My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and propietary software projections . All factors are researched - revlevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. 

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and propietary software projections . All factors are researched - revlevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. 

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

Alot is made of how explosive offensively the Golden State Warriors are but, few recognize their defensive abilities, and 1st overall defensive rating in the NBA which is a system for players and teams and points allowed per 100 possessions. In tonight's matchup vs Portland, the lines-makers have put a high total on this matchup because of this , and of course the Portland Blazers run and gun style of basketball. However, Portland is expected to be without offensive catalyst, (injured ankle) Damian Lillard, which Im betting their offensive flow will be slowed, which effect their ability to run and gun, which will effect , their ability to keep up here today and put alot of points on the board, which in turn will effect the total combined average out put.  It must also be noted that the Blazers have only scored more than 95 points in 1 of their L/6 games and will need to be proactive on defense, and also try to slow this game down as much as possible.

 NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 like the Blazers - revenging 2 straight losses where opp scored 100 or more points, off an upset win as an underdog are 56-19 on the under for a 75% conversion rate . 

Play UNDER

Memphis  played a ugly game Tuesday in a loss to the Los Angeles Lakers and now I expect this tenacious team will rebound tonight vs the banged up LA Clippers. (MEMPHIS is 19-8 ATS L/27 when playing on back-to-back days)The Grizzlies had won four of their last six before their debacle against the Lakers, but got caught over looking their young opponents. Meanwhile, the Clippers, picked up a rare recent win last time out vs lowly Phoenix, but Im betting things won't be as easy tonight/

LA CLIPPERS are 9-22 ATS L/31 after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread.MEMPHIS is 23-11 ATS L/34 off a road loss.

Home favorites like the Clippers - after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, extremely tired team - playing 9 or more games in 14 days are a bankroll depletings 38-75 ATS for their betting backers. 

Memphis Grizzlies to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and propietary software projections . All factors are researched - revlevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Virginia to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Cavs have a tendency to play down to opponents, and are currently banged up with Kevin Love, LeBron James, and Kyrie Irving  all suffering with different health issues. If any of these players can go they will be less than 100%. Chicago has the edge when evaluating these circumstances, which gives us value on the line. 

CLEVELAND is 18-32 ATS L/50 when playing against a team with a losing record and is 7-18 ATS L/25 when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%.)

The Chicago Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and propietary software projections . All factors are researched - revlevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Indiana State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Charlotte hosts the Oklahoma City Thunder this Wednesday night in a battle that I am betting favors the host team to come out of this with a win and cover. The Thunder have not faired well on the road of late losing 4 of their L/ 7  and were knocked down by Giannis Antetokounmpo and Milwaukee Bucks  in their last away venture losing  98-94 in the first of three straight road games. I expecting the Hornets to use, the same blueprint that the Bucks used to slow super star Westbrook, in that game , here in this tilt.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 16-31 ATS L/47  when the line is +3 to -3  and s 3-15 ATS L/18 as a road underdog of 3 points or less.OKLAHOMA CITY is 1-9 ATS L/10 in road games in January games dating back to last season.

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Hornets - up-tempo team averaging 83 or more shots/game on the season, after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots are 104-65 ATS dating back 21 seasons for a 61% long-term conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Charlotte Hornets to cover 

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and propietary software projections . All factors are researched - revlevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Georgetown to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and propietary software projections . All factors are researched - revlevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Richmond to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and propietary software projections . All factors are researched - revlevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Auburn to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Memphis has been playing well of late, but they are still a little banged up with Gasol hurting his foot last time and and Conely nursing a sore elbow. Many may not have alot of confidence, in the Lakers, but I saw some good basketball from them, in their last trip to the court , as they made the Toronto Raptors work extremely hard to beat them .Look for emerging star G Guard Nick Young to the catalyst behind a Lakers cover. Memphis took a 103-100 win at home over Los Angeles and I am expecting another closely contested battle tonight , with the points proving to be golden.  This from a league wide NBA trend data base : Underdogs Lakers - lower tier  defensive team - shooting pct defense of 48% or better on the season against opponent hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50% or better of their shots.

Play on the LA  Lakers to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Mountaineers (12-1) opened conference play last week by crushing Oklahoma State 92-75 on the Cowboys' home floor.  Now on the road vs aTexas Tech side, that  gave up 15 turnovers in the loss to Iowa State, has to deal with a stifling Mountaineers defense that goes by the nickname of  "Press Virginia." Not a good omen for the Red Raiders tonight. Huggins exhuasting style of defensive play, is not a good matchup for Texas Tech and that will be reflected I am betting in the final score/. W VIRGINIA is 7-0 ATS L/7 after 5 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers , with the average margin of victory coming by 19 ppg. 

The Suns are on tired legs after losing to a banged up team in LA last night ( Clippers). T.J. Warren and Eric Bledsoe played 40 plus minutes, and these two key players will Im betting impact their performance tonight vs the visiting Miami Heat. Meanwhile, the Heat are getting healthier as they begin a lengthy road trip with , Goran Dragic   and Dion Waiters  both expected to play Tuesday night. Miami has beaten the Suns 12 straight times, and eight in a row in Phoenix and Im betting that their is high ;possibility it happens, again. However, with that said, taking the points is even a better investment option.
PHOENIX is 12-23 ATS L/35 when playing 8 or more games in 14 days  dating back to last season.

Play on Miami to cover 

The Denver Nuggets and the Sacramento Kings are two very inconsistent teams. However, with that said, from a matchup perspective, the Nuggets here at home in the Mile High City have the edge according to my own cross reference power rankings data base and SRS numbers (which is a rating system) that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. 

NBA teams- al lower tier defensive team  like the Kings- allowing 103+ points/game on the season against opponent after allowing 110 points or more 2 straight games are 39-80 ATS for a 67% go against betting conversion rate!

Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The San Antonio Spurs and the Toronto Raptors go head to head tonight  in battle between top tier teams. Both team leads their divisions. Both these sides can score in bunches, but both are also defensively gifted. The Raptors own the 12th best D in the league , and  are 19th in pace. Meanwhile, the Spurs rank 3rd in the league in points allowed and 27th in pace. When strong sides like this collide, and is not uncommon to see slower physical grinding affairs. in these types of tilts will more often than not result in a much lower scoring contest then lines-makers estimate based on their data.
NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 Spurs/Raptors - in a game involving 2 top tier teams - outscoring opponents by 7+ PPG have seen the under go 62-20 L/82 for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Toronto in their L/40 road games where the total is greater than or equal to 200 have seen an average of 206.2 ppg scored which gives us value on this total. San Antonio in their L/21 with a total of 200 or more have seen an average of 207.1 ppg scored and in their L/56 as favs of 3.5 to 9.5 points with a combined average of 197.9 ppg goin on the board. The last time these teams met last April a total of 197points went on the board and in their December meetings last season 191 total points were scored. I'm expecting a total combined score in the low 200s this time around.

