| Basketball Archive | |||||||
| Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
| 04-04-23 | Cavs v. Magic +5 | 117-113 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
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The Magic come into this tonights meeting with the Cavaliers in top form, as is evident by winning five of six since March 21, and six of eight since March 18. Cleveland has proven to be a top tier team this season, but the Magic must not be disrespected as home dogs. ORLANDO is 24-13 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. Orlando is the Eastern Conference's sole team outside of the top 10 not yet eliminated from the play-in race so Im betting they play all out hoops tonight. ORLANDO is 8-1 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 5 or more consecutive games this season. I know the Cavs have won both meetings in this series this season with the last back in December , but it must be noted that NBA team vs the money line (ORLANDO) - revenging 2 straight losses where opp scored 100 or more points, after a cover as a double digit favorite are 38-9 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Orlando is 3-0 SU/ATS L/3 meetings at home in this series. Play on Orlando to cover |
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| 04-03-23 | San Diego State v. Connecticut -7 | 59-76 | Win | 100 | 27 h 57 m | Show | |
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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. UConn does everything better than San Diego State according to my power rating projections. Big East teams are 7-1 ATS in the championship round game. CONNECTICUT is 15-0-1 ATS after a non-conference game this season and are 15-0 SU and 14-0-1 ATS in non conference tilts this season. CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SAN DIEGO ST) - after 2 straight close wins by 3 points or less against opponent after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more are 7-30 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. UConn to cover |
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| 04-02-23 | Warriors v. Nuggets -2 | 110-112 | Push | 0 | 13 h 49 m | Show | |
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Its never easy playing in the high altitudes of the the Mile High city, but for a poor traveling side like Golden State a house of horrors could easily await them. The Nuggets according to my projections also matchup very well against the Warriors as was the case the last time these teams met back on Feb 2nd when the Nuggets procured a 134-117 victory. Note: GOLDEN STATE is 0-7 ATS in road games revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season. I know Denver looked lethargic last time out in a loss but they are a resilient group and playing a top tier group of Warriors should have them motivated to get redemptionDENVER is 10-1 ATS after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half over the last 3 seasons. GOLDEN STATE is 5-13 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -13.3. GOLDEN STATE is 8-22 ATSin road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season with the average ppg diff registering at -8.9. GOLDEN STATE is 5-15 ATS in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season with the average ppg diff registering at -10.2. GOLDEN STATE is 1-12 ATS in road games in the second half of the season this season. GOLDEN STATE is 1-9 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less this season. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (DENVER) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 45-3 L/5 seasons for a 94% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road underdogs (GOLDEN STATE) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (36.5% or better ), after 2 straight games making 16 or more 3 point shots are 15-41 L/27 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Denver Nuggets to cover |
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| 04-02-23 | 76ers v. Bucks -4.5 | 104-117 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
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The Bucks came out flat against the Boston Celtics last time out losing by a 140-99 count, but now after that embarrassing defeat they will be very motivated for a bounce back against a 76ers side they also want to get revenge against for a loss they suffered here at home by a 133-1130 count almost a month ago and an earlier loss to the Sixers back on by on 110-102 in Philly. Note: Philadelphia in games they lose outright against same-season double avenging .500 or better opponents are 6-32 ATS . MILWAUKEE is 9-1 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite this season. MILWAUKEE is 14-5 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season. MILWAUKEE is 22-10 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. NBA team vs the money line (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off an embarrassing upset loss by 20 points or more as a favorite are 27-6 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. NBA Favorites (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off a home loss by 10 points or more are 48-17 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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| 04-02-23 | Pacers +13 v. Cavs | 105-115 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
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With a playoff berth already clinched, the Cleveland Cavaliers host the Indiana Pacers on Sunday to kick off the final week of the regular season. I know the Cavs have a top tier home record, but could easily be in a emotional letdown state after clinching a play off position and after 2 straight losses look like they are in a bit of late season funk and not at the top of the game, possibly because of fatigue as they have been involved in some very hard fought battles. With no play off appearance in the cards for the Pacers a win or very competitive effort would give them something to feel good about, and thats what Im betting goes down here tonight in Cleveland. Indiana to play all out hoops, and for the Cavs to overlook and recoup with a less than motivated effort.Pacers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Play on Pacers to cover |
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| 04-02-23 | Suns v. Thunder UNDER 236 | 128-118 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
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When these teams played back on March 13 Oklahoma City grabbed a 124-120 win, but Im betting we do not reach the combined plateau in this tilt. It must be noted that the Suns are currently playing a top tier brand of defensive basketball, as is evident by allowing 105, 103, 100, and 93 points in their L/4 trips to the hardwood and will now not deviate from that strong transitional posture, making for what Im betting will be a lower scoring affair than the lines-makers expect. It must also be noted that PHOENIX is 21-9 UNDER revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points this season with a combined average of 220 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 16-5 UNDER revenging a road loss vs opponent this season with a combined average of 219.2 ppg scored. Under is 4-1 in Thunder last 5 games following a straight up loss. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - an good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after a loss by 6 points or less are 46-13 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (PHOENIX) - after allowing 95 points or less against opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more are 44-17 OVER L/27 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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| 04-02-23 | Mavs v. Hawks UNDER 244.5 | 130-132 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
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Atlanta took out Dallas 130-122 last time they met in Jan on the 18th. Under is 5-1 in Hawks last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. The Mavs will in the rematch will not try to run and gun again against the Hawks, and Im betting will instead be more conservative in transition. DALLAS is 8-1 UNDER in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent this season with a combined average of 218.8 ppg scored. Under is 5-1 in Hawks last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Under is 7-1 in Mavericks last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 5-1 in Mavericks last 6 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Under is 5-1 in Mavericks last 6 road games. DALLAS is 9-1 UNDER after a game where they made 55% of their shots or better over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 207.5 ppg scored. Kidd is 11-2 UNDER after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games as the coach of DALLAS with a combined average of 216.8 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (DALLAS/ATLANTA) - in a game involving two marginal losing teams (40 to 49%), in April games are 26-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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| 04-01-23 | Miami-FL v. Connecticut UNDER 149.5 | 59-72 | Win | 100 | 25 h 34 m | Show | |
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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Thee teams can light up the board, but in this type of game defense is what will bring home the victory. Im betting on a grueling physical defensive event that will remain on the low side of the total. Under is 6-2 in Hurricanes last 8 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 6-1 in Huskies last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. CONNECTICUT is 7-1 UNDER in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games this season with a combined average of 133.6 ppg scored. MIAMI is 15-6 UNDER in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 140.7 ppg scored. MIAMI is 10-1 UNDER in road games after allowing 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 134.9 ppg scored. - Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (MIAMI) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season are 23-6 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (CONNECTICUT) - playing with 5 or 6 days rest are 178-012 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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| 04-01-23 | Mavs v. Heat -1 | 122-129 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
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Both Dallas and Miami are in a funk right now despite of having talented rosters. The Heat has lost 3 straight while, the Mavs have lost 5 of their L/6. Both are desperate for wins , but Im betting home court advantage will be the difference maker in this head to head tilt. DALLAS is 6-18 ATS in non-conference games this season. Mavericks are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall. Mavericks are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Mavericks are 2-10-2 ATS in their last 14 games playing on 2 days rest. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (MIAMI) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG), after scoring 48 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 35-4 L/27 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Miami Heat to cover |
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| 04-01-23 | Florida Atlantic v. San Diego State -2.5 | 71-72 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 21 m | Show | |
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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. San Diego State showed me they are a team that deserves a championship appearance after taking out a highly talented Alabama Crimson Tide program in this tournament. The Aztecs determination, and veteran presence along with a top tier defense first posture suits them well against a side like Florida Atlantic. The Aztecs have 16-3 record in non-conference play this season.Aztecs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games. Aztecs are 13-3-2 ATS in their last 18 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. SAN DIEGO ST is 12-0 ATS versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games this season. SAN DIEGO ST is 6-0 ATS in road games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or better ) after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons. SAN DIEGO ST is 6-0 ATS after allowing 65 points or less 3 straight games this season. Dutcher is 18-4 ATS after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers as the coach of SAN DIEGO ST. Play on San Diego State to cover |
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| 03-31-23 | Pistons v. Rockets UNDER 229.5 | 115-121 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
