My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

 Play Weber State to cover 

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (COASTAL CAROLINA) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or more) against an average 3PT defense (32-36.5%) after 15+ games, average ball handling team (14.5-17.5 TO) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-17.5 TO) - 15+ games are 24-2 OVER for 92% conversion rate for bettors dating back 5 seasons.

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

The Philadelphia 76ers will be severely short-handed for their game against the visiting Boston Celtics on Thursday.All-Star center Joel Embiid will miss the game with a dislocated left ring finger. Meanwhile, Bostons star forward Kemba Walker, who had missed the previous three games with flu-like symptoms, played 18 minutes while on a minutes restriction last time out, and should get more time tonight. Tonight Im expecting a Celtics team with redemption and revenge on mind for two losses in this series earlier this season and two current overall losses to have an edge on a value line. BOSTON is 9-1 ATS  revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points this season.

BOSTON is 13-3 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season

NBA team vs the money line (BOSTON) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a home favorite are 39-19 SU L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rare for bettors.

Play on Celtics to cover 

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

 

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

Wagner to cover

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

Purdue  to cover

The game will feature the Big 12's top-two scorers in KU's Devon Dotson (18.4 ppg) and ISU's Tyrese Haliburton (17.7)...ISU (80.2) and KU (79.5) also are the league's top scoring teams.Im betting on hard fought affair and for KANSAS to add to a  3-11 ATS  mark  in road lined games over the last 2 seasons. I know Iowa State is off a close loss last time out vs TCU on the road, but now with redemption at hand vs a perennial Big 12 super program, Im betting we see them at their best. Note: IOWA ST is 16-4 ATS in home games off a close loss by 3 points or less to a conference rival. 

The Cyclones have won three of the last five meetings in Ames. In the last 13 meetings, ISU is 7-6 against KU with eight of those outcomes being decided by seven points or less. 

CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (IOWA ST) - off a close loss by 3 points or less to a conference rival against opponent off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite are 44-15 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Iowa State to cover 

These two teams are operating at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum. Houston has won 11 of their L/14 SU while, Atlanta has lost 12 of their L/14 overall,  and when these teams met earlier this season, the divergence in talent was on full display as the Rockets smashed the Hawks by a 158-111 count. I know Atlanta has revenge on board, but Im betting they dont have the legs to get redemption as they play their 3rd game in 4 nights against a visitor that is fresh and on 4 days rest. 

ATLANTA is 5-14 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.

NBA Road favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (HOUSTON) - after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games are 30-1 SU L/23 seasons, with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.2 ppg which qualify as a positive league wide trends situations when applied to  this offered side number. 

NBA Home underdogs (ATLANTA) - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 30 points or more against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are 45-15 ATS L/23 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Houston Rockets 

Play on Houston to cover 

Kemba vWalker might be out for the Celtics but they are still capable of getting offensive production from their bench vs a Spurs side that has been defensively challenged this season. Im betting tonight the Celtics  will have no choice but to do some running and gunning vs a Spurs side , starting to heat up , and are off a win vs mighty Milwaukee last time out, by a 126-104 count thanks to an uptick in their beyond the arc shooting .

SAN ANTONIO is 15-7 OVER versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season with a combined average of 231.1 ppg. SAN ANTONIO is 11-2 OVER in non-conference games this season with a combined average 232 ppg scored. 

The Spurs are 13-0 OVER  as a dog for the second straight game with a combined average of 236.9 ppg scored. 

 NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 220 (SAN ANTONIO) - after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning teams are 37-12 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

The Raptors are banged up with a boat load full of injuries and fade material in their current condition and form. Team scoring leader Pascal Siakam remains out with a groin injury. The Raptors were also without Fred VanVleet (hamstring), Marc Gasol (hamstring) and Norman Powell (shoulder) on Tuesday. Meanwhile, Charlotte despite of a overall dismal record has shown some life of late winning and covering 2 of their L/3 and get my support to get us a cover here tonight.

The Raptors are 0-15 ATS /3-12 SU  off a loss as a favorite in which they led after each of the first three quarters

 Play on Charlotte to cover 

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

Fairfield to cover ( LATE STEAM )

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

Play under 

The superior team here is obviously the LA Lakers, but it has also become obvious that the Lakers have a tendency of conserving energy and not going full throttle against most of their lesser opponents which is like to resting players. The Lakers have not seen a more than 13 point margin of victory  in almost a month spanning 12 games and tonight Im betting the Knicks keep this run alive with a cover .  NEW YORK is 8-0 ATS  in road games after playing a road game this season ( they are currently playing their 3rd road  in a west coast trip)

  LA LAKERS are 1-10 ATS against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

LA LAKERS are 7-21 ATS  versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Play on the NY Knicks to cover 

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

TCU to cover ( LATE STEAM )

Both these teams are red hot, but home court advantage for the Raiders will be paramount here vs a Baylor team that has played only one true road game  this season at Coastal Carolina where they looked average at best. Here at home  in the recent past  Texas Tech are 3-0 SU at home against Baylor with an average margin of victory coming by 17.3 points and a repeat as far fetched as it might sound is a definite possibility. 

The Red Raiders own the 13th-best adjusted defensive efficiency in the nation while holding opponents to just 42.9% FG conversion rate  and their ability to slow the Bears offence will be key to us getting a cover here tonight in this Big 12 mega matchup. 

Play on Texas Tech to cover 

Villanova is one of the youngest teams in the nation, and despite of being talented are just to inexperienced for me to consider them as having a protracted enough edge to win in a place like Creighton where the home team has won all 10 of their games this season. Dating back to last season the Blue Jays have won 15 in a row at home.Add to that the Blue Jays are an explosive offensive side that have scored 89+ points in 5 of their L/6 in front of their own alumni and you have a viable short favorite to bet on  in this spot. 

