4* NBA Late-Night ATS Annihilator on Lakers + 

The Lakers are a difficult team for the public to back, even when playing at home against a bad team like the Nuggets. As a result, we find LA showing big time value at home tonight. Denver barely held on to beat the 76ers at home 104-103 in their last game. With no shot at making the playoffs, I don't see the Nuggets being all that interested in this one, especially with a much bigger game against the Clippers on deck. 

The Lakers come in off a 107-119 loss at Phoenix, but had been playing well over their previous 8 games, which all were at home. This is one of the rare spots LA has left on the schedule, where they can go in confident that they can get a win, so I expect a big effort here in this one. 

Denver is without Danilo Gallinari and there's a good chance Kenneth Faried will miss this game as well. These are two of the most important players for the Nuggets. Keep in mind Faried had 28 and 15 in Denver's win at LA earlier this season. 

Nuggets are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 after 2 straight games with 19 or less assists, while the Lakers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 off a SU loss by more than 10 points and 13-3 ATS in their last 16 after a game with 15 or less assists. Take the points! 

5* NCAA Tournament No Limit *BEST BET* on Notre Dame - 

The Fighting Irish are showing great value here at basically a pick against the Badgers. Wisconsin is getting a lot of love for their wins over Pittsburgh and Xavier, but both of those teams played right into the strength of the Badgers defense.

Wisconsin does an exceptional job of running teams off the 3-point line and forcing them to beat you inside. Teams like Pitt and Xavier that rely on the outside shot are ones they can compete with. 

On the flip side of this, teams who efficient at scoring inside have made easy work of the Badgers defense this season. If you can score on Wisconsin's defense, you can put the game away, as the Badgers are extremely limited on the offensive side of the floor.

It's going to take a light's out shooting performance from Wisconsin just to keep this game close and I'll take my chances on that not happening. Take Notre Dame! 

4* NCAA Tournament ATS No Brainer on Virginia -

Virginia is a team that simply isn't getting the respect they deserve here against the Cyclones. The Cavaliers have gone 15-3 over their last 18 games and those 3 losses came by a combined 8 points. Iowa State is a quality team, but are going to be outmatched in this one. The Cyclones have had an easy route to the Sweet 16, having played Iona and Arkansas-Little Rock. Even with those two wins, Iowa State is just 7-7 over their last 14. 

The key here is how these two teams matchup. Iowa State wants to push the pace and speed the game up. That's not something you want to do against a dominant defensive team like Virginia. The Cavaliers aren't known for having a great offense, but they were actually one of the more efficient offensive teams in the country. Iowa State doesn't play any defense and has zero to no depth, which I believe will be a huge factor with Virginia's aggressive style. Both offense should be able to score, the key is that the Cavaliers will the ones getting more stops on the defensive side of the ball. Lay the points! 

4* NCAAB Sweet 16 Vegas Insider on Maryland +

I really like the value here with the Terrapins as a decently priced dog against the Jayhawks. Kansas is the #1 seed and have rolled past their first two opponents, covering the spread in both games, including a 13-point win over a red-hot UConn team in their last game. Maryland on the other hand struggled to put away South Dakota State and needed a late run to win comfortably over Hawaii. I don't think there's any doubt this line is inflated. 

The key here is that the Terrapins possess a very difficult matchup for Kansas. Maryland has the bigs inside to match up with the Jayhawks frontline. Kansas also plays a style of defense that is going to benefit Trimble and company. When the Terrapins offense struggles, it's due to teams taking away the drive from Trimble and forcing him to shoot. Kansas wants to take away the 3-point shot and are willing to let their opponents penetrate. This is going to allow Maryland to get into a rhythm offensively and it's not out of the question that they win this game outright. Take the points! 

4* NBA Situational Undervalued Underdog on Nets +

I was fortunate enough to get this bet in early before the line dropped, but I'm still all over Brooklyn in this spot (play is still recommended at current line of +6). This is a horrible spot for the Cavaliers and there's a good chance multiple starters (including LeBron) will set this game out. Cleveland is playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set and their 5th game overall in the last 7 days. 

When this team isn't at full strength and/or are playing with tired legs, they have really struggled. We saw them lose at Miami by 21 in the 2nd game of a back-to-back and that was with no one taking the night off. Prior to that they lost 85-94 at Utah in the 2nd game of a back-to-back. 

Brooklyn is a bad team and has nothing left to play for, but are also a team we don't have to worry about tanking. That makes the Nets a dangerous team at home tonight against the Cavs. Brooklyn has been playing much better of late and a big reason for that is they are giving guys like Sean Kilpatrick a chance to showcase their talents. They are still playing extremely hard and I don't see that changing, regardless of who suits up for Cleveland in this one. 

Cavaliers are just 11-21 ATS on the season against a team with a losing record, 9-20 ATS in their last 29 off a home win where they scored 110 or more points and 8-21 ATS in their last 29 road games after scoring 100+ in 4 straight games. Take the points! 

5* NCAA Tournament Game of the Year on Villanova -

The Wildcats are showing great value here against the Hurricanes. Villanova is shooting the lights out of the basketball right now and may very well be the best team in the tournament that no one is talking about with a legit shot to win it all. Previous years the Wildcats have stumbled in the tournament, but they came in not shooting the ball well. 

This year's team is a whole different beast. Not only can they light it up from the outside, but they can penetrate and score inside, plus get easy baskets in transition. They are also a lot better defensively than what people give them credit for. The pressure they put on the Iowa guards put the game away early. Villanova does an exceptional job of taking away the opposing teams point guard. If the Wildcats can limit Rodriguez the Hurricanes are going to struggle to keep up offensively. Other team that's have taken away Rodriguez have had great success against the Hurricanes and those teams aren't nearly as strong defensively as Villanova. Lay the points! 

5* NBA Western Conference Game of the Month on Blazers - 

The Trail Blazers are showing great value here at home against the Mavericks. These two teams just played in Dallas on Sunday, which the Mavericks won 132-120 in overtime. It's extremely difficult beating the same team in consecutive games, especially when that next meeting is on the road. 

I look for Portland to come out with one of their best efforts of the season tonight and put away the Mavericks early. Even with the win over the Blazers, Dallas is just 2-7 in their last 9 overall. Things don't figure to get better now that they lost Chandler Parsons to a season-ending injury. 

We are also catching Portland undervalue due to a brutal schedule they have had to deal with of late. The Blazers have played 11 of their last 13 on the road. There's no doubt in my mind they will be extremely motivated to get back on track at home. This is also a tough spot for the Mavericks, as they could find themselves looking ahead to Friday's road showdown against the Warriors. 

Dallas is just 5-13 ATS in their last 18 road games after covering the spread in their last contest and 8-21-1 ATS in their last 30 road games against a team with a winning home record. Portland is 13-4 ATS this season as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points, 11-3 ATS in their last 14 after losing 3 of their last 4 and a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last 7 off a SU loss by more than 10 points. Lay the points! 

4* NBA No-Doubt ATS Blowout on Celtics - 

The Celtics are showing big time value here as a small home favorite against the Raptors. Toronto is simply way overvalued right now due to having won 4 straight and 13 of their last 16 overall. The Celtics snapped out of a funk that saw them lose 4 straight with back-to-back blowout wins over the 76ers and Magic. 

I look for Boston to come out the more motivated team in this one, as they are sick and tired of losing to the Raptors. Boston has lost all 3 of the previous meetings this season, including a recent 14-point defeat at Toronto last week. 

The Celtics are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 home games after scoring 105+ points in back-to-back games and 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 home games against a team that's won more than 60% of their road games. Toronto on the other hand is just 11-22 ATS in their last 33 after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6. Lay the points! 

4* NBA Situational ATS Annihilator on Hawks + 

This is a great spot to back the Hawks in basically a pick'em on the road against the Wizards. Atlanta is going to be out for some serious revenge here, as they just lost at home to Washington on Monday 102-117 as a 7-point favorite. 

It's extremely difficult to beat the same team in consecutive games, especially a quality team like the Hawks. Washington is simply getting too much respect due to have won 5 straight. They also played a near perfect game against Atlanta, shooting 50.5% from the field. The other key here is the Hawks have been playing extremely well of late. Atlanta had won 5 straight and 10 of their previous 12 before the defeat to the Wizards. 

Washington is just 6-17 ATS in their last 23 home games off an upset win as a home dog and 0-8 ATS in their last 8 off a road win where they scored 110 or more points. They are also just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games against a team with a winning road record. Hawks are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 following a double-digit loss at home, and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games. Take Atlanta! 

4* Creighton/BYU NIT ATS No Brainer on BYU - 

I believe we are getting some great value here with BYU due to the fact that Kyle Collinsworth is listed on the injury report as questionable with the flu. Collinsworth has had a couple days to recover and his teammates are confident that he will be out there for this game. I expect the same from the senior standout. 

While there's a good chance Collinsworth plays, we know for sure that Creighton will be without guard Isaiah Zierden. That's a big loss. Zierden averages 10.2 ppg and is the Bluejays top 3-point threat. 

The other big key here is the game being played at BYU, where the Cougars are 15-2 on the season. Creighton on the other hand is just 6-9 on the road and have dropped 4 straight away from home. Both teams average right around 80.0 ppg offensively, but BYU allowed just 69.5 ppg at home and Creighton gives up 77.7 ppg on the road. 

BYU failed to cover the spread in their last game against Virginia Tech, but are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 following a game where they failed to beat the number. The Cougars are also 25-9 ATS in their last 34 home games off a win by 6 points or less. Lay the points! 

5* No Limit NBA *BEST BET* on Nets + 

Brooklyn is showing great value here as a decently priced home dog against the Hornets. Charlotte is in the ultimate letdown spot here, as they used every ounce of energy they had in last night's improbable win over the Spurs. The Hornets trailed 7-30 early in the 2nd quarter, but were able to rally for a 91-88 victory. 

I just don't see Charlotte coming out with the kind of energy needed to turn this into a blowout. Not only are the Hornets playing the 2nd of a back-to-back set on the road, but this will be their 5th game in the last 7 days overall. It's also important to keep in mind that Charlotte is not the same team on the road as they are at home. The Hornets are just 13-19 on the road, compared to 27-11 at home. 

Brooklyn isn't a great team by any means, but I expect the Nets to come out with some energy at home after getting the last 2 days off. The Nets will also be getting back Brook Lopez after he sat out the last game.

Brooklyn is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 following a SU loss by more than 10 points, 8-2 ATS in their last 10 after a game where they failed to cover the spread and 11-4 ATS in their last 15 when playing on 2 days of rest. Take the points! 

4* NIT Late-Night ATS No Brainer on San Diego St - 

The Pac-12 has been a major disappointment in the NCAA Tournament. Out of the 7 teams that got invited, only one team made the Sweet 16 (Oregon), with several losing in the 1st round. I see no reason to think that the Pac-12 is going to show any better in the NIT. 

I definitely like the value here with the Aztecs laying a relatively small number at home against the Huskies. Washington had to rally from an early deficit to escape with a 107-102 win over Long Beach State at home in their NIT opener. Now they go on the road where they have really struggled this season (6-9).

Making matters worse is they are taking on a pissed off San Diego State team that is out to show the committee they made a mistake not including them in the Big Dance. The Aztecs cruised to an easy 79-55 win at home over IUPU-Ft Wayne in their NIT opener, improving to 14-4 on their home floor this season.

It's also worth noting that San Diego State more than proved themselves against the Pac-12 in non-conference play. They only lost by 5 on the road at Utah and crushed Cal by 14 on a neutral court. 

San Diego State is 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 following a SU win by more than 20 points and 24-14 ATS in their last 38 home games as a favorite of 3.5 to 6 points. Washington is just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 after allowing 45 or more points in the 1st half of their previous game and 14-20 ATS in their last 34 as a road dog of 3.5 to 6 points. Lay the points! 

4* NBA Situational No Doubt Blowout on Pistons -

This might seem like a big number for the Pistons to be laying against a division opponent, but Detroit should have no problem taking down the Bucks by at least 8 points tonight. Milwaukee is all but eliminated from playoff contention and are already starting to look at developing their younger players. Detroit on the other hand needs every win they can get, as they sit tied for the 8th and final playoff spot in the east with Chicago. 

The Bucks are also a horrible road team. They are just 9-26 away from home on the season, losing by an average of 7.4 ppg. The key here is that we are catching Milwaukee in a really bad spot, as they will be on no rest after hosting the Jazz yesterday. 

Detroit is in the midst of a 9-game homestand. After losing a hard fought game to Atlanta, they have won 2 straight in impressive fashion. With the Magic on deck, there's no reason for the Pistons not to show up for this contest. 

Bucks are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 road games when they come in having lost 2 of their last 3 games, while the Pistons are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 home games after playing a game as a favorite and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games as a favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. Lay the points! 

5* NBA Non-Conference Game of the Month on Hornets + 

Charlotte is showing great value here as a decently priced home dog against the Spurs. This is simply a bad spot for San Antonio off that huge win at home against the Warriors. The Spurs invested everything they had in beating Golden State and are almost certainly going to suffer a letdown on the road against a Hornets team that is quietly playing their best basketball of the season. 

Charlotte comes in off a 93-101 loss at home to the Nuggets as a 9-point favorite, which is definitely helping the value here. However, that lackluster performance against Denver, likely had a lot to do with them looking ahead to this game. The Hornets are 15-4 over their last 19 games and haven't lost back-to-back games when playing at home all season. 

This is also a big revenge game for Charlotte, as they got embarrassed by 20-points at San Antonio earlier this season. Hornets are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 when revenging a road loss of 10 or more points and 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 home games against a team that's won more than 60% of their road games. Spurs are just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 off a SU win and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 against the east. Take the points! 

4* NCAA Tournament ATS Annihilator on Hawaii + 

The Terrapins got pushed to the limit in their opening round game against South Dakota State, while Hawaii made easy work of a Cal team that was playing their best basketball coming into the Tournament. I know the Golden Bears were without Wallace, but I don't know that he would have made that big of a difference. 

Hawaii only lost by 3-points to Oklahoma in non-conference play, while also beating UNI by 16. One thing that I really like about the Rainbow Warriors, is they have been competitive in just about every game. Only 1 of their losses was by more than 8-points. You also have to factor in the Terrapins haven't been playing all that great down the stretch. Even with the win over the Jackrabbits, they are just 4-5 in their last 9. 

Hawaii is 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games against teams who force 12 or fewer turnovers/game, including a perfect 8-0 mark this season. The Warriors are also 18-8 ATS in their last 26 non-conference games and 13-4 ATS in their last 17 tournament games. Take the points! 

5* NCAA Tournament Vegas Insider *BEST BET* on Syracuse -

Middle Tennessee played a near perfect game against Michigan State and as a result are coming into today's Round of 32 matchup against Syracuse way overvalued. It's also a lot harder for a team like the Blue Raiders to bounce back off a monumental win like they had against the Spartans, who many had winning the tournament. 

One of the keys here is that the Orange are a difficult team to prepare in just 1 day. Syracuse's zone is not the same kind of zone that teams are use to facing. You might think that given how well Middle Tennessee shoots the 3-ball, the zone would be a good fit for them. However, opponents are shooting just 30.4% from behind the 3-point line against Syracuse this season. They also average 3 fewer attempts than what they normally put up. 

Adding to all of this is a strong system backing a fade of the Blue Raiders. Underdogs of 3.5-9.5 points who are 4 or more consecutive wins are just 20-52 (28%) ATS in the NCAA Tournament when seeded 13 through 16. Lay the points! 

4* NBA Situational ATS No Brainer on Clippers - 

This might seem like a big number for the Clippers to be laying on the road playing on no rest in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set, but it's for good reason. The Pelicans aren't expected to have Anthony Davis and that gives them little to no chance of being competitive with the injury situation that they have. 

Los Angeles lost yesterday 102-113 at Memphis and that is going to have the Clippers coming out extremely motivated for a win here. Keep in mind they followed up a 87-108 loss at San Antonio on  Tuesday with a 122-106 win at Houston the next night. This also isn't a horrible back-to-back spot, as LA had two days off prior to playing the Grizzlies. 

Pelicans are just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 against a team with a winning record and 2-10 ATS in their last 12 after allowing 60+ points in the 1st half of their last game. Clippers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 following a SU loss and 13-4 ATS in their last 17 after a game where they failed to cover the spread. Lay the points! 

4* Warriors/Spurs NBA Primetime Main Event on Spurs - 

This is the game that everyone has been waiting for and I really like the value we are getting with the Spurs as a small home favorite. San Antonio  is a perfect 34-0 at home this season and have won a ridiculous 32 straight regular season home games against the Warriors. 

Not only is this a great line to get the Spurs at home, but this is a huge revenge spot for San Antonio. The Spurs got embarrassed by the Warriors in Golden State earlier this season, losing by a final of 90-120. To say this is a statement game for the Spurs is an understatement. 

It's also worth noting San Antonio has a big edge here in the scheduling department. The Warriors had to play last night in Dallas and now are on the road for a second straight game without rest. This is also their 3rd game in the last 4 days. The Spurs on the other hand had yesterday off and will be playing just their 3rd game int he last 6 days. 

San Antonio is 12-3 ATS in their last 15 home games when revenging a loss where they allowed 100 or more points and have won these games by an average of 13.7 ppg. Lay the points! 

4* NCAA Tournament Vegas Insider on Connecticut + 

The Huskies are showing great value here as a near double-digit dog against the Jayhawks. Connecticut didn't play well at all in the 1st half against Colorado, but returned to the form that won them the AAC Tournament in the 2nd half. The Huskies are playing with all kinds of momentum and aren't going to be the least bit intimidated by the Jayhawks. 

Kansas is simply overvalued due to the fact that they are the #1 overall seed in the tournament and fresh off a 26-points win over Austin Peay, where they put up a ridiculous 107 points. Connecticut isn't going to let the Jayhawks run all over them. They are going to limit their easy looks in transition and really slow the game down. It's not out of the question that the Huskies win this game outright. 

Connecticut is 24-10 ATS in their last 34 games when listed as a underdog on a neutral court and a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last 7 NCAA Tournament games. Kansas on the other hand is just 2-9 ATS over the last 2 seasons against teams who average 12 or less turnovers after 15+ games. Take the points! 

5* No Limit NCAA Tournament *BEST BET* on Iowa State -

I really like the value here with the Cyclones as a decently priced favorite against the Trojans. Arkansas-Little Rock is fortunate just to be playing today, as they trailed by 13-points with less than 4 minutes to play against Purdue on Thursday. The Trojans rallied from that deficit to force overtime, where they won in double-overtime 85-83. 

The key thing to keep in mind here is that they are playing in the thin-air of Denver. That's going to make bouncing back on just 1-day of rest very difficult. Another advantage here for Iowa State is they got the chance to watch the Trojans after their easy 13-point win over Iona. The Cyclones play at a fast pace and that's going to make it even harder on Little Rock to keep up on the scoreboard. 

The Trojans are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 after a game where both teams scored 80+ points and 3-14 ATS in their last 17 road games after a combined score of 165 or more. Iowa State on the other hand is an impressive 13-4 ATS in their last 17 tournament games. Lay the points! 

4* NCAA Tournament Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR on Texas A&M - 

There's been plenty of beef about how Texas A&M got a #3 seed and Kentucky got a #4 seed. That's not the Aggies fault and I look for them to come out with a chip on their shoulder against an inferior Green Bay team. 

It's important to note that I think Kentucky is one of the best teams in the country and were deserving of a better seeding. With that said, Texas A&M could have just as easily beat them in the SEC Tournament title game (lost in OT). That  loss to the Wildcats is the Aggies only defeat in their last 9 games. Keep in mind this team was ranked in the Top 5 at one point this season. 

The Phoenix winning the Horizon Tournament was a HUGE surprise. They went just 11-7 in league play and almost everyone thought that it was going to be either Valparaiso, Oakland or Wright State. Simply put, this team is going to be outclassed when they take the floor and their lack of defense is going to allow Texas A&M to turn this into a blowout. 

Keep in mind this team lost to Georgia Tech by 30 in non-conference play and allowed 107 points in the process. Lay the points! 

3* NBA Undervalued Underdog on Magic +

Orlando is showing great value here as a near double-digit home dog against the Cavaliers. The Magic have covered two straight and 4 of their last 6 overall. This is a game they will definitely be motivated to play their best. Getting the best team in the east on their home floor. 

The Cavaliers are simply overvalued due to having won 7 of their last 9 and going up against a bad team. However, this isn't a great spot for Cleveland. They are coming off a hard fought win over the Mavericks at home and have to turn around and play Miami tomorrow. The Heat are a team that we know LeBron James wants to be at his best against, so don't expect a max effort tonight from the King. 

Orlando is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games, while Cleveland is 4-10-2 ATS in their last 16 against the Eastern Conference and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 against a team with a losing record. 

We also find a strong system in play on Orlando. Underdogs who have allowed 105 or more points in 3 straight games against an opponent that is off a win by 6 points or less are 41-17 (71%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take the points! 

4* NCAA Tournament No Doubt ATS Blowout on Cal - 

A lot of the attention in the Pac-12 is going to Oregon and Utah, but I think the most dangerous team in the field from that conference is the Golden Bears. Cal has two of the best freshmen in the country that no one talks about in Jaylen Brown and Ivan Rabb. Once these two got a better understanding of what head coach Cuonzoc Martin wanted, this team took off down the stretch. 

The Golden Bears won 9 of their last 11 games with their two losses coming at Arizona by just 3-points (should have won that game) and to Utah by 4 in the Pac-12 Tournament. Keep in mind they did beat Utah at home by 13 and Oregon by 20. They also lost by just 1-point on the road against Virginia back in non-conference play and very easily could have won that game. 

The scary thing about Cal is not only do they have a balanced offensive attack (5 players averaging in double-figures), they are one of the best defensive teams in the country. One thing Cal does extremely well is not let teams get quality looks from behind the 3-point line. They also aren't easy to score on inside. Hawaii is a team that loves to shoot the 3-ball, which makes this a perfect matchup for the Bears. 

Cal is 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall and once again I feel like they are being way undervalued. They also have gone 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 against a team with a winning record. Lay the points! 

5* NCAA Tournament Vegas Insider *BEST BET* on Syracuse - 

You could make a strong case that the Orange don't belong in the Tournament, but that's besides the point now. The key here is that this is a great matchup for Syracuse, plus I'm not all that convinced that the A-10 was as good as people think. 

Dayton had some quality non-conference wins, but they also lost by 29-points to Xavier and fell at home to Chattanooga. The Flyers are a team that likes to use a lot of movement on offense to create easy looks. That isn't going to be all that effective against Syracuse's zone. In fact, Dayton really struggled this season against teams who played exclusively zone defense. 

On the other side of the ball, Dayton does an outstanding job of protecting the rim and not letting team get easy looks inside. That's great if you were playing a team that likes to pound the ball inside, but the Orange are a team that loves to shoot the 3-point shot. They have four different plays who each attempted over 100 3-point shots this season and all four hit at least 34%. 

I'll put my trust in Boeheim to have Syracuse ready to play and wouldn't be shocked if the Orange won this one going away. Syracuse is 32-14 ATS in their last 46 neutral court games as an underdog and 28-11 ATS in their last 39 when listed as a dog of 6 or less on a neutral floor. Take the points! 

5* NCAA Tournament Opening Round GAME OF THE YEAR on Providence - 

Of all the first round games of the NCAA Tournament, this is without a doubt my favorite play. Providence is built for postseason success. They have an elite guard in Kris Dunn and a matchup nightmare in 6-9 forward Ben Bentil. USC on the other hand is a team that I didn't feel deserved to make the tournament. 

Almost all of the Trojans success this season came at home, where they finished the year 16-2. USC won just 5 games on the road and none of those were against a team as talented as what they will face in the Friars. Making things even tougher on the Trojans is they got the unfortunate draw of having to play in Raleigh. Traveling clear across the country isn't going to help those road problems. 

Another thing I look at is how a team closed out the year. USC went just 3-7 over their last 10 ames. That included a 11-point loss at home to Utah, 20-point loss at Stanford, 22-point loss at Cal and 10-point loss at home to Oregon. 

I also give a big edge here to the Friars with head coach Ed Cooley and his ability to prepare for an opponent. He's going to have his team ready for what USC likes to do offensively and they aren't going to let the Trojans get out and get easy points in transition. All this adds up to what should be any easy win for Providence. Lay the points! 

3* NCAA Tournament Undervalued Underdog on Chattanooga +

There's going to be those that don't understand why Indiana is 5-seed after winning the Big 10 regular season title, but I actually think the committee seeded them accordingly. Indiana played an easy non-conference schedule and had some ugly losses. They to Wake Forest and UNLV, plus got routed by Duke by 20.

