The Knicks had been showing signs of late of late, but then fell back down to earth against superior competition, here against a Wizards team that they can handle I expect a top tier effort on their own home court. 

WASHINGTON is 7-17 ATS  in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons. 

WASHINGTON is 8-20 ATS  in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Teams like the Knicks  are 17-1 ATS/SU as a favorite with less than two days rest off a 10+ loss when the total is at least 15 points more than their season-to-date average.

NBA. Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW YORK) - after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games, in December games are 32-12 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on NY Knicks to cover 

The Sixers' offensive flow was disrupted by zone defenses during a recent 3 game losing streak. They averaged 97 points while falling to Brooklyn, Miami and Dallas. Personally I have not liked the flow of the Sixers for a few seasons now, and despite of their talent , are to choppy of a team to garner my respect against the best teams in this league. I know Detroit is not a top tier team, but HC Casey is an astute enough student of the game, to know how to implement a defensive game plan that can slow the Sixers here , making the home team in my humble betting opinion a solid underdog in this spot play.

The Seventysixers are 11-34-1 ATS L/46  as a favorite with rest off a game as a favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 7 refereed turnovers per game.

NBATeams like the Pistons  are 13-0 ATS L/13 s a home dog off a 10+ loss after rebounding less than 20% of their own misses.

NBARoad teams (PHILADELPHIA) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 21-51 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Detroit to cover 

SMU has held 7 of 10 opponents below 40% shooting. SMU is 48-3 under Tim Jankovich when holding opponents at or below 40%. SMU's field goal percentage defense is 39.4, which is 6th in the AAC and 79th nationally. The Mustangs are 37-4 L/41 at Moody Coliseum. 

CBB  Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SMU) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season are 63-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Diamond Head Classic - 2nd Round - Stan Sheriff Center - Honolulu, HI

 Portland's eight wins have already eclipsed last season's total of seven.
• The Pilots lead the WCC in FG percentage defense (.386), three-point defense (.282) and blocked shots (4.4) while also ranking third in points allowed per game (63.0).
• UP ranks 17th nationally in three-point percentage (.398). key here to covering as DD dogs. 

• The team returns two starters and have enough experience not be flustered. 

This is a very well conditioned Portland team that will be ready to play here today vs Boise State. 

PORTLAND is 11-2 ATS  in road games when playing their 2nd game in 3 days over the last 3 seasons.Porter is 17-4 ATS  in road games when playing their 2nd game in 3 days as the coach of PORTLAND.

Play on Portland to cover 

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

Play OVER

The Pacers have won 13 of their last 16 games heading into the tilt with Milwaukee (26-4), which has emerged victorious in 20 of 21 contests and is off to its best 30-game start since 1971-72. The Pacers record will have the Bucks wide awake and ready to send a message to the Pacers here at home giving us an edge with one of the NBA most explosive teams at home.

 MILWAUKEE is 10-2 ATS  versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game this season. MILWAUKEE is 22-5 ATS vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons. Budenholzer is 36-17 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points as the coach of MILWAUKEE.  The Bucks are 13-0 ATS /SU as a favorite with less than two days rest facing an opponent making less than 16 free throws per game with the average ppg diff clicking in at 20.2 ppg. 

The Pacers are 0-11 ATS /SU on the road with less than two days rest off a win as a favorite when seeking same season revenge for a loss at home with the average ppg diff clicking in at 12.3 ppg. 

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) - after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 9-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover 

The Clippers will  rest leading scorer Kawhi Leonard against the Thunder after he played Saturday night in a 134-109 win at the San Antonio Spurs. With the Clippers on tired legs and   Im betting there  is an advantage for a home side, that has won 3 straight in front of their own fans. OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-1 ATS when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season.

The Thunder are 20-4-1 ATS L/25 as a dog with less than two days rest off a win in which they shot over 50% from the field.

NBA teams like the Clippers are 3-20-1 ATS L/24 as a road favorite with no rest off a win as a favorite facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc.

Oklahoma City has won 4 straight at home in this series.

Play on Oklahoma City to cover

Charlotte enters the contest on a back-to-back, losing 114-107 at home to the Utah Jazz on Saturday night , but will not be reserved here tonight knowing they will have a holiday break to rest up coming their way after tonight. Injuries may also slow the Celtics here tonight as  , forward Gordon Hayward (sore left foot), guard Marcus Smart (left eye infection) and big men Vincent Poirier (right pinkie fracture) and Robert Williams III (left hip) all missing the last two games. Hayward is questionable Sunday, as he was Friday, but the other three have been ruled out.

CHARLOTTE is 22-7 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

The Celtics are 0-10 ATS L/10 as a favorite with less than two days rest off a win as a home favorite in which their assists increased by at least 10 from the game before.The Celtics are 7-25 ATS L/32 as a home 8+ favorite with less than two days rest after they shot over 50% from the field.

Play on the Charlotte Hornets to cover 

Even with Luka Doncic sitting out his third game with a sprained ankle Friday night, the Mavericks defeated the host Philadelphia 76ers 117-98 and are not missing a beat offensively without their star guard int the lineup. Tonight against the injury depleted Raptors Im expecting them to keep rolling offensively, and for the Raptors deep bench to answer back with some offensive fireworks of their own in a game that eclipses this total.

NBA Teams like the Mavs are 50-15 OVER L/65 as a road dog with rest facing an opponent averaging less than 10 offensive rebounds with a combined average of 226.9 ppg scored.

 NBA Teams like the Raptors  are 16-2 OVER L/18  with rest facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc with a combined average of 226.1 ppg scored. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (DALLAS) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an good defensive team (41.5-43.5%), in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) are 63-30 OVER L/22 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

The Cavaliers beat the Gamecocks 69-52 in Columbia, S.C., last December, but four players who combined to score 52 of Virginia's points -- Kyle Guy, Ty Jerome, De'Andre Hunter and Jack Salt -- are no longer with the defending national champions and in their rematch Im betting South Carolina can hang here based on  my personal spread projections which give us value of one possession.  

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

Play OVER

Minnesota arrives in the Pacific Northwest with a nine-game losing streak while the Trail Blazers are starting to get into a rhythm. After playing in the high altitudes of Denver last night, the Wolves , are fade material on this line. Note. Towns a key Woves offensive weapon is expected to miss tonight and if he does play is less than 100%. Portland is 4-0 SU/ATS as hosts here in Oregon of late and Im betting on the Blazers getting it done again. 

The Timberwolves are 0-13-1 ATS /0-14 SU as a road dog with less than two days rest facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls-against per game.The Timberwolves are 1-16-1 ATS /1-17 SU as a road dog facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls-against per game.

The Trailblazers are 16-1-1 ATS /17-1 SU at home with less than two days rest off a 10+ win after a game in which their opponents points per field goal attempt was less than one.

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PORTLAND) - after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after trailing their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half are 26-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Portland to cover 

The Suns will have their star  Devon Booker in the lineup tonight here at home vs the Houston Rockets, and according to my projections are viable dogs . Meanwhile, the Rockets are off a very hard fought victory vs the Clippers last Time out and may not have the energy to operate at full steam here tonight vs a side that Im sure their over looking.The Rockets are 2-16 ATS L/18 as a road favorite off a road game after a game that was tied 5+ times including 1-9 SU L/10 and 0-10 ATS. 

The Suns have revenge on board for a loss  115-109 loss to the Rockets earlier this season. PHOENIX is 13-4 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent this season.

Williams is 100-67 ATS  as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points in all games he has coached.

NBA Teams  like the Suns are 36-9-1 ATS -35-11 SU at home with no rest off a loss in a road game facing an opponent making more than 20 free throws per game. 

NBA Teams like the Suns are 25-4-1 ATS /  as a dog with no rest off a loss when they lost 3 straight vs current opponent.

Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover 

CHICAGO LEGENDS - United Center - Chicago, IL

Star Jordan Bohannon is out for the rest of the season, and so the headlines read "can the Hawkeyes be as dangerous without him". I say yes, even though the team will have to use a different dynamic to get the job done, behind sharp shooting  CJ Fredrick. We know Cincinnati plays a physical game, but after a big emotional win vs Tennessee last time , thye may not have the energy needed to hang with the better shooting team down the stretch. 

CINCINNATI is 4-12 ATS  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons and s 12-3 ATS when playing on a neutral court over the last 3 seasons

OWA is 8-1 ATS  in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. 

CBB Favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (IOWA) - off an upset win as a road underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 80%) are 79-9 SU L/5 seasons  with the average ppg diff clicking in at +8.8 ppg. 

CBB Favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (IOWA) - off an upset win as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 80%) are 100-15 SU with the average ppg diff clicking in at +8.1 ppg. 

Play on Iowa to cover 

I know the Kings played last night in a loss vs the Pacers, but  so did the Grizzlies . I keep my own conditioning charts on on NBA teams, and the Kings rank higher in their ability to perform on back to back games, and get my support here vs a team that they matchup well against in most metrics. SACRAMENTO is 10-2 ATS  versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season.

Sacramentos SRS ranks 19th in the league at ( -2.76) while the Grizzlies SRS ranks them 25th ( -5.14). Note: SRS is a (Simple Rating System) a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average.

SACRAMENTO is 8-0 ATS off 2 or more consecutive road losses over the last 2 seasons. 

The Kings are 31-3 ATS L/34 on the road off a game as a dog facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc.

The Grizzlies are 2-20-1 ATS /2-21 SU as a dog off a loss in which their opponent made at least 10 more free throws.

NBA Teams like the Kings are 33-8-1 ATS /33-9 SU on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with no rest off a loss in which their opponent had at least a 10 percent higher BAP.

NBA Teams like the Grizzlies  are 1-18 ATS /SU as a home dog after playing as a road favorite when they are off two games in which their opponent scored 10+ more points than their respective averages

Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover 

Both these teams records are not very impressive, but Utah Valley has been for the most part been highly competitive and are off a win vs Wyoming last time out and have momentum entering this tilt , while Long Beach State has consistently got blasted, by DDs in their L/5 games and are fade material here in a pickem situation. 

LONG BEACH ST is 5-17 ATS in home games after a blowout loss by 20 points or more.

CBB team (UTAH VALLEY ST) - poor three point shooting team (32% or less) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or more ), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a poor rebounding team (-3 to -6 reb/game).

Play on Utah Valley to cover 

Belmont has won two consecutive games vs. the Southeastern Conference; the Bruins defeated Vanderbilt 69-60 (11/13/17) and won at Georgia 78-69 (3/15/17) in the 2017 Postseason NIT.

Belmont is averaging 82.4 points per game on 48.5% shooting from the field, 38.3% from behind the arc and 70% from the foul line this season and are a dangerous team here in a neutral court environment vs a side that despite of being talented has been highly inconsistent this season especially defensively.

My matchup projections estimate that the wrong team is favored here and Belmont gets my support. 

BELMONT is 9-0 ATS L/9 as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.BELMONT is 9-1 ATS after a game with 5 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Belmont to cover 

 AL ATTLES CLASSIC - Chase Center - San Francisco, CA

My College basketball Totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out projected combined score assessment and investment decision .

Play UNDER 

CROSSROADS CLASSIC - Bankers Life Fieldhouse - Indianapolis, IN

The Boilermakers have held all 11 opponents to 70 points or less this season and are 7-0 when holding opponents to 59 or fewer points. Purdue leads the Big Ten in scoring defense, giving up 55.8 points per game, a point more than Butler allows. Im betting on more top tier defensive action today and a subsequent cover.

Purdue to cover 

New Orleans enters this game exhausted and on tired legs against a desperate and depleted Golden State team that still has the advantage of playing at home here tonight.

NEW ORLEANS is 17-29 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. NEW ORLEANS is 2-15 ATS on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons. GOLDEN STATE is 6-1 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons here at home.

The Pelicans are 0-17 ATS /SU L/17 with rest off a game as a dog facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point rangeThe Pelicans are 0-13 ATS /1-12 SU when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a win as a road dog facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW ORLEANS) - off a road win, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days are 33-63 L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Golden State Warriors to cover 

New Orleans is exhausted as they play their 3rd game in 4 night and 6th game in 10 days and doubt they will be prepared to run here tonight and will be mote tempered in their approach to this tilt . Meanwhile, Golden State still playing without Curry and Thompson just don't have the weapons to run and gun and will be methodical with their game plan which will help keep this tilt on the low side of the total. GOLDEN STATE is 12-4 UNDER  when playing against a team with a losing record this season with a combined average of 207.8 ppg scored. 

The Pelicans are 3-22-1 UNDER as a road favorite with less than two days rest off a win in a road game with the average combined score of 190.3 ppg scored. NBA Teams like the Pelicans  are 2-19 OU L/21 on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with rest after playing as a road dog when they are off two games in which they held their opponent to 10+ less than they usually allow wit the combined average of 189.5 ppg scored. NBA Teams Pelicans are 1-15 UNDER L/16 when the line is within 3 of pick off a win in a road game facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5 with a combined average of 211.6 ppg. 

The Warriors are 0-14-1 UNDER L/15  as a dog with less than two days rest off a road game in which they had less than 15% of their points from free throws with a combined average of 191.8 ppg scored.The Warriors are 2-22-1 UNDER L/25  with rest off a loss as a road dog facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5with a combined average of 201.2 ppg going on the board.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (NEW ORLEANS) - cold team - failing to cover the spread in 8 or more of their last 10, tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days are 42-15 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

The Knicks have gone 3-3 since turning over their coaching reins to Mike Miller, who has been fortunate enough to have a mostly healthy roster at his disposal. The team as a whole is playing with momentum after winning 3 of their L/4  and showing resiliency and more urgency which makes them viable underdogs in this spot vs a Miami team off a hard fought win vs Philadelphia last time out that could easily see them in a emotional letdown spot. 

The Heat are 2-18 ATS L/20 at home off a win in a road game facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio less than 1.5 and are 1-14 ATS L/15 at home with less than two days rest off a win in a road game facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio less than 1.5.

NBA  team (MIAMI) - after having covered 4 of their last 5 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a struggling  team ( 25% or less) are 67-113 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NY Knicks to cover 

Sacramento coach Luke Walton has  his floor leader DArion Fox  back on the court which makes the Kings a much more dangerous team with a already never say die chemistry surrounding it.The  Pacers their hosts are playing well with four straight victories and 12 in their past 15 games but they are off a hard fought win vs the Lakers last time out and could find it hard to muster the energy to go against a Sacramento team that won't lie down without a fight.SACRAMENTO is 10-0 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season. 

NBA Teams like the Pacers are 0-10 ATS L/10 and 2-8 SU at home with more than one day of rest off a win as a dog.

The Kings are 13-0-1 ATS L/14  with more than one day of rest off a loss in a road game facing an opponent making less than 16 free throws per game.The Kings are 21-2-1 ATS (L/24 )on the road with rest off a loss in a road game facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5.

Play on the Kings to cover 

My College basketball Totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out projected combined score assessment and investment decision .

Play UNDER

The run and gun Rockets don't fit their profile lately, as they have slowed down their pace  in recent games , as they look for a more balanced game plan, that focuses on defending properly in transition. Fatigue may also be playing a part, but what is obvious is that they have really put the brakes on and that Im betting effects this final score going under the projected total. Meanwhile, the Clippers are on tired legs after a 6 game road trip , and now here at home Im expecting a more muted effort as they get used to home cooking again. It must also be noted that the Clippers own the best home D rating in the league at 99.2 ppg and  are more than capable of slowing Harden and company. 

HOUSTON is 21-9 UNDER  when the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.HOUSTON is 14-4 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.D'Antoni is 10-1 UNDER  in road games revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less as the coach of HOUSTON ( Clippers beat the Rockets back in November)

NBA Teams like Houston are 0-14-1 UNDER  on the road off a home game after a win in which they trailed after the third with a combined average of 207.3 ppg scored. The Rockets are 0-13-2 UNDER on the road off a win as a favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 15 turnovers per game with a combined average of 210.1 ppg scored. 

NBA team (HOUSTON /LA CLIPPERS) - in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), in December games are 64-22 UNDER  L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (LA CLIPPERS) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 50-17 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Brooklyn has come a long way over the last few seasons, and San Antonio is now starting to play at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum, and are not reliable favorites.The Nets are a hard working team with a never say die attitude, something that is missing from the framework and mindset of this current group of Spurs players. Im taking the points here with the visitor. 

NBA Teams like Brooklyn are 12-0 ATS  as a dog with less than two days rest after they scored more than 50 points in the paint. 

SAN ANTONIO is 0-12 ATS L/12 versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season.

NBA Teams like the Spurs are 0-17-1 ATS /0-18 SU at home when the line is within 3 of pick off a road game in which they scored 15 or more points in the first than the second half.

The Nets are 16-2 ATS L/18 as a dog with rest off a win as a favorite in which they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers. 

Play on the Brooklyn Nets to cover 

My College basketball Totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out projected combined score assessment and investment decision .

Play OVER

My College basketball Totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out projected combined score assessment and investment decision .

Play OVER

The Hawks previous to a high scoring back in forth affair in their L/game, have had problems scoring in their previous 3 games, scoring 102, 100, and 96 points respectively with all 3 tilts staying under the total. Atlanta has taken part in some explosive offensive games, in the last few seasons, but more often than not they struggle to be a consistent offensive force, and here tonight against a Utah side that owns the 8th best ppg D, in the league another one of those games Im betting develops. With that said, Im recommending we take an under stance here this evening.

The Jazz are 1-17 UNDER L/18 with rest off a win in a home game after a game that was tied 5+ times with a combined average score of 200.1ppg scored, with none of the games eclipsing this total. 

NBA Teams like the Jazz are 7-36-3 UNDER as a road favorite with rest off a win after allowing 50-plus points in the paint with a combined average of 220.4 pig scored.

The Hawks are 3-29 UNDER L/32  at home with less than two days rest off a 10+ loss in a road game in which their opponent shot over 50% from the field with a combined average of 185.4 ppg scored.

The Hawks are 1-23 UNDER L/24  as a home dog off a road game after being outscored in the paint by double digits with a combined average score of 187.4 ppg going on the scoreboard . 

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (ATLANTA) - after going over the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, with a losing record are 27-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

 Dallas enters this game  without their best player Doncic  and despite  Mavericks  winning last time out  vs Milwaukee are still be listed as underdogs vs the visiting  Boston Celtics. The Mavericks without their star found a way to beat Milwaukee, but the Celtics wont be over looking them like the Bucks were, and this time around Doncic presence will be missed. Add to that I expect the Mavs to be in a huge emotional  letdown spot after that win vs the Bucks and we have value with the short road favorite. 

The Celtics are 15-0-1 ATS (L/16 on the road after a game as a home dog in which rebounding less than 20% of their own misses. 

 The Mavericks are 2-21-1 ATS L/24 at home with less than two days rest off a win in a road game in which they had 6+ double digit scorers.

Play on the Boston Celtics to cover 

Hall of Fame Showcase - Talking Stick Resort Arena - Phoenix, AZ

Saint Mary’s has been red hot from beyond the arc to start their season and rank  No. 1 in the nation in downtown conversion rates with  (43.8%) ,  I don't believe they can sustain that sizzling  start and will soon find it harder to convert with their treys  starting tonight against a  ASU side  that owns a very strong perimeter defense as is evident by holding  opposition to ’26.5 precent  3-point conversion rate ).  ARIZONA ST is 8-1 ATS  in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or better  of their attempts over the last 3 season. 

With this game closer to home for the Sun Devils and the majority of the crowd on their sides, Im betting they get us the cover and the possible outright win. 

ARIZONA ST is 11-1 ATS  when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  80% or better ) over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Arizona State to cover 

The banged up and injury riddled  Tar Heels enter this matchup coming off three consecutive losses, including two at home. North Carolina  is missing their  leading-scorer freshman Cole Anthony  and without him look like cannon fodder here vs an explosive Gonzaga side playing at home. You have to generate offence to hang with  the Bulldogs, and considering the Tar Heels abysmal shooting that ranks them at 297th in the nation in in effective field goal percentage, 3P%, 2P%, and FT% they are on trouble. Its a resume builder for Gonzaga here so its a pedal to the metal situation that warrants laying the lumber here.

Gonzaga has  won 28 straight  home games by an average of 23.6 points per game. 

Gonzaga to cover 

Sixers (20-8) will enter this game against the Heat (19-8) as the second-best team in the Eastern Conference and holding a perfect 14-0 SU home record with Joel Embiid expected in the lineup tonight after missing his last start with a respiratory issue. Meanwhile, Miami continues to be tough out, but 

[SF] 12/17/2019 - Justise Winslow is downgraded to OUT Wednesday vs Philadelphia ( Back )

expected this miss the short handed Heat my not be as viable as usual as underdog in this spot play vs a side that thrives at home, and out looking for redemption after a ugly DD loss last time out. 

PHILADELPHIA is 37-21 ATS  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff  of +8 . 

The UNCG  Spartans are coming off a heart-breaking half-court buzzer-beater at the hands of in-state rival NC State on Sunday and will now be in a huge emotional letdown situation here today vs a hungry Vermont team playing at home. Im betting Vermonts strong defence to play havoc with UNCG . Note:Vermont is  allowing  a 41.3%  2 point conversion rate which places them as one of the toughest team to play against from inside the arc. 

CFB Road teams as an underdog or pick (UNC-GREENSBORO) - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game, after a close loss by 3 points or less. are 16-41 ATS L/5 seasons for go against 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Vermont to cover 

Devon Booker is out for the Suns tonight which Im betting effects their offensive flow and the total combined score of this tilt.Cameron Johnson (hip), and Tyler Johnson (illness)  are also out and despite of Deandre Ayton returning from his 25 game suspension his time will be limited . Im expecting the top tier LA Clippers D to really make life difficult for the Suns tonight in a more grinding affair than the lines-makers might expect. 

NBA Teams like the Clippers are 7-31 UNDER L/28 at home with more than one day of rest after playing as a road favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s with a combined average score of 215 ppg going on the board. 

NBA teams like the Suns Teams are 1-14-1 UNDER L/15 as a road dog off a loss in a home game in which they scored 15 or more points in the first than the second half with a combined average of 215.7 ppg scored.

NBA  team (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite of 7or more, off a close road loss of 3 points or less are 42-14 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (PHOENIX) - off a home cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, on Tuesday nights are 29-6 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors, 

Play UNDER 

The Bobcats are 7-3 on the season after defeating Tennessee Tech, 81-54, on Dec. 8 in Athens. 

Overall this season, the Bobcats are averaging 74.4 points, 35.2 rebounds, 16.6 assists and 7.3 steals per game. The Bobcats are shooting .476 from the field, .373 from three-point range and .687 from the free throw line and have enough fire power to stay close to a less than explosive Purdue team that is methodical and defensive minded. 

Ohio has registered an impressive 511-167 (.756) all-time record at the Convocation Center, which opened in 1968.

PURDUE is 12-23 ATS  in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons. PURDUE is 0-6 ATS  in road games after a game giving up 5 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons.

OHIO U is 6-0 ATS  as a home underdog or pick over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Ohio . to cover 

Play on SF Dons to cover 

Hall of Fame Invitational - Barclays Center - Brooklyn, NY 

The Gators (6-3) are off to a slow start after early seasons projections and rankings listed them No. 6 in the Associated Press preseason poll and were seen as a favorite along with Kentucky in the Southeastern Conference. However, this is still a strong team, its their relative inexperience that has hindered them so far , but Im betting they right their ship quickly behind some top tier talent. 

 Meanwhile, Providence  has had a very weak schedule with sub par results so far and  from a metrics standpoint is   ranked 146th on the NET ratings, easily the worst mark in the 10-team Big East and I just dont think their ready for a top tier showing in a neutral court setting vs a more talented team that is battle tested after wins vs Xavier, and Miami including a 3 point loss to tough Connecticut side. 

Florida is 3-0 SU/ATS L/3 in this series. 

Play on Florida to cover 

Charlotte has won and covered 4 of the L/5 games in this series and have won the two most recent tilts here at home vs the Kings. The Hornets were playing well of late having won 4 straight before a ugly effort vs the Pacers last time shooting just  30.8% from the floor and made just five triples on 32 attempts in a 107-85 loss. However, in the past the Hornets have rebounded well from a bad shooting effort, and  are 13-3 ATS in home games after 2 straight games where they made 39% of their shots or worse. I know Sacramento is proving themselves a well coached team, but this will be their 6th road game in their L/8 overall, and 8th game in just two weeks, so their on tired legs here and could easily be over looking their opponent.

 The Kings are 1-21 ATS /0-22 SU L/22 on the road with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws.

The Hornets are 16-1-1 ATS /17-2 SU L/19 at home with rest off a loss in a road game facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls-against per game.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SACRAMENTO) - in non-conference games, off a road win by 10 points or more are 46-88 ATS L/5 seasons for go against 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Charlotte to cover 

Both these teams are playing sub par .500 hoops. The Suns have been up trending this season ,but are still not a consistent side and have nosed dived of late losing 10 of their L/14 after a fast start.  Meanwhile, Portland is struggling more than I anticipated but they have a solid experienced core, and Im betting they will right their proverbial ship. This particular matchup according to my power rankings suggests the Blazers have an edge on a short line and  they get my support here tonight. Injury update: Suns guard Devin Booker  is 50% (forearm) and this struggling team   will have to get through one more game without center Deandre Ayton who has one last game to serve on his suspension. 

The Blazers have won 10 straight meetings in this series and Im betting they nail another one here tonight. 

The Trailblazers are 11-0 ATS /10-1 SU with more than one day of rest off a game as a dog in which they had less than 15% of their points from free throws.

NBA Teams like the Blazers  are 24-4-1 ATS /23-6 SU on the road when the line is within 3 of pick off a 10+ loss as a road dog facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end.Teams like the Suns  are 0-10 ATS /1-9 SU at home facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls-against per game. 

Play on the Portland Blazers to cover

These teams have opposing records, with Evansville at 8-3 and Jacksonville State at 3-7. But home court advantage for a side that has been very competitive of late despite of losing efforts makes for advantage situation. Note: The Gamecocks have seen their current 4 game losing streak come by 3,7,5,5 points respectively with only one loss coming at home and that was to Troy in hard fought affair. 

Harper is 16-4 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) as the coach of JACKSONVILLE ST.

JAX ST is 10-2 ATS  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 3 seasons.

JACKSONVILLE ST is 15-6 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots over the last 3 seasons. 

Play on Jacksonville State to cover 

Mavericks Star Guard Doncic suffered a sprained right ankle Saturday, and will be out here tonight, and probably longer. This Mavs team is going to suffer operating on the perimeter. With that said, I just cant see, Kristaps Porzginis being able to ramp up the offence on his own, and add to that  he has not shot well on the road this season. This Milwaukee team reminds me of Golden States recent  super squads , and because of that this 11 point spread is not scaring me off in the least in a game I see as an easy DD victory for the Bucks. 

The Bucks are 14-0-1 ATS /15-0 SU as a 8+ favorite with less than two days rest off a 10+ win facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5. All wins came by 11 points or more with the average ppg diff clicking in at +18.8 ppg.

Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover 

Pistons key starter Griffin sat during the second half of the Pistons' 115-107 victory at Houston due to left knee soreness and is not 100% entering this game and could easily not play or see limited action. This will effect the offensive flow of the Pistons and instead they will have to rely on what is looking like a solid defence that is up-trending as was evident when they held Harden and company to a low offensive output last time out.  Meanwhile, Washingtons front court is also banged up. Second-year big man Moritz Wagner sat out on Saturday due to a left ankle sprain. Starter Thomas Bryant is weeks away from returning due to a stress reaction in his right foot. I know that the Wizards D, is atrocious but , with Motowns pace (ranked 23rd in the league) Washingtons D will not be under alot of stress, and the game as a whole should be slower and lower scoring than the line estimations . 

DETROIT is 24-11 UNDER  when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 214.9 ppg scored.

NBA Teams like the Wizards are 1-17 UNDER L/18 as a favorite with less than two days rest off a 10+ loss when they are off two games in which they allowed 110+ points with a combined average of 211.9 ppg scored.

NBA Teams like Detroit are 0-13 UNDER L/13 with rest off a win in a road game when seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road with a combined average of 206.1 ppg going on the board. (The Wizards won the first meeting between the teams on Nov. 4, 115-99.)

Play UNDER 

 The Wizards won the first meeting between the teams on Nov. 4, 115-99. Bradley Beal led six Washington players in double figures with 22 points and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here. 

Teams the Wizards  are 37-9 ATS /42-6  as a favorite with less than two days rest off a 10+ loss as a road dog after allowing 50-plus points in the paint.

NBA Teams are 0-13-1 ATS /1-14 SU at home when the line is within 3 of pick after a game as a road dog in which allowing 50-plus points in the paint. Teams like Detroit  are 4-24 ATS at home when the line is within 3 of pick with rest after playing as a road dog

LATE STEAM Wizards to cover

The Minnesota Gophers looked asleep at the wheel last time out on the road vs Iowa and lost by DD (72-52), and now after that embarrassment have a quick chance for redemption if they can upset undefeated Ohio State here today. With that said, Im betting on the Gophers leaving everything on the floor and to make it difficult for the Buckeyes to stay undefeated . It must be noted MINNESOTA is 9-2 ATS  off a road loss over the last 2 seasons.MINNESOTA is 33-17 ATS  L/50  in home games off an embarrassing road loss scoring less than 60 points and are 10-2 ATS  after playing a game as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons.

CBB teams off a blowout loss vs a ranked are 103-53-1 ATS L/13 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Minnesota to cover 

The Lakers won their 13th road game in a row and moved 20 games over .500 with a 113-110 triumph on Friday vs Miami. However that was a very physical tiring game vs the Heat , and Im sure the Lakers have the bumps and bruises to show for it . Thanks to the Lakers perceived invincibility and the Hawks ineptitude we have a value line to bet into with the home underdog Hawks. Note: With  Hawks  as healthy as they've been all year Im betting they put up a fight tonight. 

LA LAKERS are 13-24 ATS  in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

The Hawks are 11-0 ATS L/11 as a dog off a 10+ loss in a home game after a game that was tied 5+ times.

NBA Teams like LAL are 0-10 ATS L/10 as a favorite with less than two days rest off a win as a favorite in which they had more than 10 refereed turnovers.

NBA Road teams (LA LAKERS) - after beating the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games, a top-level team ( 75% or more ) playing a terrible team (25% or less) are 6-26 ATS L/23 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover 

The first meeting earlier this season with Troy was a come-from-behind 74-68 triumph and now here at home Im betting they have a much bigger advantage and offer a viable cover opportunity for bettors.Defense is a key. The Mocs have held seven of 11 opponents to fewer than 70 points. Opponents are making just 30.8 percent beyond the arc.  Another key is Chattanooga superior bench depth(  the bench. For the fifth straight game   the reserves combined for 22 or more points averaging 28.2 ppg.  Advantage Chattanooga.

TROY is 7-18 ATS  versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.TROY is 3-12 ATS  after 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.

UT-CHATTANOOGA is 7-0 ATS after a game where they made 45% of their free throws or worse over the last 2 seasons.

Paris is 4-14 ATS in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season as the coach of UT-CHATTANOOGA.

Play on Chattanooga to cover 

My College basketball Totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out projected combined score assessment and investment decision .

Play OVER

The New Orleans Pelicans have lost 11 straight games and Im betting that won't end today vs a Orlando side that matches up well against them.NEW ORLEANS is 1-9 ATS  after 5 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. Gentry is 11-30 ATS  against Southeast division opponents as the coach of NEW ORLEANS.

Orlando has won their L/2 visits to New Orleans. 

NEW ORLEANS is 16-28 ATS  when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. NEW ORLEANS is 12-25 ATS in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons

The Pelicans are 0-16 ATS /SU with rest off a game as a dog facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range. The Pelicans are 0-12-2 ATS/1-13 SU with less than two days rest after they had more than 8 times as` many field goal attempts as turnovers.

NBA Teams like Orlando  are 12-0-1 ATS L/13 with less than two days rest off a 10+ loss in which they had fewer than 10 turnovers. 

Play on Orlando to cover 

The Thunder have dropped four straight visits in Denver and lost the last six overall matchups. Last season, they went 0-4 against the Nuggets with the losing margins all between seven and 11 points. Rinse an repeat situation on board here.

The Nuggets are 15-0 ATS/SU as a home favorite with rest off a win in which they had more than 8 times as` many field goal attempts as turnovers with the average margin of victory coming by 16.4 ppg. 

NBA Teams likr the Thunder are 0-11 ATS /SU L/11 with more than one day of rest off a loss as a road dog when they are off two games in which their opponent scored 10+ less than their respective averages with he average margin loss coming by 19 ppg.

Play on Denver to cover 

San Antonio ranks 25th in the NBA in ppg allowed (115.5 ppg) while Phoenix is ranked 5th in ppg offence, and rank 23rd in defence and 8th in pace. Key starter Booker is expected to start today  for the Suns despite of being slated in as questionable because of arm contusion. With the NBA sending out subliminal messages , and  wanting to put a show on for this Mexico city crowd look for a run and gun game that sails over the total. 

The Suns are 11-0 OVER L/11  at home off a loss with a combined average score of 245.5 ppg scored.The Suns are 10-0 OVER  off a loss after allowing 50-plus points in the paint with a combined average of 244.7 ppg going on the scoreboard.

NBA Teams are 11-0 OVER L/11 on the road off a loss as a home favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 23 fouls per game with a combined average of 240.7 ppg scored. 

SAN ANTONIO is 20-7 OVER   in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 season with a combined average of 234.7 ppg going on the board. 

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (SAN ANTONIO) - extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days against opponent well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are  39-13 OVER L/23 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

The Miami defence showed it metal when  it went against the  West's best in the Los Angeles Lakers  losing a hard fought 113-110 decision on Friday night. Going against Anthony Davis and LeBron James is no small task, and Im betting they will be ready to grind away on Dallas tonight and wont have the legs to run in gun after playing last night. 

The Heat are 1-14 UNDER L/15 as a dog off a loss in a home game when playing on Saturday with no rest with a combined average of 170.4 ppg. The Heat are 0-10 UNDER L/10 after playing as a home dog facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game with a combined average of 187.5 ppg scored.

NBA Teams are 54-102-2 L158 UNDER at home after playing as a road favorite facing an opponent that has a season-to-date average points per FGA of better than 1.3 with a combined average of 208.3 ppg scored. 

NBA team (DALLAS) - in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), in December games are 64-20 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

I couldn't help but notice that the Bucks were trying to pace themselves last night knowing they had back to back games, but because of this they had to really work hard at the end of their game vs Memphis to get the win and subsequent cover .  That will have a already tired team  playing 3rd game in 4 nights even more winded here  as this game progresses.Note: The Bucks are 1-21 ATS L/22  at home with less than two days rest off a road game after a win in which they trailed after the third.

NBA Teams  like Cleveland are 22-6 ATS and 11-1 SU L/12  on the road off a win facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc.(  The Cavs beat  San Antonio 117-109  their last time out.)

NBA team (MILWAUKEE) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games, a top-level team (75% or better) playing a struggling  team (25% or less) are 27-56 ATS  L/23 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Cleveland Cavaliers to cover 

BEEHIVE CLASSIC - Vivint Smart Home Arena - Salt Lake City, UT

BYU is off a heart breaking OT loss last time out to Utah, and are now ready for a bounce back performance against instate rivals Utah State here today. The Aggies (10-1), , are ranked and  are preseason favorites to win the Mountain West Conference championship. USU is led by guard Sam Merrill, who averages 17.7 points per game, but is less than 100% despite of expecting to play here today ( undisclosed illness).

Note: BYU has made 10 or more 3-pointers in five consecutive games, which is a school record. And the Cougars have allowed just an average of 46 points in their last two games and despite of not being ranked are highly under rated and dangerous and need this win to enhance their tournament resume. 

UTAH ST is 5-14 ATS  in road games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons

BYU has won 14 consecutive games at Vivint Arena. Three of those 14 victories came against Utah State. The Cougars beat UNLV at Vivint Arena last Saturday.

Play on BYU to cover 

San Antonio ranks 25th in the NBA in ppg allowed (115.5 ppg) while Phoenix is ranked 5th in ppg offence, and rank 23rd in defence and 8th in pace. Key starter Booker is expected to start today  for the Suns despite of being slated in as questionable because of arm contusion. With the NBA sending out subliminal messages , and  wanting to put a show on for this Mexico city crowd look for a run and gun game that sails over the total. 

The Suns are 11-0 OVER L/11  at home off a loss with a combined average score of 245.5 ppg scored.The Suns are 10-0 OVER  off a loss after allowing 50-plus points in the paint with a combined average of 244.7 ppg going on the scoreboard.

NBA Teams are 11-0 OVER L/11 on the road off a loss as a home favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 23 fouls per game with a combined average of 240.7 ppg scored. 

SAN ANTONIO is 20-7 OVER   in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 season with a combined average of 234.7 ppg going on the board. 

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (SAN ANTONIO) - extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days against opponent well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are  39-13 OVER L/23 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

Suns' leading scorer Devin Booker is expected to miss this game. ( late update). Which gives the Spurs an edge here. 

The Suns are 4-25-1 ATS 2-28 SU L/30  with more than one day of rest after a game that was tied 5+ times.

The Spurs are 11-0 ATS /10-1 SU L/11on the road with rest off a loss in a home game facing an opponent averaging less than 10 offensive rebounds.

SAN ANTONIO is 7-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons. 

  NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SAN ANTONIO) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 123-73 ATS L/23 seasons for a 63% conversion rate. 

Play on San Antonio to cover 

Rutgers is a perfect 7-0 at home this season, and play their very best basketball at the RAC which is one of the noisiest buildings to play in the Big 10. Rutgers is up-trending quickly behind a top tier defence that is holding opposing offences to just 57.7 ppg at home, and Seton Hall is going to have their hands full against legitimate Big 10 talent. 

Play on Rutgers to cover 

 The seventh-ranked Wolverines host No. 13 Oregon at Crisler Center on Saturday and a game that Im betting favours the Wolverines.

Michigan struggled against Illinois, last time out on the road , but playing here at   in the friendly confines of Crisler Center is a big time advantage for the Wolverines.

The Wolverines are 5-0 at home this year. They are shooting 53 percent from the field at Crisler, including a 40 percent mark from beyond the arc (compared to 35 percent shooting and 16 percent from the land of the trey in their two road games, both losses).

 Im betting key Michigan components Simpson and the Wolverines  slowing  down Pritchard and the Wolverines to come out this with a cover.    Note: Michigan is 13-1 ATS  after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. 

Michigan is 33-1 SU in their L/34 non-conference home games, including 24 wins in a row. 

Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MICHIGAN) - after having covered 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season are 92-48 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Michigan to cover 

The Bucks enter this game on a 16 game win streak, and must be respected here a hefty road chalk vs a Grizzlies team that lost 10 of their 13 tilts as hosts this season. Even If Giannis Antetokounmpo  cant play it must be noted the Bucks own a +8.8 Net Rating when he is not playing which ranks  rank fourth in the league .Considering the  Grizzlies are without two key players Ja Morant and Brandon Clarke the Bucks have a very hefty edge.  

Injury update: Bucks super star Antetokounmpo is listed questionable in advance of Friday's game. He sat out of Wednesday's win with a sore quad tendon, and with this being a back to back spot could easily sit tonight. Despite of this the Bucks are still the superiror side. 

Budenholzer is 14-4 ATS as a road favorite of 6.5 to 12 points as the coach of MILWAUKEE. 

The Bucks are 13-0-1 ATS /14-0 SU as a 8+ favorite with less than two days rest off a 10+ win facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5 with every victory coming by at least 10 points.  

NBA Teams like the Bucks are 12-0 ATS/SU as a 8+ favorite off a game as a favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 24 assists per game with he average margin victory coming by +19.2 ppg. 

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - very good shooting team - shooting 48% or more on the season against opponent hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47% or more of their shots are 38-1 L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +12 ppg.

Play on Milwaukee to cover 

No. 24 Colorado heads to rival Colorado State on Friday looking to snap a 2 game losing skid and Im betting they get back on track here tonight.( The losses came against Kansas and to a very under rated  N.Iowa group in a letdown situation after the disappointing game vs the Jayhawks)

Colorado comes into Fort Collins still rated No. 27 nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency per KenPom  advanced metrics and are a good matchup for Colorado States run and gun offence. 

Play on Colorado to cover 

New Orleans is really struggling to score of late and have mustered an average of 105.6 ppg in their L/5 overall, while not going above 97 points in two of those tilts. They are trying to shore up their D, so that offence is suffering because of a lack of flow. Overall the Pelicans have gone under in 6 of their L/8 overall. Meanwhile, the Sixers are allowing an average of just 98.2 ppg at home this season, with the average combined score of their games as hosts clicking in at 209 ppg.  Tonight Im betting the Sixers red ranked ppg D, to stand tall and for New Orleans to suffer offensively which will directly effect this game staying under the total.

 The Pelicans are 0-11 L/11 UNDER as a 8+ dog with rest off a game as a dog in which they scored a least 18 fast break points with a combined average of 197.9 ppg going on the scoreboard. NBA Teams like the Pelicans  are 0-11 UNDER L/11 with rest off a road game after rebounding less than 20% of their own misses with a. combined average of 201.9 ppg scored. 

The Seventysixers are 1-16 UNDER L/17  with no rest after playing as a road favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 15 turnovers per game with a combined average of just 186.7 ppg going on the scoreboard.

Play UNDER 

Denver after having lost 5 of their L/6 look to bounce back at home game against  Northwest Division rivals Portland. This is a pretty good Denver side, that is desperate for a win and Im betting they come out here and play like their  hairs on fire in what will be  a victory and cover situation. ( Denver beat the Blazers 108-100 on the road earlier this season and matchup well against any formations Portland comes up with)

NBA teams like Denver  are 12-0 ATS/SU covering by more than  (17.04 ppg) as a home favorite off a loss in a road game when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss at home with the average ppg diff clicking in at 25 ppg.The Nuggets are 15-1 ATS covering by more than  11.5 ppg and 16-0 SU  off a loss as a road dog in which they scored 10 or more points in the first than the fourth quarter with the average ppg diff clicking in at 11.8 ppg.

NBA Teams like Portland are 0-12 ATS/SU L/12 as a dog with rest after a game as a home favorite in which allowing 15+ points less than Vegas projected with the average ppg diff clicking in at -14 ppg.The Trailblazers are 2-18-1 ATS 1-21 SU as a road dog with less than two days rest after playing as a home favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game.

Injury update: Denvers Jamal Murray is  listed questionable for Thursday's game after leaving Tuesday's loss with a  right trunk contusion. Murray however, says on Instagram that he's fine, and  that he'll be good to go. 

Play on Denver to cover 

analysis to follow-thank you for your patience 

  The Dallas Mavericks and Detroit Pistons square off in Mexico City on Thursday night in a game I have pegged to be a lower scoring affair as compared to the total being offered. 

Detroit owns the 20th ranked offence in the NBA behind the 23rd ranked pace, and 14th ranked ppg defence . Meanwhile, Dallas ranks 15th in ppg allowed and 20th in pace, and thanks to above average 3 point conversion rate shooting are ranked 3rd in ppg offence thanks to a top tier 3 point conversion rate that is due for regression . Today in a neutral court environment I expect both sides to not have the same flow as they would when playing at home in the US, and for this tilt to stay on the low side of the total. 

NBA Teams Dallas have gone UNDER 13 straight times  as a road favorite after their opponent shot over 50% from the field with the combined average of 204.6 ppg scored.

NBA  Teams like the Mavericks are 9-38 OU L/47 at home with more than one day of rest off a win in a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s with a combined average of 214.6 ppg scored.

NBA Teams like the Pistons have gone under 13 straight times with more than one day of rest off a win after allowing 50-plus points in the paint with a combined average of 202. 8 ppg scored.

NBA DETROIT is 23-11 UNDER  when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 214.7 ppg scored.

Play UNDER 

Grand Canyon is not an easy place for visiting teams to play , thanks to a    hyped up student section as is evident by their   home-court advantage which has seen GCU  record an over powering  85-25 SU record dating back 6 seasons. With  Northern Iowa  off a huge win vs a ranked opponent this past  Tuesday night vs Colorado Im betting their in a dangerous letdown spot that leaves them vulnerable to being upset by the Lopes.

N IOWA is 1-10 ATS in December games over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Grand Canyon to cover 

 Prairie  View runs and guns behind a 39th ranked national tempo, but their offence isnt  particularly efficient as is evident by  having scored  70 points or less in 4 of their 8  games. Prairie knows how to play at one speed, and that's not a good omen vs a sometimes  explosive Arizona State team that will have no problems running with their opponent and beating them at their own game via a superior deeper lineup.  This tilt has blowout written all over it. Note: The Sun Devils have only failed to cover 3 of their L/11 at home as 14 plus chalk. 

Hurley is 17-6 ATS  in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in all games he has coached since 1997 with the average ppg diff clicking in at +21.7 ppg.

Play on Arizona State to cover 

CS Fulerton has played very competitive hoops of late despite of losing 4 straight games with 3 of the games decided by just 3 points. Tonight at home vs a San Diego side that has lost 5 of their 7 road games they have an advantage taking points. 

SAN DIEGO is 7-17 ATS  when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. CS-FULLERTON is 3-1 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO L/4 at home. 

Play on CS Fullerton 

The Suns rank 5th in offence in the league but just 22nd in ppg allowed and are the 8th ranked pace and will once again come right at their opponents tonight which will bring them otu of their shell in a chase mode, which will result Im betting in a high scoring affair that eclipses this total.

PHOENIX is 8-0 OVER  in home games versus struggling  defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season with a combined average of 241.1 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 10-2 OVER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season with a combined average of 236.2 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

NBA Teams are 12-0 OVER L/12 as a dog off a win as a road dog in which they had assists on at least 70 percent of their field goals with a combined average of 233.5 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHOENIX) - after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a struggling  team (25-40%) are 24-5 OVER L/23 seasons with a combined average score of more than 231 ppg going on the board.

Play OVER 

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

Play UNDER

The Lakers have won  21 of their next 23 overall, including 11 in a row on the road and once again look like a viable road favorite in Orlando tonight. With James and  Davis showing some great chemistry the rest of this team has also upgraded its game, and look like dangerous championship contenders if they can stay healthy.

The Lakers are 10-0 ATS /SU off a 10+ win facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls-against per game with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.2 ppg. 

 NBA Teams  like the Magic are 1-14 ATS  as a home dog off a loss facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls per game.

Play on the LA Lakers to cover 

UW is 5-2 against Rutgers since the Scarlet Knights joined the Big Ten in 2014. But the Badgers are 0-2 at the RAC in that span, including a 64-60 loss  two seasons ago.Rutgers is undefeated this season at the RAC (6-0) and limiting opponents to under 60 points per game (5-0). There are only a few hundred tickets still available for this game so it will be a sell out so home court advantage should give them an edge again . Make not mistake Rutgers is a hungry program needing to make a impact in the Big 10 so their going to come at the Badgers will everything they have got. The Scarlet Knights are up trending and  have some strong athletes around the perimeter  and are more than capable of getting into the passing lanes and creating fast break opportunities vs a side that will try to lull them to sleep behind a methodical pace . Wisconsin lives and dies with their  downtown shooting and if threes are not  falling their in trouble. Rutgers can control beyond the arc bombs and have an advantage. 

Play on Rutgers to cover 

The Highlanders, who are 2-7 so far this year, are currently in the midst of a five-game skid and really dont believe that should be any better then a pickem here vs a hard working Lowell side.The young UMass Lowell squad has shown its resiliency this season, battling back to erase double-digit deficits four times and I  like them here to get us the cover. 

NEW JERSEY TECH is 1-8 ATS in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

CBB Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW JERSEY TECH) - in a game involving two 3 point shooting teams (20/ or more game), cold shooting team - 3 straight games making 40% or less of their shots are 14-37 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% go against conversion rate.

Play on UMass Lowell to cover 

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

Play UNDER

BYU is at full strength as  senior forward Yoeli Childs (21.1 ppg, 10.5 rpg) returns to the lineup after sitting out a 9 game suspension. This kid makes a huge difference in the Mormons offensive efficiency and it will show tonight. 

The Cougars rank 23rd in adjusted offensive efficiency and 16th in effective field goal percentage and  rank 12th in the nation in 3P shooting behind a red hot 41% conversion rate that features multiple threats from downtown.

 The Wolf Pack are a 3 point top heavy team that depends heavily on the trey, but that not an efficient offensive answer for them here in a nasty road environment vs a side that  holds oppositon shoorts to a lowly 29.2% conversion rate  from the land of the three.

With Childs back BYU will own the interior game and will hand out a double smack down as they crush Nevada vs the beyond the arc shoot around, while they themselves hold fort defensively in what should be a decisive victory for the home side. 

BYU is 29-13 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points  with the average ppg diff clcking in at +11.1 ppg. 

Play on BYU to cover 

The Nuggets enter this game vs the 76ers are holding opponents to an NBA-low 101.9 points per game, and once again will look to grind it out vs a top tier foe in Philadelphia. 

NBA Teams  like the Nuggets are 0-13 UNDER as a dog with rest off a loss as a road favorite in which they had at least 30% of their points from threes.

The Seventysixers are 0-13 UNDER L/13 with rest off a win facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5.

NBA Teams  like the 76ers are 0-11 UNDER L/11 with rest off a win when seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road with the combined average of 203.9 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (DENVER) - in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), first half of the season are 112-47 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors, 

NBA team (DENVER) - off 2 or more consecutive road losses, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 28-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate.

NBA team (PHILADELPHIA) - in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), in December games are 60-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at 204 ppg. 

The Heat beat the Hawks twice in a three-day, home-and-home series in October, taking  112-97 victory at home on a night when Atlanta star Trae Young suffered a sprained right ankle, then 106-97 two days later in Atlanta when Young had to take the night off. Now The Heat  face a  healthy Young this time around,  and will have their hands full dealing with a emerging super star who has recorded 39 and 30 points in his last two trips to the hardwood.Young is averaging 34.4 points over his last eight games and Im betting will be the difference maker and helping his team stay within the number here tonight for a Hawks cover as dogs. 

The Hawks are 11-0 ATS L/11 on the road off a 10+ win facing an opponent averaging more than 15 turnovers per game.

The Heat are 0-14 ATSL/14 at home off a win as a favorite in which they scored fewer than 10 fast break points. The Heat are 3-18-1 ATS L/21 at home with less than two days rest off a win as a favorite.

NBA Road underdogs (ATLANTA) - off a road win, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 48-18 ATS L/22 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Atlanta to cover 

Josh Richardson with a +10.1  Net rating mark is expected  play tonight for the76ers. His presence  is important from a metrics standpoint as when Philly have  their full starting 5 playing they are lights out dominate  with a +21.3 Net Rating over 9 games - which equates to a full 121 minutes. Meanwhile, with Denver continuing to struggle to score    consistently , while losing 4 of their L/5, they  are at a disadvantage as they play their 4th straight road game on tired legs  vs a team with revenge on board or a defeat at Denver earlier this season. Note: Philadelphia is 12-0 SU at home this season.

NBA Teams like Denver are 1-15-1 ATS /1-17SU as a dog off a loss as a road favorite when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road with the average ppt diff clicking at -12.1 ppg.

NBA Home teams  (PHILADELPHIA) - in a game involving two average free throw shooting teams (72-76%), hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50% or better of their shots are 24-3 SU L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking at +9.6 ppg. 

Play on Philadelphia to cover 

The No. 4-ranked Maryland Terrapins will be searching for their 11th consecutive victory to open the season when they visit Penn State on Tuesday , however, Im betting their quest comes to abrupt end here on the road tonight vs the Nittany Lions. Note: The Terps have lost in three consecutive seasons to Penn State and a 4th straight loss is my call tonight against a Penn State side that plays their absolute best hoops at home where they have won all 5 games this season.

Note: I know Penn State got blasted on the road in their opener at Ohio State, but key Big 10 star Chambers fouled out  with 13 minutes left in that game and then the Buckeyes outscored Penn State 43-19 to end the game. If Chambers can stick around til the end Penn State takes it. 

Play on Penn State to cover

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

Play UNDER

The previous eight meetings between St.Joes and Temple   have been decided by 10 points or fewer and now Im betting these rivals will once again see a single digit decision which favors the dogs (St.Joes ) getting points.TEMPLE is 0-6 ATS  as a home favorite of 10 or more points over the last 2 seasons and is 0-8 ATS  in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Play on St.Joseph's to cover 

The Suns finished off a 2-2 road trip with a 115-119 loss at Houston on Saturday but  pushed the  Rockets to the wire and are gaining my respect with their play and showing an up -trend in my power rankings  . The Suns' five took a 100-98 victory in Minnesota earlier in the season, and matchup well here vs a side that is playing back to back games and  their 4th straight road game and now on tired legs and vulnerable to a down effort.

Injury update:  Coach Monty Williams was hopeful following Sunday's practice that key player Baynes could return Monday, and the Suns have listed Baynes questionable as he deals with a strained calf. Dario Saric (back) and Mikal Bridges (finger) are probable.

The Timberwolves are 1-16 ATS L/17 on the road after they shot over 50% from the field which was the case vs the Lakers in a loss last night.

Timberwolves are 2-6-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings.

NBA Teams  like the Suns are 16-1 ATS /SU with less than two days rest off a loss in a road game when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss at home covering by more than 13.47 ppg. NBA  Teams are 10-0 ATS/SU with rest off a loss in a road game when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss at home covering by more than 16.6 ppg. 

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MINNESOTA) - after having lost 3 of their last 4 games, playing with 2 days rest are 50-83 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors.  

Play on Phoenix to cover 

Both these teams are off playing last night, with the Raptors suffering their 3rd straight loss in Philadelphia , while the Bulls lost in OT in a hard fought affair at Miami that will now have them in a letdown spot. The more desperate and more motivated team is the defending league champion Raptors, and Im backing them here tonight in place ( Chicago ) where they have won and covered their L/5 visits which includes a 104-86 win on Oct 26th here in Chicago. 

NBA Teams like the Bulls are 7-31 ATS/5-33 SU  as a home dog off a game as a dog in which they had overtime. NBA Teams are 19-2 ATS /19-2 SU as a road favorite off a loss in which their opponent had overtime.NBA Teams are 16-1 ATS /SU with less than two days rest off a loss in a road game when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss at home covering by more than 14.45 pig. NBA Teams are 12-0-1 ATS /13-0 SU as a road favorite with no rest off a loss in which their opponent had at least a 10 percent higher BAP. 

The Bulls are 1-13 ATS /SU as a home dog after they had more than 30 fouls.(Which was the case in Miami last night)

CHICAGO is 19-34 ATS in home games over the last 2 seasons.CHICAGO is 6-16 ATS in home games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover 

Sacramento has the 26th ranked offensive output in the league and the slowest pace, and here agains the explosive Rockets, they will be ready to make this a grinder that helps keep this on the low side of the total.

The Kings are 0-14 UNDER as a dog with no rest off a win after rebounding less than 20% of their own misses with a combined average of 199.1 ppg scored.

The Rockets are 0-15-3 UNDER L/18 with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite in which their opponent had at least a 10 percent higher BAP with a combined average of 215.7 ppg. 

NBA  Teams are 4-24 UNDER as a favorite with rest off a win facing an opponent making less than 16 free throws per game with a combined  average of 217.4 ppg scored. 

NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (SACRAMENTO) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%), in a game involving two average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's are 29-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

LATE STEAM ( UNDER)

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

Play UNDER

The Lakers are red hot entering this home game against Minnesota as they  are off a three-game road  swing that eneded with a 136-113 win over the Portland Trail Blazers on Friday for their 11th consecutive road win.The Lakers have won three in a row and 13 of their last 14 contests. Meanwhile, Minnesota is off 3 straight losses, and on tired legs as they play their 3rd game in 5 nights. The way the Lakers are running over opponents its actually not a hard decision to lay this many points with them here at home. 

NBA Road teams (MINNESOTA) - after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games against opponent red hot team - having won 18 or more of their last 20 games are 1-27 SU L/28 times with -13 ppg average diff. 

NBA Home favorites  (LA LAKERS) - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 9+ points/game against opponent after allowing 100 points or more 5 straight games are 33-2 L/35 opportunities with the average ppg diff clicking in at 13.3 ppg.

NBA Home favorites (LA LAKERS) - after leading their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half against opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more are 45-17 ATS L/23 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LA Lakers to cover 

The Spartans will be thin in the backcourt for their Big Ten opener vs Rutgers tonight with freshman Rocket Watts out with a stress reaction in his foot. This has been one of MSU’s best lineups, but depth becomes an issue especially in the backcourt. It must also be noted that the Spartans have not defended well as the rotation continues to be a work in progress while the shooting outside of Winston has been inconsistent. Meanwhile,Rutgers is in the top four in field-goal percentage defense, third in blocked shots and second in steals, and are second in both offensive and defensive rebounding percentage and must be respected getting this many points. What Im betting here, is that the Scarlet Knights are to well coached and have too much Big Ten-caliber talent to be run over here, thus getting points makes for viable investment option.

Play on Rutgers to cover

Miami is off to the best home start (9-0) in franchise history and is 10 games over .500 overall and take on a Chicago team that has won back to back games.  I know the Bulls are playing well right now but they just do not matchup well vs the Heat. The Heat rank 9th in the league in SRS at 4.84 while the Bulls rank 24th at  -4.85 . Using my power rankings index and home court advantage of the Heat are closer to -12 favs here when factoring in both sides overall performance charts, giving us value with Miami according to my projections. 

Note:SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average.

CHICAGO is 6-16 ATS  versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -13.2 ppg. 

Play on Miami to cover 

The Philadelphia 76ers will be looking to improve 12-0 at home when they host the defending-champion Toronto Raptors (15-6 SU) on Sunday. In contrarian fashion Im betting that the Sixers will not easily get cover here today vs a motivated talented and experienced team that looks to end a 2 game losing streak. QUOTE:"You don't overreact when you're 15-4, and you don't overreact when you're now 15-6," HC Nurse said. "Just get back going to work and taking them as they come, because you're probably gonna win quite a few games if you put the effort forward, and you're gonna slip up every now and then because that's basketball." END QUOTE.

PHILADELPHIA is 14-26 ATS after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

Toronto has won 5 straight meetings in this series dating back to last season.

NBA Road underdogs (TORONTO) - after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games are 94-50 ATS L/23 seasons for a 65% conversion rate.

Play on Toronto to cover 

Atlanta's most-recent game   against Brooklyn, saw them losing 130-118 on Wednesday night at home. The Hawks run a very fast paced offensive system, but its their defence that suffers most, as they rank 28th in the league in ppg allowed at 117.8 ppg. Much of their defensive ugliness can be attributed to carelessness especially on the road where they average18.4 turnovers per away game. Im betting nothing changes tonight here in Charlotte , in what will be an affair that goes over the set total. Note:My projections estimate both sides will score +105 points. ATLANTA is 9-0 OVER   where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 245 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

ATLANTA is 10-0 OVER  after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season with a combined average of 241 ppg going on the board.

Borrego is 32-13 OVER  when the total is 220 to 229.5 as the coach of CHARLOTTE with a combined average of 227.1 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (ATLANTA) - poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%) against a horrible defensive team (47.5% or more) 75-41 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

 Denver is returning to the New York area after absorbing a 108-95 loss in Boston Friday night and now knowing they have to play better offensively as Im now betting they will be more aggressive with their attack in transition against a Brooklyn side that plays a efficient style of offensive hoops behind a top 10 pace and a lower tier D ranked 20th in ppg allowed at 113.4 ppg. With that said Im betting a combined score  that eclipses this Totals offering. 

Play OVER 

Florida State (7-2, 0-1 ACC) lost 80-64 at Indiana on Tuesday, one night after Clemson (5-3, 0-1) was soundly defeated 78-60 at Minnesota and now because of recency bias we have a solid underdog line to bet into with an under rated Tigers side. 

Key to cover: The Tigers are outscoring opponents off turnovers this season by a decisive margin of 163-104. Clemson has forced 129 turnovers and committed 95.

 FLORIDA ST is 0-6 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.Hamilton is 39-78 ATS after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games as the coach of FLORIDA ST.

Play on Clemson to cover 

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

Play UNDER

 The Houston  Rockets behind the leagues No.2 offence and 2nd fastest pace has averaged 128.2 points in its last six games and Im betting will have another   big effort tonight vs a 22nd ranked ppg allowed D. Meanwhile, the Suns, have allowed an average of 123.3 in their last six. But they've squeezed a pair of wins into the half-dozen, including a 139-132 overtime triumph at New Orleans on Thursday as their offence continues to show some flashes of explosiveness behind the 5th ranked offensive ppg side in the league. Im betting the Suns will do more damage here tonight against Houstons 23d ranked ppg allowed  D, in what should be a chase the leader type of affair. 

Play OVER 

Write-up (analysis):

Write-up (analysis):

The Portland Trail Blazers are enjoying their best stretch of the season and the play of shooting guard CJ McCollum has been a prime reason for the success.

McCollum has matched a career best by scoring 20 or more points in 10 straight games and Im betting he will be key to this Blazers team covering here at home tonight vs a tired Lakers team playing tbeir 3rd road game in 4 nights, With the last two coming in the high altitudes of Utah and Denver, both of which were conclusive wins that took alot of energy to achieve.. Note: Road favorites (LA LAKERS) - off a road win by 10 points or more, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days are 19-47 ATSL/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors.

I know the Blazers are also playing their 3rd game in 4 night but being at home has its advantages. PORTLAND is 17-7 ATS  when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 2 seasons.

LA LAKERS are 17-29 ATS  when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasonsLA LAKERS are 8-18 ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.LA LAKERS are 10-22 ATS (as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Portland to cover 

This game is based on my output offensive projection numbers which estimate that both these teams will eclipse the 105+ point plateau. Note: PORTLAND is 11-1 OVER  where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average score of 240.9 ppg were scored.

The Trailblazers are 10-0 OVER L/10 as a dog off a 10+ point home win in which they shot over 50% from the field with the average combined score clicking in at 229.1 ppg. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (LA LAKERS) - a top-level team (75% or better ) playing a marginal losing team (40% to 49%), in December games are 44-17 OVER L/23 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

Play UNDER

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

Play  OVER