Creighton is 19-8 this year (8-6 BIG EAST) in has played a  hard core nine games against ranked opponents. Six of the Jays losses were vs  teams that were ranked at the time (No. 22 Baylor, No. 15 Gonzaga, No. 23 Seton Hall, No. 10 Xavier, No. 1 Villanova, No. 5 Xavier), despite of those setbacks the Bluejays are also one of 27 teams nationally with three wins over top-25 teams and must not be underestimated as dogs against any opponent, especially against Butler program that they matchup well against.( blue Jays are 4-1 SU/5 meetings and have covered 7 of the L/9 overall in this series) Creighton has won the last three games by scores of 75-64, 76-67 and 85-74.Creighton has  shown the ability to slow  down   Butlers top offensive threat in the recent past, Kelan Martin (20.7 ppg. this year) , as the star forward has not shot well at all while going head to head  by reigning BIG EAST Defensive Player of the Year Khyri Thomas. This I'm betting will be the key to a Creighton cover tonight. Note: I know Creighton lost last time out to Marquette, but that's a good omen for us here , as Creighton is 7-0 this season in the game immediately after a loss, outscoring their opposition 87.9 - 63.6 and outrebounding the opposition 40.1 - 32.9.McDermott is 17-6 ATS L/23 off a home loss as the coach of CREIGHTON.

Creighton is averaging 85.4 points per game this season (sixth nationally), shooting 50.2 percent from the floor (10th nationally), and 37.9 percent from three-point range. CU also owns a 1.63 assist/turnover ratio (fourth nationally) to date, and a +1.9 rebound margin.Creighton's 14 games this season making 80 percent or better at the line ranks tied for fifth nationally, and tied with Butler for first among all major conference teams and gives them a must needed edge here on the road.

CREIGHTON is 8-1 ATS L/9 on Tuesday nights over the last couple of  seasons.CREIGHTON is 12-4 ATS L/16 after allowing 80 points or more .CREIGHTON is 21-8 ATS L/30 after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread. BUTLER is 0-7 ATS l/7 versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 84+ points/game after 15+ games dating back to last season.

Play on Creighton to cover

Rhode Island ranks very high in power rankings polls so I have no problem what so ever recommending we lay the lumber here with them here on the road vs  what is currently a far inferior hoops program LaSalle. Rhody has won two straight and seven of the last eight meetings, including an 74-62 victory on Jan.  and has won four straight in this series at Gola Arena. Despite a loss at St. Bonaventure two games back, Rhode Island has  remained firmly in both national polls for a fifth straight week, ranking No. 18 in both the Associated Press and College Basketball Coaches Poll. With this game coming late in the season, Rhode Island seeking a NCAA tourney bid will not over look their opponents tonight and instead come out here looking to make a statement.

LASALLE is 0-6 ATS  L/6 after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers this season. RHODE ISLAND is 10-3 ATS L/13 when playing only their 2nd game in a week this season.LASALLE is 1-11 ATS  L/12 versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game and is 2-11 ATS  when playing against a team with a winning record. 

CBB home team (LASALLE) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent against opponent off an upset loss as a road favorite are 47-81 ATS L/5 seasons for a 63% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play  on Rhode Island to cover

I'm betting on  Toledo   to bounce back from Saturday's 99-71 defeat at Ball State when it travels to Ypsilanti, Mich to play Eagles.It was the Rockets only second loss in 13 games. Toledo swept the Eagles in last seasons series with 73-57 victory  in the Glass City and a 60-56 win in Ypsilanti. Meanwhile, E.Mich is off a road win vs Central Michigan  and have won 4 of their L/5 , and despite of a winning overall record  are just 2-2 in their L/4 home games and I'm betting the 3rd loss in their L/5 is on the horizon. From  a matchup perspective the Rockets D, has allowed opponents to shoot 45.2 % on the road and E.Michigan has shot, 48.2 at home. My won projections, suggest that E. Mich should make between 40% to 46% of their shots here tonight, which is a good omen, considering the Rockets are   8-0 ATS in road games when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game. It seems that Toledo thrives against teams like this when pushed into a shootout scenario where both teams are projected to score 70 points or more , which the linesmakers are expecting . Look for Tre'Shaun Fletcher  who ranks second in scoring at 19.7 ppg, and Jaelan Sanford who is seventh at 16.9 ppg to be the catalysts behind a Toledo victory.

Note: As a team, Toledo ranks 21st nationally (as of Feb. 17) with its 40.0 3PTFG% and also No.1 in the MAC with its 28.5 defensive rebounds per game. The Rockets are also second with 79.7 ppg, 15.6 apg, a 1.3 assist/turnover ratio and third with a 46.7 FG% and 9.7 three-point FGs per tilt. Toledo has also  converted 260-of-650 of their 3 pt attempts for a 40.0 conversion rate,  ranking first in the MAC and ranks 20th nationally..  UT's 9.7 treys per game are third in the MAC (36th nationally).

E MICHIGAN is 2-15 ATS L/17 versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots and  is 1-12 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more  of their shots after 15+ games dating back to last season.Murphy is 4-16 ATS L/20 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more of their attempts after 15+ games . E.Mich is 0-6 ATS  in home games off a win against a conference rival dating back to last season. TOLEDO is 8-1 ATS L/9 when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) after 15 or more games dating back to last season. TOLEDO is 6-0 ATS in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5 this season.

Play on Toledo to cover

 Wofford averages 82.1 ppg at home this season on offense, while Greensboro averages 72.4 ppg on the road.Note:  UNCG  overall is averaging 74.0 points per game while shooting 44.8 percent (737-of-1646) from the field and 36.3 percent (273-of-752) from 3-point land and according to my projections should be on pace for a similar offensive output.   Greensboro plays the better defensive ball, but I'm betting their dragged into a faster affair than they like by a revenge minded Wofford team that plays their best basketball at home, which I'm betting results in a higher scoring game than the lines-makers anticipate. Wofford’s only loss at home in conference play came at the hands of ETSU by a 75-62 margin.In their L/meeting on Dec 30 of this season, Greensboro on their own home court dictated the pace and came away with a 71-67 win, but here on the road Wofford will up the speed of this game , which is more to their liking which will result in this tilt eclipsing the number.  

These teams have gone over the Total in 9 straight meetings here at Wofford.

UNC-GREENSBORO is 8-1 OVER  L/9  in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more of their attempts after 15+ games dating back to last season, with a combined average of 156.8 ppg scored. UNC-GREENSBORO is 9-1 OVER   in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more  of their attempts after 15+ games over the last couple of seasons with a combined average score of 154.8 ppg clicking in on the board.WOFFORD is 6-0 OVER  L/6  in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last few seasons with a combined average of 151.2 ppg scored. WOFFORD is 12-2 OVER  L/14  in home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last few seasons with a combined average of 158.8 ppg going on the scoreboard. WOFFORD is 10-1 OVER L/11 revenging a same season loss vs opponent with a combined average of 162.6 ppg getting scored. WOFFORD is 15-3 OVER  L/18 after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games of 157.9 ppg scored.

Play on the OVER

Minnesota enters this game struggling on defense, allowing 94,76,91,80,87 points respectively in their L/5 strips to the hardwood for an average of 85.6 ppg. The Gophers have struggled a bit of late on offense against some top tier competition, but their overall ability to put points up on the board (76.5ppg),has been their saving grace this season, and made them competitive for the most part in Big 10 play and according to my projections should score in the 65-69 point range here in this spot.  Meanwhile,  Wisconsin has done  their best offensive work at home this season, averaging 72 ppg, and I'm betting on them upping their average offensive output here by 5 to 8 points vs a  pylon D.  With that said, according to my own prognostication system, this total should be easily eclipsed.

Minnesota in 15 conference games this season, has seen a combined average score of 148.4 ppg go on the board.

MINNESOTA is 8-0 OVER  L/8 versus teams who average 33 or less rebounds/game on the season with a combined average of 151.2 ppg going on the board. 

CBB Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (MINNESOTA) - after trailing their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half against opponent after scoring 25 points or less in the first half last game are 40-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 82%conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 152.4 ppg scored.

Play OVER

 The Stanford Cardinal enter this game against California looking for a revenge for a 77-74 upset home loss to the Bears as 7 point chalk back Dec 30. The Cardinal looked asleep at the proverbial wheel in that tilt, but will be wide awake in this spot and ready to lay down some payback. The Cardinal are 9-1 ATS L/10 with revenge in this series, and look like a viable side to back vs a Bears side that has failed to cover 7 of 9 as home dogs this season and that has lost 11 of their L/12 overall SU.
I'm betting Stanford's key to success tonight hinges on their ability to win the rebounding battle . The Cardinals have out rebounded 20 of 26 opponents this season, including 16 of the last 19 contests.


CALIFORNIA is 1-10 ATS L/11 in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game dating back to last season,

. CALIFORNIA is 2-13 ATS L/15 after scoring 25 points or less in the first half last game and is 0-7 ATS off an embarrassing road loss scoring less than 60 points . ( Utah smashed the bears 77-44 L/time out)



CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (STANFORD) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite of 7or more, with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent are 77-37 ATS L/21 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB road team (STANFORD) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent against opponent off a road loss by 20 points or more are 67-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Stanford to cover

The Clemson Tigers are 12-0 SU at home this season, and own a No.4 ranking in the RPI and matchup very well against Coach K and company a a  program that is No.10 in the same RPI rankings . Also my own  numbers suggest the superior team is the Tigers and they get the nod here vs a Duke  Blue Devils hoops program that have not faired  all that well here at Clemson, covering just 7 of their L/19 visits.

CLEMSON is 7-1 ATS  versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game this season. CLEMSON is 11-3 ATS L/14  in home games vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game . CLEMSON is 9-2 ATS  versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season.CLEMSON is 9-1 ATS  in all home games this season.

Play on Clemson to cover

Mississippi State has revenge on board for a 64-58 loss in Oxford earlier this season. Both the lines-makers and myself agree that Miss State should be hefty favs here in the rematch, which translates well into what I am predicting  will be a lopsided win ....as the Bulldogs are 19-3 ATS as home favs in straight up revenge victories.  The Bulldogs are also 20-4 SU L/24 at home in this series and have a big edge vs a Rebs side that has nothing to play for after suffering 6 straight losses. With said I'm recommending we back the very motivated  home team. QUOTE: "They have excellent guards. It's a rivalry game, so everything goes out the window. Nothing that's happened before this game matters. It's all about this game." — MSU coach Ben Howland on Ole Miss.

The Bulldogs have held nine of its 13 SEC foes below their scoring average and 21 of 26 overall.Mississippi State leads the SEC and is 45th nationally in points allowed at 66.8. MSU is also 26th in the nation in field goal defense at 40.6 percent. 

MISSISSIPPI ST is 16-6 ATS  L/22 revenging a road loss vs opponent.

OLE MISS is 0-7 ATS  L/7  after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers this season.OLE MISS is 0-6 ATS  L/6 after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games this season.

OLE MISS is 2-11 ATS   versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season. MISSISSIPPI ST is 7-0 ATS L/7 when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last few seasons. MISSISSIPPI ST is 14-3 ATS L/17 when playing against a team with a losing record .

Play on Miss State to cover

After a six-day break, Louisville now very well rested will return home to the KFC Yum! Center as the Cardinals face the North Carolina Tar Heels on Saturday.Louisville has held eight of its 13 ACC opponents to 40 percent or below shooting from the field and I'm betting their ability to hold down opponents behind a staunch D will be the catalyst for a victory for them here tonight vs the Tar Heels.

N CAROLINA is 0-6 ATS  as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

N CAROLINA is 2-9 ATS  L/11  in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game after 15+ games dating back to last season. LOUISVILLE is 9-1 ATS L/10  after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 37% or less .LOUISVILLE is 6-0 ATS  L/6  in home games after scoring 85 points or more.

CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LOUISVILLE) - after going over the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games against opponent after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games are 45-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Louisville to cover

Baylor is currently playing their best hoops of the season, winning and cashing 4 straight and will be primed to pull off an upset vs a strong Texas Tech program. The key to Baylor’s success of late has come from the  bench as they have out-scored the opposing bench 153-49 over the last 5 games. Note: BU is averaging 80.2 ppg over its last 6 Big 12 games after averaging 66.0 ppg in its first 7 Big 12 games.  Baylor has been tied or leading in the final 2 minutes in 4 of its Big 12 losses, all vs. ranked teams and must be respected here on their own home floor . BU is 10-2  L/12 vs Tech at  home in Waco  . Baylor is 54-11 against in-state opponents since the start of the 2011-12 season

We are also backing a Bears team that  have revenge for a ugly loss vs the Raiders earlier this season by a  77-53 count. Note: Baylor has cashed 3 straight SU/ATS with revenge winning each time by DD and are 14-3 ATS L/17 with revenge in  this series. Meanwhile Texas Tech has only covered 3 of their L/13 vs teams with revenge that they blasted by 20 or more points.