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You have heard of slugfest , well this tilt Im betting wont be one of them. Get ready for a Sleepfest instead between to team with nothing left to play for other than a strong draft choice. Under is 4-0 in Rockets last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Under is 5-0 in Rockets last 5 home games. Under is 7-0 in Pistons last 7 road games. DETROIT is 12-2 UNDER versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 223.6 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (HOUSTON) - in a game involving 2 lower tier teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after a combined score of 235 points or more are 27-3 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team (DETROIT) - in a game involving two lower tier defensive teams (118 PPG or more) are 64-24 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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| 03-31-23 | Knicks v. Cavs -3.5 | 130-116 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
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The Knicks will be without key offensive cog Randle as they look to officially clinch a playoff spot Friday night. Im betting the Knicks clinching a play off spot tonight will be derailed for now vs a Cleveland side that matches up well against them according to my current power rankings. The Cavs rank 2nd in the NBA in SRS with a 5.52 mark, while NYK are ranked 7th with a 2.93 . Factoring in home court advantage the Cavs according to my projections should be -6 point favs giving us decent value laying 4 points or less. SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average CLEVELAND is 14-4 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game this season. CLEVELAND is 24-13 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CLEVELAND) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games are 44-18 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate. Play on Cleveland to cover |
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| 03-30-23 | UAB v. North Texas OVER 127.5 | 61-68 | Win | 100 | 14 h 5 m | Show | |
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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Blazers are yet again one of the highest scoring teams in the country under Andy Kennedy and have successfully in their two most recent meetings this season been able to force N.Texas into opening up as is evident by a 76-69 Neutral court win last time they met in the Conference play offs, and their last regular season game that saw N.Texas procure a 82-79 victory. Both these teams are solid at the charity stripe, which is key to this over bet. UAB is 9-1 OVER versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game this season. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is 129.5 or less (N.TEXAS/UAB) - in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game).are 44-14 OVER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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| 03-30-23 | Celtics v. Bucks UNDER 236.5 | 140-99 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
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Boston ranks 6th in ppg allowed this season/4th in defensive efficiency and rank 18th in pace, while the Bucks rank 3rd in defensive efficiency and 10th in pace. Both teams can score in bunches but in this type of affair between two of the top teams in the NBA a more conservative defensive minded approach must be expected especially with the play offs around the corner. Also the Bucks played last night in run gun fashion posting 149-136 win so instant offensive regression and tired legs vs a strong defensive side will effect their aggressiveness here and overall output giving us an edge on a under wager. Under is 8-2 in Bucks last 10 games playing with no rest. Under is 8-3 in Bucks last 11 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. MILWAUKEE in 57 games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 221.6 ppg scored. MILWAUKEE in 18 games as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season have seen a combined average of 227.3 ppg scored. Under is 11-4 in Celtics last 15 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. BOSTON in 18 road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season have seen a combined average of 221.7 ppg scored. BOSTON is 12-1 UNDER on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average of 217.3 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - off a road win by 10 points or more, in a game involving two good teams are 31-4 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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| 03-29-23 | Jazz -4.5 v. Spurs | 128-117 | Win | 100 | 13 h 17 m | Show | |
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Im not a big believer in the tank mode concept but the Spurs are exhibiting a lack of competitive spirit of late losing 4 straight by DDs, and not eclipsing the 94 point plateau on offense in 3 of those games. I know Utah has also lost 4 straight, but now in desperation mode as they seek a play in spot against a side that they have the added incentive of revenge against Im betting the Jazz have a break out game and notch a win as road favs. (Note: San Antonio beat Utah 102-94 as road dogs back in Feb 28th) SAN ANTONIO is 1-9 ATS after 3 straight losses by 10 points or more this season SAN ANTONIO is 4-12 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season. NBA Road favorites (UTAH) - revenging a loss vs opponent, off a home loss by 10 points or more are 26-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Underdogs (SAN ANTONIO) - averaging 45 or less rebounds/game on the season, after a game being out-rebounded by opponent by 20 or more are 13-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Utah to cover |
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| 03-29-23 | Clippers v. Grizzlies OVER 228.5 | 141-132 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
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Clippers always seem to play a more aggressive offensive style on the road, and Im betting nothing changes tonight against their hosts their explosive hosts the Memphis Grizzlies. Over is 21-8 in Clippers last 29 road games. Over is 4-0 in Clippers last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 6-1 in Clippers last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.(Beat the Bulls 124-112 last time out) Over is 18-7-1 in Grizzlies last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Over is 5-2 in Grizzlies last 7 overall. NBA team (LA CLIPPERS) - good free throw shooting team (76-79%) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 47% or better of their shots are 38-13 OVER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. Play over |
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| 03-29-23 | Heat +4.5 v. Knicks | 92-101 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 14 m | Show | |
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The Knicks and Heat are both put looking for a top-six finish in the Eastern Conference in their final regular-season meeting between the longtime rivals . With that said Im expecting a hard fought battle with the away dog giving us a golden opportunity to cash a ticket. Note: Jimmy butler is expected to play tonight after taking the last game off with a sore neck. Knicks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW YORK) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42 or more games, after a combined score of 245 points or more are 29-50 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games are 44-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Heat are 11-4 ATS in the last 15 meetings in New York. Play on Miami to cover |
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| 03-28-23 | Pelicans v. Warriors -8.5 | 109-120 | Win | 100 | 15 h 10 m | Show | |
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Golden State had a 3 game win streak abruptly end last time out at home in a rare home loss to the up trending Minnesota wolves last time out. Now Im betting the Warriors will be wide awake and primed for a bounce back vs a Pelicans side that has found a way into the win column in 4 straight tilts( 3 of those wins came against bottom feeders Houston, Charlotte and San Antonio .That illustrates that their run may not be that impressive and a more subjective deeper look has me backing the home fav. NEW ORLEANS is 4-14 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. Pelicans are 8-22 ATS in their last 30 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. NEW ORLEANS is 0-8 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 39 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -11.4. Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Warriors are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Warriors are 3-0 SU/ATS L/3 at home in this series. NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW ORLEANS) - after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, on Tuesday nights are 7-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW ORLEANS) - revenging a road loss vs opponent, off a win by 15 points or more as an underdog are just 10-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. (Golden State beat the Pelicans 108-99 here in this same venue on March 3). Play on Warriors |
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| 03-28-23 | Magic v. Grizzlies -7 | 108-113 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
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The Grizzlies are 32-5 at home this season with the average margin ppf diff clicking in at +11.2 ppg . Memphis is also on a 6 game win streak and gaining momentum as they heads towards the play offs. There will not be a letdown here down the stretch. I know the Magic are playing well , but that will have the Grizzlies even more focused. MEMPHIS is 16-4 ATS in home games in March games over the last 3 seasons. MEMPHIS is 21-8 ATS in home games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. MEMPHIS is 23-8 ATS in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Play on Memphis to cover |
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| 03-28-23 | Hornets v. Thunder -9 | 137-134 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
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Bringing down the hammer on lower tier sides is something the Thunder do well especially when playing as hosts. Thunder are currently secured victories in nine of their last 13 games, and HC Dort's defense has been a big reason for Oklahoma City's recent success. Nothing changes tonight especially if key star Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is unable to play because of a sore ankle. OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-0 ATS in home games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at +17.6 . Play on the Oklahoma City Thunder |
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| 03-28-23 | Wisconsin v. North Texas OVER 115 | 54-56 | Loss | -110 | 83 h 2 m | Show | |
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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB Neutral court teams against the total (North TEXAS /WISCONSIN) - in a game involving two below average offensive teams (63-67 PPG) are 36-18 OVER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate with the average combined score of 131.4 ppg going on the board. Play over |
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| 03-27-23 | Wolves v. Kings -5.5 | 119-115 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 49 m | Show | |
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Kings will be have an advantage vs a Minnesota side that played a hard fought game on the road against the Golden State Warriors last night grabbing narrow 99-96 victory. The Wolves victory was a grueling physical event and now on tired legs in a back to back situation their hosts the Sacramento Kings off since Friday have the advantage.Timberwolves are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win.Kings are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (SACRAMENTO) - an excellent offensive team (118 PPG or more ) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG) are 46-8 L/27 seasons for a 85% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.2 which qualifies on this ATS offering. Sacramento Kings to cover |
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| 03-27-23 | 76ers +6 v. Nuggets | 111-116 | Win | 100 | 14 h 45 m | Show | |
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After a 7 game win streak the Sixers have hit a road bump losing 3 of their L/4, but now Im betting on a bounce back effort vs a winning side that should have them motivated in ready to compete- if not even pull off the outright upset. I know Embiid and Harden are not 100% but at least one of them is expected to play tonight and even if they don't Im betting the 76ers are still deep enough to step up and compete. Note: 76ers are 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Denver. PHILADELPHIA is 10-2 ATS when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days this season. DENVER is 5-16 ATS after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons Nuggets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - off a home win, in March games are 39-76 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHILADELPHIA) - good offensive team - scoring 114+ points/game on the season, after allowing 120 points or more 2 straight games are 38-23 ATS L/27 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Philadelphia to cover |
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| 03-27-23 | Bucks v. Pistons +15.5 | 126-117 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
