Basketball Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
08-17-20 | Jazz v. Nuggets UNDER 216 | 125-135 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
These teams have had 3 meetings this season with scores of 98-95 and 106-100, and than a Double OT game in the bubble that resulted in a flash card total of 134-132. Four the fourth meeting Im betting on another lower scoring affair, with no OT which will get us to the promised land of cashing an under ticket. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (DENVER) - playing with 2 days rest, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 67-34 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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08-15-20 | Grizzlies v. Blazers UNDER 233 | 122-126 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 41 m | Show | |
-Western Conference - Play-In Game - Game 1 - Orlando, FL Im betting Memphis will not play into the run and gun strength of the Blazers and instead play a more physical brand of basketball that gives them a chance to compete. This will result in a combined score that fails to eclipse this total. MEMPHIS is 12-1 UNDER (+10.9 Units) in road games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 season with a combined average of 203.9 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 21-9 UNDER versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 222 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MEMPHIS/PORTLAND) - in a playoff game, in the 1rst game of a playoff series are 24-2 UNDER with a combined average of 208.5 ppg over the last 5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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08-13-20 | Bucks v. Grizzlies +1 | 106-119 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
Memphis has just one game left to earn a spot in the Western Conference play-in series this weekend. They have to leave it all on the floor here today, and look capable of doing so against a Bucks side that will be without super star and reigning league MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo was ejected from their game against the Washington Wizards on Tuesday night after he head-butted Moritz Wagner in the second quarter. NBA teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (MILWAUKEE) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games are 11-36 L/24 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Memphis to cover |
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08-12-20 | Clippers -4 v. Nuggets | 124-111 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
The Nuggets’ defense since the restart has centered around the team’s ineffectiveness defending the 3-point line, which is not a good omen for Denver in this matchup. The Clippers rank second in the league in 3-point percentage, having converted on 43.1 percent of their attempts from down town. On the other end of the court, Denver’s defense ranks last defending treys, as their opposition connects at 45.5 percent clip. Ugly numbers, that tell the story of why I like Clippers today. The Clippers are 11-0 ATS /SU with rest coming off a loss as a favorite. Play on LA Clippers to win |
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08-12-20 | Heat -1.5 v. Thunder | 115-116 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
The Oklahoma City Thunder need their midrange game shots to fall consistently and considering the Heat are a top team in the bubble at limiting opponents’ accuracy from midrange you have a situation where in a matchup of two slow paced teams that the Thunder have an edge. Add to that the Heat have the motivation of clinching the No.4 seed entering the play offs and you have an edge with Miami. NBA team vs the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 38-89 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Miami Heat to cover |
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08-12-20 | Pacers +7.5 v. Rockets | 108-104 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
Houston coach Mike D'Antoni made it clear Tuesday that the priority is winning next week, not this week and that was evident last time out in a loss to to San Antonio last time out by a 123-105 lopsided count. With Westbrook not expected to play for the Rockets, I can see the hard working Pacers having an edge from a value point perspective on the line. INDIANA is 11-3 ATS in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season.HOUSTON is 11-20 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or ,less turnovers/game this season. Play on Indiana to cover |
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08-11-20 | Nets v. Magic OVER 223.5 | 108-96 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 1 m | Show | |
Nets run the 10th fastest pace in the NBA while Orlando plays much slower. With the Nets short handed speed and small ball will be the name of the game which Im betting helps this game turn into a fast transitional affair that eclipses the total. After two straight losses Im expecting to a see an aggressive Magic side that will be primed to put points on the board. ORLANDO is 19-4 OVER after a combined score of 225 points or more this season with a combined average of 230 ppg going on the board. ORLANDO is 11-3 OVER when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season with a combined average of 233.3 ppg going on the board. ORLANDO is 8-1 OVER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season with a combined average of 228,7 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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08-10-20 | Nuggets v. Lakers -5 | 121-124 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 59 m | Show | |
The Arena at ESPN Wide World of Sports - Lake Buena Vista, FL The Lakers are trying to rediscover championship-quality basketball after four months off, and to this point alot of disappointment has manifested itself. However, Im betting now that tough times have arrived via 3 straight losses that this talented group will pull together, and get a complete team effort and win here today vs the Denver Nuggets. DENVER is 3-12 ATS in road games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. NBA Underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the ML (DENVER) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 8-50 SU L/24 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate with the average margin loss coming by -9.8 ppg. NBA Underdogs (DENVER) - after going over the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 9-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Lakers to cover |
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08-10-20 | Raptors v. Bucks -5.5 | 114-106 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
Im betting the Bucks will jam the paint and make the Raptors beat them from the perimeter. The last time the two teams met, Toronto attempted a season-high 52 3s, connecting on 18 of them (34.6%) and have attempted 88 in two games against the Bucks this year. . The Raptors attempt 36.9 3s per game After five quarters of very inconsistent shooting, Toronto shot 14-for-30 (46.7%) in the final three quarters of its win on over Memphis and Im betting that their lack of consistent conversion rates from downtown and the field will be their undoing here today vs the Bucks. MILWAUKEE is 23-9 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.MILWAUKEE is 17-8 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. TORONTO is 1-9 ATS vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 5+ per game over the last 2 seasons. NBA favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 9+ points/game, after scoring 105 points or more 3 straight games are 114-64 ATS L/24 seasons for a 64% conversion rate. Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover |
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08-10-20 | Thunder +5.5 v. Suns | 101-128 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
After watching the Robinhooder's and a few pros slam down their wagers on the streaking Suns the line has moved in a direction that is just a bit inflated. I know Phoenix has played great ball, and that the Thunder are short handed to a degree, but Im confident that the Thunder matchup well here getting points. Note: The Suns have not won 6 games in a row since 2014, and getting a victory here will not come as easily as some anticipate. OKLAHOMA CITY is 13-4 ATS in road games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game this season. OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons. NBA teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (PHOENIX) - after beating the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games are just 8-22 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Oklahoma City Thunder to cover |
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08-09-20 | Grizzlies v. Raptors -6.5 | 99-108 | Win | 100 | 5 h 4 m | Show | |
The Toronto Raptors will be primed to bounce back after losing to the Boston Celtics last time out. The Celtics actually matched up well against the Raptors from downtown, , but that wont be a problem here vs a Memphis side that shoot 3s in the bottom-five, Memphis looked good in a win last time out vs Oklahoma City, but the Raptors inside superuiority that includes the the third-best rim defense in the league this season will be a difference maker here and Im betting provide us with a cover.TORONTO is 19-9 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season.TORONTO is 21-10 ATS in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. Toronto is 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 in this series. |
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08-08-20 | Jazz v. Nuggets -1.5 | 132-134 | Win | 100 | 6 h 44 m | Show | |
The Arena at ESPN Wide World of Sports - Lake Buena Vista, FL |
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08-07-20 | Celtics v. Raptors -2 | 122-100 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
The defending NBA champions are on a 4-0 SU/ATS run and are playing top tier basketball and must be respected on a short line as favorites. I have not been impressed with the Celtics in the restart or overall this season and feel confident fading them in this spot play. |
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08-07-20 | Thunder v. Grizzlies +5 | 92-121 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
Desperate Grizzlies after 4 straight losses are desperate for a win and will play hard here giving me confidence in taking points in this spot vs Oklahoma City. Memphis are 9-1 ATS/SU in revenging a loss against an opponent with less than two days rest. Play on Memphis to cover |
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08-06-20 | Clippers -4 v. Mavs | 126-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
The Clippers have matched up well vs the Mavericks’ this season, as was evident by 114-99 victory as 1.5 point road favorites on Nov. 26 and then again as 2.5 point road underdogs 110-107 win on Jan. 21 and now Im betting they have an edge here in this neutral court environment on a line I have chalked up as closer to -5 whihc gives us value according to my power ranking projections. |
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08-06-20 | Pacers -3 v. Suns | 99-114 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
The Suns have played great ball out of the break, especially in transition m but Im betting that comes to end here vs a very under rated Pacers group that can clean the glass with the best in the league and also has a significant edge behind a offense that has produced the 10th-most points per 100 halfcourt plays as compared to a Suns’ side that ranks 27th in halfcourt defense. The Suns are 0-9 ATS /SU with less than two days rest after a game as a road dog in which they had an assist percentage at least 10 worse than their season-to-date average. Play on Indiana to cover |
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08-05-20 | Raptors -6 v. Magic | 109-99 | Win | 100 | 14 h 49 m | Show | |
Alot of piss was taken out of Orlando yesterday as they were easily owned by Indiana y in a DD loss. Now a little downtrodden and far from fresh the Magic go against a defending champion Toronto Raptors side that has already beaten them 3 times this season, and well equipped to turn the trick here again today and get us the cover in the process. ORLANDO is 0-9 ATS when playing with triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent this season. |
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08-04-20 | Magic v. Pacers +1.5 | 109-120 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
Indiana (41-26) opened play in the Orlando area on Saturday with a 127-121 win over Philadelphia before routing the Washington Wizards two days later in a 111-100 matinee. Orlando is also undefeated but also offers up a less formidable matchup according to my power rankings. Note: The Pacers have on the two most recent meetings in this seires. ORLANDO is 1-19 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent this season. |
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08-04-20 | Suns v. Clippers OVER 230 | 117-115 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
Both teams rank in the top-10 in pace averaging more than 105 possessions per game with the Clippers ranking 8th and suns 9th. Here in aneutral court environment Im betting they run and gun with wrecklaess abandon here today in a game that eclipses this total. Play over |
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08-03-20 | Spurs v. 76ers -7 | 130-132 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
The 76ers are built to control the glass and rank the second- in rebounding the league while the Spurs rank 20th. The 76ers have a huge advantage which Im betting will see Embiid to own the paint and offensive rebounding numbers as he wont have to deal with LaMarcus Aldridge blocking prowess. NBA team (PHILADELPHIA) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in five consecutive games, in non-conference games are 74-36 L/24 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. |
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08-03-20 | Grizzlies v. Pelicans -4.5 | 99-109 | Win | 100 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
The Grizzlies lost both games against the Pelicans before the hiatus -- falling 126-116 in Memphis and 139-111 in New Orleans -- just 11 days apart in January. This is a rince and repeat situation. NBA Underdogs (MEMPHIS) - after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread, in a game involving two marginal losing teams (40 to 49%) are 10-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate. |
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08-02-20 | Bucks -4.5 v. Rockets | 116-120 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
This years version Bucks are pace demons leading the lead and are extremely dangerous in transition taking long rebounds off missed 3s and converting them into quick points . Considering they rank first in Bucks lead the NBA in defensive rebounding Im betting they gobble up and make the rockets pay for their any flow problems they may have from downtown and quickly turn this game in their favor. MILWAUKEE is 17-6 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. note:The Rockets are 0-13 ATS /SU L/13 as a dog off a win in a road game facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls per game. NBA Underdogs (HOUSTON) - after going over the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 7-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover |
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08-02-20 | Kings v. Magic OVER 226.5 | 116-132 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
Orlando, did a run and gun job on the Nets last time out byt no one played more than 26 minutes and they will be ready to run and gun again vs a Sacramento side, that lost 129-120, despite 39 points from De'Aaron Fox. Today Im betting Fox continues his hot hand, and for the Magics array of young shooters to once again rain down some terror in what Im betting will be a back and forth affair.
The Magic are 13-0 L/13 OVER after they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers with the average combined score clicking in at 236 ppg.The Magic are 13-0 L/13 OVER facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s with a combined average of 239.3 ppg scored. NBATeams like the Kings are 18-1 OVER L/19 on the road with less than two days rest off a loss as a favorite facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with a combined average of 237.1 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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08-02-20 | Blazers v. Celtics -4 | 124-128 | Push | 0 | 6 h 44 m | Show | |
The Portland Trail Blazers are off a hard fought comeback victory against the Memphis Grizzlies and may find themselves in a letdown spot after that victory. Boston Im betting takes advatnage of the Blazers lack of depth on the wing and shows us their ability to compete. Also Im expecting a huge comeback from , Tatum who shot just 2-of-18 from the floor, including 0-for-4 on 3-pointers in the Celtics opener vs the Bucks. BOSTON is 9-1 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses this season. The Celtics are 26-1 ATS /27-0 SU L/27 as a favorite with rest off a game as a dog after being outscored in the paint by double digits. NBA Teams like the Blazers are 0-11 ATS/SU L/11 as a dog with rest off a win as a favorite after an overtime win in which they trailed by double digits. PORTLAND is 5-15 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. BOSTON is 7-0 ATS in road games when playing 5 or less games in 14 days this season. Play on Boston to cover |
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08-01-20 | 76ers v. Pacers UNDER 217 | 121-127 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
With key Pacers offensive cog not in the lineup here tonight vs Philadelphia, Indiana's offence Im betting will have flow problems. When Sabonis was healthy and playing earlier this season his team averaged 112 points per 100 possession and after he was injured the numbers fell to around 107 ppg points per 100 which is a huge drop in productivity . Im betting this has a direct effect on what is a bloated tota considering the 76ers own the 4th best ppg average in the league behind a 19th ranked pace. On the flip side the Pacers own the 5th best ppg D, and rank 24th in pace, behind the 24th ranked offence. DEFENCE, DEFENCE and more DEFENCE here today. |
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08-01-20 | Heat +1.5 v. Nuggets | 125-105 | Win | 100 | 6 h 59 m | Show | |
When these teams played back in November the Nuggets spanked the Heat in the Mile High City, by a 109-89 count. Now with revenge on board I expect the Heat to be wide awake here and ready for revenge. The Nuggets are 0-12-2 ATS L/14 /1-13/SU on the road with rest when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road. DENVER is 20-33 ATS in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game over the last 2 seasons. MIAMI is 36-21 ATS ) in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons. Play on Miami to cover |
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07-31-20 | Rockets v. Mavs OVER 229 | 153-149 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
Dallas offense ranks first in efficiency at 115.8 points per 100 possessions (one spot ahead ahead of the second-ranked Rockets)DALLAS is 11-2 OVER on Friday nights this season with a combined average of 232.2 ppg scored. Both meetings this season were very high scoring affairs with a 128-121 result and a 137-123 score. Rinse and repeat on todays agenda. Play OVER |
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07-31-20 | Kings v. Spurs +3.5 | 120-129 | Win | 100 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
I really like the Spurs young players and feel they are being under valued . We will see alot of this top tier young talent , and Im betting they give a Kings gropup that is going to have front-court problems a go of it here today. Note: Sacramento will be without Marvin Bagley and Alex Len . The Kings smashed the Spurs before the seasons was abruptly ended and now revenge is on board.SAN ANTONIO is 11-1 ATS revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons.SAN ANTONIO is 8-0 ATS revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons. NBA team vs the money line (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite, off a win against a division rival are 54-12 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Any team (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, in a game involving two marginal losing teams (40 to 49%) are 47-20 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on San Antonio to cover |
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07-31-20 | Celtics v. Bucks OVER 218.5 | 112-119 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
These two teams have combined for at least 221 points in both head to head meetings this season, which includes 251 points in their last time they faced each other on the court. With a talented full compliment of players on the court for both teams Im expecting some offensive fireworks . |
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07-31-20 | Magic v. Nets +7 | 128-118 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
The NJ Nets are decimated and missing key players, but wins are so important in this restart that I expect the players on the floor to step up and they will not easily disposed of making getting points golden . The Nets are 17-0 ATS L/17 on the road with more than two days of rest off a road game. BROOKLYN is 19-7 ATS in road games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. NBA team vs the money line (BROOKLYN) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road wins are 26-12 SU for a 69% conversion rate. Play on Brooklyn to cover |
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07-30-20 | Jazz v. Pelicans OVER 223.5 | 106-104 | Loss | -111 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
HP Field House - Orlando, FL New Orleans is explosive offensively and run and gun at a very high speed. Look at data from their last 15 games before the covid abruptly end the NBA season, the Pelicans had registered the second-fastest pace in the NBA (106.13). What makes them offensive converting machines is evident by a fourth-highest percentage of their points in transition (16.9%) during the above time perimeters. Whether Zion plays or not today Im betting they go full throttle, and drag a capable Jazz into a fast paced affair that will eclipse this total. UTAH is 11-3 OVER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season with a combined average of 227.5 ppg scored. The Jazz won the season's first two meetings -- 128-120 at home and 128-126 on the road. The Pelicans won the most recent matchup, 138-132 in New Orleans on Jan. 16. NBA Teams like the Pelicans are 17-0 OVER L/17 on the road/neutral after they had 20+ turnovers during the playoffs with a combined average of 227.7 ppg scored. The Pelicans are 23-4-1 OVER L/28 as a favorite with rest off a win facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throw with a combined average 233.4 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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03-11-20 | Nuggets v. Mavs -1 | 97-113 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
The Mavs played last night in San Antonio and suffered a loss to their instate rivals. Now they come home and despite of playing on back to back nights have what Im betting is an edge, against what has become a inconsistent Denver side. that has alternated wins and losses since late Feb . Last time out the Nuggets beat a short handed Bucks side, without their key star Antetokounmpo out of the lineup and now I expect some emotional regression here after being sky high for that tilt ,which makes them vulnerable to a down effort. Note: The Nuggets have lost 3 of their L/4 road tilts. Dallas duo of Doncic and Dorian Finney-Smith are both officially available to play on Tuesday. The Mavericks are 15-1-1 ATS/16-1 SU L/17 as a favorite with less than two days rest off a road game after a game that was tied 5+ times. The Mavericks are 11-0 ATS /SU L/11 when the line is within 3 of pick off a loss in a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 62 ppg from 2-point range. The Nuggets are 0-16 ATS/2-14 SU on the road with rest off a 10+ win as a favorite facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range.The Nuggets are 2-21 ATS/3-20 SU on the road with rest off a 10+ win.The Nuggets are 1-17 ATS /2-16 SU on the road with rest off a 10+ win as a home favoriteThe Nuggets are 0-12 ATS /1-11 SU on the road with rest off a 10+ win in a home game facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5. Play on Dallas to cover |
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03-11-20 | Knicks v. Hawks -4.5 | 136-131 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 60 m | Show | |
Atlanta has been playing well at home of late . The Hawks have won nine of their past 12 at State Farm Arena, and deserve the respect they are getting on the line here tonight. Meanwhile, the Knicks are off a loss last night that saw them blow a DD lead and finally succumb to the Wizards. The Knicks looked winded last night, and that Im betting carries over into tonight in the second part of their back to back games as they will play on tired legs vs a side that promises to run and gun against them. The Knicks are 0-12 ATS /SU off a loss as a road dog after a loss in which they led by 15+ with the average ppg diff clicking in at -13 ppg. The Knicks are 0-11 ATS /SU L/11 with less than two days rest off a loss in a road game in which they had 6+ double digit scorers. The Hawks are 11-1 ATS /12-0 SU as a favorite with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite in which they had overtime( They beat Charlotte in OT on Monday night) with the average ppg diff clicking in at 12.5 ppg.The Hawks are 14-3-2 ATS /17-2 SU as a favorite with rest off a home game facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game with the average ppg diff clicking in at 6 ppg. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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03-11-20 | Georgia v. Ole Miss -3 | 81-63 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
Georgia won just one road game this season vs Vanderbilt, and just dont look like viable options here vs Ole Miss. The Dawgs have a nasty defence, that ranks last in adjusted defensive efficiency ratings and have allowed SEC opposition to convert at a 55.2% rate from 2 point range, where the Ole Miss offense thrives. When these teams met back in late January the Rebs came out with a 70-60 road win. This Im betting is a rinse and repeat situation. Play on Ole Miss to cover |
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03-11-20 | Iowa State v. Oklahoma State -6.5 | 71-72 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
Big 12 Conference Tournament - First Round - Kansas City, MO Oklahoma State is playing its best hoops of the season having won 3 straight and 6 of their L/8 and have a great deal of momentum and confidence on this sides as they face an inconsistent Iowa State hoops program. The Cyclones have not won on the road since November, and Iowa ranks dead last in conference action in adjusted defensive efficiency and effective field goal percentage opposition conversion rate , and also 2P% and 3P% opponent conversion rates. Also with Cylcones key starter Rasir Bolton dealing with a concussion his time on the court if any should be limited, giving the Boyz a big edge here. IOWA ST is 7-14 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season.IOWA ST is 2-8 ATS in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season. OKLAHOMA ST is 28-13 ATS when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%) since 1997. Play on Oklahoma City Thunder to cover |
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03-11-20 | Georgia Southern v. Georgia State -5 | 81-62 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
Sunbelt Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals Georgia State enters play holding opponents to just 28.7 percent shooting from 3-point range which ranks No. 7 in the country and first in the Sun Belt Conference. Georgia State is also holding opponents to just 40.1 percent shooting from the floor which ranks No. 42 in the NCAA. This will be the key to cover against Georgia Southern tonight.This will mark the third time in the last five years Georgia State and Georgia Southern meet in the conference tournament. The Panthers have won both previous match-ups in 2015 and 2018. The Panthers are averaging 78.6 points per game, among the top 5 best averages in program history and currently ranked No. 20 in the NCAA. Play on Georgia State to cover |
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03-11-20 | Northwestern +8.5 v. Minnesota | 57-74 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
Big Ten Conference Tournament - First Round - Indianapolis, IN The Northwestern Wildcats will be looking to ride the momentum created by their win against then 20th ranked Penn St. in their regular season finale on Saturday. I know they may not inspire bettors, because of some pitiful metrics, but this line is still to big for a neutral court tourney game, and has value attached to taking the underdog. Note: Dating back 15 seasons, underdogs of 6.5 to 19.5 points have gone 125-91-4 for a 58% ATS conversion rate in the first round of conference tournaments. NORTHWESTERN is 15-5 ATS in a neutral court game where the total is 130 to 139.5 since 1997. Northwestern to cover |
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03-11-20 | Utah v. Oregon State -3.5 | 69-71 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 39 m | Show | |
Pac 12 Conference Tournament - First Round - Las Vegas, NV Oregon State’s shown an ability to beat up on sub par teams like Utah this season. Today Im betting on more of the same behind star senior Tres Tinkle,who has registered three 23+ point performances in his last four trips to the hardwood.UTAH is 0-7 ATS in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 turnovers/game or less after 15+ games this season. UTAH is 1-9 ATS in road games against conference opponents this season and is 0-8 ATS in road games after playing a game as an underdog this season.OREGON ST is 11-1 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons. Play on Oregon State to cover |
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03-10-20 | Alcorn State v. Jackson State -6.5 | 52-69 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
In the meetings in this series this season, Jackson State won by scores of 86-57 at home and 76-65 on the road and matchup very well against Alcorn State. JACKSON ST is 20-8 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. ALCORN ST is 0-8 ATS in road games after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons. CBB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ALCORN ST) - revenging 2 straight losses vs opponent of 10 points or more against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road wins are 12-40 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Jackson State to cover |
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03-10-20 | St. Mary's v. Gonzaga -9 | 66-84 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
West Coast Conference Tournament - Championship Game - Las Vegas, NV St.Marys played a brutally physical game against BYU last time out, and pulled of the 51-50 upset. Now a bit banged up, Im betting they have problems with a explosive Gonzaga team that they have owned recently as is evident by a 90-60 at home on Feb. 8 and and a 86-76 victory at Saint Mary's on Feb. 29. ST MARYS-CA is 19-34 ATS in road games vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game since 1997.Bennett is 4-12 ATS in a neutral court game where the total is 140 to 144.5 as the coach of ST MARYS-CA. Play on Gonzaga to cover |
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03-10-20 | Mavs v. Spurs +3.5 | 109-119 | Win | 100 | 13 h 4 m | Show | |
Dallas has won all 3 meetings in this series with San Antonio this season and now the desperate Spurs get a chance for some redemption as well as solidifying their opportunities for a late season run into the play offs . Also Dallas star guard Doncic has been added to the injury report and is listed questionable in advance of Tuesday's game with a sprained right wrist which is a new injury. The Spurs are 10-1 ATS L/10 as hosts during the regular season with triple revenge exact behind HC Popovich when not favored by 4 or more points, including 10-0 ATS against above .500 opposition. Overall the Spurs are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games as a home underdog. The Spurs are 19-1 ATS /20-0 SU at home with less than two days rest off a loss as a favorite after rebounding less than 20% of their own misses. The Mavericks are 1-14 ATS /SU with rest off a loss as a favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 62 ppg from 2-point range with the one win in this subset coming by just 1 points. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a home loss vs opponent against opponent off an upset loss as a home favorite are 35-13 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on San Antonio to cover |
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03-10-20 | Magic v. Grizzlies -2.5 | 120-115 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
Orlando has been playing some very good basketball of late, but there are always uptrending periods as well as down trending runs for all teams in the NBA , and sometimes regency bias can throw some of us off. However, looking at both teams the I see the Grizzlies as being the more consistent team overall. It must also be noted that MEMPHIS is 10-1 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season. The Grizzlies also have revenge on board for a loss earlier this season to the Grizzlies. Note: The Magic are 0-9 ATS/SU L/9 as a road dog with less than two days rest off a win in a road game when they won 2 straight vs current opponent. . The Magic are 0-13 ATS/SU L/13 as a dog when their last four games are LLWW. The Grizzlies are 17-1-2 ATS/19-1 SU as a home favorite off a 10+ win facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5. Play on the Memphis Grizzlies to cover |
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03-10-20 | Knicks v. Wizards -4.5 | 115-122 | Win | 100 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
Washingtons Bradley Beal's 30.4 points per game ranks second in the league behind Houston's James Harden (34.3). Im betting on him being the catalyst for a Wizards cover vs the tanking NY Knicks.The Wizards are 20-4 in the past 24 meetings with the Knicks, who snatched a 107-100 win in Washington on Dec. 28 when Beal sat out with soreness in his right leg. Wizards with Beals in revenge on board are my choice. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (WASHINGTON) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, in March games are 50-20 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. |
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03-10-20 | Northeastern +1.5 v. Hofstra | 61-70 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 12 m | Show | |
Colonial Conference Tournament - Championship Game - Washington, DC Northeastern has had a sub par season, despite of being picked to be the No.1 team in the conference this season after a delivering a conference championship last season. They disappointed with a 17-15 record overall, but must not be underestimated here against No.1 seed Hofstra. Coen is 30-16 ATS in road games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season as the coach of NORTHEASTERN. Northeastern to cover |
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03-10-20 | Illinois-Chicago +4.5 v. Northern Kentucky | 62-71 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 41 m | Show | |
Illinois Chicago owned Wright State (74-43) in the Horizon League tournament semifinals, with a start to finish covering as underdogs . It was the Flames tenacious rebounding that was the difference maker. Considering their size advantage pounding Northern Kentucky on the glass will not be a surprise, as will getting us the cover. IL-CHICAGO is 15-6 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season. Illinois Chicago to cover |
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03-09-20 | St. Mary's +4.5 v. BYU | 51-50 | Win | 100 | 26 h 12 m | Show | |
West Coast Conference Tournament - Semifinals - Las Vegas, NV Both these teams own 24-7 records on the season. St.Marys last 3 losses have come twice to Gonzaga, and once to BYU by a 81-79 count, and according to my power rankings matchup well vs the Cougars of BYU. Both games between these teams came down to the wire in this series this season, with Gaels winning the first meeting 87-84 in OT. This game looks to a repeat of the first two games, making getting points a viable wagering opportunity. BYU is 11-27 ATS in conference tournament games since 1997. Play on St.Mary;s to cover |
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03-09-20 | Hornets v. Hawks UNDER 225 | 138-143 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
Atlanta's Hunter and DeAndre Bembry (abdominal) are questionable prior to Monday's game and if they play I doubt they are playing at 100%. This will effect the flow of the Hawks. Meanwhile, Charlotte behind the 30th ranked ppg output and 30th ranked pace will in their usual fashion look to grind their opponents down via a very deliberate approach. Here against a run and gun style side like Atlanta a even more conservative approach will be in effect which will directly effect this total to the under. The Hornets are 4-29-1 to the UNDER L/34 on the road with rest when seeking same season revenge for a loss at home with a combined average of 202.4 ppg scored.The Hornets are 0-9 UNDER L/9 as a road dog with rest off a game as a dog facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s with a combined average of 195.5 ppg going on the board. The Hawks are 0-14-1 UNDER L/15 as a favorite with rest off a road game when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss at home with the average combined score clicking in at 188.6 ppg scored.The Hawks are 0-11-1 UNDER L/12 as a favorite with less than two days rest off a game as a dog in which they scored a least 18 fast break points with a combined average of 197.5 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (CHARLOTTE) - tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days, in a game involving two bad teams (25% to 40%). are 49-16 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-09-20 | UL - Lafayette v. Georgia Southern -8 | 81-82 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
Sunbelt Conference Tournament - Second Round The Eagles took both meetings in the regular-season series against Louisiana, with Ike Smith and Quan Jackson combining for 48 points in the most recent contest on Feb. 8 at the Cajundome. Georgia Southern won the first meeting in Statesboro on Jan. 11, 71-51, as a short-handed Louisiana squad posted season-lows in both points and field goal percentage (28.6 percent). Even here fully healthy the Cajuns are a distinct disadvantage. GA SOUTHERN is 7-0 ATS versus poor shooting teams - making 42% or less of their shots this season. GA SOUTHERN is 13-4 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. LA-LAFAYETTE is 3-11 ATS in road games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. LA-LAFAYETTE is 3-11 ATS in road games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (GA SOUTHERN) - a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against a poor defensive team (74-78 PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 75 points or more 3 straight games are 38-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Georgia Southern to cover |
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03-09-20 | Illinois-Chicago +6.5 v. Wright State | 73-56 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
It will be the third meeting of the season between the Flames (17-16) and Raiders (25-6). UIC was the first team to hand WSU a loss in Horizon League play when it took down the Raiders at Credit Union 1 Arena on Jan. 12, 76-72 and are one of the few teams in the conference that can hang with Raiders, thanks to a tough defensive rebounding group. IL-CHICAGO is 14-6 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season. CBB Neutral court teams as an underdog (IL-CHICAGO) - revenging a loss where team scored less than 60 points, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 136-79 L/23 seasons for a 63% conversion rate. Play on Illinois Chicago Illinois |
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03-09-20 | Wofford +6.5 v. East Tennessee State | 58-72 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
Southern Conference Tournament - Championship Game - Asheville, NC My own projections make this game closer to -4 , which gives us value with a Wofford side that must be respected. WOFFORD is 7-0 ATS in conference tournament games over the last 3 seasons. WOFFORD is 8-1 ATS when playing on a neutral court over the last 3 seasons. CBB Neutral court teams as an underdog (WOFFORD) - revenging 2 straight losses where team scored < 60 points, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 45-14 ATS L/23 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Wofford to cover |
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03-08-20 | Raptors -5.5 v. Kings | 118-113 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
The Toronto Raptors are expected to have both Fred VanVleet and Marc Gasol back in the lineup Sunday night when they visit a tired Sacramento Kings side that will be playing playing on back to back nights. The precense of the two above mentioned key cogs in the Raptors lineup gives them them an extended edge they already would have had even if they did not play , making laying points with the defending champions an easy decision. As far as the line goes, Im making this closer to my -7, but with the Kings upset last night at Portland , a little recency bias has tainted the number. Note: SACRAMENTO is 0-10 ATS in home games off an upset win as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 13.9 ppg. The Kings are 0-18 ATS /SU L/18 as a home dog off a win as a road dog facing an opponent averaging more than 5 blocks per game with the average ppg diff clicking in at -16 ppg. The Kings are 0-12 ATS /SU L/12 as a home dog after they scored 10 or more points in the first than the fourth quarter with a combined average of -13.8 ppg. Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TORONTO) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 37-9 ATS L/23 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover |
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03-08-20 | Ohio State v. Michigan State -6.5 | 69-80 | Win | 100 | 6 h 59 m | Show | |
Michigan State Im betting will come out here ready to play for a share of the Big Ten title on Sunday by getting a win, and a conclusive one at that.Michigan State was tabbed the preseason No. 1 nationally but fell in the rankings because of some inconsistent performances, but make not mistake this is a top tier team that must be respected with Tournament time now here.MICHIGAN ST is 11-2 ATS in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons with an average DD margin ppg diff .MICHIGAN ST is 11-1 ATS after scoring 75 points or more 4 straight games over the last 2 seasons. Mich State is 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 at home in this series. Play on Michigan State to cover |
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03-08-20 | Lakers v. Clippers UNDER 227 | 112-103 | Win | 100 | 4 h 20 m | Show | |
As we come closer to play off time teams that expect to be the post season start to pay alot more attention to defence. Thus when I look at this game between what are arguably the best two teams in the west Im expecting we have an edge with an under wager. Im betting a slower paced game that will be more physical than usual for a regular season tilt, and for both to contest the rim repeatedly. The Lakers are 4-30 UNDER L/43 when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a win when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent with a combined average of 197.9 ppg scoredThe Lakers are 2-23 to the UNDER L/25 when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a win when seeking same season revenge for a loss at home with a combined average of 190.2 ppg going on the board. NBA Teams like the Clippers are 0-13 UNDER L/13 at home when the line is within 3 of pick with more than one day of rest off a 10+ win facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s with a combined average of 209.6 ppg scored. Play on the UNDER |
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03-08-20 | Lakers v. Clippers -2.5 | 112-103 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 4 m | Show | |
With their full roster intact, the Clippers have recorded an average margin of victory of 17.0 points in their last six games. They are 10-0 SU when all their players are healthy and Im betting that trend stays intact here today vs the Lakers. The Lakers are 3-21-2 ATS /4-22 SU on the road with less than two days rest after they scored 15 or more points in the second than the first half. The Lakers are 0-9 ATS /SU on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest after they scored 15 or more points in the second than the first half. NBATeams like the Clippers are 16-0 ATS /SU as a home favorite off a win as a road favorite in which they scored a least 18 fast break points. Play on LA Clippers to cover |
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03-07-20 | 76ers v. Warriors +2.5 | 114-118 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
With Steph Curry back in the lineup and the newly aquired Andrew Wiggins on the court the Warriors look like a viable option getting points vs a depleted and banged up Sixers lineup. The Warriors are 21-4-1 ATS /22-4 SU at home when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a home game facing an opponent averaging more than 5 blocks per game. PHILADELPHIA is 6-17 ATS L/23 in road games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season. Sixers are also 10-23 SU on the road this season. The Seventysixers are 3-18 ATS L/21 on the road off a win in which they had at least 15 more shots than their opponent. Play on Golden State to cover |
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03-07-20 | 76ers v. Warriors UNDER 225.5 | 114-118 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 37 m | Show | |
A depleted banged up and exhausted 76ers will play their 4th away game on this west coast road trip in a week and now they will be on tired legs and far from ready to run and gun which Im betting will help make this a lower scoring affair. NBA teams like Philadelphia 0-17 to the UNDER L/17 on the road with less than two days rest off a win as a road dog in which they had at least 15 more shots than their opponent with a combined average of 205.3 ppg scored. The Seventysixers are 0-12-1 UNDER L/13 with less than two days rest off a 10+ win in a road game facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with a combined average of 198 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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03-07-20 | St Bonaventure +6.5 v. St. Louis | 49-72 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 18 m | Show | |
St.Louis is playing pretty good hoops at the moment, but they are going against a team that according to my power rankings that matches up well against them. Also with the Billikens doing so well, we are getting a bloated line to bet into with the Bonnies the recipients of a value edge getting points. ST BONAVENTURE is 9-2 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game this season. SAINT LOUIS is 0-6 ATS in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season. St.Bonaventure has covered 8 of their L/9 visits to St.Louis. CBB Home teams as a favorite or pick (SAINT LOUIS) - good shooting team (45-47.5%) against an average shooting team (42.5-45%), hot shooting team - 5 straight games making 47% or more of their shots are 14-36 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on St.Bonaventure to cover |
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03-07-20 | Nuggets v. Cavs OVER 218.5 | 102-104 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
Denver enters this tilt having gone over in 11 of their L/14 games, while the Cavaliers have gone over in 3 straight, and have seen themselves and their opponents average 223+ ppg when playing as hosts this season as they are here tonight. With Denver finally healthy Im betting they will continue to gear up for play off basketball by getting their offensive flow back, and for Cleveland with nothing to play for to be loose and to run the floor with wreck-less abandon in chase mode, which projects to a higher combined score than this current totals line suggests. Nuggets: 5-0 OVER L5 in non-conference road games while the Cavaliers are : 7-0 OVER L/7 in 2/1 rest situation. Over is 3-0-1 in Nuggets last 4 games following a ATS loss.Over is 8-0 in Nuggets last 8 games as a road favorite.Over is 7-1-1 in Nuggets last 9 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 10-2 in Nuggets last 12 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Over is 9-2 in Nuggets last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Over is 4-1-1 in Nuggets last 6 overall. Over is 5-0 in Cavaliers last 5 Saturday games.Over is 12-3 in Cavaliers last 15 games following a ATS loss.Over is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 games as a home underdog.Over is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Nuggets are 20-3-1 OVER L/24 as a road favorite with rest off a road game in which they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers with a combined average of 234.5 ppg going on the score board. The Nuggets are 10-0 OVER L/10 as a road favorite with rest off a win in a road game in which they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers with a combined average of 224.9 ppg scored. NBA Teams like the Nuggets are 25-4-1 OVER with less than two days rest off a win in a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 15 turnovers per game with the average combined score of those games clicking in at 238.1 ppg. Play OVER |
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03-07-20 | SMU v. South Florida | 60-61 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
Smu has won just one time in conference play this season on the road, and once again do not look like a vial-be option here based on their current metrics and performance charts as visitors. SMU is 1-7 ATS in road games against conference opponents this season. Jankovich is 4-13 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games in all games he has coached since 1997. CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (SMU) - average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (32-36.5%) after 15+ games, in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game) after 15+ games are 14-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on USF to cover |
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03-07-20 | DePaul +10 v. Providence | 55-93 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
The Providence Friars have been red hot of late and thats why we are getting such a bloated line here to bet into with DePaul It must be noted that the Friars are just 3-7 ATS as a favorite of seven or more points this season. It must also be noted that the Friars beat DePaul back in January on a free throw at the end of the game, and won as 1.5 point underdogs and that matchup does not jive with this line, and is according to my projections to much of a swing. With that said, we have value getting points with DePaul. DePaul to cover |
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03-07-20 | Seton Hall +3.5 v. Creighton | 60-77 | Loss | -108 | 3 h 27 m | Show | |
The Pirates are 7-1 SU on the road in Big East play a perfect 4-0 SU as an underdog with wins against Marquette, Villanova, Xavier and Butler . If Seton Halls wins outright here they will gain the reg season conference title, so their is plenty of motivation to play hard here vs a good but not quite ready for prime time Creighton team that is getting way to many accolades from the media pundits in my opinion. Seton Hall to cover |
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03-07-20 | Kansas v. Texas Tech UNDER 133.5 | 66-62 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
Play UNDER |
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03-07-20 | Kansas v. Texas Tech +3.5 | 66-62 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 27 m | Show | |
Texas Tech is in my opinion in a must-win situation here vs Kansas after losing three straight games which has made a borderline at-large team to get into the Big Dance. Im betting on a big effort here at home from Texas Tech, especially on the boards . Note: The Red Raiders out rebounded the Jayhawks 36-33 in their first meeting of the season. CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (KANSAS) - excellent defensive team (40% or less ) against a good defensive team (40-42.5%), dominant rebounding team (>=+6 reb/game) against an average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) are 9-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Texas Tech to cover |
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03-07-20 | Long Island +5.5 v. Robert Morris | 66-86 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 20 m | Show | |
Long Island is a under rated explosive offensive team that does alot od famage with three-point shots . The Sharks average 9.2 made three-pointers per game (26th nationally) which always makes them a dangerous back door cover side, and even a SU dog shocker. LONG ISLAND is 7-0 ATS in road games off a close home win by 3 points or less. LONG ISLAND is 14-4 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent. Take the points with LIU |
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03-07-20 | La Salle v. St. Joe's +1 | 78-77 | Push | 0 | 4 h 33 m | Show | |
Saint Joseph's enters Saturday with 70 victories over the Explorers, the most by the Hawks over a single opponent in program history. Rinse and repeat history maker. CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LASALLE) - in a game involving two 3 point shooting teams (>=20/game) after 15+ games, cold shooting team - 3 straight games making 40% or less of their shots are 34-65 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on St.Joes to win |
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03-07-20 | Baylor v. West Virginia -1.5 | 64-76 | Win | 100 | 18 h 23 m | Show | |
Baylor after a torrid start to their season, are just 2-2 and 1-3 ATS in their L/4 games, and now go against a West Virginia side that has revenge on board for a loss in 70-59 loss in Waco last month. With said, Im betting on the Mounties getting their revenge and turning the trick for the 7th straight time at home in their L/home game of the season. W VIRGINIA is 14-5 ATS in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. Play on West Virginia to cover |
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03-07-20 | Kentucky +3 v. Florida | 71-70 | Win | 100 | 5 h 49 m | Show | |
Kentucky (24-6) is coming off a 81-73 home loss to Tennessee last time out, as they looked to be in a key letdown spot after a big revenger vs Auburn the game before that. Now Kentucky needs to get back some mojo even though they have clinched the SEC regular season title . Im not a big fan of this version of the Wildcats because of how soft they play, but I do recognize how talented this team is, and Im betting they bring their A game to this tilt and hang tough vs a very inconsistent Florida side that goes to sleep for extended periods of time.KENTUCKY is 7-1 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games this season.FLORIDA is 2-9 ATS L/11 in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 2 seasons.FLORIDA is 3-13 ATS in a home game where the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons. KENTUCKY is 8-2 ATS in road games after a conference game this season. Play on Kentucky to cover |
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03-07-20 | Marquette -1.5 v. St. John's | 86-88 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 44 m | Show | |
The Marquette Golden Eagles (18-11, 8-9 Big East) will face the St. John’s Red Storm (15-15, 4-13 Big East) on Saturday in Queens, NY.These two teams saw each other back on January 21st, where Marquette was able to come out with an 82-68 victory which showed me the better team. I know St.Johns must not be over looked at home, but Marquette will be wide awake here as conference seeding for the Big East tourney is on the line . ST JOHNS is 2-10 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game after 15+games over the last 2 seasons and is 1-8 ATS versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. Play on Marquette to cover |
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03-07-20 | Wisconsin v. Indiana -2 | 60-56 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 54 m | Show | |
03-06-20 | Bucks v. Lakers +1 | 103-113 | Win | 100 | 29 h 32 m | Show | |
Im backing the experience of LeBron James and Anthony Davis over the young raw talent of Giannis. Antetokounmpo and company. The Bucks thanks to their extremely hot start have targets on their backs. Look for the Lakers to be very motivated to send a message to the Bucks that the road to a championship has to come through LA. The Lakers are 15-2 ATS /SU with more than one day of rest off a 10+ win facing an opponent averaging more than 24 assists per game. The Lakers are 8-0 ATS/SU L/8 when the line is within 3 of pick off a win facing an opponent averaging more than 7 refereed turnovers per game. LA LAKERS are 18-6 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game this season. MILWAUKEE is 14-27 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons The Bucks are 4-31-1 ATS /2-34 SU as a dog with rest off a win as a home favorite. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (LA LAKERS) - in a game involving two average free throw shooting teams (72-76%), hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50% or more of their shots are 28-3 SU L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Lakers to cover |
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03-06-20 | Bucks v. Lakers UNDER 227 | 103-113 | Win | 100 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
There is alot of offense in both these teams lineup, but Im expecting this heavy weight battle, to be like a post season tilt and be lower scoring because of both sides expected attention to playing solid defence and to be physical as well. It must be noted the Bucks own the 2nd best ppg D in the NBA, and the No.1 defensive rating. Meanwhile, the Lakers own the 3rd best defensive rating, behind a deliberate disciplined pace that ranks 12th in the league. The Bucks are 0-15-1 UNDER L/16 as a dog with less than two days rest off a win in a home game in which they scored more than 50 points in the paint with a combined average of 191.6 ppg. The Lakers are 4-29 UNDER L/33 when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a win when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent with a combined average of 197.4 ppg going on the board. LA LAKERS are 18-5 UNDER as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219.7 ppg scored.LA LAKERS are 15-4 UNDER in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 217.2 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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03-06-20 | Missouri State v. Indiana State +2 | 78-51 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
Missouri Valley Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals - ST Louis, MO Indiana State enters this tournament with alot of momentum winning 4 straight games, including a win vs No,.1 seed Northern Iowa. The under rated Sycamores are a top tier shooting side that run an efficient offence as is evident by converting at 52.1% eFG% clip (ranked 65th in the nation), while shooting 38.1% from the land of the trey which ranks them 10th in the nation. Note: Indiana State's starting five has outscored the opposition's top five 20 times this season and have earned the win 17 times in those situations, Missouri State has gone 2-2 in their L/4 games, and overall struggles defensively eFG% (193rd) and has problems defending against treys from downtown ranking 225th in the nation. With that said, Im betting the wrong side is favored . MISSOURI ST is 1-9 ATSL/10 as a neutral court favorite of 3 points or less or pick. Play on Indiana State |
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03-06-20 | Blazers -2.5 v. Suns | 117-127 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
With Portland MVP Damian Liilard expected to be back in the Blazers lineup tonight I expect them to be juiced up and ready to continue their domination of a inconsistent Suns side that they have beaten 11 of the L/12 times. |
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03-06-20 | Boise State +9 v. San Diego State | 68-81 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
Mountain West Conference Tournament - Semifinals - Las Vegas, NV Boise State 19th-ranked 3-point defense , allowing a 29.4% clip to the opponents this season is key here my recommendation taking points and going agains the public. In the tilt against San Diego State earlier this season, the Aztecs lit them up from beyond the arc, but doing it two times in row Im betting will be a difficult task in the rematch, as Boise Im sure will adjust. From a size comparison the Broncos are bigger and stronger, and if they get physical which Im betting they will their No.1 ranked MWC rebounding will come into play, and then eventual charity stripe chances, with Boise State holding the edge in efficiency ranking 79th in the nation. BOISE ST is 10-2 ATS versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game this season. Play on Boise State to cover |
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03-06-20 | VCU +5 v. Davidson | 65-75 | Loss | -101 | 2 h 57 m | Show | |
The VCU Rams look for the season sweep when they visit the Davidson Wildcats for an Atlantic-10 regular-season finale on Friday night. Whether they get or not Im not sure but what Im betting on is that keep it close enough to cover vs a side they matchup well against according to my power rankings. VA COMMONWEALTH is 15-6 ATS versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. Rhoades is 17-6 ATS in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts in all games.Rhoades is 20-10 ATS versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season as the coach of VA COMMONWEALTH. Play on VCU to cover |
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03-06-20 | Heat v. Pelicans UNDER 235 | 104-110 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
Miami is quite methodical in their approach to most games, behind the 26th ranked pace, and here against a explosive New Orleans team, that must be respected Im sure HC Spoelstra has a grinding game plan on his agenda. You have to remember this is the same Heat team that just held Milwaukee to 89s points recently. The Heat are 2-16-1 UNDER L/19 when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a win facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with a combined average score of 192 ppg going on the board with none of the games in the sub set going over this total. The Pelicans are 0-8 UNDER L/8 at home with rest when they are off two games in which they had twice as many assists as turnovers with the combined average score clicking in at 219.4 ppg. NBA Teams like the Pelicans are 0-15 UNDER L/15 when the line is within 3 of pick off a game as a dog in which they scored more than 50 points in the paint with a combined average of 211.6 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MIAMI) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after a combined score of 215 points or more are 27-5 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-06-20 | Southern Illinois +5.5 v. Bradley | 59-64 | Win | 100 | 1 h 3 m | Show | |
SIU's 10 MVC wins represent the most ever by an MVC team that was picked last in the preseason. This program has over achieved every step of the way this season and Im betting they once again keep up their high standards despite of being listed as underdogs today. Value with Southern Illinois vs a strong but inconsistent Bradley side.Note: Bradley took a 69-67 decision in their last meeting during this campaign, and another close game is my call. S ILLINOIS is 6-0 ATS revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons. |
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03-06-20 | Drake v. Northern Iowa -9.5 | 77-56 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 46 m | Show | |
The Northern Iowa Panthers enter this tournament as the top seed, finishing the year with a 14-4 record in conference play as part of their 25-5 SU overall record this season and are head shoulders above todays competition Drake in my humble opinion based on my projections. Missouri Valley tournament No. 1 seeds in this tourney are 30-0 SU and 21-8-1 ATS and get my support here today . In the two meetings in this series this season, N.Iowa won both by 70-43 and 83-73 counts. Rinse and repeat. Play on Northern Iowa to cover |
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03-05-20 | Raptors v. Warriors OVER 225.5 | 121-113 | Win | 100 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
According to Anthony Slater of The Athletic, Curry has been fully cleared for his return and will play on Thursday and Im betting even with reduced minutes, this will spark the Warriors to try to run with the Raptors who have had not problems despite of an array of injuries of lighting up the score board on a regular basis. The Raptors are 12-0 OVER L/12 as a favorite with a combined average of 236.4 ppg scored. The Raptors are 11-0 OVER L/12 as a 8+ favorite with less than two days rest off a win facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc with a combined average of 239.4 ppg going on the board. NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (TORONTO) - off an road win scoring 110 or more points, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 35-13 OVER L/23 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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03-05-20 | 76ers v. Kings UNDER 222.5 | 125-108 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
The banged up and battered Philadelphia 76ers will once again be short handed tonight, with three key starters (Joel Embiid (shoulder), Ben Simmons (back) Josh Richardson (concussion).expected to miss this road game vs Sacramento. This Im betting effects their offensive flow of a team that only averages 105.1 ppg on the road this season, and that ranks 6th in ppg allowed overall in the NBA ( 107.2 ppg). Meanwhile, the Sacramento Kings have been paying alot more attention to defence as the season progresses and previous to their last game took part in 5 straight lower scoring affairs that failed to eclipse the total. SACRAMENTO is 13-4 UNDER against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 218.1 ppg scored . NBA Teams like the Kimnhs are 4-23-1 UNDER L/28 as a home favorite with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite in which they shot over 55% from the field with a combined average of 213.6 ppg scored. The Seventysixers are 0-13-1 UNDER L/15 with rest off a 10+ loss as a road dog facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throw with a combined average of 203.5 ppg going on the board. NBA Home teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (SACRAMENTO) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (102 PPG or more ) after 42+ games, after scoring 130 points or more are 25-8 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (PHILADELPHIA) - after having lost 3 of their last 4 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a marginal losing team are 28-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-05-20 | California Baptist v. New Mexico State -9.5 | 50-83 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
The Aggies' dominance in the WAC as of late has resulted in any number of impressive winning streaks for the squad. New Mexico St to cover |
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03-05-20 | Stanford +1 v. Oregon State | 65-68 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
These two teams are playing at the opposite end of the proverbial performance spectrum, with Stanford winning 4 straight and currently playing their best hoops of the season, while Oregon State has lost 4 straight with 3 of the losses coming by DDs. Momentum means alot in most sports but I find its an important aspect in College Hoops. Advantage: Stanford. Stanford Cardinals when the line is within three points of pickem are 15-0 ATS /14-1 SU with the one loss coming by 1 point. CBB underdog (STANFORD) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite against opponent off 3 or more consecutive road losses are 24-6 ATS L/23 seasons for a 80% conversion rate. Play on Stanford to cover |
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03-05-20 | Wichita State v. Memphis -2 | 60-68 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
Memphis and Wichita State are over rated in so many ways, but Im betting the desperate home team has the Edge. Im calling the Tigers desperate because they have no chance at an large bid and need to get into the first round and win the AAC tourney or the Big dance will be but a dream. Also Memphis has revenge on board for a road loss earlier this season at Wichita. MEMPHIS is 12-2 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WICHITA ST) - poor shooting team - shooting 42% or les on the season against opponent after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 40% or less are 16-40 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Memphis to cover |
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03-05-20 | Clippers +1 v. Rockets | 120-105 | Win | 100 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
The Rockets are 2-1 against the Clippers this season, including a 102-93 home win on Nov. 13 and now Im, betting the Clippers who are on a 6 game win streak to even this series tonight and more importantly cover. LA CLIPPERS are 26-14 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons The Rockets are 0-10 ATS /SU when the line is within 3 of pick with more than one day of rest after a game that was tied 5+ times which was the case in the a loss to the Knicks last time out. NBA Teams like the Rockets are 0-13 ATS /1-12 SU L/13 when the line is within 3 of pick with more than one day of rest off a loss as a road favorite in which they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers. NBA Teams like the Rockets are 0-12 ATS /SU L/12 with more than one day of rest off a loss in a road game facing an opponent making more than 20 free throws per game. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (HOUSTON) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after 4 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 31-62 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate. Play on the LA Clippers to cover |
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03-05-20 | Houston v. Connecticut +2 | 71-77 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
The UConn Huskies play their best basketball at home as is evident by their 12-1 SU record as hosts and now Im betting that because of their strong home court dichotomy that they will give No. 25 Houston a run for their money in this spot. Note: Houston is 0-5 ATS in their L/5 as road chalk and UConn is 8-1 ATS L/9 at home as dogs. CONNECTICUT is 12-3 ATS in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 3 seasons. Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (HOUSTON) - excellent defensive team (40% or less) against a good defensive team (40-42.5%), dominant rebounding team (+6 or more reb/game) against an average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) are 8-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Connecticut to cover |
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03-05-20 | Boise State +2.5 v. UNLV | 67-61 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
Mountain West Tournament UNLV star guard Elijah Mitrou-Long scored 16 points against Boise State last week in a win. He has been red hot during the Rebels’ five-game winning streak, averaging 17.6 points per game, but he took a series looking knee injury in a 92-69 victory at San Jose State The Las Vegas Review-Journal reports that Mitrou-Brown has a “severe knee contusion,” and his status for Thursday’s game against the Broncos is unknown and if he does play will be at less than 100%. Advantage : Boise State. Play on Boise State to cover |
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03-04-20 | Florida State v. Notre Dame +2.5 | 73-71 | Win | 100 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
The Seminoles are one of the nations top teams but they have hard problems with this Notre Dame program in the past, at least from a betting perspective as is evident by a 0-6 ATS run in their last six meetings with the Irish, including 0-6 ATS as a favorite , and 0-3 ATS/SU L/3 here at the Purcell Pavilion. When these teams met earlier this season, Florida State pulled off a 85-84 win at home with the Irish missing a late buzzer beater, and Im betting this will be another close game with home court holding the balance. Keys to this game is discipline and ball control : Notre Dame leads the country in least amount of fouls committed per game (12.4). Notre Dame leads the country in assist-to-turnover ratio at 1.74. Notre Dame is first in the country in least amount of turnovers committed per game (9.5). CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NOTRE DAME) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less, off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a road favorite are 30-8 ATS L/23 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.( Notre Dame fell asleep at the wheel last time out and lost to Wake Forest and now according to long term trends a bounce back should be in the cards here in this spot) Notre Dame to cover |
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03-04-20 | Bulls +3 v. Wolves | 108-115 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
The Timberwolves, have just seven home wins this season so they obviously have no advantage playing as hosts. Chicago defeated Minnesota 117-110 at United Center in the teams' first meeting this season and Im betting they have an edge here getting points. The Timberwolves are 0-16 ATS /1-15 SU at home with less than two days rest when they are off two games in which they allowed 110+ points.The Timberwolves are 1-16/SU/ATS L/17 at home off a game as a dog facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s. Play on Chicago Bulls to cover |
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03-04-20 | Jazz -7.5 v. Knicks | 112-104 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
The Jazz have been struggling a bit of late, thanks to some lethargic defensive performances. But Im betting they are wide awake tonight vs a NY team that has been working hard since the team made a coaching change and are recently upset the Rockets. So now in desperation mode and not taking their opponents for granted Im betting the more talented team brings home the win and more importantly the cover in this spot. note: UTAH is 10-1 ATS in road games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg doff clicking in at 8.4 ppg. The Jazz are 17-0 ATS /SU as a road favorite with less than two days rest off a win after a game with 8+ lead changes with the average ppg diff clicking in a 11.6 ppg. NBA Teams like the Jazz are 17-2-1 ATS / 19-1 SU as a favorite after a game as a road favorite in which they shot over 50% from the field. Play on Utah to cover |
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03-04-20 | Celtics -2 v. Cavs | 112-106 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
The Boston Celtics head into Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse on the second leg of a back-to-back Tuesday against the Cleveland Cavaliers, trying to avoid a three-game losing streak. Im betting they get it done vs an extremely inconsistent Cleveland side even without Kemba Walker and Tatum out of the lineup tonight. Note: The Cavaliers lost on Monday to Utah, 126-113 in a hard fought affair where they showed some surprising work ethic . However NBA Teams like the Cavaliers are 1-21-1 ATS /1-22 SU as a dog with rest off a 10+ loss after a game with 8+ lead changes. The Celtics are 13-1 ATS/SU as a road favorite when they are off two games in which they allowed 110+ points. NBA Road favorites vs. the money line (BOSTON) - off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite of 6 or more, playing on back-to-back days are 30-2 SU L/23 seasons. Play on Boston to cover |
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03-04-20 | Thunder -7.5 v. Pistons | 114-107 | Loss | -116 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
The list of Motowns walking wounded is enormous and puts them a big disadvantage tonight vs a Oklahoma City team that travels well, having cashed at a 21-7 ATS rate in road games this season. I know Oklahoma State played last night, but they are one of the leagues best conditioned teams going 8-1 ATS this season in the 2nd of back to back tilts. [PF] 03/03/2020 - Sekou Doumbouya is upgraded to probable Wednesday vs Oklahoma City ( Leg )[PF] 03/03/2020 - Thon Maker is upgraded to probable Wednesday vs Oklahoma City ( Ankle )[PG] 03/03/2020 - Derrick Rose is out indefinitely ( Ankle )[PG] 03/03/2020 - Bruce Brown is downgraded to doubtful Wednesday vs Oklahoma City ( Knee )[PG] 03/02/2020 - Brandon Knight left last game, is "?" Wednesday vs Oklahoma City ( Knee )[PF] 01/06/2020 - Blake Griffin is out indefinitely ( Knee )[SG] 12/26/2019 - Luke Kennard is out indefinitely ( Knee ) The Thunder are 13-0 ATS/SU as a favorite off a home game when they are off two games in which less than half their field goals were assisted. Play on Oklahoma City Thunder to cover |
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03-04-20 | Canisius +1 v. Marist | 85-69 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
Marist plays a deliberate extremely slow style of basketball, and because of this have problems putting significant points on the board, as is evident by concurrent 56,50, and 52 outputs in their L/3 trips to the hardwood. Im betting Canisius finds a way to outscore their opponent here tonight in a place where they have won their L/2 visits. CANISIUS is 15-6 ATS at road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. CBB road team (CANISIUS) - after a close loss by 3 points or less against opponent after scoring 60 points or less 2 straight games are 58-29 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Canisius |
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03-04-20 | St. Louis v. George Mason +3.5 | 69-57 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 53 m | Show | |
My College basketball totals/sides selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. |
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03-04-20 | Minnesota +4 v. Indiana | 67-72 | Loss | -104 | 1 h 53 m | Show | |
My College basketball totals/sides selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. |
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03-03-20 | Raptors -4 v. Suns | 123-114 | Win | 100 | 15 h 11 m | Show | |
The Raptors have lost 3 straight games and will now be hungry to get back on a winning track vs a inconsistent Suns team they matchup well against . Raptors are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS loss. Suns are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Raptors are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. The Suns are 0-15 ATS /SU with rest after playing as a home favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 24 assists per game.The Suns are 0-14 ATS/1-13 SU after playing as a home favorite facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws.The Suns are 0-12 ATS/SU after playing as a home favorite facing an opponent averaging less than 10 offensive rebounds. Toronto is 5-0 SU L/5 in this series vs Phoenix. NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TORONTO) - after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 27-7 ATS L/23 seasons for a 80% conversion rate. Play on Toronto to cover |
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03-03-20 | Raptors v. Suns UNDER 225.5 | 123-114 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 59 m | Show | |
The Raptors have thrived despite dealing with injuries all season, but the most recent injuries are taking a toll because Ibaka and Gasol are their centers and they have no one to replace their quality and thus their offensive flow is off, and now knowing this they are going to have to step up defensively after allowing a whopping 133 points last time out. Meanwhile, the Suns are also banged up, and playing short handed and off two straight home losses and are also having issues with their flow. The suns last three offensive outputs have been 92, 111, 99 and another below average offensive outing Im betting is on tonights agenda. The above mentioned realities are going to effect this total to the under. PHOENIX is 7-0 UNDER off 2 or more consecutive home losses this season.PHOENIX is 16-2 UNDER off a double digit loss as a home favorite of 6 or more The Raptors are 2-20 UNDER L/22 as a favorite off a loss in a road game facing an opponent averaging less than 10 offensive rebounds with a combined average of 200.6 ppg scored.The Raptors are 0-13 OU ( as a favorite with less than two days rest off a game as a dog in which they had a shooting percentage at least 10 lower than their opponent with a combined average of 190.4 ppg scored. NBA Teams like the Suns are 0-13 UNDER L/13 as a dog off a 10+ loss in a home game after a loss in which they led by double digits with a combined average of 206.4 ppg going on the board. The Suns are 1-13 UNDER L/14 as a dog off a loss in a home game in which they scored 15 or more points in the first than the second half with a combined average of 203.7 ppg going on the board. Play UNDER |
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03-03-20 | Tennessee +9 v. Kentucky | 81-73 | Win | 100 | 3 h 53 m | Show | |
Kentucky was off a big revenger vs Auburn last time out, and will now be susceptible to a letdown performance. CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (KENTUCKY) - off a home win against a conference rival, a top-level team (80% or more) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 67-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Tennessee to cover |
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03-03-20 | Purdue v. Iowa -5 | 77-68 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
Matt Painter’s Boilermakers crew smashed the Hawkeyes, 104-68, in West Lafayette last month which was Iowa HC Fran McCaffery worst career loss. It was an embarrassing event that will have the home team motivated today to hand out some pain of their own vs a poor traveling Purdue side. IOWA is 11-2 ATS as a home favorite or pick this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at +13.9 ppg. PURDUE is 0-6 ATS in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -9.3 ppg. PURDUE is 1-7 ATS in road games against conference opponents this season with the average ppg diff registering at -7.2 ppg. IOWA is 8-0 ATS in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season. Play on Iowa to cover |
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03-03-20 | Vanderbilt v. Alabama UNDER 159.5 | 87-79 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
My College basketball totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. |
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03-03-20 | Texas State v. South Alabama +1 | 54-58 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
South Alabama enters this game in a 7 game win streak and have momentum entering this home game on Seniors night . Meanwhile, Texas State is off a triple OT game last time out and on tired legs as four of their starters played 40 plus minutes. Advantage Jaguars. Play on South Alabama to cover |