Play UNDER  

Dallas  has won four of its last eight games, and are playing competitive brand of  basketball and must not be under estimated  with Dirk Nowitizki returning to the lineup, making the this Mavs team a viable betting option , especially on their own home court. Meanwhile, the The Wizards had a three-game winning streak abrutply stopped Monday night, 101-91 at Houston, and remain one game below .500 and have exhibited some conditioning problems this season losing 5 of their L/6 back to back games. Dallas is also 11-1 L/12 SU in this series and get the nod here in this spot.

DALLAS is 11-1 ATS L/12 after allowing 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games, and 27-10 ATS L/37 after trailing their L/3 games by more than 5 points at the half.

Play on the Mavs to cover 1 unit reg selection

Phoenix is a team with alot of  defensive  defecincies, and despite of allowing their L/2 opponents under 100 points are still a disaster in transition and have allowed an average of 114.7 ppg on the road this season . The Suns had allowed 100 or more points in 15 straight games, dropping to a No. 29 defensive ranking before their two most recent outings. Meanwhile, the Clippers, are without some key players, but still capable of lighting it up offensively, and despite of their current 6 game losing streak must not be underestimated  in their ability to put points on the board. On the flipside the Clippers usually staunch D, has been porous of late, allowing 102 or more points in 11 of their L/13 overall, and will once again be tested tonight.  The Clippers beat the Suns 116-98 back on Oct 31 which sets up this current trend that shows that the Suns are 15-0 OVER L/15 revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more this season / Phoenix  is also 9-0 OVER L/9 after playing 4 consecutive games as an underdog this season, which has just happened.

Play on the OVER 1 unit reg selection 

 The young inconsistent Bucks are in over their hands full tonight against  Westbrook and Oklahoma City, which has won five of its last six games and is coming off a 114-80 victory Saturday over the Los Angeles Clippers.Oklahoma City's offense has been aided by the return of Victor Oladipo, who was sidelined for the last nine games with a right wrist injury. In previous matchups Oklahoma City has looked superior to the Bucks, as is evident by  sweeping its two meetings with the Bucks last season and have won three in a row against Milwaukee overall.

It must be noted that NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Thunder - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, with a above .500  record on the season are a bankroll expanding 66% ATS for their backers over a 116 game sample size dating back to the 2011/12 campaign. 

MILWAUKEE is 4-13 ATS L/17 in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games dating back to last season.

Play on the Oklahoma City Thunder to cover 1 unit reg selection 

FAIRFIELD is 11-0 UNDER L/11 in home games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less  with a combined average of 125.2 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

N TEXAS is 6-0 OVER L/6 in road games versus poor shooting teams - making 42% or less of their shots like Old Dominion  with a combined average of 146.2 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

Both Atlanta and San Antonio enter the game on a winning runs. Atlanta has captured two straight victories  after its 105-98 victory over Detroit on Friday. San Antonio has won four straight after smacking down  Portland 110-94 on Friday. This matchup features, Hawks HC Budenholzer a disciple of Popovichs system in San Antonio, where he was an assistant  for 19 seasons. What makes this relevenat to todays matchup, is that he  runs the same system, as the Spurs, but without the same standout talent and chemistry. So in a head to head matchup, guess who has the edge? While anything can happen, when two NBA opponents clash, my own propieatary programs/ player matchup discrepency charts suggest the Spurs win 9 out of 10 times by 5 points or more as visitors or at home. It must be noted Atlanta is 0-6 against the Spurs in Budenholzer's four seasons behind the Hawks bench and the franchsie  has lost 11 straight meetings in this series, and Im betting nothing changes today. From a long term NBA trends chart: Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Spurs - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after scoring 105 points or more 3 straight games are a bankroll expanding 129-66 for a 66% conversion rate for their betting backers (dates back 21 seasons)

SAN ANTONIO is 7-0 ATS L/7 after a blowout win by 15 points or more this season, winning by an average 13 ppg, which happened last time out vs Portland 110-94. 

The Clippers come into Saturday's contest having lost five straight games, including Friday's 140-116 setback to the Houston Rockets. The team has struggled because of exhaustion, and an adjustment to some injuries. However, this Clippers team must not be underestimated and still pose a threat to opponents, expecially when they get into desperation mode. I know Oklahoma City is playing fairly well, and have super star Westbrook on their side, but he has a tendency to lose his temper, as is evident by 10 technical fouls so far this season.  Disciplined teams like LAC, know how to aggrevate a guy like this, and make life difficult for him , taking flow away from a team that depends far to much on their one man band. With that said, Im betting on the Clippers getting us the cover in this spot. It must be noted that the L/3 meetings in this series have been decided by 2 points. 

Play on the LA Clippers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Pepperdine enters this road game in a let down situation after getting clobbered by Gonzaga last time out. The Wave exerted alot of energy in that game and still lost 92-62 as 24 point dogs. Now going against a Portland hoops program that has owned them of late- winning 3 straight in this series and 2 straight here as hosts, and a overall 5-0 ATS L/5 record in this series Im betting on the home team getting it done again. College Hoops Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Portland - a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against a lower tier defensive team (78 PPG or more) are a bankroll expanding 42-12 ATS for their betting backers for a 78% conversion rate. 

The defending champion Cleveland Cavaliers  enter this tilt vs  the Charlotte Hornets winning  eight of their last 10 games . The Cavs swept the two home games against Charlotte in Cleveland this season,and overall the Cavs have won eight of the last nine games in this series since James returned to Cleveland. The Cavs during that winning run have beaten Charlotte by an average of 9.6 points in the eight victories.CHARLOTTE is 1-10 ATS  off 2 consecutive wins against division rivals, which has just happened. CLEVELAND is 26-11 ATS L/37 when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days .

Play on the Cleveland Cavaliers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Kaspar is 7-16 ATS  versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game  like App State. 

Play on App St to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Falcons have lost 7 of their L/9, and have not faired well against decent teams. Meanwhile, Utah State has lost 2 in a row, but have played a higher quality opponent and are very ready to compete and win here.  Utah State is 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 in this series. AIR FORCE is 2-12 ATS L/14 when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%)

Play on Air Force to cover 1 unit reg selection 

W KENTUCKY is 0-6 ATS L/6 at road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons and s 0-6 ATS  when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days. Florida Atlantic is 5-0 ATS L/5 meetings and my own propietary prgrams suggest that they win and cover again. 

