My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NOTRE DAME) - bad pressure defensive team - forcing 12 or less  turnovers/game, after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers are 61-116 L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Miami fl 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

ST PETERS is 6-0 ATS in home games after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.

CBB team (ST PETERS) - in a game involving two average free throw shooting teams (65-69%), cold shooting team - 4 straight games making 40% or less  of their shots are 46-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate.

Play on St.Peter's to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

The Tar Heels are back in the Associated Press poll this week. UNC is No. 25 after being unranked in the previous three polls.

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

The Utah Valley Wolverines  in the  UCCU Center  has won eight straight games. UVU has also won 12 of its last 13 games at home and 16 of their L/18. The team's last loss at home was to Grand Canyon on Feb. 10, 2022. they are also 3-0 all time vs the Sam Houston Bearkats and get the call again in a rinse and repeat situation with home court advantage being the difference maker. 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

MSU has won its last 20 at the CFSB Center dating back to a loss to Eastern Illinois in 2021 and Im betting their run stays intact when the final buzzer goes off tonight. 

Salukis are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Racers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Play on Murray State to cover 

After a streak that saw Memphis win 7 straight and 9 of 10 games, the Grizzlies have now low 4 of their L/5 and 2 straight with 3 of those defeats coming as favorites. Meanwhile, Toronto no longer seems like a contender and have shown very few flashes of brilliance this season, and Im betting nothing changes tonight vs a hungry Memphis side looking to bounce back.  

Nurse is 0-9 ATS  in home games after 2 straight games where they made 50% of their shots or better as the coach of TORONTO.

TORONTO is 4-15 ATS in home games after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 3 seasons.

MEMPHIS is 37-23 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 10-1 ATS   after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 11-2 ATS  after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road favorites (MEMPHIS) - off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite are 46-20 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate.

Play on Memphis to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (CORNELL) - team from a mid-major division 1-A conference against a team from a weak conference, off an upset win as an underdog are 7-32 L/5 seasons for a go against  82% conversion rate. 

Play on Binghamton to cover  

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

According to my power rankings these teams are fairly evenly matched and home court advantage does not warrant this big a spread. Especially considering how bad a FT % team the Hilltoppers  ranking outside the top 300 teams in the nation. 

Play on Rice to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Wagner to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

San Jose State to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

St. John’s after a ugly effort vs Villanova last time out losing by a 78-63 count will be prepared to bounce back at  home where they are a perfect 8-0 this season. Im betting St. Johns a side that has the sixth-highest Adjusted Tempo in the country (74.9 possessions per game) will come here at a blistering pace and hamper Xaviers progress at both ends of the court  will be limited  and the pace havoc will negatively effect a Xavier side that turns the  the ball over on 19% of its possessions (117th nationally).XAVIER is 0-9 ATS off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.( Beat Seaton Hall last time out 73-70 in a grueling affair they will have them in a letdown situation in this spot play)

Play on St.Johns to cover 

My projected total for this tilt featuring Atlanta and Brooklyn comes in at 229 which gives a two full possession value to the under on this offering. Brooklyn ranks 8th in ppg allowed and. operate at the 21st ranked pace in the NBA. Atlanta ranks in 14th in defensive efficiency. 

Under is 11-4 in Nets last 15 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Under is 12-4 in Hawks last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

ATLANTA is 33-19 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 220.9 ppg. 

BROOKLYN is 34-21 UNDER  versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 225 ppg. BROOKLYN is 25-10 UNDER  after 2 straight games being called for 5+ more fouls than opponent with a combined average of 211.4 ppg scored. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN/ATLANTA) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 29-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. 

Play on the UNDER 

Orlando has won 8 of their L/10 games, and are ready for a bounce back effort after a suffering a loss to the Lakers last time out. Meanwhile, the Pistons are off a grueling OT loss vs the Clippers last time out, and will now be in a letdown state vs a Orlando side that is looking alot more cohesive over the last month. The loss by Motown was their 6th straight and 9th loss in 10 games.

 Magic are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games. Magic are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.

Casey is 14-31 ATS   in home games after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games in all games .

NBA Road favorites vs. the money line (ORLANDO) - off an upset loss as a home favorite, in December games are 33-5 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors.

 NBA Road favorites (ORLANDO) - revenging a loss vs opponent, off a home loss by 10 points or more are 23-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. 

Road teams vs. the money line (ORLANDO) - off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a home favorite against opponent off a home loss are 21-7 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. 

Play on Orlando Magic to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

 Rider has won four of its last five, with the lone setback coming on a tip-in with 3.6 seconds remaining vs. Delaware and have proven to be competitive side this season, and are more than capable of staying within the number here today vs Georgia. 

 GEORGIA is 2-11 ATS   after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons.

White is 3-20 ATS as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points in all games he has coached. 

Play on Rider to cover 

NYK after a nice run that saw them garner 8 straight wins  has now lost three straight games . Meanwhile, despite of an inconsistent performance record this season, the Mavs have begun to wake up and have strung together 3 straight victories and deserve respect here on this short line as hosts. In their only meeting this season, the Mavericks showed they matchup well for the Knicks by beating them 121-100 as 1.5 road chalk. 

DALLAS is 17-7 ATS  as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking at +9.5 ppg. 

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - off a loss against a division rival, on Tuesday nights are 1-28 L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -12.8 which easily qualifies in this ATS line. 

Play on Dallas to cover 

After playing a back and forth marathon vs the Detroit Pistons last night Im betting the Clippers will not have enough gas in the tank to be able to stay within this number. Meanwhile, Toronto is off two strong uipset wins on the road and must be respected to hold home court advantage vs an exhausted side that will play with Kawhi Leonard this evening. 

TORONTO is 40-24 ATS  when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, on Tuesday nights are 4-54 L/5 seasons with a combined average of -13.4 ppg which qualifies on this ATS offering. 

NBA Favorites (TORONTO) - in non-conference games, off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog are 30-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover 

Indiana looked like they took the night off  in a lazy effort yesterday vs the New Orleans Pelicans  losing by a 113-93 count so I cant see them being that tired as  to not be able to compete at home tonight vs a Hawks side that has lost 10 of 16 road games this season SU. Previous to last night the Pacers took out the Boston Celtics and Miami Heat and deserve respect in their ability  to bounce back here. 

The Pacers are 5-1 in the second game of back-to-backs.Pacers are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games playing on no rest. .

Hawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 3 or more days rest.

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, on Tuesday nights are 4-54 L/5 seasons with a combined average of -13.4 ppg which qualifies on this ATS offering. 

NBA Road underdogs (ATLANTA) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, on Tuesday nights are 25-57 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Indiana to cover 

Philadelphia is streaking and have won 8 straight games and will not over look the Wizards as they know the home side pulled off a road wins as underdogs at Sacramento last time out winning by as a DD dog  , at the tail end of a grueling 6 game  west coast road trip. Now in an emotional letdown spot and exhausted after and extensive road excursion Im betting on the the Wizards to take time to get used to home cooking again  and start slowly here which is a proverbial death sentence against the 76ers team currently playing at high level. PHILADELPHIA is 12-1 ATS  when playing 6 or less games in 14 days this season.

PHILADELPHIA is 13-4 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots this season and are 12-4 ATS  versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more  this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.3 ppg. 

NBA Home underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog are 1-31 L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -12.3 which qualifies on this ATS offering. 

NBA  Home underdogs (WASHINGTON) - off a double digit win as a road underdog of 6 more, a sub standard team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 8-29 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Philadelphia to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Northwestern State last played Dec. 20 when they fell to No. 12/13 Baylor, 58-48, proving they can compete against power 5 programs.  NSU held the Bears to nearly 30 points below their season average and limited Baylor to its fewest points in a game this season. Im betting Texas A&M will have their hands full in this tilt. 

NORTHWESTERN ST is 10-2 ATS in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%). NORTHWESTERN ST is 10-1 ATS   in all games this season. NORTHWESTERN ST is 10-1 ATS  in non-conference games this season. NORTHWESTERN ST is 7-0 ATS  after playing a game as an underdog this season.

Williams is 4-13 ATS  versus poor shooting teams - making 42% or less of their shots as the coach of TEXAS A&M..

CBB home team (TEXAS A&M) - a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average offensive team (67-74 PPG), after 2 straight losses by 6 points or less are 8-32 ATS 5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Northwestern State to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Notre Dame has been playing soft hoops of late, even when they have a height advantage they seemed unmotivated to be as aggressive as need be. So I wont be surprised if Jacksonville gets alot of second chances in the offensive zone and score above their season average.  Additionally, during their last five games, the Irish have allowed teams to shoot 71.6% from the field and 53.2% in the paint. On the flipside Jacksonville has recorded field goal percentages of 49.3% FG and 67%, at the rim .   Notre Dame will push the action, because of being in desperation mode after losing 3 straight and should push past Jacksonvilles slower pace. This Im betting see a combined score that hints into the 130s or more.

NOTRE DAME is 6-0 OVER  versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 15 or less free throws/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 152.3 ppg scored.

NOTRE DAME is 10-1 OVER   off 2 or more consecutive losses as a favorite with a combined average of 157.2 ppg scored.

CBB Home teams where the total is 129.5 or less (NOTRE DAME) - off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite against opponent off a road win are 25-6 OVER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average score of 133.1 ppg scored.

Play OVER

The New Orleans Pelicans have been missing some of their best players, and  have stepped up and played quality ball.  This Pelicans team has taken part in a lot of back and forth offensive hoops , but it must be noted that they are ranked 6h in defensive efficiency in the league. Meanwhile, Indiana has also played well of late and its their defense that has been the catalyst . Because of added focus to paying attention to defense in transition, they have allowed 112, 108 points in two marquee wins vs Boston and Miami respectively and Im betting that will stick their winning game plan tonight  vs another top tier side and because of this Im betting the expected offensive output will not be eclipsed. 

Pacers are 8-3 UNDER L/11 overall. 

Under is 5-1 in Pacers last 6 road games.Under is 17-7-1 in Pacers last 25 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Under is 18-7-1 in Pelicans last 26 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

INDIANA is 13-4 UNDER  in road games after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 213.6 ppg.

NEW ORLEANS is 20-9 UNDER  as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 220.9 ppg scored. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (INDIANA) - after 2 or more consecutive wins, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 100-49 UNDER  L/26 seasons for a 67% conversion rate.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (NEW ORLEANS) - after 2 or more consecutive wins, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 36-12 UNDER L/5 seasons with a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (NEW ORLEANS) - after having covered 2 of their last 3 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 86-35 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Both these sides are off back to back losses and both will be hungry to rebound. Im betting on a  very competitive tilt with taking points a strong option.

Jimmy Butler, who has played sporadically since early November due to injury, exited Friday's Heat defeat with a sprained ankle and is unlikely to play today and if he does he will be less than 100% putting the Heat in a negative situation. This season, Butler's absence has resulted in a 5-7 record for the Heat, which includes a 105-101 loss to Minnesota on Nov. 21. 

\MIAMI is 9-21 ATS ( versus good pressure defensive teams - forcing 15 or more  turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.MIAMI is 3-12 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.MIAMI is 3-12 ATS as a home favorite this season.Spoelstra is 95-125 ATS  in home games in the first half of the season as the coach of MIAMI.

NBA team vs the money line (MINNESOTA) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 109-36 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. 

Play on Minnesota Wolves to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Stan Sheriff Center - Honolulu, H

SMU upset Utah State last time out and Hawaii took out Washington State in tournament action. These two teams play different styles of hoops. Utah State plays a explosive style of offensive basketball while, the Cougars work at a slower pace and a strong defensive mind set. The difference makers today comes via ,   Utah State's bench  that entered this tournament leading the Mountain West and were ranked  fifth in the nation in points per game (36.10). Utah State's bench has outscored its opponents 361-185 (36.1 to 18.5) this season as its reserves have accounted for 41.7 percent of USU's. Utah State has had at least two bench players score in double figures in six of its 10 games this season as the Aggies are 6-0 when multiple bench players score in double figures during the campaign.

Aggies are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.Aggies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Sunday games. Aggies are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games.Aggies are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Cougars are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games.

Cougars are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Mouhamed Gueye (Foot) - Questionable () [12/23/2022] - Gueye exited the game before Hawaii with a foot injury, and it is unclear if he will take  to the floor vs Utah State . If he plays he will be less than 100/% and puts Wash State at a disadvantage. 

Utah State to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

CBB neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (PEPPERDINE) - a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 37-13 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. 

Play UNDER 

The Lakers on the road- run and gun with wreck-less abandon and are usually punished defensively because their not focusing on their defensive responsibilities  in transition.  Overall they rank 2nd in pace in the league. They are scoring an average of 115.2 ppg game this season but rank 26th in in ppg allowed  and on the road allow a whopping 121.7 ppg on the campaign.  Dallas is the kind of team that  can- really roll up points in a hurry against this type of side behind super star Doncic. Im betting on a much quicker pace and a  more explosive offensive game than many might expect here on Christmas day. . 

LA LAKERS  in  8  road games where the total is 220 to 229.5 this season with a combined average of 232 points per game scored.LA LAKERS are 36-22 OVER as an underdog over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 230 ppg scored. LA LAKERS are 12-3 OVER  vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons. with a combined average of 231.3 ppg scored.

Over is 5-0 in Lakers last 5 road games.Over is 4-1 in Lakers last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 16-5 in Lakers last 21 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Over is 9-3 in Lakers last 12 overall.Over is 21-7 in Lakers last 28 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Over is 5-2 in Mavericks last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Play over 

Philadelphia is on a 7 game win streak that Im betting will be in jeopardy here on Christmas day vs a Knicks side that had a 8 game win streak end recently and are now desperate to rebound after two consecutive losses. Most of the 76ers success has come at home this season, but on the road they are just 5-7 and recently lost 3 straight road games before their current streak , which was all achieved at home. 

Knicks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

NEW YORK is 27-13 ATS  at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off 3 or more consecutive home wins are 61-32 L/26 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Road favorites (PHILADELPHIA) - off 2 or more consecutive home wins, on Sunday games are 8-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW YORK) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 47-18 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate.

Play on the NYK to cover

 The Thunder enter  Friday's game on a three-game winning streak, having garnered a win vs Portland 101-98  Wednesday to sweep back-to-back games against the Trail Blazers. It was their D, that showed up and played big and now against the run and gun Pelicans Im betting on them proverbially battening down the hatches again behind an improving D, that is now ranked 14th in the league in defensive efficiency. When these teams played on Nov 28 New Orleans took a 105-100 win and another physical battle Im betting is on tonights agenda. 

Under is 7-1 in Thunder last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

NEW ORLEANS is 17-5 UNDER   as a road underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219.5 ppg scored.

NEW ORLEANS is 13-4 UNDER  when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219.6 ppg scored. 

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a win against a division rival are 28-9 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (NEW ORLEANS) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games are 29-7 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. 

Play UNDER 

The Pacers despite of not being productive in the win column have been mostly competitive of late not losing by more than 7 points in their L/8 trips to the hardwood. Tonight Im betting they keep up their current never say die  form and get us a cover a road dogs. the Pacers are fairly fresh and have had a lighter schedule of late and this will aid them tonight and keeping this game closer than the offered line.  INDIANA is 7-0 ATS   when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days this season. 

Carlisle is 35-19 ATS   after 2 straight games being called for 5+ more fouls than opponent in all games he has coached.

MIAMI is 3-11 ATS ) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.

Play on Indiana to cover 

Detroit after 4 straight losses is in desperation mode and Atlanta has been very inconsistent this season thus far and recently lost 3 of their L/5 SU  -making them according to my power rankings weak favs on this type of line offering. The line according to my projections should be -7. With a full possession advantage Im recommending we take the points.  Pistons are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Pistons are 20-8-2 ATS in their last 30 road games

ATLANTA is 1-11 ATS   in home games in December games over the last 2 seasons. 

DETROIT is 39-20 ATS  after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. Casey is 55-32 ATS after 4 or more consecutive losses in all games he has coached since 1996.  NBA team vs the money line (DETROIT) - struggling  defensive team - allowing 118+ points/game on the season, after 2 straight blowout losses by 15 points or more have won 20 of their L/33 opportunities SU with the average ppg diff clicking in at +0.5 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. 

NBA Road teams (DETROIT) - sub standard defensive team - allowing 114+ points/game on the season, after 2 straight blowout losses by 15 points or more are 31-9 ATS L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Detroit to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Bucknell ranks 33rd nationally in opponent field-goal percentage (.389), and the Bison are one of only two teams in the nation shooting over 50% while holding opponents under 40%. Its a tall order but Im betting Bucknell keeps it close enough for the cover via top tier offensive and defensive  shooting skills. Bison are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

RUTGERS is 4-13 ATS  in home games on Friday nights since 1997

Play on Bucknell to cover

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

CBB teams where the total is 129.5 or less (STANFORD) - poor three point shooting team (32% or less) against a good 3PT defense  32% or better ), in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game) are 28-10 over L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors with 130 ppg scored. 

CBB Neutral court teams where the total is 129.5 or less (LOYOLA-IL) - in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game) are 38-10 over L/ L/26 seasons witn a combined average of 131.8 ppg scored.

Play OVER

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Northern Illinois thanks to their D, has struggled lately, and the coaching staff has said, that their D needs to upgraded and attention must be focused on slowing down opponents out of transition . Thats fits into most teams thoughts when in this type of  downward momentum situation. Note: N ILLINOIS is 9-2 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 129.2 ppg scored. I expect N.Illinois to implement a more concerted effort on D, which will also limit their output offensively, helping us keep this game to the low side of the number.

INDIANA ST is 6-0 UNDER  in home games in December games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 138.1 ppg scored.

CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (INDIANA ST) - after playing a game where both teams score 80 points or more, with all five starters returning from last season are 42-11 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Chicago State to cover

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Utah has a huge win against Arizona, but Im betting they are over rated. I know TCU started slowly this season, but with  starting guard Damion Baugh back in the lineup the team is 4-0 SU since his return and up trending  quickly. 

UTAH is 1-9 ATS  versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making 31% or less  of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.

UTAH is 1-11 ATS   when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.UTAH is 1-9 ATS   after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons.

TCU is 12-3 ATS   when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 2 seasons.

Play on TCU ( LATE STEAM)

Orlando is in a groove of late, and previous to 1 point loss to Atlanta last time out, had won 6 straight SU and have now covered 8 straight. Tonight Im betting they continue their top tier play on the road vs inconsistent Houston side, that has lost 3 straight games.

HOUSTON is 2-12 ATS   in home games off 2 consecutive home losses of 10 points or more. Silas is 3-13 ATS  in home games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game as the coach of HOUSTON.Silas is 3-17 ATS  in home games after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more as the coach of HOUSTON.

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (HOUSTON) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off a road loss are 7-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams (ORLANDO) - off a close loss by 3 points or less to a division rival are 41-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Orlando Magic to cover 

The Celtics looked tired after an extensive 6 game road trip and then came home and showed their exhaustion in two straight losses to a well conditioned  Orlando side that was in a groove. Now with a few days rest and finally acclimated to home cooking Im betting we the Celtics at their very best vs a the inconsistent Pacers who has lost 4 of their L/5 and 9 of 15 road tilts this season.. 

BOSTON is 12-1 ATS  after having lost 4 of their last 5 games over the last 3 seasons.

BOSTON is 8-0 ATS ( in home games off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite over the last 3 season

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (BOSTON) - an excellent offensive team (>=118 PPG) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG) are 30-1 L/26 seasons for a 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +31, which qualifies on this ATS offering. 

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (BOSTON) - after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 47-2 L/5 seasons for a 96% conversion rate, with the average ppg diff registering at +14.4 which qualifies on this ATS offering. 

Play on the Celtics to cover 

 The Bucks' 128-119 win over the Pelicans was an intense physically grueling affair that Im betting directly effects their ability to sustain the energy needed to defeat a talented Cleveland team tonight on the road. Cleveland, which has won four in a row, blasted their way  122-99 win over the Utah Jazz at home on Monday night  and in their current form look capable of taking out the Bucks here as hosts tonight. where they are 15-2 on the season.

CLEVELAND is 12-4 ATS  as a home favorite this season. CLEVELAND is 8-0 ATS  in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

CLEVELAND is 19-9 ATS  in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

Budenholzer is 24-41 ATS  in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game as the coach of MILWAUKEE.

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a home blowout win by 20 points or more are 33-4 L/26 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams (CLEVELAND) - after allowing 100 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more are 45-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Cleveland to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Spectrum Center - Charlotte, NC

Both these teams could really use a win, and Im betting that this will be a grueling affair and both will pay  significant attention to playing a strong defensive brand of hoops in transition and for alot of elbow action in the paint. My projections estimate a score closer to 149 which gives us a significant edge on this Totals  offering. 

CBB  Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points MICH/ (N CAROLINA) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (42.5-45%) are 34-8 UNDER L/5 seasons.

Play UNDER

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

 Panthers force an average of 17.4 turnovers on opponents and are at their best when able to get out in transition off turnovers, that will be a problem here vs a Cardinals  side despite of being young has protected the ball well lately. Florida Inter has lost 4 games in a row and nothing seems to come easily lately and the same Im betting holds true today.

Florida Inter is having problems on offense of late scoring 65, 59, and 53 points receptive and according to my power rankings are being over estimated in their ability to cash as this big a DD underdog. 

FLA INTERNATIONAL is 2-13 ATS L/15 as a favorite of 10 or more points .FLA INTERNATIONAL is 4-19 ATS   after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Incarnate Word to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play over

This total based on my own projections should be closer to 231 which gives us a 2 possession value with an under wager. 

5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons.

Under is 4-0 in Grizzlies last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 8-3 in Nuggets last 11 home games.

MEMPHIS is 17-5 UNDER versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more  of their shots over the last 3 season with a combined average of 220.9 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 9-1 UNDER after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season are 213.4 ppg scored.

DENVER is 14-4 UNDER  in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 228.9 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MEMPHIS/DENVER) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 34-4 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER

The Mile High city is not a friendly place for visiting teams to play in especially run and gun specialists like Memphis . The air in the Mile High city should slow them down enough to make them vulnerable to the more acclimated home side. 

MEMPHIS is 7-18 ATS  in road games after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.

NBA opening line Road underdogs vs. the money line (MEMPHIS) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, on Tuesday nights are 4-54 L/5 seasons for a go against 93% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Nuggets to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Gonzaga is off a run and gun affair in their last game vs Alabama, with a combined score of 190 points going on the board. Im betting on immediate regression here vs a Montana side that has proven they can play strong defense when need be as is evident by allowing 59 or less points to their opponent in 5 of their L/11 games. 

GONZAGA is 6-0 UNDER  in home games versus sub standard passing teams, averaging 12  or less assists/game over the last 2 season with a combined average of 135.7 ppg scored.

CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (MONTANA) - red hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 53%  or better of their shots are 44-16 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

  My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

 Following a three-game winning streak, the Flames are flying high and must not be underestimated in their ability to be competitive against a power 5 opponent. 

IL-CHICAGO is 6-0 ATS as an underdog of 10 or more points over the last 2 seasons.

CBB Favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (NORTHWESTERN) - excellent free throw shooting team (73% or better ) against an average free throw shooting team (65-69%), after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 33% or less are 5-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Illinois Chicago to cover 

The Bulls, have lost four straight games and are now in desperation mode and hungry for a victory. The last loss was embarrassing to say the least as they were defeated 150-126  at the Minnesota Timberwolves, which was the most points allowed by the Bulls in regulation in the the past 40 years. Pros don't like to be embarrassed and thats why Im betting the entire team makes a concerted effort at getting redemption and a  victory here and more importantly as far as we are concerned a cover. I know Miami has won 4 straight, but they are just 2-2 ATS in those tilts and have failed to cover 6 of their L/8 and have also be weak favs overall this season / especially at home. 

MIAMI is 3-11 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.MIAMI is 3-11 ATS  in home games this season. Heat are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. 

Donovan is 43-27 ATS after a non-conference game as the coach of CHICAGO.

Bulls are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Miami.

Play on Chicago to cover 

Oklahoma City has only eclipsed the total in 1 of their L/10 trips to the hardwood. Meanwhile, Portland in their 17 road games this season seen a combined average of 219.6 ppg go on the scoreboard. and rank 28th in the NBA in pace. with this being the Blazers 4th straight road game in the L/6 days Im betting they will hold to their usually methodical pace which will help keep this tilt on the low side of the Totals offering. 

Under is 5-1 in Trail Blazers last 6 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. 

PORTLAND is 29-17 UNDER  when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Under is 4-0 in Thunder last 4 games following a ATS win which was the case last time out.

 .NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (PORTLAND) - after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 28-4 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG differential.), after allowing 43 points or less in the first half last game are 33-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Under is 23-9 in the last 32 meetings in Oklahoma City.

Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

Play UNDER

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Stonehill has seen eight different players record double-figure scoring games through its first 12 game and despite of a sub par record have been very competitive only losing by more than this spread to times to power 5 sides, Providence and Connecticut. With that said, Bradley with a better record has played only 1 power 5 team this season, (Arkansas) last time out and lost by 19  points and were also pounded by Utah State by DDs. Looking at their schedule , it seems very likey Bradley is over rated on this line. Advantage Stonehill. 

BRADLEY is 1-11 ATS  after scoring 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons which was the case vs Arkansas last time out. 

CBB home team (BRADLEY) - good shooting team (45-47.5%) against an average defensive team (42.5-45%), good rebounding team (+3 to +6 reb/game) against a horrible rebounding team (6 or less reb/game) are 40-12 ATS L/26 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. 

CBB Home teams as a favorite or pick (BRADLEY) - good shooting team (45-47.5%) against an average defensive team (42.5-45%), good rebounding team (+3 to +6 reb/game) against a horrible rebounding team (6 or less reb/game) are 11-37 /ats L/26 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate. 

Play on Stonehill to cover 

I know Toronto has lost 5 straight games, but that will make them all the more hungry and dangerous. On flip  side -Even playing without Tyrese Maxey (fractured left foot), Tobias Harris (back) and Furkan Korkmaz (non-COVID illness) the Sixers have been putting up victories but these missing bodies Im betting will have an effect on them sooner or later. 

Nurse is 27-12 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games as the coach of TORONTO.

Rivers is 85-118 ATS after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite in all games he has coached  in  his career  . 

 NBA underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TORONTO) - after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games are 31-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Raptors to cover 

Minnesota Im betting will be in a letdown situation after a upset win vs the Thunder last time out. the game was physically grueling and now the Wolves are vulnerable in this tilt vs a quality opponent, that is desperate for a win after suffering 3 straight losses. CHICAGO is 46-29 ATS  when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 11-23 ATS off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Road favorites vs. the money line (CHICAGO) - off an upset loss as a home favorite, in December games are 33-4 L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate. 

NBA Home underdogs vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - in non-conference games, off a close win by 3 points or less over a division rival are 5-39 L/26 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Chicago to cover 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Notre Dame was lethargic in a loss to Marquette last time out. Its extremely important to note Notre Dames  HC Coach Brey has used the phrase bounce-back mode alot recently . Notre Dame is 2-0 this season after being defeated  with wins over No, 20 Michigan State and Boston U. Dating back to last season, they own a  8-game win streak following a loss. Thus, they haven’t suffered back-to-back losses since Nov. 29 of last year when they lost at Illinois.The Irish are currently leading the country in fouls per game, only committing an average of 11.6. that Im betting will be the difference maker today vs Georgia. On the flip-side GEORGIA is 2-10 ATS   vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Notre Dame to win SU

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Oakland is struggling to score and Im betting on Boise State shutting them down , while they themselves will have offensive regression after a big output last time out. 

BOISE ST is 8-2 UNDER  in all games this season. BOISE ST is 8-1 UNDER after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Rice is 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) in home games off a home win scoring 85 or more points as the coach of BOISE ST with a combined average score of 135.1 ppg scored.

CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (BOISE ST) - after allowing 55 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half. are 31-6 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 84% conversion rate. 

Play UNDER 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

In their last game over a week ago Belmont lost in OT. Previous to that they had won 5 of 6 games. This is a talented Belmont program  is getting more acquainted to a newer lineup as they replaced their 7 top scorers from last season. Note:  Alexander is 8-0 ATS off a home loss in all games he has coached since 1997. Meanwhile UTChatanooga is on a 6-0 run, but from a matchup perspective using my early season power rankings Belmont despite of alot of inexperience matchup well here.Earl is 4-15 ATS  after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games in all games he has coached since 1997.

Play on Belmont to cover 

Houstons D has been playing well lately, but the run and gun Damian Lilliard Blazers will test that prowess here tonight forcing the Rockets out of their recent comfort zone. I know the Blazers played last night in Dallas, but they are a well conditioned group and more than capable of finding their legs in a back to back situation. It must also be noted because Dallas took such a big lead last night in their win vs the Blazers the Lilliard only played 24 min. So the super star will be fresh tonight and ready to continue his offensive assault. The first meeting this season between these sides saw a combined 236 points go on the board.

Houston ranks 27th in the NBA in defensive efficiency at 115.4 . My projections estimate that Portland eclipses that average and the chasing Rockets chase their output and help us cash an over ticket.  

PORTLAND is 7-0 OVER  as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a combined average of 235.8 ppg scored.

HOUSTON is 18-5 OVER (+12.5 Units) after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 230.6 ppg scored. 

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PORTLAND) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 30-8 OVER L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (HOUSTON) - after having covered 4 of their last 5 against the spread, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 31-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Clemson has exceeded the preseason poll projection nine times in Head Coach Brad Brownell’s 12 full seasons leading the program, including last season. This season they are much better than many expected as team chemistry is a key factor to their effectiveness. 

Clemson ( Late Steam) 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My projected combined score clicks in at 161 giving us top value with this Totals offering.

TOLEDO is 18-7 UNDER  in road games versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season with a combined average of 139 ppg scored.

MARSHALL is 13-5 UNDER  versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 144.8 ppg scored.  MARSHALL is 6-0 UNDER ( after playing a game as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 144 ppg scored. 

CBB Home teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (MARSHALL) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, an excellent offensive team (76 PPG or more) against a poor defensive team (74-76 PPG) are 31-7 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

The Cardinals enter a new era led by Coach Kenny Payne, who came from the New York Knicks (2020-22) before spending a decade at Kentucky (2010-20) as an assistant and associate head coach and finally notched their first win last time out. Its obvious this version of Louisvilles hoops program has a long road back to respectability and are currently getting this much respect from the linesmakers because of their brand and not the talent on the floor. I know Florida A&M may not inspire many bettors but they are battle tested already taking on five power 5 sides. this season and it looked like it helped as they held their lower tier opponent last time out  to under 50 points for a win.   Note:  McCullum is 10-1 ATS  after allowing 50 points or less in all games he has coached

McCullum is 14-2 ATS as a road underdog of 12.5 to 18 points as the coach of FLORIDA A&M.

LOUISVILLE is 1-9 ATS   in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.

CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (FLORIDA A&M) -  team - outscored by their opponents by 12+ points/game, after a combined score of 110 points or less are 48-18 ATS L/26 seasons for a 73% conversion rate!

Play on Florida A&M to cover

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Both teams enter the week ranked in the CollegeInsider.com Mid-Major Top 25 and according to my power rankings more evenly matched than the line might indicate. Bryant was ranked 17h and Liberty No.20.) Thus giving us an edge taking the dog . (Bryant)

CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (BRYANT) - in a game involving two good defensive teams (40-42.5%), dominant rebounding team (6 or better  reb/game) against an average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) are 39-12 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Bryant 

Denver scored 141 points last time out and now Im betting on some major regression from an offensive output perspective. Under is 4-0 in Nuggets last 4 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. Im betting his directly effects this total to the under here in this tilt vs LAK. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DENVER) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 101-48 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. 

Play UNDER 

Portland has won three straight and five of its last six with Lillard leading the way. He is shooting 52.9 percent from the field and 50.7 percent from 3-point range since returning. Im betting he prompts Doncic and company in all out offensive slugfest. 

Over is 4-0 in Trail Blazers last 4 overall.

PORTLAND is 9-1 OVER  after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 234.6 ppg scored. 

Over is 13-3 in Mavericks last 16 games following a straight up loss.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PORTLAND) - good free throw shooting team (76-79%) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 47%  or more of their shots are 33-7 OVER L/5 season for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. 

Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Dallas.Over is 10-2 in the last 12 meetings.

Play on the over 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

The Cougars are 0-9 in road games and that's why we have this over done line to bet into. I know its an ugly away record, but  Chicago State  behind  Jahsean Corbett who scored 25 points in Chicago State's 66-65 loss to the Murray State Racers last time out and up-trending is capable of being competitive here in foreign territory. That was the Cougars 2nd straight loss by 1 point.

CHICAGO ST is 14-5 ATS in road games after playing 4 consecutive games as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

CHICAGO ST is 16-6 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

S ILLINOIS is 5-15 ATS L/20 as a home favorite of 15.5 to 18 points.

CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (CHICAGO ST) - after beating the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games, on Friday nights are 31-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Chicago State to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My projections make this total closer to 148, which gives us value on the over . 

Oral Roberts has averaged 97.5 ppg at home this season and play a run and gun all out type of basketball that does not pay much attention to defense in transition. I know Missouri State will try to slow down this game, but its not an easy proposition to implement against this type of no prisoners hoops program.  

MISSOURI ST is 20-8 OVER  versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game with a combined average of 147.1 ppg scored.

ORAL ROBERTS is 8-1 OVER  in home games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 175.4 ppg going on the scoreboard.

CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (ORAL ROBERTS) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last seven games are 28-7 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate with a combined average of 150.7 ppg scored.

Play on the OVER

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

In each of Dartmouth's last five games, a team has ended the first half on a significant run (four times coming from the Big Green). On Tuesday, it was 12-0 Dartmouth. Last Friday at Central Connecticut State, the Big Green ended the first half on a 13-2 run. Against Vermont, it was 13-0 Catamounts to end the first. In the two previous games (both at home), Dartmouth ended the first with a 13-0 run against CSU Bakersfield and 14-0 vs. NVU-Johnson. It may be foreign to some , how I look at runs like this but, from my perspective these long bouts of domination, tell a story of a side that once they get into top condition, will be a hard side to handle . They can dominate, and are rarely dominated. Dartmouth has had issues with complete game performances, but when considering this matchup, their overall talent looks viable enough to compete and get us the cover vs USF. side that struggles with Free Throws and allows opposing 3 point shooters to convert for 37.8% when at home .  

Gregory is 12-23 ATS  in home games after playing a road game as the coach of S FLORIDA.Gregory is 35-50 ATS in all home games as the coach of S FLORIDA.

S FLORIDA is 0-6 ATSin home games after a game where they made 53% of their free throws or worse over the last 3 seasons. S FLORIDA is 4-14 ATS  in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons

McLaughlin is 15-6 ATSin road games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games as the coach of DARTMOUTH.

Play on Dartmouth to cover 

 Suns enter this game struggling  after suffering 5 straight losses and are   banged up  and also exhausted as they finish up their  four-game road trip, in LA at the Staples Center tonight against the Clippers. note: key Suns players Booker and Ayton are both listed questionable for Thursday's game, and if they do play could see limited time and be less than 100%. 

Suns are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games. 

Clippers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - after going under the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games against opponent after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games are 37-3 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.6 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. 

NBA Underdogs (PHOENIX) - averaging 45 or less rebounds/game on the season, after a game being outrebounded by opponent by 20 or more are 6-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate!

Play on LA Clippers to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

UC Irvine is ranked top-50 nationally in the following categories: scoring offense (48), scoring margin (17) rebounds per game (21), rebound margin (10), assist per game (36), field-goal percentage defense (41), three-point field goal percentage (7), and three-point field goal percentage defense (50) and must be taken seriously in their ability to come in here at Santa Clara and steal this game. The Anteaters almost stole a game from  ranked San Diego State earlier this season, and behind a capable rebounding and physical presence around the rim present problems for all comers including another good rebounding side Santa Clara. 

Key: The Anteaters don't fire alot of  3-balls, but they are extremely consistent when they do as is evident by a 40.4% rate from beyond the arc , ranking 10th nationally from downtown.

SANTA CLARA is 2-9 ATS in December games over the last 2 seasons.SANTA CLARA is 1-8 ATS   in home games after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.

UC Irvine has won the L/6 meetings in this series including their L/4 visits to Santa Clara. 

Play on UC Irvine to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Wisconsin (8-2, 2-0 B1G) is coming off a pair of physically draining Big Ten wins over No. 13 Maryland (64-59) and Iowa (78-75, OT) and here against. a lower tier side could easily experience a letdown. 

Reed is 22-11 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) as the coach of LEHIGH. Reed is 32-21 ATS in road games after playing a home game as the coach of LEHIGH.

CBB Underdogs of 10 or more points (LEHIGH) - off an upset loss by 15 or more as a home favorite against opponent off a road win are 58-18 ATS L/25 seasons for a 76% conversion rate.

CBB Favorites of 10 or more points (WISCONSIN) - off an upset win as an underdog against opponent off an upset loss by 15 or more as a home favorite are 4-22 ATS L/26 seasons for a 85% conversion rate.

Play on Lehigh to cover

Minnesota in a  recent defeat were bashed by a  133-112 count  on Monday when the Wolves saw their opponent shoot 45.7 percent (21 of 46) from 3-point range. The current form of their D, portrays a situation where the Clippers project to score above their  current offensive averages. This will aid in overall offensive output projections. Minnesota ranks 2nd in pace, and even without Townsend in the lineup are in all out attack mode which leaves them vulnerable in transition. MINNESOTA is 23-6 OVER  after allowing 130 points or more over the last 3 seasons with the combined average score of those 29 games clicking in at 241.1 ppg. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MINNESOTA) - good free throw shooting team (76-79%) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 47%  or better of their shots are 33-7 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate with the combined average of 234 ppg going on the scoreboard.

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (LA CLIPPERS) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%), in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) are 285-192 OVER L/26 seasons for a 60% conversion rate with the combined average of 227.7 ppg scored.

Play OVER 

Sacramento looked tired last night in a DD loss to Philadelphia. Now playing their  5th straight road and this being a back to back Im betting that they are at a disadvantage against rested side , playing at home with redemption in mind for back to back losses vs lower tier  Orlando.  TORONTO is 20-9 ATS  when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons.TORONTO is 13-3 ATS  in home games off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (TORONTO) - off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a road favorite, first half of the season are 28-1 L/26 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.2 whihc easily qualifies on this ATS offering.

Play on Toronto Raptors to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

JACKSON ST is 13-4 ATS as an underdog of 10 or more points over the last 2 seasons.

CBB road team (MISSISSIPPI ST) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a top-level team (>=80%) playing a team with a losing record are 4-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. 

Play on Jackson State to cover +22

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

The Hall is coming off of a rivalry victory as it retained the Garden State Hardwood Classic trophy with a 45-43 win at Rutgers on Sunday and now Im betting they will be in a emotional letdown situation vs a lower tier non conference opponent making them vulnerable to a slow start or overall lethargic effort. 

SETON HALL is 4-13 ATS in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.

CBB Favorites of 10 or more points (SETON HALL) - after a close win by 3 points or less against opponent after scoring 65 points or less 3 straight games are 10-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on  Drexel to cover

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Amalie Arena - Tampa, FL

My projections make this Total closer to 140 giving us at least one or two full possession edge on this offering from the books.

OHIO U is 14-2 UNDER  in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 season with a combined average of 131.7 ppg scored. OHIO U is 11-2 UNDER  in road games after having won 4 of their last 5 games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 136.7 ppg scored.

CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (FLORIDA/OHIO U) - in a game involving two good shooting teams (45-47.5%) are 82-36 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

The Pelicans roll into Utah on a 7 game win streak and deserve to be favs here at Salt Lake City vs a side that started fast but has now lost 11 of their L/16 games SU. Considering the walking wounded that the Jazz are dealing with Im betting they are at a disadvantage. ie  Lauri Markkanen (illness), Mike Conley (injury management), Jordan Clarkson (bruised right hip) and Collin Sexton (right hamstring strain) . 

NEW ORLEANS is 26-15 ATS  as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Pelicans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Pelicans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.Pelicans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Jazz are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games.Jazz are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

NBA team vs the money line (UTAH) - after allowing 115 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 125 points or more 2 straight games are 5-24 L/26 seasons for a go against  83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on  NO Pelicans to cover 

  My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My projections make this line closer to 148 which gives us a full two possession value on this offering. Advantage to the under. 

Boise has allowed 59.3 ppg at home this season, and Im betting New Orleans will be bogged down for much of this game aiding in our under cause.
BOISE ST is 17-5 UNDER  in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 127 ppg scored.

CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (BOISE ST) - after allowing 55 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half are 30-6 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 138.2 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER

Golden State Warriors are off an impressive win vs the Boston Celtics in a two way complete DD win las time out , but now in an emotional letdown spot on the road, Im betting a Bucks side that fell asleep at the wheel last time out , losing against Houston has the advantage. 

MILWAUKEE is 9-1 ATS  versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more  of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

Budenholzer is 23-9 ATS  vs. teams who are called for 2+ more fouls/game than their opponents as the coach of MILWAUKEE.

Warriors are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games.Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, on Tuesday nights are 4-53 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 93% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -13.4 which easily qualifies on this /ATS offering. 

Play on Milwaukee Bucks to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

I know UMass Lowell is on a big winning streak, but Rhode Island has played more top tier teams than their opposition and deserve respect as home dogs according to my projections. note: This young catalyst brings alot of chemistry to this Rhode Island squad and hes expected to play tonight.

CBB road team (UMASS-LOWELL) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a top-level team (80% or better ) playing a team with a losing record are just 4-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Rhode Island to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

VMI is coming off a thrilling 77-74 win over Radford last Saturday at Cameron Hall where five VMI starters scored in double figures, for their third straight win. Meanwhile, the The Eagles now stand at 7-2 and have not lost a game since Nov. 13 at George Mason and deserve to be favs here , but not by this much as my line is cloder to -7, which according to my projections gives us a excellent opportunity at cashing with the underdog. 

VMI is 15-4 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Brennan is 6-15 ATS versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season as the coach of AMERICAN.

CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (AMERICAN) - team from a mid-major division 1-A conference against a team from a weak conference, off an upset win as an underdog are  7-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on VMI

Minnesota had defeated Portland five consecutive times before falling short on the second contest of their five-game road trip but now Im betting on a bounce back performance from the Wolves against Lilliard and company. PORTLAND is 18-31 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots over the last 2 seasons. MINNESOTA is 13-3 ATS  in road games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

NBA  team vs the money line (PORTLAND) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%), after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher are 57-96 L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Home favorites (PORTLAND) - off a win against a division rival, in December games are 19-42 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Minnesota Wolves to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

The Owls' road stretch has been a very successful one, as KSU is 4-2 over the first six games behind a group of 5 returning starters . That includes a road victory at Appalachian State. KSU has also been very efficient from the land of the trey this season, currently ranking 12th in the nation in three-point percentage at 40.4% which makes them viable back door cover choices here vs a ranked side.  

Take the points 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Minnesota has only faced Mississippi State once in school history, but coming just last year in Starkville, Miss. The Gophers earned an 81-76 win over the Bulldogs on Dec. 5, 2021. Revenge might be on board for the visitors but you dont always get what you want , like Mick Jagger of the Rolling Stones like to say. Even if Miss st gets the win , Im betting it wont come as easily as the linemkaers expect. 

MISSISSIPPI ST is 0-6 ATS  after allowing 65 points or less 4 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Jans is 4-13 ATS   off a home blowout win by 20 points or more in all games he has coached since 1997.

CBB road team (MISSISSIPPI ST) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a top-level team (80% or better) playing a team with a losing record are 3-28 ATS for. go against 90% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Minnesota to cover

Chicago played a complete game yesterday in a DD beatdown of the Dallas Mavs, scoring 144 points on the offense. Now on tired legs and emotionally drained Im betting we see major regression on the road in Atlanta.

CHICAGO is 1-8 ATS  after a non-conference game this season. Atlanta is 3-1 SU/ATS L/4 at home in this series. 

Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.

Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.

McMillan is 41-26 ATS  in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game as the coach of ATLANTA.

Play on Atlanta 

The Lakers are on a 3 game losing streak and exhausted as they play their 6th straight road game. Detroits young legs  have the edge on this aging group at home in Motwon today. 

 LA LAKERS are 1-8 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more this season. LA LAKERS are 5-18 ATS  in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. Lakers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games.

Lakers are 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Detroit.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing against a terrible team (25% or less ) are 28-62 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Detroit Pistons to cover 

The Suns enter this game on a 3 game losing streak, and now are very motivated for redemption and revenge as they face a New Orleans side that beat them a few days ago. I know the Pelicans are playing great ball, but a letdown maybe in order after the intensity they put into beating the Suns last time out. 

Williams is 54-36 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of PHOENIX.

PHOENIX is 20-9 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. PHOENIX is 23-7 ATS  revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. PHOENIX is 15-4 ATS   revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Road teams (PHOENIX) - revenging a loss vs opponent, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite are 41-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Phoenix to cover

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Wyoming has average 80.4 ppg in 5 home games this season so far and their opponents LA Tech have average 78.6 ppg on the road. 

LOUISIANA TECH is 9-2 OVER  versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 151.4 ppg scored.

LOUISIANA TECH is 9-2 OVER in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 153.2 ppg scored in those 11 tilts. 

WYOMING is 7-0 OVER in home games after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 154.8 ppg scored.WYOMING is 9-1 OVER in home games after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 150.4 ppg scored. 

CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (WYOMING) - off a home win scoring 85 or more points, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 41-11 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at 153.5 ppg . 

Play OVER

Teams like Indiana with top tier down town shooting skills , have given the Nets problems this season and Im betting  nothing will change tonight. 

BROOKLYN is 0-7 ATS  versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season with the average ppg diff clicking at -10. 

Vaughn is 1-11 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 in all games he has coached since 1996.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (BROOKLYN) - off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days are 12-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Indiana to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Richmond is 3-5 this season with four losses coming by three or fewer points. Of note: o Richmond is the only team in D-I with four losses by three or fewer points this season. The Spiders are never out of it. UR is outscoring its opponents by 55 points in the second half this season. Despite  of the sub par record the Spiders are a quality side and deserve respect getting points at home. 

DRAKE is 1-9 ATS  in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons

CBB road team (DRAKE) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a top-level team (80% or better) playing a team with a losing record are 3-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Richmond to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

VMI a team that has already eclipsed the 100 point plateau 3 times this season will push the pace here forcing Radford to open up to some extent, which will help us eclipse this totals offering. Radford has proved it can pour down points offensively with recent 80 and 86 point outputs in their last 2 trips to the hardwood. 

RADFORD is 8-1 OVER  versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 144.9 ppg scored.

RADFORD is 21-8 OVER L/29 when the total is 140 to 149.5. 

VMI is 14-5 OVER  when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 155.9 ppg scored.

 CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (VMI) - off a home win scoring 85 or more points, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 41-11 OVER 26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average score of 153.4 ppg scored.

Play OVER

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play UNDER

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My power rankings suggest this game should be lined a full possession less than this offering giving us value taking points with Buffalo. 

The Bulls are ninth in the nation in fastbreak points, averaging 19.20 per game. This mark is the best in the MAC. Tulane has issues with these types of teams. 

BUFFALO is 12-4 ATS  in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. BUFFALO is 23-9 ATS L/32 as a neutral court underdog or pick

 Tulane is 1-7 ATS this season. 

Play on Buffalo to cover

Both these teams are rolling with the defending champs Bucks  having won 6 of their L/7 and their hosts Dallas having garnered victories in 4 of their L/5 overall. It must be noted however, that DALLAS is just 0-7 ATS after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season and have been unable to keep momentum on their sides. DALLAS is 2-10 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins this season. 

Meanwhile,MILWAUKEE is 24-11 ATS  as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons and are not intimidated when in foreign territory as is evident by winning 6 of 9 on the road this season.

Bucks are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Bucks are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.

Mavericks are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Mavericks are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 home games.Mavericks are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up win.

Mavericks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 2 days rest.

This is the second and final matchup between these sides this season; Milwaukee walked over  Dallas 124-115 on Nov. 27 and the Bucks won their lone game in Dallas a season ago, 102-95. Rinse and repeat on another victory here tonight for the visitors.

Milwaukee Bucks to cover

The Suns have had their egos bruised after two straight losses vs Dallas and Boston respectively. Im betting what happened was the Suns went in to their game against Dallas with huge revenge on board  for last seasons play off losses and and still couldn't get it down  and than were in an emotional letdown state in the tilt vs the Celtics and just fell flat on their faces. Now with time to digest their problems Im betting on an all out performance from the Suns in redemption mode against a side that despite of playing well is still not as talented as the incoming side. Suns are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss.PHOENIX is 13-3 ATS in road games after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons.PHOENIX is 30-15 ATS  on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. PHOENIX is 22-11 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons

NBA Road favorites vs. the money line (PHOENIX) - off an upset loss as a home favorite, in December games are 32-3 L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.6 . 

Suns are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in New Orleans.

Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover 

After impressive back to back win vs Atlanta and Cleveland the Knicks look like a confident group and are ready to keep their current form rolling vs a inconsistent Charlotte side that ahs lost 3 straight and only garnered wins in 4 of their 12 home tilts this season. The Knicks beat the Hornets 134-131 in overtime Oct. 26 at home. Rinse and repeat. 

Knicks are 17-6 ATS in their last 23 road games.

Knicks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

NEW YORK is 11-2 ATS  in road games after a blowout win by 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

NEW YORK is 41-20 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.

NBA road teams (NEW YORK) - after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a bad team (25-40%) are 28-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Underdogs (CHARLOTTE) - off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 17-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play NY Knicks to cover

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play over

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Vanderbilt is off a hard fought emotional 1 point win vs Pitt U last time out and could easily find themselves in a letdown spot here vs a Grambling side that rolls into this game after consecutive conclusive  DD wins. I know the wins did not come against Power 5 sides, but earlier this season Grambling did upset Colorado, and deserve respect here on this line offering.

Jackson is 17-4 ATS after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games as the coach of GRAMBLING.

Stackhouse is 6-18 ATS  in home games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less as the coach of VANDERBILT.  VANDERBILT is 17-34 ATS  in a home game where the total is 135 to 139.5 since 1997.VANDERBILT is 0-6 ATS  in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons.

CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (GRAMBLING) - after beating the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games, on Friday nights are 30-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate.

Play on Grambling to cover 

Denver is off a heart breaking 116-115 loss to Dallas last time out, which was their 3rd straight defeat, but the Nuggets HC Malone is 15-5 ATS  in road games after a close loss by 3 points or less as the coach of DENVER and will be primed to bounce back. DENVER is also  21-9 ATS  in road games after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. From a league wide trends perspective  NBA Road favorites vs. the money line (DENVER) - off an upset loss as a home favorite, in December games are 31-3 L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors.

I know the Blazers have won two straight , but Portland's consecutive victories came after the club lost seven of eight games and even with Damian Lillard back in the lineup , the Nuggets Im betting matchup well in this spot play. Portland routed the visiting Nuggets 135-110 on Oct. 24 when it outscored Denver 80-49 in the second half. Lillard scored 31 and Simons added 29- Revenge now on board for the Nuggets. 

PORTLAND is 17-31 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 46%  or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on Denver to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Iowa will be out looking for redemption tonight at home vs instate rivals Iowa State, after an embarrassing loss to Duke last time out. The Blue Devils size played a big role in frustrating the Hawkeyes, but that wont be the case here vs a smaller group of Cyclones. 

I know Iowa State D, has played well of late, but is must be noted that the cyclones are just 1-13 ATS L/14 in road games after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 37% or less . Otzelberger is 5-16 ATS L/21 in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5 in all games he has coached.

McCaffery is 25-9 ATS  in home games after a loss by 10 points or more as the coach of IOWA.IOWA is 8-1 ATS  in home games in December games over the last 3 seasons. 

CB BRoad underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (IOWA ST) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more are 14-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Iowa to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

USC is off a hard fought win vs Oregon State last time out and Im betting they will experience a letdown here in this non conference tilt vs a side Im sure they are not considering to be a legitimate threat. 

CS-FULLERTON is 10-2 ATS  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

CS-FULLERTON is 15-5 ATS   versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less  over the last 2 seasons.CS-FULLERTON is 11-2 ATS as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. CS-FULLERTON is 6-0 ATS  in road games after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 season

USC is 0-6 ATS  in home games off a home win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons which was the case last time out.USC is 1-10 ATS   in home games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (USC) - after a close win by 3 points or less against opponent after scoring 65 points or less 3 straight games are 8-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Fullerton to cover 

The Suns were limited to 15 points in the first quarter of Monday's loss to Dallas. It was their lowest point total in any quarter this season. Now with a chance at redemption and the energy of their home town fans behind them Im betting they show up with a full game effort and get a  victory vs the top tier Celtics . Add to that the possible return of All-Star point guard Chris Paul and the Suns get the nod. PHOENIX is 7-0 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses this season. PHOENIX is 22-9 ATS L/31 in home games after allowing 130 points or more .  

PHOENIX is 11-3 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game this season. 

PHOENIX is 22-10 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BOSTON) - explosive offensive team - scoring 118+ points/game on the season, first half of the season are just 16-33 ATS L/26 seasons for a 67% conversion rate.

Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover 

 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

 The Mustangs are 3-3 at home this season and 41-8 in the past 49 games at Moody Coliseum. Since Moody Coliseum re-opened for the 2014 American Athletic Conference schedule, SMU has successfully defended home court 126 times in 151 contests.

Arizona State goes 9-10 deep , but SMU home court edge gives me confidence in backing the host side getting points. In previous encounters against teams like ASU the Mustangs have been very  competitive. 

SMU in their L/6 games versus teams who average 40 or more rebounds/game on the season over the last 3 seasons have seen the average ppg diff clicking in at -2.

SMU  L/32 games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons have seen the average ppg diff clicking in at +1.8. 

CBB  Road teams as an favorite or pick (ARIZONA ST) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a top-level team (80% or better ) playing a team with a losing record are 2-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 93% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on SMU to cover

Orlando lost its ninth consecutive game and the 11th in the last 12 contests Monday in a 109-102 decision against Milwaukee. In their current form they are fade material on this type of line vs what is a deeper and superior side even without Leonard or George in the lineup. If these two top tier stars play than the line should be closer to -8. 

I know the Clippers have not exactly been cover machines of late, but this league wide trend supports my betting option. NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA CLIPPERS) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games are 71-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate.

Clippers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Clippers are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Orlando.

Play on LA Clippers to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

N.Alabama rallied for a come from behind win vs Morehead state last time out and could easily find themselves in a letdown spot after playing four straight away tilts. 

ALABAMA ST is 11-0 ATS  off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.ALABAMA ST is 8-0 ATS after 3 straight games where they made 40% of their shots or worse over the last 2 seasons.ALABAMA ST is 6-0 ATS  in road games after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons. Madlock is 10-1 ATS   in road games after 3 consecutive non-conference games in all games he has coached since 1997.

N ALABAMA is 0-8 ATS  versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. N ALABAMA is 2-17 ATS  versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing