Illinois-Chicago owns a top tier  defense rankings No.1  in adjusted defensive efficiency, effective field goal percentage, defensive rebounding, and 3P% allowed in  Horizon league play and are built for play off basketball. Tonight against a IUPUI  program that has lost eight of its last nine games including  four consecutive straight  losses they are a definite disadvantage.IL-CHICAGO is 20-9 ATS   when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Illinois Chicago to cover 

Both these teams are banged up with key regulars out of the lineup .

Boston : 

[PG] 03/02/2020 - Kemba Walker is upgraded to probable Tuesday vs Brooklyn ( Knee ) He is still going to see limited time , and will playing less than 100%. 

Brooklyn:

The Celtics are 1-12 OU as a home favorite with more than one day of rest facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with a combined average of 205.8 ppg scored. 

The Nets are 3-19-1 UNDER L/23 on the road with more than one day of rest off a loss as a dog facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with a combined average of 198.4 ppg going on the board. 

Play UNDER 

Michigan State is ramping into top form as tournament time arrives  as is evident by their current 3 game win streak, while Penn State is starting to show chinks in its arm-our after having lost 3 of their L/4 overall. Momentum really means alot which the Spartans have on their side, including a lot of motivation to get revenge for a loss they suffered to Penn State back on Feb 4th. Mich State has won 13 of their L/15 trips here and get my support as short road chalk. 

Mich State as on a line of 3 points or a pickem and off a game where they had 70% of their baskets assisted are 10-0 SU/ATS L/10 times. ( This was the case last time out vs Maryland in a DD 78-66 road win)

MICHIGAN ST is 12-3 ATS  versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.MICHIGAN ST is 15-4 ATS after 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better over the last 3 seasons.MICHIGAN ST is 8-1 ATS  after 2 straight games with 19 or more assists over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Michigan State to cover 

 Horizon Conference Tournament - First Round

These teams just played 4 days ago . In that tilt Milwaukee,  led with just 40 seconds remaining in the game and then got beat late. Its an emotional roller coaster, but now with redemtpion close at hand , you can bet Wis. Mil will come out here and play hard in what Im betting is another close affair , with the points proving golden. YOUNGSTOWN ST is 0-6 ATS  after a win by 6 points or less this season.

Play on Wis Milwaukee to cover

The Bulls enter this game agains the Mavericks recording a  2-7 ATS  mark in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Meanwhile, the Mavericks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite and  are 9-3-2 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a losing home record and from a matchup metrics perspective are the superior side. Mavericks are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Chicago and once again get my support here in the chalk role. 

Mavericks are 15-0-1 ATS /16-0 SU as a road favorite off a win facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5 with the average ppg diff clicking in at +14.4 ppg.The Mavericks are 15-0 ATS/SU as a road favorite with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite in which their opponent shot under 60% from the free throw line with the average pgg diff clicking in at +10.9 ppg.

NBA Teams like the Bulls are 1-22-1 ATS /`1-23 SU as a home dog with rest off a loss as a road dog when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent with the average ppg diff registering in at -15.6 ppg. The Bulls are 2-20 ATS /1-21 SU as a home dog with rest facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3 with the average ppg diff clicking in at -14.5 ppg. CHICAGO is 0-10 ATS  after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games this season.

Play on Dallas to cover 

Chicago has been picking up their pace here late in the season , with their biggest problem coming in being able to slow down opposing offences, allowing an average of 121.2 ppg. Considering Dallas can light up the board quickly, I expect the Mavs to hit the 117+ point output on their own and for the Bulls to have to open up to keep pace in what Im betting will be a  fairly high scoring affair. Note: DALLAS is 31-5 OVER when they score 112 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 235.4 ppg scored.

CHICAGO is 17-3 OVER  after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 227.1 ppg scored. The Bulls are 17-1-1 OVER L/19 as a dog with rest off a loss when they are off two losses as dogs with a combined average score of 231 ppg going on the board. NBA Teams like the Bulls are 13-0-1 OVER L/14 off a 10+ loss when they lost 3 straight vs current opponent with a combined average score of 237.4 ppg scored. 

NBA Teams are 16-1 OVER L/17 as a road favorite with no rest off a 10+ win as a road favorite in which they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers with a combined average of 233.1 ppg scored. Dallas   in 21 games on the  road  where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season has seen a combined average of 229 ppg go on the board. 

NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (DALLAS) - off an road win scoring 110 or more points, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 34-11 L/23 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play OVER 

 Atlanta ranks 29th in ppg allowed and 4th in pace and have averaged 122.2 ppg in offence in their L/16 trips to the hardwood with 12 of those games going over the total.Meanwhile Memphis ranks 7th in pace and 23rd in ppg per allowed and are allowing a whopping 116.6 ppg on the road this season.  Based on my composite projections Im betting on the home side Atlanta , eclipsing the 122+ range with Memphis following suit in what is expected to be a high scoring affair by both me and the linesmakers.

The Hawks are 11-0 OVER L/11 off a win in a home game facing an opponent averaging more than 5 blocks per game with a combined average of 249.2 ppg scored. ATLANTA is 8-1 OVER  when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 254.9 ppg scored.

ATLANTA is 15-1 OVER  when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average with a combined average of 244.2 ppg scored.

Play OVER 

Thanks to the Bucks domination of the NBA this season their lines are slightly bloated and as a result they are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600 like the Heat. Back in October the Heat who are 25-4 SU at home this season walked into Milwaukee and handed the Bucks a 131-126 loss, showing me they matchup well vs the Bucks. Now even though mighty Milwaukee wants revenge Im betting if they get it , it does not come easily, making getting points here golden in my humble opinion. 

The Bucks are 0-13 ATS /SU off a win when the line is at least 12 points higher than their last game.The Bucks are 0-11 ATS SU on the road off a win when the line is at least 12 points higher than their last game.

 NBA

Teams like the Heat are 10-0-1 ATS /11-0 SU as a favorite with rest off a home game in which they had at least 5 turnovers less than their season-to-date average.

Play on Miami to cover 

Eastern Shore (5-24, 4-10 MEAC) will be playing Howard for the second time this season on Monday. The Hawks came out victorious on Jan. 4 inside the Hytche Center by a score of 78-66 and have proven to me that matchup well vs Howard . I know the bison have dropped their last three games to North Carolina Central, North Carolina A&T and Delaware State, but this team played those three games without the services of much of their rotation due to illness. Maryland Eastern Shore is back to full strength now as the calendar has turned to March and have an advantage vs a side that is just 2-27 this season, and dont have a win , in conference play this season despite of having the leagues all time  leading scorer in the lineup Charles Williams. He currently a one man band, and just not able to get things done all by himself, behind a poorly recruited group with very little chemistry. 

Play on Maryland Eastern Shore to cover 

Orlando enters this game on tired legs as this will be their 3rd game in 4 nights. ORLANDO is 11-2 UNDER  in home games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 203.8 ppg scored. The Magic enter this game vs the Lilliardless Blazers off a 114-113 loss at San Antonio on Saturday night in a game they worked very hard in to try to pull off the upset. ORLANDO is 7-0 UNDER in home games off a road loss this season with the combined score clicking in at 193.5 ppg. The Magic are also 0-18 UNDER L/18   at home off a loss when they lost 3 straight vs current opponent with the average combined score registering at 200.3 ppg. Meanwhile, NBA Teams like the Blazers are 1-15  UNDER L/16 as a road dog with rest off a 10+ loss in which they scored more than 50 points in the paint. Last time out the Blazers D, was smashed as they allowed 129 points in a loss and that in the past has resulted in a toned done more defensive mindset in their followup as is evident by  going Under is 7-3 UNDER in their  last 10 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.

ORLANDO is 17-5 UNDER  in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts over the last 2 seasons with the combined average score of 204.8 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PORTLAND) - good 3 point shooting team - making 36% or better  of their attempts, in March games are 140-89 UNDER  L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

Duke (23-6, 13-5 Atlantic Coast Conference) has lost two games in a row and in the process went from a would-be No. 1 seed for the ACC Tournament to holding the fourth-seeded spot entering the final week of the regular season. Now needless to say the Blue Devils need an impressive win here to get back some lost momentum and Im betting  they come out here like their hair is on fire and and play a complete game  for a  win and cover vs a feisty but not ready for prime time North Carolina State program. Yes, I know NC State upset the Blue Devils a couple of weeks ago, but thats going to make them work even harder here tonight in revenge mode. 

Duke Blue Devils when they off a game in which they had a low BAP of 40.7 or less are 13-0 SU/ATS in their followup with the average margin of victory coming by a whopping 24.5 ppg.

Play on Duke to cover

My College basketball totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

Play OVER

The Warriors beat the Wizards 125-117 in Washington on Feb. 3, and Im expecting a similar output here today back in Oakland for the rematch. Golden State played last night in. an upset win vs the suns  so they will be on tired legs and their defensive capabilities may suffer which gives credence to my projections of a big time run and and gun Washington Wizards offensive output, which will result in the Warriors having to open up themselves with some offensive fireworks or be blown of the court. The Warriors are 13-0 OVER  l/13 with no rest off a win facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with a combined average of 247.6 ppg scored. The Warriors are 11-0 OVER with no rest off a win with a combined average of 247.5 ppg. 

The Wizards own the worst ppg D, in the league, 6th fastest pace and 6th best ppg offfence in the league and have allowed more than 123 ppg on the road this season. 

The Wizards are 10-0 OVER L/10 on the road off a loss in a road game with a combined average of 152.9 ppg scored.

NBA Teams like the Wizards are 31-5-3 OVER L/39 as a favorite with less than two days rest after they had more than 8 times as` many field goal attempts as turnovers.

Play OVER 

The Lakers have won all three meetings as the teams prepare to finish the season series Sunday night in New Orleans , but today Im betting the Pelicans get some revenge and give the Lakers something to think about. The Lakers' NBA-record streak of 18 consecutive road victories against Western Conference opponents ended last time out, vs Memphis and their vulnerable once again here in this Bayou visit. NBA Teams like Lakers are 0-14-1 ATS/0-15 SU L/15 on the road off a 10+ loss in a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game. The Lakers are 0-9 ATS/SU L/9 on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with no rest off a game as a favorite in which they had an assist percentage at least 10 better than their season-to-date average.

Play on New Orleans to cover 

Minnesota looked good against Maryland last time out and had a 47-31 edge going into halftime, and despite of falling apart late showed me they can hang here as well. 

MINNESOTA is 8-1 ATS  versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season.

WISCONSIN is 3-13 ATS  after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 2 seasons.

Minnesota to cover 

No. 21 Colorado visits Stanford in a key Pac-12 game.

Stanford has  held 12 of its 13 non-conference opponents below 70 points and has limited its Pac-12 foes to an average of 64.1 points per game, which leads the league. The  Cardinal own the  best overall scoring defense in the Pac-12 (61.6), and the 11th-best nationally and this will be key in what Im projecting as a home victory here vs a Colorado team not scoring with the same consistency they did earlier this season. 

COLORADO is 6-16 ATS  as a road underdog or pick over the last 3 seasons.

STANFORD is 23-9 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.STANFORD is 14-4 ATS  in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 3 seasons.

Haase is 16-5 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 in all games he has coached since 1997.

Play on Stanford to cover 

No. 19 Michigan and No. 23 Ohio State each are looking to climb the Big Ten standings and improve their seeding, not only for the conference tournament but also the NCAA Tournament thus Im betting this will be a hard fought affair with the points proving golden.

MICHIGAN is 13-4 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.

Ohio State in March games are just 2-18 ATS off a win and 0-10 ATS off a road game and 1-19 ATS off being favored in previous game.

Michigan to cover 

The Clippers crushed the Denver Nuggets 132-103 in a matchup of Western Conference contenders last time out, and now in their current form Im betting they will once again explode offensively  vs a Philadelphia team playing without  Joel Embiid and Ben Simmons.  I expect the Clippers to take this chance to really bring the heat here today vs a shorthanded Eastern Conference contender, that beat them 110-103 in Philly back on Feb 11. The Clippers   according the my projections will put up in the 117+ point range offensively while the Sixers put +105 ppg on the scoreboard. 

The Clippers are 11-0 OVER L/12 at home with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent with a combined average of 237.3 ppg. 

NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (LA CLIPPERS) - after 3 or more consecutive wins, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 43-18 L/23 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play OVER 

The Red Storm, who split their home games between their Queens campus and Madison Square Garden, sport a 9-2 record at Carnesecca Arena, with both losses coming by two points. They have a decided advantage there, outscoring opponents 80.9-65.

ST JOHNS is 11-3 ATS  in home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.

Play on St.Johns to cover

Gonzaga has owned St.Marys going 16-3 L/19 meetings and just clobbered them by a 90-60 count a short road favs in in their first meeting last time out. Even if the Gaels find a way to be more competitive, in the end Im betting on Dogs to easily cover the number here on their own home floor on Senior Night. 

Gonzaga at home off a home game in which they outshot their opponent by double-digits ( Beat San Diego last time out 94-59 ) are 12-0 SU/ATS with the average margin of victory coming by 37 ppg. Every game beating this side number easily.

Play on Gonzaga to cover 

The Suns are off a 113-111 loss last night to the Detroit Pistons and are now playing on tired legs as they play back to back games and vulnerable to having a inconsistent game which is not unfamiliar territory for them. With Golden States Andrew Wiggins being upgraded to probable Saturday vs Phoenix ( Back ) Im betting the Warriors will be competitive and get us the cover. 

The Warriors are 11-0 ATS L/11 on the road with less than two days rest off a 10+ loss facing an opponent averaging less than 4 blocks per game.

The Suns are 0-14 ATS /2-12 SU as a home favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 24 assists per game , with the 2 wins coming by 1 point and 6 points. 

Home favorites (PHOENIX) - after allowing 110 points or more against opponent after 2 straight blowout losses by 15 points or more are 6-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Teams like the Warriors are 15-0-1 ATS /13-3 SU on the road with rest off a 10+ loss in which they had 5 or fewer offensive boards.

NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (PHOENIX) - after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points, playing on back-to-back days are 9-34 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Golden State to cover 

The Magic took the first meeting of the year from San Antonio, 111-109, on Nov. 15 in Orlando and now have revenge on board. . The Spurs have won 15 of the last 20 meetings overall between the teams and eight of the last 10 at home and SAN ANTONIO is 31-9 ATS  revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points over the last 2 seasons.

The Spurs are 10-0 ATS /SU L/10 as a favorite with more than one day of rest off a loss after out scoring their opponent in the paint by double digits. 

 ORLANDO is 0-9 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots - 2nd half of the season this season.

Play on San Antonio to cover 

Alabama has owned this series at home winning 10 of the L/11 meetings here and according to my projections should be closer to 7 point chalk here giving us line value with the home side. 

ALABAMA is 14-5 ATS  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season. 

CBB underdog (S CAROLINA) - average defensive team (67-74 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (78 or more  PPG) after 15+ games, after a win by 6 points or less are 315-37  ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Alabama to cover 

The Los Angeles Lakers may not know if LeBron James is available to play Saturday until close to tip-off , but if he does play he will be less than 100% as its never easy playing with a sore groin which makes the Lakers less formidable than usual. Add to that Danny Green is out, and we have a situation where the slumping and desperate  Grizzlies look to be competitive. 

The Grizzlies are 11-0 ATS L/11 at home with no rest off a loss facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws. 

Lakers Vogel is 9-23 ATS  in road games off a win against a division rival in all games he has coached in his career. 

Play on the Memphis Grizzlies

San Diego State has looked exhausted their last few times on the court after playing tenacious hoops for most of the season as they built on at one point was a perfect season. But their lack of depth and bench talent is now becoming evident. Now against a Nevada side with a under the radar 6 game win streak entering this game, a top teir perimeter D, and a front line  player in un heralded  Jalen Harris  we have a possible upset brewing. 

Nevada has won 20 straight conference games over the past three seasons  in Reno and even against the mighty Aztecs must be respected getting points in the home underdog role. 

Nevada to cover 

BYU upset Gonzaga last week and  will now be in a  letdown spot . With their NCAA tournament  ticket  in hand already Im betting we wont see them at their best, while Pepperdine will be primed to pull off an upset of their own on their own home floor vs a ranked team on seniors Day. 

Play on Pepperdine to cover 

The Samford Bulldogs beat VMI last month as two-point underdogs and have won each of the last 10 meetings overall in this series. This is a great opportunity for Samford to end a precarious 10 game overall losing streak to a hoops program they matchup well against. Earl is 18-31 ATS  in road games against conference opponents as the coach of VMI.

Play on Samford to cover 

The N.Illinois  Huskies trailed the E.Michigan Eagles by as much as 17 points last time out  before rallying back to earn the two-point victory as senior Eugene German hit a three-pointer with 8.9 seconds left, giving the Huskies their first lead of the contest and the subsequent win and will now be in a letdown state and susceptible to being upset in a place they have not won in since 2006 , (13 straight times). 

Play on Western Michigan to cover 

The last time these teams played it was obvious at least from my perspective that Bruce Pearls group was more tenacious than Kentucky and actually looked like grown men as compared to how fragile and young  Kentucky looked  and the final score told the story. Hey I know Kentucky has an array of extremely talented individuals on their team, but their is something missing and thats grit and self determination. With that said, Im betting on the more physical side, finding a way to cover vs a team that might be looking for revenge but in some ways unable to deliver it conclusively, especially if this tilt becomes physical which should be the case.Pearl is 18-5 ATS  as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points in all games he has coached.

Play on Auburn to cover 

In MAC games only, this is a meeting of two of the three highest scoring teams. Buffalo is first in league play at 76.67 points per game, while Akron is third at 74.53 points per MAC contest. Both can put points on the board, but the difference maker will come behind Buffalos tenacious rebound which ranks as  one of  the nation's leading rebounding teams averaging  42.50 and second in the country in offensive boards at 14.86 .BUFFALO is 22-11 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or better  of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.

AKRON is 1-10 ATS  after playing a game as a road favorite over the last 2 season.

BUFFALO is 6-0 straight up against AKRON over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Buffalo to cover 

The past week was not good for Tennessee basketball. A tough loss to Auburn then a blowout loss to Arkansas has basically erased any hope for an at-large bid in the NCAA tournament. But if anyone thinks this Rick Barnes team is just going to lay down here for incoming Florida Im betting their wrong. 

FLORIDA is 0-6 ATS in road games on Saturday games this season.

TENNESSEE is 30-11 ATS  as a home underdog of 6 points or less or pick since 1997.

TENNESSEE is 3-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Tennessee to cover 

The Clemson Tigers will look even its league record in the ACC and win its fourth game in the last five contests and if they lose here vs Florida State Im betting it wont come without a dog fight and a cover for the home side.The Seminoles have   already have locked up a double-bye in the upcoming ACC Tournament so they could easily be going through the motions here and more interested in staying healthy and rested.CLEMSON is 17-7 ATS  versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Clemson to cover 

Kansas (25-3, 14-1 Big 12) defeated K-State 81-60 Jan. 21 in Lawrence in a game that is remembered almost exclusively for what happened at the conclusion of the game. With Kansas running out the clock, K-State's DaJuan Gordon stole the ball at half court from Silvio De Sousa and drove for a layup attempt. De Sousa took exception and emphatically swatted away Gordon's attempt and now we have a pissed of group of Wildcats ready to play a physical game here today. With that said, Ill take the points.

Play on KState to cover

The Kennesaw State men's basketball team closes out the 2019-20 season at home Saturday, hosting NJIT at 1 p.m. for Senior day in the Convocation Center.The Owls are one of the top teams in the conference from the free throw line, ranked third with a 69.8 shooting percentage which is important when looking for a cover from a big home dog. 

Play on Kennesaw State to cover 

Penn State earned an 89-86 win over Iowa on Jan. 4 at the Palestra an d Im betting on another very close game today with Penn State getting the cover.PENN ST is 9-1 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.

Penn State to cover ( LATE STEAM)

 The Washington State  Cougars have struggled offensively of late  averaging just 55 points in the past three games without starting point guard and second-leading scorer Isaac Bonton. He is questionable tonight, but if he does play he will be less than 100%. I know Washington has had a disappointing season despite of their talent levels, but tonight this is a huge chance for redemption against  their instate rivals and Im betting the Huskies will be primed to play with momentum off a 87-52 win vs California last time out. 

Washington St Cougars when they are off a double-digit loss in which they scored a significant fraction of their points from the beyond the arc (33.3%) are 0-20 ATS in their followup game. ( Lost to Stanford 75-57 last time out). WASHINGTON ST is 0-6 ATS  in road games off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 21.4 ppg. 

Play on Washington to cover

The public loves to bet Zion and company overs, and the lines-makers are offering them an option to do what they love to do and that is  bet the over at what I feel is a slightly bloated number ( 1 possession -3). This reminds me of a saying from the Late Jimmy the Greek, The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself. 

Which leads me into my contrarian wager here as a I recommend we take the under. It must be noted that the Cavaliers are off a huge win at home last time out as underdogs vs the Sixers and will now Im betting be in a letdown situation.  Which brings into play this trend that shows CLEVELAND is 13-3 UNDER off an upset win as a home underdog over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 215.5 ppg going on the scoreboard.

 Teams like the Cavaliers  are 1-18 UNDER L/19 on the road off a 10+ win as a dog in which they had at least 10 more turnovers than their opponent with the average combined score of 183.2 ppg scored.The Cavaliers are also  0-15 UNDER L/15 as a dog off a win as a home dog in which they had 6+ double digit scorers with the average combined score of those tilts ringing  at 201.3 ppg. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (CLEVELAND) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog are 33-12 UNDER UNDER L/23 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

The slumping Miami Heat have lost two straight games to two of the NBA's five-worst teams -- the Cleveland Cavaliers on Monday and the Minnesota Timberwolves on Wednesday, but here I am ready to back them  tonight at home on a short line. Why you might ask? Well this Heat team is well coached side that has played their bests hoops at home this season as is evident by a 23-4 record as hosts. Also buying low on this type of team  because of recency biases makes for what I consider a viable  betting opportunity.

The Heat are 18-3 ATS /SU with rest off a loss in which they had at least 25% of their points from free throws.

MIAMI is 15-7 ATS  as a home favorite this season and  is 14-3 ATS against Southwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.MIAMI is 15-2 ATS  in home games after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

Miami is 15-2 L/17 vs Dallas and have won 5 straight overall meetings. 

Play on Miami to cover 

The Minnesota Timberwolves ended a 5 game losing streak with a huge upset win vs the Miami Heat on the road last time out, but now Im betting they will experience regression to the. mean and  a letdown vs a Orlando side that has won 4 of their L/5 and up trending in my power rankings. Note: NBA Road underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - in non-conference games, off a huge upset win as an underdog of 10 points or more are 3-38 SU L/23 years in their followup game with the average ppg diff clicking in at -11.1 ppg which qualifies under a ATS parameter like we have here in Orlando tonight. ORLANDO is 23-11 ATS   versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.4 ppg. 

The Timberwolves are 0-15 ATS /SU L/15 on the road with less than two days rest off a road game facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls-against per game with the average ppg diff clicking in at -8.4 ppg. 

The Magic are 13-0 ATS/SU as a favorite with less than two days rest off a road game when the total is at least 15 points more than their season-to-date average with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.5 ppg with 11 of the 13 games by more than 8 ppg. 

Play on the Orlando Magic to cover 

 The Marist  Red Foxes despite of a sub par record have been competitive this season as is evident by  having lost four games by five points or less and another two tilts in overtime.  Marist is a defence first team, and embrace a slow grinding style of play, which is opposite to Siena hoops, and their inconsistent and mostly negative defensive performances, that has them ranked 255th ranked adjusted defensive efficiency. I know Marist has the better overall record, but are just 3-10 SU on the raod this season and getting just a little to much respect her, which gives us value on the home dog line. SIENA is 2-9 ATS  as a road favorite of 6 points or less or pick over the last 2 seasons.

Marist to cover 

Harvard is the better overall team in this matchup with last place  Columbia, but in the past this Columbia program has done well in this series going  13-3-1 ATS the last 17 meetings, 6-1-1 ATS the last seven at home. I know Harvard has a great reputation, but they have not been as dominant as the linesmakers have expected recently, as is evident by their  3-11 ATS   as a road favorite or pick over the last 2 seasons. HARVARD is  also 2-8 ATS against conference opponents this season overall, and is 0-6 ATS off a win against a conference rival this season which happened against Penn in revenge mode, which could easily see them experience an emotional crash and subsequent muted effort. 

Harvard key starter and senior guard for the Crimson is still sidelined with a foot injury . 

HARVARD is 0-9 ATS  when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at 0.3 ppg. 

Play on Columbia to cover 

Davidson has enough offense and top tier rebounding behind a tenacious mindset  to hang tough with one of the most explosive mid major team in the nation Dayton.The last time the two teams met on Feb. 19, 2019, the Wildcats trailed 63-44 with 9:38 to play. Davidson stormed back with a 27-8 streak capped by a Grady steal and two-handed jam to tie the score 71-71 with 1:11 remaining .Dayton squeaked by with a 74-73 win.Doing so they proved they can match up with the flyers , and are capable of pulling off a SU upset. Remember Davidson has 5 starters back from last season team and Dayton 3 so, the teams are very close to the the same . 

The Flyers, are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games.

CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (DAVIDSON) - off a blowout win by 20 points or more over a conference rival against opponent off 2 straight wins against conference rivals are 63-33 ATS L/23 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Davidson to cover 

The Norse are 21-8 overall and 11-3 at home, while Wright State is 24-6 overall and 8-3 on the road. Northern Kentucky enters  this allowing  their opposition  to just 65.3 points per game, which ranks 67th in the nation. The Norse have held each of their last two opponents under 60 points and Im betting they will once again be hard to score here at home where they are are 5-1 in their last six home tilts. Thje Norse were clobbered by Wright State  95-63 earlier this season and now with big time revenge on board Im laying the lumber here with the hosts. 

N KENTUCKY is 6-0 ATS  revenging a loss vs opponent this season.

N.Kentucky to cover 

Oregon can really smack an opponent down with a their downtown shooting    converting at red hot  38% rate which ranks 14th in the nation.  At home they explode with the trey knocking down  41% from  of their beyond the arcs attempts . Meanwhile their instate rivals here in this Civil War battle , Oregon State,  are giving  up a  34.2%  3 point defensive conversion rate , which ranks ninth in the Pac-12. This Im betting is the key component in what Im betting will be a one sided beat down for the Ducks at home. where they are a perfect 14-0 SU this season. 

OREGON is 6-0 ATS in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by just under 20 ppg. 

Play on Oregon to cover 

My College basketball totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

Play UNDER

 EIU squeezed past SE Missouri on Jan. 25, winning 61-59 in a game that was not decided until Alex Caldwell’s 3-pointer hit the rim at the buzzer. that game could have gone either way and was a wake call for Eastern Illinois,  and has been a frequent topic in practices and film sessions. So you can bet the superior visiting side here will be wide awake tonight and taking nothing for granted. 

CBB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SE MISSOURI ST) - cold team - having lost 15 or more of their last 20 games, a bad team, winning 20% to 40% of their games on the season are 84-130 ATS L/5 seasons for go against 61% conversion rate for bettors.

E.Illinois to cover 

Sacramentos last two road games both wins have featured top tier defensive efforts, holding the Clippers to just 103 points and the Warriors to 94 points. Their successes will have them continue to concentrate on playing top tier D, and this Im betting contributes to a lower scoring affair that fails to eclipse this slightly bloated number.

OKLAHOMA CITY in 20 games when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season have seen a combined average of 215.9 ppg scored. OKLAHOMA CITY is 14-3 UNDER  when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season. 

The Thunder are 0-10 UNDER L/10 with less than two days rest off a win as a road favorite in which they had at least a 10 percent higher BAP than their opponent with a combined average of 195.5 ppg scored. 

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (>=82 shots/game) after 42+ games, after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better are 37-14 UNDER L/5 seasons with a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER 

My College basketball totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

Play UNDER

The Marshall Thundering Herd is 4-8 SU in road games this season, including a 61-50 loss to UAB on Jan. 11 and Im betting they are at a disadvantage again tonight. 

MARSHALL is 4-13 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.

Play on UAB to cover

Going from sea level in Portland and than traveling to the high altitudes of Utah, in the 2nd part of a back and back road games, makes for a situation where I expect the Celtics to be a little slower than usual and for a Jazz team in desperate need of shoring up a bleeding defence to  make a concerted effort  at turning this into a  physical affair that I project to stay on the low side of the total. BOSTON is 15-5 UNDER in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 212.3 ppg scored. UTAH is 21-6 UNDER  off a double digit loss as a home favorite of 6 or more with a combined average of 195.1 ppg going on the board. ( Phoenix lit up the Jazz at home 131-111) 

The Jazz are 0-14-2 UNDER l/16 as a home favorite with rest off a loss after a game in which their opponents points per field goal attempt was better than 1.5 with a combined average 188.4 ppg scored.

The Celtics are 0-10 UNDER L/10 as a dog after they had assists on less than 45 percent of their field goals with a combined average of 183.1 ppg going on the board.  

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (BOSTON) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record ARE 55-19 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

Minnesota Im betting will use Ohio State blueprint for beating the Terrapins. Last time out the Terps were shut down by Buckeyes, and I expect the Gophers to get it done as well on their own home floor  where they are 10-5 this season.

Golden Gophers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games as a favorite.

Golden Gophers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as a home favorite.

Terrapins are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.

MINNESOTA is 8-2 ATS in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season.

Play on Minnesota to cover 

 Indiana State is a different team on the road then they are at home as is evident by recording a  2-12 SU and 3-11 ATS record dating back to last season, including 1-6 ATS during this campaign. Considering  Indiana State struggles in this series vs Southern Illinois , going   3-13 SU and 1-7 ATS away it wont be a hard decision to take a  SIU side that despite of  having clinched a first-round bye in the MVC Tournament but with a a win over Indiana State, SIU would clinch a top-four seed. Note: SIU has held 11 opponents under 40% shooting this season. Key to victory: SIU's overall defensive efficiency ranks 81st nationally, which is second-best in the MVC to Loyola. In MVC games, SIU's defensive efficiency leads the league. 

SIU ranks 9th nationally (of 353) in scoring defense, allowing just 60.9 points per game. SIU also ranks top-55 nationally in fewest fouls per game (10th) and 3-point field goal percentage defense (51st) and are 12-2 at home this season. 

Play on Southern Illinois to cover 

Minnesota has a one way modus operandi and that is full throttle take no prisoners basketball that pays very little attention to defence ranking 7th in pace in the league and 27th in pgg allowed and a respectable 13th in offensive ppg output . Meanwhile, Miami plays a different style of hoops, and a slower pace, but will have to adjust a bit to the Wolves speedy style as has been the case over the last 5 games, as the Heat have combined with their opponents to average 231.4 ppg and have gone over in 4 straight tilts. The Heat overall have averaged 116.9 ppg at home this season, and Im betting on that number being eclipsed here and for the Wolves to chase and get themselves into the +110 range offensively, which will result in a over. 

The Timberwolves are 15-0 OVER L/`15 as a dog off a loss as a dog in which they had assists on less than 45 percent of their field goals with the 3 most recent games in this subset dating back to last season seeing 243,240, and 256 combined ppg going on the board. 

NBA team (MINNESOTA) - after going over the total by more than 12 points in three consecutive games against opponent after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 135-63 OVER L/23 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Teams like the Wolves are 23-4 OVER L/27 as a 8+ dog facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with a combined average of 237.6 ppg scored.

NBA Teams like the Heat are 22-1 OVER L/23 as a favorite with rest off a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 7 refereed turnovers per game with a combined average of 238.5 ppg scored.

NBA

The Heat are 11-0 OVER L/11 as a home 8+ favorite with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with a combined average score of 231.3 ppg going on the board.

Play OVER  

Wofford is on a five-game losing streak , and despite of being home court underdogs here vs a top tier opponent (E.Tenn State) they are always dangerous as hosts and must not be underestimated getting points in front of their own alumni. It must be noted that Wofford when coming off a road loss and coming home are 23-1 SU L/24 opportunities and have cashed 16 straight times. 

WOFFORD is 7-0 ATS  versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

Wofford is 5-1 ATS L/6 in this series.

CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (WOFFORD) - off a close loss by 3 points or less to a conference rival against opponent off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite are 53-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Wofford to cover 

My College basketball totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

Play UNDER

 Penn State's offense was the main problem in Sunday's 68-60 defeat at Indiana and tonight against a Rutgers team that predicates it successes and failures with their defense first mind set , Im betting the Nitanny Lions have problems putting points  on the board again, exposing their biggest weakness. Note: Rutgers allows just 62.2 ppg . 

RUTGERS is 13-6 ATS  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season. 

Play on Rutgers to cover 

Villanova Im betting takes their  fifth consecutive victory when it hosts St. John's on Wednesday.The No. 12-ranked Wildcats improved to 21-6 overall, and 10-4 in the Big East, following an impressive 64-55 win at Xavier on Saturday and look like viable favs here again vs a side that owns a ugly 3-11 Big East record and off a  81-65 beatdown  to host Seton Hall on Sunday.VILLANOVA is 16-4 ATS   off a road win over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 15 ppg. 

Play on Villanova to cover 

According to my projections there is value backing  Zion and  company when he is in the lineup for New Orleans  as they are posting a +23.2 Net Rating which matches up well vs the Lakers unit. After the Lakers hard back and forth affair against Boston last time out that saw them win 114-112 im betting their are in letdown situation. 

The Pelicans are 21-3 ATS L/24 off a game as a favorite in which they had less than 15% of their points from free throws.The Pelicans are 10-0 ATS L/10 as a 8+ dog facing an opponent averaging more than 62 ppg from 2-point range. 

The Lakers are 1-16 ATS L/17 at home after playing as a home favorite facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5. The Lakers are 2-17-1 ATS L/19 at home after a game as a home favorite in which they scored more than 50 points in the paintThe Lakers are 4-21 ATS L/15 at home off a win when they won 4 straight vs current opponent

The Lakers are 0-9 ATS L/9 as a home favorite off a home game facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end.

Play on the Pelicans to cover 

Mississippi State has played their best hoops at home this season where they own a 12-2 SU record and now with revenge on board for a DD beatdown as away dogs earlier this season will primed to get some redemption here tonight. Home court advantage and motivation in revenge mode will be the catalysts here tonight vs a Alabama side in a letdown spot  coming off a big 103-78 win vs Ole Miss last time out on the road. Note: Alabama has not won back to back games since late January and Im betting on regression here after their big output last time out. With four games left in the regular season, Mississippi State probably has to win out and go 4-0 in order to feel confident about their NCAA Tournament future. Needless to say they will be leaving everything on the floor here tonight. 

MISSISSIPPI ST is 12-5 ATS  versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or better this season.MISSISSIPPI ST is 14-6 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season.

MISSISSIPPI ST is 11-1 ATS L/12 in home games after a game where they made 88% of their free throws or better which happened last time out vs Texas A&M 

CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MISSISSIPPI ST) - after being beaten by the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games are 28-4 ATS L/23 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors.

Mississippi State to cover 

Memphis is coming  off a huge one-point home victory over a banged up Houston team last time out, and now going on the road in an emotional letdown situation I expect this inexperienced squad to suffer a loss .

SMU is 10-1 L/11 at home SU in this series. 

CBB underdog (MEMPHIS) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 5 points or less against opponent off a road loss by 20 points or more are 6-26 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on SMU to cover 

Oklahoma City has played their best hoops on the road this season and are currently on a 8 game road win streak, and tonight against  Bulls team that just snapped a 8 game losing streak, Im betting they once again have an advantage.

The Bulls are 0-11 ATS /SU L/11 at home off a win in a home game and  are 0-12 ATS/SU at home off a win in a home game facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc with the average ppg diff clicking in at -17.9 ppg. The Bulls are 0-11 ATS /SU L/11 at home with rest off a home game facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5 with the average ppg diff registering at -13.9 ppg. 

The Thunder are 16-0-1 ATS /15-2 SU on the road with less than two days rest.

The Thunder are 16-0 ATS /14-2 SU on the road with less than two days rest facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end.

The Thunder are 16-1-1 ATS /15-3 SU on the road.

Play on Oklahoma City to cover 

DePaul is off a big win vs Georgetown last time out that halted a ugly losing streak. This Demon Deacons team is talented and much better than their  conference record indicates. The Blue Demons are 72nd in the NCAA NET rankings and have victories  vs Butler, Texas Tech, Iowa, Georgetown and Minnesota. DePaul's capable of putting together 40 minutes of winning basketball behind a big, athletic starting lineup and must not underestimated vs what my own rankings suggest is a over rated Xavier side. I know Xavier clobbered the Deacons when they met earlier this season, but it must be noted that the visiting team has won the last three meetings in the series. XAVIER is 3-10 ATS  in home lined games this season.XAVIER is 2-8 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Play on DePaul to cover 

This past weekend Kent State played a back and forth Double OT affair vs Buffalo and lost 104-98 and  now Im betting they will be in an emotional letdown situation vs a Miami team that matches up well against them as was evident earlier this season when. , Miami O took a 77-74 tilt on their own home court. Also key Flashes forward Pippen is not 100% with back issues.Advantage Miami 0. 

 MIAMI OHIO is 6-0 ATS in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.

KENT ST is 0-6 ATS  versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season this season.Senderoff is 0-7 ATS  in home games after playing a game where both teams score 80 points or more as the coach of KENT ST.

Play on Miami 0 to cover 

No. 8-ranked Kentucky hits the hardwood Tuesday night to tangle with the suddenly surging Texas A&M Aggies at Reed Arena and my projections make the young Blue Devils and over rated commodity in this spot laying points. Calaparis troops have struggled at times thanks to  injuries to Nick Richards (ankle), EJ Montgomery (ankle), Johnny Juzang (illness), Nate Sestina (fractured wrist) and Ashton Hagans (thigh contusion) as well as the departure of heralded freshman Kahlil Whitney. They do however remain at the top of the standings thanks to their coaches prowess and their deep bench, but will face a fast improving Buzz Williams coached team that must not be underestimated. 

TEXAS A&M is 8-1 ATS versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.

KENTUCKY is 2-8 ATS  after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.

CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (KENTUCKY) - off a home win against a conference rival, a top-level team ( 80% or better) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are just 30-66 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Take the points with Texas A&M 

My College basketball totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

 Play OVER 

The Flyers 25-2 (14-0) are getting a little much respect from linesmakers in this spot. Hey their looking like a viable NCAA tournament team, but this line is bloated thanks to their success, so in. my usual contrarian fashion I will take the points here on a value line. George Mason upset the Flyers 67-63 earlier this season, but just because the road team wants revenge it doesn't mean they will get it and or cover the number. 

CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (GEORGE MASON) - after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games are 59-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on George Mason to cover 

Kawhi Leonard said the Los Angeles Clippers weren't ready to play Saturday before losing at home to the Sacramento Kings. He doesn't expect that to be the case Monday when the Clippers host the Memphis Grizzlies. With the Grizzlies expected to be  without power forward Jaren Jackson Jr., who sustained a sprained left knee late in the second quarter against the Lakers last time out, Im  betting the Grizzlies wont have enough offensive to hand with a talented hungry redemption minded team with revenge on board for loss to Memphis earlier this season . LA CLIPPERS are 8-1 ATS  in home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at 14.3 ppg. 

Play on LA Clippers to cover 

The Suns are off a hard fought win vs the Bulls in Chicago last time out and now go against a hungry Utah Jazz team that has lost two straight including one as home fav vs the Rockets by a 120-110 count . It must be noted that the Suns have not won back to back games since back in mid January, and Im betting they lose again tonight and more importantly fail to cover vs a very motivated opponent. ( Utah has won 10 straight at home in this series with the 4 most  recent battles dating back to 2018 have all seen DD victories with the last 3 coming by 33, 28, 28 points respectively. Rinse and repeat tonight. 

The Jazz are 12-0 ATS /SU L/12 with rest off a 10+ loss as a home favorite facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end winning by an average of 15 ppg.

NBA Teams like the Jazz are 18-1 ATS /SU L/19 as a favorite with rest off a 10+ loss in which they had fewer than 15 foul with the average ppg diff clicking in at +18 ppg. 

The Jazz are 10-0 ATS /SU L/10 as a favorite with rest off a 10+ loss in a home game facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5 with the average ppg diff registering at +13.1 ppg. 

The Suns are 0-11 ATS /SU off a game as a favorite facing an opponent averaging less than 10 offensive rebounds with the average ppg diff clicking in at -15.3 ppg. 

Play on Utah to cover 

Kansas is off a huge road win vs Baylor last time out in a hard fought affair that will have them in an emotional letdown situation vs a side that Im sure their over looking. This will give us an edge taking points, with Oklahoma State. 

CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (OKLAHOMA ST) - after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games are 56-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Oklahoma State to cover 

My College basketball totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

Florida A&M has proven they love home cooking as is evident-by their  7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS conference record at home this season and tonight on a short line Im betting they get the job done again. 

Road underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (S CAROLINA ST) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (45-47.5%), after a game where a team made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse are 6-68 SU dating back 23 seasons  losing by an average DD count which qualifies under a ATS metric wager. 

Play. on Florida A&M to cover 

My College basketball totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

 Play OVER 

The Brooklyn Nets and Orlando Magic are trending in opposite directions of late.Brooklyn  has won 8 of their L/12 since losing five in a row to top tier  teams from Jan. 14-23.The Nets have six victories vs below.500 teams during the 12 game subset  with  seven wins coming by double digits margins while  allowing just  105.4 points. From a SRS standpoint: Orlando owns a -1.37 SRS ranking 19th in the league while Brooklyns number clicks in at -0.58 ranking 15th in the league. With an obligatory home court advantage thrown in im estimating this number should be closer to -4, thus giving us value with the Nets. Note:Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average.

Brooklyn lost the first meeting in this series this season back in January on the road and should be motivated to get redemption tonight. 

The Magic are 2-18 ATS /3-17 SU on the road with more than one day of rest off a home game facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with 10 straight losses all coming by more than this number.The Magic are 1-13-1 ATS /1-14 SU as a dog with rest off a loss facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc with every loss in the subset coming by at least 5 ppg or more. ORLANDO is 0-8 ATS  after 2 straight games where they attempted 90 or more shots this season.

NBA Teams  like the Nets are 16-0 ATS /SU L/16 at home with rest off a win in a road game facing an opponent averaging less than 12 turnovers per game. 

The Nets are 10-2 in the past 12 home meetings with Orlando. BROOKLYN is 31-16 ATS  against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons

NBA Road teams (ORLANDO) - after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread, in a game involving two marginal losing teams (40 to 49%) are 8-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a for 80% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Brooklyn to cover 

 Norfolks offense has shown itself to be of the top tier variety in  MEAC play , The Spartans rank first in adjusted offensive efficiency and 3P%. and third  in offensive rebounding and second in team free throw percentage conversion rate. Meanwhile,Bethune Cookman is a team that is an inconsistent offensive force  converting at just  45.5%  via their inside FG shots ranking a ugly  321st overall in the nation. In the end I look for the more consistent offence to come out on top and get us the win and cover. 

BETHUNE-COOKMAN is 0-7 ATS  after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons.

CBB  road team (NORFOLK ST) - after going under the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 150-95 ATS L/23 seasons for a long term 61% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Norfolk State to cover 

This is obviously a high total and there was a time when I would be looking for value on the under. But now in the new NBA the league facilitates entertaining  back and forth affairs which their fan base obviously embraces. In recent meetings these teams have taken part in take no prisoners run and gun offensive slugfests with the average combined score of the L/3 meetings  clicking in at 268 ppg. 

Milwaukee runs the No.1 ranked pace and the most explosive offence in the league , while the Wizards, rank 6th in ppg output and 6th in pace, but rank last in the league in defence ppg allowed and defensive efficiency. The x factor here is the Bucks top tier D, but it must be noted that WASHINGTON is 8-0 OVER  versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 43% or better  over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score of those games clicking in at a whopping 266 points per game and overall Brooks is 10-0 OVER versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 43% or better as the coach of WASHINGTON with a combined average score of 253.5 ppg going on the score board.

The Wizards are 18-1 OVER L/19 as a dog off a loss in a road game facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with the average combined score clicking in at 250.1 ppg. 

Play OVER 

West Virginia embarrassed Texas 97-58 in their first meeting this season and now Im betting  Shaka Smart and his Texas Longhorns will be ready to respond. Smart is 3-0 ATS in revenge for a loss of 20 points or more in his career . Texas now in desperation mode needing a win to remain viable for a NCAA tournament appearance, will leave everything on the floor tonight .Texas snapped a four-game losing streak by beating TCU at home in front of about 4,200 people in the 16,000-seat Erwin Center. Then UT built on that by smashing Kansas State 70-59 at Bramlage Coliseum. The fan base looks like they have given up on them, and Im sure Smart is aware of this as his tenure in Texas either winds down or is extended based on these late season performances. While I know its not always a good idea to  proverbially attach yourself to a drowning man, I do believe getting five or more points with someone trying to save their own lives is a viable wager. 

Play on Texas to cover 

The tanking Chicago Bulls bring an ugly  eight-game losing streak when they host the Washington Wizards on Sunday evening. With this being the Bulls 2nd game in two nights, im betting their tired legs wont provide them with a desperation win vs a wizards side that is up trending in power rankings. CHICAGO is 4-17 ATS  at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.

CHICAGO is 2-12 ATS  in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

The Bulls are 0-12-1 ATS /0-13 SU L/13 at home off a home game after allowing 50-plus points in the paint.

 NBA Teams like the Bulls are 2-17 ATS/SU L/19 with less than two days rest off a game as a dog in which their turnovers increased by at least 10 from the game before. 

The Wizards are 11-1 ATS/10-2 L/12 when the line is within 3 of pick after they scored 15 or more points in the first than the second half.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WASHINGTON) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 129-82 ATS L/23 seasons for a long term 61% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Wizards to cover 

The thunder are playing with a great deal of confidence as is evident by their 34-22 record and have momentum as they are  fresh off  dismantling of the Denver Nuggets in crunch time for a 113-101 statement win on Friday. The reason Im willing to lay the 5 points here with the Thunder is their ability in close games to finish off their opponents  as this metric will explain: Thunder won the league's  -best plus-27.3 net rating in a league-high 38 games that feature a score within five points in the last five minutes of regulation. 

OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-1 ATS  when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season. 

The Spurs are 1-12 ATS/SU as a dog with rest after a game as a road dog in which their opponent had at least a 10 percent higher BAP. The Spurs are 0-8 ATS L/8 off a win in a road game when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss at home.

The Thunder are 12-0 ATS/SU at home off a win as a home favorite when they are off two games in which they had double-digit steals are 

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite, off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival are 37-4 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at 10.9 ppg. 

Play on Oklahoma City to cover

While the Timberwolves are struggling with 16 losses in 17 games, they enter  this tilt   having played Denver tough in the first three meetings. They lost by two points in overtime and fell by seven points and nine points and Im betting on them hanging tough again and getting is the cover. Note: Denver lost their first game after the break at Denver, in a hard fought affair, and may still be feeling the letdown emotional effects of that tilt which brings into play this trend...The Nuggets are 0-10 ATS L/10 at home after a game with 8+ lead changes.

Timberwolves are 20-7 ATS in the last 27 meetings in Denver.

NBA Road underdogs of 10 or more points (MINNESOTA) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 49-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Minnesota to cover 

The Raptors squeaked out a 119-118 home victory on Feb. 5 and had a 115-106 road win over the Pacers two nights later. Both came during Toronto's franchise-best 15-game winning streak. Tonight Im betting on the Pacers hanging tough again, and getting us the cover. Pacers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games.

The Raptors are 0-11 ATS off a 10+ win in which their opponent had at least a 10 percent higher BAP.

Play on Indiana to cover 

Utah lost to UCLA last time out for only their 2nd home loss of the season, which was on the heels vs a couple of road   losses against a very strong Oregon side and Oregon State previous to that , so they may have been in a letdown situation and on tired legs . Whatever, the case Im betting on the Utes bouncing back vs a USC Trojans team that is slumping after having lost 5 of their L/7 overall. 

UTAH is 13-4 ATS  in home games after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more . 

CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (USC) - after a loss by 6 points or less against opponent after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more are 55-107 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Utah to cover 

It’s been 2½ months since Boise State’s first game against New Mexico, thanks to the Mountain West’s early-bird week in December.  This Lobos squad is considerably different than the one that edged the Broncos 80-78 in The Pit as both teams have moved in different trajectories. Boise State has recently won 7 of their L/9 and are 12-2 at home while New Mexico has lost 8 of their L/10 and are 3-8 on the road this season. Advantage Boise State. 

NEW MEXICO is 0-6 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season. NEW MEXICO is 0-8 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more  of their shots this season.

BOISE ST is 11-2 ATS in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 45% or worse over the last 3 seasons. 

CBB Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (BOISE ST) - off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 80%) are 124- 73 ATS L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors.

Boise State to cover 

No. 15 Creighton, which has played its way into contention for the Big East Conference regular-season championship is currently in top form and will be very hard for Butler to handle here, especially with revenge on board for a earlier season loss to Butler by a 71-57 count.In the weeks since, Butler is 5-7 and Creighton is 9-3 and are off a win vs Marquette that showed off their ability to wear their opposition down via great ball movement and conversion rates.

CREIGHTON is 6-0 ATS  in home games off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog over the last 3 seasons (Beat MARQUETTE last time out ) with the average ppg diff clicking in at +16.3 ppg. 

BUTLER is 3-13 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.

CREIGHTON is 7-1 ATS L/8 versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or better with the average ppg diff clicking in at +12 ppg. 

Play on Creighton to cover 

Two top tier teams one from the West and one from the East do battle this afternoon in LA as the Lakers host the Celtics .Its an early start and Im leaning on an under here in what should be a chippy post season type affair. The Lakers rank 3rd in defensive efficiency in the league  6th in ppg per game allowed behind the 12th ranked pace, while the Celtics ranked 3rd in ppg allowed and operate fairly slowly behind the 17th rank pace.  The time of the game, the metrics and also my projections estimate the total should be closer to 221 thus giving us more than 1 possession of value on this number. 

Under is 21-8 in Celtics last 29 games as an underdog.Under is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 games as a road underdog.Under is 21-9 in Celtics last 30 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Under is 41-18 in Lakers last 59 games as a home favorite.

BOSTON is 15-4 UNDER  in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 211.7 ppg going on the board.

The Lakers are 0-12-1 UNDER L/12 off a 10+ win in a home game when they are playing a non-conference game with two conference games before after with a combined average score of 183.2 ppg scored. 

The Celtics are 0-14-1 UNDER L/15 with less than two days rest off a win in a road game when they are off two games in which they had more than 25 fouls with a combined average of 186.3 ppg scored. 

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (BOSTON) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 55-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 55-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER 

South Dakota State (21-8, 12-2 Summit League) brings a seven-game winning streak into the game and a 15-0 record inside Frost Arena this season. The Jackrabbits' 23-game home winning streak is the nation's third-longest active streak.

S DAKOTA ST is 21-6 ATS L/27 in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37%v or more  of their attempts after 15+ games and is 16-4 ATS L/20 in home games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games . 

CBB Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (S DAKOTA ST) - off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 80%) are 124-73 ATS L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. 

South Dakota State to cover

Bucknell won as fav in their L/2 games, and when this has happened in the recent past they have gone over in 11 straight times in the followup  with a combined average of 161.5 ppg going on the board with each tilt in the subset easily eclipsing this number. Look for Bucknell now with confidence to set the pace of this tilt and to come out here with some offensive aggressiveness which will result in the home team coming out of their shell, with some minor fireworks of their own which will help this combined score go over the number. 

CBB Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (BUCKNELL) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after a blowout win by 20 points or more are 72-38 OVER L/23 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

  UCI plays a grinding physical type of basketball behind a  slow pace  and  half court defense. Meanwhile, Cal State Northridge runs and guns with wreck-less abandon and was evident in a 110-98 loss to UC Davis last time out, which has added numbers to this total. With the way UCI s opus operandi works, and what I expect to be natural regression offensively by Northridge after their last one way offensive battle, Im betting we have value with an under wager here this evening. 

UC-IRVINE is 9-1 UNDER in road games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 45%  or more after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 130.3 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER 

These two teams BYU and Gonzaga can light it up with some of the best teams in the nation.Gonzaga has  gone over the total in  22 of their 28 games have eclipsed the total in their L/11 away games  while BYU  has gone over in 16 of their  28 tilts. Gonzaga offensive efficiency is remarkable on alot of fronts but on the road they play a no prisoners type of offense, that also seems to have team having to reciprocate with offensive fireworks of their own or be blow off the court, as is evident by allowing their opposition  to put up a a boat load of shots ( average 62,  ranking 323rd in the nation). What this tells me is , that if you want to be Gonzaga hyou have outscore them. 

Play OVER 

Arizona is one very dangerous team with three potential first-round draft picks in their lineup. They deserved to win the first meeting with Oregon, and will now be extra motivated in revenge mode to get the job done here in front of their own alumni. Meanwhile, Oregon is off a loss to Arizona State last time out, and many saw some of their weaknesses exposed and tonight the Wildcats are a team that can even shine more light on the Ducks imperfections including some recent traveling woes. OREGON is 0-7 ATS in road games in February games over the last 2 seasons

CBB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OREGON) - off an upset loss as a favorite against opponent off a home blowout win by 20 points or more are just 18-44 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% go against conversion rate for bettors.

CBB Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ARIZONA) - after a cover as a double digit favorite against opponent off an upset loss as a favorite are 33-12 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Arizona to cover 

 The Sixers bring a five-game road skid into Saturday nights  tilt vs tbhe  NBA-best Milwaukee Bucks. I know the Sixers continue to get respect, but they are highly inconsistent, and a team as I myself describe a clunky.  Add to that the 76ers seem to have brought unnecessary attention to themselves with narcissistic comments by Embid who at the  the All-Star Game,  was quoted as saying. QUOTE just proving I'm here, I belong, and being the best player in the world, I just intend to keep coming out every single night and just play hard and trying to get wins and just go out and try to win a championship," Embiid told reporters after the game. END QUOTE: What he said , should have the Bucks talking among themselves, and  now Im betting they will be out to send a message to the young self described king of the court  tonight .

Teams like the Bucks  are 24-0 SU/ 23-1 ATS while covering by more than 12.6 ppg  as a home 8+ favorite with less than two days rest off a road game in which they scored more than 50 points in the paint. The Bucks are q perfect 26-0 / 23-3 AT L/26 as a 8+ favorite with less than two days rest facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws.

The Seventysixers are 0-12 ATS /2-10 SU on the road with rest off a win after a win in which they trailed by double digits with the average margin ppg diff clicking in at -8.6 ppg. 

Play on Milwaukee to cover 

I was appalled how badly the Bulls played at home last night vs a Charlotte team that they should have handled. There is some deep seeded issues that must be dealt with in the off season with the Bulls. I know playing without  without Lauri Markkanen, Denzel Valentine, Kris Dunn, Otto Porter Jr. and Wendell Carter Jr.  are hurting them but the rest of the team should have been able to pick up the slack. Now  Im taking this chance to fade the Bulls on a short line vs a Suns team that has shown alot more fight,  and off a decent effort vs the defending champion Toronto Raptors last night. The Suns are 20-2 ATS /21-1 SU as a road favorite off a road game in which their opponent shot over 50% from the field.

CHICAGO is 3-12 ATS  in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.CHICAGO is 4-16 ATS  at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.

The Bulls are 1-19 ATS /SU as a home dog with rest facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s.The Bulls are 0-11-1 ATS /0-12 SU at home off a home game after allowing 50-plus points in the paint. NBA

Teams like the Bulls are 0-11 ATS/SU L/11 at home when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a loss as a home favorite after allowing 50-plus points in the paint. 

Play on Phoenix to cover 

With key  player  Jose Perez out of the lineup for the Gardner Webb I believe they are being over rated in this spot, vs a team that matches up well against them. the all purpose guard (15.0 ppg, 6.0 rpg, 4.3 apg) remains out for personal reasons and makes this team much less formidable. 

The Kings are coming off a 129-125 victory over the visiting Memphis Grizzlies on Thursday and Im betting they come right at the Clippers here this afternoon in a tilt I have projected to go over the set total. Note: The Kings blew out the Clippers 124-103 in their last meeting in Los Angeles on Jan. 30. 

The Clippers are 13-1 OVER with rest off a loss as a road dog facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with a combined average of 247.1 ppg scored. 

NBATeams like the Clippers are 19-2 OVER as a home favorite off a loss in a road game facing an opponent making less than 16 free throws per game with a combined average of 235.8 ppg scored. 

The Kings are 9-0-1 OVER L/10 as a dog facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game with a combined average score of 236.8 ppg scored. 

Play OVER 

Michigan has won three straight against Purdue, but hasn't won at Mackey since Feb. 26, 2014 (three straight losses) and Im betting Purdue holds home court again. Purdue's Trevion Williams had the best game of his career in the first meeting this season, a 84-78 double-overtime victory for Michigan at Crisler Center on Jan. 9. and he will once again be the difference maker. Note: Also if the hobbled Livers plays for Michigan he will be less than 100%. Advantage Purdue. 

PURDUE is 8-1 ATS  in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making  72% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. PURDUE is 6-0 ATS in home games after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons. Painter is 20-7 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of PURDUE.

MICHIGAN is 0-6 ATS after covering 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

Purdue to cover 

It will be a playoff atmosphere the next four games for Southern Miss and Im betting they come out here motivated and ready to snatch a victory.  The last meeting  earlier this season between the two teams left a sour taste with the Golden Eagles, and they will primed for revenge. LaDavius Draine picked up an offensive rebound and hit a step-back, corner three to tie the game with 11 seconds left, but a foul was called on Middle Tennessee's game-winning layup attempt, and those two free-throws were the difference maker. Needless to say this Southern Miss team has had this tilt circled on their calendar, and we should see them at their best. 

MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-8 ATS  versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game this season.MIDDLE TENN ST is 2-10 ATS  versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game this season. MIDDLE TENN ST is 0-8 ATS when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season. MIDDLE TENN ST is 0-6 ATS  after allowing 75 points or more 3 straight games this season.

SOUTHERN MISS is 6-0 ATS  versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 45% or more  after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.SOUTHERN MISS is 11-3 ATS  versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

Play on southern Miss to cover

The two leaders in the Big 12 square off Saturday in a key battle in the league race as No. 3 Kansas (23-3, 12-1) takes on No. 1 Baylor (24-1, 13-0). 

Its not very often that Kanas loses at home, which was the case earlier this season to their 24-1 opponent Baylor, and now with revenge on board Im betting on Bill Self motivating his team into redemption mode and for the visitor to get the cover vs their hosts .. note: The Jayhawks are a perfect 6-0 SUATS L/6 in this  series  as dogs or favorites of 2 or less points.KANSAS is 6-0 ATS in road games against conference opponents this season. KANSAS is 8-1 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season.

Play on Kansas to cover

The new look Wolves will send out the down town trio D’Angelo Russell, Omari Spellman and Malik Beasley to the court today in a home game that will see this team ready to turn a corner. With Boston taking on the  LA Lakers this weekend , Im betting they may not be fully focused here in this spot, giving us value with the. home dog. 

NBA Teams like the Celtics are 1-15 ATS /SU on the road with rest off a win after scoring 15+ points more than Vegas projected.The Celtics are 1-11 ATS/SU on the road off a win as a favorite in which they had overtime.

Play on Minnesota to cover 

The new look Wolves will send out the down town trio D’Angelo Russell, Omari Spellman and Malik Beasley to the court today in a home game and Im betting they will force a capable Celtics team into a old fashion run and gun affair that eclipses this total. Both are fresh and rested and both should will be prepared to make this into a track meet. 

MINNESOTA is 24-9 OVER  in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 234.2 ppg scored. 

The Timberwolves are 17-0 OVER L/17 after they had 3 or fewer double digit scorers with every game in the subset eclipsing this total -average combined score in those tilts rings in at 236.5 ppg. 

NBA 

Teams like the Wolves are 19-2 OVER L/21 with rest off a loss as a home favorite in which they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers with a. combined average score of 236 ppg going on the board. 

Play OVER 

DeAndre Ayton is upgraded to probable Friday vs Toronto ( Ankle ) which will be a big boost for the Suns in this game vs the defending champs. I know the Suns have been highly inconsistent this season, but with Toronto expected to be without Norman Powell and Marc Gasol their short handed and vulnerable. 

The Suns are 15-0 ATS L/15 on the road with rest off a game as a favorite when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent.

The Raptors are 0-12 ATS L/12 off a loss as a road favorite after being outscored in the paint by double digit

Phoenix is 12-0 ATS L/12 games in this series.  

Suns HC Williams is 104-69 ATS  as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points in all games he has coached since 1996. 

Play on Phoenix to cover