry and talent, which has translated into them up trending in my power rankings behind five straight wins , and 7 victories in their L/8 trips to the hardwood . The Eagles clinched a first round bye in the Mid-American Conference Tournament with its 16-point road win at Western Michigan last time out and must be respected in their current form.The Eagles have put up 78.2 points per contest on 52.1 field goal percentage in their L/4 games and come in here ready to send a message to Toledo before the conference Tourney starts. In Eastern's L/8 games their already staunch defense has gotten even better as the Eagles are allowing just 61.5 points per game and holding opponents to a 38.6 shooting percentage from the floor during that stretch, while forcing110 turnovers, had 43 steals, and smacked down 23 shots , which makes them very dangerous pups in their current incarnation.

EMichigan in their most recent meeting last week vs the Toledo Rockets they came out on top in a 85-79 victory at home in the Convocation Center, and are more than capable of making the Rockets work hard for a payback win in this spot.  

E MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season. TOLEDO is 0-6 ATS L/6 after scoring 75 points or more 3 straight games and is 3-13 ATS after scoring 85 points or more 2 straight games .



E MICHIGAN is 12-3 ATS L/15 vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or better of their attempts after 15+ games over the last few seasons.


CBB Home teams as a favorite or pick (TOLEDO) - after scoring 80 points or more in a win over a conference rival against opponent off an upset win by 10 points or more as a road underdog are 3-22 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Eastern Michigan to cover

Missouri Valley Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals - ST Louis, MO

Drake has won both meetings this season home and away and matchup very well vs Bradley from a system vs system analysis projection that I use exclusively for tournament action.

Note: Bradley G Darrel Brown is expected to play today, but according to court side news from multiple sources is far from being 100%.

BRADLEY is 0-6 ATS L/6  in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 75 or more points which happened in a 78-68 road loss at Drake in their last meeting on Feb 3 of this season.

DRAKE is 21-11 ATS  L/33 when playing against a team with a winning record .

CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BRADLEY) - off a home loss by 3 points or less, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 26-55 ATS L/21 seasons for a 68% go against conversion rate for bettors.

CBB Neutral court teams as an underdog (DRAKE) - off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite, on Friday nights are 53-20 ATS L/21 seasons for a 72 % conversion rate for  bettors.

Play on Drake to cover

Missouri Valley Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals - ST Louis, MO

Loyola enters the 2018 Missouri Valley Conference Championship tourney on a seven-game winning streak and are currently in top form. The Ramblers go against a N.Iowa side  that they have  prevailed against  in five of the last six matchups between the programs.This year, Loyola swept the season series, marking the second time in the last three years it has taken both contests from UNI and once again look like a team that we want to back here.

N IOWA is 3-10 ATS   as an underdog this season losing SU by an average of 7.3 ppg.

N IOWA is 8-23 ATS L/30 versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game and 4-15 ATS  L/19 versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game .LOYOLA-IL is 10-1 ATS  l/11 versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game.

CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LOYOLA-IL) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against an excellent defensive team (63 PPG or less) are 50-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Loyola Chicago to cover

Metro Atlantic Conference Tournament - First Round - Albany, NY

Marist road games have seen a combined average of 151.7 ppg scored. Meanwhile, Fairfield has seen a combined average of 152.6 ppg scored. My own projections estimate that in this neutral court environment, that the combined score will be closer to  149, which gives us a two possession advantage to the under in what will be a tighter more grueling post season affair than their last regular season matchup that saw Fairfield beat Marist 83-79.  

FAIRFIELD in their L/25 games  as a favorite over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average score of 146.8 ppg scored.FAIRFIELD is 9-1 UNDER  after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last few seasons with a combined average of 136.7 ppg scored. HC of Fairfield Johnson is 18-5 UNDER  L/23 off 2 straight wins against conference rivals with a combined average score of 131 ppg going on the board.

CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (FAIRFIELD) - average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or better ) are 46-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB Play Under - Neutral court teams against the total (MARIST) - after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 55% or higher are 32-9 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average score of 132.8 ppg scored.

CBB Neutral court teams against the total (MARIST) - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 45% or better on the season, after a game - allowing a shooting pct. of 60% or higher are 53-19 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors with the combine average score of 136.9 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER

Memphis enters this game on a 4 game win streak, but took part in some grueling affairs vs quality opponents in those tilts,  ie ( SMU, Tulane , Houston UConn) and despite of having momentum on their sides, they could easily find themselves in an emotional letdown spot vs a lowly USF hoops program I'm sure their over looking. With that said, I'm recommending we close our eyes, plug our noses and pull the proverbial trigger with extreme prejudice vs a  Tigers side that  will be playing without star point guard Jeremiah Martin, who was ruled out for the season with a broken foot. Martin's 18.9 points per game are currently tops in the conference.

Tigers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The road team is 11-4 ATS L/15 meetings.  South Florida has covered their two most recent trips to Memphis.

MEMPHIS is 3-11 ATS L/14 after scoring 80 points or more dating back to last season.S FLORIDA is 12-3 ATS  L/15  in road games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread.

S FLORIDA is 48-30 ATS L/78 as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points.

CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (MEMPHIS) - an average team (+/- 3.5 PPG differential) against a struggling team (8 PPG or worse differential), after scoring 80 points or more 2 straight games are 9-32 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB oad team (S FLORIDA) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off 2 consecutive losses of 10 or more to conference rivals are 109-56 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate on the blind for bettors.

Play on USF to cover

This is Louisville's last home game of the season, on senior night, and will be primed and motivated for a win as they go against the No.1 ranked team in the country and the ACC the Virginia Cavaliers. Louisville has won 15 of its last 16 Senior Day games, including last year's 71-64 victory over No. 19 Notre Dame It must also be noted that Louisville has a 42-11 SU  record in its conference home games over the last six years (.792) and must not be underestimated as dogs vs a top tier side.

The Cardinal also looked good last time out on the road, beating a pretty good Virginia Tech hoops program by a 75-68 count, and  has been cruising in to high gear offensively of late , as they have converted on  43.5 percent of their threes over the last eight games (73-of-168) and leads the ACC in three-point percentage for conference games only (.387). UofL is also  14-2 when it makes eight or more three-pointers in a game. Add to that the D, is also playing consistently as is evident by holding eight of its 16 ACC opponents to 40 percent or below shooting from the field and you have a pup here that I feel good about backing.

UofL fell 74-64 at Virginia last month, but in that game the Cards despite of the DD loss were viable opponents vs the Cavs as Louisville   shot 50 percent from the field , the only team that has achieved that this season against Virginia.

With that said, My own projections estimate that Louisville will be able to put 61 + points on the scoreboard here tonight which is key, as VIRGINIA is  just 6-15 ATS   when they allow 61 to 66 points in a game over the last few seasons ( Virginia 63.9 Opposition 63.4)

Play on Louisville to cover

Georgia prepares to play its last  regular-season home game on Wednesday night when the Bulldogs host Texas A&M on "Senior Night" at Stegeman Coliseum.

 The Bulldogs  continue to build momentum and bolster their postseason résumé. Georgia has won three of its last four games, including victories over projected NCAA Tournament participants Florida and No. 18 Tennessee. Georgia also looked to be in top form via  a 93-82 win over LSU last Saturday. .  .Georgia was No. 70 in Monday's NCAA RPI but has secured more quality victories than most of the teams ahead of the Bulldogs.UGA has 8 combined "Q1" & "Q2" wins, more than 37 teams ahead of UGA in the RPI. Meanwhile, Texas A&M is off a revenge game vs Vanderbilt last time out winning 89-81 and could easily be in a letdown spot here vs an up trending side. Previous to the Aggies win they had lost 3 straight, and still don't look to be operating with the same proficiency they did earlier this season. Note: Texas A&M has only won  2 of 10 road games this season and are fade material here  according to my own projections.

TEXAS A&M is 1-7 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 this season.

TEXAS A&M is 0-7 ATS  L/7 versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game.TEXAS A&M is 2-11 ATS  L/13 after scoring 85 points or more.  GEORGIA is 14-4 ATS  L/18  in home games versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing  12 or less turnovers/game. GEORGIA is 10-2 ATS  L/12 after 4 straight games outrebounding opponent by 6 or more.

CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TEXAS A&M) - excellent team - shooting 45% or better  with a defense of 42% or less on the season against opponent after a game - attempting 20+ more free throws than opponent vs 37-71 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Georgia to cover

The mighty Golden State Warriors visit the Washington Wizards on Wednesday night at Capital One Arena in a game that I'm betting will be a lot closer than the linesmakers may anticipate. The    Wizards in their last trip to the hardwood took  107-104 victory in Milwaukee on Tuesday for their third win in four games since the All-Star break . Washington is 10-3 without injured point guard John Wall

.In these teams' first meeting, the Warriors trailed by 10 at home after three quarters, but rallied for a 120-117 win Oct. 27. No body in this league matches up well against the Warriors, but from a system vs system stand point I'm betting the Wizards have an edge despite of playing last night.

Washington has covered 10 of their L/13 overall. Golden State is just 14-16 ATS on the road this season.Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Wizards are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Wizards are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

WASHINGTON is 17-7 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots this season.WASHINGTON is 16-7 ATS  as an underdog this season.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - average defensive team (43.5-45.5%) against a poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%) after 42+ games, average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against a good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO's) are just 18-44 SU L/5 seasons for a 71% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Washington to cover

Ohio Valley Conference Tournament - First Round - Evansville, IN

When Tennessee Tech and SIU Edwardsville met earlier this season, they took part in a grueling physical game that Tennessee Tech Tech won 68-67, and I'm betting on a similar style game this time around and a combined score that is also similar , which makes this a viable under wager according to my own projections.

TENNESSEE TECH is 9-0 UNDER  L/9 versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season with a combined average of 133.8 ppg scored.TENNESSEE TECH is 10-1 UNDER  L/11  versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game of 134.3 ppg scored.TENNESSEE TECH is 6-0 UNDER  L/6 versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game this season with a combined average of 145.3 ppg scored. TENNESSEE TECH is 8-0 UNDER  when the total is 150 to 159.5 this season of 135.9 ppg going on the board.

CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (SIU EDWARDSVL) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, a bad team (20% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 24-6 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (TENNESSEE TECH) - average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or better) are 46-17 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Ole Miss had had a overall disappointing season, but must not be underestimated here vs their hosts Kentucky, as they  have notched six wins versus RPI top 100 teams, including three against the top 50 this season. Tonight against a good but still over rated Wildcats hoops program, they look like solid investment options getting points.

Keys to a Ole Miss cover here a DD dogs will come I'm betting via these key attributes: Ole Miss has taken care of the basketball this season. The Rebels have coughed up the rock only 331 times, ranking 39th nationally in fewest turnovers allowed. Averaging only 11.4 turnovers per tilt, Ole Miss ranks  42nd in the nation and owns a solid 1.3 assist/turnover ratio which ranks fourth in the SEC and 60th in the country.The Rebels also  lead the SEC in rebounding in conference games, pulling down 38.2 boards per game. - Ole Miss also paces the conference with 13.1 offensive rebounds per SEC contest.

Wildcats are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.(  the Wildcats clobbered Missouri last time out 87-66)

KENTUCKY is 9-18 ATS  L/27 versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less  turnovers/game after 15+ games dating back to last season.OLE MISS is 20-7 ATS  as an underdog of 10 or more points and 17-5 ATS  L/22 as a road underdog of 10 or more points.

CBB Underdogs of 10 or more points (OLE MISS) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off a home win by 10 points or more are 121-65 ATS L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Ole Miss to cover

It is no secret that LSU struggles with grind it out teams like South Carolina. Last time out the Bayou Bengals allowed 90+  points to Georgia  to a team that struggles to score 60 points most nights. Tonight against a South Carolina I'm betting the home side scores above its season average of 71.2 ppg,  vs a Tigers side that has allowed  an average 78.8 ppg on the road, and for LSU to hit in the 75point range (  LSU averages 77.7 ppg overall in off) . Those projections suggest a Total that will be eclipsed.

LSU HC Wade is 9-1 OVER  in road games versus poor shooting teams - making 42% or less of their shots in all games with a combined score of 145.9 ppg scored.LSU is 8-1 OVER  L/9 in road games after allowing 90 points or more with a combined average of 159.2 ppg scored. LSU is 14-5 OVER   as a road underdog or pick  with a combined average of 158 ppg scored. LSU is 8-0 OVER  L/8 when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) after 15 or more games dating back to last season with a combined average of 165.4 ppg scored.