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Detroits has not got alot to play for other than pride at this point in the season, and tonight against the defending champs their egos will be on the line, as they are rated as 15 point plus home dogs. The advantage that the Pistons have here at least on this line, is that Milwaukee is on tired legs, as this is their 3rd game in 4 nights and could also be over looking an inferior opponent. Advantage goes to the fresher legs of the Pistons playing at home. Bucks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Casey is 34-18 ATS L/52 in home games after 4 or more consecutive losses in all games he has coached . NBA Road favorites of 10 or more points (MILWAUKEE) - hot team - having won 15 or more of their last 20 games, extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days are 5-26 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Detroit to cover |
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| 03-26-23 | Wolves v. Warriors -6.5 | 99-96 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
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Home sweet home is where Golden state plays their best basketball as their 30-7 SU record would indicate with the average ppg diff margin clicking in at just under +8 points which qualifies on this ATS offering . The Warriors have 3 straight wins and took out a top tier Philadelphia squad here at home last time out, by a 120-112 count and Im betting on the momentum of their current run to extend into todays tilt against the visiting Wolves, who despite of two consecutive wins have been highly inconsistent this season. Golden State is 5-0 SU/ATS L/5 at home in this series. GOLDEN STATE is 22-6 ATS in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or better assists/game this season. GOLDEN STATE is 15-3 ATS in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - an excellent offensive team (118 or more PPG) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG) are 46-7 L/26 seasons for a 87% SU conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking at +10.4 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on Golden State Warriors to cover |
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| 03-26-23 | Thunder v. Blazers +9.5 | 118-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
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After 3 straight hard fought tilts against the LA Clippers( back to back meetings) and a their recent loss to the Lakers, Im betting the Thunder may not be as viable a favorite as the lines-makers expect even though the Blazers are missing Lillard and some other not as important starters. Im betting on the Blazers support staff will step things up a notch off the bench as they look to make an impression that will further their careers. Thunder are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Trail Blazers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. PORTLAND is 12-3 ATS in home games versus sub standard defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game this season. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (PORTLAND) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 28-2 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate. (The Thunder beat the 138-129 back in Feb 10 here in Portland) Play on Portland to cover |
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| 03-26-23 | Miami-FL +4.5 v. Texas | 88-81 | Win | 100 | 34 h 10 m | Show | |
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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Miami plays an explosive form of small ball , behind top tier guards , including a small ball super star in Norchad Omier and despite of the Longhorns current run are in danger of being upset. Note: In the elite 8 round Big 12 teams are 4-15 vs opp off ATS win. Longhorns are 3-11-1 ATS in their last 15 NCAA Tournament games. MIAMI in 23 games as an underdog over the last 2 seasons the Canes have a scoring edge on their favored opponent's by an average of 2.2 ppg. . Hurricanes are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 NCAA Tournament games.Hurricanes are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Miami Fl to cover |
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| 03-26-23 | Bulls +3.5 v. Lakers | 118-108 | Win | 100 | 5 h 21 m | Show | |
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The Lakers continue to play hard to try to get themselves in a play off spot, but now play against a side in top form. Chicago is off smashing Portland 124-96 on Friday to open a three-game road trip while grabbing its sixth victory in eight games and must be respected in this spot play vs a aging Lakers group. Bulls are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 road games.Bulls are 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles.The Bulls won both meetings last season and viable underdogs in this spot play. Lakers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 1 days rest. Lakers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Play on Chicago Bulls to cover |
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| 03-25-23 | Bucks v. Nuggets -2.5 | 106-129 | Win | 100 | 13 h 26 m | Show | |
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Milwaukee is off a huge DD win vs the Jazz last night in Salt Lake City scoring 144 points. Now Im expecting immediate regression by a Bucks side playing back to back games on tired legs in the high altitudes of the Mile High City. Advantage Denver. MILWAUKEE is 15-28 ATSas an underdog over the last 3 seasons DENVER is 11-2 ATS in home games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season this season. NBA team (MILWAUKEE) - in a game involving two average free throw shooting teams (72-76%), after a game making 19 or more 3 point shots are 10-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Denver to cover |
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| 03-25-23 | Connecticut -2 v. Gonzaga | 82-54 | Win | 100 | 14 h 3 m | Show | |
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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. UConn behind a potent two way game have the edge here vs a strong offensive side with a average at best D. The Huskies are 14-0 SU and 13-0-1 ATS vs non conference opposition this season and Im betting nothing changes here today. GONZAGA is 2-8 ATS in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) this season. GONZAGA is 0-6 ATS in a neutral court game where the total is 150 to 154.5 over the last 2 seasons. CONNECTICUT is 7-1 ATS in all neutral court games this season. NBA favorite (CONNECTICUT) - after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after beating the spread by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 53-21 ATS L/26 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. NBA underdog (GONZAGA) - after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games against opponent after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games are 28-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UConn to cover |
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| 03-24-23 | Princeton +10 v. Creighton | 75-86 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 16 m | Show | |
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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. PRINCETON is 8-1 ATS versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games this season. PRINCETON is 6-0 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or better of their attempts this season.PRINCETON is 7-1 ATS as an underdog this season. McDermott is 27-40 ATS \in road games versus good shooting teams - making 45% or better of their shots after 15+ games as the coach of CREIGHTON. Princeton to cover |
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| 03-24-23 | Bucks v. Jazz +9 | 144-116 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 2 m | Show | |
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The Jazz consistently bring their A game to tilts against top tier sides like visiting Milwaukee . Note: Jazz are 5-0-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.The Jazz have also been particularly tough to play against at home when they are underdogs as is evident by their 10-0 ATS record as a home underdog this season. The edge goes to the Salt Lake city crew in this spot play. UTAH is 10-2 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season. NBA Underdogs (UTAH) - sub par defensive team - allowing 114+ points/game on the season, after 3 straight games where both teams scored 115 points or more are 37-14 ATS L/27 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%), red hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 50% or better of their shots are 6-28 L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Bucks are 4-17 ATS in the last 21 meetings in Utah. Play on Utah to cover |
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| 03-24-23 | Miami-FL +7.5 v. Houston | 89-75 | Win | 100 | 51 h 27 m | Show | |
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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Miami plays an explosive form of small ball , behind top tier guards , including a small ball super star in Norchad Omier. I know Houston is a strong side, but have failed to cover 7 of 8 vs elite opp with a .750 win % or better like the Canes. Advantage Miami. MIAMI in 23 games as an underdog over the last 2 seasons with both themselves and their opponents scoring an average of 72.2 ppg. MIAMI is 8-1 ATS (versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 39%or less over the last 3 seasons. MIAMI is 11-3 ATS vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. Play on Miami Fl to cover |
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| 03-24-23 | San Diego State v. Alabama -7.5 | 71-64 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 24 m | Show | |
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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Alabama HC Oats is 12-1 ATS as a neutral court favorite of 6.5 to 12 points in all games he has coached since 1997. ALABAMA is 8-0 ATS versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game this season. Alabama to cover |
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| 03-23-23 | Thunder v. Clippers -2.5 | 105-127 | Win | 100 | 14 h 11 m | Show | |
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The Clippers lost to Oklahoma city on March 21st by a 101-100 count as 7 point chalk and will be primed for a big bounce back effort here tonight in the rematch. I know the Clippers are without key player George, but they are a deep group and have the replacements ie(Eric Gordon, Robert Covington and Bones Hyland )to excel off the bench. Clippers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Clippers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest. Thunder are 47-23-3 ATS in their last 73 road games. NBA Favorites (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7 or more, off an upset loss as a home favorite are 38-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team (LA CLIPPERS) - off a close home loss by 3 points or less against opponent off a road win by 3 points or less are 25-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Play on LA Clippers to cover |
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| 03-23-23 | Gonzaga +2 v. UCLA | 79-76 | Win | 100 | 39 h 27 m | Show | |
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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Gonzaga started fairly slow this season, but kept picking up their pace behind an explosive offense and are now on a 11 game win streak. Meanwhile, UCLA after a top tier season, have had a few issues of late that Im betting hamper them in this battle. Those problems stem from their top defender bering absent (Jaylen Clark) injury and , David Singleton who is limping around after the Bruins win vs Northwestern in the 2nd round of this season tournament. UCLA is 2-10 ATS in the "sweet 16" round of the NCAA tournament since 1997. UCLA is 0-7 ATS in road games versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or better of their shots over the last 2 seasons.UCLA is 0-6 ATS in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 84+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. |
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| 03-23-23 | Arkansas v. Connecticut -3.5 | 65-88 | Win | 100 | 37 h 51 m | Show | |
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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Arkansas pulled the upset vs Kansas last time out in a grueling physical game and Im betting the Hawgs wont have the needed energy to knock off a UConn side with a 13-0 SU/12-0-1 ATS record vs non conference foes this season. Note:Sweet 16 teams off an upset win over a No. 1 seed are just 4-7 SU and 3-7-1 ATS L/11 opportunities dating back 27 seasons. CONNECTICUT is 14-6 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% or better of their shots this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.2 .CONNECTICUT is 13-3 ATS after a win by 15 points or more this season. UConn to cover |