Florida Atlantic to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Dallas looked tenacious in a come from behind victory vs the LA Lakers last night, and  will be playing a back-to-back for the seventh time this season when it faces the  explosivrWarriors this Friday night. The Mavericks have lost on the second night on all six previous occasions, falling by an average of 14.5 points, but the linesmakers, have decided, that a premium should be added in here because of facing their facing Dubs. Im personally betting this line is slightly bloated, and gives us a slight mathematical edge against the number from an underdog perspective. Also from a league wide NBA trend, it must be noted, that NBA Home favorites like the Warriors - a top tier 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better conversion rate) against a lower tier 3PT defense (36.5% or less), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a lower tier rebounding team (5.5 reb/game or less pg) are just 13-45 ATS for a go against 78% conversion rate. So with that said, lets not underestimate the Mavs abilities to cover this number. With Dallas, playing solid D, lately, and the fact that they are 10-1 ATS L/11 after allowing 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games , Im recommending we take the points. Note: Golden State has failed to cover 7 of their L/11 overall. 

Dallas to cover 1 unit reg selection 

This line has moved up since opening , which gives us value on the under.  I know USC has an explosive offense, but the Ducks will be out to slow this game down, which will aid in this combined score staying on the low side of the number. OREGON is 25-11 UNDER L36 when playing against a team with a winning record with a combined  average  of 145 ppg going on the scoreboard. OREGON is 6-0 UNDER L/6 in home games off a win against a conference rival, which ahppened last time out.. 

 College Hoops teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points like the Ducks/Trojans - playing with one or less days rest, in a game involving two top-level teams ( .800 or better teams)have gone under 19 of the L/23 times.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

Denver enters this tilt against lowly Philadelphia playing decent basketball at the moment , winning 5 of their L/7, but Im still not personally sold on them yet, especially from a bettors viewpoint after they failed to cover four straight games. In recent meetings, the Sixer have covered 3 of the L/4 matchups and 2 straight here in Denver, and Im betting they make a game out of this tilt, and get us the cover in the Mile High City. 

DENVER is 5-19 ATS L/24  in home games after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games. PHILADELPHIA is 18-8 ATS L/26 in road games after playing a game as a road underdog.

Minnesota enters this game against Milwaukee continuing find ways to lose, thanks to an inability to pace themselves.  This has been evident by losing 10 games so far this season, after at some point in those losses leading by 10 or more points. Until they address their conditioning issues, they remain fade material. I know the Bucks also have their own problems, holding leads, but from a player matchup viewpoint have an edge in this matchup. In the Bucks last trip to the hardwood vs Detroit last time out, they pulled off a 119-94 win and have momentum entering this tilt. 

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Bucks - off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 34-9 ATS dating back 20 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 19-33 ATS L/52 in home games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season like the Bucks and are 1-8 ATS  in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season.MINNESOTA is 6-21 ATS L/27 in a home game where the total is 200 to 209.5 dating back to last season.  MILWAUKEE is 23-9 ATS L/32 in road games after having won 2 of their last 3 games, which has just happened. 

Play on Milwaukee to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Earlier this month the Detroit Pistons smashed  the Atlanta Hawks  121-85. and showed me they matchup well in head to head competitions. I know the Motown crew have not played well of late, and Atlanta has been playing better overall since that last meeting. However, with that said,  their are constants that can not be ignored, which include style and player to player matchup descrepencies. I expect HC  Van Gundy of the Pistons  will  know exactly how to neutralize Atlanta center Dwight Howard, whom he previously coached at Orlando. Also by recommending we take the points with Detroit tonight, Im also betting that the Hawks will be tired after their brutally physical battle with the NY knicks last time out. ATLANTA is 0-7 ATS  in home games in December games this season.

Play on the Detroit Pistons to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Clippers are an elite team , but their dealing with some injury problems at the present time, which hinders thier progression, as is evident by losing four straight games. With G Chris Paul nursing a nagging injury, and playing limited minutes, and JJ Redick sidelined recently because of hamstring problems, and Blake Griffin still out with recurring injury problems, this banged up crew does not have the same bang for a bettors buck as they did earlier this season. Thus going up against a top tier team, like Houston , makes for an opportunity to fade the Clippers. Meanwhile, the Rockets are a team that consisently come out on fire and try to take substanial leads, so they can rest players later in games, which makes them even more dangerous because of how fresh they are in closing out games as well.

Play on the Houston Rockets to cover 1 unit reg selection 

DELAWARE ST is 11-1 UNDER L/12 when the total is 120 to 129.5  with a combined average of 114.1 ppg getting scored. HAWAII is 7-1 UNDER  in all home games this season.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

Los Angeles enters this game in a funk after having dropped five of its last six and 13 of 15 games in December and once again look like fade material vs a hard working Dallas team , that despite of a ugly road record, have already recorded an away win vs the Lakers this season by a 109-97 count back on Nov8. 

A  lack of solid Defense  has haunted the young Lakers this season, as is evident by ranking 27th in points allowed with 110.3  ppg and last in opponents' field-goal shooting at 47.8 percent before Wednesday's games. The Lakers also rank 25th in turnovers at 15.3 per game and once again I feel they are not sharp and sinking further in the abyss.  I must also be noted that Dallas does their best work vs below .500 oppoents as their 14-1 SU record vs losing sides indicates.

LA LAKERS are 0-8 ATS L/8 off a home cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog and are are 3-17 ATS L/20 after 2 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more. Dallas has won 5 straight meetings in LA. 

Play on Dallas to cover 1 unit reg selection

SACRAMENTO ST is 1-7 ATS L/8 in all games this season and is 4-13 ATS L/17 after a game where they made 78% of their free throws.

Play on N.Colorado to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Pepperdine enters its West Coast Conference opener  against one of the most explosive teams in the Country Gonzaga on a seven-game losing streak and are  without two of its top players because of injuries and once again look like cannon fodder. 

Play on Gonzaga to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Grizzlies own a solid 20-14 SU record despite of playing without the injured Mike Conley, Zach Randolph, Chandler Parsons and Vince Carter, thanks a tremendous work ethic and top tier defense. Even  despite of a recent  4-6 record the last 10 games, the Grizz still have shown exceptional overall resiliency and character especially on  defense as is evident by, allowing only 98.1 points per game -- fourth best in the league. Yes, the Grizz have struggled a little defensively of late, but are still very solid and can easily return to top form , when motivated, like they will be tonight. Now in comes, the streaking Oklahoma City Thunder who are on a 4 game winiing run. At first glance the line, because of this looks odd, because of all the media attention super star Wesbrook and the Thunder are getting. But the linesmakers make very few errors , and as can been seen have shaded in the home team as short favorites and rightly so in my betting opinion. MEMPHIS is 11-1 ATS L/11 in home games off a road loss by 10 points or more, which happened last time out. OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-13 ATS L/16 as a road underdog of 3 points or less.

