The Toronto Raptors spanked the Atlanta Hawks a two weeks ago when they visited Canada  by a lopsided 128-84 count. This tale of the tape is of two teams moving in opposite directions, as the Raps have won 10 of their L/11 and a Hawks side that has lost 10 of their L/13 after a 9-2 start. However, despite of these teams current form, Im focusing on a desperate side, ( Atlanta) that was embarrassed in their last matchup vs the Raptors as mentioned above. A measure of a teams fortitude and the quality of their coach, is what sets slumping teams apart from bottom feeders. Even though the Hawks are stuck in quick sand at the moment, it  does not mean they are not capable of playing a big time game in an effort to gain back some long lost dignity. You have to remember that the Hawks, are made up of guys that were stars at every level of basketball they competed in, and pros never like to be embarrassed.

Atlanta 's HC Budenholzer is 86-62 ATS L/148 when playing against a team with a winning record. 

Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Washington Wizards used a physical brand of basketball for an big time  win vs the Charlotte Hornets in their last outing which sets up well for their meeting with Stan VanGundys Motown crew..My won matchup discrepancy charts tell me a story of a Washington team that can compete and beat a team like the Detroit Pistons. Washington has 4 straight here at home in this series, and Im betting on another victory tonight.

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Wizards - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against a good 3PT defense (33% or less), in a game involving two good ball handling team (14.5 TO's or less) are a bankroll expanding 103-59 ATS for a 64% conversion rate.

Play on the Washington Wizards to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Miami is off  a huge win last time out,  clobbering SC State vy a 82-46 count, but the Canes have a history of failure for their betting backers in the followup, as they are 1-9 ATS L/10 in home games after a blowout win by 30 points or more. Florida Atlantic upended Ohio State last time out, by a 79-77 count and this program has proven in the recent past the big name teams don;t scare them as is evident by

FLA ATLANTICs  14-4 ATS L/18 mark when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last few seasons, and are 9-1 ATS versus top tier teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game.

Florida Atlantic to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Milwaukee Bucks and  Chicago Bulls  prepare to face off on back-to-back nights, beginning this Thursday. The key to this game will be the Bucks ability to stop the downtown three shots, as they rank 2nd in the league in stopping  3s. The Bulls are dead last in the league shooting the trey, (30.7%) and do a majority of their work on the inside, where HC Kidd and company are well prepared to be physical. The Bucks have lost three straight but are 21-10 ATS L/31 after 2 or more consecutive losses and get the nod here in this spot as short home favorites.

Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Milwaukee Bucks ranked 12th in pae and 13th in defensive rating  and  Chicago Bulls who rank 21 in pace in the league and 8th in Defensive ratings,    prepare to face off on back-to-back nights, beginning this Thursday.  Because of the divisional rivalry, and the difficulty of playing two games into two nights against the same side, both coaches will not be inclined to run and gun. The key to this game will be the Bucks ability to stop the downtown shots from beyond the arc, as they rank 2nd in the league in stopping  3s. The Bulls are dead last in the league shooting the trey, (30.7%) and do a majority of their work on the inside, where HC Kidd and company are well prepared to be physical. With that said, Im expecting a hard fought inside affair, that remains on the low side of the number.

CHICAGO is 14-4 UNDER L/18 when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) with the average combined score clicking in at 198.8 ppg and is is 18-6 UNDER L/24 in road games vs. division opponents with an average of 194.9 ppg getting scored.Under is 20-7-2 in Bulls last 29 road games.Under is 9-4 in Bucks last 13 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

 East Carolina has covered only one of their L/6 home games, and are far from solid favs. I expect the more experienced College of Charleston to have the advantage here between two similar defensive sides. COLL OF CHARLESTON is 42-25 ATS L/67 in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or better.COLL OF CHARLESTON is 29-9 ATS L/38 in road games in December games.

Play on the College of Charleston to cover 1 unit reg selection  

Arkansas State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

East Tennessee State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Heat conclusively ended  a five-game losing streak by defeating the Washington Wizards 112-101 on Monday night and Im betting they are ready to turn the trick again this Tuesday night versus a very inconsistent Indiana team. I know the Heat are without the injured Waiters and Winslow, but this team is still more capable than many pundits believe. Meanwhile, Indiana has some key injury issues of their own and  will be without starting guard Monta Ellis (groin), who has been ruled out for this three-game road trip. Reserve guard Rodney Stuckey (knee) is questionable and less than 100% after being hurt against the Hornets this past weekend, and he will be missed. From a trends perspective is must be noted, that INDIANA is 1-13 ATS L/14 in road games after scoring 110 points or more over the last 2 seasons and 0-7 ATS after one or more consecutive wins, this season. ( Indiana won their L/game 110-94 at home last time out) 

Play on the Miami Heat won to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Lafyette has won 8 straight and are rolling and will not be easily disposed of. LA-LAFAYETTE is 17-6 ATS in road games after 5 or more consecutive wins. Georgia in their L/49 games against above .500 opponents like Lafayette the average score deficit clicked in at 68 to 67.9 which is a 0.1 ppg margin of victory, and in Georgia's L/9 vs a dominant rebounding team like Lafayette, the average score that was registered is  71.6 to 70.1 ppg. 

Take the points with Lafayette to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Knicks are coming off wins Friday against the Sacramento Kings and Sunday against the Los Angeles Lakers, giving them four straight wins on the road, and have won 7 of their L/8 games overall. However, with that said, all good and bad runs must come to end, and I won't be surprised if it happens here in Phoenix tonight, as my own proprietary programs actually give the Suns an edge on home court in head to head player to players matchup discrepancy chart.

 NBA Road favorites like the Favorites - hot team - having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are a bankroll depleting 21-48 ATS for a go against conversion rate of 70%. 

Take the points with the Phoenix Suns 

Memphis enters this game off a big win vs UAB last time out, but are just is 3-12 ATS L/15 off a home win. Meanwhile, Monmouth is on a big time 7-0 SU run, and enter this game with some huge momentum, and will not be easily disposed of by a team in a letdown situation off a quality win. 
MONMOUTH is 9-1 ATS L/10 versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots and a perfect 6-0 ATS versus top tier teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game and is 13-4 ATS L/17 as a road underdog or pick.

Play on Monmouth to cover 1 unit reg selection

Thibodeau, who went 255-139 in five seasons with Chicago, takes on his  former team for the first time as an NBA coach since the Bulls fired him. You can bet he would love nothing more than to get a little revenge here, no matter what his political correct statement will be to the media. Here is an interesting quote: "He used to tell us in the locker room, 'You got to hate those guys, you got to stick it to them,'" Bulls forward Taj Gibson told the Chicago Tribune. "So, I know he's going to come in here and have those young guys ready and waiting. It's kind of a nerve-wracking feeling because you know that guy knows everything about you. He knows all your moves. It's going to be a good prep. END QUOTE.

 Road team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.

CHICAGO is 16-29 ATS L/45 as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. 

Play on the Minnesota Timberwolves to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Warriors enter this game having gone under in 4 straight games, thanks to a more concerted effort on defense, and some fatigue taking its toll on the Dubs. With this being their 6th straight road game, Im betting the Warriors won;t be in the mood to run and gun. Meanwhile, New Orleans has scored 96 points or less in 4 of their L/8, and will be weary of trying to out gun their explosive opponents tonight, which will see them put forward a more methodical effort, which will in turn result in a combined score that remains on the low side of the Total . 

GOLDEN STATE is 31-16 UNDER L/47 in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 76% or more of their attempts over the last few seasons, 201.1 ppg. GOLDEN STATE is 9-1 UNDER in road games after allowing 105 points or more 2 straight games, with a combined average of 209.3 ppg going on the scoreboard. GOLDEN STATE is 21-7 UNDER L/28 after a game where they made 85% of their free throws or better , which happened last time out. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 like New Orleans - revenging 2 straight losses where opp scored 100 or more points, off an upset win as a road underdog is 59-22 on the under for a 73% conversion rate.

Play under 1 unit reg selection 

My own numbers make this total 136.6 so according to that data with have value with an under bet. 
DENVER is 7-0 UNDER L/7 after 5 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers per game with the average combined score clicking in at 121.6 ppg. 
All teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (DENVER) - bad pressure defensive team - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game, in December games are 293-186 to the under for a longterm conversion rate of 61%. 

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection

Orlando may not inspire alot of betting support, but they have cashed 5 of their L/7 road games. Meanwhile, Atlanta has shown themselves to be a very inconsistent commodity, and have failed to cover 4 straight at home, and are just 1-5 ATS in their L/6 overall and recently lost 10 of 11 games. Even when well rested like they are here, the Hawks are just 3-9 ATS L/12 with 3 or more days rest. From a series perspective the Magic are 4-1 ATS L/5 in Atlanta and 8-3 ATS L/11 meetings with the underdog in this matchup going a sparkling 20-9 ATS L/29 meetings. 

Play on the Orlando Magic to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The inconsistent Kings  enter this tilt against the LA Lakers  off two fourth-quarter crashes when they host the Los Angeles Lakers on Monday at the Golden 1 Center. Falling apart is a key to the Kings last few seasons, and they really cannot be trusted as favorites. Their star Cousins , has looked exhausted at times this season, and now as the Kings play their 3rd game in 4 nights, are in deep vs a tenacious , hard working LA Lakers team , that despite of slumping a of late, are more than capable of keeping this game close, and getting us a cover. (  4 of the Lakers 5 recent  losses have been decided by 6 points or less) SACRAMENTO is 31-47 ATS L/78 when playing against a team with a losing record and is 8-23 ATS L/30 in December games over the last few seasons. 

Play on the Lakers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Unbeaten 19th-ranked South Carolina will be without its best player when it takes on Seton Hall on Monday in the Under Armour Reunion at Madison Square Garden. However, despite of this  S.Carolina is a deep team and quite capable of operating without the suspended Thornwell in the lineup. Meanwhile, the Pirates are off a 60-57 victory vs California in a Pearl Harbor Invitational game played in Hawaii, and Im sure suffered  some jet lag, and now after a 5 day lay off that will have them rusty, against a tenacious opponent, their at a disadvantage.

Play on the South Carolina Gamecocks to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Denver Im betting will take a lesson from several teams that recently came to Dallas thinking they could dominate  against a struggling team without alot of effort, and be fully focused tonight. Dallas is without starters forward Dirk Nowitzki (right Achilles strain) and center Andrew Bogut (right knee), plus reserve guard J.J. Barea (left calf strain) and are at a disadvantage, as is evident by losing 13 of their L/16 SU . Look of Denver, to come in here and take this tilt.DENVER is 23-11 ATS L/34 in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game like Dallas.DALLAS is 8-20 ATS L/28  after a game being outrebounded by opponent by 15 or more like the the Nuggets. 

Play on the Nuggets to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Bucks enter this game against the Raptors off two straight losses, but prior to that had won 5 of 6 games, while beating the defending champion Cleveland Cavaliers and losing by 1 point to San Antonio. With that said, it must be noted MILWAUKEE is 21-9 ATS L/30 after 2 or more consecutive losses, and have shown themselves viable opponents against some top tier competition. I know the Raptors are a fine team, but I am betting the Bucks make them work hard for a win tonight. 

Take the points with the Milwaukee Bucks 

Both these teams are fairly evenly matched in my opinion, no matter what the W/L column suggests, with home floor being the difference maker. I know the Wizards recent successes because of a small ball lineup makes them look like viable options, but Miami despite of a current slump matchup well against them.Miami HC Spolestra  is 22-9 ATS L/31 after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games.  The Wizards have not dealt well with success of late as is evident by a  3-16 ATS L/19 after 2 straight games committing 7+ more less turnovers than opponents  and is 8-25 ATS L/33 after a win by 6 points or less against Milwaukee last time out. 

Miami to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Nevada has been playing some top tier basketball this season, and have won 7 of their L/8 overall and off a 91-69 victory vs Bradley last time out.( Nevada is 9-2 ATS off a win by 10 points or more) Meanwhile Washington has lost 3 straight, and are off a one sided loss against Gonzaga last time out on the road. It must be noted that Washington is 4-16 ATS L/20 after playing aroad game, and 3-11 ATS L/14 after a loss on the road.

Nevada to cover 1 unit reg selection   

The Golden State Warriors seem a little burned out of late, after playing at a high intensity level for a extended time. Their exhaustion has shown itslef in two of their L/3 games as they failed to eclipse the 100 point plateau in two of those tilts. Now as they play a back to back tcontests against Minnesota on tired legs, I won;t be surprised by another muted effort .( The Dubs lost last night 110-89 at Memphis) I know the Wolves have struggled with D, this season, but because of Golden States take no prisoner style of offense, the totals are sometimes over exagerated by linesmakers playing to public bettors sentiments,  as is evident by a 66-38 under run in Warrior road games against lower tier defensive teams allowing 103 or more points per game, with the total combined score of 213.9 ppg on the scoreboard. Meanwhile, MINNESOTA is 18-8 UNDER L/26 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts with the the average combined score ringing in at  204.9 ppg. MINNESOTA in 20 games when the total is greater than or equal to 200 this season have seen a combined average of 211.7 ppg get scored.GOLDEN STATE in their L/52 games off an upset loss as a road favorite, have seen a combined average of 215.1 ppg go on the scoreboard and in their L/54 as favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points have seen 218.4 ppg go on the scoreboard. 

Considering long term trends and current form and physical ineffecincies, and matchup descrepencies,  taking a low side stance on this Total makes for a solid bet in my humble opinion. 

Play on the UNDER 

The Spurs enter this game against Brooklyn having  won the L/13 games the two teams have played in San Antonio, dating back to 2002. The Spurs were 2-0 against Brooklyn last season, winning 102-75 in their home opener on Oct. 30, 2015 and adding another lopsided 106-79 victory at Barclays Center on Jan. 11, 2016 winning SU by an average of 27 ppg. Now with the Spurs coming off a loss last time out, in a loss on the road to Chicago 95-91, to end a huge 13 game road win streak will now be primed to bounce back. Im never make a habit of laying DDs, with my NBA selections, but this one merits a lay the lumber type of bet. 

Play on the Spurs to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Golden State Warriors lead the NBA in several offensive categories in road games, including points per game (115.2), field goal percentage (48.5) and assists (30.8) and I am betting on another offensive explosion here tonight. Meanwhile, Memphis has won 5 straight, and will have no choice but to reciprocate with some offense of their own, or be blown off the court  which  I am betting results in a total combined score that eclispes the number. It must be noted that the last time these teams met, only 199 total combined points were scored. But the caveat Im using here is based on a system, I implemented recently , that has had great results in beta form, and now its going live with this bet tonight. 

Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to ( 209.5 - 210)  like the Grizzlies - after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 35% or less have cashed to the OVER 30 of the L/36 times for a powerful 83% conversion rate. 

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

Despite missing forward Dirk Nowitzki (right Achilles), guard J.J. Barea (left calf) and center Andrew Bogut (right knee) the Mavericks have shown a great deal of resiliency behind a top tier brand of tenacious basketball as was the case last time out against Indiana  in a 111-103 victory. I expect that same tenaciousness and never say die attitude , to help buoy the Mavericks to a cover tonight vs a Houston side that I am sure is over looking them. 

Rockets are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 Saturday games.

NBA Home favorites like Houston   - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% plus or more) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or less), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a horrible rebounding team (5.5 or less reb/game) for a go against 78% conversion rates.

Play on the Mavs to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Jacksonville State has 3 returning starters and are a tough team to play against . LA Monroe has 1 returning starter and are in a rebuilding mode. JACKSONVILLE ST is 34-18 ATS L/52 in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season and 13-5 ATS L/18 in road games and 11-3 ATS L/14 in road games in non-conference games. HC Richard of LA Monroe is 14-29 ATS 43 as a home favorite of 6 points or less or pick. 

Jacksonville State to cover 1 unit reg selection

The defending champion Cleveland Cavaliers will be wide awake and focused to play against a Charlotte side that is getting alot of love from the media pundits. When the Cavs are focused few teams in this league can compete with them, and tonight I expect they will be out to send a message to their upstart opponents. CLEVELAND is 18-7 ATS L/25  in home games against Southeast division opponents winning SU by an average of 14.6 ppg. 

Play on Cleveland to cover 

The Nuggets have had problems pacing themselves this season, and most recently ran out of gas vs Washington in a 92-85 loss, that saw them score just 12 points in the fourth quarter. The truth is that the  Nuggets looked winded, and are fade material from my stand point vs the Orlando Magic tonight as they play the 5th game of a 6 game road trip. I know Orlando does not garner alot of respect from bettors, but in reality from time to time this season, have shown glimpses of brilliant play. I know Orlando is also fatigued as they play back to back tilts tonight, but home court advantage Im betting will be the difference maker in this tilt.  

DENVER is 15-30 ATS L/45 after playing 2 consecutive road games.Orlando is 15-4 SU L/19 as hosts in this series.

Take the points with Orlando 1 unit reg selection

LONG BEACH ST is 15-3 UNDER L/18 in Saturday games with a combined average of 133 ppg scored. TEXAS is 13-2 UNDER L/15 after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games with an average of 139.2 ppg get scored. College Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (LONG BEACH ST) - a lower tier team - shooting 42% or less with a defense of 45% or better on the season, in December games are a bankroll expanding 30-9 to the UNDER dating back to the 2011 campaign for a massive 80% conversion rate. 

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection

This is based on my own line predictions. 
Projected score: Tulane 74 Southern Miss 68 
Play on Tulane to cover 1 unit reg selection

Wichita State owns a superb team, and a NCAA tournament threat if they stay healthy. Meanwhile, Oklahoma despite of a final 4 appearence last season, have shown some weaknesses at power forward, as Spangeler is now departed, and while the Sooners are still a fine side, Wichita State is looking very dangerous, and solid favorites here.
WICHITA ST is 6-0 ATS L/6 in road games after 2 straight covers as a double digit favorite, which just happened and 15-2 ATS in road games after 3 straight wins by 15 points or more. WICHITA ST is 11-3 ATS L/14 versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots like the Sooners. OKLAHOMA is 11-21 ATS L/33 when playing against a team with a winning record.OKLAHOMA is 1-9 ATS L/10 after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds and 10-20 ATS after playing a game as favorite and also 4-14 ATS after having won 4 of their last 5 games.

Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Sooners - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against a good 3PT defense (32% or less), average ball handling team (14.5-17.5 TO's) against a good ball handling team (14.5 TO's or less) are a bankroll depleting 17-44 ATS for their backers. 

Play on Wichita State to cover 1 unit reg selection

MIAMI OHIO is 7-18 ATS L/25 in a non-conference game.
A College Hoops road team like IUPUI - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, in a non-conference game between two teams from mid-major division 1-A conferences is 65-30 ATS for a 68% conversion rate dating back 20 seasons. 

Play on on IUPUI to cover 1 unit reg selection

OHIO U is 7-18 ATS L/25 in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game like Iona. HC Phillips of Ohio is 9-21 ATS L/30 after playing a home game, which they just did. 

Iona to cover 1 unit reg selection

Both these teams have struggled to start their current campaigns, but according to my own lines we have value with the visitor,JAMES MADISON is 13-4 ATS L/17 when playing against a team with a losing record and 8-1 ATS L/9 versus poor passing teams, averaging or less 12 assists/game.JAMES MADISON is 20-8 ATS L/28 in road lined games.

James Madison to cover 1 unit reg selection

Minnesota looked really good against Toronto last night, but their inexperience and their lack of belief in themselves got the best of them last night, as they blew a lead to a strong opponent and eventually lost. Quote: The good teams are 48-minute teams," Timberwolves coach Tom Thibodeau said. "We're still not there...The fourth quarter is different. You have to understand that. The intensity of a fourth quarter is different. Your decision-making is different. We still have to figure that out. End Quote. With that said, despite of being on a short turn around, Im betting on this young well conditioned Wolves side to bounce back tonight, feeling like they need get some respect back.  Meanwhile, Motown has played decently of late but off a muted loss last time out vs Charlotte scoring just 77 points in a 88-77 loss. It's hard sometimes for teams to go from a slow motion game speed to playing a uptempo game, which Minnesota is sure to bring to this tilt. It must be noted that the Pistons are  just 15-26 ATS  L/41 in road games versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game.

Minnesota to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Despite being the defending champions and holding the best record in the East the Cavaliers  have shown plenty of lapses so far this season, despite of a top tier record and numbers, and in the past have shown a propensity to play down to their opponents level, as is evident by a  16-29 ATS  L/45 record when playing against a team with a losing record. Meanwhile, Miami is dealing with some injury woes, and trying to find an identity without Dwayne Wade , who is no longer with the team. But thanks to these injuries, it seems HC spolestra and company have found a take no prisoners idenity with the tough as nails Tyler Johnson who scored 27 points last time out, and attacks without fear of injury. This type of guy has a way of spreading his energy around a locker room , which transfers its flow onto the court. Tonight we have one side we have the media darling prima donnas ( Cleveland) and on their other side, a supposedly downtrodden side, that will I am betting elbow themselves into being competetive tonight and get us the cover. NBA teams  that are Favorites of 10 or more points like the Cavaliers - after having covered 2 of their last 3 against the spread, a top- tier  team (.750 or better ) playing a lower tier  team (.250 to .400) are 51-96 ATS  dating back 20 seasons . 

Play on Miami to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Spurs are 13-0 U and would love to tie the Golden State Warriors, record that saw then go undefeated in their first 14 road games last season. Meanwhile, the Bulls are in a bit of a slump and  are coming off a 102-91 loss Tuesday at the Detroit Pistons, and could have been looking ahead to this game. But with veterans like Dwayne Wade and Jimmy Butler in the lineup, this Bulls team must not be under estimated, especially on their own floor. (Bulls are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss and 24-9 ATS in their last 33 Thursday games and also 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.) With this being The Spurs 7th road game in their L/9 games overall, Im sure they are getting road weary, and could ind this game challenging vs a side that is capable of upsetting some of the best teams in this league as was the case 6 days ago when they up ended the defending champion Cavaliers by a 111-105 count. 

SAN ANTONIO is 14-26 ATS L/40 versus teams who average 53 or more rebounds/game on the season like the Bulls.

Chicago Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Gonzaga has been dominant to this point in the season, and despite of showing an explosive offense, have also be stingy on  defense allowing 64.6 ppg and 62.5 ppg as hosts. Here on their own home floor I expect Gonzaga slows down an inconsistent Washington side in what Im betting is a physical affair.

GONZAGA is 14-4 UNDER L/18 versus good shooting teams - making 45%  or more of their shots like Washington and are 11-3 UNDER against a 500 or better side with the combined average of both trends well below this total.GONZAGA is 14-4 UNDER L/18 in non-conference games with a combined average of 140.2 ppg getting scored.

College Hoops Home teams against the total Gonzaga - after 8 or more consecutive wins, a top-level team (80% or more ) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) like Washington have gone under  37 of the L/45 times for a 82% conversion rate for under bettors.

The LA Clippers pride themselves on being able to play a top tier defensive game especially at home. The Clippers own the leagues top defensive rating , ( Notates Defensive Rating for players and teams - points allowed per 100 posessions.

Tonight against the most explosive offensive team in the league you can bet the Clips will be out to slow down the Dubs and make this a more physical and methodical game than the Warriors prefer , which will result in a Total combined score that stays on the low side of the number. 

LA CLIPPERS are 56-34 UNDER L/90  in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 with the average combined score clicking in at 214 ppg and are 20-8 UNDER L/28 in home games when playing against a team with a winning record with the  total combined average of 202.4 ppg going on the scoreboard. The Clippers are also 12-2 on the under in home games against top tier sides with a win % of .700 or better with a combined average of just 202.2 ppg getting scored.LA CLIPPERS are 9-1 UNDER L/10 in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game dating back to last season with a combined average of 201.8 ppg getting scored. Golden State in their L/265 games, against a top tier team with a .700 or better record have seen a combined average of 205 ppg go on the scoreboard. GOLDEN STATE is 13-4 UNDER L/17 after allowing 100 points or more 4 straight games with an average of 2013.2 ppg going on the board. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 like the Clippers/Warriors - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 7+ PPG the under is 58-18 dating back to the 2011 campaign.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection

According to my own numbers and matchup discrepancies this number is beatable from an underdog standpoint.

OKLAHOMA is 10-20 ATS L/30 as a favorite.

Favorites of 10 or more points like the Sooners - off a road loss by 10 points or more, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a terrible team (20% or less ) are just 22-61 ATS since 1997.

Play on Oral Roberts to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Nuggets captured an away win against Philadelphia last time out , but don;t deal with success well as they are just  3-14 ATS L/17 off a road win dating back to last season and have been very inconsistent during their current campaign. Meanwhile,  Brooklyn has been a disaster this season , but took out a top tier LA Clippers team in a recent meeting by a 127-122 count,  and  have  covered 3 of their L/4 games and showed themselves to be competitive on most nights. The Nets have also done well against Denver in the recent past winning 4 straight meetings SU in this series including the L/2 here in Brooklyn. My won matchup stats and power rating tell me we have value with the home dog here. 

Play on the Brooklyn Nets to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Missouri State are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 away tilts, and go against a hard nosed SE Missouri State side that I am betting will stay close enough for a cover. 

 MISSOURI ST is 1-8 ATS L/9 in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days  and is 12-28 ATS L/36  in road games after a game where they made 78% of their free throws. 

Play on SE Missouri State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

I really like the way this young Orlando team is playing and backed them last night in a 124-116 win vs Washington. With that said I like their chances against an above .500 Celtics side struggling on defense ranking 17th in defensive rating per 100 possessions. Meanwhile,the magic are one of the leagues top defensive teams 94.3 ppg per 100 possessions. 
Orlando is 32-17 ats L49 vs teams like the Celtics that convert 76% or of their charity stripe shots. 
Orlando has won 4 of their last 5 su/at verall and have defeated Boston 4 straight times in the magic kingdom.

Play on Orlando to cover 1 unit regarding selection

Niagara is off a upset win last time out against Iona,  as 16.5 point road dogs. It must be noted that College Hoops Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Niagara - off an upset win by 15 points or more as an underdog, in December games are 30-10 ATS L/40 in their folow up tilt.

College Hoops Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Niagara - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, in a non-conference game between two teams from mid-major division 1-A conferences have covered 32 of the L/41 times for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Kent State is 9-22 ATS at home when the total is between 140 to 149.5.

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JIMMY V CLASSIC - Madison Square Garden - New York, NY

No. 5 Blue Devils meet No. 19 Florida in the second game of the Jimmy V Classic on Tuesday night at Madison Square Garden in New York.

Alot of hype surrounds this tourney game involving Florida and Duke, mostly because, Duke's two prized freshmen recruits will get their first big test. Center Marques Bolden and forward Jayson Tatum, both five-star recruits, were cleared to play Friday in the Blue Devils' 94-55 victory over Maine, but now will face a big step up in class. But despite of this talent, on the floor for the Blue Devils,  Florida is still a team, to be reckoned with, and not getting the respect they deserve on this line. With that said, Im recommeding we take the points. 

DUKE is 6-15 ATS L/21 versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 turnovers or less per game.DUKE is just 2-10 ATS L/12 in all neutral court games. HC Krzyzewski is 48-64 ATS  in road games after a cover as a double digit favorite. 

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Phoenix enters this game vs host Utah with a 20-8 ATS L/28 record after a blowout loss by 15 points or more, which happened last time out in a loss to offensively explosive Golden State  by a 138-109 count. HC Watson of the Suns, has covered

 19 of his L/24 after a game where they failed to cover the spread and once again will have his troops ready to compete here in Salt Lake City. I know Utah has been hot, but

Favorites like Utah - a hot team - having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games,  winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team, are just 57-100 ATS for a go against 64% conversion rate. Meanwhile, NBA Road underdogs  like Suns  - after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after a win by 6 points or less, are  26-4 ATS. (The Jazz are off a 107-101 win vs the Lakers last time out).

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Nothing comes easy to the  Memphis Grizzlies these days and despite of winning some close games and games that reach overtime , they are still being over rated by linesmakers. Hers is an interesting quote: People keep talking about it, but most of our games are close from key Grizz play," Gasol . "I can't remember a blowout. We feel comfortable in those situations because we trust our defense and we don't panic." While that great for his team, thats an indicator that getting points with a Memphis opponent is most like golden. Yes, even with lowly Philadelphia as our chosen side. In these teams lat meeting in Philly the Grizzlies eeked out at 104-99 win and Im betting on another close game tonight as key contributor Mike Conely remains side lines with a back injury. 

PHILADELPHIA is 24-12 ATS L/36 in non-conference games dating back to last season and are 29-14 ATS L/43 after 7 or more consecutive losses. NBA Road underdogs like the 76ers - after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after a win by 6 points or less are 26-4 ATS dating back to the 2011 campaign. 

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The San Antonio Spurs visit the Minnesota Timberwolves this Tuesday night in an affair, that will see this young side motivated to end the Spurs undefeated road record this season. The Spurs barely made it out of Milwaukee last time out 97-96 win to keep their 12-0 away record intact. Meanwhile, Timberwolves ended a four-game losing streak on Saturday with a victory over Charlotte to make it two straight wins, and now have some confidence on their side, vs a superior side.

Spurs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

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Washington is on tired legs as they ended a three game road trip last night, with a hard fought come from behind win vs Brooklyn by a 118-113 count as 6 point favs. Note: WASHINGTON is 8-24 ATS L/32 after a win by 6 points or less and 1-9 ATS L/10 after scoring 110 points or more. Washington also consistently struggles with their D, on most nights and now exhausted won;t have a lot in the tank to slow down their young and motivated opponents, that have won two straight and 3 of their L/4 on the road with the lone loss coming by 1 point at Memphis . 

Washington and Orlando each own a W in the series with the victories coming on the road. Orlando won 88-86 win on Nov. 5 in Washington.

ORLANDO is 31-19 ATS L/50 vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 76% or more of their attempts .

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The Magic are 3-1 SU on their current five-game road trip, including Sunday's 98-92 victory at the Detroit Pistons.  Meanwhile, Washington is on tired legs as they ended a three game road trip last night, with a hard fought come from behind win vs Brooklyn. Washington struggles on D, on most nights and now exhausted won;t have a lot in the tank to slow down their young and motivated opponents. It must be noted that WASHINGTON is 14-4 OVER  after playing 2 consecutive road games dating back to last season, with a combined average of 215.8 ppg going on the scoreboard and is 17-7 OVER  when playing on back-to-back days with an average combined score of 208.9 ppg clicking on the the board. Meanwhile, Orlando despite of playing some lower scoring games of late , should be able to light up the scoreboard here tonight, in what could be a more wide open game than usual for the Magic.

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Instate rivals Hofstra and visting St. Bonaventure go head to head tonight in a battle that I am betting favors the home dog. From a stat and power ranking standpoint , the line is dead on, But every now and than, I go against my own no edge lines, in such cases as this where rivals face off. What I also like about the Pride is their top tier shooting from beyond the arc . They are shooting 40.7% from the land of the trey, which is the 22nd best mark in the nation,  which makes them a dangerous foe vs a capable offensive side like the Bonnies.

Bonnies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. Colonial Athletic Association.Bonnies are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite.Pride are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5.

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Charlotte enters this game on tired legs as is evident by playing 6 games in 10 days. Their current run of 6 losses in 9 games while failing to cover 7 times during that span tells the story of a struggling team. Meanwhile, Dallas ,despite of some injury problems is playing competitive basketball, and off 4 straight covers including a solid win vs the Bulls last time out. Life without Dirk Nowitizki , a future hall of famer, is not easy pill to swallow for the Mavericks, but coach Carlisle is a top tier coach who can get the most out of a group, and Im betting he proves it here again tonight. 

CHARLOTTE is 45-72 ATS  against Southwest division opponents.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points Charlotte- after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days have not been good long term bets going 39-69 ATS for a go against conversion rate of 63%.

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Washington enters this game averaging only 99 ppg on offense on the road, while, their defense continues to get lit up on an almost nightly basis. With that said, even lowly Brooklyn, a team scoring an average of  104 ppg as hosts this season, has a chance to upend a inconsistent opponent like the Wizards, especially considering the visitors have allowd an average of 105.8 ppg . Brooklyn did prove that they can play some decent hoops, when they smacked the LA Clippers by a 127-122 count, and once again according to my own numbers solid underdogs in this spot. 

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Atlanta's defense has been floundering of late, and a concern for the coaching staff,as the team does not have the guns to score in bunches ranking 27th in Off rating ,  as is evident by scoring more than 96 points only 3 times in their L/12 trips to the hardwood . Tonight , against a Thunder team that can run and gun with the best teams in the NBA, Im betting a concerted effort by the Hawks to play heads up transitional ball will be on the game plan agenda. It must also be noted that Oklahoma City also owns a stringent D, that ranks 7th in the league in Defensive rating, which registers players and teams points allowed per 100 posessions.  Everything points to this contest staying on the low side of the number.

ATLANTA is 7-0 UNDER L/7 after 2 straight games where they were called for 18 or less fouls this season with an average of 193.4 combined points going on the scoreboard. Hawks HC Budenholzer is 21-8 UNDER L/30 in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game, with a combined average of 197.1 ppg going on the scoreboard.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 like the Hawks - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG differential.), after allowing 100 points or more 5 straight games have gone under 35 of the L/46 times since the 2011 season. 

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CS Northridge plays a wide open style of basketball, and despite of a lackluster defense, won;t be detterred from bombing away from down town. These types of teams are always dangerous in back door cover situations. St,John's had lost 5 straight before coming  up with a win last time out by a 95-75 score vs Tulane. Note: St.John's has failed to cover 6 straight when they combined for 155 points or more in a previous game. St.John's has also failed to cover 17 of their L/23 as home favorites of 9.5 to 13 points. 

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Sacramento (7-12) is 3-6 over its last nine games, but they have been very competetive in 5 of those 6 losses, and have covered 7 of their L/9 and  must not be underestimated vs a Knicks (10-9) team that gets to much respect from the media pundits. 

Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Kings - off 2 or more consecutive road losses, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days 60-21 ATS L/81. Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Knicks - off an upset win as an underdog against opponent off a road loss are 27-58 ATS over the L/5 seasons.

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Detroit has found some offense, of late and thats why we get a decent total to bet into here on the under.   The linesmkaers are  now over compensating for their recent offensive surge that seen them score 107 or more points in 5 of their L/6 games. The Pistons still maintain a soild defensive ranking listed 2nd in the league overall and the 24th ranked pace. Meanwhiile, Orlando has scored more than 95 points just once in their L/10 and remain conservative/ methodical  in their approach, and nothing changes today. The Magic rank 3rd in points allowed, and 29th in points scored, while they mantain a 25 ranked pace. ORLANDO is 7-0 UNDER L/7 versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less  turnovers/game this season and 12-4 L/16 versus sides that attempt 18 or more 3 pointers a game like Motown. Note: ORLANDO is 8-1 UNDER  as an underdog this season with a combined average total score of 187.3 ppg going on the scoreboard.

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MISSISSIPPI ST is 8-1 ATS L/9 in home games versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots.GEORGIA ST is 0-7 ATS L/7 against SEC opponents losing SU by an average of 12.6 ppg. It must also be noted that GEORGIA ST is 0-9 ATS L/9 after playing 3 consecutive games as favorite which just happened. 

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Indiana has played 3 games in 5 days and enter this game on tired legs, giving a decent SE Missouris side a chance to stay close.SE MISSOURI ST is 12-2 ATS L/14 in road games versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game like the Hoosiers and  are  9-1 ATS L/10 in road games versus teams who average 40 or more rebounds/game.

 Road underdogs of 20 or more points SE Missouri State - excellent free throw shooting team (73% or more) against a good free throw shooting team (69-73%) are 43-16 ATS for a 72% conversion rate. 

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Georgia hosts Marquette on Sunday, in a nonconference tilt it has tended to lose in past  seasons when the programmed missed the NCAA tournament. Georgia (5-2) has so far lost at Clemson — team that’s now 4-2 — and on a neutral court to No. 4 Kansas. Meanwhile, Marquette (5-2) have their  two losses to Michigan and Pittsburgh, on neutral courts. It opened its season with a 24-point smash down on the road  at Vanderbilt, while its other four wins were all routs of low- or mid-major teams.  Bottom line: Analysing this matchup, and power rankings tells me a story, of two teams that are fairly evenly matched, but Im betting Marquette could easily eek out a win here, and more importantly as far as we are concerend a cover. 

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The Golden State Warriors showed their defensive vulnerabilities when they dropped a 132-127 double-overtime slug gest to the Houston Rockets on Thursday night. Now you can bet defense, was a key topic in the locker room and in practice the last couple of days, which will translate into a concerted effort on the court.( Under is 7-2-1 in Warriors last 10 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game) Meanwhile, Phoenix has recently demonstrated an improved defense. Once statistically the worst defense in the league, the Suns allowed 107 or fewer points for the fifth time in their last seven games, and Im sure defense will once again be their key to try to slow Golden State explosive offense.

GOLDEN STATE is 29-12 UNDER L/41 after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games witht he combined average of those tilts clicking in at 207.7 ppg.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 like the Suns - revenging 2 straight losses where opp scored 100 or more points, off an upset win as an underdog are 56-18 under for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

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Miami enter this road game against Portland having won two straight games, and look like they are coming together as a group. The heat really struggled on offense earlier this season, but  are quickly improving, as is evident by, averaging 107 points the past four games, including a 111-110 win at Utah on Thursday night.Center Hassan Whiteside ranks among the top 10 in the league in rebounds (first, 15.1), blocked shots (third, 2.56) and field-goal percentage (.559, ninth) while averaging a team-high 17.7 points. Im expecting he will be the catalyst in a Heat cover tonight. I know Portland offense has been explosive , but it must be noted that PORTLAND is 1-10 ATS after scoring 110 points or more 4 straight games and is 1-9 ATS L/10 versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game this season and 1-8 ATS L/9 after 1 or more consecutive wins this season which happend last time out. Portland is just 3-10 ATS L/13 overall while, Miami has covered 7 of their L/11.

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Oklahoma City to cover 1 unit reg selection 

After back-to-back losses to drop an NBA-worst 3-15 SU,  the injury riddled Mavericks once again look like bad bets tonight vs visiting Chicago. Ater watching Chicago down, Cleveland last night by a 111-105 count, Im betting on them coming out here with confidence and sending Dallas to the locker rooms for a cold shower. I know Bulls star Dwayne Wade wont play tonight, in Dallas, but thats a good thing, because his team mates will want will be wide awake, and understand the challange of playing a struggling team with nothing to lose,  without their star.  I really believe HC Hoiberg will have the Bulls primed to take down a  three-win team with no let down scenario because their schedule after this tilt will be a see them embark on a difficult three-game stretch ahead against Portland and Detroit on back-to-back nights followed by a visit from the  San Antonio Spurs side that is undefeated as visitors this season two nights after that.

Chicago Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection 

SAINT LOUIS is 0-8 ATS L/8 vs. top tier teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game like Kansas State losing SU by ana verage of 22.5 ppg. 

Kansas State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

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FAIRFIELD is 11-3 ATS L/14 after playing a road game and the hoops prgram is 40-21 ATS  L/61 as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points. Fairfield has covered 13 of their L/19 as visitors in this series. Fairfied HC Johnson is 14-4 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points. Sienas coach Patsos is 1-9 ATS ( in a home game where the total is 150 to 154.5 . 

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Miami to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Loyola Chicago to cover 1 unit reg selection 

IUPUI-Indiana Purdue to cover 1 unit reg selection 

RICHMOND is 0-8 ATS L/8 vs. excellent free throw shooting teams - making 77%  or more of their shots like Wake Forest. The Charity stripe effecincy of the Demon Deacons will be the difference maker today.

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Houston has won 6 of their L/8 games, and is off a big win vs Golden State last night, in a 132-127 slugfest. The Rockets look like their for real, and are experienced enough not to let that victory go to their heads ,  and come out flat tonight. Heres a quote: "We're a resilient team,"  Rockets star Harden said on the TNT broadcast after Thursday's win. "Big-time win on the road and we have another one tomorrow. With that said, I'm betting the Rockets will be more than prepared to go back to work in this spot.  Meanwhile, the Nuggets continue to struggle losing 8 of their L/12, and despite of being fast and mobile, their defense does not deal well with this kind of opponent, as was obvious in a recent 132-129 loss to Oklahoma State at home in the Mile High City. HOUSTON is 9-1 ATS L/10 after allowing 105 points or more this season.HOUSTON is 12-4 ATS  versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season.HOUSTON is 8-1 ATS L/9 versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season. DENVER is 8-19 ATS L/27 in home games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread.

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The Clippers came out focused and played extremely hard last night vs the defending champion Cleveland Cavaliers, and took a well deserved road victory. But now after that big time game , I believe they will be in a bit of an emotional let down scenario, and more importantly on tired legs, after last nights supreme effort which leads into this being their 6th straight road game. 
Meanwhile, The Pelicans have come to life after a ugly 0-8 start to win seven of their last 11 games, behind the spectacular play of forward Anthony Davis, who leads the NBA in points (32.1) and blocked shots (2.8) and ranks seventh in rebounds (11.2). Another key to the Pelicans revival has been the return of guard Jrue Holidaday, who has become a true catalyst and floor general for his team. Consdiering the Pelicans defeated the Clippers 109-105 at home on March 20 last season and took the Clippers to overtime at Los Angeles on Jan. 10 I believe this group actually matches up well against an exhausted Clippers side. It must be noted that NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Pelicans - off a home win by 10 points or more against opponent off an upset win as a road underdog are 27-6 ATS L/33 dating back 5 campaigns. 
NEW ORLEANS is 26-12 ATS L/38 as a home underdog. Gentry is 22-9 ATS L/31 in home games after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less.

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The Knicks took a closely contested 106-104 win on the road vs Minnesota last time out and now the visiting Wolves have revenge on board. The share fact that the Wolves are in desperation mode after losing and failing to cover 6 of their L/7 has me backing their  motivation and chances to cover here tonight. Minnesota is 17-4 ATS L/21 in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points dating back to last season.

All teams where the line is +3 to -3 New York - off an upset win as an underdog against opponent off a upset loss as a favorite are 32-61 ATS.Road underdogs Minnesota  - after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after a win by 6 points or less are 26-4 ATS.

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I have watched the MAAC for a long time, and know these programs well. They have played each other tough, recently and another closely contested matchup will not be a surprise, as the linesmakers have indicated. I'm betting the points end up being golden here, as my power rankings suggest a possible out right upset. But Im on the take in conservtive fashion. 

CANISIUS is 8-1 ATS L/9 in road games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game.MANHATTAN is 9-21 ATS L/30 in home games after 2 or more consecutive high scoring games (overs).Canisius HC Witherspoon is 38-18 ATS 56 in December games. 

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Canisius to cover 1 unit reg selection 

SIU-Edwardsville to cover 1 unit reg selection

Niagara to cover 1 unit reg selection 

CAL POLY-SLO is 1-10 ATS L/11 versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season like Tex San Antonio and 4-14 ATs L/18 vs sides with top tier defenses allowing a 42% less FG conversion rate.CAL POLY-SLO is also a lowly 1-10 ATS L/11 after having lost 2 of their last 3 games and 1-8 ATS with a total of 130 to 139.5.

From a league wide database -CBB  underdog like Texas San Antonio - off an upset win by 15 points or more as a home underdog, with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent are 23-3 ATS since 1996. 

UTSA to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Saramento has not looked good to start their season, and are 0-6 ATS in their L/6. Meanwhile Pacific has shown promise and been competetive for the most part this season, against some strong teams like UCLA. Pacific is 4-0 ATS L/4 at home  and 8-3 L/11 games following a loss which happened vs a pretty good Nevada hoops program last time out.  My own number made Pacific 14 point favs, so laying 9.5 to 10 looks like a solid bet. CBB teams Pacific - lower tier shooting team 40% or less  against an poor defensive team (45-47.5%), cold shooting team - 3 straight games making 40%  or less of their shots are 44-14 ATS.

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With Mike Conley injured the Memphis Grizzlies are at a disadvantage tonight vs Orlando. HC Vogel stresses defense, so a young Memphis side without its no.1 ball-handler could have big problems. . Not only is Memphis short handed but they are also exhausted after playing 9 games in 14 days.The Magic enter this game with confidence after upsetting San Antonio as road underdogs and are in a very good position to improve on the momentum of that victory.ORLANDO is 23-8 ATS L/31 in road games in non-conference games.

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CBB teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points like Troy - playing with 5 or 6 days rest, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 82-45 under dating back 5 seasons. TROY is 12-1 UNDER L/13 in all home games dating back to last season and s 8-0 UNDER L/8 in home games when playing only their 2nd game in a week.

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Milwaukee is a below average  offensive team with a  rating of 105.9. The Bucks are in the bottom third in scoring at 102.7 points per game and are far from solid road favorites. In the past and more recently they have shown glimpses of an upward trajectory as was the case last time out in a win vs Cleveland by a 118-101 score. But the Bucks have not dealt well with success in the past, and are  19-42 ATS L/65  off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog. Meanwhile, Brooklyn enters this game with confidence after a 127-122 win vs the LA Clippers, and look like viable home dogs . In the first meeting of the season, Milwaukee recorded a 110-108 home victory on Oct. 26 and a repeat type game is highly likely with the points Im betting proving to be golden.

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Utah State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

San Antonio had a 9 game winning streak , end in their last trip to the hardwood,  as they looked exhausted, in a 95-83 loss to Orlando at home Tuesday night. It is not easy in this league, to sustain a consistent tenacious level over the long haul, and physics has now caught up to the Spurs, during a heavy part of their schedule. Meanwhile, the Mavericks picked up a win Sunday, beating New Orleans 91-81 in a strong defensive performance. Defense was the mainstay of that victory, and nothing will change tonight for the Mavericks vs a superior side. The bottom line is that Dallas just does not have alot of scoring options, with Dirk Nowitzki out, so slowing this game down with slow methodical physical play gives them their best chance at being competitive. It must be noted that Dallas has scored more than 95 points just once in 9 games, and another low output looks like a strong option tonight in game that I am betting stays on the low side of the number.

SAN ANTONIO is 20-7 UNDER L/27 in road games when playing 6 or more games in 10 days . HC Carlisle of Dallas is 25-11 under in his L/37 games off an upset win as an underdog, with the average combined score clicking in at 184.7 ppg. 

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Marquette - Western Carolina UNDER 1 unit reg selection

South Alabama to cover 1 unit reg selection

My own power rankings suggest Wright State is a very under rated commidity at the moment and have looked very competitive in their games, and once again look like a good bet to cover vs Georgia State and for the catalyst behind this to be G Mark Alstork a very under appreciated offensive force.

The Raiders have failed to cover only 2 of their L/9 non conference tilts.  GEORGIA ST is 2-11 ATS L/13 when the total is 130 to 139.5 and is  2-10 ATS L/12 after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite. Georgia State 1-6-1 ATS L/8 at home.

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Northeastern has been very competetive this season , winning against Boston U , UConn, Kent State. Which are good wins.  Cornell has lost 5 of their L/6 and are fade material . Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 like Northeastern - attempting 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season, in November games are a bankroll expanding 82-45 ATS for a 65% conversion rate on the line.

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