Play on Baylor to cover

Villanova easily dispatched Xavier in the first meeting this season, an 89-65 smash down at the Wells Fargo Center back on Jan. 10 and now I'm expecting a slower pace from Xavier as they try to mess with Novas flow. Meanwhile, Villanova in a mini slump after having lost 2 of their L/3 , will be concentrating on playing a complete game . The coaching staff wants the Cats to be more physical, which I'm betting they will be today and this will translate into a grinding war, that makes for a lower scoring game then the lines-makers expect. After Nova lost to Providence last time out, Villanovas Coach made this statement "We weren't physical enough to get open," Wright said. "So then we couldn't run the offense. We were forced to drive the ball and they were more physical than us in that area also." END QUOTE: With this game being so late in the season, and with playing solid D, a very important factor at this time of the season, I expect a total combined score that remains on the low side of the number.

VILLANOVA is 9-1 UNDER L/10 in road games versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons. with a combined average of 133.4 ppg .VILLANOVA is 9-1 UNDER L/10 in road games versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots after 15+ games with a combined average of 136.2 ppg. VILLANOVA is 10-2 UNDER L/12 in road games on Saturday games with a combined average of 144.8 ppg going on the board. HC Wright is 17-8 UNDER versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 84+ points/game as the coach of VILLANOVA with a combined average of 148.5 ppg clicking in on the board.




CBB teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (XAVIER/VILLANOVA ) - hot team - having won 15 or more of their last 20 games, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season are 43-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

I'm not always a big fan of playing road chalk, but some situations warrant a wager, and this is one of them. Auburn 23-3 on the season are showing they mean business, and with a big dance ticket on their agendas, and the finish line in sight , I doubt they will overlook any opponent. Especially  a South Carolina Gamecocks team that steam rolled them by a 98-69 beat-down here last season in merciless fashion. Missouri was a strong team last season, but this campaign has seen them slip and are very susceptible to being pummelled in a payback  scenario by the explosive visitors. It must be noted that S.Carolina is just 4-32-1 ATS in home losses as dogs.

S CAROLINA is 1-10 ATS   versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots this season. AUBURN is 15-4 ATS   versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season.AUBURN is 11-2 ATS  versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season and 6-0 ATS  L/6 versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season. AUBURN is 9-0 ATS  after having won 4 of their last 5 games this season.AUBURN is 8-0 ATS  in road games after playing a home game this season.

Play on Auburn to cover

Indiana enters Saturday's contest winners of three straight, while Iowa has lost four in a row. The Hawkeyes have, however, not lost five consecutive games this season and I'm betting that stays intact here today.

.Iowa has won eight of the last 11 meetings in Iowa City, including last season's 96-90 overtime barn burner. The Hoosiers are also just 2-7 in true road games this season \nd not the same team they are as hosts.

The Hawkeyes did lose to Indiana earlier this season on road, but will be primed to pull the upset here with revenge on board.  Iowa is 15-4 ATS L/19 in this series, and 5-0-1 ATS L/6 with revenge. The Hawkeyes are also 18-7 ATS L/25 as home dogs, and get the nod here to cover.

Play on Iowa to cover

Miami enters this game as weak home favs as they are just 1-5 ATS as hosts  in conference play so far this season. The Canes are also still playing without key cog G Bruce Brown their second leading scorer and currently do not demand the respect they usually get when at full strength. Last season the Cuse were bumped from the ACC tourney by Miami Fl, and now with revenge at hand I'm betting we see the Orange at their very best as they also are looking for a possible big dance birth.

MIAMI is 4-13 ATS  L/19 as a home favorite or pick. MIAMI is 1-8 ATS  L/9 in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games dating back to last season. MIAMI is 3-12 ATS  L/15 versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less after 15+ games .

Play on the Syracuse Orange to cover

Illinois Chicago had a 7 game win streak halted last time out at home vs Cleveland State by 86-78 count. The loss came vs a team that was explosively red hot, as the Vikings scored 33 of 48 first-half points from beyond the arc, shooting 61 percent on 18 attempts. Despite of that the Flames made a ferocious comeback, but fell short in the final 5 min, as they looked exhausted. Now with time to rest and digest what happened I'm betting they have a bounce back effort here tonight vs a Green Bay side that has lost 10 of their L/12 and must be looked at as fade material.

 IL-CHICAGO is 7-0 ATS L/7 off a home loss against a conference rival .

WI-GREEN BAY is 1-10 ATS L/11 home games on Friday nights.

UIC toppled Green Bay in the first meeting this season, 84-73, at the UIC Pavilion on Jan. 10.  The Flames shot a season-high 58.4 percent from the field in that victory.

IL-CHICAGO is 7-1 ATS L/8 when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%) this season.IL-CHICAGO is 6-0 ATS  at road when the line is +3 to -3 dating back to last season.

CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (IL-CHICAGO) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3.5 PPG differential.), after a combined score of 155 points or more 2 straight games are 24-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Illinois Chicago to cover

Northern Kentucky  comes into this game against Wright State looking for revenge for a 84-81 loss at home as 10.5 point favs in the first meeting. This tilt is also has the added importance of being  a battle for  first-place in the Horizon League standings. NKU is riding a five-game winning streak, its third streak of the season of at least four games., and has won 27 of its last 35 games (.771) against League opponents. It must also be noted that  N Kentucky faces a side that is just 2-8 ATS as a Horizon League home dog and  despite of being a quality team, are 0-3 SU/ATS vs teams with a higher win % on the season, which the Norse have. Look for what my power rankings suggest is the top team in this conference to grab the cash here tonight and get their payback.

Northern Kentucky is 17th in the nation in 2-point field goal percent (57.0) and is averaging 17.0 assists per game, a mark that ranks 22nd in the nation. It also only commits 12.2 turnovers an outing, which ranks 88th nationally. Combining those two marks results in an assist-to-turnover ratio of 1.40, the 25th-best in the country.
NKU forces the 69th-most turnovers per game in the nation (14.8) and allows teams to distribute just 11.3 assists per game.
NKU is 40th in the country in steals (7.6 spg), registering double-digit steals seven times this year.
NKU's 3-point field goal defense ranks 30th in the nation at 31.5 percent.
Through games played Feb. 14, NKU sits 88th on KenPom.com, which is tops in the Horizon League.The Norse are 19th in the CollegeInsider  Mid-Major Top-25 Poll and 22nd in the Mid-Major Madness Power Rankings.

 HC Brannen is 13-5 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game.

N KENTUCKY is 8-2 ATS   in road games after playing a game as favorite this season.

CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (N KENTUCKY) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite of 7or more, with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent are 77-36 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors .

Play on Northern Kentucky to cover

Detroit Mercy has dropped two tough games so far on the four-game road swing, but will look to continue a great run it holds as the Titans are riding a 10-game winning streak over Youngstown State. Detroit Mercy has also have won eight of their last nine visits to the Beeghly Center.
 With Youngstown state pulling off an improbable win vs Oakland last time out, I'm betting they are now in a huge emotional letdown situation and once again face a situation where they could come out flat and lose to a program that's had their number for  a while. The Titans currently rank third in the Horizon League and 71st in the nation in scoring offense at 78.1 points per game. 
Detroit Mercy has scored at least 71 points in 19 games, including three 100+point efforts and must not be underestimated as dogs in this spot.

Detroit Mercy has  converted regularly from the  free throw line connecting on 75.0 percent, third in the HL and 62nd in the country.
Detroit Mercy has also  converted 80.0 percent or more at the line in 11 games and I'm betting this will be the difference maker here this evening.

YOUNGSTOWN ST is 2-10 ATS l/12 after a win by 6 points or less over the last few seasons.
Penguins are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

CBB home team (YOUNGSTOWN ST) - average shooting team (42.5-45%) against an struggling defensive team (47.5% or more ), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a poor rebounding team (-3 to -6 reb/game) are 55-106 ATS L/21seasons for a 66% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Detroit Mercy to cover

Hawaii enters this game against UC Irvine having lost 5 straight games. But the  Rainbow Warriors have been very competitive in most games, with only one loss coming by more than 6 points. Prior to the unfortunate run Hawaii had won 4 straight, so this is a very under rated team according to my own power rankings.  With Hawaii with revenge on board for a 72-58 home loss to Irvine back in November, I expect we will see the Warriors...... a side that  has decidedly improved since that debacle to be viable underdogs in the rematch.

I'm betting the key to us getting the cover will be the Bows ability to sink FTs , as they are converting 81% of their charity stripe attempts over the L/6  games.

Anteaters are 3-11-1 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Play on Hawaii to cover

The last time Oregon faced USC they lost at home earlier this season by a 75-70 count. Now with revenge on board and the need to secure wins if they want a shot at the big dance this tilt becomes paramount for the young men from Eugene. With the Trojans off big games (losses) vs Arizona and Arizona State, I won't be surprised if the Trojans are in an emotional letdown spot here . Actually the Trojans have failed to cover 4 straight times after battling Arizona and are currently on a 3 game losing streak. It must also be noted that USC has only covered 1 time in their L/14 games  as chalk of 12 points or less in this series vs the Ducks , with Oregon also amassing a solid 18-4-2 ATS mark as visitors when playing USC. The Ducks off a blowout 84-57 win vs Washington State now have momentum on their sides going into this tilt and deserve my backing as dogs. Note: OREGON is 11-1 ATS L/12 off a home win against a conference rival and is 9-1 ATS off a blowout win by 20 points or more over a conference rival.

OREGON is 7-0 ATS  L/7  in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games dating back to last season and a perfect  9-0 ATS L/9  in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games dating back to last season.

CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (OREGON) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a home win by 10 points or more are 156-103 ATS L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Oregon to cover

With this being the last game before both sides launch their mini vacations during the all star break, I expect both will feel energized and ready to run and gun tonight, as they also know an extended rest is on the way.

Denver enters this game having won 5 of their L/6 behind an offense that is clicking on all cylinders, averaging more than 117.8 ppg during that stretch. The Bucks also rank 6th (110.6)  in the league in offensive efficiency and  22nd  ( 109.7) in defensive efficiency   Meanwhile, Milwaukee despite of being inconsistent, are ranked 12th in the league in offensive effecnicy  rating (108.9 ppg) and 16th in defensive efficiency ( 108.7 ) and in this type of matchup vs an explosive offense will have to speed up their pace, which in turn will have them go above their current ratings, which will translate in to a higher scoring game than the lines-makers expect.

DENVER is 38-21 OVER  L/59 when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 223.7 ppg scored.DENVER is 22-8 OVER  L/30  in road games after a combined score of 225 points with a combined average of score of 222 ppg scored. DENVER is 31-18 OVER  L/49 in non-conference games with a combined average of 222.4 ppg scored.Malone is 40-19 OVER  when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of DENVER with a combined average of 218.4 ppg scored.

Over is 9-2 in Nuggets last 11 vs. NBA Central.Over is 14-4 in Bucks last 18 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (DENVER) - after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 33-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 223.9 ppg scored.

Play OVER

The Milwaukee Bucks have been playing decent ball since Jason Kidd was fired, but I'm still not completely sold on them going forward. Meanwhile, the Denver Nuggets are also in top form and have won 5 of their L/6 overall via an explosive offense averaging more than 117.8 ppg during that stretch. The Nuggets according to my power rankings are playing their best hoops of the season and must be respected here as underdogs. Note: Denver is 15-2 ATS L/17 as an underdog in this series. From a SRS perspective Denver owns a  +0.88 mark while Milwaukee clicks in at  -0.18. ( SRS =Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average) With that said, we have value with taking points here.

Milwaukee is just 33-67 ATS at home as chalk  in  non conference home  tilts of late.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DENVER) - off a home win, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 28-11 ATS  L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover

 Ray Harper's Gamecocks take on  Murray State on Thursday evening. The Racers after a 76-71 victory at home earlier this season will have confidence on their sides, vs a program they matchup well against in their current forms. The loss to JSU is just one of MSU's two league defeats this season. I know Murray State will have revenge on board, and prepared for the Gamecocks, but I'm betting Jacksonville State will not be an easy out.

JACKSONVILLE ST is 7-0 ATS L/7  in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37%  or more of their attempts.JACKSONVILLE ST is 8-0 ATS  L/8  in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last few seasons. JACKSONVILLE ST is 8-0 ATS versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season.

CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (JACKSONVILLE ST) - off an upset loss by 15 or more as a home favorite against opponent off a road win are 42-12 ATS L/21 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (MURRAY ST) - off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite against opponent off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite are 30-6 ATS L/21 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Jacksonville to cover

Despite losing 130-123 at Dallas on Saturday, the Lakers are playing some very competitive basketball of late , and have won 12 of their l/17 games and have upward momentum on their sides and are up trending in my power rankings.   The Lakers newly acquired point guard Isaiah Thomas came off the bench Saturday in his Lakers' debut and scored 22 points and had six assists in 31 minutes and is a very nice addition to this young team. Meanwhile, New Orleans, are still adjusting to playing without  DeMarcus Cousins, and must not be over estimated in their abilities despite of upsetting Detroit Pistons last time out  (118-103). It must also be noted that NEW ORLEANS is 9-22 ATS L/31 off a win by 15 points or more as an underdog .

Pelicans are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Pelicans are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Pacific and  are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Road team is 30-14 ATS in the last 44 meetings

LA LAKERS are 14-6 ATS   versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less  turnovers/game this season.NEW ORLEANS is 27-42 ATS as a home favorite over the last few seasons.

Play on the LA Lakers to cover

The Clippers have surprisingly won four of their last five games and are 4-2 since  a trade  sent Blake Griffin to the Detroit Pistons. Needless to say the Boston Celtics will not be over looking them despite of this Clippers team going into rebuild mode. Considering both teams rosters  and current systems, the head to head matchup favors the home team by 7 points according to my own numbers giving us value on a basic 5 point home advantage line.

Celtics are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. Western Conference.Clippers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs. NBA Atlantic.

BOSTON is 20-7 ATS L/27 versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots this season.Clippers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Home teams vs. the money line (BOSTON) - after 2 or more consecutive losses, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%)  are 31-2 SU for a 94% conversion rate with the average margin deficit clicking in at 10.6 ppg.

Play on the Boston Celtics to cover

Villanova's invincibility has been questioned of late, as they recently showed their actually just  humans with a loss to St.John;s.  With that in mind we now have a  Providence  team that has revenge in mind for a 89-69 road loss they suffered to the Cats on Jan 13  . I'm recommending we back a motivated team  getting points in what should be a packed house.  

Note: Nova's Phil Booth  suffered a fractured right (shooting) hand late in that above mentioned  contest and has not played since.

Providence is 15-6 ATS L/21 at home as dogs.

PROVIDENCE is 10-1 ATS  L/11  revenging a loss where opponent scored 75 or more points. PROVIDENCE is 6-0 ATS  L/6  in home games revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points and 10-0 ATS L/10 with same season revenge form a loss more than 7 points. PROVIDENCE is 12-4 ATS L/16  in home games versus good shooting teams - making 45%  or more of their shots.VILLANOVA is 1-9 ATS  L/10 in road games after 4 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers

Play on Providence to cover

Clemson is ranked for the seventh consecutive week in the AP Top 25 poll (No. 11). Clemson is also ranked in the USA Today Coaches Poll at No. 12 and must be respected here as underdogs vs a team they are motivated to take down after suffering 2 losses to Florida State last season.Clemson’s RPI checks in at fourth nationally, while their SOS sits 21st.  Note: Clemson is 17-4 ATS L/21 with revenge in this series, and a perfect 9-0 ATS as a dog of 2 points or more.

In the latest KenPom rankings, the Tigers are ranked Nos. 16, 13 and 31 in overall, adjusted defensive efficiency (94.6) and adjusted offensive efficiency (115.7).

CLEMSON is 8-2 ATS  versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season. CLEMSON is 8-1 ATS  L9 after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season. FLORIDA ST is 26-43 ATS   as a home favorite of 6 points or less or pick  .

Play on Clemson to cover

The Flyers have scored 80-plus points in all three February games.Dayton's offense ranks third in the country in 2-point field-goal percentage (.595).In conference play, Dayton leads the A-10 in field goal percentage (.506) and assists (18.0). Meanwhile, George  Mason recently  shot 41.2 percent (7-17) from 3-point range. The Patriots are 17-of-42 (.402) from deep over the past two contests and primed to light up the scoreboard again via the trey,, which gives credence to what I'm betting will be a fairly high scoring game. Note: Mason gave up 82.0 points per game and allowed opponents to shoot 46.6 percent over the first 10 games of the A-10 schedule.

GEORGE MASON is 11-2 OVER L/13 versus teams who average 33 or less rebounds/game on the season after 15+games with a combined average of  152.2 ppg .DAYTON is 7-0 OVER L/7  in road games versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing 12 or les  turnovers/game after 15+ games  with a combined average of 161 ppg scored. DAYTON is 10-0 OVER  L/10 in February games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 156 ppg going on the scoreboard. DAYTON is 7-0 OVER  after playing a road game this season with a combined average of 160. ppg scored.

The two most recent meetings in this series have seen a combined average of 153 and 162 ppg scored. George Mason has gone OVER in 7 of their L/9, while Dayton has gone over in 4 straight games.

CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (DAYTON) - after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 58-25 OVER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (GEORGE MASON) - after going over the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 38-17 OVER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

Iowa can light up the board with their offense very quickly which makes them viable underdogs of 10 points or more here in this spot. Iowa has scored 50 or more second-half points six times this season, including three of its last five games  and are always back door cover opportunists making them a viable side to back on a DD underdog line.

The Hawkeyes have won five of the last six meetings in this series. Michigan won this season's first meeting, 75-68, in Iowa City on Jan. 2, 2018.

CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (MICHIGAN) - after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers against opponent after 5 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers are 45-97 ATS L/21 seasons for go against conversion rate of 68% for bettors.

CBB Road underdogs of 10 or more points (IOWA) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or more ) against an average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) after 15+ games, after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher are 28-8 ATS L/21 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Iowa to cover

USF faces UCF for the second time this season The Knights handed the Bulls a heartbreaking 71-69 loss in the first half of the season series.USF led for 29 minutes on Jan. 20, but UCF came on strong late and just slid past the Bulls. From a matchup perspective USF actually matches up well vs their opponents, and I'm betting their ability to draw fouls, and get the charity stripe will help us cover this number. As a team, the Bulls are shooting 72.4 percent (331-for-457) from the free throw line on the season.

UCF is 0-7 ATS   struggling pressure defensive teams - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game .

CBB Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (UCF) - after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers against opponent after 5 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers are 43-89 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against  68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on USF to cover

Two banged up teams the San Antonio Spurs and Denver Nuggets go head to head tonight in the Mile High City. The Spurs after playing last night in Utah wont; have the legs to run and gun tonight, and with key offensive weapons Leonard and Aldridge sidelined don't have as much scoring punch as usual.   Meanwhile, the Denver Nuggets , continue to play without Paul Milsap, and have a bevy of walking wounded that are playing at less than 100%, and welcome the all star break that is on the horizon. This above combination of circumstances I'm betting will result in a much lower combined score than the lines-makers expect.

SAN ANTONIO is 15-7 UNDER   versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season with a combined average of 200.6 ppg scored.SAN ANTONIO is 17-6 UNDER  versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season with a combined average of 198.2 ppg scored. SAN ANTONIO is 21-7 UNDER   when the total is 200 to 209.5 this season of 194.7 ppg scored and 13-2 UNDER  in a road game where the total is 200 to 209.5 this season with a combined average of 191.7 ppg going on the board.

NBA Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (SAN ANTONIO) - extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 50-17 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Rutgers enters this home game against Northwestern having lost 7 straight games, and are fade material in their current mode . Northwestern has won 4 of their L/6 , after a lackluster effort last time out in a loss to Maryland where they shot just 33%. The Wildcats have actually been good bets of late and resilient after a loss as they are 8-1 ATS  L/9 in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses. Northwestern won all three meetings with Rutgers a year ago, and  are a  perfect 5-0 against Rutgers since the Scarlet Knights joined the Big Ten and get the nod again this Tuesday night.

RUTGERS is 19-34 ATS  L/53 against conference opponents.

CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (NORTHWESTERN) - a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team, on Tuesday nights are 69-33 ATS L/21 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Northwestern to cover

Cleveland has won three consecutive games, scoring 121 or more points in each and now the pundits are all piling back on to the bandwagon. I'm a believer in the Cavaliers ability to continue their upward momentum, as well over the long haul, but I'm betting this is a bad spot for them. Meanwhile, Oklahoma city is expected to have both Russell Westrook and Carmelo Anthony  back in the lineup tonight, after both sat two games with a ankle injury. Both these top tier players presence  , and  the positive  energy involved with taking on a championship contender will have the Thunder ready to perform in  what is a very tough venue for visitors to play in . Oklahoma City has won the L/2 meetings in this series home and away.

CLEVELAND is 8-22 ATS  L/30 revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points. CLEVELAND is 16-34 ATS  L/50 versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season. CLEVELAND is 4-18 ATS  L/22 in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons. CLEVELAND is 4-14 ATS  L/18 in non-conference games this season.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CLEVELAND) - after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are just 13-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 76% for bettors.

Play on Oklahoma City to cover

 The last time these teams played  they took part in  wild 148-124 shootout, that saw the Thunder shoot 58%+ FG, and the Cavs 51%.. However, it  seems both coaches were not happy with their own defenses, especially the Cavs Lue, and now I expect he makes sure his team is ready to be more physical, and more defensively responsible in transition, which I'm betting makes this a slower game than many expect.

CLEVELAND in their L/21  in road games revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more have seen a combined average score of 217.2 ppg scored. OKLAHOMA CITY is 21-8 L/29 UNDER  against Central division opponents with a combined average of 204.2 ppg scored.OKLAHOMA CITY is 18-8 UNDER  when the total is greater than or equal to 220.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more are 34-7 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 217.6 ppg scored.

NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (CLEVELAND) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off a road win are 42-14 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 755 conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 215.7 ppg.

Play UNDER

We all now how explosive Houston's offense is, but many do not notice that they are defensively efficient , as they rank 9th in the NBA in defensive efficiency.  ie Defensive Rating (available since the 1973-74 season in the NBA); for players and teams it is points allowed per 100 possessions. Recently the Rockets have been tough on opposing offenses holding 3 of their L/6 opponents to 97 points or less. Meanwhile, Minnesota despite of taking part in a lot of higher scoring affairs this season, remarkably owns the 23rd ranked pace, and tonight, I expect they will be even more deliberate in their approach, vs a powerful offense. With that said, and according to both teams expected style of play, and road vs home scenarios I'm betting on a total score that does not eclipse this total.

 Rockets are 5-0-1 UNDER  last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 9-1 in Rockets last 10 vs. Western Conference.Under is 10-3-1 in Rockets last 14 road games.Under is 34-15-2 in Rockets last 51 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 5-2 in Timberwolves last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.

HOUSTON is 8-0 UNDER  when the line is +3 to -3 this season and 7-0 on the road with a combined average score of the away games clicking in at 206.2 ppg. HC' DAntoni is 25-4 UNDER  when the line is +3 to -3 with a combined average score  of 213.9 ppg on the board.  HOUSTON is 16-4 UNDER   in road games after playing 2 consecutive home games with a combined average of 215.3 ppg scored. HOUSTON is 32-11 UNDER  L/43 versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MINNESOTA) - excellent FT shooting team (79% or over ) against a good FT shooting team (76-79%) after 42+ games 27-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Maryland enters this tilt having lost 8 of their 11 road games this season, and have lost 7 of their L/11 overall, while their hosts Nebraska have won 13 of their 14 home tilts and overall are on a 5 game win streak, and looking stronger as each games passes. The one Husker home loss came to Kansas by just 1 point.

Coach Mark Turgeon's  Terps team has been hit by injuries, losing a pair of starters (Justin Jackson and Ivan Bender) to season-ending injuries and are at a disadvantage. This Cornhuskers team is flying under the radar with Nebraska's defense  has been the key to their  Big Ten success. The Huskers are third in field goal defense (.403) and held 11 of their last 13 opponents under 45 percent. Since Jan. 1, the Huskers are holding opponents to .404 shooting and  must be respected here as short home chalk.

Nebraska's 1.25-to-1 assist-to-turnover ratio is on track to be one of the best in school history.

NEBRASKA is 12-2 ATS   versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more  of their shots this season and have covered 7 straight under the same perimeters. NEBRASKA is 10-1 ATS  L/11 versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game this season.NEBRASKA is 9-1 ATS   versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games this season. NEBRASKA is 9-0 ATS  L/9 off a win against a conference rival this season.

Play on Nebraska to cover

Western Michigan enters this road tilt vs Bowling Green playing some of their best basketball of the season, winning 4 of their L/5 games. The Broncos have been a second half team this season outscoring opponents, 1037-970 the final 20 minutes of play. WMU has scored at least 50 points in the second half four times this season and get stronger as games progress thanks to their top tier conditioning program. With that said, I'm betting as this game progresses the Broncos run over a Bowling Green team off an exhausting come from behind OT  win last time out vs E.Michigan. Lay the short lumber with the road team. 

 Since 2012, WMU is 29-13 in the month of February which is the second best record amongst NCAA Division I schools in the state of Michigan.

W MICHIGAN is 15-6 ATS  L/21 when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%).W MICHIGAN is 24-9 ATS  L/33 when playing only their 2nd game in a week  and is 11-3 L/14 ATS   after playing a game as a home favorite .

CBB underdog (BOWLING GREEN) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after 3 straight games where both teams score 70 points or less are 6-33 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Western Michigan to cover

San Antonio is banged up with some key injuries but still have enough talent to put some points on the board here and keep track with the red hot Utah Jazz a team that is averaging 117.6 ppg  in offense over the L/7 games during their 9 game win streak. Considering the Jazz played last night I doubt they will be prepared to play a lot of defense here and I'm anticipating a much more wide open game because of this. With that said, I'm recommending we take an over stance in this spot.

UTAH is 21-7 OVER  L/28 against Southwest division opponents with a combined average of 204.5 ppg on the scoreboard. SAN ANTONIO is 13-4 OVER L/19 with a combined average of 200.1 ppg scored  in a road game where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points.

NBA teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (UTAH) - hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games, playing on back-to-back days are 37-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 201 ppg going on the board.

Play OVER

Baylor enters this tilt vs Texas as a very underrated Big 12 hoops program. Baylor 's offense  is averaging 81.4 ppg over its last 5 Big 12 games after averaging 66.0 ppg in its first 7 Big 12 games.  Despite of a lackluster road record the Bears , have been on the wrong side of the lucky charm pedestal, as   6 of their 7  losses have come  to ranked teams, including 3 by one possession. Also from a head to head matchup perspective Baylor’s bench has out-scored the opponents’ bench 121-37 over the last 4 games, and the Bears had a 23-9 advantage over Texas in bench scoring when the teams met in Waco on Jan. 15 and once again look like solid dogs vs an opponent they matchup well against. Baylor has recorded more points in the paint than its opponent in 21 straight and 24 of 25 games this season. The Bears are averaging 37.8 points in the paint per game against opponents’ 26.9 paint ppg and I'm betting their ability to control the interior game will be the difference maker here again.

Baylor ranks 14th nationally in rebounding margin (+7.1) and has out-rebounded 20 of 25 opponents.
Baylor has been tied or leading in the final 2 minutes in 4 of its Big 12 losses, all vs. ranked teams.

Baylor is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. Big 12. Bears are als0o 20-8 ATS in their last 28 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Bears are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Texas.Baylor is 53-11 against in-state opponents since the start of the 2011-12 season

BAYLOR is 11-4 ATS L/15 versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season and is 14-5 ATS L/19 in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game.BAYLOR is 18-8 ATS L/26 in road games against conference opponents/

CBB  Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BAYLOR) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games are 39-10 ATS L/21 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Baylor to cover

The Knicks, who lost All-Star center/forward Kristaps Porzingis for the season to a torn left ACL last week are now looked upon as a downtrodden group that does not deserve any respect. While that maybe partially true, thanks to their overall horrid W/L record,  this team still has some fight left in them as players look to solidify their standing on the team and future paydays. They always say pro sports is all about the money,  and it is, so the Knicks wont stop playing hard, as very few of them on this team have any guarantees in this league going forward. The Knicks are not just going to lye down and take a nap, but instead I expect will fight even harder. Tonight, I'm betting their being under rated vs a 76ers side that despite of being a lot better than in previous seasons, is still a side that is young, with consistency  still  being a problem with these talented kids. . So needless to say  Its a hard stretch for me to suddenly see them listed as 12 plus point favs, against anyone in the NBA even here at home .I know  the Knicks played last night and the  Sixer's and their fans have recently fed off the energy associated with the  Eagles winning the Super Bowl, but that's now fading and when you put out that much emotional energy its sometimes hard to keep playing at a high level, especially against a beat up team like the Knicks that they are probably overlooking. With that said, I'll take a contrarian stance here and take the dogs to cover on a slightly bloated line.

76ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

The 5 meetings in this series have seen 3 games decided by 1 point , one game by 3 , and their most recent game by 7 points.

PHILADELPHIA is 4-18 ATS L/22 in home games after 2 straight games where they attempted 90 or more shots .NEW YORK is 21-10 ATS L/31 after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread.

NBA team (PHILADELPHIA) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 7-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 82% for bettors.

Play on the NY Knicks to cover

The top two teams in the Patriot League standings square off a what I'm betting will be a much closer game than the lines-makers expect. The Raiders have won six of their last seven games and hold down second place in the league standings with a 9-4 record. Defending champ Bucknell sits atop the standings at 11-2. I know Bucknell took the the season's first meeting 63-51 in Hamilton on Jan. 15.  , mostly because Colgate couldn't get it going offensively as the Raiders finished the game shooting a season-low 27.1 percent from the field, but have converted more than 46% of their shots from the field this season. With that said, I'll write that one off as an anomaly and expect closer to their season average this time around and to be very competitive.

Raiders are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

CBB Underdogs of 10 or more points (COLGATE) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or more) against an average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) after 15+ games, after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher are 34-11 ATS L/21 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Colgate to cover

WSU enters this game against Oregon ranked  fifth in the nation and leads the Pac-12 with 11.3 made 3-pointers per game.The Cougars have made 12 or more 3's in 14 of their 23 games this season making them a viable dog because of the ability to rack up quickly and open the way for possible back door covers. The Cougars also rank fourth in the Pac-12 and 62nd in the country with a .380 3-point field goal percentage and must not be underestimated in their ability to cover this number. Note: WSU has trailed at halftime in 14 of its games this season, as well as its exhibition game, and was tied at the half once, coming back from five of them for victories. Washington State is a different team in the second half compared to the first averaging 40.6 points per game this season in the second half, compared to just 32.7 in the first. Add to that, WSU is shooting .477 (322-675) from the field and .424 (273-663) from 3-point range in the second half, compared to .412 (265-638) from the field and .331 (112-338) from 3-point in the first half. With that said,  this is the kind of DD underdog, that I can sink my proverbial teeth into because of their tireless conditioning.

OREGON is 2-8 ATS   versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season

CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (WASHINGTON ST) - after allowing 75 points or more 5 straight games, with just one or fewer starters returning from last season are 40-10 ATS L/21 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (WASHINGTON ST) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or more) against an average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) after 15+ games, after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher are 28-7 L/21 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Washington State to cover

Houston enters this game against visiting Dallas having won its seventh straight game with a 130-104 blowout of the Denver Nuggets on Friday. But its interesting to note the Rockets are just 2-11 ATS  L/13 in home games after a blowout win by 20 points or more.  The Rockets also have a tendency of playing down to their opponents, and are just  0-7 ATS  in home games when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) this season.HOUSTON is also 0-8 ATS  as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points this season and are slightly over valued considering how they seem to do just enough to get victories vs teams likes this as they save their energy  for bigger fish. Meanwhile, Dallas despite of having a down season, are still capable of being competitive despite of playing last night ( beat LAL 130-123) and are my recommendation getting points in this spot Note:. Mavericks have covered 4 of their L/5 in back to backs, and  are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Rockets are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.

DALLAS is 14-6 ATS   versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season. Mavericks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Southwest

NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (DALLAS) - a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (102 PPG or more), after a loss by 10 points or more are 30-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (DALLAS) - poor rebounding team - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game, in February games are 25-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Dallas to cover

The Sacramento Kings are a young team, but they have a great deal of energy and must not be underestimated in their ability to cover this DD number as road dogs here in Minnesota tonight. The Kings have recently pulled off upsets on the road against the Heat and Pelicans and have a never say die attitude. Meanwhile, MINNESOTA is  just 7-17 ATS   when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season dating back to their last campaign and 12-23 ATS  when playing against a struggling  team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%).

Kings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games

NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (SACRAMENTO) - poor rebounding team - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game, in February games are 25-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Sacramento Kings to cover

The SMU Mustangs enter this key game at home missing  junior guard Shake Milton (hand injury), who is averaging 18.0 points and was named conference preseason player of the year by the AAC's coaches. Facing the stifling D of the Cincinnati Bearcats without him will be extremely difficult, and their offensive flow  will  be effected and mute the Mustangs ability to score consistently. Even if Milton plays he won't be 100% and less effective than usual. No matter what the case is ,  I also expect this to be a very physical game, which will also effect the combined score of this tilt to low side of the Total. Note: SMU is also down to only seven available scholarship players after junior guard Jarrey Foster (knee) and freshman forward Everett Ray (foot) were lost for the season to injuries.

CINCINNATI is 10-2 UNDER  L/12  in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season of 125.2 ppg scored.CINCINNATI is 8-1 UNDER  L/9  in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less after 15+ games  with a combined average of 117.8 ppg scored. CINCINNATI is 15-4 UNDER  L/19 versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game are with a combined average of 122 ppg scored.CINCINNATI is 7-0 UNDER  L/7 as a road favorite of 6.5 to 12 points with a combined average of 110.6 ppg going on the board.

CBB All teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (CINCINNATI) - off 3 straight wins against conference rivals, a top-level team (80% or better ) playing a team with a winning record are 81-34 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

According to my power rankings and head to head matchup analysis Memphis should be 5 point favs here at home in this battle vs UCF, thus we have value taking them here to cover. UCF is just 5-6 SU on the road this season while Memphis plays their best games at home going 12-3 SU this season.

MEMPHIS is 9-0 ATS  L/9 off 2 straight losses against conference rivals . MEMPHIS is 10-1 ATS  L/11 off a home loss.Knights are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. American Athletic Conference.Tigers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home.

Memphis have owned this series at going 11-0 SU.

CBB teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (UCF) - after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half, with just two starters returning from last season are 23-55 L/5 seasons for a 70% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Memphis to cover

St.Marys exerts so much energy each and every time they play a game, leaving everything on the floor as is evident by their winning scores and if you tune in sometime and watch them play. Because of this they are some times left exhausted when on short rest. The Gaels just played on Thursday night in a DD road win vs Loyola Marymount, and now will be on tired legs at the worst possible time as they face a Gonzaga side that is 5-1 ATS L/6 vs .900 or better opposition. St.Marys is just 0-8 ATS with 1 days rest and could easily get upset tonight by a Bulldogs program, that has revenge on board for a 74-71 loss they suffered to the Gaels earlier this season. GONZAGA is 11-2 ATS    in road games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite and is 10-1 ATS   in road games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite of 7or more.

ST MARYS-CA is 0-6 ATS L/6  in home games on Saturday games .ST MARYS-CA is 0-6 ATS  L/6 in home games off a road win by 10 points or more

CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (GONZAGA) - off a road win by 10 points or more against opponent off a road blowout win by 20 points or more are 75-32 ATS L/21 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Gonzaga to cover

I know that the San Antonio Spurs are a little banged up with key cog Leonard out of the lineup , however,  I'm betting their still viable underdogs here on a line that according to my own projections is a little bloated,  thanks to the defending champion Golden State Warriors being a public team. The Warriors are just 21-31-2 ATS this season, and have continually failed to produce covers for their backers, thanks to the exaggerated lines attached to their tilts. I know they clobbered the Spurs earlier this season on the road by a 112-92 mark, but lately the champs have looked a little tired and maybe just floating into the all star break as they look preserve energy for the stretch run. Meanwhile, Popovich and company are a group looking for revenge here, and probably feel a little disrespected by being pegged DD dogs. ( By the way despite of what NBA players and coaches say they do take the occasional  peak a vegas lines)

SAN ANTONIO is 10-1 ATS  L/11  in road games after 2 straight games where they attempted 90 or more shots . Golden State is 4-16 ATS facing teams with same season revenge for a 20 point or more loss.

NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (SAN ANTONIO) - after one or more consecutive overs, a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against a  defense  allowing  (102 PPG or more ) are 29-8 ATS L5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate.

NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a home loss vs opponent against opponent after a cover as a double digit favorite are 41-16 L/5 seasons, for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover

Texas Tech is riding high at the moment, but I'm betting they get side tracked here, by a revenge minded Kansas State side that has revenge on board for a 74-58 beat down at Lubbock earlier this season. The Raiders have a great record on the season ( 20-4 , 8-3) but their only 3-3 in true road games, and have lost their L/8 trips here to play the Wildcats. The Cats are also 5-1 ATS at home when seeking revenge in this series and are viable dogs in this spot .

 Play on Kansas State to cover

The Orlando Magic are  playing some very good basketball at the moment and enter this game against the Milwaukee Bucks with  three straight wins. What is even more important as far as we are concerned is the Magic's ability to be very competitive as they have covered 13 of their L/15 overall.  It took some time but this team is jelling behind a patient coaching staff, and management that has not been hard on this young group. The Magic  are playing well with the duo D.J. Augustin and Shelvin Mack as their primary point guards after Elfrid Payton was traded to Phoenix at the deadline.  With Augustin as a starter  the Magic have flourished going 6-2 SU with him in the starting lineup. During a current 6-5 11 game run the Magic are averaging 107.6 points on 48 percent shooting while allowing 105.4 points and dangerous opponents vs a tired Milwaukee team that looked exhausted last night in a physical loss to the Heat (91-85), and will have very little left in the tank in this spot. 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.

MILWAUKEE is 9-19 ATS  L/28 against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.Magic are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Magic are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Central.Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.Bucks are 3-8 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Orlando and 1-4 ATS L/5 meetings overall.

Play on Orlando to cover

Virginia beat up on VTech in their first meeting this season 78-52, and now Virgina Tech will be out to get some payback and be competitive vs their rivals.  The Hokies are 7-0 ATS in this series with same season revenge, and the Cavaliers are just 0-5 L/5  ATS  overall vs the Hokies when they have revenge .  The Cavs may also be ripe for the picking after starting out their last game looking very tired, and had to mount a ferocious comeback to get a win vs Florida State that may have them in a emotional deflated situation at the worst possible time.

VIRGINIA TECH is 6-0 ATS   revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last few seasons.

VIRGINIA TECH is 30-17 ATS  L/47 as an underdog over the last few seasons.

Play on Virginia Tech to cover

UT Arlington has revenge on board for a ugly 83-62 loss to Texas State in  the Sun Belt Tournament last season, and will now be out to hand out some payback here this afternoon vs a side in a slump after suffering 3 straight losses.  Series history is on the Mavericks side as they have won 9 of the L/10 meetings in this series covering 8 of them. Overall Texas State also has a ugly history in losses to avenging foes going just 1-16 ATS and are fade material here vs a revenge minded side playing in front of their own fans.

TX-ARLINGTON is 8-0 ATS  after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games, which has just  happened in back to back wins.

Play on Texas Arlington to cover

  Purdue got caught looking ahead in peekaboo fashion to this game with Michigan State, and got taken out by Ohio State 64-63 in their last trip to the hardwood. Now the Big bad Boilermakers have an even more focused outlook on this game, and I'm betting they come up big here vs the Spartans. Wednesday’s loss to Ohio State was Purdue’s first in Big Ten play and dropped the Boilermakers into a first-place tie in the league standings at 12-1 with the Buckeyes. Michigan State is one game back at 11-2, in what has become the best three-team race in America. Purdue has not lost two straight league  games since  2014-15 season.  Purdue is among just 3 teams that are unbeaten in “true” road games this year (Purdue, Saint Mary’s, Ohio State). The Boilermakers 8 Consecutive road wins dating to last year, the second-longest streak in the country. If they lose today it won't come easily and I'm betting the worst case scenario is a one possession loss which makes getting 3 to 3.5 points golden in my opinion.

PURDUE is 7-0 ATS  L/7 versus teams who average 40 or more rebounds/game on the season this season.PURDUE is 16-4 ATS  L/20 versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game .MICHIGAN ST is 1-7 ATS  L/8 versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games this season.

CBB  - Road teams as an underdog or pick (PURDUE) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road wins are 132-75 ATS L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Purdue to cover

From a matchup perspective and considering both sides current form and a system vs system analysis Eastern Michigan is the superior side despite of losing the first meeting of the season 75-71.  There was some unfortunate turnovers and missed FTs that put Eastern Michigan in the loss column in that meeting, but revenge and payback is now at hand. The two most recent meetings have seen the road team win, I'm betting on a rinse and repeat situation

BOWLING GREEN is 1-8 ATS  L/9  in home games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less.BOWLING GREEN is 2-12 ATS  L/14 versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less  after 15+ games dating back  a few seasons.

CBB underdog (BOWLING GREEN) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after 3 straight games where both teams score 70 points or less are 5-33 ATS L/21 seasons for go against 87% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Eastern Michigan to cover

Kansas ranks sixth nationally in the Ratings Percentage Index (RPI) and is second in strength of schedule (through games as of Feb. 7) and must be respected here on the road as short chalk. The linesmakers are expecting a close game here today, but it must be noted that Nine of Kansas' 11 conference games this season have been decided by seven points or less with the Jayhawks going 7-2 SU in those tilts. Going back  to last season, Kansas has played 20 Big 12 contests that were decided by seven points or less, with  Kansas going  17-3 in those outcomes. Needless to say the Jayahwks know how to win close games and get the nod again vs Baylor in this spot.

KANSAS is 8-1 ATS  L/9  in road games in February games. KANSAS is 9-1 ATS  L/10  in road games after having won 2 of their last 3 games. KANSAS is 13-2 ATS L/15  in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less over the last couple of seasons.KANSAS is 15-4 ATS  L/19  in road games versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season. BAYLOR is 0-7 ATS L/7  in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more of their attempts.BAYLOR is 0-6 ATS  L/6 in home games versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots.BAYLOR is 1-9 ATS   in home games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less after 15+ games over the last few seasons.

Baylor has won 6 straight meetings in this series overall and 2 straight as visitors.

Play on Kansas to cover

My projections make this total closer to 149, and thus I am recommending a OVER wager here. Boton College has really upped their offensive output of late pouring down 80 points or more in 3 straight games and are averaging 81+ ppg at home this season, and despite of Miami Fl have a viable D, they will be hard pressed to hold BC to under 75 points here which bodes well for this score eclipsing the number. Note: The Canes have scored 80 or more points in back to back games, and can run and gun with the best of teams in this conference if need be, something I'm betting they will need to today to keep up here.

MIAMI is 6-0 OVER   when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season with a combined average of 161.5 ppg scored.MIAMI is 7-0 OVER (+7.0 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less  turnovers/game after 15+ games this season with a combined average of 162.4 ppg scored.  BOSTON COLLEGE is 15-4 OVER   versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games with a combined average of 157.9 ppg going on the board. BOSTON COLLEGE is 10-2 OVER (+7.8 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or better  with a combined average of 152.7 ppg scored. BOSTON COLLEGE is 14-2 OVER  L/16 as a home underdog or pick with a combined average of 155.7 ppg going on the board. BOSTON COLLEGE is 18-4 OVER  in all home games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 151.8 ppg scored.

CBB Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (MIAMI) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after a combined score of 165 points or more are 66-27 OVER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 151.7 ppg scored.

CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (BOSTON COLLEGE) - after going over the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 68-35 OVER L/21 seasons for a 66% conversion rate with a combined average of 149.7 ppg scored.

CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (BOSTON COLLEGE) - in a game involving two good offensive teams (74-78 PPG), after a combined score of 175 points or more are 31-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

Duquesne slapped Fordham around in their first meeting of the season,  as visitors and now payback is at hand. It must be noted that the road team has won the last four meetings , and I'm betting on the visitor covering again, in a game that features two teams with sub par records. Fordham however, has shown some life of late posting 2 wins in their L/3 games whle Duquesne has lost 4 of their L/5 overall. DUQUESNE is 13-28 ATS  L/41 in home games versus poor shooting teams - making 42% or less of their shots after 15+ games and have a recent negative  history of late in February games losing 12 of their L/13 overall SU.

Fordham to cover

The Utah Jazz are playing some very good basketball at the moment,  having won 7 straight and despite of making a couple of trades at the deadline, are still looking like a viable side to back in this spot vs visiting Charlotte. Yesterday, the Jazz dumped one of their top scoring guards Hood, for an equally gifted  Jae Crowder from Cleveland, a two way player who fits in perfectly into their hard nosed defensive system. I'm expecting the Jazz not to skip a beat. Meanwhile, Charlotte, has lost two straight, and are off a exhausting OT tilt vs Portland last night, and now going in to the thin air of Salt Lake City should have problems competing as this game progresses, making them fade material in this spot.

UTAH is 10-2 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins this season.CHARLOTTE is 6-16 ATS (as an underdog this season.UTAH is 13-5 ATS  L/18 versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season.

NBA Home teams (UTAH) - off 2 or more consecutive road wins, on Friday nights are 36-13 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Utah  Jazz to cover

As this season has progressed I have gained a lot of respect for the Miami Heat, and their work ethic behind key cog Hassan Whiteside. With newly acquired Dwayne Wade coming home to finish his career after getting traded yesterday, and some desperation after a 5 game losing streak,  I'm expecting a little extra jump in the legs of this Heat team, and for and from them to come out of this with a victory vs the  Giannis "Greek Freak" Antetokounmpo and company.

Note: Milwaukee is short handed .. G Delavedova  and  G Malcolm Brogdon (torn left quad) are out with injuries.

MIAMI is 15-4 ATS  L/19 when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season dating back to the last campaign.Heat are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record MIAMI is 17-8 ATS   versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less  turnovers/game this season.Heat are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Central.Bucks are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. NBA Southeast.Bucks are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (MIAMI) - after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 78-21 SU L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Underdogs (MILWAUKEE) - off 2 or more consecutive road wins, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 57-99 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 61% for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Miami Heat to cover

Houston has been in top form almost all season, and despite of a current 6 game win streak enter this game a little banged up with starting forward Ryan Anderson (ankle) and reserve guard Eric Gordon (back) on the bench along with key starter Ariza and will be  short handed here tonight. Meanwhile, the Nuggets, winners of three straight and six of eight, are also currently in good form, and out to looking to avenge a loss to Houston earlier this season. Considering the Rockets situation and  heavy schedule of late, I'm making a contrarian move here and backing Denver to cover the number in a spot play.

DENVER is 11-3 ATS L/14  revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season. HOUSTON is 5-18 ATS L/23 in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23or more assists/game .HOUSTON is 8-18 ATS  L/26 in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots.

NBA Home teams (HOUSTON) - off 2 or more consecutive road wins, on Friday nights 36-13 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate .

Play on Denver to cover

Harvard has revenge on board for 3 straight losses to Princeton  last season and will now be primed for payback. With the Crimson currently rounding into top form and playing their best hoops of the season, (5-1 L/6) it will be an easy decision to lay the short lumber and take them here at home in this spot. Note: The Crimson has come alive from beyond the 3-point line, making 38 triples over the last three games while shooting 48.7 percent making them dangerous in their current form.

Tigers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up loss.Crimson are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Crimson are 17-6-2 ATS in their last 25 vs. Ivy League.Harvard was a stellar 6-1 at home in Ivy play last season, and outscored its opponents over the 14-game stretch by nearly eight points per game.

HARVARD is 11-2 ATS  L/13  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making  37% or better of their attempts .  PRINCETON is 0-6 ATS  L/6 as a road underdog of 6 points or less or pick.

Play on Harvard to cover

 BYU is off an emotional loss to Gonzaga last time out, in a hard fought tilt that saw them lose for the 3rd time in 4 outings,  and will now enter this game in a let down situation and be susceptible to a down effort vs a opponent that they will look at as inferior. BYU clobbered San Clara 80-54 earlier this season on Jan 13th and now  the visitor will be playing with revenge and very focused on giving out a better effort in the rematch. With that said, lets take the points.

Santa Clara Trending upwards....Santa Clara has posted 26 of its 52 blocks in the last six games,
Note: Santa Clara has won three of its last four on the road after dropping its first five of the season away from Leavey Center.

Santa Clara and BYU are sixth and seventh, respectively, in 3-pointers per game. The Broncos average 8.0 per game and the Cougars 6.8.

SANTA CLARA is 8-0 ATS  L/8 off 2 straight losses against conference rivals over the last few seasons. SANTA CLARA is 7-0 ATS  L/7  in road games after scoring 25 points or less in the first half last game.SANTA CLARA is 20-6 ATS  L/26  in road games after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games.SANTA CLARA is 11-2 ATS  in road games off a loss against a conference rival .BYU is 6-16 ATS  L/22 after a game where they covered the spread.

CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (SANTA CLARA) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off 2 consecutive losses of 10 or more to conference rivals are 94-48 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Santa Clara to cover

The Dallas Mavericks visit a tired looking  Golden State Warriors team on Thursday night that has lost 3 of their L/4 overall. The last time the Mavs came to town  the Warriors took a  112-97 win and I'm expecting a similar output tonight. Note: Dallas has gone under in 7 of their L/8 while, the Dubs have gone under in 3 straight tilts.

GOLDEN STATE is 9-1 UNDER  L/10 when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season with a combined average of 217.4 ppg scored.DALLAS is 15-7 UNDER   versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season with a combined average of 207.2 ppg going on the board. DALLAS is 21-11 UNDER  when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 204 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 19-7 UNDER  L/26 after 3 or more consecutive unders dating back to last season with the combined average score of 215.3 ppg going on the board.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) - excellent FT shooting team (79% or better) against a good FT shooting team (76-79%) after 42+ games are 27-5 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 210.9 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (GOLDEN STATE) - excellent free throw shooting team - making 80% or more  of their free throws, in February games are 43-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER

 Portland as the season has progressed has reverted back to their old run and gun style of play and has improved its offensive production now ranking 15th in the NBA in offensive rating (105.2). The Blazers' defense has  also gotten progressively worse and after being in the top 10 for a long time  and are now  ranked 11th at 104.9. ppg. Meanwhile, Charlotte ranks 18th in points allowed, and 14th in offense, with a combined average of 212.8 ppg scored. (106.4 ppg in both categories). From  matchup perspective and a projections system I have used for 14 years,  I'm expecting both sides to play a faster paced game then usual, and for the this combined score to eclipse the number.

My projection has both sides scoring more than 105 points each- Note: PORTLAND is 20-0 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 230 ppg going on the board.CHARLOTTE is 49-2 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game with a combined average of 230.3 ppg scored.

PORTLAND is 23-11 OVER L/34 versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last few seasons with a combined average score of 226.4 ppg clicking in on the board. PORTLAND is 12-2 OVER L/14  after 2 straight games where they attempted 90 or more shots with a combined average score of 223.3 ppg being registered.

Over is 4-0 in Trail Blazers last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Over is 4-1 in Hornets last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

PORTLAND is 23-11 OVER (+10.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons

HC Stotts is 8-0 OVER L/8 vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 5+ per game - 2nd half of the season  with a combined average score of 219.8 ppg scored.

NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (CHARLOTTE) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 43-14 OVER L/21 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average score of 219.8 ppg scored.

Play OVER

LMU took down BYU last Thursday on the Bluff, and must not be underestimated in their ability to cover vs might St.Mary's here tonight. In the season’s first matchup with the Gaels, SMC shot 62 percent (31-for-50) against the Lions and 62.5 percent (10-for-16) from three, the best shooting percentages for any LMU opponent this season. I'm betting the Gaels won't come near those numbers again. Since that ugly low point, eight of LMU’s conference games have been decided by seven points or fewer, including seven of the last eight games and five straight. My own power rankings and system to system ranking suggest we have value with the home pup.

Favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (ST MARYS-CA) - after 3 or more consecutive unders, an explosive offensive team (76 PPG or more ) against an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games are 31-64 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Loyola Marymount to cover

Southern Illinois and Illinois State are both playing some of their best basketball of the season entering this tilt, with Southern Illinois on a 5 game win streak, while the Red Birds are 3-0 L/3.During Illinois State head coach Dam Muller's tenure, the Redbirds have a 44-22 record over the last 12 games of the regular season, including a 4-2 mark this season. His ability to make his teams better as the season progresses, is a testament to his top teir coaching abilities, and his side is the choice tonight on their own home court behind his big time group of three leading scorers of Yarbrough, Keyshawn Evans , and Fayne . These athletes are a one of the best trios in the  country  as they average 15 points per game.

Illinois State has covered 19 of the L/25 meetings in this series and when they own a .520 or better record like they do now they are a perfect 11-0 ATS.

S ILLINOIS is 0-7 ATS  L/7 after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games.

Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (S ILLINOIS) - good shooting team (45-47.5%) against an average defensive team (42.5-45%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 47% or more  of their shots are just 13-37 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 74% for bettors.

Play on Illinois State to cover

The Washington Wizards despite of not having All-Star John Wall  in the lineup conjured up a     five-game winning streak before abruptly having it end in their last trip to the hardwood. The victorious run included wins vs Oklahoma City  and  Toronto.  Meanwhile, their opponents the Boston Celtics also had their ,  four game win streak ended when they were beaten up on by Toronto last time out  111-91  thud. Now these teams will both be looking to get back on track. Both according to my power rankings are pretty evenly matched, with home court advantage being the difference maker and their ability to outduel their opponents via top tier  ball movement and balanced scoring .

WASHINGTON is 19-8 ATS L/27 in home games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last few  seasons. Washington has won 5 of the L/7 meetings at home in this series SU. Wizards are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

NBA All teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WASHINGTON) - off a road loss by 10 points or more, in February games are 40-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate.

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (BOSTON) - after scoring 40 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 215 points or more are 8-54 SU L/21 seasons for a87% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Washington Wizards to cover

The Flames won the last meeting between the schools, 92-78, at the Beeghly Center on Jan. 18, and now Youngstown State will be out looking for revenge and more importantly a top tier effort. I know Illinois Chicago is on a big time run right now , after a slow start to their campaign, but from a power rankings perspective and projections based on tonight's starting lineups we have value on this line with the underdog.

The last time these schools played at the UIC Pavilion, the Flames came away with an 84-81 victory in 2017.

YOUNGSTOWN ST is 27-13 ATS  off 2 consecutive losses of 10 or more to conference rivals .

CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (YOUNGSTOWN ST) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road wins are 71-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Youngstown State to cover

The Knicks enter this game  having lost four games in a row and seven of their last nine and  are obviously in bad form, and to make matters worse they have to play without a key offensive cog because of an injury to Porzingis  and also to guard Ron Baker (right shoulder surgery) and center Enes Kanter (oral surgery). If Tim Hardaway Jr. plays for NYK he has been fairly unproductive and rusty and won't help their offensive cause much. This will of course effect the Knicks offensive flow tonight vs one of the leagues top teams the Toronto Raptors , which in turn will effect the total combined score of this tilt in downward fashion. The Knicks know they have to find a way to slow this game down and make it physical, and that's what I'm betting they will do which will aid us in cashing an under bet here. The Four most recent meetings in this series have all not eclipsed this Total.

Under is 6-0 in Knicks last 6 overall.Under is 8-2 in Knicks last 10 vs. NBA Atlantic.Under is 8-2 in Knicks last 10 vs. NBA Atlantic.

TORONTO is 16-7 UNDER   versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season with a combined average of 207.4 ppg scored. TORONTO is 8-1 UNDER   after a division game this season with a combined average of 198.7 ppg going on the board.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (TORONTO) - revenging a loss vs opponent, off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more are 34-8 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors .

Play UNDER

Orlando is play very good basketball at the moment, winning 3 of their L/4 games and are off beating the Cleveland Cavaliers last time out.Since a 130-113 defeat  at Washington, the Magic are at .500 ( 5-5)  in their last 10 games. Four of the losses during that run are by single digits and four victories came  against teams with above.500 records Meanwhile. Atlanta has also won 2 straight, but my own power rankings suggest the Magic have the edge on their own home court. With that said, I am recommending we take the points in this spot.

Magic are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. Eastern Conference.Magic are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games overall.Hawks are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 vs. Eastern Conference.Hawks are 4-16-1 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.Hawks are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

NBA Underdogs (ATLANTA) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 53-96 L/21 seasons for a 65% go against conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Orlando to cover

My own number ( total ) on this game is closer to 127.5 thus giving us value on a under wager in this spot. St.Peters in their 5 most recent games have not scored more than 60 points with their average offensive output during that time clicking in at 58 ppg. St.Peter's sets a deliberate pace, and once again will dictate the speed of this game, which I'm betting will be slow and grinding.

ST PETERS is 11-2 UNDER  L/13 versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season after 15+ games dating back to last season with a combined average of  123.8 ppg scored.

CBB teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (MARIST) - after allowing 45 points or more in the first half last game against opponent after scoring 65 points or less 5 straight games are 59-25 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors with the combined average score of 128.3 ppg scored.

CBB teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (MARIST) - after a blowout loss by 20 points or more against opponent after scoring 65 points or less 5 straight games are 25-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 126.5 ppg scored.

Play on the UNDER

Bryant has used 16 different starting lineup combinations this season, which is the most nationally entering the week. The Bulldogs have started 12 different players this season, with only Ikkenna Ndugba  and Adam Grant  starting in at least two-thirds of Bryant's 25 games and are thus hard to scout and prepare for by most teams including Wagner. From a matchup perspective the linesmakers have gotten carried away here with this number, and we have good value taking the points in this spot.

CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (BRYANT) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off a home win by 10 points or more are 109-56 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Bryant to cover

UNLV is coming in to this tilt vs instate rival Nevada off a heartbreaking overtime loss at Boise State (93-91) on Saturday and will be in a letdown spot at the worst possible time. This situation I'm betting will see the Rebels offensive production curtailed and effect their offensive  flow which in effect will slow this game down a bit for both sides, which in turn will result in a lower scoring tilt then the  lines-makers expect. 

UNLV is 41-22 UNDER  L/63  in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72%  or more of their attempts.UNLV is 18-5 UNDER  L/23  in road games after scoring 75 points or more 3 straight games with a combined average score of 144.7 ppg scored. UNLV in their L/14 road  games dating back to last season have seen a combined average of 152.4 ppg go on the board. NEVADA in their L/7  i home games in February games over the last few seasons have seen a combined average score of 152.4 ppg scored. NEVADA in their L/24  as a home favorite or pick over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average score of 155 ppg. NEVADA in their L/9  versus good foul drawing teams - attempting 25 or more free throws/game have seen a combined average of 156.6 ppg go on the board.

CBB teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (NEVADA) - hot team - having won 15 or more of their last 20 games, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season are 39-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (UNLV) - after 2 straight games making 50% of their shots or better are 171-97 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play UNDER

UC Irvine Anteaters'  took a 71-54 victory over the Matadors on Jan. 13, but this time around I expect UC Northridge will be much more competitive as their coach Theus is a top tier technical guy who has the  ability to make adjustments .

CS-NORTHRIDGE is 34-12 ATS  L/46 in road games revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more. HC Theus is 9-1 ATS  L/10  in road games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game after 15+games.

CS-NORTHRIDGE is 8-1 ATS L/9  in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or better after 15+ games over the last few seasons. CS-NORTHRIDGE is 13-4 ATS  L/17   in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or better. CS-NORTHRIDGE is 15-6 ATS L/21 in road games against conference opponents.

CBB Home teams as a favorite or pick (UC-IRVINE) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 61-100 L/21 seasons for a 65% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on CS Northridge to cover

It's official the lines-makers have finally thrown in the towel on the Cleveland Cavaliers after the Cavs completely embarrassed themselves in a  116-88 loss  to the Orlando Magic on Tuesday. Absolutely pitiful is the best two words I can use to describe that effort . It truly sickening to watch a talented team like this implode, which seems to be the case as HC Tyronn Lue can't seem to stomach watching this calamity unfold, and  has left the last two games at some point because of undisclosed illness. Despite of that last nasty effort, I'm still grasping on to my power rankings that suggest we have a live home dog here with what still must be considered a championship calibre team. With pride on the line, and revenge on board for a Cleveland's loss to the  Wolves on Jan. 8, in  Minnesota via a ugly 127-99 beating I'm actually going to recommend we take the points here. I know this is a contrarian viewpoint, but my convictions about this team, are still at least for now solid . With the Cavs showcasing a 19-7 SU record at home this season, I'm betting they dig deep here in play an inspired game in front of their fans , and get us the cover. QUOTE: "Just got to keep pushing," said LeBron James, who scored only 10 points the last time the Cavs played Minnesota. "Stay positive, keep pushing. Try to get better. That's where it's at for me. We've got another opportunity tomorrow playing against a very good team that beat us up pretty good in Minnesota before. We look forward to the challenge. We've got to come out with the right game plan, we've got to come out with a sense of urgency and we've got to play the game the right way and try to sustain some good basketball for 48 minutes." END QUOTE:

Minnesota has lost 4 of their L/7 overall, and  is 7-17 ATS  L/24  in road games in non-conference games .Timberwolves are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games.

Home underdogs (CLEVELAND) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite. are 33-9 ATS L/21 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Cleveland Cavs to cover

These two teams the Jazz and Grizzlies are currently playing at the opposite ends of the proverbial performance spectrum of late, with Utah on a 6 game win streak while the Grizzlies are on 4 game losing streak. Despite of the their current discrepancies   ,  their is value backing the home dog on what is a slightly bloated number. I know the Grizzlies played last night, but they did not exert much energy, in a lifeless loss to Atlanta, and recently have shown resiliency and good conditioning as they are 4-0 ATS L/4 back to backs, and are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400 and  6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days and 7-2-1 ATS L/10 at home overall. Meanwhile the Jazz are Jazz are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. This ticket is not based on which side is better at the moment, but is based on the mathematics associated with spread betting, and according to my numbers and power rankings we  have value taking points.

Underdog is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings.

NBA teams like  (UTAH) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, in February games are just 40-77 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Memphis to cover

The Rockets are off a win in Brooklyn last night by a  123-113 count  and now prepare to visit the Miami Heat on Wednesday night at AmericanAirlines Arena . The Rockets now  on tired legs  just won't have as much energy to run and gun as they usually do . Add to that they will play a very physical defensive side, lead by Hassan Whiteside,  that are  well equipped to slow the Rockets  down. With that said, I won't be surprised if the visitors  produce below their season offensive average in this spot.  On the flipside,  the Heat ranked 28th in pace and 5th in defensive efficiency,   and off a couple of dubious lackluster defensive  performances, will  be primed to bounce back and play solid D, in a building where they have held 3 of their L/4 opponents to 91 point or less. Houston must also not be underestimated in their ability to play solid D, as they have held 5 of their L/10 opponents to 99 or less points and rank 9th in the league in defensive rating. The above combinations bode well for this score staying on the low side of the Total.  

Note: Miami in 7 of their L/15 overall have seen them and their opponents fail to eclipse the 99 point plateau in a game. MIAMI is 8-0 UNDER  versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season with a combined average of 193.2 ppg scored. The last two meetings between these teams here in Miami have remained on the low side of the number.

Under is 10-2 in Rockets last 12 overall.Under is 6-1 in Rockets last 7 road games.Under is 35-15-2 in Rockets last 52 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 5-1 in Heat last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (MIAMI) - after 4 or more consecutive losses against opponent after 4 or more consecutive wins are 40-11 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Virginia is proving it is one of the front runners for the national championship this season behind  a defense that is ranked No.1 and allowing just 53 ppg. Meanwhile, their hosts the Florida State Seminoles, after a fast start to their season, have slowed considerably and are just 5-5 in their L/10 games for a .500 record during that period. As far as todays matchup is concerned it must be noted that Virginia  lost Florida State at home last season by a 60-58 count , and will be primed to exact revenge for that defeat in this spot. With Virginia well rested I expect they will deliver some payback.

HC Tony Bennett is a perfect 11-0 L/11 in his career with 3 or more days rest seeking revenge.

VIRGINIA is 11-4 ATS L/15 when playing against a team with a winning record this season.VIRGINIA is 9-2 ATS   versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots this season. VIRGINIA is 11-4 ATS   versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season. VIRGINIA is 8-0 ATS  L/8  in road games after having won 12 or more of their last 15 games.

Play on Virginia to cover

Samford will be meeting Wofford  tonight in a key SoCon tilt. The Terriers   barley got by the Bulldogs earlier this season, 93-89, in a  battle at the  Pete Hanna Center in Birmingham, Alabama, on Jan. 18. Samford despite of not performing all that well this season, do matchup well vs Wofford according to my cross reference player to player and system to systems analysis and are viable underdogs in this spot.

Samford HC Padgett is 16-5 ATS  L/21  in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%).

WOFFORD is 1-7 ATS  L/8 after 2 consecutive conference games this season.SAMFORD is 14-4 ATS  L/18  in road games after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread.

CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (SAMFORD) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off 2 consecutive losses of 10 or more to conference rivals are 94-48 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Samford to cover

 Both the Memphis Grizzlies and their hosts the Atlanta Hawks have been highly inconsistent this season, with neither probably inspiring many bettors to back them. But in a game involving two bottom feeders, one side the ( Grizzlies) are the lesser of two evils according to my power rankings and head to head matchup analysis. When these teams played   on Dec. 15.  the Grizzlies defeated the Hawks  96-94 in Memphis , and once again look like a viable side to back in this spot.

ATLANTA is 1-13 ATS  L/14  in home games after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread dating back to last season.

Grizzlies are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Hawks are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.Underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.Road team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MEMPHIS) - off a road loss by 10 points or more, in February games are 24-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Memphis Grizzlies to cover

The Knicks enter this game frustrated and embarrassed after blowing what looked like a sure win last time out, as they gave up a 5 point lead with under 2 min lefts  and lost to Atlanta . Now completely dejected and with nothing to lose, I expect a all out effort from a side looking to get some pride back. Key Trend: Knicks are 5-0 ATS l/5 after a loss. QUOTE: "I can't even process that we lost," Knicks leading scorer Kristaps Porzingis told reporters after the game. "I can't believe it. It was our game. It was 100 percent our game. Stuff happened quick, and boom, it was over. ... We're just not there yet as a team. We keep losing these games." END QUOTE: I know the Knicks don't inspire many bettors, but considering their current mood, and  the fact they actually matchup well vs the Bucks  actually makes them  decent options in this spot. Note:  When these teams played last week the Bucks squeaked out a 92-90  vs the Knicks at home , but now with this game now in NYC could get easily get  hi jacked in MSG in the rematch tonight. (  The Knicks are outrebounding Bucks this season, 44.4 to 39.0, and the Bucks rank  19th in the NBA in points per game (104.7) and 11th in points allowed (104.9). The Knicks are right behind the Bucks in both categories ranking  20th in points per game (104.1) and 13th in points allowed at 105.5. Milwaukee has a SRS of - 0.28 vs NYK -1.69 .

Bucks are 3-8-2 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Underdog is 7-2 ATS L/9 meetings and Bucks have failed to cover 4 of their L/5 visits to NY to play the Knicks.

Bucks Giannis Antetokounmpo left last game, is upgraded to probable Tuesday vs New York ( Foot ) but is still operating at  less than 100% tonight.

NEW YORK is 15-5 ATS  L/20 after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. MILWAUKEE is 18-30 ATS  L/48 after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games .

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW YORK) - after a close loss by 3 points or less against opponent after scoring 105 points or more are  55-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the NY Knicks to cover

Ohio enters the contest with a 9-13 SU overall record and 2-8 in MAC play and are struggling mightily after having lost 4 straight  . Ohio is 7-5 (1-4 MAC) at home and once again according to my power rankings are being over rated here on this home chalk line vs a Akron side that matches up well against them despite of their experience levels . Meanwhile, Akron is on a 3 game losing streak, but it must be noted that  since the start of the 2004-05 season, the Zips have been one of top teams in the country when it comes to bouncing back off a loss. Excluding season-ending losses, Akron is 97-39 SU (.713)  following a loss.  During this strong run, Akron has only posted 30 losing streaks with 18 of those at just two games and 22 have consisted of two or more games on the road (road/neutral site).  UA has not lost more than four-straight games in over 10 years and this trend I'm betting will not easily end tonight, making getting points golden in my humble opinion.

The Zips have won 10 of the last 14 meetings, and three of the last five meetings at the Convocation Center and won the first meetings of the season between these two teams back on Jan 23 71-68 as 1 point chalk.

OHIO U is 4-12 ATS  L/16 versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season. OHIO U is 0-6 ATS  L/6 as a home favorite of 6 points or less or pick. OHIO U is 0-6 ATS   on Tuesday nights this season.

Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OHIO U) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 26-62 ATS L/21 seasons for a 71% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Akron to cover

The Huskies enter this game against red hot Toledo, off an 81-65 setback at home against Miami this past Saturday (Feb. 3), just their second home loss of the season, but I'm expecting a big bounce back here vs a program that they always seem to be up for playing against. Note:  NIU (10-13, 3-7 MAC) has won each of its last three trips to the Glass City, including a 74-72 victory last season (Jan. 28, 2017). I know Northern Illinois has been very inconsistent this season, but they are showing flashes of brilliance, which have influenced my MAC power rankings and matchup stats.  NIU Over the last four games,  is shooting 64 percent from the field in the second half, including 54.5 percent from three-point range, and has scored 46.0 points per game after the intermission. So from a back door perspective , this is the kind of side I feel good backing on this type of DD underdog line.

CBB Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (TOLEDO) - after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers against opponent after 5 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers are 13-42 ATS L/21 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (N ILLINOIS) - off an upset loss by 15 or more as a home favorite against opponent off a road win are 41-12 ATS L/21 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Northern Illinois to cover

When these two teams squared off earlier this season, Cincinnati won 49-38 at CFE Arena.UCF is third in the nation, holding opponents to 60.6 points per game. Meanwhile, Cincinnati is ranked 2ne holding teams to 56.8 ppg and just 55.8 ppg at home.  I'm expecting more points from both teams  this time around , but I'm betting this tilt still falls below the Total.

I know that UCF is without 7'6 Tacko Fall, after getting injured but the Knights D, is still viable enough to turn this into a physical battle in the paint and slow transitional affair.

UCF is 10-0 UNDER  \L/10 when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or better ) dating back to last season with a combined average of 115.8 ppg scored.UCF is 10-1 UNDER  L/11 versus good defensive teams - allowing 64  or less points/game with a combined average score of  111.1 ppg scored.CINCINNATI is 14-4 UNDER  L/18 versus good defensive teams - allowing 64  or less points/game with a combined average of 122.7 ppg scored.

These teams have a history of slow physical low scoring games with 8 of the L/9 meetings remaining on the low side of the Total with the 3 most recent meetings seeing a combined average score of 100 ppg scored  (  49-38 , 53-49, 60-50) . Rinse and repeat on the under.

CBB Home teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (CINCINNATI) - after 3 or more consecutive wins, a top-level team (80% or more ) playing a team with a winning record are 60-24 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average score of 121.7 ppg scored.

Play UNDER

Two cellar dwellers go head to head tonight in the NBA. The Bulls  are  near the bottom of the Eastern Conference. The Kings are at the bottom  of the Western Conference. But according to my power rankings one side is the lesser of two evils and that is the Chicago Bulls, a hoops franchise that despite of rebuilding has played well for long stretch's this season and have gained my respect. I know their leading scorer(Mirotic)  was traded to the Pelicans, in exchange for forward Omer Asik and guard Jameer Nelson, but with key cog Markkanen back in the lineup after a week off (personal) they  will have fresh legs in the lineup and will be  dangerous underdogs.    With that said,  the Kings have not won on their own home floor since a 106-98 victory over the Denver Nuggets on Jan. 6 and are weak chalk here again tonight .

Chicago has won 4 of their L/5 visits to Sacramento and are 2-0 here in recent meetings.

SACRAMENTO is 4-14 ATS  versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season. CHICAGO is 14-5 ATS  L/19  versus struggling foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game this season.CHICAGO is 18-9 ATS   versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CHICAGO) - off a road loss by 10 points or more, in February games are 24-3 ATS L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors, and NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CHICAGO) - off 2 or more consecutive road losses, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days are a bankroll expanding 70-25 ATS L/21 seasons for a long term 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Chicago to cover

HC Huggins and his West Virginia group finally played the defense their capable of playing last time out in a lopsided 89-51 weekend defeat of Kansas State. The Mountaineers played hard in that game and exerted a lot of energy and will now approach this dangerous offensive opponent with a conservative mind set on tired legs and in a  defensive posture , which will result in both team outputs being curtailed. Meanwhile, Oklahoma high paced attack  is also off a hard fought physical loss to Texas last time out, and will also be in tired legs, which I'm also betting will effect their overall flow and  output in this spot, despite of playing with revenge tonight. With that said,  I'm expecting a grueling affair, that won't have the offensive fireworks that the public expects thanks to the hype associated with media darlings like Trae Young in this spot.

The Mountaineers edged the Sooners, 89-76, in the season’s first meeting on Jan. 6 in Morgantown  with a total of 167 points scored. I won't be surprised by a similar total output this time around in a rinse and repeat situation.

W VIRGINIA is 7-0 UNDER  L/7 versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 84+ points/game with a combined average of 154.4 ppg.W VIRGINIA is 16-6 UNDER  as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick with a combined average of 130  ppg scored.  W VIRGINIA is 10-2 UNDER  versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots this season with a combined average of 144.8 ppg scored. W VIRGINIA is 6-0 UNDER  when the total is 160 or more  over the last few seasons with a combined average of 151.1 ppg scored. OKLAHOMA is 9-1 UNDER  L/10  off a road loss against a conference rival with a combined average of 139 ppg going on the board.OKLAHOMA is 26-9 UNDER L/35 at home when the line is +3 to -3 with a combined average score of 133.8 ppg going on the board.W VIRGINIA is 26-9 UNDER L/35  after a blowout win by 30 points or more with a combined average of 141.1 ppg scored.

CBB teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (OKLAHOMA) - after 2 straight games making 50% of their shots or better are 170-97 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (OKLAHOMA) - playing with one or less days rest are 384-244 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play UNDER

The Jazz have won five in a row, including their last four road games, and they upset the San Antonio Spurs on Saturday night 120-111 and are currently operating at a top level of performance. Meanwhile, the New Orleans Pelicans have lost three of four games since star center DeMarcus Cousins suffered a season-ending left Achilles tear and are now struggling to find cohesiveness as they adjust to his absence. From a matchup perspective in both sides current for the Jazz have the edge.The Jazz have won four of the last five against New Orleans and get the nod again as road pups.

Jazz are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Pelicans are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Jazz are 6-1-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in New Orleans.

UTAH is 9-1 ATS  L/10 after 2 or more consecutive wins this season. UTAH is 15-4 ATS  L/19 in road games when playing 4 or less games in 10 days. NEW ORLEANS is 27-42 ATS  L/69 as a home favorite. Pelicans HC Gentry is 9-24 favorite ATS  L/33 where they attempted 90 or more shots in all games in 2 straight games .  Snyder is 21-9 ATS   revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home in his career.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (UTAH) - after going over the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, second half of the season are 24-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Utah to cover

Utah is suddenly playing top tier hoops again as is evident by 5 straight wins. Their current top form must be attributed to their ability to play a very strong brand of defensive basketball that has resulted in allowing 4 of their L/5 opponents to score less than 99 points. This type of D, has been a mainstay of Jazz basketball for a while, and their now in a groove and closely following their regiment.  I know that the Pelicans have continued to play fairly high scoring games, despite of losing DeMarcus Cousns to an injury, but  their flow I'm betting will be inhibited tonight by a side that knows exactly how to slow opponents down, behind a 25th ranked pace and the 4th best D in the league.

Utah HC Snyder is 28-15 UNDER L/43   versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season with a combined average of 194.6 ppg scored.

NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (UTAH) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games are 45-17 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Washington enters this game starting to shore up their defensive play and have held 3 of their L/6 opponents under the 98 point mark and overall  rank in the upper half of the NBA defensive numbers . Meanwhile, Indiana ha held 8 of their L/16 opponents to  99 points or less behind the 17th ranked pace. With that said, and considering my own power ranking matchup projections the lines-makers are slightly over weighted on the Total and thus I'm betting we have value with an under wager in this spot.

Indiana has gone under 17 of their L/28 home games this season. Washington has gone under in 17 of their 26 road games during this campaign. The combined average score of Wizards road games clicks in at a combined average of 210 ppg, while Indiana's home games have seen a combined average of 211.3 ppg. The two most recent games these teams have played here in Indiana have not eclipsed this total, and I'm once again betting on this Number not being breached.

WASHINGTON is 16-7 UNDER  L/23 after a game where they covered the spread this season with a combined average of 209.2 ppg scored. r

INDIANA is 25-9 UNDER  L/34  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record with a combined average 205.3 ppg scored. INDIANA is 11-3 UNDER in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season with a combined average of 202.2 ppg scored.INDIANA is 19-8 UNDER L/27 at home when the line is +3 to -3 with a combined average of 208 ppg scored.

NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (WASHINGTON) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games are 45-17 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (WASHINGTON) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games are 55-20 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Portland has been playing some highly competitive hoops of late and have won 7 of their L/9 games and have only failed to cover 1 of their L/8 games overall. The Trail Blazers saw their four-game winning streak end abruptly last time out in a 130-105 loss at Toronto on Friday, but will now be ready to bounce back in a big way vs a Celtics side playing without injured Kyrie Irving. The Blazers have scored 100 points in 17 straight games, and matchup well here vs a side has suddenly become defensively deficient of late holding only 2 of their L/10 opponents to under 100 points.

The road team won both meetings last season and I expect another cover here by the visitors.


PORTLAND is 8-1 ATS L/9 on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season.PORTLAND is 10-1 ATS L/11 in a road game where the total is 200 to 209.5 this season.BOSTON is 6-17 ATS L/23 in home games after playing 2 consecutive home games.BOSTON is 18-34 ATS L/52 in home games after 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots.


Blazers are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.Road team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PORTLAND) - off a road loss by 10 points or more, in February games are 24-3 ATS L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Portland Blazers to cover

Ohio State enters this game on a 8-1 SU run, and will now be ready for a Illinois team off their first win in Big 10 play last time out against Rutgers. From a matchup perspective Ohio State is the far superior side, and have revenge and a motivational factor on side for a New Years day loss to Illinois last season. It must be noted that Illinois is just 3-18 ATS L/21 when they lose vs a conference side with revenge. Ohio State has gone 3-0 SU/ATS L/3 with revenge in this series, and are a bankroll expanding 32-3 ATS when they get their SU revenge in conference games. The Illini have lost seven in a row in Value City Arena and are 2-13 there. Note: Ohio State has won their home games by an average almost 15 ppg this season.

ILLINOIS is 16-31 ATS  L/47  in road games off a home blowout win by 20 points or more , which happened against Rutgers last time out. ILLINOIS is 1-8 ATS  L/9 versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots after 15+ games. OHIO ST is 8-0 ATS  L/8  in home games after 2 straight games where opponent grabbed 26 or less rebounds . OHIO ST is 9-2 ATS against conference opponents this season.

Play on Ohio State to cover

San Diego State I'm betting is in a emotional letdown spot, after a grueling game with UNLV they lost last time out. Actually the Aztecs, have struggled a bit recently losing 4 of their L/5 SU and currently much to my surprise do not look like Mountain West contenders. Meanwhile, visiting Air Force despite of a sub par below .500 record ( 8-12) have been highly  competitive , while covering 6 of their L/7 overall and according to my numbers are solid underdogs in this spot.

 AIR FORCE is 6-0 ATS   when playing against a team with a winning record this season. AIR FORCE is 8-0 ATS  L/8 versus excellent teams - shooting  45% or more with a defense of 42%  or less the last few seasons. AIR FORCE is 19-8 ATS L/27 as a road underdog of 15.5 to 18 points.

San Diego State is 1-8 ATS L/9 in this series.

Play on Air Force to cover

New Orleans after losing DeMarcus Cousins for the seasons with a Achilles injury are now  Short-handed going in to this tilt against the Wolves . The Pelicans  did manage to shore up their bench by acquiring Forward Nikola Mirotic from the Bulls and  is expected to make his debut for New Orleans tonight. But his presence I'm betting slows down the offensive flow of the Pelicans that they  had with Anthony and Cousins patrolling the hardwood. From my own projections which considers the new personnel  I'm estimating that the Pelicans will score in the 100 point range , and attempt between 81 and 87 shots, which has resulted in them combining with their opponents to average 206.8 ppg in the recent past. Meanwhile, Minnesota despite of being able to put points on the board in bunches, have shown that they  have the flashes of having the  ability to play solid defense as well,  behind the 24th ranked pace in the league, which has resulted in them going under in 4 straight games, allowing two of their L/4 opponents to 97 and 87 points respectively. The combination of Minnesota's concerted focus on playing better  D, and the Pelicans getting acclimated to playing without key cogs and new pieces will culminate in tilt that stays under the total.

NEW ORLEANS is 9-1 UNDER  L/10  in road games versus  teams -  allowing an overall shooting pct defense of  46% or worse - 2nd half of the season dating back to their last campaign, with the combined average score of 207.9 ppg scored.NEW ORLEANS is 10-1 UNDER  in road games off an upset win as a road underdog  with a combined average of 199.6 ppg scored. ( The Pelicans upset Thunder 114-110 L/time out) MINNESOTA is 13-3 UNDER  after 2 or more consecutive unders this season.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MINNESOTA) - excellent FT shooting team (79% or more ) against a good FT shooting team (76-79%) after 42+ games are 26-4 OVER L/21 seasons, for a 87% conversion rate for bettors ( with a combined average of 210.6 ppg going on the board).

 Play UNDER

Denver enters this game having played three straight grueling games, with their last game resulting in a last second 127-124 buzzer beater win vs Oklahoma City. Now on tired legs and in an emotional letdown state, I'm betting they have problems dealing with a Golden State team that they may meet in the first round of the play offs. The Warriors also aware of the possible post season implications, will now take the  time I'm betting to deliver a message and knock down a fragile Nuggets group still dealing with confidence issues, after making a habit of squandering leads this season, including the win they took last time out. There is also a low possibility  , that the Warriors will not be prepared to play here tonight, as Denver has played them tough on occasion in the past including shocking them by 96-81 back on Dec 3 at home. With that said, I'm also betting the Warriors would love to shovel out some pay back here tonight and leave this building  and their fans in a shambles via  smack down performance.

 Nuggets are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 vs. NBA Pacific.Road team is 8-2-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings.Warriors are 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Denver.

Golden States SRS - is 8.21 vs Denver SRS - 0.50 .( Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average.)

GOLDEN STATE is 15-4 ATS  L/19  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season.

NBA Road favorites (GOLDEN STATE) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival, tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 5 days are 25-2 ATS L/21 seasons for a 92% conversion rare  winning SU by an average of 11.1 pgg.

Play on Golden State Warriors to cover

When we think of  the Houston Rockets  we get the image of a run and gun offensive team that plays with one way reckless abandon. While their are times when they do look like this kind of side, overall this is not a true picture of what they have been trying to achieve or the way they play . Overall the Rockets are ranked 10th in the league in defensive efficiency, and on the road of late have held 5 of their L/9 opponents to under 99 points or less. Overall thanks to a decent defensive posture they have also seen 8 of their L/10 games remain on the low side of the number. On the road this season the Rockets have seen a combined average of 209.6 ppg scored. Now we enter this game against a Cleveland team, playing for the most part aggressive offensive ball  while looking like pylons on defense. The Cavs did however, come out last time out, and show us some metal in a 91-89 win vs Miami, and now on a couple of days rest, should be well prepared to use that winning formula for this  top tier  non conference showdown in a game I have pegged at staying under the slightly bloated  public total.

HOUSTON is 7-0 UNDER  on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average of 206.2 ppg scored.

HOUSTON is 23-11 UNDER L/34  versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season  with a combined average of 219.8 ppg scored. CLEVELAND  in their L/42  versus   teams - allowing 106+ points/game have seen an average of 224.7 ppg scored.

Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (CLEVELAND) - excellent FT shooting team (79% or more ) against a good FT shooting team (76-79%) after 42+ games are 26-4 L/21 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors  with a combined average of 201.6 ppg scored.

Play UNDER

Last night  Pacers came back from an 18-point first-half deficit to make the game tight, but ended up losing 133-126 to the Charlotte Hornets. What I took from that game, was how much of a flow the Pacers can get into when their running and gunning and how well they matchup vs a side the  76ers. With that said, I'm betting on the well conditioned PACERS continuing their flow vs a Philadelphia 76ers side  that has lost 4 of their L/5 road games SU  and also played last night .76ers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games playing on no  rest.  Also add to that Indiana will have the added motivation, vs a Sixers side that took them out, by a 121-110 count back in November in Philly and you have a quality side situation to sink our teeth into.

76ers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day. Chalk is 8-2 ATS L/10 meetings in this series.

INDIANA is 27-13 ATS  in home games revenging a same season loss vs opponent. Indiana has won 3 straight at home in this series.PHILADELPHIA is 5-17 ATS L/22 when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season over the last few seasons

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%), poor ball handling team (16.5 TO's or more ) against a good ball handling team ( 14.5 TO's or less) are 9-31 SU L/21 seasons for a go against conversion  rate of 78% for bettors.

Play on the Pacers to cover

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

FLA ATLANTIC is 1-8 ATS   versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots this season.FLA ATLANTIC is 2-9 ATS  L/11  in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game.SOUTHERN MISS is 8-0 ATS L/8 off 2 or more consecutive road losses.

CBB Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (FLA ATLANTIC) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team  are 26-62 ATS L/21 seasons for a 71% go against conversion rate for bettors .

Play on Southern Miss to cover