My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

KENNESAW ST is 6-0 ATS  versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games this season.

BELLARMINE is 0-6 ATS in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.

Kennesaw State to cover 

Indiana dropped its third straight and 10th in the last 11 games when it lost 112-100 in Memphis on Sunday and are fade material in their current form. The Lakers meanwhile, after a victory vs New York last time out, are now 6-0 ATS L/6 vs Eastern conference foes and get my support to cover as short favs here vs a side they matchup well against. 

LA LAKERS are 13-3 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record this season

NBA Road favorites (LA LAKERS) - after a win by 6 points or less against opponent after a loss by 10 points or more are 70-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Lakers to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

These two teams met in Greensboro on January 21 where UNCG narrowly edged Mercer in a defensive battle.UNCG and Mercer are the best defensive teams in the conference currently, allowing only 63.5 PPG and 68.3 PPG, respectively. Im betting on another close contested tilt with home court advantage being the difference maker and a prime cover opportunity for the host getting points. Mercer has won 7 of 11 home games vs Greensboro. 

Jones is 7-20 ATS  as a favorite as the coach of UNC-GREENSBORO.

CBB Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MERCER) - off 2 straight wins against conference rivals against opponent off an embarrassing home loss scoring less than 60 points are 26-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Mercer to cover 

The Sixers let a 21-point lead disappear as they lost 119-109 to the Magic on Monday. Now in the rematch game, Im betting the Sixers D, will be ready to rebound after the lazy effort they put forward in their last game . note: The Sixers ranks 23rd in pace and 4th in ppg defense. 

ORLANDO is 17-7 UNDER in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. ORLANDO is 33-19 UNDER  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 40-15 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the UNDER 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My totals projection comes in at 146 giving us a full two possession edge to the over on this totals offering. 

 AUBURN is 8-0 OVER versus good rebounding teams - out-rebounding opponents by 4+ per game after 15+games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 147.9 ppg scored.AUBURN is 20-8 OVER  when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 148.9 ppg scored.Pearl is 17-7 OVER in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or better  of their attempts after 15+ games as the coach of AUBURN with a combined average of 151.4 ppg scored. 

GEORGIA is 14-5 OVER in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or better over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 154.6 ppg going on the board.GEORGIA is 8-1 OVER  in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 156.5 ppg scored.GEORGIA is 12-4 OVER  as a road underdog or pick over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 148.5 ppg going on the scoreboard.

CBB Road teams against the total (GEORGIA) - excellent free throw shooting team (73% or better ) against a good free throw shooting team (69-73%), in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game) after 15+ games are 50-17 OVER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 149.3 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

Play over 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Army defeated the Lehigh Mountain Hawks 80-78 in their last meeting on Dec. 30. Lehigh has  however claimed the last two meetings inside Stabler Arena, the recent one coming in the Patriot League Quarterfinal where the Mountain Hawks came out on top, 91-77. Im betting on Lehigh getting revenge here tonight and to notch their 10th straight win overall.

CBB underdog (ARMY) - after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games against opponent after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games are 4-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Lehigh to cover

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

 The Florida  Gators,  despite of a 64-50 loss  at fifth-ranked Kansas State in SEC/Big12 competition ,  have won five of six in league play and deserve respect here at home vs Tennessee.Florida has held 11 of its previous 13 opponents to under 40-percent shooting, including seven of its eight SEC opponents and Im betting it will once again be their defense that keeps them competitive against this top tier Vols program. 

FLORIDA is 7-0 ATS  after scoring 55 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

TENNESSEE is 0-6 ATS  in road games after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Florida to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Albany despite of a sub par record matches up well against Umass -Lowell beating tem January at home by a 89-63 count. I know revenge is now on board for the home side , but it must be noted UMASS-LOWELL is 0-7 ATS  revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -6.7. 

ALBANY is 34-16 ATS  in road games against conference opponents.ALBANY is 19-6 ATS in road games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game. 

CBB Home teams as a favorite or pick (UMASS-LOWELL) - a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average offensive team (67-74 PPG), after 2 straight losses by 6 points or less are 8-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Albany to cover

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

 Fresno State is second in the MW in scoring defense in conference play (65.22 points allowed per MW game) Im betting it will be the Bulldogs D, that makes life difficult for the Wyoming Cowboys. Also in a game that the linesmkaers have pegged to be closely contested Fresno State  top tier charity stripe shooting will give them a needed edge. Bulldogs enter this tilt  having made 73.7 percent of its free throws (205-278), which has a chance to track down the school record for single-season free throw percentage (74.2 percent, 484-652, 1991-92).

WYOMING is 0-6 ATS  versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game this season. 

Fresno State defeated Wyoming 58-53 in both teams' MW opener back on Dec. 28 at the Save Mart Center- Wyoming's L/11 revenge opportunities have seen an average 1.1 ppg diff.  

Four of the last five games in the series have been decided by five points or fewer.

Play on Fresno State to cover

The Clippers enter this game playing alot of fairly high scoring affairs as their usually staunch defense fails them. Only 1 of their L/8 games has stayed on the low side of the total and they have gone over in 4 straight tilts. The clippers have gone over the set total in 18 of their 27 road games this season. The Clippers are coming off Sunday's 122-99 loss at Cleveland, which snapped a season-best five-game winning streak, but now Im expecting a more aggressive offensive attack will highlight their bounce back effort, forcing Chicago into opening up in a tilt I have pegged to eclipse this  offered totals number. 

My. projections estimate both sides will at least hit  114 points in production. Note: CHICAGO is 13-0 OVER   where both teams score 114 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 251.9 ppg scored.

LA CLIPPERS are 12-3 OVER  in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season with 232.2 ppg scored.LA CLIPPERS are 12-4 OVER (+7.6 Units) in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots this season with a combined average of 230.8 ppg scored.LA CLIPPERS are 14-4 OVER  in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season with a combined average of 231.2 ppg scored.LA CLIPPERS are 10-1 OVER  in road games in non-conference games this season with a combined average of 235.7 ppg scored.

CHICAGO  L/  43  non-conference games over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 232.9 ppg scored with their L/5 non conference home games eclipsing the offered total. 

Play over

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Revenge and redemption on board for Kansas tonight at home  after a 83-82 loss on the road earlier this season in these rivals only meeting. The Kansas Jayhawks  are 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 opportunities when seeking same-season revenge against  the Kansas State, with every victory coming by  by  double-digit margins.Self is 26-12 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent as the coach of KANSAS with the average ppg margin clicking in just around under 10 ppg. 

Kansas is No. 8 in the NET Rankings through games played on Jan. 29. Kansas is No. 1 in NET Strength of Schedule and its eight Quadrant 1 wins are the most in NCAA Division I.

Play on Kansas to cover

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

AKRON is 8-1 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

Whitesell is 1-10 ATS in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game after 15+ games in all games he has coached since 1997.

Akron to cover

Atlanta continues to play one way run and gun basketball with a combined average 243.2 ppg scored in their L/5 trips to the court. My projections estimate both Portland and Atlanta will eclipse a 114 team scoring plateau which gives credence to a over bet here as ATLANTA is 17-2 OVER  where both teams score 114 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 249 ppg scored. 

ATLANTA is 10-1 OVER  versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 241 ppg going on the board. 

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PORTLAND) - average defensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG), after a blowout loss by 15 points or more are 51-21 OVER L/26 seasons for 70% conversion rate. 

Play OVER

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Alabama State has the fourth-best scoring defense in the SWAC, allowing 66.4 PPG.

The Rattlers have one of the best defenses in the SWAC, allowing 64.5 PPG (2nd best).

CBB teams where the total is 129.5 or less (ALABAMA STATE/FLORIDA A&M) - in a game involving two poor rebounding teams (-3 to -6 reb/game) after 15+ games are 32-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Southern matches up very well here at home vs visiting Jackson State. This season Southern is 6-0 vs common opponents winning by an average of 11.7 ppg. My projections are estimating a DD win for the hosts, giving us a viable edge on this line offering. 

Woods is 12-0 ATS n home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 45%  or worse after 15+ games as the coach of SOUTHERN U with the average ppg diff clicking at +19. 

Woods is 10-0 ATS in home games after scoring 80 points or more as the coach of SOUTHERN U which was the case last time out with the average ppg diff clicking in at +17.5/ 

Woods is 9-1 ATS in a home game where the total is 140 to 149.5 as the coach of SOUTHERN U with the average ppg diff clicking in at +21.1 . 

Play on Southern to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Tech's 34-point loss in Ames is its biggest margin of defeat this season and came after the Red Raiders beat ISU by 31 (72-41) in the Big 12 Championship quarterfinals last season. Iowa State got their revenge, but now its payback time for the Raiders in the rematch. Quote:"We've got payback on Monday," Obanor said. "It's the second half of Big 12 and it starts over. It's an 18-round fight and is truly exciting to see what we can do and what we can become. February is when players become players. The season is not over and I'm excited to show the world who we are and what we can become." End Quote.

 Tech had a 29-game home winning streak end with its first Big 12 home game this season after going 8-0 at home in non-conference play….  Its a prime opportunity to end a 4 game home losing streak here tonight vs a side that has lost 5 of 9 road games this season and in a look ahead situation to playing Kanas in their next tilt. Note: Iowa State is 3-22 SU L/25  away prior to facing Jayhawks. 

IOWA ST is 20-39 ATS L/59  on the  road when the line is +3 to -3 . 

CBB home team (TEXAS TECH) - good free throw shooting team (69-73%) against an average free throw shooting team (65-69%), after a game where a team made 50% of their 3 point shots or better are 92-54 ATS L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Texas Tech to cover 

From an SRS perspective the Pelicans despite of their current sub standard form are being under rated here in the underdog role vs a the powerful Milwaukee Bucks. New Orleans ranks 8th with a 1.88 SRS -While Milwaukee ranks 11th with a 1.60 mark. Adding him home court advantage still gives us adequate value with the road pup.

SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average

Bucks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW ORLEANS) - after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games. are 33-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate.

NBA Road teams (NEW ORLEANS) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite are 40-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on New Orleans to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

 Youngstown State led the nation as the highest team offensive efficiency rating, per teamrankings.com. The Penguins ranked first with 1.145 points per possession. Over the last three games. The offensive efficiency of Youngstown State was 1.150 points per possession and its obvious to me that they matchup very well against a Jesuit group that is 0-6 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -11.2. This is Detroit Mercy's 2nd road game in 3 nights and fatigue could easily set in here this tilt progresses. 

CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DETROIT) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after allowing 85 points or more are 19-52 L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -11.1 ppg. 

Play on Youngstown State to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My projections estimate a combined score of 145 giving us a full 2 plus possession cushion  to the over on the offered number. 

ROBERT MORRIS is 7-0 OVER versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 155 ppg scored.

OAKLAND is 32-18 OVER   versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less  turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 150.8 ppg going on the scoreboard.OAKLAND is 9-1 OVER  after a loss by 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 160.5 ppg scored.Kampe is 21-8 OVER   in a road game where the total is 140 to 144.5 as the coach of OAKLAND.

CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (ROBERT MORRIS) - off a home win scoring 85 or more points, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 93-38 OVER L/26 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play over

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Michigan State has won nine of its last 12 games and enters the game on Sunday with a 14-7 overall record, including a 6-4 mark in Big Ten play and must not be underestimated in their ability to compete here this afternoon vs streaking Purdue. The Spartans, have played one of the nation's toughest schedules  to open the season, having faced the No. 1 toughest slate of opposing offenses in the country, the 19th-toughest slate of opposing defenses and rank No. 3 overall in strength of schedule. They are battle tested and get my backing to cover . MSU is 3rd in the B1G in scoring defense (64.10 ppg), 2nd in FG% defense (41.3%) and 1st in 3-point defense (28.5%).Tom Izzo is 28-22 in his career against Purdue.Spartans are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

PURDUE is 4-12 ATS  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.  Purdue is 0-6 ATS in home games after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite this season.

Boilermakers are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 home games.

Boilermakers are 1-9-2 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

CBB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MICHIGAN ST) - revenging a home loss vs opponent against opponent off 2 consecutive close wins by 5 or less over a conference rival are 79-39 ATS L/26 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Michigan State to cover 

The Suns have played teams like the wreck-less Spurs with a tough defensive mind set and nothing will change tonight as the home side continues to try to play a more physical type of game which is bucking the new wide open trend in the league. the suns have held their L/2 opponents to under 100 points and have gone under in 4 straight tilts.  None of the L/5 meetings in this series have eclipsed this totals offering. PHOENIX is 11-2 UNDER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a combined average of 220.5 ppg going on the board. PHOENIX is 8-1 UNDER  when playing against a struggling  team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) this season with a combined average of 215.8 ppg scored.

Under is 4-0 in Suns last 4 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Under is 4-1 in Suns last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Under is 9-3 in Suns last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 5-2 in Suns last 7 Saturday games.Under is 9-4 in Suns last 13 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 37-18-1 in Suns last 56 games following a straight up loss.

Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.

Play UNDER 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Oregon matches up very well vs Utah and beat them by 10 points on the road a few weeks ago and have  are 22-2 SU overall record against Utah under Coach Altman including  winning 10 in a row against Utah. I know Oregon despite of alot top tier talent does not always play up to expectations, but are more than capable of a big game here vs the Utes at home. 

 UTAH is 0-6 ATS  in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.UTAH is also  2-9 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

CBB road team (UTAH) - revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent are 279-399 L/26 seasons for a go against 59% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Oregon to cover 

Pistons got involved in a consecutive high scoring games while scoring an astounding 130 points in both tilts and are now on tired legs and ready for immediate regression on offense. This Im betting results in a lower scoring affair than the lines-makers expect.   Under is 5-2 in Pistons last 7 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (DETROIT) - in a game involving 2 terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after allowing 120 points or more are 36-5 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (DETROIT) - in a game involving 2 terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after a combined score of 235 points or more are 26-3 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 90% conversion rate. 

Under is 5-0 in Rockets last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

Play under 

Im betting on a hard fought affair between big apple rivals today in a game my projections estimate to go under the set total. None of the L/5 meetings in this series have eclipsed this totals offering.

BROOKLYN is 9-0 UNDER versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game this season. BROOKLYN is 8-1 UNDER as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season.

Under is 4-0 in Nets last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Under is 12-5 in the last 17 meetings.

Play UNDER

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

E TENN ST is 0-9 ATS  in home lined games this season.E TENN ST is 0-7 ATS as a home favorite or pick this season. E TENN ST is 0-6 ATS in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season.

UT-CHATTANOOGA is 7-0 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Chattanooga to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

N.Arizona has lost 9 of their L/10 with their lone victory coming by 1 point, and they are a sub 500 side. I know N.Colorado may not inspire bettors either, but according to my power rankings matchup well here overall, and have won 2 of their L/3 games, while showing  passing discipline. N COLORADO is 10-0 ATS after a game committing 8 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.

.N ARIZONA is 1-9 ATS as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.N ARIZONA is 1-8 ATS in home games when playing against a sub par team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons. 

Play on N.Colorado to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Illinois has won five in a row over Wisconsin and Im betting on the 6th in a row comes here today. 

WISCONSIN is 0-7 ATS  in January games this season and have failed to cover 9 straight times. WISCONSIN is 0-6 ATS  after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games this season. 

 Illinois has won its last two road game by an average margin of 22.0 points. Illinois leads all Big Ten teams with 22 road wins in league play over the last four years and are more than capable of turning the trick here again in this key Big 10 showdown. 

In its five Big Ten wins, Illinois is averaging 75.4 points while holding opponents to 61.0 points.

Underwood is 6-0 ATS in road games versus sub par foul drawing teams - attempting 15  or less free throws/game as the coach of ILLINOIS.

Play on Illinois to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Oklahoma has lost 3 straight and have struggled in Big 12 competition against some of the best teams in the nation,  while Alabama is streaking the other way winning 9 straight tilts . But from a matchup perspective the Sooners have the capabilities to slow Alabama down and to use the crowed noise to their advantage. The Sooners have nine players on the roster average 10 minutes or more so their depth will help them.   Oklahoma is about the same offensively and defensively nationally in efficiency per 100 possessions. I know Sooners dont look remarkable, while  the Tide have opened eyes with their fast paced take  no prisoners style, but like I said the Sooners can compete.  Oklahoma plays at about the same pace as Mississippi state which Alabama barley got by last time out  with a late 3 pointer. ALABAMA is 1-9 ATS L/10 after 8 or more consecutive wins since 1997.

OKLAHOMA is 9-1 ATS  as a home underdog or pick over the last 3 seasons. OKLAHOMA is 13-3 ATS L/16 in home games against SEC opponents.

ALABAMA is 4-16 ATS L/20 in road games against Big 12 conference opponents.

Oklahoma is 3-0 SU/ATS L/3 at home in this series.

Oklahoma to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My projection's make this total closer to 158 giving a 2 possession edge to the over. Queens is averaging just under 90 points per game on offense at home this season, and will attack again with wreck-less abandon at a fast pace, and force Stetson into opening up. This Im betting results in a fairly high scoring affair that eclipses this total. 

QUEENS U - CHAR is 6-0 OVER  versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18 or less free throws/game after 15+ games this season with a combined average of 169.2 ppg scored.

STETSON is 6-0 OVER  after 1 or more consecutive losses this season with a combined average of 157.8 ppg scored.

CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (STETSON) - in a game involving two sub standard  defensive teams (45-47.5%), after a game where a team made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse are 44-12 OVER L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 161.5 ppg scored.

Play on the over 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Both these teams have eclipsed the offered total in their L/4 games and Im betting on another higher scoring affair than the Totals number being offered. North Dakota State has allowed just under 77 points on the road this season while N.Dakota has averaged 77 points on offense in their home games, and Im betting that this aggregate average continues with the visitors doing more than enough damage offensively to get us over this number. 

Sather is 12-4 OVER  in a road game where the total is 140 to 144.5 as the coach of N DAKOTA with a combined average of 149.6 ppg scored.

Sather is 6-0 OVER  in road games after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more as the coach of N DAKOTA with a combined average of 151.3 ppg scored.

N DAKOTA ST in their L/7 home games after one or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 149.1 ppg scored. 

NBA Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (N DAKOTA) - revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more against opponent off a close loss by 3 points or less to a conference rival are 32-10 OVER L/26 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play over

The Bucks rank 18th in offense in the NBA and 6th in ppg allowed and 4th in defensive rating behind a 15th ranked pace. The Bucks Bobby Portis is expected to be out tonight and their offensive flow could easily be off here without his chemistry in the lineup, thus limiting the Bucks explosiveness .After  a successful defensive display by the Bucks  against Denver in a  107-99 win last time out, a similar defensive  formula Im betting will used to slow down the run and gun Pacers who despite of decent offensive output rank just 24th in offensive efficiency. Advantage under.

Under is 5-0 in Bucks last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 4-1 in Bucks last 5 games following a straight up win. Under is 6-2 in Bucks last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 22-8 in Bucks last 30 road games.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 111-49 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (INDIANA) - an good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after a loss by 6 points or less are 31-9 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. 

Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Indiana.

Play UNDER

Bucks will be playing with Portis tonight and Im betting their offensive flow will be interrupted which will see the Bucks play a more defensive brand of slow down hoops that will turn this game into a grinding affair . That Im betting results in a closer margin than the lines-makers are estimating. I know the Bucks plowed down a 132-116 offensive beatdown of the Pacers back on Jan 15th but now I expect the Pacers to be in big time revenge mode and very ready to compete on. a physical  more conservative level . INDIANA is 11-3 ATS in home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points this season.

MILWAUKEE is 1-8 ATS  in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season.

INDIANA is 11-3 ATS  in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season. 

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) - after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games are 50-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. 

Play on Indiana to cover 

  My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

This will be just the seventh all time  meeting between the two schools as the Titans are 6-0 all-time, 5-0 since the Colonials joined the Horizon League including a 87-75 win at home this season .  Im now betting behind the nations top scorer at 26.4 points per game, graduate senior (Antoine Davis) will be the difference maker for the road side.The Titans have shot over 50.0% as a team in each of the last five meetings against Robert Morris posting 50.8%, 50.9% and 55.6% in 2021, 50.9% last year and 52.7% in the match-up two weeks ago. Rinse and repeat on the agenda. 

ROBERT MORRIS is 1-8 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Detroit Mercy to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Niagara was upset by Manhattan as road favs back on Jan 8th and will now be in revenge and redemption mode and ready for payback on their own home floor tonight. 

NIAGARA is 6-0 ATS  in home games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +15.3 ppg. 

Niagara has momentum after a win last time out, - beating St.Peters by a 59-57 count - NIAGARA is 6-0 ATS after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons with a average ppg diff clicking in at +13 ppg. 

Play on Niagara to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Arizona has revenge on board for a embarrassing loss to Washington State at home 74-61 earlier in league play this season as 12 plus point chalk.  Now with redemption at hand you can bet the Wildcats will be wide awake in the rematch and ready to lay down a beating of mammoth proportions. Arizona is 9-1 ATS L/10 at Wash State, and Im betting on another cover this evening by the powerful visitors. It must also be noted that the Cougars are off a another tepid offensive showing last  time out and Im expecting more output issues against this type of shut down D.WASHINGTON ST is 0-8 ATS in home games after scoring 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons. The Cougars have averaged 63.1 ppg in their L/5 games and that just wont get the job done tonight against a side that will be flying in transition.

Play on Arizona to cover 

Spurs will be on tired legs tonight after suffering a loss last night to the LA Lakers and their 3rd road game in 5 nights.  With that said, Im betting on a muted offensive output against a viable D that ranks 3rd in the league in ppg allowed as well as 25th in pace , and that will contribute to a score that does not eclipse this total. Note:   Clippers in their  L14 conference games as hosts have seen only one game eclipse the total. 

LA CLIPPERS are 9-1 UNDER  in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season with a combined average of 206.5 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 15-4 UNDER   in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game this season with a combined average of 215.6 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 18-3 UNDER  ) in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46%  or more this season. LA CLIPPERS are 20-4 UNDER in home games this season with a combined average of 212.2 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 9-0 UNDER   in home games after playing a road game this season with a combined average of 209.2 ppg scored. 

Under is 4-1 in Spurs last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (LA CLIPPERS) - in a game involving two good shooting teams (45.5-47.5%), after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better are 37-17 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles.

Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.

Play UNDER

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My totals projections come in at 157 which gives us a two possession edge on this total being eclipsed. 

SE MISSOURI ST is 9-2 OVER  versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season with a combined average of 159.1 ppg going on the board.

TENNESSEE ST is 8-0 OVER after failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 159 ppg going on the scoreboard.

CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (SE MISSOURI ST) - after a home game where both teams scored 75 points or more against opponent off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a road favorite are 29-4 OVER L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 164.1 ppg scored. 

Play over

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

SIUE comes into this road matchup following back-to-back home defeats last weekend.. The Cougars dropped a 67-58 decision to Morehead State last Thursday before falling to Southern Indiana in an 82-72 contest on Saturday and lack momentum at a critical time vs a Tennessee Tech side that has revenge on board for a earlier loss this season to SIUE on the road. Tenn Tech has won 5 of their L/6 overall, and have owned this series at home winning 6 of the L/7 matchups.Im betting home court advantage prevails in a cover opportunity. 

SIU EDWARDSVL is 0-6 ATS  when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 3 seasons.

CBB team (SIU EDWARDSVL) - excellent FT shooting team (73% or more ) against a good FT shooting team (69-73%) after 15+ games, after a game - attempting 20+ less free throws than opponent are 6-23 L/5 seasons for. go against 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Tennessee Tech to cover 

The Lakers are off a rivalry game agains the LA Clippers last night that ended in a DD loss  and are on tired legs vs a Greg Popovich group that triple revenge on board vs LAL .Spurs head coach Greg Popovich is 8-0 ATS in his last eight opportunities when seeking same-season triple revenge.LA LAKERS are 3-11 ATS   after a loss by 10 points or more this season.

Play on San Antonio Spurs to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My projections make this total closer to 141 giving us a full 2 possession value to the over  on the current offering.

Ben is 8-1 OVER  in home games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less after 15+ games as the coach of MINNESOTA with a combined average of 141.9 ppg scored.Ben is 8-1 OVER  in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games as the coach of MINNESOTA with a combined average of 142.6 ppg scored.MINNESOTA is 11-2 OVER  in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 142.8 ppg scored.

CBB Road teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (INDIANA) - after scoring 80 points or more in a win over a conference rival, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a bad team (20% to 40%) are 33-7 OVER L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. 

CBB Road teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (INDIANA) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a losing record are 51-18 OVER L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play over

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Auburn’s 28-game home win streak is the longest in the nation and Im betting it continues tonight against Texas A&M as the home side has revenge for a loss they suffered in the SEC tourney last season. Note: Auburn has cashed 8 of their L/9 ATS revenge scenarios from a SEC tourney defeat. Tigers  beat Texas A&M at home last season 75-58 .

AUBURN is 9-2 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams - making 45% or better of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Auburn to cover 

 The Nuggets have been playing top tier hoops in the NBA since early December. Denver has won 20 of 24 to move within a half-game of Boston for the best record in the NBA and deserve respect here as underdogs.Meanwhile,  the Bucks are coming off a 150-point performance in a win at Detroit on Monday night and now go into a natural regressionary state at an inopportune time as the streaking Nuggets come to town. Note: Nuggets won last night 99-98 , -  Denver is  6-1 ATS  on the road with no rest vs non-conference opposition. 

Nuggets are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Bucks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Bucks are 2-10-1 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

NBA team (MILWAUKEE) - in a game involving two average free throw shooting teams (72-76%), after a game making 19 or more 3 point shots are 9-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate.

NBA Underdogs (DENVER) - after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 130 points or more are 29-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate.

Denver has won and covered the L/2 meetings in Denver. – Series visitor 4-0 L4 ATS. 

Play on Denver to cover 

Pelicans are struggling but their opponents have a way of falling apart against lower tier teams or those that are not at the top of their game as is evident by recent losses to Houston and Detroit. I know the Pelicans played last night but they are a well conditioned group and now in desperation mode at home and  Im betting will come up with a strong covering effort as short favs.  Green is 26-13 ATS  after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games as the coach of NEW ORLEANS. 

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - poor defensive team - allowing 114+ points/game on the season against opponent after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games 4-29 L/5 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate .

NBA Road underdogs (MINNESOTA) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 13-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate.

Play on New Orleans to cover 

Pacers played last night and are now on tired legs. Indiana 7-0 OVER  with no rest vs conference opposition and that will Im betting once again be the case tonight. Over is 4-1 in Pacers last 5 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes on the previous day.

Meanwhile, Orlando dominated the NBA-leading Boston Celtics on Monday, 113-98, behind a balanced offensive effort and stifling defensive performance and now in a regressionary state will find it hard to muster up as much physicality as last time which Im betting results in mucho chances for their opposition in transition. Over is 6-0 in Magic last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.

Over is 9-1 in Magic last 10 games following a ATS win.Over is 6-1 in Magic last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.INDIANA is 18-5 OVER in road games against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 241 ppg scored in those 23 tilts. 

INDIANA is 27-14 OVER versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better  of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 239.2 ppg scored. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (ORLANDO) - revenging 2 straight losses where opp scored 100 or more points, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 47-18 OVER L/26 seasons for a 72% conversion rate.

Play over 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Temple upset Houston last time out, and now Im expecting Houston to be in full blown redemption mode , and to open up their offense in more aggressive fashion after a grinding 56-55 defeat. This will force a capable UCF offense into opening up or be blown off the court. When these teams met back in the end of the December the Cougars took a 71-65 victory and a rinse and repeat type of offensive output by both sides is expected 

Sampson is 12-4 OVER  in a road game where the total is 129.5 or less as the coach of HOUSTON with a combined average of 133.4 ppg scored.

CBB Road teams where the total is 129.5 or less (HOUSTON) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 39-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 133.2 ppg scored.

CFB Home teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (UCF) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite are 39-13 L/26 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 133.5 ppg scored.

Play over 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Lehigh has won 6 straight games and enter this tilt with momentum. According to my power rankings the Mountain Hawks matchup well here.  The Mountain Hawks claimed the first meeting inside Stabler Arena on Jan. 11 (76-58) and are a viable short fav to earn the season sweep of the Crusaders.Lehigh had won four straight matchups before falling to the Crusaders last year in the Hart Center on Jan. 28, 2022 (67-65) to split the season series a year ago.LEHIGH is 7-1 ATS  against conference opponents this season.LEHIGH is 7-0 ATS  versus teams who average 33 or less rebounds/game on the season after 15+games over the last 2 seasons.LEHIGH is 6-0 ATS   versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game after 15+ games this season. 

Play on Lehigh to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.

AIR FORCE is 8-2 OVER  after playing a game as an underdog this season with a combined average score of 139 ppg scored.

CBB Road teams where the total is 129.5 or less (AIR FORCE) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 38-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB teams where the total is 129.5 or less (SAN JOSE ST) - off a close loss by 3 points or less to a conference rival, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 41-18 OVER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned

The last three meetings between Tech and Clemson at Littlejohn Coliseum have been decided by a total of eight points. The game-winning winning points were scored with 15, 1 and 14 seconds on the clock, respectively. Mark Twain once said that “History never repeats itself, but it does often rhymes. Note:Tech leads the ACC in three-point defense, allowing 29.2 percent from distance this season in all games and Im betting it is this that will help them stay within the number tonight. 

GTech to cover 

The Nuggets had a long winning streak abruptly end vs Oklahoma City last time out, and Im betting 2 losses in a row are not out of the question. The Pelicans according to my power rankings matchup well vs the Nuggets as was the case earlier this season when the Pelicans crushed the Nuggets by DDs. Also we have a Pelicans side that is in desperation mode after 4 straight losses and ready to compete in a big way at home tonight where they are 17-6 SU this season. 

DENVER is 17-33 ATS  revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons. Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Green is 26-13 ATS   after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games as the coach of NEW ORLEANS. 

NBA Home favorites (NEW ORLEANS) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 34-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. 

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (DENVER) - off a loss against a division rival, on Tuesday nights are 1-29 L/5 seasons for a 97% conversion rate. 

Play on New Orleans to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.

Last week, NIU won at Miami and at Eastern Michigan as the Huskies improved to 3-3 in conference play and are playing with enough confidence to remain competitive vs the MACs strongest team, Kent State.

CBB road team (KENT ST) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a top-level team (80% or more ) playing a team with a losing record are just 6-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors.

Northern 

Illinois to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.

 Eastern Michigan has found great success from the free throw line this year with the Eagles converting 74.3 percent, which ranks fourth in the MAC. Through 19 games played (Jan. 21), the Eagles have made their way to the charity stripe 20+ times in 10 games, including in five of the last six games, in which Eastern is converting at 75.6 percent clip. This will be a key component for us to get the cover tonight. 

E MICHIGAN is 8-0 ATS  when the opening  total is 160 or more  since 1997.

Eastern Michigan to cover 

Charlottes won their L/2 road games  and deserve respect here as underdogs vs a inconsistent Utah side that is finally coming back down to earth after an extremely fast start to the campaign. The Jazz just 5-9 SU L/14 overall. 

UTAH is 7-15 ATS as a favorite this season. UTAH is 22-34 ATS as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons.

UTAH is 10-26 ATS  versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or better  assists/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Underdogs (CHARLOTTE) - struggling defensive team - allowing 114+ points/game on the season, after 3 straight games where both teams scored 115 points or more are 34-9 ATS L/27 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Charlotte to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned

DELAWARE ST is 13-4 UNDER L/17 vs. teams who are called for 3+ more fouls/game than their opponents with a combined average of 130.7 ppg scored. 

S CAROLINA ST is 12-2 UNDER L/14 versus teams who average 33 or less rebounds/game on the season after 15+games with a combined average of 132.4 ppg scored.

CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (DELAWARE ST) - after 5 or more consecutive losses, in a game involving two struggling  teams (20% or worse ) are 31-9 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 135.8 ppg scored.

Play UNDER

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.

Morgan State had a 6 game win streak end abruptly end last time out in DD, beatdown vs Howard on the road. However, now here t home in a big game against conference front runner Norfolk State Im expecting a big bounce back and competitive tilt from the Bears. Note: Morgan has started the 2022-23 season 7-0 at home and now have  10 consecutive victories at the Hill Field House.

Jones is 1-9 ATS  in road games versus good shooting teams - making 45% or better  of their shots after 15+ games as the coach of NORFOLK ST.

( The Bears are No. 3 in the MEAC shooting 47.1 percent from the field and No. 2 from beyond the arc (.376).)

Play on Morgan St to cover

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.

My projections suggest a combined score of 140 points which gives us a two possession advantage to the under.

CHICAGO ST is 8-1 UNDER versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season with a combined average of 137.3 ppg scored. CHICAGO ST is 11-3 UNDER when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 138.3 ppg scored. CHICAGO ST is 10-2 UNDER L/12 in a road game where the total is 140 to 144.5 with a combined average of 135.3 ppg scored.

Ellis is 22-11 UNDER in home games after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers as the coach of COASTAL CAROLINA with a combined average of 138.6 ppg going on the scoreboard in that 33 game sample size. 

CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (COASTAL CAROLINA) - after scoring 80 points or more in a win over a conference rival, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a bad team (20 to 40%) are 25-8 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 85% conversion rate with a combined average of 133.5 ppg scored.

Play UNDER

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned

Coach K’ is no long er at the helm of this top tier Duke program but the team is still viable and must not be underestimated as dogs with revenge on board for a regular season 15-point  beatdown they took VTech last season in the beloved coaches farewell campaign. Now with redemption on hand look for the Blue Devils to get the job done in revenge mode vs a Hokies side that has lost 7 straight games. Young is 4-15 ATS  after 2 or more consecutive losses as the coach of VIRGINIA TECH.

Duke has held 17 of the 19 opponents to below their season scoring average and  is 14-3 in those games. Seven scored their then-season low for points, including holding Iowa to a then-season-low 62, Xavier to 64 (20 points below its average) and Miami to a season-low tying 66 (12 off its scoring average).Duke's strong defensive numbers come against a schedule rated 24th-toughest versus opponent offenses . Defense Im betting gets us the cover. Young is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less after 15+ games as the coach of VIRGINIA TECH. 

VIRGINIA TECH is 0-9 ATS  off a road loss against a conference rival over the last 2 season.

VIRGINIA TECH is 0-7 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season.

VIRGINIA TECH is 1-11 ATS versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season.

DUKE in 8 tilts against conference opponents this season have seen aggregate scores that are essentially even at 70 points each. 

 Play on Duke to cover 

The Lakers continue to just go through the motions , there seems to be no urgency in this LA team that depends far to much on often injured  aging super stars James and Davis who both not expected to play tonight. The Lakers mediocrity is evident by  ranking No. 27 in Defensive Scoring and 22nd overall in Offensive Rebounds. Yes, they have shown flashes of brilliance , like last time out, against Memphis winning a 122-121 slugfest , but its not uncommon for them to come off a big win with a letdown down effort something Im betting on here today vs the Blazers. LA LAKERS are 19-35 ATS off a home win over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PORTLAND) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42 or more games, after a loss by 10 points or more are 33-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Portland to cover 

After putting only 90 points on the board in a loss to Dallas last time out on the road, Im now betting on more aggressive Heat performance in the offensive end of the court. In a recent effort the Heat beat the Pelicans by a 123-99 count and Im expecting a similar output here today and for the Pelicans to have to open up to keep pace in a game I have projected to eclipse this total.

NEW ORLEANS is 11-3 OVER  as a road underdog this season with a combined average of 133.8 ppg scored.NEW ORLEANS is 17-7 OVER   when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season with a combined average of 231.4 ppg scored. 

Over is 8-3 in Pelicans last 11 road games.

Over is 4-1 in Heat last 5 games following a straight up loss. Miami has gone over in 5 straight games at home in 1/1 rest situation  vs non-conference opposition. 

NBA Home teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (MIAMI) - off an upset loss of 15 points or more as a road favorite are 29-7 OVER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play over 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

The Shockers have won five straight in this series  have won all three AAC era visits to Moody. Note: WSU had held 12 of its first 17 opponents under 40% shooting (.372 collectively). Against a SMU side that owns  39.1% FG conversion rate over their L/5 the Shockers have an edge. 

SMU is 3-14 ATS  versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 season

WICHITA ST is 10-0 ATS  in a road game where the total is 130 to 134.5 over the last 3 seasons

Play on Wichita State to cover .

Dallas has momentum here after a conclusive home win vs the Miami Heat last time out, and now with revenge on board vs A Clippers side that  beat them by DD last week on the road  will be motivated to keep their current energy moving upward and get redemption in the process. 

DALLAS is 26-13 ATS  revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Clippers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Clippers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games.

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (DALLAS) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a home blowout win by 20 points or more are 36-4 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Dallas to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

The Catamounts have won by an average margin of 14.7 points per game in their three conference victories and have held opponents to a 38.8% field goal percentage, and 25.4% three-point percentage.The Cats are 4-1 at home, and have outscored opponents by 14.4 points per game at Patrick Gym.Vermont earned victories in all three games against NJIT last season, including a 98-59 victory in the 2022 America East Quarterfinals. Key players tonight , Aaron Deloney averaged 13.7 points per game and a 63.6% three-point percentage against Tech last seasons, and he will be key what Im betting will be another conclusive victory in this series.

VERMONT is 10-2 ATS in home games when playing against a struggling  team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%) after 15 or more games with the average ppg diff clicking in at +15.4 ppg. 

Play on Vermont to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My projections make this total closer to 139 giving us a full one possession plus edge to the under.

C CONN ST is 11-2 UNDER  when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 128 ppg scored C CONN ST is 8-1 UNDER in road games versus struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 128.3 ppg scored. C CONN ST is 10-1 UNDER  in January games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 130.2 ppg scored. C CONN ST is 8-0 UNDER (+8.0 Units) after a blowout loss by 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 128.4 ppg going on the board.

LONG ISLAND is 16-7 UNDER  when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons,

LONG ISLAND is 6-0 UNDER (+6.0 Units) after a game giving up 5 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 134.9 ppg scored.

CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (LONG ISLAND) - after 5 or more consecutive losses, in a game involving two terrible teams (20% or less) are 30-9 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Pacific to cover (LATE STEAM)

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

CBB team (TEXAS A&M CC) - excellent FT shooting team (73% or better ) against a good FT shooting team (69-73%) after 15+ games, after a game - attempting 20+ less free throws than opponent are 6-22 L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Houston Christian to cover 

The Cavaliers crashed and burned last night as favorites as they their defense failed them. Im betting things wont get much better tonight, and in return the Cavs will have to open up against a foe that can put points on the board in hurry. Everything points to the Cavs tired legs not allowing them to be physical and for Milwaukee to push forward with extreme prejudice which Im betting results in a high scoring affair. 

CLEVELAND is 15-7 OVER  when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season.

MILWAUKEE is 8-1 OVER  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season with a combined average of 233.5 ppg scored. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (CLEVELAND) - good free throw shooting team (76-79%) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 47% or better of their shots are 36-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (MILWAUKEE) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a good defensive team (104-108 PPG) after 42+ games, after scoring 130 points or more are 33-10 L/26 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play over

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (TEXAS SOUTHERN /ALABAMA A&M) - in a game involving two average shooting teams (42.5-45%) after 15+ games, in a game involving two average ball handling team (14.5-17.5 TO's) are 32-2 OVER L/26 seasons for a 94% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play OVER

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

UCLA is an explosive side and deserve respect here vs Arizona . The Bruins are unbeaten in conference play with an 8-0 record and are in revenge mode for a loss they suffered to the Wildcats in last years PAC 12 tournament. Note:0-9 SU S at home in this series when UCLA is in  revenge mode and Im betting that trend stays alive when the final buzzer goes off this afternoon.

Play on UCLA to cover

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

CBB Home favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (STETSON) - off a close loss by 3 points or less to a conference rival, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a bad team (20 to 40%) are 71-5 L/5 seasons for a 94% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in  at +10.9 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering.

Play on Stetson 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Both these sides are off losses. Kansas lost to Kansas state and TCU who previously beat Kansas State lost on a letdown effort vs West Virginia . Both will be primed for a bounce back. TCU is being under rate here while Kansas despite of big time winning record have taken part in a lot of close affairs lately are looking mortal.
KANSAS is 3-12 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% or better of their shots after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

TCU is 10-2 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons

CBB Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (KANSAS) - a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG), after a loss by 6 points or less RE 15-36 ATS L/5 SEASONS for a go against 71% conversion rate.

Play on TCU

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Kelsey is 2-10 ATS  L/12 after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more in all games he has coached .

Coen is 16-6 ATS  versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game after 15+ games as the coach of NORTHEASTERN.

CBB road team (COLL OF CHARLESTON) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a top-level team (80% or better ) playing a team with a losing record are 5-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against for a 87% go against conversion rate.

Play on Northeastern to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Boise State is currently  the top hoops program in the Mountain West at both ends of the floor and Im betting nothing changes tonight. I know New Mexico has played some top level ball of late, and have a signature win vs San Diego State , but it was Aztecs foul troubles that doomed them in that tilt and help New Mexico get the win. Here tonight against the disciplined Broncos they wont have that advantage. 

Broncos are 22-7-1 ATS in their last 30 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Broncos are 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Lobos are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.

CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (BOISE ST) - after beating the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games, on Friday nights are 32-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate.

Play on Boise State to cover 

The Brooklyn Nets now playing without their injured star Durant have now lost 4 straight games and are now on tired legs after playing and losing to the Suns last night and are now extremely vulnerable to being beat up on by a Utah side that is 20-7 SU and 19-8 ATS L/27 meetings , including 6-0 ATS when the Nets are playing back to backs.  Meanwhile the  Nets are 0-2 SUATS this season while coming in to a tilt against a non conference opponent  with no rest .BROOKLYN is 1-8 ATS  in road games after a non-conference game this season.

UTAH is 11-2 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season.UTAH is 17-3 ATS in home games after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Utah to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My projections estimate a combined score closer to 163 giving us a 2 full possession value to the under in what should be a fairly physical MAC clash. Both these sides are off huge offensive outputs last time out with Toledo hitting the 90 point plateau on top tier 3 point shooting while Buffalo smashed out 100 plus points. Now Im betting on offensive regression. Note: TOLEDO L/51 games  after a game where they made 50% of their 3 point shots or better haver seen a combined average score of 142.3 ppg going on the board.

BUFFALO is 11-3 UNDER  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 147.1 ppg scored.

CBB teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (BUFFALO) - after going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games are 32-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at 154.2 ppg. 

Play UNDER

After a negative 6 game road trip that saw the Mavs lose 5 of 6 games, Im betting it will take the tired jet lagged hosts time to get acclimated to home cooking again a, mkaking them  vulnerable against a Miami side that is beginning to play a top tier form of hoops as is evident by notching victories in 4 of their L/5 including a road win against the New Orleans Pelicans last time out. DALLAS is 3-12 ATS  in non-conference games this season.

DALLAS is 2-11 ATS after failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread this season.

Spoelstra is 30-16 ATS ( in road games vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of MIAMI.

NBA Home underdogs (DALLAS) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, on Friday night are 15-45 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Miami to cover 

After a hard fought affair in Boston last night the Warriors will be on tired legs and far from ready to run and gun vs a Cleveland side that will be primed to slow this game down to a pace they they can handle. This Im betting results in a lower scoring affair that stays on the low side of this offering. note: Cleveland ranks 30th in pace in No.1 in ppg allowed in the league.

GOLDEN STATE is 20-9 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 214.8 ppg. 

CLEVELAND is 9-1 UNDER  in home games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 203.7 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (GOLDEN STATE) - a good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against an avg. offensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after a loss by 6 points or less are 29-8 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

This game has important  implications for Big East Tournament seeding and NCAA tournament placement. The advantage however, goes to St.Johns as hosts playing a uptempo pace, creating a chaotic situation for most teams, and that will be especially evident vs a side like the Wildcats who continually looked flustered on D, allowing open shot after open shot. Note: The /Storm have covered 71% of their L/17 games as hosts in this series vs Villanova ... Add in revenge for a loss on the road to Villanova earlier this season, and you have a viable opportunity to lay points and cash a ticket.

CBB team (ST JOHNS) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off an upset win as a road underdog of 12 points or more are 108-59 ATS L/26 seasons for a 65% conversion rate.

Play on St.Johns to cover

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

CAL SAN DIEGO is 25-12 OVER  against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 143.2 ppg.

CAL POLY-SLO is 22-7 OVER in home games after 4 or more consecutive losses with a combined average of 149.4 ppg scored.

CBB Road teams where the total is 129.5 or less (CAL SAN DIEGO) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 36-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play over 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

FL Atlantic is on a roll but this according to my projections is just to many points to lay with them on the road vs a  UTSA side that has a buy low sign written all over them.

FLA ATLANTIC is 14-28 ATS L/42  in road games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game.

TX-SAN ANTONIO is 27-13 ATS L/40 in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games.

TX-SAN ANTONIO is 9-0 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

CBB road team (FLA ATLANTIC) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a top-level team (>=80%) playing a team with a losing record are 4-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on UTSA to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

N DAKOTA is 16-6 OVER  L/22 versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or better  after 15+ games  with a combined average of 150.4 ppg scored.N DAKOTA is 7-1 OVER  after playing a road game this season with a combined averageof 

MISSOURI-KC is 11-1 OVER versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 155.2 ppg scored.MISSOURI-KC is 6-0 OVER  in road games versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game this season with a combined average of 143.8 ppg scored. MISSOURI-KC is 6-0 OVER  in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game this season with a combined average of 141.7 ppg going on the scoreboard. MISSOURI-KC is 16-3 OVER  versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 season with a combined average of 147.2 ppg scored.

CBB teams where the total is 129.5 or less (MISSOURI-KC) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 32-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at 133.1 ppg.

 The Clippers have gone  9-0 OVER L/9 on the road vs sub par .500 opposition like the Jazz  and have eclipsed the total in 10 of their L/12 with not  rest vs non-division  foes  like the Jazz.( clippers played Philly last night and will now be on tired legs and less prepared to play a defensive affair vs a run and gun opponent in Salt Lake city tonight.  Meanwhile,  Utah: 5-0 OVER home vs unrested opposition like the Clippers and  only 1 of their  L8 meetings vs the Clippers has failed to eclipse the total. 

Over is 4-1 in Clippers last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.

Over is 12-3-1 in Clippers last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Over is 7-2 in Clippers last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Over is 5-0 in Jazz last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 5-0 in Jazz last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 6-1 in Jazz last 7 overall.

NBA team (LA CLIPPERS) - in a game involving two good free throw shooting teams (76-79%), hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47%or more  of their shots are 82-44 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play over

The Cavaliers have gradually put together a winning and viable team, and are playing their best hoops  since the departure of LeBron James. With the Cavs starting to form into a competitive side especially with Donovan Mitchell now in the fold Im betting we see them at their best  tonight agains the explosive Grizzlies  team that the Cavs were built to compete with. Cavaliers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Cavaliers are 21-9 ATS in the last 30 meetings.

Cavaliers are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Memphis.

NBA Home teams (MEMPHIS) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%) after 42+ games, hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50%  or better of their shots are 63-108 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Cleveland Cavaliers to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

CINCINNATI is 14-4 OVER  after allowing 55 points or less in a win against a conference rival last time out which was the case in a very physical grinding affair vs SMU last time out in a 54-52 victory. Now Im expecting a more wide open style of game as that tilt will exhausting and natural on the road against a USF side that plays a more wide open style of hoops. This Im betting leads to a much higher scoring tilt that the lines makers are estimating.

S FLORIDA is 11-2 OVER  versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season with a combined average of 145.4 ppg. S FLORIDA is 7-1 OVER as an underdog this season with a combined average of 174.4 ppg.

CBB Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (CINCINNATI) - off a road no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a losing record are 47-10 OVER L/26 seasons for a 84% conversion rate with a combined average of 155.7 ppg scored.

Play OVER

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

UTC ranks 26th in NCAA DI with a 38.3% three-point FG percentage and this will be key to getting by an explosive Furman offense.Entering NCAA DI action on Tuesday (1/17), Chattanooga ranks No. 1 in NCAA Division I behind an 11.9 three-pointers per game average.

FURMAN is 1-9 ATS  in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or better of their attempts over the last 3 seasons. 

FURMAN is 0-8 ATS  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season.

CBB  team (FURMAN) - excellent FT shooting team (73% or better) against a good FT shooting team (69-73%) after 15+ games, after a game - attempting 20+ less free throws than opponent are 5-23 L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Chattanooga to cover/win

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

After a fast start to their campaign Connecticut is finally fallen back down to earth. Im betting the decent continues tonight vs  revenge minded and under rated Seton Hall that lost to the Huskies in last seasons big East tourney. If Uconn do win it wont come easily.  CONNECTICUT is 1-9 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. 

CONNECTICUT is 3-15 ATS  after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

 Holloway is 10-2 AT versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots after 15+ games in all games he has coached since 1997.

Play on Seton Hall to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My projections estimate a combined score of closer to 147 which gives us a full two possession advantage on this offering. 

BUCKNELL is 13-3 OVER in road games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 157 ppg.

BUCKNELL is 10-2 OVER  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 149.1 ppg scored.BUCKNELL is 20-8 OVER (+11.2 Units) as a road underdog or pick over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 150 ppg scored.

 ARMY is 7-1 OVER when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season with a combined average of 157 ppg scored.

CBB Road teams against the total (BUCKNELL) - excellent free throw shooting team (73% or better) against a good free throw shooting team (69-73%), in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game) after 15+ games are 45-15 OVER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at 149.1 ppg scored.

Play OVER

76ers are on tired legs as they play their 3rd game in 4 nights and their 3rd straight road game  and have now played 8 games in 2 weeks making them one very exhausted side.  PHILADELPHIA is 0-7 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days this season. The Clippers now have the edge the need to get a win  on their own home court where they have played their best hoops this season.

76ers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points against opponent off 2 consecutive road wins by 5 points or less are 34-15 L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points against opponent off 2 consecutive road wins by 5 points or less are 53-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. 

Play on the Clippers to cover

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned

UNLV has struggled defensively in conference play so far, allowing 75,76,77, 84, and 82 points losing all 4 of 5 games so far, and now take on   a home side Utah State that has scored at least 80 points in 10 of its 18 games, including a season-high 106 points against Westminster. Utah State is 31-9 under Odom when scoring at least 70 points and is a perfect 22-0 under Odom when scoring at least 80 points. My projections estimate a close to 80 point output by the Aggies and a DD win and cover. The L/3 meetings in this series have seen Utah State decisively win by scores of 90-75, 74-53, both at home and 83-74. Rinse and repeat on board for tonight.

UTAH ST is 11-4 ATS  as a favorite this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.3 ppg.

Utah state to cover

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.

In the last four games, the Eagles are averaging 20 trips to the free throw line and are converting at an 80.0 percent clip. For the year, EMU is hitting at 76.7 clip, which ranks second in the MAC and 14th nationally. The Eagles ability to get to the charity stripe Im betting gives us an edge on covering this number with the home dog.

Senderoff is 21-35 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games as the coach of KENT ST.

CBB road team (KENT ST) - after going under the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games, a top-level team (80% or better ) playing a team with a losing record are 9-36 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors.

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.

Tennessee is off a hard fought physical affair and upset 63-56 loss vs Kentucky last time out and will now be primed for a rebound and redemption minded effort . I know that Miss state will try to slow this game down to a grind, but the Vols will be hell bent on playing more aggressive and a more wide open style of hoops in transition, and Mississippi State will have to open up or be blown of the court. It must be noted Tennessee popped 87 points on the board at home in these teams first meeting this season.

Barnes is 24-7 OVER  in road games versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 39% or better after 15+ games in all games he has coached since 1997 with a combined average of 148.1 ppg scored.

 TENNESSEE L/24 games after a combined score of 125 points or less over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average score of 140.5 ppg scored.

 CBB home teams where the total is 129.5 or less (MISSISSIPPI ST) - poor shooting team (40-42.5%) against an excellent defensive team (40% or worse) after 15+ games are 43-12 OVER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors wtht a combined average of 134.5 ppg scored.

CBB teams where the total is 129.5 or less (TENNESSEE) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 31-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate with a combined average of 133.2 ppg scored.

Play on the OVER 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My rejections estimate a combined score of 144 or more giving us a full possession cushion this total with over position. 

CBB Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (ALABAMA ST) - poor rebounding team (-3 to -6 Reb/G) vs. a horrible rebounding team (6 or less Reb/G) - 15+ games are 29-5 OVER L/26 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play OVER

The Miami Heat, who are on a three game winning streak and forming in top top tier form, Im betting will extend its recent dominance over the host Atlanta Hawks when they meet on Monday as part of the Martin Luther King Jr. Day festivities. The Heat have won 6 of the L/7 meetings losing only once by 1 point. 

McMillan is 10-24 ATS  off an upset win as an underdog as the coach of ATLANTA.

ATLANTA is 3-16 ATS  off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 season.( Beat the Raptors last time out)

NBA Home underdogs vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - revenging a loss vs opponent, off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog are 5-37 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate.

Play on Miami to cover

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Michigan State lost to Purdue in the semifinals of the Big Ten tourney last season and Tom Izzo and company have this game circled on their calendar for a while now and will be primed for payback on their home court.

Michigan State has won seven of its last eight games and enters the game on Monday with a 12-5 overall record, including a 4-2 mark in Big Ten play and will not easily fold here.

PURDUE is 11-22 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Michigan State to cover

The Thunder can no longer surprise teams that have in the past over looked them. Now with that advantage gone , Im betting on the  Brooklyn Nets being wide awake and ready to really bring the hammer down on their young talented visiting group in decisive fashion. Especially after losing to Boston last time out at home. With that said, Im betting this will be a situation that sees the Nets take out their frustrations on the Thunder. 

Nets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 2 days rest.Nets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.Nets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-14 ATS  after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (BROOKLYN) - after having won 2 of their last 3 games, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days are  31-6 ATS  L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate.

Play on Brooklyn Nets to cover 

Both these teams are struggling with the Rockets on a 9 game losing streak while the Clippers have lost 7 of their L/8 overall.  I know Houston has been smashed by the Clippers three times this season, but Im betting this young Houston group will be prepared for redemption today and a competitive showing.  The old adage enough is enough will be the Rockets moto today. LA CLIPPERS are 8-25 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road teams (HOUSTON) - struggling  defensive team - allowing 114+ points/game on the season, after 2 straight blowout losses by 15 points or more are 31-10 L/26 seasons for a 76% conversion rate.

Play on the Houston Rockets to cover

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Ohio State has lost 3 straight and playing in the difficult road environment Im betting will not see them stop the bleeding. After suffering a rare home loss to Iowa last time out Im expecting the Scarlet Knights to come out here with a top tier effort and get us the cover.

RUTGERS is 11-0 ATS  in home games versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more  of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Rutgers to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Connecticut started strong this season with a 14-0 run but are just 4-3 in conference play . Meanwhile, St.Johns just ended a losing string with a win vs Butler last time out. Both sides need a win badly and Im betting that this will be a rock fight and hard fought battle. The Johnnies have had done well vs UConn lately cashing at a 6-0-1 ATS rate in their L/7 meetings and Im betting on a rinse repeat situation today.ST JOHNS is 9-2 ATSin road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more  of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.ST JOHNS is 6-0 ATS in road games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons.CONNECTICUT is 3-14 ATS after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.Hurley is 5-16 ATS  after playing 5 consecutive games as favorite as the coach of CONNECTICUT.

Play on St.Johns to cover

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My own projection makes this line closer to 160 giving us a two possession cushion on a under wager. 

Smart is 19-7 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive overs in all games he has coached since 1997 with a combined average of 139 points per game going on the scoreboard.

CBB Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 (XAVIER) - explosive offensive team - scoring 84+ points/game on the season, after allowing 85 points or more are 29-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for 85% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Portland has lost 5 straight games and Im betting that trend continues tonight vs a superior side off a momentum building road win last time out at Los Angles vs the Lakers. Dallas has won 3 of their 4 here in Portland and get the nod again. 

From a SRS perspective . Dallas ranks 11th in the NBA 1,29 mark while Portland ranks 19th -0.34 .  

SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. 

  PORTLAND is 8-17 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots this season. Billups is 18-35 ATS v after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games as the coach of PORTLAND. 

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PORTLAND) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 8-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate.

Play on Dallas to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (UT-CHATTANOOGA) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or more ) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or better ), after a game where a team made 60% of their shots or better are 32-5 ATS L/23 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Chattanooga to cover