Two rivals the Chicago Bulls and the the banged up Cleveland Cavaliers go head to head tonight in a prime time battle that Im betting will be a hard fought one. The Cavaliers have recently been slumping and the players have echoed their frustration , but have not shown any urgency in their tones,  or performance on the court as HC Lue said his long term focus is on  the post season and staying healthy. With that said, look for a hungry and desperate Bulls team to come out here and give it their all ,as they vie for a post season appearance vs what looks to be a Cavaliers team just gojng through the motions. I know the Bulls have struggled, of late but they have matched up well against the Cavaliers, winning all three meetings this season and wont go down easily in this spot, as they are well rested and are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 3 or more days rest.

CLEVELAND is 13-22 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record this season and  are just 15-22 ATS on the road including 1-4 ATS L/5 overall. Bulls are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and are are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

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Two injury-riddled teams  the  Atlanta Hawks and   Philadelphia 76ers go head to head on Wednesday night in the City of Brotherly Love.  Both sides are off wins last night. The Sixers upset the Nets as road dogs, and the Hawks took a victory over the lowly Suns, but failed to cover. Looking at a long term data base, as part of tonight's handicapping analysis  my betting direction centered on the struggling Hawks ability to notch a 2nd straight win vs a side trying to do the same. My attention also focuses on   my player to player systems matchups which  centers on bench strength , which favors the Hawks. Also it must be noted that Philadelphia is coming home, off 5 straight road games, and will take time to acclimate themselves to their own digs, which I'm betting will be an advantage to the visitors. I know both these teams do not inspire bettors, but according to my own humble opinion is that the Hawks are a very viable betting option in this particular spot. 

ATLANTA is 21-9 ATS  in road games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasonPHILADELPHIA is 4-13 ATS ( when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. 

NBA teams  teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the 76ers - off an upset win as a road underdog, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season,are just 22-51 ATS in their followup tilt. NBA Home underdogs like Philadelphia  - after playing 2 consecutive road games, playing on back-to-back days are 45-76 ATS datng back 5 seasons. Also NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 Hawks - after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days are 71-37 ATS for 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Atlanta to cover 1 unit reg selection 

NIT - Semifinals - Madison Square Garden - New York, NY

TCU after suffering through a 7 game losing streak at the end of the season, finally came to life with surprising wins vs Oklahoma and schizophrenic Kansas before being blown out by explosive Iowa State in the Big 12 Tournament. They have won all 3 of the NIT games , but now  against a unfimiliar and tenacious defense first opponent UCF , Im betting they will have problems, keeping their offensive flow alive  It must be noted that UCF held a potent Cincinnati Bearcats team to 49 points in a win back o Feb 26, and if they can repeat that type of game plan here, which I beleive they can, a upset as underdogs is not far fetched. Thus taking the points with them is  a very viable option.

UCF is 7-1 ATS L/8 in all tournament games this season and 9-1 SU L/10 overall with their only loss coming to to top tier SMU hoops program.TCU is 0-6 ATS  in road games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games dating back to last year and is 2-10 ATS  in road games off a home win. TCU is 0-7 ATS L/7 vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game after 15+games over the last 2 seasons and is 7-20 ATS  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games during the same time peremiters. 

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Brooklyn has showed remarkable improvements over the last month, and  have been very competitive covering 9 of their L/12 overall and have also  won 3 of their L/4 overall , with the one loss coming to a strong Washington Wizards team. Meanwhile, the visiting Philadelphia 76ers have lost 11 of their L/14 games, and will now go against a team with revenge on board, for a 105-95 loss here at home back on Jan 8. With that said, I'm betting on the Nets getting the revenge they want. 

BROOKLYN is 8-1 ATS  in home games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread this season.76ers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Nets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

From a NBA Trends data base: NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the 76ers - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (45.5-47.5%), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a poor rebounding team (-3 to -5.5 reb/game) are 9-32 ATS dating back 5 seasons, Favorites like the Nets - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 46% or more on the season, after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 35% or less are 26-5 ATS for a 84% conversion rate for betting backers.

Brooklyn to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Miami has some back court injury issues they are dealing with at the moment. Which is not a good omen for their chances tonight, vs their struggling but desperate hosts Detroit. It must be noted that the Heat have lost three of its last four games with shooting guard Dion Waiters (15.8 ppg) on the sidelines with ankle injury. Guess what he is expected to be out again tonight, which I'm betting effects the Heats flow. Also key cog Hassan Whiteside, has a cut hand that is still healing and other nagging injuries that are slowing him which is another reason for a negative outlook for the Heat tonight. Add to that Dragic is also banged up with a sore hip, and you can see that Heat are getting far to much respect from the linesmakers in ths spot. . With that said, I feel that the Heat are fade material tonight despite of having the superior team when healthy. DETROIT is 9-1 ATS L/10 home games when playing against a team with a losing record and is 9-1 ATS vs. teams who are called for 2+ more fouls/game than their opponents - 2nd half of the season over the last couple of seasons. DETROIT is 14-4 ATS L/18 in home games after having lost 4 of their last 5 games. Detroit won both games in this series this season and are 4-1 SU/ATS L/5 here in Motown.
 

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Milwaukee is a team that has won 11 of their L/14 games. and still looking very much like a side on the rise in the NBA. Yes, they had a bad game last time out, vs the Bulls,  but after their previous two losses they bounced back, and I once again expect another rebound in this spot. Meanwhile, despite of Charlotte playing decent ball at the moment, the Hornets  are still very inconsistent, which was evident last time against the  the Phoenix  Suns. In that tilt, the Hornets ran out to a huge 17-1 lead, and up 22 points at the  half, and were up by  25 in the third quarter. But  than the wheels fell of the proverbial apple cart . Towards the end of the game they  were up just 105-101 before pulling away late for the victory.  that was ugly and told me a story of a team with problems.My own power ranking suggest their wildly erratic play , and player to players systems do not match-up well vs a Bucks side that can perform well vs best teams in the NBA, especially  at their current level of over all play.

CHARLOTTE is 1-8 ATS after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread this season.CHARLOTTE is 3-14 ATS  after playing 2 consecutive home games this season. Milwaukee has covered 5 straight meetings here in Charlotte. The road team is 11-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings.

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It seems the media in general is proclaiming that the Cleveland Cavaliers are on a down trend, and that LeBron James is degrading and has lost a step and that the Cavaliers defense is not of a championship quality. Now with all detractors out in full force, the Cavaliers visit another top tier team the San Antonio Spurs. I have alot of respect for the Spurs, but tonight Im betting on James ,who is now, entering this tilt with a big chip on his shoulder, to rally the troops and come out here with a all out effort in what I expect to be a subsequent cover.

Spurs are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall.Spurs are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games.Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.Road team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings and the Cavaliers are 2-0 ATS L/2 visits to San Antonio. It must be noted that the Spurs are on a 4 game win streak, but are just 5-14 ATS after 4 or more consecutive wins this season.

Cleveland to cover 1 unit reg selection

CBI Tournament - Championship Series - Game 1 (Best of 3)

Championships are usuallywon with top tier defesne, and with that said,  tonight despite of both teams ability to score in bunches , Im betting on a more phsycial slower paced affair, especially here in game 1 as both tems feel each other out in conservative fashion. COASTAL CAROLINA in their L/6 in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts after 15+ games over the last few seasons have seen an average of 131.2 ppg.WYOMING   in 14  non-conference games this season have seen a combined average of 148.4 ppg go on the scoreboard. Coastal Carolina in their L/10 after taking part in a fairly high scoring game where 155 ppg were put on the board, have followed up with a combined score of 140.4 ppg going on the scoreboard. Wyoming off a home win going on the road have seen a combined score of 133.4 ppg get scored, spanning a fairly decent 23 game sample size.COASTAL CAROLINA is 13-5 UNDER  when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 137.13 ppg going on the board.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

The only two losses Denver has suffered in their L/8 games have come to the explosive Houston Rockets. Since those losses, the Nuggets have shot 50 percent from the field and have missed only three of their 56 free throws in their last two games. Meanwhile, New Orleans despite of playing better of late, with Cousins and Anthony jelling, this particular matchup is not a good one for them ,as they will be in a letdown state and on tired legs in a high altitude after running and gunning but losing to the Rockets last time out. The Nuggets beat the Pelicans 107-102 in the season opener on Oct. 26 despite Davis' 50 points and 15 rebounds, and Im betting on a repeat performance here from the Nuggets  and more importantly a cover. DENVER is 15-6 ATS L/21 versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game and is 21-11 ATS  versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game and make 6 or more treys per game.

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Kentucky started slow this season, but as time progressed this group of top tier collegiate players has now become a force to be reckoned with, both defensively and on offense. After taking down UCLA on Friday night, it has become apparent to me that this team has arrived and are now playing with a chip on their shoulders, which is not a good thing for their opponents the North Carolina Tar Heels. With  Monk and Fox at the  top of their game and the Wildcats D, playing shutdown hoops, I'm betting Roy Williams team will find the sledding very tough and could easily end up on the wrong side of the scoreboard when the final buzzer goes. With that said, getting points for me is a solid investment option. 

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The explosive Houston Rockets host the Oklahoma City Thunder in a game between to hot teams that could face each other in the play offs. With that said, despite of the Thunder playing some very good hoops at the moment, I still rank them well below the Houston Rockets in head to head play, especially here in Texas. With the Rockets out looking to establish dominance over a potential post season partner, I expect they will be very primed here at home to make a statement.  Look for key offensive catalyst James Harden  to be the deal breaker today. The stars current streak of four straight games with at least 30 points and 10 assists is the longest since Michael Jordan accomplished the task in five consecutive contests in 1988-89.

This from a NBA team vs team ATS data base: Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Rockets - a top tier team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games of the season, after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games are a bankroll expanding 39-10 ATS for a 80% conversion rate for betting backers.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-20 ATS L/26 in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 and is 2-11 ATS L/13 in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season and s 1-8 ATS  in road games after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread this season.Thunder HC Donovan is 5-16 ATS  in road games versus  Top tier  offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game, losing SU by an average of 7.6 ppg.

Thunder are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Rockets are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 vs. Western Conference.Thunder are 1-8 ATS in the last 9 meetings.

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College Insider Tournament - Quarterfinals

The UMBC Retrievers explosive offense has averaged 86.2 ppg as hosts and have been tough to beat at home this year, posting an 11-4 SU record at the RAC Arena. Meanwhile, Liberty plays decent defense, but from a offensive perspective averaging just 66.6 ppg  I'm betting they don't have the guns, to keep pace as this tilt progresses. Also from a cross conference player to player and systems matchup perspective the home team has the edge. 

Play on UMBC to cover 

Atlanta has lost 6 straight games, and are getting more frustrated by the day, as their once strong play off hopes slightly fade. Meanwile, Brooklyn despite of getting hammered by one of the leagues top teams last night the Wizards, are playing some overall good hoops and have covered 8 of their L/10 games overall. Nothing comes easy for the Hawks,and Im betting that is once again the case tonight, against a Nets team that is currently capable of running and gunning with some of the better teams in the East . In their most recent meeting on March 8 Atlanta did win 110-105 but failed to cover as 10 point dogs. The linesmakers have lowered the Hawks favorite status here, but it is still bloated in my humble betting opinion. When the Hawks are slumping they have not been a good bet in the past, as HC Budenholzer is 5-18 ATS  after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games.ATLANTA is 18-29 ATS  as a favorite this season.

Brooklyn Nets to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Kansas dismantled its first three opponents of this tournament, and are now 6 point opening chalk.I know how much love Kansas is now getting, but according to my own cross conference reference match-ups data base, Oregon matches up very well against them, and their guard heavy attack behind Mason. You have to remember this was a Ducks team, that had to deal with speedy attack oriented PAC 12 teams like Arizona and UCLA this season, so they will be well prepared for this tilt.  With that said, what I expecting to happen is that Oregon will win the rebounding battle behind under rated Jordan Bell, like they did against Michigan and control the interior game,  which will free up Dillion Brooks and Dorsey to pound down points in bunches from the inside and perimeter. I won't be surprised if Oregon pulls off the upset, but the prudent position here to take the points.

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College Insider Tournament - Quarterfinals

To put this simply St.Peters has really come together as a team, winning 8 of their L/9 and have been playing some great two way basketball for a month and half. According to my own numbers, they should come out this with a conclusive victory as a pickem or short chalk vs a lucky to have gotten this far Texas State squad.

ST PETERS is 8-0 ATS  after allowing 55 points or less this season which  happened against a pretty decent Albany hoops program last time out .ST PETERS is 13-1 ATS  in road lined games this season.

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In what could be a possible play off matchup, the Utah Jazz and Los Angeles Clippers square off Saturday at Staples Center. These teams don;t seem to like each other much, so both should be prepared to play tonight.The Jazz are coming off a 108-101 win on Thursday over the New York Knicks, which ended  a three-game losing string, but while watching that game, the Jazz truly looked a little tired to me. Their tenacious defense first type of play not only tires their opponents but also themselves, and that at least to me is apparent at the moment.With key components Derek Favors and and Shelvin Mack expected to not play tonight, and this being their 5th road game in their L/6 games, Im betting their tired legs will not serve them well tonight. Meanwhile, the Clippers lost 97-95 to the host Dallas Mavericks on Thursday and are now 7-7 in March. Their Dr.Jeckyll and Mr.Hyde outputs may be troubling, but this is still a solid overall team,  with the likes of Chris Paul and Blake Griffin patrolling the hardwood.  The Clippers are 23-11 at home in Staples this season, outscoring their opponents by an average of 8 ppg. 

UTAH is 1-8 ATS L/9 as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season and 13-28 ATS  as a road underdogs dating back to last season.

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Wisconsin with 5 returning starters and one of the best players in the nation Nigel Hayes patrolling the hardwood are a team that stands out as a strong side, that deserves an elite 8 appearance.  The Badgers matchup very well against the Florida Gators especially in the paint, and in what promises to be a physical affair their superior interior play will be the difference maker.

Florida when off a low scoring physical game like they took part in last time out, in a 65-39 win vs Virginia, are just 1-11 ATS L/12 after a combined score of 115 points or less went of the scoreboard.

Wisconsin to cover 1 unit reg selection 

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

NCAA - East Regional Semifinals - Madison Square Garden - New York, NY

After upsetting Duke the pundits have come out of the woodwork in support of S.Carolina. Im betting instead, a huge letdown is in order and the S.Carolina returns to be a just above average SEC team, that is fortunate to have made this far. Remember this is the same Gamecocks team that lost 5 of their L7 regular games of the season. Meanwhile, according to my own numbers Baylor should be a 6 point fav, here, so at least according to my own power rankings and player to player matchup systems we have value with the Bears in the SWEET SIXTEEN. 


S CAROLINA is 0-6 ATS L/6 versus good rebounding teams like Baylor - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game after 15+games, losing SU by an average of 10.6 ppg.S CAROLINA is 0-9 ATS L/9 after 2 or more consecutive overs .BAYLOR is 10-2 ATS L/12 as a neutral court favorite of 3 points or less or pick.

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Cleveland enters this game having lost 2 of their L/3, but they match up very well vs their hosts tonight the Charlotte Hornets, as is evident by winning three straight meetings this season, including a 121-109 beatdown here in Charlotte back on Dec 31. With that said, and as the play offs approach, the defending champions are trying to strategiclly  rest players but at the same time maintain momentum. After their recent mini downturn, Im sure their will be an uregency to get things moving in the right direction again and they will be in top form in this spot, with the core of the team healthy and  expected to play. Meanwhile, despite of Charlotte playing better of late and on a 3 game winning  streak, are a team that is wildly inconsistent, and in the lower tier levels of  my power rankings. 

CHARLOTTE is 3-11 ATS L/13 revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points this season  .CHARLOTTE is 0-7 ATS L/7 after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread this season.Cavaliers are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 vs. NBA Southeast.Hornets are 4-10 ATS in their L/14 home games.Cavaliers are 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings all as favorites.

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NCAA - South Regional Semifinals - FedExForum - Memphis, TN

Right or wrong Im not a big believer in this version of the North Carolina Tar Heels. Yes they are a quality team with great pedigree, but this group in my humble opinion does not have what it takes to be a solid elite 8 or final 4 team and if they do get by this hardworking and tenacious Butler side that recently beat Villanova , it won;t come easily. 

N CAROLINA is 1-7 ATS L/8 in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game like Butler. BUTLER is 10-1 ATS versus top tier  teams like North Carolina  - shooting 45% or more of their shots with a defense of 42% or better this season and is 8-1 ATS L/9 in road games vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game.BUTLER is 12-2 ATS  versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game this season. BUTLER is 6-0 ATS L/6  in road games when playing with 5 or 6 days rest dating back to last season  and BUTLER is 6-0 ATS  in a post-season tournament game over the last few seasons.

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 The LA Clippers enter this game against their hosts the Dallas Mavericks , with momentum as they chase the down the Utah Jazz for 4th seed in the Western Conference play off race. I am expecting the Clippers who are on a three game winning streak  to be primed on keeping the pedal to metal in this spot vs a struggling  Mavericks team that has lost 4 of their L/6 overall SU/ATS. The Clippers have won the last 2 visits here to Dallas, and get the nod again. 

