The Thunder are setting into a groove and when their in this kind of form  they are har4d to beat. This team looked like they were on a mission last time out , as they destroyed the Pelicans, 124-92 count. Im betting the home side will play better here tonight, but that wont be enough against a  defensively  determined looking Thunder that has allowed no more than 92 points in the first two games of this series.. I know its  highly likely tbhe 
thunder wont replicate the 59% FG conversion rate they had  last time out, but could easily still eclipse the 50% shooting plateau in what Im betting will be a road victory. 

NEW ORLEANS is 2-11 ATS  in home games off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 22-11 ATS   after a blowout win by 15 points or more over the last 2 seasons.OKLAHOMA CITY is 32-19 ATS  versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or better of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 25-5  ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road favorites vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 40-7 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW ORLEANS) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent against opponent off a home blowout win by 20 points or more. are 9-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Oklahoma City to cover

The Pacers were in true run and gun form in game 2 of this series winning by a 125-108 count. The Bucks will have to ramp up their attack here in game two or be blown of the court as Im betting the Pacers  on their own home floor will feed off the energy of the crowd and be in full flight. This will lead to a higher scoring affair than the linesmakers are estimating. INDIANA is 8-0 OVER in home games off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 263.3 ppg scored. Carlisle is 15-3 OVER in April games as the coach of INDIANA with a combined average of 245.3 ppg scored. 

INDIANA is 40-21 OVER \ when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 241.1 ppg scored. INDIANA in their L/43   when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 236 ppg go on the board.

MILWAUKEE  in 39  road games this season has seen a combined average of 234.7 ppg scored.MILWAUKEE iin 20 games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days this season have seen a combined average of 247.7 ppg scored.

These teams have gone over in 5 of the L/6 meetings here in Indiana.

Play on the over

My. projections estimate that both these teams will produce +114 points in what the linesmakers expect to be a very close game  .LA LAKERS are 31-0 OVER  where both teams score 114 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 253.2 ppg scored..DENVER is 16-2 OVER where both teams score 114 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 244.5 ppg scored.

LA LAKERS L/30 versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined score of 227.3 ppg scored.LA LAKERS  L/173 games versus good shooting teams - making 46%  or more of their shots over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 232.2 ppg scored. LA LAKERS in 48 games as a favorite this season have seen a combined average of 235.5 ppg scored.

DENVER 45 games this season  when playing against a team with a winning record has seen a combined average 221.2 ppg scored.

DENVERs 65 games  versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots this season has seen a combined average of 222.9 ppg scored.

Play over

Orlando has its back up against the wall as they are down 2-0 in this series, and will now be primed for a huge bounce back performance here at home where they have played their best hoops this season winning 29 of their 40 games while covering 27 of those tilts. The last game between these two teams was a grinding affair in Cleveland with the Cavs pounding out a 96-86 win. Note: Bickerstaff is 0-10 ATS  in road games after a combined score of 185 points or less as the coach of CLEVELAND. Also Bickerstaff is 17-33 ATS L/50 in road games against Southeast division opponents in all games he has coached . 

CLEVELAND is 9-19 ATS  as a road underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

ORLANDO is 12-4 ATS in home games after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season.

ORLANDO is 15-6 ATS in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game - 2nd half of the season this season. ORLANDO is 11-2 ATS  in home games versus sub standard pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (ORLANDO) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG), after scoring 48 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 37-4 L/28 seasons for a 90% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.8 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. 

NBA Favorites (ORLANDO) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG), after scoring 48 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 30-11 ATS L/28 seasons for. a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Orlando Magic to cover 

The Pelicans played the Thunder tough in game 1 of this series losing by a 94-92 count and now Im betting on another very close physical playoff game. Note: The road team in this series has covered 8 straight meetings and number 9 Im betting is on tonights agenda.

NEW ORLEANS is 21-12 ATS  as an underdog this season with a +0.5 ppg diff. NEW ORLEANS is 14-6 ATS as a road underdog this season with average ppg diff of +2.4.

Daigneault is 11-25 ATS in April games as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY.

Home teams vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - off a close home win by 3 points or less, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record L/43 games dating back 5 seasons have seen a average ppg diff of +3.8 ppg . 

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW ORLEANS) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (108-114 PPG), after scoring 105 points or less 2 straight games are 58-25 ATS L/27 seasons for 68% conversion rate.

Play on New Orleans to cover

In game 1 of this series the  Celtics outscored the Heat 31-14 in the third quarter and led 91-59 entering the fourth. Needless to say, the Heats defense first  game plan did not work, and they now need to be more aggressive offensively or be blown off the court again. Tonight look for the Heat to try to speed their game up, and for more shots to drop and for a higher scoring game than the lines-makers expect.Mazzulla is 18-7 OVER after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half as the coach of BOSTON with a combined average of 234.2 ppg scored. MIAMI in 26 games as a road underdog this season have seen a combined average of 213.8 ppg scored.MIAMI is 5-13 ATS in 18 games revenging a road loss vs opponent this season have seen a combined average of 218.8 ppg scored.

Play over

Everything seemed to go well for the Wolves in game 1, they made tough contested shots, grabbed a plethora of rebounds, and snatched and stole some errant passes from the Suns.However,  doing that two games in a row will be a tough assignment for the Wolves . Yes, Minnesota owns a great defense, but when the men from the Arizona desert are flying their hard to stop and Im betting that will be the case here as they get back into a groove and shoot at above tor at their season average . The Suns dominated the Wolves during the current campaign, winning all three reg season meetings by DDs, and Im now betting they bounce back. 

PHOENIX is 15-4 ATS  after scoring 100 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 7-17 ATS  as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

NBA team (PHOENIX) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (36.5% or more ) after 42+ games, after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher are 61-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Suns to cover

Denver ranks 6h in-defense ppg allowed , and 14th in offensive production and 27th in pace.Slow and and easy is the defending campions modus operandi, and nothing will chan ge today in the high altitudes of Rockies. Im betting the Nuggets play gridning physcial game as they look to slow down the Lakers and make them work hard for every point, which will lead to a lower socring game than the linesmakers number suggests. 

DENVER is 10-2 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 215.3 ppg scored.DENVER is 16-6 UNDER versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more  of their shots this season with a combined average of 219 ppg scored.DENVER is 17-8 UNDER (+8.2 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better  of their attempts - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 216.7 ppg scored.DENVER is 8-0 UNDER  in home games against Pacific division opponents this season with a combined average of 216.3 ppg scored.

Five of the last eight games here in Denver have stayed under.

Play on the under

These teams have a recent history of playing very physical defensive games in the recent past and Im betting on nothing changing here tonight in game two of this series. Three of the L/4 meetings have failed to eclipse this Totals offering. 

NEW YORK in 26 games  when leading in a playoff series since 1996 have seen a combined average of 174 ppg scored.

PHILADELPHIA is 9-0 UNDER  when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent this season with a combined average of 204.6 ppg scored. 

NBA team (PHILADELPHIA) - a good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against an avg. offensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after scoring 105 points or less 2 straight games are 28-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the under 

The New Orleans Pelicans won Friday night's elimination game in the West play-in with a 105-98 victory over the Sacramento Kings and must not be under estimated in their ability to play this  Thunder side tough. I know Zion Williamson will be out, but the Pelicans have come together in efficiently and proved in a top tier defensive game to get here.  It must be noted that New Orleans is 4-1 SU L/5 here in Oklahoma City and the road team have covered seven straight meetings between these teams.Daigneault is 11-24 ATS  in April games as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY with a -9.6 ppg diff. NBA Underdogs (NEW ORLEANS) - good offensive team - scoring 114+ points/game on the season against opponent after scoring 135 points or more are 64-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Pelicans to cover

 The  Pacers since March 20,  have the best offense in the league and sit third in Net Rating and deserve respect here in Game 1 vs a Milwaukee side that is expected to be without their super star Giannis Antetokounmpo. 

MILWAUKEE is 10-21 ATS  as an underdog over the last 2 seasons with a average ppg diff of -10.7. 

INDIANA is 12-1 ATS  in road games versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996. INDIANA is 12-4 ATS  versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

The Pacers have won the last two meetings and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation today.

Play on Indiana to cover

The Suns finished off their reg season with a astounding 125-106 win at Minnesota as underdogs for their third straight win this season vs the Wolves. With that said, Im now betting the Wolves will be ready for redemption/revenge against a team that has soundly beat them this season. Note:PHOENIX is 4-16 ATS L/20  in road games off a win by 15 points or more as an underdog . Also

MINNESOTA is 8-0 ATS  revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite this season. MINNESOTA is 10-0 ATS  revenging a home loss vs opponent this season.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days are 39-8 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Underdogs (PHOENIX) - off an upset win as an underdog against opponent off a home loss are 101-150 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Minnesota to win/cover

The Magic have played some great defensive ball this season, but their offense can sometimes be stagnant and have been a better team at home in the Magic Kingdom, than they have been on the road. A tell take sign for me going against Orlando today was because they were just  5-10 SU against top-six defenses like the Cavs, averaging 104.4 points per game, Considering the Cavs are fairly healthy at least from the starting unit  perspective with Donovan Mitchell, Darius Garland, Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen all expected to play, they have a pronounced edge at home. NBA team vs the money line (CLEVELAND) - off an upset loss as a home favorite of 10 points or more, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days are 27-4 with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.2 which qualifies on the ATS offering. CLEVELAND is 5-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons at home. 

Play on the Cavaliers to cover

The Kings are off a conclusive victory last time out, vs Golden State by a 118-94 count. Note: SACRAMENTO L/16 after allowing 105 points or less this season have seen a combined average of 222.5 ppg scored. Meanwhile, the Pelicans lost a 110-106 battle to the experienced Lakers last time out, but Im betting on them being more aggressive here tonight offensively which in turn will help us see the combined score eclipse this offering. Brown L/42 in road games when playing against a team with a winning record as the coach of SACRAMENTO has seen a combined average of 230.2 ppg scored.

The nine most recent meetings in this series have all eclipsed this totals offering and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here again tonight. 

NEW ORLEANS L/72 games  versus sub par defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or worse 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 222.5 ppg scored.

SACRAMENTOs L/41 in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better  of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons haver seen a combined average of 232.8 ppg scored. SACRAMENTO L/24 in road games versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more  of their shots over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 231.4 ppg scored. 

SACRAMENTO L/12 in road games when playing with triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 229.2 ppg scored.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (SACRAMENTO) - off 2 or more consecutive home wins, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 65-37 OVER L/27 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the over

In a game like this the physicality  and die heard defense that ranks 3rd in NBA in ppg allowed gives the  the Heat  an advantage. The Bulls rank 16th in the league in D, and their offense has generally been sub standard  ranking 22nd in ppg output. 

MIAMI is 22-10 ATS  in April games over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home teams (MIAMI) - after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 130 points or more are 34-8 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors 

Play on Miami to cover

My own projections estimate a combined score in the 211-to 214  range giving us a 2 possession edge to the over. I know Miami is a defense first team, but when pushed- which they will be- can light up the scoreboard with some offensive fireworks of their own. Note: The Heat have gone over in 9 of their L/10 overall.  

MIAMI L/77 games as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 216.3 ppg scored. MIAMI in 7  road games revenging a home loss vs opponent this season have seen a combined average of 219 ppg scored ( Lost 109-105 to Phil on April 4th) MIAMI in L/ 44 games   when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 220.4 ppg scored. ( lost last two meetings)

MIAMI is 17-4 OVER  in April games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 226.3 ppg scored. 

Nurse in 27 games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts - 2nd half of the season as the coach of PHILADELPHIA has seen a combined average of 215.9 ppg scored.

PHILADELPHIA is 17-7 OVER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a combined average of 234.7 ppg scored.

NBA team (MIAMI) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half have seen a combined average of 227.7 ppg scored during a current 65 game sample size over the L/5 seasons. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (PHILADELPHIA) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after 2 straight blowout wins by 15 points or more have seen a combined average of 213.5 ppg scored over a 233 sample size going back 27 seasons.

Play over

My projections place this game total in the high 220s to low 230s, giving us at least one possession plus edge on this current totals offering. My estimates also suggest both sides will score +114 points- Note:LA LAKERS are 31-0 OVER where both teams score 114 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 253.2 ppg scored. NEW ORLEANS is 15-1 OVER where both teams score 114 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 250.4 ppg scored.

The Lakers rank 6th in NBA in offensive production and a lowly 23rd in defensive ppg allowed and a speedy 4th in pace. Meanwhile, the Pelicans rank 13th in offensive production, and 8th in ppg allowed, behind the 17th ranked pace, but those numbers are a little deceiving as they have allowed  a 46.7 % FG conversion rate from opponents at home and in their L/5 overall games entering this game have allowed a 49.7 % FG conversion rate.

Pelicans have gone over in 3 straight games and 7 of their L/9 , while the Lakers have gone over in 4 straight and 6 of their L/7. 

LA LAKERS L/8 after scoring 120 points or more 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 234.8 ppg scored.

LA LAKERS are 23-13 OVER  versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 231.4 ppg scored. 

LA LAKERS are 9-1 OVER  in road games against Southwest division opponents this season with a combined average of 240.8 ppg scored. 

LA LAKERS are 22-7 OVER when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 239.4 ppg scored.

Ham  in 134 games vs sides like the Pelicans allowing a  46% or more defensive FG conversion rate  as the coach of LA LAKERS has seen a combined average of 236 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (LA LAKERS) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (45.5-47.5%), hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50% or  of their shots over a 143 game sample size have seen a combined average of 228 ppg scored. 

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (NEW ORLEANS) - average defensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG), after a blowout loss by 15 points or more are 62-31 OVER L/27 seasons with a average combined score of 230.5 ppg scored.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (NEW ORLEANS) - good offensive team - scoring 114+ points/game on the season against opponent after scoring 120 points or more 2 straight games have seen a combined average of 233.3 ppg over a 245 game sample size. 

Play over

My projections estimate a combined score in the mid 220s giving us a substantial edge on this totals offering to the over. In a recent meeting these teams combined for 238 points, and even though both teams may rest starters tonight Im betting on a loose game with very little physical defensive action which will help propel this score to higher limits than the linesmkaers expect.

HOUSTON L/33 games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season this season have seen a combined average of 232.1 ppg scored. HOUSTON L/29 in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season have seen a combined average of 228.3 ppg scored. HOUSTON is 7-0 OVER  in April games this season with a combined average of 237.2 ppg scored. 

LA CLIPPERS L/22 after playing 2 consecutive home games this season have seen a combined average of 234.4 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is 2219.5 to 229.5 (HOUSTON) - extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 42-18 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play over

Im betting these NY NBA rivals play a fairly wide open game tonight that I project will be higher scoring than the lines-makers are expecting . I know Brooklyn will be short handed overall but their replacements will be playing loose and  looking for extended contracts, so I expect aggressive action. Meanwhile, the Knicks offense has been hitting on all cylinders, and according to my numbers will exceed the 120 point plateau in this event , even though they played last night in a win vs the Celtics. (. NYK has put 122, 128, and 118 points on the board  in their L/3 tilts) Even in a letdown situation, and with the Nets playing short handed we should get over this exaggerated totals offering. 

NEW YORK is 13-4 OVER in home games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 238.5 ppg scored. NEW YORK in 44 games as a favorite this season have seen a combined average of 217.5 ppg scored. 

BROOKLYN is 37-18 OVER   when the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 217.5 ppg scored. BROOKLYN iin 43 games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts this season have seen a combined average of 223.2 ppg scored.BROOKLYN i n 36  road games this season has seen a combined average of 224.9 ppg scored.BROOKLYN in 43 games  revenging a loss vs opponent this season have seen a combined average of 221.8 ppg scored.NEW YORK  in 39 home games this season has seen a combined average of 215.9 ppg scored.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (BROOKLYN) - triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 53-21 OVER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 231.6 ppg scored.

Play over

My. projections estimate a total closer to 224  which give us a more than 2 possession value on this offering to the over. The Bulls know they will play the Atlanta Hawks  as the Nos. 9 and 10 seeds in the Eastern Conference play-in tournament. Meanwhile,  the Pistons have lost five straight and 13 of their last 14 games and have nothing left to play for so they will play loose here tonight. With that said, Im betting there will be a lack of  physical intensity defensively tonight and a more wide open game most likely will be on the agenda which signifies a higher scoring output than expected by the linesmakers.

NBA team (CHICAGO) - after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more against opponent after scoring 105 points or less 2 straight games are 63-27 OVER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate with a combined average of 224 ppg going on the board.

Play on the over

The Clippers clinched the Pacific Division, with their road win in Phoenix last night, and now with revenge on board and in desperation mode Im betting we now see the Suns play with ultimate urgency as they look to avoid the play in tournament.  It also looks like Harden and Leonard will not play tonight for the Clippers giving an edge to the Suns. 

LA CLIPPERS are 1-10 ATS   in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts - 2nd half of the season this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -9.2.

NBA Road favorites vs. the money line (PHOENIX) - off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite of 6 or more, playing on back-to-back days are 32-2 L/28 seasons for a 94% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.6 which easily qualities on this ATS offering. 

NBA Road favorites (PHOENIX) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite are 23-4 ATS L/5 seasons for 85% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHOENIX) - vs. division opponents, off a double digit loss as a home favorite of 6 or more are 30-8 L/28 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Suns to cover

 The Thunder looked a little tired during their recent  5 game road trip, losing 3 of those games. However,  now home andwith a couple of days of rest in their own beds, Im betting the Thunder, will be prepared to put forward a top tier effort vs a side they dominated the last time they visited here on Feb 11 th, by a 127-113 count.  OKLAHOMA CITY is 34-15 ATS  after having lost 3 of their last 4 games over the last 3 seasons

OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-0 ATS  in home games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game this season.

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (SACRAMENTO) - after beating the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games, on Tuesday nights are 4-41 L/5 seasons for a go against 91% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking at -10.8 .

Play on Oklahoma City to cover

Houston has lost 5 straight games, while Orlando continues to be a force to be reckoned with as they have won 4 of their L/5 and have.been consistently competitive all season long.  ORLANDO is 25-7 ATS  when playing against a team with a losing record this season. 

The Orlando Magic have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 74 games (+13.80 Units / 8% ROI)

HOUSTON is 4-16 ATS L/20 in home games after 3 straight losses by 10 points or more. HOUSTON is 8-20 ATS after 4 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. 

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (ORLANDO) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or more ) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%) after 42+ games, after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher are 32-10 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in a t+5.9 which qualifies on this ATS offering. 

Play on the Orlando Magic to cover

We all know that the Magic thrive in defensive type games, but Im betting tonight the run and gun Rockets who rank 11th in pace in the league will force them into a faster paced game, which will result in a combined score that eclispes this offering. Houston allows an average of 113 plus points per game on the season, and Im betting the Magic hitting that plateau while the Rockets chase that same output  here at home tonight . 

ORLANDO is 16-6 OVER in road games after allowing 105 points or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 226.8 ppg scored. ORLANDO iL/59 games  versus sub par defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46%  or worse this season with a combined average of 218.5 ppg scored.

HOUSTON is 11-3 OVER  when playing 8 or more games in 14 days this season with a combined average of 239.5 ppg going on the scoreboard.  HOUSTONs L/25 games after 4 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 239 ppg go on the board. 

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (HOUSTON) - after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 54-20 OVER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 222.1 ppg.

NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (HOUSTON) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days are 55-21 OVER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 221.8 ppg scored.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (ORLANDO) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after 3 straight losses by 10 points or more are 29-11 OVER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 237.4 ppg scored.

Play over

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

CONNECTICUT is 9-2 UNDER versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games this season with a combined average of 141.3 ppg scored. CONNECTICUT is 12-3 UNDER  versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games this season with a combined average of 137.3 ppg going on the score board.

CONNECTICUT is 8-2 UNDER  in road games in non-conference games this season with a combined average of 141.9 ppg scored. UConn has gone under in 9 of their L/10 games, and their defense has held 10 of their 11 opponents under their season offensive average. 

CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (PURDUE) - hot team - having won 12 or more of their last 15 games against opponent hot team - having won 15 or more of their last 20 games are 47-27 UNDER L/5 seasons with a combined average of 139.4 ppg scored. 

Play on the under

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Very reasonable number for the UConn Huskies to cover as they are a side that can shut down the Boilermakers big man  Edey.

The Huskies have held 10 of their L/11 opponents to below  their season offensive average. 

CONNECTICUT is 11-1 ATS when playing on a neutral court this season with the average ppg clicking at +19. 

Play on UConn to cover

The Heat are  currently playing a top tier brand of hoops  and deserve respect here as underdogs, and according to my projections could easily be slight favs here vs the Pacers .

The Heat are  a half-game back of the Pacers for the sixth and final playoff spot in the East, and makes for what Im betting will be a hard contested game, that favors the more physical and defensive minded Heat. 

MIAMI is 17-7 ATS  in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Carlisle is 46-69 ATS  in home games against Southeast division opponents in all games he has coached since 1996.

Play on Miami Heat to cover 

Alabama has allowed scores of 82, 87, and 96 in three of the four NCAA games, and the books expect the Huskies to put up close to 85 plus projected points. Considering the Huskies have held 10 of their L/11 opponents to their below season ppg averages , a blowout is expected . Is this DD offering to much, I say no based on the above stated facts. Crimson Tide lack D,  while the Huskies can be merciless on offense when allowed to be, and and no team in the nation can exploit the UConn D, making this a easy lay for me.  CONNECTICUT is 10-1 ATS  in all neutral court lined games this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at +19.4 . CONNECTICUT is 7-0 ATS  in road games when playing with 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +20.

Play on Uconn

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

PURDUE is 8-0 UNDER  in road games after 3 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 132.5 ppg scored.

NC STATE is 6-0 UNDER versus very good shooting teams - making  48% or more of their shots this season with a combined average of 138.9 ppg scored. 

CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (PURDUE) - playing with 5 or 6 days rest, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season are 38-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 136 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (NC STATE) - after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 33% or less are 104-59 L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate with a combined average of 141.2 ppg scored. 

Play under

Saturday marks the conclusion of the two-game season series between the teams. The Lakers beat Cleveland 121-115 back on Nov. 25.Note:CLEVELAND is 14-5 ATS revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points this season. It must be noted that the key LAL cogs James and Anthony are banged up and less than 100% and if they play will be on limited minutes. As far as seeding goes James has said hes not worried about seeding so its obvious he wont push himself here to over extend his body as the playoffs approach. Advantage to Cleveland getting points.

CLEVELAND is 13-2 ATS   off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons which was the case last time out.

LA LAKERS are 3-13 ATS  off a road win this season.Ham is 9-27 ATS  off a road win as the coach of LA LAKERS.

Cleveland to cover

The Timberwolves are playing their fourth game in six days and are on tired legs entering this tilt at Phoenix.Phoenix's Big Three of Durant, Devin Booker and Bradley Beal Im betting will be to much for the Wolves to compete with from a offensive standpoint., especially considering the Wolves are without  the often injured Towns.  These teams could meet in the play offs , and home court advantage will be key. NBA Road underdogs (MINNESOTA) - after a blowout win by 20 points or more against opponent after scoring 120 points or more 2 straight games 7-26 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. ( Minn beat Toronto 133- 85 last time out- while, the Suns offense exploded for two plus 120 points out wins vs the Pelicans and Cavs. 

Suns are 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 at home in this series.

Play on Suns to cover 

Julius Randle's season is over, as he will undergo surgery to repair a torn labrum, and this has to be disheartening to this Knicks  team. Another key NYK asset Anunoby is currently out with elbow bursitis.Considering the Knicks are running a short rotation, and accumulating alot of minutes, exhaustion maybe starting to set in as is evident by having lost three straight games previous to beating up on another tired group in the Sacramento Kings. Im betting the Chicago takes advantage of out of gas Knicks  group and grabs the victory. 

NBA Home favorites (CHICAGO) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 36-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (CHICAGO) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 41-7 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Bulls to win /cover

When these teams met back on Dec 20th in Sacramento the Celtics ran over their hosts by a 144-119 count and very much looked like the superior side, and Im betting nothing changes tonight here in Boston, After manhandling a very good Oklahoma City side, last time out, winning by a 135-100 count its obvious to me the Celtics mean business down the stretch drive here entering the play offs and will prepared to send another message tonight. Boston is 5-0 ATS/SU L/5 in this series. 

Play on the Celtics to cover

From a SRS perspective we are getting value with the home dog tonight LA Clippers. The defending NBA champs demand respect, but this line is a little bloated according both my projections and the SRS data. The Clippers rank7th in the NBA in SRS with a 3.38. rating while the Nuggets rank 4th with a 4.83. Taking into consideration home court advantage we have close a 2 point advantage on the line with the home side.

SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average.

Note: The Clippers won the last meeting here at home  111-102 back on Dec 6th of this season. 

DENVER is 15-27 ATS after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season.

Injury notes: Jokic and Murray are less than 100% , and may or may not play and if they do should see limited/restricted minutes/ action. 

NBA team (LA CLIPPERS) - after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 64-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the LA Clippers to cover

The Hawks despite of losing their top scoring star Trey Young to injury have been playing inspired hoops of late, and must not be underestimated in their ability to compete here tonight vs the Mavericks. The Hawks have won 6 of their L/7 and deserve respect here in this current form as DD dogs. Note:Atlanta has played the Mavs tough in their 3 most recent meetings winning two of 3 with the loss coming earlier this season in a 148-143 home defeat. 

NBA Road underdogs of 10 or more points (ATLANTA) - after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 69-30 ATS L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover

According to my projections the current totals offering is of by close to 2 possession which favors an over bet between the visiting 76ers and their hosts the Heat. Even the slightest edge will end up being a long term profitable approach to betting the NBA .

I know both sides run at a slower pace, but in what the linesmakers are expecting a close competitive game eclipsing the total is a viable opportunity as my projections estimate both sides will score +107 points.

The 76ers defensive rating registers at  115.2 (12th of 30) Net Rtg: +2.3 (14th of 30)

The Heats defensive rating registers at :112.8 (6th of 30) Net Rtg: +1.5 (16th of 30)

PHILADELPHIA is 28-13 OVER   when the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 217.5 ppg scored.

Spoelstra is 82-59 OVER  in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 as the coach of MIAMI with a combined average of 216.8 ppg scored. 

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHILADELPHIA) - after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games, tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days are 60-27 OVER L/5 seasons with the combined average of 233.8 ppg scored over the 87 game  sample.

Play over

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (NEW YORK) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG) after 42+ games, after a loss by 10 points or more are 47-26 OVER L/27 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Brooklyn just got clobbered by Indiana 133-111 when they met a couple days ago and Im betting on a rinse and repeat performance from the Pacers tonight. Note: NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (BROOKLYN) - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more, off a road loss by 10 points or more are 11-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at -10.9 which qualifies on this ATS offering.

INDIANA is 8-1 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons and hav covered their L/4 meetings on the road in BROOKLYN. 

Play on Indiana to cover

Dallas enters this game having won 7 straight while their hosts the Golden State Warriors have won 4 straight. With home court advantage and revenge on board for a earlier loss this season to the Mavs  Im recommending we back the experienced veteran laden Warriors. GOLDEN STATE is 31-13 ATS in home games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 34 of their last 57 games (+9.80 Units / 16% ROI) The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 67 games (-34.40 Units / -24% ROI)

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (DALLAS) - after beating the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games, on Tuesday nights are 4-41 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 91% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Warriors to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Seton Hall Im betting will be ready to make this into a grinding defensive affair. Also after the big offensive output last tine out Im betting on regression from the Pirates.  

SETON HALL is 21-8 UNDER after a game where they made 55% of their shots or better .

GEORGIA is 10-3 UNDER  versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game this season. 

GEORGIA is 10-1 UNDER  after a combined score of 155 points or more this season

SETON HALL is 25-13 UNDER versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.

Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (GEORGIA) - off an upset win as a road underdog are 165-108 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 61% conversion rate .

CBB  Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (SETON HALL) - off a home win scoring 85 or more points are 110-71 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors.

Play under

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

"Undoubtedly, Coach [Vadal] Peterson has instructed his group to slow down the pace and stress possession at all times vs a run and gun Sycamores side. The Utah game  plan  of defense first disciplined slow down hoops Im betting  wont deviate today as they will have to deal  with  a raucous environment at the Hinkle Filed House in Indiana this Tuesday night . This gives us an edge towards a much lower scoring game than the linesmakers  expect. 

UTAH is 36-19 UNDER  L/54 versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or better of their shots after 15+ games with a combined average of 130.0 ppg scored.

CBB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 (INDIANA ST) - in a tournament game, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season are 107-60 L/27 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. (Scored 85 in a 85-81 vs Cincinnati last time out). 

Play under

***The Bulls are in ninth place vs the Hawks and are 10th in the Eastern Conference, and the two l will probably play in the opener of the play-in tournament. However, the  No. 9 team will host the game, in which the loser is eliminated making this a important game for both sides. Home court is huge here according to my projections as neutral court is a essentially a pickem according to SRS numbers. 

SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average

Atlanta had a 4 game win streak end on Saturday vs the Bucks, and in the past have not been a great bounce back team, especially after a home game as is evident by the following trends:  Atlanta is   11-28 ATS  after 1 or more consecutive losses this season and  11-23 ATS off a home loss over the last 2 seasons. Also ATLANTA is just  3-11 ATS  against Central division opponents this season and considering the Bulls current form that has seen them win 2 of their L/3 against top tier opponents Indiana and Minnesota, Im betting home side is in a viable enough groove to grab the victroy here as short home favs. Chicago is 4-1 SU/ATS L/5 at home in this series.

Play on Chicago Bulls to cover

 The Nuggets look exhausted lately, as was obvious in recent losses to Minnesota and Phoenix and will probably rest Murray tonight in this tilt vs the Cavs as the play offs approach. There is definite value here taking the Cavaliers in this spot play situation. CLEVELAND is 14-6 ATS versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more  of their shots this season. 

Play on 
Cleveland to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Purdue and Tennessee previously squared off in the early part of the season as part of the Maui Invitational. The Boilermakers managed to sneak away with a 71-67 victory and now Im betting on a rinse and repeat of that final here today.

TENNESSEE is 9-20 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Purdue to PURDUE is 11-3 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at +8.

Purdue to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Connecticut has held 9 of their L/10 opponents to their season low point production average and Im betting nothing changes today. Illinois shoots strong downtown trey action, and defends the trey well, and so does UConn. What Im betting here is that alot of this game is played on the inside, and will be brutally physical and also lower scoring than the linesmkaers are expecting.  

CONNECTICUT is 11-4 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games this season with a combined average of 139.4 ppg scored.

CONNECTICUT in 9 games when seeded 4 or higher in the NCAA tournament over the last 2 seasons have held their opponents to an average of 57.4 ppg. 

CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (ILLINOIS) - off an upset win as an underdog are 91-40 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 146.6 ppg scored.

CBB Neutral court teams against the total (CONNECTICUT) - after 5 or more consecutive wins, a top-level team (80%or more ) playing a team with a winning record are 190-126 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate with a combined average of 138.8 ppg scored.

Play on UNDER 

Two straight ugly efforts against the Atlanta Hawks and now the Celtics  try to avoid their first three-game losing streak of 2023-24 when they visit the New Orleans Pelicans on Saturday.  Im betting even if the Bean-town crew get the W,  that their  tired legs now playing their their 5th straight road game wont easily get what they want and that they fail to cover vs a undervalued Pelicans side playing at home.  Its obvious to me that the Celtics are  having some regressionary  algorithmic down time after a strong run that saw them win 9 straight games.  Pelicans are  7-0 ATS  L7 vs .700 or better  opposition.NEW ORLEANS is 8-0 ATS  against Atlantic division opponents this season.

Play on Pelicans to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Its interesting to note that Duke is 21-0 when forcing teams to hit fewer than 46% from the floor. Houston only hits 43.4% of its shots this season, and after their huge output last time out, scoring 100 points to beat Texas A&M while shooting 51.8% from the floor Im expecting on  regression. I know that Houstons top tier D, will be formidable but Duke and can also play a strong brand of D .In a game I have pegged at close to a pickem Im betting we have great value with the Blue Devils. HOUSTON is 1-8 ATS  after scoring 80 points or more this season.

Play on Duke to cover

The Magic have uncharacteristically lost two straight games at home (24-11 SU/ATS as hosts) , but Im betting on them having a bounce back effort today vs the visiting Clippers who are off a hard fought 108-107 win vs the Sixers last time out March 27th, in what was their 4th straight time failing to cover  and are just  11-12 with a -2.6 net rating since early Feb.   With this also being the Clippers 3rd straight road game tired legs could make them vulnerable to the leagues best home team ATS with a +6.9 home net rating which ranks them  seventh in the NBA.

LA CLIPPERS are 6-16 ATS  off a road win this season.LA CLIPPERS are 4-13 ATS  when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season Orlando 10-1  ATS on Fridays vs non-conference opposition. 

Play on Orlando to cover

Iowa State owns a staunch D, but if they had one weakness its their 3 point defense. Illinois is a top tier downtown stopping group, and tonight Im betting that will be the difference maker between two teams that sink 35% plus of their treys. 

ILLINOIS is 8-1 ATS  in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42%  or less this season.

ILLINOIS is 7-0 ATS  after a game where they made 55% of their shots or better over the last 2 seasons which was the case last time out vs Duquesne. 

Saints were smashed by the Bucks earlier this season 141-117 and now have payback on their agenda. After playing a hard fought game the day before yesterday vs the Lakers in a OT loss the Bucks will be vulnerable to a letdown performance vs a very motivated and talented group.Note: Bucks are  0-5 ATS away in 1/1 rest sit vs non-conf opposition.

NEW ORLEANS is 12-4 ATS  revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more this season.

MILWAUKEE is 19-33 ATS  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons.

Play on New Orleans 

Boston was upset last time out by a 120-118 score by this same Atlanta squad, and now redemption is at hand. Im betting on a merciless effort here from the Celtics and for the Hawks to have to open up with some offensive foireworsk of their own in chase mode which Im projecting will help easily eclipse this total.

BOSTON L/28 revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons has een a combined average of 233.4 ppg scored.

ATLANTA is 11-1 OVER  in home games versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 253.6 ppg scored. 

ATLANTA is 10-1 OVER  in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 252.5 ppg scored.

NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (BOSTON) - after having covered 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread, playing with 2 days rest are 67-29 OVER L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play over

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play on under

The Nuggets have revenge on board for a loss to the Suns 117-107 here at home the last time they played and now the defending champs will be out for redemption and to send a message that they are not to be disrespected. Note: Nuggets are on a 13-1 SU as hosts  L/2 campaigns  when seeking same-season double-digit revenge, and in 6 tries only failed to cover once when given the opportunity this season.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite of 7or more against opponent after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points are 124-76 ATS L/27 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Denver to cover

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

UNLV is playing without starting forward Luis Rodriguez who has missed the first two NIT games. Rebs scoring star K Boone has still excelled without him, but Im betting that Boone finally meets his match here against a strong Big East D, that is playing at home. SETON HALL is 8-2 ATS ( in home games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.8 . 

CBB Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SETON HALL) - team from a major division 1-A conference against a team from a second tier conference are 391-273 ATS L/27 seasons for a 59% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Seton Hall 

Both these teams played last night, but the Kings having rested in their own beds will be fresher. After two straight hard fought games in the high altitudes of Salt Lake City the Mavs will be feeling tired as this game progresses which gives us a edge with the home side. Note: Mavs are  1-7 as dogs in back to back situations. Kings are 4-0 ATS L4 vs Mavs. 

I know Dallas is on a nice run but it must be noted that Mavs HC Kidd is 27-50 ATS  after 3 or more consecutive wins in all games he has coached since 1996 with average ppg diff clicking in at -3.1.

NBA Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (DALLAS) - after going under the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games are 26-6 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate.

Play on Sacramento Kings to cover

After faltering in their last game against the Minnesota Wolves in a hard fought affair, Im now betting on a big rebound performance against a Heat team that they are in revenge mode against for a loss they suffered  at home by a 114-102  earlier this season. Miami has failed to cover 20 of 32 games at home this season including 3-8 ATS against Western Conference opposition.  Meanwhile, GOLDEN STATE is 11-3 ATS  as a road favorite this season. MIAMI is aslo 8-21 ATS  in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.GOLDEN STATE is 15-4 ATS  in road games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or better this season. Kerr is 87-58 ATS  revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more as the coach of GOLDEN STATE.

Play on Warriors to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

GEORGIA is 10-1 ATS as a road underdog or pick this season. GEORGIA is 6-0 ATS in road games versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games this season.

Play on Georgia to cover

The Kings are off a 3 game road trip and in the last game of their trek they upset the Orlando Magic in a physical hard fought game, and now Im betting on a letdown spot here vs the visiting Philadelphia 76ers. It must be noted that despite of playing without Joel Embidd the Sixers have been mostly competitive and should not be underestimated in their ability to compete here tonight. Philadelphia ha won 10 straight games in this series and if they lose this tilt, it wont come without a valiant fight. 

SACRAMENTO is 10-21 ATS  in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

SACRAMENTO is 1-11 ATS in home games after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons. 

SACRAMENTO is 2-11 ATS in home games off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. SACRAMENTO is 3-15 ATS in home games off a road win over the last 2 seasons.

PHILADELPHIA is 19-8 ATS versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.SACRAMENTO is 0-7 ATS in home games after playing 2 consecutive road games this season. Brown is 0-9 ATS in home games off an upset win as a road underdog as the coach of SACRAMENTO.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (SACRAMENTO) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42 or more games, after a close win by 3 points or less are 13-26 L/5 seasons for a 69% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Philadelphia to cover

Denver has a recent reputation for taking the foot off the gas against teams like the Grizzlies, and could easily rest some stars tonight for long stretches of this game, giving us an edge taking DD points with the visitors. 

MEMPHIS is 8-1 ATS  versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season this season. MEMPHIS is 24-13 ATS when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 2 seasons.

DENVER is 0-9 ATS in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (DENVER) - after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games are 8-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Memphis to cover

Boston is surging towards the play offs in top form, but there could be a problem here , as they are also not pacing themselves, and with this being their 9th road game in their L/11 trips to the hardwood, and their 3rd road game in their L/4 days ,could find themselves vulnerable due to exhaustion. 

BOSTON is 8-19 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (BOSTON) - hot team - having won 12 or more of their last 15 games, extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days are 3-24 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Hawks to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play over

 The Warriors  are primed for payback against  a team they would love to send a message to before the play offs arrive . This Golden State team has lost both their tilts vs the Wolves at home this season and will be sky high for this tilt.   It must be noted that the Warriors – are  6-1-1 ATS when Minnesota is above .500 in a double revenge situation.   Golden State is also golden  5-0 ATS as a dog when in redemption mode for a same-season double revenge. situation  Minnesota when facing an opponent with same- season double revenge are  1-8 SU and 0-9 ATS vs sides with a .400 or better record. 

GOLDEN STATE is 10-2 ATS  in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season this season. GOLDEN STATE is 11-3 ATS in road games in the second half of the season this season. GOLDEN STATE is 8-0 ATS in road games off a home loss over the last 2 seasons

NBA Road teams (GOLDEN STATE) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less, off a upset loss as a favorite are 40-20 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Warriors to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play under

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play under

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Altman is 7-0 ATS (when seeded 9 through 12 in the NCAA tournament as the coach of OREGON.

CBB favorite (CREIGHTON) - good defensive team (40-42.5%) against a poor defensive team (45-47.5%) after 15+ games, after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better are 28-62 ATS L/5 season for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Oregon to cover

The Spurs are on tired legs after playing last night in a lethargic loss to the Memphis Grizzlies and are now vulnerable to being beat up on by a redemption minded Suns side that has fallen asleep at the proverbial wheel in this last two meetings vs the Spurs this season. It must noted that the Suns are  3-0 ATS L/3 times in this series  when  coming into it with Double revenge and are 13-3 ATS vs any side that took them out in 2 consecutive same season tilts. It must also be noted that the Suns  are a money making  23-3 ATS away in SU wins with same- season double revenge. SAN ANTONIO is 13-22 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. PHOENIX is 4-0 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Phoenix Suns to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play under

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play on Dayton to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

The well rested Lakers have revenge on board for an ugly 128-94 defeat   in Philadelphia  back in November and now Im betting on a big time redemption situation to unfold here in LA LA land tonight. Super stars like James and Davis don't take kindly to be embarrassed like that , with both expected to play tonight vs  76ers side that struggles on alot of nights without their injured   super star Joel  Embid in the lineup. note: Series host is 5-0 ATS L/5. 

PHILADELPHIA is 6-14 ATS  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better  of their attempts - 2nd half of the season this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -8.8. 

Play on Lakers to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

CBB team (CLEMSON) - off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite, playing with 7 or more days rest are 39-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Clemson to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

No.7 seed Washington State , won 10 of their last 12 games including a road win over Arizona to complete a season sweep and deserve respect here vs Drake. Note:The Cougars rank 27th in adjusted defensive efficiency, and they're holding opponents to just under 67 points per game this season.  Drake needs their offense to flow to be successful, and Im betting that wont be the case today as the Bulldogs fail to roll offensively vs a tough physcial D.Overall, No. 7 seeds hold a 93-59  SU advantage over No. 10 seeds since the NCAA Tournament bracket expanded to 64 teams in 1985 for a   61.2% winning percentage for No. 7 seeds over the last four decades.

Play on the Washington State Cougars to cover

The Nuggets enter this game ready for redemption for a  122-84 loss in New York in January and Im now betting q conclusive DD winning effort here tonight. Note: NBA Favorites (DENVER) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points against opponent off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog are 73-37 ATS L/27 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Also Malone is 27-14 ATS  in home games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite as the coach of DENVER with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.8. 

Play on Denver to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

S.Carolina has had a great season, and played much better than many of the pundits expected , and it breaks my heart to have to bet against them here today, but thats what Im recommending we do. HC Paris of the Gamecocks has really brought this group together, but against seasoned big game coach like Altman , Im betting pedigree will win out.  Altman is 6-0 ATS  when seeded 9 through 12 in the NCAA tournament as the coach of OREGON.Altman is 14-2 ATS  in first round tournament games as the coach of OREGON.Altman is 6-0 ATS  in the first round of the NCAA tournament as the coach of OREGON. 

Oregon to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

• Morehead State is one of just 21 Division I teams to win 25+ games this season and must not be underestimated in their ability to compete vs Illinois.

• MSU has 318 three-pointers this season, a school single-season record. MSU is one of just 22 D1 teams to hit 300+ triples this year which is an important factor for me taking this type of underdog. ILLINOIS is 5-14 ATS  versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.

MOREHEAD ST is 11-2 ATS  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Morehead State to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Duquesne's +166 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 4.8 points per game) is a result of scoring 70.8 points per game (261st in college basketball) while allowing 66.0 per outing (28th in college basketball). The Dukes are 6-1 in neutral-site games this season andDUQUESNE is 7-0 ATS  as a neutral court underdog or pick over the last 3 seasons  . .DUQUESNE is 9-1 ATS  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games this season.DUQUESNE is 11-2 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts after 15+ games this season.

BYU is 4-15 ATS  in road games in a post-season tournament game since 1997.BYU is 2-12 ATS  in road games in first round tournament games since 1997.

Play on Duquesne to cover 

The last time these teams played back in January the Celtics went into Milwaukee after playing the Minnesota Wolves the night before and were  smashed in a DD beatdown (135-102). Now in revenge mode Im betting the Celtics to get even here plus some . Note: The Celtics are 3-0 ATS L/3 with revenge in this series from a 25 or more point loss. Also the Bucks have failed to cover 8 of their L/9 going against a side with revenge form a 30 or more point loss.

BOSTON is 26-14 ATS (when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at just under 9 ppg.

NBA Home teams (BOSTON) - after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 130 points or more are 33-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

After a heart breaking loss to Drake to end their chances of a NCAA tourney appearance Im betting Indiana State will be in a huge letdown situation vs a SMU side that will playing loose no pressure basketball. 

INDIANA ST is 1-9 ATS  in a post-season tournament game since 1997.

Lanier is 9-1 ATS  in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 16 or more assists/game in all games he has coached since 1997.

CBB  team (SMU) - team from a major division 1-A conference against a team from a second tier conference, off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite are 76-34 ATS L/27 seasons, for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on SMU to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Kansas State men’s basketball coach Jerome Tang had a simple reason for why the Wildcats should given an NCAA Tournament bid: if you win nine games in the Big 12, you should play in the Big Dance.The NCAA Selection Committee did not agree. Now the Wildcats need to prove the selection committee wrong with a win hjere and as far as we are considered a cover. 

Tang is 32-17 ATS  when playing against a team with a winning record as the coach of KANSAS ST. KANSAS ST is 20-9 ATS versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

McCaffery is 20-31 ATS  when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) after 15 or more games as the coach of IOWA.  IOWA is 2-10 ATS  versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season this season.

Dallas is off a upset win vs the Denver Nuggets on Sunday night and have back to back games against the Utah Jazz after tonights game vs the Spurs. The Mavs have already defeated the Spurs three times this season, with the last two coming by big  DD margins. But because of how easily the Mavs handled the Spurs Im betting they will in some ways be overlooking tonights opponents which leave them vulnerable especially considering they could easily be in a letdown spot after the above mentioned victory vs the top tier Nuggets.DALLAS is 0-8 ATS off an upset win as an underdog this season. DALLAS is 0-9 ATS  after a close win by 3 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - off a close home win by 3 points or less, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 9-27 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover

Philadelphia is in complete disarray and are now 10-22 without their super star Joel Embiid out the lineup this season, which includes dropping five of the last seven overall. Their offensive production has also fallen off a cliff as they have averaged just 93.4 ppg in their last 5 trips to the court. I know Miami is off a game last night, but are a well conditioned side. Note: Miami is 48-32 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +0.1. I know some key cogs will also be out of the Heats lineup , but the remaining depth is a very physical group that Im betting the light weight Sixers lineup will have problems dealing with. From a coach perspective Nurse is 1-10  in home games versus  defenses - allowing shooting pct defense 46% or worse  - 2nd half of the season as the coach of PHILADELPHIA. PHILADELPHIA is also just  2-10 ATS  in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Play on Miami Heat to cover 

Boston continues to gain momentum as the playoffs approach and have won 4 straight by DDS, while Washington is in tank mode as is evident by having lost their L/3 by DD deficits. Today Im expecting this trend to continue and for the Celtics to roll past the Wizards. 

Note: Boston: 9-1 ATS L/10  in 2/0 rest situation with the Washington Wizards are  0-7 ATS L/7  in 0/2 rest situation.

WASHINGTON is 8-17 ATS  as a home underdog this season with the average -11.8 ppg diff.

Mazzulla is 21-6 ATS   versus terrible defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or better  - 2nd half of the season as the coach of BOSTON with the average ppg diff clicking in at +12.9. 

Play on Boston to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Bucks have revenge on board for a 114-106 loss back in Feb on the road vs the these same Suns.  With Giannis Antetokounmpo likely to play this TV game the Bucks are the right side.    LATE STEAM

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

The Wolves are well rested with 3 days off coming into this game, while /Utah played last night and will be on tired legs. Note: The Wolves are 7-1 ATS L/8 on  3 days rest and  11-2 ATS  away vs an unrested div opponent . Meanwhile  Utah: 0-4-1  ATS L/5 vs an  opponent  with 3 days rest.UTAH is 3-12 ATS  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts - 2nd half of the season this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -12.8 . NBA Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) - sub par pressure defensive team - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game, second half of the season are 35-76 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Minnesota Wolves to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

This Long Beach State side  is an under rated 4 starter returning team .Long Beach St. 9-1-2 ATS L 8 years in this tournament and are  16-3 ATS when coming off back-to-back wins which they are and  and are  also 7-1 ATS the last eight tilts  in this tourney.LONG BEACH ST is 9-0 ATS off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. (Beat Cal Irvine as pups last time out)

Play on Long Beach St to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

SD State beat the Lobos  at home, the last time they played in Feb by a 81-70 score, previous to that the Lobos won at home in January by a 88-70 count. So they conclusively both defended home court advantage. Here in a neutral court environment, Im leaning heavily on the No.2 Seed New Mexico to come out of this as Mountain West champs. Note: 11-3 SU  in MWC title games.

Pitino is 15-3 ATS  revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more as the coach of NEW MEXICO.

NEW MEXICO is 7-1 ATS  versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less this season. NEW MEXICO is 7-0 ATS  when playing on a neutral court this season.

SAN DIEGO ST is 1-7 ATS  n road games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games this season.SAN DIEGO ST is 1-7 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

Play on New Mexico to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

When these teams played at Purdue back on March 10th the Boilermakers came away with a 78-70 win . It must be noted  Gard is 20-9 ATS  revenging a same season loss vs opponent as the coach of WISCONSIN. WISCONSIN is 9-2 ATS  in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.WISCONSIN is 17-5 ATS  when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or more ) over the last 3 seasons. #5 seed dogs like Wisconsin are 10-1 ATS 15 seasons  in this event. 

I know  starting point guard Chucky Hepburn may not play or be less than 100% but this is a deep team at the guard position and deserve respect. 

PURDUE is 8-17 ATS  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. Purdue is 1-12 ATS  L/6 seasons in the Big 10 Tourney. 

Wisconsin to cover

The Suns are pretty well at full strength, with all their key cogs in the lineup. Meanwhile, Charlotte  a side that has been banged up for most of the season, and just 9-23 SU at home this year are fade material here according to my projections. In their only meeting this season, the Suns took out the Hornets by a 133-19 count, and won both contests vs Charlotte last season by DDs and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here today. Note: CHARLOTTE is 6-14 ATS   revenging a road loss vs opponent this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -12.7 ppg. 

The Suns played last night in a DD loss to the Celtics and will be out looking for redemption . Note: Pho: 7-1 away with no rest vs non-conference opposition. Meanwhile, Charlotte 1-9 ATS  home in 1/0 rest situation.

One of these teams (Suns) is picking up momentum as the post season nears closer, while the other side should continue their decent into tank mode . 

NBA opening line Favorites of 10 or more points (PHOENIX) - an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) against a terrible team (7 or less PPG diff.) after 42+ games are 67-37 ATS L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Phoenix to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play under

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play on the under

Wichita State won the lone regular season meeting with the Blazers just a couple weeks ago in Birmingham, 74-66. The Shockers are 5-0 all-time vs. UAB.

Wichita State to cover