Play on Memphis to cover 1 unit reg selection

Eighth-ranked Kentucky (10-2) opens Southeastern Conference Thursday when the Wildcats travel to Oxford to face Ole Miss (9-3).Im betting the difference maker as far as the line is considered, woll come via  a Ole Miss team that leads the SEC with a plus-6.6 rebounding margin, ranking second best in the league at 42 rebounds per game. The Rebels have out rebounded 11 of 12 opponents this year. OLE MISS is 38-19 ATS L/57 when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct 80%). OLE MISS is 10-2 ATS L/12 vs. top tier teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game .OLE MISS is 17-4 ATS L/21 as an underdog of 10 or more points.

Play on Ole Miss to cover 1 unit reg selection

S ILLINOIS is 6-0 ATS L/6 as a road favorite or pick over the last 2 seasons winning SU by an average of 17.4 ppg.  S.Illinois HC Hinson is 20-7 ATS  as a road favorite of 3 points or less or pick in all games he has coached.

Play on Southern Illinois to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Butler (11-1) has recorded two top tier  wins over No. 18 Arizona (69-65) and No. 16 Indiana (72-71) as well as knocking off then-No. 22 Cincinnati (72-65) so far this season. The Bulldogs have defeated their opponents by an average of 14.5 points and once again look like vialble favorites in this spot vs a below average St.Johns hoops program.. 

Road teams as an favorite or pick  like Butler  - in a game involving two 3 point shooting teams (20/game or more), after a game - shooting 57% or higher, allowing 43% or lower, are 33-8 ATS for a 81% conversion rate going back 20 seasons. 

Play on Butler to cover 1 unit reg selection 

TENNESSEE is 13-3 ATS L/16 versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game and 12-4 ATS L/16 versus top tier teams  like Texas A&M - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game

Tennessee to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Two top tier teams the Golden State Warriors and the Toronto Raptors, go head to head in east /west battle this Wednesday night. Both teams can put points up in a hurry but, both must not be under rated when its comes to their abilities on defense. 

Toronto ranked 9th in points allowed and 20th in pace. Golden State is 1st in defensive rating, (teams  and players points allowed per 100 possessions) Also because of the Warriors take no prisoners offensive attack, their games almost always seem to have a totals premium attached to them , which has been evident by them going under the total in 9 of their L/10 games. My own numbers suggest this total is also slightly bloated when considering the matchup profiles of both teams and setting aside straight up mathematical data.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (Golden St/Toronto) - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 7+ PPG 62-18 UNDER dating back five seasons for a 78% conversion rate.

GOLDEN STATE is 24-7 UNDER L/31 after a game where they made 85% of their free throws or better, with a combined average of 211.1 ppg going on the scoreboard. Golden State HC Kerr Kerr is 23-11 UNDER L/34 versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game with a combined average of 209 ppg going on the board.

Play UNDER

Chicago Bulls  are in a deep funk and find themselves buried deeply in skid that has seen them lose 6 of their L/7 games overall. They now face a Brooklyn team, that might seem like easy opponent to get back into the win column against. That might be true, in alot of ways, but I personally believe this line is bloated considering both sides current form. Recently the Nets played three straight games, against Golden State, Toronto and Cleveland, and after playing that very high level of competition went out and beat a decent Charlotte side last time out.  Teams like the Nets searching for a winning identity, will benefit greatly from going against top tier teams repeatedly , and than when playing struggling teams will find the sledding much easier. So what Im betting on today, is for Brooklyn to make a game out and s they use their recent experiences from battling the leagues elite to their benefit in this tilt.

From a long term league trends perspective it must be noted that NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points like the Bulls - exhausted team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are just 63-110 ATS for a go against betting conversion rate of 64%.

CHICAGO is 16-29 ATS L/45 as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points.

Play on the Brooklyn Nets to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Atlanta and New York continue to play very inconsistent basketball ,  but one team according to current form and my own power rankings, has the advantage in this matchup. New York won the first game 104-94 on Nov. 20 at Madison Square Garden and matchs up very well vs Atlanta in  a player to player discrepancy chart. 

NYK lost to Boston last time out 119-114, snapping a 2 game winning streak, but are a bankroll expanding 12-2 ATS L/14 after allowing 110 points and is 8-1 ATS L/9 after a game where both teams scored 105 points. 

Play on the NY Knicks to cover 1 unit reg selection 

No. 6 Louisville will host No. 12 Virginia Wednesday night at the KFC Yum! Center in Louisville, Ky., in the Atlantic Coast Conference opener for both teams.When Louisville and Virginia meet it is usually very physical and slow paced. The Cardinals and Cavaliers,   , have played four times the last two seasons.Average score Virginia 60, Louisville 50 and Im betting on Virginia having the edge again getting points.VIRGINIA is 10-1 ATS L/11 in road games vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. 

Virginia to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Seminoles 12-1SU  had an amazing non conference record, but Im betting they wont be as dominating,  in the ACC opener Wednesday at home against Wake Forest  Demon Deacons team, which has won four of its last five and is coming off a 110-76 smash down of LSU on Dec. 22. Wake Forest is led offensively by 6-foot-10 sophomore John Collins, who averages 17.3 points and 10.4 rebounds and Im betting he's the catalyst behind a Deacons covers in this spot. 

HC Manning of Wake Forest  is 9-1 ATS L/10  in road games after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games in all game. Florida St HC Hamilton is 12-33 ATS L/45 after having won 8 or more of their last 10 games.

Wake Forest to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Houston enters this road  game vs Dallas with a  12-2 SU record  in its past 14 games. The Rockets  saw their 10-game winning streak end on Dec. 20 with a 102-100 home loss to the San Antonio Spurs and are 2-1 since and Im betting they now start to roll again behind an explosive lineup. Meanwhile, Dallas, despite of being competitive against lower tier teams, are just 1-14 SU this season vs a above .500 teams , and have lost both meetings to the Rockets this season.  HOUSTON is 16-4 ATS L/20 versus poor defensive teams like Dallas - allowing 99+ points/game this season, winning SU by 13.2 ppg and averaging 119 ppg in offense. It must be noted that DALLAS is 0-11 ATS  when they allow 105 or more points in a game this season and have lost by an average of 16.7 ppg. HOUSTON is 13-3 ATS L/16 when playing against a team with a losing record this season. 

Play as high as -6. 

Both these teams are playing at a very high level,  with Illinois winning 6 straight and Maryland on a 5 game win streak. According to my own proprietary systems the Terps should only be a 1 point favorites, thus giving us value on this line in a game that should be very very close. MARYLAND is 0-8 ATS L/8 in home games after a win by 15 points or more dating back to last season.ILLINOIS is 10-1 ATS L/11 after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games.

Play on Illinois to cover 1 unit reg selection 

It seems the pudits are all giddy, after the Sacramento Kings won their third game in a row. With their super star Cousins under the microscope for another one of his patented tirades, Cousins with a chip on his shoulder came out like a whirlwind, and has helped his team look good of late averaging 36 ppg. But , Im throwing up a caution flag ,  caveat emptor for Kings bettors buying into their recent successes, as this team over the last few years, almost always finds a way to crash and burn, and what a perfect spot for them to do so, here against a team Im betting they over look, the rebuilding and down trodden Philadelphia 76ers.  

76ers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. NBA Pacific.Kings are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.Kings are 19-40-2 ATS in their last 61 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.. 76ers are 8-0 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Sacramento.

Play on Philadlphia 76ers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Sacramento enters this game firing on all cylinders, and will I am betting dictate the pace of this game. However, because of this their transistion game , which has been a problem area for them all season,   the Kings  defense will be open to Philadelphia reciprocating with some offensive fireworks of their own. My own propiteary programs suggest both these teams will put more than 100 points on the board.

Over is 3-0-1 in Kings last 4 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Over is 3-0-1 in 76ers last 4 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings.

NBA teams like the Kings  - off 2 consecutive road wins by 5 points or less, first half of the season- 46-13 OVER dating back 21 seasons. 

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

Indiana has lost two straight and have yet to lose three straight during this current campaign and will primed to make sure that does not happen tonight as they face the very inconsistent Chicago Bulls. Note: NBA teams -Favorites like the Bulls - vs. division opponents, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are just 20-44 ATS since the 2011 campaign. Meanwhile, the Bulls have lost three straight and 6 of their L/7 overall and  are on tired legs after traveling to Texas  to play the San Antonio Spurs on Christmas Day. Chicago has really struggled with their flow on offense, as is evident by not eclipsing the 100 point plateau in 5 of their L/7, and this will be their downfall tonight .

INDIANA is 16-5 ATS L/21 vs. division opponents.CHICAGO is 14-26 ATS 40 as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points.

Play on Indiana to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Alanta enters this game getting alot of respect from the linesmakers, despite of looking like they did not mathup well against Minnesota the last time they met, in Georgia back on Dec 21, losing 92-84.  My own propietary programs make Minnesota a -3 favorite here, and Im betting they take this game by at least that amount tonight. ATLANTA is 9-20 ATS L/29 after playing a game as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons, which happened in a upset win last time out vs Denver.

 NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Hawks - revenging a home loss vs opponent against opponent off a road loss against a division rival have failed to covered 23 of the L25 times dating back to the 2011 campaign. 

SF has won 10 of their L/12 and has really been playing some tremendous basketall with a never say die type of attitude attached to their wins and losses. The two losses have come by 6 and 4 points respectively and Im betting they will be competetive again today vs a slightly over rated SD State side, that is not playing at the same level as their opponents at the moment.  Neutral court teams as an underdog like SF - after beating the spread by more than 12 points in two consecutive games are 31-7 ATS L/38 for a 82% conversion rate dating back to the 2011 campiagn. 

San Diego is 2-11 ATS L/13 December games dating back three seasons.

The Cleveland Cavaliers and the Golden State Warriors renew their rivalry this Sunday in a Christmas Day battle that promises to be physical. Both teams have a boat load full of scoring talent, but both can play top tier defense when asked to, and in a game like this that is exactly what I am betting we will get DEFENSE, DEFENSE and more DEFENSE. From a long term NBA archive we have this trend: NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 Cavaliers/Warriors - in a game involving 2 top tier teams - outscoring opponents by 7+ PPG the under has cashed 60 of 78 times for a powerful 77% conversion rate!

In the L/9 meetings only one game has seen todays numbers total eclipsed.

GOLDEN STATE is 45-28 UNDER  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game with themselves and their opponents combining for a totlal of 209.8 ppg. Golden State in their 43 games  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts have seen a combined 215.9 ppg go on the scoreboard. CLEVELAND in their L/39 games  in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 76% or more  of their attempts have seen a combined average o 205.1 ppg get scored. 

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

The Blazers take on the Spurs tonight in a game that is an over bet for me. Portland atrocious D ranks in  the bottom six in the NBA in opposition scoring, opponents' field-goal percentage and opposition' 3-point percentage conversion rate. They have given up 120 points 10 times, including four of the last six games. The Blazers play a one  take no prisoners one way offensive game, ranking 6th in offensive rating, and dead last in defensive ratings. My won proprietary programs suggest both teams will score 100+ points tonight, which sets into play a trend that shows, PORTLAND is 20-2 OVER L/22 where both teams score 98 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 232.3 ppg getting scored. Using the same estimated perimeters San Anontio is 12-3 over where both teams score 98 points or more, with a combined average of 213.9 ppg going on the scoreboard.

PORTLAND is 9-1 OVER  vs. excellent 3 point shooting teams - making 39% or more  of their attempts with a combined average of 236.3 ppg getting scored. Six of the L/7 meetings in this series have eclipsed the total including the last three in Portland.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

The Heat enter this game against the Pelicans having swept the season series against New Orleans  last year, winning 94-88 in overtime on Christmas Day , and  took a 113-99 victory in New Orleans on March 22. I know that the Heat have a different makeup now, but what is important from a matchup perspective is that in the two victories against New Orleans, Hassan Whiteside averaged 16.0 points on .722 shooting, 15.5 rebounds and 3.5 block, and is expected to  be in the lineup for Miami tonight. I know the Pelicans Anthony Davis is a great talent, but he cannot carry the Pelicans to wins all by himself, and with that said, Ill take the hard working Heat to get us the cover vs an exhausted one man band. ( NBA Home favorites like the Pelicans - after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, extremely tired team - playing 9 or more games in 14 days are just 38-74 ATS over an extended 20 season sample size , for a solid go against conversion rate of 66% for bettors.

MIAMI is 9-0 ATS L/9 after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games dating back to last season. New Orleans is 11-22 ATS as a favorite dating back to last season. 

Play on the Miami Heat to cover 1 unit reg selection 

GOLDEN STATE is 12-3 OVER L/15  in road games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season with a a combined average of 226.2 ppg getting registered on the scoreboard.GOLDEN STATE in their 27 games  as a road favorite of 6.5 to 9 points have seen a combined average of 219.2 ppg go on the scoreboard and when they are off a 10 or more point road win like last time out, have seen a massive 231.8 ppg go on the board. I know Golden State has gone under in 9 straight, but now because of this the lines-makers are under compensating ( pardon the pun) which gives is value to the over .It must also be pointed out, that despite of Motwons propensity to play methodically,  they will have no choice but to pick up the pace as was the case in a recent game against Washington when they lost 122-108. Golden State  ranked first in offense with a 117.4 ppg I am betting dictates the speed of this game behind a 3rd ranked pace. 

Play Over - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 like the Warriors  - a top-level team (75% or better) playing a marginal losing team (40% to 49%), in December games have gone over 39 of the L/53 times for a solid 74% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

The Orlando Magic are playing their worst basketball at home in front o their own fans, where they own a lowly 5-10 record at the Amway Center and have lost 7 straight here. Thats not a good omen for a Orlando team that fell asleep at the proverbial wheel  in a loss to the New York Knicks 106-95 at Madison Square Garden on Thursday night Meanwhile, young and well conditioned Los Angeles will play the second night of a back-to-back to close out a seven-game road trip that started in Sacramento on Dec. 12. Needless to say this team is hungry and should give it their all tonight vs a team they matchup well against.

Play on the LA Lakers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

This Oakland basketball program is the most under rated in the nation according to my own power rankings. The linesmakers agree with my assessments as they go against a SEC team ( Georgia ). With the Bulldogs coming off a big win vs GTech last time out, they could easily be in a letdown situation, vs a side that looks at this game as very important.OAKLAND is 20-7 ATS L/27 versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game.GEORGIA is 2-9 ATS L/11 versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or better with a defense of 42% or less like Oakland.OAKLAND is 22-8 ATS L/30 as an underdog over the last few seasons.

Play on Oakland to cover 1 unit reg selection

UNC Asheville has won 8 of their L/10 , while Ohio State , has alternated wins and losses over their L/7 games, and are off a win last time out. Ohio States HC Matta is 8-18 ATS L/26 vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 4+ per game. 

UNC Asheville to cover 1 unit reg selection 

San Diego enters this game having won 4 straight, and 6 of their L/8 games overall, with the two very competitive  losses coming against NM State and USC.  Meanwhile, N.Texas has won 5 of their L/7, but their competition was not of the same calibre San Diego faced. My own propietary programs make N.Texas very weak favorites, and I won't be surprised by an out right upset. But with that said, the safest bet is to take the points.  N TEXAS is 4-13 ATS L/17 when playing against a team with a winning record dating back to last season and  0-9 ATS L/9 after playing 2 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons .SAN DIEGO is 6-0 ATS L/6 in road games in December games over the last 3 seasons and  from a long term perspective, 42-22 ATS  as a road underdog of 6 points or less or pick.

Play on San Diego to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 HC Scott Nagy is 8-4 at Wright State and 418-244 in 22 seasons overall and must never be underestimated. This is a top tier coach who gets the most out o his teams. The Raiders are  shooting 40.4 percent on 3-pointers, which is the 28th-best mark nationally, and Im betting that will be the difference maker today vs a fast paced Murray  program. 

Take the points with Wright State to cover 1 uniyt reg selection 

Boston beat Indiana 105-99 here at home back on Dec 12, and now have revenge on board here tonight and I am betting they get it. I know Boston has won three straight but they are far from consistent and has not won more than 3 games in row during the current campaign. Meanwhile, Indiana always seems to play their best hoops at home where they own a 11-4 SU mark, and must be respected playing as hosts on their own court.

INDIANA is 15-5 ATS L/20 in home games revenging a same season loss. INDIANA is 35-22 ATS L/57 when playing against a team with a winning record dating back to last season.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Pacers - off a road loss against opponent off a road win by 3 points or less are a bankroll expanding 23-6 ATS for a 79% conversion rate over the L/5 seasons. 

From a trend anomaly stand point it must be noted that the Celtics have lost 6 straight thursday night games.

Play on the Indiana Pacers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Southern Miss were clobbered by 22 points or more in 3 of their L/ 5 games. and today against San Diego State look very much like canon fodder again as my own numbers make the Aztecs 24.5 point favs, thus giving us value on the line! 

These teams are evenly matched , as the lines-makers estimate and I will not be surprised if this goes down to the final buzzer and Siena notches the SU win.  HOFSTRA is 4-16 ATS  in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game like Siena.SIENA is 6-0 ATS L/6 as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick. HOFSTRA is 1-10 ATS L/11 in home games after scoring 80 points or more 0-6 ATS  in home games after a win by 10 points or more. 

Siena to cover 1 unit reg selection 

DETROIT is 1-11 ATS L/12 versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game. IUPU-FT WAYNE is 8-0 ATS L/8 versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game. 

Play on IPFW Wayne to cover 1 unit reg selection

Canisius has won 6 of their L/7 games. Meanwhile, St.Bonaventure has won 7 of their L/8. HC Witherspoon of Canisius  is 9-0 ATS L/9 in road games after scoring 75 points or more 3 straight games.

CANISIUS is 47-24 ATS L/71 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37%  or more of their attempts. CANISIUS is 17-3 ATS L/20 in a road game where the total is 150 to 159.5 . ST BONAVENTURE is 8-19 ATS L/27 as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points and s 8-23 ATS L/30 in home games after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games.

Play on Canisius to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Houston has played at a very high level for a long time, and previous to last nights heart breaking loss to San Antonio 102-100, had won 10 straight behind a take no prisoners offense. But now in a emotional letdown state, and pretty well exhausted after exerting all that energy during that above mentioned run, a down performance by the Rockets seems like a high probability event tonight in Phoenix. 

HOUSTON is 6-16 ATS L/22 after a division game and are just 14-25 ATS L/39 as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points.

Play on the Suns  to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Arkansas State enters this game against Alabama winning 9 of their L/10 games, and will not be dealt a loss easily.  Meanwhile, Alabama is a program that does not inspire me at the moment, especially when going over some their performance stats against lower tier teams like St.Louis. 

Play on Arkansas State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The king of the triple double Russell Westbrook and his Oklahoma City Thunder go into the Bayou tonight to take on the New Orleans Pelicans. Westbrook is averaging 30.9 points (first in the NBA), 10.9 assists (second) and 10.5 rebounds (13th) and Im betting he will once again be a catalyst for a Thunder win and cover here this evening. The Thunder took down the Pelicans 101-92 in Oklahoma City on Dec. 4 with Westbrook recording his fifth consecutive triple-double (28 points, 17 rebounds and 12 assists) and a similar rinse and repeat scenario is on tonights agenda. 

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Pelicans  - off a road win,

(which happened against the lowly 76ers las time out) a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season. are just 21-54 ATS for a go against 72% conversion rate, .

Play on the Thunder to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Washington's been playing better of late, but did have a three game win streak end last time out against Indiana, with a last second score sinking their ship . That heart breaking event I'm betting will have a tired Wizards team playing their 7th game 11 days in a letdown situation this Wednesday vs a Chicago team trying to keep some momentum alive after  a conclusive 113-82 victory over the Detroit Pistons on Monday night. I know the Bulls have been disappointing so far this season , but they do have wins, against San Antonio and upstart Detroit at home of late and must not be underestimated when hosting in the United Center as short favorites. (Wizards are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection 

My own proprietary programs make Drexel a slight favorite here. Also according to my matchup discrepancy charts Drexel has the edge

QUINNIPIAC is 1-9 ATS L/10 in home games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%)DREXEL is 39-16 ATS L/54 when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%).

Drexel to cover 1 unit reg selection 

llinois is coming off impressive win over a top tier  BYU team last time out  and that momentum will carry  over into this rivalry game against Mizzou tonight.

ILLINOIS is 9-1 ATS L/10 after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games which just happened. ILLINOIS is 11-3 ATS L/14 versus poor shooting teams - making 42% or less of their shots. MISSOURI is 6-17 ATS L/23 when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) .

Blake Griffin hurt again, which is bad news for the  Los Angeles Clippers as they begin a three-game homestand Tuesday night against the Denver Nuggets who are on a three game winning streak.Griffin's loss occurs at a time when the Clippers aren't playing well as they are just  6-6 .500 during their L/12 tilts.Meanwhile, visiting Denver, is currently playing at a high level, which is evident  by averaging 125.3 points during their streak. For the season, Denver is scoring 107.4 points per contest, which ranks seventh in the NBA, which makes them dangerous as underdogs of this magnitude.

Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Nuggets - averaging 7 or less steals/game on the season, first half of the season are 99-64 ATS for a 61% conversion rate.

DENVER is 14-4 ATS L/18 versus good foul drawing teams - attempting 27 or more free throws/game and 14-4 ATS L/18 in road games versus teams who average 53 or more rebounds/game on the season and 23-12 ATS L/35 in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game.DENVER is 10-1 ATS L/11 after allowing 100 points or more 5 straight games, and 11-1 ATS L/12 in road games after allowing 105 points or more 2 straight games.LA CLIPPERS are 4-14 ATS L/18 off an upset loss as a road favorite which happened against the Wizards last time out. 

Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Sacramento Kings are not looking good, and their top player Cousins continues to be a walking media freak show with bizarre tirades that are well documented during his career. The Kings were punished in their last outing by a short handed Dallas side, by a  99-79 count on Sunday. The Kings own the leagues worst record, and things are spiraling out of control.  I know the Blazers have not been playing great basketball, and have not lived up to expectations this season, but are more than capable of downing a downtrodden side like the Kings, whether talented or temperamental Cousins plays or not ( possible suspension). 

SACRAMENTO is 9-19 ATS L/28 in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game dating back to last season.

Play on the Portland Blazers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Spurs enter into this game  having responded well to their first road loss of the season  on Dec. 8 at Chicago with four consecutive wins by an average margin of 16 points per game .Spurs remain one of the front runners for a league championship if they remain healthy, ranking in the top 10 in both offensive (sixth) and defensive (fourth) rating categories. Meanwhile, the Rockets are also red hot after claiming their 10th consecutive victory on Saturday night in a come from behind victory . They looked completely out of gas, before of gearing up into over drive and getting the victory. Now, the Rockets will have an extremely hard time continuing to play at a very high level  vs a side that can take their flow away. Its hard for any team to run and gun for a such a long time, as the Rockets have and its not uncommon for such teams to hit a wall. That's what I am betting on happening tonight against  the  Spurs of San Antonio. It must also be noted that  the loss of center Clint Capela for the Rockets, who suffered a left knee contusion against the Timberwolves, will also effect the chemistry of the Rockets .

Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover

Dikembe Dixson out for season ( ACL ) which is a key loss for Il Chicago.  Their only game without him so far, saw them lose ,81-75 to Loyola Illinois. N ARIZONA is 9-1 ATS L/10 in road games after a game giving up 5 or less offensive rebounds over the last 3 seasons.IL-CHICAGO is 9-19 ATS L/28 after a non-conference games. N.Arizona HC Murphy is 12-1 ATS L/13 in road games after a game giving up 5 or less offensive rebounds .McClain is 4-13 ATS L/17 in home games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game.

Play on Northern Arizona to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Miami Heat and the Orlando Magic go head to head tonight in the battle of Florida. Both teams are not inspiring alot of pundits right now, and both struggle to put points up on the scoreboard.  Orlando ranks 28th in the league in offense, behind the 23rd ranked pace. Meanwhile, Miami ranks 27th in offense 97.3 ppg, and 25th in pace. Both teams saving grace , sort of speak, rests with their defenses. The Magic rank 9th in points allowed 101.9 ppg, while the Heat rank 7th allowing 100.4 ppg. Both these sides are off DD losses, and both had less than stellar offensive out puts with Orlando looking tired in a muted 79 point production and the Heat manufactured 95  points, staying below the 100 plateau in three straight.It must be noted that NBA Home teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points like the Heat - after a loss by 10 points or more against opponent after a blowout loss by 15 points or more like Orlando have gone under 50 of the L/67 times for a 79% conversion rate on under bets.

With Both teams playing a crap load full of games during the past 7 days, I expect a slower paced methodical game that remains on the low side of the number.

MIAMI is 22-11 UNDER L/33 when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average score of 191.5 ppg go on the board and 17-6 UNDER L/23 after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less with a combined average score of 193 ppg getting scored. MIAMI is 9-0 UNDER L/9 after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half, with the combined average score of 182.9 ppg going on the score board.Under is 5-2 in Heat last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home.Under is 7-2 in Magic last 9 road games.Under is 8-2 in Magic last 10 games following a double-digit loss at home. Under is 8-3 in Magic last 11 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.

Both Orlando and Miami do not inspire bettors , but Orlando is the superior side at the moment.  Heat are just 2-7 SU in their L/9 and continue to be hampered by injuries, but even when healthy don't look to be a play off team. In a battle of bottom feeders, the visitor has the edge. 

Magic are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.Magic are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.

Home teams where the line is +3 to -3  like the Heat - after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games, a lower tier  team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are just 9-34 ATS dating back to the 2011 campaign.

Play on Orlando to cover 1 unit reg selection

My own numbers make N. Illinois the favorite here by 3 points.S FLORIDA is 7-23 ATS L/30 in a home game where the total is 135 to 139.5 and is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick. HC S.Florida Anntigua is 2-9 ATS L/11 in home games in non-conference games and is 4-14 ATS L/18 in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game.

Play on Northern Illinois to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Detroit enters this game against Chicago off getting upset last time out as 4.5 point favortites vs Indiana by a 105-90 count. The team looked tired but after a couple days rest should be refueled and ready to come up with a big bounce back effort. It must be noted that HC Stan VanGundys Motown crew is 11-1 ATS in road games of an upset loss of 15 points or more as favorite . Meanwhile, the Chicago Bulls have lost three straight games, thanks in part to a struggling offense that has not score more than 97 points in those three games, and that has not eclipsed that output in 6 of their L/8. Tonight against a usually responsible Pistons defense, more problems shout be expected. Detroit beat Chicago 102-91 last time they met, on Dec 6th and have covered 3 of their L/4 visits to the Windy City and look like viable wagering options again in this matchup.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Bulls - revenging a loss vs opponent against opponent off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival are 16-40 ATS for a go against betting conversion rate of 71%.

Play on the Detroit Pistons to cover 1 unit reg selection  

S.Dakota State enters this game having won 5 of their L/6 SU and two straight. Meanwhile, Drake has lost 7 straight games.  These teams are currently operating at the opposite end of the performance spectrum. Wins obviously don't come easily for Drake, and if they notch one here tonight,taking  the points Im betting will be golden. My own numbers make S.Dakota State the favorite, thus according to these numbers the value rides with the road dog. DRAKE is 12-22 ATS L/34 dating back to last season.S DAKOTA ST is 23-10 ATS  versus lower teams - outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game.

College Hoops Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 like Drake  - after allowing 80 points or more against opponent after 2 straight wins by 6 points or less are just 5-24 ATS going back to the 2011 season.

South Dakota State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Wizards are currently in top form, winning their last three games and five of their last six after a slow start to the season including last nights victory vs the LA Clippers by a 117-110 count. Now playing on back to back nights, and in a letdown spot off of late nights win, the lines-makers have shaded them in a 6 points dogs vs a side that has played well at home during the current campaign. Empirical thinking might have some leaning to the Pacers, but in my usual contrarian fashion, I'm looking at the dog in this spot. Washington is currently playing at a very high level, and running on high octane fuel like they are now, and looking like a play off team,  I am betting they wont be easily disposed of.. Meanwhile the Pacers have shown a propensity to crash in burn on a fairly consistent basis.  Yes, Indiana did win last time out but are just 1-4 ATS L/5 after a SU win.  

Wizards are 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Indiana.Road team is 19-7 ATS in the last 26 meetings.Underdog is 18-5 ATS in the last 23 meetings.Pacers are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

Play on Washington to cover 1 unit reg selection

Sacramento came into Dallas on Dec 7 and smacked the  Mavs with a 120-89 loss. Needless to say, the Mavericks will be primed to hand out some paybak, despite of being short handed. The Kings are coming off a upset win last time out vs  Memphis as underdogs , but their inconsistencies are well documented  as they they are led by a eraddict super star by the name of Cousins, who despite of his great talents can really stymie the flow of his team with bizarre tyrads against anyone and everyone. ( Cousins may miss today because of suspension, but his prescense is less than a positive for a team that lacks stability)

DALLAS is 10-1 ATS L/11 in home games on Sunday games dating bakc 3 seasons.

All teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SACRAMENTO) - off an upset win as a road underdog, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are just 8-30 ATS L/38 in their follow up game for a go against conversion rate of 79% .

Play on Dallas to cover ( LATE STEAM)

Gonzaga is on a big time 10-0 run behind an offense that is averaging  82.7 ppg and a defense that has allowed just 63.1 ppg. They go against a mediocre Tennessee Vols hoops program that can also score but the difference maker comes in transition and defense, where Gonzaga out shines the Vols. This will be the difference maker today, and what I am betting will be a subsequent cover for Gonzaga.

College Basketball Neutral court teams as a favorite or pick like Gonzaga - a top tier 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better) against an average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%), after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 33% or less are a bankroll expanding 32-8 ATS for a 80% conversion rate dating back to the 2011 season.

Play on Gonzaga to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Washington Wizards are finally starting to look balanced thanks to their offense and defense clicking at the same time. The Wizards are currently playing with  confidence as they have won 4 of their L/5 and have covered 4 straight at home. Meanwhile the Clippers despite of winning four straight  have failed to cover 5 of their L/6 games, and are just 2-5 ATS L/7 on the road and have failed to cover 8 of their L/9 against the Eastern Conference sides. Considering the current form of both sides from a wagering perspective, I will back the home underdog in this spot. ( The underdog has covered 4 of the L/5 meetings) LA CLIPPERS are 7-19 ATS L/26 after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread and are are 11-27 ATS L/38 after scoring 100 points or more 3 straight games which just happened!

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EVANSVILLE is 13-2 ATS L/15  in a road game where the total is 145 to 149.5. AUSTIN PEAY is 6-15 ATS  L/21 in home lined games. 

Home teams as an underdog or pick like Austin Pea - a lower tier team - outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game, after a combined score of 155 points or more 2 straight games are just 17-46 ATS dating back 5 seasons.

Evansville to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Thundering Herd are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games, while akron has failed to cover 5 of their L/7.Marshall have two of the best players in the C-USA in Jon Elmore and Ryan Taylor  and will be able to keep pace offensively, against a Akron side that had their flow muted in a 61-43 loss to Gonzaga last time out. Now after going out to the West coast and coming home with 6 days rest the Zips could  show some rust. Marshall out scored Toledo 111-105 last time out. 

 MARSHALL is 7-0 ATS L/7 after 2 straight games where they had 5 or less steals and is 15-6 ATS L/21 after a game where they covered the spread.

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We have two very tired teams playing each other tonight Indiana and Detroit - with that said, a long term 61% ATS trend is in play. NBA teams  where the total is 200 to 209.5 like the Pistons  -  an extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days against opponent that is also a  tired team ( Indiana ) - playing 6 or more games in 10 days have seen the under go 265-173 dating back 5 seasons.

INDIANA is 26-6 UNDER L/32 when playing their 3rd game in 4 days  dating back to last season, with the total combined average score clicking in at 194.8 ppg. DETROIT is 10-2 UNDER L/12 in home games this season with a combined average of 190 ppg getting scored. 

Previous to their L. game Motown did not allow more than 97 points in 7 straight games and have not allowed more than 99 points in 12 of their L/15 and I'm betting on another solid defensive performance here in methodical fashion. Van Gundys side will control the pace, vs a Indiana side trying to play a more solid two way game and that has only scored 89 and 95 points in their L/2 tilts.

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OUTHERN UTAH is 6-15 ATS L/21versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game and s 5-13 ATS  versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season like IUPUI.

SOUTHERN UTAH is 0-7 ATS L/7 after 2 straight games where they were called for 22 or more fouls losing SU by an average of 9.2 ppg.

Last season IUPUI beat Southern Utah 82-68, with 3 returning starters in the lineup from last season, my own matchup discrepencies suggest another comfortable win.  

IUPUI to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Two teams struggling to keep their heads high, after very slow starts to their campaigns, go head to head tonight in the City of Brotherly Love as the Lakers visit the 76ers. After a promising start the Lakers have dropped eight straight games, and are desperate for a win, one I believe they can get tonight, vs a side they matchup well again, both form a physical and style of play standpoint. Meanwhile, while Philadelphia has covered 3 of their L/4 and recently notched back to back victories before losing last time out are a team in a emotional  letdown spot after playing the Toronto Raptors hard in that above mentioned L. That makes the 76ers vulnerable to even hungrier team then themselves.

NBA Road teams - where the line is +3 to -3 like the Lakers - after 6 or more consecutive losses, a lower tier  team (25% to 40%) playing another  team with a below .500 record are bankroll expanding 26-7 ATS 79% for their betting backers.

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