CREIGHTON is 11-1 ATS  in home games after playing a game as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons ( they lost at Butler last time out and will be ready rebound)

Play on Creighton to cover 

The Memphis Grizzlies continue to uptrend in my power rankings as they go for  their  straight win  and 9th in their L/15 when  they open a six-game home stand against the Minnesota Timberwolves on Tuesday.  The Grizzlies have momentum and confidence entering tilt behind an explosive cohesive offence that is off an impressive 140-114 rout of the Los Angeles Clippers and followed up by a 121-114 victory over the Phoenix Suns on Sunday. As far as this tilt vs a very banged up Minnesota Wolves team is concerned , that matchup very well here, as is evident by two previous victories in this series this season via a 137-121 home win on Nov. 6, and  a 115-107 victory in Minneapolis on Dec. 1. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here this evening in Memphis vs a Wolves side that has lost 8 of their L/10 on the road. Memphis has won 3 of their L/4 meetings at home in this series and 7 of the L/9  meetings overall . 

Play on Memphis 

Illinois State has won five of the last six games in the series between the two teams, the only Missouri State win in that stretch came last season when the Bears used a last-second half court shot to pick up the victory.  This season Illinois State opponents average an offensive possession length of 19.0 seconds. That time is the third-longest defensive possession length in the country, behind only Navy (19.6 seconds per possession) and Washington (19.1)Teams are having problems penetrating the perimeter against this Redbirds team and that Im betting will the difference maker tonight. 

Ford is 0-6 ATS  on the road when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of MISSOURI ST. Ford is 2-10 ATS  in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses as the coach of MISSOURI ST.

Play on Illinois State to cover

Oklahoma City played last night but are well conditioned and Im betting will still have the energy to be physical with the Nets, a team that is suffering offensively of late. This tilt has the ear marking of   setting  a slower more methodical pace as one team tries to per-serve energy for a-second half surge and the other just trying to right their sinking ship. Note: The Thunder work off the 6th slowest pace in the NBA and 12th ranked ppg allowed D. 

BROOKLYN is 8-0 UNDER  in home games vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 210.7 ppg scored. BROOKLYN is 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 211.1 ppg scored. 

OKLAHOMA CITY is 19-4 UNDER  on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.

The Thunder are 0-23 to the UNDER when the line is within three points of pick and they are off a game in which they allowed 50-plus points in the paint and they are facing a team that has averaged fewer than 55 points in the paint.

Play UNDER 

Cleveland is in complete disarray with key starters like Kevin Love not getting along with HC Altman , and the team as whole showing little or no chemistry. Meanwhile, Detroit despite of playing without Blake Griffin are a team, that gets along and plays hard as a unit and Im betting their work ethic gets them to the promised land tonight and provides us with a cover.

Pistons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.

Cavaliers are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 home games.

Cavaliers are 22-51 ATS in their last 73 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

CLEVELAND is 2-11 ATS  in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 this season

NBA Home teams (CLEVELAND) - horrible team - outscored by their opponents by 9+ points/game against opponent after allowing 100 points or more 4 straight games are 47-93 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Detroit to cover 

Detroits banged up and on tired legs as they play their 3rd game in 5 nights, and Im betting they will play this game a reduced pace  vs a Cleveland team showing less and less offensive cohesiveness of late averaging just 101.2 ppg behind the 23rd ranked pace in the NBA . Note: DETROIT is 16-1 UNDER when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 202.4 ppg scored. 

DETROIT is 30-18 UNDER in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 213.6 ppg scored. 

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (CLEVELAND) - horrible team - outscored by their opponents by 9+ points/game, after allowing 105 points or more 4 straight games are 39-11 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER 

The Raptors are banged up and Im betting they slow this game down and rely on their bench to play top tier D here tonight in a game I have projected to stay on the low side of the total.

PG] 01/06/2020 - Fred VanVleet is downgraded to doubtful Tuesday vs Portland ( Hamstring )[C] 12/19/2019 - Marc Gasol is out indefinitely ( Hamstring )[SF] 12/19/2019 - Norman Powell is out indefinitely ( Shoulder )[PF] 12/19/2019 - Pascal Siakam is out indefinitely ( Groin )

PORTLAND is 28-15 UNDER on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 215.8 ppg scored. 

The Trailblazers are 0-17 UNDER  in the history of the franchise as a road dog off a loss as a road dog in which Damian Lillard had 30-plus points with a combined average 194.2 ppg scored with none of the total eclipsing this number.

Play UNDER 

Kent State id read hot after winning 11 of their 15 games so far.   Visting Toledo is only 8-6 but are much better than their record might indicate and rank almost as highly a the Flashes in my power rankings which coincide in the efficiency numbers  at kenpom that rank the Flashes  96th and Rockets   105th,  which dictate a line that should be closer  +3. Value here with the visiting underdog in a  a close to a one to two possession line. Note:TOLEDO is 12-3 ATS in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Toledo to cover 

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

BC to cover ( LATE STEAM )

West Virginia just played two very tough back to back games against ranked opposition defeating Ohio State in Cleveland in a neutral court environment and than a hard fought loss to Kansas and will now come into another tough environment  in what could easily be a letdown situation which will result in a lack of energy against a hungry team in a need of a marquee win.Advantage -Oklahoma State.

CBB underdog (OKLAHOMA ST) - after being beaten by the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games are 57-21 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Oklahoma State ( LATE STEAM)

The Bulls continue to play at a very high level on the defensive side of the court and protect the perimeter with a take no prisoners attitude. The Bulls have held their opposition  to the fourth-lowest 3PT% (.334)  conversion rate in the league which will be of ultra importance here tonight against a Dallas group which ranks  second in beyond the arc conversion rate this season.  The Bulls struggle to score ranking 25th in ppg behind what has recently been a  slow pace on a regular basis and with some injury woes ie (Markkanen) out with an injury this will be the case again, which in turn will highlight the need to be even more stringent offensively, which Im betting holds down the combined points total here this evening to the low side of the number. Note: Dallas is also playing a markedly slower pace of late, and now rank 20th in in the NBA in pace. 

Play UNDER

Texas Southern has a sub par record losing 10 of their first 14 games this season, but their competetion has been amazing and of the top tier variety which includes  true road games at Wichita State, Gonzaga, Nevada, Oregon, and Arizona State.  /that Im betting will have them playing this tilt like its a walk in the park.  Meanwhile, Alcorn State  has looked every bit as bad as their 4-8 record would indicate . Texas Southern HC  Johnny Jones  knows how to win and is merciless in his pursuit of victories behind a explosive offence that operates behind tbhe  16th ranked  adjusted tempo. Thats not a good omen for Alcorn State  to be competetive here tonight behind a pathetic  2P% conversion rate of 38.7% while ranking 299th behind the arc with a  29.6% conversion ratio. From my standpoint and projections this is a big time blowout situation that favors the home side Texas Southern. 

ALCORN ST is 1-8 ATS  in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 season with the average ppg diff clicking at at  -17.7 ppg.

Texas Southern to cover

The Jackson State Tigers are battle tested after taking on two top 10 teams: No. 6 Baylor and No. 9 Memphis each back in the month of December. The Tigers were competitive  against both teams but ultimately fell in each contest. Tonight against a Alabama State team that 3-9 on the season, while  averaging 66.6 points per game on offence  while allowing whopping  81.6 ppg on defence the Tigers have a big edge here at home.

Play on Jackson State to cover

New Orleans has been playing very well of late and have won 5 of their L/6 overall,  but that will have Utah wide awake and ready to compete vs a uptrending side. The Jazz are also playing their best hoops of the season , winning 10 of their L/11 SU and have coved 6 straight times.  UTAH is 14-4 ATS  in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +6 ppg. 

Utah is 10-1 ATS L/11 overall and have won and covered their 4 most trips to the Bayou to take on the Pelicans.

Play on Utah to cover

Oklahoma City has been playing some very good basketball of late, and have won  9 of tjheir L/10 and covered 7 of their L/8 behind  a stingy defence that has allowed 101.1 ppg in their L/5 overall all  of which were wins. That Im betitng will be key to them being competetive vs a slumping Phaildephia team that is completely out of rythm and on a 4 game losing streak. Yes, I know the Sixers are desperate and have played their best hoops at home this season ( 16-2), but in their current form cannot be trusted to cover this wide a spread vs a streaking side that is built to throw offences out of their flow.  Oklahoma City is 20-1 SU L/21 in this series and get my support to cover here tonight. 

Play on Oklahoma city to cover

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

Play UNDER ( LATE STEAM )

The Memphis Grizzlies have been playing well of late, winning 8 of their L/14 SU and are a vialbe underdog here vs a side that they have already played twice this season. and have notched a v115-108 victory at Phoenix . According to my projections Memphis in their current form matchup very well vs the Suns, and get my support here getting points. PHOENIX is 2-11 ATS  in home games after scoring 120 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

The Grizzlies are 13-0 ATS /9-4 SU as a dog off a win in a road game in which they had assists on at least 70 percent of their field goals.

The Suns are 0-14-1 ATS L/15 as a home favorite off a win facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game.

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MEMPHIS) - horrible foul drawing team - attempting 21 or less free throws/game, on Sunday games are 46-15 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Grizzlies to cover

The Clippers were pounded 140-114 by the visiting Memphis Grizzlies on Saturday and are obviously not in a groove. I know NY may not inspire bettors, but if Leonard does not play tonight which is higly likely since he is not played in back to back games, this season, the Knicks can hang here and get us the cover.

The Clippers are 1-18 ATS L/19 at home with less than two days rest off a home game when they won 3 straight vs current opponent.

The Clippers are 1-22 ATS L/23 as a home favorite with less than two days rest off a home game when they won 2 straight vs current opponet.

 NBA Road underdogs of 10 or more points (NEW YORK) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 49-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate flor bettors. 

Play on the NY Knicks to cover

The Clippers got blasted by the Memphis Grizzlies yesterday a 140-114 count . It was an ugly defensive showing by the Clippers and today I expect they try to repair their proverbial defensive damn by slowing this game down and concentrating on their transition game. This Im betting directly effects this total to the low side of the number. 

NEW YORK is 18-8 UNDER  in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the lal/31st 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.4 ppg scored.  The Knicks are 4-26-1 UNDER as a dog with less than two days rest off a loss as a dog facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc with a combined average of 211 ppg scored. 

NBA Teams are 5-33-1 UNDER L/39 as a home 8+ favorite with less than two days rest off a home game in which they had assists on less than 45 percent of their field goals with a combined average of 202.2 ppg going on the board.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (NEW YORK) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days against opponent extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days are 42-17 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

NKU has been the most dominant hopps program in the Horizon League over the last three seasons, recording a 47-17 mark against league opposition  while winning four of the combined six league championships (regular season and tournament). They have not started to roll quite yet ,but here againast this is a rebuilding Oakland team they have an edge. NKU has been stingy on the defensive end, holding teams to 65.7 points per game, and makes its hay with the nation's 11th-best 3-point field-goal shooting defense, limiting foes to just 26.6 percent, while their hosts  the Golden Grizzlies score at a 64.0 points per game clip, but surrender 67.1.In the flip side NKU Offensively, are converting a strong rate from down town in the land of the trey as is evident by ranking 13th in the country in 3-point field-goal attempts (406) and 32nd in made threes (131). The combination of the Norse ability to slow the Oakland offence and their beyond the arc shooting to get us a win here. Note:Neither team has fared well on its home court, as NKU is 6-4 all-time at Oakland and Oakland is 7-3 at NKU. Advantage NKU

OAKLAND is 4-16 ATS L/20 in home games after allowing 85 points or more (Wright State lit them up last time out 96-69 for their 7th loss in 9 games.

CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (N KENTUCKY) - off an embarrassing road loss scoring less than 60 points, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) are 78-40 ATS L/23 seasons for a long term 66% conversion rate for bettors. ( That happened in their last game vs Detroit Mercy last time out). 

IUPU-Indianapolis has won and covered 4 straight meetings in this series and almost always seem to bring their best efforts to tilts against  Green Bay. I know the Phoenix are  explosive offensivevly but their still a 7-9 team that cannot be trusted to cover a DD spread like this on a consistent basis in a conference game. IUPUI has seen 6 of their losses this season decided by 2 possessions or less and Im betting they can hang. The Jaguarts have won the last five meetings in the series. IUPUI is 4-0 against the Phoenix since joining the Horizon League prior to the 2017-2018 campaign.  

