My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.

Minnesota had lost three in a row at home, and seven consecutive overall before finding a way into the win column last time out. Now here they are as favorites, which is not a good look for this type of struggling side. With Memphis showing signs of being able to compete without the injured Morant in the lineup, with two straight wins its and easy decision to take the points here with the Grizzlies .MINNESOTA is 3-12 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons and  Timberwolves are  also 0-10 ATS /SU as a home favorite with rest. MINNESOTA is 7-23 ATS   in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons. Memphis is 6-1 ATS L/7 meetings and have covered the L/3 meetings here in Minnesota. 

Dallas is out looking for revenge against Charlotte tonight after an embarrassing 118-99 loss at home the end of December. Im betting on the Mavs getting it behind super stars Kristaps Porzingis and.Luka Doncic and a current 38% January behind the arc conversion rate.

Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%).   DALLAS is 26-13 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road favorites vs. the money line (DALLAS) - playing with 3 or more days rest, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 67-18 SU L/24 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 70-30 ATS L/24 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. 

NBA Home underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (CHARLOTTE) - after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 39-5 SU l/24 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. 

 NBA Home underdogs (CHARLOTTE) - after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 12-40 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Dallas to cover

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Both these sides have been playing top tier hoops of late,  with San Antonio winning 3 of their L/4 and the Thunder 4 of their L/5.  The Spurs did lose their last game, behind some lackluster shooting, but that has not been the norm for this side, and  Im betting on a offensive bounce back performance tonight. Note: The Spurs are 11-0 OVER as a favorite with rest off a road loss with the average combined ppg clicking in at 222.1 ppg.  SAN ANTONIO is 13-1 OVER  on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 240.7 ppg scored.

Play OVER 

The Lakers enter this game the Lakers are 5-6 ATS with an 8.3 winning margin on average and they now go against a side that has revenge on board for getting the living crap kicked out of them in the first meeting of the season. Note: the  the Lakers did not cover their  second game against the San Antonio Spurs and Memphis Grizzlies, even though they won both meetings, and this Im betting will end the same way , in  a no cover for the defending champs vs a hungry side looking for redemption. 

NBA Road teams (LA LAKERS) - off a road win, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 23-52 ATS L/5 season for a  go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Houston to cover 

Brooklyn has played well of late but is just  8-22 ATS  after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. Malone is 20-35 ATS in road games after a win by 10 points or more as the coach of DENVER. I know Brooklyn maybe with Irving tonight but Durant is expected to be in the lineup and have enough talent to compete here and get us a win and cover according to my projections. Brooklyn is 2-0 SUATS L/2 games at home in this series.  Nuggets are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.

Play on the Brooklyn Nets to cover 

Cleveland will be without three of their best players in guards Collin Sexton and Darius Garland as well as key cog Kevin Love, and they are also playing the second of a back-to-back tilts so their not in a good spot here vs a Utah side that is rested after last playing on Sunday. 

Two short-handed sides the  Philadelphia 76ers  and Miami Heat go head to head  on Tuesday. However, one team has an edge, based on what I see is their ability to do more damage offensively thanks to the Heats inability in their current covid form to address the defensive breakdowns that have been prominent in their game of late. Heat are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games. 76ers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400 and are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games and also  7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and  9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a home favorite.

Key Trend: The Heat are 0-11 ATS /SU on the road when they won 3+ straight vs current opponent. 

Play on Philadelphia to cover 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Both these teams 

Indiana has played some fairly high scoring tilts this season, but their calling card remains their D, and here on the road behind a pace that ranks 20th in the league Im betting we will see them paying attention in transition. Meanwhile,  Sacramento was clobbered last time out, by Portland by a 125-99 count. In the recent past ,  the Under is 13-6 in Kings last 19 games following a double-digit loss at home as they tighten things up and focus more on basics. Everything points to a tilt that sees a combined score that remains on the low side of the total.

Under is 8-3 in Pacers last 11 games playing on 1 days rest. Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (INDIANA) - average free throw shooting team (72-76%) against a poor free throw shooting team (69-72%), good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO's) against a poor pressure defensive team (14.5  or less TO's) are 24-4 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA team (SACRAMENTO) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game are 54-23 UNDER L/5 seasons for a  70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

The Trailblazers  who rank 7th in pace 4th in offence and 25th in ppg games allowed on D, are off a win last time out on the road as a favorite which sets up a strong trend that has seen them go over 10 straight times by an average of more than 22 ppg,  with the average combined score of those tilts ringing in at at a massive 249.9 ppg. Meanwhile, Toronto now playing in back to back games are on tired legs, and may have issues stopping the run and gun Blazers and will have to open up with some offensive fireworks of their own in what Im betting will be a fairly high scoring affair that eclipses this total. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PORTLAND) - after a blowout win by 20 points or more against opponent after a loss by 6 points or less are 44-16 OVER L/24 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

The Knicks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall and have played decent ball for the most part of this campaign . They did not look good last time out in a home loss to Oklahoma City, but in the past they have bounced back well from a bettors perspective cashing 5 of the L/7 after a defeat. Meanwhile, the Hornets are also playing viable hoops at the moment , but they have not faired well as chalk of late failing to cash 5 of their L/6 overall. From a projections standpoint I make the Hornets 2 point favs here so my number gives us value taking points. 

This total is partly based on the Raptors dismal 3 point defence, but Im betting it will get better as the season progresses, including tonight. The Raptors are playing better lately overall, and have the veterans and coaching needed to know how to handle a Seth Curry lead offence. With that said, Im betting on the Raptors physicality to be in top gear and for the flow of this game to be slower than the number might suggest. Advantage under.

TORONTO is 16-6 UNDER  in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 212 ppg scored. TORONTO is 31-19 UNDER  versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 218.5 ppg scored.

GOLDEN STATE is 26-11 UNDER when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 215.5 ppg scored.


NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (GOLDEN STATE) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after a blowout win by 20 points or more are 25-4 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 86% conversion rate with the average combined total of 220.5 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (TORONTO) - after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better against opponent after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 31-6 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 221.4 ppg scored.

Play UNDER 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

The Pistons have won only two of their first nine games and are once again fade material here in this spot vs  a Utah squad that rolled the Bucks on the road last time out by DDs.Snyder is 13-3 ATS in road games off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog as the coach of UTAH

 DETROIT is 9-25 ATS  versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 3 seasons.

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

NCAAB Road favorites vs. the money line (UNC-ASHEVILLE) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less, with all five starters returning from last season are 29-1 SU L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 7.8 ppg. 

Play on UNC Asheville to cover 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

I know the Magic got clobbered last night, but Im betting this under rated squad will be ready to bounce back here this evening. The Note: Magic are 13-4-1 ATS in their last 18 road games and 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall and also  8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a road underdog. Meanwhile,  the Mavericks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite and just 3-11 ATS in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

ORLANDO is 23-12 ATS  in road games over the last 2 seasons. ORLANDO is 13-4 ATS  in road games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. Carlisle is 35-55 ATS  in home games against Southeast division opponents in all games he has coached since 1996.  

Play on Orlando to cover 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Im betting on the  San Antonio Spurs get us a    a road victory  Saturday against a struggling  Minnesota Timberwolves team that has been unable to find and flow without big man Karl-Anthony Towns.

The Timberwolves are 0-14 ATS L/14  as a home dog after they had at least 30% of their points from threes with the average margin ppg diff clicking in at just under 12 ppg. 

MINNESOTA is 5-23 ATS  in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MINNESOTA) - terrible team - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game against opponent after allowing 105 points or more 4 straight games are 26-60 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on San Antonio to cover 

The Spurs are playing top tier hoops at the moment, and are off two consecutive upset victories. Note: SAN ANTONIO is 13-3  L/16 UNDER  off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog with the average combined score of 185.3 ppg scored. SAN ANTONIO is 30-14 UNDER  after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 219.6 ppg going on the board. 

The Spurs are 0-14-2 UNDER L/16  as a road favorite with rest after a win in which they never trailed with a combined average of 191.5 ppg scored with non of the games in the subset eclipising this total. 

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SAN ANTONIO) - after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 245 points or more are 40-13 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA  team (MINNESOTA) - off 2 consecutive losses against division rivals against opponent off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog are 37-12 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the UNDER 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

 The Los Angeles Lakers will play the second end of back-to-back contests when they host the Chicago Bulls on Friday. Which give us an edge with the underdog.  CHICAGO is 22-10 ATS  in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46%  or more of their shots over the last 3 seasons. NBA team vs the money line (CHICAGO) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an average defensive team (43.5-45.5%), poor ball handling team (16.5  or more TO's) against a poor pressure defensive team (14.5  or les TO's) are 24-9 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. 

Play on Chicago to cover (LATE STEAM)

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

North Dakota  to cover

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Nebraska Omaha to cover

Utahs inconsistent play early on in the season continued last time out, as they lost as -6.5 road favs at NYK last time out. It must be noted   UTAH is 28-9 UNDER off a double digit loss as a favorite of 6 points or more with a combined average of 191.1 ppg going on the scoreboard. It makes sense as teams who are in this role, look to get back to basics and play a more conservative style of getting back to basics basketball. Few teams try to run and gun with the Bucks, and Im betting the Jazz instead will try to slow things down a bit and play a more phsycial style of hoops which will keep this combined score on the low side of the number. 

Budenholzer is 39-18 UNDER  in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game in all games he has coached since 1996 with a combined average of 206.4 ppg scored.


NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (MILWAUKEE) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more are 61-23 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA  teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (UTAH) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 41-16 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

California Baptist  to cover

The Knicks are a side that don't always inspire bettors, but they are playing decent ball at the moment and have won 5 of their first 8 games winning 3 straight while more importantly covering 5 of their L/6. Meanwhile, Oklahoma city in what must be considered a rebuilding campaign, look like more growing pains are on the way and are fade material as they play their 3rd road  game in 4 nights on tired legs.  NBA team vs the money line (NEW YORK) - good defensive team (41.5-43.5%) against a poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%), hot shooting team - 3 straight games making  47% or more  of their shots are 29-2 SU L/5 seasons for a 94% conversion rate for bettors.

 Split line on the Knicks -2.5 / -145 on ML 

According to my own line and projections based on matchup statistics we have value with the underdog Charlotte Hornets vs the New Orelans Pelicans.

The Pelicans are 0-17 ATS L/17 at home after they shot worse than 26% from beyond the arc last game.

 Van Gundy is 3-17 ATS in home games after scoring 105 points or more 3 straight games in all games he has coached since 1996.

NBA Road teams (CHARLOTTE) - off a road win against a division rival, tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 5 days are 112-64 ATS L/24 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Charlotte to cover 

The Suns enter this game as the top ppg defence in the NBA, behind the slowest pace. Im betting they dictate the pacde again vs a Detroit team that is trending lower in many categories including offencive rating where they rank 20th. Everything points to this being a lower scoring affair. 


NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (DETROIT) - after trailing their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half against opponent after a game where both teams scored 105 points or more are 33-10 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Youngstown State  to cover

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

These teams have taken part in some physical grinding affairs of late when they have met and 5 of their L/6 meetings have resulted in the under cashing.Under is 5-1 in Mavericks last 6 games as an underdog. Under is 4-1 in Nuggets last 5 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Dallas HC Carlisle is 124-84 UNDER vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents in all games he has coached  with a combined average of 192.7 ppg scored in those tilts. 

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (DENVER) - off a win against a division rival against opponent off a road win by 10 points or more are 83-41 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER

My matchup statistics and power rankings make this game closer to -2 for Denver giving us value with taking points. This sis a game that could flip either way , thus getting to ride the underdog is a viable wagering opportunity.

 Mavericks are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Denver.

Nuggets are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.


DENVER is 8-21 ATS  after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons .


DALLAS is 25-13 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Home teams (DENVER) - off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, with a losing record. are 14-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Dallas to cover 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Two struggling sides do battle tonight in desperation mode. This looks to be a dog fight, which makes taking the points a viable betting option. 

CLEVELAND is 11-2 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.CLEVELAND is 23-9 ATS in road games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game over the last 3 seasons


NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MEMPHIS) - poor three point shooting team (33% or less) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or more ), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a poor rebounding team (-3 to -5.5 reb/game) are 59-28 ATS L/24 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Cleveland to cover 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

I am not impressed by the Raptors so far this season, and despite of a weak bench Im betting on the core veterans of this group to come together tonight and give the Suns a battle which my projections estimate to supply us with a cover. The opening line was closer to where it should be and recency bias and public money streaming in the Suns  is now making getting points a viable opportunity for profit. 

TORONTO is 28-12 ATS after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 3 seasons.

 Williams is 9-25 ATS  in home games vs. teams who are called for 2+ more fouls/game than their opponents in all games he has coached since 1996.

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TORONTO) - good team from last season who won 60% to 75% of their games, after 1 or more consecutive losses are 43-16 ATS L/24 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA team vs the money line (TORONTO) - off a double digit loss as a home favorite of 6 or more against opponent after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points are 23-4 SU L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. 

Play on Toronto to cover 

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

 Play on Texas A&M 

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (MILWAUKEE) - vs. division opponents, off 2 or more consecutive home wins are 37-13 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate.

Play UNDER

Detroit has really stunk up the joint here so far this season, in the won loss column at 1-6  but , they have been competetive for the most part and have cashed 4 of their L/5 trips to the hardoowd including a recent 122-120 heartbreaking loss the Celtics. Meanwhile, the Bucks are off two lopsided wins, with plenty of scoring punch spread around the lineup,including the last tilt vs this same Pistons group. Note: The Bucks are 0-12 ATS L/12 failing to cover by just under 13 ppg  with rest off a win in which they had 6+ double digit scorers. Also  NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (MILWAUKEE) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are just 16-41 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Underdogs (DETROIT) - terrible defensive team - shooting pct defense of 48% or better on the season, after a game - allowing a shooting pct. of 55% or higher are 105-60 ATS L/24 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Motown to cover 

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (NICHOLLS ST) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (45-47.5%), in a game involving two poor rebounding teams (-3 to -6 reb/game) are 30-6 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors  with a combined average of 132.8 ppg scored. 

Play on the UNDER 

The banged up Cavaliers after a quick start to their campaign are in desperation mode after suffering their  fourth loss in their past five trips to the hardwood.  The Cavs now play the Orlando Magic for the second time in the last  three nights and lost the last one 103-83  Monday. I know the Cavs dont look viable in their current form but with Issac Okoro expected to return tonight and with Orlando expected to be without Fournier and Williams we have an edge here taking points.Cavaliers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Magic are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 home games and  are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest and are also  7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Play on Cleveland to cover 

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

The Spurs have lost 4 straight , but two of those games to a Lakers group that they did not matchup well against. The other two losses were closely contested. I know the Spurs Aldridge may not play or is less than 100%, but i still feel confident taking points here behind a hardworking group that actually matches up well vs the Clippers. Add to that ,  Im also betting this  will be an unmotivated Clippers group off a two game road trio vs strong competetion ( Suns, Jazz) and will now be on tiored legs as they play their 3rd game in 5 nights. NBA Road underdogs (SAN ANTONIO) - after a blowout loss by 20 points or more against opponent after 2 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 129-77 ATS L/23 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover 

I am betting Denver behind a 28th ranked pace, will dictate this game in the trenches, which will help keep this combined score on the low side of the total.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (DENVER) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or better ) against an average shooting team (43.5-45.5%), after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher are 31-7 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 82% conversion rate with the average combined score of those tilts ringing in at 207.7 ppg. 

Play UNDER

Neither one of these teams are playing all that well, and while Minnesota has looked far worse recently than the the Utah Jazz, Im betting this line is slightly bloated when comparing matchup schemes and my own power rankings

NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (DENVER) - poor foul drawing team from last season - attempted 24 or less  free throws/game, after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots are 6-27 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home favorites (DENVER) - after allowing 105 points or more against opponent after 2 straight blowout losses by 15 points or more are 13-36 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Minnesota to cover 

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

MISSISSIPPI ST is 11-3 ATS  vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more  of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.  

CBB road team (MISSOURI) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, in a game involving two good defensive teams (63-67 PPG) are 70-104 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Miss State to cover 

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Utah runs a pace that ranks 23rd in the NBA and now own the 8th best ppg defence and here tonight Im betting that we have value taking the under here vs a  Nets side that has gone under in 7 of their  last 10 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600 like the Jazz. 

Snyder is 30-15 UNDER L/45 versus poor ball handling teams - committing 16 or more  turnovers/game as the coach of UTAH with a combined average of 196.1 ppg per game going on the board.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points, tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days are 62-29 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (UTAH) - after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better against opponent after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 30-6 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER 

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TORONTO) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game are 7-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Boston to cover 

I have charted how the Heat have performed recently against sides like Oklahoma City that are having a hard time competing. These following trends give us an indication of a strong factor favoring the over.  MIAMI is 16-4 OVER in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 227.7 ppg scored. MIAMI is 10-1 OVER versus struggling  teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 224.7 ppg scored. Also MIAMI is 20-6 OVER  as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 225 ppg going on the board.  MIAMI is 13-3 OVER in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons.

Play OVER

Philly took out Charlotte by a 127-112 count last time out , but I saw enough good matchups for Charlotte to back them getting points in the rematch. 

PHILADELPHIA is 7-23 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons.

CHARLOTTE is 32-17 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home favorites (PHILADELPHIA) - after allowing 110 points or more against opponent after 2 straight blowout losses by 15 points or more are 6-29 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Favorites (PHILADELPHIA) - after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite, team that had a winning record last season are 12-36 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate. 

Play on Charlotte to cover

Analysis to follow- thank you for your patience - All NBA wagers come with a full explanation of why and how I came to my conclusions. 

Alex Smart's moto  Alex's moto comes via the late Great Jimmy the Greek, "The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself".

Play on the UNDER

Analysis to follow- thank you for your patience - All NBA wagers come with a full explanation of why and how I came to my conclusions. 

Alex Smart's moto  Alex's moto comes via the late Great Jimmy the Greek, "The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself".

Play on the OVER 

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

S.Illinois to cover 

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Siena to cover

Portland enters this game ranked 9th in offensive output and 23rd in defensive ppg against and 25th in defensive rating. Meanwhile, the Warriors rank 2nd in pace in the league, and 30th in ppg allowed. This current form for both teams sets up for a formula of big offensive numbers going on the board. 

PORTLAND is 14-2 OVER  after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 season with a combined average of 239.5  ppg going on the board. 

Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PORTLAND) - off an road win scoring 110 or more points, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 74-39 OVER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

My College basketball Totals/sides projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Sides/Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My projections have made this game total 224 thus giving us value with an over wager. 


UTAH is 8-0 OVER in road games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 233 ppg scored. 

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (UTAH) - after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 32-6 OVER L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

Super star Westbrook's Washington Wizards are coming off their finest outing of the young season and now I am going to ride that momentum into this game . The Wizards are playing their 3rd game in 4 nights but for a while now they have had one of the best conditioning programs in the league, and will be ready to run and gun again here tonight vs a uneven Brooklyn side that are poster boys for inconsistency which features the inability to cover in 4 straight tilts. WASHINGTON is 25-11 ATS   when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 3 seasons. 

Play on Washington to cover