S CAROLINA is 6-0 OVER  L/6  in home games versus good shooting teams - making 45%  or more of their shots this season with a combined average score of 149.7 ppg scored.

CBB Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (LSU) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after a combined score of 155 points or more are 131-71 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (S CAROLINA) - after allowing 25 points or less in the first half last game against opponent after playing a game where both teams score 80 points or more are 97-59 OVER L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

Sacramento despite of playing last night are viable underdogs in this spot vs Portland thanks to this line be over exaggerated by the lines-makers. The Kings lost 118-110  to Minnesota on Monday  but have been competitive overall and have  been in position in the fourth quarter to win their previous three contests, despite of suffering losses in those tilts. Previous to those games they beat Dallas.  Note: Kings are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games playing on NO rest. The Kings have also covered 10 of their L/16 overall, while Portland has covered just 14 of 29 at home this season for sub. 500 ATS record as hosts. Kings are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.

Kings are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

SACRAMENTO is 36-13 ATS  in road games when playing 5 or less games in 14 days

NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (SACRAMENTO) - a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against a lower tier  defensive team (102 PPG or more ), after allowing 105 points or more are 40-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (SACRAMENTO) - poor rebounding team - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game, in February games are 31-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Sacramento Kings to cover

North Carolina may not have their full attention focused on this tilt with the Canes here this evening, as their season finale vs Duke is up next, with the No.2 seed on the line. Meanwhile, Miami  after losing key Guard Bruce Brown took some time to get rolling again, but I've kept an eye on them, and they are looking like a viable up trending side that cannot be ignored as DD underdogs in this spot.Walker and Lykes have stepped up as Miami's leading scorers. Walker has averaged 13.3 points per game in the last eight contests, while Lykes has totaled 13.1 points per game over that period It must also be noted that Miami Fl has revenge on board for a ACC tourney loss to North Carolina from last season, and will be ramped up for payback vs a side that has covered just 3 of their L/19 vs an avenging foe with a 60% or better record before facing the Blue Devils.

 Since HC Jim Larrañaga took over at UM, the Canes are 5-5 SU against UNC, including a pair of upset wins in Chapel Hill. The teams split a pair of games last year, with Miami prevailing, 77-62, in Coral Gables, and UNC winning 78-53 in the quarterfinals of the ACC tournament. The Hurricanes have won five of the last eight meetings in this series.

MIAMI is 30-13 ATS L/43 as an underdog of 10 or more points.MIAMI is 26-13 ATS  as a road underdog of 10 or more points

Play on Miami Fl to cover

Charlotte enters this game playing some pretty good basketball at the moment, as their 4 game win streak would suggest. However, this Hornets teams is far from being  consistent and  slightly being over rated by the lines-makers tonight as home chalk.Meanwhile, the Bulls in a rebuilding season, are struggling mightily, but have been competitive enough to warrant being backed as DD dogs vs this type of team, based on my own system to system analysis .  The Bulls are 2-0 against the Hornets this season and have won each of the last four meetings. 

Bulls are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 vs. NBA Southeast.Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Bulls are 4-0 ATS L/4 meetings.

CHICAGO is 22-10 ATS  L/32 as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points. CHICAGO is 10-2 ATS   against Southeast division opponents this season.CHICAGO is 10-2 ATS  L/12 versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game this season.CHARLOTTE is 2-16 ATS  versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14  or less turnovers/game this season. CHARLOTTE is 4-17 ATS  L/21 after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread.CHARLOTTE is 1-9 ATS  L/10 in home games after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half dating back to last season.

NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (CHICAGO) - horrible foul drawing team - attempting 21 or less free throws/game, on Tuesday nights are 46-15 ATS L/21 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (CHARLOTTE) - strong offensive team (102 PPG or better ) against a struggling  defensive team (102 PPG or more ) after 42+ games, after a blowout win by 15 points or more are 24-57 ATS L/21 seasons for a 71% go against conversion rate for bettors.

The Hornets are 0-18 SU/ 1-17 ATS with rest when they are off two consecutive games in which they had six-plus double-digit scorers.

Play on Chicago Bulls to cover

BSU has won the past three meetings vs Central Michigan, including an 82-76 victory earlier this year in Muncie, all three combined scores easily eclipsed this Totals number, and I'm expecting another fairly high scoring tilt here today. Central Michigan is averaging just under 80 ppg at home this season, while BSU has averaged 76.6 ppg overall, and have picked up their offensive attack of late with  87,90,99, 77, 80 point outputs in their L/5 respectively.  Everything points to this total getting eclipsed.

Central Michigan is off 89-76 loss vs Toledo last time out, which sets us up well for an OVER wager to cash, as C MICHIGAN is 11-1 OVER L/12 off a road loss against a conference rival dating back to last season, with a combined average score of 176.1 ppg scored.C MICHIGAN is 6-0 OVER  as a home underdog or pick over the last few seasons with a combined average score of 180.5 ppg going on the  board.C MICHIGAN is 7-1 OVER  versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more  of their shots with a combined average score of 157.6 ppg scored. C MICHIGAN is 17-3 OVER  versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games dating back to last season with a combined average score of 176.6 ppg registered on the scoreboard. C MICHIGAN is 6-0 OVER  L/6 when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%)  with a combined average score of 163.3 ppg scored.

BALL ST is 22-9 OVER  L/31 versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season of 156.7 ppg scored. BALL ST is 6-0 OVER   vs. excellent free throw shooting teams - making 77% or better of their shots ( Note: The Chippewas lead the league in free throw shooting at 80 percent  )

CBB Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (BALL ST) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 75 points or more 4 straight games are 29-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a79% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (C MICHIGAN) - after going over the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 71-39 OVER L/21 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

Buffalo has had a good season, from a SU perspective but the lines-makers are continually over estimating them, as is evident by them having failed to cover 8 of their L/9 games overall. With Akron entering this game with revenge for a ugly 87-65 set back at home back on Jan 9 of this season, I expect they come out on  a mission and  are subsequently a lot more competitive this time around , and  make it 3 straight covers here as visitors.  Note: Buffalo scored 108 points against Ohio on Saturday afternoon, its most ever in a MAC game and despite of this being Seniors night and an opportunity to capture the No.1 seed in the conference tourney, the Bulls  should experience a natural let down and a  reversal to their mean average output .

