3* NBA Money Line MASSACRE on Suns -

I just really like this spot for Phoenix coming out of the All-Star break against another bad team in the Cavs. I just see the Suns being extremely motivated here to get a win after losing 15 straight going into the break. 

Cleveland is a mere 5-13 ATS in their 18 games against a team from the Western Conference this season and a miserable 14-37 ATS in their last 51 home games vs a team with a losing road record. On the flip side of this, the Suns are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 on the road against a team with a losing home record. Take Phoenix! 

4* NBA Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Heat +

Philadelphia is getting way too much respect in the first game back from the All-Star break, especially given the 76ers will be playing without All-Star big man Joel Embiid, who is out at least a week with a sore knee. Not only will Philadelphia being playing short-handed, but it wouldn't be a huge shock to see this team come out flat in the first game back. 

As for the Heat, they are currently tied for the 8th and final playoff spot in the East. This is a game they should be extremely motivated to play, especially given they will be getting back their star point guard in Goran Dragic. It's also worth noting Miami is a rare team that's actually been better on the road than they have at home. Heat are 15-14 on the road and just 11-16 at home. No surprise they are 18-11 ATS in those 29 road games. 

Going back even further, we see that the Heat are 32-19 ATS in their last 51 as a road underdog. Take Miami! 

5* NCAAB Small Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on James Madison +

This is way too many points for the Dukes to be catching on the road against the Huskies. Northeastern is simply overvalued right now due to the fact that they come in having gone 9-2 over their last 11 games. They started out this run by going 7-1 ATS, but the books have adjusted big time and they come in having failed to cover 3 straight, including a mere 12-point win as a 17-point home favorite over Elon. 

These two teams played once already at James Madison and the Dukes held their own in a 10-point loss. James Madison comes in off back-to-back wins and are 3-1 ATS over their last 4 games. They have shot 51% or better in all 3 of those covers and Northeastern has allowed Charleston to shoot 48% and UNC-Wilmington to hit 49% in their last 2 games. 

Dukes have also covered 20 of their last 27 on the road against teams like the Huskies who are good 3-point shooting teams (average 8 or more made 3-pointers/game). The road team is also a dominant 11-4 ATS in the last 15 meetings in the series. Take James Madison! 

3* NCAAB Rivalry (UNC/Duke) NO-BRAINER  on Duke -

I'm laying the big number here with the Blue Devils at home. I got nothing but respect for Roy Williams and the Tar Heels, but I just think Duke is head and shoulders the best team in the ACC. Usually the Blue Devils would be the public play, but with how much people like UNC and how well they have been playing, the public will be heavy on the Tar Heels. 

I just don't think North Carolina has the fire-power to keep this game within single-digits. Duke knows they are a great team and because of that they are going to have some closer than expected games against bad teams. Simply because they don't give their opponent the respect they deserve. That's not going to be the case here. This is every bit a statement game for the Blue Devils as it is the Tar Heels. 

Last time out Duke beat NC State 94-78, but failed to cover as a 17-point favorite. That's fine by me, as the Blue Devils are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 off a home win by 10 or more and 6-0 ATS last 6 off a home win where they won but failed to cover. Take Duke! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Northwestern +

Ohio State has no business laying this many points against Northwestern. The Wildcats are simply way undervalued right now because they have lost 6 straight. Most people just focus on the wins and losses and simply ignore that they have had some really tough losses during this stretch, including an excruciating 80-79 loss at Iowa and a 3-point defeat the next time out against Rutgers. 

I'm not saying the losing streak will come to an end against the Buckeyes, but it certainly wouldn't surprise me to see Northwestern win here. Ohio State is 4-8 SU and 3-9 ATS over their last 12 games. All 4 of those wins coming against bad team and 2 of those were by 4-points or less. Last time they were at home they lost 63-56 as a 8-point favorite against Illinois and the time before that they barely beat Penn State by 4 as a 7-point favorite. 

Buckeyes are just a mere 4-11 ATS in their last 15 home games overall, while the Wildcats are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 road games when they come in having lost 8 or more of their previous 10 games. Take Northwestern! 

3* NCAAB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Nebraska +

I think this is the ideal spot to jump on Nebraska as a small road dog against Penn State.  Most are going to want nothing to do with the Cornhuskers given their 2019 slide, but they finally are playing with some confidence. Nebraska followed up a much-needed win at home over Minnesota with a 9-point victory over Northwestern. 

As good as this spot may look For Penn State, were talking about a team that has won a mere 2 Big Ten games all season and lost outright the two previous times they were laying points at home. First it was a 7-point loss to Iowa as a 3.5-point favorite, then it was a 4-point setback as a 6.5-point favorite against Rutgers. 

Cornhuskers are 13-4 ATS last 17 off a conference win, 7-1 ATS last 8 off a home win and 9-1 ATS last 10 after a game where they held an opponent to 55 points or less. Take Nebraska! 

4* NCAAB Big 12 GAME OF THE WEEK on Oklahoma State +

I don't think the Horned Frogs should be a favorite on the road against the Cowboys. I get that Oklahoma State is down and come in having lost 5 straight, but for the most part this team has been competitive. 

More than anything, TCU isn't a team I would be wanting to lay points with on the road, especially with the Horned Frogs unlikely to have one of their best players in Kouat Noi. Noi is basically tied with Demond Bane as the teams top scorer. Bane averages 14.9 ppg and Noi is at 14.8 ppg. What they really miss with Noi is his 3-point shooting. His 49 made 3-pointers are 10 more than the next best on the team and he's missed 5 games. 

The offense looked lost without him in Saturday's 9-point home loss to Oklahoma as a 5-point favorite. Noi is listed as questionable with an ankle injury. Ankles typically take at least a week to recover from and if he's not good enough to go Saturday hard to imagine he will be on the floor Monday. 

TCU is also just 1-10 ATS last 11 road games vs a team with a losing home record. Take Oklahoma State! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Creighton -

The Bluejays should have no problem covering this small number at home against Seton Hall. This is one of those quick rematches in conference play, as these two just played at Seton Hall on Feb. 9th. The Pirates squeaked out a 63-58 win at home, which really wasn't a surprise given the home/away splits of these two teams. 

This time I expect the roles to be reversed and I think there's a decent chance Creighton turns this into a blowout. Note that the Bluejays only lost by 5 at Seton Hall, despite shooting just 30.3% from the field. Pirates are allowing teams to shoot 46% against them on the road and Creighton is averaging 83.7 ppg on 51.6% shooting at home this season. 

Bluejays are 5-1 ATS last 6 at home vs a team with a losing road record, 11-2 ATS last 13 at home after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 and 8-1 ATS last 9 at home off a road loss. Take Creighton! 

4* Tennessee/Kentucky SEC GAME OF THE WEEK on Kentucky -

I get that the Volunteers are ranked No. 1 in the country, but no way am I passing up on the Wildcats as a small home favorite in this one. There's no debating that Tennessee is one of the top teams not just in the SEC but the entire country. However, I think they are getting a little too much respect right now. 

The Vols are a perfect 10-0 in SEC play, but have not faced either of the two top tier teams in LSU and Kentucky. Their road games inside the conference so far have been against Missouri, Florida, Vanderbilt, South Carolina and Texas A&M, who are a combined 12-43 in league play. 

At the same time, I think this Kentucky team is a lot better than people are giving them credit for. Sure they weren't as good as expected out of the gate, but they have been playing as well as anyone over the last 2 months. 

You also can't ignore the fact that the Wildcats are 15-6 ATS over the last 3 seasons when matched up against a team that's won 80% or more of their games. Take Kentucky! 

4* Fresno St/N Mexico MWC GAME OF THE WEEK on New Mexico +

I think the books have made a big mistake making the Lobos a home dog. Fresno State might have the better overall record and a stronger mark in conference play, but New Mexico is one of the toughest places for opposing teams to play well.

That's evident by the fact that that the Lobos are a dominant 12-3 ATS in their last 15 home games against conference opponents, which has seen them win by an average of 13.4 ppg. Adding to this is the fact that New Mexico is 8-3 ATS last 11 as a home underdog, which includes a 4-1 ATS mark this season. 

It's also worth noting that the Lobos are off a 92-60 win against San Jose State, as they are 8-2 ATS last 10 off a win by 30 or more over a conference rival. Take New Mexico! 

5* NCAAB Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on William & Mary -

I absolutely love the value here with the Tribe as a small road favorite against the Phoenix. Elon is coming into this game off a 12-point loss at Northeastern, but did manage to cover the massive 17-point spread. That right there is enough reason to back William & Mary, as the Phoenix are a miserable 4-13 ATS over the last 2 seasons off a game where they covered. 

Elon is also just 12-23 ATS in their last 35 when listed as an underdog and 2-9 ATS in the month of February. The reason the Phoenix are getting respect from the books is because they beat William & Mary earlier this season. However, that's another big positive for us, as the Tribe are a dominant 17-5 ATS in their last 22 when revenging a loss and 8-1 ATS when revenging a loss as a favorite. Take William & Mary! 

3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Texas -

The Longhorns should have no problem covering this double-digit spread at home against the Cowboys. I'm expecting a very motivated and focused Texas team on Saturday. Not only are the Longhorns going to be ready to go after getting upset on their home floor by Kansas State, but they will be out for revenge from an earlier loss at Oklahoma State. 

I think if Texas comes into this one with the right mentality, they are going to turn this into a blowout rather quickly. The Cowboys have been on a free-fall. Oklahoma State has lost 4 straight and 7 of their last 8 overall. Their last 3 games they have lost by 18 to Kansas State, 2 to TCU, 12 to Kansas and 28 to Texas Tech. 

Prior to the loss to K-State, Texas has really been playing well with 3 double-digit wins in their previous 4 games. The only exception a close road loss at Iowa State where they easily covered as 8-point dogs. 

Longhorns are 13-5 ATS under Smart off a home loss and 20-10 ATS under Smart revenging a road loss. Take Texas! 

3* NCAAB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Clemson +

This is a great spot to grab the points and fade Louisville at home. This is one of the more difficult spots you will find a team. The Cardinals come into game off one of the most gut-wrenching losses of the entire season. Louisville had a 23-point over Duke midway through the 2nd half and somehow managed to suffer a 71-69 loss. 

That's now 3 losses in the last 4 games for the Cardinals, whose confidence has to be shattered after what happened against the Blue Devils. I not only think they will have a hard time covering the spread here against Clemson, I wouldn't be shocked at all if the Tigers won this game outright. 

Clemson got off to a slow start in ACC play, going just 1-5 in their first 6 conference games. They have bounced back in a big way, going 4-1 over their last 5 and are 5-1 ATS in their last 6. Tigers are now 12-4 ATS last 16 after 15+ games vs a quality opponent that is outscoring opponents by 8+ points/game. 

Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points off a home loss against an opponent off a road loss as a favorite are just 29-62 (32%) ATS since 1997. Take Clemson! 

5* NCAAB Metro Atlantic Athletic GAME OF THE MONTH on Marist +

I love the value here with the Red Foxes as a road dog against the Bobcats. Marist comes in off back-to-back wins and have covered 4 of their last 5, including a 78-71 win at Canisius as a 4-point dog.

These two teams played earlier in the season and Quinnipiac won by 14-points. However, Marist shot 54% from the field and were only down 2-points at the half. They basically lost the game at the free throw line, where they went 7 of 14. 

Red Foxes are 34-18 ATS last 52 off a home win by 10 or more and the underdog is 8-3 ATS last 11 in the series. Bobcats are also just 2-12 ATS last 14 at home vs a marginal losing team (win percent 40% to 49%) and 0-8 ATS last 8 at home vs teams who attempt 21 or more 3-points at least 15+ games into the season. Take Marist! 

4* NBA Vegas Insider GAME OF THE WEEK  on Pelicans +

The betting public is all over the Thunder in this one, as they want absolutely nothing to do with New Orleans after watching them score just 88-points in a 30-point defeat at home to the Magic. Especially when they are going up against the dynamic duo of Russell Westbrook and and Paul George. 

I know the trade rumors have taken a toll on this team and they clearly seemed uninterested against Orlando, but more times than not teams are going to lay an egg against a bad team like the Magic. At the same time, we almost always see a max effort following an embarrassing loss, especially at home in a nationally televised game like we have here. 

Also, you have to factor in just how motivated is OKC for this game. They have been rolling and it's the last stop before the All-Star break. There's no desperate need to win this game and it's going to be hard for them to take New Orleans seriously after that loss to Orlando. My money is on Anthony Davis and the Pelicans showing up for this one and at least keeping it close. Take New Orleans! 

3* NCAAB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Delaware +

This is a great spot to jump on the Blue Hens as a small road dog against the Tigers. My numbers suggest that Delaware should be the ones favored in this matchup. The Blue Hens are simply being undervalued here because they come in having gone 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6, while Towson is 5-1 ATS in their last 6. 

We will definitely take the points and it doesn't hurt that the Underdog has won 6 of the last 8 meetings in the series. The Blue Hens are also a dominant 18-7-1 ATS last 26 road games vs a team with a losing home record, while the Tigers are a miserable 4-11 ATS in their last 15 home games. Take Delaware! 

3* LATE INFO INSIDER

No Analysis on late releases

5* NCAAB Colonial Athletic GAME OF THE MONTH on Drexel +

Love the value here with Drexel as a pick'em on the road against James Madison. These two teams already played once this season and the Dragons won 73-68 at home. The Dukes were very lucky to lose by just 5. Drexel shot a miserable 20% from 3-point range (3-15). 

Expect much better shooting this time around, as the Dragons are coming off a game against Charleston where they shot 54% from the field for the game. Drexel has also covered each of their last 7 games and are 5-0 ATS last 5 vs a team with a losing record.

Adding to all this is a great system in play favoring a fade of the Dukes. In games involving two marginal losing teams (winning 40% to 49%) the home team is a mere 28-58 ATS if they have gone over the total by 30 or more points in their last 3 games. That's a 67% system in favor of the Dragons. Take Drexel! 

3* NCAAB Vegas ODDSMAKERS ERROR on Minnesota +

I think the books have made a big mistake here making Nebraska a small home favorite. So much that I say forget grabbing the points with Minnesota and go for the much bigger payday on the money line. 

The Cornhuskers are a complete mess right now. Since going on the road and upsetting Indiana 66-51 back on Jan. 14, Nebraska has lost 7 straight games and in the process lost one of their best players in Isaac Copeland Jr. 

The offense for Nebraska has been downright atrocious during this run. All 7 losses during the losing streak have seen them shoot worse than 42% from the field, including a couple of games where they shot under 30%. It doesn't matter if you are home or away, if you can't score, you aren't going to win many games. 

Minnesota has lost 3 straight, which is playing into the value here, but those 3 are all excusable (@ Purdue, vs Wisconsin, @ Michigan St). Gophers are simply the much better team. Take Minnesota! 

4* NCAAB Big East GAME OF THE WEEK on Xavier +

I just think we are seeing a big overreaction here with Xavier due to the fact the Musketeers come in having lost 6 straight with the most recent being an upset loss at home to DePaul. Plus, they just lost at Creighton by 22 on Feb. 3. 

As bad as it's going for Xavier they should not be a home dog to the Bluejays. Creighton 1-4 in their last 5 conference road games and will be in the difficult spot here of playing their 3rd straight on the road. 

This is an Xavier team that has home wins over the likes of Georgetown and Butler, as well as a mere 2-point loss at home to Providence and a 5-point loss to Marquette. Musketeers are 21-7 SU in their last 28 home games revenging a loss of 10 or more and 8-1 SU in their last 9 at home off a home loss as a favorite. Take Xavier! 

3* NBA Money Line PLAY OF THE DAY on Pacers +

I really like this spot for the Pacers and actually think they should be favored in this matchup, which is why I'm passing up on taking the points and playing Indiana on the money line. The Pacers come into this one having won 6 straight and while the wins haven't come against the top-tier teams, you just have to look at how bad they are beating these teams during this run. 

I just think this game means a lot more to the Pacers than it does the Bucks, who I think could have their eyes already set on the All-Star break. Indiana's Banker Life Fieldhouse hasn't been a great place to visit of late for Milwaukee, as the Bucks have lost their last 4 trips, including a 113-97 loss back in December. 

Pacers have won 20 out of their last 25 games at home when they come in having led in their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half and are 41-18 SU in their last 59 when entering off 3 straight covers. Take Indiana! 

3* NBA Public ATS SHOCKER on Grizzlies +

A lot of people are going to be quick to jump on the Spurs in this matchup. Memphis just traded away one of their best players in Marc Gasol and have not been playing all that great over the last few months. San Antonio on the other hand is coming off 3 straight losses, which will have people assuming they get back on track with a win here. 

The new-look Grizzlies just beat the Pelicans 99-90 as a 1-point home dog and a lot of the new faces made some solid contributions. This game they are expected to add another, as Janus Valanciunas is expected to make his Memphis debut. 

As for the Spurs, I think they are really struggling right now because of the recent injury to Derrick White, leaving them extremely thin at the point. This is also San Antonio's 5th straight on the road and final stop before the All-Star break. I think the struggles continue and Memphis wins this outright. Grizzlies have covered 6 of their last 8 and are 4-0 ATS last 4 at home. Take Memphis! 

4* NCAAB Underdog PLAY OF THE WEEK on DePaul +

I really like this spot for the Blue Demons. DePaul comes in off a come-from-behind 74-62 win at Xavier as a 4-point dog, giving them back-to-back wins since a hard fought loss at home to Villanova. 

Speaking of Villanova, Marquette just handed the Wildcats their first loss in conference play this past Saturday in a thrilling 66-65 win at home. That was hands down the biggest game of the season for the Golden Eagles and that makes this game against DePaul a huge letdown spot, especially since Marquette already beat the Blue Demons by double-digits earlier this season. 