Mavericks are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Clippers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

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The Brooklyn Nets looked like they had won a champinship when they hit a buzzer beater last time out in a win vs the Detroit Pistons (98-96). Now in an emotional letdown state I expect the Brooklyn Nets to have prblems dealing with another lower tier team the Phoenix Suns. Incidently it must be noted that the Nets have not won two straight games in almost a year, and have failed to make it two wins in a row in their L/13 tries overall. If they do get it tonight, Im betting it won;t come easily and that the vistors cover. I know the Suns do not inspire bettors, but these teams are more evenly matched than the pundits might think, at least according to my own player to player matchup systems indicate.

PHOENIX is 17-6 ATS L/23 in road games vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game. Phoenix is 21-12 ATS L/23 as a underdog o 3.5 to 9.5 points. Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Suns are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Atlantic.Nets are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Nets are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 home games.Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings

This is a long erm  league wide ATS trend  from a NBA data base : Road underdogs like the Suns- after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after a win by 6 points or less are 40-8 ATS L/48 for a powerful 83% conversion rate for betting backers.

Phoenix Suns to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Despite of Heat star Hassan Whiteside being less than 100% with a lacerated hand, I still like the Heat at home tonight vs their rivals the Toronto Raptors, who are also expected to be without key component Sege Ibaka (suspension). Last season these teams took part in a closely contested play off series, that the Heat won, and could face each other in the play offs again. With that said, I expect the Heat to be very focused on sending a message to the visitors tonight prior to the above mentioned post season possbilites.
The Raptors have not done well against the Southeast division of late failing to cover in 7 their last 8. Meanwhile, the Raptors despite of winning three straight and off a win last tim out are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win. Meanwhile, the Heat are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record and are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.


MIAMI is 9-0 ATS L/9 when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season and is 13-5 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.Heat are 16-4-1 ATS in their last 21 games playing on 1 days rest.Favorite is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings.Home team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

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NCAA - West Regional Semifinals - SAP Center - San Jose, CA

Gonzaga point guard Nigel Williams-Goss will be important cog for his team against the Mountaineers' press.  This kids ability to protect the ball, and adjust to pace will be an important factor in Gonzaga's quest to move forward. The Mountaineers biggest weakness  is their lack of a over powering  center who  can match up against Gonzaga's huge  7-foot-1 300 pound player Przemek Karnowski, and Im betting this will be a key deciding factor as the game progresses and gets more physical. I know we are hearing alot about the Mounties defense, but the Zags must not be underestimated , and Im treating their big turnover anomaly in the 2nd half of their last game vs Northwestern as nothing more than a ghostly aberration by the time this tilt comes to an end.

GONZAGA is 12-3 ATS  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season winning SU by an average of 15.8 ppg and 8-2 ATS  versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game this season winning SU by an average 11.5 ppg. 

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For whatever reason its become apparent of late that Indiana is having alot of problems on the road, as compared to home. The Pacers do play a more conservative style on the road, and are also playing a better overall brand of defensive hoops, which has culminated in alot of lower scoring tilts. For example, the Pacers have scored less than 99 points, in 7 of their L/8 away games, and in 6 straight, scoring 99,97,88,85,81,91 respectively. Also in their L/10 games only one combined score has eclipsed todays total. Meanwhile, Boston, as the season progressed have based their successes and failures on playing a top tier brand of basketball, which has resulted, in 17 of their L/21 games staying on the low side of the Total and have gone under in 8 of their 9 March match-ups with an average of 205.3 ppg going on the scoreboard. These teams did take part in a 109-102 affair in Indiana that the Celtics won back on Dec 22, but based on how the teams are playing now, Im betting on a lower aggregated score that comes in at no more than 201-204 combined points. With that said, Im recommending we take the under. 

In Indiana's L/21 games when playing their third game in 4 days, they have seen a combined score of 203.7 ppg go on the board. INDIANA is 32-19 UNDER  revenging a same season loss vs opponent dating back to last season with a combined average of 204 ppp going on the scoreboard. Boston's HC McMillian is 118-87 under when the total is 200 to 209.5 in all games he has coached with this team, with a combined average score 200.4 ppg getting scored. Under is 6-0 in Pacers last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 13-3 in Pacers last 16 road games.Under is 23-8 in Pacers last 31 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 20-6-1 in Celtics last 27 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 7-1-1 in Celtics lThree of the L/4 games played in Boston in this series have gone under.

Play on UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

Golden State looks ready to rev up as the play offs approach, as was the case last night in fairly easy road win in Oklahoma City  vs the Thunder by a 111-95 count. The mighty Warriors after a short slump have now won four straight, and three straight by Double digits blowouts, and must be respected in their current form. Meanwhile, Dallas after winning 5 of 6 games, between Feb 25 to March 10, have since been slumping losing 3 of 5, two of which came against the lowly Sixers and Suns. Right now I'm not liking what I see from the Mavericks, despite of getting a win vs a less than prime time Brooklyn Nets last time out. In my own view the Mavericks look a little ragged and exhausted as  the age of their key players, is becoming an issue here in the stretch drive when a high energy level is needed . Tonight, despite of HC Kerrs propensity to rest starters , I expect Dubs key offensive catalyst Curry to play, because of the matchup between him and his brother has been highlighted by the NBA and their  media pundits. With that said, I am recommending we lay the points with the road Warriors. 

GOLDEN STATE is 27-13 ATS L/24 after 2 straight blowout wins by 15 points or more and  is 44-26 ATS  as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. Warriors are 9-1 SU L/9 in this series.

Golden State to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 The Pelcians Anthony Davis and his side kick DeMarcus Cousins are currently playing at a very hight level,  and in good form as they host the Memphis Grizzlies tonight. With the twin tower super stars finally starting to jell, and the Pelicans winning 4 of their L/5, Im expecting good things from them here tonight vs a Dr.Jeckyll and Mr.Hyde Grizzlies. After losing five straight, Memphis has won four consecutive tilts, including a 104-96 home win on Saturday over San Antonio. That hard fought win against the Spurs however, Im betting will take its toll on the team, and have them in an emotional letdown situation in this spot, even though they are on two days rest. You have to remember the Grizzlies cant rest starters , as they play hard for a play off birth, and with this being their 6th game in 10 days they will still be on tired legs.NEW ORLEANS is 15-7 ATS  in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season.

Play on the New Orleans Pelicans to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Bulls despite of their struggles enter this game against their hosts the Toronto Raptors  playing decently without Dwayne Wade in the lineup, who will miss the rest of the season with assorted nagging injuries. Chicago took out  the Utah Jazz 95-86 on Saturday at the United Center, as they showed some unexpected life, and previous to that played a very good Wizards team tough in a 112-107 loss covering as dogs. Butler scored 23 points against Utah and looks suddenly reenergized which is a good thing for the Bulls going forward and more importantly as far as we are concerned tonight. Meanwhile, Toronto is still trying to find an identity with their star Kyle  Guard Lowry sidelined, alternating defensive strategies and run and gun attack systems  as was evident in recent win vs Detroit, 87-75 and than Indiana 116-91 smack down of the Pacers. In this matchup and according to  my own player to player and systems matchup analysis, the Bulls match up well against the Raptors, making the visitors viable underdogs in this spot.It must be also noted that this Bulls franchise has owned the Raptors in the recent past as is evident by having won 11 in a row against Toronto, including twice this season, and Toronto as mentioned above will be hard pressed to get a victory here and or cover.

CHICAGO is 25-11 ATS  L/36 versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game. Torontos HC Casey is 3-16 ATS  revenging 2 consecutive straight up losses to opponent as a favorite.

Play on the Chicago Bulls  to cover 

NIT - Quarterfinals

On Sunday night the Richmond Spiders played a heck of a game against a very good Oakland Basketball program and showed their immense fortitude by pulling off a 87-83 victory, despite of not covering the spread. Meanwhile, TCU despite of a decent run in the Big 12 Conference tournament, and recent wins in the NIT vs Iowa and Fresno State, still do not inspire confidence in me. You have to remember that his same TCU squad lost 7 straight previous to this run, and their L/3 victories have been squeakers and very closely contested. Tonight I expect another battle, and for the never say die Spiders to get us the cover.

RICHMOND is 7-0 ATS  when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season.TCU is 9-22 ATS L/31 in home games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game.TCU is 5-12 ATS  L/17 when playing against a team with a winning record.RICHMOND is 8-0 ATS  after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread this season.TCU is 9-23 ATS L/31 in home games when playing their 2nd game in 3 days.

Play on the Richmond Spiders to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Boise State is a pretty good team, and has a solid hoops program, but even against a average at best Big 10 team are at a distinct disadvantage. Illinois is a side that has beaten teams like Northwestern Nebraska, Mich State  this season and a decent second tier conference side Valparaiso by a 82-57 count to start this tournament. Thus crushing Boise State won;t come as a surprise, which warrants a wager on the home team

Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Illinois  - team from a major division 1-A conference against a team from a second tier conference, off a home blowout win by 20 points or more are 70-35 ATS for a 67% conversion rate for bettors, dating back almost 21 seasons.

.ILLINOIS is 8-0 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Illinois to cover 1 unit reg selection 

. Utah is ending  a four-game road trip tonight at Indiana. They dropped the last two games in their travels to Cleveland and Chicago, falling 95-86 to the Bulls on Saturday night, and looked exhausted in  doing so. The Jazz play a very physical and tenacious style of basketball that not only wears it opponents down, but also has a way of burning them out to . I really like Utah , and their style of play, but Im betting their legs won't support them in this spot. Meanwhile, Indiana enters this game having alternated wins and losses over their L/12 games. All the losses have come on the road . They lost last time out to Toronto 116-91 on the road, and now Im betting on a rinse in repeat situation here tonight, at home sweet home where they are 24-10 SU on the season.

INDIANA is 9-0 ATS L/9 in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing 98 or less points/game like Utah dating back to last season.

Play on the Indiana Pacers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

This is a matchup of the Western Conference's worst club against the Eastern Conference's best.The Lakers lost to the Bucks 107-103 in a physical contest that resulted in the ejection of Young and teammate D'Angelo Russell fro their last game. The kids brought alot of energy into that tilt, as they play for roster positions next year and a attempt to garner some respect from their opponents. I expect these kids will play this game like its for a championship tonight and will not be easily dismantled. Meanwhile, Cleveland looked lifeless in a lopsided 108-78 loss  with LeBron James, Kyrie Irving and Kevin Love resting vs the  LA Clippers last night , and I wont be surprised if one or more of these guys rest again tonight or see  alot of bench minutes during this matchup vs an inferior side. Cavs are  just 1-8 ATS L/9 in road games when playing on back-to-back days this season.

Take the points with the LA Lakers to cover 1 unit reg selection

NIT - Second Round

My estimates and player to player matchup and systems charts , give Oakland an edge as dogs, and their is also a 50% chance or better according to my own proprietary program that shows Oakland is strong SU upset possibility. However,  with that said, taking points is our best  and most prudent option here. 

OAKLAND is 16-6 ATS L/22 when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) .OAKLAND is 10-2 ATS  as a road underdog or pick dating back to last season. RICHMOND is 3-11 ATS  in home games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Oakland to cover 1 unit reg selection 

NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Golden 1 Center - Sacramento, CA

Oregon lost big man Chris Boucher (ACL) back on March 11, but this team has enough weapons, to be able to handle a Rhode Island side that despite of being talented is in over their heads in this matchup.

RHODE ISLAND is 1-8 ATS L/9 in road games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game like the Ducks.OREGON is 11-4 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots this season.

CBB  Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Oregon - team from a major division 1-A conference against a team from a second tier conference, after a cover as a double digit favorite are 97-55 ATS in the follow up for a 64% conversion rate for bettors.OREGON HC Altman is 10-1 ATS  L/11  in a neutral court game where the total is 130 to 139.5 .

Play on the Oregon Ducks to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Miami Heat continue to be on fire as is evident by a 23-5 SU run , that after a ugly 11-30 start to their season. This Miami team has something referred to by sports pundits as chemistry, and along with their work ethic are a hard team to play against. Meanwhile, their opponents the Blazers are also hot, and off two straight road underdog wins, but are also on tired legs as they played last night  and  playing their 5th straight road game, and 7th game in 10 days. It must be noted that 

NBA teams like the Blazers - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days are just 8-32 ATS for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors dating back 21 seasons. With that said, I am betting the hard working Heat take advantage of a tired Portland team tonight and get us the cover.

MIAMI is 10-0 ATS  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts winning SU by an average of 11.2 ppg and is 7-0 ATS L/7 when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) winning those tilts by an average of 12.5 ppg.

MIAMI is 10-1 ATS L/11 after successfully covering the spread in 5 or more consecutive games this season. MIAMI is 8-0 ATS  off 2 or more consecutive home wins this season.PORTLAND is 3-12 ATS  after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season.

Play Miami to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The New Orleans Pelicans showed they had some life , last time out by defeating the explosive Houston Rockets by a 128-112 count as underdogs. They won that game without DaMarcus Cousins, who sat  and rested because of injury issues. Some media sources, hinted towards the Pelicans playing better without Cousins. I am sure the sensitive super star heard the rumblings and now with his ego fully bruised, I expect he will be ready to prove the pundits wrong. Meanwhile, their opponents tonight the Minnesota Wolves, playing with a banged up group, and on tired legs as they play 6 games in 9 days,  have lost 3 of their L/4, and are finally succumbing to the absence of guard Zach Lavine (ACL) and C Niola Pekovic (Ankle). Don;t get me wrong the Wolves , are a team on the rise, but tonight Im betting they are a disadvantage in this matchup in the Bayou. Note:MINNESOTA is 5-13 ATS  in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season, which happened last time out, when they lost 123-105 to the Heat.

Play on the New Orleans Pelicans to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

NCAA Tournament - Second Round - BOK Center - Tulsa, OK

HC Izzos Michigan St must not be underestimated, vs a extremely good but over rated Kansas side. My own numbers suggest we have value in player to player and systems match -up configurations.

Mich St is 20-0 SU and 15-3-2 ATS pick or fav off SUATS win in tournament play. (They defeated Miami Fl yesterday to advance to 2nd round).

Play on Michigan St to cover 1 unit reg selection

NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Bankers Life Fieldhouse - Indianapolis, IN
These are two very evenly matched teams. One from the powerful SEC and the other from the Missouri Valley Conference.I k ow Kentucky are chalk full of future NBA players, but Wichita State can not be underestimated talent wise, and their ability to pull off the upset.
Wichita State is 6-0 ATS L/6 as a dog or pick in tournament play.
Neutral court teams as a favorite or pick like Wichita State - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or more) against an average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%), after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 33% or less are 34-10 ATS L/34.

Wichita State to cover 1 unit reg selection

NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Bradley Center - Milwaukee, WI

Purdue is built to deal with teams like uptempo teams like Iowa State.  PURDUE is 10-3 ATS L/13 versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season.  9-1 ATS  versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season. PURDUE is 7-0 ATS  when playing with one or less days rest dating back to last season.IOWA ST is 1-9 ATS  L/10 in road games after scoring 80 points or more 4 straight games. 

Purdue to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Spurs enter this game with a  16-4 SU record  since losing back to back tilts to the New Orleans Pelicans and Dallas Mavericks on Jan. 27-29. Wednesday's loss was one of their worst games in recent memory vs the Portland Trailblazers in a 110-106 as 11 point chalk, and now Im betting on a rebound effort . Note:Spurs HC Popovich is 20-6 ATS L/26  off an upset loss as a home favorite of 10 points or more, winning SU by 12.5 ppg. Meanwhile, Memphis despite of a three game winning streak  are  still a team that is just 17-16 SU since Jan 1, and have been down graded on my power rankings lists. In their two previous three game win streaks, since the new year, the Grizzlies lost by 15 points  to the Warriors on Feb. 10 and lost by 12 at Oklahoma City to the Thunder  on Feb. 3, and tonight I expect their lack of consistency vs a superior side will once again become prevalent.
The Spurs will also have the extra incentive of payback on their sides as the Grizzlies took the first meeting 89-74 when the Spurs played without Leonard and shot a lowly 36.6 percent in Memphis on Feb. 6. San Antonio has won 10 of the last 13 meetings and are my choice tonight with revenge.

Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover  1 unit reg selection

NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Energy Solutions Arena - Salt Lake City,UT

Arizona in the opening round of the tournament put 100 points on the board, and it looks like their ready to run and gun and are in top form offensively.  Previous, to that Arizona scored 92,86,83 points in their final 3 conference regular season games. Meanwhile, St,Marys despite of liking to play a slower more deliberate style of hoops will have no option but to reciprocate with some offensive fireworks of their own or be blown off the court..

ARIZONA is 7-0 OVER in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or better of their attempts after 15+ games over the last couple of seasons with a combined average of 171.2 ppg going on the scoreboard.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

The Trail Blazers, coming off a big 110-106 victory at San Antonio on Wednesday will now be in a letdown situation, thanks to the  great amount of energy they exerted in that win. They now play a Hawks team that is off a embarrassing home loss to Memphis last time out, by a 103-91 count, and that will now be primed for a rebound . Recent trends  point to a Hawks victory being a strong possibility as the Hawks are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games following a double-digit loss at home, while the Trail Blazers are 9-23 ATS in their last 32 games following a straight up win.
In previous meetings the Hawks have dominated  and notched victories in five straight against the Trail Blazers, with the lone victory this season at Portland coming in overtime. With that said, Im betting on another victory and more importantly a cover by a hungry team needing redemption for recent lapses. Hawks are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games following a double-digit loss at home.Trail Blazers are 9-23 ATS in their last 32 games following a straight up win.Trail Blazers are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
PORTLAND is 9-20 ATS  after 1 or more consecutive wins this season and is 3-12 ATS  as a road underdog of 6 points or less this season.

Play on Atlanta to cover 1 unit reg selection

NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Energy Solutions Arena - Salt Lake City,UT

Northwestern is a hardworking team with darkhorse written all over them. Gonzaga despite of their reputation, and pedigree Im betting will be in for a big time battle.

NORTHWESTERN is 7-0 ATS L/7  in road games versus teams who average 40 or more rebounds/game on the season  and is 11-3 ATS  in road games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game and 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts this season. NORTHWESTERN is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in a neutral court game where the total is 130 to 139.5.

Northwestern to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

NCAA Tournament - Second Round - KeyBank Center - Buffalo, NY

West Virginia finsihed their season, looking a little ragged,  coming from behind for a very hard fought win vs KSate (51-50) before losing to Iowa State in their finale and started this tourney against Bucknell looking average at best , procuring a hard fought 86-80 win and failing to cover as 14 point favorites. Huggins brand of physical basketball not only takes it toll on the opposition, but on his own team as well. 

It must also be noted W VIRGINIA is 2-8 ATS L/10 in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game like Notre Dame.

W VIRGINIA is 3-10 ATS  when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season and are singing the ATS blues in Saturday games failing to cover 9 of their L/11 events. NOTRE DAME played a grueling game against a very good Princeton team last time out, to advance , which will serve them well here vs West Virginia. The Irish are 11-3 ATS  when playing only their 2nd game in a week this season. After a slow start to their season, the Irish have really impressed me of late, and Im betting they have an edge in this tilt. 

Play on Notre Dame to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Two young teams with alot to prove go head to head tonight, in Phoenix as the Suns host the Orlando Magic. Orlando looked like they had no energy last night on Golden State and were  crushed 122-92 for their fourth straight SU/ATS loss . Whether their tankning for a future draft pick, or just plain running on empty is of little concern to me. What is more important, is whether they can compete tonight. Which a highly doubtful considering their current form and  HC Voglel probably resting his starters in a back to back situation  .Meanwhile, the Suns are playing better overall hoops, compared to the Magic, and are 4-4 in their L/5 games and are rightully the favored team in this spot. 

Orlandos HC Vogel is 0-8 ATS L/8 versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game like the Suns losing SU by 10 ppg. 

ORLANDO is 5-13 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 this season.PHOENIX is 17-6 ATS L/23 in non-conference games this season.

Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Northern Kentucky to cover 1 unit reg selection 

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Marquette to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Miami Fl to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Houston Rockets after taking out the Cleveland Cavaliers in a emotional affair this week, tried to keep their adrenalin pumping by playing  top tier basketball in the follow up by routing the Lakers by a 139-100 count. I don't care what anybody says, there has to be an eventual letdown situation that entails that kind of all out work ethic. I know the pundits are all over the Rockets amazing take no prisoners style of basketball, but it has its limitations. Meanwhile, DeMarcus  Cousins and his vast talents and ego to match , will have an opportunity to be on display in a big way tonight. With that said,  Im betting on  him and his co star Anthony Davis standing  tall and leaving everything on the floor. I have been hard on Cousins, but this is the kind of game he can hang his hat on for a while, and I'm betting he showcases his stuff tonght before eventually having a on or off the court trantum and melt down in the future. 

Rockets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game and are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS win.Pelicans are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Underdog is 17-8-1 ATS in the last 26 meetings.NEW ORLEANS is 24-11 ATS L/ 35 in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game.HOUSTON is 22-38 ATS L/60 as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points 

Play on the New Orleans Pelicans to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Andre  Drummond and Reggie Jackson the key cogs in the Pistons faltering machine look worn out and tired of late. Actually  the whole team looks exhausted, Here is a quote from Detroit HC Stan Van Gundy: "We've had six guys start since the All-Star break, four of them have started every game and we've gotten off to one good start. One," Van Gundy said. "Why are you a step-and-a-half slow at the start of every game? I don't know the answer to that.END QUOTE.

That is not a good omen for them as they host the Toronto Raptors tonight.  The Pistons in two exhausting affairs have been blown out by Cleveland and Utah this week, and will now still be in a let down mode this evening. I know the Raptors might not inspire bettors beccause of their current struggles, but Im keying on the return of defensive and rebounding specialist DeMarre Carrol to ingnite a team that has been focusing more and more on playing top tier defensive basketball of late. I also expect for the Raptors to be very focused ,as the last time they played Motown they blew a huge 16 point  lead going into the fourth quarter, finally losing 102-101,which was embarrassing to say the least. So redemption and payback must also be highlighted as motivting factors for the visitors. 

TORONTO is 12-4 ATS L/16 after playing 2 consecutive home games this season.and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Pistons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Road team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Raptors are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Detroit.

Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play  on Jacksonnville State 1 unit reg selection 

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Oregon to cover 1 unit reg selection 

This is a game of two teams at the opposing ends of the proverbial talent and perormance spectrum. Golden State is the top team in the west and the NBA , while Orlando is one of the worst teams in the league .The Warriors chalk full of stars, while Orlando is not. But now putting that aside, lets focus on the immediate state of affairs. Golden State as a team is exhausted and off having to work extremely hard to come back  from a 11 point deficit last time out to beat the Philadelphia 76ers. Previous to that they played eight games in eight different cities, three times traveling into multiple time zones between tilts. So now after comparing my line to the linesmakers number, and taking the above info into consideration, I like the option of taking points with an inferior team.Orlando opened a three-game Western swing with a 120-115 loss at Sacramento on Monday night, and look spirited doing it, and I feel we have value taking them in this spot play. One last thing, the Dubs have really struggled, with their shooting lately, and considering a league wide trend that states Home favorites of 10 or more points like the Warriors - after 2 straight games making 39% of their shots or worse are just 4-22 ATS  dating back 21 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors, I feel we are looking in the right direction.

GOLDEN STATE is 1-12 ATS L/13 versus lower teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last few seasons.GOLDEN STATE is 1-10 ATS L/10 versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 free throws/game and s 9-23 ATS  when playing against a team with a losing record this season. 

Play on the Orlando Magic to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Nevada to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. 

Wisconsin to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

St,Marys to cover 1 unit reg selection 

After dismal season and their play off hopes, flushed, the NY Knicks HC Hornacek with Phil Russell's blessings will be giving his young players more minutes. In tonight's encounter with cross town rivals the Brooklyn Nets, I expect the bench will see alot of work, which may not be a bad thing, but not enough of a good thing, for a cover .. It must also be noted  the Knicks despite a victory last time out vs the Pacers have not won two in row since Dec 22. Considering the Nets recent competitive play I feel comfortable recommending we take the points here.  

Brooklyn defeated the Knicks at home on March 12th 120-112 in a game that was not as close as the score might indicate.

NEW YORK is 4-15 ATS L/19 after trailing their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half over the last few seasons.NEW YORK is 6-19 ATS L/25  in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5.The Nets are shooting .381 from 3-point range in their 10 games since the All-Star break, compared to .340 prior to the break.

Brooklyn to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Utah is a team on the rise, but Cleveland now with an eye on repeating as NBA Champs will ready to send a message to their upstart foes in this tilt in front of their own fans. With the Jazz on tired legs with this being their 3rd game in 4 days, their ability to run and gun will be dimisnhed greatly. With that said,  Im betting on the Cavaliers getting an edge and bringing down the hammer as the game progresses.

UTAH is 1-8 ATS  as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season losing SU by an average of 8.7 ppg .CLEVELAND is 9-1 ATS in home games off a win against a division rival over the last 2 seasons which happened in a route of the Pistons last time out. UTAH is 7-17 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days this season and 13-28 ATS L/41 as a road underdog. Note: The Jazz won the only meeting bwtween the two teams this season in Utah 100-92 but have lost their L/4 visits to Cleveland.

Play on the Cleveland Cavs to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Northwestern to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Bucknell to cover 1 unit reg selection 

According to my own power rankings Villanova is the best team in the country. Certain teams matchup well against Villanova , ie ( Seton Hall and Butler) because of systems, and player to player matchups, but according to my own data, Creighton is not one of these teams. Thus I am expecting a conclusive victory here today for Villanova and subsequent cover. Villanova took out Creighton by 79-63 count back on Feb 25 and with that said, look for a rinse and repeat performance. 
NCAA Tournament - First Round - KeyBank Center - Buffalo, NY
PRINCETON (23 - 6) vs. NOTRE DAME (25 - 9)
Im betting Princetons take no prisoners style of play is going to give Notre dame plenty of headaches today. PRINCETON is 8-1 ATS L/9 in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. Notre Dames HC Brey is 4-12 ATS in road games in first round tournament games.HC Henderson of Princeton is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18 of less free throws/game after 15+ games . 

Princeton to cover 1 unit reg selection

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals

NIT - First Round 

UC-IRVINE is 6-0 ATS  versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game after 15+ games over the last few seasons. ILLINOIS ST is 1-7 ATS  versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game this season.

Play on UC Irvine to cover 1 unit reg selection 

CBI Tournament - First Round

E.Washintongton to cover 

Wyoming got clobbered by Air Force in a Mountain West Conference tourney matchup by a 83-68 count last time out . Previous to that they had lost 4 of 6 games, and will now be in a letdown mode, here in the CBI Tourney to what they might percieve as an inferior side. Wyoming had alot of early season promise, but really struggled down the stretch as mentioned above  and motivation will be  a problem.

A CBB home team like Wyoming  - team from a second tier division 1-A conference against a team from a weak conference, off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival are 2-24 ATS L/26 in the follow up a trend that dates back 20 seasons.

Eastern Washington to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Houston Rockets are coming off a huge emotional win vs the Cleveland Cavaliers last time out by a score of 117-112. Im betting that their energy levels will  now be depleted because of that huge effort. Yes, even though the team and its key players are saying all the right things about be prepared to stay focused in their follow up affair vs the lowly Lakers, it will still be a difficult task to play a complete game. I know the Lakers do not inspire bettors, but if there was ever a time, players had a cahnce to improve their roster positions for next season, its against competition like this, and I expect the young Lakers will be primed to play with enthisiasm and grit. 

Rockets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.Rockets are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win.

Play on the LA Lakers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totalsCBI Tournament - First Round

Projected score: Wi Green Bay 81 Missouri KC 74

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I have paid alot of attention to the Jazz of late and have gotten a good feel for a side that I'm betting will be a dark horse team when and if they reach the play offs. Here today against a wishy washy Motown side, I believe they have systems and player to player matchup edge, that makes them solid road favorites. Im not basing this selection on how miserable the Pistons looked last night in a lopsided loss in Cleveland but as mentioned above the  SU matchup defeciencies against this type of agressive team. The Pistons were smashed in the first meeting this year 110-77 on Jan. 13 by the Jazz and a while Im not expecting that lopsided type of score again , I do expect the Jazz to cover comfortably.

Jazz are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Central.Pistons are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games playing with no rest.Jazz are 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Detroit.

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The Indiana Pacers have alternated wins and losses in their L/10 games, and are off a loss last night against a hungry and redemption minded NYK team.  I know the the Pacers  are  not easily handicapped and wildly inconsistent,  hot and cold team , but they still have a decent talent base and must not be underestmated   .  With that said, onight against a Charlotte team that has performed inadequately for an extended time , I feel they have the edge, especially here on their own home floor. (After starting the year 19-14, Charlotte is 10-24 since). Since defeating the Pacers on March 6, the Hornets lost three of their last four games, and now in revenge mode Im betting on the Pacers are primed to even the score. It must be noted tha the Hornets  have allowed 118 points per game in their last six losses, and that their lack of defense will be their demise again.

CHARLOTTE is 2-13 ATS (after playing 2 consecutive home games this season .INDIANA is 12-3 ATS  in a home game where the total is 200 to 209.5 this season.Indiana's HC McMillan is 28-12 ATS off an upset loss as a road favorite in all games , which was the case last night in NY vs the Knicks as 3 point road favorites.

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NCAA Tournament - First Four - Univ. of Dayton Arena - Dayton, OH

KansasState ater a medicore Big 12 campaign (8-10) , pulled off an upset in the opening round of their conference tournament against Baylor and than lost to West Virginia by just 1 point in the 2nd round. Those were exhausting affairs, which Im betting effects their performance here against their hosts Wake Forest. KANSAS ST is 1-8 ATS L/9 in road games after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog . The Deacons are 19-13, having won four of their last five conference games. After a heart-breaking home loss to Duke on Feb. 18, they reeled off successive victories over Pitt, Louisville, Virginia Tech and Boston College, before losing in the ACC tournament. From  a matchup and systems  perspective I really like the Deacons chances today and recommend we take them in this spot.    WAKE FOREST is 12-3 ATS  in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses.KState has not fared well against teams like Wake Forest in the recent past. KANSAS ST is 2-10 ATS L/12 versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games dating back to last season losing SU by an average of 9.1 ppg. 

A CBB data base shows Neutral court teams like Wake Forest - after going over the total by more than 6 points in four consecutive games are 36-13 ATS L/49 for 74% conversion rate for bettors. Also Neutral court teams as a favorite or pick like Wakfe /Forest - after 3 straight games where both teams score 75 points or more are 28-10 ATS dating back 5 seasons or a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

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In the eight games since Cousins was traded to the Pelicans   from the    Sacramento Kings, the Pelicans have won just twice. To me it's the same old thing with the talented Cousins. He has yet to make a team better, despite of his expansive talents and right now their seems to be no real chemsitry between himself and  Anthony Davis another super star. HC Gentry actually sat Cousins in the final 17 minutes of their L/game a win vs Charlotte as road dogs, as the team was playing better without him on the floor. Its aslo must  be noted by prognosticators that  New Orleans lacks the perimeter shooting necessary to force defenses to bother leaving the paint. Considering these factors, they are over rated by the linesmakers here, and I feel they do not matchup well against todays visitors the Portland Blazers, a team that has been playing some of their best hoops of season recently, winning 5 of their L/6 with one loss coming by just 1 contested point. 

NEW ORLEANS is 16-28 ATS L/44 as a favorite and 7-19 ATS  off an upset win as a road underdog. Portland is 7-2 SU/ATS L/9 in this series.

 NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Pelicans - off a road win, a lower tier  team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are a bankroll depleting 26-62 ATS for a go against conversion rate of 71% for bettors.

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My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or total.

NIT - First Round

Oakland's program has some very good hoops pedigree and will not be intimiidated by a Clemson side, that is in an emotional let down state after the ACC tournament loss to Duke. The Tigers played their hearts out, in that game, and Im betting they  will have difficult time finding the energy to play a start to finish game here.

OAKLAND is 13-4 ATS L/17 vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72%r better  of their attempts like Clemson.CLEMSON is 3-10 ATS L/13 versus good teams like Oakland - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this seasonOAKLAND is 11-3 ATS  as an underdog dating back to last season ands 9-2 ATS L/11 as a road underdog or pickCLEMSON is 2-8 ATS ( after playing a game as an underdog this season as was case vs Duke last time out.

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Phil Russell did not look amused when he watched his NY Knicks take on an exhausted Brooklyn Nets on Sunday in a 120-112 loss. You have to think he lit into the team after that tilt. What made the situation so intolerable is that the Nets  just finished a 9 game road trip and were on tired legs. That victory ended the Nets  16 game home losing streak. It was a truely a pathetic effort by the Knciks that left many of their fans completely frustrated. I know the Knicks had also been a short road trip, spanning three  games, but those were fairly close to home( Orlando, Milwaukee, Detroit), and there were no excuses for that kind of sleepy effort. Now embarrassed, I expect the core of Knicks to be ready for a bounce back effort vs a Pacers team that has alternated wins followed by losses during a current 9 game stretch. Prior to this run Indiana had lost 6 straight and remain wildly inconsistent and are far from solid road favs..

INDIANA is 5-14 ATS L/19 in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins this season.NEW YORK is 13-2 ATS L/15 in home games after a division game dating back to last season. Knicks have covered 4 of the L/5 meetings here in NYC.Pacers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 vs. Eastern Conference.Home team is 19-7 ATS in the last 26 meetings

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From a analytical viewpoint the NBA and most sports leagues that we can bet on ,  need a handicapper to  focus his attention in on core matchup situations , and not be swayed by momentum ebbs and flows which are common place in the world of competetive sports.  Especially in a game like this where both teams are playing at the proverbial oppoiste end of the performance spectrum.

Milwaukee has won six in a row, while Memphis has lost five in a row. One side is comfortable and playing well , while one side is struggling and  desperate for wins. With that said, as we all know all good and bad things must eventually come to and end. Yes, I know theirs an old saying that says go with the flow, but common sense tells us all waves eventually crash on the beach. It must also be noted that Memphis has had decent pedigree over the last few seasons, and have shown themselves to be a solid team with quality player personel and hardcore work ethic. Meanwhile,  the Bucks have shown wild inconsistencies and despite of their current run are a sub.500 team that is short handed, with Jabari Parker, and Micheal Beasley out. The Grizzlies are also playing this game in revenge mode for a loss they suffered back in November to the Bucks by a 106-96 count, and will be very primed to perform.  I suppose by now you can see where Im going with todays analysis and reasoning for taking the home team. By the way it looks like the linesmakers agree with my assessments , as Memphis opened as favorites. 

 This from a league wide trends data base: NBA Home teams like Memphis - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite like the Grizzlies are 77-37 ATS  for a 68 % conversion rate for bettors.

MILWAUKEE is 6-19 ATS L/25 after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games.Bucks are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

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The very young Phoenix Suns are playing some decent basketball of late, but still have a long way to go for respectiability status in the NBA. Meanwhile, the visiting Portland Trailblazers, despite of having  their 4 game losing streak snapped last night in OT by a 125-124 score vs a excellent Washington Wizards side, are now in top form. Note: The shot that sunk the Blazers last night, showed a video replay  on the arena scoreboard which suggested the  Wizards Morris stepped  out of bounds before hitting the game-winner with four-tenths of a second remaining. However, the play was not reviewable by rule.With that said, and now with a chip on their shoulders  I'm betting after  being robbed and competing at a high level vs the Wizards last night, this Blazers team comes out firing on all cylinders.

NBA Road favorites like the Blazers - with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season, on Sunday games are 32-8 ATS L/40 for a 80% conversion rates for bettors.

Trail Blazers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.Trail Blazers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Pacific.

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 The Nets enter into this game against cross town rivals the  NY Knicks  having lost 16 straight  home.games. Now on tired legs and jet lagged  after a nine game road trip the Nets losing streak I am betting will  be intact after the final buzzer goes off todayl   The Knicks still playing for a long shot play off appearance  will be primed to play and play well.BROOKLYN is 9-26 ATS  when playing 6 or more games in 10 days datig back to last season.

Knicks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.Nets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Atlantic.

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Arkansas played a heck of a game yesterday upsetting Vanderbilt as 4 point dogs to advance to the SEC finals. But now on tired legs vs one of the most well conditioned teams in basketball the Hogs are now in trouble. It must be noted that Arkansas is just  7-18 ATS L/25 in road games off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog. Meanwhile, Kentucky took a 5 point win against Alabama in the semi final round, coming from behind for the win.

Alabama's player to player matchup systems gave Kentucky some problems, but Im betting Arkansas won't have the same edges and will end up on the wrong side of a lopsided score vs what is a very motivated Wildcats squad.Calapari has made no bones, about his team needing to be more aggressive and get out to leads. I also  know Arkansas has plans on being physical here today, but that will just mtovate a team filled with NBA talent to play harder. 

ARKANSAS is 0-8 ATS L/8 in road games vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game losing SU by an average of 17 ppg. 

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The Wizards  after starting their season with a lowly 2-8 SU have  gone 38-16 since and must be considered one of the top teams in the NBA at the moment. Tonight as underdogs, vs a Portland team that has done well against them in recent home meetings, Im betting the Wizards will be wide awake and very ready to end a 3 game losing streak at the Moda Center. The Blazers may have won 4 straight games, but  tonight Im betting they will hit a wall. ie ( John Wall) PORTLAND is 0-10 ATS  after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season.WASHINGTON is 11-2 ATS  when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season. Wizards are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

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The Golden State Warriors will have the three main cogs of their offense out of tonights lineup in their road game vs the San Antonio Spurs(Durant, Thompson, Curry). This will obviously cull the Dubs offensive output and will greatly effect  their  ability to compete vs a team that would love nothing more than to put a one sided beatdown on them. Warriors are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games overall.

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Big Sky Conference Tournament - Championship Game - Reno, NV

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

My own Totals estimates make this number closer to 150. Thus there is value taking the OVER in this tilt.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

Milwaukee has really impressed me lately,  and tonight they go against another team on a uptrend, the Minnesota Timberwolves (4-1 SUL/5).  With that said, this is a  a matchup where I am betting home floor advantage will be the difference maker. The Wolves upset the Golden State Warriors last night, and will now be in a letdown situation vs a Bucks side on a 5 game SU/ATS win streak which included last nights victory vs the Pacers.

Timberwolves are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. Eastern Conference and are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Central.Timberwolves are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings

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According to my own power rankings Villanova is the best team in the country. Certain teams matchup well against Villanova , ie ( Seton Hall and Butler)  because of systems, and player to player matchups, but according to my own data, Creighton is not one of these teams. Thus I am expecting a conclusive victory here today for Villanova and subsequent cover. Villanova took out Creighton by 79-63 count back on Feb 25  and with that said, look for a rinse and repeat performance. 

Villanova to cover 1 unit reg selection 

SEC Tournament - Semifinals - Nashville, TN

The Kentucky Wildcats the top seeded team in this tournament, should have little trouble disposing of a excellent but over rated Alabama hoops program here today. The Wildcats a chalk full of future  NBA stars and must be respected in key games even as DD favorites. Kentucky won the first meeting 67-58 on Feb. 11 in Tuscaloosa and here on a neutral court a bigger margin of victory.KENTUCKY is 24-14 ATS L/28 versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less winning SU by an average of 12.1 ppg. Kentucky has won 6 straight meetings in this series. 

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Sunbelt Conference Tournament - Semifinals - New Orleans, LA

Tx Arlington beat exas State by a 76-61 score back on Feb 4th and matchup very well against todays semi final opponents.

HC Kaspar of Texas State  is 2-9 ATS L/11  in road games versus good shooting teams - making 45%  or more of their shots after 15+ games. losing SU by an average of 14.8 ppg. TX-ARLINGTON is 12-5 ATS versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season winning SU by 9 ppg. 

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 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals

America East Conference Tournament - Championship Game

Both these teams are playing a top level of basketball at the moment, and i am expecting a much closer affair then the linesmkaers expect.

Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Albany- after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite against opponent after 2 straight covers as a double digit favorite are 30-8 ATS L/38 dating back 21 seasons. CBB Sides like v/ermont  - an excellent defensive team (63 PPG or less) against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG) after 15+ games, after allowing 50 points or less 2 straight, are 6-25 ATS last 5 seasons.

ALBANY is 11-1 ATS  versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game.ALBANY is 8-0 ATS L/8 versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game after 15+ games.

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Big 12 Conference Tournament - Semifinals - Kansas City, MO

West Virginia seems all-but-certain to land a top-4 seed when the NCAA bracket is announced Sunday afternoon and will want to leave nothing up to chance, and will come out here on fire. The West Virginia Mountaineers beat No.1 seed Kanas this season, and are capable of a Big 12 championship, and that Im betting becomes evident today in the semi finals  vs a KState team that they beat 85-66 in their last meeting on Feb 11. 

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The Milwaukee Bucks  have caught my attention lately as they bring a season-high four-game winning streak to BMO Harris Bradley Center on Friday night vs the Indiana Pacers.  Positive chemistry is one of the reasons for the Bucks surprising play, and despite some previous misgivings about them, because of injuries I now feel they are a solid team to back at home as short favorites. The Bucks took the first two meetings of the season, winning by an average of 17 points, and obviously matchup well vs the Pacers, and are my choice again tonight.INDIANA is 5-15 ATS L/20 in road games when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent dating back to last season.

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The Houston Rockets will be exhausted as they just played back to back grueling games against San Antonio and Utah, losing both. There is some concern from their coach D'Antoni QUOTE: We just have to get our stuff together," D'Antoni told the Houston Chronicle. Meanwhile,  the Bulls need wins to procure a play of spot and will be motivated to pull of the upset here as home dogs tonight, a place where they have beat the Rockets in their L/2 visits.The Rockets outlasted the Bulls 121-117 in overtime in the first matchup Feb. 3, and  from watching some of that game, it was obvious to me that the Bulls matched up well against them. I know the Bulls have lost 3 straight , but  CHICAGO is 13-3 ATS L/16 after 3 or more consecutive losses 24-10 ATS L/34 versus top tier teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game.HOUSTON is 21-37 ATS L/58 as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points dating back to last season.

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Wisconsin struggled at bit at the tail end of this season, but with 5 returning starters , are a team that must not be underestimated. That was evident  when they crushed a excellent Minnesota Gophers side, by a 66-49 count in their final game of the season. Meanwhile, Indiana despite of a huge game against Iowa in the opening round of this tournament, is a team that has struggled consistently this year on offense, and are being over rated in this game vs a superior overall side, according to my own power rankings .

Wisconsin is 22nd in the country with a rebounding margin of plus-6.5. The Badgers have also scored 288 more points in the paint than their opponents and via some very physical basketball Im betting their inside play in and around the glass will be the difference maker today.

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 Top-seeded Villanova takes on fifth-seeded Seton Hall in the semifinals on Friday night at Madison Square Garden in New York. The Pirates  defeated fourth-seeded Marquette 82-76 to set up a rematch with the Wildcats.Seton Hall ousted Villanova 69-67 in the championship game last season to win its third career Big East tournament title and are one of the few teams in the Big East Tournament this season that are built to at least stay within the hefty point spread vs a over powering team. I know Seton Hall got clobbered by Villanova earlier this season, but SETON HALL is 6-0 ATS  in road games revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points and have covered 19 of their L/27 as underdogs. SETON HALL is 17-8 ATS L/25 versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons and is 12-4 ATS L/16 versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. Villanova is 0-8 ATS L/8 in 2nd round conference tourney games.

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SEC Tournament - Quarterfinals - Nashville, TN

No. 1 seed Kentucky (26-5, 16-2 in SEC) faces No. 8 seed Georgia (19-13, 9-9 in SEC) on Friday quarterfinal SEC Tournament action at Nashville's Bridgestone Arena.Kentucky won both of its meetings with the Bulldogs earlier this season.Georgia advanced with a 59-57 first round victory over Tennessee on Thursday,. The Vols were abysmal as the season progressed, and this was a less than impressive win by Georgia. Kentucky beat Georgia 90-81 in overtime on Jan. 31 in Lexington and 82-77 on Feb. 18 in Athens. Kentucky did not respect Georgia in those games, and Calipari has made it clear to his team that they had better be prepared, and Im betting they will be and not take their opponents for granted.

GEORGIA is 1-9 ATS L/10 after playing a game where both teams score 65 points or less dating back to last season.KENTUCKY is 24-14 ATS L/38 versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less over. KENTUCKY is 30-16 ATS in conference tournament games.GEORGIA is 1-9 ATS  after playing a game where both teams score 65 points or less over the last 2 seasons winning SU by an average of 11.3 ppg. 

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

  Big 12 Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals - Kansas City, MO

KState matches up well vs Baylor and beat them  56-54 on the road in their latest meeting. Playing so close to home, alot of this crowd will be on KState side giving them an edge.  Both teams play solid defense, and Im expecting a close game. Baylor 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600.

From a long term CBB league wide data base : Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Baylor - average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or worse), good ball handling team (14.5 TO's or less) against an average pressure defensive team (14.5-17.5 TO's) are 38-68 ATS for a go against conversion rate of 64% for bettors dating back 5 seasons.

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Tonight we have two teams playing at the opposite end of the proverbial performance spectrum as the Spurs visit the Thunder. The Spurs are off a   114-104 win for their 9th straight victory in Sacramento vs the Kings on Wednesday in which two key players  LaMarcus Aldridge (rest) and  Leonard (rest)  did not play. Tonight , however, both are expected to be in the lineup , and very fresh which makes the Spurs a very  dangerous foe in this spot even though the team as a whole has played 8 games in the L/14 days. Meanwhile, the Thunder have lost 4 straight, and have failed to cover all 4 in what must only looked at as a downward spiral. Considering both teams current form, I am recommending we back the Spurs to cover as road chalk.Spurs beat the Thunder 108-94 back on Jan 31 of this season, and a repeat type performance will not come as a surprise.SAN ANTONIO is 33-19 ATS L/52 when playing 8 or more games in 14 days. SAN ANTONIO is 17-4 ATS versus good offensive teams like Oklahoma City - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

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The Grizzlies have been in a slump and have lost 5 of their L/7 overall, including a loss on Monday vs lowly Brooklyn  that was described by their coach, as the lowest point of their season. Now with a few days of rest to contemplate their current state, I expect the feisty Grizzlies to come out on fire tonight vs a Clippers side, that cannot find their stride, even though they are fully healthy. After watching the Clippers struggle last night vs the Minnesota Timberwolves in a loss, its become obvious to me  that there are underlying systematic problems surrounding the Clippers, that must be resolved. Until those issues are successfully addressed  their fade material in spots like this, where the team is exhausted as they play their 8th game in 14 days. LA CLIPPERS are 8-18 ATS  in road games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days.MEMPHIS is 21-9 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games.

Play on the Memphis Grizzlies to cover  1 unit reg selection 

 The Miami Fl Hurricanes are one of four ACC teams to beat the N.Carolin a  Tar Heels this season, suffering their worst loss all year to Miami, losing by 15 points. Needless to say Miami Fl physical defensive play, is not easiy to deal with and Im betting taken the points will be golden in this tourney game. After N.Carolina played their most grueling emotionally charged game of the year, in last trip to the hardwood, against Duke, pulling away with less than 2 min left to secure the 90-83 win, Im betting they come into this Tournament tilt in a emotional let down situation at the worst possible time, and could find the sledding very tough in this spot vs a Miami Fl side that can work hard to exhaust them. 

Miami Fl to cover 1 unit reg selection 

ACC Conference Tournament - Second Round - Brooklyn, NY

Just four days after meeting in both teams' regular-season finale in Charlottesville, No. 14 seed Pittsburgh will battle No. 6 seed Virginia in the second round of the ACC tournament on Wednesday at Barclays Center in Brooklyn, N.Y. Virginia dominated the Panthers in that game winning by a 67-42 count and now at under 10 point favorites are a very good bet to dominate again.The Panthers will have just over 24 hours of rest and now on tired legs after barely getting by GTech and will now will find it very difficult to deal with a physical  Cavaliers defense that has allowed a total of  just 85 (42.5) points in their last two wins over North Carolina and Pitt. PITTSBURGH is 4-15 ATS  off a win against a conference rival.PITTSBURGH is 2-9 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game dating back to last season losing SU by an average of 14 ppg. PITTSBURGH is 0-7 ATS L/7 in March games over the last 2 seasons.

Play on the Virginia Cavaliers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Spurs enter this tilt against the Sacramento Kings having  won eight straight games, including Monday's 112-110 victory over Houston in San Antonio. That game against Rockets was hard fought, and followed up another exhausting affair vs the Minnesota Timberwolves, a contest that saw the Spurs come from behind in win in OT. Now still tired , and in an emotional letdown situation I expect the Spurs to not be as aggressive tonight, and I also won't be surprised if HC Popovich rests his stars during long stretches of this game, which gives the Kings an edge covering here vs a huge DD line. Yes, I know Sacramento has lost 5 straight, but after a lengthy adjustment period, playing without DeMarucs Cousins , this team Im betting will look a little more cohesive vs  a Spurs side that despite of being one of the best in the league, have failed to cover 4 straight games.. Also the Kings have had some ATS success of late, when in a tail spin, as is evident by a 14-4 ATS mark  after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread and are  4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Kings are also 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in San Antonio.

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New Orleans despite of the addition of DeMarcus Cousins continues to struggle, losing 5 of their L/7 games. For at the least the moment, Cousins and the Pelicans other star Anthony Davis are not showing any chemistry, and if anything look even less cohesive as  a team. In my humble opinion, Cousins despite of his vast talents, rarely has made a team better in his  travels around the league, and if anything has made them into inconsistent opponents for all comers. Cousins has become famous for not being a team player, and his circus like outbursts on and off the court. This kind of unwanted attention, makes for a bad atmosphere, and definitely not a winning one. With that said, I am recommending we back a hard working, Raptors side, that has won 5 of their L/7 and recently took out one of the leagues better teams the Washington Wizards on their own home floor.Toronto has won 11 of the last 14 meetings between the teams and the three most recent meetings and are my choice again.

TORONTO is 19-7 ATS L/26  vs. poor rebounding teams like the Pelicans  - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game.

Toronto to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Timberwolves are 6-4 in their past 10 games and are a team on the rise. However, tonight against a talented and experienced foe the LA Clippers, looking for pay back for a 104-101 loss at home earlier this season  Im betting they are at a disadvantage. The Clippers are of two straight wins vs the Bulls and Celtics and are now back into top form with a lineup that is finally fully healthy.

Road team is 24-7-1 ATS in the last 32 meetings.Clippers are 12-3-1 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Minnesota.Favorite is 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.Clippers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.MINNESOTA is 7-15 ATS L/22 in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season.

Play on the LA Clippers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Hawks enter into this game in a slump and  have lost three in a row and six of their past eight games, and are far from solid favorites , even against the visiting Brooklyn Nets. Meanwhile, the Brooklyn Nets are currently playing some of their best, basketball of the season, winning 2 of their L/4 road games, and showing some nastiness and grit along the way, which makes them hard to deal with, because of their nothing to lose attitude. With Atlanta extremely tired playing their 8th game in 14 nights, I expect a rejuvenated looking Brooklyn team, to get us a cover.

ATLANTA is 0-8 ATS L/8 in home games after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread this season.Hawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.Hawks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Brooklyn to cover 1 unit reg selection

Orlando is  making a habit of blowing leads. Orlando lost 113-105 at the Amway Center on Monday after a DD lead to the NY Knicks. This is truly a doctor jekyll and mr hyde, team , with a lack of closing abilities. I don;t know if its a lack confidence or coaching inefficiencies , but what ever it is, they are a side that  are on my late season fade list, especially in games the  lines-makers expect to be a close. Meanwhile, the Bulls, despite of faltering of late, and also blowing leads still have some big time players like Butler that can stand tall in key situations and deliver key shots and stops. The Bulls beat Orlando 100-92 here in the not so Magic Kingdom, back on Jan 24, and now Im betting on similar result tonight. Vogel is 2-11 ATS L/13 at home when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of the Magic.ORLANDO is 10-20 ATS  in home games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season

 NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 Orlando  - revenging a home loss vs opponent against opponent off a road loss against a division rival are 6-30 ATS L/36. 

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection