5* NBA Late Night BAILOUT on Jazz -4
Off a big upset win over LA last night, the Hornets are not going to be able to bounce back strong enough to cover this number against one of the elite home teams in the NBA. Utah is 13-4 at home this season and the Jazz have had the Hornets' number, winning 11 of the last 14 meetings at home. New Orleans is a terrible 2-12 ATS in road games off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog since 1996,losing by an average score of 85.6 to 99.3 in these spots. Take the Jazz.

3* SMASH on Tennessee -3
Since Tennessee lost to the Zags, it has continued to play good basketball. Gonzaga is struggling, having lost 3 in a row SU and ATS to fall out of the top 25. With home court and revenge in their favor, we'll take the Vols here. Tennessee is 12-1 ATS in home non-conference games over the last 3 seasons and 13-1 ATS in home games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons. The Vols are also 13-4 ATS in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. Lay the number.

3* SMASH on Rutgers +9.5
Rutgers has had 4 days to rest and prepare for this one after a treacherous stretch against UNC, Pitt, and UConn. The Knights gave Pitt all they wanted and more,losing by only 6 points as a 14.5 point dog. But, emotionally and physically drained, they were crushed at UConn in their next game. Rutgers is back home, well rested, and out for revenge against a team that has struggled away from home. Rutgers defense is holding its opponents to 59.1 ppg at home and this "D" keeps them close in this one. Marquette is 0-6 ATS versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=39% after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. We'll take the points.

5* NCAAB Underdog of the Month on Harvard +19
This is a classic sandwich game for BC. The Eagles are in a letdown spot after pulling off a huge upset win over UNC and also in a look ahead spot with Miami on deck. Harvard returns all 5 starters from last season and is now healthy. The public is flocking to BC here as the odds makers have set their trap by keeping this one under 20. In all reality, I see the margin here finishing much closer to 10. At its bare essentials, plays against a home team in non-conference games, off a win against a conference rival are 117-68 ATS the last 5 seasons (63.2%) and this one fits into a lot stronger situation than that. Take the points.

3* SMASH on Indiana +7.5
The Hoosiers are not getting the respect they deserve on their home floor. Indiana is 4-2 at home this season and 2-1 ATS in home lined game. This Indiana team plays with a lot of heart and confidence in Bloomington and I have no reason to believe it will be any different tonight. Michigan has struggled severely at Indiana, having lost 9 straight there, and the Hoosiers have won 16 of the last 20 overall. Michigan's halfcourt style of hoops is not conducive to many blowouts and with as strong as Big Ten home court is, I'll take the points here.

3* Underdog SMASH on Hornets +7.5
The Lakers are 18-1 at home so naturally the money is rushing in on them, but a good Hornets team will be up to the challenge tonight. New Orleans has already lost to LA twice this season and off a loss to Denver in its last game, the Hornets have all the incentive in the world to leave it all out on the floor. New Orleans is actually 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS in its last 3 meetings in LA. The Lakers are just 2-10 ATS after having won 12 or more of their last 15 games this season while New Orleans is 16-5 ATS after a loss by 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons, 25-10 ATS revenging a home loss vs. an opponent over the last 3 seasons, and 13-3 ATS in January games over the last 2 seasons. Take the points.

5* Big Ten Line Mistake of the Year on Purdue -2
Purdue has won all 4 meetings with Penn State the last couple seasons and it will be out for blood here following a loss to Illinois in its last game. In this case, I think the outcome of its last game is carrying too much weight and that Purdue should be around a 5-point favorite in this game. Purdue is 9-2 ATS in road lined games over the last 2 seasons, winning by an average score of 69.8 to 64. Purdue is also 14-5 ATS against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons, winning these games by an average score of 68.4 to 62.1. Lastly,Purdue is 15-5 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons, winning these contests by an average score of 68.1 to 63.2. The Boilermakers are the most talented and balanced team in the Big Ten this season and they will not lose two in a row. Lay the number.

4* Major NBA Blowout of the Week on Magic -13
This one has blowout written all over it as the Magic are off a loss and returning home out for blood while the Wizards are in a letdown spot after surprising Cleveland. Orland already has wins of 25 and 15 against the Wiz this season as they have had no answer on the interior. Orlando is 19-2 AT off a road loss over the last 2 seasons. Enough said. Lay the points.

4* Major NBA Total of the Week on Pacers/Nuggets UNDER 223
While Indiana has been able to some scoring this season, it has mostly come at home. The Pacers are averaging only 98.6 ppg on the road and that means that the odds makers have set the bar too high here. Another thing to consider is that Denver plays much better defense at home, allowing 99.6 ppg while scoring 105.3. Both of these teams have been overs machines lately to really jack this number up. Indiana is 17-6 UNDER in road games off a home win over the last 3 seasons. The average score in these spots is Indy 93.5, opponent 101.4. Take the Under.

5* Big East GOTY on Notre Dame -2
Notre Dame got caught looking ahead to this game on Saturday with a loss at St. John's, but that loss has kept this line down for us and it now gives the Irish an even bigger incentive to win. The Irish are the better team this season and they are a perfect 6-0 at home. The Hoyas are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home. The Fighting Irish are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS loss and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU loss. The Irish were picked to be among the top teams in the Big East preseason while G-Town was projected to be in the middle of the pack and I still see this being the case. Lay the points.

3* MO Valley SMASH on SIU -2
SIU opened as a 3.5-point favorite at home in this one and the public has jumped on Drake. Neither team is as good as they were a year ago, but odds makers were severely tipping there hand in this one. SIU has won 21 of its last 23 games against the Bulldogs and is a perfect 11-0 at home against Drake since 1997. SIU is off to an 0-2 start in conference play and will really gear up for this one to get on the board. Drake is only 2-2 on the road this season and has looked susceptible. SIU is 6-0 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. Lay the number.

4* Major NBA SMASH of the Week on Grizzlies +6.5
Everything about this one should say all Dallas, and yet the Grizz are just 6.5-point dogs and the books know the public will be all over the Mavs. I smell a rat and I'm not about to get caught in that trap. This is the 3rd time these two teams will have faced off this season. Dallas has won big at home in the other two and the Grizzlies will really get geared up for matchup number 3. Dallas is just 1-11 ATS after 3 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons. The Mavs are due for a letdown and it comes today.

5* Big Ten GOTY on Michigan -1.5
With Illinois in a letdown spot after a big win at Purdue and with Michigan in a bounce back spot after going down at home to Wisconsin, we'll pound the Wolverines here. Michigan is much better this season than it has been the last several years and yet the Wolverines are still 2-0 SU and ATS the last 2 seasons at home against Illinois. The Wolverines are a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home. The Fighting Illini are 0-8 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Michigan. The Home team is 15-2 ATS in the last 17 meetings. Take Michigan!

4* Major MO Valley Massacre of the Month on Illinois State -1.5
I love Illinois State at home laying a small number. It is a perfect 7-0 at home this season. It has also beat Creighton 3 straight times by at least 10 points. Illinois State is 6-0 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season, 6-0 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% this season, and 8-0 ATS in home games after a win by 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons. It is winning by double digits in all of these spots. Lay the number.

3* NBA Saturday Night SMASH on Bobcats -1
The Bobcats have already lost three times to the Bucks this season and were blown out last night. I like the Bobcats to finally step up to the plate and get the job done at home. Milwaukee is just 7-13 on the road this season and it is not catching enough points to pick up another road cover here. Lay the point!

4* Major High Noon Hard Hitter on Georgetown -2.5
Georgetown rose to the occasion against UConn and now it's time for the Hoyas to do it again against Pitt. The Hoyas are 7-0 at home this season and 3-0 in home lined games. G-Town is 22-10 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons. Pitt is just 3-11 ATS in road Saturday games over the last 3 seasons. The Hoyas will go after the target on Pitt's back hard and get the job done here. Lay the number.

4* Major Friday Night NBA BEST BET on Nets +4
New Jersey is 19-4 at home against the Hawks since 1996. It is 7-2 SU and ATS in all matchups over the last 3 seasons, including 4-1 SU and ATS at home. New Jersey has already beaten the Hawks twice as an underdog this season and yet they continue to get points because the books know the public will be on Atlanta. The Nets are 17-4 ATS in their last 21 games as an underdog of 4.5 points or less. Take the points.

5* NCAAB Vegas Line Mistake of the Year on Harvard +3.5
This is a tough spot for Santa Clara having already played two games this week and now having to fly clear across the country to get it done tonight. I just don't see it happening. Santa Clara is just 2-6 on the road this season and should not be the favorite here. Harvard is more talented than its record indicates and got one of its best players back last game. The Broncos are 2-12-1 ATS in their last 15 road games following three or more consecutive home games, 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, and 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 non-conference games. Take the points.

3* Pac-10 SMASH on Oregon +2.5
This is a big revenge game for the Ducks who were swept by USC last season. USC is just 1-3 on the road this year and will face a hungry Ducks team this afternoon. USC is 0-7 ATS after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons, losing in these spots by 3.4 ppg. Oregon is 12-2 ATS in home games after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons and 39-14 ATS off 2 or more consecutive home wins since 1997. Take the points.

4* Major NBA DOG OF THE WEEK on Thunder +2.5
While OKC is only 3-29 on the season, it has now covered the spread in 14 of its last 19 games, including 5 of its last 6. The road has been unkind to Golden State this season where the Warriors are only 4-16 SU and 7-13 ATS. Golden State is just 3-13 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game this season, losing by an average score of 103.5 to 113.9 in these games. Since making a coaching change, the Thunder have been extremely competitive and I'll ride them here tonight. Take the points.

5* Big Ten Game of the Month on Michigan State +1
Minnesota has not played anyone and it is not better than a Michigan State team which has only lost to UNC and Maryland and has a quality win over Texas. Michigan State has won 15 of the last 19 meetings and all 3 over the last 3 seasons. Minnesota started off as a home dog when this line opened and is just is 1-9 ATS as a home underdog or pick over the last 3 seasons, losing in these spots by 10.9 ppg. Pound the better team tonight.

3* SMASH on New Mexico State -1
The road has been unkind to New Mexico with just 1-4 SU and ATS mark this season and no team will be gunning for the Lobos more that its rival New Mexico State. The Aggies lost at New Mexico one week ago and will be out for revenge tonight. New Mexico State is a perfect 2-0 SU and ATS at home versus the Lobos the past two seasons. It is a perfect 6-0 at home and 4-1 ATS in home lined games. The Aggies are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 home games and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Taking the home team in this series has been the play as it is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Take New Mexico State.

4* Major NCAAB Rivalry Game of the Week on So. Miss -2
So. Miss is 9-1 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons, 20-6 ATS as a favorite over the last 3 seasons, 7-0 ATS after allowing 55 points or less 2 straight games since 1997, and 7-0 ATS after a combined score of 125 points or less 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. So. Miss returns 4 starters and will be out for revenge against an Ole Miss team which beat it by 20 a season ago. So. Miss has the better team this season and we'll lay the points.

3* SMASH on Indiana Pacers +1
Indiana has the edge at home tonight as the Hawks played last night and then had to travel, which always makes for a tough situation when playing back-to-back. Indiana is a perfect 5-0 SU and ATS at home against the Hawks the last 3 seasons, having already put a 113-96 beatdown on them this season. If there is a night to bet against the Hawks, it is Tuesday as Atlanta is just 3-14 ATS on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons losing by an average of 10.1 ppg. Despite having lost 3 in a row, the Pacers are playing good basketball, only losing by 1,3, and 2 points respectively to New Jersey, Memphis, and New Orleans. With home court and fresher legs on their side tonight, I like the Pacers to get the job done.

3* SMASH on Clemson -2.5
Plain and simple, South Carolina is 0-8 ATS in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%) over the last 3 seasons, losing by an average score of 60.3 to 78.3. SC is also 0-7 ATS in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=37% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons and 0-6 ATS in home games vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. Lay the number.

3* Monday Night NBA BEST BET on Suns -9
The Suns have had 4 days off since a X-Mas day 1-point heartbreaker to San Antonio. They will wash that sour taste of that defeat out of their mouth with a blowout win tonight. OKC is just 2-13 at home this season and only 5-9-1 ATS in those games. The Suns also remember how tough the Thunder played them in the first meeting this season and will not take them lightly tonight. Plays on any team (PHOENIX) off a home loss, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 104-60 ATS the last 5 seasons. Lay the number.

3* Big East SMASH on UConn -6
This will be G-Town's first true road test of the season and it couldn't have come against a tough Big East opponent. The Huskies are 22-1 at home in their last 23 and I have them easily able to cover this 6-point number. Besides having the revenge factor in their favor after last season's narrow road defeat to G-Town, the Huskies did not play all that well in their last game against Fairfield and you can bet they've heard about it plenty by now. G-Town is 0-6 ATS after a cover as a double digit favorite over the last 2 seasons. UConn is 16-4 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less or pick since 1997. Lay the number.

4* Major 22-0 ATS Sunday NBA BEST BET on Cavs -10.5
If it ain't broke, don't fix it. The Cavs are 15-0 at home this season and 12-3 ATS in those games, winning by an average score of 105.1 to 89.3. We'll ride the Cavs again at home Sunday. Cleveland is 22-7 ATS in all games this season, a perfect 8-0 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive unders this season, and 7-0 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days this season. Miami is 0-7 ATS when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points this season. Lay the number.

3* SMASH on Evansville -3
Evansville returns all five starters this season and its experience has showed as it is off to a strong 8-2 start. It is a perfect 8-0 at home and 4-1 ATS in home lined games. Evansville is 15-3 ATS as a favorite over the last 3 seasons, winning these games by an average score of 68.4 to 56.2 and 6-0 ATS in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 3 seasons, winning these games by an average score of 68.8 to 58.2. Lay the number.

4* Major NBA Bounce Back GOTM on Nets +3
After going down at home last night to the Cats, I like the Nets to come right back with a win tonight in the second game of this home and home. New Jersey has been a much better road team this season with a 9-4 SU and 10-3 ATS mark. New Jersey has also won 7 of the last 8 games played in Charlotte. The Nets are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog of 0.5-4.5 and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog. Pound the Nets!

5* NCAAB GOTM on UAB +13.5
The Cards have lost 4 straight against the number as they've been overvalued in each, and that is the case again here. Louisville just doesn't start really playing until the conference season starts. The Underdog is a sizzling hot 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings and UAB is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games as an underdog of 13.0 or greater. Take the points.

3* SMASH on Drexel +6.5
Drexel's record is very misleading because of the tough schedule it has played. Playing teams like Georgetown and Memphis will only help Drexel out when it plays teams on its own level like Rider. Drexel won last year's meeting by 7 points and is capable of winning again. We'll take the points.

3* SMASH on Hornets pk
After scoring only 68 points in a blowout loss yesterday, the Hornets will return home looking for revenge. New Orleans is 9-4 at home this season and 3-1 SU and ATS at home against the Rockets the last 3 seasons. NO is 17-6 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons, winning these games by 9.0 points on average. NO is 17-6 ATS after a blowout loss by 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons, 12-2 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons, 12-3 ATS in home games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons and 8-0 ATS in home games after a game where they attempted 10 or less free throws over the last 3 seasons. Take the Hornets!

4* Major Friday Night NBA BEST BET on Bobcats +5
This line has already moved a half-point in our favor as the public continues to fade the 10-19 Bobcats. Bad move! While Charlotte is only 2-9 on the road this season, it is 8-3 ATS in those games, and it is playing a Nets team which is only 5-10 SU and ATS at home on the year. The Bobcats have covered the spread in four of their last 5 and have won 3 of their last 4 SU. New Jersey is only 9-23 ATS in home games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons and 4-13 ATS in home games in December over the last 2 seasons. Odds makers have given the Bobcats too many points again tonight.