The Aztecs  are on a three game win streak and have been victorious in four of their last five tilts (lone loss was a four-point defeat at Fresno State).Since Jan. 15 (includes SDSU's last five games), the Aztecs own a scoring margin of +11.8 which is tied for 24th nationally. My power rankings show them in upward trajectory, while the opposite is true for their hosts New Mexico a team that has lost 6 of their L/7 overall. I know its never easy playing here at the Pit, vs the Lobos, but it must be noted that San Diego State has handed New Mexico seven of its last 42 losses here since the 2006 season. 

SAN DIEGO ST is 10-1 ATS  when playing only their 3rd game in a week over the last 2 seasons and is 9-2 ATS  off 2 straight wins against conference rivals over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on San Diego State to cover 

These are two talented teams  Toronto and Philadelphia , but Im betting the home court advantage will be the difference maker here tonight. Add to that Raptors star Lowry is less than 100% and questionable and we have enough edge here vs some short chalk to consider this a value call. Note the home team has won the L/5 meetings in this series.

PHILADELPHIA is 21-9 ATS  in home games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 10-1 ATS  in home games in February games over the last 3 seasons. 

The Seventysixers are 21-1 ATS /SU as a home favorite with more than one day of rest off a game as a favorite facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5 and won 12 Straight SU all by more than the spread here being asked.The Raptors are 4-18 ATS and 2-19 SU  as a road dog with rest off a win facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5.

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHILADELPHIA) - good rebounding team - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game, in February games are 172-110 ATS L/22 seasons for a long term 61% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Philadelphia to cover 

NC State is off a dismal performance last time out , shooting at a just a 16.7 % clip and converting of just 9 of 54 shots losing a choppy 43-27 affair vs Virginia Tech as chalk. That ugly effort came after they had taken power house Virginia to OT in their previous game. The Wolfpack left everything on the floor in that tilt vs the Cavs, and still lost and were in an emotional letdown sandwich spot vs the Hokies in the followup knowing  this game vs their instate rivals North Carolina was on deck. Now rejuvenated and ready to get back to work, Im betting on NC State being a viable underdog in this spot. Note NC State HC Keatts is 9-0 ATS L/9  after a game where they made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse . ( NC State is 15-2 this season when it shoots 30% or better from beyond the arc  and 1-4 when it shoots under 30% from down town.)

 UNC won the earlier meeting this season between the two programs at PNC Arena, 90-82.

- NC State won last season at Chapel Hill, defeating the Tar Heels 95-91 in overtime

NC STATE is 30-15 ATS off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite. 

CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (NC STATE) - off an upset loss by 15 or more as a home favorite against opponent off a road win are 42-12 ATS L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors on the blind and if we tighten those perimeters and base it on Tuesday nights games the under has cashed 24 of 28 times for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on NC State to cover 

Both these teams play defence first basketball systems and both do a minimal amount of damage offensively.  Valpo won the most recent meeting 58-56 win at the ARC for Valpo on January 2 and Im betting on another low scoring hard fought affair here in the rematch. 

VALPARAISO is 9-0 UNDER  when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average score of 126 ppg scored.ILLINOIS ST is 16-5 UNDER after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 126.5 ppg scored.

Play UNDER 

Both these teams are on 5 game losing streaks, but Pittsburgh according to my power rankings is the superior team here and deserves respect as short chalk. I know the Panthers have dropped 19 consecutive road contests, including their past 16 ACC road games, but all good and bad runs must eventually come to an end and thats what Im betting on here tonight in Winston-Salem. 

Pittsburgh key advantage will come via  their D, as Pitt ranks fifth in the ACC and tied for 20th nationally in field goal percentage defense (.397).The Panthers have held nine opponents below 40 %  shooting from the field and here vs a Wake Forest side that has  a 39.9% FG conversion rate , the Panthers have a hefty edge on a short line. 

WAKE FOREST is 7-21 ATS against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons and 7-21 ATS as a conference underdog. 

PITTSBURGH is 11-1 ATS L/12 in road games when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%) after 15 or more games. WAKE FOREST is 4-15 ATS  versus teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. 

CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (PITTSBURGH) - a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a bad team (20 to 40%), on Tuesday nights are 44-19 ATS L/21 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Pittsburgh to cover 

 Kent State is off an impressive never say die 83-80 overtime victory last time out against a desperate Ball State team. The win gave Kent State its second overtime win in its last three games and improved the squad to 7-0 in games decided by five points or fewer. The Flashes have shown their tenaciousness and ability to win  in close games, and get the nod again in a tilt vs MIAMI OHIO  in a matchup the  linesmakers once again expect to be close. 

KENT ST is 22-10 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Kent State to cover 

Sacramento is on a 7 game home winning streak, but all good and bad runs must come to end. Tonight Im betting the Kings winning streak comes to an abrupt end vs a  Spurs team in top form and off a win Saturday night that has them entering this tilt with the momentum of a  five-game  winning streak. San Antonio has thrived in the recent past against teams like the Kings. SAN ANTONIO is 18-5 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots this season and is 20-9 ATS  versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season.Add that the Spurs will be very motivated here as they seek revenge for a loss here back in December.  SAN ANTONIO is 20-2 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent this season and is is 16-0 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent this season. 

The Kings are 2-19 ATS/SU when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest off a win as a dog facing an opponent averaging more than 62 ppg from 2-point range.The Kings are  also 3-19 ATS /1-21 SU as a home dog off a win facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws.  

The Spurs are 16-1 ATS /SU when the line is within 3 of pick off a home game in which they had more than 8 times as` many field goal attempts as turnovers and it is before the All-Star break. 

NBA Home underdogs (SACRAMENTO) - after having covered 3 of their last 4 against the spread, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 11-37 ATS L/22 seasons for a  go against 77% conversion rate fro bettors. 

Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover 

Idaho (4-16, 1-8 BSC) is 11-9 all-time against Southern Utah (9-10, 4-6 BSC).  Last season, Idaho won both regular season matchups but fell in the Big Sky Tournament. Tonight  in revenge mode against a Southern Utah  team on a 3 game losing streak, and playing without senior Dwayne Morgan ( 13 ppg) the struggling  and desperate Vandals, will be primed to pull off the upset.

Note:  Something about the cold month of February as the Vandals have been on a big run in Big Sky play in the month of February since rejoining the conference.  In the last four seasons, Idaho has recorded a Big Sky record of 21-9 in February conference games, compared to a 26-25 record outside of February.

CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (IDAHO) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off 2 consecutive road losses of 5 points or less are 41-16 ATSL/22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Idaho to cover 

Indiana and New Orleans two teams playing without key players go head to head tonight in the Bayou. Indiana is without Victor Oladipo and New Orleans without the often injured Anthony Davis who is asking to be traded. Both are struggling to an extent without those key cogs, but Im betting the Pelicans have the edge here tonight at home as I really like how this team has played without Davis, staying competitive vs Denver Nuggets and San Antonio Spurs in the last two games and losing by an average of just 5.5 points.Pacers are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings.Pelicans are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

New Orleans took both meetings last season and one more winner Im betting is on tonights agenda. 

The Pacers are 1-18 ATS/SU L/19 on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest off a win after a game with 8+ lead changes which happened vs Miami last time out. The Pacers are 0-13 ATS /SU L/13 on the road with less than two days rest off a road game when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent and it is before the All-Star break.

NBA Favorites (INDIANA) - in non-conference games, off an upset win as a road underdog are 68-117 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors.( Indiana upset Miami last time out in Florida)

NBA team vs the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or better ) against an average defensive team (43.5-45.5%), good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO) after 42+ games are 30-8 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on New Orleans to cover 

This is a division game and Im expecting some physical action here , which Im betting results in a lower scoring game than the linesmakers are estimating. My own line projects a combined score of closer to 229 which gives us close to a two possession under situation. These teams have a recent history of playing fairly low scoring games with 7 of the L/8 staying under the total with the last game here in Washington back in early January ending with 212 combined points going on the board.

ATLANTA is 26-9 UNDER  vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 3 seasons with the combined average score of 207.7 ppg scored.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (ATLANTA) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 30-4 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

Louisville is off a loss last time out, but will be primed for a bounce back here this week against a Virginia Tech program that the Cardinals have dominated over the years. Note: The University of Louisville is 14-0 SU in its last 14 games against Virginia Tech. Meanwhile, VTech is off a bizarre game last time out that they won by a 47-24 count vs NC State. They played choppy physical ball in that game, and could easily feel the effects of that tilt here vs a Louisville side that  has won 3 of their 4 ACC road games, vs N.Carolina, Gtech, and Wake Forest and lost by just 3 points to Pittsburgh . With that said, my power rankings suggest that the Cardinal matchup very well vs the Techsters and get my backing in this spot. LOUISVILLE is 19-10 ATS against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on Louisville to cover 

Two of the top teams in the NBA go head to head here this afternoon in Boston as the Celtics host the Oklahoma City Thunder. Both teams can put points up on the board in bunches when need be, but today in a game that could easily played like a post season affair, Im expecting both these heavyweights to be a little more cautious and to be fairly physical. This type of abattle could easily see this combined score stay on the low side of the total /It must be noted that the Celtics own the 3rd best points per game allowed in the NBA,  and are ranked just 13th in offensive production behind the 20th ranked pace. Meanwhile Oklahoma City owns the 3rd best defensive efficiency despite of playing at a fast temp behind top tier guard play. As far as the guard play is concerned the Celtics are one of the few teams in the league that can slow Westbrook and company which will also  effect this combined score to the low side of the number. 

OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-1 UNDER  as an underdog this season with a combined average of 213.4 ppg going on the board and is 10-2 UNDER on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average of 219.9 ppg scored. 

OKLAHOMA CITY is 13-4 UNDER  versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 217.7 ppg going on the board.BOSTON in 18 games when playing against a team with a winning record this season have seen a combined average of 221.8 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more are 44-12 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

NBA Home teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (BOSTON) - average defensive team (43.5-45.5%) against a poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%) after 42+ games, after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots are 24-6 L/5 seasons for a80% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the UNDER 

Bot these teams are well below .500 and struggling overall, but tau I expect a fairly close game between two long time rivals. Maine's 69-68 win last January (2018) at Cross Insurance Center ended the Wildcats' six-game win streak vs. the Black Bears; New Hampshire won the most recent matchup and are now being hefty underdogs here in a game that I have pegged at closer -6 for the home side, thus giving us value on this line with the road underdog.UNH enters the weekend ranked second in the conference with 8.8 3-pointers made per game and take care of the ball well as they commit the second fewest turnovers per game (12.2) and Im betting these two attributes will serve them well here today in what Im betting with be a cover.

Play on New Hampshire to cover 

The last three meetings in this series, has seen Villanova eclipse the 80 point plateau in point production ,  and they scored 97 and 88 points in the two most recent meetings vs Gtown. Currently Villanova has scored 80 points for more in 5 straight while Georgetown has scored 83.2 ppg on a average this season, and has allowed 78.1 ppg in a uptempo take no prisoners style of play. The Hoyas have eclipsed the 80 point plateau in 9 of their L/11 and have a couple 100+ outputs.

The Wildcats have dropped in 32 from beyond the arc in their last two games and their hitting on all cylinders and will come at Georgetown on all cylinders here, and Gtown will have no choice but to reciprocate with some fireworks of their own or be blown off the court in a game I have pegged to go over the set total. 

VILLANOVA is 11-1 OVER  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or better of their attempts after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 167.7 ppg scored.

 GEORGETOWN is 6-0 OVER after having won 2 of their last 3 games this season with a combined average of 163 ppg. 

CBB Home teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (VILLANOVA) - a top-level team (80% or better) playing a good team (60% to 80%) are 93-60 OVER L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play OVER 

The lines-makers have valued this line based on a  Philadelphia 76ers win vs Golden State last time  as road dogs vs a Sacramento team on a 5 game home winning streak. The public and lines makers are expecting a letdown situation, but Im betting this 76ers team has matured enough to be ready to play tonight and could be even more energized by that win and bring some real swagger into this game. 

 The Kings are 0-17 ATS /SU as a dog with more than one day of rest after a win in which they trailed by double digits. 

PHILADELPHIA is 33-11 ATS  versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Philadelphia to cover 

 This game has been circled Auburn’s  HC Bruce Pearl. calendar for a while, as Alabama smashed the Tigers last years in the SEC tournament by DDs. Pearl was steaming after that game and will come out here ready to get revenge. Meanwhile, Auburn has been money bank at home in this series winning 5 of the L/6 meetings and  cashing 18 of their L/22 meetings including 5-0 SU/ATS when favored by 5 or more points if they own .667 or better record.  

Play on Auburn to cover 

 These two teams are operating at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum, and their is no arguing which is the superior side, but where I see a weakness is by how much the Volunteers are being favoured. According to my projections Tennessee should be closer to 8.5 point road chalk, and at 12 points we have some very good value with the home underdog. With that said, Ill take the points here and take a contrarian stance . 

Kennedy is 21-10 ATS in home games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games as the coach of TEXAS A&M.

TEXAS A&M is 26-11 ATS  in home games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game.

Texas A&M to cover 

Dallas played a low scoring sleeper vs Detroit last time out losing 93-89 and now with a couple odf days rest will primed to rev things up again behind the hot hand of super euro rookie Luka Doncic .That last game saw the Cavs dealing with trade departures to NYK, but now re-engerized knowing they will have guards Tim Hardaway Jr. ( 19.1 ppg), Courtney Lee and Trey Burke (20 ppg) in the lineup I look for a big time effort in this spot vs a Cleveland team off two straight wins and playing with new confidence.  

DALLAS in 40 games versus sub par defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season have seen a combined average of 217.1 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (DALLAS) - after having covered 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a struggling  team (25% or less) are 33-14  OVER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

Miami enters this game 4th in points per game allowed and 25th in pace and  have not scored more than 99 points in 7 of their L/14 games, with 10 of those games staying under the total. The Heat ranked 26h in ppg offensive production . Meanwhile, Indiana enters this game ranked 23rd in pace and 2nd in ppg allowed in the league also struggling to score of late, ranking 22nd in scoring in a clash that has the makings of physical low scoring affair. 

 NBA Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (INDIANA) - after 3 or more consecutive losses, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team ARE 43-18 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (MIAMI) - after being beaten by the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 67-37 UNDER  L/5 season for a 65% conversion rate on the blind. 

Play UNDER 

Sometimes when handicapping games we put to much into the current form of both defences and offences, rather than certain matchup situations, such as system vs system analysis and the need  by individual teams to be more offensively  or defensively aggressive. This matchup features a Central Michigan team the that struggles at both ends of the court, vs a home team that lies to run and gun. these two alternative systems, have proven in the past to be good under wager opportunities using certain criteria. Note: CBB Home teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (C MICHIGAN) - a very good team (+8 or more  PPG differential) against a poor team (-3.5 to -8 PPG differential), after a win by 6 points or less are 28-3 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors.( Central Michigan is off a hard fought 86-82 win vs E.Michigan last time out, and will be in an a natural letdown situation vs a side that I sure their not inspired by which Im betting results in a tilt with a lot less offensive fireworks the some might expect).

W MICHIGAN is 6-0 UNDER  in road games vs. teams who are called for 3+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 138.2 ppg scored.

Hawkins is 10-1 UNDER  in road games after allowing 80 points or more 2 straight games as the coach of W MICHIGAN with a combined average of 132.4 ppg scored.

Play UNDER

The public loves the home team ( Utah State) and Im going directly against the vast majority of the ticket holders here and taking a sharp money stance with the under appreciated road dog. 

UTAH ST is 15-28 ATS  versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 season.

CBB  Underdogs of 10 or more points (UNLV) - a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG) after 15+ games, after a loss by 15 points or more are 39-16 ATS L/22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on UNLV to cover 

After starting the season 1-3 in SEC play, the Gators have won three straight conference games. They beat Georgia 62-52, Texas A&M and then Ole Miss. The Gators have won two straight and four of the last six against Kentucky in Gainesville. Florida won last year’s game 80-67 after spanking the Cats 88-66 in 2017. UK has a history of less than stellar performances here, andIm betting the Gators will make life difficult for them here again. In his fourth season at Florida, HC White is 3-3 against John Calipari and the Cats and knows how to play vs Caliparis system.  With that said, take the points. 

FLORIDA is 27-11 ATS versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more  of their shots after 15+ games.FLORIDA is 79-52 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 since 1997.Calipari is 39-56 ATS  in road games as the coach of KENTUCKY.

Play on Florida to cover 

If the University of Akron basketball team is to be in a position to make a run for an appearance in March Madness, the Zips will have to start by winning on the road and now today will come here primed to get such a win. The Zips are ranked 18th in the NCAA for scoring defense only allowing 62.8 points per game and Im betting that will be the difference maker here in this MAC event. 

Note:The Zips have won 10 of the last 15 meetings in this series and will be in a double revenge mode and ready to snap a two game losing streak vs Ohio. 

OHIO U is 3-10 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season and OHIO U is also 0-7 ATS L/7 versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season this season and 3-10 ATS  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season. 

HC Phillips of Ohio  is 2-12 ATS when the total is 120 to 129.5 in all games he has coached since 1997.

CBB team (AKRON) - after being beaten by the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games in are 56-17 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Akron to cover 

These teams systems will make for a game that Im betting sees this combined score stay on the low side of the Total. I also expect Virginia  after allowing 16 steals vs nC State last time out in OT win to get back to basics and what makes them great ( DEFENCE). HC Bennet was not happy with their performance and with North Carolina and Duke on board in the next 10 days this will be a perfect time to practice some shut down D. Miami has problems scoring, and today that situation will be exacerbated . Meanwhile,Miami will Im betting be ultra conservative here in an effort to be competitive which will also contribute to what Im betting will be a successful under wager in this spot. 

VIRGINIA is 17-4 UNDER  off a road win over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 117.7 ppg scored.( Virginia beat NC State in OT last time out)

CBB Home teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (VIRGINIA) - off 3 straight wins against conference rivals, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season are 131-75 L/22 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play UNDER 

 Notre Dame has won 5 straight meetings in this series including the L/2 here at Boston College and have the edge again according to my power rankings. 

BOSTON COLLEGE is 0-6 ATS in home games after playing a home game this season. BOSTON COLLEGE is 6-19 ATS in home games after covering 4 of their last 5 against the spread 

CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (NOTRE DAME) - off 3 straight losses against conference rivals, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 63-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Notre Dame to cover 

Looking to carry momentum from Wednesday's 14-point win against in-state rival Holy Cross I look for Boston University  to come in here spitting bullets. I know their hosts the Raiders are riding a 12-game home win streak dating back to last season and are a perfect 8-0 this year but thanks to their positive trajectory the lines makers have over value them in this matchup giving us value with the road dog. I knowColgate claimed a 77-56 win at Case Gym back on Jan. 19 vs Boston U, but the Raiders only led, 47-43, at 13:47 in the second half and looked flustered at times. 

Play on Boston University to cover 

The Cardinals entered league play 9-4, and opened with a 15-point victory at Toledo. Since then they’ve dropped five of six, with four of those losses coming by six points or less and are now absolutely desperate for a win.

Ball State is a team with multiple weapons, great size, great athleticism. They’re a few plays away from having their (MAC) record flipped and Im betting  must be respected here in desperation mode. 

Senderoff is 36-51 ATS  after playing a game as an underdog as the coach of KENT ST.

CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (KENT ST) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after a combined score of 155 points or more 2 straight games are just 36-69 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Ball State to cover 

The Badgers  have won three straight games thanks to playing some top tier D, and on the season are yielding just 61.5 points per game . Note:WISCONSIN is 8-1 UNDER  in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons with the combined average score of 129 ppg going on the board. Im betting more hardcore conservative defensive action will be on the Badgers agenda again tonight against a dangerous Maryland side, that is off allowing just 52 points in a win vs Northwestern last time out.  Maryland took a  64-60 win when these teams met earlier this season, and Im betting on more of the same type of action here and a total combined score that will resemble the last  altercation between these Big 10 sides.

WISCONSIN is 8-2 UNDER  against conference opponents this season with a combined average of 126.4 ppg scored. WISCONSIN is 26-5 UNDER  off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog since 1997. 

WISCONSIN is 10-1 UNDER  versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 124.1 ppg scored.WISCONSIN is 7-0 UNDER  vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game after 15+games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 125.8 ppg scored.  

MARYLAND is 10-2 UNDER versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 130.3 ppg scored.

CBB teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (MARYLAND) - off a home win against a conference rival against opponent after allowing 55 points or less in a win against a conference rival.   are 81-41 UNDER L/22 seasons for a67% conversion rate for bettors.

Wisconsin/Maryland UNDER

Both these teams enter this game knowing that they have to play again tomorrow. Thus I expect both will be out to make sure they don't take part in a run and gun hoops affair. This is Atlantas usually an all out take not prisoners team will now play theur fifth straight road game so their running on empty anyway. Meanwhile, Utah is one of the NBAs top defensive teams, that is off a a rare nasty Defensive performance last time out allowing 132 points to Portland in a DD loss, so they will want to settle things down in a hurry and get their defensive posture back in gear.This is the perfect type of team to get their mojo back against. The L/2 games these teams played last year resulted in low scoring affairs, (with 192 and 194 combined pointed scored an another lower scoring game Im betting will be on tonights agenda. The L/4 meetings here in Salt Lake City have gone under. Note: 

UTAH is 13-3 UNDER  in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46%  or better - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with he average combined score of those games clicking in at 199.1 ppg. Atlanta took park in a high scoring affair last time out, in a 113-135 loss to Sacramento, in their /15 games in  road games after a combined score of 245 points or more they have seen a their combined scores substantially curtailed as is evident by a 213 point combined output average. 

Play UNDER 

It's interesting to note that despite of how fast paced the Oklahoma City Thunder have played this season ( 4th in pace), they are a team that ranks 3rd overall in defensive efficiency, and must not be underestimated in their stopping abilities. Meanwhile, Miami is ranked 6th in defensive efficiency in the NBA, behind the 25th ranked pace and own the 26th ranked offensive output at 105.3 ppg and have failed to eclipse the 99 point plateau in 5 of their L/8 games. The Heat compete because of their D, and Im betting they will be especially vigilante in this spot vs a side that comes at opponents behind the  top tier  guard play of Westbrook .  With that said, Im betting on Miamis scoring woes to continue, and for Oklahoma City to not be as fluent as usual vs a stingy side that has the ability to both slow the pace, and the Thunders aggressiveness in transition. this Im betting leads to a combined score that stays below this Total. 

Under is 4-0 in Thunder last 4 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Under is 8-0 in Heat last 8 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-0 UNDER in road games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game this season with a combined average of 214 ppg scored.    MIAMI is 11-2 UNDER versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 204.4 ppg scored. 

Thunder have gone under 5 straight times as 10 point or less road favs with 2 days rest and  4-19 UNDER  2/1 rest situation vs non-conference opposition . The Heat have gone under in 5 straight games and are 0-9 UNDER L9 vs the Thunder  and 0-6 UNDER as non-conference Home dogs and  4-19 UNDER with a  conference game  on deck  if they prepare to play on back to back days. 

Play UNDER 

 Before I make this recommendation , just let say I consider the Wolverines as one of the top 3 teams in the nation. Tonight however,  Iowa will be out their minds looking to make a mark in the Big 10, and at the same time  avenge three straight losses in this series , including a 77-71 loss in the opening round of the Big Ten tourney last season. The Hawkeyes are no pushovers and own a  12-4 ATS record at home in this series and have covered 6 of the L/8 overall meetings. With that said  look for this 5-returning starter Iowa  group  to come in to this tilt with a take no prisoners attitude in an attempt to slow down this behemoth opponent and grab what might seem like an impossible victory. Note: Hawkeyes HC Fran McCaffery has covered 20 of his L/30 as a home underdog and must be respected getting points in front of his own alumni.

Play on Iowa to cover 

The Bulldogs are currently first in the WCC standings at 6-0 while the Cougars are tied for second at 5-2.

 In all their greatness Im betting Mark Fews Gonzaga will still feel the effects of this strong home venue vs BYU and  that they may not find the  sledding all that easy vs a hardworking group of Mormon hoops players. BYU is no pushover in front of their own alumni as their 129-9 SU record  would indicate when they own a  .760 win % or less at  home with HC Dave Rose on the sidelines.Rose is also 21-11 ATS in home games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less after 15+ games as the coach of BYU.

According to my line the Bulldogs should only be 10 point favs here on the road, thus giving us value on what Im estimating id a bloated line by close to 2 possessions. 

BYU is 15-5 ATS in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game since 1997.  

Play on BYU. to cover 

No body and I mean no body and can beat the Warriors on their own home floor in a run and gun duel and Im betting Philadelphia wont try that here. Yes, there will be plenty of points going on the board here , but the Sixers need their defence to stand tall to compete  and Im betting they get down and dirty  in attempt to somehow disrupt their opponents flow and downtown shooting circus. This will directly effect what the combined fine score will be. It must be noted that 76ers HC   Brown is 14-1 UNDER  when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70% or better) - 2nd half of the season as the coach of PHILADELPHIA with a combined average of 198.8 ppg scored and is 12-2 UNDER  12-2 UNDER  in road games versus very good shooting teams - making 48%  or more of their shots with a combined average of 206.9 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHILADELPHIA) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an average defensive team (43.5-45.5%) after 42+ games, after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 44-19 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play UNDER 

The Nets enter this tilt against San Antonio off a 122-117 home win over Chicago that allowed Brooklyn to improve to 11-3 in January,. This Nets team is playing never say die brand of basketball and must not be underestimated in their ability to cover and cash a ticket here for us in Texas tonight. Meanwhile, San Antonio is off a very hard fought 126-124 win over a bottom feeder in Phoenix on Tuesday and overall looked sloppy in that game. Im betting their lack of execution will effect their ability to manhandle or easily defeat the road dog in this spot.

BROOKLYN is 12-1 ATS  in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. 

NBA team vs the money line (BROOKLYN) - after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games against opponent after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games are a perfect 9-0 100% this season. 

Play on the Brooklyn Nets to cover 

 The Milwaukee Bucks will be trying to win the season series with the Toronto Raptors on Thursday night when they visit Scotiabank Arena. Toronto is well rested with 3 days rest but in the past this has not seen them do well failing to cover 5 straight times. 

The Raptors lost the first two meetings before winning 123-116 in Milwaukee on Jan. 5, but Im betting the Bucks are are the slightly better  team and will get the cover here this evening. The series visitor is 5-1 ATS L/6. 

TORONTO is 9-23 ATS in home games versus very good shooting teams - making 48%  or better of their shots.

Bucks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Atlantic.

MILWAUKEE is 17-8 ATS  when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season.TORONTO is 13-24 ATS when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on Milwaukee Bucks to cover 

Dallas played last night in New York notching a win vs the hapless Knicks  and will now be on tired legs and susceptible to getting caught in a letdown spot vs a hungry Detroit team desperate for wins and in revenge mode for a loss they suffered to the Mavs 5 days ago in Dallas (106-101)

NBA Favorites (DETROIT) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points against opponent off a road win are 197-133 L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

DALLAS is 4-15 ATS  on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Underdogs vs the money line (DALLAS) - in a game involving two sub par defensive teams (102 or more  PPG) after 42+ games, after allowing 90 points or less are 7-50 L/5 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Detroit to cover

William Mary enters this game struggling and have lost 5 straight games and more importantly have failed to cover all 5 of those negative results. Meanwhile, Drexel has won 3 of their L/5 games and covered 4 of those games, and in their current form offer value on this line getting points. I know WM found a way to beat Drexel earlier this season, but Im betting Dragons come back breathing fire and are competitive here. Note:  Drexel won in Williamsburg for the third time in the last four trips, and it must be noted for four years in a row  that these teams have split the season series so I won't be surprised if the visitor not only notches a cover but a su victory. 

WM & MARY is 2-10 ATS  versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season.

WM & MARY is 0-6 ATS in home games in January games over the last 2 seasons and is 1-7 ATS after playing a game as an underdog this season.

607 Drexel to cover   

Purdue now with a huge target on their backs as they come off a enormous upset win vs Michigan State last time out, will now be in a natural letdown situation vs a viable home underdog in Penn State. I know the Nittany Lions in their current form ( 7 straight losses), do not inspire bettors but, here in the Big 10 the talent levels are fairly comparable , and it should not surprise anyone if Penn State is competitive this evening on their own home court. It must also be noted that Penn State has revenge on board for a Conference tourney loss to Purdue last season and will be extremely motivated to pull off an upset of their own vs a side that is just 3-6 SU on the road this season. 

PURDUE is 0-6 ATS  in road games versus struggling shooting teams - making 42%  or less of their shots over the last 3 seasons.Painter is 24-37 ATS in road games after having won 8 or more of their last 10 games as the coach of PURDUE.

Play on Penn State to cover 

My own projections estimate this total to be closer to 134, thus giving us value according to those estimates on a under wager. These teams/programs have played 5 times over the 3 seasons with non of the tilts combined scores eclipsing this number. The combined average score of those games clicks in at 114 ppg, with the lowest combined score at 89 points and the highest scoring game at 131. Both schools hoops programs run essentially the same system options as they did in the above mentioned previous matchups, and when going head to head these kinds of results have a high frequency of repeating themselves within these totals perimeters. 

 AIR FORCE is 25-6 UNDER L/31 off 2 straight wins against conference rivals  with a combined average of 117.5 ppg scored.SAN DIEGO ST is 23-7 L/30 UNDER in a home game where the total is 135 to 139.5 with  a combined average of 130.6 ppg scored. 

CBB Road teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (AIR FORCE) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 42-18 UNDER L/5 season for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.


834 San Diego State/ Air Force UNDER

The Timberwolves  with revenge on board for a ugly 100-87 loss they suffered to the Grizzlies  back on Nov 18 at home, will  now be in a perfect spot for revenge as they face a  team that will be without three players: forward Omri Casspi (knee), guard Garrett Temple (shoulder) and guard Dillon Brooks (toe). Forward JaMychal Green (knee) is questionable and and if he plays will be less than 100%. Memphis is not only short handed , and beat up but exhausted as well as this will be their 8th game in 14 days , which is not a good omen for them covering here tonight. The Grizzlies showed how tired they were last time out vs Denver by blowing a historic 25 point lead and losing 98-95 to Denver.  Note: MEMPHIS is 9-21 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons. \

The Grizzlies 0-10  SU/ATS L/10 as a dog with less than two days rest when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss at home and it is before the All-Star break with all the losses coming by 10 points or more. 

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MINNESOTA) - after allowing 105 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after a close loss by 3 points or less are 90-46 ATS L22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Home favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after a close loss by 3 points or less are 36-4 SU L/22 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by 10.6 ppg.

Play on the Minnesota Wolves to cover 

The NY Knicks are currently employing a more conservative transition based style of D, which has resulted in 4 straight UNDERs, including 5 UNDERs in their L/6 trips to the hardwood and in their L/3 have not scored more than 99 points, while holding their L/3 opponents to 109, 106, 101 points in downward trajectory fashion.  NYK know they will face a revenge minded team tonight and  will continue Im betting play a conservative brand of basketball in order to take their opponents out of their flow. This Im betting will result in a much lower scoring tilt than the lines makers might expect. DALLAS is 31-19 UNDER  revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. (Dallas lost to the Knicks 118-106 back in Nov at home)

Dallas lost to Toronto 123-120  last time out, in a run and gun affair, and will now be on tired legs after that event. 

Under is 9-0 in Mavericks last 9 games following a straight up loss.Under is 8-1 in Mavericks last 9 vs. Eastern Conference.

Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

The Mavericks are 0-15 L/15 UNDER as a favorite off a home game with a combined average score of 203.5 ppg scored.The Knicks are 0-11 L/11 UNDER at home with rest off a loss facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range and it is before the All-Star break with the combined average score of 204.5 ppg scored. 

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (NEW YORK) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games are 791-615 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 56% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

 Indiana is in the worst kind of shape losing 6 straight  and have completely gone into a tailspin after a  inspired  12-2 start to their campaign.Archie Miller needs this game badly and has enough talent to upend a Rutgers program that despite of a surprising 2 game win streak are still mired in  a long term Big 10  slump as the Knights  have lost 36 of his 44 Conference games , and have lost 6 straight vs teams with revenge like Indiana (  Hoosiers lost 76-69  in the Conference tourney last season). Rutgers is just 2-10 SU vs avenging conference opposition  and 0-4 SUATS at home. I know Indiana is flawed team, but if they an be aggressive offensively tonight form the get go, against a Rutgers team that needs top defensive efforts to get wins the desperate visitors will get a results they badly need. Im betting they do exactly that. 

Play on Indiana to cover 

Kentucky is off a hard fought affair with Kanas this past weekend and will now be in a natural letdown spot. going into this road game against Vanderbilt. Thats not a good omen as this UK Hoops program is just  0-4 ATS after battling with the Jayhawks.With Vandy in revenge mode for a  74-67 loss in Lexington earlier this month ,  Im betting on them being pumped to get even and pull off the upset in front of their own alumni. It must be noted that the Commodores are  7-0  L/7 ATS in this series when playing with same-season revenge and have split this series here in Nashville going 6-6 SU L/12 meetings here.VANDERBILT is 57-36 ATS in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game.

Calipari is 9-23 ATS  in road games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games in all games he has coached and is 4-13 ATS   in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) after 15 or more games in all games he has coached since 1997.

Play on Vanderbilt 

Pittsburgh at 12-8 this season are up trending, and all ready have shown a great deal of progress under the tutelage of former Duke assistant Jeff Capel as was the case earlier this season when they notched wins vs Louisville and Florida State and barley lost to NC State. The Panthers new found ability to play tough man to man D, will aid them here vs a Clemson team that is in an emotional letdown spot after blowing a 5 point lead and losing with under a minute to play last time out vs NC State, thanks to missing four straight charity stripe conversions and four FG attempts. Both these teams need wins, and Im expecting/betting on a spirited effort tonight with the points proving to be golden.

 CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (PITTSBURGH) - off 3 straight losses against conference rivals, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 63-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Pittsburgh to cover 

Pittsburgh plays a real tough brand of man to man defence, and on offence they're not a team that shoots 3s constantly, so putting points on the board in bunches is not their current modus operandi. Clemson does not defend the trey well, which will be a blessing for them here tonight. Meanwhile, Clemson is a side that is struggling to score consistently, and have only breached the 70 point plateau once in their L/6 games and Im betting will struggle to put points on the board again, in a tilt that I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total. 

My own projections set this total at 132. Thus giving us value according to my estimates on a under wager. 

PITTSBURGH is 9-0 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 127.5 ppg going on the scoreboard and is 6-0 UNDER versus poor passing teams, averaging 12 or less assists/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 127 ppg scored and is 19-4 UNDER  versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less  turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 131.8 ppg scored.

PITTSBURGH is 13-0 UNDER  after 2 straight games where they had 5 or less steals over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 131 ppg scored in those tilts. 

 Clemson HC Brownell is 16-5 UNDER L/21 after playing 2 consecutive games as a road underdog in all games with a combined average of 117.7 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER 

No Anthony Davis in the lineup means there is little or no respect for the Pelicans . That is obvious by the line here in Houston against the Rockets with line being slightly bloated according to my own numbers. Needless to say these Pelicans have a chip on their shoulders, and will use that as a motivating factor here tonight. QUOTE:"We're still not giving up," New Orleans coach Alvin Gentry said. "We're not giving up on our season, if that's what everybody thinks. We've just got to keep plugging away, and some kind of way we're going to get this thing turned around. END QUOTE: 

New Orleans is a perfect 6-0 ATS L/6 as +8 or more underdog and are 9-0 ATS off a home loss which they suffered last time out to San Antonio. 

Road underdogs (NEW ORLEANS) - after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after 3 straight wins by 6 points or less.

NBA Road underdogs (NEW ORLEANS) - after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after 3 straight wins by 6 points or less are 34-9 ATS L/22 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. 

Play on the New Orleans Pelicans to cover 

The Magic slowed things down considerably in their two most recent games vs  Houston and Washington, scoring 91 and 98 points respectively, in low scoring affairs that saw them allow 103 and 95 points on defence. Today against an explosive Thunder side, I expect more of the same conservative hoops, and prolonged scoring droughts that has become synonymous with Magic basketball. 

The Magic are 0-19-1 UNDER with rest after playing as a road dog facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws.  None of the games eclipsed this Total.

The Thunder are 0-6-1 UNDER  with less than two days rest off a home game in which they shot under 60% from the free throw line with none of the games eclipsing this total. 

 Donovan L/20 games  after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY with a combined average of 203.3 ppg being scored. 

Play UNDER

The Bucks, off a rare loss last time out,   and will be out looking for  redemption  and a season series sweep vs a Pistons that they matchup very well against as is evident by a  121-98 on New Year's Day  beat down. It must be noted that the   Bucks have not lost two in a row all season and are 11-0 ATS /SU as a road favorite off a loss with all the wins by 6 points or more. ( the books know this that's why the 6.5 point hook line).Note: DETROIT is 0-8 ATS  in home games revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more this season with he average point differential clicking in at 8.2 ppg. 

Milwaukee has dominated its Central Division opponents this season, posting an 8-1 record and tonight Im betting on another victory and more importantly a cover.

Play on Milwaukee to cover 

Ball State (11-9, 2-5) has lost five of its last six games, all against conference foes and are now being made DD underdogs here on the road vs a ranked team. However the Cardinal have been very competitive and only once in their L/7 games have they lost by more than 9 points with the average point differential clicking in at 5.7 ppg. I know how explosive Buffalo is but they have a big target on their backs after getting so many early season accolades, and have had endure all efforts by their MAC opponents which has started to wear on them. It must also be noted that the Bulls are off a hard fought  battle at Kent State and could easily find themselves in an emotional letdown spot vs a hard working never say die team desperate for wins. This also falls into a long term betting against the public  perimeter based trend I use on occasion when it present itself that has  returned  a 33% ROI since the 2006 season .  It does not always win, but more often then not we cash, ( 68%) . Since Im always looking for a long term edge, this situation makes for a viable investment wagering option. 

Also CBB Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (BUFFALO) - off a road win against a conference rival against opponent off an upset loss as a favorite.  are just 24-54  ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate. 

Play on the Ball State to cover 

 N.C. State is feeling good about its offense with point guard Markell Johnson back in the lineup after recouping from a back injury and must be respected as home underdogs despite of going against a behemoth opponent in Virginia. Also the  Wolfpack's versatility  creates issues when vs any  defensive game plans, yes  even that of the Cavaliers as Six N.C. State players have led the team in scoring this season. Look for N.C States ability to mix and match and provide different looks to make Virginia look somewhat human here in this matchup. 

CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (VIRGINIA) - off a road blowout win by 20 points or more, in a game involving two top-level teams ( 80% or better). are 16-44 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. ( Virginia destroyed NotreDame last time out by DDs, and have exerted alot of energy in back to back games vs the Irish and previous to that Duke making them possible letdown favs here. 

Play on NC State to cover 

Atlanta is playing alot better and are a .500 team over their L/18 games and are 6-6 ATS in their L/12 road tilts. Meanwhile, the Clippers, despite of winning 3 of their L/4 games, have looked less then dominating, and have lost 9 of their L/14 home games straight up. From a historical perspective the Hawks have been a viable side to back here covering 16 of their L/25 visits to LALA land and get my support taking points tonight vs a Clippers side on tired legs after playing last night against run and gun Sacramento. Note: The Clippers are 0-10 ATS L/10 at home with no rest . 

The Hawks also have revenge on board for a 127-119 loss at home to the Clippers back in late November and lost in their L/visit here last season, by a 108-107 count. Note: The Clippers   are  0-11 ATS at home with no rest when they won 2 straight vs current opponent. Also Atlanta is 6-0 ATS away at Western Conference venues as a underdog vs  .550  or less opponents when playing with same-season home loss revenge. 

Road underdogs (ATLANTA) - revenging a loss vs opponent, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are good long term bets going 348-248 ATS L/5 seasons for a 59% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Atlanta to cover 

 Baylor brings a 4-game winning streak into its  at Oklahoma. BU is coming off a 73-68 win over Alabama, improving to 5-1 in Big 12/SEC Challenge history.Baylor finished 9-4 in non-conference play, with marquee wins at Arizona, vs. Oregon and vs. Alabama and must not be underestimated in their ability compete here and even pull off a SU upset. Note: Baylor is 32-34 in Big 12 road games since 2012, second-best in the league behind only Kansas (43-23). 

OKLAHOMA is 3-15 ATS  when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons and is 1-8 ATS  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

BAYLOR is 6-0 ATS in road games versus teams who average 40 or more rebounds/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.BAYLOR is 6-0 ATS in January games this season. 

Baylor has won 2 straight meetings here and have won 3 of the L/4 meetings SU.BU's last 3 trips to Norman include a 2-point loss in 2016, a 26-point win in 2017 and a 2-point loss in 2018.

Play on Baylor to cover 

The Celtics played a hard fought game vs the Golden State Warriors last time out losing a 115-111 heart breaker. The young men from Boston played their hearts out and left everything on the floor and still fell short. Now in an emotional letdown situation this Beatdown hoops crew will now face the difficult task of going against a hard working Nets team on a 6 game win streak that plays basketball with a never say die attitude. With that said, Im recommending we take the points with the visitors. 

 The Nets are 22-0-1 ATS and have won 9 straight SU on the road with rest facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range and it is before the All-Star break.The Celtics are 0-7 ATS/SU at home with rest off a game as a dog after a loss in which they made more field goals than their opponent.

BROOKLYN is 22-12 ATS  versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season. BROOKLYN is 35-22 ATS as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Brooklyn to cover 

The Bethune Cookman 'Cats lead the MEAC in defensive rebounding average (27.9), rebounding average (40.76), FG defense (40.8%), and 3pt defense (29.5%). BCU is second in rebound margin (+2.7), and offensive boards (12.84) and according to my numbers should be 4.5 point road chalk here thus we are getting a value line here to bet into vs a Coppin State side that they beat both times they met them last season. 

Play on Bethune Cookman to cover 

I have made this line at -5.5 for North Carolina Central (9-10 overall), thus we are getting old value with the road team according to my projections.NCCU has shot over 50 percent from the floor seven times this season. Meanwhile,Savannah State  4-14 overall is currently 1-3 in MEAC play heading into the weekend, but lead the league in three-pointers made per contest with 11.7 and live and die with their downtown shots, leading the conference in Treys. But tonight against a NCCU team that can light the board up from all over the court Im betting they're in trouble. 

Play on North Carolina Central to cover 

The defending champion Golden State Warriors are in a groove and currently hitting on all cylinders. Thanks to over powering 10 game  run and wining streak , they are being made 9 point favs here on the opening line, which is bloated in my humble opinion, giving us value on the disrespected  home underdog Indiana getting points. Note:Indiana is 18-6 SU at home this season , while Golden State is just 12-13 ATS on the road and are on tired legs as they play their 5th straight road game and are off a hard-fought battle vs the Celtics last time out. 

GOLDEN STATE is 4-16 ATS  as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.INDIANA is 17-5 ATS L/22 as a home underdog of 6.5 to 12 points.

NBAHome underdogs (INDIANA) - off a upset loss as a favorite, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 38-13 ATS L/22 season for a 75% conversion rate for bettors .

Play on the Indiana Pacers to cover 

My own  line of 227 on this tilt  is 6 points off of what is being offered thus using  my projections Im betting we have value with an under wager here today between two top tier teams. I see this line as pandering to public perceptions and what is  obvious high scoring offences. Note: MILWAUKEEs L/45 games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 3 seasons has seen high scoring games, but the average combined score only clicks in at 226.2 ppg which is right about where a place that total.   it must be noted that the Bucks have gone under in 7 of their L/9 games, while playing a top tier brand of defence  behind the No1 ranked top rated D efficiency in the league. Yes, Oklahoma City has been shooting the lights out of late, but it must be noted that  HC Donovan is 21-8 UNDER  after 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY with the average combined score of those tilts clicking in at 207.1 ppg. Oklahoma City also owns the 4th ranked defensive efficiency in the NBA . 

.The L/5 meetings have gone under the total. 

The Bucks are 0-16-1  UNDER as a dog with less than two days rest off a win in a home game in which they scored more than 50 points in the paint and it is before the All-Star break with a combined average score of 184.3 ppg scored with none of the games seeing more than 207 combined points scored. The Bucks are also 2-20-1 UNDER as a dog with less than two days rest off a win in a home game in which they scored more than 50 points in the paint with the average combined score of those games at 188.7 ppg with non going higher than 218 combined points. 

The Thunder are 3-26  UNDER as a favorite with more than one day of rest off a game as a favorite when they are off two wins as favorites with a combined average of 199 ppg scored and none of the game have seen more than 218 points go on the board.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 11-2 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average score of 218.1 ppg  scored and  is 8-1 UNDER after a game where they attempted 100 or more shots this season with a combined average of 212.9 ppg scored.

Play UNDER 

NJIT will face ASUN newcomers North Alabama for the second time this year.

In their only previous meeting on January 12, the Lions defeated NJIT, 61-55, in Florence, AL and. now  despite of  NJIT wanting revenge it seems this line is  bloated by 1 possession which gives us value on line with the visitor.  I know the Lions have struggled on the road this season,  , winning just one out of 14 games away  tilts, but they are  currently stand in third place of the ASUN, one place ahead of NJIT. Their 5-2 conference record indicates a blue collar never say die attitude that will suit them well here in this hostile environment. 

Take the Points wth North Alabama to cover 

Seton Hall after pulling off wins vs Kentucky and Maryland earlier this season, have been suddenly struggling for wins losing 4 of their L/5 despite of being highly competitive with the average point diff  of those 4 losses clicking in at 4.5 ppg.  Every loss they have suffered this season besides two were within five points, and they lost four by just four points .  Villanova is showing us that they are once again a good NCAA tourney bet, and despite of the off season departures, must be respected. However, with that said, Seton Hall is not an easy out, and are desperate for wins and will leave everything on the floor today in what Im betting will be a cover for them and their backers. Look for Myles Powell who is averaging  22.2 points per game,  and hitting 45.3% of his shots to be a key catalyst for the  Hall here in a cover effort. 

SETON HALL is 23-8 ATS  in road games after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread and is s 11-3 ATS in road games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. 

SETON HALL is 13-4 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons and  is 6-0 ATS  in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game this season. 

CBB Home teams as a favorite or pick (VILLANOVA) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in four consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games are 7-29 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Seton Hall to cover 

San Francisco at 17-3 are proving they are a side that needs to be respected when laying short lumber. I know San Diego is feisty hard working team, but  are outgunned by a team on a 3 game win streak , especially if  Olin Carter III is not playing or less than 100% which he is reported as he suffers with a  ( Abdominal )  injury. FRANCISCO is 14-3 ATS  off a blowout win by 20 points or more over a conference rival

CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (SAN FRANCISCO) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half are 53-22 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

SF to cover 

Despite a 3-3 start, the Bruins are not out of the running for the Pac-12 regular season title and have an opportunity to right their ship here tonight vs Arizona. Despite of it not appearing their desperate, this game is a must win type affair especially after their ugly effort vs Arizona State last time out when they lost as chalk. Note: Bartow is 9-1 ATS  after allowing 80 points or more in a loss to a conference rival and 20-8 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite in all games he has coached since 1997.Meanwhile, Arizona despite of their accolades are starting to fall back down to earth, and are fragile looking at the moment after getting clobbered by USC last time out.

ARIZONA is 5-13 ATS  versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 2 seasons.ARIZONA is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 season

UCLA to cover 

Denver will go against a 76ers team playing without key cogs Joel Embiid and Jimmy Butler tonight. That puts the 76ers at a big disadvantage vs a side that has revenge on board for last seasons 123-104 loss at Philadelphia. I know Denver played last night, in a 132-95 win vs Phoenix but they did not over use any of their players with no one seeing more than 29 minutes of playing time. Their much fresher than the the back to back efforts might indicate and get the nod here as fairly hefty home  favs .DENVER is 13-2 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins this season. 

The 76ers are 0-14 ATS/SU as a road dog off a game as a favorite when they are facing a team that is averaging more than 45 rebounds per game and HC Brown is 3-15 ATS  off a close home win by 3 points or less as the coach of PHILADELPHIA which was the case in a hard fought 122-120 win vs San Antonio last time out. 

Play on Denver to cover 

With Joel Embidd and Jimmy Butler expected not to play tonight for the 76ers Im betting  their flow and offensive output will be great curtailed. Instead I expect HC Brown to implement a game plan that focuses on good defensive hoops, and fundamental ball control tactics.  That expected strategy I expect will lead to a lower scoring game than the linesmakers might expect between two top tier teams. Note:Brown is 40-22 UNDER in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots as the coach of PHILADELPHIA with a combined average of 207.4 ppg scored.

The Nuggets are 0-10 UNDER L/10 by more than 15 ppg  at home off a 10+ win in which they had at least 15 more shots than their opponent which was the case last night in their win vs Phoenix. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (DENVER) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an average defensive team (43.5-45.5%) after 42+ games, after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 41-18 L/22seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the UNDER 

 Evansville has revenge on board for a loss they suffered to NIU in the MVC tourney  last season.   Meanwhile, Northern Iowa .  is in an emotional letdown situation after a loss last time out . Thats not a good omen for their chances to cover here as Northern Iowa is just  1-4 SUATS in their  last 5 games versus opposition  with conference  revenge.  Add to that Evansville has performed admirably as dogs this season going a bankroll expanding  8-3 ATS getting points for their backers , while the Panthers are just  5-10 ATS  on the season.  

Play on Evansville to cover 

Ill take -3 or less with the Spurs  on the road any time its available  vs a side like New Orleans that is expected to play without their  super star Anthony Davis, even though they themselves will play without DeRozan.  I know the Pelicans play a team orientated style  of hoops and move the rock around with consistency but the  Spurs do well against these types of teams and  are 10-0 ATS L/10 going against  an opponent averaging more than 24 assists per game.San Antonio owns a 44-18 all-time mark against the Pelicans and has won 18 of the 31 games between the teams in New Orleans and lost to NO the last time they played here, but it must be noted that SAN ANTONIO is 14-0 ATS  revenging a road loss vs opponent this season.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SAN ANTONIO) - after a loss by 6 points or less against opponent after 2 straight losses by 6 points or less are 23-6 ATS L/22 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on San Antonio to cover 

My power rankings and line suggests we have value with this line with Middle Tennessee .

MIDDLE TENN ST is 7-0 ATS  versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. 

N TEXAS is 1-7 ATS  in all home games this season. 

N TEXAS is 0-7 ATS  in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons.N TEXAS is 3-11 ATS versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Middle Tenn State to cover 

Kentucky leads the all-time series with Kansas, 22-9, but the Jayhawks are riding a 3-game winning streak , but Im betting that all ends abruptly here today. My personal opinion on Kansas is they are down a notch this season and one shouldn't be fooled by their record, and with Calipari eyeing triple revenge for the Wildcats will have his team ready to perform in a big way here today.KENTUCKY is 14-5 ATS  when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or better ) over the last 3 seasons and Calipari is 23-10 ATS  when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or better ) after 15 or more games as the coach of KENTUCKY.KANSAS is 2-13 ATS after having won 12 or more of their last 15 games over the last 2 season.

Play on Kentucky to cover 

In their last outing, the South Carolina State  Bulldogs dropped an tough 69-74 decision to Norfolk State.The Bulldogs  record may not give bettors hope (4-17, 2-3 MEAC) but this offense is anchored by 6-foot-8 junior Damani Applewhite who averages 17.3 points and 7.8 rebounds per game and he's proven he can take advantage of teams like Savannah Statee (4-14, 1-3 MEAC) which gives us an edge on a short line.

Play on South Carolina State to cover 

Oregon State has been playing some great basketball  and are surprising the heck out of the pundits and that's why they are getting so much respect from the lines- makers here today  But the Washington Huskies,  undefeated in PAC12 play visit Corvallis, looking to avenge a 69-66 defeat to the Beavers in last year’s Pac-12 tourney and wont be used around here by this hard working blue collar group. Note:Hopkins is 6-0 ATS  at road when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of WASHINGTON and is 10-1 ATS in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more  of their attempts as the coach of WASHINGTON. 

CBB home team (OREGON ST) - excellent FT shooting team (73% or more ) against a good FT shooting team (69-73%) after 15+ games, after 2 straight games making 50% of their shots or better are 19-43 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Washington to cover 

Boston College off a nice win vs Florida State last time out will carry the momentum of that win in to Wake Forests a struggling side that has lost 5 of their L/6 games. 

BOSTON COLLEGE is 6-0 ATS  in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season. BOSTON COLLEGE is 6-0 ATS  after playing a game as a home underdog over the last 2 seasons and is 8-0 ATS after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons

WAKE FOREST is 10-23 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

CBB Home teams as an underdog or pick (WAKE FOREST) - after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games are 8-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (BOSTON COLLEGE) - off a home win against a conference rival, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a marginal losing team are 92-49 ATS L/22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Boston College to cover 

 E.Carolina has lost 4 straight games, and according to my numbers and projections should be closer to-6.5 point dogs here. South Florida has struggled a bit lately but are still a dangerous foe having covered 14 of their 19line games this season. The struggles Im taking about came to Temple in a 2 point loss and to Houston by 9 and Cincinnati by 8 so needless to say those make the battle tested road team a very viable side to back. 

CBB home team (E CAROLINA) - after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 103-162 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on South Florida to cover 

Marquette is in top form, but Xavier is almost never an easy out on their own home court and must be respected  especially when they have revenge on board for a loss as was the case when they  suffered a 70- 52 beatdown in Marquette earlier this season on Jan 6. Xavier has five players averaging in double figures in scoring through 20 games and I expect a complete team effort here in a cover performance. 

The Musketeers are 5-1 SU vs. Marquette at Cintas Center.

XAVIER is 13-3 ATS  versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 2 seasons.XAVIER is 47-29  L/76 ATS in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent .

Play on Xavier to cover 

The Clemson Tigers  just played and lost to Duke and suffered a home defeat against Virginia and are battle tested and will not be intimidated vs NC State today that has lost 3 of their L/5 overall. Im betting on two desperate teams in need of a win to battle it out in a closely contested affair, with the points proving to be golden.

Clemson has won 3 of the L/4 meetings. 

NC STATE is 9-19 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 45% or better of their shots after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.

CBB Home teams as a favorite or pick (NC STATE) - very good shooting team - shooting 48% or more on the season, after a game - attempting 20+ less free throws than opponent are 37-70 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Clemson to cover 

Im a big believer in Chris Mack and Im betting he gets his team NCAA tourney ready in a hurry.Louisville, ranked 23rd by AP and 24th in the USA Today poll, come in here today against a improved but still out talented Pittsburgh team ready to get payback for a 89-86 OT loss earlier this season.  Im betting Louisville has an edge, especially with revenge on board for that surprising upset loss vs the Panthers. Note: Louisville is 21-4 SU and 18-6-1 ATS  at home in same- season conference revenge  Meanwhile, Pittsburgh  1-6 ATS in their last seven tilts versus opposition with same- season conference revenge, and have not performed well vs the Cards going just 1-12 SU and 3-10 ATS in this series.

LOUISVILLE is 22-10 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite since 1997 with the average point diff clicking in at 15 ppg. 

Louisville's 2019 signing class is ranked second in the nation by ESPN.

Play on Louisville to cover 

Fordham has lost 7 straight games, and does not matchup well vs the Flyers. Note: Neubauer is 1-8 ATS  in home games versus good shooting teams - making 45% or better of their shots after 15+ games as the coach of FORDHAM and is 4-15 ATS versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game as the coach of FORDHAM. This game registers under a long standing system .CBB Road teams against the total (DAYTON) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or better) against an average defensive team (42.5-45%) after 15+ games are 710-524 ATS L/22 seasons for a long term 58% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Dayton to cover 

 Hofstra is an explosive team, that rarely shows mercy, and are pounding their L/3 opponents by DDs. More of the same here today vs a struggling side that despite of having won their L/2 games are still. sub .500 home team this season.HOFSTRA is 9-2 ATS  versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season.TOWSON ST is 0-6 ATS after scoring 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. 

CBB home team (TOWSON ST) - off a close win by 3 points or less over a conference rival, with just one or fewer starters returning from last season are 20-46 L/5 seasons for a 70% go against conversion rate for bettors. 

Hofstra to cover 

VCU has won the L/6 meetings including the L/3 here on the road between these two hoops programs  and according to my matchup stats and power rankings deserve their -3 fav road status here and should win this game according to my projections by 4 points or more. 

 Their key to success today will be their defence.

VCU opponents are shooting just .264 from beyond the 3-point arc, which ranks fourth nationally. VCU opponents shot .351 from 3-point range last season. VCU has held nine opponents to 60 points or fewer this season

 VCU is 77-33 in conference play over that span, a .700 winning percentage. VCU is also 13-5 in A-10 Tournament play. 

Play on VCU. 

at Madison Square Garden - New York, NY

Maryland is the superior team here, but on neutral court, this line Im betting is a little bloated and there is value on contrarian betting perspective.   HC Underwood is 15-5 ATS  in  non home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games in all games he has coached since 1997. Illinois has either led (eight times), been tied (twice), or trailed by two with the ball (once) during the second half in 11 of its 14 losses and are my choice to cover vs ranked Maryland. 

Note:Illinois has played 11 games all-time at Madison Square Garden, compiling a 3-8 SU record with only 3 of the losses coming by more than 9 points.

Play on Illinois to cover 

This is a Terrapins team that averages 75.6 points per game but is coming off a game in which it tied its lowest offensive output of the season  and lost and Im betting their struggles stretch into this game vs a team that will look to down and  dirty here in an effort to be competitive.MARYLAND is 9-2 UNDER  off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons with the combined average score of 135.6 ppg going on the board.

Play UNDER 

Milwaukee is the NBAs  2nd most proficient offensive  team  averaging  117.6 points per game behind the 5th ranked pace. The Bucks do preach a defence first mentality, but tonight against a Charlotte team that has upped their offensive output of late, and looking fluid with their ball movement, Im expecting the Bucks to have to put points on the board in frequent fashion. This Im betting will lead to a fairly high scoring affair that eclipses this number. 

CHARLOTTE is 15-6 OVER  when the total is 220 to 230 this season.The Bucks are 11-0-1 OVER  as a 8+ favorite off a home game with a combined average score of 237.4 ppg scored.The Bucks are 10-0 OVER L/10 as a home favorite off a home game when they are off two wins as favorites with a combined average of 237.3 ppg scored. 

Play OVER 

Creighton is 11-8 SU overall and 2-4 in BIG EAST play while enduring the nation's ninth-toughest schedule, having already played 12 teams that won 21 games or more a year ago. Meanwhile, Butler is 12-8 this season and 3-4 in BIG EAST play after Tuesday's 80-72 home loss to Villanova. The Bulldogs are 1-4 in true road games. Butler won the first meeting this season between these two hoops programs, 84-69 on January 5 in Indianapolis and now Creighton will be primed to get revenge for that defeat. Creighton is 6-2 all-time in Omaha vs the Bulldogs, including a 4-1 mark since the schools became BIG EAST rivals and gets my support here in revenge mode. Look for the Blue Jays ability to connect from downtown to be the difference maker here this evening. Creighton ranks second nationally in three-point percentage (.431), third in total three-pointers (231), third in three-pointers made per game (12.2)  and fifth in field goal percentage (.505).

BUTLER is 1-9 ATS in road games versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more  of their shots over the last 2 seasons and are just  8-17 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.BUTLER is 2-12 ATS  in road games after playing a home game over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Creighton to cover 

Houston is a team that needs James Harden to play at an optimal level at all times. He is off a game vs NYK where he scored 61 points and barley got his team in the win column by a 114-110 count. Im now expecting a natural letdown situation to occur and for Harden to just be above average rather than play a super man role. To beat Toronto you have to have a complete team effort, and his supporting cast is not playing up to par, which makes them fade material in this spot, mostly because of their shaky defensive play that has seen them allow 112.2 ppg at home this season. Note: Chris Paul and Clint Capela are less than 100% and if they play may see very limited time. Meanwhile, the Raptors are expected to be a full strength. 

D'Antoni is 7-18 ATS ) against Atlantic division opponents as the coach of HOUSTON. HOUSTON overall  is 3-12 ATS  against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

 The Rockets are 1-15 ATS/SU   as a dog with less than two days rest off a win as a favorite in which their opponent had at least a 10 percent higher BAP. The Rockets are also  0-8 ATS/SU as a dog with less than two days rest off a win in a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 27 points from 3s.The Raptors are 13-0 ATS/SU as a road favorite with less than two days rest off a road game in which they had 6+ double digit scorers. 

Play on Toronto Raptors to cover 

Washington foolishly  got  themselves involved into a run and gun affair with Golden State on Thursday night, and are now completely exhausted going into a back to back situation. The banged up Wizards exhausted three starters at least 39 minutes and come into this game with an empty tank, something that the inconsistent Magic should be able to take advantage of on their own home floor. 

The Magic are 20-0-2 ATS /22-0 SU as a favorite with less than two days rest off a loss as a road dog when seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road.The Wizards are 0-11 ATS/SU as a road dog with no rest after they had 3+ players with 20+ points. 

WASHINGTON is 3-15 ATS  in road games versus struggling  defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season and 0-10 ATS  in road games after scoring 115 points or more this season. 

Play on Orlando to cover 

Riders is on a 5 game win streak with all the victories coming against conference rivals, and are operating on all cylinders. Needless to say they will be hard to stop tonight here at Iona, versus a side, that  is a hard team to beat on their own floor, but far from consistent overall as is evident by a 4-6 mark in their L/10 trips to the hardwood. With that said,  Im betting on  a Rider side, that returns all five starters, their top six scorers and 95 percent of their scoring from last year's team to continue to roll. 

IONA is 4-11 ATS in all games this season.IONA is 2-14 ATS  after playing a game as a road favorite over the last 3 seasons. 

Road teams as a favorite or pick (RIDER) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 94-46 ATS L/22 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams as an underdog or pick (IONA) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3.5 PPG diff.) after 15 or more games, after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games are 3-24 L/5 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined point differential clicking in at 8.7 ppg. 

Play on Rider to cover 

Brown had a 6 game win streak abruptly end in a hard fought 70-67 loss to  Yale last time out as hosts in the first game of a back and back series. Now in revenge mode I look for Brown to get us a cover here and possibly end Yales 7 game win streak. Note:Martin is 9-1 ATS in road games off a home loss as the coach of BROWN and is 10-1 ATS in road games after having won 3 of their last 4 games. Brown has covered 15 of their 21 trips to Yale and get the nod again to grab the cash for us.

Play on Brown to cover 

Indiana is reeling having lost 5 straight games. Desperation has set in over this Indiana hoops program and Archie Moore and company desperately need a win.  I know the Hoosiers do not inspire bettors in their current form, but here at home , Im betting they leave everything on the floor in an attempt to upend a powerful Michigan team and get a much needed victory. Considering that Michigan has been mired in a slump over the last two tilts scoring just  54 points in a loss at Wisconsin and 59 in a buzzer beater win over Minnesota it is not inconceivable Indiana won't make life even ore difficult for the Wolverines in this spot. Note: .Beilein is 2-10 ATS off a close home win by 3 points or less as the coach of MICHIGAN

Miller is 40-23 ATS  in home games against conference opponents in all games he has coached since 1997. Dont count Miller out in his abilities to coach his team to success. When he was in Dayton his team started 12-3 one season, and than start A-10 play with a 1-5 record, he corrected that situation and Dayton would turn it around, winning 13 of its last 16 and an eventual appearance in the  Elite Eight appearance. Im not saying thats the direction he will take the Hoosiers in this season, but Im saying look for him to find a way for his team to make a game of this here tonight. 

Hoosiers are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 home games.

Play on Indiana to cover 

No. 14 Buffalo is 17-3 overall and 5-1 in conference play. In their last outing, the Bulls dropped their first conference game against Northern Illinois, 77-75, showing us they are far from perfect. Tonight against a Kent State team that was one of three teams to defeat them last season, Im betting they will have their hands full again. Meanwhile, Kent State improved to 15-4 in conference play after defending home court with an 87-85 overtime win over Toledo and are 10-2 SU at home this season, and 16-4 L/20 SU at home in this series  and get my support getting points here tonight. 

Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

KENT ST is 14-2 ATS  when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  80% or better) after 15 or more games since 1997 and 10-2 ATS at home under the same perimeters. HC Senderoff is 8-0 ATS  when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or kore ) after 15 or more games as the coach of KENT ST. 

Play on Kent State to cover 

 Hot shooting and smothering defense carried  Tennessee State to a 70-56 win over Austin Peay at the Gentry Center last season. According to my projections theTigers  can stay fairly close again and cover this number vs the Govs. TSU is 3-2 in the last four seasons, vs Austin Peay with  one win  coming in the Winfield Dunn Center. Six games between these combatants have gone into overtime, four in Clarksville, one in the Dunn Center in the first round of the OVC Tournament in 2007. Im betting for a closer game than many might expect. 

TENNESSEE ST is 42-17 ATS in road games after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games since 1997.

Home favorites of 10 or more points (AUSTIN PEAY) - hot team - covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a bad team (20% to 40%) are 22-55 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Tennessee St to cover 

Without the injured Anthony Davis in the Pelicans lineup its obvious they are far less prolific offensively and instead are relying on a more conservative brand of basketball, as has been evident  in their last two games, where they saw fairly low scoring games, beating Memphis by a 105-85 count and then losing to 94-98 to Detroit. Here tonight against a explosive Oklahoma City team, Im betting on them playing a physical methodical brand of hoops that will base itself on paying attention to ball control in transition.  This Im betting will help keep this combined score on the low side of the Total. 

The Pelicans are 0-12 UNDER as a dog facing an opponent averaging less than 6 refereed turnovers per game with a combined average of 204.6 ppg scored, with the games going under by an average of more than 18 ppg. The Thunder are 0-6  L/6 UNDER off a home game when they shot better than 50 percent from the field their last two with a combined average of 196.5 ppg. 

HC Donovan in his L/52  as a favorite of 10 or more points as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY with a combined average of 211.2 ppg scored.

Play on the UNDER 

Washington is coming off its best defensive effort of the season, a 101-87 win over the Detroit Pistons on Monday. The Wizards held the Pistons to just 34 points in the opening half . That type of basketball will serve them well vs the leagues most explosive team the Golden State Warriors. I know the  Warriors defeated the visiting Wizards 144-122 on Oct. 24 in a wide open affair, but Washington has transitioned into a different team since then thanks in part to losing John Wall, and the often injured Dwight Howard. With that said, Im betting on the Wizards doing everything they can to slow the champs down, in an effort to compete and have an opportunity to pull off a unlikely upset. This combination of projected events will Im betting keep this score on the low side  of the Total. 

The Warriors are 1-14-2 UNDER with more than one day of rest off a road game when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road with a combined average of 206 ppg going on the board. None of the 17 tilts eclipsed this total. 

The Warriors are 0-10-1 UNDER  as a road favorite after their opponent shot under 60% from the free throw line with a combined average of 209.1 ppg scored. 

The Wizards are 0-15 UNDER by more than 17 ppg as a 8+ dog off a win as a favorite when the line is at least 12 points higher than their last game with the combined average score of 184.9 ppg scored.

GOLDEN STATE is 14-4 UNDER in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 217.8 ppg scored.

 GOLDEN STATE L/46  road games where the total is greater than or equal to 230 since 1996 have seen a combined average of 232.6 ppg scored. Kerr is 23-11 UNDER in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of GOLDEN STATE with a combined average of 221.1 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (WASHINGTON) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more are 43-10 UNDER  L/22  seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. None of the 53 games eclipsed this Total. 

Play on the UNDER 

The L/14 seasons, Little Rock has called the Jack Stephens Center home, and the venue has helped the Trojans become one of the Sun Belt's most proficient home teams. Little Rock has record a 130-72 overall record (.644) at the Jack and is 71-45 (.612) in Sun Belt play, posting a winning record in 12 of the 13 seasons . The Trojans are 6-3 at home this year, winning their last three games at the Jack and get the nod here tonight vs Coastal Carolina. 

COASTAL CAROLINA is 0-6 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.

CBB favorite vs. the money line (ARK-LITTLE ROCK) - in a game involving two good offensive teams (74-78 PPG) after 15+ games, after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games are 88-17 L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Arkansas Little Rock to cover

Cincinnati defeated Tulsa 70-65 on the road last time out, and will Im betting score north of 75+ points today while, Tulsa chases in a tilt I have pegged to eclipse this Total. 

CINCINNATI is 11-1 OVER in home games in January games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 145.4 ppg scored. CINCINNATI is 12-1 OVER  in home games off a road win over the last 3 seasons and s 6-0 OVER in home games after allowing 55 points or less over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score of 143.7 ppg scored.(Cinn beat Wichita State 64-55 last time out) Prior to that last game the Bcats averaged 80 ppg during a 7 game span. 

CBB teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (TULSA) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off a close road loss by 3 points or less are 44-14 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play OVER 

 Denver has lost their L/7 trips to the Salt Lake  City to play the Jazz and Im betting nothing changes tonight. Look  for a very motivated effort from a revenge minded Jazz side that  lost an embarrassing  103-88  road battle in the Mile High City back in November. Note:  Home favorites vs. the money line (UTAH) - off a loss against a division rival against opponent off a home blowout win by 20 points or more are 78-16 L/23 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. (Utah lost to Portland last time out, and were thumped  by DD vs the Nuggets the when they played earlier this season)

Home team is 9-0 ATS in the last 9 meetings.

Nuggets are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Utah.Favorite is 14-2 ATS in the last 16 meetings.

Utah is 15-5 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better  of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.DENVER is 8-22 ATS  after scoring 120 points or more over the last 2 seasons and is 2-12 ATS in road games after playing 2 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons

Nuggets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Nuggets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Nuggets are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games.Nuggets are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 vs. Western Conference.Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Jazz are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Wednesday games.Jazz are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss.Jazz are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.Jazz are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Jazz are 12-4-2 ATS in their last 18 games playing on 1 days rest.Jazz are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. Western Conference.

 Home teams (UTAH) - off a loss against a division rival against opponent after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite are 45-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Utah Jazz to cover 

This will be the second of four meetings between the Hawks and Bulls. Chicago took the first game 97-85 in Atlanta on Oct. 27. The Bulls have now won the past five games against Atlanta and  the Hawks are one of the few teams that they matchup well against. Meanwhile, Atlanta despite of playing better of late, still have not found a consistent way to win on the road where they have lost 19 of 25 games and are once again fade material. 

ATLANTA is 4-14 ATS  versus terrible teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (CHICAGO) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, good ball handling team (14.5  or less TO) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO) after 42+ games are101-22 L/5 seasons and 7-0 100% perfect this season.

Play on Chicago Bulls to cover 

The Sam Houston Bearkats entered 2019 and the Southland season with a sub par 5-8 record, but have won their first five conference games and have the only perfect mark in the league.The Bearkats have thrived in conference play thanks to giving up only 60.8 points per game.

Last Saturday, the BKats prevailed 71-65 at Houston Baptist for their seventh win in the last eight games, including their  L/2 road games  and are hitting on all cylinders as they come together as a team. Meanwhile. the Demons are playing at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum,  as they sport a sub par (7-11 overall, 2-3 in the Southland) and lost 78-69 this past Saturday at Abilene Christian,  and are now expected to play without second-leading scorer DeAndre Love, (wrist injury.)

Northwestern is a bigger team, but Sam Houston is more athletic, and more intimidating even though their slighter smaller. Look for the tougher more talented road team to lay down  the hammer here on the road. 

Play on Sam Houston St to cover 

he Indiana Pacers have revenge on board for a loss they suffered to the Raptors earlier this month as road dogs it was their 2nd loss to the Raptors. The Pacers have been good bets in the past when they have same season double revenge on board in this series  cashing 3 of their L/4 . Tonight against a tired Raptors team that played last night against run and gun Sacramento Im betting the angry home team will avenge those earlier defeats. Note: Indiana is 6-0 SU/ ATS L/6 at home vs teams playing back to back nights like the Raptors.

After a 120-96 home loss to the Philadelphia 76ers on Thursday, Pacers forward Thaddeus Young had a message for his teammates.

QUOTE"If we want to consider ourselves an elite team or one of those top-tier teams, it starts with beating them," Young said Tuesday after practice. "I told them, 'We don't beat them, then everyone is going to continue to look at us the same way they do now: not in that class. In order to be in that class, we have to beat those teams. And we haven't done it yet. Not lately.' END QUOTE 
With that said, look for a Indian team with alot to prove to be in top form tonight looking for revenge and statatement win. 

NBA team vs the money line (INDIANA) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or better ) against an average defensive team (43.5-45.5%) after 42+ games, good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO) after 42+ games are 29-7 SU L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors 

NBA Road underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (TORONTO) - after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more against opponent after scoring 120 points or more. are 2-29 SU L/5 seasons 94% conversion rate with the average point diff clicking in at 12 ppg. 

Play on Indiana to cover 

Toronto is on tired legs after playing last night, and the Pacers are defence first team.  This combination Im betting leads to a lower scoring game than the lines-makers are projecting. 

INDIANA is 12-1 UNDER  versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots this season with a combined average of 207.2 ppg scored.INDIANA is 12-1 UNDER  versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 196.9 ppg scored and s 8-1 UNDER (+6.9 Units) in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or kess turnovers/game this season with a combined average of 201.5 ppg scored.INDIANA is 12-2 UNDER  in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 this season.

The Pacers are 0-15 UNDER L/15 when the line is within three of pick off a win in which they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers with a combined average of 198.9 ppg scored. None of the games went over this total. 

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (INDIANA) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more are 33-9 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

 Alot of public money has come in on LSU here tonight, and some sharp money has now fired back with Georgia . I my self project this line to be closer to 9.5 to 10 points thus giving us a almost 1 possession value line to back with the underdog. I know the Dawgs have not looked good so far this season, and are off a ugly 62-52 loss to Florida lat time out, but their battle tested after playing Auburn, Tennessee, and Kentucky in SEC play already this season so they wont be intimidated by the red hot Cajun Tigers in this tilt. Note: Georgia has won 3 straight in this series and have covered 5 of the L/6 meetings, and actually matchup well from a system vs system perspective.

Bulldogs are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a double-digit loss at home.GEORGIA is 6-0 ATS in road games off a home loss over the last 3 seasons.Underdog is 6-1-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.LSU is 9-23 ATS  as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points since 1997.

CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (GEORGIA) - off 3 straight losses against conference rivals, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 61-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Georgia Bulldogs to cover 

Xavier a team that has struggled in Conference play so far this season have been looking forward to payback for last seasons Big East tourney loss in the  semifinals to a Providence side that has also been struggling losing 4 of their L/5 overall.  The  X-men have proven good bets in the recent past when they have revenge on board as they are a bankroll expanding 11-3 ATS in SU wins when seeking revenge and are a perfect 5-0 at home SU L/5 games in this series.

XAVIER is 93-66 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games since 1997.

Play on Xavier to cover 

The Crimson Tide lost a close game to Tennessee on the weekend 71-68  but covering as 14 point dogs. You can see this team is coming together and up trending and  already have a statement win vs Kentucky earlier this season and as of Monday the Crimson Tide are No. 50 in the NET rankings that replaced the RPI in helping the NCAA selection committee select its field of 68. Tonight against No.20 Ole Miss Im betting the Tides reserves who have been a strength of this year's team, averaging nearly 27 points per contest (26.6) entering the contest against Ole Miss will be  one of the difference makers tonight in this SEC battle. Also The Tide are one of the top rebounding teams in the nation. Alabama has won the rebounding fights in 16 of its 17 tilts this season. For the year, Alabama ranks second in the SEC and 27th nationally in rebounding margin (+6.4), outrebounding the opposition by an average of 39.2-32.8. In SEC games only, the Tide has outrebounded each of its five SEC opponents and leads the league in rebound margin at +5.8 (39.8-34.0). Meanwhile, Ole Miss is over achieving this year, and I keep waiting for them to drop back down to earth and feel confident betting against them vs a hungry team, with revenge on board for a loss at the Pavillon last season by a 78-66 count. Alabama owns a 38-7 record  when playing Ole Miss in Coleman Coliseum, including wins in four of the last five games played here as hosts and get the nod again.

Play on Alabama to cover