Buy in games with a total of 130 or over have gone under 72% of the time in th history of the NCAA tournament. Its a do or die-situation so teams have a tendency of being  conservative  and this one sets up for a closely contested lower scoring affair. 

BELMONT is 13-4 UNDER  in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 136.8 ppg scored.BELMONT is 9-1 UNDER  after 5 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers this season with a combined average of 146.3 ppg scored. 

TEMPLE is 8-1 UNDER  after a loss by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 127.5 ppg scored. ( They lost their reg season finale  74-80)

Play on the  UNDER 

Atlanta is one of the few teams that has had some  success in "slowing" Houston's James Harden. With Harden a little banged up after straining his neck again in last trip to the hardwood, the young Hawks could find a way to slow him again, which will give them a strong chance at covering as home dogs in this spot.The Hawks explosive offence has averaged 123.1 points in their first 12 games since the All-Star Game, but only 91 on Sunday, but Im betting they bounce back here in this spot play. 

HOUSTON is 8-20 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons and is 4-12 ATS  in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.HOUSTON is 6-14 ATS  as a road favorite this season. Atlanta has covered 14 of the L/20 meetings between these franchises. 

NBA Underdogs (ATLANTA) - in a game involving two average shooting teams (43.5-45.5%), after 3 straight games - attempting 10+ less free throws than opponent are 31-10 ATS L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on Atlanta to cover 

The Sixers took out the Milwaukee Bucks in a 130-125 offensive slugfest yesterday , and will now be in a natural letdown spot, and less than ready to run and gun vs a Charlotte side that is off a   93-75 loss at Miami on Sunday .The Hornets are 7-28 L/35  UNDER with rest off a loss in a road game in which they had more turnovers than assists wth a combined average of 190.3 ppg scored.

Im now expecting the Sixers a team that HC Brown has said needs to pay more attention to the defensive end as the play offs come closer to practice stringent defence in transition .  It must also be noted that the 76ers are 8-1 UNDER  in road games versus struggling defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average 218 ppg scored.

The Seventysixers are 0-11-1 UNDER L/12 on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with rest after playing as a road dog facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with the combined average score of 205.3 ppg going on the board.

PHILADELPHIA is 18-6 UNDER  after a combined score of 245 points or more with a combined average of 205.5 ppg.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHILADELPHIA) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 41-14 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. 

Play UNDER 

Robert Morris fell in the semifinals of the 2019 Northeast Conference Tournament with a 66-62 setback @ Fairleigh Dickinson and will be primed for bounce back here to start the CIT. This game is being lined a essentially a pickem, which gives an edge to Robert Morris as Head coach Andrew Toole owns the highest winning percentage (.615) in games decided by five points or less (minimum 50 games) during the KenPom era (2002 to present). In nine seasons under Toole, the Colonials have posted a record of 59-37 in games decided by five points or less.

ROBERT MORRIS is 11-3 ATS  versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.ROBERT MORRIS is 6-0 ATS off a road loss this season. 

Play on Robert Morris to cover 

NIT - First Round

 Campbell has seen 4 of their L/5 games entering the NIT go over the total, with the combined score of those tilts ringing in at 149.2 ppg. UNC Greensboro has been explosive offensively at home this season averaging 78.6 ppg and from a matchup systems power rankings system I use for totals  projections  should be ready to pour down points again, with Campbell capably chasing which Im betting results in a higher scoring game then the lines makers are expecting. 

CBB Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (CAMPBELL) - after 2 or more consecutive overs, in a game involving two good offensive teams (74-78 PPG) after 15+ games are 69-34 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

OVER 

The Portland Trail Blazers' starting lineup will  be missing a key cog Monday night when the Indiana Pacers come into Oregon.The Blazers will be without starting shooting guard CJ McCollum( knee injury) which will effect the flow of this game for the Blazers offensively. The guard averages 21.3 ppg .  This will in turn directly effect the total offensive output of this tilt vs a defensive minded eastern conference team in the Pacers. Note: INDIANA is 22-6 UNDER ( versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 206.4 ppg scored.INDIANA is 11-2 UNDER  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 197.7 ppg scored.

Under is 6-0 in Pacers last 6 overall.Under is 4-0 in Pacers last 4 road games.Under is 4-0 in Pacers last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 4-0 in Pacers last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Pacers last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Pacers last 5 games following a straight up loss.Under is 21-6-1 in Pacers last 28 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 10-3 in Pacers last 13 vs. NBA Northwest.Under is 23-8 in Pacers last 31 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 22-8 in Pacers last 30 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 5-2 in Pacers last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 37-17 in Pacers last 54 games following a ATS win.Under is 64-30-1 in Pacers last 95 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 47-23 in Pacers last 70 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.

The Trailblazers are 0-12 UNDER L/12 at home off a loss in which they had at least 15 more shots than their opponent with a combined average of 190.3 ppg scored

The Trailblazers are 4-21 UNDER L/25 as a home favorite off a loss in a road game in which they had more than 8 times as` many field goal attempts as turnovers with a combined average of 189 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER 

This is Chicagos fourth game in week and their on tired legs , while, this is the Suns 3rd game in 4 nights, with their last game going into OT on the road. Fatigue here at this juncture of the season, as well as past trends in matchups like this give us value with a under wager. 

The Suns are 0-8 OU L/9 at home off a game as a dog in which they had overtime with a combined average of 202.7 ppg scored and  is 8-0 UNDER  versus struggling  teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 216.6 ppg scored.

CHICAGO is 23-12 UNDER  versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 211 ppg going on the board.The Bulls are 6-26 UNDER L/32 when the line is within 3 of pick off a road game in which their opponent shot over 50% from the field with a combined average of 189.1 ppg scored.

NBA team (PHOENIX) - off a road win by 3 points or less, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days are 94-53 UNDER L/64% L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (CHICAGO) - after 3 or more consecutive losses, in March games and are 105-52 UNDER  L/22 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

The Bulls defeated Phoenix 124-116 on Nov. 21 as hosts. LaVine scored 29 points for Chicago and according to my power rankings matches up very  well vs the Suns. The Suns are 0-12-1 ATS (/0-13 SU off a win as a road dog when seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road. NBA favorites (PHOENIX) - in non-conference games, off an upset win as a road underdog are 73-121 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. ( Suns beat Pelicans in OT last time out on the road)

PHOENIX is 1-8 ATS  in home games after playing 2 consecutive road games this season.

CHICAGO is 21-8 ATS  in road games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 3 seasons.

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 

The Spurs have won 10 straight at home and are a season-best 12 games over .500 and are viable bets here as hosts in their current form, yes even against the defending Golden State Warriors.The Spurs and Warriors have split their two meetings this season, with both winning at home and Im betting the host side will hold serve again. SAN ANTONIO is 25-5 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent this season and s 21-3 ATS revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points this season and 21-3 revenging a road loss overall  and also 8-1 ATS  revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points this season. (GS beat SA at home on Jan 6 141-102 in merciless fashion and now pay back is at hand)

GOLDEN STATE is 9-25 ATS  when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The Warriors are 0-13 ATS /1-12 SU L/13 when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls per game with the lone win coming by 1 point.The Warriors are 1-17-1 ATS /2-17 SU on the road with rest off a game as a dog in which their opponent shot under 40% from the field.

SAN ANTONIO is 13-4 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season. 

Play on the San Antonio spurs to cover 

Miami beat Charlotte at home Sunday, holding the Hornets to a season-low 75 points. Tonight however, on tired legs that kind of effort Im betting wont come close to happening, as the Thunder will bring out the big guns behind the 3rd ranked pace  in an effort not to play to the Heats preferred method of hoops which right now seems methodical ranking 25th in pace behind an offence that ranks 25th in offensive output.Note: Oklahoma City won the first meeting between the teams, 118-102, on Feb. 1 in Miami, and Im betting on a similar output here tonight. 

The Thunder are 12-1 OVER as a favorite off a loss as a favorite in which they had 3 or fewer double digit scorers with a combined average of 229.1 ppg scored. 

Over is 4-0 in Heat last 4 vs. Western Conference.Over is 4-0 in Thunder last 4 vs. NBA Southeast.

Play on the OVER 

Im betting on a big time back and forth offensive battle here tonight with the total being eclipsed. Both these teams have played decent defence of late, but this will will morph out of control just because of the kind of energy that will be exerted here and the fact that after getting clobbered by Golden State 141-102 in an earlier meeting the Spurs will come out here with all guns blazing in ok coral revenge  style hoops . GOLDEN STATE is 8-0 OVER after game where they allowed a shooting pct. of 35% or less over the last 3 seasons which happened last time out vs Oklahoma City l, with the combined average score of those follow up games Clicking in at 236.7 ppg. The Warriors are also 9-0 L/9 OVER as a road favorite off a road win in which Stephen Curry attempted more three pointers than two pointers with a combined average of 244.8 ppg scored. 

Over is 9-3 in Spurs last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Play OVER 

These are two of the top teams in the NBA , and at this time of the season, play off bound sides like this like to play a top tier brand of defence, knowing that that will be key to any successes or failures they have in a quest for a championship ring. With that said, Im recommending a under wager in this spot.  

Under is 6-0 in Celtics last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Under is 5-0 in Nuggets last 5 road games.Under is 4-0 in Nuggets last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 5-0 in Nuggets last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 7-0 in Nuggets last 7 games following a straight up win.Under is 6-0 in Nuggets last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 12-1 in Nuggets last 13 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 10-1 in Nuggets last 11 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 10-1 in Nuggets last 11 overall.Under is 10-1 in Nuggets last 11 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 9-1 in Nuggets last 10 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 9-1 in Nuggets last 10 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 6-1 in Nuggets last 7 games following a ATS loss.

The Nuggets are 0-11 UNDER L/11 after they scored more than 50 points in the paint with a combined average of 214.9 ppg scored.

DENVER is 21-10 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season with the combined average score clicking in at 219 ppg. 

The Celtics are 3-21 UNDER L/24 when the line is within 3 of pick off a win as a home favorite facing an opponent averaging less than 6 refereed turnovers per game with a combined average of 186.8 ppg going on the board with only 1 of the 24 games eclipsing this total. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (DENVER) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, in March games are 62-25 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.  

Play UNDER 

As the post season gets closer Utah a team that ranks 20th in ppg on offence bases its successes and failures on their ability to play top tier defence which is  what they currently doing  as they enter this tilt ranking 3rd in defensive efficiency in the NBA.  The Jazz have been particularly stingy of late as they have not allowed any of their L/4 opponents to breach the 100 point plateau with all 4 games remaining on the low side of the total. Meanwhile, Washington loves to run and gun, but if anyone can stall the Wizards it will be the Jazz, and thats what Im betting on here tonight in a tilt I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total. 

Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Washington.Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.

Under is 6-0 in Jazz last 6 Monday games.Under is 4-0 in Jazz last 4 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.Under is 4-0 in Jazz last 4 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Jazz last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Jazz last 6 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 9-2 in Jazz last 11 vs. NBA Southeast.Under is 4-1 in Jazz last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 12-4 in Jazz last 16 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Under is 6-2 in Jazz last 8 games following a straight up win.

Under is 13-3 in Wizards last 16 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 4-1 in Wizards last 5 games following a straight up win.Under is 4-1 in Wizards last 5 games following a ATS win.Under is 4-0 in Wizards last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.

The Wizards are 2-16 UNDER L/18 as a dog off a win in which their points increased by at least 25 from the game before with a .combined average score of 188.8 ppg scored.

The Jazz are 1-13 UNDER L/14 as a favorite with rest after playing as a home favorite facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with a combined average of 209.9 ppg scored.

Play UNDER

 Cleveland Cavaliers know they have to do a much better job containing the Detroit Pistons' front court duo of Blake Griffin and Andre Drummond as they try to avoid being swept in the season series, and will be out looking to play a much better brand of defense, something they know Detroit is very capable of doing. This Im betting leads to a lower scoring game then the linesmakers expect. Note:DETROIT is 10-1 UNDER when playing their 3rd game in 4 days this season with a combined average of 201.6 ppg. Casey is 10-0 UNDER  when playing 8 or more games in 14 days as the coach of DETROIT with a combined average of 204 ppg.

The Cavaliers are 1-12 L/13 as a home dog with rest when they are off two games in which their opponent scored 10+ more points than their respective averages with a combined average of 189 ppg.

DETROIT is 25-10 UNDER  in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 206.5 ppg. The Pistons are 2-20 on the UNDER L/22 as a road favorite with no rest off a win in which they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers with a  combined average 176.1 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (DETROIT) - after being beaten by the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games, in March games are 80-43 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play UNDER 

 Last season, when these teams met here the  Clippers shot 52.4 percent in a 123-120 home win over the Nets on March 4, 2018. My projections estimate a similar score here again despite of partially different lineups. 

LA CLIPPERS are 11-2 OVER  after allowing 110 points or more 4 straight games this season with a combined average of 240.9 ppg.

The Clippers have the 9th fastest pace in the league and the 6th best offensive output and the 24th ranked D and will play at a speed that will force the Nets into opening up. 

LA CLIPPERS in 18  home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season have seen a combined average score of 235.9 ppg scored.LA CLIPPERS in 30  home games versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season have seen a combined average score of 233.4 ppg scored.LA CLIPPERS are 12-4 OVER  as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season with a combined average score of 233.3 ppg. 

The Clippers are 12-0-1 OVER as a favorite with less than two days rest off a home game in which they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers with the last 4 games in this trend from this season and last seeing a combined average of 240.5 ppg scored.

The Nets are 10-0-1 OVER on the road with no rest after they scored 10 or more points in the fourth than the first quarter with the L/6 in this subset seeing substantial totals record with the combined average score of 236.8 ppg scored.

Play OVER 

The Kings are coming off a 1-3 Eastern swing that ended with three straight losses and will highly likely still be on tired legs as they get reacquainted with being at home again. I see theKings being a little bit more conservative in their approach here, and for the Bulls who rank 20th in pace to be in no hurry to rush the explosive Kings. 

Kings smacked the Bulls by a  108-89 in Chicago in December and Im betting that type of winning formula could be implemented by the Kings here again tonight vs a light scoring opponent averaging just 105 ppg on the season for a 29th offensive efficiency ranking. 

The Kings are 0-16 /16 UNDER as a favorite with rest facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5 with a combined average of 204.3 ppg scored.The Kings are 0-13 L/13 UNDER as a home favorite with rest facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with a combined average score of 204.3 ppg scored.

The Bulls are 4-22 UNDER L/26 as a road dog with rest off a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 62 ppg from 2-point range with a combined average of 196.3 ppg scored.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (CHICAGO) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 47-18 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

The last time these teams met on Detroit on March 3rd they won 112-107 in overtime . Im betting on this game being played at a similar speed this time around and for strong efforts D by both sides, to once again be key to this total staying under in what Im hoping is a regulation tilt. 

DETROIT is 11-2 UNDER when playing 6 or more games in 10 days this season with a combined average of 202.6 ppg scored. he Pistons are 0-9 UNDER as a dog with less than two days rest off a win after allowing 50-plus points in the paint with a combined average of 196.7 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (DETROIT) - after being beaten by the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games, in March games are 94-47 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

Houston according to my projections should be 7 point favs here thus we have value laying the short lumber here. 

Bearcats are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings. In the 5 championship games in this series, 

Bearcats are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.Bearcats are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games overall.Bearcats are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 vs. American Athletic Conference.Bearcats are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.Bearcats are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Bearcats are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Cougars are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Sunday games.Cougars are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a ATS loss.Cougars are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games.Cougars are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Cougars are 22-9-1 ATS in their last 32 vs. American Athletic Conference.Cougars are 23-10-1 ATS in their last 34 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Cougars are 35-17-2 ATS in their last 54 games following a straight up win.Cougars are 33-16-2 ATS in their last 51 games overall.

Play on Houston to cover 

Sunbelt Conference Tournament - Championship Game - New Orleans, LA

According to my projections this tilt sets up to be a real battle in the trenches which Im betting directly effects the offensive output of this tilt. 

GEORGIA ST is 7-0 UNDER  as a neutral court favorite or pick over the last 2 seasons.

GEORGIA ST is 12-3 UNDER  in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.

TX-ARLINGTON is 14-3 UNDER versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.

GEORGIA ST is 15-4 UNDER  in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or better  of their attempts over the last 3 seasons. 

CBBNeutral court teams against the total (TX-ARLINGTON) - excellent FT shooting team (73% or better ) against an average FT shooting team (65-69%) after 15+ game are 107-52 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

Miami leads the Orlando Magic and Charlotte by just one game in the Eastern Conference playoff standings - with the No. 8 seed likely to face the Bucks in the first round of the postseason. so this is an important game with post season implications, and will be played very physically, which will reflect on the scoreboard in what will be a muted effort according to my projections. Miami beat Charlotte 91-84 when they played on March 6th and similar type game is not out of the question.

The Heat are 1-13-1 on the UNDER with rest after playing as a home dog facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s with a combined average of 197.5 ppg scored.The Heat are 0-10-1 on the UNDER with less than two days rest off a loss as a dog in which their opponent had at least a 10 percent higher BAP with a combined average of 184.8 ppg scored.

CHARLOTTE is 14-4 UNDER  in road games after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 208.1 ppg scored.CHARLOTTE is 22-7 UNDER  revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 204.1 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER 

Im betting this SEC championship game will be alot more physical  and defensively conservative  than what the lines-makers total is projecting, because both sides are on tired legs with this now being their 3rd game in 5 days . The public expects two explosive offensive teams to go head to head in a high octane event, but Im betting on chess like match that results in a combined score in the 142-144  range, thus giving us value on a slightly bloated line. 

Play UNDER 

Tennessee down by 7 points with under 5 minutes left yesterday came back with a tenacious effort to get the win vs Kentucky and will now be in a natural letdown spot . The Tigers also played a hard fought game vs Florida, but controlled most of the game until the end  needing a big shot to win it for their 7th straight victory. Needless to say both teams are on tired legs . With that that said look for a grinding closely contested affair. Auburn  is currently playing their best hoops of the season and  defeated Tennessee to end the reg campaign, by 4 points, so they have the confidence knowing they can play with this Vols team and get my support getting points here in the SEC championship game. 

Auburn to cover 

Two struggling teams go head to head this afternoon as the Knicks enter this home game on a 8 game losing streak as they take on a Lakers side with losses in 7 of their L/8 games overall. The Lakers despite of probably having super star LeBron James in the lineup for this game are on tired legs now playing their 3rd road game in 4 days, and in their last effort they were short handed and had to play everybody and use up alot of minutes. Im now betting the fatigue factor makes the Lakers less than stable underdog on this line this afternoon.

Lakers are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in New York.

Knicks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.EW YORK is 14-3 ATS after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half over the last 2 seasons.

Lakers are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Lakers are 6-22-1 ATS in their last 29 vs. Eastern Conference. Lakers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.Lakers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games.Lakers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall.Lakers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 vs. NBA Atlantic.Walton is 8-19 ATS  in road games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days as the coach of LA LAKERS.

The Lakers are 0-11 ATS L/11 on the road with rest off a loss in a road game in which they scored 10 or more points in the fourth than the first quarter.The Lakers are 0-9 ATS L/9 (/SU with less than two days rest after they scored more than 50 points in the paint.

LA LAKERS are 9-22 ATS  when playing against a team with a losing record this season. LA LAKERS are 4-15 ATS  versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game this season.

NBA Underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - in non-conference games, off 3 or more consecutive road losses are 28-19 SU for a 60% conversion rate over the 5 seasons.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (LA LAKERS) - off a road loss by 10 points or more against opponent off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more are 10-30 SU L/40 with a -7.6 differential. 

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW YORK) - in non-conference games, off 3 or more consecutive road losses are 36-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on NY Knicks to cover 

Two western conference teams  off games last night and on energy deficient legs and , jockeying for post season positions , Im betting will take part in a hard fought physical game this evening which will see the combined score stay on the low side the total. 

The Spurs have gone under in 7 of the L/8 games. 

SAN ANTONIO is 24-12 UNDER L/36 in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 206.9 ppg scored.The Spurs are 1-14-1 UNDER L/15 as a favorite with less than two days rest off a win as a home favorite when playing on Saturday with no rest with a combined average of 185 ppg scored.SAN ANTONIO is 7-0 UNDER  in home games on Saturday games this season with a combined average of 204 ppg scored. The Spurs are 0-10 UNDER L/10 with no rest off a home game in which they shot over 50% from the field with a combined average of 192.2 ppg scored.

PORTLAND is 33-14 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 210.2 ppg scored. The Trailblazers are 4-21-1 OU (when the line is within 3 of pick after a game with 8+ lead changes with a combined average of 207.8 ppg scored.The Trailblazers are 0-9 UNDER on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest off a win facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws with a combined average of 203.7 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (SAN ANTONIO) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, in March games are 59-20 UNDER L22 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the UNDER 

The Cavaliers are allowing more than 114 ppg  on 49% shooting this season on the road and look ready to be taken advantage of again tonight in Dallas as they have allowed around a 50% FG conversion rate to competitors in a recent 5 game span. Meanwhile, I expect the Cavs behind Kevin Love to answer back offensively vs a host in Dallas that has allowed 113.6 ppg in their L/5 with teams clicking in with a 48+ FG conversion rate. Everything points to this matchup featuring a high scoring affair that eclipses this total. 

The Mavericks are 11-0 OVER L/11 after they had fewer than 10 turnovers in a previous game with a combined average of 234.8 ppg scored.

The Cavaliers are 16-3-1 OU with rest after playing as a road dog facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with a combined average of 219 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (CLEVELAND) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 58-32 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate. 

Play OVER 

Conference USA Tournament - Championship Game - Frisco, TX

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers’ own a  15-1 ATS record as postseason underdog and must not be underestimated in what my own projections estimate is a favourable matchup's for them from a system vs system power ranking chart I use. 

W KENTUCKY is 10-0 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game  like Old Dominion over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Western Kentucky to cover 

Memphis is just playing out their season, and a lot of younger players are seeing floor time, and as result flow has been off. Meanwhile, Washington  is off playing last night and are on tired legs and will not be prepared to un and gun but rather play solid defensive ball as they chase theMiami Heat fro a final play off spot. With that said, Im betting on a combined score that stays on the low side the total.

Bickerstaff is 10-1 UNDER  after scoring 105 points or more 4 straight games in all games he has coached

MEMPHIS is 26-7 UNDER after playing a road game this season and 19-4 UNDER L/22 off a road loss this season with a combined average of 201.7 ppg scored. The Grizzlies are 0-10 UNDER on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a loss in a road game with a combined average of 188 ppg scored. The Grizzlies are 0-9-1 UNDER on the road off a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s with a combined average of 202.4 ppg scored. 

MEMPHIS is 38-21 UNDER versus sub par defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season with a combined average of 205.5 ppg.

The Wizards are 0-12 UNDER L/12 as a favorite with less than two days rest off a home game after rebounding less than 20% of their own misses with a combined average of 203.2 ppg scored. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (WASHINGTON) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an average defensive team (43.5-45.5%) after 42+ games, after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 60-24 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

The last time these teams played this season Davidson came away with a 54-53 win. Now in attempt to duplicate that last effort I expect St.Louis to try to slow this game down to a grind, as they try to take away Davidsons offensive flow, much like thye did vs St.Joes last time out allowing just 55 points .Im betting Davidson behind a solid defence of their own will comply with a physical stance in  what will be a game of attrition with very little scoring. Davidson has kept 3 of their L/4 opponents to under 60 points or less.

Play UNDER

Both these teams won on their own home court in their 2 meetings this season. Now in a neutral court environment I like the experience of Calapari and company to prevail . Kentucky has been bolstered by the return of key post player Reid Travis, who had 11 points and eight rebounds in the victory over Tennessee. He was sidelined by a knee injury in the rematch, and Kentucky missed him a great deal, and he could be the difference maker again. 

Wildcats are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.Wildcats are 32-15-4 ATS in their last 51 neutral site games.

Calapari knows how to win big games in the finals rounds of a tournament going 33-5 SU  in the Semis and finals in his career. 

Play on Kentucky to cover 

Chicago has been slumping of late losing 5 of their L/6 but  is expected to have leading scorer Zach LaVine back against the Clippers which Im betting significantly increases their ability to put points up on the board tonight in a tilt I have pegged to go over the set total. Note: The Clippers are ranked 6th in offensive output in the league averaging 114.4 ppg and at home have average more than 117 ppg, behind the 9th ranked pace and tonight vs a Chicago team ranked 25th in Defensive efficiency  Im betting the explosive Clippers will do a great deal of offensive damage again. The Bulls have allowed more than 115 ppg in their L/5 tilts overall as their defence remains their Achilles heel and I look for them to chase and score with reckless abandon here with LaVine back in the lineup.  Note: Clippers are ranked 23rd in D in the league and have allowed more than 115 ppg in their L/5 overall. There will not chants of DEFENCE, DEFENCE , DEFENCE in this one. 

LA CLIPPERS are 8-1 OVER in home games after allowing 110 points or more 3 straight games this season have seen a combine score of 235.7 ppg going on the board. 

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (LA CLIPPERS) - after allowing 120 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 225 points or more are 109-56 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA  teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (CHICAGO) - after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games are 117-63 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play OVER 

Even though Zach Lavine is expected back in the lineup for the Bulls tonight Im not sold on them being any less than 10 point dog here and Im betting we have value on the line with the explosive home team in this spot play at anything under DDs. 

LA CLIPPERS are 14-3 ATS  vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game this season. LA CLIPPERS are 17-4 ATS  versus struggling  teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with the average point diff clicking in at 12.8 ppg.

Play on LA Clippers to cover 

The Blazers are a fine team but are getting way to much respect here and the value rests with the New Orleans Hornets as home dogs. You have to remember that the Blazers are below 500 road team with a 16-17 record while the Pelicans are a above 500 home team with a 18-15 record. I know Jrue Holiday is out for the Pelicans, but they're are young guys like Elfrid Payton who have stood tall thanks as is evident by a triple double  in his L/2 trips to the hardwood. With that said, Im recommending we take the points. 

Trail Blazers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. Western Conference.

NEW ORLEANS is 12-2 ATS  off a home loss this season.NEW ORLEANS is 15-7 ATS  revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season. The Pelicans are 18-2-1 ATS L/20 at home off a loss in which their opponent made at least 10 more free throws.

PORTLAND is 8-19 ATS  in road games against Southwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons and is 3-13 ATS  in road games off a road blowout win by 20 points or more. 

Play on New Orleans to cover 

Big East Conference Tournament - Semifinals - New York, NY

Xavier entered this tournament playing their best basketball of the season, winning 6 of their L/7 games, and then won game 1 of the big East tournament with 63-61 win vs Creighton. On Feb 23rd of this season Xavier proved they matchup well vs Villanova winning by a 66-54 count so they have confidence entering this tilt with their abilities to not only compete but to upset the Wildcats. Meanwhile, Villanova lost 5 of their L/8 games tilts entering the tourney, and despite of taking out Providence in their big East opener, just don't look as explosive as they did last season, mostly because of their youth and inexperience as compared to last years national  championship team. It must also be noted Villanova has had a hell of time in game 2s of this tourney, going just 1-10 ATS L/11 opportunities. With that said, Im betting that if Villy wins here and advances it wont come easily, thus taking points will be golden. 

A potential NCAA Tournament berth hangs in the balance for the Musketeers. Xavier's currently No. 70 in the NCAA NET rankings and Creighton's up to No. 54 after winning five in a row. So from a motivational factor alone we have a desperate team to back.

Play on Xavier to cover 

 Big Ten Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals - Chicago, IL  

Im expecting a very physical Big 10 affair that stays on the low side of the Total. 

WISCONSIN is 9-2 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games this season with a combined average odf123 pig scored. 

CBB Neutral court teams against the total (WISCONSIN) - after going over the total by more than 12 points in three consecutive games, on Friday games are 32-8 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Wisconsin/ Nebraska UNDER

Atlantic Ten Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals - Brooklyn, NY

This line signifies a close game, which in effect makes my decision to take the points here valid considering  that since the start of 2017-18, Mason is 13-3 in A-10 games decided by five points or less. That includes an 11-3 mark in the regular season and 2-0 record in the A-10 Tournament. Meanwhile, the Bonnies are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.and  are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 Friday games  are also 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.

CBB Neutral court teams as an underdog (GEORGE MASON) - revenging a loss where team scored less than 60 points, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 131-78 ATS L/22 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on George Mason to cover 

 AAC Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals - Memphis, TN

UConn men's basketball used a balanced attack and hot-shooting from the field to earn an 80-73 win over the USF Bulls  and enter this game with momentum. The Huskies have covered 4 straight in this series and must be respected as underdogs in this spot vs Houston. 

CBB Neutral court teams (CONNECTICUT) - revenging a home loss vs opponent against opponent off an upset win by 10 points or more as an underdog are 38-22 SU L/22 seasons for a 63% conversion rate.

Play on UConn to cover 

Dallas has lost six straight and 11 of 12 and I personally dont like their current form.Dallas had more adversity Wednesday when its flight to Denver was delayed by a snowstorm, dubbed the "bomb cyclone" blew through Colorado and will now be completely exhausted entering this game and could easily end up on the wrong end of a ugly DD beatdown. Also star euro Doncics is also hobbled and if he plays could be hobbled. With that said, Im going to lay DDs here in a contest that does not favor visiting Dallas in the the thin air of the  Mile High City tonight. 

DENVER is 17-4 ATS  in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins this season with the average point diff clicking in at 11.7 ppg.

NBA Road underdogs of +375 or higher vs. the money line (DALLAS) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, in March games are 1-82 SU L/22 seasons for a99%conversion rate with the average score diff clicking in at 13.5 ppg. 

Play on Denver to cover 

Pac 12 Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals - Las Vegas, NV

Even though the grabbed a season-finale victory against the Arizona Wildcats this past Saturday, there  is still a chance ASU misses the NCAA Tournament. Needless to say they need s wins and will come out here against UCLA like gang busters. 

Arizona State is Second in the Pac-12 in scoring (77.7)
and  Second in Pac-12 in FG% defense (.411)and also Leads league in offensive rebounds per game (12.2). Note: UCLA is 1-10 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game this season and are   1-7 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season. 

UCLA is 2-9 ATS as an underdog this season. ARIZONA ST is 6-0 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons. 

No.2 seeds are 11-2 ATS since 2014 when they are 6 pointer less favs. 

Play on Arizona State to cover 

Utah State enters this game on fire having on 7 straight games and 14 of their L/15 overall and must be respected even as DD favs  here vs an over matched New Mexico side. During its recent seven-game winning streak, Utah State is shooting 46.2 percent from the floor, 33.1 percent from behind the 3-point line and 74.2 percent  at the free throw line. Utah is well rested after conference play, whihc is a good omen as they are UTAH ST is 10-1 ATS L/11 when playing with 7 or more days rest with the average point diff clicking in at 13.9 ppg. 

 NEW MEXICO is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. with the average point diff clicking in at 17.9 ppg.

CBB Neutral court teams as a favorite or pick (UTAH ST) - after 2 or more consecutive overs, an explosive offensive team (76 PPG or more ) against a good offensive team (74-76 PPG) are 51-20 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Utah State to cover 

The Raptors,are off getting manhandled by the Cleveland last time out by a  126-101 count and lost Serge Ibaka to a three-game suspension for a fight during the game. He is a key cog in this teams flow and Im betting it will directly effect their ability to cover the number vs a Lakers squad looking for positives despite of having LeBron James healthy and in the lineup. The Raps Kyle Lowry will play, despite of some nagging injuries ,  but  overall he has looked distracted lately and has constantly been arguing with referees.Im betting his negative mood will have a direct effect on his teammates. 

The Lakers are 12-1 ATS L/12 off a 10+ win facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws.LA LAKERS are 9-1 ATS n road games after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 2 seasons

The Raptors are 0-10 ATS at home with rest off a road game in which they had at least 30% of their points from threes. TORONTO is 12-23 ATS  versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season.

Play on the LA Lakers to cover 

The Magic played a defensive minded game last night and ended up on the short end of a 100-90 defeat at the hands of the Washington Wizards. The Magic now even more desperate for wins as they pursue a play off spot should be ready to let loose here and leave nothing to chance while, the now capable Cavs behind Kevin Love should fire back in unison. This Im betting leads to a higher scoring tilt than the lines makers have projected. 

The Magic are 9-0 OVER  with no rest facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc with a combined average score of 233.5 ppg scored.

The Cavaliers are 14-1 OVER off a road game in which they scored 10 or more points in the fourth than the first quarter with a combined average of 222.5 ppg scored. 

CLEVELAND is 13-4 OVER off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 223.3 ppg scored. The Cavaliers are 27-7-1 OVER L/35 with rest after playing as a road dog facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s with a combined average of 224.2 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (ORLANDO) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 39-14 OVER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

Florida State, the tournament’s No. 4 seed, takes on fifth-seeded Virginia Tech – which they beat in Tallahassee last week – at the Spectrum Center in Charlotte, N.C. and have the advantage again despite of the Hokies desperation factor. 

The Seminoles have a spot in the Big Dance guaranteed, having won 11 of their last 12 games and finishing fourth in the nation’s staunchest basketball conference. But despite of this they still are very motivated to get wins.  QUOTE: “We want to make it as far as we can and then just use that as momentum going into the (NCAA) tournament,” junior guard Trent Forrest said. “So I would say we just want to stay locked in and continue to win games.” END QUOTE. Also  the Seminoles will be very motivated for the rematch, regardless of any big-picture implications as when they played last week, they were taken to the brink by VTech and had to win in OT. 

The difference maker Im betting tonight will come via a very deep bench, while the Hokies’ rotation only goes about seven deep. Considering their starters  played at least 28 minutes against Miami last time out – and now playing again today after playing yesterday will be on tired legs giving the Seminoles the edge.

Hokies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Hokies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Seminoles are 6-1-2 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games.

Play on Florida State to cover 

NC State used a strong second-half surge to come back and defeat Clemson on Wednesday  and have momentum entering this tilt vs No.1 seed Virginia and defending ACC champion . Note:defending champion in the ACC tournament is 4-13-1 ATS as a favorite in its first round game the following season since 2001 campaign.UVA posted a 66-65 overtime win at NC State this season, in a tilt that proved to me that the  Wolfpack's style gave the Cavaliers alot of problems and Im betting they will irritate Virginia again today. 

NC State defeated Virginia 75-56 in the last meeting between the teams at the ACC Tournament in 2013.

Take the points with the NC State to cover 

Atlantic Ten Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals - Brooklyn, NY

Both these teams have averaged under 70 points in offensive output this season, and both exhibit long stretches of below average FG conversion rates. With that being an early start game, Im betting those outputs will be exasperated and exaggerated in a physical low energy environment  that will see this game  stay under the set total.

CBB Neutral court teams against the total (RHODE ISLAND) - after 3 or more consecutive overs, an average team (+/- 3.5 PPG differential) against a poor team (-3.5 to -8 PPG differential) are 30-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 129.1 ppg scored.

Play UNDER 

Big East Conference Tournament - First Round - New York, NY

 The Blue Demons enter the 2019 tournament with six total games of BIG EAST Tournament experience on the active roster and must be respected as underdogs vs St.Johns.

DePaul has outrebounded the opponent in 21 of 29 games and Im betting they have an edge again as they have won 15 of those 21 games SU. DePaul won both regular season meetings, three of the last four and get the nod to be competitive again and even pull off the SU upset. 

  ST JOHNS is 1-8 ATS  in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.

CBB team (ST JOHNS) - after 3 or more consecutive overs, an excellent offensive team (76 PPG or more) against a poor defensive team (74-76 PPG) after 15+ games are 43-76 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on DePaul to cover 

The Heat are off a down effort last time out against vs the Raptors which ended a 4 game win streak. Tonight vs the visiting crew from Motown Im betting the Heat bounce back in what is  a more favourable matchup, behind a third ranked D and an offence that is virtually equal with that of the Pistons.  MIAMI is 21-8 ATS off an upset loss as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons and  are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record like the Pistons.

The Heat are 12-0-1 ATS /13-0 SU as a favorite off a loss in a home game in which they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers. 

The Pistons are 3-21 ATS  and 0-24 SU L/24 as a road dog with less than two days rest off a 10+ loss as a dog in which they scored fewer than 85 point

DETROIT is 3-11 ATS  versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game this season. DETROIT is 8-22 ATS  on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.

MIAMI is 21-9 ATS  versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game this season.  

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MIAMI) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a home favorite are 27-6 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Miami Heat to cover 

Memphis turned over a lot of its roster at the deadline, it has gone 5-4 since the All-Star Game and has won four of its last five and deserves our attention here vs the young Atlanta Hawks. With key Grizzlies Cog Conley having performed well in the past vs the  Hawks averaging 15.6 points and 7.1 assists in 17 career games against the Hawks I look for him to be the catalyst for a Memphis win and cover here tonight.Memphis won the first meeting 131-117 in October and get the nod again. Hey I know perceptions and sometimes be powerful, and alot like the way the young Hawks have played, but they are still highly inconsistent and not a viable bet in spots like this as they are coming off a home win vs a New Orelans team that has given up on their season. Note: ATLANTA is 1-8 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins this seasonATLANTA is 4-16 ATS  in home games in March games over the last 3 seasons and is 9-23 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons. 

The Grizzlies are 12-0 ATS /SUwith rest off a win as a favorite in which they had at least 25% of their points from free throws. 

NBA Home teams (ATLANTA) - an explosive offensive team (102 or more PPG) against a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) after 42+ games, after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games are 20-50 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Memphis Grizzlies to cover 

 Bucknell goes for their third straight Patriot League Championship tonight vs Colgate as underdogs. Bucknell has won 8 straight Patriot League tournament games, and must be respected here as underdogs because of their pedigree and top tier coaching. Yes, this game is Colgate, and I know that Bucknell has lost 3 straight road games, but despite of this there is just to much value to pass up here with this type of team.

Play on Bucknell to cover 

ACC Conference Tournament - Second Round - Charlotte, NC

Bringing their depleted roster to Charlotte and entering the tournament on the heels of a seven-game losing streak, not much was expected of Mike Brey’s squad , but thye found a way to get by Georgia Tech and advance to this tilt vs Louisville. Meanwhile, the Cardinal despite fo a decent record this season, struggled down the stretch, losing 6 of their L/8 and have not been very consistent on the road this season and have won just five of 11 games. Im betting on the luck of the Irish to be prevalent today and for them to somehow find a way to be competetive. 

CBB Neutral court teams as a favorite or pick (LOUISVILLE) - average shooting team (42.5-45%) against a terrible shooting team (40%or less) are 16-42 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion for bettors on the blind.

Play on Notre Dame to cover 

Pac 12 Conference Tournament - First Round - Las Vegas, NV

California enters this game playing possibly their best hoops of the season, and have held their last two opponents 69, and 59 point outputs. In a surprising road victory vs the Buffs back in January the former Bad News Bears sprung the 68-59 upset and now have a success-full defensive blue print that should see this game played similarly to the first one and a total score that is also similar.  

COLORADO is 8-0 UNDER after playing 3 consecutive games as favorite this season with a combined average of 135 ppg scored.   

CALIFORNIA is 12-1 UNDER  revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 season with a combined average of 131.8 ppg going on the board.

 CALIFORNIA is 10-1 UNDER in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 131.1 ppg scored.

 CALIFORNIA is 12-3 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 134.7 ppg scored.

CALIFORNIA is 8-0 UNDER in road games versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average 128.7 ppg going on the board and 6-0 UNDER versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of  135 ppg scored.

642 Colorado/ California UNDER

Richmond is averaging 70.8 points per game on 47.7% shooting from the field, 35.1% from behind the arc and 66.6% from the foul line this season. Fordham averaging just 56.2 ppg in their L/5. 

Neubauer is 0-7 ATS  in all neutral court games as the coach of FORDHAM.

FORDHAM is 8-20 ATS after playing a game as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons.

FORDHAM is 4-14 ATS  versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons.

Richmond to cover 

Pac 12 Conference Tournament - First Round - Las Vegas, NV

My own projections make the wrong team the favorite here today. Defensively, the Trojans often use a 2-3 zone often, and held UA to under 30 percent shooting on Jan. 24. Rinse and repeat. 

ARIZONA is 1-8 ATS  versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games this season.ARIZONA is 0-7 ATS  in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. 

USC is 36-19 ATS  in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) since 1997.USC is 6-0 ATS as a neutral court favorite or pick over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on USC

ACC Conference Tournament - Second Round - Charlotte, NC

 NC State closed the regular season in top tier fashion, going on the road to defeat Boston College, 73-47, and now have momentum entering this tilt against Clemson. The Pack's bench is averaging 30.6 points per game and has outscored the opponent's bench by 448 points this season and that will be the difference maker here today. 

Note: In ACC games, NC St shot better on the road than at home. NC State converted on 43.7% from the field and 38% from three-point range in conference road games this season.

CLEMSON is 4-14 ATS as a neutral court favorite of 3 points or less or pick since 1997

 NC STATE is 6-0 ATS in road games versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game this season and is 7-1 AT in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42%  or less this season and also 8-2 ATS  in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season. 

NC STATE is 6-0 ATS  in road games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread this season.

622 North Carolina State to cover 

Dallas has lost 5 straight and San Antonio has won 5 straight. But current form usually goes out the window when these instate NBA rivals go to head. In recent meetings the Spurs have failed to cover 8 straight meetings vs the Mavs when they are not getting points like tonight. With Dallas out looking for same season double revenge in this series Im betting they will be highly motivated . Note:Dallas’14-3 ATS as a underdog in this series when playing with same- season double revenge. 

The Mavericks are 23-3 ATS/22-4 SU at home when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a loss facing an opponent averaging more than 62 ppg from 2-point range.

The Spurs are 2-16 ATS with rest when they won 2 straight vs current opponent and are 0-10 ATS when they won 3 straight vs current opponent.

Play on Dallas to cover 

From what Ive seen from the Knicks of late tells me a story of a team that is in tank mode and has no fight left in them at all. It looks very much like the famous swan dive for draft picks is on. With that said, Im going to do something that I do on  the rare occasion and that is to lay DDs with the more motivated team the  Indiana Pacers. Note: INDIANA is 8-0 ATS  in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or less - 2nd half of the season this season with the average victory coming by 15.8 ppg.

Indiana took out the Knicks on Jan 11 at MSG by a 121 -106 count and a similar score is not out of the question in the rematch.

The Knicks are 0-13 ATS/SU as a 8+ dog with less than two days rest off a loss as a road dog in which they had less than 15% of their points from free throws with every loss coming by more than this asking price

The Knicks are 0-13 ATS/SU on the road after a game as a road dog in which they had less than 10% of their points from free throws with the average point diff clicking in at -13.5 ppg. 

The Knicks are 0-12 ATS/SU with less than two days rest off a loss as a road dog facing an opponent averaging less than 10 offensive rebound with the average point diff clicking in at -16.1 ppg. 

NBA Road underdogs of +375 or higher vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, in March games are 1-80 SU  L/22 seasons with the combined average point diff clicking in at -13.9 ppg. 

Play on Indiana to cover 

The N.Kentucky Norse are a team that can beat you with an explosive offense or a stingy D, while Wright State is more a defensive type team. The Norse averaged 80 points per game in the regular season, and was showcased   in the quarterfinals in a 99-88 victory . They followed that with  physical  battle in a 64-63 win over Oakland in the semifinal and once again Im betting they have the edge here.  Both teams split the seasons series, both winning on home court but on a neutral court my projections favor N.Kentucky by 3 thus according to my estimates we have value on a pickem line. 

Norse are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games.

Play on N.Kentucky to cover 

Pitt had a horrendous game and shot just 29.0 percent (20-of-69) from the field in a nine-point loss at Boston College earlier this season, but this Pittsburgh team has shown alot of grit of late, and beat Notre Dame last time out, and now have the confidence to make two in row here against a side that is just  2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

. Panthers lead the ACC with 16.4 made free throws per game and Im betting that will be the difference maker here today against Boston College.

Panthers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.PITTSBURGH is 15-3 straight up against BOSTON COLLEGE since 1997.

Play on Pittsburgh to cover 

Play on Fairleigh Dickinson to cover 

Going 11-5 in America East play this season, UMBC's lone home loss came against Hartford and  they lost the season series and Im betting they lose here again tonight. The difference maker will behind one of the schools all time greatLynch who has been  red of late, as he enters the conference semifinals riding Hartford's longest active double-figure scoring streak at 13 gamesHe has  been the catalyst for Hartford in his last seven games — a stretch that has seen the team go 7-2 — by averaging 19.4 ppg Lynch is shooting 55 percent shooting over his last nine, including a 26-for-49 clip (53%) from three. Maryland Baltimore has no answers for this top tier player. Hartford to cover 

Colonial Conference Tournament - Championship Game - Charleston, SC

Hofstra is a prolific offensive teams averaging more than 83 ppg and wont be stopped here as Northeastern will have to open up something they are capable of doing as they average 78.3 ppg in conference action this season. 

HOFSTRA  8 games  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season a combined average of 152.1 ppg scored.HOFSTRA is 12-2 OVER (+9.8 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games this season with a combined average of 165.5 ppg scored . 

Play OVER 

 ACC Conference Tournament - First Round - Charlotte, NC

Georgia Tech enters todays game against Notre Dame off two consecutive wins vs Boston College (81-78 in overtime at home) and NC State (63-61 on the road) . In an attempt to make of  offense more productive, Georgia Tech returned to a one-post starting alignment for its last seven games, with James Banks III starting in the middle with four perimeter players. It has  invigorated and buoyed the Yellow Jackets’ to their  four highest point totals since Jan. 12 and three of its best shooting efforts since Jan. 22. Tech has averaged 64.0 points, hit 43.7 percent of hits field goals and 34.3 percent of its three-point shots in its last seven games, compared to 53.9 points, 38.2 percent from the floor and 23.8 percent on threes in the previous eight games and I expect them to push the pace again and make Notre Dame come out of their shell and put points on the board as well. 

Over is 4-1 in Yellow Jackets last 5 neutral site games.

GEORGIA TECH is 6-0 OVER L/6 in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18 or less free throws/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 142.7 ppg.

GEORGIA TECH L/19 games when the total is 120 to 129.5 over the last 3 seasons . as seen a combined average score of 133.6 ppg scored.

CBB teams where the total is 129.5 or less (NOTRE DAME) - cold team - having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 40-11 OVER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

CBBNeutral court teams where the total is 129.5 or less (GEORGIA TECH) - after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers are 36-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a for 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

Boston after a slump looks to be back in gear as the season winds and down and are currently a very dangerous opponent for all comers and  especially vs a inconsistent Clippers team that they will be out to beat on here in revenge mode.Note: Boston lost to the Clippers 123-112  in Boston as 11.5-point chalk  in February when they were slumping and now have pay back on board. 

LA is just 2-8 ATSL/10 at home vs Atlantic Division sides.

BOSTON is 8-1 ATS in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5 this season. BOSTON is 37-21 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

The Celtics are 12-0 ATS with rest off a 10+ win as a favorite in which they had 30+ assists.

Rivers is 18-34 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots - 2nd half of the season as the coach of LA CLIPPERS. 

NBA team vs the money line (BOSTON) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite, off 3 or more consecutive road wins are 56-21 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

 NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (LA CLIPPERS) - after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days are 6-26 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA CLIPPERS) - after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days are 19-45  ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Boston Celtics to cover 

After struggling in February the Boston Celtics are back to playing a top tier brand of hoops, that centers around playing a strong brand of defensive basketball . The Celtics currently 4th   in ppg allowed and defensive efficiency in the NBA. Tonight against a Clippers team that they have revenge on board against the Clippers for uncharacteristically ugly loss at home by a 123-112 count  in feb when they were slumping, Im now betting on them playing a lock down style of defense that will directly effect the overall offensive ouptut of this tilt. 

BOSTON is 11-2 UNDER in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 201.1 ppg scored.

BOSTON is 13-2 UNDER  in road games versus lower tier defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 213.5 ppg scored.BOSTON is 8-1 UNDER  in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this seasonwith a combined average of 215.6 ppg going on the board.The Celtics are 7-34-2 OU UNDER  on the road with less than two days rest off a win as a favorite in which they scored fewer than 10 fast break points with a combined average score of 185.7 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

The Clippers are 0-12 UNDER with more than one day of rest off a win as a favorite in which they had more than 8 times as` many field goal attempts as turnovers with a combined average of 195.2 ppg going on the board.

LA CLIPPERS are 15-4 UNDER L/19  in home games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season with a combined average of 221.5 ppg scored. 

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (BOSTON) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7 or more against opponent off a home win are 36-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettor with a combined average score of 204.7 ppg scored.

Play UNDER 

Horizon Conference Tournament - Semifinals - Detroit, MI - Detroit, MI

The Golden Grizzlies head into the semifinals after defeating No. 6 seed Youngstown State, 88-84 in the quarterfinals at the Blacktop at the O'rena.Oakland after a sub par year compared to their usual standards are currently on fire entering this tilt vs N.Kentucky with 5 straight wins. I know on paper N.Kentucky looks like the superior side, but in a tourney game like this the obvious stats are off the table, and instead pedigree and coaching must be respected. Oakland has that in spades, and gets my support here plus the points. 

N KENTUCKY is 7-14 ATS  versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season.N KENTUCKY is 1-10 ATS  off 3 straight wins against conference rivals over the last 2 seasons. 

OAKLAND is 11-3 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more  of their shots after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. Kampe is 21-7 ATS  versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game after 15+games as the coach of OAKLAND.

Play on OAKLAND to cover 

Utah is off a loss vs a up trending Memphis team last time out, as they probably made the mistake of over looking them. Note :The Jazz are 13-0 ATS/SU as a favorite off a loss with each game coming in convincing fashion with the average point differential clicking in at 20 ppg. Now in rebound mode, and ready for redemption the Jazz look like good bets at home as short chalk to take out a struggling Oklahoma City. Thunder team that has failed to cover  9 of their L/10 . Yes, the Thunder had 3 wins during this ATS nightmare run, with one win coming in OT vs. the Blazers,  one against Memphis in a late ferocious comeback and  a 1 point OT win that the Jazz blew numerous opportunities in. So with the Jazz looking fro revenge and redemption right here on their own floor where they are 21-11 SU this season they look very much like viable short favs. 

 NBA Home teams vs. the money line (UTAH) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite are 83-32 SU L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors with the average point diff clicking in at +6.8 ppg.

Play on Utah to cover 

As Houston starts gearing up for the play offs, they are beginning to play lock down defence, which has been evident in their L/3 recent wins where they held Toronto, Dallas, and Philadelphia all under 95 points or less. Charlotte in their current form are alos a team the Rockets can easily shut down, and after playing last night wont be in the mood to run and gun anyway, which Im betting aids this game in staying under the set total. 

CHARLOTTE is 8-1 UNDER revenging a home loss vs opponent this season and is s 15-4 UNDER in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points over the last 2 seasons. *Houston beat them 118-113 on Feb 27th in Charlotte. The Hornets are 0-13 UNDER L/13 on the road with rest off a road game when seeking same season revenge for a loss at home with a combined average score of 185.5 ppg scored.

The Rockets are 0-10 L/10 UNDER at home with no rest after playing as a road favorite facing an opponent averaging less than 6 refereed turnovers per game with a combine average of 193.5 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (HOUSTON) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, in March games are 49-14 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Detroit played yesterday in a win vs Chicago and will now play their 6th game in 9 days and 3rd in 4 days , and fatigue could easily play a factor in their ability to extend a 4 game win streak tonight vs the Brooklyn Nets. Meanwhile, Brooklyn has also won 3 straight but are much fresher after a couple days off, and Im betting they will have the extra needed energy on their own home floor to come out of this battle on top. 

DETROIT is 11-22 ATS   when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons.DETROIT is 8-21 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. 

The Pistons are 0-12 ATS/SU as a road dog off a 10+ win as a home favorite facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end.The Pistons are 0-11 ATS /SU with no rest off a win as a favorite in which they had at least a 10 percent higher BAP than their opponent.

The Nets are 19-3 ATS/21-1 SU as a home favorite with rest off a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game.The Nets are 9-0 ATS/SU as a home favorite with rest off a road game facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5. 

NBA Underdogs vs the money line (DETROIT) - after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 43-172 L/5 seasons for a  go against 77% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Brooklyn to cover 

Detroit won 103-100 win in its season opener on Oct. 17, and Brooklyn claimed a 120-119 overtime victory on Oct. 31. Note: DETROIT is 10-2 UNDER   in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points this season with a combined average of 207.7 ppg scored.

These teams current form is different than it was back then, and according to my new projections this game should be played closer to the way the first game was played. With Detroit on tired legs having played yesterday, and this their 3rd game in 4 nights Im betting this Motown crew wont have enough energy to run and gun with the sometimes explosive Nets, and instead will rely on a more conservative defensive brand of basketball, something HC Casey has been unhappy with lately despite of getting victories. DETROIT is 12-3 UNDER  in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season and is  8-1 UNDER  when playing their 3rd game in 4 days this season and 11-1 UNDER after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher over the last 3 seasons. 

Recently Brooklyn has seen 4 straight games stay under the total, so their trending to the low side, and are 13-4 UNDER  after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games this season which just happened. 

Under is 28-10-1 in Pistons last 39 games playing on 0 days rest.Under is 11-4 in Pistons last 15 road games.Under is 27-12-1 in Pistons last 40 Monday games.Under is 32-15-4 in Pistons last 51 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Under is 4-0 in Nets last 4 overall.Under is 8-1 in Nets last 9 Monday games.Under is 4-1 in Nets last 5 games following a straight up win.Under is 4-1 in Nets last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (BROOKLYN) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, in March games are 49-13 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

Mid American Conference Tournament - First Round

Earlier this season, EMU came away with a thrilling 84-82 victory in double overtime in Muncie and overall thye matchup well vs Ball State. Eastern has held a firm advantage against Ball State in its MAC Tournament history,  having won five straight post season meetings. E.Michigan at the  Convocation Center in the MAC championship round are 6-2 lifetime .

s versus poor passing teams, averaging 12 assists/game over the last 2 seasons.BALL ST is 1-9 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season. 

 Road teams as an underdog or pick (BALL ST) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after 3 straight games where both teams score 70 points or less are 2-26 L/22 seasons for a go against 93% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on Eastern Michigan to cover 

Mid American Conference Tournament - First Round

Central Michigan won both regular-season matchups against Western Michigan this year by 21 and seven points in the W Michigan finale, and  from a records perspective it might seem that there is an obvious edge here laying the points  with the Chippewas. However, from a key power ranking post season system I consistently use, Im betting their is value with the under valued underdog. They played the Chips tough just the other day, in a strong 2nd half surge and had a 14-1 run at one point, and they now have confidence and the ability to be a headache for the Central Michigan again. 

Play on Western Michigan to cover 

  San Antonio (37-29) welcomes the league-leading Milwaukee Bucks (50-16) to its home court. Unfortunately for the Spurs they will be playing what has been a lousy guest for most of this season, as is evident by the Bucks 23-11 SU road record. On a pickem line the Bucks get my support in this spot. I know the Spurs are fresher than the Bucks , but  Milwaukee has been resilient and shown how well conditioned they are in the past as   is evident by  14-3 ATS record in road games when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last 2 seasons. The Bucks are 12-1 ATS /12-1 SU as a road favorite with no rest off a home game.

 The Bucks are 19-2 ATS /20-1 SU as a road favorite with less than two days rest off a home game in which they scored a least 18 fast break points.

The Spurs are 0-11 ATS/SU when the line is within 3 of pick with more than one day of rest off a win as a favorite facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end. 

 MILWAUKEE is 7-0 ATS  in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season this season and is 12-4 ATS  in road games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Milwaukee to cover 

Im not accusing Mark Cuban of anything other than being a highly intelligent and devious business man, when I say, that they're is a possibility and not a conspiracy theory  of him wanting his team to tank down the stretch for a higher draft pick, and maybe just maybe in closed door circumstances making his wishes known to the coaching staff. Just look at the Mavericks current run , and you get the feeling that this  is what's going on.  Also knowing that Cuban is a big time hoops fan, Im betting, if my crazy theory were right, that tanking would be put on the shelf for this one  game against instate NBA rivals Houston coming to town. Ok all tongue and cheek conspiracy theories aside, my projections say this number is a little bloated and we have value with the home dog with revenge on board to cover. 

Note: DALLAS is 21-12 ATS  revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points this season. (Rockets beat Cavs 120-104 at home earlier this season)

D'Antoni is 15-30 ATS  when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season as the coach of HOUSTON.

The Rockets are 0-11 ATS /SU on the road with rest off a win in a home game after allowing 15+ points less than Vegas projected.The Rockets are 0-13 ATS as a 8+ favorite with less than two days rest off a win facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game  .The Rockets are 3-19 ATS L/22 with rest off a 10+ win when they are off two games in which they had double-digit steals and have failed to cover 11 straight under those perimeters. 

The Mavericks are 13-0 ATS as a home dog after playing as a road dog facing an opponent averaging less than 6 refereed turnovers per game. 

NBA team (HOUSTON) - after going under the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 13-30  ATS L/5 seasons for a go against  70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Dallas to cover 

Memphis,  has won three of its past four games, including an impressive 114-104 victory over the visiting Utah Jazz last time out and must not be underestimated as short home chalk or dogs  vs the Orlando Magic here today in the spoilers role. Orlando has won 8 of their L/13 and is after a play off birth. However like Mick Jagger and the Rolling Stones state, You don't; always get what you want."  

The Magic are 0-9 ATS/SU L/9 on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with rest after playing as a home favorite. 

ORLANDO is 17-32 ATS  after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 season and s 18-34 ATS as a favorite over the last 3 seasons. 

NBA team vs the money line (MEMPHIS) - off an upset win by 10 points or more as a home underdog, on Sunday games are 30-11 SU L/5 seasons and 5-0 SU this season. 

The Grizzlies are 11-0-1 ATS L/12 at home off a 10+ win as a dog in which they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers.The Grizzlies are 10-0 ATS /9-1 SU at home off a 10+ win as a dog in which they had more than 8 times as` many field goal attempts as turnovers with the one loss coming on the last possession. The Grizzlies are 13-1 ATS L/14 at home off a 10+ win as a dog. 

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ORLANDO) - average shooting team (43.5-45.5%) against an average defensive team (43.5-45.5%), after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots are 27-53 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors.  

Play on Memphis to cover 

Atlanta is coming off a 114-112 loss to Brooklyn on Saturday night. The Hawks have dropped three straight but they are a young team with alot of promise. With Jrue Holiday out, and Anthony Davis missing form the lineup because of injuries the Pelicans are fade material here in this spot vs a hungry side, that like some other non play off  teams in the league are still playing hard as was evident yesterday. The Hawks are 16-3 ATSnwith no rest after they shot worse than 25% from beyond the arc with at least 20 attempts.

The Hawks are 8-0 ATS/SU off a loss in a home game when they shot worse than 40 percent from the field their last two. 

ATLANTA is 28-16 ATS off a home loss over the last 2 seasons.Gentry is 10-25 ATS  against Southeast division opponents as the coach of NEW ORLEANS.The Pelicans are 0-9 ATS /SU when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a loss in a home game facing an opponent averaging more than 5 blocks per game.

Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover 

Missouri Valley Conference Tournament - Championship Game - ST Louis, MO

In this tourney environment D, is of the most utmost importance and Bradely according to my cross reference rankings stands up well to a N.Iowa  offense that has average just a little more than 63 ppg on the road this season. 

N IOWA is 11-28 ATS  versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or better over the last 3 seasons.N IOWA is 9-21 ATS  after scoring 60 points or less over the last 3 season. 

BRADLEY is 13-3 ATS  after a game giving up 5 or less offensive rebounds over the last 3 seasons. BRADLEY is 8-1 ATS after allowing 55 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

CBB favorite (N IOWA) - in a game involving two poor offensive teams (63-67 PPG) after 15+ games, after a win by 6 points or less are 14-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Bradley to cover 

The Detroit Pistons took their biggest comeback of the season against the Chicago Bulls on Friday. The Bulls  will now have revenge and redemption on board for that embarrassing collapse and will play hard today and Im betting get is the cover.

The Pistons are 0-11 ATS failing to cover by more than 13 ppg as a favorite with less than two days rest after a game as a road favorite in which they scored 10 or more points in the fourth than the first quarter. 

The Bulls are 15-1 ATS on the road off a home game after allowing 50-plus points in the paint.

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CHICAGO) - tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 56-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.CHICAGO is 21-7 ATS  in road games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 3 seasons.

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 

No. 12 Houston visits 20th-ranked Cincinnati on Sunday afternoon bidding to capture its first outright league championship, but Bearcats will not go easily here on Seniors day, because if they win they get a share of the conference title. When these teams played last month the Cougars came up with a 65-58 win in bizarre game, that saw the Bearcats fail to score in the final 6 minutes of the game. Now Kevin Sampson and company travel to the Fifth Street Arena  to face a hoops program that is 6-0 in their L/6 home games and 9-0 SU L/9 at home in this series. Also Mick Cronins group is 6-1 SU/ATS in same season home revenge tilts . With that said, Im betting home court advantage will be a key factor here today in the Bearcats delivering the cash to their backers.

CBB home team (CINCINNATI) - after failing to cover the spread in 7 or more consecutive games are 45-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Cincinnati to cover 

Im betting the Suns a team on a 3 game win streak, and off allowing their last opponent to score under 100 points will try to keep the blueprint of playing a tighter brand of defensive ball continue to take its course. Meanwhile, Portland off a run and gun gruelling OT game vs the Thunder last time out will have a bit of a reversion, which Im betting helps this combined score say under the Total. 

PHOENIX in 37 games when playing against a team with a winning record this season has seen a combined average score of 221.1 ppg. PHOENIX in 44 games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season have seen a combined average score of 223.2 ppg scored. 

The Trailblazers are 0-14-1 UNDER as a home favorite after a game as a home favorite in which they had an assist percentage at least 10 worse than their season-to-date average of 193.7 ppg going on the board. The Suns are 0-11-1 UNDER L/12 as a dog off a 10+ win as a favorite when the line is at least 12 points higher than their last game. 

None of the 5 most recent games in this series dating back to last season have eclipsed this totals number that is being offered. 

Play UNDER 

Washington has the No.1 seed in the upcoming PAC 12 tourney locked up, and could find themselves less motivated than usual vs Oregon Ducks teams fighting for tourney seeding and currently playing their best basketball of the season as they enter this game on a 3 game winning streak. I know its not easy playing against the Huskies 2-3 zone D, but after already seeing it once this season, should be much more prepared then they were the first time they played  back in Oregon losing by a 61-56 count. Note: Oregon has won and covered its last two visits here.

OREGON is 17-4 ATS  off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival over the last 3 seasons, which was the case against Wash State last time out.

Altman is 41-20 ATS  in March games as the coach of OREGON.

Play on Oregon to cover 

Penney Hardaway and company have some big time pay back on board here on Seniors night, for a DD loss they suffered to Tulsa on the road back in late January, and will now be ready to hand out a similar merciless effort in this their home finale. It must be noted that Tulsa is just  1-12 ATS the last 13 in a loss vs a avenging side. 

TULSA is 0-6 ATS in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

MEMPHIS is 10-1 ATS after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons and is 31-10 ATS in home games in March games since 1997.

Play on Memphis to cover 

Wichita State in its regular season finale enters this tilt  in top form having won 8 of their L/10 games,  and 3 of their L/4 on the road and Tulane is not as they endure a 17 game losing streak and playing with little to no inspiration and will just want their pain to end here today. The Shockers will have no problem putting them out of their misery.  Note: WSU is rebuilding this year behind 10 newcomers but has faced one of the nation's toughest schedules and is now reaping the benefits of tough schedule. 

WICHITA ST is 8-0 ATS  versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games this season.WICHITA ST is 6-0 ATS  after 3 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers this season

CBB Road teams as favorite or pick (WICHITA ST) - playing only their 3rd game in a week, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a terrible team (20% or less) are 47-13 ATS L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Wichita State 

Michigan enters this game vs Big 10 and instate rival Michigan State  with revenge on board for a loss they suffered to the Spartys a couple of weeks ago at home.  The Wolverines HC Jim Beilein teams was uncharacteristically out of position alot that  night , becasue Izzo changed up his D completely.  However don't worry about old Jimmy as he  is one of the best minds in the game and will adjust accordingly this time out. It must also be noted that the Spartys Cassisus Winston played a tremendous game in that above mentioned tilt, but is now dealing with wobbly knee issues that will hamper him. He's not the only injured Spartan, as their a few guys in the walking wounded lost, and this will hamper the home side tonight vs a physical top tier Defensive side ranked 3rd in the nation in adjusted D efficiency, out looking to get even. 

Note: Michigan States been shooting the lights out of late, but teams like the Spartys hitting at 50% or better in 3 or more straight games in March dating back 6 seasons are just 8-17-1 ATS at home. 

MICHIGAN is 19-7 ATS (versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or better with a defense of 42% or less over the last 2 seasons.

CBB home team (MICHIGAN ST) - excellent FT shooting team (73% or more ) against a good FT shooting team (69-73%) after 15+ games, after 2 straight games making 50% of their shots or better are just 25-48 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on Michigan to cover 

Both these teams are struggling as we come down to the finish line, and Cal Davis in their current form should not be this big a favorite , and my projections from a mathematical perspective is a edge and a must play for advantage players. 

US Davis has failed to cover 7 of their 10 home games this season. 

UC-RIVERSIDE is 6-0 ATS  in road games versus teams who average 33 or less rebounds/game on the season after 15+games over the last 3 seasons.UC-RIVERSIDE is 10-1 ATS in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. 

CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CAL DAVIS) - off an upset loss to a conference rival as a home favorite, in a game involving two bad teams (20% to 40%) are just 35-68 ATS  L/22 seasons for a long term 66% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on UC riverside to cover 

Utah is an explosive offensive team averaging 83.4 ppf and rank first in the conference in effective field goal percentage , and have an advantage over a very average version of the UCLA Bruins. UCLA has lost 3 of their L/4 with their only win coming against lowly Cal in OT. This is not a good place to be playing sub par road ball making the Bruins fade material in this spot.

UCLA is 7-15 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. 

UCLA is 1-8 ATS  as an underdog this season.

 CBB  team (UCLA) - after 3 or more consecutive overs, an excellent offensive team (76 PPG or better) against a poor defensive team (74-76 PPG) after 15+ game are 42-75 ATS L/5 seasons for go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Utah to cover

The Nets have dominated the Hawks in  both their  meetings this season, both of which were at home. Brooklyn won those tilts by a total of 33 points, averaging 130 points in the process.Im betting they dominate again and cover as short road chalk, vs a young team that is starting to struggle again after trending upward for a while. The Nets have won four in a row overall against the Hawks and have won three straight at Atlanta dating back to March of 2017.

The Hawks are 0-9 ATS /SU  as a dog with more than one day of rest off a loss as a dog when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent.The Hawks are 6-21-1 ATS L/27 at home off a game as a dog facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end.

The Nets are 34-4-1 ATS L39 on the road with rest facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range.

NBA Road favorites (BROOKLYN) - poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%) against a horrible defensive team (47.5% or worse), in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) are 61-26 ATS L/21 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Brooklyn to cover 

The game also will mark the home coaching finale of Temple's Fran Dunphy, a Philadelphia legend who is stepping down after this season. Dunphy, 70, has gone 269-160 with the Owls and is 579-323 in his career. Im betting his team will be primed to give the old guy a top tier send off, and get him the win while at the same time bolstering their NCAA tournament qualifications. I know UCF is a very strong team, but Temple proved they could hang with them and lost a close one on the road to the Knights earlier this season, and have an edge as UCF is off two very hard fought emotional affairs and could easily be gassed entering this game. 

Play on Temple to cover 

Seeding On The Line When UTA Hosts Texas State In Regular-Season Finale and Im betitng the home team holds the edge.The Mavs have posted season highs in field goal percentage (56 & 52.7) and 3-point percentage (57.7 & 54.5) each of the last two games and are in red hot form at the perfect time.The Mavs currenty rank 22nd in the nation in 3-point percentage defense (30.4) and 57th in free-throw percentage (74.2). When these teams mets a month ago UTA playing on the road  and, facing a team picking up votes in the national polls looked like the better overall side as, UTA knocked off Texas State in double overtime, 84-77 and actually matchup well vs this squad because of their ability to conquer good shooting sides like Texas State .  TX-ARLINGTON is 10-1 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more  of their shots after 15+ games this season.

CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (TEXAS ST) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after scoring 65 points or less 4 straight games are 12-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Texas Arlington to cover 

ISU owns a top-10 offense nationally, and Im betting will give the visiting top tier Texas Red Raiders defence alot more than they can handle. Yes, I know that the Cyclones have struggled of late, but here on Seniors day their ability to play hard behind their boisterous crowd will lift them back up . Iowa Stat program has won 24 of their L/34 SU at home vs teams with better records and today Im betting they add to that number. 

ISU has won the last seven meetings in Ames, with Tech's last win at Hilton Coliseum coming in 2011.

Texas Tech is 2-19 SU and 3-18 ATS against opposition playing Last Home Games. Iowa State is 21-7 L/28 home finales. 

IOWA ST is 21-9 ATS L/20 in home games versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 39% or better  after 15+ games. 

Play on Iowa State to cover 

LIU does not deserve this big of a home court advantage vs Long Island as their home court advantage is listed at 304th in the nation according to kenpom. St.Francis has a inconsistent offense, while LIU shoots at a decent clip from beyond the arc,  and has averaged 107 points per 100 possessions during a recent run , which is something I look for in a dog. 

Take the points with Long Island to cover 

After playing the fist part other season in balls to the walls fashion, the  run and gun Sacramento Kings look like they have not paced them selves well and have run out of gas at the worst possible time as they have lost 6 of their L/8 . Today after having travelled from the West coast to the East coast, their biological clocks combined with jet lag and  exhaustion  Im betting factors into what will be a much closer game then many anticipate vs a lowly side, trying to play for their jobs in the NBA after some ugly embarrassing efforts.  Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW YORK) - in non-conference games, off 3 or more consecutive road losses are 36-9. ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

he Knicks are 19-3-1 ATS L/23 at home when they are off two games in which less than half their field goals were assisted. The Kings are 0-8 ATS/SU L/8 with more than one day of rest after playing as a home dog facing an opponent averaging less than 6 refereed turnovers per game.The Kings are 3-18 ATS L/21 as a favorite with more than one day of rest off a loss as a home dog.

Play on NY Knicks to cover 

Play NY Knicks to cover 

Auburn is alot better than their record would indicate and must not be underestimated here vs Tennessee. Outside of ugly DD losses to the Kentucky Wildcats and Ole Miss Rebels, they onlylost to the Duke Blue Devils by five points, the LSU Tigers by five points, the Wildcats  by two points.

The Tigers are also 35th in the country when it comes to three-point percentage at 37.5 percent per game and that what the Vols struggle against. With  Auburn  14-2 at home  they deserve our respect as dogs. 

The Vols haven’t faced Auburn since Jan. 2, 2018, when the Tigers lit up UT in a 94-84 win. I dont think history will repeat itself but Im betting we have enough value here with the home underdog to consider this an advantage play.

Barnes is 13-30 ATS in road games after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread in all games he has coached since 1997.

Play on Auburn  to cover 

The Thunder had lost five of six before winning 129-121 in char fought overtime at Portland on Thursday night. However, now on tired legs in a back to back situation the Thunder are at a disadvantage. Note: OKLAHOMA CITY is 2-10 ATS after a division game this season. Meanwhile, the Clippers are on a 3 game win streak and have captured victories in 4 of their L/5 overall, and have momentum coming into this game with revenge on board for a loss they suffered to the Thunder back on Dec. 15th of this season. 

The Clippers are 14-0 ATS/SU as a favorite off a win as a dog facing an opponent averaging more than 12 offensive rebounds.

Home teams vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points against opponent off an upset win as a road underdog are 91-46 L/5 seasons SU for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on LA Clippers to cover 

Detroit has won 10 of its last 12 games and are in good form but from a matchup power ranking system vs system ranking algorithm I use I m betting they're getting to much love here tonight from the lines makers. Meanwhile, Motowns home dog opponent Chicago is a team that is playing alot better of late as was evident in a win vs Philadelphia 76ers 108-107 on Wednesday and now deserve respect getting points as they go for their 7th win in 10 games . Heres what HC Lavine said of his young Bulls team. QUOTE: When you are rebuilding, you have to take your bumps and understand you have to build your way up," LaVine said. "We're a young, exciting team. We have elite firepower. We have some of the best players in the NBA on this team, I feel like. And we're going to change it around really fast." END QUOTE.

Chicago has covered 4 of the L/5 meetings here in Illinois. 

CHICAGO is 7-0 ATS L/7 when playing 8 or more games in 14 days this season. ( Their young legs buoy them)

DETROIT is 8-21 ATS  in road games after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 3 seasons.DETROIT is 5-15 ATS in road games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons. 

The Pistons are 0-16 ATS/SU on the road off a 10+ win as a home favorite facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end. 

The Bulls are 6-0 ATS/SU with less than two days rest off a game as a dog after out scoring their opponent in the paint by double digits.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (DETROIT) - after beating the spread by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 21-55 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate and 2-14  SU this season.

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 

The Raptors  are coming off a 107-95 home loss to Houston on Tuesday and are currently in their worst form of the season as they embark on a 3 game road trip.  Thats not a good omen for Dino supporters here tonight, as in the past the the Raptors are 0-10 ATS/SU L/10 with rest off a loss when they are at the start of a three game road trip. Hey I  know New Orleans is not a side that will inspire many bettors but from a mathematical standpoint Im betting we have value and an advantage with the home side here tonight. Also believe it or not the Pelicans are a more cohesive group without Anthony Davis in the lineup. It just so happens Davis will probably be side lined from now until the end of the year (injury) , which will lift this team up instead of demoralize them. because of his refusal to want anything to do with this group going forward. NO is off a home loss last time out to Utah snapping a 3 game win streak. From a trends perspective that is also good news as  NEW ORLEANS is 12-0 ATS off a home loss this season. Bounce back time.

TORONTO is 11-23 ATS  versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season. TORONTO is 10-19 ATS  as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.

Take the points with New Orleans to cover 

  Ohio  (13-16, 5-12 MAC) play their final game of the season tonight at Convocation Center one final t  when the Bobcats host Mid-American Conference East foe Miami (15-15, 7-10 MAC) for the second edition of the 'Battle of the Bricks.Friday night's game will serve as Ohio's Senior Night, and I expect the Bobcats to be in top form. Ohio has registered an impressive 508-167 (.756) all-time record at the Convocation Center, which opened in 1968 and n four-plus seasons under HC Phillips, Ohio has gone 56-25 (.708) at home and get the nod again in revenge mode for the lopsided 79-59 loss they suffered earlier in MAC play on the road to the Redhawks. Note: OHIO U is 37-17 ATS in home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 75 or more points. 

Bobcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.Bobcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. Mid-American.

MIAMI OHIO is 0-6 ATS  after playing a game as a home favorite this season.(Miami coming off of a 75-66 loss at home against Kent State on March 5 as chalk)

home team vs. the money line (OHIO U) - revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more, off a close loss by 3 points or less to a conference rival are 40-30 SU 5 seasons for a 57%+ conversion rate last 5 seasons. 

Play on Ohio to cover 

Yale  despite of already clinching an Ivy League spot in the play off tourney is very much in the hunt for the Ivy League championship and the No. 1 seed in the four-team tournament. The Bulldogs, are guaranteed at least a share of the Ivy League championship with a pair of victories this weekend. The winner of the Ivy Tournament receives the league's automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament. The league champion is determined by the final regular season standings. so needless to say Yale is playing for something big here. Penn are no pushovers, but it must be noted that YALE is 6-0 ATS  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) this season. 

Tenacious rebounding is the Bulldogs, calling card and tonight Im betting that will be the difference maker in this key road game. Note: Yale also is second in the country in defensive rebounds per game (30.64), 29th in field goal percentage defense (40.6 percent) and 31st in rebounding margin (+5.3).

The Bulldogs are 18-1 when they outrebound their opponents

YALE is 8-0 ATS versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons

PENNSYLVANIA is 0-6 ATS (versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or better with a defense of 42% or better  over the last 2 seasons.

Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Bulldogs are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 Friday games.Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games following three or more consecutive home games.Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Bulldogs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Bulldogs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Bulldogs are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 vs. Ivy League.

Quakers are 15-35-2 ATS in their last 52 Friday games.Quakers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games.Quakers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.Quakers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 vs. Ivy League.Quakers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Quakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.Quakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.Quakers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.

Play on Yale to cover 

Brown comes into the Ivy League's final weekend with the ability to control its own destiny in earning a berth in the four team Ivy League Tournament if they can notch two victories this weekend starting with the Tigers. With Princeton already in the tourney they are far from in desperation mode, and might be saving their best for tomorrows senior night finale and the conference championship round thus giving us value with a Bears side that needs and wants to win badly. Brown, who leads the Ivy League scoring defense (68.7 ppg) and 3-point FG defense (.302), and ranks second in the Ivy League in and field goal defense (.417)  must not be underestimated here getting points in this type of situation. 

Tigers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Road team is 6-2 ATS L/8 in this series. 

Play on Brown to cover 

Oklahoma City enters this game on a 0-8 ATS run with the 2 wins during that streak coming by 4 points and 1 point respectively. All 8 games however, saw the Thunder struggle, and they are in struggling form, against a team playing at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum, as Portland comes homes off a 6-2 SU road trip and have been money in the bank for their backers for a while now cashing tickets 7 of their L/8 trips to the hardwood. I know Oklahoma City has won all three games in this series this season, but now with triple revenge on board Im betting on a big effort from the home team and subsequent cover.

The Thunder are 0-9 ATS/SU as a road dog with rest off a game as a dog when they won 2 straight vs current opponent. 

OKLAHOMA CITY is 1-10 ATS  after a division game this season. PORTLAND is 21-11 ATS  in home games this season. 

PORTLAND is 10-1 ATS  versus lower tier defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.PORTLAND is 8-1 ATS  versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or worse - 2nd half of the season this season

NBA Road underdogs (OKLAHOMA CITY) - vs. division opponents, off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite are 4-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Portland to cover 

The Lopes (18-10, 10-4 WAC) can finish alone in second place for the first time in their six-year WAC history if they sweep this week's road trip and will be playing hard tonight  in the first of those two games against a tough team to beat at home in the Wolverines (27-2 L/29 at home) . However, if there is a team other than New Mexico State that matches up well vs Utah Valley its the Lopes. They get my money here tonight to cover in a game that should be a pickem. 

Grand Canyon to cover