Akron last time out 64-62 to Miami O, but Since the start of the 2004-05 season, the Zips have been one of best teams in the nation when it comes to rebounding after a loss. Excluding season-ending losses, Akron is 99-42 (.702) following a loss.The Zips have posted a 48-27 mark (.640) in the last 75 games against the MAC East dating back to the start of the 2012 league schedule.

BUFFALO is 1-7 ATS  L/8  versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game. BUFFALO is 2-14 ATS  L/16 after having won 15 or more of their last 20 games. BUFFALO is 1-7 ATS  after playing 5 consecutive games as favorite this season.

Play on Akron to cover

Houston has averaged 123 points during  a current 12 win streak.  However, the Jazz are a side that can present any team in the NBA some problems in their current form  after winning 12 of their last 13 games. The Jazz have also held 10 of its last 13 foes  below 100 points and deserve respect here in their own back yard. After playing last night, I expect the Rockets to be on tired legs and for the high altitude of Salt Lake City to be hard on them. Note: Houston is just 2-8 ATS L/10 with no rest, while the Jazz are 7-3 ATS as home dogs this campaign.

Utah has been winning SU but not covering spreads regularly.... However,  HC Snyder is 8-0 ATS  L/8 in home games after failing to cover the spread in 4 or more consecutive games.

NBA teams (HOUSTON) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, in February games are 51-93 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 65% for bettors on the blind.

NBA  Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (HOUSTON) - after 2 or more consecutive wins, playing on back-to-back days are 39-78 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 67% for bettors.

NBA Home underdogs (UTAH) - after a game where they failed to cover the spread, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 103-60 ATS L/5 seasons L/21 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Utah to cover

Tonight's Indiana Pacers at Dallas Mavericks game features two teams operating at the opposite end of the proverbial performance spectrum. Indiana has won 4 straight, while, the Mavericks are on a four-game losing streak . The Mavs have only notched 3 wins in their L/14 overall but Nine of the Mavericks' last 14 losses are by single digits, and they must not be underestimated as home dogs in this spot.

DALLAS is 13-5 ATS L/18 when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season. Mavericks are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Central.Pacers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Southwest.

 The Pacers are 0-13 ATS/SU L/13 when the line is within 3 of pick off a win as a favorite facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.50 and it is after the All-Star break.   losing SU by an average of 9.5 ppg.

Play on Dallas to cover

Orlando enters this tilt on a 5 game losing streak, but they have been competitive in their L/15 trips to the hardwood covering 10 times and only twice during that span have lost by more than 10 points. The Magic also beat their hosts  tonight the Thunder earlier this season by a 121-108 count and actually matchup well against them from a system to system standpoint. Meanwhile, Oklahoma City despite of their top tier talent, have been largely inconsistent this season. This unbalanced basketball is exemplified on  the ATS board where the Thunder have covered only 3 of their L/8 games. Tonight the up and down Oklahoma City hoops team now find themselves in  a precarious spot as they enter this game in an emotional letdown mode after getting slapped around by Golden State 112-80 last time out and are susceptible to a down effort.

Orlando is 4-1 ATS L/5 meetings in this series and have covered 5 straight here in Oklahoma City.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 0-10 ATS  revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite this season. OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-12 ATS  as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points this season. OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-20 ATS L/26 versus struggling  defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46%or more this season.

Magic are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games.Thunder are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 home games.

NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (ORLANDO) - lower tier rebounding team - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game, in February games are 30-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (ORLANDO) - after allowing 105 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after a huge blowout loss by 30 or more have won SU 23 of the L/33 opportunities.

NBA Home favorites (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a bad team (25 to 40%) are 20-48 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Orlando to cover

I have this way of going against the grain from time to time, and that's what I'm dong here this Sunday as I fade a 76ers team that owns the  Eastern Conference's longest current winning streak ( 8 games) . Meanwhile, the   Washington Wizards  are 8-3 in its last 11  despite of playing without key cog  John Wall to a knee injury are viable opponent for NBA opponents here at home in DC. The Wizards won three straight road games before getting smacked around by a  122-105 loss to the Charlotte Hornets on Friday, but will be now be ready for a bounce back performance on their own home floor. Note:WASHINGTON is 8-0 ATS  L/8  in home games off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite.  It must be noted that the Wizards  seem to play their best hoops against top tier teams and have recent wins vs  Oklahoma City, Toronto, and Cleveland and I'm betting the young Sixer's are next on their hit list.

Washington has won the last seven home meetings with Philadelphia and 20 of the last 26.

WASHINGTON is 15-7 ATS  L/22 versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots this season.

NBA Home teams (WASHINGTON) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite are 80-39 ATS L/21 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Washington Wizards to cover

Houston enters this game against Denver having won  11 straight games  and  have notched victories in 18 of their  last 20 games. But  will play without Eric Gordon (18.5ppg) which I'm betting effects their offensive flow here in the high altitude of the Rockies  this evening.  Meanwhile, Denver has won 10 of 13 and are  7-1 SU in February and could find the sledding tough behind their 17th ranked PACE vs a Houston team that can also play some solid D, as is evident by holding 4 of their L/9 opponents to under 99 points and ranked 9th in the league in defensive rating. Despite both teams current explosive forms , this line according to my own projections is slightly bloated to the upside and gives us a viable opportunity to cash taking an under stance.

Under is 11-2 in Rockets last 13 vs. Western Conference.Under is 10-4-1 in Rockets last 15 road games.

HOUSTON is 22-10 UNDER  L/32 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season with a combined average score of 217 ppg going on the board. HOUSTON is 16-5 UNDER  L/21  in road games after playing 2 consecutive home games with a combined average score of 216.2 ppg scored.

NBA  teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (DENVER /HOUSTON) - after 2 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 3 or more consecutive wins are 37-9 UNDER  L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 214 ppg going on the board.

