The Jazz and the Warriors enter this game playing at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum. But despite of that Im betting he Jazz will be ready for a top tier  team they handle well as is evident by winning 3 of the L/4 meetings with the only loss suffered last time out by a 124-123 score here in Salt Lake City on Oct 17 of this season. It must also be noted that there are many ebbs and flows to a NBA season, and current form does not always indicate how a game will be played out. Matchup discrepancies, system vs system, and coaching consistencies trump form in a league that can see performance charts change over a short period of time and game to game. With that said, Im backing the slumping Jazz to right their ship tonight vs the defending champion Warriors here in their own backyard. 

NBA team vs the money line (UTAH) - explosive offensive team - scoring 103+ points/game on the season, after scoring 40 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 23-4 L22 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Utah Jazz to cover 

Golden State enters this game doing what they do best and that is put points up on the board in bunches, as is evident by their 3rd overall ppg output of 115.9 ppg  and 1st overall offensive efficiency.  You have to be able to score to compete with the Warriors, and they will actually force their opponent to playing a more wide open style of basketball under most circumstances. With that said, Im betting the defensive minded Jazz will be forced to ratchet up the pace here tonight and convert more consistently vs the Warriors 15th ranked D, as was the case when they lost to the Warriors in a hard fought 124-123 effort back on Oct 19 of this season here in Utah. Im bettong on a similar type  average combined offensive output in tonight Salt Lake City rematch.  

Note: My projections estimate both sides will score 109 or more points in this tilt. UTAH is 12-0 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 238.3 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 14-1 OVER  where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 242 ppg scored. 

UTAH is 14-4 OVER after playing a road game this season with a combined average of 222.1 ppg going on the board. 

UTAH is 7-0 OVER  in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game this season with a combined average of 226.3 pig scored.GOLDEN STATE in  their L/25 road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 228.7 ppg go on the scoreboard. 

Play OVER 

Nebraska Omaha in their 3 true home games this season have averaged 83 ppg, and Im betting will push the action here tonight vs a Santa Barbara team, that despite of being able to play solid defence, can light it up when called upon, averaging 74.9 ppg overall. With that said, Im betting on this Toal being eclipsed. 

UC-SANTA BARBARA is 23-10 OVER in road games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season with a combined average of 149 ppg going on the board.UC-SANTA BARBARA is 10-1 OVER in road games after playing a road game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 160 ppg going on the scoreboard.UC-SANTA BARBARA is 11-2 OVER in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons and  is 8-1 OVER in a road game where the total is 140 to 144.5 over the last 2 seasons. UC-SANTA BARBARA is 6-0 OVER  as a road favorite or pick over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 162.8 ppg scored. 

Play OVER 

The Hilltoppers are off a rare 87-81 at home to Troy on Dec. 16, snapping a streak of eight straight wins for WKU inside E.A. Diddle Arena .  Meanwhile, Belmont is coming off a huge 74-72 road win at UCLA on Saturday and could easily be in a letdown spot. Public money  is all over this one with Belmont. I like the situation and the opportunity to fade the public here. 
 

W KENTUCKY is 6-0 ATS   after a loss by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.W KENTUCKY is 13-5 ATS versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons.

Stansbury is 16-6 ATS   after scoring 80 points or more as the coach of W KENTUCKY.Byrd is 3-11 ATS  in home games after 2 or more consecutive unders as the coach of BELMONT. 

Play on W.Kentucky to cover 

San Antonio has been playing better hoops of late after a slow start to their campaign, but in the past being in top form than going on the road has not always been a profitable situation for their betting backers as they are just 1-9 ATS  in road games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons

 Meanwhile, Orlando after struggling with defence early on the season, are now playing a more physical and methodical brand of basketball  that has seen them hold 4 of their 7 opponents under 91 points, and has resulted in them  winning 2 straight games thanks to their more responsible defensive stances. As a result the Magic have played some low scoring tilts of late, which have in the past translated in positive ATS results for them and their backers as ORLANDO is 10-0 ATS after 4 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.

Tonight Im betting the home team, takes the Spurs offensive flow away, and systematically slows their opposition down on their way to a win, much like they did when they met the Spurs back on Nov. 4 in Texas taking out the Spurs by a 117-110 count. 

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ORLANDO) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (82 or more shots/game), after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 35% or less are 28-8 L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 46% or better  on the season against opponent after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 35% or less are 4-25 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Orlando Magic to cover 

The Seahawks, 4-7, visit former Colonial Athletic Association rival Georgia State, 7-4. The Seahawks has lost three in a row to high-profile opponents, including last Saturday's setback at nationally-ranked Furman. But those games will have them ready to compete here vs this type of  versatile  opponent in Georgia State. 

Take the points herewith the NC Wilmington 

Eastern Washington hosts a strong Jackrabbits team that are 9-4 following last Saturday's 72-68 loss at unbeaten Nevada (11-0). Im betting after that  hard fought loss that South Dakota State will be a in natural letdown situation, vs a  struggling team that Im sure their overlooking. 

E WASHINGTON is 24-10 ATS  in home games after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread 

Play  on E.Washington to cover 

UT Chatanooga enter this game off a 20 point loss to Mississippi last time out, and will now be in a letdown spot after playing a superior SEC team that Im sure they were pumped to play against. In the past when Chat has been blown out they have not faired well  in their followup as is evident by going just 0-10 ATS  after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons and is 0-8 ATS  after a loss by 15 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

UT Martin is a perfect 4-0 at home during the 2018-19 campaign and  get the nod again to win and more importantly cover in this spot behind a lineup that  boast six players who average double-figures in the scoring column while six different UT Martin players have led the team in scoring through the season's first eight games.

Play UT Martin to cover 

The Murray State Racers (7-1) look to extend their 13-game home winning streak when they welcome the Evansville Purple Aces (5-5) into the CFSB Center. I know we have to lay DDs here with the Racers, but they have this line right, and actually short on it in my humble opinion.The Racers lead the OVC in blocked shots (5.9 per game), field goal percentage defense (.351, which is second in all of NCAA D-I), 3-point percentage defense (.205, first in the nation) and scoring defense (56.5ppg, fifth in the country). Last week in wins over Southern Illinois and Jackson State, the Racers only gave up seven 3-pointers in 80 minutes of basketball. Domination is the name of the game here tonight at home in front of their own alumni. 

Play on the Murray State to cover 

Washingtons been harping on playing better D , and they acquired two way stalwart  Trevor Ariza to help them out in that department. However, for now Im betting  it will take their own flow away and hinder them more than help at least for now.  I know Atlanta does not inspire bettors, but this young team has endless energy and can grind away at an opponent with non stop energizer bunny type of hoops. With that said, Im betting on Atlanta covering here tonight, vs a Washington team that has played its absolute worst hoops on the road this season where they are 4-12 SU/ATS.

WASHINGTON is 3-12 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season.

WASHINGTON is 1-8 ATS  in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23  or more assists/game this season.

WASHINGTON is 0-7 ATS  in road games after allowing 110 points or more 3 straight games this season and   is 0-9 ATS  in road games after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games this season is 0-8 ATS in road games after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games this season. ( Beat LAL 125-110 last time out). WASHINGTON is 0-8 ATS in road games after a non-conference game this season.

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ATLANTA) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in December games are 42-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 46% or worse on the season, hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47%or more  of their shots are 1-10 SU this season. 

Play on Atlanta to cover 

Both these teams have shown flashes of brilliance this season, and both have looked a little tepid in their play of late. But according to my power rankings they matchup very well against each other in a game that could easily be a pickem.

 BU has lost 3-of-4 after a 6-1 start and  is 7-4 during the 2018-19 season with a 1-2 road record. The Braves did win their last road game with a 68-62 victory at Little Rock on Dec. 4.  Meanwhile, Georgia Southern enters the game with a 7-3 record in 2018-19. The Eagles have lost three of their last five after a 5-0 start.

The last time these teams mets Bradley held a Eagles team that was averaging 83.5 points per game to just 57 in a five-point victory.  Right now Georgia Southern  run and guns just the opposite of the Braves, averaging 89.7 points per game but allowing 76.7. In 11 games, the Braves have learned they will only go as far as their defense takes them.In its seven wins, Bradley is allowing only 61.4 points per game.  That what Im betting on here being key to us getting the cover. DEFENCE. Just like ion last seasons victory. 

Bradley is 15-8 all-time against current members of the Sun Belt Conference.

Take the points with Bradley to cover 

Xavier, 7-4, is coming off a 95-77 win over Eastern Kentucky on Saturday at Cintas Center. Xavier shot 71.4 percent (35-of-49) from the field, the highest single-game effort by any team in the nation so far this season and roll in this game with a fullhead of steam and momentum on their sides here in Missouri Tuesday night. Xavier has had  faired well against current teams in the Southeastern Conference despite its 88-79 overtime loss to No. 8 Auburn on Nov. 19 at the Maui Invitational. XU is 19-6 in its last 25 games against nine different current SEC members dating back to 2008 and get the nod again in a positive matchup situation.

MISSOURI is 6-20 ATS after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1997.

Play on Xavier to cover 

Drexel enters the game averaging more than 82 points per contest, tops in the Colonial Athletic Association. All five starters average at least 10 points and are a dangerous side, even against a team like UConn that is over rated because of consistent wins vs mid major teams, but is still not back to being a national championship contender just yet  . According to my projections we have alot of value here on a bloated DD line based on false assumptions. 

Play on Drexel to cover 

Memphis has not breached the 99 point plateau in 5 straight games and 7 of their L/8 overall and are ranked 28th in the league in offensive output averaging 102.5 ppg behind the 30th ranked pace. The Grizzlies saving grace is their defence that is ranked 2nd in points per game allowed ( 102.1 ppg). Needless to say the Grizzlies are methodical in their approach to their games, and will be even more so, here this evening vs a explosive Golden State Warriors team, that when pushed can  out run and gun anybody in this league, but to this point in the season, have preferred a more systematic approach and rank just 11th in pace. Tonight Im betting the Grizzlies do everything in their power to make this a ugly grinding affair, and for this to result in a a lack of flow which results in a total score that remains on the low side of the offered Total. 

Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (GOLDEN STATE) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games are 31-7 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate with  combined average 191.6 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER 

 Valpo is off defeating George Washington in Washington, D.C. by an 82-79 final and have momentum entering this game. Note: Valpo enjoyed its second strong shooting performance in the last three games, hitting at a 53.6% clip (30-of-56) from the field.

The two hoops programs have matched up nine times over the last 12 seasons,  and Valpo has  won the last five matchups on its home court against the Cardinals and get the nod again according to my power rankings and projections.

Valpo posted a 10-4 record at home last year, its eighth consecutive season reaching double figures in home victories

- Valpo has recorded a 60-9 (.870) mark in home games since the start of the 2014-15 season.

- Over the last 23 years, Valpo owns a 295-65 (.819) record on its home court at the ARC.

BALL ST is 1-8 ATS off a road loss over the last 2 seasons. BALL ST is 25-62 ATS  L/ 87 off a road loss by 10 points or more.BALL ST is 2-9 ATS  after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons.BALL ST is 4-13 ATS after 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better.

Play on Valparaiso to cover 

 Detroit's ended a  six-game losing streak this past Saturday night by  defeating the Boston' Celtics and ending their  opponents eight-game winning streak with a 113-104 victory at Little Caesars Arena. With momentum on their sides, I now expect the Pistons to give the Bucks a team that has won 3 of their L/4 a fight for their money in their spot. Detroit is 3-1 SU l/4 at home in this series, and are 4-1 in division games this season!

DETROIT is 13-3 ATS versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season. 

MILWAUKEE is 14-25 ATS  after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - dominant rebounding team - outrebounding opponents by 5+ per game, in December games are 103-185 L/22 seasons for a go against 64% SU conversion rate foe bettors. 

NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, first half of the season are 14-42 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Detroit Pistons to cover 

The Deacons after being off for 10 days for exams are fresh and ready to  play a Davidson team Monday night that should rank as the best team Wake Forest has played this season.Before the break in a DD win, Wake Forest held Charlotte to a 3-for-18 clip from beyond the arc, a season-best in 3s made and in percentage allowed (16.7 percent). Davidson  is a trey heavy group  , with 47.6 percent of its shots coming from behind the arc. Im betting the Deacons ability to limit them will the difference maker here this evening. 

CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DAVIDSON) - good shooting team (45-47.5%) against an average defensive team (42.5-45%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 47% or more  of their shots are 12-40 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Wake Forest to cover 

Sunday night's key prime time matchup in the NBA features the top teams in the Eastern and Western Conferences. Both teams are banged up, and missing players. But one key players that Im betting makes a difference here tonight will be hard to replace for the Raptors and that is center Jonas Valanciunas, who just underwent surgery and is out for extended period of time.It must also be noted that Raps Forward Kawhi Leonard also just recently missed two games with a hip injury,  and is less than 100% and guard Kyle Lowry is listed as questionable for Sunday's game with a thigh injury.The Nuggets snapped the Raptors' eight-game winning streak with a 106-103 victory on Dec. 3 and I know the Raps will be out looking for revenge, but you don'T always get what you want as the Nuggets matchup well vs this type of opponent. 

Raptors are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Northwest and are 3-8 ATS L/11 in Denver.Underdog is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

Nuggets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Nuggets are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win.Nuggets are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.Nuggets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Nuggets are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall

 Denver is 14-2 ATS after 1 or more consecutive unders this season. Denver is 5-0 ATS L/5 vs Toronto.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (DENVER) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game against opponent after scoring 110 points or more 3 straight games are 43-10 SU L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover 

I'll start off by saying  that I am not much an admirer of the Pelicans and HC Gentry system. I know he has hands full trying to find stablemates and side kicks for super star Anthony Davis, but this team, runs on Davis's energy, and when he's not 100% , which he's not, the team is also less than 100% The Pelicans have not won back to back games since mid November , and just don't have any real consistency. Meanwhile, their opponents tonight the Heat, are a well coached team behind, Spoelstra  who knows how to deal with teams like the Pelicans going 16-5 ATS L/21  in road games versus struggling defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game. Miami despite of not having a super star like Davis in their lineup work hard, and Im betting they get us the cover in this spot via their usual blue collar efforts.

Spoelstra is 22-8 ATS in road games after playing 4 consecutive road games as the coach of MIAMI. 

MIAMI is 11-2 ATS  in road games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

NEW ORLEANS is 1-11 ATS  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season. 

Play on the Miami Heat to cover 

CSUN is coming off of a ugly loss at San Diego, which halted a two game win streak for the Matadors.They are 3-6 overall, which includes a 1-3 home record. Im betting they are at a disadvantage vs a Pacific team on a 3 game winning streak.

CBB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CS-NORTHRIDGE) - playing with 5 or 6 days rest are 55-95 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

CBB Home underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (CS-NORTHRIDGE) - off a road loss by 10 points or more, playing with 5 or 6 days rest are 1-44 L/5 seasons for a go against   98% conversion rate for bettors with the average point differential clicking in at 9.8 ppg. 

Play on Pacific to cover 

Western Kentucky is averaging 87 ppg at home this season, and will force Troy into a uptempo game. Troy has averaged 75+ ppg so they can can reciprocate with some offensive fireworks of their won when called upon. and scored 88 points last time out.  With that said, look for this tilt to end up on the high side of the Total. 

TROY is 7-0 OVER versus poor passing teams, averaging 12 or less assists/game over the last 3 seasons.  with a combined average of 157 ppg scored.

HC Stansbury is 15-4 OVER in home games off an upset win as an underdog in all games with a combined average of 149.8 ppg scored. ( W.Kentucky upset @ Arkansas 78-77 last time out) Look for them to run and with confidence in the followup)

CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (W KENTUCKY) - off a road win, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a marginal losing team are 27-7 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

at T-Mobile Arena - Las Vegas, NV

After losing  to No. 24 Houston in its last outing, the LSU has to adjust to a aa different style of play here tonight  vs St.Mary's.(Saint Mary’s) runs a European-style offense, as they use alot of guard screen action, with a lot of different cutting actions. Im betting this poses some problem for the Tigers.Ford, the Gaels’ leading scorer at 22.5 points per game, is hitting 51.5 percent from the field and makes 44.0 percent of his shots from beyond the 3-point arc and will be key here.As a team, Saint Mary’s is connecting on 49.7 of its field-goal attempts and shoots 39.1 percent from 3-point range.  Bottom line, this is a tough turnaround situation for LSU after playing Houston, and a slow start here could doom them here, or at least give us a very viable opportunity for us to get a cover here. 

Play on St.Marys to cover 

The Clippers have struggled to score consistently of late and have scored 99 points or less in 4 of their L/5 games. Im betting their offensive woes will continue tonight vs a Thunder team  that ranks 5th in defensive efficiency.  This will translate in a much lower scoring tilt than the lines makers estimate.OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-1 UNDER  versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season with a combined average of 203.2 pig scored.OKLAHOMA CITY is 35-19 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 212.7 ppg and is 54-31 UNDER  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts over the last 3 season s with a combined average of 211.9 ppg. 

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 47-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play UNDER 

The Sooners enter this game against USC with a 8-1 start all out of conference wins, using defence rather than offence to get the job sone. The Sooners are coming off one of their best defensive performances in recent seasons , holding Wichita State to 48 points on 15-of-62 (.242) shooting their last time out, and has held its opponent to 60 or fewer points four of its last six games and are well prepared to face the Trojans are with momentum on their sides. Oklahoma’s defense has been especially dominate late in the game. In OU’s eight victories, its opposition are shooting a combined 30.1 percent (20.5 percent from 3)  in the last 15 minutes of the game, giving me confidence in the Sooners ability to finish this tilt strong and get us the cover   .The Sooners are 5-0 against Pac-12 opponents during the Lon Kruger era and they get the nod again and im more importantly the cover.

OKLAHOMA is 6-0 ATS  as a favorite this season with he point diff clicking in at 15.8 ppg this season.

HC Enfield is 1-8 ATS   in road games after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games as the coach of US and is 10-21 ATS   when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or more ) as the coach of USC with the average ppg diff clicking in at 10.6 ppg. 

Play on Oklahoma to cover 

Eastern Illinois currently in top form looks to win its third straight game as the Panthers visit Bradley. The Braves 7-3 might have a winning record, but Im not overly impressed by them , and according to my projections are being over rated by the linesmakers here on the opening line.  Bradley stopped a two game losing streak to Arkansas LR last time out, but had to come from behind to do it. Note: BRADLEY is 6-18 ATS after trailing their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half and  is just  3-11 ATS on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Eastern Illinois to cover 

Boston (18-10) has won eight straight, including a 129-108 victory over Atlanta on Friday night and enter this game against their hosts the Pistons with a full head of steam, and despite of a heavy schedule still lookalike very viable options to cover vs a team they matchup well against. Note: NBA Favorites SU (BOSTON) - after 8 or more consecutive wins, tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days are good long term  bets going 43-5 SU L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate with the average point differential clicking in at 10.5 ppg making this a viable cover situation for the Celtics .

BOSTON is  also 12-1 ATS  off a home blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

The Celtics have already beaten the Pistons twice this season. They smashed them  at Little Caesars Arena 109-89 on Oct. 27, then beat them in Boston 108-105 three nights later. Note: The Pistons are just 0-6 ATS L/6 vs the Celtics with same season double  revenge . 

DETROIT is 2-12 ATS in home games against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons with the average point diff clicking in at 4 ppg. 

Play on the Boston Celtics to cover 

at Bankers Life Fieldhouse - Indianapolis, IN

On Saturday, Butler (7-2) takes on No. 25 Indiana (8-2) in the Crossroads Classic.

This seasons Indiana team is much better than last years team and have already notched 4 top 50 kenpom victories. They have three straight victories over quality competition, and have a lot to prove here, on a national stage and Im betting they're up to it. Im also betting the difference will come at the charity stripe. Hey I know the Hoosiers have been highly inconsistent with their Its , but  they still own a top-80 free throw rate despite making just 63.6 percent of their freebies. Meanwhile, Butler is ranked in the 260s in both offensive and defensive free throw rate. Look for Indiana to convert a fairly high percentage of the free throws and snatch a superior advantage at the charity stripe.

BUTLER is 1-8 ATS  in road games versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons and  is 4-12 ATS  when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  80% or better) over the last 2 seasons.

 Butler's  had an explosive performance at home last time out, with 95-68 rout of visiting Northern Illinois on Dec. 8. , but a regression should be expected bossed on recent top their efforts  as they are 1-10 ATS in road games after playing a home game over the last 2 seasons.BUTLER is  also 0-6 ATS in road games after a game where they made 50% of their 3 point shots or better over the last 3 seasons and is 0-8 ATS  in road games after scoring 85 points or more over the last 2 seasons. 

CBB  underdog vs. the money line (BUTLER) - after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more against opponent after 3 straight games where both teams score 70 points or less are 4-42 L/5 seasons for a go against 91% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Indiana to cover 

Denver is 6-0 ATS L/6 vs the Thunder and beat them SU the last time they met in Oklahoma City back on Nov 28 this season winning 105-98  as 6 point rod dogs.and according to my matchup power rankings are still the  superior side when comparing system vs system output projections. I know the Thunder who are currently playing top tier hoops will be out to revenge that loss, but it must be noted that OKLAHOMA CITY is just 9-21 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons and is 6-18 ATS vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

DENVER is 7-0 ATS  in home games after a game where they covered the spread this season, which was the case last time out, in a 105-99 win vs Memphis 3 days ago. 

Bottom line here. Is that Denver is well rested and matchup well vs the Thunder. especially considering this will be the Thunders 5 road game in their L/6 outings. Also after a ha rd fought affair and loss on Wednesday night in New Orleans and now playing in the thin air of the Mile High City I wont be surprised if the Thunder run out of gas as this tilt moves into the 2nd half. Advantage Denver. 

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (DENVER) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game against opponent after scoring 110 points or more 3 straight games are 42-10 SU L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover 

Golden State after the tremendous success they have had over the last few seasons, are not playing with alot of intensity of late and are showing signs of complacency. That was evident when the Raptors came into Oakland and clobbered the defending champions by a 113-93 count this past Wednesday night. Now the sometimes lethargic looking champs go into Sacramento to play a young high energy Kings team playing inspired hoops and is up trending. The Kings on most nights are handful to handle, and nothing Im betting changes tonight. So if Golden State does get the win Im betting it will not come easily making getting points here with the home dog golden in my opinion. Note: Golden State held off Sacramento 117-116 at home on Nov. 24. A rinse and repeat situation looks to be a high probability event again. 

Warriors are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games overall.Warriors are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss.Warriors are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Warriors are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Warriors are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.Warriors are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Warriors are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Warriors are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 vs. Western Conference.

GOLDEN STATE is 12-25 ATS  when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons.

Kings are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Kings are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 1 days rest.Kings are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win.Kings are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.Kings are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.Kings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Kings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Kings are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.Kings are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. Western Conference.Kings are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games.

SACRAMENTO is 16-7 ATS when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season. 

NBA home teams vs. the money line (SACRAMENTO) - after beating the spread by more than 12 points in two consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous gamePlay on the Sacramento Kings to cover are 51-14 SU L/22 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Sacramento to cover 

Milwaukee ranks first in the NBA in offensive output ( 118.1 ppg) and the 4th fastest pace and a  defence, that ranks 11th in the league allowing 109.2 ppg. Meanwhile, Cleveland their opponents tonight rank 30th in the league in defensive efficiency (115.8 ppg) and are susceptible to being lit up like a Christmas tree vs a explosive offensive team like the Bucks. With that said, I expect the Milwaukee to do what they do best and that is run and gun, and for the Cavaliers to do what they do best,  and that is chase the scoreboard from a negative output perspective. This Im betting results in a higher scoring game than the lines-makers expect. 

MILWAUKEE is 20-9 OVER  when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219.4 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (MILWAUKEE) - off a upset loss as a favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 30-7 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors wit a combined average of 227 ppg going on the board. 

Play OVER 

The Pacers are a fine team, big and athletic and probably one of the best in the NBA . Indiana has won five straight, including a 16-point win over the Milwaukee Bucks on Wednesday night. I   know Philadelphia is very talented , despite of some recent down efforts, but from a matchup perspective the Pacers matchup very well against them and must be respected here as underdogs even though they are on the road. With With Victor Oladipo back from a knee injury that sidelined him 11 games, Indiana is back at a full strength and the are according to power rankings the beast of the east.   INDIANA is 9-1 ATS  in road games after a division game over the last 2 seasons. 

76ers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Pacers are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Pacers are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 vs. NBA Atlantic.Pacers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Pacers are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

The 76ers are 0-13 ATS  and 1-12 SU with rest off a home loss that was tied five-plus times and it is before the All-Star break with the one win coming by just 2 points. 

Play on the Indiana Pacers to cover 

UIC will play a road game in essentially their own neighbour hood  when the Flames travel less than three miles to take on the DePaul Blue Demons .The Flames won as guests at McGrath-Phillips Arena in Lincoln Park on Dec. 14, 2016, 80-75 and must not be underestimated tonight. UIC has already beaten instate rivals Bradley (Nov. 17) and Illinois State (Dec. 5) earlier this season at Credit Union 1 Arena.The Cardinals have not played since Dec. 9 at LSU and will be on fresh legs here and very ready to compete. 

IL-CHICAGO is 7-0 ATS  in road games on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons. IL-CHICAGO is 9-1 ATS when playing with 5 or 6 days rest over the last 3 seasons.IL-CHICAGO is 20-7 ATS  when the total is 150 to 159.5 over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Illinois Chicago to cover 

The Spurs are currently up trending and have won 3 straight, and are showing increased  defensive efforts and efficiency especially In their L/2 games, holding the Suns to 86 points the Jazz to 97 points. Im betting they will continue to play a tougher brand of defense first basketball here tonight against a Clippers team that despite of playing good hoops this season, have scored 99 points or less in 3 of their L/4 outings. Considering both sides current form I expect a lower scoring game than the lines makers are estimating. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (/SPURS /LA CLIPPERS) - in a game involving two good shooting teams (45.5-47.5%), in a game involving two good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO's) are 40-14 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more are 32-8 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 80%conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

The Lakers (17-10) have won six of seven games  and are now fourth in the Western Conference. Their defense,  has been particularly strong while up trending, as they have recorded  a 101.4 defensive rating  ,  ranked third in the NBA  . Tonight Im betting they have a ATS advantage vs a host team  ( Houston) that can't find consistency and constantly 2nd guessing themselves and their overall  approach.  Needless to say the host team is far from being stable at the moment and weak favorites even here on their own home court. 

HOUSTON is 8-19 ATS  versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons

Lakers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss and  are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 Thursday games. Lakers are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. Western Conference.

Rockets are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 vs. Western Conference.Rockets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Rockets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games.Rockets are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Rockets are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall. Rockets are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.

Rockets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.

Rockets are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game

NBARoad underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - after having won 2 of their last 3 games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 33-13 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LA Lakers 

Slow starts on offence have been common of late as Utah in back-to-back losses to San Antonio and Oklahoma City averaged just 41.0 first-half points in the two games. Im betting the Jazz who ranked 24th on offence ( 107.2 ppg) have problems consistently putting points on the board tonight again vs a Miami side that currently playing some of their best defence of the season allowing 101.6 ppg in their L/6 overall while holding 3 of those opponents to 100 points or less. ( 5 of those 6 games failed to eclipse the total) The Heat rank 9th in the league defensive efficiency, and own the leagues 22nd ranked offence. These team played a tight 102-100 game earlier this season, and another similar style physical game looks to be tonights agenda. 

MIAMI is 13-2 UNDER versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of just 193 ppg scored. Miami  in their L/23 games  as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 207 ppg go on the board.

NBA Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (MIAMI) -   scoring 103+ points/game on the season, after a close loss by 3 points or less are 75-39 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play UNDER 

The Tigers are 7-2 after a 91-50 home win over Incarnate Word, while Houston comes in 8-0 after a 63-53 road win over Oklahoma State. The pundits look like their in love with the Cougars, and Im not  doubting how good of a team they have, Im just betting this line is bloated and will be bet down by sharp money quickly and Im on board. Note: Houston’s strength of schedule is currently ranked 350th out of 353 teams in Division I.

HOUSTON is 0-6 ATS  off a road win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Play on LSU to cover 

Portland State  is  4-1 under HC Barret Peery dating back to last season vs  West Coast Conference.  BYU 7-4 on the season, is a tough place to play, for visiting sides, and I doubt that the Vikings can win out right here, but catching this many points is good value considering my projections  make this a 9.5 true value point spread. 

PORTLAND ST is 15-6 ATS  in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.PORTLAND ST is 12-3 ATS in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

BYU is 1-8 ATS  after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. 

Play on Portland State to cover 

We have a high total here but it's completely justified. The last time these teams played the Thunder won 122-116 at  home on Nov.5th this season, and according to the way both teams systems and players matchup another high scoring affair will be on tonights bayou agenda.This tilt  for the Pelicans against Oklahoma City will be New Orleans' eighth game in 15 days. The Pelicans have not had more than one day between games since Nov. 8- and are now on tied legs and will be in no way ready to play D, and with that said, I am betting the tThunder will light them up offensively, but thanks to a group of talented shooters averaging 49% FG at home ,  the the Birds will keep up in what will be a high scoring game according to my projections. Note: New Orleans home games have seen a combined average of 237.4 ppg scored. 

 . Note: NEW ORLEANS I in 20 games  where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season have seen a combined average 241 ppg go on the board. My estimates are higher than the +105 point plateau that this trend uses, giving us alot of value with a over wager here as associated with those outputs.

Play OVER 

The Pacers, have won four games in a row, and are very ready to take on a very good Milwaukee Bucks team here tonight. The Pacers have been playing well without key cog  Oladipo and because of their never say die attitude and very physical athletic team, are never to be discounted .  Especially at  home where they are 9-4 this season, behind their No.1 ranked defence.  Milwaukee took out the Pacers  back on Oct 19 and now the host team has revenge on board. Note INDIANA is 11-2 ATS  in home games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.INDIANA is 29-15 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better  of their shots over the last 2 seasons. 

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival against opponent after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite are 16-64 SU last 22 seasons for go against 80% conversion rate for bettors with the point differential clicking in at 8.9 ppg. 

Indiana to cover 

The Raptors enter this game against the Clippers struggling. Even a very good team like the Raptors go through slumps, and Im betting thats what thy are in the midst of right now  as they  are scoring just  105 points per game, while going 1-3 over their last four trips to the hardwood. With that said, I look for the Clippers to be very competitive here tonight on their own home floor where they have won 9 of their L/11 overall this season. 

Clippers are 2-0 SU L/2 as hosts in this series and have won 3 of the L/4 meetings overall. 

The Clippers are 10-0 ATS/SU L/11 with less than two days rest off a win as a favorite when they won 2 straight vs current opponent and it is before the All-Star break. 

Play on the LA Clippers to cover 

 Both these teams style of play  and versatility seems to change from game to game depending on their competition. Denver has held 5 teams to under 70 points in 10 games, while Wyoming has held 2 of their last 4 opponents to 66 points or less,   Im betting on both teams defences standing tall here today, as  my cross reference power rankings and system vs system analysis suggests a total combined score output of around 144.5 , thus according to those projections we have value with an under wager in this spot. 

DENVER is 60-31 UNDER  versus poor passing teams, averaging 12 or less  assists/game are with a combined average of 138.4 ppg scored.DENVER is 13-4 UNDER off a home blowout win by 20 points or more with a. combined average of 133.8 ppg scored.

CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (DENVER/WYOMING) - in a game involving two bad teams (20% to 40%), in December games are 36-10 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

HC Popovich of the Spurs , has been trying to make sure there has been a balance in the way his team is playing at both ends of the court. He has wanted to see an uptempo attack and concerted defensive effort in transition. Its been a work in progress, but last time out against Utah the Spurs finally played a complete game , winning as underdogs and holding their opponent to just 97 points. That was the Spurs second straight win as pups. With that success, and confidence on their sides, I once again expect for a strong defensive effort here vs a Suns team that has been held under 99 points in 6 of their L/7 overall, thanks in part to top scorer Devon Booker being out.  With that said, Im betting  the combined score here does not eclipse this number.

SAN ANTONIO is 14-2 UNDER off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog with a combined average of 178.6 ppg scored.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more are 31-8 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

NBA road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (PHOENIX) - horrible team - outscored by their opponents by 9+ points/game, after allowing 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 30-9 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the UNDER 

The Rockets are not the same team they have been the last couple of season and have  a lot of weaknesses that are becoming obvious. The Rockets defence is ranked 25th in points allowed per 100 possessions (112.2) and their week under the offensive glass ranking 29th in defensive rebounding rate (68.5 percent) and ahead of only the Washington Wizards. The Rockets are playing uninspired ball, and showing very little cohesiveness as a team and as a result have ,lost 7 of their L/9 games. Meanwhile, Portland after an extended slump, have come to life lately with two consecutive wins, and will be primed to continue to jump start themselves here by ending a 4 game road losing streak , which has me recommending we go o take here with the visitors in this spot. 

HOUSTON is 7-19 ATS versus teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons and is 5-14 ATS  versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season. HOUSTON is 1-8 ATS  when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days this season.

PORTLAND is 15-5 ATS after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite over the last 3 seasons

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PORTLAND) - after having won 2 of their last 3 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 26-4 ATS L/5 season for a 87% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Portland to cover 

UCF runs  a slow down system which is methodical in nature.UCF owns the 17th-lowest Adjusted Tempo (65.5 possessions per 40 minutes) in the nation.According  to my cross reference rankings, this total should be closer to 140 which gives us sufficient value to the under here. Note: UCF is 20-8 UNDER  versus good teams like G.Southern - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 123 ppg scored.

GA SOUTHERN is 8-0 UNDER in road games after a combined score of 155 points or more 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 131.2 ppg scored.

CF is 7-0 UNDER  after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ more free throws than opponent over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 126.5 ppg going on the score board.

CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (UCF) - slow-down team averaging 53 or less shots/game on the season, in December games are 249-162 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play UNDER 

Both these teams have played competitive basketball this season, via two contrasting styles.

The Eagles (5-2 against the spread) shot 38.5% on 3s in their latest win over Mercer last time out. Im always on the quest for hot behind the arc shooting teams when Im looking for a  DD cover, and they fit the bill. 

According to my line projections this line  should be closer to 9 point favourites, and offers us value with the visiting dog. 

Play on G.Southern to cover 

 Considering both teams systems and player personnel Im betting this number is slightly bloated to the upside giving us value with an under wager. My number sits at 147.5 which is close to a 2 possession game in the difference making this viable wagering opportunity. 

PACIFIC is 15-5 UNDER L/20 in home games versus foul prone teams - called for 21 or more fouls/game with a combined average of 133 ppg scored.

LONG BEACH ST is 17-7 UNDER (+9.3 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 146.6 ppg scored.

LONG BEACH ST is 11-3 UNDER in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 146.7 ppg scored. 

CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (LONG BEACH ST) - a bad team, winning 20% to 40% of their games on the season, in December games are 173-119 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 59% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

LBSU returns a pair of All-Big West honorees from a season ago. Both Yussuf and Booker were Honorable Mention All-Big West selections and are key members on a team that must not be disrespected, despite of their losing record so far this season .  I know Pacific has played well of late, and 7-4 this season and boast a solid 5-1 home record, but I have to stick to my power ranking assessments that say this game should be closer to a 3 point line favouring Pacific thus giving us value backing Long Beach State. 

Play on Long Beach St to cover 

The Bulls are a mess and have lost 12 of their L/14 games. Meanwhile, Sacramento had a 3 game winning streak end last time out, losing to a very good Indiana side. Wha tIm betting on here tonight is for Chicago hoops team to continue to struggle in rebuilding mode, and for the Kings to be keen on taking care of business vs a lower tier team. In their last two road games vs sub par competition the Suns and the Cavaliers the Kings came out of those tilts with DD victories and more of the same kind of one sided action looks to be on their agenda tonight .SACRAMENTO is 11-2 ATS when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season.

Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover 

 Marshall is off a hard fought 75-74 loss to Toledo last time out at home and will now be in a letdown spot here in the followup tilt Note: MARSHALL is 7-18 ATS off a home loss by 3 points or less .

Play on Morehead State to cover 

The Knicks in their current form don't inspire bettors, but my projections estimate this line to be bloated, making the Hornets fade material in this spot. Also the Hornets are off a hard fought win vs Denver last time out. I watched part of that game and you could tell this  Charlotte team was working hard and playing with intensity, which Im betting will have them in a natural letdown situation here today vs a side that not only does not inspire bettors, but their opposition as well. 

CHARLOTTE is 11-29 ATS against Atlantic division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Hornets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Hornets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Hornets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Knicks are 6-1 ATS L/7 overall in this series and 4-0 SU/ATS  L/4 here at home in MSG. 

Play NY Knicks to cover 

Im very surprised at how badly the San Antonio Spurs have performed this season, and how atrocious their defence has been overall. With that said, and  from a matchup perspective when factoring in player vs player and system vs system, Utah matches up very well vs their hosts and get my support here based on some long standing strategies I've had success with over the years from a long term perspective. Note:  The Jazz set a franchise record with 20 three-pointers made in Monday's win over San Antonio, shooting 60.6 percent (20-33) from beyond the arc on their way to their 34-point win. 

 I know the Spurs showed some life last time out coming from behind to win 130-122 vs the Lakers, but they exerted a great deal of energy in that game, and could suffer the effects of that hard work here vs a physical Utah Jazz team.Note: The Spurs, haven't won back-to-back games since winning four straight in an eight-day span Oct. 27-Nov. 3 and Im betting they falter here today. 

Utah is off a 118-91 win vs Houston last time out. 

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (UTAH) - after a blowout win by 15 points or more against opponent after 4 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 70-13 L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors with the combined average point differential clicking in at 9.8 pg.

NBA Home underdogs (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 30 points or more against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are 15-45 L/22 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Utah to cover 

at Talking Stick Resort Arena - Phoenix, AZ

Nevada (9-0) is off to its best start in school history and is currently 5-0 during a six-game road trip, with 25 days between home games. Thanks to this big time start, they are being made hefty DD chalk in a neutral court environment.But the 5-3 Antelopes, who are coached by Dan Majerle, who spent a good portion of his professional career in the Valley of Sun must not be underestimated in their ability to cover this number and be fairly competitive vs a behemoth side.In two of their losses, Grand Canyon let a late lead slip away against Seton Hall  and a slow start saw them lose to Utah despite of not looking out of place and at times dominated that game. Since those two losses, however they have won two straight, defeating LaSalle and Boise State and come in here with momentum. 

Play on Grand Canyon to cover 

The Pelicans and Anthony Davis come into Motown to play a banged up group of Pistons hobbled by injuries. Davis  loves to play against the Pistons as is evident by averaging  30.4 points in 10 games against them, his highest career mark against any opponent. Im betting he will flourish again against a team that will have rotational issues with player personal adjustments expected. 

DETROIT is 4-14 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons.DETROIT is 19-38 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. 

The Pistons are own a ugly 1-11 SU and 3-9 ATS record in this series, including 1-5 SUATS the last six at home.

Play on the New Orleans Pelicans to cover 

Coming off a game vs nationally ranked Virginia will have VMI ready to compete here vs a Chattanooga side that they matchup well against in this conference opener. 

UT-CHATTANOOGA is 8-18 ATS L/26 in all home games over the last 3 seasons. 

UT-CHATTANOOGA is 2-9 ATS  in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons and is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more  of their attempts over the last 3 seasons and is 6-15 ATS  versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 season. 

The Keydets have taken three of the past four matchups including a season sweep last year (70-69 at Chattanooga, 68-65 in Lexington).VMI is 2-0 SU/ATS L/2 visits here.

Play on VMI to cover 

This game features Western Conference competitors vying for future play off positioning, and Im expecting a hard fought game with home court advantage being the difference maker for the home side Portland. I know the Wolves have played good ball since Jimmy Butler was traded, and that the Blazers have been less than consistent, but after playing some decent ball in their last trip to the hardwood allowing the Suns just 86 points in a victory. I expect the Blazers to use the momentum of that tilt to buoy them into this tilt. Note: PORTLAND is 9-1 ATS after allowing 90 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 0-8 ATS  in road games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

Portland is 5-0 SU/ATS L/5 at home in this series.

NBA Home favorites (PORTLAND) - after a game where they covered the spread, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 87-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Portland to cover 

After racing past UC Merced on Tuesday, Bakersfield will take momentum to  MoscowIdaho for Saturday's matchup with the Vandals(3-5) .In a matchup of small schools my projections like Bakersfield 4-4 to cash here. Bakersfield has won four of the last five contests and swept a pair of games last season and get the nod again.

Both these combatants played last night. The Lakers exhausted four starters upward of 36 minutes Friday night in a 133-120 loss at San Antonio that snapped a four-game winning streak, but now will have very little left in the tank tonight to face a physical hardworking Memphis team playing at home. Meanwhile, The Grizzlies,   played no one more than 35 minutes and  took a 107-103 win at New Orleans. The Grizzlies now have an advantage. Note: MEMPHIS is 13-3 ATS  in home games off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

LA LAKERS are 1-8 ATS versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season. LA LAKERS are 19-34 ATS  when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last 3 seasons

NBA Underdogs vs the money line (LA LAKERS) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning recorder 14-64 SU l/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Underdogs (LA LAKERS) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 22-553ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Memphis to cover 

The Nets pulled out a 106-105 overtime win over the Eastern Conference-leading Toronto Raptors on Friday night, and will now be on tired legs, and be less than ready to run and gun vs the NY Knicks here tonight. Meanwhile, the Knicks off shooting 39.6 percent shooting from the field in the loss, are a team that is struggling mightily to be consistent offensively. What was horrendous was the Knicks allowed the Celtics to shoot better than 53% in that loss, and now HC Fizdale will demanding his squad play better D, and to be more methodical with their approach. The above combinations Im betting will see this total combined score stay on the low side of the total. 

NEW YORK is 18-8 UNDER  when playing against a below .500 team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons with the combined average score of 206.3 ppg scored.BROOKLYN is 28-14 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 212.6 ppg going on the board. 

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (BROOKLYN) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 29-3 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

Indiana is a big strong athletic team that bases their successes and failures on their ability to play top tier D, and are allowing just 97.5 ppg at home this season. On the season they are ranked first in ppg allowed and 2nd in defensive rating. I know the the Kings run and in gun in with reckless abandon, but Indiana has the ability to dictate the pace here especially at home. The Pacers are ranked 26th in pace  in the NBA and are methodical in their approach and nothing changes here today. 

INDIANA is 9-0 UNDER when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons.

INDIANA is 15-5 UNDER in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 202.5 pig scored.INDIANA is 12-4 UNDER versus struggling  defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game this season with a combined average of 204.7 ppg scored.INDIANA is 22-8 UNDER L/30 in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game with a combined average of 200.7 ppg scored. 

  NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (INDIANA) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more are 39-8 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play UNDER 

Houston rolls in here looking for revenge for a loss they suffered to the Mavericks 128-108 at home last week, and despite of wanting revenge are not showing much of a winning touch or any consistency of late, losing 6 of their L/8 overall. In their current form they look less than viable road chalk. Meanwhile, Dallas despite of a dismal effort in their last trip to the court a 132-106 beat down at the hands of the Pelicans , have shown a historical propensity for a top tier bounce back effort, as is evident by HC Carlisle  10-1 ATS record off a blowout loss by 20 points or more to a division rival as the coach of DALLAS. Note: Road teams vs. the money line (HOUSTON) - vs. division opponents, off 2 consecutive road losses by 10 points or more are 13-56 L/22 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors.

HOUSTON is 7-18 ATS versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons

DALLAS is 10-2 ATS in home games this season. 

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - after having won 2 of their last 3 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 25-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Dallas to cover 

The Flames rank 16th in the NCAA with 93 3-pointers made and 19th with 10.3 3-point field goals per game this season.Nine different players have converted at least one 3-pointer through nine games, and seven have made at least five. This makes them viable cover options thanks to their downtown abilities to cover vs the back door and put points on the board in bunches. IL-CHICAGO is 9-1 ATS  in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.COLORADO is 4-19 ATS  after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons. 

Play on Illinois Chicago to cover 

These teams  Wisconsin and Marquette will meet for the 125th time Saturday afternoon in Milwaukee.

Wisconsin (8-1, 2-0 Big Ten), ranked No. 12 coming into the game, but Im betting will have their hands full with this strong looking Marquette group. 

Wisconsin plays a methodical type of basketball, and are not built to run and gun , and since I expect Marquette to bomb from the land of the trey constantly here this afternoon, the Badgers will be in trouble.Also aside from Happ Wisconsins rebounding is average at best and that always is a problem, vs a Marquette team playing tough in the paint and surprisingly playing good D, which has not been the case over the last couple of seasons. Right now Maquette looks very balanced , and Im backing them here. Home court advantage has not been a real advantage lately with the road team winning the last 4 meetings, but today Im betting that changes.

MARQUETTE is 8-0 ATS after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons.

CBB- A home team (MARQUETTE) - very good defensive team - shooting pct defense of 39% or less on the season against opponent hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47% or more of their shots are 75-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Marquette to cover 

The South Alabama  Jaguars enter Saturday's game with losses in three of their last four, including a 71-60 setback at the University of New Orleans on Wednesday night and are looking very inconsistent so far this season. The Jags area team that is lead by one man band Kory Holden who has back to back 40 point games. Im betting the Tulane  Green Wave  who  currently lead all American Athletic Conference teams in 3-point field goal percentage, converting at a 37.5 percent clip to bomb there way to a win from downtown here this afternoon vs what can be best described as a one man team.

Play on Tulane  to cover 

You have to be able to put points up on the board to beat Oklahoma State, no matter how good a defence you might think you have. Yes, Houston can play lock down D, but they can also run and gun  when prompted which is what Im betting they will be forced into here today.  

CBB Home teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (HOUSTON/OKLAHOMA ST) - after going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 85-42 OVER L/21 seasons for a 66%conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

TENN-MARTIN is 9-24 ATS  vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game losing by more than 20 points per game. My projections agree with this long term trend. E TENN ST is 6-0 ATS in non-conference games this season with a average point differential of 18.2 ppg.

Play on ETSU to cover 

The Fordham Rams are coming off a double overtime defeat on Tuesday night to previously winless Maine by the score of 75-68 and are now in a letdown situation vs a under rated Big 10 team Rutgers. Fordham is undefeated at home, but this will be their biggest test yet, and despite of probably being competitive early will falter Im betting as this tilt progresses. Look for rebounding to be key here for the Scarlet Knights, as  was the case in previous recent meetings as they owned a +29 rebounding margin in the win over Fordham in 2017 and +18 in last year’s victory both by DD margins of victory. Add a third win and cover here today is what Im expecting.

FORDHAM is 1-10 ATS  versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons. RUTGERS is 12-3 ATS in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons. 

CBB ome teams as an underdog or pick (FORDHAM) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games are 20-47 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Rutgers to cover 

Louisville rebuild is way ahead of schedule, and are very viable underdogs here vs Indiana.

 Louisville is at its best in the paint and are good at either making easy buckets  there or  drawing fouls. The Cardinals are making 23.6 free throws per game and rank second in the nation in free throw attempts per field goal attempts and this Im betting gives them a big advantage over Indiana .Indiana was outscored in the paint in two of its last three games and is prone to fouling down the stretch. It's also worth noting that Morgan got into early foul trouble in both the Hoosiers' losses. Louisville plus the points makes sense here considering the matchups.

CBB Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) - a good defensive team (63-67 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after a win by 6 points or less are 25-58 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70%  go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Louisville to cover 

The Broncos head into Saturday's match-up with an overall record of 4-4 after falling to USC Upstate last Saturday. This will be the third team from the Horizon League that WMU has faced this season, coming away victorious over Detroit Mercy and Oakland early this year and matchup well here vs Youngstown State. Im betting on Seth Dugan who is one of just 22 NCAA players   averaging a double-double at 19 points and 10.5 rebounds per game to lead the way here and for the Broncos superior FT shooting to be the difference maker later in this game. Note: WMU is one of just five schools in the Mid-American Conference to have two or more players rank in the top 15 in free-throw percentage. Sophomore Kawanise Wilkins leads WMU and ranks second in the MAC with a .885 free-throw percentage.

 ST is 5-13 ATS  in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons

CBB favorite (W MICHIGAN) - off 2 or more consecutive losses as a favorite against opponent off a home loss  are 140-84 ATS L/21 seasons for a long term 63% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on Western Michigan to cover 

The Runnin' Rebels had won four straight games from Nov. 13-23, but have lost their last two. UNLV is coming off a 65-61 loss last Saturday to Cincinnati, which closed its season-opening seven-game homestand. Despite of that this is a good team  that is more than capable of covering vs a Illinois Side on a three game losing streak including coming off a hard fought loss vs Ohio State last time out and will now be in a letdown spot here vs a  feisty non conference foe. 

ILLINOIS is 7-16 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more  of their shots over the last 2 seasons.ILLINOIS is 8-18 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 3 seasons.

UNLV is 15-5 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game.

UNLV has covered 4 of the L/5 meetings in this series and gets my support again.

Play on UNLV 

The Hawks lead the A-10 in three-point percentage, converting 39.5 percent, and hold the top two individual spots with Charlie Brown, Jr. (52.0) and Jared Bynum(50.0). Their ability to hit form downtown and a never say die attitude makes them viable DD underdogs vs a Villanova team that is not was good as last years championship version. Note: Leading scorer Charlie Brown, Jr., is questionable for today’s game , but reports are indicating he will play. 

Play on St.Joes to cover 

Injuries have hampered the Broncos early this season, but after averaging 64.0 points over the first six games, the Broncos have produced a season-best 81 in each of the last two outings and enter this tilt winning 3 of their L/4 and with momentum on their sides. Meanwhile, Idaho Stat win my opinion is to one dimensional, and when team key on slowing guard Brandon Boyd (17.3) who ranks third in the Big Sky Conference in scoring their chances become above average for beating this team. Santa Clara is more than capable of doing just that.  The series is knotted at 2-all with the home team claiming each victory and Im betting the home team grabs the cash again.

IDAHO ST is 5-17 ATS after playing 3 consecutive games as an underdog over the last 3 seasons and is 16-28 ATS as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Santa Clara to cover 

Both these teams can light the scoreboard up, but when quality teams like this get together, a more physical brand of basketball is not unusual. GOLDEN STATE is 29-11 UNDER L/40  in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 with a combined average score of  224.6 ppg scored. Also HC 

Kerr is 20-8 UNDER  revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite as the coach of GOLDEN STATE with a combined average of 211.4 ppg scored. Golden State allowed Milwaukkee to smash them 134-111 at home in their last meeting an now Im betting on them playing down lock down defence and responsible transitional basketball. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MILWAUKEE) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more 38-8 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

San Antonio are on tired legs as they prepare to play their 6th game in 10 days and  enter this game ranked 29th in the league in  defensive efficiency and 11th in offensive efficiency. Meanwhile, the Lakers rank 9th in ppg in the league, averaging 113.1 ppg and 17th in ppg allowed at 111.1 ppg. When considering both sides current form, and system vs system analysis and player matchup trends, my projections estimate a high scoring affair that eclipses this total. Note: SAN ANTONIO is 8-1 OVER  when playing 6 or more games in 10 days this season with a combined average of 233.8 ppg scored. 

These teams combined to put 235 ppg on the board in LA 2 days ato in their last meeting, which was  a back and forth affair, and Im betting on more of the same action here tonight deep in the heart of Texas. 

Over is 6-0-1 in Spurs last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 4-0 in Spurs last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Over is 4-0 in Spurs last 4 Friday games.Over is 5-0-1 in Spurs last 6 games following a straight up loss.Over is 8-0 in Spurs last 8 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 7-0 in Spurs last 7 vs. Western Conference.Over is 6-0-1 in Spurs last 7 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 10-1-1 in Spurs last 12 overall.Over is 9-1-1 in Spurs last 11 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 4-1 in Spurs last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 18-7-1 in Spurs last 26 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (LA LAKERS) - after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games are 74-29 OVER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

The  struggling Bulls lost 96-90 vs the  Indiana Pacers last time out, but played well against a top tier team, and look to be ready clean things up with new HC Boylen on the side lines.  The Bulls have now lost  seven straight  and 11th in their last 12 contests, but now coming off an extended road trip will be ready to compete here at home. Note:Bulls are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.Bulls are also 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. We all know how well the Thunder are playing, but covering 9 points here on the road,  in what will be their 3rd game in 5 nights vs a very hungry team Im betting is asking for to much. With that said, there is value here taking the Bulls to cover. 

Donovan is 9-24 ATS in road games after having won 4 of their last 5 games as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY.

CHICAGO is 14-3 ATS  in December games over the last 2 seasons. OKLAHOMA CITY is 19-32 ATS after playing a road game over the last 2 seasons. 

 NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, in December games are 19-58 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against  76% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CHICAGO) - in non-conference games, off 3 or more consecutive road losses are 31-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 

I like the way new HC Casey has the Pistons playing and despite coming off back to back losses including  Milwaukee last time out, look like viable bets here vs a visiting Philadelphia team off a disappointing loss to the Toronto Raptors in their last game.  Note:  Pistons HC Casey is 91-63 ATS (+21.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses in all games he has coached in his career. Meanwhile, the 76ers despite of being talented have lost 8 of their L/12 road games this season, and now in a letdown situation vs a Motown crew that has played their best ball at home posting a 9-4 record their in trouble, and false favorites in my opinion.  

Pistons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Friday games.Pistons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Pistons are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Pistons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games.Pistons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.Pistons are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up loss.Pistons are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall.

76ers are 9-19 ATS in their last 28 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.76ers are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.76ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.76ers are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 road games.76ers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.76ers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

76ers are 4-9 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Detroit.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - off a road loss by 10 points or more against opponent off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more are 5-26 SU L/5 seasons for a 84% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Detroit to cover 

The Utah Jazz recorded a season high for points in their last trip to  the hardwood and  Im betting they use the momentum of that explosive offensive  effort to take out the visiting Houston Rockets on Thursday. The hard working never say die Jazz has won four of their  last six games and converted  on a franchise-record 20 3-pointers in Tuesday's 139-105 beat down of the visiting San Antonio Spurs. Look for more of same action here at home vs a Rockets side that has been highly inconsistent this season, and have lost 5 of their L/7 games overall.

Rockets are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 vs. Western Conference.Rockets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss.Rockets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 2 days rest.Rockets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Rockets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.Rockets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Rockets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Northwest.Rockets are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Rockets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400

Jazz are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.Jazz are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. NBA Southwest.Jazz are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 Thursday games.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (HOUSTON) - poor foul drawing team - attempting 24 or less free throws/game, poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 46% or better  on the season are 69-115 ATS  for a 63% go against conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Utah to cover 

Boston has been really lighting up the scoreboard of late, scoring 124,128, 118 in their L/3 trips to the floor. Tonight I expect they will continue to roll against a less than consistent NYK defence, that ranks 27th in D efficiency and 26th in points allowed ( 114.4 ppg). What Im betting is that for the Knicks to have no choice but the chase the Celtics and try to post some explosive offensive fire works of their own or be blown off the court in what Im betting will be a  fairly high scoring affair the eclipses this Total. 

My projections estimate that Boston will score within 115 to 121 points. Note: NEW YORK is 10-2 OVER when they allow 112 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 233.8 ppg scored.BOSTON is 8-1 OVER  when they score 112 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 228 ppg scored.

BOSTON is 16-4 OVER  after 4 or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons ands 11-2 OVER  after scoring 110 points or more 3 straight games over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (BOSTON) - extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a bad team (25 to 40%) are 28-8 OVER L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

Im a gluten for punishment, as I take the Spurs plus the points here on the road again tonight vs LAL, after losing my recommended wager on them taking points last night in Utah. I know San Antonio does not inspire bettors in their current form, but according to my power rankings they matchup well vs the Lakers. 

Spurs are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 vs. NBA Pacific.Spurs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Spurs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.

Lakers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Lakers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.Lakers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Lakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Southwest.

NBA team (LA LAKERS) - revenging 2 consecutive straight up losses to opponent as a favorite, off a win by 20 points or more over a division rival are 4-23 ATS L/22 seasons, for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover 

Villanova after losing players to the NBA last season, look vulnerable this season, as was the case when they were smashed by Michigan at home losing by 27 points and upset loss to Furman. Don't get me wrong theirs alot of talent on this Villy roster, but HC Jay Wright just does not have the top tier depth he had last season when  the Cats ,\made their national championship run. Meanwhile, Temple has lost just once this season, by 6 points, and sport a 8-1 record, and here in this Philadelphia neighbourhood battle must be respected as DD dogs. 

TEMPLE is 14-5 ATS  in road games in non-conference games.

 Temple to cover 

 The Mavericks enter this Bayou tilt having won nine of 11 overall after a 111-102 home victory against Portland on Tuesday. That gave them three wins in four games against West contenders in the last week and has them playing with confidence. Meanwhile, the Pelicans  are banged up with a fair amount of walking wounded including  starting point guard Elfrid Payton, and have now lost six of their last eight games. Note: Pelicans  Nikola Miratic has also been off, and is suffering from an illness of some type. Advantage Mavericks. 

DALLAS is 29-16 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons and is 15-7 ATS  in the first half of the season this season.DALLAS is 13-5 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - after having won 2 of their last 3 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 24-2 ATS L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Dallas to cover 

The matchup pairs the NBA's fourth-leading defense (Grizzlies, 103.1 points per game) against the third-leading offense (Clippers, 117.7). Im betting defense as well as home court advantage will be the difference maker here tonight.

The Grizzlies are 17-0 SU/ATS   when the line is within three points of pick and they are off a road loss in which they had six-plus double-digit scorers.

Memphis Grizzlies ( LATE STEAM)

Saint Louis enters Wednesday’s game at Southern Illinois red hot with a 6-1 record.The Billikens are coming off a impressive 64-52 victory over Butler on Saturday afternoon. SLU played a lock-down defense, allowing the Bulldogs to shoot just 28.1percent from the field en route to a season-low 52 points. I know the Salukis have reeled off three consecutive wins against Tulsa, Colorado State and SIUE, but it will will be the Billikens defence that once again makes them very competitive and Im betting will allow us to cash a ticket here.

Play on St.Louis to cover 

My own numbers make this total closer to the 144 mark, thus giving us value with a under wager. Tenn Martin has had a couple of big offensive outputs, so far this season, but Tulan has held 3 of their last 4 opponents under 68 points, and are well suited in this matchup for repeat performance which aid this total score staying under the Total.

TENN-MARTIN is 8-1 UNDER   versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 128.6 ppg scored.

Play UNDER 

Washington is on a two game win streak thanks to paying better attention to defence, and being much more careful in transition.WASHINGTON is 17-7 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 211.7 ppg scored. Meanwhile, Atlanta continues to struggle to score consistently, with the 30th ranked offensive efficiency despite of procuring the No 1 pace in the league  .  Im betting despite of Hawks trying to run and gun , their efficiency , thanks to missing one of their key offensive players Prince will see their flow thwarted as well as their total output.   Meanwhile, the Wizards will remain steadfast in their wish to play a better controlled brand of basketball. What Im betting on here is a lower scoring game than the hefty number might indicate. 

WASHINGTON is 9-0 UNDER  vs. struggling  rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 5+/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 202.7 ppg scored.WASHINGTON is 11-2 UNDER in road games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.6 ppg scored. 

ATLANTA is 22-7 UNDER  vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 210.2 ppg. 

Play UNDER 

Cleveland State is in free fall losing 5 straight games, and are fade material here vs a Bowl in gGreen team that according to my power rankings should be closer to a 4 point fav here, giving us value with the road team as short chalk.

BOWLING GREEN is 9-0 ATS  after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 3 seasons .CLEVELAND ST is 2-10 ATS after allowing 75 points or more 4 straight games.

Play on Bowling Green to cover 

Illinois' spread offense features multiple ball handlers on the court with an emphasis on passing which has resulted in opening the court up for their big shooters. Illini have been filling it up from 3-point range to start the season. Illinois have made at least nine threes in six of its first eight games, averaging 10.3 treys per game to rank second in the Big Ten and 22nd in the NCAA. When your backing  an underdog in college Hoops knowing you have side that can light the score board up out of the gate or in back door cover mode makes for a confident bet. Alternately on the flip side, the Illini defense ranks seventh in the nation in turnover rate, forcing turnovers on 24.8 percent of opponent possessions on the season. Opponents are averaging 17.9 turnovers against the Illini, with the Illini leading the Big Ten and ranking 16th in the NCAA in forced turnovers per game.Illinois is currently averaging 18.9 points off turnovers, outscoring foes by 5.3 points per game in that category. Im betting on their ability to light it up from down town and force trunovers keeps them in this game against a very good Ohio State hoops program. 

Buckeyes are 5-23 ATS in their last 28 neutral site games.Buckeyes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

Play on Illinois to cover

Hofstra has averaged 86.2 ppg game at home this season where they play an uptempo attack type of hoops. Im betting on them reaching their average again vs a poor Monmouth D, that has allowed 77 plus points per game on the road. I know Monmouth is not a very efficient scoring team, but in a wide open type affair where they should constantly b chasing the score , they should have a 60 to 65 point output which will  help breach this total to the upside if my projections are correct. 

HOFSTRA is 11-1 OVER in all home games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 161.8 ppg scored.

CBB Road teams against the total (MONMOUTH) - poor shooting team - shooting 42% or worse on the season, after 2 straight games making 20% of their 3 point shots or worse are 29-10 OVER  L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (MONMOUTH) - cold shooting team - 5 straight games making 40% or less of their shots are 33-11 OVER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate.

Play OVER 

All my college Hoops selections both totals and sides are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and  overall head to head team system and player vs player  analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. Because of extensive betting opportunities associated with the large number of games, there are certain days when individual analysis is not included. Thank you and God Bless . Alex Smart 

Western Illinois to cover

San Antonio  came out of a lethargic state last time out  by beating Portland 131-118 on Sunday. Im betting the momentum of their last victory will carry on into this game vs their host Utah, a team on tired legs after playing 6 games in 10 days. and overall have played 10 of their L/12 games on the road Note:

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) - tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days, in December games are just 36-69 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%), after a game where a team made 60% of their shots or better are 26-9 L/22 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on San Antonio to cover 

No.5 Michigan, who comes into Welsh-Ryan Arena with an 8-0 record is getting some huge accolades from the media pundits, but according to my power rankings line adjustment variables, are slightly bloated favs here, thus giving us value with a viable home underdog in a conference tilt, that has the makings of a hard fought affair. 

Northwestern 6-2 lost to Indiana 68-66 last time out on the road, and more than capable of making a game of this this evening.NORTHWESTERN is 17-6 ATS off a close loss by 3 points or less to a conference rival .

Northwestern has won and covered the L/3 games in this series at home.

Play on Northwestern to cover 

My own projections make this game closer to 144.5 , which according to my estimates makes this a very good value pay to the under. I know Evansville can score in bunches, but Arkansas State will be prepared to play a slower more methodical game against them here at home where they allowed 54 points in their lone home game, which I'm betting results in a lower scoring tilt here today.

ARKANSAS ST is 17-6 L/23 UNDER  in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game with a combined average score of 147.9 ppg scored.EVANSVILLE is 9-1 UNDER  after a game giving up 5 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 123.6 ppg scored.

CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (ARKANSAS ST) - a bad team, winning 20% to 40% of their games on the season, in December games are 167-109 UNDER L/22 seasons for a solid 61% long term conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

Bradley,   took last seasons meeting with a dominant 86-46 home win.
• Five Braves scored in double figures and BU shot 60.8 percent from the field as Bradley posted its largest win against a Division I school in 18 seasons (Feb. 5, 2000). I know Arkansas will be out looking for revenge but Bradely has just to much balanced fire power with  seven current Braves have scored at least 20 points in a game .Five different Braves have led the team in scoring this season and no player more than three times and have a big advantage vs a 4-4 Ark Little Rock side that allows an average of 76.9 ppg. 

ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 6-16 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less over the last 3 seasons. ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 6-15 ATS   in all home games over the last 3 seasons.

CBB Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (BRADLEY) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, playing only their 3rd game in a week are 51-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Bradley to cover 

Bulls take the court against the Pacers,  with associate head coach Jim Boylen  taking over as head coach after Hoiberg was tied yesterday. QUOTE "You might see a bit different style of the offensive end as we get going," Boylen told reporters at his introductory press conference Monday. "You got to put your hand print on it and make it yours. But you have to realize there's a level of shock that the players have to deal with." END QUOTE The shock that Boylen is speaking about Im betting will see the Bulls play a more methodical game plan, that will help keep this game slower paced then their used to and will result in a lower scoring game than the linesmakers expect. With Indiana on 3 days rest after a west coast road trip I expect they will be fresh enough to play some strong D, something the coaching staff have been emphasizing of late. 

Chicago has gone under in 10 of their L/13 games. Indiana has gone under in 3 straight. 

CHICAGO is 10-1 UNDER  as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a combined average of 207.9 ppg scored.INDIANA is 10-1 UNDER  in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 199.5 ppg going on the board.INDIANA is 20-5 UNDER  after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 204.2 ppg scored.

NBA Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (CHICAGO) - after playing 3 consecutive road games, playing with 2 days rest are 51-18 UNDER  L/22 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play UNDER 

My own projections make this total closer to 149.5 thus giving us value to the over with my projections. 

DAYTON is 6-0 OVER after having lost 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 157.9 ppg scored.DETROIT is 15-5 OVER in a road game where the total is 140 to 144.5 with a combined average of 147.3 ppg scored. 

CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (DAYTON) - after scoring 65 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 25 points or less in the first half last game are 97-52 OVER L/5 seasons for a solid 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play OVER 

 The Badgers (7-1, 1-0 Big Ten Conference), host Rutgers in their Big Ten home opener in Madison, Wis. on Monday night. The  Scarlet Knights (5-2, 0-1) gave No. 9 Michigan State a tough battle, last time out but eventually fell 78-67 on Friday to the Spartans in Piscataway, N.J and are looking like an improved hoops program right now behind,junior forward Eugene Omoruyi who scored 13 points in that game.Omoruyi, who has four double-doubles this season, has averaged 15.1 points per game and 9.1 rebounds, and his side kick sophomore point guard Geo Baker contributes 14.6 points per game,.Rutgers snatched the most recent game in this series, a 64-60 win last January in Piscataway and will Im betting hang tough again.

RUTGERS is 8-1 ATS versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Rutgers to cover 

Washington topped New York 108-95 earlier this season at home, and Im expecting the same type of lower scoring affair once again . 

NEW YORK is 29-16 UNDER L/45  when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average 208.3 ppg scored.WASHINGTON is 18-6 UNDER  in road games after playing a home game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 209.4 ppg scored.

 HC Fizdale is 12-2 UNDER  in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in all games he has coached with a combined average of 186.6 ppg scored.

NBA  teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (WASHINGTON) - in a game involving two bad teams (25% to 40%) are 60-20 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (NEW YORK) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, in a game involving two bad teams (25% to 40%) are 25-4 UNDER for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (NYK/ WASHINGTON) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, in a game involving two bad teams (25% to 40%)are 24-4 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. 

Play on the UNDER 

While the defending champion Warriors have Steph Curry back in the lineup another key cog is still out as Draymond Green has missed the last eight games with a right toe sprain and also  Alfonzo McKinnie has missed the last eight games with left foot soreness. Needless to say their still not at 100%. Note: The Warriors have not been very profitable for their backers of late as they are 2-9 ATS L/11 overall, and have failed to cover 6 of their L/7 as favourites. Long termGOLDEN STATE is 55-69 ATS in all games over the last 2 seasons. 

Golden State won 110-103 when it hosted the Hawks on Nov. 13, and the young men from Atlanta proved they can hang with the big boys in that game, and Im betting they will primed to compete again here at home. 

Historical Trends value also favours this Hawks here as extreme lined home teams (double digit dogs or over 15 pt. favorites) off of a loss  like the Hawks are 185-105-5 63.8% ATS with outliners included) Also teams averaging 103 or more ppg are 268-205-8 ATS 57% after a game where they were behind 15 points or more at the half.

GOLDEN STATE is 0-8 ATS  versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making 33% or less of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (GOLDEN STATE) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or more ) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or more), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a horrible rebounding team (5.5  or less reb/game) are 16-49 ATS L/22 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover 

The Detroit Pistons are proving their a team that must be respected after taking out Golden State SU as 5 point home dogs last time out for their 5th straight home vicotry. Now their listed as underdogs again vs visiting Oklahoma City. The Motown reserves are standing tall, and showing the teams depth and Im betting they won;t bow down today, vs another deep team, especialy on their own court, where they have an edge. 

Thunder are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Detroit.

 CITY is 7-20 ATS  in road games after a cover as a double digit favorite.OKLAHOMA CITY is 35-48 ATS as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - dominant rebounding team - outrebounding opponents by 5+ per game, in December games are just 96-176 L/22 seasons for go against 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Detroit to cover 

My own projections suggest this total should be closer to 150, thus giving us value according to my estimations with an under wager.

Under is 3-1-1 in Hawkeyes last 5 road games.Under is 3-1-1 in Hawkeyes last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 3-1-1 in Hawkeyes last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Under is 11-2 in Spartans last 13 games following a straight up win.Under is 5-1 in Spartans last 6 games following a ATS win.Under is 4-1 in Spartans last 5 home games.Under is 4-1 in Spartans last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 6-2 in Spartans last 8 vs. Big Ten.

Play UNDER