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| 03-23-23 | Michigan State v. Kansas State OVER 137 | 93-98 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate both sides to eclipse the 70 point plateau giving us value with an over wager in todays NCAA matchup between Michigan State and Kansas State. MICHIGAN ST is 11-3 OVER after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better this season with a combined average of 1461. ppg scored. KANSAS ST is 6-0 OVER in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or better of their attempts after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 149.1 ppg scored. KANSAS ST is 8-1 OVER in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 148.3 ppg scored. KANSAS ST in their L/31 games as an underdog over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average score of 147.6 ppg scored. Play over |
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| 03-22-23 | 76ers -3.5 v. Bulls | 116-91 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
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Philadelphia has revenge on board for a loss they suffered to this same Chicago side at home few days ago and will now be primed on getting redemption in this home and home series. That defeat ended a 8 game win streak for the 76ers. Philadelphia has won and covered their L/5 trips to Chicago. PHILADELPHIA is 9-1 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite of 7or more over the last 2 seasons. CHICAGO is 4-14 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 30-19 ATS versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more this season. NBA Favorites (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7 or more, off an upset loss as a home favorite are 37-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Philadelphia to cover |
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| 03-22-23 | Spurs +17.5 v. Bucks | 94-130 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
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Don't be surprised if this ends up being a defacto night off for the Bucks as they are highly likely to rest players as this game goes on vs the lowly Spurs.Note: The Spurs have covered 3 of their L/4 overall. Spurs are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Bucks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Bucks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games. Home favorites of 10 or more points (MILWAUKEE) - after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread, playing with 2 days rest are just 9-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors, MILWAUKEE is 42-70 ATS L/112 in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) - 2nd half of the season. Spurs are 8-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings. Spurs are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Milwaukee. Play on San Antonio to cover |
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| 03-22-23 | Hawks v. Wolves -4.5 | 124-125 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
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Minnesota have been a inconsistent most of the season, but almost always save their best effort for top tier opposition like they will face tonight. With the Hawks off a win vs Pistons last night scoring 125 points in DD victory and now playing in a back to back situation Im betting they are a disadvantage vs a Wolves side that needs wins if they have hopes of getting a play in post season spot . Hawks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.Hawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest.Karl-Anthony Towns and Anthony Edwards are expected to return to the lineup tonight. NBA Road underdogs (ATLANTA) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 17-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. Play on the Wolves to cover |
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| 03-22-23 | UAB v. Vanderbilt | 67-59 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 46 m | Show | |
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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Vanderbilt now on a 12-2 run since January owns a top-25 unit in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency and deserve respect against a UAB side that is considered to by offensively dynamic. Here against a Blazers team that allows alot of downtown action from beyond the arc, Im betting the Dores have the edge. Stackhouse is 31-19 ATS (versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games as the coach of VANDERBILT. The Commodores are 4-1 in the all-time series versus UAB. The Commodores have won 14 home games, their most since the 2014-15 season. Play on Vanderbilt to cover |
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| 03-21-23 | Celtics v. Kings UNDER 238.5 | 132-109 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 48 m | Show | |
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The Kings will need to ramp up their D here against a strong Boston side. The Kings have done a decent job on defense for the most part of late, but did have a down effort defensively last time out allowing 128 points in a loss to the Jazz. SACRAMENTO is 39-21 UNDER off a road loss over the last 3 seasons with a combined average with a combined average of 225.9 ppg scored.Under is 3-1-1 in Kings last 5 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.Meanwhile, the Celtics rank 7th in ppg allowed and 4th in defensive rating and ranked 19th in pace, and will be primed to stand tall here defensively against an explosive side. Under is 18-8 in Kings last 26 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 11-3 in Celtics last 14 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 20-8 in Celtics last 28 games playing on 2 days rest. BOSTON is 14-6 UNDER as a road favorite of 6 points or less this season with a combined average of 223.5 ppg scored. BOSTON is 13-4 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. with a combined average of 220.6 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (SACRAMENTO) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, after a game making 19 or more 3 point shots are 35-11 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BOSTON) - after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 74-32 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Sacramento. Play UNDER |
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| 03-21-23 | North Texas v. Oklahoma State OVER 124 | 65-59 | Push | 0 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections mkae this total closer to 128 giving us value with on over wager. CBB teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (N.Texas OKLAHOMA ST) - in a game involving two excellent defensive teams (40% or better), in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game) are 30-6 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at 136.9 ppg. Play over |
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| 03-20-23 | Pacers -1.5 v. Hornets | 109-115 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
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Charlotte has lost 4 straight and 7 of their L/9 overall and are fade material in their current form , even here in their own backyard. Mean while, Indiana has won 7 of their L/11 , and have not dropped back to back games in more than a month.( The Pacers lost to Philadelphia last time out) Both of these sides are not in play off contention but the Pacers seem to be more interested in improving as the season winds down and get the nod tonight as short favs. Hornets are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. CHARLOTTE is 3-13 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season.CHARLOTTE is 6-21 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season.CHARLOTTE is 1-8 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 this season. Play on Indiana to cover |
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| 03-20-23 | Wisc-Milwaukee +6 v. Charlotte | 65-76 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Sanchez is 2-11 ATS in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or better of their attempts after 15+ games as the coach of CHARLOTTE Wisconsin Milwaukee to cover |
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| 03-19-23 | TCU v. Gonzaga UNDER 156.5 | 81-84 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 20 m | Show | |
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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. TCU will not run and gun here today with a superior offense, and instead will be primed to turn this into a grinding physical affair . The Horn Frogs have slowed some of the most explosive offenses in the nation that come from the Big 12. TCU has allowed an average of 68 ppg this season. GONZAGA is 7-1 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games this season . GONZAGA is 6-0 UNDER in road games after scoring 75 points or more 5 straight games this season. TCU is 8-2 UNDER versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game after 15+ games this season. TCU is 10-1 UNDER in March games over the last 2 seasons. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (GONZAGA/TCU) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (42.5-45%) after 15+ games are 38-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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| 03-19-23 | Miami-FL +2 v. Indiana | 85-69 | Win | 100 | 21 h 33 m | Show | |
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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Absolutely respect the top guard play of this Miami Fl team. Watching them at the end of the last game vs Drake has me very much riding that momentum in this game .With that said, Im backing the Canes to cover vs what can sometimes be a very inconsistent Hoosiers side. . MIAMI is 11-3 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. MIAMI is 20-8 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. Hurricanes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 NCAA Tournament games. Hurricanes are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Hurricanes are 35-16-1 ATS in their last 52 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Play on Miami FL to cover |
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| 03-19-23 | Heat v. Pistons +9.5 | 112-100 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
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Miami has been very inconsistent when it comes to a betting perspective as they have been consistently over rated by the lines-makers as is evident by failing to cover 13 of their L/18 games overall which includes a DD loss last night in Chicago. Heat are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Heat are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games . MIAMI is also 4-14 ATS when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% or less ) over the last 3 seasons like Motown.MIAMI is also just 7-19 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. Heat are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. MIAMI is 2-13 ATS versus struggling defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or more this season. DETROIT is 6-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons.Heat are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings. NBA Home underdogs (DETROIT) - after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, in March games are 50-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Detroit to cover |
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| 03-19-23 | St. Mary's v. Connecticut -3.5 | 55-70 | Win | 100 | 18 h 51 m | Show | |
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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Huskies are 12-0 SU and 11-0-1 ATS in their last eleven non-conference games. Rinse and repeat on what could surprisingly be a mismatch. ST MARYS-CA is 0-8 ATS in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 16 or more assists/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. Play on UConn to cover |
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| 03-19-23 | Hawks v. Spurs +9 | 118-126 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
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Atlanta is not a reliable favorite as is evident by a 8-17 ATS record as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. The Hawks are coming off a home win, but their ability to keep momentum alive after a home victory has not been a good look for their betting supporters as they are 9-24 ATS after playing a home game this season and 4-14 ATS off a home win this season and overall are 8-21 ATS after a game where they covered the spread this season. Hawks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. I know San Antonio may not inspire bettors, but they do offer value on this home underdog line and have been fairly competitive of late. Popovich is 113-81 ATS against Southeast division opponents as the coach of SAN ANTONIO. SAN ANTONIO is 8-0 ATS in home games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games this season. AN ANTONIO is 21-4 straight up against ATLANTA since 1996. Play on the San Antonio Spurs |
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| 03-19-23 | Pittsburgh +5.5 v. Xavier | 73-84 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Pittsburgh's been on my radar since early on this season and will not be surprised if they upset Xavier straight up. Since. we are getting points that makes for ultimate value with the underdog on this line offering. Capel III is 8-0 ATS after a game - where they allowed a shooting pct. of 28% or less in all games he has coached since 1997. PITTSBURGH is 7-1 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game this season. PITTSBURGH is 13-4 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season. PITTSBURGH is 20-6 ATS versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game this season. Pittsburgh to cover |
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| 03-18-23 | Heat -2.5 v. Bulls | 99-113 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
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The Heat have looked good recently against some top tier teams, with with wins Cleveland , Memphis, and Atlanta and are once again viable opponents for a Bulls team playing back to back games on tired legs. Bulls are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest. NBA Road favorites (MIAMI) - double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent, playing with 2 days rest are 26-6 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. NBA Home underdogs (CHICAGO) - off an home win scoring 110 or more points, playing on back-to-back days are 30-51 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. Heat are 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Chicago. Play on Miami Heat to cover |
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| 03-18-23 | Penn State +5.5 v. Texas | 66-71 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Penn State has won nine of its last 11 games and earned a 76-59 win over No. 7 seed Texas A&M in Thursday's first round game and deserve respect here as underdogs despite of how formidable their opponent Texas is. Nittany Lions are 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. TEXAS is 0-6 ATS after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. TEXAS is 1-9 ATS in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons. PENN ST is 8-0 ATS in all tournament games this season.. PENN ST is 7-1 ATS in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games this season. PENN ST is 11-1 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 16 or more assists/game over the last 2 seasons.PENN ST is 9-1 ATS as a neutral court underdog or pick over the last 2 seasons.Shrewsberry is 13-1 ATS in all neutral court lined games as the coach of PENN ST. Play on Penn State to cover |
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| 03-18-23 | 76ers -6 v. Pacers | 141-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
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Indiana has lost its last five meetings against Philadelphia, including the first three matchups this season. Sixers star Joel Embiid scored 42 points in a 147-143 win over the Pacers on March 6 . The front runner for MVP Im betting will once again be ready to bring down the hammer and help his team to a conclusive victory vs a over matched inconsistent opponent. Im also not worried about this being a back to back situation fro what my power ranking suggest is the best conditioned side in the NBA. PHILADELPHIA is 9-1 ATS when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days this season. NBA Home underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (INDIANA) - revenging a loss vs opponent, off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog are 1-29 L/5 seasons wirh the average ppg diff clicking in at - 11.7. Play on 76ers to cover |
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| 03-18-23 | Auburn +5.5 v. Houston | 64-81 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Auburn is the winningest program, by wins and percentage, over the last six years in the SEC with an impressive 75-15 overall record (.833) versus non-conference opponents. Auburn to cover |
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| 03-18-23 | Arkansas +3.5 v. Kansas | 72-71 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Arkansas head coach Eric Musselman is 15-1 SU and 14-1-1 ATS as HC in NCAA hoops vs .800 to .875 or better opposition when his team is coming off a win of 5 or more points. Arkansas took out Illinois by DD in round 1 of this tournament and according to my projections are formidable opponents for the Jayhawks here today. ARKANSAS is 28-16 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons. KANSAS is 0-6 ATS after having won 12 or more of their last 15 games this season. Arkansas to cover |
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| 03-18-23 | Nuggets -1.5 v. Knicks | 110-116 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
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The Denver Nuggets took a conclusive win at Detroit on Thursday night when they snapped a season-long four-game skid and officially clinched a playoff spot. Now with momentum on their sides, Im betting they will be primed to keep the winning going against a viable opponent. DENVER is 21-9 ATS after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread over the last 3 season. Meanwhile, after a grueling 4 game west coast road trip, and despite having a few days off Im betting the Knicks will take time to acclimated to home cooking and to also shake of the rust . DENVER is 24-13 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Nuggets are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in New York. Play on Denver to cover |
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| 03-18-23 | Furman +5.5 v. San Diego State | 52-75 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 42 m | Show | |
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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Furman has momentum after upsetting Virginia in the opening round of the tournament, and according to my projections matchup well vs San Diego State. Paladins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Paladins are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. FURMAN is 10-2 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.FURMAN is 9-1 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games this season. Furman to cover |
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| 03-18-23 | USC Upstate v. Indiana State UNDER 158 | 62-67 | Win | 100 | 3 h 24 m | Show | |
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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. USC UPSTATE is 7-1 UNDER in road games after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers this season with a combined average of 134 ppg going on the board. Dickerson is 6-0 UNDER after 2 straight games where they were called for 22 or more fouls as the coach of USC UPSTATE with a combined average of 128,5 ppg scored. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (USC UPSATE/INDIANA ST) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (42.5-45%) after 15+ games are 36-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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| 03-17-23 | Pelicans v. Rockets +6 | 112-114 | Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
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Houston has won two straight vs the Lakers and Celtics and seem to have momentum thanks to an intense defensive style of play that is currently clicking on all cylinders. Considering the Pelicans uneven form, it wont be a hard decision to fade them here as road favs. Pelicans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. Rockets are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall.Rockets are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. NEW ORLEANS is 1-9 ATS in road games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons. NEW ORLEANS is 12-21 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season. Houston Rockets to cover |
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| 03-17-23 | Drake +2.5 v. Miami-FL | 56-63 | Loss | -110 | 59 h 33 m | Show | |
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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Drake to cover |
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| 03-17-23 | Warriors v. Hawks -2 | 119-127 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
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Golden State is banged up with a huge injury list and personnel playing at less than 100%. Considering this and the Warriors struggles away from home it is an easy decision to back the Atlanta Hawks at home. GOLDEN STATE is 0-9 ATS in road games in the second half of the season this season. GOLDEN STATE is 8-25 ATS in road games this season. Kerr is 37-58 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of GOLDEN STATE. Warriors are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Atlanta. Hawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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| 03-17-23 | Wizards v. Cavs UNDER 220.5 | 94-117 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
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Cleveland runs at a snails pace ranking 30th in the NBA and rank 1st in ppg allowed in the league and just 25th in ppg offense . CLEVELAND is 13-4 UNDER in home games against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons like Washington with a combined average of 209.2 ppg going on the board. Im betting Cleveland will control the pace of this game , which will result in a lower scoring affair. Under is 4-1 in Wizards last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 4-1 in Wizards last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. CLEVELAND is 12-3 UNDER in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 204.2 ppg scored. Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings. Play UNDER |
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| 03-17-23 | NC State +5.5 v. Creighton | 63-72 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 23 m | Show | |
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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. NC State to cover |
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| 03-17-23 | Vermont +11 v. Marquette | 61-78 | Loss | -110 | 95 h 51 m | Show | |
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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Vermont to cover |
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| 03-17-23 | VCU v. St. Mary's -4 | 51-63 | Win | 100 | 52 h 7 m | Show | |
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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Saint Mary's to cover |
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| 03-17-23 | UC-Santa Barbara +11 v. Baylor | 56-74 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Pasternack is 17-4 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game as the coach of UC-SANTA BARBARA. UC-SANTA BARBARA is 11-1 ATS in a neutral court game where the total is 140 to 149.5 since 1997. UC Santa Barbara to cover |
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| 03-17-23 | Kennesaw State v. Xavier UNDER 152 | 67-72 | Win | 100 | 93 h 41 m | Show | |
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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
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| 03-16-23 | Magic v. Suns UNDER 228.5 | 113-116 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
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Orlando took out the Suns by a 114-97 count the last time they played this season back on Nov 11. Because of the style of hoops both sides play against comparative sides, a under wager makes sense , based on my own projections which estimate a total closer to 225. PHOENIX is 14-3 UNDER revenging a road loss vs opponent this season with a combined average of 220.2 ppg scored. ORLANDO is 11-3 UNDER in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season with a combined average of 213.2 ppg scored..ORLANDO is 10-1 UNDER after a blowout loss by 15 points or more this season with a combined average of 217.7 ppg scored. The Magic played little or no D, in a ugly loss to San Antonio last time out, and the coaching staff was not impressed. Im expecting a more concerted and attentive effort in transition here tonight by the Magic. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHOENIX) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 34-13 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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| 03-16-23 | Colgate +13.5 v. Texas | 61-81 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 2 m | Show | |
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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Colgate enters this tourney game on a 20-1 SU run and deserve respect against a highly ranked Longhorns program that has a history of sub par tourney appearances going just 3-9 SU and 1-11 ATS L/12 . COLGATE is 7-0 ATS in March games over the last 2 seasons. Colgate to cover |
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| 03-16-23 | Nuggets -13.5 v. Pistons | 119-100 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
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Denver will not be taking the tanking and banged up Pistons lightly tonight Quote: "Right now we're just in chill mode, and you can't be in chill mode with 13 games to go in the season," Malone said. "We've got to try to find a way to get our swagger back." End Quote. Heres another one -"Maybe we've gotten a little soft with success," Malone said. "We've been on cruise control for so long, No. 1 in the West since like Dec. 15. I just told our players we've gotten away from who we are." End Quote. Im betting on the Nuggets trying to get some lost mojo back and gain momentum towards the play offs with a big effort vs a less superior side tonight. Denver also has the added incentive of revenge for a embarrassing 110-108 loss to the Pistons, Dec 22. Im sure Malone will have his side ready to get some redemption. NBA Road teams (DENVER) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite are 49-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Denver to cover |
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| 03-16-23 | Oral Roberts v. Duke UNDER 146.5 | 51-74 | Win | 100 | 82 h 37 m | Show | |
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Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (ORAL ROBERTS) - up-tempo team averaging 62 or more shots/game on the season, after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 33% or less are 35-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. |
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| 03-16-23 | Oral Roberts +6.5 v. Duke | 51-74 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 4 m | Show | |
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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. ACC tourney champions in the NCAA Tournament, 0-7 ATS as a No. 3 or worse seed. Oral Roberts to cover |
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| 03-16-23 | College of Charleston +5.5 v. San Diego State | 57-63 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 25 m | Show | |
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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. MWC is 1-8 SU and 0-8-1 ATS in first round games since 2010. Charleston to cover |
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| 03-16-23 | Howard +22 v. Kansas | 68-96 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 26 m | Show | |
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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. HOWARD is 7-0 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) this season. Howard to cover |
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| 03-16-23 | Utah State v. Missouri +1.5 | 65-76 | Win | 100 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Missouri has wins against Illinois and Kentucky this season, and are more than capable of upending Utah State in this tilt. Mountain West Conference Mountain hoops programs 10th or worse seeds have lost 20 straight times in this NCAA tournament. Play on Missouri to cover |
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| 03-16-23 | Furman +5.5 v. Virginia | 68-67 | Win | 100 | 28 h 34 m | Show | |
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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Furnan to cover |
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| 03-15-23 | Warriors v. Clippers UNDER 235.5 | 126-134 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 45 m | Show | |
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Clippers are deliberate side, that ranks 24th in pace, and Im betting they will be even more conservative here in transition tonight against an explosive offensive opponent which will result in a lower scoring affair than the linesmakers estimate. Kerr is 21-8 UNDER in road games off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival as the coach of GOLDEN STATE with a combined average of 213.4 ppg scored.( Golden State took a 123-112 event vs the Suns last time out). LA CLIPPERS are 25-8 UNDER in home games this season with a combined average of 220 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 10-2 UNDER as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season with a combined average of 212.7 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 21-6 UNDER in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more this season with a combined average of 219.4 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (CHICAGO) - after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 50-14 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 78 Play on the UNDER |
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| 03-15-23 | Kings v. Bulls UNDER 239 | 117-114 | Win | 100 | 15 h 56 m | Show | |
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After playing a physical wide open game vs the Bucks last time out Im betting on an emotional letdown situation to rare its ugly head here tonight in Chicago for Sacramento. I also expect a more concerted defensive effort from the Kings after imploding defensively in the 2nd half of the above mentioned game vs the Bucks . Meanwhile the Bulls who rank 20th in offense and 10th and defense behind the 17th ranked pace will be especially careful in transition tonight vs an explosive side which will help us keep the combined score on the low side of the total. CHICAGO is 8-1 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 210.5 ppg scored.
Brown is 17-6 UNDER in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game as the coach of SACRAMENTO with a combined average of 228.2 ppg scored. Donovan is 33-11 UNDER versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or better of their shots - 2nd half of the season in all games he has coached since 1996 with acombined average of 213.3 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (CHICAGO) - after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 50-14 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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| 03-15-23 | Celtics -4.5 v. Wolves | 104-102 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 41 m | Show | |
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Boston are off a embarrassing loss to the Rockets last time out (111-109 as 13 point chalk), and will now be primed for a bounce back performance vs a side they match well against. The Celtics defeated the Wolves 121-109 earlier this season and covering as 4 point road chalk wont be a difficult prospect here especially after their recent loss to a lower tier side. BOSTON is 21-6 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 13-4 ATS in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons. Finch is 4-17 ATS after 3 consecutive non-conference games as the coach of MINNESOTA. NBA Home underdogs (MINNESOTA) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off an upset win as a road underdog are 10-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home underdogs vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - revenging a road loss vs opponent, off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog are 2-28 SU L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -10.1 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on Celtics to cover |
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| 03-15-23 | Alcorn State +17.5 v. North Texas | 53-69 | Win | 100 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections make this line closer to -13 giving us a more than 2 possession value with the underdog. Bussie is 32-18 ATS in road games as the coach of ALCORN ST. Bussie is 27-14 ATS as a road underdog or pick as the coach of ALCORN ST. Bussie is 9-2 ATS when the total is 129.5 or less as the coach of ALCORN ST. Alcorn State to cover |
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| 03-15-23 | Texas Southern v. Fairleigh Dickinson +2.5 | 61-84 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Surprise , surprise look who made it into NCAA play in game. FDU behind a high-powered offense that led the conference in points, assists and threes per game will be primed to compete here, after a miraculous come back from last seasons 4-22 debacle. Jones is 7-19 ATS vs. teams who are called for 3+ more fouls/game than their opponents as the coach of TEXAS SOUTHER TEXAS SOUTHERN is 4-11 ATS as a favorite this season. FARLEIGH DICKINSON is 10-1 ATS L/11 versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making 31% or less of their attempts after 15+ games . Fairleigh Dickson to cover |
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| 03-14-23 | Seton Hall +4.5 v. Colorado | 64-65 | Win | 100 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Holloway is 12-2 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points in all games he has coached since 1997. Seton Hall to cover |
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| 03-14-23 | Mississippi State v. Pittsburgh +2 | 59-60 | Win | 100 | 39 h 52 m | Show | |
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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Miss state enters this game having lost 4 straight games and are fade material in their current form against a hard working Pittsburgh side with top tier team chemistry. Play on Pittsburgh to cover |
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| 03-14-23 | Pistons v. Wizards -11.5 | 97-117 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
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Detroit is a highly inconsistent team, and after coming off a surprising 117-97 win last time out vs Indiana , that ended a 11 game losing streak Im betting this banged up group will have a down effort . Their opponents the Wizards are in desperation mode after suffering 3 straight losses and in need of wins if they hope to procure a play in game spot. Note:DETROIT is 1-14 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 17.1 ppg. Play on Washington to cover |
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| 03-13-23 | Bucks -1.5 v. Kings | 133-124 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
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Milwaukee blew a OT loss Golden State last time out , and lost 125-116 affter making a late comeback surge and erasing 15 points . Thanks to that loss, and they way it happened you can bet the defending champs will primed for a redemption minded bounce back effort. I Dont think their is an argument here who is the better team making this an easy choice on a short chalk line. Sacramento has lost 5 straight meetings against the Bucks. MILWAUKEE is 15-4 ATS in road games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or less - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. MILWAUKEE is 12-4 ATS as a road favorite this season. NBA Home underdogs (SACRAMENTO) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off an upset win as a road underdog are 10-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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| 03-13-23 | Bucks v. Kings UNDER 244.5 | 133-124 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
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My projections estimate a combined score of 232, giving us tremendous value on this public totals offering. MILWAUKEE is 26-11 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. with a combined average of 221.9 ppg scored. SACRAMENTO is 15-7 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average of 232.2 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SACRAMENTO) - off a road win, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 41-6 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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| 03-13-23 | Celtics v. Rockets +12.5 | 109-111 | Win | 100 | 4 h 4 m | Show | |
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To tank or not to tank, that is the question for Houston. Im betting this young group with a chance to upset a top tier opponent will be primed to play hard here and leave everything on the court. Meanwhile, the Celtics could easily overlook this opponent and rest players as the the game progresses. Rockets are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.Celtics are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest. Play on Houston to cover |
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| 03-13-23 | Wolves v. Hawks -5 | 136-115 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
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The Atlanta Hawks are in desperation mode tonight as they take on the Minnesota Timberwolves. as they look to be included the play-in tournament . The Hawks are chasing the New York Knicks who are ahead of them by 4 1/2 games in the chase for the No. 6 spot in the Eastern Conference playoffs with only 14 contests left. With that said, Im betting the Hawks come out here with their proverbial hair on fire. Note: Minnesota is banged up and are without Karl-Anthony Towns, . Jaylen Nowell and Austin Rivers is less than 100% and missed Friday's game with back spasms. MINNESOTA is 4-14 ATS against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons. MINNESOTA is 7-16 ATS in non-conference games this season. ATLANTA is 20-9 ATS ( in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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| 03-13-23 | Grizzlies v. Mavs +1.5 | 104-88 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
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The Grizzlies have not played well on the road this season or more precisely have not been a consistent side on the road as their 12-21 SU /11-20 -2 ATS road record would indicate . MEMPHIS is also just 6-17 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season.
I know the Mavs are also very inconsistent but they seem to come to life vs top tier oppomnents and deserve respect here at home. Mavericks are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Play on Dallas to cover |
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| 03-12-23 | Blazers v. Pelicans UNDER 231 | 110-127 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
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The Pelicans have averaged just 107 ppg on offense in their L/5 trips to the hardwood, and depend on being conservative on transition which results in slow placed games. The current 5 game run has see a combined average of just 218.8 ppg scored. The Pelicans currently rank 8th in defensive efficiency. Meanwhile, Portland has also had problems being consistent on offense of late , and despite of a big output last time out in a 120-119 loss to the 76ers have seen 5 of their L/7 overall remain on the low side of the offered total. Im expecting offensive regression here especially with this being the Blazers 6th straight rad game. Im betting their tired legs will have them not willing to take part in a run and gun affair, which the Pelicans dont want any part of anyway. Under is 6-0 in Pelicans last 6 overall.Under is 4-0 in Pelicans last 4 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. NEW ORLEANS is 12-3 UNDER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.NEW ORLEANS is 23-8 UNDER when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 221.4 ppg scored.NEW ORLEANS is 8-1 UNDER \ when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 218.6 ppg scored. PORTLAND is 31-17 UNDER after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 217.8 ppg scored.PORTLAND is 18-9 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season with a combined average of 225.5 ppg scored. Under is 4-0 in Trail Blazers last 4 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Under is 7-1 in Trail Blazers last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 12-5 in Trail Blazers last 17 road games. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PORTLAND) - an good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after a loss by 6 points or less are 70-30 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings with a combined average of 213.1 ppg scored. Play under |
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| 03-12-23 | Penn State v. Purdue OVER 134 | 65-67 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 31 m | Show | |
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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Purdue has defeated the Nittany Lions twice this year (76-63 at The Palestra on Jan. 8; 80-60 in Mackey Arena on Feb. 1). Im betting on a output somewhere in the same range which gives us an edge with a over bet.Painter is 15-3 OVER in a neutral court game where the total is 135 to 139.5 as the coach of PURDUE.Shrewsberry in his L/23 games versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or better with a defense of 42% or better as the coach of PENN ST has seen a combined average score of 139.7 ppg scored. Play on the over |
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| 03-12-23 | Princeton v. Yale -3 | 74-65 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 26 m | Show | |
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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Ivy League Tournament - Championship - Jadwin Gymnasium - Princeton, NJ Yale, the league's top defensive team, is set to meet Princeton in Sunday's championship game. Defense wins championships and nothing changes today. Yale won both games against Princeton this season and matchup well here once again.YALE is 8-0 ATS when playing their 2nd road game in 3 days over the last 2 seasons.YALE is 9-1 ATS in road games when playing with one or less days rest over the last 2 seasons. Play on Yale to cover |
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| 03-11-23 | Arizona +1.5 v. UCLA | 61-59 | Win | 100 | 14 h 53 m | Show | |
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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. These teams split the season series with each winning on their own home court. UCLA took the final meeting. Note: ARIZONA is 6-0 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. Arizona beat the Bruins 84-76 last year for the title and a rinse and repeat scenario Im betting is now on board. UCLA has been forced to adjust in the Pac-12 Tournament without wing Jaylen Clark, the Pac-12’s Defensive Player of the Year and he will be missed in this big game. UCLA is 0-6 ATS in road games versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or better of their shots over the last 2 seasons. Play on Arizona to cover |
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| 03-11-23 | Bucks +1.5 v. Warriors | 116-125 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
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Golden States lost 3 straight games, and getting are not the same side that dominated the NBA a few seasons back.Yes, they have played their best hoops at home , but they still have procured 7 losses as hosts and are not invincible. Meanwhile, MILWAUKEE is 12-4 ATS as a road favorite this season. Im betting on the defending NBA champs to be wide awake here in this spot play situation. Bucks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Bucks are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 road games. MILWAUKEE is 15-3 ATS in road games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or better - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. GOLDEN STATE is 1-9 ATS after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (GOLDEN STATE) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 9-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee Bucks to cover |
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| 03-11-23 | Mavs v. Grizzlies -5.5 | 108-112 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
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Dallas has lost 7 of their L/10 overall and now go against a side that plays their best hoops at home where they have garnered a 27-5 record. With the added incentive of revenge for a ugly DD loss on the road back in October to the Mavs Im now betting the combo of home court advantage and redemption will have the Grizzlies in top form and ready for merciless retribution. Yes, I know Ja Morant is out for the Grizzlies and they are a bit banged up, but Dallas is in the same boat with key stars Doncic and Irving also injured and less than 100%. MEMPHIS is 10-1 ATS in home games revenging a loss vs opponent this season.MEMPHIS is 14-2 ATS in home games in March games over the last 3 seasons. Play on the Grizzlies to cover |
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| 03-11-23 | Celtics v. Hawks UNDER 236.5 | 134-125 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
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My projections make this total closer to 231 which gives us at least a two full possession value to the under. Bostons well rested and with the play offs approaching quickly will continue to hone their key defensive skills . Boston operates at the 20th ranked pace in the NBA and owns the 4th best defensive rating on the league. Note: Boston has gone under in 8 of their L/9 with 2 days rest and have gone under in 14 of their L/16 as 8 point or less road chalk. Atlanta has gone under in 8 of their L/9 as conference home dogs and are 0-5 under L/5 in this series vs Boston with the average combined score clicking in at 208.2 ppg. Snyder is 44-22 UNDER in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts - 2nd half of the season in all games he has coached since 1996 with a combined average of 204.4 ppg scored. BOSTON is 7-0 UNDER in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season with a combined average of 209.7 ppg scored.BOSTON is 20-5 UNDER when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.9 ppg scored. BOSTON is 13-3 UNDER as a road favorite of 6 points or less this season with a combined average of 219.9 ppg scored. BOSTON is 15-7 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season with a combined average of 230.5 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BOSTON) - after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 52-21 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. NBA home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (ATLANTA) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off a win against a division rival are 46-20 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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| 03-11-23 | Jazz v. Hornets +2.5 | 119-111 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
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Charlotte has played alot more consistently of late winning 7 of their L/10 including 2 straight. The same cannot be said about Utah a side that has lost 9 of their L/13 overall and 4 of their L/5 . The performance divergence has me recommending we take the home dog in this spot play against a tired side now playing their 5th straight road game. Hornets are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win UTAH is 3-12 ATS in road games in March games over the last 2 seasons. UTAH is 15-32 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons UTAH is 43-61 ATS as a favorite over the last 2 seasons NBA Home teams (CHARLOTTE) - after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 130 points or more are 32-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Charlotte to cover |
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| 03-11-23 | Utah State +2 v. San Diego State | 57-62 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Utah state rolls into this tilt having won 7 straight all by DD deficits, and are well prepared to take down the San Diego state Aztecs in the MWC championship game . No. 2's seeds in this tourney like the Aggies are 11-3 SU and 10-3-1 ATS L/14 opportunities in MWC title tilts. UTAH ST is 8-1 ATS after 4 straight wins by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. UTAH ST is 6-0 ATS in road games in March games over the last 2 seasons. Odom is 12-2 ATS in all neutral court games as the coach of UTAH ST. Play on Utah State to cover |
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| Basketball Archive | |||||||
| Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
| 04-04-23 | Cavs v. Magic +5 | 117-113 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
| 04-03-23 | San Diego State v. Connecticut -7 | 59-76 | Win | 100 | 27 h 57 m | Show | |
| 04-02-23 | Warriors v. Nuggets -2 | 110-112 | Push | 0 | 13 h 49 m | Show | |
| 04-02-23 | 76ers v. Bucks -4.5 | 104-117 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
| 04-02-23 | Pacers +13 v. Cavs | 105-115 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
| 04-02-23 | Suns v. Thunder UNDER 236 | 128-118 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
| 04-02-23 | Mavs v. Hawks UNDER 244.5 | 130-132 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
| 04-01-23 | Miami-FL v. Connecticut UNDER 149.5 | 59-72 | Win | 100 | 25 h 34 m | Show | |
| 04-01-23 | Mavs v. Heat -1 | 122-129 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
| 04-01-23 | Florida Atlantic v. San Diego State -2.5 | 71-72 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 21 m | Show | |
| 03-31-23 | Pistons v. Rockets UNDER 229.5 | 115-121 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
| 03-31-23 | Knicks v. Cavs -3.5 | 130-116 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
| 03-30-23 | UAB v. North Texas OVER 127.5 | 61-68 | Win | 100 | 14 h 5 m | Show | |
| 03-30-23 | Celtics v. Bucks UNDER 236.5 | 140-99 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
| 03-29-23 | Jazz -4.5 v. Spurs | 128-117 | Win | 100 | 13 h 17 m | Show | |
| 03-29-23 | Clippers v. Grizzlies OVER 228.5 | 141-132 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
| 03-29-23 | Heat +4.5 v. Knicks | 92-101 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 14 m | Show | |
| 03-28-23 | Pelicans v. Warriors -8.5 | 109-120 | Win | 100 | 15 h 10 m | Show | |
| 03-28-23 | Magic v. Grizzlies -7 | 108-113 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
| 03-28-23 | Hornets v. Thunder -9 | 137-134 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
| 03-28-23 | Wisconsin v. North Texas OVER 115 | 54-56 | Loss | -110 | 83 h 2 m | Show | |
| 03-27-23 | Wolves v. Kings -5.5 | 119-115 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 49 m | Show | |
| 03-27-23 | 76ers +6 v. Nuggets | 111-116 | Win | 100 | 14 h 45 m | Show | |
| 03-27-23 | Bucks v. Pistons +15.5 | 126-117 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
| 03-26-23 | Wolves v. Warriors -6.5 | 99-96 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
| 03-26-23 | Thunder v. Blazers +9.5 | 118-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
| 03-26-23 | Miami-FL +4.5 v. Texas | 88-81 | Win | 100 | 34 h 10 m | Show | |
| 03-26-23 | Bulls +3.5 v. Lakers | 118-108 | Win | 100 | 5 h 21 m | Show | |
| 03-25-23 | Bucks v. Nuggets -2.5 | 106-129 | Win | 100 | 13 h 26 m | Show | |
| 03-25-23 | Connecticut -2 v. Gonzaga | 82-54 | Win | 100 | 14 h 3 m | Show | |
| 03-24-23 | Princeton +10 v. Creighton | 75-86 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 16 m | Show | |
| 03-24-23 | Bucks v. Jazz +9 | 144-116 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 2 m | Show | |
| 03-24-23 | Miami-FL +7.5 v. Houston | 89-75 | Win | 100 | 51 h 27 m | Show | |
| 03-24-23 | San Diego State v. Alabama -7.5 | 71-64 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 24 m | Show | |
| 03-23-23 | Thunder v. Clippers -2.5 | 105-127 | Win | 100 | 14 h 11 m | Show | |
| 03-23-23 | Gonzaga +2 v. UCLA | 79-76 | Win | 100 | 39 h 27 m | Show | |
| 03-23-23 | Arkansas v. Connecticut -3.5 | 65-88 | Win | 100 | 37 h 51 m | Show | |
| 03-23-23 | Michigan State v. Kansas State OVER 137 | 93-98 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
| 03-22-23 | 76ers -3.5 v. Bulls | 116-91 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
| 03-22-23 | Spurs +17.5 v. Bucks | 94-130 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
| 03-22-23 | Hawks v. Wolves -4.5 | 124-125 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
| 03-22-23 | UAB v. Vanderbilt | 67-59 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 46 m | Show | |
| 03-21-23 | Celtics v. Kings UNDER 238.5 | 132-109 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 48 m | Show | |
| 03-21-23 | North Texas v. Oklahoma State OVER 124 | 65-59 | Push | 0 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
| 03-20-23 | Pacers -1.5 v. Hornets | 109-115 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
| 03-20-23 | Wisc-Milwaukee +6 v. Charlotte | 65-76 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
| 03-19-23 | TCU v. Gonzaga UNDER 156.5 | 81-84 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 20 m | Show | |
| 03-19-23 | Miami-FL +2 v. Indiana | 85-69 | Win | 100 | 21 h 33 m | Show | |
| 03-19-23 | Heat v. Pistons +9.5 | 112-100 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
| 03-19-23 | St. Mary's v. Connecticut -3.5 | 55-70 | Win | 100 | 18 h 51 m | Show | |
| 03-19-23 | Hawks v. Spurs +9 | 118-126 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
| 03-19-23 | Pittsburgh +5.5 v. Xavier | 73-84 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
| 03-18-23 | Heat -2.5 v. Bulls | 99-113 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
| 03-18-23 | Penn State +5.5 v. Texas | 66-71 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
| 03-18-23 | 76ers -6 v. Pacers | 141-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
| 03-18-23 | Auburn +5.5 v. Houston | 64-81 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
| 03-18-23 | Arkansas +3.5 v. Kansas | 72-71 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
| 03-18-23 | Nuggets -1.5 v. Knicks | 110-116 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
| 03-18-23 | Furman +5.5 v. San Diego State | 52-75 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 42 m | Show | |
| 03-18-23 | USC Upstate v. Indiana State UNDER 158 | 62-67 | Win | 100 | 3 h 24 m | Show | |
| 03-17-23 | Pelicans v. Rockets +6 | 112-114 | Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
| 03-17-23 | Drake +2.5 v. Miami-FL | 56-63 | Loss | -110 | 59 h 33 m | Show | |
| 03-17-23 | Warriors v. Hawks -2 | 119-127 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
| 03-17-23 | Wizards v. Cavs UNDER 220.5 | 94-117 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
| 03-17-23 | NC State +5.5 v. Creighton | 63-72 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 23 m | Show | |
| 03-17-23 | Vermont +11 v. Marquette | 61-78 | Loss | -110 | 95 h 51 m | Show | |
| 03-17-23 | VCU v. St. Mary's -4 | 51-63 | Win | 100 | 52 h 7 m | Show | |
| 03-17-23 | UC-Santa Barbara +11 v. Baylor | 56-74 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
| 03-17-23 | Kennesaw State v. Xavier UNDER 152 | 67-72 | Win | 100 | 93 h 41 m | Show | |
| 03-16-23 | Magic v. Suns UNDER 228.5 | 113-116 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
| 03-16-23 | Colgate +13.5 v. Texas | 61-81 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 2 m | Show | |
| 03-16-23 | Nuggets -13.5 v. Pistons | 119-100 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
| 03-16-23 | Oral Roberts v. Duke UNDER 146.5 | 51-74 | Win | 100 | 82 h 37 m | Show | |
| 03-16-23 | Oral Roberts +6.5 v. Duke | 51-74 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 4 m | Show | |
| 03-16-23 | College of Charleston +5.5 v. San Diego State | 57-63 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 25 m | Show | |
| 03-16-23 | Howard +22 v. Kansas | 68-96 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 26 m | Show | |
| 03-16-23 | Utah State v. Missouri +1.5 | 65-76 | Win | 100 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
| 03-16-23 | Furman +5.5 v. Virginia | 68-67 | Win | 100 | 28 h 34 m | Show | |
| 03-15-23 | Warriors v. Clippers UNDER 235.5 | 126-134 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 45 m | Show | |
| 03-15-23 | Kings v. Bulls UNDER 239 | 117-114 | Win | 100 | 15 h 56 m | Show | |
| 03-15-23 | Celtics -4.5 v. Wolves | 104-102 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 41 m | Show | |
| 03-15-23 | Alcorn State +17.5 v. North Texas | 53-69 | Win | 100 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
| 03-15-23 | Texas Southern v. Fairleigh Dickinson +2.5 | 61-84 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
| 03-14-23 | Seton Hall +4.5 v. Colorado | 64-65 | Win | 100 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
| 03-14-23 | Mississippi State v. Pittsburgh +2 | 59-60 | Win | 100 | 39 h 52 m | Show | |
| 03-14-23 | Pistons v. Wizards -11.5 | 97-117 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
| 03-13-23 | Bucks -1.5 v. Kings | 133-124 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
| 03-13-23 | Bucks v. Kings UNDER 244.5 | 133-124 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
| 03-13-23 | Celtics v. Rockets +12.5 | 109-111 | Win | 100 | 4 h 4 m | Show | |
| 03-13-23 | Wolves v. Hawks -5 | 136-115 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
| 03-13-23 | Grizzlies v. Mavs +1.5 | 104-88 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
| 03-12-23 | Blazers v. Pelicans UNDER 231 | 110-127 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
| 03-12-23 | Penn State v. Purdue OVER 134 | 65-67 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 31 m | Show | |
| 03-12-23 | Princeton v. Yale -3 | 74-65 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 26 m | Show | |
| 03-11-23 | Arizona +1.5 v. UCLA | 61-59 | Win | 100 | 14 h 53 m | Show | |
| 03-11-23 | Bucks +1.5 v. Warriors | 116-125 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
| 03-11-23 | Mavs v. Grizzlies -5.5 | 108-112 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
| 03-11-23 | Celtics v. Hawks UNDER 236.5 | 134-125 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
| 03-11-23 | Jazz v. Hornets +2.5 | 119-111 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
| 03-11-23 | Utah State +2 v. San Diego State | 57-62 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