Play on IUPU Indianapolis to cover

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

Wofford to cover ( LATE STEAM )

Analysis to follow

Brooklyn has shown very little cohesive flow in their L/ 10 games, with the offense having averaged 108 points on 44.4 percent field goal shooting, including 32.8 percent from 3-point range. That's not a good omen for their offensive output today vs a Toronto side that has held their L/4 opponents to 97 points or less. This tilt has an under written all over it even though the Nets have formerly inured Levert back in the lineup after a long injury layoff. 

The Raptors are 1-11-1 UNDER L/13 on the road facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with a combined average of 202 ppg scored.

Teams like the Nets  are 0-14-2 UNDER L/16 at home when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest off a road game when they are off two games in which they allowed their opponent to score 10+ more than they usually allow with a combined average of 204 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER 

Bruce Pearls 12-0 Auburn despite of their perfect record are over rated and are lucky to be undefeated this season after some come from behind wins vs Furman and Alabama State . Today vs Mississippi State with top teir G Nick Weatherspoon back in the lineup after serving a 10 game suspension the Bulldogs are a viable threat to end Auburns run.It must be noted that Mississippi State ranks top-100 2-point scoring rate (53.8%) in the nation and must not be underestimated vs an Auburn defense giving up the 33rd-highest 2-point scoring rate (56.9%). Im also expecting Mississippi State size advantage to help on the glass today and limit the Tigers ability to run and gun. 

Play on Mississippi State to cover

These teams two polar opposite types of basketball . Oklahoma list up the scoreboard as well as any team  in the Big 12 but rank near the bottom of the conference when it comes to defense. Meanwhile, K-State plays a top tier level of physical  defense and are more methodical in their offensive postures.  There is an old adage in that is defence travels well, and Im betting on Wildcats stopping power to help get us a cover here. Note: KState coach is 11-4 SU vs Sooners HC Lon Kruger and almost always seems to have a strong game plan devised for these matchups. Advantage. KState.

KANSAS ST is 9-2 ATS  in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. Weber is 24-9 ATS  in a road game where the total is 130 to 139.5 as the coach of KANSAS ST.

Play on on Kansas State to cover 

Fairfield comes into the MAAC schedule playing its best basketball of the season as they finsihed non-conference action by winning three of its last four games. All three of those victories came off campus with a neutral site win against Texas A&M followed by true road decisions over Oakland University and Wagner College. Meanwhile, their opponents the Niagarathe Purple Eagles have lost four straight games and are fade marerial in their current form.

NIAGARA is 9-25 ATS in home games after playing 4 consecutive games as an underdog.FAIRFIELD is 6-0 ATS after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread this season.

Play on Fairfield to cover

The Pistons are banged up and short handed for this tilt vs the Clippers  with Blake Griffin doubtful and Markieff Morris  ruled out.The Pistons are 4-12 on the road, while the Clippers are 14-3 at home. This is a tale of two polar opposites, and Im not going to be shy about laying points here with this spot play. DETROIT is 3-15 ATS  versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 13.8 ppg.The Pistons are 0-11 ATS /SU  as a 8+ dog with the average ppg diff clicking in at -19.2 ppg. 

The Clippers are 13-1 ATS/13-1SU as a home favorite with rest after playing as a road favorite facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5.

Play on the LA Clippers to cover 

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

Gonzaga is obviously the superior side here, but the Pilots rank second in the WCC in FG percentage defense (.398), three-point defense (.291) and blocked shots (4.0) while also ranking third in points allowed per game (65.5) are solid enough to stay within this huge DD underdog line here at home. 

Play on Portland to cover 

 My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

UCLA to cover 

This will be the Oregon Ducks’ first test at altitude this season  where the thin air  can really slow down teams not accustomed to dealing with it. Oregon has never won in Boulder and despite of being a top tier team nationally this season, will have their hands full trying to deal with this Rocky Mountain environment .  Tonight Im betting the Boulder shutout continues for the travelling Ducks  vs a Colorado side that returned every key member of last season’s 23-13 squad this season. The  key difference between the Buffs and the Ducks, is home teams ability to play solid consistent D, as is evident by ranking 18th in KenPom’s metrics in the nation while limiting opponents to below 40% from the field and rank 23rd in points allowed. Oregon rank 63rd in defensive efficiency at KenPom.  Altitude + Home court Advantage + Defence = Colorado Edge .

COLORADO is 11-3 ATS  in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (OREGON) - after a blowout win by 20 points or more against opponent after scoring 75 points or more 3 straight games are 13-38 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Colorado to cover 

Harald Frey is in the back court for Montana State which automatically has me evaluating their underdog status here in a league where home court advantage never seems to weight heavily in the home teams favor. . The kid Frey is one of the nation’s best point guards and looks headed to playing pro ball very soon as is evident by his 17.5/5.3/5.2 slash line  per game on 43.6% shooting from the land of the trey  and a  90%  conversion rate from the charity stripe. This kid is a difference maker and has me taking the points here this evening. Montana State has held 11 of its 13 opponents this season to under 50% shooting from the field which is important against a team like Colorado with a lot of offensive flow.

Play on Montana State to cover 

With Caris LeVert and Kyrie Irving out of the Brooklyn lineup with injuries they are looking clunkier by the day , and are struggling with flow and particularly their 3 point shooting which has become a concern. Tonight against a Dallas team off a game where they blew a late lead on the road to Oklahoma City,  Im betting the rebound redemption minded Mavericks will be primed to romp vs a down trending side. The Mavericks are 12-0 ATS /11-1 SU after they scored fewer than 10 fast break points with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.2 . 

NBA teams like the Mavs  are 24-4 ATS/26-2 SU as a home favorite with less than two days rest off a loss in which they had at least a 10 percent higher BAP than their opponent.

NBA Teams like the Nets are 2-21-1 ATS L/2-22 SU  with more than one day of rest off a loss in a road game facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls per game.

Play on Dallas to cover

The Thunder head to San Antonio after a emotional   hard fought 106-101 home win over the Dallas Mavericks on Tuesday. Chris Paul scored 17 points -- including 13 in the final 4:31 -- to help erase a seven-point deficit with less than three minutes remaining. Now in a letdown spot vs a Spurs that  are playing better of late, Im betting the Thunder are fade material in what has been a hall of horrors( AT&T Center)  for them as is evident by 9 straight regular season losses here.

SAN ANTONIO is 33-19 ATS  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

The Thunder are 0-11 ATS /2-9 SU off a win facing an opponent averaging more than 62 ppg from 2-point range.

NBA Teams  like the Thunder are 0-11 ATS /1-10 SUL/11 when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest off a game as a dog in which they had 6+ double digit scorers.

Play on San Antonio to cover 

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.


Play OVER

 Head Coach John Becker during his UVM tenure  is a combined 61-11 (.847) in the first month of the new year, including 26-1 in the last three seasons. 

DARTMOUTH is 4-16 ATS L/20 in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game. 

Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DARTMOUTH) - off an upset loss as a favorite against opponent off a home blowout win by 20 points or more are 30-62 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Vermont to cover 

The Wolves have listed seven players on their injury report prior to Wednesday's tilt vs Milwaukee. Karl-Anthony Towns (knee), Andrew Wiggins (illness), and Jake Layman (toe) won't play, Teague is doubtful, Treveon Graham (illness) and Noah Vonleh (glute) are questionable, and Josh Okogie (elbow) is probable. This is a complete whitewash situation, in the making as Im betting the powerful Bucks will romp to an easy one sided victory here today. 

Play on Milwaukee to cover 

The Furman goes for its fifth straight win and a 2-0 start in Southern Conference play when the Paladins take on  VMI on Wednesday at Cameron Hall in Lexington, Va. Their last lost was Auburn of the SEC by a 81-78 count, so as you can see the Paladins are a strong side.

Paladins are 8-0 SU in their last 8 games against VMI.The Paladins have won by an average margin of  at least 12 or more  points in those tilts.  Furman brings in a top 40 field goal percent offense, while VMI is the 217th worse defense in defending shots from the floor.   This one for me is clear lay the lumber situation. 

Play on Furman to cover 

The Kings may not inspire bettors in their current form but they have performed well vs tp tier sides like the Clippers of late. Note: Walton is 11-2 ATS  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game as the coach of SACRAMENTO.

 The Kings are 15-0 ATS /13-2 SU at home with less than two days rest after they had assists on at least 70 percent of their field goals.The Kings are 13-0 ATS L/13 as a dog off a loss as a dog facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5.The Kings are 18-2 ATS L/20 off a loss as a road dog in which they shot over 50% from the field.

The Clippers are 0-10 ATS L/10 3-7 SU with more than one day of rest off a 10+ loss after a game that was tied 5+ times.The Clippers are 1-13 ATS L/14 as a road favorite with rest off a game as a favorite facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls-against per game.

Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover 

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.


Play UNDER

The Sixers  despite of playing top tier basketball at home  as was evident when they recently beat the Bucks, are a team that struggles on the road having garnered a 1-6 SU record vs above .500 sides . Meanwhile the  while the Pacers are 14-3 SU  overall at home and deserve respect here as dogs especially with Malcolm Brogdon back in the lineup today for the Pacers. 

McMillan is 21-8 ATS  in home games after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread as the coach of INDIANA.

he Pacers are 17-3 ATS/SU  at home with rest off a loss as a dog in which they had at least 25% of their points from free throws.

The Seventysixers are 4-20-1 ATS 4-22 SU on the road when the line is within 3 of pick facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls-against per game.

NBA Road teams (PHILADELPHIA) - off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 18-54 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Indiana Pacers to cover 

Boston after getting beaten up and humbled by DDs vs the defending NBA champion Raptors last time out, will be ready to come out here with a start to finish bounce back situation here this evening vs a very inconsistent Charlotte team 5 straight games. BOSTON is 15-4 ATS (L/19  off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite of 6 or more.

Boston has already beaten Charlotte twice this season by DD deficits and Im betting on a 3rd here. 

NBATeams like the Celtics  are 16-0 ATS /SU as a road favorite with more than one day of rest off a loss in a home game facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s with the ppg diff clicking in a +12.3 ppg. 

Play on Boston to cover 

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.


Play UNDER

CSUN will play Morgan State for the seventh-straight season at The Matadome on Tuesday. The Matadors are undefeated in six all-time meetings as they held off the Bears for a 94-86 win last December and are my choice to win and cover here again today. 

The Brooklyn Nets have hit a wall  in  offensive production . However, they have the ability to bounce back as they  had been fairly effective overall without injured starters Kyrie Irving and Caris LeVert in the lineup.After being held under 100 points in consecutive games for the first time this season, Im betting the Nets bounce back with a big offensive output today vs a struggling Minnesota side that is getting blasted for an average of 114.9 ppg at home this season. Note: key offensive starter Towns was able to participate in drills at practice on Sunday while wearing a leg sleeve on his knee, and will probably play tonight. His teammate Wiggins is a 50% chance starter tonight as he deals with some time of illness. 

Saunders is 15-4 OVER after having lost 3 of their last 4 games as the coach of MINNESOTA with a combined average of 235 ppg going on the board. MINNESOTA is 13-3 OVER in home games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 233 pig scored. 

The Timberwolves are 14-0 OVER L/14  after they had 3 or fewer double digit scorers with a combined average of 234.6ppg scored with every game in the subset eclipsing this current total.

NBA Teams like the Nets are 21-4 OVER L/25 as a road favorite with less than two days rest off a game as a dog facing an opponent making more than 20 free throws with a combined average  of 227.1 pig scored.

Play OVER 

 The Brooklyn Nets have hit a wall  in  offensive production . However, they have the ability to bounce back as they  had been fairly effective overall without injured starters Kyrie Irving and Caris LeVert in the lineup against a Minnesota team that has own just 1 of their L/12 games. 

The Nets are 12-0 ATS/SU  on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a 10+ loss. The Nets are 12-0 ATS /SU L/12 as a favorite off a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s.

NBA Teams like the Nets  are 22-2-1 ATS/SU  on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest off a 10+ loss as a road dog after rebounding less than 20% of their own misses.

The Timberwolves are 0-11 ATS/1-10 SU at home facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc.

Play on Brooklyn to cover 

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

Play UNDER 

 The College of Charleston   (7-6, 1-0 CAA) carries a two-game win streak into a key early conference matchup at Delaware (11-3, 1-0 CAA) and have momentum on their sides. I know Delaware is red hot, but Charleston matches up well agains them despite of the record discrepancies. 

College of Charleston are 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 in this series and won 7 straight meetings. 

COLL OF CHARLESTON is 37-12 ATS 49 in road games in December games. 

CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (COLL OF CHARLESTON) - after leading their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half against opponent after scoring 75 points or more 3 straight games are 74-39 ATS L/10 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on College of Charleston  to cover 

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

Play OVER

The Sacramento Kings are struggling in a big way right now and have lost  6 straight games, and are now on tired legs after playing last night  against Phoenix and now going into the high altitudes of Denver to play a top tier team in the Nuggets.Playing in this Mile High venue for top tier teams is hard enough little lone a team like the Kings who proverbially can not tie their own shoelaces in their current form.  The Nuggets  54-14 SU and 44-27 ATS at home over the last few seasons  and are a hard team to face here at the Pepsi Center . It must also be noted that Denver has this circled as grudge match as they seek revenge for a loss to Sacramento back on Nov 30 on the road  and thus I see very little mercy being shown here on their way what Im betting will be a hefty DD win and cover.Sacramento is 0-7  SU and 1-6 ATS L/7 after taking on the Suns. 

Play on Denver to cover 

The Hornets enter this game against the Grizzlies  having lost five of their last six games and four in a row and are fade material in their current form.The Grizzlies defeated Charlotte 119-117 on Nov. 13 in Charlotte. My own power ranking suggest they matchup very well against a side that can't shoot 3s consistently and when out muscled struggle because of their need to do most of their scoring from the perimeter. 

The Hornets are 2-20-2 ATS /1-24 SU as a road dog with rest off a loss facing an opponent averaging more than 5 blocks per game. 

NBA Teams like the Grizzlies are 13-0 ATS /SU L/13 as a home favorite with less than two days rest off a loss in a road game when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss at home. 

My projections estimate this total slightly bloated, with the Rockets  Westbrook sitting tonight for rest purposes . The Rockets usually play division games with a more physical   presence. Note:HOUSTON is 14-4 UNDER road games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 209.8 ppg scored. The Rockets beat the Pelicans twice already this season in high scoring affairs but Im betting this game will be played differently as both teams are on tired legs after playing yesterday. 

NBA Teams like the Rockets  are 2-25 UNDER off a win as a favorite in which they had assists on less than 40 percent of their field goals ( none of the 27 games in the subset have gone above this opening total)

The Rockets are 2-19 UNDER L/21 on the road with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws with the average combined score clicking in at 213.4 ppg. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (NEW ORLEANS) - after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 102-46 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. 

Play UNDER 

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.


Play OVER

 . Kansas got side swiped last week at Villanova and Im betting they are gong to have their hands full again this week vs up trending Stanford.KansasHC Bill Self  is not a big rebound type of guy and his young men are just  7-16-2 ATS in his career coming off a  SU favorite loss. . Self has also not done all that well vs PAC 12 opposition covering just 3 of his L/10 Pac-12 games as a visitor and have failed to cover just 1 of their L/5 in this series vs the Cardinal.  meanwhile,  Stanford has covered 10 of their L/12 as a home dog and must note be underestimated behind the nations , its No. 6  ranked Scoring Defense at 57.7 ppg.STANFORD is 6-0 ATS  in home games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or better  over the last 2 seasons.STANFORD is 8-1 ATS in home games versus excellent teams - shooting 45%  or better with a defense of 42%  or better over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Stanford to cover 

The Bearkats made clutch plays down the stretch to hold off a second-half rally by New Orleans to notch their second-straight Southland Conference victory with an 87-79 victory Saturday at Johnson Coliseum.

Sam Houston State (8-4 overall, 2-0 in SLC) ran its season-high winning streak to four games and improved to 7-0 at home this season. They are red hot right now and deserve our respect here as one possession underdogs. 

Play on Sam Houston to cover 

The Mountaineers (10-1)  No. 22   will be sky high and ready  for this nonconference matchup against No. 2 Ohio State in Cleveland on Sunday . Reports have said Huggins has left no stone unturned in his preparation for the Buckeyes who are also 10-1 on the season.  In its 10 wins this season, West Virginia has given up more than 70 points in just two times. It allows just 36.2 percent shooting from the field, including just 24.6 percent from 3 and this will be key to them covering here today.

CBB underdog (W VIRGINIA) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 74-45 ATS L/23 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. 

West Virginia to cover 

The Lakers come off a emotional and physically gruelling game vs the LA Clippers last time that they lost, and now in a letdown situation go against a franchise that they have a long history of futility against the Portland Trailblazers. The Blazers have won 15 of the L/18 overall meetings  . With Dallas on board for tomorrow night, Im betting the Lakers may not be as focused as they need to be. I know the Lakers smashed the Blazers when they played earlier this season, but the Blazers have been very good in revenge mode from a 20 or point loss, cashing 6 of their L/7 opportunities and get my support to turn the trick again. 

Play on Portland Trailblazers to cover 

This non conference Big West/West Coast  battle  featuring the Anteaters taking on the Pacific Tigers. This  is a revenge match for a host UC Irvine side that took a 84-75 loss as 3.5-point favourite  at Pacific last season.  Irvine hoops program has proven itself very good pay back sides going 5-1 ATS at home with revenge  in this series,. Here at home Irvine is not easily defeated in non conference action going  85-25 SU at The Bren the last 20 seasons. Meanwhile, Pacific is just 1-6 SU away versus non-conference foe looking for revenge and with Pepperdine on board for Pacific next we may not see them fully focused.UCI has won its last two games played at the Bren by margins of 20+ points including a 77-56 win over Eastern Michigan.

Play on Cal Irvine to cover

BYU is an explosive basketball team that just does not get the respect it deserves as is evident by victories vs Houston, Utah State and VTech.  

I know Oral Roberts is playing well and on a 4 game win streak but this is a tough venue for any visitor , and in a game where they will have to find answers for BYUs impressive downtown game (40.3% from the 3) Im betting their fade material on a DD underdog line. The Eagles love to run, and if they get into a run and gun affair here which they are built to do, they will find themsleves over whelmed by a team that could rack up the score quickly, especially considering their ugly 29.3% conversion rate fro the land of the trey. 

Play on BYU to cover 

San Antonio despite of being highly inconsistent gets my support here tonight at home, in revenge mode vs a Detroit Pistons team that beat them, 132-98 earlier this season. It was an embarrassing event for the Spurs, and HC Popovich was steaming after that game, and will now his team ready to play in this redemption scenario.Note: SAN ANTONIO is 15-3 ATS  revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

The Spurs are 11-0 ATS /SUL/11  at home with rest off a road game after rebounding less than 20% of their own misses .The Spurs are 15-2-1 ATS /18-1 SU at home with less than two days rest after their points decreased by at least 25 from the game before.

The Pistons are 1-20 ATS /SU  as a dog off a win as a home favorite facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls per game failing to cover cover by more than 10+ ppg. 

Play on San Antonio to cover 

Dallas according to my projections is getting to much love here tonight as DD road chalk. I know Golden State played last night, but recently this well conditioned young team is showing life, as has been evident by 4 consecutive wins including one against Houston . Yes, Golden State got clobbered by a ugly 142-94 count by Dallas by in November on the road but it must be noted Kerr is a fine HC with alot of pride, and has lead  GOLDEN STATE to a 8-1 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season.

NBA team (DALLAS) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against a poor shooting team (41.5-43.5%), good ball handling team (14.5 TO's or loss ) against an average pressure defensive team (14.5-16.5 TO's) are just 13-36 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Golden State to cover 

Washington came into NYK and convincingly controlled the Knicks and took the road win. Now in revenge mode the pundits seem to think a inconsistent Knicks team off a upset win vs Brooklyn last time out can grab two in a row behind a revenge scenario.Even if the Wizards  Bradely Beal is less than 100% or cant play, I still feel the Wizards are the right side behind the replacement reliable duo of Troy Brown Jr. or Jordan McRae . Truth is I just don't feel the Knicks deserve their fav status in this rematch , especially here on the road.  NBA Road teams vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a double digit win as a underdog of 6 points or more are 3-25 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors.

NEW YORK is 1-10 ATS L/11 versus struggling  defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48%  or worse over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on the Washington Wizards to cover 

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

 Longwood to cover 

The No. 19-seeded Kentucky Wildcats  enter this home rivalry matchup vs No.3 Louisville very much in a need of a victory after suffering back to back losses.Im betting  Calaparis group will be able to limit the Cardinal long range game, behind the 85th best 3 point D in the nation. With the Wildcats getting healthier, and 6"9 Nate Sestina back in the lineup, beating Kentucky will not be easy for Louisville.The Cards always seem to get their edges by controlling the board, but Kentucky has a +7 rebounding diif and are hard to contend with on the glass. With that said, Im betting on the better charity strip team ( Kentucky) and tougher overall D to get us to the promised land in this matchup of top tier sides.LOUISVILLE is 0-6 ATS  off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.LOUISVILLE is 47-72 ATS L/119 vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game.KENTUCKY is 43-26 ATS in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  80% or better)

Play on Kentucky to cover 

My College basketball selections are indepthly  researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out  investment decision.   

Play UNDER 

Milwaukees offence averages 120+ ppg while Atlanta D, allows an average of 118.6 ppg. Milwaukee has scored agains the best of Ds consistently, and against this below average defence, Im betting they score in the average of 10 points higher on their season to date average offensive output. Meanwhile, Atlanta, is capable of chasing behind a offence that averages 110 + ppg in recent 5 games activity span, which Im betting results in a higher scoring affair than the lines makers anticipate. 

NBA Teams like the Bucks are 19-1 OVER  on the road off a loss as a favorite when the total is at least 15 points more than their last game with a combined average of 239.2 ppg going on the scoreboard.

NBA Teams like the Hawks are 15-1 OVER L/16 as a dog with more than two days of rest off a loss in a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 5 blocks per game with a combined average of 243.2 ppg scored.

Play OVER 

The Celtics are big favourites here, vs the struggling Cleveland Cavaliers. I know this is the new NBA and laying lumber with upper tier teams is becoming the norm, but in my usual contrarian fashion, and my old school mind set I believe this line to be slightly bloated thanks to both recency bias and perceived expectations that actually don't jive with what is according to my projections a one possession extension on a line that should be closer to -11.  

Tonight Im betting the Celtics will over look their opponents while the away team plays up to their opponents eyeing a chance at an upset vs a upper tier side. 

The Celtics are 0-15 ATS /7-8 SU L/15 off a 10+ win as a road favorite when they won 4 straight vs current opponent.

BOSTON is 4-15 ATS L/19  in home games after 3 straight games where they made 50% of their shots or better. 

NBA Favorites (BOSTON) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 15-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road underdogs of 10 or more points (CLEVELAND) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 46-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Cleveland Cavaliers to cover 

Cleveland is well rested and of late have been up trending offensively and are capable of doing  out put damage here in a game I have pegged toast paced. 

The Celtics are 13-0 OVER L/13 at home with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road with a combined average of 227.4 ppg scored. 

NBA Teams like the Cavaliers are 14-1 OVER L/15 as a 8+ dog with more than one day of rest off a home game in which they had 20+ turnovers with a combined average of 224.9 ppg scored.

CLEVELAND is 13-3 OVER in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 225.4 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (CLEVELAND) - after 2 or more consecutive wins, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days are 32-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (BOSTON ) - after 3 or more consecutive wins, playing with 3 or more days rest are 26-4 OVER L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

The Trail Blazers' had their four-game winning streak abruptly end last time out  as the club was 4-of-29 from beyond the arc. Im now expecting a shooting bounce back effort here tonight in Utah behind the 11th fastest pace in the league and the 10th ranked ppg offence. Meanwhile, Im betting on a up-trending Utah offence averaging 110.4 ppg in their L/5 overall, to fire power back on rested legs after their Christmas break. This projected group of scenarios will make for a score according to my projections that slams into the plus 220 mark on the combined totals scoreboard.

PORTLAND is 20-8 OVER when playing 6 or less games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons. 

The Trailblazers are 11-0 OVER L/11 off a loss as a home favorite facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with a combined average of 236.8 ppg scored.

NBA Teams like the Jazz are 20-0 OVER L/20  with rest off a loss in a road game when the total is at least 15 points more than their season-to-date average with a combined average of 247.5 ppg scored.

Play OVER 

The Minnesota Wolves have ost 11 straight games, and are once again fade material here on the road vs a Kings team that is struggling but more than capable of rebounding in this spot . 

SACRAMENTO is 15-3 ATS  after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons.

The Timberwolves are 1-17-1 ATS /1-18  SU  as a road dog facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls-against per game.

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SACRAMENTO) - after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after trailing their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half are 26-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Sacramento to cover 

The Oklahoma City Thunder enter this game on a 4 game win streak and have won 7 of their L/9 and have won 11 of their 16 home games this season . Against todays competition the visiting Memphis Grizzlies the Thunder have won 9 straight times here and once again have the advantage vs a side that is highly inconsistent and have lost 13 of 18 road games this season, including last weeks visit to Sooner State where they lost 126-122 count as 6.5 point dog. Note:NBA Teams like the Thunder are 20-2 ATS /21-1 SUL/22 as a opening line 8+ favorite with rest off a game as a dog when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road with the average ppg diff clicking in at 17 ppg. 

NBA Teams like the Grizzlies  are 2-33 SU/ 5-29-1 ATS  as a road dog with more than one day of rest after allowing 15+ points more than Vegas projected with the average ppg diff clicking in at 14.2 ppg. 

The Thunder are 14-1 ATS/15-0 SU L/15  as a home favorite with more than one day of rest off a home game in which they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers with the average ppg diff clicking at 14.1 ppg.

The Grizzlies are 0-14 ATS /SU as a opening line  8+ dog with more than one day of rest off a game as a dog in which their opponent shot over 50% from the field with the average ppg diff clicking in at 21.5 ppg. 

Play on Oklahoma City to cover 

The coaching change of  David Fizdale on Dec. 6 for interim coach Mike Miller has not sparked the Knicks to consistent efforts, and there is just something off about the chemistry of this team, and their work ethic and preparation. Just before the Christmas break, they got clobbered by Miami and Milwaukee , and than got run over by the Washington Wizards  by a 121-115 count at  home on Monday. Now Im betting their lack of proper motivation , fluidity, and upper their talent will see them lose again and more importantly as far as we are concerned fail to cover.

NEW YORK is 2-12 ATS off 2 or more consecutive home losses over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 15.1 ppg.

The Knicks are 0-13 ATS /SU L/13 as a dog with more than one day of rest with every loss coming by 8 points or more with the average ppg diff clicking in at 20 ppg. 

Play on Brooklyn Nets to cover 

Both LeBron James and Anthony Davis according to an ESPN report are both expected  play Christmas day. I know with these super stars in the lineup the public will naturally chase the total over here, but I say not so quick as  my projections estimate that a number closer to 220 is order here,  which gives us one possession value. Hey I know it does not seem like much of an advantage but believe me, it is considering how proficient Vegas has historically been setting lines on NBA totals.

Also from a matchup perspective these two rivals, are proving to have a dislike for each other , so a physical play off style affair is not out of the question, which also has me leaning to this being a lower scoring affair than the public and pundits expect. 

Christmas Day under since 2005, have been an extremely good bet : 38-22-1 UNDER for a 63% conversion rate for bettors.

 NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (LA LAKERS) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%), in a game involving two average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) . are 63-38 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

Two strong defences go head to head here today in the Diamond Head Classic. But the difference maker will come via GTechs superior overall talent and bench depth. 

GEORGIA TECH is 12-4 ATS  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. GEORGIA TECH is 13-3 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 2 seasons.

Play on GTech to cover 

 Milwaukee won 21 of its last 22 games,  but they go against a Philadelphia side that plays their best basketball at home where they are 15-2 SU this season, and wont go down without a fight. Im expecting a hard fought game here which will make getting points golden. 

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - in a game involving two average free throw shooting teams (72-76%), hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50% or better of their shots are 25-3 L/5 seasons for for a 89% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA  team (PHILADELPHIA) - after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more against opponent after scoring 110 points or more 4 straight games are 28-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Philadelphia 76ers 

Boston downed Toronto 112-106 at home on Oct. 25  and matchup well once again vs a Raptors team that is banged up and playing short handed. BOSTON is 12-2 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

The Raptors have also taken part into two straight exhausting games , one where they came from behind from a DD deficit entering the 4th quarter, and one that they took to  OT after trailing by 14 points in the third quarter. A natural emotional letdown is expecting by me here today against a top tier side. 

NBA Underdogs (TORONTO) - off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) like the Raptors are 17-59 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Boston to cover 

Minnesota now on a 10 game losing streak enters this game on tired legs as they play their 3rd road game in 4 nights, which gives the depleted Warriors  a chance for a rare victory here tonight. 

The Timberwolves are 0-10 ATS/SU l/10 off a game as a dog facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end. The Timberwolves are 0-11 ATS 1/10 SU with less than two days rest off a loss as a road dog in which they had at least 30% of their points from threes.

 MINNESOTA is 5-13 ATS versus struggling defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

NBA team vs the money line (MINNESOTA) - poor three point shooting team (33% or less) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or worse), average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO's) are 13-34 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Golden State Warriors to cover 

One of Sacramento's biggest moments of the season occurred when it edged the Rockets 119-118 in Houston on Dec. 9 and Im betting the Kings have what it takes to hang tough at home here again tonight.NBA Teams  like The rockets are 1-14 ATS /SU  on the road with rest off a 10+ win as a favorite when seeking same season revenge for a loss at home.

Houston is off a big shooting effort last time out scoring 139 points in a win vs the Suns and now Im expecting a regressionary effort. The Rockets are 3-20-1 ATS  on the road off a win as a favorite in which they shot over 55% from the field. D'Antoni is 10-22 ATS  after scoring 130 points or more as the coach of HOUSTON.

NBA Teams like the Kings are 20-2 ATS /21-1 SU with less than two days rest off a loss in a road game when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss at home .The Kings are 23-5 ATS L/28 with rest off a loss in a road game facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc.SACRAMENTO is 10-1 ATS  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season.

Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover