3* NCAAB - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Rhode Island/George Washington under 141 -110

The UNDER is definitely worth a look in Saturday's early action out of the A-10 between George Washington and Rhode Island. I just think the total here is way too high for this matchup. The Rams are one of the best defensive teams in the Atlantic 10 and couldn't matchup better with the Colonials. 

George Washington runs basically their entire offense thru the pick and roll and Rhode Island is exceptional at defending that action, ranking 28th best in the country. Rams have also really hit their stride on the defensive side of the ball here of late and are giving up just 64.3 ppg in conference play. The UNDER is 7-3 in their 10 conference games. 

Colonials are also struggling offensively right now. They managed just 47 points at St Bonaventure last time out. A game they were missing starting point guard Armel Potter, who is questionable to play in this one. Prior to that they scored just 54 on the road against Richmond. You need both teams to score to hit a total like this and I just don't see it happening. Take the UNDER! 

3* NBA - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Rockets/Suns under 235½ -109

The UNDER is worth a look here. Books have set a massive number on the total for this one, but I have hard time seeing the pace being there for these two to eclipse the mark. 

Houston is in a massive letdown spot here playing on the second leg of a back-to-back road set after playing last night in LA. A game they won 121-111, which I think only makes it that more likely they don't show up for this one. You also have to factor in they are going to rest Russell Westbrook, as they continue to keep him from playing both games in a back-to-back scenario. 

As for the Suns, they are really hurting with injuries. Aaron Baynes, Dario Saric, Tyler Johnson, Ty Jerome and Cam Johnson are all out for this one. Also, while Phoenix is at home on a day of rest, this figures to be a tired Suns team. As they had to play Sunday at Milwaukee, Monday at Brooklyn and then Wednesday at Detroit. Suns are only scoring 105 ppg over their last 4 games, well below their season mark of 112.5 ppg. 

UNDER has cashed in 5 of the Rockets last 7 on 0 days rest and 5 of their last 7 as a road favorite. UNDER is also 6-1 in the Suns last 7 home games. Take the UNDER! 

4* NBA - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Pistons/Thunder under 217½ -110

I really like the value here with the UNDER between the Pistons and Thunder. This is just too big a number given what Detroit has to work with on the road. The Pistons are without Blake Griffin and Luke Kennard long-term. Derrick Rose, Markieff Morris and Svi Mykhailiuk won't be available for this one.

Detroit also just traded away their best player in Andre Drummond. They did get John Henson and Brandon Knight in the deal, but hard to imagine the suit up here and even if they do it's hard seeing their offense do much of anything. 

Just a couple of games ago we saw Detroit manage just 82 points on the road at Memphis and I would be shocked if they sniffed 100 in this one. UNDER is 9-4 in the Pistons last 13 as a road dog and 4-1 in their last 5 trips to OKC. UNDER is also 4-1 in the last 5 overall for the Thunder. Take the UNDER! 

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Iona +6 

I love the value here with the Gaels as a decently priced road dog against the Bobcats. It hasn't been the easiest of seasons for Iona, as they try to make it work under interim head coach Tra Arnold, but this is just too good a price to pass up. 

Quinnipiac is setting 3rd in the MAAC at 6-4, but they are just 2-4 in league play after starting out 4-0. Most recently losing by 16 on the road at Niagara, who is ranked just slightly higher than the Gaels. 

Bobcats have been a good fade at home off a road loss. They are just 5-15 ATS last 20 at home off a conference road loss and a mere 1-11 ATS in their last 12 at home off a road loss by 10 or points. 

Quinnipiac has also not had much luck against teams that make a living from the 3-point line. Bobcats are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 at home vs teams who average 8 or more made 3-pointers. Take Iona! 

4* NCAAB - Late Night ATS HEAVY HITTER on Santa Clara +3 -115

I really like the value here with the Broncos as a road dog against the Waves. These two teams just played two weeks ago at Santa Clara and it came down to the wire with Pepperdine winning 90-86 in OT. Since 1997 the Broncos are 60% ATSS when revening a same season loss. 

Most might think the Waves are the way with this time the game being played on their home floor. However, Pepperdine is a mere 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games. They are also 2-10 ATS last 12 games as a favorite and 1-7 ATS last 8 as a home favorite. Road team and underdog has covered 4 of the last 5 games in this series. Take Santa Clara! 

3* NBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Bulls +5 -105

The Bulls are worth a look here as a home dog against the Pelicans. The books are absolutely begging you to take New Orleans here, as they are feeding into the Zion Williamson hype. I know Chicago has disappointed and are dealing with some injuries, but they are going to show up with a big effort here. 

Zion has looked great, but the Pelicans are just 3-4 SU and 3-4 ATS in the 7 games since he made his debut. I really think this is a tough spot for them having just recently played at Houston and then at home against the Bucks. Really easy for them to look past a struggling Bulls team on the road. 

Pelicans are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a double-digit loss at home. Chicago in the meantime will be fresh, as they have been off since Sunday and are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 when playing on 3 or more days of rest. Take Chicago! 

4* NCAAB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Middle Tennessee +8½ -110

I like the value here with the Blue Raiders as a near double-digit dog at home against the Mean Green. North Texas just had their 8-game winning streak snapped in an ugly 75-84 loss at Rice as a 8.5-point favorite. Prior to that they struggled to put away a bad UTEP team. I just think it's asking a lot for the Mean Green to win here in blowout fashion. 

Middle Tennessee is just 2-8 in C-USA play, but they have won 2 of their last 3, including a win at UTSA in their last game as a 8-point dog. Blue Raiders haven't been nearly as bad as their conference record and that shows in their 6-4 ATS mark in C-USA play. 

Blue Raiders have gone 4-1 ATS last 5 games as a dog and are 10-2 ATS last 12 off a conference win as a dog of 6 or more. Home team has also covered 8 of the last 10 meetings in the series. Take Middle Tennessee! 

3* NCAAB - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE on Elon +3½ -110

I like the value here with the Phoenix getting points on the road against the Seahawks. I just don't think UNC Wilmington should be favored. They are a mere 2-9 in CAA play and their two wins are both by a mere 2-points. They come in off back-to-back double-digit losses on the road to Townson and most recently at James Madison by 17. 

These two teams played earlier this season and the Phoenix won by 17 at home, which I think speaks for itself in the value with them getting points in the rematch. UNC Wilmington simply can't score. They are last in the CAA in both offensive efficiency and effective field goal percentage. Not to mention they struggle with turnovers and aren't good on the boards. They also are bottom of the pack in defense. 

Seahawks are 1-5 ATS last 6 as a home favorite and 0-7 ATS last 7 at home vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games. Take Elon! 

5* NCAAB - American Athletic PLAY OF THE MONTH on Wichita State -4 -110

I love the value here with the Shockers as a small home favorite against the Bearcats. I just feel like this is too good a price to pass up with Wichita State at home given how motivated the Shockers are going to be off a close 3-point loss at Tulsa. Not to mention Wichita State is 13-1 on their home floor this season. 

Cincinnati has won 4 straight, but 3 of those 4 were at home and the other was at a bad Temple team. We saw these same Bearcats lost by 11 at Memphis on the road. I also think this is a really tough spot for Cincinnati coming off that emotional 64-62 win at home over Houston, where they rallied from 15 down to get the win. 

Bearcats are 1-5 ATS last 6 on the road vs a team that's won more than 60% of their home games and 3-13 ATS last 16 as a road dog. Shockers are 7-3 ATS last 10 off a game where they failed to cover. Take Wichita State! 

3* NCAAB - Over/Under TOTAL DESTROYER on Wisconsin/Minnesota over 124½ -110

The books have completely missed the mark here with the total in Wednesday's Big Ten matchup between Wisconsin and Minnesota. I get the Badgers like to play slow, but there's just too much value with this low total to not take a shot on the OVER. 

Gophers are a different offensive team on their home floor and the OVER is 10-1 in Minnesota's last 11 home games as a favorite of 6 points or less and the average combined score in these games is 149. OVER is also a perfect 6-0 in the Gophers last 6 at home after a game where they scored 60 or fewer points. Take the OVER! 

5* NBA - Northwest Div TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Nuggets/Jazz under 218 -109

I love the value here with the UNDER in Wednesday's NBA matchup that has the Jazz hosting the Nuggets. After losing 4 straight where the defense has not been playing well, I think we are going to get a big time effort from Utah at home in this one. 

One of the reasons the Jazz's defense was slipping was the team was just worn down. They should be refreshed here playing on a full 3 days of rest. Last time out Utah lost 107-124 at Portland as a 8-point favorite and that's worth noting. UNDER is 26-9 in the Jazz's last 35 off a double-digit loss as a favorite of 6 or more. 

Another big thing here is Denver will be playing this game on no rest, as they had to host the Blazers last night. Look for a Nuggets team that ranks 29th in pace to play even slower than normal on no rest. 

UNDER is also 31-9 (78%) last 5 seasons in games where you have a team off 2 or more consecutive road losses in a matchup of two good teams that have won between 60% to 75% of their games. Take the UNDER! 

3* NCAAB - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Western Carolina -5 -105

Easy play here on the Catamounts laying a really short number on the road against Samford. The Bulldogs are simply one of the worst teams in the conference. Samford has lost 8 straight games with each of the last 7 setbacks coming by 7 or more. 

There's a lot the Bulldogs do well. They are 9th in the Southern Conference in offensive efficiency and 10th (last) in effective field goal percentage. They are also 10th in both of these categories on the defensive side of the ball. 

Samford is a mere 2-9 ATS last 11 games vs a team with a winning record, 2-11 ATS last 13 as a dog and 1-9 ATS last 10 after giving up 80 or more in their last game. Catamounts should win and win big. Take Western Carolina! 

4* NBA - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Suns/Pistons under 220 -109

The UNDER is definitely worth a look here between the Pistons and Suns. These are two teams that are really dealing with some big injuries right now. Detroit's been without Blake Griffin and Luke Kennard for a while.

They won't have Derrick Rose or Svi Mykhailiuk for this one and Markieff Morris is questionable. Pistons were in a similar spot in their last game and managed just 82 points on 35% shooting at Memphis a game that saw a combined 178 points with a total of 223.5. 

As for the Suns, Cameron Johnson, Aron Baynes, Tyler Johnson, Ty Jerome, Dario Saric and Frank Kaminsky are all expected to miss this game. Much like the Pistons the Suns struggled to overcome these injuries in their last game, scoring just 97 on the road at Brooklyn, who is far from a good defensive team. Take the UNDER! 

3* NCAAB - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Wofford/VMI over 137½ -115

I really like the value here with the OVER between Wofford and VMI. I think we are getting some value here with the number due to the fact that these two played to a combined score of just 120 in an earlier meeting. 

Thing is both teams shot poorly in that matchup with VMI connecting on just 35% of their attempts and Wofford at 43%. The two also went a combined 15 of 55 from 3-point range. Wofford averages 10 made 3's a game and VMI averages 11, so that was clearly an off night for both teams. Note each of the previous 3 meetings between these two saw a combined score of 166 or more. 

VMI comes in losers of 3 straight and that's a positive here, as the OVER is 16-4 in their last 20 off 3 straight losses and 6-0 in their last 6 at home after 2 or more losses. OVER is also 20-8 in Wofford's last 28 off a conference win by 20 or more and 8-1 in their last 9 off a cover as a double-digit favorite. Take the OVER! 

5* NCAAB - Southern Conf TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Mercer/Furman over 142½ -114

I love the value here with the OVER between Mercer and Furman in Wednesday's action out of the Southern Conference. Both of these teams come into this game clicking on the offensive side of the ball.

The Bears are averaging 78.2 ppg on 53% shooting in their last 5 and the Paladins are averaging 77.6 ppg on 46% shooting in their last 5. 

It's worth noting the spread here, with Furman currently laying 11-points at home. The OVER is 9-2 the last 2 seasons when the Paladins are a home favorite of 10 or more and the average score in these games is 159.9. Take the OVER! 

3* NCAAB - Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Air Force +11 -112

The Falcons are definitely worth a look here as a double-digit road dog at Nevada. This is just way too many points for the Wolf Pack to be laying with how they are playing. Nevada is just 3-5 over their last 8 games and have lost their last two. 

Air Force has lost 4 straight and failed to cover all 4, but that's definitely playing into this favorable price we are getting. Falcons will be extremely motivated here and have had a full week to prepare, having not played since last Tuesday at home against Fresno State. As for Nevada, they were in action on Saturday. 

Air Force is a profitable 28-17-1 ATS when they have an advantage in rest under head coach Dave Pilipovich. Falcons are also 15-7 ATS last 22 games vs a team with a winning record and 7-3 ATS last 10 on the road vs a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Take Air Force! 

3* NBA - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Hornets/Rockets under 224½ -110

I like the value with the UNDER in tonight's NBA matchup that has the Rockets hosting the Hornets. As good as Houston is offensively they are shooting a mere 44% over their last 5 games and figure to have a hard time putting up a big number here. 

Not because the Hornets are a juggernaut on defense, but because Charlotte plays at the slowest pace of any team in the league. Not to mention the Hornets are arguably the worst offensive team in the league right now. Charlotte is shooting 42% from the field in their last 5 and 42% on the road this season. In the Hornets last 10 games the most they have scored in any game is 112 and 7 of the 10 have seen them score 100 or less. 

UNDER has gone 9-3 in Charlotte's last 12 games vs a team with a winning record. UNDER is also 7-2 in Rockets last 9 vs a team with a losing record and 4-0 in their last 4 at home vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games. Take the UNDER! 

4* NCAAB - Sharp Money ATS HEAVY HITTER on Tennessee +6 -110

I like the value here with the Volunteers as a decently priced road dog against the Crimson Tide. Alabama went on that ridiculous 12-game ATS run and I think it simply has them overvalued right now. Tide have failed to cover each of their last 3 games. 

During this stretch they only won by 3 at home against K-State as a 9.5-point favorite, lost by 14 at LSU as a mere 3-point dog and most recently lost by 4 as a 3.5-point home favorite against Arkansas. 

Big reason things have gone south for Alabama is injuries. I think the loss of Herb Jones is huge as he was one of their top defenders. Without him they let the Razorbacks shoot 48% from the field and while Tennessee has lost 3 straight they have shot the ball well. Vols are shooting 48% from the field in their last 5 games. 

Tennessee is a profitable 36-18 ATS off 2 straight conference losses, while Alabama is a mere 2-10 ATS last 12 when they come in having failed to cover 3 of their last 4. Take Tennessee! 

5* NCAAB - SEC TOTAL PLAY OF THE MONTH on Auburn/Arkansas over 143 -115

We should have no problem cashing the OVER in tonight's big SEC showdown between Arkansas and No. 11 Auburn. These are not only two of the top offenses in the SEC, but both of these teams like to play fast. Razorbacks are 3rd in the SEC in tempo and Auburn is 5th. 

Auburn comes in having scored 74 or more in 4 straight games and have done so in each of their last two games despite shooting worse than 38% from the field. Arkansas has scored 70 or more in each of their last 4 and 7 of their last 8 overall. Razorbacks are also giving up 75 ppg over their last 5. Last time they were at home they allowed 79 points on 50% shooting to South Carolina. 

OVER is 5-1 in Arkansas' last 6 as a home favorite and 40-22 in Auburn's last 62 on the road against top tier teams that are outscoring opponents by 8+ ppg at least 15 games into the season. Take the OVER! 

5* NCAAB - Big Sky PLAY OF THE MONTH on Northern Arizona -1 -110

I love the value here with the Lumberjacks at basically a pick'em on their home floor against the Eagles. I get Eastern Washington is sitting on top the Big Sky right now, but Northern Arizona is rolling right now. Lumberjacks have won 5 straight and are a strong 7-2 at home this season. 

Speaking of playing at home, this will be the 4th straight home game for the Lumberjacks, which is huge this time of year. As for the Eagles, they just played at Sacramento State on Saturday and will be back on the road with just 1 day of rest. 

Another thing here is Eastern Washington has not defended the 3-point line very well and this Northern Arizona team can light you up from deep. They are averaging 9 made 3's on their home floor and are shooting 39% from behind the 3-point line at home. 

Lumberjacks are also 8-1 ATS last 9 vs a team with a winning record, including a 6-1 ATS mark in their last 7 at home vs a team with a winning road record. Take Northern Arizona! 

4* NBA - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Wizards -5½ -105

I really like the value here with Washington laying what I feel is a short number at home against the Warriors. I think we are getting such a great number with the Wizards due to the Warriors coming in off a 131-112 win at Cleveland, but you can't read anything into that win with how bad the Cavs are playing right now. 

Prior to that win the Warriors had gone just 1-15 in their previous 16 with 12 of those 15 losses coming by more than the number here. I get Washington doesn't have that much better of a record than Golden State, but they are 11-11 at home and the Warriors are 4-22 on the road. Wizards also come in having won two straight and covered 5 of their last 7. 

Golden State is also just 9-21 ATS last 30 off a win by 15 or more and 2-9 ATS off a win as a road dog (0-3 this season). Take Washington! 

5* NBA - Over/Under VEGAS INSIDER Top Play on Nuggets/Pistons under 216 -110

I really like the value here with the UNDER in Sunday's NBA matchup between the Nuggets and Pistons. I just don't see either one of these offenses being in sync with this early start time. The game is tipping off at 12:30 EST, which means it's going to feel like playing at 10:30 am for the Nuggets. 

This also figures to be a tired Denver team, who just finished up a back-to-back Thursday/Friday at Milwaukee after a game at home against Utah the night before. Detroit could only manage 92 points on 35% shooting at home against the Raptors in their last game and it doesn't figure to be much better for them in this one. 

UNDER is 15-5 in the Nuggets last 20 games against a team with a losing record in the 2nd half of the season and 4-1 in their last 5 on the road. Take the UNDER! 

4* NCAAB - Late Night ATS CASH COW on Hawaii -6 -109

I like the value here with the Rainbow Warriors at home against CS-Northridge. Hawaii is at a huge advantage here, as they get ready to play their 4th straight at home. Rainbow Warriors haven't had to leave their island in over two weeks. They have also won each of those last 3 at home. 

The Matadores have been hit or miss of late, as they have alternated wins and losses since a 3-game winning streak around the new year holiday. They come in off a win at home over UC-Santa Barbara, but lost their previous game at Fullerton. 

While Hawaii hasn't had to leave home, Northridge will be playing their 5th road game in their last 7 games overall. Take Hawaii! 

3* NBA - Late Night ATS DOMINATOR on Kings +6 -105

The Kings are definitely worth a look here as a decently priced home dog against the Lakers. I think a lot of people thought LA was going to come out and light the world on fire in their first game since the tragic death of Kobe Bryant, but instead they lost 119-127 at home to the Blazers as a 13-point favorite. 

I just think it's going to take some time for the Lakers to get back in the groove of things and it's really hard to see them playing well in this spot. LA will be on no rest and even more so off the emotional night that was centered around Kobe. I could see LA not showing up at all for this game. Sacramento on the other hand is going to be motivated for a shot at beating the Lakers and it wouldn't surprise me at all if they won outright. Take Sacramento! 

3* NCAAB - Prime Time ATS MONEYMAKER on Clemson -1 -110

I really like the value here with the Tigers at basically a pick'em at home against the Demon Deacons. Clemson is coming off a big time 71-70 win at home over Syracuse a game the Tigers can get a lot of confidence from. Orange had really been playing well coming into that game and Clemson won despite a poor effort from their best player in Aamir Simms. 

Look for the Tigers to have their way here against a struggling Wake Forest team. Demon Deacons have lost 6 of 7 with their only win against BC at home. While Clemson only won by 3 at home over WF in an earlier meeting, they shot 50% from the field and it really should have been a much bigger blowout. 

Tigers are 23-10 ATS last 33 vs a team with a losing record and 8-2 ATS last 10 off a SU win. Road team has also covered 5 of the last 7 and the favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last 6. Take Clemson! 

3* NCAAB - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Arkansas State -2 -110

I like the value here with the Red Wolves at basically a pick'em at home against the Chanticleers. This is just too good a price to pass up with Arkansas State. Red Wolves are off a home loss to Appalachian State, but had won 3 straight prior to the setback. 

Coastal Carolina is the perfect team for them to get back on track against. Chanticleers have lost 4 straight, three of those at home. The most recent was on the road Thursday at Little Rock and they got annihilated by 17. Hard to see them showing up with the kind of effort needed to win this game on just 1 day of rest. 

Coastal Carolina is 1-6 ATS last 7 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games and the Red Wolves are 10-1 ATS last 11 off a SU loss and 6-1 ATS last 7 as a home favorite. Take Arkansas State! 

4* NCAAB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on San Jose State -3½ -109

I really like the value here with the Spartans as a small home favorite against the Cowboys. San Jose State has lost 4 of 5 and fresh off a 26-point blowout loss at Boise State. It might make you think they are a team to avoid, but Wyoming is a team they should honestly be favored by more against. 

Cowboys have lost 8 straight and all but one of those came by fewer than 9 points, so it's not like they are close to winning. Wyoming is 0-10 in Mountain West play and for them to be favored by this little on the road is a bit of a joke. 

Spartans have covered 4 of their last 5 at home and are a perfect 6-0 ATS last 6 off a game where they failed to cover. Take San Jose State! 

4* NCAAB - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on George Mason/St Bonaventure under 132½ -109

I like the value with the UNDER quite a bit in Saturday's action out of the Atlantic 10, which has St. Bonaventure hosting George Mason. The Bonnies snapped their 3-game losing streak with a 62-55 win at Fordham. St Bonaventure limited the Rams to just 33% shooting and I look for them to carry over that strong defensive effort here at home against the Patriots. 

It also helps that George Mason's offense is in a bit of a slump. They have shot 38% or worse from the field in each of their last 3 games and last time on the road they managed just 53 at Davidson, who ranks near the bottom of the league in defensive efficiency. 

UNDER is 11-3 in St Bonaventure's last 14 home games and 10-2 in their last 12 as a home favorite. Take the UNDER! 

5* NCAAB - MAC GAME OF THE MONTH on Miami-OH +4½ -109

I love the value here with the Redhawks as a small road dog against the Huskies. Miami (OH) had their game on Tuesday postponed, which means they haven't been in action since last Saturday. That should work out as a big positive for the Redhawks in this one, especially with Northern Illinois playing on just 3 days of rest. 

Huskies are also a team that has had a real hard time playing up to their potential against lesser opponents. Northern Illinois is a mere 1-6 ATS last 7 games vs a team with a losing record. They have also failed to cover 5 of their last 6 as a favorite. 

Adding even more value here is how the dog has owned this series, cashing a winning ticket in 17 of the last 21 meetings between these two teams. Take Miami (OH)! 

4* NCAAB - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE on NC State +3½ -110

The Wolfpack are definitely worth a look here as a home dog against the Cardinals. The fact that NC State is only a 3.5-point dog really says it all, as the books know the public is going to pound No. 6 ranked Louisville in this one. Cardinals have won 7 straight, while the Wolfpack have lost their last two. 

Thing is, while Louisville's last two wins have both come in blowout fashion, their previous 4 games were all decided by 6-points or less, including a mere 3-point win at Notre Dame and a OT win at Pitt. Two teams that I think NC State is better than. 

Wolfpack are coming off a shocking 10-point loss at home to a struggling UNC team, but you have to think some of that was them looking ahead to this game. They are 12-5-1 ATS last 18 off a double-digit loss at home and have gone a dominant 6-1 ATS in their last 7 as a home dog. Home team has also covered 5 straight in the series. Take NC State! 

4* NCAAB - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Drexel/Delaware under 141½ -110

I like the value here with the UNDER in Saturday's CAA action that has Drexel visiting Delaware. Drexel is your ideal team for a low scoring game. The Dragons really struggle to score offensively, but are sound on the defensive side of the ball. 

So even if there defense slips like it has in their last two games, they don't figure to score enough to push it over the mark. Drexel only managed 59 last time out at Hofstra and 52 the game before at Northeastern. As for Delaware, they like to play fast, but are only averaging 72.8 ppg in their last 5. 

I just don't see these two combining for more than 140 points. UNDER has cashed in 7 of their last 9 road games and is 7-3 in their last 10 as a road dog. Take the UNDER! 

4* NCAAB - Early Bird ATS NO-BRAINER on Villanova -6 -109

Easy play here on the Wildcats laying what I feel is a very favorable number at home against the Bluejays. Villanova is rolling right now, as they come in having won 7 straight. Hard to see them slowing down at home, where they are a perfect 10-0 this season, including 5-0 at home in Big East play. 

Creighton comes in having won 3 straight, but are just 3-4 away from home. Even more important is how the Bluejays have not been able to crack the code of Jay Wright and Villanova. Wildcats are 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings. That includes a 6-point win at Creighton earlier this season and Villanova won that game shooting just 38% from the field. 

Wildcats are 31-15 ATS last 46 as a home favorite and the Bluejays are a mere 12-25 ATS last 37 as an underdog. Take Villanova! 

4* NBA - Situational ATS HEAVY HITTER on Bucks -9½ -109

Easy play here on Milwaukee at home against the Nuggets. This is an absolutely brutal spot on the road for Denver. The Nuggets were able to rally to take down the Jazz 106-100 last night in a nationally televised game on TNT. Denver really laid it all on the line in that one and had to given how short-handed they are right now with all the injuries they are dealing with. 

A lot easier to overcome those injuries at home and Utah looks to be running out of gas here of late after their crazy run. I just don't see the Nuggets have anything close to what will be needed to keep this game close against a Bucks team that is playing their 2nd straight at home and on a full 2 days of rest. 

Denver is 2-7 ATS last 9 games when playing on 0 days of rest and 3-7-2 ATS last 12 on the road vs a team with a winning home record. They have also failed to cover 4 of their last 5 off a win. Take Milwaukee! 

5* NCAAB - MAAC PLAY OF THE MONTH on Quinnipiac/Canisius under 149 -112

I love the value here with the UNDER in Friday's action out of the MAAC. This is a really big number for these two to get to. Canisius likes to play fast, which I think is playing into the high total, but they are just 10th out 11 in offensive efficiency in the MAAC and will be up against a Quinnipiac defense that is 2nd in the conference in effective field goal defense. 

Canisius also comes into this game in poor form. In their last two games they have scored 66 points on 43% shooting at Iona and just 55 points on 40% shooting at Fairfield. Quinnipiac has scored 61 points or fewer in 3 of their last 4, including a mere 61 last time out on the road against a bad Siena defense. 

UNDER is 11-4 in Quinnipiac's last 15 road games vs a team with a winning home record and 7-3 in their last 10 games overall. Take the UNDER! 

4* NCAAB - Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Oregon State +7 -110

I really like the value here with the Beavers as a near double-digit dog against the Cardinal. I get Oregon State comes in having lost and failed to cover each of their last 4 games, but I think that's why we are getting such a great number with the Beavers in this matchup. 

Stanford started out Pac-12 play with 4 straight wins, but I think a lot of that had to do with a favorable schedule to start out league play. They have since lost back-to-back on the road to USC and most recently rival Cal. 

Cardinal are just 1-4 ATS last 5 off a SU loss. Oregon State is 10-4 ATS last 14 off a double-digit loss at home and 6-2 ATS last 8 as a road dog. Road team has also covered 5 of the last 6 in the series. Take Oregon State! 

3* NCAAB - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on CS-Fullerton/Cal Poly over 131½ -109

The OVER is definitely worth a look between CS-Fullerton and Cal Poly. This is a really low number for how good the Titans have been on the offensive side of the ball in their last two games. Fullerton followed up a 78-point outburst at Cal Davis with 82 at home against CS-Northridge. 

They got a great shot here to stay hot against a slumping Mustangs defense. Cal Poly allowed 97 on 54% shooting at CS-Riverside and then allowed 74 on 48% shooting at UC-Irvine. All we really need here is for the Titans to get to 70, as they are allowing 71 ppg in league play. 

OVER is 8-1 in Fullerton's last 9 vs a team with a losing record. It's also 6-0 in Cal Poly's last 6 vs a team with a losing record and 4-0 in their last 4 at home after playing 3 straight on the road. Take the OVER! 

4* NCAAB - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on South Dakota/Denver over 149 -110

Easy play on the OVER in tonight's Summit League action that has South Dakota visiting Denver. These are two of the fastest paced teams in the league with the Coyotes ranking 3rd in tempo and the Pioneers 2nd. 

South Dakota is absolutely lighting it up on the offensive end right now. The Coyotes have scored 83 or more in each of their last 3 and 80 or more in 5 of their last 6. Hard to see them not getting to 80 in this one. Denver is giving up 78 ppg in conference play. 

South Dakota's defense is also allowing a lot, as they are giving up 76 ppg in Summit action and have allowed 80 or more in 3 of their last 5. OVER is 10-4 in the Coyotes last 14 road games. It's also 13-3 in Pioneers last 16 as a home dog and 6-0 in their last 6 at home vs a team with a losing road record. Take the OVER! 

3* NBA - No Doubt ATS DESTROYER on Hawks +7½ -110

I like the value here with the Hawks as a decently priced home dog against the 76ers. I just think we are getting a great price here with Atlanta due to the fact that Philadelphia has won 6 of their last 7. They are just 4-3 ATS in this stretch and only one of those covers was on the road in a 6-point win as a 2-point favorite at Brooklyn. 

Fading the 76ers away from home is definitely a wise move. Philadelphia is just 9-15 SU and 9-14 ATS on the road this season. They have been especially bad against the spread away from home here of late, going just 1-8 ATS in their last 9. 

76ers will also play this one without Al Horford, which is a big blow with Embiid not 100% yet back from injury and is on a minutes restriction. Take Atlanta! 

5* NCAAB - Colonial Athletic PLAY OF THE MONTH on College of Charleston -5½ -110

Love the value here with the Cougars laying what I think is a really small number on the road against a bad James Madison team. I believe the value with Charleston stems from their recent run that's saw them go 1-3 in their last 4 and fail to cover 5 straight. 

Two of those losses were by 3-points or less and they should have no problem bouncing back with a convincing win against the Dukes. James Madison is just 1-8 in league play. They have lost 6 straight and are 0-5-1 ATS in this stretch. Each of their last 4 setbacks have come by at least 7 points. 

Going on the road after playing their last few at home has been a huge buy on spot for Charleston, as the Cougars are 5-0 ATS last 5 on the road after playing 3 straight at home. Dukes are 7-19 ATS last 26 as a dog and have failed to cover 7 straight games vs a team with a winning record. Take Charleston! 

3* NCAAB - Vegas Oddsmakers ERROR on La Salle +4 -110

I really like the value here with the Explorers as a home dog against the Billikens. I just think we are getting a great price here on La Salle due to the fact that they come in having lost 5 straight. Thing is 3 of the 5 were on the road and one of the home games was against VCU. 

St Louis has won 4 of 6, but they continue to be overvalued by the books. The Billikens are just 2-6 ATS over their last 8 games. They have failed to cover 5 of their last 7 when laying points and are just 1-7 ATS after holding their previous opponent to less than 50 (allowed 39 to Fordham). Explorers are 5-2 ATS last 7 as a home dog and 4-0 ATS last 4 off a double-digit loss at home (lost 76-65 to VCU). Take La Salle! 

3* NBA - Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR Pacers -9 -109

I got no problem laying the big number with the Pacers at home against the Bulls. Chicago comes in off a big 110-109 home win over the Spurs, but that came as no surprise. San Antonio was without big man LaMarcus Aldridge and were in a brutal spot playing on no rest after being forced to play the day before in an emotional affair against the Raptors following the news of Kobe's death. 

I just don't see Chicago having what it takes to keep this game close. Bulls are absolutely decimated with injuries right now and Indiana is getting back their best player in Victor Oladipo. I know Oladipo's impact will likely be limited early on, but I think his return gives this Pacers team a big shot in the arm. Bulls have also gone just 8-15 on the road and the Pacers are 17-5 at home. Chicago has failed miserably when facing top tier teams and this will be no different. Take Indiana! 

3* NCAAB - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on George Washington +5½ -109

Easy play here on the Colonials as a home dog against Davidson. While the Wildcats have won and covered 3 straight, the last two were at home and the other was on the road against a bad Fordham team. I think this recent stretch has Davidson back to being overvalued, especially on the road where they are just 4-8 SU and 3-9 ATS. 

George Washington has been a covering machine of late. The Colonials have cashed a winning ticket in 5 of their last 6 games and are 3-1 in their last 4, with two outright wins as a dog. The big thing to note is this surge for GW has coincided with the move to insert freshman Chase Paar into the starting lineup. He's been a difference maker and it should have the Colonials continuing to show value the rest of the way. Take George Washington! 

5* NCAAB A-10 PLAY OF THE MONTH  on Duquesne +9 -110

Love the value here with the Dukes as a near double-digit home dog against the Flyers. Dayton comes in at 7-0 in A-10 play and have won 9 straight overall and it simply has the Flyers laying way to big a number on the road against a Duquesne team that is not only capable of covering but winning this game outright. 

The Dukes come in having lost their last two, both on the road. The first was understandable at Rhode Island, but losing at UMass really looks bad. You just have to factor in the spot. Playing on just two days of rest in back-to-back road games in a major lookahead spot with this game on deck. Duquesne is a perfect 8-0 at home this season and have gone 4-1-1 ATS last 6 at home vs a team that's won more than 60% of their road games. Take Duquesne! 

5* NBA - Western Conference PLAY OF THE MONTH on Suns +7½ -105

I love the value here with Phoenix catching a big number against the Mavs tonight. This is just a really tough spot for Dallas, who were in action last night at Oklahoma City, which concluded a really tough 3-game road trip that started in Portland and also had them playing at Utah Saturday. 

They were able to knock off OKC last night 107-97, but caught a big break with Chris Paul not playing and they got a big lookahead game on Thursday at Houston. It's really asking a lot of Dallas to be at their best in this one. 

Suns can be a dangerous team when they are on and it will definitely help matters that they have been off since Sunday. Phoenix has also been a good bet away from home when getting points. Suns are 5-1 ATS last 6 on the road as an underdog. They are also 8-2 ATS last 10 meetings in the series with a 5-1 ATS mark in their last 6 games at Dallas. Take Phoenix! 

4* NCAAB - Situational ATS HEAVY HITTER on St. John's +3½ -109

I really the value here with the Red Storm catching points at home. St John's comes in with a mere 2-6 mark in Big East play, but it's not as bad as it looks. Their 4 conference road games, all losses, have come against Xavier, Georgetown, Providence and Marquette. They also have home losses to Butler and Seton Hall, but could have easily won both, losing by 2 to the Bulldogs and by 3 to the Pirates. 

St John's definitely has what it takes to win outright and I think that's why the books are begging the public to lay the short number with Villanova. Red Storm have won 2 of the last 3 meetings and I think they are catching the Wildcats in a good spot, playing on just 2 days of rest after a big road win at Providence. 

Plus, Villanova is likely to be down one of their better players in Jermaine Samuels, which is a big blow as they are a much better team with him on the floor than not. St John's is also 9-3-1 ATS at home this season and are 6-1 ATS last 7 as a home dog. Wildcats are 3-9-1 ATS last 13 on the road and just 2-6-1 ATS last 9 as a road favorite. Take St John's! 

4* NCAAB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Iowa -5½ -110

I really like the value here with Iowa laying what I feel is a short number at home against the Badgers. Hawkeyes are 9-1 at home this season and haven't lost at home since early November. They have been outstanding at home in Big Ten play, knocking off Minnesota, Maryland Michigan and Rutgers. 

Wisconsin really has a hard time on the road for a couple of reasons. The biggest being they don't shoot the ball nearly as well, especially from the outside and they don't defend the outside shot. That's a recipe for disaster with this Iowa team. It's also a lot harder to get teams to play at your pace on the road. Another big problem against the Hawkeyes who are tops in the Big Ten in tempo. 

Wisconsin also isn't great on the boards. They had just 16 rebounds in their 19-point loss at Purdue. Iowa is the No. 1 offensive rebounding team in the Big Ten, so even when the shots aren't falling, Hawkeyes figure to get multiple chances to put the ball in the basket. 

Add in Iowa has been off since Wednesday and will be playing just their second game in 10 days and I just think it adds up to an easy win and cover for the home team. Take Iowa! 

5* NBA - Southeast Division PLAY OF THE MONTH on Heat -5 -109

Easy play here on Miami laying a short number at home against the Magic. The Heat are dealing with some injuries right now, which is keeping this line a lot lower than it should be.

Butler, Dragic and Nunn are all questionable to play. Dragic and Nunn were held out of their last game, a 117-122 loss at home to the Clippers, while Butler hurt his ankle and wasn't able to return. I think there's a good chance Dragic and/or Nunn return for this one, but even if they don't it's hard to not like Miami in this one. 

That's because the Heat are a ridiculous 20-2 at home this season and to only lose by 5 without all those guys against the Clippers says a lot about the depth of this team. Miami hasn't played since Friday and are 9-1 this season on 2 days of rest. 

Magic are also in a really tough spot. Orlando had to play an emotional game yesterday at home against the Clippers after the news of Kobe Bryants death. This team has gone just 1-6 on no rest this season and there's an added challenge here with how tough it was to play yesterday's game given the horrific news. Take Miami! 

5* NBA - Non-Conference TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Raptors/Spurs under 223 -109

Love the value here with the UNDER in Sunday's afternoon showdown between the Spurs and Raptors. I just think both of these teams are going to be looking to slow things down a bit. Toronto is playing their second straight on the road and 4th away from home in their last 5 overall. It's also the Raptors 6th game in the last 10 days. 

Spurs will be playing their second straight at home, but prior to that were on the road for 6 of 8 games and they are also on little rest with this being their 5th game in 8 days. 

You also have two teams that have been playing well and I think both will bring the defensive intensity in this one. There's just also something about playing on Sunday. UNDER is 3-0-1 in the Raptors last 4 on Sunday and 6-1 in the Spurs last 7. 

These two teams also played recently, as the just faced off in Toronto on Jan. 12th. That game only saw a combined score of 209. Spurs really did a good job of slowing the game down and making the Raptors play at their pace, something they should be able to do even more at home. Take the UNDER! 

3* NCAAB - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Loyola-Chicago/Northern Iowa under 131 -109

I really like the value here with the UNDER between Loyola-Chicago and Northern Iowa. This is a big time matchup in the MVC. The Ramblers are currently sitting on top the conference at 6-1, but the Panthers are right on their heels at 5-2 and can essentially take over the top spot with a win here, as they would own the tie-breaker. 

I just think we are going to get the best of both teams on the defensive side of the ball. Loyola-Chicago is the best defensive team in the MVC and also the slowest in terms of tempo. It's why the UNDER has cashed in all 7 of their conference games. Only once have they allowed a MVC opponent to top 58 points. 

UNI is one of the better offensive teams, but the two best defensive teams in the conference behind the Ramblers are Southern Illinois and Indiana State. Panthers had just 68 points at home against the Sycamores and 66 at the Salukis. 

UNDER is 13-3-1 in Loyola's last 17 games as a road dog and 4-1 in the Panthers last 5 vs a team with a winning record. Take the UNDER! 

3* NCAAB - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Vanderbilt/South Carolina under 142 -109

The books have completely missed the mark with the total they have set for Saturday's SEC matchup between Vanderbilt and South Carolina. These are two of the worst offensive teams in the conference. The Gamecocks rank 11th in offensive efficiency and the Commodores are dead last at 14th. No surprise given how they struggle to generate easy baskets. SC is 12th in 2-point field goal percentage and Vandy is 11th. 

The one area where the Gamecocks have done well offensively is shoot the 3, as they are 3rd in 3-point field percentage. Just so happens that's one of the few things that the Commodores defend well, as they are 4th in the SEC in 3-point field goal defense. 

UNDER is 20-8 in Vanderbilt's last 28 as an underdog and 8-0 in their last 8 vs a team with a winning record. UNDER is also 6-0 in the Commodores last 6 off 2 straight loss by 10 or more and 7-0 in their last 7 after scoring 65 points or less in 3 straight games. Take the UNDER! 

3* NBA - Vegas ATS Line Mistake on Mavs +5 -105

I like the value here with Dallas as a decently priced road dog against the Jazz. Utah has been unbelievable of late, winning 18 of their last 20, but it's not as good a run as you might think. Only two of those 18 wins have come against teams with a winning record. 

Dallas did suffer a big blow with the loss of Dwight Powell, but they have recently got back one of their best players in Kristaps Porzingis and when he's been healthy this has looked like one of the best teams in the Western Conference. 

Another big factor here is how well the Mavs play away from home, as they are 13-5-1 (72%) ATS away from home and have covered the line on the road by an average of 7.5 points/game. Mavs are also 8-0 ATS last 8 road games after scoring 105 or more in 3 straight games. Take Dallas! 

3* NCAAB - Vegas ATS Line MISTAKE on Ohio +5½ -109

Easy play here on the Bobcats as a decently priced home dog against the Zips. While Ohio is just 2-4 in MAC play, this young Bobcats team has been in every game and there's no reason to think they don't have a shot of winning this outright. 

I get Akron has won and covered 5 of their last 6 games, but a bunch of those have come against the bottom half of the conference. I just think the Zips could be a little full of themselves right now and also being asked to cover an inflated number. 

Bobcats have been outstanding in this spot, covering 9 of their last 10 as a home dog of 3.5 to 6 points and winning by an average of 2-points/game. Take Ohio! 

4* NCAAB - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Clemson/Louisville over 127½ -109

The OVER is definitely worth a look here between Clemson and Louisville. I'm not expecting a shootout by any means, but these two should easily surpass this low number. Only once in Louisville's 8 conference games have they combined for fewer than the total for this game and that was a home game against Pitt back in early December. 