Play UNDER

The Nebraska men's basketball team looks for its 22nd win of the season on Sunday afternoon, as the Huskers host Penn State on Senior Day.The Huskers enter the final weekend of the regular season winning nine of their last 11 games and seven of its last eight .The Huskers  are currently in a strong position to earn one of the four double-byes for the Big Ten Tournament next week at Madison Square Garden so you can imagine the energy that they will bring to the court tonight in a packed house supporting them. I know Penn State  will also be hyped up as they fight for its postseason life, as the Nittany Lions look to bounce back from a 73-64 loss to Michigan, but this type of environment is not a good opportunity for them to get things rolling in the right direction.  Add to that its payback time , as Penn State took  a 76-74 OT win over the Huskers on Jan. 12 which will give the Huskers added inspiration.

Penn State is 0-7 ATS L/7 as road dogs vs opposition with a .800 record or less opposition. Nebraska is 17-2 ATS L/19 overall. NEBRASKA is 10-1 ATS L/11 when playing against a team with a winning record  .NEBRASKA is 10-1 ATS  versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game this season.NEBRASKA is 12-0 ATS L/12 versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game .

Tonight I'm betting the catalyst to a Nebraska victory will come behind a defense  that  has buoyed them this season . The Huskers are third in field goal defense (.412) in conference play and have  held 12 of their last 15 opponents under 45 percent shooting. Nebraska also leads the Big Ten in 3-point defense in conference play, holding opponents to 30 percent shooting from the land of the trey.

Note: Nebraska is 15-1 SU at Pinnacle Bank Arena this season with the only loss coming in a one-point loss against a strong  Kansas program back on Dec. 16. Overall  it must be noted that this team forte also lies with the fact that they have a never say doe attitude as is evident by looking at Nebraska's six losses dating back to Dec. 9, NU lost twice in the last 30 seconds (vs. Kansas, at PSU) and  three others where NU was within a point in the last four minutes (at Creighton, at No. 13 OSU, at Illinois).

Nebraska is 6-1 in Lincoln all-time against the Nittany Lions and have won and covered 5 straight at home in this series.

Play on Nebraska to cover

CSU has had a down season thanks in part to having to reignite their lineup after losing two of last year's five starters, including Mountain West Player of the Year Gian Clavel and First Team All-MW forward Emmanuel Ombogo.  Meanwhile, Nevada looks like a big dance candidate, and are being made big chalk here in a contest that will see two sides playing at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum. With that said, and despite of the W/L discrepancies the Rams behind interim HC Jase Herl are still capable of covering this slightly bloated number as road dogs according to matchup system vs system analysis . Note: Colorado State  in their first meeting in this series went back and forth with  Nevada but came out on the short end of a 76-67 loss, Feb. 3 and get the nod to cover in this spot.

NEVADA is 2-10 ATS  L/12 as a home favorite of 15.5 to 18 points .

COLORADO ST is 20-9 ATS L/29 versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less  turnovers/game .

CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (COLORADO ST) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off a home win by 10 points or more are 111-58 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Colorado State to cover

San José State suffered a 36-point, 85-49, loss to San Diego State earlier this season on January 9 inside Viejas Arena and now have revenge on board. The Aztecs came out flying in that tilt, vs a team that upset hem last season. Despite of San Jose States dismal record they have played much better ball of late from a ATS perspective cashing 5 of their L/7 for their backers. Last year the Spartans upset the Aztecs 76-71 here at home, and I'm betting they will be competitive in this spot again.

SAN JOSE ST is 11-2 ATS   when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season and 6-0  ATS at home using the same total perimeters. SAN DIEGO ST is 3-13 ATS L/16 after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite.

Update:  SD State - F Malik Pope is OUT Saturday vs San Jose State ( Suspension )- averages 26 min a game - and 12.7 ppg .

CBB Underdogs of 10 or more points (SAN JOSE ST) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against an average 3PT defense (32-36.5%) after 15+ games, in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game) after 15+ games are 38-13 ATS L/21 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on San Jose State to cover

Florida has lost three straight in Southeastern Conference play, all in closely contested affairs, as well as six of the last eight, and on the brink of playing itself out of the NCAA Tournament picture . Those three losses came by a combined 11 points, and the three opponents converted at 80.3 percent. With that said , I'm betting they come into this tilt in desperation mode, which I'm betting we will see this Gators hoops group at their best vs a Auburn program they have beaten 11 straight times here at home dating back to 1997 and 23 of the L/26 times home and away. Meanwhile, Bruce Pearls hoops kids, are off a revenge win vs Alabama last time out, and could easily be in a letdown situation here against a hyped up group. Florida is 10-5 at home this season, while 3 of Auburns 4 losses this season have come on the road, and I'm betting on a 4th loss in this spot.

FLORIDA is 34-14 ATS L/48 after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games.

CBB  underdog (AUBURN) - after 2 or more consecutive overs, an explosive offensive team (76 or more  PPG) against a good offensive team (74-76 PPG) are 72-116 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Florida to cover

The Broncos  are value line dogs here, and have been playing some good hoops of late, despite of  having their three-game winning streak snapped on Thursday with a home loss to Loyola Marymount on Senior Night losing by 1 point 65-64..Over the last four games, Santa Clara is shooting 49.0 percent from the floor making them dangerous DD dogs in their current form  . Meanwhile, The No. 22/20 Gaels  are set as the No. 2 seed in next week's WCC Tournament and have very little left to play for other than staying healthy.

ST MARYS-CA is 0-6 ATS  L/6  in home games when playing against a lower tier  team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%).ST MARYS-CA is 0-7 ATS  L/7 in home games on Saturday games.ST MARYS-CA is 2-10 ATS  L/12 when playing with one or less days rest this season. St.Marys is 15-1 SU at home this season but have only covered four times.

CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (ST MARYS-CA) - after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers against opponent after 5 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers are 15-50 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Santa Clara to cover

LA Monroe enters this game having won and covered 5 straight and 7 of their L/8 and are not an easy out for any team in their current top tier form. Meanwhile, their hosts Troy State have lost 2 straight, and despite of being 9-4 at home this season are just .500 vs the spread. LA Monroe is very confident at the moment, and have a recent history of playing Troy very tough covering the L/4 meetings in this series including a win and cover in their L/visit here and get the nod again.

LA-MONROE is 8-2 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in a week this season. LA-MONROE is 6-0 ATS  L/6 versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season.TROY is 3-12 ATS  L/15  in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game .TROY is 3-12 ATS  L/15  in home games after a game where they covered the spread which happened last time out.

CBB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA-MONROE) - hot team - covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread, playing with one or less days rest 53-22 ATS L/21 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on LA Monroe to cover

Philadelphia plays their best defensive basketball at home this season , and in recent action have  not allowed 5 of their L/8 opponents to score more than 98 points when playing as hosts. Overall leading up to the all star break the Sixers allowed an average of just 94.8 ppg in 5 games all wins and are currently ranked 4th in the league in Defensive effecnicy .  They did take part in a high scoring affair in their first game after the break, but will now be prepared to clamp down defensively vs a inconsistent Orlando offense ( Ranked 19th in Off Effecnicy). I'm betting on a total combined score to remain on the low side of the total.

PHILADELPHIA is 11-1 UNDER  L/12  in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) with a combined average of 203.7 ppg scored. ORLANDO is 20-11 UNDER   revenging a road loss vs opponent this season with a combined average of 213 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (ORLANDO) - after 4 or more consecutive losses against opponent after 4 or more consecutive wins are 41-11 and 6-0 this season UNDER L/21 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER

This version of Kansas may not be on the same level of Villanova or Virginia , but believe me when I say this is still a top tier team with plenty of pedigree which is backed by the experience of one of the best coaches in basketball Bill Self. Today in revenge mode for their worst loss in the Bill Self's tenure at this school in home games ( 85-73), I expect payback to be at the forefront of this battle vs Texas Tech. Note:  Kansas has never been swept in a same season series by any Big 12 conference opponent, while the Red Raiders are just 2-14 ATS as chalk vs a side with revenge from a 10 point  or more loss .

KANSAS is 20-9 ATS  L/29 in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game . KANSAS is 11-3 ATS  L/14   in road games versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or better  with a defense of 42% or better.

CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (KANSAS) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off a blowout win by 20 points or more over a conference rival are 44-18 ATS L/21 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Kansas to cover

The Cardinals visit Blacksburg, Va. to face the Virginia Tech Hokies . My power rankings suggest these teams are evenly matched and is indicating value with taking James Madison in this spot. In  their first meeting this season Delaware won 61-60 and in their final matchup last year another 1 point deficit saw Delaware win 58-57.  I will not be surprised at all if this is also a one possession tilt, favoring the road dog to cover. JAMES MADISON is 8-1 ATS  as a road underdog or pick this season.

CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (JAMES MADISON) - good free throw shooting team (69-73%) against an average free throw shooting team (65-69%), in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) after 15+ games are 70-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on James Madison to cover

Villanova enters this road game vs Creighton  after having defeated and annihilating DePaul 93-62 on Wednesday evening  in full big dance dress rehearsal mode. With that said,  I expect the Wildcats will be ready to  crush another hoops program. I know Virginia is ranked No.1 in the national polls, but according to my own power rankings systems Villanova is numero uno, and viable single digit road favs against almost  any team in the country including Creightoin.

VILLANOVA is 8-1 ATS   versus good passing teams, averaging 16 or more assists/game this season.CREIGHTON is 4-12 ATS  L/16 versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more  of their shots. VILLANOVA is 15-4 ATS  /19 after a game - attempting 20+ more free throws than opponent.CREIGHTON is 1-7 ATS   as an underdog this season with the average margin SU loss coming by 13 ppg.

The Wildcats are 8-1 ATS L/9 as road chalk with 3 or more days rest vs sides like the Blue Jays off back to back su/ats  wins  vs opposition with revenge.  Villanova is 6-0 ATS L/6 in this series.

CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (VILLANOVA) - in a game involving two 3 point shooting teams (20/game or more ), after a game - attempting 20+ more free throws than opponent are 55-23 ATS L/21 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Villanova to cover

My own projections for this game suggest both teams will score at least 75 points each here today. BAYLOR is 9-0 OVER   in games where both teams score 75 or more points over the last few seasons with a combined average of 174.5 ppg scored. .TCU is 11-1 OVER  in games where both teams score 75 or more points this season with a combined average of 169.5 ppg going on the board.

Both these teams play contrasting styles of basketball. TCU is a run and gun group, while Baylor likes to slow things down.  But from a matchup perspective, Baylor is going to have to pick up their pace  on offense if they want to keep up here in an environment where the home team should be able to make the speed of this tilt more to their liking. With that said, I'm expecting a total combined score that eclipses this number.

TCU is 16-5 OVER L/21 versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season with a combined average of 163.3 ppg scored.TCU is 7-1 OVER L/8 when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season.TCU is 6-0 OVER   in home games against conference opponents this season with a combined average of 163.9 ppg. Dixon is 12-1 OVER  after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers as the coach of TCU with a combined average of 159.9 ppg scored.

Play on the OVER

The San Antonio Spurs went into the all star break losing  five of their last six games and now the pundits are jumping off the band wagon. I'm saying not so quick. This franchise has just to much pedigree and experience to be dismissed so easily and must be respected here tonight as well rested  road underdogs. I know the experts are currently in love with the Denver Nuggets, after   having  won nine of their last 12, but this is still a team that has proven itself inconsistent and needs a little more positive momentum to be looked upon with such fondness from the media. I understand we live in the world of instant gratification and what have you done for me lately attitude, but I'm still a believer in Popovich and company and that get my backing here tonight . The Nuggets did beat the Spurs in their last meeting on Feb 13 by a 117-109 count, but the Spurs are 8-3 SU/ATS with same season revenge in this series, and his Spurs are 11-3 SU when playing on 6 or more days rest.

 Spurs are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS loss.Nuggets are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.Spurs are 19-7 ATS in the last 26 meetings in Denver.

NBA Favorites (DENVER) - an excellent offensive team (102 PPG or more ) against a struggling  defensive team (98-102 PPG), after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games are 59-104 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 64% for bettors on the blind.

Play on San Antonio to cover

Ohio State has had a tremendous campiagn, and are the surprise team of the Big 10, but Archie Miller's  Indiana has expentionally shown imporvement as this season has progressed and must not be underestimated here as home dogs. Note: HC Miller is 5-0 ATS as a home dog in conference action.In the last 5 games, IU is shooting 51.9% from the field and 43.2% from beyond the arc, while holding opponents to 38.4% shooting from the field and 29.9% from the land of the trey.

The Hooisers did lose to the Buckeyes in their meeting on Jan 30, but now with revenge on board, and boasting a 7-1 ATS record as home pups vs .666 or better oppostion I'm betting the hosts hand out some shock and awe on Senior's night.
.IU has won the last 3 meetings in Assembly Hall dating back to the 2013-14 season.

INDIANA is 6-0 ATS  L/6  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record.INDIANA is 6-0 ATS off a road loss this season.( The Hooisers had a 4 game win streak halted at Nebraska last time out)  OHIO ST is 2-10 ATS L/12 after a cover as a double digit favorite.( The Buckeyes clobbered Rutgers last time out 79-52)

Play on Indiana o to cover

St.Mary;s thanks to their great record and superiority over most teams in this conference are been made huge favs on a consistent basis, but a lot of times the line is slightly bloated and offer value for advantage players. I know Pepperdine has had a down season, and are banged up , but they are more than capable of covering here tonight, behind Colbey Ross who has set the Waves freshman record for assists in a season. The  top tier  freshman in the WCC in both scoring (14.5, seventh overall) and assists (5.6, second overall, 35th nationally)is coming off a 21-point effort at Gonzaga.   

ST MARYS-CA is 2-9 ATS  L/11  in home games when playing against a team with a losing record.ST MARYS-CA is 0-6 ATS L/6 as a home favorite of 18.5 to 24 points over the last 2 seasons.  ST MARYS-CA is 0-6 ATS  l/6  in home games off a road win by 10 points or more and is 1-8 ATS l/9  in home games after playing a road game ( The Gaels beat Portland last time out 73-61)

Home favorites of 10 or more points (ST MARYS-CA) - after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers against opponent after 5 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers are 15-48 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against  76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Pepperdine to cover

UCLA enters this tilt vs their hosts Utah having won two straight and six of its last seven games dating back to Jan. 25. While recording  a 14-2 home record, the Bruins are just 2-5 SU overall in road games this season (2-4 in Pac-12 road games) and despite of their current level of play are fade material vs this type of quality opponent on the road. Add to that Utah currently on a 4 game win streak got clobbered and embarrassed by the Bruins 83-64 six weeks ago and you have a very motivated side to back in this spot.

UCLA is 6-15 ATS L/21 in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games . Alford is 1-9 ATS  in road games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season as the coach of UCLA.

UTAH is 7-1 ATS as a home favorite or pick this season.

CBB A road team (UCLA) - after scoring 75 points or more 4 straight games, with just one or fewer starters returning from last season are 26-41 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Utah to cover

After almost a weeks rest both these very capable offensive sides will be fresh and ready to run and gun here as they prepare to start the stretch drive towards the play offs in a game that my projections suggest will eclipse this number.

Cleveland Ranks 5th in offensive output in the NBA and 27th in points allowed and  29th in defensive effecnicy . Leading up to the all star game the Cavs registered 140,123, 121, 120 in offensive production  4 straight games.  Washington ranks 9th in offensive effecnicy and 15th in points allowed. Washington has scored 101 or more ppg in 10 straight games and have allowed 11 of their L/13 opponents to put 100 or more points on the board.

WASHINGTON is 8-0 OVER L/8 off 2 or more consecutive road wins with a combined average score of 230.5 ppg scored.  Washington  is 20-6 OVER versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season, with a combined average score of 228.1 ppg scored.WASHINGTON is 15-4 OVER L/9 versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of  46% or more - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season with a combined average score of 223.6 ppg clicking in on the score board. CLEVELAND is 17-6 OVER L/23  in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last few seasons with a combined average of 223.3 ppg going on the board.CLEVELAND is 10-2 OVER  after scoring 120 points or more this season with a combined average score of 223.7 ppp ringing in on the board.

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (CLEVELAND/WASHINGTON) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (36.5% or better) after 42+ games, in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) are 28-4 OVER L/5 seasons and a 6-0 so far this season for dual 88% and 100% conversion rates for bettors.

Play OVER

Charlotte has had a down season, and are currently on a 12 game losing skid, but they have been competitive lately, and during this ugly run have only once lost by more than 19 points. Earlier this season, WKU defeated Charlotte, 73-63, in Halton Arena, (January 13), and my projections estimate a 14 point win here for Western Kentucky in the rematch, which gives us very good value with the underdog in this spot.

CHARLOTTE is 6-0 ATS L/6 vs. teams who are called for 3+ less fouls/game than their opponents after 15+ games over the last few seasons.

CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (CHARLOTTE) - off a home loss against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road wins are 88-43 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Charlotte to cover

 These two struggling  College Hoops programs are sides that actually matchup fairly evenly despite of the home sides superior record. Make no mistake Rice is a team with very few positives attached to them, but from a systems stand point and according to my cross reference rankings are capable pups vs this type of opponent.  My own projections have made Florida Atlantic  4 point chalk here, thus giving us underdog value on the line . FAU won the previous meeting this year on Jan. 27, 63-62, at Tudor Fieldhouse in  a hard fought affair, and a rinse and repeat situation is not out of the question tonight. Rice has won its last two visits to Boca Raton.

FLA ATLANTIC is 2-12 ATS  L/14 versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season. FLA ATLANTIC is 1-8 ATS  versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games dating back to last season. RICE is 6-0 ATS L/6  in road games in February games dating back to last season.

CBB Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (FLA ATLANTIC) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 28-64 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 70% for bettors.

CBB An underdog (RICE) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, a struggling team( 20% or less ) playing a team with a losing record are 45-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Rice to cover

Wisconsin has had a down season behind a very inexperienced young group, but according to my matchup analysis are solid competition for what my power rankings suggest is an over rated Northwestern program.Wisconsin has won 15 of the last 20 SU against the Wildcats overall, but NU won an earlier match-up this season, 60-52, at the Kohl Center and now with revenge on board for the Badgers. I,m betting we will get a motivated effort from them here vs a Chris Collins team that is just 5-10 ATS L/15 at home vs avenging Big 10 opposition . Note: The Badgers have won 5 of their last 6 trips to Evanston. . Note: Over the last two games, Wisconsin held Purdue (-29.5) and Minnesota (-13.5) to an average of 21.5 points below their season scoring averages. Winners of three of the last four, Wisconsin  is my choice here tonight.

CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (WISCONSIN) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a home win by 10 points or more are 161-106 ATS L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Wisconsin to cover

San José State travels to Reno this Wednesday to face the Mountain West leading No.24-Nevada Wolf Pack. The last time these teams played the Wolfpack took out the Spartans by a 71-54 count. However, San José State played one of its best halves of the season allowing  the Wolf Pack to 26.7 percent shooting and took a 26-24 lead into halftime, before succumbing in the 2nd half vs an extremely experienced and talented side. However, now with a blueprint in hand on how to compete with the Pack I'm betting San Jose State will be very prepared for the rematch. It must also be noted that despite of the DD loss, in that above mentioned game that  it was just  two-possession game with under five minutes to play in the second half. With that said, lets take the points.

NEVADA is 7-19 ATS  /26 versus struggling  teams - outscored by their opponents by 8+ points/game .SAN JOSE ST is 8-2 ATS  after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds this season.

CBB Road underdogs of 20 or more points (SAN JOSE ST) - revenging a loss where team scored less than 60 points, off 2 consecutive losses of 10 or more to conference rivals are 45-16 ATS L/21 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the San Jose State Spartans to cover

Bruce Pearl has assembled a pretty darn good group here at Auburn, and despite of some round about accusations about how he has done it , the fact still remains that this a up trending  hoops program that must be respected . Here tonight in a big time rivalry , I expect the Auburn to be ready to bring down the hammer, vs a side that upset them earlier this season, by a 76-71 count, and that is in a let down scenario after a hard fought 81-71 loss to Kentucky this past weekend. Note: Auburn is a perfect 7-0 ATS vs teams off a loss this season.

I know the Tigers also lost last time out, 84-75 to South Carolina in a surprising upset, but in the Tigers only  other three losses this season, they came back and rebounded in their next game in  explosive fashion  cashing all three times,   with a double-digit victories.

Tigers are shooting 48 percent and averaging 89.1 points per game at home  this season. They have won 12 of their 14 home games by double digits. Rinse and repeat here tonight.

Auburn is 13-4 ATS l/17 at home in this series and have won and covered the two most recent games here at home. Pearl is 21-10 ATS   as a home favorite or pick as the coach of AUBURN.

AUBURN is 16-5 ATS   when playing against a team with a winning record this season and have covered 8 of their L/10 vs above .500 squads.AUBURN is 12-1 ATS   after a combined score of 155 points or more this season.AUBURN is 6-0 ATS  L/6 after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season.

Play on Auburn to cover

According to my own projections this line is slightly bloated thus giving us value with the underdog Fordham. Recently Fordham has shown some life, and despite of a overall dismal record are 3-3 in their L/6 games, upsetting Umass, Duquesne and George Mason. Look for  a rejuvenated Fordham team that got clobbered by Davidson back on Jan 14 at home to come out here looking to get some respect and be much more competitive .

Note: Fordham  leads the league, and is sixth in the nation, in steals with 243 (9.3/game) and can be a pesky side to play against , especially for free flowing sides like Davidson.

CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (FORDHAM) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off 2 consecutive losses of 10 or more to conference rivals are 102-52 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (FORDHAM) - a terrible offensive team (63 or less  PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after allowing 80 points or more are 90-43 ATS L/21 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Fordham to cover

Virginia the No.1 ranked team in the nation, has some pretty big spreads attached to their favorite status , which in turn offers up the occasional line value on their underdog opponents. Tonight that's exactly the situation.The Cavaliers have clinched a double-bye in the ACC Tournament and will be out just looking to stay healthy as we get loser to tournament time, thus giving us value with a program that has cashed 14 of their L/20 as road underdogs in this series.

Note: Fourteen of Georgia Tech's contests this season have been decided by 10 points or less, including six ACC games, and they were not decided until the final few minutes. Tech has played nine games decided by five points or fewer or in overtime, most for any ACC team other than Florida State (10).

GEORGIA TECH is 21-10 ATS  L/31 versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game over the last few seasons.

CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (VIRGINIA) - after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers against opponent after 5 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers are 15-48 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 76% for bettors,

CBB Road underdogs of 20 or more points (GEORGIA TECH) - revenging a loss where team scored less than 60 points, off 2 consecutive losses of 10 or more to conference rivals are 45-16 ATS L/21 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Georgia Tech to cover

Duquesne  goes to Olean, N.Y.  to battle  St. Bonaventure this Wednesday night.  St.Bonnie might be susceptible to a letdown situation here after a big time 77-74 win over #16 (AP) Rhode Island this past Friday. SBU barely got by Duquesne in their first meeting 84-81 win and I'm betting covering won't come easily this time around either.

ST BONAVENTURE is 20-35 ATS  L/55 as a home favorite of 10 or more points. ST BONAVENTURE is 0-6 ATS  L/6 after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread.

Duquesne has cover 12 of their L/18 visits here and 2-0 ATS in their to most recent trips to Olean. Six of the past nine overall meetings in this series have been decided by four or fewer points.

CBB Road underdogs of 10 or more points (DUQUESNE) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less against opponent off 2 straight wins against conference rivals are 38-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Duquesne to cover

Despite of N.Illinois experiencing a down season, they are being underestimated here according to my own player to player matchup systems analysis and we have value taking the dog on this line. NIU  I'm betting will ride the  momentum from its 75-67 upset victory over Western Michigan this past Saturday and keep the flow going here today against a team they have circled for payback for two losses they suffered to Ball State last season. It must be noted NIU is 5-0 ATS  as DD dogs here as visitors and 6-1 ATS with revenge. Meanwhile, Ball State is in a emotional letdown situation after a huge battle that they won vs Toledo on the weekend, and could easily be flat here tonight against a team that I'm sure they are over looking.

BALL ST is 12-29 ATS as a favorite over the last few seasons. BALL ST is 2-11 ATS  after 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better.

CBB  road team (N ILLINOIS) - off an upset win as a home underdog against opponent off a home win scoring 85 or more points are 34-13 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Northern Illinois to cover