4* NBA Over/Under Total Annihilator on OVER

I'm expecting a much-higher scoring game than what most will anticipate tonight when the Mavericks host the Knicks. Dallas is known as a team that is limited offensively and likes to play at a slow pace. While that's true to an extent, you have to look at who they are playing and the current form.

While the Mavs are averaging just 96.6 ppg on the season, they come in scoring 104.2 ppg over their last 5, shooting just under 47% from the field as a team. Good chance they keep it rolling against a Knicks team that is allowing 107.4 ppg over their last 5 and 110.3 ppg on the road. Knicks are more than capable of keeping pace offensively, as they average 105.6 ppg on the season and are scoring 109.6 ppg over their last 5.

OVER is 42-18 in the Mavs last 60 home games off a home win by 20 or more points and a perfect 7-0 in the Knicks last 7 off a road win. Take the OVER!

5* NBA Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Bucks -

The 76ers added to their incredible run of late with a 121-110 win at home over the Clippers last night, spoiling the return of Blake Griffin. That's now 9 wins in 12 games for Philadelphia. While I think this will continue to be a good team to back going forward, this spot is not one of them. The 76ers are playing on no rest, plus it will be their 4th game in the last 6 days overall. They won't have Joel Embiid for this contest and Jahlil Okafor is questionable. It reminds me a lot of their last road game, where they got crushed by 17 at Atlanta.

Milwaukee isn't going to take the 76ers lightly, as they come into this game 1-5 over their last 6. Though they did get a big win last time out in a 127-114 win at home over the Rockets. That's the kind of win you can build on. Another reason the Bucks won't overlook Philadelphia, is they just lost at home to the 76ers 104-113 back on 1/16. Keep in mind they were only a 8.5-favorite that time, so the books see this as a much bigger mismatch. 76ers are just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games after a contest where both teams scored 100+ and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 when playing on 0 days rest. Take Milwaukee!

4* NCAAB Situational Undervalued Underdog on Texas Tech +

I really like the value here with the Red Raiders as a near double-digit dog on the road against Baylor. The Bears come in at 18-1 and ranked No. 5 in the country. While Baylor is a talent team, I think they are bit overvalued right now. I also think this is a bit of a flat spot for the Bears off 3 straight wins by 9 or more with a big 2-game road trip coming up, where they go out of conference to take on Ole Miss Saturday and then quickly turn around and play at Kansas.

Texas Tech on the other hand is a team that I believe is going to come out with a chip on their shoulder tonight. The Red Raiders were embarrassed in their last game at home, losing 64-83 to Oklahoma State, who at the time had yet to win a Big 12 game. This Tech team is certainly capable of putting up a fight here and let's not forget they won 84-66 at Baylor as a 10.5-point dog last year. The Bears are just 4-12 ATS in their last 16 home games when playing only their 2nd game in a week, 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games off a conference win and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games after playing 2 straight games as a favorite. Take Texas Tech!

4* NBA No Doubt ATS Blowout on Cavs -

Whenever LeBron James makes a public statement bashing the play of his team, chances are I'm going to be on them the next time out. Cleveland has clearly not played well of late, but I believe the bleeding stops here, at least for this game. James is going to be sure to back up his words with a strong showing and the rest of the team is going to play their hearts out here.

That should be more than enough for the Cavs to turn this into a blowout against the Kings. Sacramento is as inconsistent as they come and figure to be running on fumes right now. This is the Kings 4th straight game on the road in a span of just 6 days. They made their trip to Cleveland around the same time last year and lost by 20 and that was without James calling out his teammates. It's also worth noting the Cavs won at Sacramento 120-108 back on 1/13 and the Kings are just 4-13 ATS in their last 17 road games when revenging a home loss. Take the Cleveland!

4* NCAAB Vegas ATS Shocker on UCF +

I like the value here with the Knights catching points at home against the Mustangs. SMU is 17-4 and the more recognized program, but this UCF team is more than capable of beating them at home. The Knights are just 1-game back in the loss column in the American Athletic and are 10-1 at home this season. SMU is also not nearly as efficient on the road as they are at home. The Mustangs average 73.2 ppg, but are scoring just 67.7 ppg on the road. They allow a mere 59.4 ppg on the season, but are giving up 65.0 ppg on the road. UCF is scoring 72.0 ppg and allowing just 55.8 ppg at home.

Great system back the Knights in this one as well. Home underdogs off a conference road loss against an opponent off a home win where they scored 85 or more points are 67-34 (66.3%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take UCF!

4* NBA Late Night ATS Heavy Hitter on Wolves +

I like the value here with the Timberwolves as a short road favorite here. Minnesota has had their way with the Suns in each of the first two meetings this season. They won by 13 at Phoenix on 11/25 and 7 at home on 12/19. The Suns come into this one off back-to-back wins over the Knicks and Raptors and I think it has them getting a little bit too much love here against a team they clearly don't matchup well with.

Everyone knows the Timberwolves are a talented young team, but haven't been able to play up to their potential. I think they are starting to get it figured out under Thibs and they come in ahving gone 5-2 SU in their last 7 and have covered the number in 6 of their last 8 games. Minnesota is 15-5 ATS in their last 20 road games after a combined score of 215 or more and the Suns are 5-15 ATS in their last 20 after covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games. Take Minnesota!

5* NCAAB Big 12 GAME OF THE MONTH on Iowa State -

I really like the value here with the Cyclones as a short home favorite against the Wildcats. Iowa State is tough to beat on their home court and after falling to Kansas in their last home game, I expect a huge effort here by the Cyclones. Iowa State is 7-2 at home on the season and are 51-20 ATS in their last 71 at home as a favorite of 6 or less. They are also 30-16 ATS in their last 46 home games off a conference win.

Kansas State is getting a lot of respect here off their big win at home over West Virginia, but I actually think that has them primed for a letdown here on the road. The Wildcats are just 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a game where they covered the spread. Take Iowa State!

4* NBA Situational ATS Annihilator on Wizards +

If you follow the NBA closely, you know these two teams don't like each other. So while the Wizards are going to be playing on no rest after last night's 109-99 win at Charlotte, I don't think it's going have a negative impact on their play here. Especially given that Washington will be out for revenge from a 108-117 loss at Boston back on 1/11. Keep in mind the Wizards won the first meeting this year 118-93 at home.

Washington comes into this one having won 10 straight at home and have covered the spread in 6 straight games. That's a sign of a team that's not getting the respect it deserves and for the Wizards it's because of how bad they started out this season. The Celtics aren't exactly in prime form, as they come in having lost 2 straight at home and will be without a key piece in Avery Bradley.

Celtics are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 after scoring 120 or more points in their previous game, while Washington is 11-3 ATS in their last 14 at home with a total of 210 or more and 10-2 in their last 12 at home when revenging a loss where they allowed 110 or more. Take Washington!

4* NCAAB Vegas Line Mistake on Pittsburgh +

I like the value here with the Panthers catching a decent number here at home against the Cardinals. Pittsburgh will be out for revenge in this one, as they lost at Louisville earlier this year in a game where they nearly had a remarkable comeback. The Panthers were down 21 at the half and were within a possession of tying the game. The big turnaround came from Pitt switching to a 1-3-1 zone. I expect to see a lot of that tonight and this time the catch Louisville without starting point guard Quentin Snider.

This also has the feeling of a must-win game for Pittsburgh, who has lost 4 straight come in. Big thing to keep in mind, is 3 of those came on the road and the Panthers are 9-2 at home. Most will be quick to back Louisville off a loss, but I think that game against FSU took a lot out of this team and I think the Panthers have an excellent shot at winning this game outright. Take Pittsburgh!

4* NCAAB Undervalued Underdog on Auburn +

I like the value here with the Tigers as a near double-digit road dog against the Gamecocks. Auburn comes in having won 3 of their last 4 with the only loss come at Kentucky. Last time out they destroyed Alabama by 20-points at home. This Tigers team is young and talented and starting to figure it out.

I believe they are catching South Carolina at the right time. The Gamecocks just had their 5-game winning streak snapped in a 69-85 loss at Kentucky. SC could also be missing a key piece, as PJ Dozier is questionable after sitting out the previous game with bask spasms. For him to not play against Kentucky, makes me think it's a little more serious and even if he does suit up, he won't be 100%.

Gamecocks are just 18-34 ATS in their last 52 home games off a loss by 10 or more, while the Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 off a SU win. Take Auburn!

4* NBA Undervalued Underdog on Heat +

All the talk is on the Warriors and their recent run, but I think Golden State struggles to blowout the Heat tonight. The Warriors will be playing on no rest and their 3rd game in the last 4 nights overall. Sure they won by 20 over the Magic yesterday, but they couldn't miss from long-distance. They made 19 threes and shot 45.2% from behind the 3-point line. Not to mention the Magic are a mess right now.

Miami comes in having won 3 straight and none more impressive during this stretch than a 109-103 win at home over the Rockets as a 7-point dog. The Heat held the high-powered Rockets to just 40% shooting. I'm not expecting an outright win here for Miami, but I think this line is inflated to the point that there's simply too much value on the Heat to pass up. Take Miami!

5* NBA Vegas Insider Top Play on Spurs/Nets OVER

I don't think the books have set the bar high enough for tonight's total between the Spurs and Nets. Brooklyn is a bad team, but their ability to put up points combined with their inability to play defense, makes them a great team to back on the OVER. The Nets come in averaging 106.2 ppg , while allowing 114.9 ppg. The Spurs can make great defenses look average and should have no problem scoring at will here against Brooklyn. San Antonio is averaging 108.1 ppg on the road this season and scored 130 on the Nets in the first meeting this season.

OVER is 12-4 in the Spurs last 16 after 3 or more consecutive wins  and 13-3 in their last 16 after shooting 50% or better from the field in each of their last 3 games. OVER is 13-4 in the Nets Last 17 non-conference games and 23-9 in their last 32 when they come in having failed to cover the spread in 5 or 6 of their last 7 games. Take the OVER!

4* NCAAB Small Conference ATS Annihilator on Quinnipiac +

I like the value here with the Bobcats catching double-digits against the Gaels. Iona has the better overall record, but the two teams are both sitting at 5-4 in the MAAC. Not to mention Quinnipiac just beat the Gaels at home 97-91. Iona might get their revenge here, but I'm expecting a close game throughout and for the Bobcats to keep it well within the number here.

There's also a strong system in play here. Road underdogs off 2 straight wins by 6 points or less against an opponent off a game where they scored 85 or more points are 51-25 (67%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Iona is also just 7-18 ATS in their last 25 when revenging a loss as a road favorite and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games after 2 or more wins. Take Quinnipiac!