Road favorites who are a top level team (won 80% or more) that are coming off a home win as a favorite where they failed to cover the spread are just 71-117 ATS in their next game if facing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%). That's a 62% long-term trend that dates back to 1997 in favor of the Blue Demons. Take DePaul! 

3* NCAAB Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR on Maryland +

This is the ideal spot to fade the Boilermakers. Purdue comes into this game having won 8 straight and are simply overvalued because of it. No way should Maryland be a dog on their home floor. Note that 5 of the Boilermakers 8 wins during this run have come at home and two of their road wins were against Penn St and Ohio St. 

Maryland hasn't lost at home in Big Ten play, as they come in a perfect 5-0. They are just 2-3 in their last 5, but two of those losses came on the road against Michigan State and Wisconsin. The Terps rebounded from the loss to the Badgers with 60-45 thrashing of the Cornhuskers in Nebraska last time out. 

No one expected Maryland to be as good as they are, which is why they are showing such great value against a team like Purdue. Keep in mind these two teams already played once this season and the Terps narrowly loss 62-60 on the Boilermakers home court. 

In the win over Nebraska the Terps held the Cornhuskers to just 21.1% shooting. Maryland is 32-13 ATS last 45 at home after holding a team to 33% or worse shooting. Purdue is also 23-42 ATS last 65 on the road after two straight games as a home favorite. Terps have also covered 5 of the last 6 in the series. Take Maryland! 

4* TCU/Kansas Big 12 GAME OF THE WEEK on TCU -

This is just too good a price to pass up on the Horned Frogs at home against the Jayhawks. Kansas is a team that gets all kinds of love, which is why they are still sitting at No. 13 in the country, despite the fact that they are just 7-4 in the Big 12 and have lost some big pieces to injury, including a season-ending injury to big man Udoka Azubiuke. 

They also are expected to be without second-leading scorer Lagerlad Vick, while Marcus Garrett is questionable after missing the last 3. Kansas has played 7 true road games and are 1-6 in those contests. TCU is 11-1 at home this season and are a perfect 4-0 at home. Horned Frogs also come in off an impressive 9-point win at ISU as a 9.5-point dog. Take TCU! 

4* NBA Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Thunder/Blazers UNDER 

I think we are going to get a big defensive effort from both of these teams, which will have this game staying well below the big total set by the books. These are two division rivals fighting for a top seed in the Western Conference. OKC is currently No. 3 in the standings, but are just 3-games ahead of Portland. 

The Thunder have already won each of the first two meetings, and can secure the tie-breaker with a win here (teams meet one last time in early March). That really makes this one important for Portland, who is also going to be highly motivated coming off a loss at Dallas where they blew a double-digit 4th quarter lead. 

UNDER is 21-10-1 in the Thunder's last 32 vs a team with a winning record, 13-4 in the Blazers last 17 division games and 17-7 in the last 24 meetings between these two teams in OKC. Take the UNDER! 

5* NBA Western Conf GAME OF THE MONTH on Timberwolves - 

I really like this spot for Minnesota as a small home favorite. This has to feel like a must-win for the Timberwolves, who have lost 4 straight and are now 5-games back of the 8th and final playoff spot in the West. The team sitting in 8th is the Clippers, which should only add that much more motivation here. 

As for LAC, they made it clear they are more focused on the future than the present with the deals they made at the trade deadline. I get they come in off a 123-112 upset win at Boston as a 11.5-point dog, but they trailed by 28 (trailed 43-20 after 1st quarter) and benefited from the Celtics losing All-Star point guard Kyrie Irving to injury in the 2nd quarter. Each of their last 3 wins have come with them trailing by at least 20. They followed up each of the last two rallies with losses by 19 or more. 

Part of Minnesota's struggles is they have had their top 3 point guards out of the lineup. Jeff Teague is back and should make a bigger contribution in his second game back and there's a chance Derrick Rose returns after practicing on Sunday. Take Minnesota! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Houston -

Too much value here with Houston laying such a short number at home. The Cougars are a perfect 16-0 at home this season and are riding a massive 31-game home winning streak overall. Houston is outscoring opponents 77.4 to 59.9 on their home floor. 

Cincinnati is a quality team, but they are simply getting way to much respect from the books here because they come in having won 8 straight and gone 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. 

Cougars are 42-22 ATS last 64 games at home as a favorite of 6 or less, 20-7-1 ATS last 28 vs a team with a winning record and 5-1 ATS last 6 at home vs a team that's won more than 60% of their road games. Take Houston! 

4* NBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Lakers +

This is just too many points to pass up with the Lakers. Last time out Los Angeles rallied from a double-digit deficit at Boston in a thrilling 129-128 win. That's the kind of win that they can not only build on, but I think it really helps them get over all the trade rumors they had to deal with over the previous week. 

Philadelphia looked impressive in their first game with Tobais Harris, taking down the Nuggets 117-110 at home, but I think they are way overvalued here. That was a short-handed Denver team and they let the Nuggets shoot 49% from the field. Defense has really slipped for the 76ers of late. 

Lakers are 13-4 ATS last 17 after playing 3 straight on the road and 8-1 ATS last 9 on the road after allowing 120+ points in their previous game. Philadelphia is 2-11 ATS last 13 after playing 2 straight at home. Take Los Angeles! 

4* NBA Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Wizards/Bulls OVER

We cashed in an easy winner on the Bulls/Nets OVER last night, as those two combined for 231. While Chicago was playing in a shootout, the Wizards combined for 225 to go OVER the total with the Cavs. 

It just continued a trend of high-scoring games for both of these teams. The OVER has cashed in the Wizards last 4 and 6 of their last 7. The OVER is also cashed in 4 of the last 5 for the Bulls. Washington has scored 115+ in 4 straight and have allowed 130+ in 3 of their last 4. The only team not to reach the mark is the worthless Cavs. Bulls have scored 118+ in 3 straight and 100 or more in every game since Jan. 4. Take the OVER! 

5* NCAAB Big 12 GAME OF THE MONTH on Baylor -

Love the value here with Baylor at basically a pick'em on their home floor. The Bears come in off a 12-point loss at Texas, but played well enough to win, the Longhorns simply couldn't miss (shot 55%).

Baylor had won and covered 6 straight prior to that loss and I'm confident they return back to form. They have won 3 straight at home and are 7-1 ATS over their 6-3 start to Big 12 play. K-State has been playing well, but this is a big letdown spot for the Wildcats coming off a huge win at Kansas. 

Bears are 7-1 ATS lat 8 after playing their previous game as an underdog, 7-0 ATS last 7 after covering 4 of their last 5 and 6-0 ATS last 6 at home after giving up 80 or more points in their previous game. Take Baylor!

4* Duke/Virginia ACC GAME OF THE WEEK on Virginia - 

I just can't pass up a play on Virginia at basically a pick'em on their home court against Duke. The Cavaliers only loss this season was a mere 2-point loss at Duke back on Jan. 19th. You can bet that Virginia has had this one circled since that loss. I expect the very best the Cavs have to offer here. 

As for Duke, we all know how good they are, but I think they are getting a little too much respect here on the road in one of the hardest places in the country to get a win. Note that while the Blue Devils are 4-0 on the road in ACC play, those 4 have come against Wake Forest, Florida State, Pittsburgh and Notre Dame. The only one of those teams with more than 2 conference wins is FSU and Duke only won by 2 at the Seminoles. Take Virginia! 

5* NBA Eastern Conf TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Bulls/Nets OVER 

The Bulls/Nets should have zero problem eclipsing the total set here by the books. The average score in Chicago's last 5 games is 225.2 and for Brooklyn the average score in their last 5 games is 226.6. 

Bulls defense has been non-existent in their last 2, giving up 125 to both the Pelicans and Hornets. Chicago's offense on the other hand is shooting lights out, having hit 50% from the field in each of their last 4. Brooklyn just gave up 130 to the Nuggets in a game that saw 265 total points scored, as both teams shot over 50% from the field. 

OVER is 32-18 in the Bulls last 50 as a road dog of 6.5 to 12 points (last 3 seasons). OVER is also 6-1 lat 7 for Chicago on the road against a team with a winning home record. 

Adding even more value here is a big time system that has cashed 76% over the last 5 seasons. The OVER is 44-14 in the month of February when you have a game with a 1st half total greater than 100 and a team (Nets) that went over the total by more than 30 points in their last game. Take the OVER! 

4* NBA Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Spurs +

I think this is the perfect time to grab the points with San Antonio. The Spurs come into this one off a couple of ugly losses. First it was 15-point loss at Sacramento on Monday and then last night they got rolled 141-102 at Golden State. 

The big thing to keep in mind with the loss to the Warriors is the Spurs punted that one from the start, resting their two best players in DeMar DeRozan and LaMarcus Aldridge. The only guy to play more than 26 minutes against Golden State was reserve Dante Cunningham and he rarely plays (played 24 minutes in previous 5 games). 

Blazers have been playing a lot of high scoring games of late and the OVER has cashed in each of their last 5. That's a good thing for us, as Portland is a mere 1-10 ATS last 11 at home after 5 straight overs. Spurs are also a perfect 8-0 ATS this season when coming off back-to-back losses. Take San Antonio! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Indiana -

Both of these teams are coming off big time wins the last time they took the court. Iowa defeated Michigan 74-59 as a 5.5-point home dog, while Indiana won 79-75 at Michigan State as a 14-point dog. I'm just a lot more confident with the Hoosiers carrying over that momentum on their home floor. 

Iowa has not been a great road team and I get that Indiana had lost 7 straight prior to that win over the Spartans, but there's reason to believe they can keep it going. They got two key pieces back from injury in De'Ron Davis and Devonte Green. Juwan Morgan did go down with a shoulder injury against Michigan State, but he was back practicing on Monday and is listed as probable. 

It's worth noting that Indiana comes in shooting 47.4% from the field on the season (51.9% at home), as Iowa is a mere 5-15 ATS last 20 on the road against teams who shoot 45% or better from the field. Hawkeyes are also 6-16 ATS last 22 as a road dog and 3-12 ATS last 15 on the road overall. Take Indiana! 

5* NCAAB American Athletic GAME OF THE MONTH on SMU -

This line really says it all. USF comes in having won 3 straight and are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games, while SMU enters having lost their last 2 and are just 1-4 in their last 5. You wouldn't expect the Bulls to be a 5-point dog here, but that just tells you how much the books not only like the Mustangs to win but to do so rather easily. 

The biggest thing to keep in mind with SMU's 1-4 stretch over their last 5 is just how tough the schedule has been. Out of the 4 losses, 3 were on the road against the likes of Cincinnati, Wichita State and Memphis. The only loss at home was to arguably the best team in the league in Houston. 

In their other 3 conference home games this season they have beat Tulane by 10, Tulsa by 20 and East Carolina by 28. USF's only road win in the AAC is against Tulane and they are the only team in the conference that has yet to win a game (just 4-17 overall). 

Bulls are 14-28 ATS last 42 as a road dog of 3.5 to 6.5 points, while the Mustangs are 23-12 ATS last 35 as a home favorite and 12-3 ATS last 15 at home when playing only their 2nd game in a 8-day stretch. Take SMU! 

3* NBA Late Night TOTAL ANNIHILATOR on Rockets/Kings UNDER

A lot of people are just going to look at how high-scoring these two teams are and just assume that they will easily eclipse the total set here by the books. The thing is, the books have adjusted, especially on Sacramento. The UNDER is 11-2-1 in the Kings last 14 games. 

OVER has cased in each of the Rockets last 4 games, but the UNDER is a strong 13-6 in Houston's last 19 road games vs a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. UNDER is also a staggering 17-3 in the Rockets last 20 road games with a line of +3 to -3. Take the UNDER! 

3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Mississippi St - 

LSU had started out 7-0 in SEC play before losing a heartbreaker at home 90-89 to Arkansas as a 10-point favorite. Most will just assume the Tigers will return right back to their winning ways, but I think they struggle to bounce back against a very good Mississippi State team. 

The Bulldogs are just 4-4 in SEC play, but 3 of those 4 losses came by 5-points or less. They are also a dominant 11-1 at home this season, where they are scoring 83.9 ppg and shooting a ridiculous 50.4% from the field. 

Tigers are a mere 16-31 ATS last 47 off an upset loss to a conference opponent. Bulldogs are 34-17 ATS last 51 at home with a line of +3 to -3 and 14-3 ATS last 17 at home after playing their previous game as an underdog. Take Mississippi State -2.5! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Kansas State -

Love the value here with the Wildcats as a short home favorite against in-state rival Kansas. The Jayhawks are ranked No. 13 and fresh off a big home win against Texas Tech, but they have had their struggles on the road in true road games. Kansas is 1-5 when visiting an opposing teams arena, including a 1-3 mark in the Big 12. 

Kansas State comes into this one having won 6 of their last 7 and the only loss was out of conference and on the road. The Wildcats might not be ranked, but they are definitely playing like a Top 25 team and let's not forget this was a team that going into the season was expected to compete for the Big 12 title.

K-State is 10-1 at home this season. They have covered 5 straight against a team that's won more than 60% of their games, while KU is a mere 3-8 ATS last 11 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Take Kansas State! 

3* NBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Hornets -

This is just too good a price to pass up on Charlotte. The Hornets might be a .500 team at 26-26, but they are 19-8 at home and come in off back-to-back wins. Charlotte is expected to get back Cody Zeller from injury and it's no secret that they are a much better team when he's on the floor. 

Not only is Charlotte playing well and got a big advantage with the game at home, this is a good spot to go against the Clippers. LAC has really been on a downward spiral for a while now and they will be playing their 3rd road game in the last 4 days. They somehow managed to rally from 25 down in a win over Detroit on Saturday, but lost by 18 as a 9-point dog at Toronto on Sunday. 

Clippers are just 3-9 ATS last 12 off a SU loss by more than 10-points, while the Hornets are a perfect 5-0 ATS last 5 vs a team from the Western Conference and 7-3 ATS last 10 overall. Take Charlotte!

5* NBA Non-Conf GAME OF THE MONTH on Pistons +

Last time out the Pistons blew a 25-point lead in a 10 point home loss to the Clippers. Blake Griffin called it the worst loss of the year. My money is on Detroit using that defeat as motivation against a Denver team that is slowly getting a bigger and bigger target on their back. 

Nuggets have 6 straight and are tied with Golden State for the best record in the West. The thing is they have been playing short-handed. Garry Harris is out with a groin injury and Jamal Murray has missed the last 5 games with a bad ankle. 

I just think Denver has to be running on fumes right now and it would be really easy for them to look past a Pistons team that has won a mere 9-games since upsetting the Warriors at home back on Dec. 1st. 

Nuggets are also not nearly the same team on the road, where they have failed to cover 6 of their last 8 against teams with a winning home record. Denver is also a mere 15-28 last 43 road games off a win. Take Detroit! 

3* NCAAB Vegas ODDSMAKERS ERROR on Marist +

Easy play on the Red Foxes for me. Canisius is getting way too much respect on their home floor. The Golden Griffins are just 3-5 SU and 2-6 ATS at home this season. Marist is just 2-3 in their last 5 games, but all 3 losses have come by 5-points or less. 

The Red Foxes won't be overlooking Canisius, as they will be out to get revenge from a 3-point home loss back in early January. Marist has been very profitable against bad teams like the Golden Griffins on the road. The Red Foxes are 5-1 ATS last 6 on the road vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their home games. Canisius is also 2-9 ATS last 11 at home and 1-6 ATS last 7 at home vs a team with a losing road record. Take Marist! 

3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Quinnipiac +

Easy play here for me with the Bobcats at basically a pick'em on the road against the Purple Eagles. Quinnipiac will  be out for revenge after a crushing 3-point loss at home to Niagara less than a month ago. Bobcats only lost by 3 despite the Purple Eagles shooting 52% from the field. 

Considering Niagara is only shooting 41.7% for the season and are allowing teams to shoot 47% against them at home, we can be confident there won't be a repeat of the first meeting. Quinnipiac comes in off a close loss at Canisius, which is a positive here, as they are 5-1 ATS last 6 off a SU loss. Bobcats are also 4-1 ATS last 5 on the road and 8-1 ATS last 9 road games after playing their previous game on the road. Take Quinnipiac! 

4* NCAAB Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Poly +

Mustangs are being way undervalued here by the books, as Cal Poly should have no problem covering this near double-digit spread on the road against CS Northridge. Not the first time the Matadors have been overvalued at home. Northridge is a mere 5-16 ATS last 21 as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points and are 6-20 ATS last 26 at home when coming off a game where they scored 25 or fewer points in the 1st half 

Great system in play favoring the Mustangs. Road underdogs who have only won between 20% to 40% of their games and are off a conference win as a underdog of 6-points or less are 113-63 (64%) ATS when facing a team with a losing record over the last 5 seasons. Take Cal Poly! 

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Pepperdine +

Books have the wrong team favored in this one. Pepperdine should have zero problem leaving Pacific with a win Saturday night. The Waves just absolutely rolled Portland 83-58 as a mere 5-point road favorite last time out. That's 3 straight covers, giving them a 8-2 ATS mark in their last 10 games. 

Clearly the books are not giving Pepperdine the respect they deserve. Pacific is a mere 2-6 SU in their last 8 and have failed to cover 3 straight. Note that the two wins for the Tigers are both against Portland and neither came easy. For those that don't know, Portland is the worst team in the WCC (currently 0-8 in conference play). Take Pepperdine! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Portland +

Great value here with the Pilots as a road dog against Santa Clara. Portland has been absolutely money in this spot. The Pilots come in off a 83-58 loss at home to Pepperdine on Thursday. Portland is 11-3 ATS in their last 14 Saturday games overall and 14-4 ATS in their last 18 road games when playing on 1 or fewer days of rest.  

There's a great system in play favoring the Pilots. Underdogs coming off a game where they shot 33% or worse from the field are 80-36 (69%) ATS over the last 5 seasons in a matchup that features two average defense teams (allowing 42.5% to 45%). Take Portland! 

3* NCAAB Money Line PLAY OF THE DAY on St. Peter's pk

Really like the Peacocks in this spot. These two teams played earlier this season and the Jaspers squeaked out a 58-56 win, despite shooting 48% from the field and holding St. Peter's to 33.3%. The gap won't be that big the second time around and seeing how Manhattan is shooting 39.6% on the season, I think we could see the percentages flip-flop. 

Peacocks have covered 10 of their last 13 in conference play and are 8-1 when revenging a close loss of 3-points or less. Manhattan comes in off a win as a dog against Fairfield, but that's actually a positive for us. Jaspers are 3-12 last 15 off a home win and 1-6  last 7 off an upset win as a dog. Take St. Peter's! 

3* NBA Money Line MASSACRE on Pistons -

This isn't just another game for Blake Griffin and the Pistons. There's not a team Griffin wants to beat more than the Clippers, who signed him to a huge deal and then traded him to a bottom feeder like Detroit. 

Griffin didn't disappoint in his first shot at his former team a few weeks back in LA, as he poured in 44 points in a 109-104 win. Not only did he play inspired, but you saw a little extra effort from his new teammates to make sure he got the win. I think it's going to take a bit for Griffin to forgive LA and I expect his very best in this one. That should be more than enough for the Pistons to secure the win against a struggling Clippers team (4-8 Last 12). Take Detroit! 

4* NCAAB Small Conf PLAY OF THE WEEK on Delaware +

William & Mary continues to get a ton of unwarranted respect from the books. The Tribe are a miserable 5-14 ATS on the season and come into this one having not covered a spread in 6 straight games. 

While William & Mary is a team you want to fade, the Blue Hens are the team you want to be backing in this spot. Delaware is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 road games with a high total between 140-149.5 and a perfect 7-0 ATS over the last 2 seasons as a road underdog of 6-points or less. 

These two teams also played earlier this season with the Blue Hens taking home the victory. Home teams revenging a same season loss against an opponent off an upset loss as a road favorite are just 42-77 (35.3%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Delaware! 

3* NBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Thunder -

I just can't pass up backing OKC at this price. The Thunder come in having won 6 straight and have shown no signs of slowing down. Paul George has been playing at an MVP-type level and now Russell Westbrook is rounding into form. Westbrook has recorded 4 straight triple-doubles and much like James Harden has done with the Rockets, Westbrook can go off and put this team on his back for an extended stretch. 

Offensively the Thunder have been playing really well. They have scored at least 115 points in 10 straight games. I just don't see the Heat being able to keep pace. Miami's scored 100 or fewer in 4 of their last 5. The Heat have also failed more times than not against the top tier teams, as they are 10-13 vs a team with a winning record. 

OKC is playing on 2 days rest and are 7-1 ATS in this spot. They are also 8-1 ATS last 9 after scoring 125+ points in their previous game and a perfect 4-0 ATS last 4 vs a team from the east. Take Oklahoma City! 

4* NCAAB Situational ATS NO-BRAINER on Princeton -

The Tigers should have no problem cashing in a win and cover here as a slim road favorite against the Lions. Princeton comes into this game rolling. The Tigers have won 5 straight and covered each of their last 3 games with a line available to bet. 

As for Columbia they come in off a win at home over Cornell as a favorite, but failed to cover the spread. The Lions are just 1-3 ATS last 4 lined games and have not been good in this spot. Columbia is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 at home vs a team with a winning road record and are 1-4 ATS  last 5 in league play. Tigers are 6-1 ATS last 7 vs a team with a losing record and 4-1 ATS last 5 in league play. Take Princeton! 

5* NCAAB Vegas INSIDER Top Play on Quinnipiac +

Love the value here with the Bobcats getting points against the Golden Griffins. Canisius is getting way too much love here at home, as they have shown to have little to no home court advantage. The Golden Griffins are just 2-5 SU and 1-6 ATS in home lined games this season. 

Another big reason I like Quinnipiac here is they will extra motivated to get revenge from a crushing 2-point loss at home to Canisius earlier this season. This is definitely the time to jump on the Bobcats, as they are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 road games off a conference win, 7-0 ATS last 7 road games with a total of 140 to 149.5 and 6-0 ATS last 6 as a road underdog of 6 points or less. Take Quinnipiac! 

5* NCAAB No Limit GAME OF THE MONTH on Brown -

Easy play here on the Bears as a slim road favorite at Dartmouth Friday night. Brown is simply the better team, but the fact that they come in off back-to-back losses to Yale and the Big Green split their two games against Harvard, we are getting a great price on them. Yale looks like the team to beat in the Ivy League so far and the Bears played them tough in both meetings, losing by just 3 at home and by 8 on the road. 

Dartmouth had the big upset over Harvard at home, but let's not forget the Big Green were the consensus pick to finish last in the Ivy League and this is a spot they have struggled in. Dartmouth is a mere 4-16 ATS in their last 20 home games against a top tier team that is outscoring opponents by 8+ points/game. Bears are also a strong 5-1 ATS last 6 on the road. Take Brown! 

5* NCAAB Late Night GAME OF THE MONTH on Pacific +

The Tigers should have zero problem covering here at Loyola-Marymount. The overall records make it look like the Lions are the far superior team, but I think this is a very evenly matched game. Pacific is 2-5 and getting outscored by 6.3 ppg in conference play. Loyola-Marymount is only 3-4 and are getting outscored by 4.7 ppg. 

The Tigers come into this game off back-to-back games where they failed to cover the spread, but that's actually a positive for us. Pacific is 8-1 ATS over the last 2 seasons after failing to cover two straight. The Tigers are are also 9-1 ATS in their last 10 off a conference win. Lions are 2-5 ATS last 7 at home and 0-5 ATS last 5 off a SU win. Take Pacific! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Cal Poly +

The Mustangs are worth a look here as a decently priced road dog against the Highlanders. Cal Poly is way undervalued right now having lost 5 straight and failed to cover 4 in a row. On the flip side of this, you got UC Riverside having covered 4 of their last 5. 

Fading the Highlanders in this spot has been a wise investment, as they are just 4-11 ATS in their last 15 home games vs a team with a losing road record. 

It's also worth noting that Riverside beat Cal Poly earlier this season, which sets up the Mustangs in a very profitable spot. Road underdogs who are off back-to-back conference losses by 10 or more and revenging a loss as a favorite are 41-15 (73%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Cal Poly! 

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Drexel +

This is the perfect spot to jump on the Dragons as a road dog. Drexel hosted William & Mary earlier this season and got embarrassed 84-66. That's not a concern here, as the Dragons are a remarkable 25-9 ATS in their last 34 when revenging a home loss of 10 or more. 

The Tribe are also a team that you want to fade at home against bad teams. William & Mary are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games in the month of January and 1-4 ATS last 5 at home vs a team with a losing road record. The Tribe have also failed to cover 5 straight, while the Dragons are 5-1 ATS last 6 vs a team with a losing record. Take Drexel! 

5* NCAAB Big West GAME OF THE MONTH on Northridge +

The Matadors will have no problem covering here as a near double-digit road dog against the Titans. These two teams have pretty much identical records, but we are seeing the line heavily shaded in favor of Cal State Fullerton because they come in having won 4 straight and covered 3 in a row. 

I just think this line should be closer to 3, giving us more than 4-points in value on a team that can win this game outright. Adding to this, we see that the Matadors are a dominant 9-1 ATS last 10 road games in the month of January and are a perfect 7-0 ATS last 7 road games off a SU win. Take CS-Northridge! 

3* NBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Nuggets -

I got no problem laying the points here with Denver on the road against the Pelicans. New Orleans just won outright as a double-digit dog at Houston last night, which is going to have a lot of people looking to take them again here as a near double-digit dog at home. 

I'm not about to give New Orleans credit for that win. That was simply the Rockets not showing up to play. I'm confident having just seen the Pelicans beat Houston, Denver won't make the same mistake. The Nuggets come in having won 3 straight and it's really not asking a lot for them to win here by 10 or more, especially with the Pelicans playing on 0 days rest. Take Denver! 

4* NCAAB Money Line NO-BRAINER on Canisius -

Easy play here on the Golden Griffins at a pick'em on the road against the Purple Eagles. Canisius comes in having won and covered 3 straight and are an absolute covering machine in this spot. The Golden Griffins are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 road games against a team with a winning home record and are a perfect 6-0 ATS last 6 on the road. 

Niagara comes in off a 75-48 blowout win at home over Monmouth, but are just 2-5 ATS last 7 vs a team with a winning record, 1-4 ATS last 5 following a SU win and 1-5 ATS last 6 after a game where they covered the spread. Take Canisius! 

3* NCAAB Money Line DESTROYER on Wisconsin +

Forget the spread, I'm taking the Badgers on the money line at Nebraska. I just think the books are giving the Cornhuskers too much respect at home in this one. Nebraska is not playing well right now. They come in having lost 3 straight and just lost one of their best players in Isaac Copeland to a season-ending injury. 

Over the last 3 games the Cornhuskers have shot poorly from the field (42% or worse). Needless to say, Wisconsin is not the team you want to be going up against with a broken offense. The Badgers are known for their defense and come in having held each of their last 4 opponents to 41% or worse from the field. 

Cornhuskers have lost 8 of their last 9 when they come into a game having failed to cover 3 of their last 4 and have lost 6 of 7 when coming off a conference home loss. Take Wisconsin! 

3* NBA Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY  on Bulls +

Really like the value here with Chicago as a big road dog against the Nets. The Bulls come in having lost 3 straight and are a mere 1-13 in their last 14 overall. No one wants anything to do with this team and as a result the books are going to inflate the lines on the other side. 

I feel like that's exactly what has happened here. Brooklyn is the bette team, but this is not a good spot for the Nets. They will be on no rest after playing a game at Boston last night. Brooklyn has no one to blame but themselves, as they were a miserable 39-103 (37.9%) from the field. That's now back-to-back games where they have shot 40% or worse. 

I just think it's going to be really hard for the Nets to bring the kind of energy and effort needed to win here going away. In fact, I wouldn't be shocked at all if the Bulls came away with a rare win. Take Chicago! 

4* NBA Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Hawks +

This might seem like a low number for Atlanta to be catching on the road against a Clippers team that comes in having won and covered 3 straight. However, I actually think there's value with the Hawks at this price. 

It all comes down to scheduling. The Clippers have t be exhausted right now. Los Angeles is on no rest after hosting the Kings yesterday and this will be their 5th game in the last 7 days overall. You also have a massive game on deck against the Lakers, which might just mark the return of LeBron James from injury. Either way, the Hawks are not a team to get excited about playing and with no extra motivation for the Clippers, this will be a tough one for them to get up for. 

I think it not only puts the Hawks in a great spot to cover, but gives them an outside shot at leaving town with a win. Take Atlanta! 

4* NCAAB Underdog PLAY OF THE WEEK on Marist +

Marist should have no problem here covering as a double-digit road dog against the Broncs. Rider is simply overvalued right now. You can easily see that by looking at their last 6 games. The Broncs are 5-1 SU, yet are 2-4 ATS. They just had a 5-game winning streak snapped with a 6-point loss at Iona, where they were favored by 2.5. 

Marist is in a prime bounce back spot after an ugly 92-78 home loss to Quinnipiac and the Red Foxes are 13-5-2 ATS in their last 20 when coming off a double-digit loss at home. Rider is also a mere 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs a team that's won less than 40% of their games and 2-6 ATS last 8 games on their home floor. Take Marist! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Iona +

Easy play here on the Gaels at a pick'em against the Stags. Iona comes in off a 77-71 win and cover as a 2.5-point home dog against Rider and are 5-2 ATS last 7 overall. Gaels are also now 5-2 in conference play and that includes a 94-87 win at home over Fairfield. 

I just don't think the Stags have the talent to win this contest. Fairfield comes in having lost 4 straight. Each of the last two defeats coming at home. First it was a 5-point loss as a 3-point favorite to Canisius. Then it was a 9-point loss as a 2-point favorite against Siena, where the Stags managed just 48 points. 

Fairfield is 3-11 ATS last 14 off a conference loss, 2-6-1 ATS last 9 at home and a miserable 0-5 ATS last 5 vs a team with a losing record. Take Iona! 

5* NCAAB West Coast GAME OF THE YEAR on San Francisco -

Amazing value here with the Dons at basically a pick'em on the road against the Toreros. San Francisco comes in having won 3 straight. The last two in blowout fashion, beating BYU by 19 and Portland by 22. Dons are 14-3 ATS last 17 when off a conference win by 20 or more. 

There's also a big time system in play favoring the Dons to cover. Road favorites who are a strong offensive team (74-78 ppg) against a sub-par defensive team (67-74 ppg) are 53-22 (71%) ATS over the last 5 seasons when leading in their previous game by 15 or more at the half. Take San Francisco! 

3* LATE INFO INSIDER 

No analysis on late plays

3* NBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Pacers -

I just think this is too good a price to pass up on the Pacers. All the Indiana players are hearing right now is how their season is over after losing Victor Oladipo to a season-ending injury. I think we are going to see a very motivated Pacers team take the floor tonight and let's not forget this team played well without Oladipo earlier in the season. 

You also have to factor in who they are playing. Memphis has lost 8 straight and are just 1-14 in their last 15 games overall. It's not like they are losing and covering the spread. The Grizzlies are just 3-19 ATS in their last 22. This team isn't having fun and really don't want to be playing. I think the injury to Oladipo and the game being in Memphis has this line a lot lower than it should be. Take Indiana! 

5* NCAAB Vegas Insider TOP PLAY on Cornell +

Love the value here with Cornell getting this many points. These two teams played each other last time out and the Big Red pulled out a 60-59 win at home. A pretty impressive victory given they were so sloppy with the ball. Cornell had 20 turnovers, wich was their most in a game since early December. 

I think they clean up those mistakes and not only cover the spread, but win this game outright. Columbia is just 2-10 ATS last 12 at home when revenging a loss of 3-points or less.

Great system favoring a play on the Big Red. Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points, who are coming off a home win by 3-points or less and have a winning percentage between 45%-55% are 161-97 (62%) ATS since 1997. Take Cornell! 

4* NCAAB Vegas ODDSMAKERS ERROR on Portland +

Great value here with the Pilots as a near double-digit dog at Pacific. For starters, this series has been owned by the road team, as the home team has failed to cover 5 straight. Portland is also out for revenge here, as they lost 65-57 at home back on 1/12. Good news is the Pilots are 7-0 ATS last 3 seasons in road games when revenging a same season loss. 

We also got two big time systems in play here. One favoring a fade of the Tigers and the other a play on the Pilots. First, home favorites of 10 or more off 4 straight games where both teams scored 70+ points are a mere 18-46 (22.1%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Second, Underdog of 10 to 19.5 points that have lost 3 straight by 15 or more points are 53-25 (68%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Portland!

5* NCAAB Early Bird NO LIMIT Top Play on Drexel +

Too much value to pass up with the Dragons catching this many points on the road against the Blue Hens. Drexel comes in off back-to-back wins where they covered the spread and are 3-1 SU and ATS in their last 4.

Delaware has dropped 2 of their last 3, including a loss at home to Towson as a similarly priced 5.5-point favorite. Dragons have covered 7 of their last 10 in conference play and Drexel head coach Zach Spiker is 11-2 in road games when his team is coming off a home win. Take Drexel! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Rider -

Big time value here with the Broncs as a small road favorite against the Gaels. Rider was the preseason favorite to win the MAAC and have lived up to the hype so far.

The Broncs are a perfect 5-0 in league play, which includes a 3-0 conference road record. Rider won by 20 at Niagara as a 4.5-point favorite, by 9 at Canisius as a 2-point favorite. I expect a similar type of outcome here against Iona. 

Gaels are a miserable 4-11 ATS last 15 games, 2-8 ATS last 10 after giving up 80+ points in their previous game and 2-14 ATS in their last 16 after playing a game as a road favorite. Take Rider! 

5* NCAAB Ivy League GAME OF THE MONTH on Brown +

The Bears should have no problem covering here as a near double-digit road dog at Yale. The Bulldogs are getting way too much respect here because they are a perfect 5-0 at home, enter on a 7-game winning streak and are 3-1 ATS last 4. 

Just so happens these two teams just played each other in their last game on Saturday. Yale barely snuck out a 70-67 win. It's really tough to beat the same team twice in a short window like this, especially when you have a quality team like Brown. I actually think the Bears have a really good shot at winning this game outright. 

Either way they are 24-10 ATS in their last 34 road games off a home loss, 10-2 ATS last 12 on the road after a game where they failed to cover and 5-0 last 5 on the road overall. Take Brown! 

5* NCAAB West Coast (WCC) GAME OF THE MONTH on Loyola Marymount +

I like the Lions to win this game outright, making them an easy play here as a decently priced dog. San Diego has been overvalued here of late, as the Toreros are just 2-5 ATS last 7. Last time out they got rolled by 17 points at St Mary's. They were also upset in their most recent home game, losing 76-71 to Pepperdine as a 8-point favorite. 

Loyola-Marymount comes in off a win over Pepperdine at home, but did fail to cover as a 4.5-point favorite. That's okay, as the Lions have cashed 8 of their last 10 games when coming off a ATS loss. Lions are also 8-3 ATS last 11 road games, 7-3 ATS last 10 conference games and 4-1 ATS last 5 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Take Loyola-Marymount! 

3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT  on Siena +

The Saints should have no problem cashing in a win here at Fairfield. Siena comes in off a win and cover at home against Niagara and won their last road game at Marist as a 3-point dog.

The Stags on the other hand have lost 3 straight and really don't have much of a home court edge. We saw that in their last game, which they lost at home 73-68 as a 3-point favorite. 

Fairfield is just 2-5-1 ATS last 8 home games and are 0-4 ATS last 4 vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games. Take Siena! 

3* NCAAB Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Riverside +

Great spot to back the Highlanders as a small dog against the Mustangs. UC-Riverside has covered 9 of their last 11 conference road games and are 9-1 ATS last 10 road games in the month of January. 

While neither of these teams have great records, the Highlanders are without a doubt the better team. Cal Poly is 0-3 ATS at home this season, they are 0-7 ATS last 10 off a conference loss by 10 or more, 0-6 ATS in their last 6 with a line of +3 to -3  and 0-8 ATS the last 2 seasons after 15 games when playing a team with a winning record. Take UC-Riverside! 

5* NCAAB Vegas Insider TOP PLAY on St. Peter's +

Love the Peacocks here. St. Peter's should have no problem winning this game, making them an easy play as a 3.5-point dog. The Purple Eagles should not be favored. These two teams have played 4 common opponents.

While the Peacocks are just 1-3, Niagara is 0-4. The defensive numbers really stand out, as St Peters only gave up 58.5 ppg in these 4, while the Purple Eagles are allowing 77 ppg. 

The Peacocks have gone 20-8 ATS in their last 28 road games against a team with a winning record. They are also 8-2 ATS last 10 in conference play and 4-0 ATS last 4 off a game where they failed to cover. 

Niagara has failed to cover 5 of their last 7, are a mere 2-11 ATS last 13 home games on Tuesday night and 4-18 ATS last 22 at home after playing 5 straight games as an underdog. Take St. Peter's!

3* NCAAB Vegas Oddsmakers ERROR on Marist -

The Red Foxes should be a bigger favorite here given what we saw when these two teams met earlier this month. Marist crushed Manhattan 78-63. The Red Foxes shot 56% from the field, while their defense limited the Jaspers to a mere 40% from the field. 

I just don't think Manhattan has a big enough home court edge to close the gap. In fact, the Jaspers have just 1 win on their home floor this season. They just played 4 straight on the road and are just 1-5 ATS last 6 after playing 3 or more on the road. Red Foxes are also 4-1 ATS last 5 road games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their home games and 4-1 ATS last 5 in this series. Take Marist! 

3* NBA Early Bird ATS ANNIHILATOR on Knicks +

I like the value here with New York in this one. There's no question that Oklahoma City is the more talented team, but the Thunder are not playing well as a team. Sure they come in off a 2-point win at Philadelphia, but they were just 1-5 SU and 1-5 ATS in their previous 6 games, which includes losses to both the Hawks and Lakers. 

Knicks are clearly aren't interested in winning a lot of games this season. New York comes in having lost 5 straight and are a mere 1-13 in their last 14 overall. These are the teams the public love to fade no matter who they are playing. Book have no choice but to inflate the line on the other side. The Knicks have covered 5 of the last 7 as a result and are also an impressive 7-3 ATS in their last 10 vs a team from the Western Conference. Take New York!  

3* NCAAB Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Fullerton +

This is going to look like an easy play on Long Beach State, as they come in 6-1 at home, while CS-Fullerton is a mere 1-10 on the road. The books have set the trap. The smart money here is going to be on the Titans. 

The 49ers have been getting all the calls the last couple of games, which is worth noting. Long Beach State is a mere 1-9 ATS in their last 10 at home after back-to-back games where they attempted 10+ more free throws than their opponents. Titans are also a strong 4-1 ATS last 5 vs a team with a losing record. Take CS-Fullerton! 

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Towson +

Love the value here with the Tigers at this price. Towson comes in having lost 6 straight and failed to cover the spread in all 6. It's been some bad luck for the Tigers, as all 6 losses have been respectable. The most they lost by in this stretch is 12-points. 

Delaware is coming in off a win and cover at home against James Madison. They have struggled i this spot historically, going just 39-61 ATS at home at a cover. I think the Blue Hens will really struggle to give the Tigers the respect they deserve. Wouldn't be shocked at all if Towson won this game.

Adding to this is a big time system in play on the Tigers. Underdogs who are coming off a game where they shot 33% or worse from the field are 78-34 (70%) ATS over the last 5 seasons in games where you have two average defensive teams that are allowing teams to shoot 42.5%-45%. Take Towson +6!

3* NCAAB Money Line ANNIHILATOR on Virginia +

Forget the spread, I'm taking the Cavaliers on the money line in their huge road showdown at Duke. Don't get me wrong, I think the Blue Devils are a great team, but I think the loss of point guard Tre Jones is huge for this team. Lucky for them its not going to keep him out long. 

However, I think not having Jones really puts Duke behind the 8-ball in terms of trying to hand Virginia their first loss of the season. The Cavaliers are playing like a team possessed after being the first No. 1 seed to lose to a No. 16 seed. I really like what I have seen, as they are a much better offensive team and still play lockdown defense. I look for the Blue Devils' young studs to struggle without Jones running the show. Take Virginia! 

3* NCAAB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on SMU +

Everyone is going to be on Memphis as a small home favorite and you have to think the books not only like the Mustangs to cover but win this game outright. I see it the same way. SMU is going to be extremely motivated here having lost their last two, including a rare home loss last time out against Houston. 

The big edge here for the Mustangs is their defense. SMU is only giving up 66.6 ppg on the season and have tightened up the screws even more in league play. Opponents are scoring just 64.2 ppg and shooting 39.6% from the field against the Mustangs. Memphis on the other hand is giving up 78.7 ppg in league play. Take SMU! 

3* NBA Afternoon Bookie DESTROYER on Thunder +

If this isn't the definition of a public trap, I don't know what is. The 76ers come in having won 3 straight. The last two being a 120-96 win at Indiana and a 149-107 thrashing of the Timberwolves at home. The Thunder come in off a home loss to the Lakers and are a mere 1-5 in their last 6. 

The public won't be able to bet the 76ers fast enough, which is why I'm jumping on OKC in this one. Good chances Embiid doesn't play, as he's dealing with a bad back. I think not having him against this Thunder team would be a big blow, but either way I think OKC gets back on track. Take Oklahoma City! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on James Madison +

Love the value here with the Dukes getting points at Drexel. The Dragons are coming in off a home win against Towson, where they held the Tigers to just 32.4% shooting. That's a rare good defensive effort for Drexel. The Dragons had allowed 10 of their last 11 opponents to shoot 48% or better. 

All of this sets up a great system to fade Drexel in this spot. Home favorites that are allowing teams to shoot 45% or better against them on the season are a mere 38-75 (33.6%) ATS after a game where they held a team to 33% or worse. Take James Madison! 

3* NBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Wolves -

This is just too good a price to pass up on with Minnesota at basically a pick'em at home. The Spurs have been playing better of late and come in off a win at Dallas, but are just 8-14 away from home this season. Timberwolves are 15-7 SU and 14-8 ATS at home compared to 6-16 SU and 9-13 ATS on the road. 

Big time bounce back spot for Minnesota, who just got annihilated in a 149-107 loss at Philadelphia last time out. On top of that, the Timberwolves have some serious revenge in play, as they lost 124-98 at San Antonio in the most recent meeting. 

Wolves are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 home games in the month of January and a perfect 9-0 ATS in their last 9 home games after a combined score of 215 or more in 2 straight games. Take Minnesota! 

5* NCAAB Vegas Insider TOP PLAY  on Marist +

Big time value here with the Red Foxes as a road dog against the Gaels. Marist is way undervalued right now, as they come in having lost 5 of their last 6. Iona is also overvalued having won 3 of 5. Gaels covered last time out and are just 5-21 ATS in their last 26 after covering their previous game. 

Marist has had no problem cashing in a winning ticket when they visit Iona, as they are 9-3-1 ATS last 13 trips to face the Gaels. 

It's also worth pointing out that Iona comes into this game off a 88-70 road win at Canisius, which puts the Gaels into a very profitable system to fade. Favorites on Friday nights that are coming off an upset win as a road dog are a mere 18-52 (25.7%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Marist! 

4* NCAAB Big West GAME OF THE WEEK on Riverside +

The Highlanders showing big time value here as a double-digit dog at Cal State-Fullerton. Riverside is 0-2 in Big West action, but have covered the spread in both games, including a cover as a double-digit dog at US-Santa Barbara last time out. 

Going back to last season the Highlanders are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs conference opponents and have gone 3-0-1 ATS last 4 off a SU loss. The Titans have no business laying this many points. Last time out they lost at home by 17 as a mere 3.5-point dog to UC-Irvine. That's after losing by 11 as a 3-point dog at Hawaii. Fullerton is 2-8 ATS last 10 overall, 1-4 ATS last 5 at home and 1-6 ATS last 7 off a loss. Take UC-Riverside! 

3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Omaha -

The Mavericks should have no problem leaving Western Illinois with a win, making them an easy play for me as a small road favorite. Nebraska-Omaha comes in with a respectable 9-8 record and are off to a 3-1 start in league play. 

The Mavericks are an offensive force to say the least. Omaha has scored at least 83 points in 7 straight games, eclipsing 90 in each of their last 2. the Leathernecks are giving up 79.6 ppg and allowing teams to shoot 51.1% from the floor in their 1-4 start to conference play. Western Illinois simply doesn't have the offensive fire-power to keep it close. Take Nebraska-Omaha! 

3* NBA Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE on Hornets -

Easy play here on Charlotte at basically a pick'em at home. I think we are getting big time value here with the Hornets because of the fact that the Kings come in having won and covered 3 straight, including a win and cover against these very Hornets on their home floor. 

Charlotte won at San Antonio, but finished up their 6-game road trip at 2-4. I think whenever a team struggles on a long trip, they end up showing some decent value in their first game back home. Add in the revenge angle here and I not only like the Hornets to cover, but I got them winning this game in a blowout. 

Kings are just 1-4 ATS last 5 road games vs a team with a winning home record and Kings head coach Dave Joerger is a mere 44-68 ATS last 112 when working on 2 or more consecutive wins. Take Charlotte! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Manhattan +

We are getting a great price here on the Jaspers in Thursday's road slate at St. Peter's. It's been a rough go for Manhattan, who is just 3-13 on the season and 1-3 in league play, but it's not been a whole lot better for the Peacocks, who have won a mere 5 games. 

Road team has had the edge in this series, covering 4 of the last 5 and the Jaspers are a red-hot 6-1 in their last 7 trips to St. Peter's. Last year they won 68-57 as a very similarly priced 5.5-point dog. Take Manhattan! 

5* NCAAB Heavy Hitter GAME OF THE MONTH on James Madison +

The Dukes should have no problem covering the small number here at Delaware, as I got them winning this game outright. James Madison comes in off two strong games, as they beat Towson 74-65 as a 4-point favorite and won 69-58 at home against College of Charleston as a 8.5-point dog. 

As for the Blue Hens, they just lost at College of Charleston by 13, snapping their 4-game win streak. I look for Delaware to struggle again here, as they are just 5-15 ATS last 20 at home after going 4-1 in their previous 5 games.

The Dukes are also 9-3 ATS in their last 12 vs a quality team that's won more than 60% of their games and 8-2 ATS last 10 on the road after playing 3 or more consecutive games at home. Take James Madison! 

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Towson +

This series has been dominated by the road dog. The road team has covered 8 of the last 12 and the underdog has cashed in 11 of the last 17. Towson is 4-1-1 in their last 6 trips to Drexel. I not only like them to keep it within the number, but I think the Tigers win this game outright. 

Thees are two of the worst teams in the Colonial Athletic and there's just not any home court edge for a team like the Dragons. One area where Towson should have a big edge is on the boards. Tigers are outrebounding opponents by an average of 6/game. Dragons are 2-9 ATS last 11 games vs a team that averages +4 or better rebound margin and have lost these game by an average of 10 points. Take Towson! 

5* NBA Western Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on Clippers -

I absolutely love this spot and price on the Clippers at home against the Jazz. I think this is the ideal spot to jump on Los Angeles and the perfect time to fade Utah. 

We know we are getting a big effort here from the Clippers, as they have to be looking at this game as a must win. After this they host the Warriors and then play 4 straight on the road. They come in having lost 3 straight and things can spiral out of control quickly if you aren't careful, especially in the Western Conference. 

Utah has won a season-high 4 straight games, but haven't exactly looked great doing so and the 4 wins all came at home against the likes of the Magic, Lakers, Bulls and Pistons. Jazz are still without their top 3 point guards, which has forced Donovan Mitchell to play out of position. It's resulted in some really bad offense and a bunch of turnovers here of late. 

Clippers are 17-7 ATS last 24 as a favorite. Jazz are 15-28 Last 43 as a road dog of 6 or less. Utah is also 2-6 ATS last 8 off a win and 1-4 ATS last 5 on the road vs a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Take Los Angeles! 

4* NCAAB American Athletic GAME OF THE WEEK on SMU +

Too much value here with the Mustangs to pass up. Houston comes in with a 16-1 record and ranked in the Top 25. They started out the season 10-4 ATS and are simply way overvalued by the books right now. We have seen that inflation cost their backers in each of their 2 games, as they failed to cover in an outright loss at Temple and most recently as a 11-point home favorite against Wichita St (won by 9). 

SMU got off to a bit of a slow start, but come in having won 5 of their last 6, including an impressive 20-point win over Tulsa as a 8.5-point favorite last time out. The defense has really picked up for the Mustangs and we know we are getting their best on that side of the ball at home against a big time rival. 

Mustangs are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 at home after a win and 11-3 ATS in their last 14 at home off a win by 15 or more points. Take SMU! 

3* NCAAB SEC PLAY OF THE DAY on Vanderbilt -

This line tells you all you need to know. Vanderbilt is 0-3 in SEC play and is a 3.5-point favorite over South Carolina, who is 3-0 in conference action. Commodores only home game in SEC play was against Ole Miss, who at the time was playing out of their mind and I think they caught Vandy by surprise. 

That won't be the case here, as we know we are going to get the best the Commodores have to offer in this one. Even with that loss at home to the Rebels, Vanderbilt is still 8-2 at home, where they are averaging an impressive 86.1 ppg and shooting 50% from the field. 

Gamecocks are a mere 6-15 ATS in their last 21 vs a team that's shooting 45% or better from the field and they are 1-4 ATS last 5 trips to face the Commodores. Take Vanderbilt! 

4* NBA Western Conf GAME OF THE WEEK on Nuggets +

The betting public will be all over Golden State here, as the Warriors have started to play well and will be out for revenge from an earlier loss at Denver. I just don't see that being the case. Like it or not the Nuggets aren't going anywhere this season. 

For all the star power that Golden State has, they are still not the same team on the road as they are at home and Denver comes in with a 18-3 record on their home floor and are riding a 12-game winning streak at the Pepsi Center. 

Nuggets have covered 17 of their last 22 at home against teams from the Pacific Division and are 12-1 ATS at home this season when coming off a win. Warriors are just 5-16 ATS in their last 21 vs a team from the Western Conference and 3-7 ATS last 10 on the road against a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Take Denver! 

3* NCAAB Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR on Akron -

Great spot to jump on the Zips at home. We can bank on a big time effort here from Akron coming off back-to-back upset losses on the road to Central Michigan and Northern Illinois. They should have no problem covering this number against an Eagles side that has been bad on the road. 

Eastern Michigan is a mere 1-5 SU and 1-5 ATS away from home. The Zips on the other hand are 7-1 at home this season. The defensive numbers really stand out here with the home/away splits. Eagles are giving up 80.7 ppg and 50.6% shooting on the road. Akron is allowing just 55.9 ppg and 34.7% shooting at home. 

Big time system in play here as well. Home favorites off 2 or more consecutive losses as a road favorite are 105-58 (64%) ATS dating all the way back to 1997.  Take Akron! 

3* NBA Vegas Oddsmakers ERROR  on Nets +

Forget the points, go for the bigger payday with Brooklyn as a home dog against the Celtics. The Nets have been playing like a legit playoff contender in the east, as they enter having gone 13-5 over their last 18. The big knock on Brooklyn is how they have struggled with some of the top teams. 

They just lost by 17 last time out at Toronto and recently were embarrassed in a 116-95 defeat at Boston. That recent meeting with the Celtics is a big reason why I like the Nets here, as they will be out for some big time revenge and have been playing extremely well on their home floor. 

I would expect a big effort from Boston having lost their last two, but I just don't like how this team is playing at the moment. They shot the ball poorly in each of their last two games, road losses at Miami and Orland and are not the same defensive team on the road. Take Brooklyn! 

3* NCAAB Power 5 PLAY OF THE DAY  on Pitt +

This is a great price to get the Panthers at home. This is a much improved Pitt team from a year. The Panthers were 8-24 overall and 0-18 in ACC play last season. They are off to an 11-5 start and while they are just 1-2 in league play, they have home loss to UNC and a close road loss at NC State. The win was a victory at home over Louisville as a dog. 

Florida State is a really good team, but I think it's really asking a lot for the Seminoles to go on the road here and blowout the Panthers. This is an absolutely brutal spot for FSU, who just suffered a gut-wrenching 80-78 loss to Duke at home, where the Blue Devils won the game on a last second 3-pointer. Those are the kind of losses that are difficult to bounce back from. 

I just don't think the energy will be there for the Seminoles and wouldn't be shocked at all if Pitt won this game outright. Panthers are 11-4 ATS last 15 overall, 12-3-1 ATS last 16 vs a team with a winning record and 5-0-1 ATS last 6 off a SU loss. FSU is 0-8 ATS last 8 as a road favorite and 0-6 ATS last 6 on the road after a home game where both teams scored 75+ points. Take Pittsburgh! 

4* NBA Vegas ATS HEAVY HITTER on Rockets -

Houston is playing too well right now to pass up playing them as a short road favorite against the Magic. Orlando comes in off an upset win at home over the Celtics on Saturday. While that win looks great, I'm expecting a big letdown playing on no rest. Magic had lost 4 straight, all by double-digits, leading up to that game. Orlando is also 7-20 ATS last 27 at home off an upset win as a dog. 

Adding to this is a great system in play on the Rockets. Road favorites of a blowout win by at least 20 points in a game involving two teams that are scoring 102+ points/game are 70-38 (64.8%) ATS her the last 5 seasons. Take Houston!