The Memphis Grizzlies look for their seventh straight win Monday night when they face the Spurs in the second game of a back-to-back set in San Antonio. However, Im betting their winning streak will come to an abrupt end here. MEMPHIS is 9-24 ATS after 6 or more consecutive wins since 1996.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a home favorite are 27-8 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate.

NBA Underdogs (MEMPHIS) - off an upset win as an underdog, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 73-122 ATS L/24 seasons for a 63%  go against conversion rate for bettors.

San Antonio Spurs to cover 

We have revenge on board here tonight by the home team, as they look to get some redemption for their NBA 7 game series loss to the Rockets in last seasons play offs.Note:The Thunder are 7-1 ATS with revenge in this series which includes going  7-1 ATS as a dog with revenge. The Thunder are also 3-0 SU/ATS L/3 at home in this series. OKLAHOMA CITY is 22-11 ATS  as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.

Rockets are 10-21 ATS in their last 31 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Rockets are 17-37-1 ATS in their last 55 games as a road favorite.Rockets are 9-20 ATS in their last 29 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.

Rockets are 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Oklahoma City.

Play on the Oklahoma City Thunder to cover 

NYK in their 20 games this season have seen a combined average of 204.3 ppg scored behind a 30th ranked last place pace and the worst ppg offense in the NBA also ranked 30th. To me this tells me they have had more control of the speed of the game than their opponents, and Im betting despite of the Bulls wanting to run they wont have their way and we see a lower scoring tilt then the lines-makers might expect. 

NEW YORK is 13-4 UNDER versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season with a combined average of 201.1 ppg scored. 

 CHICAGO is 18-6 UNDER in home games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 204.5 ppg scored. 

NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (NEW YORK) - after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 34-11 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

 Based on my projections this game has value on a under wager. (Late Steam)

NBA. Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (MIAMI) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games, vs. division opponents are 56-28 under L/24 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (CHARLOTTE) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team aren30-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

The Magic have lost two in a row and 10 of their past 12 games, while the Raptors have lost three straight and four of their past six. Both sides are struggling and desperate for a win, which suggests a dog fight here, which makes taking points a viable option. ORLANDO is 20-8 ATS in road games versus struggling  defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.Clifford is 24-10 ATS when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) as the coach of ORLANDO.

NBA Road teams (ORLANDO) - pathetic team - shooting 43% or less with a defense of 46% or more  on the season against opponent after a game - allowing a shooting pct. of 55% or higher are 32-8 ATS L/24 seasons for a 80% conversion rate. 

Play on Orlando to cover 

Both these sides style of play obviously leans towards a high scoring affair, but the number according to my projections is just to high, and should be closer to 239 which gives us some obvious value to the under with an almost 2 possession divergence. 

The Nets have not gone over the total in 12 straight games  with rest coming off a road win where they had 30+ assists.Under is 8-2 in Nets last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Washington.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better) against an average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%), hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50% or kore  of their shots are 30-6 UNDER  L/24 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

According to my power rankings the Indiana Pacers matchup well vs the Sixers.I know the Sixers have looked like real contenders , but from a trends perspective they have proven to be an inconsistent side based on recency bias  as their  4-17 ATS record  in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons:  PHILADELPHIA is 6-20 ATS  in road games versus good shooting teams - making  46% or better of their shots over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 8-21 ATS in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. 

PHILADELPHIA is 8-21 ATS as a road favorite of 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons. 

The Pacers are 11-0 ATS /10-1 SU with less than two days rest after they had fewer than 15 fouls.

Play on Indiana  Pacers to cover 

Utah has reeled off 11 straight wins SU/ATS, and at 15-4 own the best record in the NBA. The Jazz will put that streak on the line when they visit the Nuggets for an early afternoon matchup on Sunday and Im betting they cover and will not be easily defeated. In other words lets ride the momentum of a streaking  hot side. 

NBA team vs the money line (UTAH) - after successfully covering the spread in 6 or more consecutive games, a top-level team ( 75% or more ) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 28-4 L/24 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. 

Play on the Utah Jazz to cover

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

 The Warriors riding 31 points from Stephen Curry and 27 from Andrew Wiggins rolled to a 116-106 victory over Detroit when they met earlier this season, and now Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation. 

DETROIT is 5-15 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (DETROIT) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a double digit win as a underdog of 6 points or more are 1-24 SU L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at - 8.4 ppg. 

Play on the Golden State Warriors to cover

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

The Houston Rockets look stable after a rocky start to the season and deserve respect vs a uneven inconsistent New Orleans Pelicans . Houston has now won 4 straight and their 5th in a row Im betting comes tonight. 

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW ORLEANS) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games are 24-3 ATS L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Houston to cover 

My projections give us value with an under wager here in this matchup which says this Total should be closer to 219 which makes this a full ;possession divergence. 

HOUSTON is 8-0 UNDER  after playing a home game this season.

HOUSTON is 11-3 UNDER  versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season with a combined average of 216.2 ppg going on the board. 

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (NEW ORLEANS) - vs. division opponents, off 2 or more consecutive home wins are 38-14 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

The Denver Nuggets look to complete a perfect road trip as they take a five-game winning streak into San Antonio on Friday for their first matchup of the season with the surging Spurs. Im recommending we back the momentum of the Nuggets vs a San Antonio side my power ranking suggest they matchup well against. Note: San antonio is off a hard fought win last time out and have covered  Note: SAN ANTONIO is 1-13 ATS  in home games after a win by 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons. 

SAN ANTONIO is 0-11 ATS    in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.

The Spurs are 0-14-1 ATS /0 -15 SU as a dog after their turnovers increased by at least 10 last game from the game before with every defeat  in this subset comeing by more than 4 points. 

NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - after scoring 105 points or more 5 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games are 47-19 ATS L/24 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover 

 There is now way Oklahoma City can compete in a run and gun affair and that is why Im betting they do everything with their power to slow this game down, which Im betting results in a combined score that stays on the low side of the total. OKLAHOMA CITY is 23-12 UNDER  when the total is 220 to 232.5  over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.7 ppg scored. 

The Thunder are 0-12 UNDER L/12 as a dog after they had 5 or fewer offensive boards last game , with non of the tilts going over this offered number. 

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (BROOKLYN) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points against opponent off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog are 23-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based TotalsSides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

The Kings have covered in three straight games versus the Eastern Conference and according to my projections matchup well here and have are an advantage play. 

Kings are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog. Raptors are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite.

SACRAMENTO is 13-4 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
Walton is 18-6 ATS  in road games after a game where they covered the spread as the coach of SACRAMENTO. SACRAMENTO is 22-9 ATS when playing 4 or less games in 10 days over the last 3 season


SACRAMENTO is 22-11 ATS   in road games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game over the last 2 seasons.

Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

No rest for either team as Warriors visit Suns but Im betting the home side getting home cooking will be better prepared and ready to run just a little bit harder. 

Both sides are unrested and Im expecting a slower more deliberate game than many might expect. 

The Warriors have seen the L/6 meetings vs the Suns stay under the set total and have gone under in 8 of their L/9 as  division  road dogs  and have also seen  6 of their L/7 away games  stay under vs unrested foes . Mean while, the Suns have gone under 9 straight times as division  chalk including   5 straight vs  unrested division  opposition. 

NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 220.5 (PHOENIX) - after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days are 90-51 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Detroit is coming off a 122-107 loss at Cleveland on Wednesday. Turnovers led to the Pistons' demise, as they committed 22 that the Cavaliers converted into 30 points and they are in trouble again tonight vs a Lakers side ready to rebound off a loss.

 DETROIT is 12-27 ATS  versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 3 seasons.  Casey is 8-19 ATS  versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game as the coach of DETROIT.

NBA Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DETROIT) - after having lost 3 of their last 4 games, extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days are 29-71 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on LA Lakers to cover

The Blazers are expected to be  without CJ McCollum and Jusuf Nurkic and this situation is not a good one for a side that was already playing crap D before these key injuries.


Trail Blazers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog.

 NBA Underdogs vs the money line (PORTLAND) - after playing 4 consecutive home games, playing with 2 days rest are 5-35 SU L/5 seasons for a go against  87% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at 7.8 ppg. 

Play on Houston to cover

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Mavericks enter this game having gone 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog and  are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Tonight against a Utah side that played last night and now tired legs the Mavs have an edge on this line. Note: The Jazz are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning road record and  are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.

DALLAS is 24-10 ATS  versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. DALLAS is 35-17 ATS in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game over the last 3 seasons. DALLAS is 30-14 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on Dallas Mavericks to cover

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

The Raptors are according to my projections actually getting to much respect here vs a Milwaukee team that matches up well against them. I know the Raptors have played well ;lately, but past results do not guarantee future performance, which Im betting is the case here vs the Bucks. 

TORONTO is 2-11 ATS  vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 5+ per game over the last 3 seasons.

MILWAUKEE is 30-16 ATS  when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 3 seasons

NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - after a cover as a double digit favorite against opponent after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points are 45-15 ATS L/24 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. 

Play on Milwaukee to cover

Kings enter this game well rested and showing a  7-2 ATS record in their last 9 games as a road underdog. Meanwhile, the Magic, are also 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall and  are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Advantage Sacramento  based on overall stats. 

ORLANDO is 1-10 ATS  in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

SACRAMENTO is 21-9 ATS  when playing 4 or less games in 10 days over the last 3 seasons. SACRAMENTO is 32-18 ATS  when playing 6 or less games in 14 days over the last 3 seasons. SACRAMENTO is 17-6 ATS  in road games after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Sacramento to cover 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

LSU is 11-24 ATS L/35  in road games versus slow-down teams averaging 53 or less shots/game.

TEXAS A&M is 10-0 ATS  off 2 straight losses against conference rivals over the last 3 seasons.

Texas A&M to cover

When the Washington Wizards finally returned to action following a prolonged absence linked to league health and safety protocols, they looked disorganized and took it on the chin. However now with some practice and game time, this well rested side should be more than a handful for a Houston side that is currently being over rated after their big trade. 

Wizards are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

Rockets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

NBA Road underdogs (WASHINGTON) - after a blowout loss by 20 points or more against opponent after 2 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 133-81 ATS L/24 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Washington to cover

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Clippers will be without Leonard, George, and Beverley which gives the Hawks a big edge especially with Trae Young now expected to suit up. The Hawks are 10-0 ATS coming off a loss as a dog where they were outscored in the paint by double digits. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ATLANTA) - averaging 53 or more rebounds/game on the season, after a game being outrebounded by opponent by 15 or more are 40-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate.

Play on Atlanta to cover

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Portland has won six of its last eight games, while the Thunder are 0-3 on a five-game road trip that concludes Wednesday against the Phoenix Suns. Both teams look to performing at the opposite end of the performance spectrum, but my power ratings suggest a closer game than the linemakers number indicates. OKLAHOMA CITY is 23-11 ATS in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. OKLAHOMA CITY is 12-1 ATS  in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons. OKLAHOMA CITY is 23-7 ATS  as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons

NBA Underdogs (OKLAHOMA CITY) - off 3 or more consecutive road losses, playing on back-to-back days are 25-3 ATS L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Oklahoma City Thunder to cover

 The Chicago Bulls are off a loss last time out vs the Lakers and are now ready for a bounce back performance vs the Celtics.
The Bulls previous to that defeat  averaged 121.7 points in winning three straight games and deserve respect as a up-trending side.

The Bulls are 11-2 ATS L/13 as a dog.

 NBA Road favorites (BOSTON) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 75-42 L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate. 

Play on Chicago Bulls to cover

Boston really shot the lights out last time out in a 141-103 win vs the Cleveland Cavaliers and now a natural offensive regression is in the cards.  This in itself will help contribute to this tilts combined score staying on the low side of the total. Note:  BOSTON is 29-11 UNDER after a huge blowout win by 30 or more since 1996 with a combined 191.3 ppg scored. 

HC Donovan of the Bulls is 95-55 UNDER  as an underdog in all games he has coached since 1996 with a combined average lof 215.7 ppg scored. 


NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (BOSTON) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG differential.), after a blowout win by 15 points or more are 29-8 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Denver behind a top 5 offense  has revenge on board for a previous loss to the Mavs, 124-117 at home 2 1/2 weeks ago and will now be primed to play hard tonight.   The Nuggets  12-3-1 ATS as a dog with revenge in this series.   With the Mavericks off back to back  games with in-state rivals Houston and San Antonio Im expecting a deflationary situation for them here tonight. NBA  teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DENVER) - revenging a home loss vs opponent against opponent off an upset loss as a home favorite are 34-11 ATS  L/5 seasons fkor a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Denver to cover

The Hornets made a big comeback last night and then finally won 107-104  on Gordon Hayward's tie breaking shot on a drive to the basket with less than a second remaining. I now expect a bounce back by the Magic, here in the rematch.  

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (ORLANDO) - cold team - failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread against opponent after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread are 74-17 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Orlando to cover

The pace and matchup comparisons suggest a score that stays on the low side of the number as was the case last night in a 107-104 Charlotte win. 

 NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (ORLANDO) - off a close loss by 3 points or less to a division rival, with a losing record are 25-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (CHARLOTTE) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 30-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

Indiana Pacers first-year coach Nate Bjorkgren will have his team primed to gain a split with his former boss and Toronto Raptors coach Nick Nurse Monday night when the teams complete a two-game set at Indianapolis.The Raptors won the opener of the back-to-back games 107-102 this past Sunday .

Atlanta is one of the most under rated teams in the NBA behind Clint Capella who currently ranks No. 2 in the NBA in Rebounds Per Game, and future super star guard Trae Young (22.6 PPG) .  We all know how powerful the Bucks can be but this line according to my projections is slightly bloated and offers value for advantage players. MILWAUKEE is 10-21 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 season.

Play on Atlanta to cover

Orlando enters this game with the 22nd ranked pace, 28th in the league in ppg scored and have seen 9 of their L/12 games fail to eclipse the total. Meanwhile, Charlotte ranks 24th in ppg offence, and 10th in ppg allowed D, behind the 18th ranked pace. Both sides , play at a speed and style that points towards a combined score that stays below thsi offered number.

ORLANDO is 15-4 UNDER  in home games after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 204.8 ppg scored.   

NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (CHARLOTTE) - after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 33-10 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate.

Play UNDER

In a game that features two struggling sides, one of these teams is the lesser of two evils according to my power rankings . With that said Im betting on the Magic coming out of this with a victory especially with Fournier back int he lineup tonight.  

ORLANDO is 24-8 ATS  when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 3 season

The Hornets are 0-12 ATS /SU as a road dog off a game as a favorite.

Play on the Orlando to cover

Oklahoma City is ranked 27th in ppg offense to this point in the season, and are now dealing with the fact they are not a offensive juggernaut and must learn to slow down teams in transition, which Im sure is the game plan tonight. This Im betting results in a lower scoring affair than the lines-makers have projected.  OKLAHOMA CITY is 22-11 UNDER when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons

OKLAHOMA CITY is 90-62 UNDER  when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70%or better  with a combined average of 204.7 ppg scored. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (LA CLIPPERS) - a very good team (7  or more PPG differential) against a terrible team (7 or less PPG differential) are 45-19 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 70% for conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - revenging a loss vs opponent against opponent off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more are 36-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 
 

The Lakers are obviously the superior side here, but the Bulls have proven themselves resilient this season, especially  when getting points. More of the same action on tape in this spot play. CHICAGO is 9-1 ATS  versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.CHICAGO is 8-1 ATS  as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. CHICAGO is 8-1 ATS  in non-conference games this season.

Take the points with the Chicago Bulls to cover 

After a hard fought win vs Milwaukee last time out by the Lakers, Im betting on a bit of an emotional letdown situation here vs Chicago tonight, which will see the Lakers start slower than usual, and that will in turn effect the early flow of this game and subsequently the combined score that will end  up to be lower than the number expected   by the linesmakers. LA LAKERS are 10-1 UNDER   versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more  of their shots over the last 3 seasons. LA LAKERS are 7-0 UNDER   in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season. LA LAKERS are 7-0 UNDER  in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season.   Vogel is 11-2 UNDER (+8.8 Units) versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game as the coach of LA LAKERS with a combined average of 210.6 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER

With Karl-Anthony Towns out of the Minnesota lineup they just dont have much flow, and the chemistry looks bad as well , as is evident by 11 losses in 12 games including 4 straight defeats with 3 coming by DDs. I know New Orleans is not playing alot better, but they are a viable option vs this type of lower tier competition. 

MINNESOTA is 1-12 ATS  in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 11 ppg. Saunders is 0-9 ATS  in home games after playing 2 consecutive home games as the coach of MINNESOTA. 

Play on New Orleans to cover

The Nets  are having some defensive issues and I expect them to ficus on   correcting some of their   issues Saturday night when they host the shorthanded Miami Heat. The Heat will be effected by a lack of cohesiveness because of their lack of a full compliment of players, This Im betting effect the score of this tilt to the low side of the number. Spoelstra is 135-103 UNDER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points as the coach of MIAMI with the average combined score of those tilts ringing in at 201.1 ppg . 

NBA Home teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (BROOKLYN) - after going over the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games against opponent after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games are 46-17 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Detroit has for the most part been competitive this season despite of their ugly record. QUOTE: "We're finding ways to get back into it, to get ourselves in a position to win," Casey said. "We're due. We're due to have some good luck." END QUOTE

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 
 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 
 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 
 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 
 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 
 

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

UT Martin to cover

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.