North Carolina  ranked  No. 15  are gearing up into top form at the moment and on a current 4 game winning streak, after suffering a bit of a early season slump. Meanwhile, Virginia Tech (13-6, 2-4) has lost back-to-back games for the second time since the start of its conference schedule , and fade material here according to my current power rankings. Virginia Tech has been outrebounded in five of its six ACC games, with double-digit rebounding margins in three of those tilts  and do matchup well against this type of team.

VIRGINIA TECH is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% this or less on the  season losing SU by an average of 7 ppg. N CAROLINA is 16-7 ATS L/23 after a game where they failed to cover the spread .

CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (VIRGINIA TECH) - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 8+ PPG in the 2nd half of the season, after allowing 75 points or more 3 straight games are 9-27 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 75% for bettors.

Play on North Carolina to cover

Iowa State has revenge on board for a 74-70 loss at home to Texas earlier this season, and will primed for payback in this spot. the Cyclones have been good bets with revenge in the past cashing 11 of 13 opportunities and have won 17 of their L/23 straight up with same season revenge if the loss was by 4 or fewer points.  Meanwhile, Texas came out flatter than I expected after defeating Texas Tech, and  lost vs West Virginia last time out ,  and were sent flying back down to earth. Those two back to back games will see Smarts side even flatter now and susceptible to a down performance.

TEXAS is 2-12 ATS L/14 after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers.

CBB road team (IOWA ST) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent against opponent off a road loss by 20 points or more 63-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Iowa State to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals

N CAROLINA is 11-3 UNDER l/14when the total is 160 to 169.5  with a combined average of 159.1 ppg scored.

N CAROLINA is 7-1 UNDER  in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more  of their attempts this season with a combined average of 144.9 ppg scored.

CBB teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (N CAROLINA) - hot team - having won 15 or more of their last 20 games, a top-level team (80% or more ) playing a team with a winning record are 31-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for totals bettors.

Play on the UNDER

Indiana will be in an emotional letdown state after taking on Michigan State last time out, and losing by a 85-57 count. That was a demoralizing loss for this program, as they entered the game on a 3 game winning streak,  and  feeling good about themselves  until the 20 ton boulder was dropped on them. It must be noted the  Hoosiers are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points. Meanwhile, Maryland, is a decent team, that is capable of taking advantage of this situation and viable options in this spot.

MARYLAND is 11-3 ATS  L/14 after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread.Terrapins are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Favorite is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

CBB road team (MARYLAND) - excellent defensive team (40% or less) against an average defensive team (42.5-45%), average ball handling team (14.5-17.5 TO) vs. a poor pressure defense (14.5  or less TO) after 15+ games are 111-66 ATS L/21 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Maryland to cover

The Spurs are desperate to get back on track after struggling of late, and will have their opportunity here at home vs a exhausted Indiana Pacers team that has lost two straight while mustering 86 points in both tilts and  on the tail end of a 5 game  Western Conference road trip. Add to that the Spurs have revenge on board for a 97-94 loss at Indiana as 6.5 point favorites earlier this season and you have a motivated side to back . With that said, the odds according to my own power rankings  are weighted sufficiently enough in the Spurs favor  to get payback here at the AT& T Center tonight where they have won 14 straight games.  Recent  top tier non conference performances at home by the Spurs this season also indicate ( 15-3 ATS) that we are backing a solid favorite here.SAN ANTONIO is also  13-4 ATS  overall as a home favorite this season winning SU by an average of 11.6 ppg.

SAN ANTONIO is 13-5 ATS   in home games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season - Spurs 107.3 opposition 97.5 .

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) - after 1 or more consecutive losses, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 71-7 SU  L/5 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by more than 10.8 ppg. 

Play on San Antonio to cover

Indiana is on tired legs, as they are on the tail end of a 5 game western conference road trip. Their ability to play physical defense,  I'm betting will be hampered by fatigue. Meanwhile, the Spurs anxious to get back on a winning run and inflict payback for a previous loss to the Pacers earlier this season, will see the Spurs playing aggressively, and pushing the tempo of the game. This will force the Pacers to chase, and reciprocate with some offense of their own in game that I have pegged to over the set total. Note: INDIANA is 9-1 OVER L/10 in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) with a combined average of 224.8 ppg scored.

Pacers offense averages 106.5 ppg this season and on the road have also averaged  105.9 ppg on average , while the defense has allowed 105.7 ppg overall and 106.5 ppg. San Antonio has scored 107 ppg at home this season, and overall have seen a combined average of 204.6 ppg.

SAN ANTONIO is 18-7 OVER  L/25 revenging a same season loss vs opponent with a combined average of 208.7 ppg scored. NDIANA is 22-11 OVER  L/33 as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points with a combined average of 216.7 ppg going on the board.

NBA Home teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (SAN ANTONIO) - a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (102 PPG or more ), after a game where both teams scored 90 points or less are 23-4 OVER L/21 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for totals bettors.

Play OVER

Valparaiso is in a rebuilding mode, losing 10 of their L/13 overall . Meanwhile,  Loyola Chicago is in top form as is evident by winning 15 of their 19 games this season. The linesmakers thanks to Vals pedigree and  past successes in this conference  are asking their backers and true believers to lay the lumber here. However, my own numbers make the visitor the superior side, and I firmly believe the wrong team is favored.

LOYOLA-IL is 12-3 ATS  L/15 versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game .LOYOLA-IL is 6-0 ATS  L/6 after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games

CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LOYOLA-IL) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 28-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Loyola Chicago to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

S ILLINOIS is 7-0 OVER  L/7 after a game where they made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse ith a combined average of 153 ppg going on the board.N IOWA is 11-3 OVER  L/14 at road when the line is +3 to -3 with a combined average of 133.1 ppg scored.

CBB teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (S ILLINOIS) - after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) 30-9  OVER  L/21 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

The Celtics won the first two games of the season series with Orlando and have won six straight against the Magic.   Boston has also won 14 straight and 17 of the last 18 against the Magic at TD Garden and part of the reason this line is slightly bloated and offering value for advantage . Boston's a hard working team, that has played valiantly this season, despite of a opening game injury suffered by Gordon Hayward, but in their current form makes them less than viable DD favs, as has been evident in 3 of their L/5 when they failed to eclipse the 91 point plateau. it must also be noted that  Orlando has been highly competitive of late , covering 4 straight and 5 of their L/6 and its also interesting to note that  Celtics HC Stevens is 1-10 ATS L/11 versus struggling  defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season in his career with the Celtics.

BOSTON is 3-13 ATS  L/16  in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%).

NBA Home teams (BOSTON) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are just 4-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 87% for bettors.

Play on Orlando to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

BOSTON COLLEGE is 11-2 OVER  L/13 versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games , with a combined average of 162.4 ppg.LOUISVILLE is 13-3 OVER  versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games , with a combined average of 153.8 ppg.

CBB Road teams against the total (BOSTON COLLEGE) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 47-18 OVER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB All teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (LOUISVILLE) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (60 or more shots/game) after 15+ games are 114-60 OVER for a 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play OVER

Pepperdine is desperate after 10 straight losses, and with each successive loss the lines-makers adjust their lines to the higher end of the acceptable spectrum, which now favors them covering according to my own numbers .


CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (PEPPERDINE) - after allowing 75 points or more 5 straight games, with just one or fewer starters returning from last season are 40-10 ATS L/21 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB Road underdogs of 10 or more points (PEPPERDINE) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG) after 15+ games, after allowing 75 points or more 5 straight games are 26-8 ATS L/21 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Pepperdine to cover

Golden State the reigning NBA champs come into Houston ready to inflict some punishment on a team, that is a direct threat to their elite status. The last time these teams played here in Houston the Warriors took a 124-114 win . The Rockets tried to unsuccessfully run and gun with the champs, and nothing should change in the rematch including the margin of victory for the visitors.HOUSTON is 8-19 ATS  L/27  in home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points and  is 0-8 ATS  L/8 in home games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game .

HOUSTON is 4-17 ATS  L/21 in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game over the last couple of seasons and is 1-9 ATS  L/10 in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23  or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season.

Golden State is 6-1 SU/ATS L/7 visits here.

Play on Golden State to cover

Mississippi State is just 2-4 in SEC play, but have been highly competitive behind a top tier defense, that is allowing just  39.4% shooting from the floor. In three of the four losses only one came by more than 6 points and considering my matchup scenarios I'm betting on them making a game of this vs a Alabama side they have revenge against for three losses last season including the SEC tourney. Alabama is just 1-4 ATS  a team from last season looking for triple revenge. MISSISSIPPI ST is 10-2 ATS  L/12 versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots after 15+ games over the last few seasons.

Play on Mississippi State to cover

Tulsa enters this game in bad form having lost four straight games. Nothing has come easy for them lately, and nothing changes tonight in a matchup vs a Memphis side in top form, after having won four straight games.

TULSA is 2-13 ATS L/15 in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses.

CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (MEMPHIS) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3.5 PPG diff.) after 15 or more games, after allowing 50 points or less are 32-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Memphis to cover

Elon plays their best basketball at home as is evident by a 13-2 SU L/15 record as hosts  with the two losses coming by 1 and 2 points respectively. Now in revenge mode for a loss to William Mary in last seasons CAA tourney, payback is on todays agenda, which gives us an advantage via motivation and home court . The Tribe has lost 8 of their L/13 road games, and are not in a good spot here vs a program sporting 5 returning starters.

ELON is 10-2 ATS  L/12  in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game.ELON is 6-0 ATS  in home games when playing their 2nd game in 3 days over the last couple of seasons and is 6-0 ATS  L/6  in home games when playing with one or less days rest.

Play on Elon to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Home teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (RIDER) - up-tempo team averaging 62 or more shots/game on the season, after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher are 22-4 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.

 Play UNDER

These programs are operating at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum, but motivationally speaking Duke won't be up for this game, and I'm betting theirs a high probability they just go through the motions of notching a win on a slightly bloated line that offers value for advantage bettors.

PITTSBURGH is 17-7 ATS  L/24 versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season .PITTSBURGH is 9-1 ATS  L/10 in road games after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ less shots than opponent .

CBB Road underdogs of 20 or more points (PITTSBURGH) - revenging a loss where team scored less than 60 points, off 2 consecutive losses of 10 or more to conference rivals are 44-16 ATS L/21 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Pittsburgh to cover

Cleveland has struggled mightily, of late, and barely took a 104-103 win vs lowly  Orlando last time out, as there looks to be very little motivation , from even key players like LeBron James. But now with this game on national tv (ABC) James will want to make a big showing. He's a great player , but his ego , and ability to speak about himself in the third person, has me wondering where one of the greatest players the game has ever seen mindset is. Wherever his thoughts are one thing for sure is that he wants his legacy to be remembered, and on this big stage, I'm betting he will shine and lead his team to victory in this spot vs a Oklahoma  City side , that they matchup well against  . By the way folks, I'm not down on Cleveland , with so much time left to play in the season. I'm a true believer in this group, as they have the talent to turn things around, and today could be a catalyst to them starting to play the way I think they can. Note: Cleveland D, has struggled of late, but the Thunder has shown a lack of an ability to deal with these types of pourous defenses, as is evident by a 4-16 ATS  record  versus struggling defensive teams -  allowing shooting pct defense of 46% or more  this season .

OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-15 ATS  L/22 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36%  or more of their attempts this season.OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-12 ATS  L/16  versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season .

NBA team vs the money line (CLEVELAND) - after failing to cover the spread in 7 or more consecutive games, with a winning record on the season are 70-31 SU l/101 opportunities winning by an average of 6.5 ppg.

NBA Home favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team winning SU by an average of 10.4 ppg.

Play on Cleveland to cover

Seton Hall is  6-0 L6 in this series and are 4-0 off SU loss vs opponent like Xavier  off back to back home wins. I expect the sell out crowed expected today to buoy the home side to win and cover again.  The Pirates, 15-4 overall and 4-2 in the BIG EAST, boast an 11-0 home record and must be respected as hosts vs a side that is just 3-2 on the road in an unfriendly environment again.

XAVIER is 0-6 ATS  L/6 in road games in January games over the last 2 seasons.

Play  on Seton Hall to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.
 
teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (SOUTHERN UTAH/E.WASH) - playing with one or less days rest 373-236 UNDER  L/21 seasons for a 61% long term conversion rate on the blind.

 Play UNDER

 The Jayhawks’  and West Virginia took part in a epic battle this past week that saw the Jayhawks  comeback for a victory in  Morgantown  and will now be in a let down spot  vs  the  Longhorns and Shaka Smart . Considering  Texas  has had this game circled for a long time after taking it on the chin 3 times last season to this program including the Big 12 tourney ,  it will be an easy decision to take the points  here today in Morgantown via a revenge minded squad.  It must be noted that West Virginia has failed to cover 15 of their L/21 playing at home off a loss. Add to that   Smart’ ATS career record when seeking LTKO revenge  is 5-1 ATS and you have a decent argument to back the under rated road team. From a series perspective the Longhorns are 9-2 ATS and are a team that is stronger than most have noticed as the  Longhorns  D is , allowing just 65.4 PPG on 39.6% shooting.  I know many have West Virginia pegged for the Final Four, but Texas is no pushover. note: Texas is 8-1  SU L/9 when seeking triple revenge from a previous season and are 4-0 ATS in the dog role under those perimeters.

Mountaineers are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 Saturday games.Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big 12.Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Play on Texas to cover

This is a huge game for UConn, and while they maybe far removed from being a final four candidate they still have pedigree and an ability to not be embarrassed here at home in front of their own fans. We all know the explosiveness of Villanvoa, but it must be noted that CONNECTICUT is 7-0 ATS L/7 in home games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 84+ points/game . With this being Villanova's third straight road game in a 7 day period, fatigue maybe a factor, which gives us some room here to get the cover.
Cats HC Wright is 19-34 ATS  after playing 2 consecutive road games .

CBB Favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (VILLANOVA) - after 3 or more consecutive unders, an explosive offensive team (78 PPG or better ) against an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) are 34-77 ATS L/21 seasons for a 70% go against conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on UConn to cover

The Suns offense remains in issue as they have failed to eclipse the 99 point plateau in 3 of their L/5 and now the  defense is being scrutinized after allowing Portland to shoot over 50% from the field in game they  played Tuesday night. Some of the players blamed it on fatigue, but you can bet, HC Triano a master tactician won't take this sitting down, and will try diligently  to make sure his young team works harder on their transitional play and overall defense tonight vs a sometimes explosive Nuggets team. Something that might aid the Suns, in their attempt to slow down the Nuggets offense is the rash of nagging injuries the Nuggets are currently experiencing and the heavy schedule that will now have them playing their 3rd game in 4 nights. Thanks to a array of issues  it must be noted that Denver has failed to score 99 or more points in 5 of their L/8 overall.The Nuggets  have gone under in 5 straight games and in 7 of their L/8 overall, and despite of some historical high scoring past meetings, I'm betting history is unlikely to repeat itself here under the current circumstances.

DENVER is 17-6 UNDER  when playing against a team with a losing record this season with a combined average of 205.4 ppg scored. DENVER is 15-7 UNDER when the total is 210 to 219.5 this season with a combined average of 208.1 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (PHOENIX) - terrible team - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game, after trailing their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half  are 55-20 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for totals bettors with the average combined score of these games clicking in a 209 ppg.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (DENVER) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days are 71-38 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

CANISIUS is 6-0 UNDER  versus teams who average 33 or less rebounds/game on the season dating back to last season. MANHATTAN is 8-1 UNDER  versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games dating back to last season.CANISIUS is 8-1 UNDER   after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread this season. MANHATTAN is 6-0 UNDER   in home games after playing a home game.

Play UNDER

Wisconsin and Illinois are both desperate for wins as they  arrive on losing streaks. With that said, I'm expecting both to leave everything on the floor in a game that points getting points as the smart play.

WISCONSIN is 3-11 ATS  when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

WISCONSIN is 0-6 ATS L/6 after 2 or more consecutive unders this season. ILLINOIS is 12-3 ATS  L/15  in road games off 3 straight losses against conference rivals.

CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (WISCONSIN) - off a road loss by 20 points or more, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 24-53 ATS l/5 seasons for a 69% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on  Illinois to cover

Canisius has won 7 of their L/8 games are currently in top form and are the superior side according to my own power rankings. Laying some very short lumber on the road makes for a viable wagering option.

MANHATTAN is 2-11 ATS   when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 3 seasons. CANISIUS is 7-1 ATS as a favorite this season.

CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CANISIUS) - good free throw shooting team (69-73%) against an average free throw shooting team (65-69%), in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) after 15+ games. are 67-31 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Canisius to cover

The Pistons enter this game in a slump after having lost 3 straight games, and consistently struggle since point guard Reggie Jackson went down with injury.  Meanwhile, Washington despite of also being inconsistent actually matchup well against the Pistons according to my cross reference power rankings systems and get  the nod here on the road tonight in Motown.

DETROIT is 12-28 ATS  L/40 when the line is +3 to -3 dating back to last season.

WASHINGTON is 7-2 straight /ats against DETROIT over the last few seasons ; Washington won the first two meetings this season -- both came at  home , by an  average 11 ppg.

NBA Home underdogs (DETROIT) - after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%). are 9-35 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Washington Wizards to cover

Detroit enters this game ranked 25th in offense and 21st in pace, and own the 4th ranked D,  and I'm expecting those numbers to remain on average here tonight against the Wizards. Meanwhile, Washington ranks 13th in pace and 11 in defensive rating, and 11th in offensive rating. My numbers make the Total closer to 203-204 thus giving us value with the under here.

DETROIT is 8-0 UNDER  after 2 or more consecutive losses this season with a combined average of 193.5 ppg going on the board.DETROIT is 15-4 UNDER  L/19 after 1 or more consecutive losses this season with a combined average of 199.3 ppg scored.DETROIT is 11-2 UNDER  L/13 as a home underdog of 6 points or less dating back to last season with a combined average of with a combined average of 194.5 ppg clicking in.DETROIT is 15-6 UNDER when the total is 200 to 209.5 this season.

NBA teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (WASHINGTON) - after being beaten by the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 70-30 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for totals bettors.

Play UNDER

Miami is a big strong physical team that matches up very well against Brooklyn. The Heat's defensive play is above average and tenacious in nature and are allowing  and average of just 98.4 points in their last 20 games.Miami's defensive rating during this time span  is 103.7 points per 100 possessions while allowing  opposition offenses  to convert just  44.9 percent from the floor and 35.5 percent from downtown.  Meanwhile, Brooklyn is a team that usually  struggles against teams like the Nets, with big men, on their roster  ie ( Hassan Whiteside) and according to my own cross reference rankings matchup poorly in both teams current forms. The nets have lost 3 straight and   6 of their L/7 overall, and have lost 6 of their L/8 at home, and now have to face a side that is in top form and out to revenge a ugly 111-87 loss the Nets at home back on Dec 29. With that said, I'm betting on the Heat coming out here motivated and ready to inflict some payback, in a place where they have had good success off late winning and covering their L/4 trips to Brooklyn.

MIAMI is 30-12 ATS  versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season dating back to the last campaign. Road team is 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.Favorite is 5-1-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

Play on Miami to cover

Indiana has been streaky this season, and right now they are  on a winning streak, of 3 games  and have won 5 of their l/6 SU and have looked good in back to back road games. Now with momentum on their sides I'm expecting another top tier effort vs a very inconsistent Portland side. The Pacers also have the added incentive of revenge on board for a 114-96 loss at home earlier this season to the Blazers. So now on a couple of days rest and motivated to get some pay back I'm recommending we take the points with them here tonight.

INDIANA is 13-3 ATS  L/16  in road games when playing with 2 days rest .PORTLAND is 3-11 ATS   as a home favorite this season.

Trail Blazers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.Trail Blazers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Pacers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Pacers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 road games.Trail Blazers are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. NBA Central.Trail Blazers are 6-15-3 ATS in their last 24 home games.

NBA Home favorites (PORTLAND) - after allowing 100 points or more 5 straight games against opponent after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are  51-18 ATS L/21 seasons and a perfect 6-0 ATS this season !

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PORTLAND) - after failing to cover the spread in 4 or more consecutive games, tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days are 26-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Indiana Pacers to cover

Pacific has won 3 straight games, and are now getting a little bit to much love from the lines-makers because of it. The  Tigers took out Portland in their L/game 66-54 but it must be noted that has not been a good omen for the betting backers of this program, as they are 0-7 ATS  L/7 after allowing 60 points or less  and 4-12 ATS  L/16 after 1 or more consecutive wins. I know Pepperdine is struggling mightily at this time, and banged up, but according to my numbers are a viable underdog in this spot at 11 points or more.

The Waves have won six of the nine matchups since the Tigers rejoined the WCC, including two of the four trips to Stockton.

CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (PEPPERDINE) - off 2 consecutive losses of 10 or more to conference rivals, terrible team, winning 20% or less of their games on the season are 23-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Pepperdine to cover

San Diego is the superior team here, but I have multiple team vs team systems analysis factors that project a much lower margin of victory and also indicates a couple of matchup discrepancies which became evident  in a 81-74 loss Portland suffered at home Jan 4th when they covered as 7.5 point dogs vs San Diego.

SAN DIEGO is 0-7 ATS  L/7  in home games versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing  12 or less  turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last few seasons. SAN DIEGO is 2-9 ATS  in a home game where the total is 135 to 139.5 .

PORTLAND is 10-2 ATS  L/12  in road games after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers and is 11-3 ATS  L/14  in road games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread and  10-2 ATS  L/12  in road games after a game with 9 or less assists .

CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (PORTLAND) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off an embarrassing home loss scoring less than 60 points are 84-46 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Portland to cover

Weber State has been playing some pretty good ball of late, winning 3 of their L/4 and 6 of their L/8 , but in the past they have not been a good bet when rolling, as  WEBER ST is just  1-11 ATS  L/12 after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games. Sacramento State meanwhile, ended a 3 game losing streak with a upset win vs Montana last time out and now will use that momentum heading into this game to their advantage.SACRAMENTO ST is 7-0 ATS  L/7 off an upset win as an underdog.

SACRAMENTO ST is 11-3 ATS L/14 versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games dating back to last season.WEBER ST is 5-14 ATS L/19 when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last few seasons. WEBER ST is 4-12 ATS L/16 versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games .

CBB Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (WEBER ST) - an explosive offensive team ( 76 PPG or more ) against an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after allowing 80 points or more are 71-129 ATS L/21 seasons for a 65% long term go against conversion rate on the blind.

Play on Sacramento State to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

IDAHO ST is 7-0 UNDER  L/7 versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game with a combined average of 141.1 ppg scored.

CBB teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (PORTLAND ST/IDAHO ST) - in a game involving two average free throw shooting teams (65-69%) are 58-24 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for Totals bettors with a combined average of 158.6 ppg scored.

Play UNDER

WSU won the first meeting in this series last season, a 91-89 overtime thriller at Pullman, Jan. 21, then Colorado won the final two, a decisive 81-49 win at Boulder, Feb. 12 and a come-from-behind, 73-63 victory at the Pac-12 Tournament, March 8. WSU is a much better team now and are more than capable of hanging around here and even possibly pulling off an upset . Meanwhile, Colorado is off an emotional 68-59 win on the road at UCLA, and will now be in a letdown situation vs a side I'm sure their over looking. COLORADO is 1-8 ATS  L/9 after allowing 60 points or less in a previous game and is 8-20 ATS  after 1 or more consecutive wins.

When looking at underdogs, I  like teams that can make the downtown shot, because of all the options we have via back door covers. Note: WSU is third in the nation and leads the Pac-12 with 11.9 made 3-pointers per game.

COLORADO is 12-22 ATS  L/34 when playing against a team with a winning record.

At least one of the two meetings between Washington State and Colorado over the last four seasons has been decided in overtime.

CBB road team (WASHINGTON ST) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3.5 PPG diff.) after 15 or more games, after a blowout win by 20 points or more are 41-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Washington State to cover

Drexel's record may not inspire bettors , but they have for the most part been very competitive, and must be respected here as DD underdogs, vs what my own line estimates suggest to be an over rated home favorite in Towson.

Towson won both meetings last season, by 4 points and 1 point, and according to my power rankings this line should be closer to -9  thus giving us value taking points.

TOWSON ST is 0-6 ATS  L/6  in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games .

 Road team is 8-1-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings.Dragons are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Towson.

CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (DREXEL) - average shooting team (42.5-45%) against an good defensive team (40-42.5%), after a game - allowing a shooting pct. of 55% or higher are 83-42 ATS L/21 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB home team (TOWSON ST) - a very good team (>=+8 PPG differential) against a poor team (-3.5 to -8 PPG differential), after scoring 95 points or more are 41-81 ATS L/21 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Drexel to cover

College of Charleston is off a 63-58 loss to Elon last time out in a grueling physical affair, that could easily have this team in an emotional letdown situation. Note:Grant is 1-10 ATS  off a road loss scoring less than 60 points Tonight's opponent, visiting UNC Wilmington recently just beat Elon and according to my cross reference system and player ranking matchup well here. I know Charleston has five returning starters compared to the relatively inexperienced UNC Wilmington group, but  my numbers suggest this is a bloated line which favors the underdog.

UNC-WILMINGTON is 10-1 ATS  L/11  in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games over the last few seasons.

UNC Wilmington is 5-1 SU L/6 meetings and 2-0 SU/ATS L/2 visits here.

CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (UNC-WILMINGTON) - after allowing 75 points or more 5 straight games, with just one or fewer starters returning from last season are 39-10 ATS L/21 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on UNC Wilmington to cover

The Citadel might not be winning much, but boy are thye fun to watch, behind an explosive offense, 92,91, and 110 points in their L/3 games.  Teams like this make for great DD underdogs, and I'm recommending we back them here tonight vs UNC Greensboro. I know Greesnboro is been winning of late, but HC Miller is just  1-9 ATS  L/10 after having won 8 or more of their last 10 games, most probably because the lines-makers sometimes over compensate for streaking teams, offering up value on the dog.

HC Baucom is 8-0 ATS  L/8 n road games after 2 or more consecutive overs.

CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (THE CITADEL) - after allowing 85 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 31-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Citadel to cover

 Utah State enters this game vs Boise State   in a double revenge situation  from last season. The Aggies have faired well before with revenge in this series in the past cashing 5 straight here in the visitors role.  With  the Broncos off a big game against San Diego State  last time out, and with conference leader Nevada on deck, they will probably not be 100% focused on this tilt and in an emotional letdown state after their last aforementioned battle . 

BOISE ST is 0-6 ATS  L/6  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games.BOISE ST is 8-23 ATS  L/31 after leading their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half .BOISE ST is 2-9 ATS  L/11  in home games after a conference game .

CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (UTAH ST) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG), after allowing 75 points or more 5 straight games are 31-9 ATS L/21 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Utah State to cover

The Horned Frogs (13-4, 1-4 in Big 12) have lost four of their past five games and three contests in a row and all 5 games have been grueling and exhausting affairs, that could easily have the Horned Frogs play a down game just because of the sheer amount of energy exerted. I know Iowa State is also struggling in the W/L column of late , but they are a viable opponent for all comers in the Big 12  as was evident in an easy 75-65 win vs Baylor last time out. Note" Iowa State has won 4 of the L/5 in this series overall and 4 of their L/5 tips to TCU.

TCU is 1-8 ATS  L/9  in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts over the last couple of seasons.IOWA ST is 19-9 ATS L/28  in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last few seasons and is 12-4 ATS  L/16 versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game. Last year in Fort Worth, TCU won 84-77 on Jan. 14, 2017. It was the Horned Frogs' first victory over Iowa State in 20 years.

Iowa State to cover

Xavier is off a big win  on Saturday afternoon  by taking out Creighton ( after a 2 game losing streak). The Musketeers exerted a lot of energy in that tilt, and may not be as exuberant this time around vs a St.John's side that is better than many anticipated before the season began. The Storm have played hard  even after sophomore guard Marcus Lovett, was injured and lost for the season, as was the case last week against one of the best teams in the nation Villanova (78-71- +12 dog). I'm recommending we take the points here with the underdog.

CBB Favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (XAVIER) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, an explosive offensive team (76 PPG or more ) against an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games. 68-120 ATS L/21 seasons for  a go against conversion rate of 64% for bettors on the blind.

Play on St.John's to cover

When these teams played back in late November of this season, the Warriors took a 143-94 win vs their hosts tonight the Chicago Bulls. I'm sure that bad defensive performance still is a sore point for Hoiberg and company, and this time around I'm betting the Bulls despite of some decent offensive production of late won't allow themselves to get caught up in shoot out that they probably can't win. This I'm betting cuts into the lines-makers Totals projections. Add to that the Warriors are off a big win vs Cleveland last time out, and now in a an emotional letdown situation, their energy levels should be diminished , and their offensive output curtailed, which could lead to a much lower scoring game than expected.

HC Kerr is 21-9 UNDER L/30 in road games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season with the combined average score registering in at 214.6 ppg. Bulls HC Hoiberg is 31-16 UNDER L/47 in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent with a combined average score of 201.9 ppg scored.

Under is 4-0 in Warriors last 4 vs. NBA Central.Under is 7-1 in Warriors last 8 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 6-1 in Warriors last 7 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Under is 5-2 in Bulls last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Under is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in Chicago.

GOLDEN STATE is 13-4 UNDER L/17 versus struggling defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season with a combined average score of 214.7 ppg scored.CHICAGO is 30-18 UNDER versus teams - allowing 106+ points/game with the average combined score clicking in at 207.9 ppg.

GOLDEN STATE is 23-9 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 229.5 to 230 with a combined average of 225.1 ppg scored. CHICAGO is 27-10 UNDER L/37 in home games in non-conference games with a combined average of 198.9 ppg scored.


NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) - after 2 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 3 or more consecutive wins are 33-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

Play UNDER

The Pelicans, are on tired legs  after, defeating the Eastern Conference-leading Celtics 116-113 in overtime at Boston on Tuesday night. Meanwhile, Atlanta is playing much better of late,  and are coming off a 102-99 loss to the San Antonio Spurs on Monday. The Hawks have shown some fight in recent games and must not be disrespected here as they are  4-3 against Western Conference teams at home this season. In 31 of their 43 games, the Hawks have been within at least one possession at some point in the fourth quarter and deserve our attention as dogs in this spot play.

ATLANTA is 27-14 ATS  L/41 versus good passing teams, averaging 23  or more assists/game. Pelicans HC Gentry is 9-23 ATS  L/31 after 2 straight games where they attempted 90 or more shots.

Pelicans are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 vs. NBA Southeast.Hawks are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 vs. Western Conference.Hawks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Hawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW ORLEANS) - off a road win by 3 points or less, playing on back-to-back days are 5-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (NEW ORLEANS) - off a road win by 3 points or less, playing on back-to-back days are 4-27 SU L/5 seasons losing  by an average of 10.2 ppg.

Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover

Bradely after starting their season in red hot form, have now lost 4 of their L/7 and are beatable in their current form . I know Illinois State has also stumbled , losing 2 straight, but they matchup well from a systems standpoint and get the nod, with home court advantage on their side.

HC Muller of Illinois State  is 16-4 ATS  L/20  after a game where they made 53% of their free throws or worse.

Illinois State has won the L/4 meetings in this series overall and are 15-4 SU L/19 at home in this series.

ILLINOIS ST is 11-2 ATS  L/13 after 1 or more consecutive losses.

BRADLEY is 1-8 ATS  L/9 in a road game where the total is 130 to 139.5. BRADLEY is a long term negative bet as they are  95-126 ATS   as a road underdog or pick.

CBB favorite (ILLINOIS ST) - average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against a good 3PT defense (32% or less), good ball handling team (14.5 TO or worse) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-17.5 TO) after 15+ games are 85-43 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate .

Play on Illinois State to cover

Both these teams are struggling, with South Florida having lost 5 straight games and East Carolina 5 of their L/6.The lone E.Carolina win came against this same S.Flordia side by a 67-65 count and another one possession game is not out of the question. From a matchup perspective this line should be closer to a pickem, thus getting points according to my data is a very good wagering option.

CBB Home teams as a favorite or pick (E CAROLINA) - in a game involving two poor offensive teams (63-67 PPG) after 15+ games, after a combined score of 115 points or less are 9-32 ATS for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on South Florida to cover

     My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Iowa plays a one way offensive game, scoring 81 plus ppg on offense and allowing 81 ppg on the road. Rutgers plays a little slower paced game, but I'm betting will be dragged into a much faster paced tilt then their accustomed to which will result in a fairly high scoring affair.

RUTGERS is 11-2 OVER L/13 in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last few seasons with a combined average of 145.7 ppg scored and 10-2 OVER L/12 in home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season with a combined average of 149.9 ppg going on the board.

IOWA is 16-4 OVER L/20 in road games after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games with a combined average of 154 ppg going on the board. IOWA is 11-1 OVER L/12 when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 163.3 ppg scored.

CBB All teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (RUTGERS/IOWA) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (60 or more shots/game) after 15+ games are 112-54 OVER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER                    

Dayton is into top form as they have won 2 straight and 3 of their L/4 , with the lone loss coming by 2 points. Meanwhile, St.Jospehs has failed to win and cover two straight, and are a sub .500 team on the season. From a matchup perspective Dayton has the edge according to my power rankings, and get the nod here as short dogs.

ST JOSEPHS is 0-6 ATS  L/6  in home games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread.

ST JOSEPHS is 4-13 ATS  L/17  in home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games. ST JOSEPHS is 4-13 ATS  L/17 off a close road loss by 3 points or less.DAYTON is 12-3 ATS  L/15 after a game where they made 13 or more 3 point shots.

CBB road team (DAYTON) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3.5 PPG diff.) after 15 or more games, after a blowout win by 20 points or more are 44-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (DAYTON) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3.5 PPG diff.) after 15 or more games, after a blowout win by 20 points or more are 36-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Dayton to cover

Tulsa, after starting the season with a 10-5 record has lost 3 straight games, with their loss  coming  vs ranked Wichita State, by a 72-69 count , showing me their ability to compete against some of the best teams in the nation. Meanwhile, Temple has lost 6 of their L/7 overall, but have for the most part been highly competitive. Even when they have won nothing has come easily. so another closely contested matchup vs a quality opponent is  high probability making getting points a viable wagering option.

TEMPLE is 1-9 ATS  L/10 versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season after 15+ games dating back to last season and 2-8 ATS  L/110 versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game.

CBB Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TEMPLE) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 39-79 ATS L/21 seasons for a 67% go against conversion rate on the blind for bettors.

Play on Tulsa to cover

This tilt according to my own numbers has value taking the underdog . I know Pittsburgh is rebuilding and not  as cohesive as they once were, but this point spread is beatable vs a Syracuse side is also not playing very well as is evident by having lost four straight games.

CBB road team (PITTSBURGH) - off 2 consecutive losses of 10 or more to conference rivals, playing only their 3rd game in a week are 53-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Pittsburgh to cover

On Saturday, the Sooners beat TCU 102-97 in overtime in an exhausting affair and now will  be in a little bit of letdowns situation, vs a revenge minded foe that clobbered them last season by a 81 -51 count. Take the points here with the hungry home team.

Kansas State is 2-0 SU l/2 games here in this series and are 10-3 SU L/13 at home in this series.

OKLAHOMA is 3-12 ATS  L/15 versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less  turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. OKLAHOMA is 12-23 ATS  L/36  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%).OKLAHOMA is 5-16 ATS  L/21 when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games. OKLAHOMA is 0-8 ATS L/8 off 2 straight wins against conference rivals over the last 3 seasons.

CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (OKLAHOMA) - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game, after allowing 45 points or more in the first half last game are 39-75 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Kansas State to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

N DAKOTA ST is 14-2 OVER L/16 versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or more turnovers/game after 15+ games and 9-1 OVER versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 45% or better. N DAKOTA is 10-1 OVER L/11 revenging a loss where opponent scored 75 or more points. N DAKOTA is 7-1 OVER in non-conference games this season.


CBB Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (N DAKOTA) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after a combined score of 165 points or more are 60-26 OVER L/5 season for a70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the OVER

The Orlando Magic have struggled for most of this season, and are on a 7 game losing streak, but  have been fairly competitive of late with  five losses coming  by single digits with the  average margin of defeat clicking in at  8.4 ppg during the skid. Meanwhile, Minnesota is in top form and off a 5 game home stand where they won all their games. But it's not always easy transitioning in cohesive fashion from a  comfortable road environment to a   hostile one on the road, especially after an extended period of time in your own digs. It must also be noted that the Wolves have lost 2 in a row on the road, and 3 of their L/4 away  and have  Houston on deck next. This combination could have the TWolves looking ahead and feeling just a bit to confident , which gives Orlando a viable chance at an upset and more importantly a cover.

The Wolves have covered only 2 of 10 games as non conference chalk this season. Orlando has covered 7 of the L/8 meetings in this series as dogs.

MINNESOTA is 16-32 ATS L/48 versus struggling  teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game.MINNESOTA is 18-43 ATS L/61 after scoring 120 points or more.

Play on Orlando to cover

Toledo enters this game with momentum as their 6-1 run would indicate and have revenge on board for a MAC Tournament loss to Ohio,(67-66 ) that ended their campaign last season . Overall series history favors the Rockets as they are 10-2 ATS L/12 meetings and have been money makers in the underdog role going 8-1 ATS and once again get the nod on a pickem line. It must also be noted that Toledo took out Central Michigan on the road last time as dogs, which sets up a favorable trend that has seen the Rockets go 13-2 ATS L/15 in road games off an upset win as a road pupp.

Ohio's HC Phillips is 1-11 ATS L/12 versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game like Toledo. Rockets HC Kowalczyk is 28-13 ATS as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick in his career.

Play on Toledo to win/cover

Louisville is off a run and gun affair that they won vs Virginia Tech last time out by a 94-86 count and now I'm betting they will be in a letdown situation, after that tilt. It must be noted that LOUISVILLE is 0-6 ATS  L/6  in road games after a combined score of 155 points or more were scored, and 9-23 ATS  L/31 after playing a game where both teams score 80 points. Meanwhile, Notre Dame despite of losing key cog Bonzie Colson to injury are still a viable side to back on their own home floor where they are 6-0 SU/ATS L/6 vs Louisville.

Injury update: Irish  G Matt Farrell is upgraded to probable Tuesday vs Louisville ( Ankle ).

LOUISVILLE is 1-10 ATS  L/11  in road games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less  turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last few seasons. LOUISVILLE is 0-6 ATS  L/6  in road games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 turnovers/game.

Play on Notre Dame to cover

Ranking  No. 3 in the most recent polls and riding a 13-game win streak Purdue is getting a little bit to much love from the linesmakers here tonight against a tough young Wisconsin program led by All-Big Ten forward Ethan Happ.  Value here on the line.

CBB Favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (PURDUE) - after 3 or more consecutive unders, an explosive offensive team ( 78 PPG or more ) against an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) are 76-33 ATS L/21 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Wisconsin to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

KENT ST is 9-0 OVER  L/9  in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last few seasons. W MICHIGAN is 24-11 OVER  L/35 when the total is 140 to 149.5 over. KST HC Senderoff is 20-6 OVER L/26 in a home game where the total is 140 to 149.5 .

CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (W MICHIGAN/KENT ST) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (>=60 shots/game) after 15+ games, in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) after 15+ games are 46-12  OVER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

The Rockets enter this contest against the LA Clippers playing decently without super star James Harden ( injury). However, the Rockets still don't look like they have the same flow they had with him in the lineup. Yes, their offense remains productive, but I can see chinks in their armour, and I'm betting the Clippers find a way to slow them down a little bit on their own home floor. I know these teams took part in a high scoring 128-118 affair back in late December , that the Rockets won, but with the Clippers learning their lesson, I expect a different type of approach here. With that said,   the  Clippers  know its in their best interest to slow this game down if they want positive results. With LAC HC Rivers starting to look like a much better tactician than he was earlier in coaching career  ,   I'm also  betting Rivers will try to slug it out with Houston in a slower more grinding game, instead going head to head with them,   in a run and gun affair again. This will result in a lower scoring tilt than the linesmakers might expect.

LA CLIPPERS are 8-0 UNDER L/8 in home games after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half dating back to last season with a combined average of 195.4 ppg going on the board. LA CLIPPERS are 14-4 UNDER L/18 in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game with a combined average of 208.5 ppg scored.HOUSTON in their L/28 games in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game have seen a combined  average of 222.9 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (LA CLIPPERS/HOUSTON) - after 2 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 3 or more consecutive wins are 31-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for totals bettors.

Play UNDER

Utah has not played very inspired basketball of late losing 14 of their L/18 and probably don't inspire many bettors, but they are in a favorable spot here tonight against a tired Indiana side off a desert win vs Phoenix last night. With Indiana now on tired legs and now having to compete in the high altitudes of Salt Lake City the fatigue factor will become key to us laying the short lumber with the desperate home side that is well rested. Pacers are 15-31-1 ATS in their last 47 games playing on 0 days rest.

The Jazz are 8-2 SU L/10 at home in this series, and won and covered the most recent two meetings here. Jazz are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Eastern Conference.Jazz are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 2 days rest


NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (INDIANA) - after 2 or more consecutive wins, playing on back-to-back days are 39-74 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 66% for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Utah Jazz to cover

Two  Big 12 rivals with identical 11-4 records go head to had tonight in a battle that I'm betting will be closely contested.  Oklahoma State Mike Boyton Jr. is a fine coach and despite of losing 3 of their L/4 conference tilts the Cowboys are a side that should not be underestimated getting points in the underdog role. In two meetings last year these teams, took part in hard fought affairs , and despite of the Pokes losing both contests they were close via a 3 and 4 point deficits. Also with Baylor looking ahead to Kansas in their next game, the Boyz get a break as they catch their Baylor opponents looking ahead.

Take the points with Oklahoma State

The struggling  Cleveland Cavaliers'   prepare to host the rival Golden State Warriors on national TV on Monday. The Cavs have played uninspired ball of late losing 7 of their L/9 overall, but now with the defending league champs in town , I'm betting on them finally coming out here and showing us their ability to play a complete game. Last time out they built a 22 point lead before losing a 97-95 decision to Indiana. That was a humbling experience for this talented group, and now with redemption at hand vs what is arguably the best hoops team in the world, they should be ready leave everything on the floor. When these teams  played on Christmas Day this season, the Cavs actually looked comfortable, and played well in a hard fought close 97-92 loss, and are more than capable of a cover here and SU upset vs a Warriors side on tired legs as they play their 3rd game in 4 nights and 7th in 11 days.

Cavaliers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Cavaliers are 5-2-2 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Home team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.Warriors are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - average defensive team (43.5-45.5%) against a poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%) after 42+ games, average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against a good ball handling team (14.5 TO's or less) are 14-39 SU L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 74% for bettors.

NBA Home underdogs (CLEVELAND) - off a upset loss as a favorite, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season are 60-29 ATS L/21 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Cleveland Cavaliers to cover

The Lakers  have had success of late and are on a 4 game win streak thanks to playing  much better defensive hoops and held the last three opponents to an average of 89.3 points. Tonight against a Memphis side that has only average 97.8 ppg in offensive production at home, I'm betting on them keeping their foes under wraps again. It must also be noted that the Lakers have failed to eclipse the 99 point plateau in 5 of their L/7 in slower paced affairs behind the 29th ranked offensive rating in the league. Meanwhile, Memphis is off scoring 78 points last time out in a hard fought defensive game in Denver (87-78), and I'm betting that Fizdale and company stick to this type of physcial hoops again, as they revert back to a slower paced game plan as they search for consistency.

Memphis is ranked 30th in Pace in the NBA while their  offense ranks 29th.

Under is 5-0 in Lakers last 5 games following a ATS win.

MEMPHIS is 15-7 UNDER L/22 versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season. MEMPHIS is 10-1 UNDER  L/11 versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game - 2nd half of the season .MEMPHIS is 16-5 UNDER in home games this season with a combined average of 198.5 ppg scored.

NBA Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (MEMPHIS) - a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against a struggling  defensive team (102 PPG or more), after a combined score of 175 points or less are 39-10 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for totals bettors.

Play on the UNDER

Call me crazy but I'm going to stand in front of the Miami Heat freight train tonight. Yes, they have played well of late and won 7 straight games, but they are on tired legs after playing last night in South Florida vs the Bucks  and then had to catch a red eye here to Chicago to play the Bulls , in an afternoon affair. This should have both discombobulated and exhausted ,which obviously makes them vulnerable to a down performance vs a team that is playing only their 2nd game in 5 nights.

CHICAGO is 8-0 ATS   against Southeast division opponents this season.CHICAGO is 10-1 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days this season.CHICAGO is 8-0 ATS  after 2 or more consecutive wins this season. Bulls HC Hoiberg is 13-3 ATS L/16  in home games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21  or less free throws/game.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MIAMI) - after 2 or more consecutive wins, playing on back-to-back days are 39-74 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (MIAMI) - after allowing 85 points or less against opponent after allowing 100 points or more 5 straight games are 31-7 SU L/21 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Chicago to cover

The Knicks have recently struggled on the road, but I'm not sure we should look at this as a true road game, as their will be plenty of Knicks fans in attendance here in Brooklyn to his afternoon.  Last night  New York choked and gave  up a 14-point lead in the fourth quarter and suffered a 123-118 overtime. I know the Knicks lost, but watching excerpts of that game, showed me this team still has the ability to take down any team in the league , and tonight I expect they will turn the trick vs a side that they matchup well against according to my power rankings. The Knicks  Tim Hardaway Jr. scored 25 points off the bench Sunday and  is looking strong and will make his 3rd start after coming back from injury and should be now in top form as the rust  has worn off. I'm betting on him to be the catalyst in a Knicks cover .

Nets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Knicks are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

NBA Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (NEW YORK) - off a road loss by 10 points or more, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 28-7 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate.

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BROOKLYN) - terrible defensive team - allowing 103+ points/game on the season against opponent after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 52-91 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 64% for bettors on the blind.

Play on the NY Knicks to cover

Both Washington and Milwaukee are very inconsistent sides, despite of having a lot of talent , and today I expect they will partake in a closely contested affair , with the advantage going to the visitor getting points. Washington is a weak favorite as is evident by  their  4-15 ATS  record  as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season and 8-21 ATS record overall  chalk this season. I know the Wizards have played well of late but they don't deal well with success , as they are just  1-8 ATS  after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season. Meanwhile, the Bucks are off 2 straight losses, but it must be noted that  HC Kidd is 19-4 ATS  L/23 after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more . I know the Bucks played last night, but they are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games playing on no rest.Bucks are also 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Wizards are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall and have failed to cover 4 straight at home.

NBA Road underdogs (MILWAUKEE) - after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games 60-33 ATS L/21 seasons for a 69% conversion rate.

Play on Milwaukee to cover

The Minnesota Wolves are a fine young team on a current 4 game win streak, but the Blazers now getting healthy and are a side that must not be underestimated. The last time these teams met about a month ago, the Wolves scratched out a 108-107 victory, in a game that could obviously gone either way.

Overall the Blazers style of play matches up very well against the Wolves, and despite of a two game losing streak are looking good overall, as they had previous to that notched six wins in eight games.  It must also be noted that Minnesota is just 6-12-1 ATS as home chalk this season,  and have failed to cover 18 of their L/23 in this series at home, and are just 2-8 SU/ATS when the Blazers are seeking revenge. Overall the Wolves have a history of short changing their backers at home vs non division foes looking for same season revenge going just 2-10 ATS when they are above. 500 on the season.

MINNESOTA is 4-14 ATS  L/18  in home games after scoring 115 points or more .Trail Blazers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games.

Portland has covered 5 straight visits to Minnesota.

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PORTLAND) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points against opponent off 3 or more consecutive home wins are 26-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Portland Blazers to cover

The Utes enter this game having suffered 3 straight conference losses, to Arizona, Arizona State and UCLA, and finally have a matchup that is more favorable to their chances at notching a win and as far as we are concerned a cover. Yes, USC has played some good basketball of late, but according to my own cross reference power rankings the Utes matchup up well against the Trojans.

Utah is  11-2 vs opposition off SUATS previous home loss  with revenge.. Utah's last loss to USC was a 76-59 defeat to the Trojans back on Jan. 12, 2013 in Salt Lake .USC  has failed to cover or win 8 straight in this series and are  0-4  ATS 2nd BB home with revenge.

Play on Utah to cover

The Miami Heat enter this game in good form after having won 6 straight games. A combination of playing against lower tier teams and sides that are banged up culminated in this short handed group Heat group compiling this current streak. The Heat  during their run have been less than overpowering as Two of their victories have  come by one point and another came in overtime. It must also be noted that all six of those games were decided by less than 10 points. Now with a huge target on their backs, the Heat are vulnerable. With that said,   I'm betting the Greek Freak ( Giannis Antetokounmpo) and his Wisconsin travelling circus will be primed to come into South Florida and notch a win and more importantly a cover vs a team they matchup very well against according to my cross reference system vs system and player vs players analysis.

MIAMI is 5-13 ATS  in home games this season. .MIAMI is 0-8 ATS L/8 in home games on Sunday games .Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Bucks are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Heat are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 vs. NBA Central.Heat are 4-10-2 ATS in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Underdog is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MIAMI) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 26-7 ATS L/21 seasons for 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Milwaukee to cover

Boise State will primed to take down visiting San Diego State in this spot . Last season Boise State got the living crap beat out of them by the Aztecs in the conference tourney ( 87-68) and now with payback on board will be energized and ready to return the favor here in front of their own alumni.

Boise State is a perfect 9-0 SU at home this season and 3-0SU/ATS in payback mode.

BOISE ST is 10-2 ATS L/12 versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game. BOISE ST is 7-1 ATS  L/8 versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season. SAN DIEGO ST is 2-13 ATS L/15 after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite.

Play on Boise State to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

LSU knocked off Arkansas as 10 point road dogs last time out and are now being over estimated by lines-makers despite of being in a letdown situation.

 LSU is 1-8 ATS  L/9  in home games against conference opponents.

Alabama to cover

The Pistons  have lost three of their last five games, but are coming off a 114-80 victory over Brooklyn on Wednesday. Despite of that victory I have not liked the way Van Gundy's group has played overall,  since starting point guard Reggie Jackson, went down with an injury  and are highly inconsistent , even more so than the average NBA team (which says something).  Meanwhile, the host Bulls  snapped a two-game losing streak Wednesday with a 122-119 double overtime victory over the New York Knicks and are now ell rested and ready to use that momentum heading into this tilt. The Bulls also have also the added services of formerly injured guard Zach  LaVine  and are getting healthier as the season has progressed despite of this being a rebuilding year and are my choice to cash tonight at home.

Note: Bulls Nikola Mirotic is upgraded to probable Saturday vs Detroit ( Illness ) .

CHICAGO is 7-0 ATS    in home games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game this season. CHICAGO is 9-1 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days this season.

DETROIT is 4-17 ATS  L/21 on the road when the line is +3 to -3 .

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

MOREHEAD ST is 14-4 ATS  L/18 versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots after 15+ games over the last few seasons.

Morehead State to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

UAB is 8-21 ATS  L/29 when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last few seasons.

CBB  home team (UAB) - off a home win scoring 85 or more points, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 28-57 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

LA Tech to cover

George Washington has revenge on board for last seasons loss to Richmond in the conference tourney and now have payback on their agenda. Richmond has lost their L/4 vs an avenging conference tourney foes, and  the Colonials  are 11-3-1 ATS in revenge  overall and 9-1 ATS L/10 getting points.

RICHMOND is 1-7 ATS  L/8  after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog this season.RICHMOND is 10-21 ATS  L/31 in home lined games.

CBB Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (RICHMOND) - a poor offensive team (63-67 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after allowing 85 points or more are 17-49 ATS L/21 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on George Washington to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

CBB road team (CALIFORNIA) - after going under the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season 100-56 ATS L/211 seasons for a 64% conversion rate.

 

Play on California  to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play on North Texas   to cover

Both the LA Lakers and Dallas Mavericks are playing decent basketball at the moment. Both are still cellar dwellers but, one team in my head to head analysis is superior to the other, and that side is Dallas. With this game on the Mavs with 2 days rest on their  home floor I expect  what my power ranking tell me is the  better team to come out of this with a win and cover. Add to that the young Lakers are in a huge letdown spot after a very motivated upset win the Spurs last time out, and are now susceptible to a flat performance.

LA LAKERS are 11-24 ATS  L/35 after playing 2 consecutive home games over the last couple of seasons.

Lakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

Mavericks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.Mavericks are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 vs. Western Conference.

Dallas is 7-0 SU L/7 meetings in this series and 3-0 SU/ATS L/3 at home.

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (LA LAKERS) - poor defensive team - allowing 99+ points/game on the season, after allowing 90 points or less 2 straight games are 22-92 SU L/22 seasons losing SU by an average of 9.7 ppg.

NBA Road underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (LA LAKERS) - after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, in January games are 55-5 SU L/22 seasons winning SU by an average of 8.9 ppg.

Play on the Dallas Mavericks to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Xavier is a fine program with very good pedigree but, they have been highly inconsistent with HC Mack at the helm. Creighton is every bit as good as Xavier this season according to my power rankings and pose possible upset possibilities.

Creighton 4-0 ats L/4 vs opposition off DD loss. Villanova pounded Xavier last time out by DD.

The Home fav in this series is just 1-5 ATS L/6 and Xavier is just 1-5 ATS vs conference opp off a DD \SU loss.

XAVIER is 4-12 ATS ( versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more  of their attempts after 15+ games dating back to last season. XAVIER is 0-9 ATS L/9  off a road loss over the last 2 seasons. CREIGHTON is 8-1 ATS L/9 in road games in January games over the last 3 seasons.

CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (XAVIER) - off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season are 11-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 76% for bettors.

Play on Creighton to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

W VIRGINIA is 11-3 ATS L/14 when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  80% or better )

W.Virginia  is 9-1 ATS L/10 versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 39% or better.

Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TEXAS TECH) - off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season are 11-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on West Virginia to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

AKRON is 15-3 straight up against BOWLING GREEN since 1997 in games played in Akron.


BOWLING GREEN is 7-17 ATS L/24 versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. BOWLING GREEN is 3-12 ATS (L/15 after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread.

Akron to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Minnesota after a 5 game win streak has lost two straight including a embarrassing DD loss to Northwestern last time out. Now with redemption at hand vs one of the Big 10 top teams I'm expecting a strong effort here at home.

MINNESOTA is 12-3 ATS L/15 in home games off a road loss by 20 points or more . MINNESOTA is 11-3 ATS  L/14  in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14  or less turnovers/game.  MINNESOTA is 14-5 ATS  L/19 when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  80% or more) 

Play on Minnesota to cover

Cleveland has looked asleep at the proverbial wheel in back to back games after getting clobbered by Minnesota by 28 points on Monday night,  and then smashed in their ugliest defeat of the  season, 133-99, at Toronto Thursday night. Now humiliated and seeking redemption as well as revenge for two earlier losses this season to Indiana already this season , I'm betting on the Cavaliers  finally coming out and getting down to business. Tonight I expect LeBron James and his humungous ego to come out here and show a glimpse of his Hall of Fame talent and lead his team to a cover. Meanwhile,  after having a  two game home win streak abruptly ended ,  by losing  114-106 to visiting Miami on Wednesday night I've begun to notice the Pacers  looking strangely in cohesive for long stretches more often as the season progresses which is a worrisome development. I think this team feeds to much off leading scorer  Victor Oladipo and when he's not in a groove the team goes into a sinkhole. With that said, I am recommending we lay the short lumber with the Dr.Jekyll and Mr.Hyde Cavaliers.

Pacers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall.Road team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - after 2 or more consecutive losses, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 34-4 L/5 seasons for a 90% SU conversion rate for bettors with the average margin of victory coming by 10.1 ppg.

Play on the Cleveland Cavaliers to cover

My own line makes Canisius a -1.5 home favorite thus getting 4 points here in a one possession game makes for a viable wagering opportunity according to my own systems analysis.

The Peacocks have won four of the last five meetings against the Golden Griffins over the past two seasons.The Peacocks and Golden Griffins split the regular season series last year, with both teams winning on the road.The two teams met again in the quarterfinal round of the MAAC tournament, where the Peacocks edged the Golden Griffins, 61-58, advancing Saint Peter's to the semifinals and ending Canisius' season.

I know the home team here will be out looking for revenge, but the truth is these teams are quite evenly matched and nothing will come easily in my humble opinion.
Saint Peter's currently leads conference in scoring defense, field goal percentage defense, three-point field goal defense, and turnover margin.

CANISIUS is 3-20 ATS L/23 in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) after 15 or more games and 1-8 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts after the same time line game perimeters. ST PETERS is 13-3 ATS L/16 versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games .ST PETERS is 11-3 ATS L/14 as a road underdog of 6 points or less or pick .ST PETERS is 19-7 ATS L/26 against conference opponents .CANISIUS is 2-11 ATS after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers .


Peacocks are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Peacocks are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Canisius.
Road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (ST PETERS) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3.5 PPG diff.) after 15 or more games, after a blowout win by 20 points or more are 36-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on St.Peters to cover

The Spurs key to success has always been a dominant D, but with a boatload full of injuries to key defensive players, ie ( K Leonard) I'm betting they will be at a disadvantage tonight, against a young LA Lakers team that despite of trying to play better D,  is still for the most part  a one way run and gun team. Earlier this season with Parker and Leonard out, the Spurs still played very competitive ball, and I'm betting nothing changes tonight, except maybe their ability to defend and be physical in the process, as they are also on tired legs, as they play their third road game in four nights. The Lakers offense has been a little stagnant of late, but with an opportunity to upset a big time opponent I'm betting we see these kids and their veterans in top form and ready to run. The above mentioned group of situations should contribute to a looser game than many might expect and a much higher scoring game than the lines-makers expect.

LAL ranks 29th in the league in D and own the No.1 pace.

Over is 4-0 in Spurs last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Over is 19-9 in Spurs last 28 vs. NBA Pacific.Over is 6-1 in Lakers last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Over is 11-4 in Lakers last 15 overall.Over is 22-8-1 in Lakers last 31 vs. NBA Southwest.Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Los Angeles

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (SAN ANTONIO) - a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against a struggling  defensive team (102 PPG or more), after scoring 100 points or more 3 straight games are 33-7 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for Totals bettors with a combined average of 225.6 ppg going on the board.

Play OVER

Arizona State started out their season on fire, but that was against non conference opponents. Play conference games is like entering another dimension and nothing comes all that easily especially in a conference like the PAC 12. Now enter Dana Altman's Oregon Ducks, a solid side with good work ethic that most not be underestimated in their abilities to be competitive here in a series that the visitor has dominated for a long time , as is evident by a 11-1-1 ATS mark including 6 straight covers. I know Arizona State has revenge on board, for being knocked out of last seasons, conference tourney by the Ducks, but getting a win here as well as a cover will be  a difficult task vs a side that has covered 6 of their L/7 as underdogs.

OREGON is 6-0 ATS  L/6  in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games dating  back to last season. OREGON is 10-0 ATS  versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or better of their shots after 15+ games  dating back three seasons. 

CBB  team (ARIZONA ST) - in a game involving 2 top tier teams - outscoring opponents by 8+ PPG, after allowing 75 points or more 3 straight games are  99-162 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate on the blind for bettors.

Play on Oregon to cover

Stanford has shown some upward momentum of late , taking out both UCLA and USC in back to back games and must be respected as short favs vs a struggling  Washington State side that  inspires no one at this time not even their own fans after losing 7 of their L/9, as they  look completely asleep at the proverbial wheel. Stanford has clobbered Washington State in their two most recent meetings, by DD deficits and have won their L/2 visits to WS, and  another win here is a high probability according to my numbers and matchup stats.

WASHINGTON ST is 1-9 ATS  L/10 when the line is +3 to -3  and is 0-6 ATS l/6  at home when the line is +3 to -3.

Play on Stanford to cover

A week ago I would have been backing the Raptors in this spot, vs a struggling Cavaliers side,   but with the high possibility of playing tonight's game without guard Kyle Lowry, who is listed as day-to-day with a bruised tailbone and back spasms,  I'm betting against the Raptors instead.  Lowry's abs cense was obvious in a loss to Miami last time out, as the Raptors took it on the chin in a  90-89 decision to the Heat.  I know Cleveland has been playing less than inspired hoops of late, but going against one of the Eastern Conference strongest teams I expect LeBron James and company to be very motivated and ready to perform to their best of their abilities. QUOTE: "I mean, the whole game is completely different without Kyle," said Raptors star DeRozan, who scored 25 points and gave Toronto an 89-88 lead on a basket with 3.1 seconds left. "You can kind of tell with our ball movement wasn't all the way there like it normally be when Kyle's out there. Like I said, he's a general on the floor. He sees things when they need to be called. That's no excuse." END QUOTE. No ones making excuses for the Raptors, but like I said above and what  his team mate also suggests is that TO just doesn't have the same energy with Lowry at less than 100% or not playing.

Note: The Dinos, forward Serge Ibaka is also expected to miss with an injury.

Raptors are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Cavaliers are 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Toronto

NBA  Road underdogs (CLEVELAND) - struggling team - failing to cover the spread in 12 or more of the last 15 are a long term profitable bet, going 131-80 ATS L/21 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Cleveland to cover

After a great season last year, and an appearance in the NCAA Tourney, Northern Kentucky now has a big target on their backs. Teams like Wright State looking for Horizon league accolades have games like this circled on their calendars and will be well prepared to be competitive and possibly pull off an upset. Add to that the Raiders are also in revenge mode  for a pair of losses to the Norse, last season and you have the makings of a more competitive game than the lines-makers might expect. Note : The four most recent meetings in this series have been decided by 5, 7, 4, 3 points.

Wright State has won 5 straight and 8 of their L/9 and are in top form and climbing my power rankings.

Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (WRIGHT ST) - after allowing 80 points or more against opponent after allowing 25 points or less in the first half last game are 190-125 ATS L/5 seasons for a long term 60%+ conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Wright State to cover

My own Totals projections estimate a total combined score of around 150-152 making this a viable OVER wagering opportunity. 

TCU owns a high powered offense averaged 86.9 ppg, and Texas despite of being a strong physical defensive side, will be dragged into playing a faster paced game then they might want to , which I'm betting will result in a higher scoring affair then the lines-makers expect.

TCU is 6-0 OVER versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or better this season with the combined average score of 169.8 ppg scored.TCU is 10-2 OVER  in road games against conference opponents dating back to last season with a combined average score of 149.4 ppg scored.

CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (TEXAS) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (60 or more shots/game) after 15+ games are a long term viable totals  bet, as the OVER is 108-46 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

Minnesota has a 5 game win streak snapped last time out against Indiana and will be out looking for redemption tonight vs a Northwestern side that has lost 3 of their L/4 games overall. Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record and 1-4 ATS L/5 vs the Big 10. According to my own power rankings the wrong team is favored, as my own numbers make the Gophers a -1 fav. Thus according to my numbers we have value with the visitors.

Northwestern  HC Collins is 3-13 ATS  L/16  in home games versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or better with a defense of 42% or better and is 5-16 ATS  L21  in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game .

Play on the Minnesota Gophers to cover

Oklahoma City is a talented but an inconsistent team, that is still above .500 on the season. Their veterans ie ( Melo, George, Westbrook) and the experience they bring to the court make them viable underdogs against young teams like Minnesota . Last night, the Thunder, looked asleep at the proverbial wheel, in their game vs short handed Portland losing by a 117-106 count. However, after not showing up for that game, the Thunder should have plenty of jump and energy for this tilt vs their hosts the Wolves. Meanwhile, the Wolves are  dynamic group, with plenty of athleticism, and are off an impressive 127-99 win vs the Cavaliers last time out, but according to my own matchup data, and cross reference player vs player and system vs systems rankings, the Thunder have an edge vs a side that could easily be in a letdown mode after their last complete game tenacious effort.   Its also interesting to note  that MINNESOTA is 0-8 ATS  L/8 in home games after scoring 120 points or more . HC Thibodeau is 4-15 ATS   in home games off a home blowout win by 20 points or more in all games  he coached in his career.

MINNESOTA is 22-38 ATS   versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game dating back to last season.Timberwolves are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 home games. .Thunder are 39-18-1 ATS in their last 58 games following a double-digit loss at home.Underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

Timberwolves are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite against opponent off a home win are 28-10 SU L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors and also NBA teams vs the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are 33-13 SU in the follow up L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Oklahoma City Thunder to cover

Detroit is  has really been having  a lot of problems defending of  late, especially on the road as is evident by a  8-13 away record, which is ranks last in the Eastern Conference and recently have allowed allowing 101.4 points and 46.9 percent shooting  during their current 5 game losing road run. QUOTE: "We've lost five straight on the road and all of them have been horrendous defensive effort, every one of them," Motown's HC Van Gundy said. "Pathetic defensive effort. I don't think our effort is close to good. "END QUOTE: I agree with his assessments, and I'm doubting this teams ability to make a 360 here.

The Nets are 3-3 SU in their last six games but have been extremely competitive last five games  as the games were decided by three points or less and I'm betting they come out here and take advantage of a down trodden Pistons team in this spot and once again give their opponents headaches behind a strong blue collar work ethic.  

BROOKLYN is 16-6 ATS  L/22 when playing against a team with a winning record this season.DETROIT is 16-29 ATS  L/45  in road games when playing against a team with a losing record.

DETROIT is 3-17 ATS  L/20 on the road when the line is +3 to -3. BROOKLYN is 8-1 ATS  L/9 off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog this season.

Brooklyn has covered 4 straight at home in this series.

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BROOKLYN) - off a loss against a division rival, in January games are 24-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Brooklyn Nets to cover

Harvard has been inconsistent this season, but they have shown a lot of competitive efforts vs top tier competition, taking out St.Marys CA, losing but covering vs Kentucky 79-70, and going on the road to play Minnesota of the Big 10 and covering a s 14 points dogs ( 65-55). Harvard won their L/game  at home and now rested after a torrid early season road schedule and now should have plenty in the tank to use  their big bodies to push around a less physical side . This Harvard Ivy League hoops program has established pedigree and  must not be underestimated in this spot vs a strong but over rated Wofford side from what is a lower tier conference.

HARVARD is 8-1 ATS L/9 after playing a game as a home favorite. Harvard HC Amaker is 16-6 ATS   versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game.

Play on Harvard to cover

FRESNO ST is 6-16 ATS  L/22  in home games off a close win by 3 points or less over a conference rival .FRESNO ST is 11-25 ATS  L/36 when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  80% or better). BOISE ST is 9-2 ATS  L/11 versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game.

CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BOISE ST) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games are 39-9 ATS L/21 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Boise State to cover

The Toronto Raptors are on tired legs after an  overtime victory over the Nets last  night. Not only will they be exhausted but  also maybe short handed after  All-Star point guard Kyle Lowry injured himself last night. If Lowry does not play or is less than 100% the Raptors flow will be interrupted and so will their offensive cohesiveness. Also after last nights affair this Raptors side will be in no condition to run and gun, which will also effect their output ratio. Another factor here is that  we may see the explosive TO crew curtail their aggressiveness  as coach Casey, was not impressed with their defensive play last night, and now wants a concerted effort in transition,  in their own end of the court. This Toronto team despite of being an offensive juggernaut when healthy , play solid D, and rank 6th in Defensive efficiency in the league and are more than capable of stepping up their stopping efforts. Meanwhile the Heat  despite of taking part in some fairly high scoring tilts of late, do their best work when their playing tough defensive ball behind Hassan Whiteside, and tonight I'm betting their prepared to be physical in their quest to some how slow down this explosive side  ( Heat Rank 27th in pace in the league and 7th in points allowed). These scenarios play well towards this total score falling below the posted Number. Note: The four most recent meetings in this series have all failed to eclipse the posted total with a combined average of 187.8 ppg scored.

MIAMI is 26-12 UNDER  L/38 as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points with a combined average of 199.1 ppg scored during that span.MIAMI is 9-1 UNDER L/10  in road games when playing 6 or less games in 14 days with a combined average of 200 ppg going on the board.

Under is 60-29-1 in Heat last 90 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 4-0 in Heat last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 8-2 in Heat last 10 vs. NBA Atlantic.Under is 4-1 in Raptors last 5 home games.

NBA  team (MIAMI) - after 4 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 5 or more consecutive wins are 36-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MIAMI) - after 4 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 5 or more consecutive wins are 30-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER