The Sixers are in a down mood and on tired legs after blowing a 24-point lead over the Golden State Warriors with 38 seconds into the second half on Saturday night.   The  explosive defending NBA champions outscored them 63-21 over the next 17:48 on their way to a 124-116 victory. Now trying to deal with a lack of defensive responsibility and being exhausted and in a emotional letdown state , I expect the 76ers aggressiveness to be muted, which result in a more conservative effort than the linesmakers are expecting. Meanwhile, their opponents the Utah Jazz are playing the finale of a 4 game road  trip  and will also be on tired legs, and when called upon have been know to play hard core physical D, something I expect from them tonight. Note : The Jazz own the 5th best point allowed D in the league , the 24th ranked offensive rating, and the only 6 teams in the league play at a slower pace then they do. With that said, I'm recommending we take the under path tonight.

UTAH is 37-18 UNDER  L/54  in road games versus lower tier defensive teams - allowing 106 or more points/game with the combined average score of 200.1 ppg going on the scoreboard.UTAH   in their L/10 road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) have seen a combined average score of 207.2 ppg go on the board.

PHILADELPHIA is 16-5 UNDER L/21 against Northwest division opponents with a combined average of 201.1 ppg going on the board.

NBA team like UTAH - after a huge blowout win by 30 or more against opponent after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half are 46-12 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

Play UNDER

CBE HALL OF FAME CLASSIC - Semifinals - Sprint Center - Kansas City, MO

Two undefeated, high-scoring offenses square off as Creighton (3-0) faces No. 23 UCLA (3-0) in the first semifinal game of the 2017 CBE Hall of Fame Classic Monday night at Sprint Center in Kansas City, Mo. These are two heavy weights that can put points up on the board in a hurry, but as is usually the case when two big boys go head to head there is a wait see conservative period. With that look for both behemoths to be  vigilant and play disciplined defense first  basketball which I'm betting translates into a lower scoring game then the lines-makers estimate.

It must also be noted that  UCLA,  owns a whole new starting lineup five from last year. The top four scorers from last season are gone and the Bruins are still short-handed, as three top tier freshmen are suspended indefinitely following their arrest for shoplifting on a recent trip to China. In the Bruins only game vs decent basketball program they took part in a 63-60 physical affair. This one might not end up being played like that one , but I'm betting their won't be as many point going on the board as some might expect.

CREIGHTON is 12-3 UNDER L/15 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more of their attempts with the combined average score clicking in at 150 ppg. HC Alford of UCLA  is 28-10 UNDER    in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game with the combined average score of 146.5ppg going on the board.

Neutral court teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 like CREIGHTON - after 2 straight games making 50% of their shots or better are 47-17 UNDER the L/21 seasons for a74% conversion rate for bettors.Neutral court teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 like CREIGHTON - after a win by 6 points or less against opponent after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games  are 24-5 UNDER the L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 UCLA - in a tournament game, in a game involving two top-level teams ( 80% or better ) are 45-16 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.CBB Neutral court teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 UCLA - undefeated on the season, in November games are 36-12 UNDER  L/21 seasons for a 75% conversion rate.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection

Two franchises the Bulls and the Suns are going through  rebuilding programs  will meet today in Arizona.The Suns enter of a win vs the  Lakers for the first time in three meetings and the Bulls took down Charlotte to end  a five-game losing streak. When it comes to a direct cross reference player vs player and systems check, my own data suggests the Bulls are the superior team , which gives us value taking the points here in this spot.

Phoenix is ranked dead last  in defense in the league, allowing 116.6 ppg with a SRs -9.77 . The Bulls rank 11th overall in Defense, with a SRS -8.24.  Note:SRS Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average.

Bulls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Suns are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Suns are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.Suns are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Underdog is 8-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings.Road team is 12-4 ATS in the last 16 meetings.Bulls are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Phoenix.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the SUNS - off an upset win as a road underdog, with a losing record 44-78 ATS for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection

JAMAICA CLASSIC - Final Rnd - Montego Bay Convention Centre - Jamaica

Jeff Neubauers Bronx crew ( Fordham) enter this season their a program that can finally give teams a run for their money and pull of upsets. That was not the mindset before this HC took over. Most recently they have beaten 9 of the 13 teams in the Atlantic 10, upsetting VCU in Rhode Island thanks to a stingy D and matchup very well  vs todays opponent Tulane on a neutral court.

TULANE is 1-10 ATS  L/11 versus good defensive teams - allowing 64  or less points/game.

Neubauer is 25-7 ATS    in road games versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or better with a defense of  42% or less in all games he has coached  in his career.

Neutral court teams as a favorite or pick like TULANE - after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game are 5-25 ATS L/20 season for a go against conversion rate of 83% for bettors.

Play on the Fordham to cover 1 unit reg selection

PUERTO RICO TIP OFF - Final Rnd - HTC Center - Conway, SC

Leon Rice has made this Boise State program a legitimate value line side, and have 20 or more wins in 6 of 7 seasons Rice has coached the team and have the best player sin the Mountain West on their side Chandler  Hutchinson ( 17.4 ppg). there are some changes but this team has tremendous work ethic can shoot darts from the perimeter. Meanwhile, Iowa State, despite of recent successes are a team in a rebuilding mode, after some key heavy player personel losses from last season, and it may take them time mature and jell this season with the younger group now on the floor. Right now Iowa State is fad material against this time of team in a wait see type situation.

BOISE ST is 8-1 ATS  L/9 after 3 consecutive non-conference games.

Play on Boise State to cover 1 unit reg selection

Samford has 6 talented guards and must not be underestimated, after showing us their tenacity last season with a 20 win campaign. I'm betting they will have three point guards on the floor this afternoon and go small, which will give Wis Milwaukkee some problems. If they have to go big, they can do that also with the like s of 6'5 Denzel-Dyson and Cunningham at the post. A new head coach in Wis Milwaukee  has many wondering how this program will form going forward with Baldwin at the helm, he inherits a side that finished last in the Horizon league standings last season  that has hands full with the cupboard fairly empty.   I'm not sold on this team doing much this season and as far as being favs today, I expect they will be lucky to come out of this game with a win , little lone a cover.

SAMFORD is 14-2 ATS   versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 39% or better.SAMFORD is 9-1 ATS L/10 in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game.

Play on Samford to cover 1 unit reg selection

CHARLESTON CLASSIC - Final Rnd - TD Bank Arena - Charleston, SC

Both these teams won their first  games, but have both loss their L/2. Indiana St  has a history of playing teams tough , despite of having some tough luck from a win perspective. Last season, 18 of their 31 games were decided in the L/2 minutes, and 6 games went ot OT. Now with a little bit more determination, and a better recruiting class, I'm betting they remain consistent on this front, and according to my cross reference rankings matchup well vs this particular opponent and could easily win this game SU.

OHIO U is 3-11 ATS L/14 versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game.

Play on Indiana St to cover 1 unit reg selection

Kings Rice's Monmouth group have been a tremendous MAAC program over the L/4 seasons. they have captured back to back 20 wins seasons and captured a reg season league championship.  Yes, they no longer have 6 returning starters but the recruiting class is strong, especially on offense, and can  finally get this team over the hump and into the NCAA tourney. Meanwhile, Virginia, a side known for their stifling defense, is still a strong team despite of new faces, and some unknowns, but this line according to my own early season numbers is a little bloated, and based somewhat on their pedigree rather than the product on the floor.

MONMOUTH is 14-5 ATS  L/19  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record and is 13-3 ATS  L/16 versus good shooting teams - making 45% or better of their shots .

Play on Monmouth to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Trail Blazers enter into this game in cohesive form and were held to a season-low scoring output in an 86-82 loss to the Sacramento Kings on Friday night. Actually the Kings matchup well vs Portland and once again look like they will give problems to the Blazers inconsistent offense.The Trail Blazers have been held below 100 in five straight games and are averaging 94.8 points in that stretch. I know the Kings don't inspire bettors but, from a point spread perspective matchup well vs the host team, and are my recommended side here this evening.

Trail Blazers are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.Trail Blazers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. NBA Pacific.Trail Blazers are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 home games.Trail Blazers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Underdog is 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings.

NBA Favorites of 10 or more points like Portland  - after a game where both teams scored 90 points or less against opponent after scoring 90 points or less. are 75-126 ATS L/21 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Sacramento to cover 1 unit reg selection

Gonzaga was  a few possessions away from a national championship last season,  and enter this game as big favs as they should be. The group while going through some changes, will still be hugely talented as  HC Few is known to be a master recruiter. From a depth perspective, their maybe deficiencies, but as long as Gonzaga's core stays healthy they should be dominant again. Meanwhile, Utah State remains a strong offensive team, leading the conference FG %, last season, but at the same time their are defensive short comings which were also  obvious to, and  I don't think were addressed over the summer. With that said, Gonzaga may not be the juggernaut they were last season, but their still a force to be reckoned with, and must respected as 8 possession/conversion rate favorite vs this type of team.

CFB Home teams as a favorite or pick like Gonzaga - after scoring 95 points or more, with just two starters returning from last year in the first 5 games of the season are a bankroll expanding 31-6 ATS dating back 5 seasons.

CFB Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points like Gonzaga - off a home win scoring 85 or more points, with just two starters returning from last year in the first 5 games of the season are 28-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Gonzaga to cover

Pacific under former NBA player HC Stoudamire are a team that should be respected as underdogs in this spot. the coach has a lot of respect from his players because of his playing career in the big leagues and has a good rapport with the players. He's done a fine job with this program, and if a few guys like Reynolds and Small  catch fire this season , this team will be surprise a lot of pundits. Meanwhile, Nevada, the Mountain West reg season champs, enter this game with a big time reputation under HC Musselman, but the caveat here comes via their off season losses, which made up a bulk of their offense. Yes, the Pack have looked good in their first three games, but laying this much lumber on the road , vs a feisty/crafty Pacific group still makes them fade material according to my own numbers. Note: Pacific lost 89-80 to Stanford a quality PAC 12 program, and have the ability to stay within the number here again tonight.

Pacific is 7-2 SU l/9 in home games vs Nevada.

CBB team like Nevada- off a road win, first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season with 7+ spread covers in last 8 games are just 8-21 L/29 SU for a go against 72% conversion rate.

Play on the Pacific to cover 1 unit reg selection

In the last 6 seasons, Cal Poly Slo has ranked no worse than 32nd nationally in turnover percentage. When I look at certain underdogs this kind of thing stands out to me. This is the mind set that is instilled in this team. Last season injury woes destroyed any chance this team of making a top 3 run in the conference, but this season, they are being very under rated and could surprise some pundits. If they shoot just a bit better than last seasons 45% FB conversion rate we have a strong side to back as DD dog vs a Santa Clara side retooling after some key departures last season.

Take the points with Cal Poly Slo

Maryland has won 3 straight teams while Bucknell has lost three straight.
These teams are currently operating at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum. Maryland grabbed 24 wins last season, and are even better than advertised this season.

MARYLAND is 14-4 ATS  after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds with the average margin of victory coming by 14.1 ppg.

Play on Maryland to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Boston Celtics,  are off a top tier win over the reigning NBA champion Golden St Warriors, and tonight put their 14-game winning streak on the line when they travel to play an Atlanta Hawks .

Atlanta  a team in  rebuilding mode, came out fired up last time out on Wednesday and beat a sleepy looking Kings team in conclusive fashion. The Hawks really exerted a lot of energy in that tilt, and might not have the electricity needed to put forth another strong effort here vs a over powering side.  After shooting 63 percent, in that above mentioned win, a reversion to the norm against a tremendous defensive team must be expected. I'm betting as this game progresses, the Celtics will pull away for a comfortable victory.

NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Celtics - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 33-8 ATS dating  back 21 seasons for a  81 % conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Boston Celtics to cover

Purdue is a very strong Big 10 program with a lot of big athletic players in their ,lineup. Despite of having the guns to put down a boatload full of points, the Boilermaker HC Painter prides himself on being able to play shut down defense, and today against Fairfield I'm betting that will be the case. Meanwhile, Fairfield, is an easy team to slow down if you can control their super star Tyler Nelson ( 19.5 ppg last season), something I'm betting the Boliermakers will do. Also on the flipside, Fairfield owned the 2nd best D, in the MAAC last season behind St.Peters and according to my cross reference player personnel rankings will be even better this season.

FAIRFIELD is 14-4 UNDER   vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more  of their attempts with a combined average of 150.8 ppg going on the board.FAIRFIELD is 6-0 UNDER  after a win by 10 points or more with a combined average of 140.3 ppg going on the scoreboard.

CBB Home teams against the total like Purdue - after a game - shooting 57% or higher, allowing 43% or lower against opponent after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 37% or less are 54-14 UNDER the L/20 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection

2K CLASSIC - WOUNDED WARRIOR - Round 1 - Curb Event Center - Nashville, TN

Belmont is an extremely talented team, and will be out to lay down a beat down vs Houston Baptist this Saturday after wins vs Middle Tenn State and Vanderbilt and a hard fought road loss to Washington blowing a lead late. Yes, the Huskies made it to the CIT last season, and are a decent program in a lesser conference , but they are very much over matched here  as they were against Providence in a 84-55 loss in their opener this season. It must also be noted that the Huskies are reloading and need time to jell, which is never a good thing when playing against this kind of explosive opponent.

Play on Belmont to cover 1 unit reg selection

Ford the coach of Tennessee State is a guy I respect, but today his team is in over their heads in my humble opinion vs a offensively explosive Middle Tennessee State hoops program. Ford built last teams squad around the now departed Tahjere McAll and all OVC pick, but now the cupboard may be a little empty on top tier talent, and  considering his three returning guards shot consistency was awful I'm betting defense will be the name of the game. Unfortunately theirs only so much a group like this can do vs a side that could easily find it itself in the NCAA tourney . 

Play  Middle Tennessee State to cover

The Denver Nuggets are playing with confidence right now and are  5-1 on their recent homestand.  Their winning attitude was dealt a blow last time out, against the Portland Blazers, on the road , but they are more than capable of picking themselves up and get back to business here tonight in the high altitudes of the Mile High City where they own a strong home court advantage. Note: DENVER is 18-8 ATS  L/26 off a road loss. Meanwhile, the Pelicans despite of having offensive juggernauts Davis and Cousins on the floor continue to play lazy defense,  are allowing their opposition  to shooting 42 percent from long range over the last five games and New Orleans has allowed 16 3-pointers in three of the past four games. Those are ugly numbers, and here in the thin air of Denver, I;m betting their defensive acumen will be tested once again as will their lagging conditioning and two way transitional play.

Pelicans are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Pelicans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Northwest.Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. NBA Southwest.

With Three days off and the expected  return of guard Gary Harris  Im betting helps propel the Nuggets   against the New Orleans Pelicans and get us to promise land. Lay the points.

Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover 1 unit reg selection

My early season CBB projections and wagering recommendations are based on a very old system that I have formulated . It dates back almost 14 years, and takes into consideration injuries, line moves,  the systems implemented by each program, past historical trends (short long term) , and head to head cross reference players and coaching matchups. Today according to those above mentioned criteria,

New Mexico to cover

The Thunder bring three-game win streak to San Antonio and are showing some signs of life of late, and look like their finally starting to jell, with Carmelo Anthony and Paul George still getting acclimated to playing with former MVP Russell Westbrook . Spurs reserve guard Manu Ginobili said of the Thunder. "When you make such big changes and you put together so many alpha players, it takes a little bit of time." END QUOTE. Tonight against the banged up Spurs, who are without either star forward Kawhi Leonard or point guard Tony Parker, the Spurs are a patch work side, and are vulnerable to being taken down even here on their own home floor. Last time out the Spurs lost  98-86 to the Wolves, and looked a little awkward in the loss, something I'm not used to seeing from Popovich and company. Tonight I'm fading them here at home as it looks at the moment the key losses and injuries are finally catching up with them. 

NBA team vs the money line like the THUNDER - off 3 or more consecutive home wins against opponent off a road loss by 10 points or more are 44-10 for a 82% conversion rate for bettors over the L/5 seasons.

Play on the Oklahoma City Thunder to cover

LATE UPDATE. My early season CBB projections and wagering recommendations are based on a very old system that I have formulated . It dates back almost 14 years, and takes into consideration injuries, line moves,  the systems implemented by each program, past historical trends (short long term) , and head to head cross reference players and coaching matchups. Today according to those above mentioned criteria, Rice is the superior side, and I can see them winning this SU according to my own projections.

 South Dakota State to covert

Miami (6-8) travels to D.C.  to play Friday night's rematch against the Washington Wizards (9-5) . This the second of back to back games vs each other which I'm betting favors the visitors covering. The Wizards were admittedly the better of the teams on Wednesday night when they played, but what I noticed was Washington's ugly  perimeter defense, that  saw the  Heat make 13 3-pointers -- four more than Washington -- and shot 43.3 percent from beyond the arc.  The Wizards weakness is not finding ways to stop Wall or Beal , but instead consistently convert from downtown on  treys. Something I'm betting the heat can do again, and get us the cover. The Wizards despite of their talented offense, are lazy in the rebound department, as was also evident in the Heat's 15-8 advantage on second-chance points. Center Hassan Whiteside, who had 14 points and a game-high 21 rebounds is key here tonight, and now after getting acclimated to what the Wizards bring to the floor I expect Miami to be much better here in the 2nd go around.

WASHINGTON is 5-16 ATS L/21  in home games off a road win .

MIAMI is 10-0 ATS  L/10 in road games after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, which has just happened.

NBA team like Washington - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are just 4-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 88% for bettors.

Play on the Miami Heat to cover 1 unit reg selection

Columbia took on a new coach last season, Jim Engles, and they had a decent season just missing out on the Ivey League play offs finishing 5th. He was an assistant their prior to that, so he pretty well kept the schemes and systems in place, which is a fast paced 3 point downtown type of hoops. He only had one starter back last season but the team still scored an average of 71.9 ppg and were ranked third from beyond the arc. Now that this group is more seasoned and the newcomers more talented, his system I'm betting will generate better results behind a lagging D, that should also be better this season. Meanwhile, Penn State is a big lumbering team now with the addition of a 7 footer in the off season, but their slower to. I'm expecting them to find the speed game here a little tiring on them, and for Columbia to be able to keep the back door open with their ability to down the trey, making Columbia a viable underdog in this spot.

COLUMBIA is a long term  43-24 ATS  as a road underdog of 10 or more points.

Play on Columbia to cover 1 unit reg selection

Florida State beat up on George Washington in their first game of the season winning a 87-67 decision as a 16.5 point favorite. HC Hamilton continues to make Florida State a relevant  program in the ACC , and has been recruiting some top tier talent of late ( prep All Americans). These kids plays a suffocating defense, and despite of a departure of 3 players to NBA, are still a blue blood team with plenty of talent.  This team has still got 6 returning players with DD playing minutes under their belts and 5 extremely talented recruits and still the deepest roster in the ACC. Meanwhile Jeff Neubauers Fordham is will be lucky to have a ,500 seaon in the Atlantic 10, but they have  have come a long way since he took over, but  their still in way over their heads here, and unless they find a way to play way above themselves , are going down by 20 or more points in my betting opinion, making this a viable opportunity to back the superior side.

FORDHAM is 0-7 ATS  L/7 in road games in non-conference games.FLORIDA ST is 13-2 ATS  after a game where they attempted 7 or less free throws .

Play on Florida State to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Celtics own the No. 1 defense  in the NBA  overall and won their 13 straight behind a deliberate pace that ranks them 21st in the league ( 96.6)  . It's been their staunch D, that has got them to this point and I'm betting they will be well prepared to try to slow down the explosive Golden State Warriors in this spot. Meanwhile, Golden State on a 7 game win streak, despite of their reputation for being scoring machines, are also a viable defensive team, ranking 10th in defensive efficiency and are more than capable of keeping the deliberate Celtics from hitting their selective shots consistently. Look for this two heavy weights to collide in  a physical slower paced game than the linesmakers and pundits expect.

Under is 14-3 in Warriors last 17 vs. NBA Atlantic.Under is 13-2-1 in Celtics last 16 vs. NBA Pacific.Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Boston.

NBA team like Boston/Golden State- after 4 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 5 or more consecutive wins are 34-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for under Totals bettors.

Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection

CHARLESTON CLASSIC - Round 1 - TD Bank Arena - Charleston, SC

Dayton's coach Anthony Grant has coached as an assistant at Florida seen NBA time as an assistant  with Oklahoma City and knows  this game like few others. He takes over a Flyers program with a lot of pedigree and a winning culture and  now has the parts to get his team moving in the right direction. There will be growing pains, but in matchups like this his side should have an edge. Meanwhile, Hofstra despite of having a team that can light the scoreboard up in a hurry, have been defensively deficient in the recent past ranking , 8th in their conference and on adjusted defensive efficiency numbers ranked a ugly 317 in the nation via Kenpom numbers! It will be their D, today that will be their downfall.

Play on Dayton to cover 1 unit reg selection

Portland  is coming off its most complete performance of the season in a 99-82 beat down  of Northwest Division rival Denver on Monday and the team finally looks like its ready for a run. Tonight hey face a improved Orlando side,  that according to my cross reference power rankings the Blazers matchup very well against. This is a Portland team that has proven it can score in bunches, and is now working hard on having an equally effective defense. Veteran forward Ed Davis see light at the end of the tunnel..QUOTE: "If you hold a team under 90, you're going to win," he said. "Even though our record is not what we want it to be, I feel like if we're defending every game, it's going to turn around eventually. END QUOTE: I agree with his assessments and very much like their chances to cover tonight. I know Orlando has played decent ball of late, but continued  success from a ATS perspective has been daunting for this franchise in the past,  as is evident by a  2-11 ATS  L/10 run after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread losing SU by more than 17 ppg.

ORLANDO has covered only 5 of their L/22 in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) with the average score clicking in at \Opponent 110.5 Orlando 98.4.

Play on the Portland Blazers to cover

The Charlotte Hornets expect forward Nic Batum to make his season debut Wednesday night when they host the Cleveland Cavaliers which will help them a lot. Tonight against a Cleveland team that used a lot of energy and emotion to erase a late DD deficit to beat the NY Knicks (104-101) on Monday night an emotional letdown scenario is also a major possibility. Coach Lue said previous to that game  that his super star and leader behind the late flurry LeBron James is out of shape.QUOTE: "He has to get in shape," Lue insisted. "He missed the whole training camp, that's the reason why." END QUOTE: He played 38 min in the above mentioned game and looked exhausted at the end, and that hangover could easily rear its ugly head in this spot.

Cavaliers are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. Eastern Conference.Cavaliers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Hornets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.CLEVELAND is 1-9 ATS  as a favorite this season.CHARLOTTE is 11-2 ATS  versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season .CLEVELAND is 13-28 ATS  L/41 when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%).

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 like Cleveland - after a win by 6 points or less against opponent after a loss by 6 points or less are 18-47 ATS L/63 dating back 5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 72% for bettors.

Play on the Charlotte Hornets to cover 1 unit reg selection

After sweeping a five-game home stand and flying to No. 1 on the Central Division charts , the upward trending Detroit Pistons take their winning ways on the road Wednesday night when they go head to head against the Milwaukee Bucks at the Bradley Center. Meanwhile, the Bucks have also played well since Bledsoe arrived from the Suns, and while a lot is being made of his prescience by the media, I can see his effectiveness fading as the Bucks are due for a letdown effort after 3 straight wins. Note: MILWAUKEE is 3-13 ATS  L/16  in home games after having won 3 of their last 4 games .

DETROIT is 21-8 ATS L/29 vs. teams who are called for 2+ more fouls/game than their opponents. Bucks are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Central.Pistons are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Play on the Detroit Pistons to cover 1 unit reg selection

Toronto  recorded a franchise-record 45-point second quarter in its 129-113 road win at Houston on Tuesday. The Raptors are a streaky team, and when their on fire , you better not get in their way. Tonight I'm recommending we ride this run away train, and expect similar fireworks vs a deficient New Orleans D, that is ranked 21st in the league allowing 107 ppg.  with an SRS of -0.46. The Raptors have won 13 of their last 16 against the Pelicans, including five straight and get the nod tonight to get us the cover as road dogs.

NEW ORLEANS is 0-8 ATS L/8 in home games versus good pressure defensive teams - forcing 16 or more  turnovers/game.
TORONTO is 15-3 ATS L/18 after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread .

Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover 1 unit reg selection

Bulls HC Hoiberg was quoted as saying "I am seeing a little lack of confidence right now, but we've got to find a way to fix that," Hoiberg said, according to the Chicago Tribune."When I look at the overall body of work -- going back to the summer and September when everybody was back and (in) training camp -- we were very competitive. We were playing at a very high level getting into our preseason. Guys were rising up with confidence, making shots."When we don't shoot the ball well right now, we're not bringing the energy we need on the other end of the floor. So it's about building that confidence back up."  END QUOTE: Hoiberg has made some changes for tonight that should ignite his slumping team.  Point guard Kris Dunn will get firs t start of the season, and Denzel Valentine may get the start over Paul Zipser at the three spot. The Thunder are expecting to be without starter without center Steve Adams a more integral part of this team than many might think.

Chicago has won their L/2 meeting here in Oklahoma city!

CHICAGO is 29-12 ATS  L/41 versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game.

NBA Road underdogs of 10 or more points like Chicago- revenging a home loss vs opponent against opponent after a cover as a double digit favorite are 35-13 ATS for a 73% conversion rate for bettors over the L/5 seasons.

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover

Nothing comes easy for Atlanta and trying to get their first home win of the season against the visiting Sacramento Kings will also not come easily according to my own projections. Both teams have ugly records with the Kings sporting a 3-10 mark while the Hawks own a ugly 2-12 record. I expect both these teams look at this as a winnable game and both will play hard, which makes getting the points a viable betting option here tonight.

ATLANTA is 2-11 ATS  in home games after a non-conference game .Hawks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Pacific.Hawks are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Play on Sacramento to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Wizards and the Heat prepare to play back to back home and way game against each other over the next few of days. Tonight they will play in Miami.The Heat have looked good in their recent road trip out west where  they beat the Los Angeles Clippers, Phoenix Suns and Utah Jazz. I myself like very much the way this group plays together and  expect an upward trajectory from them going forward as long as they can stay healthy. I base this projection, on Miami's defense which has  improved significantly  of late, as they rank third in the Eastern Conference in points allowed (103.1 per game) which gives them an edge vs a Wizards side that have the No. 1 offense in the East (111.4 points per game). The Wizards Achilles Heel  is their defense, which ranks only 10th in the conference at 105.9 points per game. In the end I'm betting home court advantage, deeper/  stronger bench,  out does a Washington  bench that has struggled this season.

MIAMI is 19-9 ATS  L/28 versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots and 23-10 ATS  L/33 versus good passing teams, averaging 23 assists/game or more. Wizards are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win.Heat are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 2 days rest.Wizards are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like Washington - after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season are just 20-50 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 72% for bettors.

Play on the Miami Heat to cover 1 unit reg selection  

Montana by Bigsky Conference standards should have an above average team this season, as they enter the current campaign  big and strong and mobile with 9 of the 14 players on the roster standing 6'5 or taller. They own a strong backcourt with Ahamd Rorie ( 17.5 ppg) Micheal Oguine ( 11.9 ppg). They have both a low post threat and fast guardsand must not be underestimated as dogs in this spot. Meanwhile, their opponents Penn State are now a big strapping team, with a 7 footer added in the off season, and despite of their Big 10 power conference rating and decent Kenpom numbers, are according to my own data a little over rated against this very viable opponent. 

Take the points with Montana to cover 1 unit reg selection

Gavitt Tipoff Games series

Marquette finally has a roster that has been completely recruited  by Wojciechowski.  However, despite of this , I'm betting that early on this season, they may have issues, especially against a big strong Big 10  team like Purdue, considering Golden Eagles only have two experienced players with any size. Marquette lost 4 experienced scorers from last season,including 3 1000 point career producers. they must replace 45% of their scoring and 42% of their rebounding corps.  After losing some scoring punch from last season, and experience  I cant see them being as good from 3 point land as they were last year, finishing first in the nation or as good on the boards. With that said, HC Matt Painter and company are the superior team, and must also be considered a key front runner  for both the Big 10 championship and national title, behind an experienced group that returns 6 of 7 of their rotation. This is an experienced group that will not be intimidated at all, something I cannot say about Marquette at this point of the season.

PURDUE is 20-7 ATS  L/27 as a favorite.Wojciechowski is 9-18 ATS  L/27  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record

Play on Purdue to cover 1 unit reg selection

These are two teams trending in the opposite direction. San Antonio (8-5) despite of being short handed has found ways to win while, the Mavericks (2-12) find ways to lose mostly because of third quarter lapses, which surround around key players like Nowitzki  Smith,  and Barnes who have had shooting slumps at inopportune times. It's not like the Mavs have been completely futile, as they have stayed close against upper echelon sides this season, and upset Washington last week. Overall they must  not be underestimated as home  underdogs and I'm backing them in this spot.

 Spurs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.

NB Favorites like San Antonio - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or more) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5%  or more), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a horrible rebounding team (-5.5 reb/game or less) are 42-87 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 68% for bettors.

Play on the Dallas Mavs to cover 1 unit reg selection

Matt Mathenys Elon had a very good campaign last season, and are building a nice program. They are returning four double figure scorers from last season, and they ranked 2nd in adjusted defensive efficiency in the CAA , which translated to the best FG defensive efficiency and were disciplined in their avoidance of fouls also finishing first. That top D, should continue thanks  to a experienced returning group.   Now the HC is looking for his offense to step up and focused his off season attention on getting some consistent scoring on board. Instead of a free flowing run and gun offense, he is going to take more intelligent stance, remain speedy, but instead we should see more half court sets, according to what the coaching staff have planed. The Phoenix is a dangerous team, that I'm keeping an eye on and will be a tough out, here tonight as they won't beat themselves, as is evident by their 4th ranked TO % and stingy ability to hold teams down with a lead as their (.732 FT) suggests. Meanwhile, Furman off a rebuilding season last year , came out and was successful after a 7 win campaign the season before. However, this was an emotional team that seemed to dig down deep for wins. I'm not saying that's a bad thing, but their emotional leader from last season, Acox has departed and now the chemistry of the team may as well. They will still be a good team in the SoCon, because of good coach ( Richey) and his own hand picked recruiting class, but tonight he will be in deep vs a strong side. With that said, lets take the points with Elon.

Play on Elon to cover 1 unit reg selection

Tennessee Tech finished with an 8-8 record last season, and looked good at times vs 20 wins teams. Overall their biggest problem was their offensive adjusted ratings, ranking 272 in the nation (Pomeroys #s). They were atrocious with their conversion numbers, but should be much better this season, thanks to the additions, of Tilroy and Calhoun, which will allow Jugovic to roam more freely on offense  this season. Also add to their ability to get to the FT line, and you have a side that have value on a 21 plus point underdog line. Meanwhile, TCU according to my early season rankings remains a program that just does not look as viable as the linesmkaers are making them out to be. Nothing comes easily for the Horned Frogs as was the case in a opening 83-73 win vs LA Monroe.

Play on Tennessee Tech to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Bucks are still getting  acclimated to having newly acquired Eric Bledsoe in the lineup. Coach Jason Kidd moved the veteran into the starting lineup, and saw immediate results, beating San Antonio and the LA Lakers. They will benefit from this top tier scorer against certain teams, but against a physical side like the Grizzlies, I'm betting on a reversal in their fortunes tonight. According to  my own cross reference players/team ratings we have value with the Grizzlies vs this type of team that can both run and gun and be inside/out side shit busters.

Grizzlies are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 vs. NBA Central.Bucks are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Bucks are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 home games.Grizzlies are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

MILWAUKEE is 6-21 ATS  L/28  in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games.MEMPHIS is 19-9 ATS L/28 as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points .

NBA team like the Bucks - after going under the total by more than 18 points in two consecutive games, first half of the season are 27-56 ATS L/5 seasons for a goa against conversion rate of 68% for bettors.

Play on the Memphis Grizzlies to cover 1 unit reg selection

Middle Tenn St is once again getting national recognition and respect and are loaded team that wants another crack at a NCAA birth. Murray St after a very average season last year, wants to start this season off with a bang.The Racers are talented offensively, but their defense remains a question mark, which as their down fall last season, and  I'm betting will not be ready for the offensive explosion that is coming their way.

Midd Tenn State is 154-54 over the last few seasons for a .740 win percentage and now how to get Ws including a win vs Mich state in last years tournament. They are playing a team with a strong home court advantage but will not be intimidated.

 Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MURRAY ST) - good offensive team from last season - scored 77 or more points/game are just 32-67 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 68% conversion rate.

Play on Middle Tenn State to cover  1 unit reg selection

Cleveland has revenge in mind for a loss to the Knicks on their own home court back on Nov 29, by a 114-95 count as 10.5 point favs. Recently James has made some some comments in the media about the Knicks bad choices in the draft , and it looks very much like James has a chip on his shoulder heading into this contest. Needless to say, its never a good thing for opposing sides, when the world best hoops players is in a foul mood. With that said, I expect LeBron and company to come out here like its a play off game ,and give us one of their better performances of the season in this spot on their way to a road cover.

Cavaliers are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 road games and are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Cavaliers have covered 4 of their L/5 in NYC.

Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Cleveland  - revenging a loss vs opponent, with a losing record are a long term winning proposition as is evident by a 112-66 ATS mark dating back 21 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Cleveland Cavaliers to cover

Old Dominion bases their failures and successes on staunch defensive basketball, and last season,  were ranked 48th in adjusted defensive efficiency. This seasons version should once again fit this mold, but the offense should also be improved, which will put them at the head of C_USA this season as long as they remain healthy.

 Meanwhile this James Madison hoops program,  goes into this season with a very inexperienced roster and are not returning a single DD scorer from last season, and today tilt must be looked at as difficult for them to say the least. This team, had issues scoring in the past and those problems will be even more exasperated this season, and especially today .

JAMES MADISON is 1-8 ATS  L/9 in non-conference games

Play on the Old Dominion to cover 1 unit reg selection

Mike Hopkins the new HC  for Washington , is coming to the PAC12 , after serving as an assistant to  Boheim in Syracuse. He was widely sought after and a respected assistant and former Orange player.  This  is a hard working dude, and despite rumblings of a lot of new faces in the lineup after the Huskies  after Romars firing, things pretty well stayed the same as he persuaded returning players to come back and play for him including   6'8 Noah Dickerson, who some  thought would leave for LSU. Hopkins worked on schemes during the summer and player development, and Washington looked good out of the gate coming back against a very good Belmont team for a 86-82 win in their opener. This team looks very together, and I like them to come in here vs a lower tier Eastern Washington hoops group and pile the points on for a convincing win!

Home teams as a favorite or pick like Washington- with four starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season, team from a major division 1-A conference against a team from a weak division 1-A conference are 51-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Washington to cover  1 unit reg selection

Oklahoma City finally notched a win last time out vs the LA Clippers. Prior to that the team did not look cohesive, and lost four straight meetings. Now the lines-makers are making them 12 plus point favorites, vs a Dallas team that despite of a negative W/L SU record have looked much more competitive of late. That was evident when the Mavs picked up their first road win this week of the season against Washington before falling 111-104 to Cleveland on Saturday. With that said, I recommend we take the points. Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day.Thunder are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. Western Conference.Thunder are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
Mavericks are 21-9-1 ATS in the last 31 meetings in Oklahoma City. 

Play on Dallas to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Indiana Pacers are coming off one of the best defensive performances of the season as they try to forge a new image for themselves . The Pacers (6-7) snapped a four-game losing streak by beating Chicago 105-87 Friday night. Tonight against the explosive Rockets I'm betting on more conservative disciplined ball that focuses on slowing down a tired Houston team playing on back to back nights after beating Memphis at home on Saturday evening. It must also be noted that in Thursday nights win vs Cleveland the Rockets looked fatigued towards the end, so pulling out an extra gear last night, than getting on  a plane here , I'm betting finally catches up to them in this spot.

INDIANA is 8-0 ATS  L/8  in home games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games.

Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 Rockets  - after 2 or more consecutive wins, playing on back-to-back days are 36-71 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Indiana Pacers to cover 1 unit reg selection

Talk about a hard working group, Texas State behind HC Kasper, is a team that bases it successes and failures on their ability to outwork opponents and play disciplined defensive basketball. Last season they were picked by the coaches to finish last , but instead grabbed 22 wins. Thisseason after good recruiting class, their going to be a viable group again. Despite of this  I'm sure their still not looked at with the respect they deserve, but what you have to respect is their tenaciousness and work ethic, and I'm betting that what gets them the cover vs Air Force team with 8 new players and a recent lethargic win/loss ratio under one of my least favorite HCs Pipilovich .

Play on Texas State to cover 1 unit reg selection

 The short handed Boston Celtics are in deep trouble  today vs the visiting Toronto Raptors. In the Celtics last game a close win 90-87 vs Charlotte Kyrie Irving took a smash to the  mouth from teammate Aron Baynes, leaving the game with a facial fracture and leaving the Celtics without all three of their new star laden group of Three. I know the Celtics have won 11 straight,, but I'm betting that current run ends today in the TD Center vs  a side that matches up well against them 

The Raptors who were 3-1 overall against the Celtics last season now have an edge. Toronto has covered 7 of the L/8 meetings in this series.

TORONTO is 13-4 ATS  L/17 vs. division opponents and  is 14-2 ATS  L/16 after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread.BOSTON is 1-11 ATS  L/12 in home games after playing 2 consecutive home games  outscored during that period by an average of 3.5 ppg.

NBA Home underdogs like the Celtics  - after a close win by 3 points or less against opponent after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 16-42 ATS L/58 for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home underdogs vs. the money line like the Celtics  - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams ( 102 PPG or more ), after a win by 6 points or less are 11-52 \L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 82% for bettors.

Play on the Raptors to cover

Houston is off a grueling game with the Cleveland Cavaliers on Thursday night . The Cavs started slowly but  meant business in that last tilt,  and came back with a late surge to make it a game. The  Rockets despite of looking fatigued  dug deep and held off James and company for a 117-114 win. Now in a letdown spot and still a little tired, I'm betting on them coming back down to earth here vs a under rated opponent the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizzlies (7-4) already own a pair of victories over Houston this season,  and have proven they can temper the offensive explosiveness of the Rockets. This Grizz team  can not only play a solid and physical brand of  D, but has now implemented a faster more tenacious offensive pace, and are very dangerous to say the least.

HOUSTON is 7-18 ATS  L/25 in home games revenging a same season loss vs opponent.

HOUSTON is 8-18 ATS  L/26  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record and is 18-31 ATS  L/51 as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. Memphis HC Fizdale is 19-8 ATS L/27 as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points.

Play on the Memphis Grizzlies to cover 1 unit reg selection

Loyola Marymount has increased their win total in each of HC Dunlaps last three seasons,  and now its looks like they may be even better this season, after  having added some viable three point shooters which makes them  a dangerous team , especially when considering back door covers on DD lines like this . Yes their is a lack of experience, but the talent in grit is there, and must be respected. Keep an eye on Joe Quintana, and Zafir Williams two California natives who were lights out at their respective high schools. Meanwhile, Ut Arlington has been a fine hoops program the last couple of years, but 3 key guys from last year are gone, and despite of having their dynamic duo of Kevin Hervey and Eric Neal still intact. This team will need some time to jell, and 14 point favs for right now seems like stretching it a little bit , which gives us value with Loyola M to cover.

Play on Loyola Marymount to cover

Washington despite of coming off a win vs the LA Lakers last time out has not inspired me to this point in their campaign,  and especially here as DD favorites. The Wizards recently  allowed 130 and 122 points in losses last week and have blown several double-digit leads this season and their body of work is of the sub par type. But here we are being asked to lay 11 or more points to back them. I know Atlanta has been a less than impressive side this season. However, with that said, they have also shown some life of late in a DD upset win vs Cleveland on the road and have covered three straight ATS and  must not be underestimated in their ability to repeat the feat again vs a side that has allowed  an average of more than 114 ppg at home this season.

ATLANTA is 9-0 ATS  L/9  in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game. Wizards are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win.Wizards are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Wizards are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.

Play on Atlanta to cover  1 unit reg selection

After winning last years College Insider tourney thanks to some physical hard fought slow paced hoops, Saint Peters enters this season, being looked at by the pundits as a team , on the rebuild because of losing three key quality seniors. But their replacements are quality players, and I'm betting for now their not really in  a rebuild mode like some might expect. Actually they may even be better this season, because they have a more athletic versatile cast and crew that can score more efficiently.  Meanwhile, I know their competition LaSalle  had a improved season last year , after going 9-22 the year before, and even though they have a couple of big time players on their roster, like red shirt freshman  BJ Johnson 17.1 ppg ,  I'm not sure that s  enough and their depth is a question mark for now. With that said, I'm betting we have value with the underdog side here.

Take the points with St.Peters   unit reg selection

Fairfield is replacing quite a few bodies from last season, but HC Sydney Johnson leading scorer Tyler Nelson (19.5 ppg) one of the best players in the MAAC is returning, and he thinks this maybe his best team ever.  Also the Stags backcourt is firmly in place and  a force to be reckoned with , as Jerome Segura takes the point. This young man  is quality character players and  is probably the best defensive player in this conference. Needless to say this is a hoops program that deserves respect as dogs in this spot. Meanwhile, their  Ivey League opponents Penn had an average reg seasons campaign last season, and great conference tournament, and are getting a ton of accolades. But this program has not had a complete winning season in 5 years, and their still a young team, that has show upward momentum again this season for me to be swayed. With that said, Ill take the points with the stags here.

Play on Fairfield to cover 1 unit reg selection

Rick Byrds Belmont is a fine basketball program . The Bruins won their 9th league seasonal championship last season, in the last 12 years and 16 overall conference title.Only Kansas and Gonzaga have more  accolades during that time. But were disappointed in the OVC after being eliminated and not making  the NCAA tourney draw.  This year their loaded again and will have an explosive offense that can challenge in any team in the country. Last year they shot 895 3's and this year could even break that mark. I'm betting Washington has their hands full here.

Play on Belmont to cover 1 unit reg selection

UC Irvine has a lot of holes to fill after some key departures, but last year the same was true, and they won 28 games, and won the Big West title and tourney invite. HC Russell Turner I'm betting will have another winning team, based the process of continuity which has become a key factor in the programs ability to be a contender .  There are two key contributors returning that make Irvine, viable opponents for all comers right out of the box, which will focus on Johnathon Galloway the best defensive players in the conference last season and junior center Brandon Smith , who was an easy second in the conference last season for his defensive skills. 

Play on Cal Irvine to cover 1 unit reg selection

San Antonio, despite playing without  key cogs Leonard and Parker because of  injuries, and a slew of walking wounded,  have won three consecutive games after losing four in a row. Meanwhile, Milwaukee enters into this game in the  Alamo City  after a hard fought controversial 124-119 loss at Cleveland on Tuesday that saw the refs penalize the Bucks twice as much as the Cavs. That set off Trevor Kidd the HC of the Bucks , as he went into a tirade about the refereeing which cost him $15000.00  fine. This Bucks team is reeling, with 4 consecutive losses but I'm betting Kidds verbal explosion,  the addition of newly acquired Eric Bledsoe will motivate this team to be very competitive in this spot. QUOTE: "He's a great player, and he's a great guy, too," Bucks star Antetokounmpo said of Bledsoe. "I'm looking forward to meeting him in San Antonio. He's going to help the team, and he's going to make the game easier for everybody."END QUOTE

 Spurs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Central.

MILWAUKEE is 14-4 ATS L/18 off 2 or more consecutive road losses and a long term  37-19 ATS L/56 off 3 or more consecutive road losses

NBA team San Antonio  - after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite, in November games are 12-33ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover 1 unit reg selection

 The Utah Jazz  enter into this game reeling, after losing three straight games. Their usually staunch D, has failed them, as the Jazz have  allowed opponents to score an average of  116.7 points  per game on 51.5 percent shooting during their losing streak. Tonight considering the Jazz defensive woes , I expect the Heat, a side that has shown some offensive explosiveness on occasion this season, as was the case last time out when they scored 115 points vs Golden State  , to now use the momentum of that run and gun effort to try to take advantage of a struggling opponent, which I'm betting leads to a much higher scoring affair than the linesmakers expect. Note: (The Heat have averaged more than 102 ppg on the road this season).  I'm also betting that the Heats 4th straight road game will not have them capable of playing a physical style of game, which will allow the Jazzs struggling offense to finally score above their season home average  of 101.6 ppg.

Over is 5-1 in Heat last 6 vs. NBA Northwest.Over is 9-0 in Jazz last 9 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Over is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings in Utah.

NBA Road teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points like the Heat - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, on Friday nights are 25-4 L/29 OVER during the last 5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection

Two teams dealing with new faces in their roster after off season changes are currently struggling to find any rhythm. The Clippers have lost 3 straight and 5 of their L/6, while the Thunder have lost 4 straight, as the talented Carmelo Anthony brings his winning ways (PUN) over to Oklahoma City from the Knicks. All joking aside and watching the Thunder on numerous occasions this season, I have come to the conclusion the new additions  George and Anthony have caused a regression in the cohesiveness of the team. Whether this is something that will continue in the long run is unclear, but for now this Thunder teams a mess, and tonight against another team desperate for a victory I'm betting we have a situation that favors the underdog getting points.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 19-33 ATS  L/51  versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game.Thunder are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 vs. Western Conference.Thunder are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Underdog is 14-5 ATS in the last 19 meetings.

Play on the LA Clippers to cover 1 unit reg selection

After back to back 20 win seasons LA Monroe could only squeak out 9 wins last season, but they were very competitive and suffered a lot of close losses. This season they should be much better, despite of having to replace star guard Cappola. But the new promise of bigger and better things come up front behind 6'6 Travis Munnings ( 13.2 ppg) and senior swingman Travis McDaniel. Last year they outrebounded most opponents despite of being bigger, which shows this teams never say die mindset, which gives credence to me seeing them cover the number here vs TCU  with a brand new coach ( Jamie Dixon)  and some new faces .

Play on LA Monroe to cover 1 unit reg selection

My early season CBB projections and wagering recommendations are based on a very old system that I have formulated . It dates back almost 14 years, and takes into consideration injuries, line moves,  the systems implemented by each program, past historical trends (short long term) , and head to head cross reference players and coaching matchups. Today according to those above mentioned criteria, Rice is the superior side, and I can see them winning this SU according to my own projections.

Take the points with Rice

Florida Atlantic upset Ohio State last season, and then had the attention of a lot of teams who came prepared to play them. The team suffered a lot of close losses, but still had a decent season. They have some new faces this season, but HC Evans has done a fine job with recruiting, and should have a decent group to work with this season. Also some of the new faces according to Evans make this an even better team. Meanwhile, South Florida has a new coach, Gregory, who has his work cut out for , trying to reverse a program that has just 22 wins in the previous 3 seasons. I won't be surprised if Florida Atlantic pulls off the underdog win vs a side trying to find itself under a new coach.

Play on Florida Atlantic to cover 1 unit reg selection

Wright State is quality side, with HC Scott Nagy on the sidle lines, this guys know s how to win and get the most out of his players. He loses some high scoring guys from last season, but some of the returnees are capable of stepping up, and with a couple of big guards returning with Benzinger (12.8 ppg) and Mitchell ( 11.5) have viable group on board. If they can shore up their D, Wright State will be dangerous especially as dogs.  This is a under rated team, and deserves my respect on this line. Meanwhile, Loyola Chicago is also a strong side, with a deep core as compared to last season, but all the hype about their additions is being over exaggerated via this DD line.

Play on Wright State to cover 1 unit reg selection

Morehead State has a lot of new faces which is not a bad thing considering how bad they were last season. Just four returning players, no seniors and two juniors and a 30 year old coach in Preston Spadlin whos mentor was Kentuckys John Calapari, and you can see those influences in the way he uses his players in multiple roles and positions, which makes his team a versatile group. He spent the offseason focusing on team development and chemistry which now makes this young group formidable as huge dogs, thanks to what I'm betting will be a never say doe attitude. Look for the back court to be a strength behind Hicks and Walker. Meanwhile, Xavier , is showing up this season with a lot of new faces, and some big scorers like Sumner are gone. As usual their a lot of talent here, but it will take time for them to jell, and until than laying this much lumber, vs a hard working side makes for a good bet against situation.

Play on Morehead  St to cover 1 unit reg selection

Dayton's new coach Anthony Grant has an impressive nba and college coaching career, he spent the last two seasons as an assistant with Oklahoma city Thunder and helped Westbrook win a MVP award, he was an assistant with Billy Donovan at Florida, and is a strong recruiter and tactician. Grant inherits a proud program with a A class pedigree, and is under pressure to perform. With that said, you can bet he will have his team ready to make a splash right out of the gate tonight. Meanwhile, Ball State despite of having a lot of Indiana all stars in their lineup, and a deep quality MAC program are I'm betting going to get outworked tonight. against what will be a very motivated opponents.

Play on Dayton to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Oklahoma City Thunder  are still trying to find chemistry and symbiosis  with the group of superstars and  their backups on the  bench . It's a talented group , with a lot of big egos ,  and lately their being trashed by the media ,  and people close to the team who are getting tired of some of their ugly effortless losses as was the case against a Sacramento Kings team they should beat .  That was the Thunders third straight loss and their most humiliating. Big ego stars like this don't take kindly to being embarrassed and I'm betting the Thunder stand tall here in the high altitudes of Denver tonight as redemption will be the name of the game. QUOTE : Westbrook a perennial star with the Thunder said "We will be better because I will be better," Westbrook told reporters after the loss in Sacramento. "I'm not worried. I love nights like this. It does nothing but bring you closer as a unit and as brothers. I'm encouraged by the group of guys we have in that room." END QUOTE:

OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-4 ATS  L/19 after having lost 3 of their last 4 games and is 13-3 ATS    in road games off 2 or more consecutive road losses.

Any team vs the money line like Oklahoma City - off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are 23-6 SU L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the THUNDER - with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season, in November games are 69-31 ATS dating back 21 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Oklahoma City Thunder to cover  1 unit reg selection

No matter how inconsistent the Cavaliers have been to this point in the season, it can't be argued that this is not a talented group, and when LeBron James is on his game and motivated,  this Cavaliers  team can beat any pro hoops team in the world including tonight's top tier competition the Houston Rockets . Dwayne Wade came out previous to their recent win vs Milwaukee and spoke harshly about the effort being exhibited by the starting 5. Now feeling like they could eliminate some of the negative vibes around the team , with a top tier effort here tonight I expect we will see the Cavaliers at their best. I know Houston has won three straight SU/ATS and look to be hitting their stride, but I'm betting Cleveland matches their intensity and breaks up their hosts  momentum.

HOUSTON is 9-22 ATS  L/31  in home games in non-conference games .HOUSTON is 18-30 ATS  L/48 as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points.

  NBA team like Houston - after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite, in November games are 10-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 76% for bettors. HOUSTON is 2-12 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games.

Play on the Cleveland Cavaliers to cover 1 unit reg selection

Golden State and Minnesota are both being looked at as offensive juggernauts and both enter this game on winning streaks. Both are explosive, but what is being over looked is both teams defenses.   The Warriors have  Green, the reigning NBA Defensive Player of the Year, on their side, and his efficiency was on display in a recent   97-80 victory over Miami on Monday that allowed Golden State  to notch the win despite of  failing to score 100 points for the first time this season.QUOTE: "We can play defense with anybody," Warriors backup forward Omri Casspi said after the game. "Everybody should know that." END QUOTE:  Also Minnesota's D, must not be over looked either as they have not allowed any of their L/3 opponents, to breach the 99 point plateau, and must be respected in their ability to marginally slow down the potent attack of the Warriors. With that said, I'm betting on a total score that remains on the low side of the number.

Note: Minnesota owns the 17th ranked pace in the league, which puts them in the lower half of the league in this important category when betting on higher totals.

GOLDEN STATE is 17-4 UNDER  L/21  in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game with a combined average of 198.6 ppg going on the board.

MINNESOTA is 11-2 UNDER  after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games with a combined average of 194.9 ppg going on the scoreboard.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 like Golden State  - after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 23-4 to the UNDER L/24 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for totals under bettors.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 like Golden State  - after 3 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 4 or more consecutive wins with the under going 35-9 dating back 5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for under totals bettors.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection

The Boston Celtics are the hottest team in the NBA  and hitting on all cylinders, and are averaging more than 107 ppg  in their L/5 on offense and go against a Lakers defense that is allowing 107 + per game this season. Today I expect the Celtics who are ranked 13th in the league in offensive rating to eclipse that average, and notch according to my own projections a combined average of 112- 116 points, and for the Lakers who rank 3rd in pace (103.3)  in the league to chase in up beat fashion   and hit in around 98-103  points , which according to the linemakers spread corresponds to the 8.5 point spread.

Over is 11-5 in Lakers last 16 road games.Over is 16-5-1 in Celtics last 22 home games.Over is 22-7-1 in Celtics last 30 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

BOSTON is 12-0 OVER L/12 in home games after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread
with a combined average of 235 ppg going on the board. BOSTON is 25-9 OVER L/34  in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less  free throws/game with a combined average of 217.1 ppg getting scored.

NBA Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 like Boston  - averaging 53 or more rebounds/game on the season, after 3 straight games outrebounding opponent by 5 or more are 40-11 OVER dating back dating back 5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection

Tonight I'm betting the  Los Angeles Clippers will  turn around a recent nose dive when they face the San Antonio Spurs for the first time this season on Tuesday night at the AT&T Center.The Clippers have lost 4 of their L/5 after starting their season at 4-0 and   looked asleep at the  proverbial wheel  last time out in a  104-101 home loss to Miami on Sunday. The Clippers had a chance to win late, but missed two ugly FTs towards the end and a go ahead basket after that. Now  dealing with their frustrations, I expect this Clippers group to be ready to get back on the winning track, and more importantly get us the cover against a aging and short handed Spurs side, that has had some struggles early on this season despite of a current 2 game win streak which includes a victory vs a lower tier Suns team in their last effort.

The Clippers matchup well vs San Antonio and  won three of the four meetings with the Spurs last season, and they have taken six of their last nine against San Antonio.

NBA teams vs the money line like the Clippers - off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are 23-5 SU for a 82% conversion rate over the L/5 seasons. Despite of this being a valid opportunity for a outright upset I prefer and recommend we take the insurance with taking the points being offered.

Play on the LA Clippers to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Cavaliers looked like a team destined for greater things when this season began, winning their first two games including a  116-97 victory vs todays opponent the Bucks  in Milwaukee . Since than James and company have made excuses for their cohesiveness and lazy play, with James saying on a couple of occasions that the team looked winded and tired , which he said was the case in a outright DD fav loss to lowly Atlanta last time out.  Right now the Cavs just don't have that winning fire, and chemistry seems a bit off ,   because of the use of multiple lineups, as the worlds greatest hoops player single handily James trys to carry  this underperforming team on his aging back. Tonight I'm betting after their last embarrassing loss that I expect a complete team effort here from the Cavs  vs a Bucks team that according to my own cross reference power rankings they matchup up well against. QUOTE: "I think guys are embarrassed, and we should be embarrassed of how we're getting beat," Cleveland coach Tyronn Lue said after his team trailed by as many as 16 points against Atlanta. "Teams that we're playing, having guys out, key guys out and (us) still not being able to win. We all have to continue to keep searching and continue to keep fighting and continue to play hard." END QUOTE Pros don't like to be called out, and I expect they will respond.

I know the Bucks are well rested but they have come out looking rusty in the past after a lengthy lay off and are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 3 or more days rest.

James is third in the NBA in scoring at 28.8 points per game, and he is shooting a career-high 60.8 percent from the field.

Bucks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Central.Bucks are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Milwaukee- after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are just 4-22 ATS dating back 5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 85% for bettors.

Play on Cleveland Cavaliers to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Mavericks 1-10 on the season are on a horrendous run to begin their campaign, and once again look to be at a disadvantage from a SU perspective , but according to my own numbers are viable underdogs getting 10 points here . Last season, Dallas swept the two-game series from their hosts tonight  Washington  and overall the franchise has won 13 of the teams' past 14 meetings  in this series and I'm betting the desperate Mavs will give the Wizards all they can handle again in this spot. Meanwhile, the Wizards biggest issue to this point in the season, is a lazy defense , and with key cog John Wall at less than 100%, if he plays at all ,those issues will  be compounded and once again make them shaky DD favs. Also with almost three days rest, the Mavericks will have fresh enough legs to make the Wizards work for anything they take from them tonight.

Wizards are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games.Wizards are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.Mavericks are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Washington.

NBA Home favorites like Washington - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or better), average rebounding team ( plus 3 reb / differential game) against a horrible rebounding team (5.5 reb/game or less) are 14-49 ATS the L/21 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Dallas Mavericks to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Suns won the first matchup in this series in New York last Tuesday, recovering from an eight-point deficit with under seven minutes remaining for their first road victory of the season. I do not really think they were the better of both teams in that game and were fortunate to get the victory.

Now the Nets will try to even this series, and get some momentum back after losing four in a row.

Considering how exhausted the Suns are after a whirlwind 5 game road trip that culminated in a loss at San Antonio yesterday, I'm betting they won't be quite ready to answer the bell here tonight. Asked if road fatigue might have had something to do with his teams tired looking effort in the 2nd half last night,  Suns HC Triano said. QUOTE: : "Probably, a little bit. But that's one of the things we have to learn to do. This league doesn't care that it is a long road trip. No excuses. You have to be able to play every night." END QUOTE. Ready or not here come a desperate Nets team that looks at this as a winnable game and on very fresh legs as they have not played since Friday.

BROOKLYN is 27-12 ATS  L/39 in road games when playing 4 or less games in 10 days. Brooklyn has won their L/2 visits to Phoenix.

NBA Home underdogs vs. the money line like the Suns - after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more against opponent after 2 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 1-28 L/29 dating back 5 seasons. ( The Suns have lost two straight by 13 and 17 points which qualifies them as a play against team in this spot on a short line)

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 like Brooklyn - after 3 or more consecutive losses, first half of the season are 115-70 for a 62% long term conversion rate for bettors dating back 21 seasons.

Play on Brooklyn to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Cavaliers on the back of LeBron James snapped a 4 game losing streak last time out. The superstar notched 57 points in the 130-122 victory against  the small ball Wizards. But now in an emotional letdown state I expect there will a drop off  for James and for  the continued inconsistencies and flow of his team mates to once again rear its ugly head. It's still early, but there looks to be chemistry issues with the Cavaliers. Now because of the Cavaliers explosion last time out and the fact they are facing a team in the midst of a 8 game losing streak, the linesmakers have attached a slightly bloated line to this tilt, giving us value with the downtrodden desperate and nothing to lose underdog.

Note:( This is the biggest underdog line of the season attached  to the Hawks, they only once have lost by more than 11 points and that was to Houston last time out by a 119-104 count. )

The Cavs also have a way of playing down to their competition, and are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Cavaliers are also 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Atlanta is a different looking team with new faces, but last year they took three of the four meetings last season, including both games at Cleveland. With that said,   I'm betting the Hawks coaching staff have a good blue print on how to deal with the Cavaliers, and that they stay a lot closer than the lines-makers are estimating.

CLEVELAND is 0-7 ATS L/7 as a favorite this season.

NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points like Atlanta - a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against a a struggling  defensive team ( 102 or more PPG), after a loss by 10 points or more are29-7 ATS for a 80% conversion rate for bettors for a 81% conversion rate.

Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover 1 unit reg selection

The question here today in this matchup of two teams supposedly operating a the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum is whether the line attached to this game matches up to some in-depth scrutiny. The guys behind the counter in Vegas and the off shore sports book industry can be quite brilliant and use a combination of scientific stats research and physiological war fare to determine the placing of certain lines, and its not always public or smart money that dictates a line move or opening number. Contrary to main stream belief there is a lot more to this game than just wanting an even amount of bets on both sides of the wager, like some pundits spout off about. With that in mind I consider Dallas to be a solid wagering option here getting points despite of what things look like on paper and in the standings. Minnesota despite of being upgraded in the off season and currently playing above .500 ball early on this season, are being over rated in my opinion because of their deficient defense ( 113.1 ppg and 114.3 ppg allowed at home) ranking them 28th out of 30 teams in the NBA. The Wolves also own a negative SRS of -1.66 ranking 21st in the league: ie Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule.The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. Meanwhile, Dallas despite of a ugly 1-9 record are according to my own numbers closer to -9.5 dogs, here and the added digits according to my own projections based on the Mavs equally ugly -8.60 SRS (27th) and better overall D ranked 20 in the league are indicators for me of a value line. Hey guys , nothing is a sure bet , but every edge we can get against the books is important, and todays underdog recommendation backing Dallas is a viable investment option considering the implications associated with our ability to uncover small imperfections in a line for continued consistent profits over the long run!

MINNESOTA is 3-13 ATS L/16 versus poor shooting teams - making 43% or less of their shots .MINNESOTA is 8-19 ATS L/27 in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins .Mavericks are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Timberwolves are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.


NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points like Dallas - after one or more consecutive overs, a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against a lower tier defensive team 102 or more PPG) are 27-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Dallas Mavericks to cover 1 unit reg selection

Dallas will want to slow down vs the run and gun Wolves, and try to slow this game down into a crawl. Dallas is averaging 97.8 points, which makes it the third-worst scoring offense. The Mavericks also own a 41.5 field goal percentage, which is the second-worst in the league , so they will have no choice but to drag this into a physical conservative affair, even against a the Wolves sub par D.  I'm betting the combined score according to my projections will fall below this number.

Under is 4-0 in Timberwolves last 4 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Minnesota.

MINNESOTA is 21-9 UNDER  L/30 in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts with a combined average of 208.4 ppg. DALLAS is 36-18 UNDER  versus terrible defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48%or more. with a combined average of 198 ppg going on the scoreboard. DALLAS is 11-2 UNDER L/13 when the total is 210 to 219.5 .

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 Dallas - tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days, terrible team, winning 25% or less of their games on the season are 34-9 L/43 under for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection

The Celtics are showing their depth and talent level after starting the season 0-2 without their newly acquired star Hayward. Since Hayward was lost for the season do to injury this team has rallied to win six straight entering the matchup with their hosts the  Thunder.   Boston is tied with the Orlando Magic for the best record in the NBA with a 6-2 record and must not be disrespected here as underdogs. Tonight I'm betting it will be the Celtics highly rated defense , that has held opponents to an average of 93.8 points per game to be the catalyst behind a cover against what has sometimes been an explosive yet inconsistent Thunder offense. Yes, I know the Thunder are also suddenly playing some strong D this season, but I'm still not sold on their stopping abilities against this kind of side, and I'm betting if they can come out of this with a victory it won't come easily. After three straight grueling road games, the Thunder now come home, and a lot of times teams take time to acclimated to being at home and can start slowly, which I feel will be one of their issues tonight.

BOSTON is 30-16 ATS  L/46 in road games versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season  with the average margin win or loss SU being decided by 1.8 ppg. BOSTON is 33-18 ATS  L/51  in road games and  is 13-4 ATS L/17 in a road game where the total is 200 to 209.5.

Celtics are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and have covered 7 straight road games dating back to last season.Celtics are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Thunder are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

NBA Home teams like the Thunder - off 2 or more consecutive road wins, on Friday nights are just 11-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 75% for bettors.Thunder are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Friday games. (Anomaly or nor still a useful trend)

Play on the Boston Celtics to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Jazz struggled with their offense out of the gate as they got acclimated to some new faces , and I  was concerned with their cohesiveness, but now I'm beginning to see progress, behind Ricky Rubio this season. He is a career 37.8 percent shooter, but he is shooting at a 43.7 percent clip through the first eight games of the 2016-17 season and fits in very well with this group in Utah. The Jazz (5-3) have won three straight and are averaging 104 points during that run with  Rubio  averaging 25.3 points on 48.9 percent shooting during the winning streak. I'm expecting more of that same flow tonight, as well as staunch Jazz defense to stand tall vs a Toronto side that according to my early season power rankings is  being over rated, especially on the defensive side of the ball where they showed their true abilities last time out allowing Denver to put 129 points on the board.. Another thing I noticed about the Raptors is that the presence of big man Jonas Valanciunas. seems to slow this built for speed team down , which is something I'm keeping in eye on for future bets on the Raptors. Tonight Utah has the edge as short home chalk.

UTAH is a long term good bet as hosts as their  171-127 ATS record as a home favorite of 6 points or less would indicate.

Raptors are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Jazz are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.Jazz are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.

Play on Utah to cover 1 unit reg selection

The offensive explosive Portland  Trail Blazers who  are averaging 107.6 points per game while presenting a consistent threat from the perimeter are a team that must be feared when getting points because of their abilities to keep games close and or just completely blow out their opponents. Yes, their has been some inconsistencies with their scoring, as was the case vs the raptors last time out only scoring 85 points,  but I am expecting at some point this season, that they will ramp things up and go on a big run, maybe even starting tonight against Utah. Meanwhile, their opponents biggest problem is getting their offense in gear, which just won't be an easy feat with the type of personnel they have on the floor as they rely on their D, to keep them moving in a positive direction.  As stated The Jazz D, is staunch but the offense has scored 97 or less points in 5 of their 7 games and against this type of team, their in trouble according to my cross reference matchup stats.

UTAH is 1-9 ATS  L/10 in home games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread .PORTLAND is 14-2 ATS  L/16 after a combined score of 185 points or less ( The Blazers lost to Toronto by a 99-85 count )UTAH is 7-18 ATS  L/25 when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) .

NBA team vs the money line like Portland  - off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a home favorite, marginal losing team from last season who won 40-49% of their games are 27-8 SU for a 77% conversion rate L/21 seasons.

Play on the Portland Trail Blazers to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Raptors  are looking good and coming off an impressive 99-85 win in Portland on Monday night and once again look like viable betting  options in this spot vs a Denver team coming home off a grueling 4 game eastern road trip, and  now on tired  legs will now take time to acclimated to being back home. That's not a good omen for their chances against a staunch Raptors D, that is playing very physical disciplined  ball at the moment.

 Toronto is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games and get the nod here.

NBA Favorites like Denver  - an excellent offensive team (102 PPG or more) against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG), after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games are just 47 -93 ATS over the L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover 1 unit reg selection

DeMarcus Cousins after being named the player of the week , came out in his last game asleep at the proverbial wheel something that is not uncommon for the highly sensitive and inconsistent super star. But I'm betting he will be up for this game tonight, which makes the Pelicans a good bet here.

New Orleans coach Alvin Gentry was understandably upset by his team's lack of effort against Orlando in a DD loss as 8 point favs at home UOTE: .
"We sucked," he said. "I wish there was another way to put it. We didn't close out shooters, they drove the ball any time they wanted to. It was lack of effort. We have to establish consistency. We're not going to be a good team until every night we know what we're going to get." END QUOTE:


New Orleans went 3-0 against Minnesota last year, and I'm betting this version matches up well against a Wolves team that has just played some very grueling close games, winning 2 in a row by 3 points vs Ok City, and Miami, and could easily be in a let down state here tonight.

MINNESOTA is 11-24 ATS L/35 when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) .

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like New Orleans - after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after a close win by 3 points or less is 46-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on New Orleans to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Oklahoma City Thunder top star Westbrook looks like he is coming to life and taking over the lead of his team, as was evident last time out  as he had 12 points, 13 rebounds and 13 assists for his third triple-double of the season in a 101-69 smash down of the Bulls on Saturday in Chicago. Yes, there is other top tier talent on the Thunder, but its become obvious early on this season, that this team is at its optimal best when he  leads the way. QUOTE: "That's special. He's a special player," said Paul George, Westbrook's new teammate. "He's solidifying himself early as a Hall of Famer." END QUOTE . I'm betting well rested Westbrook shows his best stuff again tonight, against a short handed Milwaukee group playing without Center Greg Monroe.

MILWAUKEE is 3-12 ATS  L/15  in home games after having won 3 of their last 4 games  and 6-20 ATS  26  in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games.Thunder are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Central.Thunder are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 2 days rest.Bucks are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. NBA Northwest.Bucks are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Favorite is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

NBA  Favorites like Oklahoma City - after allowing 75 points or less against opponent after a combined score of 205 points or more are 27-7 ATS for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Oklahoma City Thunder to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Nets after looking good in the early going of their current campaign, have suddenly began a quick decent, and  showed little energy in a blowout road loss Friday to the New York Knicks and then got absolutely creamed in the third quarter Sunday by the Denver Nuggets on their way to a loss. Some of the blame goes, to D'Angelo Russell  who  has been hampered with a nagging knee injury, and he did not play well in the last two games. Things don't look to get better here, as Russell is still not 100% and now the Nets have to deal with the loss,  of Quincy Acy, who leads the team at 52.4 percent from 3-point range as he nurses a injury for the second straight tilt.  Also  add to that two way specialist DeMarre Carroll is also questionable for the Nets  and you have a short handed group that will once again have problems finding their mojo. I know their opponents Phoenix may not instill confidence in bettors, but  the Suns are looking much better since new HC Jay Triano took over and have won 2 of their L/3 and more importantly have covered all three times.

Nets are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 vs. Western Conference.Nets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a double-digit loss at home.Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.Suns are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. NBA Atlantic.

Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover 1 unit reg selection

Pelicans, enter this home game having won three of their past four, and will now go against a under rated Orlando Magic team that has own 4 of their 6 games this season . The Pelicans and Magic according to my own power rankings matchup very well against each other. I know the Pelicans looked really good last time out in a upset DD win vs the Cleveland Cavs , but now in an emotional let downs state I'm betting their susceptible here to being upset themselves. Note: NEW ORLEANS is 2-13 ATS  L/15 off an upset win by 15 points or more as a home underdog.

Pelicans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Pelicans are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Underdog is 19-6-1 ATS in the last 26 meetings. Orlando has won 3 of the L/4 meeting sin this series straight up.

Play on the Orlando Magic to cover

The Celtics enter this game  having won four in a row winning by a  96-90 count vs Miami last time out. The Boston D, has looked good but the offense has been choppy, and I'm betting they struggle tonight against a Spurs side that can play physical defensive hoops. Note:  BOSTON is 3-16 ATS  L/19 after 4 or more consecutive wins.

Meanwhile, the Spurs,  are off two straight losses including a 97-94 loss to the Indiana Pacers last time out. Both teams might seem like their headed in the opposite direction, but the Spurs despite of injuries to K.Leonard and T. Parker are still a veteran laden team with a lot of talent and must not disrespected, especially with one of the best coaches in the NBA on the sidelines ( Popovich).

San Antonio has won 11 straight meetings since its last loss to the Celtics in 2011, with six of those  victories having come at TD Garden.

BOSTON is 22-42 ATS L/64 in home games against Southwest division opponents.

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Spurs - good team from last season who won 60% to 75% of their games, after 1 or more consecutive losses are 41-14 ATS L/24 seasons for a 75% conversion rate.

Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover 1 unit reg selection

NY Knicks behind Guard Tim Hardaway Jr.  who had 34 points, and Kristaps Porzingis who finished  with 31 points and 12 rebounds looked explosive in a win vs the Cleveland Cavaliers last time out. This is in my opinion a better team than they were last year with Carmelo Anthony in the lineup. There are less distractions and the pundits don't expect much from them. Which is sometimes a good thing. Tonight  in top form against a Denver Nuggets team I'm betting they matchup well  getting points here on their own home floor.

DENVER is 9-22 ATS L/31 off a road win.
Home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

Play on the NY Knicks to cover 1 unit reg selection

Orlando has shown the ability to play decent defense of late, allowing two of their L/3 opponents to 93 and 87 points respectively. Meanwhile, Charlotte has been playing a lot of physical basketball early in the season, and in between, struggling with their shooting and playing strong D, have seen their first 5 games of the season stay on the low side of the set Total. I'm betting both teams current trend of play continuing in this matchup.

CHARLOTTE is 20-5 UNDER L/25 in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots with a combined average 199.6 ppg. CHARLOTTE is 17-3 UNDER L/20 in home games vs. division opponents with a combined average of 194.3 ppg. HC Clifford of the Hornets is 28-10 L/38 UNDER in home games vs. division opponents with a combined average of 191.9 ppg going on the board. Orlando's HC Vogel in his L/28 games after an upset win as a home underdog has seen a combined average of 197.8 ppg go on the scoreboard. ( Magic upset Spurs last time out 114-87 as 5.5 point dogs)

Under is 5-0 in Hornets last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 16-6 in Hornets last 22 vs. NBA Southeast.


NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 like Orlando- well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, team that had a losing record last season are 31-6 UNDER dating back 24 seasons for 84% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

Play UNDER

After watching the Nets first few games its become painfully obvious that their defensive abilities are atrocious , as is their rebounding work ethic, as was the case last time out vs the NY Knicks losing by a 107- 86 count while being out rebounded by a 55-34 edge on the glass, including 19-4 on the offensive side . Thus far on the season , the Nets have allowed an average of 117.3 ppg, and I'm betting  their in big trouble today, thanks to horrid lack of two way basketball.

HC Malone of Denver in his L/12 games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game  has seen the average margin of victory for his team come by 7.5 ppg. In game expected to be high scoring  game, a 5 point margin of victory is not out of the question, even for a road team laying lumber.

BROOKLYN in their L/19 against Northwest division opponents  have lost by an average of 9.6 ppg.
NBA Road favorites like Denver - with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season, on Sunday games are 30-4 ATS L/5 seasons.

Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Hawks in their L/5 games have looked stagnant  offensively scoring 93 or less points with a combined average of just 94.8 ppg getting scored. Tonight against a Bucks side that has wants to play more attention to sound defense Im betting on another muted offensive effort. Milwaukee has held their L/2 opponents to 94 and 96 points respectively. My own projections have  the Hawks having a similar type out put today. Note: ATLANTA is 15-4 UNDER  L/19 when they score 94 to 99 points with a combined average of 199.5 ppg going on the board. MILWAUKEE is 22-7 UNDER  L/29  when they allow 94 to 99 points in a game with a combined average of 195.3 ppg getting scored.

ATLANTA is 16-1 UNDER  L/17 vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game with a combined average of 197.8 ppg going on the board.ATLANTA is 18-4 UNDER  L/22 after 3 or more consecutive unders with a combined average of 199.4 ppg going on the board.

Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection

After watching the Nets first few games its become painfully obvious that their defensive abilities are atrocious , as is their rebounding work ethic, as was the case last time out vs the NY Knicks losing by a 107- 86 count while being out rebounded by a 55-34 edge on the glass, including 19-4 on the offensive side . Thus far on the season , the Nets have allowed an average of 117.3 ppg, and I'm betting  their in big trouble today, thanks to horrid lack of two way basketball.

HC Malone of Denver in his L/12 games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game  has seen the average margin of victory for his team come by 7.5 ppg. In game expected to be high scoring  game, a 5 point margin of victory is not out of the question, even for a road team laying lumber.

BROOKLYN in their L/19 against Northwest division opponents  have lost by an average of 9.6 ppg.

NBA Road favorites like Denver - with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season, on Sunday games are 30-4 ATS L/5 seasons.

Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover 1 unit reg selection

Both these  teams Philadelphia and Dallas have just one win on the season entering Saturday night's game at the American Airlines Center. The Sixers are off blowing a late lead to Houston and losing by a 105-104 count on  a buzzer beater. It's never easy for a young group like this to shake off the effects of that type of defeat, and could easily effect their confidence in this game. Add to that the 76ers are expected to play without the services of one their most talented young stars, No. 1 overall pick Markelle Fultz, and things are not looking all that bright. Also , add to that the fact Philly's  Coach Brown who continues to have talented guys like Jahlil Okafor on the bench for long stretches, because the  kid can't get his head on straight . Instead he is playing the less talented backup Amir Johnson.  Quote:I'm playing Amir ahead of him and that's just the situation," Brown said, according to the Inquirer. "(Okafor) comes in and his head is good, his spirit is good and he and I talk all the time. But that is the bottom line: He is not in the rotation." END QUOTE:  . This kind of drama , makes for a bad energy in the Sixers dressing room which translates into sub par on court performances. I don't want to get down on this very good Sixers side, because its early in the season, but things could unravel here quickly. As far as tonight is concerned, I like a hard working Dallas team , behind Harrison Barnes and rookie-of-the-year candidate Dennis Smith Jr., and the veteran presence  of Dirk Nowitzki and other veterans to get us to the promised land and deliver to us a winning ticket.

76ers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss.Mavericks are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.PHILADELPHIA is 8-19 ATS  L/27 vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents . Dallas has won 11 straight meetings here at home in this series.

NBA Favorites like Philadelphia  - bad team from last season who won only 25% to 40% of their games. are 16-47 ATS for 75% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Dallas Mavericks to cover 1 unit reg selection

The LA Lakers enter into this game well rested as they prepare to play only their 2nd game in 6 days and I'm betting that will allow them to keep up and slow down a run and gun Toronto squad defensively. Meanwhile, HC Casey of the Raptors seems to have a bit of different strategy on the road as he does at home,. The Raptors HC is just not as aggressive with his attacking options and with this being his teams 3rd straight west coast away game in 4 days, his less than deep bench may not be as fast paced as they usually are because of fatigue, which will I'm betting take a bite out their overall offensive point production in this spot. Note:Under is 21-7 in Raptors last 28 road games . It must also  be noted that Casey is 34-14 UNDER L/48 versus good pressure defensive teams - forcing 16 or more turnovers/game like the Lakers, with a total combined average score of those tilts ringing in at 193 ppg game. 

TORONTO is 12-2 UNDER  L/14  in road games vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game with a combined average of 191.5 ppg going on the board . Under is 4-0 in Raptors last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Under is 5-1 in Lakers last 6 home games.  These teams have gone under in 4 of their L/5 overall meetings. Under is 6-1 in Lakers last 7 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 like the Lakers - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, team that had a losing record last season are 29-6 to the UNDER dating back 21 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER  1 unit reg selection

Minnesota is a fine young team that matchs up well vs the Oklahoma City Thunder as was the case when they beat the Thunder right in their own back yard by a 115-113 count. I know the Thunder are loaded full of talent, but I've been watching them closely and their just isn't something right with this team and their overall chemistry as was evident in recent loss to Utah and during extended stretches during their first 4 games . Despite of being 2-2 on the season, the Thunder have me starting to doubt their cohesiveness. My main concern is about Carmelo Anthony , who has shown over the years to be brilliantly talented, but for some reason his happy go lucky schoolyard attitude on the court which lacks the eye of the Tigers mindset,   has only translated into a bevy of sub par winning out puts for his previous team the Knicks.  Has he brought this losing mindset to the Thunder, and is it effecting the highly sensitive Russell Westbrook? Maybe Maybe not  It's still early so , I''ll give the Thunder the benefit of the doubt. However, as far as going against the them tonight, I think this fast improving talented Minnesota group, with or without ( probable?) Jimmy Butler in the lineup on their own home court are more than capable of covering for us here.

Thunder are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.Thunder are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference.Underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.Thunder are 4-9 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Minnesota.

NBA Road favorites vs. the money line like Oklahoma City- poor defensive team from last season - shooting pct defense of  45.5% or more are 17-33 SU L/5 seasons for a  go against 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Minnesota Wolves to cover 1 unit reg selection

The top producing offense and the worst offensive output teams in the NBA go head to head on Friday night  at Madison Square Garden when the suddenly explosive retooled  Brooklyn Nets visit the rebuilding New York Knicks. The Nets are  coming off a 112-107 win over LeBron James and the Cleveland Cavaliers, and are in top form with momentum on their sides but still being made underdogs here on the early line. Brooklyn is leading  the NBA in offensive production at 121.2 points per game, and are even outscoring the  Golden State Warriors. Meanwhile, the  NYK is exhibiting very little chemistry thus far in the early going of this season  as their 0-3 start would indicate , New York has 84- and 89-point outputs in offense in two of their 3 games , and rank 30th in points per game at 93.3. Needless to say from a current power ranking and matchup perspective  this line is tainted and must be taken advantage of. ( I have also taken into consideration DAngelo Russell being out tonight because of injury.)While anything is possible in NBA , and turnarounds and crashes constantly happen, it still makes sense that the superior side ( Nets) are worth a investment outlay as 2 to 2.5 point dogs here, and are actually viable SU money-line bets as well. However, as far as we are concerned getting points with insurance here is the more viable option. I know the Nets D, seem unstable  at the moment, but the Knicks don't look built to take advantage of those deficiencies as is evident  by receiving  just  25 points per game from the starting three-man backcourt of point guard Ramon Sessions and shooting guards Tim Hardaway Jr. and Courtney Lee . 

NBA team vs the money line like NYK- off a blowout loss by 20 points or more to a division rival against opponent after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points are 5-20 SU L/5 seasons for a go  against conversion rate of 80% for bettors.

NEW YORK is 6-20 ATS  L/26 and 0-9 ATS L/9 in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5  and is 4-13 ATS  L/17  overall vs. division opponents.Knicks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss dating back to last season.

Favorites like the Knicks - lower tier team from last season who won only 25% to 40% of their games are just 15-47 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Brooklyn Nets to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Pelicans have lost three of their first four, as the highly talented DeMarcus Cousins spreads his nasty attitude into the mindset of yet another team he has joined. This kid has such great skill sets,  that's it really shame that  his attitude and locker room presence does not make for a winning attitude. Tonight Cousins and the visiting Pelicans will face a team he once played for. None of Cousins' six  seasons in Sacramento saw his team win more than 33 games, and his 36-point, 13-rebound night for New Orleans in a 103-93 loss at Portland on Tuesday looked  like the games he has played in the NBA. The self centered super star just isn't a winner and I have no problem recommending we wager against his team the New Orleans Pelicans tonight. I know that the Kings lost last time out to lowly Phoenix by 117-115 count, but they have a good history of bouncing back under these circumstances as SACRAMENTO is 8-0 ATS L/8 off a loss against a division rival .

HC Gentry of New Orleans is 6-17 ATS  L/23 versus poor offensive teams - scoring  98 or less  points/game .

From a long term NBA historical standpoint -Home teams vs. the money line like the Kings - an average offensive team (92-98 PPG) against a lower  defensive team (102 PPG or more), after a combined score of 215 points or more are 129-58 SU for a 69% conversion rate dating back 21 seasons.

Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Memphis Grizzlies suffered their first loss of the  season last night to Dallas.  Now in a early season back to back... home and home series they will go at FedEx Forum on Thursday night to try to reap revenge, but I'm betting that won't come without a fight .

The Mavs were in control from the start and never surrendered the lead in the second half of lat night triumph and actually matchup well vs the Grizzlies despite of what the pundits might think It must also be noted , that Mavericks rookie point guard Dennis Smith Jr.  has been in top form for the Mavs and last night finished with a team-high 19 points. Smith has led or tied for team-high scoring honors in two of his three games and is very underrated and must respected. He gives this retooling Mavs side a lot more balance than the causal on lookers might believe, making them viable opponents for all comers despite of some lackluster early season results.

MEMPHIS is 6-17 ATS  L/23 after a division game .DALLAS is 31-15 ATS L/46 after having lost 3 of their last 4 games .

Mavericks are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Memphis.Grizzlies are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Mavericks are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Play on the Dallas Mavericks to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Hawks are in the midst of a season-opening, five-game trip, which concludes with Thursday's visit to Chicago and are exhausted as this juncture and could easily fold as this game goes deeper into the 2nd half. I know Chicago is banged up and still winless , but they're playing at home, and are desperate. Tonight I'm betting they take advantage of a road weary group and notch their first win of the season and get us the cover as well.

Injury update: Hawks Dennis Schroder is doubtful Thursday vs. Chicago ( Ankle )

Hawks are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Hawks are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Underdogs like the Hawks - average team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games, after 2 or more consecutive losses are 7-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 78% for bettors.

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Sixers,  host the Houston Rockets on Wednesday night and are off, beating the Detroit Pistons 97-86 on Monday. This is a fine young Sixer's team, but still are not ready for a wide awake veteran laden Houston team that won't be caught napping here as they come off a loss last time out vs  Memphis, after falling a sleep at the proverbial wheel with less than 8 minutes left , blowing a DD lead. There have been some shot conversion issues for the Rockets early on this season despite of their 3-1 record, but I'm betting that will be quickly resolved , probably starting tonight vs a side, that I think is over rated defensively and their biggest weakness. I know the Rocket's are playing with out Chris Paul tonight, but they still are the overall superior team with a lot more experience in a game that the linesmakers are expecting to be close.

HOUSTON is 17-6 ATS  L/23 teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game.HOUSTON is 14-4 ATS  L/18 on the road when the line is +3 to -3 .

NBA Favorites like Hosuton - off a upset loss as a favorite, first 6 games of the season, playoff team from last season who lost 4 or more of their last 5 games are 60-31 ATS dating back to 1996 for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Houston Rockets to cover

The Timberwolves enter their Tuesday game against the Indiana Pacers with a 2-1 record, thanks in  to a buzzer-beater by Andrew Wiggins on Sunday in a 115-113 victory at Oklahoma City. Now the lines-makers are taking part in what I can best describe as irrational exuberance as they make the Wolves 12 point favorites. Hey this young Minnesota team is talented, but this line is higher than I expected and gives us value according to my own rankings taking points here. I know the Pacers have dropped two straight, but are still more than capable of hanging tough here.Minnesota and Indiana split their two-game series during the 2016-17 season. Both teams won on in the visitors role, with the Timberwolves barely sneaking by with a  115-114 victory on three late free throws in the final seconds. Rinse and repeat scenario in play  , and take the points.

MINNESOTA is 12-23 ATS  L/35 when playing against a team with a losing record.INDIANA is 11-1 ATS  L/11  in road games when playing with 2 days rest .MINNESOTA is 2-12 ATS  L/14 in home games after scoring 115 points or more.

NBA Favorites like Minn- bad team from last season who won only 25% to 40% of their games are 15-44 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 75% for bettors.

Play on Indiana to cover 1 unit reg selection

It's still very early in the season, but the Nets off season changes look very much like they have added some positive energy/flow/chemistry into the lineup, something that was not there over the last few campaigns. This season Brooklyn looks like they matchup well against tonight's opponent Orlando as they beat them in the first meeting,  putting a  126-point points on the board against the Magic and than followed that up with a  116-104 home win over the Atlanta Hawks on Sunday.Brooklyn held Atlanta to 34 percent shooting from the field, its best since Kenny Atkinson became the head coach last season. That to me is a be positive sign moving forward. Meanwhile, Orlando despite of a big upset win vs Cleveland last time out, still don't inspire me, and I'm betting they have an emotional letdown experience here tonight and fail to cover vs a side that actually matches up very well against them. Magic HC Vogel is 10-23 ATS  L/33 after a game where they covered the spread.

ORLANDO is 8-18 ATS  L/26 versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game .

NBA Favorites like Orlando - bad team from last season who won only 25% to 40% of their games are 15-44 ATS as favs dating back 5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 75% for bettors.

Play on the Brooklyn Nets to cover 1 unit reg selection