4* NBA No Doubt ATS Blowout on Timberwolves -

I really like the value here with Minnesota laying a short number at home against the Nuggets. The Timberwolves are slowing starting to turn the corner and have been a covering machine here of late. Minnesota is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 and 14-6 ATS in their last 20.

The Nuggets have also been playing well, but are getting a little too much respect here after a blowout win at home over the Clippers, who are minus their two best players. The big key here is that Denver is now playing on the road in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set and their 3rd in the last 4 nights overall.

The Timberwolves will be out for double-revenge here. They lost 99-102 at home on 11/3 and then 103-105 at Denver on 12/28. I don't see them losing another close and I think this could get ugly. Take Minnesota!

4* NCAAB Situational ATS Annihilator on VCU -

I think we are getting some decent value here with VCU at laying less than double-digits at home against La Salle. We should get a max effort from the Rams after back-to-back losses to Davidson and Fordham. It's not like they played bad in either game, losing by 6 at Davidson and 2 at Fordham. Now they return home where they are 8-1 on the season and last time they played at home they annihilated George Washington 85-55.

VCU comes in averaging 80.4 ppg at home, while only giving up 62.8 ppg at home. While La Salle comes in averaging 82.3 ppg, I don't see them hitting that mark against a stingy and motiveated VCU defense. On the flip side of this, the Rams should score at will here, as La Salle is giving up 78.7 ppg on the season and a staggering 84.9 ppg on the road. Rams are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 home games against a team with a losing road record and 21-9 ATS in their last 30 against the A-10. Take VCU!

4* NBA No Doubt ATS Blowout on Bucks +

I know Milwaukee is playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back road set, but I just feel the books have over-adjusted on this line. I look for the Bucks to have no problem here against a Heat team that is a mere 13-30 overall this season. The big key here is Miami could have a hard time getting up for this one, as they are set to host the Warriors on Monday. It's also worth pointing out that the Bucks are 7-2 SU & 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings in this series.

We also find a strong system in play backing the Bucks. Road underdogs that have allowed 105 or more in 3 straight games against an opponent off a win by 6 points or less are 33-4 (89%) against the spread over the last 5 seasons. Take Milwaukee!

4* NBA Over/Under Total Annihilator on Blazers/Celtics OVER

I like the value here with the total, as I'm expecting a shootout in Boston tonight. The Celtics have been scoring at will on the offensive end of late, as they have scored 100+ in 16 straight games. Hard to image that streak coming to an end against Portland. The Blazers are giving up 112.0 ppg on the road this season. Boston also figures to push the pace here coming off a 2-day break. I think the Celtics are going to hit 220 or more and the Blazers should be able to get at least 100. Boston has allowed 100 or more in 14 of their last 15 games.

OVER is 22-13 in the Blazers last 35 with a total of 210 or more and 16-5 in the Celtics last 21 home games after a game where both teams scored 105 or more points. Take the OVER!

4* NCAAB Vegas Line Mistake on Minnesota +

I think we are getting some big time value here with the Gophers catching points at home against the Badgers. Wisconsin is an elite team, but winning on the road in the Big 10 is no easy task, especially against a pissed off an highly motivated Minnesota team that comes in off back-to-back road losses. While the Gophers are just 3-3 in the Big Ten, two of those losses have come by a combined 3-points and they have played 4 of their 6 conference games on the road. I expect an all out effort here from Minnesota and I think it will be tough for Wisconsin to match that intensity.

One of the Badgers strengths is rebounding and the Gophers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 against teams who are outrebounding opponents by 7 or more rebounds/game. They are also 7-1 ATS in their last 8 against teams who commit 14 or fewer turnovers/game and 10-2 ATS in their last 12 when facing an elite team that has won 80% or more of their games. Take Minnesota!

5* NCAAB No Limit ACC Game of the Week on Florida State -

I really like the value here with the Seminoles laying just 3-points at home against the Cardinals. Florida State has failed to cover their last two, but it's not like they haven't played well. Last time out they won 83-80 at home over a very good Notre Dame team as a 5.5-point favorite. On the flip side, Louisville is getting all kind of love, as they have won 4 straight and gone 3-1 ATS during the stretch.

The big key here is this is the first real test for the Cardinals away from home since they played at Notre Dame, which was their last loss (70-77). FSU has already beat the likes of Duke, Virginia Tech and Florida at home and I just don't think the majority of people realize just how good this team is. Seminoles are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games off a win and a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games after playing their previous game at home. Take Florida State!

4* NCAAB Early Bird Undervalued Underdog on Penn St +

I really like the value here with the Nittany Lions as a double-digit dog against the Boilermakers. Penn State is a feisty team that really gets after you defensively and is very patient on the offensive end. We have already see them knock off the likes of Michigan State and Minnesota, with close 3-point losses to both Michigan and Indiana. I don't think they can win here, but I expect this one to be a lot closer than the books are calling for. I see an inflated line with Purdue off that big blowout 91-68 win at home over Illinois.

Great system in play backing the Nittany Lions. Road underdogs of 10 or more points off a conference home loss against an opponent off a home win by 10 or more are 92-47 (66%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Penn State!

4* NBA Late Night ATS Annihilator on Pacers -

I like the value here with Indiana laying a short number on the road against the Lakers. These two teams are headed in completely different directions. The Pacers are finally starting to play up to their potential, as they are 7-1 in their last 8. The only loss coming in their game in London. Last time out they erased a 20+ point deficit in a 106-100 win at Sacramento and that's the kind of win that you can build off of.

As for the Lakers, they have lost 5 straight and are a mere 5-21 in their last 26, which came after their surprising 10-10 start to the season. Indiana is the more talented team and playing the better basketball and we know we will get a big effort from the Pacers with this game being televised on ESPN. Indiana's road record on the season isn't great, but the Lakers are just 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 home games against a team with a losing road record. Take Indiana!

4* NBA Situational Undervalued Underdog on 76ers +2

I like the value here with Philadelphia as a small home dog against the Blazers. Philadelphia is starting to turn things around behind the outstanding play of big man Joel Embidd. The 76ers have won 2 straight and 7 of their last 9 overall. The only losses comes at Boston and Washington. Last time out they knocked off the Raptors 94-89 at home. Most just point to that being a bad game for Toronto, but a lot of it has to do with how this Philadelphia team is playing. For the first time in a long time, they believe they can win.

The things is the books are going to be slow to adjust their lines, as it's going to take the public more than just a 9-game stretch to start trusting this team. I like their chances of winning here at home against a Blazers team that is playing with zero confidence and have struggled to the tune of a 7-17 record on the road.

76ers are 23-14 ATS in their last 37 games as an underdog, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 against a team with a losing record and 8-1 ATS in their last 9 overall. Take Philadelphia!

5* NBA Vegas Insider Game of the Month on Raptors +1.5

I like the value here with the Raptors as a small road dog against the Hornets. Toronto is going to come out with a chip on their shoulder after ending their 4-game winning streak with a 89-94 loss at Philadelphia. Charlotte on the other hand is getting a lot of love here after a 107-85 blowout win over the Blazers at home. Beating Portland by 20+ at home isn't anything to get overly excited about with the way the Blazers have struggled on the road this season. Let's not forget this Hornets team had lost their previous 5 games.

Toronto has lost consecutive games just 4 times this season. The common factor in all 4 is the second loss came when the Raptors were playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set. That's not the case here tonight and I look for Toronto to find a way to win this one. Raptors are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 after a SU loss and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games against a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Charlotte is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 off a cover and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Take Toronto!

4* NCAAB Vegas ATS Shocker on Clemson +

I like the value here with the Tigers as a decent priced road dog against the Cardinals. Clemson comes in way undervalued due to having lost 4 straight. The thing is this Tigers team is more talented than their 4-game losing streak would lead on and we can expect a max effort here against Louisville.

As for the Cardinals, they have to be feeling pretty good about themselves after winning three straight. The most recent being a 9-point win at home against Duke. Keep in mind, prior to that big game against the Blue Devils, they only beat Pitt at home by 5-points. I believe we see a similar type of letdown here.

Tigers are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 as an underdog and 10-2 ATS in their last 12 after failing to cover the spread in 4 or more consecutive games. Take Clemson!

5* NBA No Limit Top Play on Knicks +

I like the value here with New York as a home dog against the Wizards. New York is coming off their best game in quite some time, as they went on the road an upset the Celtics 117-106 as a 8.5-point dog last night. The thing is, this team is still getting zero respect because of how bad they have been of late (3-11 L14). Washington also come in off a win last night over Memphis and have won 3 straight overall, but all 3 wins came at home. I look for the Wizards to struggle here in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set on the road, especially when you factor in that Washington is just 4-13 away from home on the season.

Wizards are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 off a close win by 3 points or less, 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games against a team with a winning home record and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 when playing on 0 days rest. Knicks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games and 11-0 ATS in their last 11 home games after a division game last time out. Take New York!

4* NCAAB Situational Undervalued Underdog on Connecticut +

I like the value here with the Huskies catching a big number on the road against the Mustangs. UConn hasn't been as good as people expected, but have started to turn the corner of late, winning 2 of their last 3 and covering all 3. Last time out they lost by just 3-points as a 7.5-point dog at Georgetown and I look for them to take this one right down to the wire against SMU.

The Mustangs are getting a lot of love due to their perfect 11-0 record and home and fresh off a 16-point win at Tulane. I think SMU has some trouble here getting up for UConn and turning this into a blowout. The Huskies are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 as a dog of 7 to 12.5 points and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 following a cover in their last game. Take UConn!

5* NBA Vegas Insider Top Play on Kings -

I like the value here with the Kings laying a short number at home against the Pacers. Sacramento is just 1-5 in their last 6, but are primed for a big effort here and will finally have some fresh legs playing just their 2nd game in the last 5 days.

The big key here is the Pacers just aren't a good road team. Indiana has a winning overall record at 21-19, but are a mere 5-14 on the road and this is a long way from Indiana. Not to mention the Pacers are probably still filling the hangover effect from their trip to London last week.

Pacers are a mere 1-10 ATS in their last 11 road games after a SU win, while the Kings are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 after playing a game as a home dog and 14-5 ATS in their last 19 off a SU loss. Take Sacramento!

4* NCAAB Situational ATS Annihilator on Nebraska -

I really like the value here with the Cornhuskers laying a short number at home against the Buckeyes. Nebraska got off to that surprising 3-0 start in Big Ten play, which included wins at Indiana and Maryland. However, they have since lost 2 straight and are once again not getting the respect they deserve. This is a talented team and one of the best coached teams in the league and are going to lay it all the line in this one.

Ohio State is a middle of the pack team in the Big 10 and are getting way to much respect here off a 72-67 win at home over Michigan State. Prior to that they had started out 0-4 in Big Ten play, which included 3 losses on the road. The Buckeyes have had all kind of struggles away from home, as they are just 1-5 in road games this season.

Ohio State is 8-24-1 ATS in their last 33 road games against a team with a winning home record, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 as a road dog and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 off a win. Nebraska is 14-5 ATS in their last 19 as a home favorite of 6.5 or less and 26-12 in their last 38 when listed as a home favorite of 3 points or less. Take Nebraska!

4* NCAAB Vegas Line Mistake on Wake Forest +

I really like the value here with the Demon Deacons as a short home dog against the Hurricanes. Wake Forest isn't an elite team, but are a much tougher out at home than they are on the road. The Demon Deacons are 6-2 at home compared to 4-5 on the road and one of those home losses was a hard fought 87-93 loss to North Carolina. That was actually their last game, which came last Wednesday. Wake has had a full 7 days to prepare for this one and I expect an all out effort.

I don't know that the Hurricanes will be able to match the intensity of the Demon Deacons. Miami comes in off a big 72-46 blowout win on the road over Wake Forest, which was a special win, as Jim Larranaga got his 600th win. Now they have to play their 2nd straight on the road with just 3 days of rest and will have a hard time not looking ahead to Saturday's huge showdown at Duke.

Miami is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 after covering 2 of their last 3 and 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games when they come in having won 8 or more of their last 10. Hurricanes are also 1-7 ATS in their last 8 against teams who attempts 21 or more 3 point shots per game. Take Wake Forest!

4* NBA Over/Under Total No Brainer on Blazers/Hornets OVER

I don't think the books have set the total high enough for Wednesday's non-conference clash between the Blazers and Hornets. Neither of these teams are playing much defense right now. The Blazers are giving up 110.7 ppg on the season and 113.0 ppg on the road. Don't see a big effort on defense from Portland in this one. Charlotte has been even worse defensively of late, as they have allowed 100+ in 8 straight games and have allowed 110 or more in 5 of those. Portland can score the basketball, as they average 107.9 ppg overall and 107.1 ppg on the road.

OVER is 13-5 in the Blazers last 18 road games with a total of 210 or more and 13-4 in the Hornets last 17 after going under the total in their previous game. Take the OVER!

4* NCAAB Undervalued Underdog on Oklahoma +

I think there's some big time value here with the Sooners as a massive road dog against the Mountaineers. Oklahoma is clearly down from last year, but are still a talented team that can hang with the Big 12 elite. They come in playing with a lot of confidence after a 84-75 home win over Texas Tech, but are still way undervalued due to the fact that they had lost their previous 7.

I expect a big time effort here from the Sooners, while this could prove to be a tough spot for West Virginia. The Mountaineers are feeling good about themselves after winning 3 straight, but could easily look past Oklahoma with a big road game at Kansas State on Saturday and even bigger game Tuesday at home against Kansas.

Road dogs of 10 or more that have allowed 75 or more in 3 straight games and off a win of 6 points or less are a very strong 148-94 (61%) ATS since 1997. Sooners are also 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 as a dog. Take Oklahoma!

5* NCAAB Mountain West Game of the Month on Boise State -

I think the books have made a big mistake here making the Broncos a relatively short home favorite against the Lobos. This is a prime bounce back spot for Boise State at home, as they just had their 7-game winning streak snapped in a poor showing on the road against Fresno State. Now the Broncos return home, where they are a perfect 7-0 on the season and outscoring opponents on their home floor by an average of 78.7 to 60.6.

As for New Mexico, they are just 3-6 on the road this season and despite a win at Colorado State last time out are not playing well of late. The Lobos are just 1-3 in their last 4 and that includes home losses to both Nevada and UNLV as favorites. New Mexico is giving up 77.4 ppg on the road this season and I just don't see them being able to keep pace here, as I have Boise State winning by double-digits.

Broncos are red-hot from long-distance and are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 after 2 straight games where they made 10 or more of their 3-point attempts. They are also 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games and 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 as a favorite of 6.5 or less. Take Boise State!

4* NBA Over/Under Total No Brainer on Mavs/Bulls UNDER

I'm expecting a very low-scoring game here when the Bulls host the Mavericks on Tuesday. Neither of these two teams like to play at a very fast pace. Chicago ranks 23rd in pace and Dallas is tied for last in pace with Utah. The big key here is the Bulls are going to be out for revenge from an ugly 82-107 loss at Dallas earlier this season. That's going to have Chicago locked in on the defensive side of the ball and this team can get after you defensively when they want to. More than anything, I just don't see enough possessions here for this one to reach 200, especially when you factor in both of these teams rank in the bottom of the league in offensive efficiency.

UNDER is 31-15 in the Bulls last 46 when revenging a loss where they allowed 100 or more points, 8-3 in their last 11 home games and 8-1 in their last 9 at home against a team with a losing road record. UNDER is also 7-3 in the Mavs last 10 following a cover, 4-1 in their last 5 road games against a team with a winning home record and 7-0 in their last 7 games when playing on 1 day of rest. Take the UNDER!

4* NCAAB Situational ATS Annihilator on Texas A&M -

I really like the value here with the Aggies laying a short number at home against the Razorbacks. Texas A&M is a much better team than their 1-4 start in SEC play would suggest and a big part of the slow start is they have played 3 of their first 5 on the road. I see this is a do or die situation for the Aggies at home against a Arkansas team that has also struggled early on in SEC play. I expect an all out effort here from Texas A&M. As for Arkansas, this isn't a great spot for them, as they come in off a comfortable 19-points win at home over Missouri, but that's nothing to get excited about (favored by 14).

The Razorbacks are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 as an underdog, 10-28 ATS in their last 38 road games after a combined score of 165 or more points and 7-19 ATS in their last 26 after a game where they shot 55% or better from the field. Aggies are 66-45 ATS in their last 111 home games off a SU loss and 12-3 ATS in their last 15 home games against teams who are shooting 45% or better from the field. Take Texas A&M!

4* NBA Late Night ATS Bailout on Jazz -

I think we are getting some decent value here with the Jazz on the road laying a relatively short number against the Suns. Utah is starting to play well, as they finally have most of their key pieces in place. The Jazz have won 3 straight and are 8-3 in their last 11 overall. I really like how they matchup with the Suns, who aren't a great team to start with and don't play any defense. Utah on the other hand is a dominant defensive team. The Jazz are allowing just 94.8 ppg, while the Suns are giving up 111.8 ppg. 

Phoenix comes in off a surprising 108-105 win over the Spurs as a 12.5-point dog and that sets them up in a great spot to fade. The Suns are just 1-12 ATS in their last 13 off a win by 6 or less. Utah is 18-7 ATS in their last 25 as a road favorite and 11-4 ATS in their last 15 road games against a team that has a losing road record. Take Utah! 

5* NCAAB Vegas Insider Top Play on DePaul +

I like the value here with DePaul catching a big number against a St. John's team that I think is right on the same level as the Blue Demons. DePaul did lose at home 73-79 to St. John's a couple weeks ago, but that could have went either way. I think it gives the Blue Demons an edge here playing with revenge. St. John's has lost 4 straight since that win at DePaul and don't have a great home court edge. Keep in mind this is a team that lost by 16 at home to Penn State as a 3.5-point favorite and by 7 to Delaware State as a 22.5-points favorite. 

St. John's is just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 after losing 4 of 5 and 6-18 ATS in their last 24 as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points. We also got a big time system in play, backing the Blue Demons. Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points, revenging a home loss against an opponent off a road loss by 20 or more are 56-22 (72%) against the spread over the last 5 seasons. Take DePaul!

4* Blazers/Wizards NBA ATS No Brainer on Wizards -

I like the value here with Washington laying a short number at home against the Blazers. The Wizards have been playing much better of late and have been a tough out all season at home, where they are 16-6. Portland on the other hand is a team that doesn't play well on the road. The Blazers are just 7-15 SU and 9-13 ATS on the road this year. 

Washington is 12-4 ATS in their last 16 home games against a bad defensive team that's allowing 99+ points/game  and 9-0 ATS in their last 9 home games against teams who average 14 or fewer turnovers per game. Blazers are 17-36-1 ATS in their last 54 road games vs a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Take Washington! 

4* NCAAB Situational ATS Annihilator on Iowa +

I really like the value here with the Hawkeyes catching a decent number against the Wildcats. This Iowa team has been playing really well of late, as they are 8-2 in their last 10 and fresh off a big 83-78 win at home over Purdue. Northwestern is a quality team, but are just 3-2 in the Big 10 and have lost at home to the likes of Minnesota as a 3.5-point favorite. Not only can Iowa keep this close enough to cover, but they can win this game outright. 

Great system in play back a play on the Hawkeyes. Road underdogs who are scoring 76 or more ppg against a solid defensive team that's allowing 63-67 ppg are 24-6 (80%) against the spread since 1997 when they are off 2 straight wins by 6 points or less. Take Iowa! 

4* NBA Over/Under Total No Brainer on Bucks/Hawks UNDER

The books have created some great value here with this high number on the total for Sunday's game between the Bucks and Hawks. Atlanta's defense is trending up, as they come in having allowed just 93.6 ppg over their last 5 and I expect a big defensive effort from the Hawks at home after watching their 7-game winning streak snapped in a 101-103 loss at home to the Celtics. The Bucks aren't a great defensive team, but can lock down when they want to on that side of the ball and this Atlanta is far from explosive. 

UNDER has gone 6-3 in the last 9 meetings overall and 4-1 in the last 5 games in Atlanta. UNDER is also 8-1 in the Hawks last 9 after 5 straight games holding opponents to 42% or worse shooting percentage, 9-1 in their last 10 after winning 6 or 7 of their last 8 and 12-2 in their last 14 home games off a home loss. Take the UNDER! 

4* NCAAB Undervalued Underdog on Ole Miss +

I really like the value we are catching with the Rebels as a double-digit road dog against the Gamecocks. South Carolina has to be feeling pretty good about themselves after wining 3 straight, which includes road wins at Georgia and Tennessee. I believe it has them in store for a big letdown performance at home against an average Ole Miss team, especially given they have two big games on deck to look forward to in a home game against Florida on 1/18 and road game at Kentucky on 1/21.

Ole Miss is just 1-3 in SEC play, but are 2-2 ATS with both covers coming on the road, as they lost by just 7 at Florida as 13 points dog and won outright at Auburn as a 2-point dog. Overall the Rebels are 6-3 ATS in their last 9, so the value has clearly been with Ole Miss of late. This is a huge bounce back spot for the Rebels, who just lost at home by 22 to Georgia. Not only does that loss give Ole Miss an edge here, but it will make it that much harder for the Gamecocks to take them seriously.

South Carolina is just 8-20 ATS in their last 28 home games after covering 3 of their last 4, while the Rebels are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 off a loss and 11-1 ATS in their last 12 off a loss by 20 or more and 8-0 ATS in their last 8 after a loss by 10 or more as a home favorite. Take Ole Miss!

4* NCAAB Situational ATS Shocker on USF +

I really like the value we are getting here with the Bulls as a massive underdog on the road against the Tigers. USF is getting zero respect right now, as they come in having lost 4 straight, while Memphis is overvalued after going 3-1 SU and ATS in their last 4 games. I just don't see the Tigers being locked in for this one and their confidence has to be a bit rattled after losing 71-81 at Tulsa as a 4.5-point favorite.

On the flip side, the Bulls are going to come out highly motivated for a shot at taking down Memphis and while the wins aren't coming, they only have one loss all season by more than 17 points and that was a 19 point loss at SMU where they covered as a 22-point dog. I'm not expecting USF to threaten to win this game, but they should be able to keep it within striking distance and cover this big number.

Memphis is just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 after covering the spread in 3 of their last 4 games, while the Bulls are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games after 2 or more consecutive losses and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games after 2 straight losses by 10 or more points. Take South Florida!

5* NCAAB SEC TOTAL OF THE MONTH on OVER

I think the books have missed the mark on the total in today's SEC clash between Missouri and Arkansas, as I see this one going well over the number set here. The Razorbacks are a strong offensive team, averaging 81.6 ppg on the season and 83.2 ppg at home. They should have no problem coming close to that mark here against a Missouri defense that is giving up 78.7 ppg in conference play.

While the Tigers don't feature an explosive offense, they are averaging a respectable 70.7 ppg on the season and are a tick higher in league play at 71.7 ppg. Arkansas is far from an elite defense and have really struggled on that side in SEC play, as they are giving up 85.0 ppg and have yet to hold a conference foe under 78 points. Another big key here is that both of these teams like to play a more up-tempo style, which leads to more possessions and more scoring. Take the OVER!

4* NBA No Doubt ATS Blowout on Clippers -

I got no problem laying this big number on the Clippers at home against their rivals from LA in the Lakers. Especially given the fact that the Clippers lost the first meeting between these two teams 102-111 back on Christmas Day. The Clippers come in having won 5 straight, so we are catching them playing their best basketball. As for the Lakers, they enter off a 94-134 loss at San Antonio, which followed an ugly 87-108 loss at home to the Blazers. Big thing in both of those games, is the offensive struggles. With the lack of defense the Lakers play, they are primed for a blowout loss when they aren't shooting the ball well.

Clippers are 19-9 ATS in their last 28 when revenging a same season loss and the Lakers are just 9-20 ATS in their last 29 road games with a total of 210 or more. We also find a strong system in play backing LAC. Favorites of 10 or more, who have won 60% to 75% of their games and are revenging a loss where they allowed 100+ points are 37-13 (74%) ATS over the last 5 seasons when facing a team with a losing record. Take Los Angeles!

4* NBA Over/Under Total No Dominator on Pistons/Jazz UNDER

I'm expecting a very low-scoring game tonight when the Pistons visit the Jazz. Utah is locked in on the defensive side of the ball right now and it's well known that the Jazz are a dominant defensive team. In Utah's last 3 games they have held Minnesota to 92 points, Grizzlies to 88 points and the Cavs to 92 points. Detroit is only scoring 100.3 ppg and don't figure to have their legs in this one, as they are playing their 4th straight on a west coast road trip. I know the Pistons defense hasn't been great of late, but with the way Utah likes to slow the game down, I don't see them going off here.

UNDER is 29-16 in the Pistons last 45 road games after playing a game against a team from the Western Conference and 6-1 in their last 7 after allowing 125 or more points in their previous game (allowed 127 to Warriors). UNDER is also 22-9 in Utah's last 31 home games with a total of 190 to 199.5, 8-0 in their last 8 after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 and 8-0 in their last 8 at home after leading in their last game by 15 or more at the half. Take the UNDER!

4* NBA Situational Undervalued Underdog on Nets +

Brooklyn comes in having lost 8 straight and 13 of their last 14 overall. The Nets have gone just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 and I believe it has forced the books to inflate this number big time against the Raptors. Toronto is clearly the better team, but they haven't been playing their best basketball of late, as they are just 3-5 in their last 8 games. I just don't see the energy level being there for this one, as the Raptors know they can just show up and win this game. We also have a great shot at a back-door cover given the large spread, if things do get out of hand early.

Toronto is just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 against a team with a losing record, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 off a SU win and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 after covering the number in their last game. Keep in mind the Raptors only won 116-104 at home against the Nets back on 12/20 and that was with a similar line (15.5). We also find a strong system in play based off the current line and the previous result. Rod dogs of 10 or more, revenging a loss where they allowed 110 or more are 45-20 (69%) ATS when their opponent comes in off a home win against a division rival. Take Brooklyn!

5* NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month on Hornets -

I really like the value here with Charlotte laying what I feel is a low number on the road against the 76ers. I believe we are getting this short number due to the fact that the Hornets have lost 3 straight, while Philadelphia has gone 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games. I'm just not buying the 76ers being as good as this recent stretch and most of those wins came against bad teams. They were extremely fortunate to win their last game, which they trailed big throughout and were down 10 points with less than 3 minutes to play.

We should get a big time effort here from the Hornets, who will be playing with a full 2 days of rest and eager to put their 3-game skid behind them. Keep in mind all 3 losses during the streak have come on the road, the last two against two of the top teams in the west in Houston and San Antonio. This is also the first time 5 meetings that Charlotte has been favored by less than 9.5-points in this series (won 7 of 8). Hornets are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games against a team with a losing home record, while the 76ers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 at home. Take Charlotte!

4* NBA Over/Under Total No Brainer on Mavs/Suns OVER

I think the books have set the bar way too low for tonight's total between the Mavs and Suns, as they two will face off in Mexico City. I just don't think teams lock in defensively in these games outside the country and there's plenty of reason to expect a lot of scoring just given the matchup.

The Mavericks are giving up 102.6 ppg on the road and the Suns are allowing 113.5 ppg away from home. Dallas is only scoring 95.1 ppg, but even the most limited offenses can torch this Phoenix defense. The Suns also rank 3rd in pace, so we should see extra possessions for both sides. Phoenix can also light it up, as they are scoring 105.9 ppg.

OVER is 20-9 in the Suns last 29 after allowing 105 or more points in their previous game, 16-4 in their last 20 after scoring 105 or more and 9-1 in their last 10 after a home game where both teams scored 100+. TAKE THE OVER!

5* NCAAB Vegas Insider Top Play on Utah -

I've been on this Utah team in each of their last two games, which they covered as a 11-point dog at Arizona (56-66) and 3-point favorite at Arizona St (88-82). I got no problem backing them again at home against USC as a short favorite. This Utes team is better than people realize. The books are being slow to adjust as the public hasn't quite caught on. Utah added to big time transfers recently (weren't eligible early) in David Collette and Sedrick Barefield. Both are averaging double-figures and Collette is leading the team with 15.4 ppg.

As good as USC has been to start the year, they have not looked nearly as good in Pac-12 play. They lost at Oregon by 23 and just lost at home to Cal. Utah is one of the more difficult places to play and the Utes are 8-1 at home. Their only home game in Pac-12 play was against a quality Colorado team and they annihilated them 76-60. I see another big win here for the Utes, who are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 after playing 2 straight on the road. Take Utah!

4* Notre Dame/Miami(FL) ATS Annihilator on Miami -

I'm backing the Hurricanes at home as a short home favorite against the Fighting Irish. I think we are getting some great value here as Notre Dame is getting all kinds of love riding a 5-game winning streak, which includes a 3-0 start in ACC play with wins over Pitt, Louisville and Clemson. The thing is they could have lost all 3, as all 3 wins came by 7 or less. I see a big letdown here for the Irish against what will be a highly motivated Miami team that will be looking to bounce back from an ugly 55-70 loss at Syracuse last time out.

The big key here is Miami has been at their best at home, where they are a perfect 8-0 on the season, which includes a dominant 81-63 win over NC State in their ACC opener. The Hurricanes also have a big edge in rest here. This will be just their 2nd game in 8 days, while Notre Dame will be playing their 3rd game during this same stretch of time. Irish are just 2-10 ATS in their last 12 road games after 2 or more consecutive wins and 2-11 in their last 13 road games after covering the spread in their last game. Hurricanes are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 as a home favorite of 6 or less. Take Miami!

4* NCAAB Situational ATS Heavy Hitter on Illinois +

I really like the value here with the Fighting Illini catching points at home, as I actually think they should be the ones laying points in this one. Illinois is simply getting undervalued after a 16-point loss at Indiana, but this team is clearly not as good on the road as they are at home. In fact, the Illini are 8-1 at home compared to 3-4 on the road.

On the flip side of this, Michigan is a team that I think is getting too much respect from the books and the stats back it up as they are 0-4 ATS in their last 4, including a 7-point loss at home to Maryland as an 8-point favorite in their most recent game. The Wolverines are also 0-3 in true road games, losing by 15 at South Carolina as a 3-point favorite, 18 at UCLA as a 9-point dog and 3 at Iowa as a 2.5-point favorite.

To top it off, Michigan is 2-8 ATS as a favorite this season, 2-8 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record and 0-7 ATS over the last 3 seasons after a loss as a favorite. Take Illinois!

4* NBA No Doubt ATS Annihilator  on Celtics -

I'm backing the Celtics at what I feel is a great price to take Boston at home against the Wizards. While Washington has been playing much better of late, most of their success has come at home, as they are a miserable 4-12 on the road this season. The Wizards are also a team that struggles to play well in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set, as they are just 1-6 in this spot on the season. Boston on the other hand has thrived when playing on no rest, winning 5 of their last 6 in this spot.

There's also a little extra incentive for the Celtics in this one. Boston's star point guard Isaiah Thomas wasn't too happy about not being named the Eastern Conference player of the month in December. That honor instead went to Wizards point guard John Wall. I look for Thomas to take this game personally and for the rest of the Celtics players to follow his lead. As for the Wizards, I look for them to have a hard time showing up in this one. They come in having won 3 straight, but really haven't played well in those wins. Last night they edged out a Bulls team 101-99, who was minus their two best players in Butler and Wade.

Wizards are just 5-15 ATS in their last 20 off a win by 3-points or less and 4-11 ATS in their last 15 dating back to last season when playing on no rest. Boston is 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 off a SU loss and 31-19 ATS in their last 50 revenging a loss (lost at Wash 93-118 last meeting). Take Boston!

4* NCAAB Undervalued Underdog on Wake Forest +

I like the value here with the Demon Deacons catching a big number at home against the Tar Heels. It's hard enough to win on the road against a quality opponent in the ACC, it's an even bigger task to win via a blowout. Especially against a caliber a team like Wake Forest, who has gone 6-1 on their home floor this season.

A big reason for the inflated line is we have UNC off a 107-56 blowout win at home over NC State, while the Demon Deacons lost badly in a 62-79 defeat at Virginia. I expect Wake Forest to be the much more motivated team here, as it's easy to let your guard down after a 50+ point win, especially when you have a massive home game on deck in 3-days against a Florida State team that just beat Duke soundly at home.

Tar Heels are just 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 road games, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 off a SU win and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 on the road against a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Take Wake Forest!

4* NBA Vegas Insider ATS Blowout on Knicks -

Last time out the Knicks were embarrassed in a 96-110 loss at home to the Pelicans, which was the game were Rose went missing. I'm not big on excuses, but when a player just doesn't show up to a game it takes away some of your mental focus on the game. Regardless if Rose plays tonight, I really like the Knicks to bounce back with a big time effort and win against the 76ers.

Philadelphia has won 3 of 4, but let's not get carried away, as the wins have come against the Nuggets, Timberwolves and Nets. The 76ers are still just 10-25 on the season really won't be a serious threat until next year when Simmons is 100% healthy. It's also worth noting that New York has owned this series, winning 7 of the last 8 meetings and it's not like the Knicks have been anything special the past few seasons.

Knicks are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 after playing their previous game at home, 12-3 ATS in their last 15 after failing to cover the spread in their last game and a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last 7 off a home loss. Take New York!

5* NCAAB A-10 Game of the Month on George Wash +

I really like the value we are getting with the Colonials as a double-digit dog at VCU. George Washington comes in with a mere 9-7 record, but a lot of that is just not being to close out games late. All but 1 of those losses came by fewer than 10-points. The only exception being a 19-point loss to FSU, who I believe is one of the 5 best teams in the country. VCU on the other hand is 13-3, but have played the much easier schedule in my opinion. Keep in mind this is a team that lost by 18 to Illinois and also lost at home to George Tech. The other big thing is this not the Rams teams of years past, where they were one of the top mid-major teams under Shaka Smart.

I just feel these two teams are more evenly matched than this spread would suggest. It's worth nothing that the Colonials went into VCU and beat the Rams 72-69 as a 9-point dog a year ago. The Colonials are also 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games as an underdog and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 on the road against a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Rams on the other hand are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 as a home favorite. Take George Washington!

5* NBA Western Conference Total of the Month on Lakers/Blazers OVER

I got no problem playing the over on this big total here with the Blazers and Lakers. All signs point to a high-scoring game in this one. We have two teams that don't play a lot of defense. In fact, each ranks in the bottom 3 in defensive efficiency. The Lakers are allowing 109.8 ppg and the Blazers are allowing 111.5 ppg (even worse 113.9 ppg on the road).

Not only do we have two teams who don't play defense, but we have two offenses that like to get out and run and shoot a lot of 3-pointers. Both rank in the Top 10 in pace. Portland averages 108.2 ppg and Los Angeles is at 105.3 ppg overall and a much better 109.8 ppg at home. Each team is also trending up on offense, with the Blazers scoring 109.6 ppg over the last 5 games and the Lakers at 115.4 ppg. 

OVER is 12-4 in the Blazers last 16 road games with a total of 210 or more and 13-4 in their last 17 on the road after allowing 105 or more in each of their last 2 games. OVER is also 13-3 in the Lakers last 16 against a team with a losing record, 13-5 in their last 18 at home and 7-3 in their last 10 when facing a team that allowed 100+ in their previous game. Take the OVER! 

4* NCAAB Situational ATS No Brainer on Indiana -

The Hoosiers snapped a 3-game losing streak in style with a 96-80 win over Illinois last time out. The thing is they are still just 1-2 in Big Ten Play and need this game to get back on track in the standings, so we know we are going to get a max effort here. Maryland comes in of a 77-70 win as a 8-point dog at Michigan, which I think has the, getting a little too much love at home against a much more talented Indiana team. 

Terapins are just 5-13 ATS in their last 18 home games after a SU win, while Indiana is 14-5 ATS in their last 19 against top level teams (outscoring teams by 8+ ppg) after 15+ games. Backing all this up is a strong system favoring a fade of Maryland. Underdogs that have won 80% or more of their games and off a conference win as a dog of 6 or more are just 2-10 (22%) against the spread over the last 5 seasons when facing a team with a winning record. Take Indiana! 

4* NBA No Doubt ATS Blowout on Spurs -

I got no backing the Spurs at this line at home with the way they are playing right now. San Antonio is once again playing exceptional basketball, but not getting the type of attention you see with similar elite teams in the Warriors and Cavs. It's resulted in the books being slow to inflate the lines on San Antonio. The Spurs have gone a ridiculous 12-2 SU and 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games (30-7 and 23-13 ATS on the season). They are outscoring teams by 17.4 ppg over their last 5. 

Milwaukee's a talented young team, but are not well-equipped to take on a team that's as efficient as the Spurs on both sides of the ball. Especially on the road, where they aren't nearly as good. The offense just doesn't produce at the same level. The Bucks average 105 ppg overall, but only 100.4 ppg on the road. San Antonio gives up just 97.5 ppg on the season and turn up the D at home, allowing only 95.9 ppg. That should allow the Spurs to not only win this game, but do so in convincing fashion. 

Spurs are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 off a win by 15 or more, 12-4 in their last 16 after scoring 100 or more in 2 straight games, 8-0 ATS in their last 8 at home and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games against a team with a losing road record. Bucks 2-8 ATS in their last 1 road games vs a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Take San Antonio! 

4* NCAAB Vegas Line Mistake on Florida State -

I really like the value here with FSU laying a short number at home. The Seminoles are an elite team and should be favored by more, but the fact that the opponent is Duke keeping it lower than it should be. On top of that, the Blue Devils are minus one of their most important players in Amile Jefferson. 

Florida State comes into this game 15-1 with a perfect 11-0 record at home. The only loss coming to Temple by just 3-points early in the year on a neutral court. The most impressive win coming recently when they went on the road and beat Virginia. This is an even bigger statement game for the Seminoles against a Duke team that many think will be the team to beat come the NCAA Tournament. 

The Blue Devils are just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 after leading by 15 or more at the half of their last game and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 when the line is +3 to -3. Seminoles are 10-2 ATS in home games when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 at home after scoring 85 or more points in their previous game. Take Florida State! 

4* NBA Over/Under Total Annihilator on Celtics/Raptors OVER

I'm expecting a very high-scoring game when two of the Eastern Conference's best square off tonight. We have the Celtics visiting the Raptors. While these two can play solid defense, I don't think we see a lot of it tonight. More than anything, these are two elite offenses that can flat out score and are doing so at a very high rate of late. 

Toronto is second in the NBA in offensive efficiency, averaging 110.6 ppg on the season, 112.9 ppg at home and 109.0 ppg over their last 5. Keep in mind Boston will be without their best perimeter defender in Avery Bradley and that's a huge loss against the Raptors loaded backcourt. Boston ranks 7th in offensive efficiency, averaging 106.8 ppg overall, 106.7 ppg on the road and 115.4 ppg over their last 5. Note the Celtics offense has been lights out of late. They have scored 110 or more 8 straight and 9 of their last 10. 

OVER is 18-4 in the Celtics last 22 after scoring 100 or more in 4 straight games, 8-0 in their last 8 when having won 8 of their last 10 and 5-0 in their last 5 road games against a team with a winning home record. OVER is also 11-2 in the Raptors last 13 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games, 11-3 in their last 14 off SU loss and 11-0 in their last 11 after scoring 60 or more in the first half of their last game. Take the OVER! 

4* NBA Over/Under Total No Brainer on Thunder/Bulls OVER

I expect a high-scoring game tonight when the Bulls and Thunder clash at the United Center. This game features two of the league's most promising stars in Russell Westbrook and Jimmy Butler. While they get all the attention, it's how these two teams are playing overall that has me liking this one to go OVER the mark here set by the books.

Chicago has scored 100+ in 3 straight and are averaging 108.8 ppg over their last 5 games. A big part of the improved play offensively, is the production the Bulls are getting from guys like Mirotic, McDermott and Carter-Williams. I look for Chicago to have no problem keeping it going against a Thunder team that doesn't figure to play with a lot of energy on defense playing their 4th road game in their last 5 overall. OKC is giving up 108.7 ppg on the road this season and 106.6 ppg over their last 5.

While the Bulls offense is surging, the defense hasn't been there. Chicago is giving up 110 ppg over their last 5 and will be facing a dynamic Thunder offense that is scoring 106.8 ppg on the season and 111.4 ppg over their last 5. Big key here is the Bulls don't have the talent at point guard to make things tough on Westbrook. That should lead to a fast-paced game from the get go. Take the OVER!

4* NBA Situational ATS Annihilator on Timberwolves -

I like Minnesota to win and cover this short number at home against the Mavericks. The Timberwolves have had a miserable time closing games out and it cost them last time out in a 92-94 home loss to the Jazz. Minnesota took a double-digit lead after outscoring Utah 32-22 in the 3rd quarter only to follow that up by getting outscored 12-25 in the 4th quarter. That loss was the Timberwolves' 4th in a row and I think it's going to lead to a max effort at home tonight against Dallas.

The Mavericks have everyone back healthy and I think it has them getting a little too much love right now. Dallas hasn't had their core group together on the floor since the first week of the season and it's going to take some time to form some chemistry. It was certainly a problem in their last game, which they managed just 82 points in a 15-point home loss to the Hawks. I think it's going to take a few more games for Dallas to figure it out and let's not overlook the fact that they have not played well on the road, going just 4-15 in their 19 games away from home. Take Minnesota!

4* NCAAB Late Night ATS Bailout on USC - 

I like the value with the Trojans laying a small number here against the Golden Bears. USC responded from their first loss of the season at Oregon in style, crushing Stanford 72-56 at home as a 9-point favorite. While they covered that one, they are just 1-6 ATS in their last 7. I believe that recent poor run against the number, is playing a big part in this short line against a Cal team that is just 1-3 on the road and in a tough spot playing their 2nd straight on the road and off a huge game at UCLA.

A big key here is also that USC has been dominant on their home floor, going a perfect 9-0 on the season. Trojans are 7-0 ATS at home after winning 2 of their last 3 and 6-0 ATS after allowing 60 or less. Cal on the other hand is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games after playing a game as a dog and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games off a loss. Take USC!

4* NBA Situational ATS Annihilator on Lakers -

I really like the value here with Los Angeles at basically a pick'em at home against the Magic. The Lakers got off to that great start to the season and then got hit with some injuries and couldn't get out of the slump. They have won 2 of 3 and just rolled the Heat 127-100 at home in their last game. I think we are about to see LA go on a nice little run here to close out January and they should be able to take care of business against the Magic. 

Orlando is just 6-10 and are getting way to much respect here on the road, especially given this a long way for them to travel. It works both ways in the series and I believe it's why we have seen the home team dominate, winning each of the last 7 meetings. Home teams off a game where both teams scored 100+ are 83-45 (65%) ATS on Sunday over the last 5 seasons. Take Los Angeles!

4* NBA Undervalued Underdog on Kings +

I really like the value here with the Kings as a double-digit dog against the Warriors. We know that we are going to get a max effort here from Sacramento against Golden State, as well as an energized home crowd that gets up for games like these. While the Warriors are 15-3 SU on the road, they are just 7-10 ATS (1-6 L7) and come in off an ugly collapse against the Grizzlies at home.

On top of that we are getting an inflated line here with the public going to be pounding Golden State off a loss. Warriors are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 off a SU loss and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 off a game where they didn't cover. Kings are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 off a SU loss, 7-0 ATS in their last 7 after playing a game as a home dog and 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 home games against a team that's won more than 60% of their road games. Take Sacramento!

5* NCAAB Big Ten GAME OF THE MONTH on Iowa -

The Hawkeyes should have no problem cashing in a double-digit win at home against the Scarlet Knights on Sunday. Iowa is a young team that took their lumps in non-conference play against some good teams and are likely going to continue to struggle against the elite teams in the Big 10. The key here is that Rutgers is far from elite. The Scarlet Knights have started out conference play with a 20-point loss at Wisconsin, 13-point loss at home to Penn State and 28-point loss at Michigan State.

The thing with Iowa is this is a team that believes they are much better than their record and know that if they want any chance of making the NCAA Tournament, they have to finish in the top half of the Big Ten standings. Sitting at 1-2 in league play, this is a must-win for the Hawkeyes at home, where they are a very respectable 8-2 on the season. Note that Rutgers is just 4-12 ATS in their last 16 road games and 1-13 ATS in their last 14 after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 games. Take Iowa!

4* NBA Situational Vegas Line Mistake on Jazz -

This is a great spot to jump on Utah as a short road favorite against the Timberwolves. The Jazz are going to come out locked in after losing their last two on the road against two of the better teams in the east in Boston and Toronto. This is one of the better teams in the west and is only going to get better once they get all their pieces healthy. They should have no problem here against a Timberwolves team that doesn't play great at home (6-12) and are in a tough scheduling spot having to play on no rest after a high-scoring fast-paced game last night at Washington, which they lost 105-112.

Utah is 10-8 on the road, so they know a thing or two about winning away from home and have really been good in this spot against bad teams. The Jazz are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 road games against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their home games. Utah is also a dominant 22-9-1 ATS in their last 32 against a team with a losing record. Minnesota doesn't have a lot of depth and are just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 after a game where their starters combined to log 160 or more minutes. I also love how Utah is one of the elite defensive teams and the Timberwolves struggle to stop opponents (allowed teams to shoot 50% or better from the field in 5 of their last 8 games). Take Utah!

4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Blowout on Auburn -

I've had my eye on this young Auburn team this year, as I think it's one of the more talented teams that not a lot of people know about. Bruce Pearl is an excellent head coach and is a proven winner wherever he goes. He's got his young Tigers off to a 10-4 start, which is pretty impressive given they only won 11 games all of last year.

The key here is they come in off back-to-back losses and I believe that's created some great value here. Auburn is going to come out 100% locked in at home to secure their first conference win and should be able to make easy work of Ole Miss. The Rebels covered (63-70) as a 13-point dog at Florida in their last game, but it wasn't really that close (made a late push). Prior to that they hosted Kentucky, so Ole Miss is primed for a letdown here in their second straight game on the road. Keep in mind the Tigers are a strong 6-1 at home, while the Rebels have yet to win a true road game. Take Auburn!

4* NCAAB Pac-12 Game of the Week on Utah -

I was on Utah as a double-digit dog at Arizona in their last game, which they covered and I'll jump right back on the Utes in a road game at Arizona State. As mentioned in my analysis for Utah against Arizona, this Utes team is one to watch going forward, as two transfers just recently become eligible and both are studs that will be in the running for Pac-12 All Conference honors. Now that these two are in the mix, this Utah team is better than what people think and I'm confident they will end up near the top of the Pac-12 standings.

Coming off that loss to Arizona should have the Utes locked in for this one and I think there's a big gap in talent here against the Sun Devils. Arizona State barely squeaked out a 78-77 win at home over Colorado in their last game, improving to 2-1 in Pac-12 (other win against a bad Stanford team). Note that Utah beat that same Colorado team at home by 16. Whenever faced up against better competition, this Arizona State has struggled to keep games competitive and I just don't see them keeping this one close, even at home. Give me the Utes -3!

4* NBA Late Night ATS Bailout on Lakers -

I believe this is an ideal spot to jump on the Lakers at home against the Heat. I know LA is playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set, but I believe that's already been factored into the line here. It's also important to keep in mind that it's not nearly as tough playing the 2nd game of a back-to-back at home as it is on the road. I expect a big effort here from LA, who let one get away last night in Portland, blowing a double-digit lead and getting outscored 13-1 down the stretch of a 109-118 loss.

The big key here is that the Lakers are facing off against a bad Miami team that aren't expected to have the services of big man Hassan Whiteside and just learned that 2nd year forward Justise Winslow will be out of the season. Not having Whiteside is a huge loss in this matchup, as the Lakers really don't have a great answer for him inside. Without him on the floor, it's going to make it very difficult for the Heat to contain this LA offense.

This is also a bad spot for Miami, who I think is getting a little too much love here off a 107-102 win at Sacramento. The Heat are just 6-13 on the road this season and have won back-to-back road games just once this season. This is also a bit of a flat spot for Miami, who will be playing the 3rd game of their 6-game road trip with games against the Clippers and Warriors looming next.  Take Los Angeles!

5* NBA Vegas Insider Top Play on Knicks +

I really like the value here with the Knicks catching a pretty big number on the road against the Bucks. These two teams just played Wednesday in New York and the Bucks won 105-104 on a last second shot by Antetokounmpo. Having just lost head-to-head, the game now being played in Milwaukee and the Knicks now having lost 6 straight all have this line much higher than it should be. The team that loses the first of these home-and-home series has a big motivational edge in the rematch and even more so when the line is as high as it is.

It's also worth noting that previous game in New York came with the Knicks playing without Porzingis. He practiced fully yesterday and all signs point to him suiting up tonight. Even if he ends up sitting out, I still like the Knicks to cover here and think there's a good chance they can win outright.

We also find a strong system in play here. Road team that have allowed 105 or more points in 3 straight games and playing a team off a win by 6 or less are 33-8 (81%) over the last 5 seasons. Take New York!

4* NBA Over/Under Total Annihilator on Wolves/Wizards OVER

I really like the value here on the total in tonight's matchup between the Wizards and Wolves. These are two teams that know how to score the basketball. Minnesota comes in averaging 103.3 ppg and Washington is averaging 105.2 ppg with an even better 108.2 ppg at home. At the same time, these are two teams that struggle to defend. The Timberwolves give up 105.0 ppg and the Wizards allow 106.2 ppg.

With both teams having not played since Tuesday (2 days rest), both are going to have fresh legs and will be looking to get out an run as much as possible. This is huge for both of these teams, as Minnesota's starters lead the league in minutes played and the Wizards are second. Some might look to back the under after seeing Minnesota score 91 and 89 points in their last two games, but that actually is a good thing. OVER is 11-2 in the Wolves last 13 after going UNDER the total in each of their last 2 games. OVER is also 13-4 in the Wizards last 17 when playing with 2 days rest and 16-5 in their last 21 after playing their last 2 games on the road. Take the OVER!

4* NCAAB Undervalued Underdog on Utah +

I really like the value we are catching here with Utah as a double-digit dog against Arizona. I know the Wildcats are ranked in the Top 20, but I think the Utes are capable of winning this game outright. Utah comes in at 10-3 and we have barely got to see what this team is capable of, as they just recently added in two transfers in Collette (Utah State) and Barefield (SMU), who weren't eligible until the semester break. They are combining to average about 30 ppg in the 5 games they have played. Both will be in the mix for Pac-12 All-Conference honors and this Utah team is right there with the top teams in the conference.

In Utah's last 5 games they have shot 47% or better from the field in all 5 games and are 14-2 ATS in their last 16 games after such a stretch. Utes are also 8-2 ATS in their last 10 conference games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 on the road. Take Utah!

4* NCAAB Vegas ATS Shocker on Iowa +

It's been a rollercoaster start to the 2016-17 season for the Hawkeyes, but things are pointing up for Iowa, who just recently got back stud freshmen forward Tyler Cook (13.1 ppg), who is the only other player besides senior sharpshooter Peter Jok (22.1 ppg) averaging in double-figures. Cook is one of several Iowa freshmen who are making an impact and a bit reason why this team got off to a bit of a slow start in non-conference play. I was really impressed with how they bounced back from an embarrassing 22-point loss at Purdue with a overtime win at home against Michigan.

Nebraska comes in a perfect 2-0 in Big Ten play with a couple of impressive road wins at Indiana and at Maryland. As good as those wins look, I'm not buying this team being a real threat in the Big Ten and the oddsmakers are certainly begging for you to take the Cornhuskers at this line. I think Iowa is the more talented team and pulls out the victory. Hawkeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 as a dog of 6.5 or less and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 against a team with a winning record. Take Iowa!

5* NCAAB Big Ten Game of the Week on Northwestern -

This is a great spot to back the Wildcats laying a short number at home. We are seeing some great value here on Northwestern, based off the results in the last game for both teams. While the Wildcats lost at Michigan State 52-61 as a mere 2.5-point dog, the Gophers won 91-82 as a 14-point dog at Purdue.

Winning back-to-back road games is not easy, especially in conference play and in a elite conference like the Big 10. I look for a big letdown here for Minnesota, while we can expect to see a max effort from Northwestern, who I believe is going to finally break their NCAA Tournament drought this season. Gophers are 1-15 ATS in their last 16 as a road dog of 6.5 or less, while Wildcats are 6-0 ATS last 6 as a favorite of 6.5 or less, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 at home and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 after failing to cover in their last game. Take Northwestern!

4* NBA No Doubt ATS Blowout on Mavericks -

A lot of people are going to see Dallas laying a decent sized number at home and want nothing to do with the Mavericks, as they are just 11-24 on the season. However, Dallas is a team that I think is a great buy low option right now. The schedule hasn't been easy and they have had to deal with a lot of injuries and simply don't have the depth or talent to overcome not having their main guys on the floor. They are close to full health right now, as Bogut is set to return.

The other key here is the Suns are a mess right now. Phoenix has won just 5 games since the start of December and only 1 of those came on the road. That was against a Lakers team that was in a major funk and they barely squeaked out the win (4-16 road record overall). Suns did win their last game, but are a miserable 8-24 ATS in their last 32 off a win. Mavs are 11-4-1 ATS last 16 against a team with a losing record and 7-3 ATS last 10 vs the Western Conference. Take Dallas!

4* NBA Situational ATS Annihilator on Pistons -

Detroit is showing some great value here as a small home favorite against the Hornets. The Pistons have certainly been in a funk of late, but have shown some signs of life recently and this has the feeling of a must-win game for Detroit. They just lost at home 116-121 to the Pacers, in a game where their defense let them down. Look for a big effort on that side of the ball tonight. They also need to secure a win here with a 5-game west coast road trip looming after this contest.

The Hornets should be ripe for the taking tonight. Charlotte just played an intense game at home last night against the Thunder. This will be their 3rd game in 4 nights and 6th in the last 9 days. The Hornets have also not been playing great on the road of late, dropping 6 of their last 8, which includes an ugly loss at Brooklyn. Detroit has played much better at home and will be out for revenge from a 77-87 loss at Charlotte in the most recent meeting. That puts them in a great spot historically, as the Pistons are a perfect 10-0 ATS at home revenging a loss where they scored 85 or less under Van Gundy. Take Detroit!

4* NCAAB Situational Undervalued Underdog on Washington +

I think the value here is with the Huskies, who are getting zero respect in this one, as they take on an Oregon team that comes into this one having won 11 straight. The last two were at home against UCLA and USC, where they handed both those teams their first loss of the season. Now the Ducks hit the road for their first true road game since losing by 17 at Baylor way back on 11/15. It's also worth pointing out that Oregon has had their problems winning in Washington.

The Huskies came out flat after a long layoff and lost 74-79 at home to in-state rival Washington State to open up Pac-12 play. We are going to get a max effort here at home from the Huskies in this one and if they can get hot shooting, an outright upset isn't out of the question. Washington is 17-5 ATS in their last 22 after playing their last 2 games at home. Ducks on the other hand are just 2-6 ATS off a win by 20 or more points and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 after covering the spread in their last game. Take Washington!

5* NCAAB ACC Game of the Month on Notre Dame +

I think the books have created some great value here with the Irish, as my numbers suggest Notre Dame should be favored here. This is a really tough spot for Louisville, who is coming off a big 15-point win over Indiana, which they were extremely motivated for after losing at home to Virginia the previous time out. Now the Cardinals hit the road for only their second true road game of the season. The first one was at Grand Canyon, which doesn't really count. Note there wasn't even a spread on that game it was such a big mismatch and yet Louisville only won by 9.

I've watched this Notre Dame team on several occasions and really like what I have seen. The big key here is the Irish are at home, where they are 9-0 on the season, outscoring opponents by 26.7 ppg. Notre Dame also has a great history against the Cardinals of late, as they have won and covered 5 straight at home. Louisville is also just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games against a conference opponent and 3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games against a team with a winning home record. Take Notre Dame!

4* NBA Over/Under Total No Brainer on Bulls/Cavs UNDER

I think the total here has been set way too high. Cleveland could be playing this game without all 3 of their Big 3 and will more than likely not have Irving in this one. James and Love are both dealing with sickness and it was so bad for James that he was told to stay home from shootaround. Even if he plays, I just don't see the Cavs looking to push the tempo here.

Chicago isn't in much better shape, as they could be without Wade and Rondo continues to ride the bench in Hoiberg's doghouse. The key here is that whoever does end up playing will bring the defensive intensity in this division matchup. UNDER is 19-7 in the Bulls last 26 division road games, 9-3-1 in their last 13 after scoring 100 or more in their last game and 7-3-1 in their last 11 off a SU win. Take the UNDER !

4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Blowout on Oklahoma State -

I believe the fact that the Cowboys are favored on the road here after getting embarrassed at home 75-92 by West Virginia tells you all you need to know. Oklahoma State has had some poor showings against elite teams, but outside of those two losses to WV and UNC, I've liked what I have seen from this team. I look for a huge effort here on the road against Texas, as the Cowboys want to avoid an 0-2 start with what they have on deck. After this they go to Baylor, host ISU and then go to Kansas.

Texas covered in a 62-65 loss at Kansas State, but this Longhorns team simply isn't very good. They are just 3-7 in their last 10 and last time they played at home they lost 58-63 as a 12.5-point favorite against Kent State. Shaka Smart will get this Longhorns program back to being elite, it just isn't going to happen this year. The Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 against a team with a losing straight up record and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 after failing to cover in their last game. Take Oklahoma State!

4* Thunder/Hornets NBA ATS Annihilator on Hornets -

Charlotte is showing some great value here as a small home favorite against the Thunder. All the attention that Russell Westbrook is getting has the OKC overvalued, especially on the road. The Thunder are just 8-8 in their 16 road games this season. Most of those wins have come against bad teams, as they are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games against a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Last time out they lost 94-98 at Milwaukee and this is a bit of a flat spot with a huge game at Houston on deck tomorrow, which will be a nationally televised game on TNT.

The Hornets come in having lost 2 straight, but one was at home to Cleveland and the other was at Chicago. Charlotte is just 5-7 in their last 12, but the only loss at home was to the Cavs. With the Hornets set to hit the road for a 5-game trip after this game, I expect an all out effort here against the Thunder. Take Charlotte!

4* NCAAB Late Night ATS Bailout on West Virginia -

I have no problem laying this number on the Mountaineers Tuesday at Texas Tech. West Virginia comes in at 12-1 and just opened up Big 12 play with a 92-75 blowout win on the road against Oklahoma State as a mere 3-point favorite. This Mountaineers team is legit and I'm going to keep riding them until the books make the proper adjustments with their spreads.

The Red Raiders lost 56-63 at Iowa State last Friday and it was a big time meltdown by Tech, who had a double-digit lead with around 10 minutes to play. That was the best team the Red Raiders have played all season. The soft schedule has Texas Tech sitting at 11-2 and 9-0 at home, which is why we are seeing this small number. While the home record looks great, they haven't played anybody. They have 4 home games that didn't even have lines the opp was so bad and 4 more where they were favored by 20+. The only exception being a home game against Rice, where they were favored by just 12 and they barely won that game 85-84. Take West Virginia!

4* NBA Over/Under Total Annihilator on Raptors/Spurs UNDER

I think we are getting some great value here with the total in Tuesday's contest between the Raptors and Spurs. These are two of the best the league has to offer and I expect both to bring the defensive intensity in this one. Anytime you get two elite teams facing off with a big total like we have here, the UNDER is always a strong option. In fact, the UNDER is 62-20 (76%) over the last 5 seasons when you have a total of 200 or more with two teams that are outscoring opponents by 7+ ppg.

Last year these two teams played twice and combined for just 191 and 197 points. It's also worth pointing out that both totals last year were no where close to what we are seeing here. The total was just 187.5 at San Antonio and 192 at Toronto. We also see that the UNDER is 4-1 in the Spurs last 5 off a SU loss and 4-1 in their last 5 home games against a team that's won more than 60% of their road games. Take the UNDER!

5* NBA Vegas Insider Top Play on Timberwolves -

I have no problem laying this small number on the road with the Timberwolves. Minnesota is a much better team than their 11-23 record would indicate and a big part of that has been the inability to hold on to big leads. The Timberwolves have 9 losses this season where they led by double-digits. That includes their last game, where a 12-point halftime lead turned into a 89-95 loss at home to the Blazers. I think that loss is playing into this low number here and creating great value with Minnesota in a huge bounce back spot.

Philadelphia comes in off a 124-122 win at Denver, but have won back-to-back games just twice all season. I don't see it happening here, as this is a really bad matchup for the 76ers. Keep in mind the Timberwolves already annihilated Philadelphia 110-86 at home earlier this season and they were a 11.5-point favorite, which means they should be laying closer to 7.5 instead of 4.5 here.

76ers are just 5-17 ATS in their last 22 when revenging a loss of 20 or more points, 3-10 ATS in their last 13 when playing on 3 or more days of rest and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games against a team with a losing road record. Take Minnesota!

4* NBA No Doubt ATS Blowout on Jazz -

I like the Jazz to go on the road and make easy work of the Nets tonight. Utah has gone just 1-5 ATS in their last 6, which I believe is keeping this line lower than it should be. The Jazz come in having won 3 straight, but didn't play great last time out at Phoenix in a 91-86 victory. This will be the first of a 5-game road trip and I think Utah is going to come out looking to make sure they start their trip with an easy win. Best case scenario here would be to jump all over the Nets early and be able to keep minutes down before playing in Boston tomorrow.

Brooklyn is definitely a team that make that happen, as they just lost 95-118 last time out at Washington and have been losing by double-digits on a more consistent basis of late. Jazz are 33-19 ATS in their last 52 as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points and 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 road games against a team with a losing home record. Take Utah!

4* NBA No Doubt ATS Blowout on Jazz -

Don't let this big number scare you away from taking the obvious play here on Utah at home against the Suns. Phoenix comes in off what looks to be an impressive 99-91 win at home over the Raptors, but that was more about Toronto being in an awful spot than the Suns figuring something out. The Raptors were playing on no rest after laying everything on the line the night before in Golden State. They were not interested in that game against Phoenix.

The Suns haven't won back-to-back games since early November (only done it once all season) and last time they won, they came out the next night and lost by 16 to the Rockets. Seeing how they have had a miserable time against the Jazz of late and Utah getting back a big piece in point guard George Hill, this has a blowout written all over it. Suns are just 4-14 ATS in their last 18 off an upset win as an underdog, while the Jazz are 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 games against a team with a losing record. Take Utah!

4* NCAAB Vegas Line Mistake on Creighton +

I think the books have the wrong team favored in this one. The Bluejays are perfect on the season at 13-0 and will be out to make a statement here against the defending champs. This is also a key game when it comes to the Big East title race. If Creighton wants to dethrone Villanova, they can't afford to lose to them at home. We have already seen one elite team come into the CenturyLink Center and leave with a loss. The Bluejays hosted Wisconsin earlier this season and won convincingly 79-67.

Villanova has passed their only significant road test so far this season, winning outright at Purdue 79-76, but this Creighton team matches up much better with the Wildcats. Villanova has relied heavily on their defense, which is only giving up 61.5 ppg, but that unit will be tested here. Creighton has shot 50% or better from the field in all but one game, which is a remarkable feat given they are going into their 14th game of the season. The Bluejays are 17-8 ATS in their last 25 at home and 19-8 ATS in their last 27 against strong defensive teams that are holding opponents to 42% or worse from the field. Take Creighton!

4* NCAAB Situational ATS Annihilator on Iowa St -

I really like the value here with the Cyclones laying a relatively small number at home against what I feel is a very overrated Texas Tech squad. The Red Raiders come in with a 11-1 record in non-conference play, but that's a result of an easy schedule. The best team they played was Auburn and they lost 65-67 and the Tigers aren't as good as this Iowa State team.

Texas Tech also played just 1 true road game in non-conference play and that was at Richmond, where they were favored. In fact, this will be the first game all season where the Red Raiders are an underdog, which speaks volumes to how easy their schedule has been. The Cyclones hit a bit of a rough patch, losing 3 of 4 after a 5-0 start, but two were against tournament teams in Gonzaga and Cincinnati and the other a true road game against an in-state rival in Iowa, where they simply couldn't buy a basket. Cyclones are 50-20 ATS in their last 70 home games as a favorite of 6 or less. Take Iowa State!

4* NBA No Doubt ATS Blowout on Pacers -

I really like the value here with the Pacers as a small home favorite against the Bulls. Indiana will be out for revenge here, as they just lost at Chicago 85-90 on Monday. Not a big surprise to see the Bulls win at home in the first meeting, given how the home/away splits of these two teams.

Chicago is 10-6 at home compared to 6-10 on the road. The gap between home and away is a lot bigger for Indiana. The Pacers are a strong 11-5 at home, compared to a miserable 4-13 on the road. Indiana has covered 4 of the last 5 at home against the Bulls and are 18-8 ATS in their last 26 home games when revenging a road loss. Take Indiana!

4* NCAAB Vegas Line Mistake on West Virginia -

You have to pick your spots with road teams in conference play, but I really like the value here with West Virginia at basically a pick'em on the road against the Cowboys. The Mountaineers went an impressive 11-1 in non-conference play and that included a 66-57 win on the road at Virginia and 89-57 blowout win against Illinois.

The Cowboys were a respectable 10-2 in non-conference, but weren't nearly impressive. The best team they played was North Carolina on a neutral court and they got absolutely destroyed in that contest 75-107. The Mountaineers aren't quite on the level of the Tar Heels, but I don't think they are too far off. Oklahoma State has also had a miserable time against West Virginia over the last 2 years, sweeping all 4 meetings and winning by double-digits in both matchups on the Cowboys' home floor. Take West Virginia!

4* NBA Situational ATS Annihilator on Grizzlies -

I'll gladly take Memphis as a small home favorite against the Thunder. We can expect an all out effort here from the Grizzlies, as they come in having lost two straight on the road. Now Memphis returns home, where they are a solid 12-7 on the season. The Grizzlies recent struggles combined with the Thunder having won and covered 4 straight, has created the value here with Memphis.

The Grizzlies may or may not have the services of Mike Conley. There's no question they are in better shape with him on the floor, but I still like them to win here without him. Memphis is 11-1 ATS in their last 12 home games off a road loss by 10 or more, while OKC is just 3-13 ATS in their last 16 as a road dog of 3 or less. Take Memphis!

4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Blowout on Butler -

I got no problem laying this big number on the Bulldogs against the Red Storm. Butler comes in at 11-1 with wins over the likes of Arizona, Indiana and Cincinnati. The only reason this line isn't higher, is because St. John's comes in off a shocking 93-60 win at Syracuse in their last game. Just about everything that could go right went right for the Red Storm in that game and the Orange clearly weren't all that interested.

This is still a below-average St. John's team. Just prior to the big win over Syracuse, they lost at home to Penn State by 16. They also have losses to the likes of Long Island and Delaware State. What their win over the Orange does, is keep the Bulldogs from overlooking this contest, which they easily could have done. Butler swept the season series last year, winning 78-58 at home and 89-56 at St. John's. With this year's Bulldogs team looking even stronger than a year ago, I see no reason why they won't win here by double-digits. Take Butler!

4* Raptors/Warriors NBA ATS Annihilator on Warriors -

As much as I like the Raptors, I look for the Warriors to come out with a chip on their shoulder at home after losing the way they did at Cleveland on Christmas Day. Golden State has had a full days off since that heartbreaking loss and will be chomping at the bit to get back on the floor. The Warriors already went into Toronto and beat the Raptors 127-121 and it could have been a lot worse as they had a 13-point lead at the half and shot 50% from the field.

Warriors are 33-17 ATS in their last 50 as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points and 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 home games against a team that's won more than 60% of their road games. Take Golden State!

4* NCAAB Situational Undervalued Underdog on Temple +

I like the value we are getting here with the Owls as a decently priced home dog against the Bearcats. Temple is 8-2 in their last 10 with one of those losses coming in a true road game at Villanova. The Bearcats are 10-2 and do have a big 1-point road win over Iowa State, but also lost by 10 at Butler. I just think this Owls team is too good to be catching this many points at home against a conference rival.

Cincinnati is just 2-10 ATS in their last 12 road games when playing on their 2nd game in 8 days, while the Owls are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 as a dog and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Take Temple!

4* NBA Situational ATS Annihilator on Grizzlies +6.5

I like the value here with Memphis catching a big number against a Celtics team that they will be motivated to play well against. These two teams just played in Memphis last Tuesday and the Celtics won 112-109 in OT after erasing a 14-point halftime deficit. Boston's Isaiah Thomas was sensational, scoring 44-pionts on 10 of 16 shooting with 7 made 3-pointers. I'll take my chances here that Thomas doesn't match that production and we get another closely contested game.

The reason Memphis is listed as a decent sized dog here, is because they are playing on 0 days rest, after an ugly showing last night in a 10-point loss to the Magic. The thing is that game was lopsided from the start and the Grizzlies were able to avoid playing their key players big minutes, so they aren't going to be gassed here. Memphis is also a team that has thrived in this spot. They are a perfect 7-0 in their last 7 when playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set and 20-7 ATS in their last 27 overall in this spot. Celtics are just 5-14-1 ATS in their last 20 against the Western Conference and a mere 1-6 ATS in their last 7 at home. Take Memphis!

5* NCAAB No Limit Game of the Month on Syracuse -

This is an ideal spot to back the Orange at home. Last time out Syracuse was embarrassed on their home floor 60-93 by St. John's as a 14-point favorite. The loss dropped the Orange to 7-5 overall and just 3-5 in their last 8. The key here is that all 5 losses came against quality programs in South Carolina, Wisconsin, UConn, Georgetown and St. John's. With their ACC opener on deck Sunday at BC, this is a game the Orange are going to come out looking to make a statement and get some momentum going into league play.

They should have no problem doing just that. Cornell is a mere 3-8 and have had a horrible time keeping games respectable against better talent. The Big Red's closest opponent talent wise to Syracuse was Houston and they lost to the Cougars by 30-points. The other thing here is that Syracuse has shown the ability to feast on bad teams. Out of their 7 wins, 6 have come by 20+ points, including a 105-57 win over E Michigan at home just last week. Take Syracuse!

4* NBA No Doubt ATS Blowout on Pelicans -

I really like the value here with New Orleans laying a short number at home against a Dallas team that is getting a little too much love here after back-to-back road wins over the Blazers and Clippers. What gets overlooked is they caught both of those teams in bad spots. Each was playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set, while the Mavs were coming off a day of rest.

Now they catch an equally rested Pelicans team (2-days), who has been playing much better of late and should be a great bet going forward, as they are finally starting to healthy. Jrue Holiday has played in just 17 of their 32 games and Tyreke Evans only recently returned and has played in just 4. This will be just their 5th game with their 3 best players on the floor in Anthony Davis, Holiday and Evans.

Let's also not forget that Dallas had been a miserable road team prior these two recent wins. Even with those two wins, they are just 3-13 on the road this season. Mavs are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 when playing with 2 days of rest and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 off a SU win. Take New Orleans!

4* Bulls/Spurs NBA Over/Under Total Annihilator on UNDER

The defensive intensity is turned up a notch from what it normally is during the regular season on these Christmas Day games and the Spurs/Bulls matchup will be no different. Both these teams can get after it defensively. Chicago is only giving up 99.7 ppg and the Spurs allow just 97.9 ppg. 

This game means a lot to both teams. San Antonio wants revenge from a 91-95 loss in Chicago earlier this season, which is one of only two road losses all year. The Bulls are simply desperate for a win, as they have dropped 2 straight and 8 of their last 11. 

UNDER is 11-3 in the Bulls 14 road games this season, 9-1 in their last 10 after a loss by 10 or more and a perfect 8-0 in their last 8 after failing to cover the spread in 4 of their last 5. Take the UNDER! 

5* Warriors/Cavs Vegas Insider Top Play on UNDER

Playing on Christmas Day is a big deal for these NBA players and there's not a bigger game on the schedule today that the NBA Finals rematch between the Warriors and Cavs. Both teams want to make a statement and send a message to other team that they are the team to beat this year. While it won't quite be the intensity of a Game 7, it will be close. 

A lot of people get taken in by what these two teams can do offensively, but both are elite defensive teams when they want to be. They just don't play with that intensity on defense every game, as they can just rely on their offense to carry them against the majority of the league. Keep in mind that these two combined for just 182 points in Game 7 last year and we are sitting here with a total north of 220. Take the UNDER! 

4* NBA Blockbuster ATS Blowout on Celtics -

Boston is finally healthy and come into this one having won and covered 4 straight. This team expected a lot better than to be sitting here at his time with a 12-7 record, so I don't see them taking their foot off the gas. In fact, I think this could be the beginning of a big run for the Celtics, as long as they can stay healthy. The key here is we are getting some great value with Boston as a small home favorite, due to the fact that they are playing on no rest after last night's game in Indiana. The thing is this Boston team has great depth.

At the same time, the Thunder are a team that I feel is overvalued right now. Russell Westbrook is playing exceptional, but the rest of the team isn't and they are missing a big piece to their roster in starting guard Victor Oladipo. OKC has also not been nearly as good on the road as they have at home. The Thunder are 11-6 at home, compared to just 6-6 on the road.

Celtics are 28-13 ATS in their last 41 when playing on 0 days rest. It's also worth pointing out they lost at OKC earlier this season 96-99, as they are 30-17 over the last 2 seasons when revenging a loss. Take Boston!