Basketball Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
02-12-21 | Pelicans v. Mavs UNDER 232.5 | 130-143 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
After playing good D for an extended time the Dallas D, has looked a little tattered by has seen a regression to point allowed in their last 3 games, and according to my projections that positive defensive trajectory will continue in this spot vs the Pelicans tonight. Meanwhile, New Orleans has also been playing very good defense with an exception last time out vs Chicago. However, today Im betting on Van Gundy's squad getting back to business and makes sure their transition game and 3 point defense is focused on which will help keep this score on the low side of the total.Van Gundy is 22-9 UNDER after a game where they allowed a shooting pct. of 55% or higher in all games he has coached with a combined score of 197 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
|||||||
02-11-21 | UCLA v. Washington State +5 | 73-81 | Win | 100 | 17 h 54 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
02-11-21 | 76ers v. Blazers UNDER 230.5 | 114-118 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
Philadelphia is red hot, and Im betting on the Blazers trying to be more physical with their opponent in an effort to slow them down and take away from their flow. this Im betting results in a lower scoring tilt than the lines makers are expecting. Under is 5-2 in 76ers last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Rivers is 37-20 UNDER revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7or more in all games he has coached in his career with a combined average of 197.1 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (PHILADELPHIA) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games are 30-7 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
02-11-21 | USC v. Washington +12 | 69-54 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 54 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
02-11-21 | UNLV +10 v. Boise State | 66-78 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
02-11-21 | Morehead State v. Tennessee State +8.5 | 79-66 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 54 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
02-11-21 | Oregon v. Arizona State -1 | 75-64 | Loss | -109 | 15 h 53 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
02-11-21 | Idaho +9 v. Idaho State | 43-69 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 53 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
02-11-21 | Eastern Illinois +9.5 v. Jacksonville State | 64-76 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 25 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
02-11-21 | Pacers v. Pistons UNDER 219 | 111-95 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
Detroit ranks 23rd in offence behind the 24th ranked pace, while Indiana is ranked middle of the road in all key categories. From a projections stand point my number is closer to 216 which gives us a one possession advantage to the under. NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (DETROIT) - after a game where they covered the spread, terrible team, winning 25% or less of their games on the season are 36-15 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (INDIANA) - after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games, vs. division opponents are 216- 142 L/24 seasons for a 60% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
|||||||
02-11-21 | Raptors +3.5 v. Celtics | 106-120 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
The Raptors have had this game circled on their schedule for a while, as they look for revenge for a Celtics team that eliminated from last seasons play off bubble. With the Celtics off an extended road trip, Im betting they will take time to get used to home cooking and vulnerable in this spot vs a Raptors side that has surpassed 120 points in each of their past five games. Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover |
|||||||
02-11-21 | Weber State v. Montana +1 | 67-80 | Win | 100 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
02-11-21 | Utah v. California +4.5 | 76-75 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
02-11-21 | Purdue v. Minnesota OVER 139.5 | 68-71 | Loss | -117 | 1 h 4 m | Show | |
02-10-21 | San Jose State +29 v. San Diego State | 55-77 | Win | 100 | 17 h 49 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
02-10-21 | Bucks v. Suns +5.5 | 124-125 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show | |
Milwaukee is off a big time effort last time out vs Denver. and are vulnerable to be upset here vs a Suns side that has won and cover 6 of their L/7 overall. The Bucks win was a double revenge scenario for two losses last season, so the Bucks came in prepared and put in a start to finish effort last time out in the High altitudes of Denver, which will have them on tired legs here and in an emotional letdown state . Note:Phoenix is 33-4 SU L/37 in this series , including 10-2 ATS in tilt where the Bucks own an above .500 record including 6-0 ATS at home. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in five consecutive games, with a winning record on the season are 5-28 SU L/24 seasons for a 76% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover |
|||||||
02-10-21 | Wisconsin v. Nebraska +12 | 61-48 | Loss | -108 | 15 h 19 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
02-10-21 | Cavs v. Nuggets UNDER 223 | 95-133 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 17 m | Show | |
Cleveland runs the 26th ranked pace 10th ranked ppg defence and 29th ranked ppg offence. Here against a side that ranks 28th in pace a much slower grinding game in the high altitudes of the Mile High City is to be expected.
CLEVELAND is 11-3 UNDER versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season with a combined average of 209.9 ppg scored. Bickerstaff is 10-1 UNDER in road games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game as the coach of CLEVELAND with a combined average of 206.8 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (DENVER) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or better) against an average shooting team (43.5-45.5%), after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher are 32-10 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (CLEVELAND) - cold team - failing to cover the spread in 8 or more of their last 10, tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days are 44-17 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.Play UNDER |
|||||||
02-10-21 | Marquette +11 v. Villanova | 64-96 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 49 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
02-10-21 | Clippers v. Wolves +9 | 119-112 | Win | 100 | 4 h 14 m | Show | |
Los Angeles lost 119-115 to the Boston Celtics on Friday and 113-110 to the Sacramento Kings two nights later and not at the top of their game entering this tilt and vulnerable here to another down effort on the road. Note: Minnesota has covered 6 straight and are in a competitive mode right now . Home underdogs of 10 or more points (MINNESOTA) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog are 51-22 ATS L/24 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to cover |
|||||||
02-10-21 | Pacers +1.5 v. Nets | 94-104 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 15 m | Show | |
The Pacers Im betting are good bets to halt a three-game losing streak Wednesday night against the defensively deficient Brooklyn Nets that is also on a 3 game losing streak and will be on tired legs tonight. BROOKLYN is 8-21 ATS when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons. Indiana is 3-0 SU/ATS L/3 visits here and get the nod to cover. Note: The Nets are 0-17-1 ATS /2-16 SU with no rest after allowing 50-plus points in the paint last game which was the case yesterday. Play on Indiana to cover |
|||||||
02-10-21 | Hawks +4.5 v. Mavs | 117-118 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
Atlanta deserves respect here as one of the most under rated teams in the NBA. Tonight against a tired Mavericks side preparing to play their 6th game in 10 nights the visitors have the edge on this line. Note: DALLAS is 0-7 ATS in home games when playing 6 or more games in 10 days this season. DALLAS is also 0-7 ATS in home games after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games this season.DALLAS is 1-8 ATS in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season
NBA Home teams (DALLAS) - off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, with a losing record are 15-43 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to cover |
|||||||
02-10-21 | Northern Iowa +10 v. Drake | 59-80 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
02-10-21 | VMI v. Western Carolina -1 | 72-74 | Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
02-10-21 | Wichita State -1 v. UCF | 61-60 | Push | 0 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
02-10-21 | Furman +2 v. NC-Greensboro | 58-64 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
02-09-21 | Celtics v. Jazz -5.5 | 108-122 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
Tuesday's contest will be the ninth road outing in 11 games for Boston and are on tired legs and vulnerable here in Salt Lake city. Play on Utah to cover |
|||||||
02-09-21 | Magic v. Blazers -6 | 97-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
Orlando will enter off a two-game split at Chicago where they won the first game 123-119 against the Bulls but dropped the rematch 118-92 on Saturday. It was the fifth time the Magic were held to 92 points or less this season. With that said, Im betting the Magic are just not fluid enough offensively to hang here. The Magic are 0-10 ATS/SU after allowing 50-plus points in the paint last game and have failed to coved by more than 16 ppg. |
|||||||
02-09-21 | St. John's v. Butler -1 | 73-76 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned |
|||||||
02-09-21 | Penn State v. Michigan State -2.5 | 58-60 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned |
|||||||
02-09-21 | James Madison v. Elon +5.5 | 70-61 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned |
|||||||
02-08-21 | Bucks v. Nuggets UNDER 234 | 125-112 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
The Bucks are know for their offense but their defense is ranked 8th in defensive efficiency and will be key here tonight in the Mile High City vs the Nuggets. Meanwhile, Denver is ranked 28th in pace, and will be prepared to grind away here in an effort to slow down the Bucks. MILWAUKEE is 11-1 UNDER off a road blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons which was the case last time out vs Cleveland in a 124-99 victory. The average combined score of those 12 games rings in at 219 ppg. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - off a road win, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 38-11 UNDER 24 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DENVER) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 77-37 L/24 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER |
|||||||
02-08-21 | Bucks v. Nuggets +4 | 125-112 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
Milwaukee is 9-40 all-time in games played in Denver and lost both matchups last season and according to my projections are being over rated against a Nuggets team that knows how to slow this opponent. Look for Nuggets super star Jokic to out duel,Giannis Antetokounmpo and company and get us the cover.MILWAUKEE is 5-15 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.MILWAUKEE is 6-19 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons.DENVER is 18-7 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. Play on Denver to cover |
|||||||
02-08-21 | Ohio State v. Maryland +3.5 | 73-65 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
02-08-21 | Wolves +9.5 v. Mavs | 122-127 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
Minnesota has had some breakdowns of late, but for the most part have been very competitive covering 5 straight games. Meanwhile, Dallas continues to struggle having lost 7 of their L/9 with the victories coming by 5 and 2 points. Anything at or better offers good line value here.DALLAS is 1-8 ATS after allowing 105 points or more 5 straight games this season which is the case entering this tilt. The Mavericks are 0-5 ATS as a home favorite and 0-7 ATS/1-6 SU L/7 at home as chalk. Play on Minnesota to cover |
|||||||
02-08-21 | Wizards +4.5 v. Bulls | 105-101 | Win | 100 | 5 h 36 m | Show | |
My projections estimate that there is value with the underdog in this spot play based on style of play and one sides ability to deal with that type of basketball. Chicago for a long time has had problems with run and gun offenses. CHICAGO is 13-30 ATS in home games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. CHICAGO is 5-21 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
NBA Road teams (WASHINGTON) - off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 25-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Washington to cover |
|||||||
02-08-21 | Rockets -105 v. Hornets | 94-119 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 36 m | Show | |
The Hornets, host the Houston Rockets on Monday in the second game of a back-to-back. The Hornets won the fiorst game but Im betting their luck runs out here tonight. Borrego is 3-13 ATS in home games after a win by 10 points or more in all games he has coached. Play on Houston to cover |
|||||||
02-08-21 | SMU -6 v. East Carolina | 71-56 | Win | 100 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
02-08-21 | NC-Greensboro v. Furman -4 | 49-68 | Win | 100 | 3 h 46 m | Show | |
02-07-21 | Indiana State v. Northern Iowa -1.5 | 67-70 | Win | 100 | 6 h 8 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
02-07-21 | Southern Illinois v. Bradley -8 | 69-68 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 8 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
02-07-21 | Missouri State v. Illinois State +6.5 | 72-62 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 9 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
02-07-21 | Heat v. Knicks +6 | 109-103 | Push | 0 | 3 h 56 m | Show | |
Miami has had a very rigorous schedule, and are on tired legs against what my power rankings estimate to be the best conditioned team in the NBA . Note:MIAMI is 5-15 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons. The Heat previous to a blowout win last time out had lost 7 of 8, and just don't look like solid favs in this spot. Recently the Heat have accumulated a 4-13 ATS (record ) after a blowout win by 15 points or more over the last 2 seasons and are fade material for me once again in this spot play vs a up trending NY Knicks team. Knicks HC Thibodeau is 105-77 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game in all games he has coached in his pro carrier. NY Knicks to cover |
|||||||
02-07-21 | Jazz v. Pacers +5 | 103-95 | Loss | -103 | 2 h 40 m | Show | |
Two sides playing at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum go head to head this Sunday afternoon in NBA action. The Jazz who will be playing their 3rd game in 4 days on tired legs are in top form having won 14 of their L/15 games. Meanwhile, the Pacers have lost 4 of their L/5 , but have been competitive this season, and must be respected as home underdogs. |
|||||||
02-07-21 | Wizards -1 v. Hornets | 97-119 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 39 m | Show | |
According to my power rankings this Bradley Beals lead Wizards side matchs up very well vs the Charlotte Hornets and give me enough edge on the offered line to recommend we back them here this afternoon. |
|||||||
02-07-21 | Iowa -2.5 v. Indiana | 65-67 | Loss | -116 | 2 h 15 m | Show | |
The Iowa Hawkeyes circle this rematch and enter this game with extreme redemption on their minds after losing to Indiana as double-digit home chalk more than 2 weeks ago, by a 81-69 count. Iowa is 6-1 ATS L/7 in this series when playing with same-season revenge from a loss of 12 or more points and have the fire power to get the revenge they so badly want. I know both sides are not playing all that well at the moment, but I like Iowas system, and fire power better than the Hoosiers and believe in their ability to stand tall here and cover.IOWA is 21-9 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons. INDIANA is 0-9 ATS in home games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (IOWA) - an explosive offensive team (78 or more PPG) against an average offensive team (67-74 PPG), after scoring 45 points or more in the first half last game are 103-52 ATS L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. |
|||||||
02-07-21 | Iowa v. Indiana UNDER 152 | 65-67 | Win | 100 | 2 h 14 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
02-07-21 | Cincinnati -4.5 v. Tulane | 64-61 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 8 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
02-06-21 | Pistons +13.5 v. Lakers | 129-135 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
I know the Lakers have revenge on board for a surprising loss to the Pistons earlier this season , but the Pistons play a type of hoops that actually matches up well against the obviously more talented team. Also despite of their ugly W/L record Detroit has covered 11 of their L/19 and are well conditioned enough to make the Lakers work hard for a win here on the road despite of them playing last night. DETROIT is 10-2 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season. LA LAKERS are 12-29 ATS versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons NBA Underdogs (DETROIT) - off 3 or more consecutive road losses, playing on back-to-back days are 26-3 ATS L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Detroit to cover |
|||||||
02-06-21 | UCLA +3.5 v. USC | 48-66 | Loss | -103 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
02-06-21 | Grizzlies +1.5 v. Pelicans | 109-118 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Pelicans have struggled to find consistency this season.But they have won four of their last six games after holding on for a 114-113 win at Indiana on Friday but now on tired legs in this back to back situation Im betting the Grizzlies who are 7-2 L/9 have the edge. Note: Grizzlies: 5-0 ATS L/5 as division road dogs of 6 points or less. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW ORLEANS) - inconsistent defensive team - allowing 103+ points/game on the season, after a close win by 3 points or less are are 44-71 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Memphis to cover |
|||||||
02-06-21 | Grizzlies v. Pelicans UNDER 227 | 109-118 | Push | 0 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
The Grizzlies calling card and success and or failures are centered around a 7th ranked ppg defense. With the offense ranked just 22nd in the NBA its obvious Memphis will be out to center their attention on slowing this game down and Im betting that wont be a problem against a tired New Orleans side that played a hard fought game last night in a one point win. These projections on the style play and energy flow have me taking an under stance. MEMPHIS is 9-1 UNDER off a home loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (MEMPHIS) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 43-20 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (NEW ORLEANS) - after having won 2 of their last 3 games, tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days are 92-53 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
02-06-21 | Warriors v. Mavs -4 | 132-134 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
Dallas lost to Golden State last time out by a 147-111 count. It was an embarrassing blowout loss, that will now have the Mavericks ready and motivated for redemption . Carlisle is 47-22 ATS after a blowout loss by 20 points or more as the coach of DALLAS. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (DALLAS) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off an embarrassing upset loss by 20 points or more as a favorite are 25-4 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at 9.5. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game are 31-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Dallas to cover |
|||||||
02-06-21 | Nets v. 76ers -3 | 108-124 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
The Nets are off a loss last night against the Raptors and on tired legs, as they play a Philadelphia side off a an embarrassing loss to the depleted Portland squad this past Thursday. The 76ers also have revenge on board for a loss to the Nets the last time they played and will now be very motivated to get a win here today.PHILADELPHIA is 8-0 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. Philadelphia head coach Doc Rivers is 14-3 ATS with same-season loss revenge of 10 or more points since 2007. PHILADELPHIA is 16-4 ATS in home games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 2 season. BROOKLYN is 8-20 ATS when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons. NBA Road teams (BROOKLYN) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or more ) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or more ), hot shooting team - 5 straight games making 47% or more of their shots are 23-53 ATS L/24 seasons for a 70% go against conversion rate. Play on Philadelphia to cover |
|||||||
02-06-21 | Tennessee v. Kentucky +4 | 82-71 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
02-06-21 | Western Illinois v. Nebraska-Omaha -3.5 | 75-73 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
02-06-21 | Nebraska +12 v. Michigan State | 56-66 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
02-06-21 | Jackson State v. Alcorn State OVER 135 | 74-66 | Win | 100 | 5 h 58 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
02-06-21 | Air Force +13 v. UNLV | 58-68 | Win | 100 | 7 h 5 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
02-06-21 | Washington +13 v. Oregon | 74-86 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
02-06-21 | Southern Illinois v. Bradley -7.5 | 66-74 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
02-06-21 | Idaho +20 v. Eastern Washington | 64-90 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 9 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
02-06-21 | Kansas +2.5 v. West Virginia | 79-91 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 6 m | Show | |
02-06-21 | East Carolina +12.5 v. Memphis | 59-66 | Win | 100 | 5 h 6 m | Show | |
02-06-21 | Virginia Tech v. Miami-FL +4 | 80-76 | Push | 0 | 3 h 7 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
02-06-21 | Cal Poly +13.5 v. Hawaii | 68-84 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 53 m | Show | |
02-05-21 | Celtics v. Clippers UNDER 219.5 | 119-115 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
Im betting these two top tier teams take part in a post season style game that focuses on defence with special attention paid to the transition game. Boston ranks 9th in ppg allowed in the league and the Clippers ranks 4th.Under is 9-4-1 in the last 14 meetings in Los Angeles. Play UNDER |
|||||||
02-05-21 | Pistons +8 v. Suns | 92-109 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
The Pistons franchise has had a great deal of success vs the Suns going 16-1 L17 in this series and have the edge as underdogs vs a Suns side that is 0-5 L/5 at home in 1/2 rest situation. PHOENIX is 1-13 ATS in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more over the last 2 seasons. DETROIT is 10-1 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHOENIX) - tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 19-45 L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 71%. Play on Detroit to cover |
|||||||
02-05-21 | California Baptist v. New Mexico State -10 | 85-75 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 40 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
02-05-21 | Wizards v. Heat UNDER 228.5 | 95-122 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
Washingtons offense despite of their run and gun reputation have been quite inconsistent lately with their output numbers. In 5 of their L/7 games, they have scored 101,88, 106, 100, and 103 points. There were two offensive explosions, but those were against Brooklyn and Atlanta two teams that like to run and gun like them. Tonight Im betting their offensive output will once again be curtailed by a Heat side that ranks 23rd in pace and 26th in offensive production. This will contribute to this tilt staying on the low side of the number. Note. These teams played on Wednesday night with a 103-100 final score. Rinse and repeat scenario now on board. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MIAMI) - off a close loss by 3 points or less to a division rival are 23-3 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (WASHINGTON) - tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days, in a game involving two bad teams (25% to 40%) are 45-15 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
02-05-21 | Raptors v. Nets UNDER 242 | 123-117 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
Since the Harden trade and his subsequent debut, the Nets are averaging 127 points on 51.8 percent shooting. They shot 57 percent Tuesday. However, as we all know those numbers are not sustainable, especially against a veteran team like Toronto that knows how to slow games down and turning them into grinding affairs. Thus Im betting that this combined score will remain on the low side of the total. TORONTO is 22-8 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. Nurse in all 8 of his road games versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or better of their shots as the coach of TORONTO has seen a combined score of 215.2 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after allowing 115 points or more are 30-10 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after a combined score of 215 points or more are 71-28 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (TORONTO) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite against opponent after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points are 32-9 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
02-05-21 | Bucks v. Cavs UNDER 227 | 123-105 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
My projections estimate that Cleveland will not score more than 105 points here tonight while the Bucks should score in the 116 range. Note:MILWAUKEE is 18-2 UNDER when they allow 100 to 105 points in a game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 215.4 ppg going on the board. The L/3 games in this series in Cleveland have gone under the set total and a rinse and repeat situation once again looks like a viable betting opportunity here based on my estimates and the fact that the Cavs own the 6th best ppg defense in the NBA and the 29th ranked pace. Play UNDER |
|||||||
02-05-21 | Pelicans v. Pacers -1 | 114-113 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
The Pelicans are off a strong effort last time out beating up on the Suns by a 123-101 count and now are getting some decent respect on a line that Im not sure is deserved. After all this Pelicans side has shown themselves to be very inconsistent this season. I know the Pacers are off a DD loss, but that was to the Milwaukee Bucks who must be considered championship contenders.
Note: The Pacers beat the Pelicans 118-116 in overtime at New Orleans on Jan. 4 and here at home a reg time win is my projected outcome. Play on Indiana to cover |
|||||||
02-05-21 | UC-Davis -2 v. CS-Northridge | 77-80 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
02-04-21 | Nuggets v. Lakers OVER 216 | 93-114 | Loss | -112 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
Denver offence is clicking and Im betting they push the Lakers into a uptempo game here and make the champs work extra hard in this tilt. DENVER is 20-6 OVER after scoring 120 points or more over the last 2 seasons and is is 12-3 OVER in road games after scoring 105 points or more 5 straight games over the last 2 seasons |
|||||||
02-04-21 | Rockets v. Grizzlies UNDER 224 | 115-103 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
Memphis had their 7 game win steak snapped last time out by Indiana in a high scoring 134-116 event . I blame that down effort by the Grizzlies on their defence, which might of suffered because of tired legs on a rigorous schedule. The win streak was complimented by top tier defence, and now Im betting the Grizzlies returning to what made them successful here and that Im also betting contributes to this tilt staying on the low side of the total. Play UNDER |
|||||||
02-04-21 | Eastern Washington v. Idaho +15 | 89-75 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
02-04-21 | Gonzaga v. Pacific +24 | 76-58 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
02-04-21 | Belmont v. Eastern Illinois +14.5 | 89-61 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
02-04-21 | BYU v. Portland +19.5 | 105-60 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
02-04-21 | Austin Peay +3 v. Eastern Kentucky | 94-79 | Win | 101 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
02-04-21 | Cincinnati -2 v. Temple | 63-60 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
02-04-21 | Tennessee State +1.5 v. SIU-Edwardsville | 60-68 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 52 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
02-03-21 | Celtics v. Kings UNDER 226.5 | 111-116 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
Sacramento has played well lately winning 3 of their L/5 with one loss by 1 point 96-95 , and Im attributing their recent success to playing good defense. Meanwhile, Boston is also playing top tier defensive hoops and ranking 8th in ppg defense. More of the same from both tonight. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (BOSTON) - average free throw shooting team (72-76%) against a poor free throw shooting team (69-72%), good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO's) against a poor pressure defensive team (14.5 or less TO's) are 26-7 UNDER L/ 24 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
|||||||
02-03-21 | Suns v. Pelicans UNDER 223.5 | 101-123 | Loss | -112 | 13 h 6 m | Show | |
Phoenix ranks fifth in defensive efficiency and are good at cutting down on opponents downtown shooting, thus making them play inside the arc in the paint. Meanwhile, the Pelicans play a similar style of D, but are horrendous on offence and could easily be suffocated by a Suns side that is starting to get healthy. On the flip-side the Suns are inconsistent offensively, and dont get to the charity stripe often, ranking 2nd in FT attempts. These kinds of systems when I make a total projection shows value to the under. PHOENIX is 17-7 UNDER in road games versus struggling defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.PHOENIX is 15-4 UNDER in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons.PHOENIX is 20-9 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons. Play UNDER |
|||||||
02-03-21 | SMU v. Tulsa +2.5 | 65-63 | Win | 100 | 15 h 57 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
02-03-21 | Virginia v. NC State +7.5 | 64-57 | Win | 100 | 15 h 56 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
02-03-21 | Wolves v. Spurs -8 | 108-111 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
Spurs have struggled recently and have lost two straight, and are desperate to get back on track vs a Minnesota side that upset them 96-88 a few weeks ago. So revenge, redemption, give credence to me suggesting we lay the lumber here with the Spurs on home court. Note: San Antonio is 12-3 ATS with same-season loss revenge in this series, including 8-0 ATS from a defeat did not come by DDs.. SAN ANTONIO is 14-3 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. NBA home teams vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off an embarrassing upset loss by 20 points or more as a favorite are 23-4 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate with the average margin ppg diff clicking in at +9.5 . NBA Home teams (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a terrible team (25% or less) are 44-18 ATS L/22 seasons L/24 seasons for a 71% conversion rate. San Antonio to cover |
|||||||
02-03-21 | Pacers v. Bucks UNDER 233 | 110-130 | Loss | -111 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
Indiana has been struggling to score and than suddenly last time out, they popped 134 points on 59.7% shooting against the Grizzlies, and now I expect a regression to the norm on tired legs in back to back games. This Im betting directly alters projections and gives us value on the under. INDIANA is 22-8 UNDER after a combined score of 245 points or more and s14-3 UNDER after scoring 130 points or more. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (INDIANA) - after a blowout win by 15 points or more against opponent after a blowout win by 20 points or more are 29-6 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - after a blowout win by 20 points or more against opponent after scoring 120 points or more are 31-7 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 82% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
|||||||
02-03-21 | Virginia Tech v. Pittsburgh +3.5 | 72-83 | Win | 100 | 13 h 3 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
02-03-21 | Chattanooga v. Western Carolina | 74-67 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
02-03-21 | Houston v. East Carolina +16.5 | 73-82 | Win | 100 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
02-02-21 | Celtics v. Warriors UNDER 227.5 | 111-107 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
Boston ranks 8th in defense ppg against and is the cornerstone of their successes and failures and nothing with change tonight vs the explosive Curry and the Warriors. The Celtics defensive posture and ability to control flow will lead to this being a lower scoring game than the linesmakers estimates. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (BOSTON) - good shooting team - shooting 46% or more on the season against opponent after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ less free throws than opponent are 28-11 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (GOLDEN STATE) - tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 70-33 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
|||||||
02-02-21 | Blazers v. Wizards -2 | 132-121 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
The Washington Wizards are fresh off their best performance of the season out scoring the Nets by a 149-146 count and now riding that momentum look very much like good bets vs a Portland side that continues to play without key cog CJ McCollum. WASHINGTON is 25-9 ATS L/34 in home games after a combined score of 245 points or more . Wizards are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. The Trailblazers are 0-13-1 ATS /0-14 SU as a road dog off a loss as a road dog in which Damian Lillard was not their high scorer. Trail Blazers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Trail Blazers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Play on Washington to cover |
|||||||
02-02-21 | Clippers v. Nets UNDER 242.5 | 120-124 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
The Los Angeles Clippers and Brooklyn Nets possess a great deal of offensive explosiveness . But one team the Clippers owns the better defence (4th in NBA ppg allowed), and has the abilities to slow down the other side behind the 27th ranked pace , and limit their potent attack. The Nets will want to run and gun, but Im betting the Clippers will not be dragged into that type of game and instead play stoppers here tonight against a undisciplined side, which according to my projections sets up for a combined score that does not eclipse this total. LA CLIPPERS are 22-9 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 220.2 ppg going on the scoreboard. |
|||||||
02-02-21 | Baylor v. Texas +6 | 83-69 | Loss | -112 | 13 h 3 m | Show | |
02-02-21 | Michigan State +10.5 v. Iowa | 78-84 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Michigan State to cover |
|||||||
02-02-21 | Eastern Illinois +3 v. SIU-Edwardsville | 70-61 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
|
|||||||
02-01-21 | Grizzlies v. Spurs UNDER 220.5 | 133-102 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
Memphis thanks to some very strong defensive play have won 7 games in a row and now on tired legs as they play their 2nd game in 2 nights, Im betting them and their opponents the Spurs will take part in a more subdued less aggressive offensive affair. MEMPHIS is 8-0 UNDER off a win by 15 points or more as an underdog over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 208.5 ppg. SAN ANTONIO is 8-0 UNDER in home games off an upset loss as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 213.6 ppg. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MEMPHIS) - extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 70-39 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 64% conversion rate. NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (MEMPHIS) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG differential.), after a blowout win by 15 points or more are 30-9 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. Play on the under |
|||||||
02-01-21 | Grizzlies v. Spurs -3.5 | 133-102 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 39 m | Show | |
The Memphis Grizzlies look for their seventh straight win Monday night when they face the Spurs in the second game of a back-to-back set in San Antonio. However, Im betting their winning streak will come to an abrupt end here. MEMPHIS is 9-24 ATS after 6 or more consecutive wins since 1996. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a home favorite are 27-8 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. NBA Underdogs (MEMPHIS) - off an upset win as an underdog, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 73-122 ATS L/24 seasons for a 63% go against conversion rate for bettors. San Antonio Spurs to cover |