It's a similar story with Clemson, who has had just one of their last six conference games fail to reach 139 points. With how Louisville likes to attack in transition and the Tigers willingness to let teams shoot from deep (Cardinals hitting 38% from deep), I see them flirting with 70 points and I think Clemson can definitely keep pace. 

OVER has cashed in 5 of the Tigers last 6 overall and is 25-12 in their last 37 as a road dog. OVER is also 5-1-1 in Louisville's last 7 home games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games. Take the OVER! 

5* NCAAB ACC ATS PLAY OF THE MONTH on Clemson +11 -110

I love the value here with the Tigers catching double-digits against Louisville. The Cardinals come in having won 5 straight and that's definitely playing into this inflated number. What gets overlooked in their winning streak, is that 4 of the 5 wins have come by 6 or fewer points, including a mere 4-point win at home last time out against Georgia Tech as a 13-point favorite. 

Clemson failed to cover in a 71-68 win at home against Wake Forest in their last game, but the Tigers had covered each of their previous 4 games, including a 79-72 home win over Duke as a 10.5-point dog. 

Tigers are 8-2 ATS last 10 games as an underdog and have covered 4 of their last 5 vs a team with a winning record. Cardinals are just 1-4 ATS last 5 at home vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games and 1-3-1 ATS last 5 as a favorite. Not to mention the underdog has covered 4 of the last 5 in the series. Take Clemson! 

4* NCAAB - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Villanova/Providence over 136½ -109

I'll gladly take my chances here with the OVER in Saturday's Big East showdown between Providence and Villanova. The Wildcats have got their offensive act together of late in conference play, as they are averaging 78.3 ppg in their last 3 Big East games. 

Hard to see them slowing down against a Friars defense that has really struggled against the top teams in the Big East, as they allowed 70 points on 56% shooting to Butler at home and 73 points on 58% shooting at Seton Hall last time out. 

Key here is I think we see Providence snap out of their recent offensive funk, which has seen them shoot under 40% in each of their last 4 games. While Villanova's defense was great last time out at home against Butler, they let UConn shoot 49% and DePaul to connect on 48% in their previous two games. 

Friars last two were also on the road and that's worth noting as the OVER is 37-16 last 53 after 2 straight road games and 16-6 in their last 22 off 2 straight road losses. OVER is also 68-45 in Villanova's last 113 games as a road favorite and 55-32 last 87 road games off a conference win by 10 or more. Take the OVER! 

4* NBA - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Pelicans -3½ -109

Easy play here on the Pelicans laying a short number at home against the short-handed Nuggets. New Orleans failed to deliver in Zion Williamson's debut Wednesday against the Spurs and it just looked like the Pelicans were a bit out of sorts with all the hype around that game. San Antonio is also not a team you want to face in that spot, especially with how well they have been playing. 

We saw New Orleans priced very similarly in that game and I just think there's value in this matchup against Denver. Pelicans should only get better going forward and the minutes restriction for Zion should keep increasing. 

Nuggets are decimated right now. Paul Millsap, Mason Plumlee and Jamal Murray are all out. Plus, you got both Gary Harris and Michael Porter Jr. listed as question. Not to mention this is Denver's 3rd straight on the road with a big rematch on deck at home against the Rockets looming Sunday. Take New Orleans! 

3* NBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Magic -1 -105

Orlando is definitely worth a look here at basically a pick'em on their home floor against the Celtics. Books are begging you to take Boston here at this price, especially with the Celtics coming off two massive blowouts, as they followed up a 139-107 win over the Lakers with a 119-95 win against Memphis. 

Key here is the Celtics are likely going to be down a few key pieces. We know Enes Kanter won't be available and both Jaylen Brown and Jayson Tatum are questionable to play. Orlando is always a tough to team to get up for and the Magic play well at home. They really get after you defensively and like to slow the game way down. 

With a big matchup looming on Sunday at New Orleans against Zion and the Pelicans, I think we see Boston go through the motions here and drop a game they probably shouldn't. Take Orlando! 

5* NCAAB - MAC TOTAL PLAY OF THE MONTH on Kent State/Buffalo under 156 -110

I absolutely love the value here with the UNDER in Friday's massive total in the MAC between Buffalo and Kent State. No question these are two of the better offensive teams in the MAC, but this is just too many points. 

Both of these teams rank in the Top 6 in defensive efficiency in the MAC and Kent State is one of the few teams that can slow down Buffalo. Bulls are not a great 3-point shooting team. They are No. 1 in the MAC in 2-pt percentage, yet 11th in 3-pt percentage. That plays right into the Golden Flashes defense, which is No. 2 in the conference in 2-pt percentage defense. 

Bulls are coming off back-to-back high scoring games, as they had 86 in a win at Central Michigan and then 90 at home against Western Michigan. That's important to note as the UNDER is a perfect 7-0 in their last 7 home games after two straight games where they scored 85 or more. UNDER is also 6-0 in their last 6 at home off 4 or more consecutive wins. Take the UNDER! 

3* NCAAB - Late Night ATS ANNIHILATOR  on Idaho State +6 -109

I like the value here with the Bengals as a decently priced home dog against the Grizzlies. Most will be running to the ticket window to back Montana here, as they sit on top the Big Sky with a 6-1 record, but I think this is a really tough spot for them on the road against a hungry Idaho State team. 

Bengals have already knocked off one of the top teams in the Big Sky at home, defeating Eastern Washington 75-69 as a similarly priced 7.5 point dog. Idaho State is also a great bet when getting points. Bengals are 8-3-1 ATS last 12 games as a dog. They have also covered 6 of their last 9 vs a team with a winning record. Montana is also 4-14 ATS last 18 off a home win and just 2-9 ATS at home off a conference win. Take Idaho State! 

4* NCAAB - Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Grand Canyon -2 -117

The Antelopes are worth a look here as a small home favorite against Seattle. Grand Canyon is coming into this one riding a wave of momentum off back-to-back road wins over Chicago State and UMKC. 

Completely different vibe for the Redhawks coming into this one. Seattle just had their 3-game losing streak snapped in a crushing 67-75 loss at home to New Mexico State, where they were down just 2 with 2 minutes to go. 

Redhawks are also a mere 1-7 ATS last 8 games when listed as a dog and have failed to cover 4 straight when getting points on the road. Take Grand Canyon!

4* NCAAB - Sharp Money ATS HEAVY HITTER on Tenn-Martin +8 -109

The Skyhawks are definitely worth a look here as a near double-digit road dog against the Panthers. There's just no reason Eastern Illinois should be laying this kind of number. Both of these teams are bad. Panthers are 2-4 in OVC play and the Skyhawks are 1-5. 

Thing is Tennessee-Martin is the much better offensive team and should have a big edge at the free throw line, as they ranked 3rd in the conference in free throw rate, while the Panthers are 10th. I just don't see Eastern Illinois being able to pull away enough here to cover this big number and wouldn't be completely shocked if they lost outright. 

Panthers are just 2-6 ATS last 8 at home vs a team with a losing road record and just 1-6 ATS last 7 overall. Take Tennessee-Martin! 

4* NCAAB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Utah +1½ -111

I really like the value here with Utah as a home dog against the Huskies. Washington has not been the same team since losing point guard Quade Green and this couldn't be a much better spot to buy low on Utah. 

Utes comes in having lost 5 of 6 since that big upset win over Kentucky, including a 1-4 start to Pac-12 play, but it's not as bad as it looks. Their 5 losses have come against the likes of San Diego St, Oregon, Colorado, Arizona and Arizona State. The only one of those defeats at home was a mere 5-point loss to a really good Oregon team. In their win they beat Oregon State by 12 and I wouldn't be shocked at all if they won here by double-digits. 

Utes are 35-17 ATS last 51 at home after 2 or more losses in a row and 16-5 ATS last 21 after failing to cover 3 straight. Take Utah! 

4* NBA - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Wizards/Cavs under 232 -110

I really like the UNDER in tonight's NBA matchup between the Cavs and Wizards. Washington is a team that finds themselves in a lot of high scoring games, but this will not be one of them. Wizards aren't going to have much gas in the tank for this one, as they just played last night in Miami in a game that went to OT. 

Cleveland won't have any problem playing this game at a slower pace, as they come in ranked 23rd in the league in pace of play. Cavs won't have Brandon Knight for this game, which is a big positive for their defense, as is the expected return of John Henson. Last time out Cleveland scored just 86 points against the Knicks in a game that saw a combined score of 192 with a total of 222.5. 

UNDER is 5-0 in Washington's last 5 games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games and 7-1 in the Cavs last 8 when playing on 2 days of rest. Take the UNDER! 

5* NCAAB - C-USA PLAY OF THE WEEK on Florida Atlantic +4 -109

I love the value here with the Owls as a road dog against the 49ers. I'm confident FAU will not only cover, but win this game outright. Charlotte is simply overvalued right now. The 49ers come in at 4-2 in C-USA play, but all 4 wins have come against teams who are 3-3 or worse in league play. Their only game so far against a team in the top half of the standings was a game at WKU and they got annihilated by a score of 80-63. 

FAU is definitely going to be up for this game after losing one they shouldn't have at home against UAB on Saturday. Owls have not lost back-to-back games since dropping two in a row in early November to Miami and Alabama. They also have a nice scheduling edge, playing on 4 days of rest, while Charlotte is on just 2 days of rest and just played two in a row on the road. 

Owls are 13-6 ATS last 19 off a loss, 5-1 ATS last 6 road games against a team with a winning home record and a perfect 6-0 ATS last 2 seasons as a road dog of 6 points or less. Take FAU! 

4* NCAAB - Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on UNLV +5 -105

UNLV is definitely worth a look here as a decently priced road dog against the Wolf Pack. The Rebels are on fire right now, as they come in having won 3 straight and 7 of their last 8 overall. Their 6-1 mark in the MWC trails only undefeated San Diego State and is two games clear of the next best team. 

While UNLV is surging, Nevada comes in having lost 3 of their last 4 with their only win in this stretch coming by a single point at home against a Wyoming team that has not won a conference game to this point. 

Rebels also just aren't just winning close games. They are dominating. All 7 wins during their 7-1 run have come by at least 9 points and last time out whooped NEw Mexico 99-78 at home. That's worth noting as the Rebels are 18-7 ATS last 25 on the road after a blowout win by 20 or more. Take UNLV! 

4* NBA - Late Night VEGAS INSIDER on Jazz/Warriors under 218½ -110

The UNDER is definitely worth a look in tonight's NBA matchup that has the Warriors hosting the Jazz. Golden State is coming off a game at Portland where they put up 124 points and combined for 253. I just think it has the total here a lot higher than it should be. 

Warriors have only eclipsed 110 points twice in their last 10 games and will have a hard time coming anywhere close to that against a good Utah defense that just held the Pacers to 88 points at home in their last game. 

UNDER is 14-5 in the Warriors last 19 as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 points, 22-9 in their last 31 at home after going over the total in their last game and 12-2 in their last 14 home games after a contest with a combined score of 245 or more points. Take the UNDER! 

4* NBA - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Grizzlies/Celtics under 232½ -110

I really like the value here with the UNDER in tonight's NBA matchup between the Celtics and Grizzlies. Boston will be without one of their top players, as Jaylen Brown has been ruled out with an ankle injury. That's a big loss for a Celtics team that is likely to suffer some kind of letdown after that big win over the Lakers on Monday. 

In terms of a letdown, I think we see a little slower pace and more focus on the defensive end for Boston, who I think will find some motivation here trying to slow down a red-hot Memphis offense that has a ridiculous streak going of scoring 110 or more points in 14 straight games. 

I'm not saying this won't be a high-scoring game, I just don't think it eclipses the high total set by the books. UNDER is 4-1 in Boston's last 5 after a game where they scored 125 or more and 7-3 in the Grizzlies last 10 after giving up 125 or more in their last game. Take the UNDER! 

4* NCAAB - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Drake/Evansville under 134 -109

I really like the value here with the UNDER in Wednesday's Missouri Valley action that has Drake vistining Evansville. This is just too many points given the circumstances. 

For one, Drake is not near the offensive team on the road as they are at home. In 3 conference road games the Bulldogs are averaging just 60.7 ppg, a drastic difference from their average of 76.0 ppg in 3 conference home games. Not to mention they are coming in just 2 days removed from a horrific offensive showing at Southern Illinois, where they scored just 49 points on 36% shooting. 

As for the Purple Aces, they have statistically been the worst offense in the MVC and it's not even close. Evansville ranks last in offensive efficiency at 81.8 (next worst is 89.5) and effective field goal percentage at 42.5 (next worst is 46.4). 

On top of that, Purple Aces just fired head coach Walter McCarty and replaced him with Todd Lickliter, who in his days as the head coach of Iowa and Butler deployed some of the slowest paced teams in the country (9 years never higher than 316th in tempo). 

It's also worth noting that Drake is favored in this matchup, as the UNDER is 10-3 in their last 13 as a road favorite and 5-0 in Evansville's last 5 as a dog. Take the UNDER! 

5* NCAAB - Big East GAME OF THE MONTH on Georgetown +5½ -109

I love the value here with the Hoyas as a decently priced road dog against the Musketeers. Most will simply back the Musketeers here assuming they are due to breakout of their recent slump, which has seem them lose 3 straight and 4 of 5 since opening the season 11-2. 

I just don't think Xavier is playing well enough right now to be laying this kind of number against a quality Georgetown team. One that has performed extremely well on the road under head coach Patrick Ewing, going 16-10 (62%) ATS. 

Last time out Georgetown was done in by a crazy good night from Marquette's star guard Markus Howard, who scored 42 of the their 84 points. Hoyas did more than enough offensively in that game, scoring 80 on 50.8% shooting. 

Georgetown really had no answer for Howard and the pick and roll action Marquette was using. It should be a lot easier defensively in this one. Xavier barely runs any pick and roll and likes to work it inside, which plays right into the strength of the Hoyas defense. 

Playing at home has also not been a positive for the Musketeers, who are just 1-8 ATS last 9 games at the Cintas Center. Take Georgetown! 

5* NCAAB ACC Total PLAY OF THE MONTH on Miami-FL/Duke over 149½ -109

I love the value with the OVER in Tuesday's ACC matchup that has Duke hosting Miami. These two teams already played once this season and that game finished with a combined score of 157 as the Blue Devils won 95-62. 

I wouldn't be shocked at all if Duke put up 100 in this one. They have scored 88 or more 3 times in ACC play and are going to be 100% locked in for this one after losing their last two games. No team has been better in the ACC in finishing at the rim and Miami's allowing teams to convert on 64.5% of their shots at the ri, which is the 310th worst mark in the country. 

I would be shocked if Duke didn't score at least 90 in this one, which means we only need Miami to eclipse 60 to cash a winner. I think they easily do that. Hurricanes just shot 47% and scored 79 points against a good FSU defense in their last game and the Blue Devils defense has really been exposed in their last two games, giving up 57% shooting to Clemson and 48% to Louisville at home.

OVER is 15-6 in Miami's last 21 vs a team with a winning record and 15-5 in Duke's last 20 vs a team with a winning record. Take the OVER! 

3* NBA - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Clippers/Mavs under 233½ -110

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER in Tuesday's only NBA action that has the Mavs hosting the Clippers. In the only previous meeting between these two they combined for just 213 points with a total of 225. Both defenses were really good, as both sides shot under 43% from the field. 

I think we get a big effect defensively from both teams knowing that a lot of eyes will be on this one. Also, both teams are going to be well-rested, as LA hasn't played since Saturday and Dallas since Friday. 

It's also worth noting that Dallas is favored, which adds some value. UNDER is 8-1 this season when the Clippers are listed as an underdog and a perfect 7-0 when they are a road dog. UNDER is also 8-1 in LA's last 9 vs a top tier team that's outscoring teams by 6+ points/game. Take the UNDER! 

3* NCAAB - Vegas ATS Line MISTAKE  on TCU +3 -109

TCU is definitely worth a look here as a home dog against Texas Tech. Good spot to fade the Red Raiders, who come in having won two straight and are fresh off a 72-52 blowout win at home against Iowa State. Texas Tech's offense doesn't travel all that well and they could have a really tough time not looking ahead to Saturday's huge showdown at home against nationally ranked Kentucky. 

As for the Horned Frogs they are in a big bounce back spot after losing their last two on the road. TCU had started out 3-0 in Big 12 play and are 2-0 at home inside conference action. No question they are going to give everything they have against one of their several in-state rivals. 

It's been a wise move fading Tech in this spot. Red Raiders are just 3-7 ATS last 10 as a favorite, 2-5 ATS last 7 off a win and 1-5 ATS last 6 on the road vs a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Take TCU! 

5* NBA - Non-Conference PLAY OF THE MONTH on Celtics +2½ -110

I love this spot and price with Boston as a home dog against the Lakers. Celtics do have both Kemba Walker and Jaylen Brown listed as questionable, but I think there's a good shot both guys could play here. Walker missed Boston's last game with a sore knee, but played 38 minutes and scored 40 points against the Bucks on Thursday (didn't leave the game). Brown has missed the last two with a sprained thumb. 

Lakers also have a big name on the injury report, as Anthony Davis is also questionable. I think it's less likely Davis goes, as he's missed the last 5 (listed as questionable for all 5). Davis was not part of team workouts yesterday, so it's hard seeing them just throwing him out there for this game. 

This is also a huge game for Boston, not only because it's against Lebron and the Lakers, but they are desperate for a win after losing their last 3. Hard to bet against them as a home dog. Celtics are 16-5 at home, 41-25 ATS last 3 seasons as a dog and 12-3 ATS last 15 as a home dog. Take Boston! 

4* NCAAB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Virginia -4 -110

This is just too good a price to pass up with the Cavaliers at home against NC State. Virginia was able to snap a 3-game skid with a 63-58 win and cover at Georgia Tech on Saturday. They will take that momentum into this game and look to build on their 8-2 mark at home. 

NC State comes in having won two straight, but both of those wins came on their home floor against middle of the pack teams in the ACC in Clemson and Miami. Wolfpack are just 2-4 away from home this season and have lost each of their last 3 on the road, most recently falling by 14 at Virginia Tech. 

Another big thing to note is NC State is really banged up right now. Their top two big men (Manny Bates and Pat Andree) both had to leave their last game with injuries. Andree figures to be a huge long shot to play and Bates is 50/50. C.J. Bryce is also just in his 3rd game back from missing action. 

Virginia's Tony Bennett has won all 3 meetings over NC State head coach Kevin Keatts, including a 68-51 victory in last year's home matchup with the Wolfpack. Another thing to note is the Wolfpack like to play fast an teams that push the pace often struggle against Virginia's methodical approach. Cavaliers are 15-5 ATS last 20 times vs an uptempo team that averages 62 or more shots/game. Take Virginia! 

5* NCAAB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on West Virginia -8 -115

I love the value here with the Mountaineers laying single-digits at home against the Longhorns, as I got West Virginia winning here by 10+ rather easily. Great spot to jump on the Mountaineers off a loss at K-State over the weekend.

In their previous two games off a loss this season they have covered with ease the next time out, beating Austin Peay by 31 as a 15-point favorite and Oklahoma State by 13 on the road as a Pick'em. 

Not only is the spot great, but so is the matchup. Bob Huggins' teams are always good at offensive rebounding and this year's team is elite in that department, ranking 3rd in the country. Texas is 287th in allowing offensive boards. 

Another thing to keep in mind is you a Texas team that isn't very deep playing on the road on just 1 day of rest after laying it all on the line against Kansas at home on Saturday, a game they lost after leading by 5 at the half.  

Longhorns are also 0-5 ATS last 5 games vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Mountaineers are 7-0 ATS last 7 off a loss, 4-0 ATS last 4 as a home favorite and 5-0 ATS last 5 vs a team with a winning record. Take West Virginia! 

4* NBA - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Bulls/Bucks under 226½ -109

I really like the value with the UNDER in Monday's Central Division clash between the Bulls and Bucks. These two teams are very familiar with one another and will be meeting for the 4th time this season. After combining for 239 points in the first matchup, the last two have gone for 225 or less. 

I just have a hard time seeing these two eclipse the mark set for this one. Milwaukee's one of the best defensive teams in the league and Chicago's offense has had it's struggles against better teams, especially on the road. 

One thing the Bulls do well that should help this stay under is play solid transition defense. Chicago ranks 8th in defensive transition defense. They also defend spot up shooting, which is where Milwaukee's offense really thrives. 

It's also important to note the Bucks come in off a 117-97 win at Brooklyn, as the UNDER is 13-3 in Milwaukee's last 16 home games off a road win by 10 or more and a perfect 8-0 if that win was by 20 or more. Take the UNDER! 

3* BEST BET on Heat PK -110

Analysis will be posted shortly

5* NCAAB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Rutgers -5½ -110

Love the value here with the Scarlet Knights laying what I feel is a short number at home given just how dominant they have been at home, as well as Big Ten teams in general. Rutgers is a perfect 12-0 at home this season, which includes a 3-0 mark in conference play, having beat Wisconsin by 7, Penn State by 11 and Indiana by 9. They also have a 20-point home win over a really good Seton Hall team. 

Big 10 teams as a whole are now 41-7 (85.4%) SU on the season, which is by far the best home winning percentage of any conference. Minnesota definitely fits the mold. The Gophers are 10-2 at home this season compared to 1-5 on the road. Minnesota is 4-0  at home in Big Ten play with wins over Ohio State, Northwestern, Michigan and Penn State. They are 0-3 on the road with a 20-point loss at Iowa, 5-point loss at Purdue and a 16-point loss at Michigan State. 

Rutgers defense should be the key factor here. Scarlet Knights are No. 1 in Big 10 play in both defensive efficiency and effective field goal defense. Gophers offense is averaging 57.3 ppg in regulation in Big Ten road games compared to 77.8 ppg at home in conference action. Take Rutgers! 

4* NBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Thunder -6 -110

Easy play here on OKC as a home favorite against the Blazers. Great spot here to take the Thunder after a couple of ugly home losses to the Raptors and Heat in their last two games. The defense just wasn't there in those two losses, but those are also two of the better offensive teams in the league. 

Both teams will be in the second leg of a back-to-back, but OKC has a huge edge here as they have had zero travel playing their 3rd straight at home. Portland on the other hand is playing their 3rd straight on the road, as they were in Dallas last night after playing at Houston on Wednesday. Blazers are just 1-3-1 ATS last 5 times on 0 days of rest, while OKC is a perfect 6-0 ATS on no rest this season covering by almost 9 points/game. 

Portland could also be dealing with yet another injury, as C.J. McCollum had to leave (did not return) last night's game against the Mavs with an ankle injury. Hard to believe he plays here. He's a huge loss, as he's averaging 21.5 ppg and one of the Blazers best 3-point shooters. Take Oklahoma City! 

4* NCAAB - Late Night ATS HEAVY HITTER on Oakland +1½ -109

I really like the value here with the Bears at basically a pick'em on the road against the Panthers. Both of these teams come in at 3-3 in Horizon play, but Oakland is the better team. Bears rank 205 in KenPom, compared to Milwaukee at 247th. While the Panthers are at home, they have lost 3 times on their home floor, including an ugly loss at home to Detroit last time out, where they let a 4-15 team with one of the worst offenses in the Horizon to put up 90 points. 

Defense has really been a problem for Milwaukee of late, as they have allowed 74 or more 8 of their last 9 games. The only exception coming against Illinois-Chicago, who has the worst offense in the Horizon. 

Oakland won 89-73 in the most recent meeting between these two at Milwaukee in February of last year. That win and cover by the Bears improved the road team to a perfect 8-0 ATS in the last 8 meetings in the series. Also Panthers are 0-5 ATS last 5 times they have been listed as a home favorite, while the Bears are 6-0-1 ATS last 7 on the road. Take Oakland! 

4* NBA - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Bucks -9 -110

I don't think the recent return of Kyrie Irving will be enough to help Brooklyn keep this within single-digits on their home floor against the Bucks. Nets won Irving's first game back at home against the Hawks, but Atlanta wa down their best player in Trae Young. In the following two games they were beat by 11 at home by Utah and by 11 on the road against the 76ers. 

Keep in mind this team wasn't exactly playing great when Irving was healthy early in the year, if anything they were playing better without him. Now you got Kyrie calling out his own teammates after their recent loss. For as great a talent as he is, he's simply not a great teammate and they need to have to have all hands on deck to simply keep this close against an elite Bucks team. 

Bucks are 15-4 ATS this season when listed as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points and 19-5 ATS last 24 as a road favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. Take Milwaukee! 

5* NCAAB - Mountain West PLAY OF THE MONTH on UNLV -4½ -110

I absolutely love the value here with the Rebels as a small home favorite against the Lobos. New Mexico comes in at 15-4, which is quite a bit better record than UNLV, who is just 10-9. Thing is the Rebels have really turned a corner of late. They 6-1 SU in their last 7 games and have started out 5-1 in MWC play. 

New Mexico is 4-2 in league play, but have really played a soft conference schedule to this point. They also just got blitzed 105-72 at Colorado State a few days ago. UNLV is simply playing the better basketball of the two in conference play. Rebels have the No. 3 best offense in the MWC from an efficiency standpoint and New Mexico is No. 5. On defense UNLV is No. 3 in defensive efficiency and No. 2 in effective field goal defense. Lobos are No. 8 and No. 10 in those two departments. 

Another thing is the Lobos are an easy fade under Paul Weir when playing on the road. They are just 8-21 (28%) ATS under Weir away from home, including a 4-13 ATS mark the last two seasons. Rebels are 4-1 ATS last 5 at home and have covered 7 of their last 10 at home when laying points. Take UNLV. 

3* NCAAB - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Arkansas -1½ -109

The Razorbacks are definitely worth a look here as a small home favorite against the Wildcats. All you have to really look at here is the fact that you have an unranked Arkansas team laying points against a Kentucky team that is ranked No. 10 in the country. Not to mention you know the public will be enticed to bet the Wildcats here off a loss. 

While Kentucky had done a decent job of protecting the ball in non-conference, they currently have the 8th worst turnover rate in the SEC and just coughed it up 15 times in their last game at South Carolina, which they lost 78-81. Arkansas knows a thing or two about forcing turnovers, as they are No. 2 in the SEC in defensive turnover rate and 42nd overall. 

Arkansas has yet to lose on their home floor this season, going a perfect 10-0. In fact, Razorbacks are dangerously close to being undefeated, as their two losses have been an OT setback against Western Kentucky and a 2-point loss at LSU. 

Also while Kentucky is No. 10 in the polls, they rank 24th in KenPom and the Razorbacks are No. 25. This line is not as far off as you might think. Take Arkansas! 

3* NCAAB - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR  on St. Mary's/Pepperdine under 147 -115

I think we are getting some great value here with the UNDER in Saturday's West Coast matchup that has St. Mary's visiting Pepperdine. While the Gaels are averaging 80.2 ppg and giving up 79.0 ppg in league play, those numbers are skewed quite a bit from a 4-OT game at Pacific that ended up seeing 206 combined points after the two had only combined for 128 in regulation (64-64). 

The only game they have really played that was a shootout was against BYU, who has an even better offense than the Gaels. Pepperdine is just middle of the pack offensively, but are in the Top 5 defensively and are only allowing teams to shoot 44% from the field in WCC play. 

It's also worth noting St Mary's is coming off an upset loss at home to Santa Clara, as the UNDER is a perfect 9-0 in the Gaels last 9 road games off an upset loss as a home favorite. Take the UNDER! 

3* NCAAB - Over/Under Total DOMINATOR on Colorado State/Air Force under 150½ -115

I just think there's too much value here with the UNDER in Saturday's Mountain West clash between Colorado State and Air Force. I just think we are seeing an inflated number with the Rams off a game at home against New Mexico, where they put up 105 points. 

Thing is Colorado State had a near perfect night from the floor, as they shot 59% from the field going a ridiculous 19 of 28 from 3-point range. Note we saw them have similar strong showing at home against Doane, where they put up 87 on 54% and the next time out managed just 61 points on 38% shooting at Nevada. 

Air Force is not an easy place to play and if they don't light it up it's going to be really hard for these two to eclipse the high mark set for this game. UNDER is 5-1 in the Falcons last 6 at home vs a team with a winning road record and 19-8 in the Rams last 27 on the road after a game where they shot 55% or better from the field. Take the UNDER! 

4* NCAAB - Vegas No Limit DOG OF THE WEEK on Texas +8 -109

I really like the value here with the Longhorns as a near double-digit dog at home against the Jayhawks. I get KU is one of the top teams in the country and fresh off a 14-point win at Oklahoma, but it's asking a lot for them to blowout a team like the Longhorns, who are such a tough team to beat at home.

Texas is 8-1 at home this season and are really locking down on defense at home, where they are giving up just 59.9 ppg and holding teams to 40% from the field and 31% from deep. I think that defense will be enough to keep them in this game. Keep in mind the Jayhawks aren't exactly going off on the offensive end, as they are averaging just 66.4 ppg over their last 5. 

Also fading KU on the road in Saturday games has been a very profitable move, as they are just 1-9 ATS over the last 2 seasons in this spot. Longhorns are also a great team to back as a home dog, cashing 28 of the last 41 tickets in this spot. Take Texas! 

4* NCAAB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on William & Mary -3 -105

The Tribe are worth a look here as a small road favorite against the Dragons. William & Mary is absolutely rolling into this matchup. The Tribe have won 6 straight with 4 of the 6 wins coming on the road. They have also covered each of their last 5, including a big 77-68 road win at Delaware as a 1.5-point dog last time out. 

I just don't think Drexel will have an answer for Nathan Knight, who is one of the better players you probably haven't heard of. Knight is averaging 20.3 ppg and 10.6 rpg and can not only get easy baskets inside, but can knock down the 3-point shot. 

As for the Dragons offense, they rank 8th in the CAA in offensive efficiency and 9th in effective field goal percentage (William & Mary is No. 1 in both). I just don't see Drexel being able to keep pace with the Tribe in this one. Take William & Mary! 

3* NCAAB - Vegas ATS Line MISTAKE on Butler -3½ -108

The Bulldogs are worth a look here as a short road favorite against the Blue Demons. There were a ton of people singing the praises of DePaul during their 12-1 start to the season, which included wins over the likes of Iowa, Minnesota and Texas Tech. 

Blue Demons simply haven't been able to carry over that success into Big East play, as they have started out 0-4, most recently suffering a crushing OT loss at Villanova on Tuesday. DePaul has already lost twice at home and is facing a Butler team who is 6-1 on the road with their only road loss being a mere 1-point setback at current No. 2 ranked Baylor. 

Another key factor here is we know we are going to get a huge effort from the Bulldogs coming off an upset loss at home to Seton Hall. Butler is 5-0 ATS last 5 off a game where they failed to cover and are 6-1 ATS last 7 on the road vs a team with a winning home record. Take Butler! 

4* NCAAB - Early Bird ATS DESTROYER  on Oklahoma State +7½ -105

I really like the value here with the Cowboys as a big home dog against the Bears. We are seeing a huge overreaction to the line in this game due to the fact that Baylor is both 4-0 SU and 4-0 ATS in Big 12 play, while Oklahoma State is 0-4 SU and 0-4 ATS to open up conference play. 

No question the Bears are the better team, but this just feels like a spot they will struggle to play in. Baylor just played 4 really good teams in a row in Texas, Texas Tech, Kansas and Iowa State and could find it hard to get up on the road against a team they know they are better than. 

As for Oklahoma State, you can bank on a max effort here at home from the Cowboys. Not only will there be plenty of motivation playing the No. 2 team in the country, but this team desperately wants to get that first conference win. 

Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points who are off a home win and have won more than 80% of their games are just 27-62 (30%) ATS over the last 5 seasons if playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%). Cowboys have also covered 7 of their last 9 games when listed as a dog and the underdog is 5-1-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in the series. Take Oklahoma State! 

5* NCAAB - Big Ten TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Michigan/Iowa under 148 -109

It will be extremely difficult for many to take the UNDER in this one, as these two teams combined for 194 points in a meeting at Michigan back in early December. However, I think there's a ton of value with the UNDER at the current price. 

What you got to keep in mind is that these two teams are going to have a much better idea of how to stop the other team in the rematch and both teams have to be a bit worn down given the gauntlet of Big Ten play. 

One thing that really stands out to me is how much Michigan's offense has struggled in true road games this season. THey have played 4 games on an opponents court and in this 4 games have scored 43, 62, 69 and 67 points. Not to mention

Iowa is a much better defensive team at home, Hawkeyes are allowing 63.2 ppg at home. Hawks have played just two home games in Big Ten PLay and in those games have held Minnesota to 52 points and Maryland to 49. Their game against the Gophers ended with just 124 points with a total of 147 and against the Terps the combined for just 116 with a total of 174. Take the UNDER! 

4* NBA - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Hawks/Spurs under 230½ -109

I really like the value here with the UNDER in Friday's NBA matchup that has the Spurs hosting the Hawks. I know Atlanta's defense is one of the worst in the league and San Antonio's isn't much better, but I just don't see the pace being at the point needed to eclipse this total. 

While the Hawks will be on two days rest, I still think they are going to be a bit fatigued for this one. Atlanta was at Washington last Friday, had to play at Brooklyn two days later and then were back home on just 1 day of rest against the Suns. 

As for the Spurs, they are going to be playing on just 1 day of rest after a grueling 4-game road trip that had them go from Boston to Memphis to Toronto and finally end up in Miami. 

UNDER is 5-0 in the Hawks last 5 road games. It's also 8-2 in the Spurs last 10 home games off a road trip of 7 or more days and 6-0 in their last 6 vs a team with a losing record. UNDER is also 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in this series. Take the UNDER! 

3* NCAAB - Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR  on Michigan State -8 -109

I got no problem laying the big number with Sparty at home against Wisconsin. This is a massive play on spot for Michigan State, who is coming off their worst showing of the season in Sunday's 42-71 loss at Purdue. Not to make excuses, but that's a Boilermakers team that is much better than their 10-7 record. Purdue has played the 14th toughest schedule in the country and actually rank No. 17 per KenPom. 

Not to take anything away from a good Wisconsin team, but they are just in the wrong place at the wrong time against a superior opponent. Not to mention the struggles the Badgers have had against the Spartans. Michigan State has won each of the last 7 meetings overall and have won each of their last 5 home games against Wisconsin by double-digits. 

Laying a big number with the Spartans at home is also not a bad thing. Michigan State is 8-1 ATS last 9 times they have been a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. As for Wisconsin and their recent strong play, now is the time to jump ship. Badgers are just 3-11 ATS last 3 seasons when they come in having won 6/7 of their last 8 games. Take Michigan State! 

3* NCAAB - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Rider -4½ -109

The Broncs are definitely worth a look here as a short road favorite against the Purple Eagles. Niagara is just 4-11 on the season and have just one win over a team ranked inside the Top 240 and that was a OT win against Colgate back in early December. 

I just don't think they have the ability to keep this close even at home. Rider is arguably the best team in the MAAC, despite their mere 3-2 start in league play. They are the only team in the conference ranked (No. 184) inside the Top 200 of KenPom. 

Big thing here is how these two teams matchup. Broncs are going to have a huge size advantage in this one, as Niagara is the smallest team in the country. They rank 353 out of 353 in average height at 74.5". This should allow for a lot of easy looks for a Rider team ranks tops in the league in offensive efficiency. It should also result in a huge edge in both rebounds and free throws. 

Also Niagara is in a big fade spot off a 70-69 upset win at Iona, where they shot lights out from deep (15 of 26). Purple Eagles are 7-18 ATS last 25 after a game where they shot 50% or better from deep and 0-7 ATS last 7 off a road win by 3 or less. Take Rider! 

4* NCAAB - Late Night ATS HEAVY HITTER on CS-Northridge +5 -110

I really like the value here with the Matadors as a decently priced road dog against UC-Riverside. I think a big part of this value stems from how bad CS-Northridge looked in their last game, which saw them get rolled 74-56 as a 6-point favorite at Cal Poly. 

That was just a bad night all around. Matadors had one of their worst shooting nights of the season, going 19 of 53 (35.8%) from the field. That's just a true indicator of this team, which had shot 54% or better in each of their previous 3 games. 

Matadors are 5-1 ATS last 6 off a loss, 5-1 ATS last 6 as a road dog and 8-3 ATS last 11 overall. Road team has also covered in 13 of the last 16 meetings in the series with the underdog cashing each of the last 4 matchups. Take CS-Northridge! 

4* NCAAB - Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Pacific -4 -109

I got no problem laying the short number on the road with Pacific as they take on Portland in Thursday's late night action. The Tigers are coming off a 75-79 loss at home to San Francisco. A game 

Head coach Damon Stoudamire had this to say after the loss. “We can’t learn a lesson. To me, they thoroughly dominated us for 40 minutes. We got outplayed, we got outcoached. There is no lesson to learn. I think that the biggest thing is we got to compete harder.” I mean if they apparently play that bad and only lose by 4 that's saying something. 

I like the Tigers to bounce back in a big way here against the Pilots. Portland has been the worst defensive team in the WCC to start the year ranking dead last in defensive efficiency and effective field goal percentage. Pacific is 4th in defensive efficiency and 1st in effective field goal percentage. That defensive edge will be the difference here. Take Pacific! 

5* NCAAB - Ohio Valley GAME OF THE MONTH on Eastern Kentucky +20½ -110

I absolutely love the value here with the Colonels as a massive road dog against the Bruins. I get there's a big difference in the overall record of these two teams, but simply put Eastern Kentucky has been a different team in conference play. The Colonels are sitting at 3-1 and have really got things figured out on offense of late. They are averaging 75.0 ppg in league play. 

Belmont has won 3 straight after opening up conference play with a loss at home to SIU Edwardsville as a 23-point favorite. They do have a couple of blowout wins by 20+ points against E Illinois and SE Missouri State, but those two teams are also a combined 0-8 in league play. 

Eastern Kentucky is one of the better defensive teams in the conference, like to slow things down and limit possessions and are great at taking care of the basketball. All things that should help them easily keep this within the number. Take Eastern Kentucky! 

3* NBA - Vegas ODDSMAKERS ERROR on Bucks -9 -109

I got no problem here laying a big number with Milwaukee at home against the Celtics in Thursday's big NBA matchup on TNT. Boston simply is not playing great right now. Celtics have lost 4 of 6, including an inexcusable 103-116 setback at home against Detroit last night. 

I just don't think they can flip a switch here, especially playing on no rest and their 3rd game in 4 days overall. Not to mention Boston could be down to of their best players, as both Jaylen Brown and Jayson Tatum are listed as questionable. 

Bucks are also 19-2 at home, where they are winning by an average of 14.3 ppg and this is one they are going to be highly motivated to get after losing by double-digits at Boston earlier this season. Take Milwaukee! 

4* NCAAB - Over/Under Total DESTROYER  on North Texas/Southern Miss under 133 -110

I really like the value with the UNDER in this one. North Texas has the best offense in C-USA and will be facing a Southern Miss defense that ranks at the bottom of the conference, giving up 78.5 ppg in league play. I just think that has the total inflated to where there's value on the UNDER. 

Big thing to note is that the Mean Green are not nearly as potent on the road. North Texas is averaging 70.6 ppg on 47.4% shooting overall, but just 61.4 ppg and 42.7% on the road. Southern Miss is also an awful offensive team, scoring just 58.2 ppg in conference play and will be facing a Mean Green defense that has held 3 of their 4 conference opponents to fewer than 65 points. 

UNDER is 25-12 in North Texas' last 37 road games after 3 or more consecutive wins and 10-2 in their last 12 on the road after going OVER the total in their previous game. Take the UNDER! 

4* NCAAB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Texas State -4½ -109

The Bobcats are worth a look here as a small road favorite against the Warhawks. While Texas State is just 3-4 in Sun Belt play, they are actually the No. 2 ranked team in the Conference per KenPom behind only Georgia State. Of their 4 conference losses, 3 have come on the road against the 3 teams tied on top the standings in Georgia Southern, Georgia State and Little Rock. 

ULM on the other hand is tied for the worst mark in the conference at 2-5 and more than anything this is just not a good matchup for the Warhawks. ULM wants to get the majority of their offense inside, and Texas State is really tough to score on inside. 

Two other advantages that figure to go a long way in favor of the Bobcats is free throw shooting and turnovers. Texas State gets to the foul line 23 times a game and is shooting 75% from the charity line. UML only gets to the line 18 times and is shooting 67.8%. Warhawks also have the 3rd worst turnover rate in the SB and Bobcats are second best in forcing turnovers. Take Texas State! 

3* NCAAB - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Southern Illinois/Loyola-Chicago over 117½ -109

There's no denying that these are two of the better defensive teams in the Missouri Valley, but I just think we are seeing a ridiculously low total due to the fact that the UNDER has been so good for both teams of late. UNDER has cashed in 7 straight for Southern Illinois and 5 straight for the Ramblers. 

Loyola-Chicago is No. 3 in the MVC in both offensive efficiency and effective field goal percentage, so it's not like they can't score. Ramblers are scoring almost 75 ppg at home and that's exactly how many they had last year when they hosted the Salukis, which saw a combined score of 125. 

It's also worth noting that Loyola is fresh off a 78-44 blowout win over Evansville at home as a 13.5-point favorite, as the OVER is a dominant 13-3 in their last 16 off a cover as a double-digit favorite.  OVER is also a perfect 7-0 in Southern Illinois' last 7 road games when facing a team that is shooting 48% or better from the field. Take the OVER 117.5!