Two teams playing at the opposite end of the performance spectrum go head to head tonight in the Mile High city. The Bucks are on a 5 game win streak, while Denver has lost 5 straight. With that said, I still like the Nuggets chances here to cover, as playing in this altitude is never easy out for any team. Note: Nikola Jokic is questionable but reports from insiders close to the team say he will prob start tonight. 

Malone is 37-19 ATS  after 3 or more consecutive losses in all games he has coached since 1996.

MILWAUKEE is 15-27 ATS  in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.MILWAUKEE is 4-14 ATS  in road games after 4 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons. MILWAUKEE is 11-30 ATS   off 3 or more consecutive home wins. 

MILWAUKEE is 11-30 ATS L/41  off 3 or more consecutive home wins.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (DENVER) - after allowing 63 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games against opponent after a blowout win by 15 points or more are 38-16 L/25 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Denver to cover 

Atlanta has won 6 straight games but playing on the road is not a strength of theirs as their 2-8 SU away record would indicate  and Im betting they are at a disadvantage vs a Grizzlies side that has won 6 of 10 home games this season.  Hawks are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog.Hawks are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 road games.Hawks are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog.

MEMPHIS is 15-5 ATS ( when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons

NBA team (MEMPHIS) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in four consecutive games, first half of the season are 44-17 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MEMPHIS) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in five consecutive games, in non-conference games are 42-13 L/25 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Memphis to cover 

Atlanta ranks 6th in ppg in the NBA and 21st in ppg allowed  while Memphis their hosts rank 7th in ppg scored in the league and 30th in ppg allowed with 7 of their L/9 games seeing a combined core of 227 or more points going on the board. Tonight Im betting on a rinse and repeat offensive performance from  the Grizzlies and enough efficiency from the Hawks for this offered total to be eclipsed. 

Over is 5-0 in Grizzlies last 5 overall.

MEMPHIS is 21-7 OVER  after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 235.6 ppg scored. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (MEMPHIS) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 80-37 OVER L/ 5seasons for a 69% conversion rate with a combined average of 230.4 ppg scored.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (ATLANTA) - after scoring 120 points or more against opponent after scoring 68 points or more in the first half last game are 66-33 L/25 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 230.1 ppg scored.

Play OVER 

The Wolves have been playing some great ball but so have Charlotte who has won 7 of their 8 SU/ATS. Two teams with momentum but Im betting home court advantage is the edge breaker here. MINNESOTA is 4-14 ATS  off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MINNESOTA) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games are 9-29 ATS L/25 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams (CHARLOTTE) - off 2 or more consecutive road wins, in November games are 29-12 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Charlotte to cover 

The Knicks ability to slow this game down (Ranking 22nd in pace) and to play hardcore D, will give them the edge here against a Suns team that is playing pedal to metal hoops of late as is evident by their 14 game win streak . I know the Suns are red hot, but after exerting that kind of relentless pressure , exhaustion eventually sets in , and here against what can be a physical Knicks side they could find the sledding tougher than anticipated.Suns are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.

NEW YORK is 32-19 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots over the last 2 season. Knicks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog.

Home teams vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - off a home win against opponent off 2 consecutive road wins by 5 points or less are 28-6 L/25 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. 

Play on NY Knicks to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Minnesota is playing at a high level right now having won 4 straight games, while Miami despite of their top tier status are on tired legs as they play their 3rd road game in 5 nights and vulnerable vs a motivated team with momentum playing at home. 

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - after allowing 105 points or less 4 straight games against opponent after allowing 95 points or less are 33-4 L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MINNESOTA) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a losing record are 34-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Minnesota has won the L/2 meetings here at home in this series.

Play on Minnesota to cover 

The Grizzlies have won three of their past four games, while the Raptors have lost three of the first four games on a six-game road trip. These teams are playing at the opposite end of the performance spectrum and with that said the home side get the nod on a short chalk line.  note:  The Raptors have played the past three games without OG Anunoby (hip pointer). He is averaging a team-best 20.1 points in 15 games.\ Without him the lineup the Raptors are at a disadvantage. Raptors are rested but that has not been a good omen for them recently as they are  are 8-21-2 ATS in their last 31 games playing on 2 days rest.

ORONTO is 7-18 ATS after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons.

teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MEMPHIS) - after having won 3 of their last 4 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a marginal losing team are 29-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (MEMPHIS) - average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor offensive team (104-108 PPG), after a combined score of 235 points or more are 81-12 L/25 seasons for a 87% conversion rate and ppg diff that clicks in at +9.3 ppg. 

Play on Memphis to cover 

both these sides are operating at high level and both Im betting will be pushed into action tonight in what Im betting will see the combined score push into the upper 215+ area which projects an over wager cashing. Yes, I know both defenses are playing well but an aggressive posture by these teams will push is over the offered number.

MIAMI is 8-1 OVER  in non-conference games this season with the average combined score clicking in at 220.7 ppg. Over is 4-0 in Heat last 4 games as an underdog.Over is 6-0 in Heat last 6 games playing on 0 days rest.Over is 7-0 in Heat last 7 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

MINNESOTA is 11-2 OVER  after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 236.9 ppg scored.  Over is 4-0 in Timberwolves last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (MIAMI) - a very good team (+7  or more PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games are 32-6 OVER L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate wih the average combined score clicking in at 233.4 ppg. 

Over  is 6-0 L/6 meetings overall in this series.

Play on the OVER 

Washington makes sure they take advantage of lower tier teams  like New Orleans and they almost never asleep against sub par sides. Wizards are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Wizards are 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Wizards are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  Wizards are 11-3 ATS in the last 14 meetings in New Orleans.

NEW ORLEANS is 7-17 ATS  versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.  NEW ORLEANS is 1-8 ATS   after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season.

NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (WASHINGTON) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential) against a terrible team (7 or less PPG differential) are 31-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Wizards to cover 

The Lakers are currently not operating optimally as is evident by losing 4 of their L/5 games wiht the the one win coming against the lowly Pistons as they came back from a DD deficit.  than after that game they played a hard fought affair vs the Knicks an lost 106-100 which sets them up to come in to this their 5 straight road game on tired legs which makes them vulnerable to a down game, vs a Indiana side that plays their best hoops at home where they have won 4 straight tilts.  .Pacers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite.Pacers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Lakers are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Indiana.

LA LAKERS are 2-16 ATS  in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 season.LA LAKERS are 4-13 ATS  after having lost 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons.Lakers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as a road underdog.Lakers are 4-13-1 ATS in their last 18 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Play on Indiana to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play UNDER

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (UCLA) - an excellent offensive team (76 or more  PPG) against an excellent defensive team (63 or more PPG), after scoring 75 points or more 4 straight games are 48-16 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (GONZAGA) - an excellent defensive team (63  or less PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) are 44-17 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

The Lakers exerted alot of energy in a brawl filled  comeback win against the Detroit Pistons last time out and will now be in an emotional letdown spot vs a hungry NY Knicks side that is desperate for momentum. 

NEW YORK is 31-19 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots over the last 2 seasons. Thibodeau is 15-5 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less as the coach of NEW YORK. 

Lakers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog.Lakers are 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up win.Lakers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Lakers are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in New York. Lakers are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings. LA LAKERS are 2-15 ATS  in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons. Vogel is 5-16 ATS against Atlantic division opponents as the coach of LA LAKERS.

NBA Road underdogs (LA LAKERS) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games are 31-67 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% go against  conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NY Knicks to cover 

Detroit took part in a big brawl against the Lakers last time out. They also blew a big lead for a loss and will now want some sort of redemption. Meanwhile, with Miami knowing they should not overlook this opponent, and they themselves off a loss, Im betting the Heat will come out here firing bullets, and Motown will have to respond with some fireworks fo their own or be blown off the court in classic chase action -which will result in a higher scoring affair than the lines-makers expect. Over is 7-0 in Heat last 7 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.

Over is 5-0 in Heat last 5 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Over is 8-3 in Heat last 11 games as a road favorite.MIAMI is 18-7 OVER  versus struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 221.6 ppg scored.MIAMI is 11-1 OVER  as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 227.8 ppg scored. MIAMI is 18-4 OVER after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 222 ppg. 

DETROIT is 9-0 OVER  after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 226.8 ppg scored.Casey is 34-19 OVER  in home games after a game where they covered the spread as the coach of DETROIT.

Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

Play OVER

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

The Suns romped to a big DD win last night and are currently firing on cylinders behind the 4th best ppg offense and 5th ranked pace. Note:PHOENIX is 13-4 OVER  after a blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 229.6 ppg scored in the 17 game sample size . Over is 4-1 in Suns last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.Over is 9-4 in Suns last 13 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Meanwhile,  San Antonio has allowed 115+ ppg at home this season, and rank 24th overall in the NBA in ppg allowed and rank 4th in pace which sets up for what I expect will be a speedy game that will eclipse this offered totals number. Over is 6-0 in Spurs last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Over is 9-1 in Spurs last 10 home games

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHOENIX) - a very good team (+7 or more  PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games are 31-6 OVER L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate with the combined average score of 233 ppg going board.

Play OVER 

 My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  

 My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  

Texas A&M to cover 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  

OAKLAND is 11-1 ATS versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making 31%  or less of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.


Oakland  to cover 

After. a fast start to their season the Knicks have now lost 6 of their L/10 and are not looking cohesive especially in the offensive end of the court  averaging just 101.9 ppg during their current sub par 10 game run. Meanwhile, the Bulls are now in top form behind some tremendous defensive play and clutch offense. Note: The Bulls have  held their opp to  a 44.4%  FG conversion rate while ranking eighth best  in Defensive Rating, allowing 104.1 points per 100 possessions.  With revenge on board, for a earlier 103-104 loss to the Knicks Im expecting a redemption run here tonight and a subsequent win and cover at home for a Bulls side that has covered 11 of their L/16 overall. 

Interesting anomaly -CHICAGO is 10-1 ATS on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons

NBA Road underdogs (NEW YORK) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (36.5% or better), after 2 straight games making 16 or more 3 point shots are 8-29 ATS L/25 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate. 

Play on Chicago to cover 

Because the Suns are red hot there is a premium being added to their chalk lines  giving us an edge in spot situations. I know the Suns have revenge on board for a home loss to the Nuggets from late in October , but Denver matches up well from a style of play perspective and must be respected getting points . I also know that these two teams are currently playing at the opposite end of the performance spectrum, but it must be noted Malone is 14-4 ATS in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses as the coach of DENVER. Meanwhile, PHOENIX is 3-14 ATS L/17 in home games after 8 or more consecutive wins . 

Suns are also 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

NBA Home teams (PHOENIX) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points, off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite are 29-61 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - good rebounding team - giving up 11 or less off. rebounds/game on the season, on Sunday games are 112-67 ATS L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate. 

Take the points with Denver 

Lakers Key starters Davis and James is they play today vs the Pistons will see limited time because of injuries and the team as a whole, have shown a lack of chemistry and determination and are fade material here in Motown tonight. LA has also just 1-4 SU on the road this season, and don't deserve this much respect based on brand recognition along. No not even against the lowly Pistons. 

LA LAKERS are 0-8 ATS versus poor shooting teams - making 43% or less of their shots over the last 2 seasons. LA LAKERS are 8-21 ATS  versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

DETROIT is 19-8 ATS  off a home loss over the last 2 seasons. DETROIT is 3-0 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, with a losing record are 42-74 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Detroit to cover 

 My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  

NIAGARA is 16-4 ATS  versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.

YOUNGSTOWN ST is 4-13 ATS L/17  in home games in November games . 

CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NIAGARA) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or better ), after a game where a team made 60% of their shots or better are 30-5 ATS L/25 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Niagara to cover 

Dallas is off two exhausting back and forth losses to the Phoenix Suns and could find themselves vulnerable here on tired legs in a letdown spot . Meanwhile, Im betting the Clippers will be very focused as they  get back on track after a lackluster 94-81 loss at New Orleans lat time out. These clunkers in the NBA happen all the time even to well coached teams like the Clippers so I wont take a-lot of time to over analyze, especially considering that was the Clippers 5th game in 7 nights .With Dallas young star Luka Doncic  hobbled by an ankle injury and less than 100% if he plays the Mavs will be at a disadvantage. 

Mavericks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog. Clippers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss.

NBA Favorites (LA CLIPPERS) - after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 24-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on LA Clippers to cover 

 My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  

Two teams playing at the opposite end of the performance spectrum go head to head this Sunday. Green Bay has lost 4 straight while, Weber State hs won 4 straight to begin their season. But according to my early season power rankings this line should be closer to a -10 giving us more than a full possession advantage which is significant. 

WI-GREEN BAY is 7-0 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

 WI-GREEN BAY is 10-2 ATS  versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Play on  U Wisconsin GB to cover 

Sacramento enters this game ranked 27th in ppg defense and rank 7th in pace. Meanwhile, Utah ranks 3rd in offense behind a mid range pace as compared to the league. Using these numbers, and head to head style of play factors Im projecting a combined score in the mid 220s giving us value with an over wager. 

 SACRAMENTO is 18-6 OVER  in home games after playing a home game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 237.6 ppg scored. Walton is 29-12 OVER   in home games after playing a home game as the coach of SACRAMENTO with a combined average of 232.4 ppg scored. Over is 9-2 in Kings last 11 games following a double-digit loss at home which was the case last time out, which from my perspective will make the Kings more aggressive especially in an environment that has nothing to lose written all over it.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH) - off 2 or more consecutive home wins, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 24-3 OVER L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA team (SACRAMENTO) - playing on back-to-back days, a struggling  team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 102-52 OVER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. 

Play OVER 

Wizards are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games and must be respected here vs a very good but exhausted Miami side that will be playing their 7th game in 10 nights. Redemption now on board for a 112 -97 loss in South Florida a couple of days ago. 

Wizards are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog.

WASHINGTON is 15-5 ATS  after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasonWASHINGTON is 31-19 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 46%  or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons.WASHINGTON is 23-10 ATS  after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MIAMI) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games are 9-28 ATS L/29 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (WASHINGTON) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, in November games are 30-6 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Washington to cover  

Indiana made a late run last night in a loss to Charlotte but they are well conditioned and will be ready in a friendly home environment  to take down a Pelicans side off an upset win last night. Pelicans are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog. (5 of those losses came by DDS)

NEW ORLEANS is 0-9 ATS  in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less points/game over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -17.3 ppg. 

NBA team (INDIANA) - off 3 or more consecutive road losses, playing on back-to-back days are 29-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Indiana to cover 

The Bulls are playing much better hoops but they are in a bad spot here at the tail end of their West Coast rodeo tour as they play their 5th straight road game in the  thin air of Mile High city. Im betting on Denver here taking advantage of their tired hosts. Denver has won 19 of the L/23 meetings here in Denver. 

Bulls are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog.Bulls are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (DENVER) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, in November games are 28-6 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. 

Denver to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Florida International to cover 

The Celtics enter this game against the Lakers with a  4-0 ATS record in their last 4 games as a favorite. Celtics are also 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall and offer us an edge at home a short line. 

BOSTON is 4-0 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons.

Lakers are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

LA LAKERS are 2-13 ATS in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons. LA LAKERS are 5-15 ATS  against Atlantic division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (BOSTON) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, in November games are 28-6 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Celtics to cover 

Charlotte has won 4 straight games while Indiana has lost 2 straight. Ill chase the momentum here and the side playing in top from at home.

INDIANA is 15-27 ATS L/42 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. INDIANA is 5-18 ATS ( after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.

CHARLOTTE is 28-12 ATS   when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons

NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (CHARLOTTE) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, in November games are 28-6 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. 

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CHARLOTTE) - after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, first half of the season are 47-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate.

Play on Charlotte to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

TORONTO is 24-11 OVER  after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average for 225.6 ppg . Over is 4-0 in Raptors last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Over is 6-1 in Raptors last 7 Thursday games. Over is 5-1 in Raptors last 6 games following a straight up loss.

Over is 4-1 in Jazz last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (TORONTO) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 77-37 OVER L/5 seasons for 68% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (TORONTO) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team. are 56-24 OVER L/25 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Toronto has fallen from their previous championship levels but they are still a talented team. Yes, they are in a funk, but correcting their current skid is not going to be problem going forward if they can stay relatively healthy. As for tonights battle against top tier opponent Utah, Im betting they will be competitive  and get us the cover. Note: Raptors are 8-0 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Utah.

Raptors are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Raptors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Raptors are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a road underdog.

Play on the Raptors to cover 

The Clippers are in strong current form having  won 8 of their L/9 games overall. Meanwhile, Memphis has been less than consistent and are off snapping a 3 game losing streak. 

From a SRS perspective the Clippers are ranked 4th in the NBA ( 6.57) while the Grizzlies are ranked 22nd ( -2.31). Even with home court advantage, the Clippers according to the data is the superior team even with their injury issues and the Grizzlies playing with a healthy group tonight. 

The Grizzlies took out the the Clippers in Los Angeles on Oct. 23, 120-114 and now with revenge on board for the visitors a return of the favor is a strong possibility. 

LA CLIPPERS are 44-28 ATS  versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 57-5 L/5 seasons for a 91% conversion rate. 

NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (MEMPHIS) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game are 7-30 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate.

Play on the LA Clippers to cover

Both these sides to do inspire me, but what does stand out, is that the Wolves are not a side that should be laying points under any circumstances in their current form even at home vs another struggling side. From a SRS perspective - Spurs are ranked 23rd while the Wolves were ranked 24th. Advantage Spurs. 

SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average

Timberwolves are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.Timberwolves are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Spurs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

  MINNESOTA is 7-21 ATS as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons. is 9-21 ATS  after failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. MINNESOTA is 9-23 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. 

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MINNESOTA) - poor team - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after a loss by 10 points or more are 31-61 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on San Antonio to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My projections make this total a little low, as my estimates says we should see a combined score into lower 220s. 

Over is 5-0 in Trail Blazers last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

PORTLAND is 14-4 OVER  in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined 233.4 ppg scored.PORTLAND is 41-19 OVER  after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 232.6 ppg. 

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 on the opening line (CHICAGO) - after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 36-11 OVER L/25 seasons for a  77% conversion rate. 

Play on the OVER 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

UC Davis is off a 2-0 start and won on the road against Utah state which is never an easy out. the Aggies going back to last season have won 5 of their L/.6 road games and are according to my early season power rankings the superior side in this matchup vs Pepperdine (-1-2) and off a OT loss. CAL DAVIS is 14-5 ATS  as a road underdog or pick over the last 3 seasons.

PEPPERDINE is 0-6 ATS   in home games after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite over the last 3 seasons.PEPPERDINE is 1-9 ATS  in home games after 3 consecutive non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Play on UC Davis to cover 

Houston may not inspire bettors especially after the ugly effort they out out last time on the court in a 136-102 loss to Memphis and their current 12 game losing streak and 1-13 overall record but it must be noted that    their one win came this same Oklahoma City side, and repeat performance is not out of the question. 

HOUSTON is 11-0 ATS  L/11 in road games after a huge blowout loss by 30 or more . 

NBA Road teams (HOUSTON) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, in November games are 52-24 ATS L/25 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Road teams (HOUSTON) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, in November games are 31-61 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. 

Take the points with the Rockets 

Boston has started their season shooting the lights out, but this will be their first road game and now I expect regression here against a Rhode Island side that present alot of defensive pressure Note:. BC has also shot a very low charity stripe rate (63.9 %), and as this game goes late, that could easily be a advantage for Rhode Island getting us the cover.

BOSTON COLLEGE is 3-11 ATS  after one or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.

CBB  team (RHODE ISLAND) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite, marginal losing team from last season (40% to 49%) playing a team who had a losing record are 30-5 L/25 seasons for a 86% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.8 ppg. 

Play on Rhode Island to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

BYU to cover

These are Two talented teams playing top tier hoops, but home court advantage will be the difference maker here this evening where Brooklyn is 10-4 SU  with the average margin of victory coming by 5 ppg. Brooklyn ha won the two most recent meetings  in this series by big DD deficits. Rinse and repeat at least on the victory front.  BROOKLYN is 9-1 ATS  against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons.  BROOKLYN is 13-1 ATS  after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.   

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BROOKLYN) - after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, first half of the season are 46-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

 NBA  Home teams (BROOKLYN) - off 2 or more consecutive road wins, in November games are 27-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rare for bettors.

 Play on Brooklyn to cover  

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (UCF) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games, mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 3-25 ATS 29 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. 

JACKSONVILLE is 7-0 ATS  after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons which was the case last time out. 

Play on Jacksonville to cover 

The Raptors have lost 4 of their L/5 games and in no way should be looked at as contenders . This team does not resemble their championship side, and despite of being competitive are fade material in tonight in this spot play on tired legs as they play their 4th game in 6 nights including their 3rd road game in that period.  In their loss to the Pistons last time exhaustion looked to be a major factor and Im betting that will factor in what Im betting will be loss tonight. Yes, I know the Blazers have also had a brutal schedule, but playing at home where they have won 5 straight tilts will be the difference maker. 

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (TORONTO) - a poor offensive team (104-108 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after allowing 125 points or more are 3-33 L/25 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +13.6 ppg. 

Play on Portland to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play on  Sacramento 

After a slow start the Suns have exploded into top form and deserve respect here as short road  favs . The Suns have won 8 straight and have covered this offered spread all 8 times. Rinse and repeat vs an inferior opponent according to my power rankings. 

PHOENIX is 7-0 ATS in November games this season.  PHOENIX is 8-0 ATS  in road games after successfully covering the spread in 5 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 9-23 ATS  against Pacific division opponents over the last 3 seasons. Finch is 0-8 ATS  versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season as the coach of MINNESOTA.

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MINNESOTA) - after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 5-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Road favorites vs. the money line (PHOENIX) - after successfully covering the spread in 7 or more consecutive games, tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days are 27-1 L/25 seasons for a 97% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +12.3 ppg which qualifies on this ATS line. 

Play on Phoenix to cover 

Minnesota has allowed 4 of their L/6 opponents to breach the 123 point plateau and tonight my projections estimate the Suns will produce  a +119 to +129 point offensive output which gives an edge to this offered total being eclipsed. 

Minnesota owns a 24th ranking in Defensive Net rating and are ranked 9th in pace. 

Phoenix ranks 3rd in offensive ppg and 4th in pace. 

MINNESOTA is 16-3 OVER  after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half over the last 3 season with a combined average of 241.1 ppg scored. 

MINNESOTA is 44-25 OVER versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 234.6 ppg going on the board in those 69 tilts. 

NBA  Home teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (MINNESOTA) - after one or more consecutive overs, a poor offensive team (104-108 PPG) against a good defensive team (104-108 PPG) are 24-5 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rare for bettors.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHOENIX) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite against opponent off a road loss are 31-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play OVER 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Furman has won their first two games of the season including a win vs Lousiville.The Paladins also snapped the Cardinals' 59-game winning streak in November home games, including a 46-0 mark in the KFC Yum! Center and must be respected here as underdogs.

Play on Furman 

The Wizards enter this game in top form as is evident by their current 4 game win streak including victories in 7 of their L/9 trips to the court. Meanwhile, the Pelicans ended a 9 game losing streak last time out vs Memphis last time out as underdogs. With said, I expect the Wizards will not overlook tonights opposition after seeing what they did to the sleeping Grizzlies last time out and will be very prepared to take down their opponents here even though their big star Bradley Beal is out. 

NEW ORLEANS is 9-27 ATS L/36 in road games off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog.NEW ORLEANS is 3-14 ATS in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less  points/game over the last 3 seasons. 

WASHINGTON is 10-1 ATS  after having won 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons. WASHINGTON is 15-2 ATS   after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 37-3 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +12.5 ppg. 

Play on Washington to cover 

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after 2 straight games where both teams scored 105 points or less are 25-1 L/25 seasons for a 96% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.3 ppg. 

Cleveland is operating at a very high level and have won 6 of their L/7 games and from a a betting perspective are 10-1-1 ATS L/12 as they are being consistently under rated by the lines-makers. I know Boston has revenge on board for a home loss to Cleveland a couple of days ago (91-89). But  in the words of Mick Jagger of the Rolling Stones you don't always get what they want. With that said, Ill take the points with the the upstart side.

BOSTON is 9-20 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 7-17 ATS  revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. 

CLEVELAND is 8-1 ATS after a game where they covered the spread this season.CLEVELAND is 8-1 ATS  versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season. Bickerstaff is 15-4 ATS   in home games after having won 3 of their last 4 games in all games he has coached. 

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BOSTON) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 10-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

 NBA Home teams vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 185 points or less are 43-13 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Road teams vs. the money line (BOSTON) - after a combined score of 185 points or less against opponent after a combined score of 195 points or less are 10-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Cleveland to cover 

Sacramento has lost 4 straight games and nothing is coming easy for them at this time, so their status as Road chalk here at this offering is dubious even against the Pistons, who incidentally have won 2 of their L/3 and have been competitive in 4 straight games with one loss coming to top tier Brooklyn by just 6 points. Advantage resides with a Pistons side that has cashed 3 of the L/4 meetings in this series  overall. 

Kings are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games as a road favorite.Kings are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall

SACRAMENTO is 4-14 ATS  after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. 
 SACRAMENTO is 7-20 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Detroit to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play on  st. thomas

Denver is heating up and have won 4 straight games, and are now playing optimally making them viable favs here vs a inconsistent Portland side that is now playing their  4th straight road game on tired legs . The exhaustion from their current away trek and the difficulties of playing on the Mile high City makes the Blazers vulnerable . Denver is 6-1 at home this season, with the average margin of victory coming by an average of 7.9 ppg. My projections make this a +8 or more victory for the Nuggets giving us value with this line. 

Trail Blazers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.Trail Blazers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Trail Blazers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record

Favorites vs. the money line (DENVER) - after allowing 105 points or less 4 straight games against opponent after allowing 95 points or less are 32-4 L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.9 ppg which qualifies on the ATS line.

Play on Denver to cover 

Denver s top tier D, have not allowed 9 of their L/12 opponents to breach the 98 point plateau ranking first in ppg allowed and ranking 26th in pace behind the leagues 27th worst ppg offense. Meanwhile, Portland averages 104 ppg on the road this season, but my projections estimate at least 6% drop in output here based on a analytical chart I use   which equates, into a 97.76 team score , while Denver is estimated to score 107 points,  giving us more than a full possession advantage on this totals offering making this a viable bet based in my projections, 

DENVER is 8-1 UNDER   vs poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season with a combined average of 196.2 ppg scored. DENVER is 7-0 UNDER  as a favorite this season with a combined average of 196 ppg scored. 

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (DENVER) - vs. division opponents, off 2 or more consecutive home wins are 55-25 UNDER  L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. 

Play on the UNDER 

 The Seminoles were fourth in the nation in defensive turnover rate last season (32.5%) while  the Gators  ranked  57th   (21.2%) in turnover rate.In a closely contested affair this key analytic will be the difference maker. Florida State is the bigger team overall so Im betting  they will  wreak alot of havoc and pressure the Gators into mistakes giving them the edge. Florida State  has won and covered in five straight meetings vs Florida and nothing changes today. Gators are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games.

White is 19-31 ATS as an underdog as the coach of FLORIDA.

Hamilton is 82-63 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of FLORIDA ST.

Play on FSU to cover 

Ivy League member Yale exhibits a strong  very deep group that must be respected behind seniors Azar Swain and Jalen Gibbidon. Yale can score and bunches and will not be easily intimidated because of their experience. Meanwhile.Seton Hall could be without key component  Jared Rhoden ( ankle injury) and if he plays he will be less than 100%  or see limited time.  Advantage Yale .

Pirates are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games.

 YALE is 13-2 ATS   after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdogBulldogs are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Play on. Yale to cover

Texas brings in a deep experienced  group that will not easily be intimidated by their super star opponents Gonzaga. Chris Beard the new HC for the Longhorns is every bit the coach that Mark Few is and Im expecting the better chess master (Beard ) to have the edge. Talent wise Gonzaga racks up as the best in the nation, but we must not under rate the group after Beard smashed and grabbed his way into via the transfer portal by brining in former Minnesota Gopher, Marcus Carr, and Dylan Disu from Vanderbilt, Tre Mitchell ( UMass) ,  and Timmy Allen ( Utah),  and Christian Bishop from Creighton . Wow. What a group and Beard just didnt go out and get scorers he wanted a cohesive group and that was evident in game 1 . Texas chemistry may shock some and in the end their No.5 ranking maybe short lived to the upside.)

Take the points with Texas to cover 

This is long way to go for Mississippi State traveling  east to west to play in an extremely unfriendly environment  that has a good fan base @ California Baptist. In their opener the Delta Devils were blasted and lost  to St.John's 119-61 (+58 diff) and another beat down Im betting is on Saturday nights agenda by a Lancers team that must be respected as one of the better teams in the WAC. 

CBB Road underdogs of 20 or more points (MISS VALLEY ST) - poor team from last season - outscored by opponents by 4 or more points/game, after a combined score of 175 points or more are 10-35 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors.

California Baptist to cover 

The Celtics are off a big win in OT last night vs Milwaukee. With that said, Im now betting on them being in an emotional and physical letdown spot as they play back to back nights on very tired legs. Thats a good omen for a Cavaliers  cover with what has recently been a hard working Cleveland Cavaliers side with a never say die attitude. The Cavaliers  have also been  consistently under rated by the lines-makers, as is evident by the following trends.Cavaliers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog and are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games and longer term are  10-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.

Celtics are 2-6-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Cleveland.

NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (CLEVELAND) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, first half of the season are 65-24 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. 

Take the points with Cleveland 

The Wizards are beginning to play at a top tier level, while Orlando continues to have consistency issues thanks to what my own observations is a lack of chemistry sprinkled in with bad coaching decisions. I know Bradley Beal will be out tonight for the Wizards but they are still capable road chalk here at anything under -5.

WASHINGTON is 15-2 ATS  after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 35-2 L/25 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking at +11.5 ppg which qualifies on this ATS line. 

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after 2 straight games where both teams scored 105 points or less are 24-1 L/25 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.3 ppg which qualifies on this ATS line. 

Play on Washington to cover 

The Sixers are on a 3 game losing streak and are without their top player Joel Embiid (Covid) and are vulnerable again to suffering a 4th straight defeat. Meanwhile, Indiana is starting to ramp up and are playing decent ball at the moment as they come off a win vs the Utah Jazz by a 111-100 count as DD underdogs. INDIANA is 17-4 ATS l/21  off a double digit win as a road underdog of 6 more points. 

Pacers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Pacers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

76ers are 7-22-1 ATS in their last 30 games as a road underdog.76ers are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog.

Play on Indiana to cover 

Evansvilles deliberate  style of hoops  is not suited  to deal with one of the faster spaced teams in the nation Belmont who are off a loss vs a good looking Ohio program and now frothing at the mouth to get back in the win column here at home where they play their best basketball are viable options here laying points. BELMONT is 8-0 ATS  in home games after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff +28.3 ppg. 

Belmont to cover

Lamar is a defensive minded side that plays very physically, and Im betting they lean on that type of hoops here against MAC side that has plenty of experience, and offense, but could be considered soft under glass and on the rim. 

Cardinals are 7-1 ATS L/8 overall and have covered 4 of their L/5 vs a above .500 opponent. 

Miami O in the one opportunity they had at covering a 12.5 or more spread last season failed. 

CBB    Home favorites of 10 or more points (MIAMI OHIO) - team from a mid-major division 1-A conference against a team from a weak conference, off an upset win as an underdog are 4-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Lamar to cover

Villanova is the most experienced team in the nation, and despite of UCLA making a great run last season still did not get into the big dance. Yes, the Bruins are playing at home, but the Big Cats will not be intimidated and when they are in a groove the treys will rain down here in dry Southern California by the bucketload. There is just to much overall depth on the Villanova side of the court not to take the points in a game they could easily win outright. Wildcats are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog. 

 The Idaho State  Bengals are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 road games and are off a nice win in their opener while Pepperdine did not look good against Rice in a opening loss that saw them shoot just 35.4% in FG conversion rate while being out rebounded and out assisted. 

The key here will be work around the rim and the glass where Idaho State has suddenly become  tenacious over the last couple of seasons under HC  Ryan Looney as is evident by   the numbers that show the Bengals out rebounded opponents 36.1-29.9 last season. In the 2019-20 season the Bengals out rebounded teams 32.9-32.1. In the season opener vs. Eastern Oregon, the Bengals won the rebounding battle, 35-28.

Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (PEPPERDINE) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games, mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are. 3-25 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Idaho state to cover 

The Mavs despite of having talent are an inconsistent team. Luka Ducic is an incredibly talented player but the group around him are not 100% in vibe with this young superstar so thats why the uneven efforts especially from a betting perspective .   Mavericks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games and  are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.DALLAS is 4-16 ATS   when playing against a struggling  team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons.  I know the Mavericks have taken the season's first two games in the Lone Star State rivalry, winning 104-99 as hosts on Oct. 28 and 109-108 on the road just six days later, but after watching both tilts is become obvious this is a coin flip  affair, making getting points golden in my humble betting opinion with the home dog . 

Spurs are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

SAN ANTONIO is 10-1 ATS   when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SAN ANTONIO) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, first half of the season are 63-23 ATS over the L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on San Antonio to cover 

Sacramento has lost 5 of their L/7 games and 3 straight  while their hosts the Thunder have won 3 straight and are currently in top form and have covered 6 of their L/7 and now show value as home dogs. Note: Kings are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as a road favorite.  SACRAMENTO is also 4-13 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

Thunder are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.

Thunder are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. 

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SACRAMENTO) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, with a losing record are 20-47 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Oklahoma City to cover

Alabama basketball started its season on a strong note, blowing out Louisiana Tech 93-64 Tuesday night inside Coleman Coliseum. Meanwhile, South Dakota State opened its season by beating Bradley 81-65 on Tuesday.  Last season, SDSU recorded its seventh regular-season Summit League title in the last nine years. The Jacks return all five starters and 10 letter winners from a season ago, including 99.3% of their minutes and 99.7% of their points. Despite of this they go against a Alabama group despite of a core of new players are as talented as anyone in the league thanks to top tier recruiting and transfers. The Crimson Tide are fully invested in the analytics-driven theory that three-point shooting will be the difference maker for their championship objectives, and that according to my projections gives them an edge as the game progresses. Crimson Tide are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games as a home favorite.

ALABAMA is 10-2 ATS  when the total is 160 to 169.5 over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 14.4 ppg.

CBB Road underdogs of +375 or higher vs. the money line (S DAKOTA ST) - after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half against opponent after scoring 85 points or more are 9-177 SU L/24 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -18.5 ppg. 

CBB Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (ALABAMA) - team from a major division 1-A conference against a team from a mid-major division 1-A conference, off a home win scoring 85 or more points are 215-138 ATS L/24 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors.

This the Bucks 4th straight road game against quality opposition and now Im betting they may exhibit exhaustion as the game progresses giving an edge to the home side. Meanwhile, Boston has been very competitive lately going 3-0-1 ATS L/4 overall. BOSTON is 5-0 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons and Im recommending we take the points with the Celtics here. 

MILWAUKEE is 7-23 ATS  after 3 straight games out-rebounding opponent by 5 or more over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BOSTON) - after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, first half of the season are 45-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MILWAUKEE) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 10-36 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Boston to cover 

 The Huskies were voted 11th in the Pac-12 Preseason Poll after a 5-21 season including a 4-16 mark in conference play and Im betting things dont get much better this season. Even here vs a lower tier opponents laying this many points is not a recipe for success for their betting backers. 

N ARIZONA is 6-0 ATS  in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.Lumberjacks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.

Lumberjacks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record and  are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record as well as  going 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games.Lumberjacks are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss which was the case in their opener.Lumberjacks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog.

WASHINGTON is 6-23 ATS when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons.Huskies are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite.

Play on Northern Arizona to cover 

The Indiana Pacers struggled in the high altitudes of  Denver against the  Nuggets  despite of not having their  reigning NBA Most Valuable Player Nikola Jokic  in the lineup, missing a 3-point attempt in the final second and losing 101-98. Now Im betting on the Pacers being competitive again and getting us the all important cover. Pacers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Pacers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Pacers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 0 days rest.

Pacers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog.

INDIANA is 12-3 ATS  in road games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons. INDIANA is 13-4 ATS  in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 season.

Carlisle is 33-16 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less  turnovers/game as the coach of INDIANA.

NBA  team vs the money line (INDIANA) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG), after scoring 48 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 41-21 L/25 seasons for a 65% conversion rate  which qualifies ATS. 

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 38-13 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. 

Play on Indiana to cover 

The Celtics suffered their worst loss of the young season in a 115-83 thrashing by the Raptors on Oct. 22 and now the Celtics will be looking for redemption. However, in the recent past when the Celtics are in revenge mode for a loss of 10 points ore more  they are just 3-12 ATS L/2 seasons.  .BOSTON is also just 4-15 ATS vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons and overall are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.

Meanwhile, the Raptors are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog and are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Boston and are my selection here taking points based on my power rankings and overall SRS ratings: Boston owns the 17th best mark in the league @-.0.47 --while Toronto is ranked i 7th @ +3.78 giving us value according to those numbers on this line even with home court advantage on the Celtics side.

Note: SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. 

NBA Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (TORONTO) - off a home loss by 10 points or more against opponent off a road loss are 23-4 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover 

The Rockets have dropped eight consecutive games and closed a recent five-game road trip without a victory and now are suddenly being asked to cover as favorites. Motown may not inspire bettors, but they have shown a few flashes of brilliance this season . Also some bad beats and calls make them look worse than they are. No way a trust the Rockets in the fav role and will back the Pistons here getting points. 

DETROIT is 17-5 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.HOUSTON is 9-22 ATS in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

HOUSTON is 8-27 ATS  when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. HOUSTON is 10-22 ATS versus poor offensive teams - scoring 108 or less points/game over the last 3 seasons. Silas is 2-17 ATS in home games after a loss by 10 points or more as the coach of HOUSTON.HOUSTON is 1-10 ATS  in home games vs. poor rebounding teams - out-rebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 3 season.Rockets are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. 

Pistons are 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Houston.

UCF is a talented big team, but Robert Morris might surprise them here a bit tonight, behind HC Toole , and knows how to slow a game down in the half court. UCF Im sure will oblige and carry on at a snails pace like they usually do. Advantage getting points is the call 

CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (UCF) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games, mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 4-28 ATS L/24 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Robert Morris to cover 

 Last night we saw ,MAC hoops programs perform admirably  against their  Big Ten advisories.  The Akron Zips looked very strong against Ohio State  and Eastern Michigan over powered Indiana down the stretch in the 2nd half. Now a Bulls team with 5 returning starters and plenty of experience, also looks like a side that could give a revamped Michigan side that lost alot of their scoring from last season some problems.This is a  Buffalo program that  ranked in  the top-25 Division I teams in defensive effective FG%, as well as  defensive 3P% and offensive rebounding conversion rate and that defensive prowess Im betting will be the difference maker tonight.Bulls are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.

Play on Buffalo to cover

The Clippers have won 4 straight and are currently in top form. Meanwhile, the Trailblazers have been highly inconsistent this season, and have not shown themselves to be viable bets on the road failing to cover in their L/6 away games. Recent history also favors the Clippers who are 5-0 ATS L/5 in this series at home.  LA CLIPPERS are 41-27 ATS  versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game over the last 2 seasons 

 NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA CLIPPERS) - after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, first half of the season are 43-16 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.  

NBAHome teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA CLIPPERS) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 49-17 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.  

 Play on the Clippers to win 

 The Hawks will match up with the Utah Jazz for the 2nd time this week. Utah  won the first meeting 116-98 but Im betting on a aggregate of 10 more points on the board here according to my projections thus giving value to an over bet. Part of this assessment is based on the Jazz expecting to  have  Mike Conley back in the lineup which aid in offensive flow. Add to that  Atlanta has allowed each of its past seven opponents to score between 111 and 127 points and we have a large output expectation here. 

 ATLANTA is 31-13 OVER  after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 3 seasons a combined average of 232.4 ppg scored.  Over is 5-0 in Hawks last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Over is 10-2 in Jazz last 12 games as a home favorite.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 48-17 L/25 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (UTAH) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 37-13 L/25 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the OVER 

Top scorer Brandon McKissic  moved on but now but UKMC  return two of their four double-digit scorers and have a tenacious group of rebounders to compliment them. Meanwile, Minnesota finished last season losing 8 of their L/9 games and now have a boatload full of transfers in the lineup which Im betting will see them take time to jell. Thats not conducive to covering tonights spread according to my projections. 

Play on UMKC to cover

Jacksonville State returns  96% of its scoring   from an 18-win team  and has a talented group that includes  high-major transfers,. With that said Jacksonville State poses a formidable opposition  for the higher brand name  Wichita State  Shockers.  Key problem with the Shockers could be their rebounding that saw them finish  20 worst defensive rebounding teams in Division I. They will obviously try to address this but against this type of opponent the correction process could be paused right out of the gate.  JACKSONVILLE ST is 8-1 ATS   as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. Plus this interesting anomaly that shows them cashing 16 of their L/19 Tuesday night tilts. Harper is 39-21 ATS  as an underdog as the coach of JACKSONVILLE ST.

Jacksonville State to cover 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.