They also played the easiest Big Ten schedule, which can't be overlooked. They simply didn't have to go through the same grind of schedule as the other teams. My belief that this team is overrated came to form when the Hoosiers lost to Michigan in their first game of the Big Ten Tournament. 

Indiana's offensive is built around the 3-point shot, which is something that doesn't always travel well. Chattanooga did a decent job of defending the 3-pointer and have the players who can make life difficult for Yogi Ferrell. 

I wouldn't be shocked if the Mocs pulled off the outright upset in this one. Indiana is just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games and 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games played in the NCAA Tournament. Chattanooga is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 against a team with a winning percentage above 60% and 8-1 ATS over the last 2 seasons after 15+ games when playing against a team with a winning record. Take the points! 

3* NCAA Tournament No Doubt BLOWOUT on Miami - 

The Hurricanes are a No. 3 seed, but could have easily been a No. 2 seed. Miami tied with Virginia for 2nd in the ACC at 13-5, just 1-game back of North Carolina.  I look for the Hurricanes to have no problem here in what is a great matchup for them against Buffalo. 

The Bulls got into the tournament by winning the MAC Tournament, but this isn't one of the teams I think you ride the momentum with. Buffalo went just 10-8 in the MAC during the regular season and had lost 5 of 8 before going on that run in the MAC Tournament. During their 3-game run in the MAC Tournament, Buffalo made a ridiculous 35 of 80 (44%) from behind the 3-point line. 

The problem for the Bulls is the Hurricanes aren't going to let them get looks from the outside. They ranked 22nd in the country in 3-point shots allowed. Not only does Miami do a good job of taking away the 3-point shot, they don't foul and protect the rim. 

With Buffalo struggling to get anything going offensively, this game should get out of hand quickly. The Bulls are not a good offensive team and that's saying something given they play in a small conference. They allowed 78.3 ppg on the road. Miami should score at will here and win by 20+ no problem. 

Miami is 8-2 ATS in their 10 games this season against teams who average 77 or more points/game and 12-3 ATS in their last 15 non-conference games. Lay the points! 

4* NCAA Tournament Early Bird NO BRAINER on Connecticut - 

The Huskies caught fire at the right time once again. With their tournament hopes firmly on the bubble, Connecticut took matters into their own hands and went out and won the American Athletic Tournament title. The most impressive thing about that feat is they went on to win two more games after a 4-overtime thriller against Cincinnati. 

I look for the Huskies to carry over that momentum with an easy win here against a Colorado team that I don't think is anything special. Most of Colorado's success came at home, where the Buffaloes finished the season 16-1. Their few road (includes neutral sites) wins weren't all that impressive either. They beat Auburn, Colorado State, Penn State, Stanford and Washington State (twice). 

This is also a bad matchup for the Buffaloes. Colorado is a team that likes to get out and score in transition. Their offensive production was way down against teams who didn't allow them easy baskets in transition. UConn excels at not allowing teams to score in transition On the flip side of this, the Buffaloes are really good at not allowing team open looks from the outside. The Huskies would much rather prefer to beat you inside. 

Connecticut has gone an impressive 36-15-1 ATS in their last 52 neutral site games, including a 15-3 ATS mark in their last 18 NCAA Tournament games. Colorado on the other hand has failed to cover in 4 of their last 5 NCAA Tournament games and are a mere 3-13 ATS in their last 16 post-season tournament games. Lay the points! 

3* NBA Situational No-Doubt BLOWOUT on Kings - 

I believe the books have set a low number here trying to adjust for the Kings playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set. While this would normally be a decent spot to go against Sacramento, I love the value here with them going up against the Pelicans. 

New Orleans has been devastated by injuries and even when they were somewhat healthy they struggled on the road. The Pelicans are just 7-27 away from home on the season and this is far from an ideal spot. New Orleans will be concluding a 5-game road trip and will be playing their 4th game in the last 6 days. 

The Kings snapped a 5-game losing streak with a 106-98 win over the Lakers last night. I don't see them looking past this game, as they have lost each of the previous 3 meetings this season against the Pelicans. No team wants to get swept by an opponent, so expect a big effort here from Sacramento. 

New Orleans is 3-11 ATS in their last 14 road games after playing their previous game as a road dog and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 after allowing 55 or more in the 1st half of 2 straight games. Sacramento on the other hand is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 off a SU win and the home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Lay the points! 

5* Tulsa/Michigan First Four NO BRAINER on Tulsa +

The media has taken it out on Tulsa and how they didn't deserve to be included in the field of 68. That makes the Golden Hurricanes a dangerous team. It also has them showing great value here against the spread, as the public wants nothing to do with them. 

Michigan on the other hand is way over-valued due to upsetting Indiana in the Big Ten Tournament. Keep in mind they could have just as easily lost their tournament opener against Northwestern and would be playing in the NIT. Indiana has also had serious problems playing well in the Big Ten tournament, so that win isn't as impressive as you might think.  Prior to those two wins they had lost 6 of their previous 9. I don't trust this team away from home and fully expect the Golden Hurricanes to win this game outright. 

Tulsa has gone an impressive 4-1 ATS in their last 5 NCAA Tournament games. They are also a strong 5-2-2 ATS in their last 9 off a SU loss and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games against a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Michigan is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 overall and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 against at team with a winning record. Take the points! 

4* NBA No Limit VEGAS INSIDER on Pistons -

Detroit is showing great value here at basically a pick'em at home. A big reason for that is they come in off an ugly 84-124 loss at Washington. That defeat came in the final of a 4-game road trip and was their 3rd game in the last 4 days. The Pistons return home where they have won 3 straight, including a 20-point win over the Blazers and 13-point win against the Raptors. 

Atlanta has been playing well of late, as they come in having won 7 of their last 9, but this is a tough spot for the Hawks. Atlanta just played 2 straight at home after a 5-game road trip. Now they have to go on the road for this one game before returning home for 3 straight. 

Detroit has won 2 of the last 3 meetings and will be out for revenge from a 107-100 loss at Atlanta in the most recent matchup. The Pistons are 22-11 ATS in their last 33 home games when revenging a road loss and 14-5 ATS in their last 19 home games after playing their previous game on the road. Take Detroit! 

3* NIT Late-Night Vegas Line Mistake on IPFW + 

San Diego State is the more talented team in this matchup, but you can't just look at them when handicapping the NIT. It's all about motivation and the edge here has to go to IPFW. The Aztecs were every bit deserving of a NCAA Tournament bid, but a loss to Fresno State in the MWC Tournament title game cost them. 

It's extremely difficult for teams like San Diego State to get motivated for a NIT game when they miss out on the NCAA Tournament because they lost their conference title game, especially when they were the clear-cut favorite to represent their conference (16-2 regular season record in the MWC). 

Playing at home isn't going to be a big enough advantage here for the Aztecs and I wouldn't be surprised if it was a less than a full house given the opponent. The Mastadons on the other hand are going to be highly motivated to showcase their talents against a team like San Diego State. 

Keep in mind the Aztecs are team built on energy and defense, two things that they likely won't have for this game. San Diego State doesn't want to be here and they will be playing their 4th game in 6 days after playing 3 straight days in the MWC Tournament. Take the points! 

4* Vanderbilt/Wichita St First Four ATS No Brainer on Wichita State -

The Shockers are one of the most dangerous double-digit seeds in the field. Wichita State opened the season ranked inside the Top 10 and had it not been for injuries early in the year, this team would be seeded much better than a #11. 

Vanderbilt has some quality wins inside the SEC against Texas A&M and Kentucky, which I'm sure will catch the eye of some. However, both of those wins came at home. When this team has been matched up against a top level opponent on the road or a neutral floor, they have failed to deliver. In fact, the Commodores went just 5-11 away from home with the wins coming against St. Johns, Wake Forest, Tennessee, Auburn and Florida. 

The dynamic duo of Ron Baker and Fred VanVleet will be too much for Vanderbilt to overcome in this one. Wichita State is a dominant 20-8 ATS in their last 28 neutral court games as a favorite of 6 points or less and a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 off a game where they shot 20% or worse from behind the 3-point line. Lay the points! 

5* NBA TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Celtics/Pacers OVER

While the Celtics failed to score 100+ for the first time in 9 games in their last game and the Pacers managed just 75 points at Atlanta last time out, I look for both offenses to put on a show tonight. The Celtics 98-point effort against the Rockets was simply a result of an off night shooting. Boston comes in averaging 106.1 ppg. 

Both of these team rank in the top 10 in pace of play, with the Celtics the better of the two at No. 3. With Boston coming into this game having not played since last Friday, we can expect the Celtics to be running up and down the floor. They should be able to have their way with a Pacers defense that has given up 100+ in two straight. 

I also look for Indiana to score at will here. The Celtics are giving up 103.7 ppg on the road overall and have allowed 113.6 ppg over their last 5 away from home. No surprise, every one of those games finished over the total. 

OVER is 38-15 in Boston's last 53 road games when playing with 3 or more days of rest and the OVER is 36-7 over the last 5 seasons in games with a total of 200 or more where you have a team playing 3 or less games in 10 days that has lost 2 of their last 3. OVER is also 46-19 on Tuesday over the last 5 seasons when you have a team off a road blowout loss by 20 or more. Take the OVER! 

3* NBA Situational Oddsmakers Error on Suns - 

Phoenix is showing great value here at basically a pick'em at home against the Timberwolves. Minnesota comes into this game off a surprising 99-96 win at Oklahoma City as a 12-point dog. That along with the fact that the Wolves have covered 3 of their last 4, has them way overvalued here. 

The Suns have gone just 5-33 over their last 38 games, including 3 straight losses coming into this contest. However, injuries have played a big part in their poor play. Brandon Knight just returned after a near 2 month absence and put up 30 points in a 116-123 loss at Golden State as a 19-point dog. With Knight back in the mix, Phoenix is a completely different team and simply should be favored by more at home against an equally bad team in Minnesota. 

Timberwolves are just 1-10 ATS in their last 11 after covering the spread in 3 of their last 4, 19-40 in their last 59 off a road win by 3-points or less and 8-22 ATS in their last 30 against a team with a losing record. Take Phoenix! 

4* NBA No Doubt ATS Annihilator on Wizards -

Washington is showing great value here as a small home favorite against the Pistons. The Wizards are simply not getting the respect they deserve from the books at home due to having lost 5 straight. The key thing to keep in mind is 4 of those 5 losses came on the road. Washington is 6-1 over their last 7 home games and will be facing a Pistons team that is just 15-21 on the road. 

Detroit comes in having won 3 of 4, but have not been playing well defensively during this stretch. The Pistons are allowing 106.0 ppg over their last 5 and are allowing 102.1 ppg overall on the road this season. Washington averages 104.1 ppg at home and should have their way on that side of the floor. It's also worth noting that the Wizards have won 3 straight in the series and held Detroit to just 92.0 ppg in those 3 victories. 

Pistons are just 7-17 ATS in their 24 road games this season against up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game and 7-18 AT in their last 25 road games against teams allowing 99+ points/game. Pistons are also just 4-12 ATS in their last 16 road games after playing their previous game on the road. Lay the points! 

5* NBA No Limit Top Play on Mavericks + 

Dallas comes into this game having lost 5 straight and as a result we are getting great value on the Mavericks here as a decently priced road dog against the Hornets. Charlotte on the other hand is overvalued due to winning 7 straight. Not to take anything away from the Hornets, but their 7-game winning streak has come against a favorable schedule and 6 of the 7 have come at home. 

As poorly as the Mavericks have been playing of late, they are still tied for 7th in the west. With that said, Dallas can't continue to play this bad and I look for an all out effort here against Charlotte. The Hornets on the other hand are due for a letdown. Charlotte has allowed 100+ points in 5 straight an eventually that poor defensively will catch up to them. 

Dallas is a perfect 2-0 ATS this season when listed as a road dog of 6.5 to 9 points and 3-1 ATS in their last 4 off 2 or more consecutive home losses. Charlotte is just 5-8 ATS in their last 13 as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 after 3 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers. Take the points! 

5* Cavs/Clippers NBA Heavy Hitter on UNDER

I'm expecting both teams to come out sluggish, which should lead to a much lower scoring game than the books are expecting. Rarely do you see teams on the west coast playing this early in the day and on top of that, players have to adjust to daylight savings time. This is also a big time matchup, which tends to lead to a lot more effort on the defensive end. 

Both of teams can light it up offensively and that overshadows how good they are defensively. Both of these teams rank in the Top 8 in defensive efficiency. Cleveland is only giving up 97 ppg on the road and the Clippers are allowing just 98.8 ppg at home. 

UNDER is 13-4 in the Cavaliers last 17 after covering 4 of their last 5, 22-10 in their last 32 games played on Sunday and 4-1 in their last 5 when playing on 2 days of rest. UNDER is also 4-0 in the Clippers last 4 home games against a team with a winning road record, 10-2 in their last 12 after scoring 100+ in their previous game and 22-5 in their last 27 when facing an opponent who allowed 100+ in their previous game. Take the UNDER! 

4* Purdue/Michigan St NCAAB Vegas Insider on Michigan St -

I really like the Spartans to not only win, but to do so in fashion. Michigan State didn't play anywhere close to their best basketball and still held on to beat Maryland yesterday. With Villanova's loss to Seton Hall, the Spartans have a legit shot at earning a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament if they win this game. 

Michigan State has gone 12-1 over their last 13 games. The only loss during this stretch came at Purdue 81-82. Needless to say the Spartans haven't forgot about that defeat and will be out to make a statement. Purdue has reached the Big Ten finals having beat Illinois and Michigan, both in blowout fashion. That's nothing to get excited about, as neither of those teams are all that great. That that they won both by 17+ points, has definitely kept this line a lot lower than it should be. 

Spartans are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games after allowing 65 or less points in 2 straight games and 12-1 ATS in their last 13 when they come in having won 15 or more of their last 20. Purdue is 0-7 AT in their last 7 road games after 5 straight games outrebounding their opponent by 6 or more. Lay the points! 

5* NBA No Limit Top Play on Bucks - 

The Pelicans are no longer a threat to make the playoffs, as they are 8.5-games back of 8th place Dallas with just 18 games left on the schedule. They also have to pass 3 other teams ahead of them just to get to the Mavericks. This is a team that is going to struggle to play hard down the stretch, as they came into this season with the expectation of making the playoffs. 

This is an especially difficult spot for New Orleans. The Pelicans lost in overtime last night at Memphis and will now be playing on no rest in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set. Four of the five starters played 40+ minutes and Ryan Anderson played 37 off the bench. Making it even harder to get up for this game is the fact that they have the Warriors on deck Monday. Milwaukee on the other hand comes in off a win at home over Miami and will be playing on 2 days of rest. Bucks are also a respectable 19-12 at home, while the Pelicans are just 7-25 on the road. 

New Orleans is just 6-15 ATS in their last 21 non-conference games and 2-12 ATS in their last 14 after allowing 120 or more points. Milwaukee is 13-4 ATS in their last 17 home games after losing 2 of their last 3. Lay the points! 

3* NBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on UNDER 

The books have set the total way too high for this matchup. These two teams just played back on 2/24 and combined for just 202 points with a total of 210. The books have adjusted, but not enough. In fact, each of the last 6 meetings in the series have seen a combined score less than the number posted here. 

Neither team is going to be looking to push the pace in this one, as both are playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set and 3rd in the last 4 days overall. Philadelphia figures to really struggle offensively, as they have lost Okafor for the season and will also be without Covington. Those are two of their top 3 scorers, who combine for nearly 30.0 ppg. 

UNDER is 9-1 in the Pistons last 10 road games when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days, 6-1 in their last 7 road games overall and 17-7 in their last 24 road games against a team with a losing record. UNDER is also 24-10-1 in the 76ers last 35 off a SU win. Take the UNDER! 

4* NCAAB Situational ATS No Brainer on Temple +

Connecticut was able to escape with a 104-97 win in quadruple overtime yesterday against Cincinnati. That win may have been enough to get the Huskies into the NCAA Tournament, but they simply aren't going to have enough left in the tank to compete with the Owls. Connecticut had 5 different players play at least 43 minutes, including 55 from Daniel Hamilton and 54 from Sterling Gibbs. 

While the Huskies played an extra 20 minutes of basketball, Temple cruised to a 79-62 win over South Florida. The Owls are in good position to make the tournament, but can greatly help their seeding by winning the AAC tournament. Temple also poses a tough matchup for Connecticut. The Owls won both regular season meetings and in both games held the Huskies under 40% shooting. 

Temple is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 off a conference win by 10 or more points, 7-2 ATS in their last 9 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games played on a neutral site. Take the points! 

4* NCAAB Late Night Vegas Insider on Tulsa -

The Golden Hurricanes are showing some great value here against Memphis. Tulsa is going to be out for revenge from a 82-92 loss at Memphis back on 2/28. The key thing to keep in mind with that result, is the Tigers were playing at home. Memphis went a miserable 3-8 in their 11 games on the road this season. 

That loss to the Tigers was the only real bad effort out of the Golden Hurricanes down the stretch. They went 6-2 over their final 8 games with the only other loss coming by a mere 2-points at Connecticut. 

Memphis is just 6-16 ATS in their last 22 as a road dog, 6-16 ATS in their last 22 off a road win by 10 or more and 1-9 ATS this season off a game where they covered the spread. Tulsa is 19-5 ATS in their last 24 off a SU win by 10 or more against a conference opponent and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 against a team with a winning record. Lay the points! 

4* NBA Over/Under Total Annihilator on Wizards/Jazz UNDER 

The books have set the mark way too high for tonight's showdown between the Jazz and Wizards. This is an important game for both teams. After losing each of their last 3 games, Washington is now 2.5-games out of the 8th and final spot in the east. Utah has lost 7 of their last 8 to fall 3-games back of the 8th spot in the west. 

This is a game that both teams desperately want and need, which I believe is going to lead to a max defensive effort from both teams. Utah allowed 115 in their last game against the Warriors, but had held each of their previous 3 opponents to 94 or less and giving up only 94.2 ppg at home this season. Washington's defense has slipped in their last few games, but have held 8 of their last 13 to 100 or less. They also haven't allowed Utah to score more than 91 in each of the last 4 meetings. 

UNDER is 4-0 in the Wizards last 4 against a team with a losing record, 5-1 in their last 6 after allowing 100 or more and 4-1 in their last 5 off a SU loss. UNDER is also 12-3 in Utah's last 15 against a team with a losing record and 22-10 in their last 32 as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. Take the UNDER! 

5* Atlantic 10 GAME OF THE MONTH on St Bonaventure - 

The Bonnies are showing great value here at basically a pick'em against the Wildcats. St. Bonaventure has quietly been playing their best basketball of the season. The Bonnies closed out the regular season with 5 straight wins and won 10 of their last 11 overall. 

Davidson was able to defeat Lasalle 78-63 yesterday in their A-10 Tournament opener, but this is not a team that you can trust on the road. The Wildcats went just 4-10 away from home all season and that includes a 12-point loss at St Bonaventure. The Bonnies also have a big advantage here having received a first round bye. 

St Bonaventure is 6-0 ATS over the last 2 seasons in the month of March, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games, 13-3 ATS in their last 16 neutral site games and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games after scoring 75+ points in each of their last 2 games. Take the Bonnies! 

3* NBA Undervalued Underdog on Timberwolves +

Minnesota is showing great value here as a double-digit dog against the Thunder. Oklahoma City is simply getting too much respect off their 12-point win against the Clippers, where they easily covered the spread. The key here is this is not a great spot at all for the Thunder. 

Oklahoma City really invested a lot into that game against Los Angeles, as they had blown a 20+ point lead to the Clippers the previous week. Not only are the Thunder in a prime letdown spot, but they also have a huge game on deck tomorrow at San Antonio, which is the primetime matchup on ABC. All Oklahoma City wants is to leave this game with a win, they aren't going to be worried about blowing this thing wide open. 

Minnesota on the other hand is going to come out motivated against one of the elite teams and keep in mind they played the Thunder tough in the last meeting, losing by just 3-points at home. Timberwolves are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games when revenging a loss where they allowed 110 or more points and the Thunder are just 6-17 ATS in their last 23 after covering last time out. Take the points! 

4* NCAAB Situational ATS No Brainer on LSU -

The Tigers only hope of making the NCAA Tournament is to win the SEC Tournament and it starts with today's game against Tennessee. LSU caught a big break with Vanderbilt losing to the Volunteers and I look for the Tigers to make easy work of what should be a worn down Tennessee team. 

The Volunteers will be playing their 3rd game in 3 days, while the Tigers received a double-bye. Tennessee started to show signs of the fatigue setting in, as they nearly blew a 12-poing halftime lead, barely holding on for a 67-65 win. I just don't see the Volunteers being able to match the intensity of LSU, who is also going to come into this game look for revenge from a ugly 65-81 loss at Tennessee in the only meeting during the regular season. 

The Volunteers are just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 off an upset win over a conference opponent and just 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 off a SU win. LSU had won 2 straight prior to losing 77-94 at Kentucky in their regular season finale, but are a strong 16-7-1 ATS in their last 24 following a SU loss. Lay the points! 

3* NCAAB Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR on Miami -

The Hurricanes closed out the regular season with an ugly 15-point loss at Virginia Tech and the Hokies come into this game having won 6 straight, including a 96-85 win as a 5-point dog in yesterday's matchup with Florida State. 

Miami likely didn't take the Hokies seriously in their regular season finale, as they were just coming off 3 straight wins against Virginia, Louisville and Notre Dame and had already beat Virginia Tech by 16 at home. Not only will the Hurricane be extremely motivated with revenge on their minds, but they also have a chance to play their way into a No.2 seed if they can make a deep run in the ACC Tournament. 

Miami is a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games, 3-1 ATS in their last 4 when revenging a road loss, 2-0 ATS this season off a loss by 15 or more and 3-0 ATS in all tournament games. Lay the points! 

4* NCAAB Vegas Line Mistake on Wisconsin -

The Badgers are showing great value here against the Cornhuskers. Wisconsin closed out the regular season with an ugly 80-91 loss at Purdue, which is definitely helping this line. That loss shouldn't be judged in a negative way. The focus should be more on how dominant the Badgers were down the stretch run of Big Ten play. 

Nebraska was the exact opposite. The Cornhuskers lost 5 straight and 9 of their last 11 in the regular season. That fact that they come in off a 17-point win against Rutgers isn't anything to worry about, as the Scarlet Knights are awful. I just don't see Nebraska being able to put up a fight here against a pissed off Wisconsin team that is more than capable of winning this tournament. 

Nebraska is just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after a game where they covered the spread and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 against a team with a winning record. Lay the points! 

4* Hawks/Raptors NBA Heavy Hitter on Raptors -

The Raptors are showing great value here as a relatively small home favorite against the Hawks. Toronto has won 13 of their last 14 at home and have been doing so behind an explosive offense that is averaging 107.4 ppg during this stretch. Atlanta's defense has been playing well of late, but this is not a good spot for the Hawks. 

Atlanta will be playing the finale of a 5-game road trip. Each of the first 4 on the trip were on the west coast, now they have to travel completely across the country to face the Raptors. Having already secured a winning road trip, I just don't see the Hawks being all that interested in this matchup. 

Toronto is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games against a team with a winning record and we find a strong system in play backing a fade of Atlanta. Road dogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points in a game involving two strong free throw shooting teams (76-79%) after 42+ games are 16-41 (28%) ATS after 5 straight games holding their opponents to 42% or worse from the field. Lay the points! 

3* NCAAB No-Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Xavier -

I look for the Musketeers to come out looking to make a statement in their conference tournament opener and they will have a big advantage here. While Marquette had to play yesterday against St John's, Xavier got a first round bye. That extra rest is critical this time of year.

This might seem like a big number for the Musketeers to be laying given their two wins against Marquette in the regular season came by just 8 and 9 points, but I'm not concerned about those results. Xavier could have easily won both of those games by double-digits. If anything, those close calls will have the Musketeers completely focused on the task at hand.

Marquette is just 9-19 ATS in their last 28 games against a team that's won more than 60% of their games, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 off a SU win and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 after scoring more than 90 points. Xavier is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games. Lay the points!

5* NCAAB ACC Game of the Month on Virginia -

Georgia Tech rallied from an 18-point deficit to stun Clemson 88-85 in the opening round of the ACC Tournament yesterday. As impressive as that wins looks on paper, it has the Yellow Jackets in an awful spot tonight against a Virginia team that is playing their best basketball and fighting for a No. 1 seed. 

Making matters even worse for Georgia Tech is they are going to get a pissed off Virginia team, as the Cavaliers will be out for revenge from a 64-68 road loss back in early January. Virginia wasn't playing anywhere close to the level that they were to close out the season. With the way they get it after it defensively and the Yellow Jackets not having a whole lot left in the tank, this game should get ugly in a hurry. 

Neutral court teams that are revenging a loss as a favorite and are coming off 3 straight covers as a favorite are 25-5 (83%) ATS since 1997. Lay the points! 

5* NCAAB SEC Game of the Month on Vanderbilt -

Tennessee was able to come away with an impressive 97-59 win over Auburn in the opening round of the SEC Tournament, but that's nothing to get excited about. Without Kevin Punter the Volunteers are simply not a serious threat and I look for them to struggle to keep it competitive against the Commodores. Vanderbilt owned Tennessee in both meetings during the regular season, winning by 14 on the road and 17 at home. 

While you might think that could be reason for Vanderbilt not to take the Volunteers seriously, I don't believe that will be the case. Tennessee was the team responsible for knocking out Vanderbilt in last year's SEC Tournament. Prior to their win against the Tigers, the Volunteers closed out the regular season with 4 straight losses, all by 10 or more points. Those struggles were a direct result of Punter's absence and not having him on no rest will be too much to overcome. Lay the points. 

4* NCAAB Big Ten Game of the Week on Iowa - 

The Hawkeyes went from a potential No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament to a team that is flying under the radar going into the Big 10 Tournament. Iowa was able to close out the regular season with an impressive 71-61 win at Michigan and I look for them to come out looking to make a statement against the Fighting Illini. 

The Hawkeyes are more than capable of winning this tournament. Getting off to a strong start will be a focal point for them, as they have been upset in the first round each of the last two years. I just don't see Illinois putting up much of a fight in this one. The Illini had to play yesterday against Minnesota and really struggled at home against the Hawkeyes in the lone meeting this season. Iowa won by just 12, but had a 20-point lead with less than 10 minutes to play. 

Don't be fooled by Illinois' 33-point win over Minnesota, as the Gophers were decimated with suspensions and injuries that simply gave them zero chance of being competitive. The Illini are just 5-10 in their last 15 games and those 5 wins have all come against Minnesota (3-times) and Rutgers (2-times). 

Illinois is just 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games, 2-7 ATS interior last 9 against a team with a winning record and 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 following a SU win. Lay the points! 

5* NBA Eastern Conference Total of the Year on Heat/Bucks UNDER

I'm expecting a defensive showdown in tonight's matchup between the Bucks and Heat. Neither of these teams like to play at a fast pace. Milwaukee ranks 22nd in pace and the Heat are 26th. I look for the defensive intensity to be there for both teams. Miami has had the last 2 days off and will be motivated to get a win with road games at Chicago and Toronto on deck. Milwaukee is coming off back-to-back losses and will be focused here against a top level team at home. 

These two teams combined for 210 points in the most recent meeting on 1/29. However, both teams shot lights out from the field. Milwaukee hit 47.5% of their field goal attempts and the Heat were even better at 50%. Keep in mind the total for that game was just 194.5. The previous meeting this season at Miami only saw a combined score of 170. I just think there's too much value here with the total over 200. 

UNDER is 12-2 in the Heat's last 14 road games as a favorite of 3 or less, 11-2 in their last 13 road games when playing with 2 days of rest, 10-3-2 in their last 15 against a team with a losing record and 10-3 in their last 13 against the Central. UNDER is also 9-2-2 in the Bucks last 13 against a team with a winning record, 8-3 in their last 11 after scoring 100 points and 6-1-1 in their last 8 home games against Miami. Take the UNDER! 

3* NCAAB Situational No-Doubt BLOWOUT on Illinois -

If you haven't been following Minnesota closely down the stretch, this is going to seem like a big number for Illinois to be laying against the Gophers. However, it's for good reason. Minnesota is without 5 of their top 6 scorers. Kevin Dorsey, Nate Mason and Dupree McBrayer were all suspended for the season. They also lost Joey King to a broken foot and Carlos Morris has been dismissed. The Gophers have just 8 players available and 3 of them or walk-ons. 

Head coach Richard Pitino had this to say after Minnesota's 23-point loss to Rutgers, "It is next to impossible right now with the situation we were dealt to score points. With Joey (King) we could play small, but his injury was the icing on the cake."

Keep in mind that Rutgers was 0-17 in conference play and had lost to the Gophers by 22-points prior to King's injury and the 3 players getting suspended. Minnesota just wants this season to be over with and I just don't see them being able to keep it competitive against a hungry Illinois team that is going to be motivated to advance to Thursday's action. 

Illinois is a perfect 6-0 ATS over the last 2 seasons after 15+ games against a team that's won between 20% and 40% of their games and have won these contests by 18.7 ppg.Gophers are also just 2-14 ATS in their last 16 road games after scoring 60 points or less in 2 straight games. Lay the points! 

4* Conference Tournament VEGAS INSIDER on Duke -

The Blue Devils should have no problem cashing in a win and cover against NC State in the 2nd round of the ACC Tournament. The Wolfpack had to play yesterday, while Duke enjoyed a first round bye. NC State used up a ton of energy in a hard fought 75-72 win over Wake Forest and I just don't see them having the energy to keep pace with the Blue Devils.

Keep in mind that the Wolfpack don't have a lot of depth. Only 7 players played against the Demon Deacons and one of the reserves logged just 6 minutes. That's a recipe for disaster against a Duke team that is going to come out with a chip on their shoulder after losing their regular season finale at home to rival North Carolina. The Blue Devils won both meetings in the regular season by at least 8 and I fully expect a double-digit blowout in this one. Keep in mind they played in last year's ACC Tournament and Duke won 77-53 as a 9-point favorite. 

It's also important to note that of the Wolfpack's 6 conference wins in the regular season, only 1 came on the road. This is not a team that travels well. NC State is also just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against at team what's won more than 60% of their games and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 off a SU win. Lay the points! 

4* NBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Hawks/Jazz UNDER

I'm expecting a defensive battle tonight between the Jazz and Hawks. Both teams have really been playing well on the defensive side of the ball here of late. Atlanta is only giving up 89.4 ppg over their last 5 and Utah has held each of their last 2 opponents to 94. Keep in mind the Jazz only give up an average of 94.3 ppg at home on the season. 

Both teams also come into this game off a 2 day break, which should have both bringing the intensity on the defensive side of the ball. This is also a big game for both teams. Atlanta is just 3-games ahead of 9th place Detroit, while the Jazz are 1.5 back of 8th place Houston for the final spot in the west. 

These two teams combined for 193 points in Atlanta back on 11/15, barely eclipsing the total of 192. That was with both teams shooting lights out from the field. The Hawks hit 48.7% of their attempts, while Utah hit 51.3%. That's a good sign we will see a much lower scoring game in the rematch. 

UNDER is 16-4 in Utah's last 20 home games against teams who average 21 or fewer free throws/game, 24-11 in their last 35 against the Eastern Conference and 20-7 in their last 27 home games against a team from the east. UNDER is also 11-4 in the Hawks last 15 after scoring 100 or more points and 7-3 in their last 10 when playing on 2 days of rest. Take the UNDER! 

5* Gonzaga/St. Mary's NCAAB *BEST BET* on Gonzaga - 

I backed the Bulldogs with success last night in their win over BYU and I'm jumping right back on the train with Gonzaga as a small favorite against St. Mary's. The Bulldogs are really clicking offensively right now. Gonzaga has scored 92 and 88 points in their first two games of the WCC Tournament, which is important to note. 

St Mary's won both of the regular season meetings, but were fortunate to do so in both. They won by 3-points at home after trailing by 8 at the half. They then won by 5 at Gonzaga thanks to the Bulldogs shooting just 35.5% from the field and 19.2% from behind the 3-point line. Beating a top level team like Gonzaga 3 times in the same season is extremely difficult to do and I look for the Bulldogs to get their revenge and punch an automatic ticket to the NCAA Tournament. 

The most recent loss in this series was a home and that sets up the Bulldogs in a great situation. Gonzaga is 11-3 ATS in their last 14 road games when revenging a loss as a home favorite. Bulldogs are also 30-16 ATS in their last 46 after two straight games with a combined score of 155 or more and have won these by an average of 14.4 ppg. Lay the points! 

4* BYU/Gonzaga Late-Night Vegas Insider on Gonzaga - 

The Bulldogs are on the NCAA Tournament bubble and the only way to make sure they get included in the field of 68, is win the West Coast Conference Tournament. They got off to a strong start with a 92-67 win against Portland on Saturday. Gonzaga is now 10-2 in their last 12 games, with the only two losses come at SMU and at home against St. Mary's.

Gonzaga's went 15-3 inside conference play and their only 4 losses outside of the conference were against Texas A&M (61-62), Arizona (63-68), UCLA (66-71) and SMU (60-69). Overall the Bulldogs haven't lost a game all season by more than 9 points and could easily be sitting with just 2 or 3 losses instead of 7.

The Bulldogs did lose at home to BYU 68-69 back in early January, but returned the favor with a 71-68 win at BYU in the regular season finale. In both games against the Cougars, Gonzaga's defense was on point. They held BYU to 36.8% shooting in the first meeting and 32.8% in the rematch. 

I believe the Bulldogs are one of the more underrated teams in the country and we are simply getting too good of a price to pass up. Gonzaga is 13-4 ATS in their last 17 semi-final matchups in tournament play on the road, while BYU is 4-13 ATS in their last 17 tournament games overall and 1-10 ATS in their last 11 when listed as a dog of 3 or less in a neutral court contest. Lay the points! 

5* NBA Central Division Game of the Month on Bulls -

Chicago finds themselves sitting tied with the Pistons for the 8th and final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. The Bulls had really been struggling with injuries and as a result were just 3-9 in their previous 12 before knocking off the Rockets at home 108-100 on Saturday. That win over Houston marked the return of Jimmy Butler. With Chicago finally starting to get healthy and their playoff lives at stake, I look for the Bulls to go on a big run down the stretch. 

Either way, this is a great spot to back Chicago at home against the Bucks. Milwaukee is not a great road team. The Bucks are just 8-25 away from home. Making matters worse, is the fact that Milwaukee will be playing on no rest after a big home game yesterday against the Thunder, which they lost 96-104. Five different players logged 30+ minutes, with Parker, Antetokounmpo and Middleton all playing 36 or more. I just don't see Milwaukee being able to match the intensity of the Bulls in this one. 

Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 at home and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games against the Bucks. Milwaukee is also just 9-21 ATS in their last 30 games after allowing 60 or more in the 1st half of their last game. Lay the points! 

3* NBA Vegas Line Mistake on Grizzlies +

I believe we are seeing some great value here with Memphis based on the recent results of these two teams. The Grizzlies just got embarrassed on their home floor yesterday by the Suns 100-109 as a 9.5-point favorite. Cleveland on the other hand comes in off back-to-back blowout wins over the Wizards (108-83) and Celtics (120-103). 

Key thing to keep in mind with the Cavaliers two impressive wins over Washington and Boston, is they were out for revenge in both of the games, as they had lost at home to Boston on 2/5 and at Washington by 14 on 2/28. Now it's Memphis that will be using the revenge angle to their benefit. While it came all the way back in their season-opener, the Grizzlies haven't forgot about the 30-point embarrassment they suffered at home at the hands of the Cavaliers. 

Grizzlies are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 after allowing 105 or more points in their previous game, 8-1 ATS in their last 9 following a SU loss and 8-1 ATS in their last 9 against the Eastern Conference. Cleveland is 9-23-2 ATS in their last 34 games played on Monday, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games against a team with a losing road record and 1-3 ATS in their last 4 off 2 straight home wins by 10 or more points. Take the points! 

5* NBA No Limit *BEST BET* on Mavs - 

The Mavericks are showing great value here as a small road favorite against the Nuggets. Dallas has won 4 straight in the series and Denver is headed in the wrong direction. The Nuggets have lost 6 of their last 8, including an ugly home loss to the Nets last time out. Things don't figure to get better for Denver with Danilo Gallinari still sidelined and the Mavericks can't afford to lose this game in the playoff race. 

This is also a big bounce back game for Dallas, as they come in off a 101-104 loss at home to the Kings as a 6.5-point favorite. Offensively the Mavericks have been lights out, scoring 100+ in 9 straight games. Denver has allowed 100+ in 4 straight and 7 of 8 overall. The Nuggets come in giving up 106.5 ppg. With Dallas playing on 2 days rest, I just don't see Denver being able to make enough stops here to keep this game close. 

Mavericks are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 road games after 4 straight game where both teams scored 100+ points, 18-9 ATS in their last 27 after a game in which they failed to cover the spread and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games. Denver is 1-4 ATS last 5 at home and 1-5 ATS last 6 after scoring 100+ in their previous game. Lay the points! 

4* NCAAB AAC Game of the Week on Temple -

With a win the Owls can clinch at least a share of the AAC regular season title and if SMU were to lose at Cincinnati they would take home the outright title. That's more than enough motivation for Temple to go on the road and take care of business by 7 or more points against Tulane. 

The Green Wave have been in a free fall to close out the season, losing 4 straight and 14 of their last 17 overall. Every one of those 14 losses during this stretch have come by at least 6 points, which is a good indicator that if Temple does their job they win here by more than the number. The Owls have won 8 of their last 10, including an impressive 10-point win at home against Memphis last time out. 

Tulane will be playing their final home game, which can often be a big positive, but that's not the case here. The Green Wave are just 6-9 at home and are simply outclassed in this one. Temple is 13-5 ATS in their last 18 off a win by 10 or more and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games against at team with a losing home record. Tulane is 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 against at team with a winning record, 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games and 3-11 ATS in their last 14 after losing 4 of their last 5. Lay the points! 

4* NCAAB No Limit Vegas Insider on Dayton -

The Flyers are showing great value here as a small home favorite against VCU. Dayton is simply getting zero respect from the books right now, as they haven't covered the spread in 7 straight games. I look for that to change in a big way, as this is a statement game for Dayton at home against the Rams. The Flyers have dropped 2 straight at home after opening the season 13-1 on their home floor. 

VCU is a quality team, but not nearly as good on the road as they are at home, where they finished up with a 15-2 record. This is also a bit of a letdown spot for the Rams, as they really put a lot into their home finale against Davidson last time out. There's also a little extra incentive here for the Flyers, as they can bring home a share of the A-10 title with a win. Lay the points! 

4* NBA Late Night NO BRAINER on Timberwolves -

The Timberwolves are showing great value here as a relatively small home favorite against the Nets. Brooklyn is in an awful spot for this matchup. The Nets had to go to overtime last night to pull out a 121-120 win at Denver and now find themselves playing on no rest in what will be their 7th straight road game in a span of just 12 days. Keep in mind it's extremely hard to bounce back after playing a game in the thin air of Denver and overtime makes it that much harder. 

Prior to beating the Nuggets, Brooklyn on the road to the Lakers by 6 and Minnesota is a more talented team. The Timberwolves have a lot of young and explosive players who are going to be able to take advantage of the tired legs of the Nets. You also have to factor in that Brooklyn is just 7-22 on the road this season. 

The Nets are just 11-23 ATS in their last 34 road games when playing 6 or more games in a span of just 10 days, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 off a SU win and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 playing on 0 days of rest. Lay the points! 

5* NCAAB Big 12 Game of the Month on Texas Tech - 

The Red Raiders are showing exceptional value here at home against the Wildcats. Texas Tech is on the bubble for the NCAA Tournament and simply can't afford to lose this game. That's not the only reason we can count on the Red Raiders to bring one of their best efforts of the season. Texas Tech will be highly motivated off back-to-back ugly losses to Kansas and West Virginia (both on the road) and will also be out for revenge from an ugly 13-point loss at Kansas State. 

Prior to dropping back-to-back games on the road to the Jayhawks and Mountaineers, the Red Raiders were playing as well as any team in the conference. Texas Tech has won 5 straight, which included impressive home wins over Iowa State and Oklahoma and a big road win over Baylor. 

Kansas State comes into this game off a 25-point blowout win at home against TCU, which is definitely playing into this number. However, that was a golden spot for the Wildcats. The Horned Frogs are awful on the road and no reason for them to get up for a below average team like Kansas State. On the flip side, the Wildcats were playing their final home game, so they gave max effort. Now it's Tech playing their home finale and I look for an easy win for the Red Raiders. 

Texas Tech is 34-19 ATS in their last 53 home games off a loss by 15 or more and 24-11 ATS in their last 35 after playing 2 straight on the road. Red Raiders are also 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games against a team with a losing road record. Kansas State is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 off a SU win and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Lay the points! 

3* NCAAB Situational ATS Annihilator on Georgia Tech Pick'em

The Yellow Jackets are showing great value here at home against the Panthers. Georgia Tech comes in off a hard fought 53-56 loss at Louisville as a 12-point underdog, continuing their impressive play down the stretch. Prior to that defeat the Yellow Jackets had won 4 straight. 

Pittsburgh had that big win at home against Duke in their home finale, but following it up with a 61-65 loss at Virginia Tech. The Panthers are now just 4-6 in their last 10 and are not nearly as good on the road as they are at home. 

Pittsburgh is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games when listed as a pick'em or favorite and just 5-13 ATS in their lsat 18 road games overall. The Panthers are also just 1-11 ATS in their last 12 after allowing 65 or less in 2 straight games and 1-10 ATS in their last 11 against teams outrebounding opponents by 4+ after 15+ games. Georgia Tech on the other hand is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 against strong rebounding teams who are outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game. Take the Yellow Jackets! 

3* NCAAB No-Doubt Heavy Hitter on Baylor -

The Bears are showing great value here as a small home favorite against the Mountaineers. West Virginia is simply getting to much respect on the road due to having won 3 straight and being ranked in the Top 10. The Mountaineers simply don't have a lot to gain with a win in this one, as Kansas has already locked up the Big 12 regular season title. 

I just don't see West Virginia being able to match the intensity of the Bears, who will be extremely motivated off a heartbreaking 71-73 loss at Oklahoma and this being their final home game of the season. Baylor has a big home court edge, as they are 14-4 at home. West Virginia is a respectable 10-5 on the road, but have struggled against the top teams away from home. 

This is also a big revenge game for Baylor, who got embarrassed by 11-points at West Virginia earlier this season. Keep in mind that prior to that defeat, the Bears had won the previous 4 games in this series. Mountaineers are just 6-15 ATS in their last 21 road games after winning 4 or 5 of their last 6 and 6-17 ATS in their last 23 road games after 3 or more conference wins. Lay the points! 

5* NBA Situational *BEST BET* on Cavs -

The Cavaliers are going to be all business when they take the floor tonight against the Wizards, who they just lost to at Washington by 14-points on Sunday. Keep in mind that win for the Wizards came with LeBron James sitting out due to rest. This is a statement game for the Cavaliers as they are just 2-3 in their last 5 overall. 

We can count on a max effort here from Cleveland. Not only will the Cavaliers be motivated with revenge, but they come into this game having had the last 3 days off. Even more incentive is that this is a nationally televised game on ESPN. Washington has won 4 straight and 7 of 9 overall, but 5 of those wins came at home and the two on the road were against the 76ers and Timberwolves. Wizards will also be playing their 4th game in 6 days, which is no easy task on the road. 

Wizards are just 10-25 ATS in their last 35 after covering 3 of their last 4 and 11-22 ATS in their last 33 off a road win. Washington is also just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 against a team with a winning record and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games against a team with a winning home record. Cleveland is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 when playing with 3 or more days of rest. Lay the points! 

3* NBA Undervalued Underdog on Knicks + 

The perception is that the Knicks are a complete mess right now and the betting public wants nothing to do with them because of it. I believe it's created some big time value on New York in tonight's game against the Celtics. Oddsmakers had no choice but to inflate this line given how well Boston has been playing at home, but this isn't a great spot for the Celtics. 

With a much bigger road game on deck tomorrow at Cleveland, it's going to be hard for Boston to get up for this game. New York on the other hand is going to come out extremely motivated. This division matchup is a bigger rivalry than you might think. Boston has won 3 of the last 4, but all 3 wins have come by fewer than the number listed here. I look for the Knicks to put up a big enough fight here to keep this close enough to cover. 

New York is a solid 24-15 ATS in their last 39 when revenging a loss and favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points, who have won between 51% to 60% of their games and off a a home win by 10 or more are just 28-54 (34%) ATS over the last 5 seasons against a team with a losing record. That's a 66% system in favor of the Knicks. Take the points! 

4* Missouri Valley Tournament NO BRAINER on Evansville -

The Purple Aces should have no problem covering this big number against Missouri State. Evansville received a first round bye in the MVC Tournament and that's a big advantage. The Bears had to play last night and barely escaped with a 69-67 win over Drake. Playing on no rest will be too much for Missouri State to overcome. 

This is also a bad matchup for the Bears. Evansville won 76-59 at Missouri State on 1/2 and followed that up with a 83-64 win at home on 2/6. In both meetings the Purple Aces held the Bears under 35% shooting.

Evansville had won 4 straight prior to suffering a heartbreaking 52-54 loss to Northern Iowa in their regular season finale, so the Purple Aces enter tournament play with some confidence. Their NCAA Tournament lives are also at stake, as they must win MVC to earn an automatic bid. 

Missouri State is 4-15 ATS in their last 19 as an underdog of 10 or more, 3-11 ATS in their last 14 road games off a conference win and 8-22-1 ATS in their last 31 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Evansville is 12-3 ATS in their last 15 road games after failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 and 8-1 ATS in their last 9 off a loss by 3 points or less. Lay the points! 

5* American Athletic Game of the Month on SMU - 

The Mustangs have put together a tremendous season, despite the fact that they are not eligible for postseason play. SMU has gone 24-4 and come into this game riding a 3-game winning streak. The only thing left for the Mustangs to play for is a conference title and right now they are tied with Temple on top the standings. This is also a big game for several of the SMU players, as this will be their final home game of the season. 

Connecticut comes in trying to fight out of slump. The Huskies have lost 2 of 3, including an ugly 68-75 home loss to Houston last time out. Connecticut was able to hold on for a 68-62 win at home over SMU back on 2/18, which also plays into the favor of the Mustangs, as they will be out for revenge.  

Huskies are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games and 5-17 ATS in their last 22 road games with a total set at 130 to 134.5 points. SMU on the other hand is 13-2 ATS in their last 15 home games after allowing 30 points or less in the 1st half of their last game, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 after a win by 20 or more and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games with a total of 130 to 134.5. Lay the points! 

4* NBA Total NO BRAINER on Suns/Heat UNDER

I believe we are seeing an inflated total here based on what took place in the last game for both of these teams. Phoenix allowed 126 points in a 92-126 loss at Charlotte, going over the total set of 210. Miami poured in 129 points on a ridiculous 67.5% shooting in a 129-111 win over the Bulls, easily eclipsing the total of 201.5. Oddsmakers had no choice but to inflate this total, but the value is with the under. 

I'm confident Miami won't be shooting near 68% from the field in this one. While Phoenix is not a great defensive team, I look for Miami to struggle to bring the focus and energy against a bad team like the Suns. Keep in mind the Heat play at one of the slowest paces in the league and rank in the bottom half of the league in defensive efficiency. 

Phoenix on the other hand should come out inspired on the defensive end. As bad as they have been playing, they have continued to play hard and this is a prime bounce back spot after that ugly loss to the Hornets. Offensively the Suns figure to struggle. Phoenix ranks 28th in offensive efficiency and Miami ranks 6th in defensive efficiency. 

UNDER is 20-9 in the Heat's last 29 after playing their previous game at home, 16-2 in their last 18 after a home game where both teams scored 100 or more and 7-0 in their last 7 after allowing 60 or more points in the 1st half. UNDER is also 21-7 in the Suns last 28 road games after a combined score of 205 or more in their last 2 games and 4-1 in their last 5 road games against a team with a winning home record. Take the UNDER! 

4* NCAAB C-USA Game of the Week on Marshall -

The Thundering Herd are showing some great value here at home against the Bulldogs. Marshall comes into this game off back-to-back road losses to UAB and Middle Tennessee, which is definitely helping this line. The Thundering Herd are simply a different team at home than they are on the road. Marshall is 6-1 on their home floor inside conference play with the only loss coming against conference leader UAB (3-game lead over next best team) by just 3 points. All 6 wins have come by double-digits. 

Louisiana Tech has an overall record of 22-7, while Marshall is just 15-14, but both teams are an identical 11-5 inside conference play. The Bulldogs are simply getting to much respect here. They are just 1-2 in their last 3 road games, losing by 11 at both UTEP and North Texas. The win coming against the worst team in the conference in UTSA. 

Marshall is 32-16 ATS in their last 48 as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points and a perfect 6-0 TS in their last 6 when they have lost 2 of their last 3. Louisiana Tech is 9-19 ATS in their last 28 off a win, 2-12 ATS in their last 14 after playing 2 straight as a home favorite and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 or more. Lay the points! 

4* NCAAB Late-Night BAILOUT on USC -

The Trojans come into this game having lost 3 straight and 5 of 6 overall, which has put their NCAA Tournament hopes in jeopardy. It also has USC way undervalued here at home against the Beavers. Of their 5 losses during their current skid, 4 have come on the road, where they are just 4-9 on the season. The other was a home against one of the Pac-12 powers in Utah. 

That loss to the Utes was the Trojans only defeat at home this season, as they are a dominant 15-1 at the Galen Center. This is the definition of a must-win game, as they have league leader Oregon on deck. Oregon State comes in off back-to-back wins, but both of those came at home. The Beavers are just 1-6 on the road in Pac-12 play with all 6 losses coming by at least 6 points. At the same time, USC's only home win by fewer than 7 points was against Arizona. 

Oregon State is 4-12 ATS in their last 16 conference road games, 1-9 ATS in their last 10 road games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 and 2-11 ATS in their last 13 road games off a home win. Lay the points! 

3* NBA Oddsmakers Error on Pacers -

The Pacers are showing great value here as a small road favorite against the Bucks. Indiana will be in desperation mode after losing 3 straight and I just don't see Milwaukee being able to match that intensity. The Bucks pulled off a big home win over the Rockets as a 3-point dog last time out, but also lost their previous game at home to the Pistons by 11. 

Indiana is just 8-8 in their last 16 games, which is nothing to get excited about. However, their losses have all come against teams who are currently in the playoff picture. Milwaukee is 6-games out of 8th place in the east, so they clearly aren't in that mix. This is also a big revenge game for Indiana, who lost at home 116-120 in the most recent meeting. 

Pacers are 19-9 ATS in their last 28 after losing 3 of their last 4, 26-12 ATS in their last 38 road games off a road loss to a division opponent and 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games versus division foes. Milwaukee is just 4-14 ATS in their last 18 home games off a home win and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 off a game where they scored 125 or more points. Lay the points! 

5* NBA Non-Conference Game of the Month on Celtics - 

The Trail Blazers come into this game having won 3 straight and 14 of their last 16 overall. Portland is also an impressive 8-2 ATS in their last 10. This might seem like a fair number to back the Blazers on the road against the Celtics, but this is a horrible spot for Portland. Not only will the Trail Blazers be playing the 2nd game of a back-to-back road set, but this will be their 4th road game in the last 5 days overall. 

At the same time, it's not like Boston hasn't been playing well of late. The Celtics have won 3 straight and are 14-4 in their last 18. Boston has been especially good at home, where they have won 11 straight. The Celtics will simply be the much fresher team in this one. Boston had yesterday off and this will be their 4th straight at home. 

Trail Blazers are just 2-12 ATS in their last 14 after playing 3 straight non-conference games and 4-13-1 ATS in their last 18 road games against at team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Boston is 12-3 ATS this season in games with a total of 210 or more, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games, 6-1 in their last 7 off 1 day of rest and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 against a team with a winning record. Lay the points! 

4* NCAAB Situational Dog of the Week on Texas Tech +

This is too many points for the Mountaineers to be laying at home against the Red Raiders. Texas Tech is playing as well as any team in the Big 12 not named Kansas right now. They had won 5 straight prior to a 58-67 defeat at Kansas last time out, which they easily covered as a 13.5-point dog. During their 5-game winning streak they won at Baylor 84-66 and at Oklahoma State 71-61. 

West Virginia is an impressive 12-2 at home and will be playing their final home game of the season, which I believe is a big reason for this inflated line. What is getting overlooked here is this being a bit of a letdown for the Mountaineers, who no longer have a shot at earning a share of the Big 12 title after Kansas' win at Texas on Monday. 

West Virginia did win 80-76 at Texas Tech back on 1/23, but the Red Raiders actually had a 4-point lead with less than a minute to play. That was back when Texas Tech was struggling. This is a different team right now and I wouldn't be shocked if they got their revenge and pulled off the upset. 

Red Raiders are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 against the Big 12 overall. Texas Tech is also 10-3 ATS in their last 13 after a game in which they covered the spread. It's also worth noting that the road team has covered 8 of the last 9 in the series. Take the points! 

3* NCAAB No-Doubt ATS Blowout on Notre Dame -

Not only is this a great price to back the Irish at home, but a great spot as well. Notre Dame is going to be extremely motivated off an ugly 56-77 road loss to Florida State. A game they were favored to win by 3-points. While you would expect a better effort than what they gave against the Seminoles, keep in mind that the Irish are just 6-8 on the road compared to a dominant 13-1 at home. Notre Dame is 9-4 in their last 13 and all 4 losses have come on the road. 

Not only are we getting great value here due to how bad the Irish looked last time out, but Miami is getting all kinds of love here after back-to-back home wins over Virginia and Louisville. While it looks impressive on paper, Miami is 15-1 at home, so that's nothing to get excited about. Last time the Hurricanes played on the road they were embarrassed in a 25-points loss to North Carolina. They also have lost by 8+ on the road against the likes of NC State, Clemson and Virginia. 

Notre Dame is 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 after a SU loss and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 at home. Miami on the other hand is just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games against a team with a winning home record. Lay the points! 

3* NBA Total ANNIHILATOR on Nets/Lakers OVER

I'm not expecting much defense to be played in tonight's matchup between two of the league's worst teams in the Lakers and the Nets. Both of these teams have struggled defensively this year. Brooklyn comes in allowing 103.6 ppg with opponents shooting on average 47.0% from the field. Los Angeles is even worse, giving up 107.2 ppg and allowing opponents to shoot 47.2% from the field. 

Brooklyn just played last night against the Clippers and were competitive for the most part in a 95-105 defeat. While the Nets won't be traveling for this game, this will be their 3rd road game in the last 4 nights and 5th straight on the road overall. Brooklyn has allowed 105+ in 3 of their 4 road games during this stretch so far with the only exception coming against the Jazz. They combined for 222 in a 116-106 win at Phoenix, who I would compare with the talent the Lakers have. 

Los Angeles hasn't been playing any defense since returning from the All-Star break. They have allowed at least 108 points in 6 straight games. The key here is they have scored 101+ points in 5 of those 6, going over 110 in 4. The Lakers come into this game off 3 days of rest and that should allow them to take advantage of the tired legs the Nets will be dealing with in this spot. 

These two teams combined for 202 points back on Nov. 6th and that was with both teams not shooting well from the field or the 3-point line. OVER is 10-1 in the Nets last 11 off a SU loss, 4-1 in their last 5 road games against a team with a losing home record and 9-3 in their last 12 against the Western Conference. OVER is also 27-9-2 in the Lakers last 38 when playing on 3 or more days of rest. Take the OVER! 

5* NCAAB No Limit *BEST BET* on Iowa - 

The Hawkeyes are showing great value here as a relatively small home favorite against the Hoosiers. Iowa has stumbled of late with 3 straight loss and have failed to cover 5 in a row. That's a big reason why we are getting a favorable line with the Hawkeyes at home. What gets overlooked is that Iowa could have easily won each of their last 3 games, as they were right there with a chance to win late. 

I look for an inspired effort here from the Hawkeyes in their home finale, as Iowa sends out 4 senior starters. The Hawkeyes are also a dominant 13-1 at home this season and will be out for revenge from a 78-85 loss at Indiana. The Hoosiers are 5-3 on the road in the Big Ten, but those 5 wins have come against Rutgers, Nebraska, Minnesota, Michigan and Illinois. 

Indiana is just 1-9 ATS in their last 10 off a conference win by 10 or more points, 2-10 ATS in their last 12 road games after covering 2 of their last 3, and 2-10 ATS in their last 12 road games after a blowout win by 20 or more. Iowa is 8-1 ATS at home over the last 3 seasons against teams who average 21 or more 3-point attempts and a perfect 6-0 in this spot after 15+ games. Lay the points! 

4* NCAAAB  Situational NO BRAINER on Dayton -

The Flyers are showing some great value here as a small road favorite against the Spiders. Dayton is simply undervalued right now due to the fact that they have failed to cover the spread in 6 straight games and are coming off an ugly 66-75 home loss to Rhode Island as a 7-point favorite. 

This has the Flyers in a prime bounce back spot on the road, where they have gone an impressive 9-3 this season and 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 against a team with a winning home record. Richmond comes in off a 83-67 win at Duquesne, but had lost 3 straight prior to that. The Spiders are just 2-4 in their last 6 home games and mere 9-6 overall. 

Richmond will be playing their 3rd game in a week span and are just 3-11 ATS in this situation over the last 2 seasons. The Spiders are also just 12-23 ATS in their last 35 as an underdog, 1-4 AS in their last 5 off a SU win and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Lay the points! 

5* NBA Vegas Insider Game of the Month on 76ers +

Philadelphia is showing exceptional value here as a double-digit road dog against the Wizards. This will be the 3rd meeting between these two teams this month. Washington won by 12-points at home as a 9-point favorite back on 2/5 and then by 9-points as a 7-point favorite at Philadelphia last Friday. 

We are simply seeing an overreaction here based on how both teams performed yesterday. Washington beat the Cavaliers 113-99, while the 76ers lost 116-30 at Orlando. Even though the Wizards win over Cleveland came without LeBron James, they were emotionally invested in that game. I just don't see Washington being all that interested with this matchup against Philadelphia. Keep in mind that this is only the second time all season the Wizards have been favored by double-digits. The previous time was at home agains the Lakers, where they lost outright 104-108 as a 10-point favorite. 

Wizards are just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 following a win by more than 10-points and 2-10 ATS in their last 12 when facing an opponent who scored 100 or more points in their previous game. Washington is also just 3-10 ATS in their last 13 as a home favorite of 12.5 to 18 points and 0-3 ATS this season after winning 5 or 6 of their last 7 games. Take the points! 

5* NBA Total of the Week on Knicks/Heat UNDER

I really like the value we are getting here with the total for tonight's game between the Heat and Knicks. Miami is one of the best defensive teams in the NBA, allowing just 96.9 ppg, and are going to have to rely on that defense on the road in the second game of a back-to-back set. Knicks have scored 100+ in two straight, but are only averaging 99.4 ppg on the season.

New York has started to show signs of life in their last two games and held the Magic to just 95 points on 41.9% shooting in their last game. Miami's offense is not great. The Heat only average 93.9 ppg and the offense will be adjusting to newly acquired Joe Johnson. 

It's also important to note that both of these teams like to play at a slow pace. Miami ranks 28th in pace and the Knicks aren't far behind at 25th. These two teams have played 3 times already this season and the most they have combined for is 188 points and two of the 3 saw fewer than 180 points. 

UNDER is 14-5 in the Heat's last 19 with a line of +3 to -3, 24-9 in their last 33 after allowing 100+ in two straight games and 21-9 in their last 30 revenging a home loss. UNDER is also 19-6-1 in the Knicks last 26 against a team with a winning record, 6-2 in their last 10 at home and 5-1 in their last 6 after covering the spread last time out. Take the UNDER! 

4* NCAAB Undervalued Underdog on Green Bay + 

The Phoenix are showing great value here as a home dog against the Crusaders. This is the final game of the regular season for both teams, which is important to note. Valparaiso has already locked up the top spot in the Horizon League and it's going to be extremely hard for the Crusaders to take this game seriously. Valparaiso still needs to win the Horizon League Tournament to secure a spot in the NCAA Tournament, making this last game meaningless for the road team. 

Green Bay on the other hand is going to be looking to make a statement at home against the top team in the conference. The Phoenix have been playing extremely well of late, as they come in having won 4 straight. Green Bay is also a dominant 11-2 at home this season. We saw Valpo struggle in a similar spot last time out against Milwaukee, who is not as good as the Phoenix. The Crusaders needed overtime to win 80-76 as a 5-point road favorite. 

Green Bay is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 home games off a home win where they scored 85 or more points and 58-38 ATS in their last 96 home games revenging a loss to an opponent. Valparaiso is just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 against a team with a winning record and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 following a SU win. Take the points! 

3* Warriors/Thunder NBA Main Event on Thunder +

As difficult as it is to go against the Warriors, I believe this is an ideal spot to fade Golden State. The Warriors are a tired team and will be playing their 6th straight road game since returning from the All-Star break. 

The Thunder gave the Warriors all they could handle in a 108-116 loss at Golden State back on 2/6. Oklahoma City is desperate to show they can hang with the Warriors and I look for them to treat this game as if it was Game 7 of a playoff series. The Warriors on the other hand simply don't have enough gas left in the tank to match that kind of intensity. This game also isn't as important to them as it is OKC. Keep in mind that the Warriors get to host the Thunder next Thursday, which takes away some of the incentive for them to lay it all on the line in this one. 

Golden State is just 9-22 ATS in their last 31 after 2 straight games where both teams scored 100 or more points and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 against the Western Conference. Thunder are 27-9-1 ATS in their last 37 home games against a team that's won more than 60% of their road games and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 as a home dog. Take the points! 

4* NBA No-Doubt BLOWOUT on Pelicans -

New Orleans is showing great value here as a relatively small home favorite against the Timberwolves. The Pelicans may come in with a mere 23-24 record, but they have been trending in the right direction of late. New Orleans has won 5 of their last 7 and 3 straight at home. This is a team that still believes they can get back to the playoffs and understand that they can't afford to lose at home to a bad team like Minnesota. 

The Timberwolves are just 8-20 on the road this season, but have covered their last two games against the Celtics and Raptors, two of the top teams in the Eastern Conference. I just don't see Minnesota being able to match the intensity of the Pelicans and it's worth noting that New Orleans has owned the Timberwolves in recent matchups. The Pelicans have won 7 straight in the series with all 7 wins coming by at least 7 points. Each of the last 4 have been decided by 12 or more with the last two at home coming by a combined 37 points. 

New Orleans is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 against the Northwest and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 when playing on 1 day of rest. Minnesota is 8-23 ATS in their last 31 against a team with a losing record and 14-27 ATS in their last 41 after covering 2 or more games and 2-11 ATS in their last 13 after allowing 110 or more in 2 straight games. Lay the points! 

4* NCAAB Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR on Purdue -

The Boilermakers are showing great value here as a small home favorite against the Terrapins. Maryland beat Purdue 72-61 at home back on 2/6, but that game was much closer than the final score would indicate. In fact, the Boilermakers actually led by 4-points with 6 minutes to go.

Not only is Purdue going to be highly motivated to get their revenge, but they also will be focused and ready to go at home off a heartbreaking 73-77 loss at rival Indiana last time out. Add in the fact that the Boilermakers haven't played since last Saturday and we can expect to see an all-out effort here. Keep in mind that Purdue is a dominant 15-1 at home this season and while the Terrapins are 8-4 on the road, they have had a number of close calls go their way away from home. 

Purdue is a perfect 8-0 ATS in their last 8 revenging a road loss of 10 or more points, 15-7 ATS in their last 22 off a SU loss and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games against a team with a winning road record. Maryland. is 1-4 ATS in their last 4 road games and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 after scoring 85+ points in their previous game. Lay the points! 

5* NCAAB Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Miami -

The Hurricanes are showing exceptional value here against the Cardinals. Miami and Louisville both sit tied for 2nd in the ACC standings at 11-4, but the big difference is that only the Hurricanes are eligible for postseason play. I know Louisville has been playing well since the ban was put in place, but they are getting too much respect here on the road. 

Louisville lost at Duke 65-72 and at Notre Dame 66-71 in their first two road games after the ban was announced. They they won two straight at home before going on the road to beat Pitt last time out. That win over the Panthers was their only conference road win against a team with a winning conference record and Pitt is just 8-7. Miami is 14-1 at home with a perfect record at home inside ACC play. 

Hurricanes are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 as a home favorite of 6 or less and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games after playing their previous game at home. Louisville is 0-7 ATS in their last 7 road games after winning 5 or 6 of their last 7. Add it up and that's a perfect 19-0 system backing Miami! Laying the points! 

3* NCAAB Early Bird NO BRAINER on Georgia -

The Bulldogs are showing great value here as a small home favorite against the Rebels. Georgia is simply getting undervalued here due to having lost 3 straight. Two of those came on the road where they are just 2-12 on the season and the other was at home against Florida by just 4-points. This is a big time statement game for Georgia and I wouldn't be surprised if this turned into a blowout. 

Ole Miss comes in having won two straight, which is helping the number here, but those two wins have come against the two worst teams in the SEC in Auburn and Missouri. The Rebels are just 2-6 in their last 8 road games and the two lone wins have come against none other than Auburn and Missouri. Ole Miss is also in a tough spot here. Georgia isn't exactly a team worth getting excited about, especially considering they pulled out a 72-71 win at home over the Bulldogs. On top of that, this is a huge lookahead spot for Ole Miss, as they host in-state rival Mississippi State in their home finale next time out. 

Georgia is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 off a SU loss, 58-37 ATS in their last 95 home games as a favorite of 6 or less and 11-1 ATS in their last 12 after going over the total in 2 or more consecutive games. Lay the points! 

4* NBA Vegas Line Mistake on Mavericks -

Dallas is showing exceptional value here as a small home favorite against the Nuggets. The Mavericks are simply undervalued right now due to having lost 6 of their last 8. They also come in off an ugly 13-point home loss to the Thunder. 

On the flip side of this, the Nuggets are getting some love from the books off a 87-81 win at the Clippers as a 11-point underdog. That was a fluke win more than anything, as the Clippers shot a miserable 35.3% from the field. Prior to that, Denver had lost each of their first 3 games after the All-Star break and I just don't see the energy being there for this one. Keep in mind the Nuggets will being playing their 2nd straight on the road and 3rd in the last 4 days overall. 

Mavericks are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 home games against bad defensive teams that are allowing 99+ points/game, 9-3 ATS in their last 12 following a SU loss of more than 10 points and 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 against at team that's won fewer than 40% of their games. Denver is just 2-7 ATS this season off an upset win as a road dog. Lay the points!

4* NBA Total ANNIHILATOR on Cavs/Raptors UNDER

The Cavaliers lead the Eastern Conference with an overall record of 41-15, but the Raptors are within striking distance. Toronto is just 3-games back at 38-18. This is a statement game for both teams and I look for both to come out with a lot of energy on the defensive side of the ball. 

Both of these teams are very strong defensively. Cleveland comes in allowing just 95.4 ppg on the road, while the Raptors are giving up just 96.7 ppg at home. These two teams combined for 222 points in a 122-100 Cavaliers win at home back on 1/4. The total for that game was just 194. I know they flew over the mark, but a 14.5 point adjustment is too much! 

UNDER is 14-4 in the Raptors last 18 home games after playing in a game where 215 or more combined points were scored and 8-3 in their last 11 home games against a team that's won more than 60% of their road games. UNDER is also 15-6 in Cleveland's last 21 against the Eastern Conference, 47-19 in their last 66 against an opponent that allowed 100+ in their previous game and 4-1 in their last 5 after scoring 100+ in their last contest. Take the UNDER! 

5* NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Week on Knicks -

New York is showing great value here as a small home favorite against the Magic. The Knicks have lost 9 of their last 10 overall, but I believe there is a lot of fight left in this team. They certainly came to play last time out at Indiana, where they lost by just 3-points as a 6-point dog. I look for New York to come out extremely motivated at home tonight, as they desperately need a win to get this thing headed back in the right direction. 

Luckily for the Knicks they catch the Magic in a tough spot. Orlando will be playing in the 2nd game of the a back-to-back set and are going to find it difficult to get excited about this matchup after laying it all on the line last night at home against the Warriors. A game they were competitive in up until late in the 4th quarter. Orlando also has to have some tired legs. Their last two games have seen combined scores of 239 and 244. 

Magic are just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 after scoring 100+ points in their previous game and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after giving up 125 or more. Knicks are 20-9 ATS in their last 29 when playing with double-revenge against an opponent (2 straight losses) and 3-0 ATS in their last 3 off a road loss by 3-points or less. Lay the points! 

4* NBA Vegas Line Mistake on Suns +

Phoenix comes into this game off a 40-point loss at the Clippers on Monday and have now lost 12 straight overall. As bad it looks for the Suns, I think they are showing great value here as a home dog against the Nets. Brooklyn is a mere 4-20 on the road this season and come in off a 104-112 loss at Portland on Tuesday. The Nets played well in that game, but keep in mind it was being televised on NBATV, so there was some incentive to show up. 

I don't see Brooklyn coming out with that same intensity against a Suns team that hasn't won since  late January. Not only am I expecting Phoenix to come out inspired off that embarrassing loss to LA, but they also desperately want to get interim head coach Earl Watson his first win. 

The Nets only won by 3-points at home back on 12/01 against the Suns and that was with Brooklyn shooting 48.8% from the field. Phoenix has the bigs inside with Chandler and Len to keep Lopez in check and that's really the one guy you need to be able to stop to keep Brooklyn's offense in check. 

Nets are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games against a team with a losing home record, 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 after scoring 100+ points in their previous game and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 after covering last time out. Phoenix on the other hand is 8-1 ATS this season off a home loss by 15 or more points and have won these games by nearly 4.0 ppg. Take the points! 

5* Pac-12 Game of the Month on California -

This may seem like a big number for the Golden Bears to be laying against UCLA, but I actually think we are getting some great value here with California. The Golden Bears are a perfect 16-0 SU and 11-5 ATS at home this season. In their last 3 home games they have beat Stanford by 15, Oregon by 20 and Oregon State by 12. They have won 5 straight overall and are just 1-game out of 1st place in the Pac-12. 

UCLA comes into this game off an impressive 77-53 win at home against Colorado as a mere 5-point favorite, which only makes the Bruins look that much more enticing with the line set here. However, UCLA is just 5-8 SU and 4-9 ATS on the road this season. We have seen the Bruins lose by 14 at Oregon and 19 at USC. 

UCLA is just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 after winning 2 of their previous 3 games and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games off a win. Overall the Bruins are a mere 4-13 ATS in their last 17 road games when playing against a team that's won between 60% and 80% of their games. Cal is 10-1 ATS in their last 12 off a SU win and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games. Lay the points! 

3* NCAAB No-Doubt Rout on SMU -

It's well known that the only thing SMU is playing for is a conference regular season title, as they are not eligible for postseason play. Right now the Mustangs sit a 1/2 game back of Temple in the AAC standings and simply can't afford to lose this game. I believe that's more than enough motivation for SMU to win and cover on the road against the Tigers. 

The Mustangs defeated Memphis 80-68 back on 1/30. While you could argue that the Tigers will be out for revenge, they have really struggled to match up with SMU over the last 2 seasons. The Mustangs have won 3 straight in the series and all 3 wins have come by at least 9 points. SMU held Memphis to just 32.8% shooting in the first meeting and had a 51-35 (+16) edge on the boards. That edge on the boards is something that should carry over to this game and that is more than enough reason to back the Mustangs with this small number on the road. 

Memphis is a mere 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games when listed as an underdog and have lost these games by nearly 10.0 ppg. The Tigers are also just 7-20 ATS in their last 27 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games against a team with a winning road record. Lay the points! 

3* NCAAB Undervalued Underdog on Colorado +

The Buffaloes are showing big time value here as a decently priced home dog against the Wildcats. Colorado is a dominant 14-1 at home this season with the only loss coming by just 2-points against Utah. That defeat came back on 1/8 and the Buffaloes have since won 6 straight at home. 

Arizona is simply way overvalued right now due to having won 6 straight, but 4 of those 6 wins came at home. Their only legit road test during this stretch was at Washington and they only won by 5-points. Keep in mind the Wildcats have already lost at Cal, UCLA and USC and could find themselves looking past the Buffaloes to Saturday's huge road game at Utah, which has major implications for the Pac-12 regular season title. 

Arizona is just 2-13 ATS in their last 15 road games after a game where they only had 8 or fewer turnovers and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games against a team with a winning road record. Colorado is 11-3 ATS in their last 14 home games with a total of 140 to 149.5, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 off a SU win by more than 20 points and 22-9 ATS in their last 31 Pac-12 games overall. Take the points! 

4* NCAAB No Doubt BLOWOUT on South Carolina -

This might seem like a big number for the Gamecocks to be laying against a Tennessee team that just defeated LSU 81-65 at home as a 3-point dog, but this line has been set for a reason. The Volunteers are a completely different team on the road than they are at home. Tennessee is 12-2 at home compared to a miserable 1-12 on the road. 

Making matters even worse for the Volunteers is the fact that they likely won't have the services of their best player. Kevin Punter is doubtful with a foot injury and he's one player Tennessee can't afford to lose. Punter not only leads the team with 22.2 ppg, but he's the heart and soul of this team. 

South Carolina isn't going to take the Volunteers lightly, regardless of who takes the floor, as Tennessee defeated the Gamecocks 78-69 back on 1/23. Revenge will be on the minds of South Carolina at home, where they are 14-1 this season. Given the likely absence of Punter and Tennessee's struggles on the road, this game has blowout written all over it! 

Volunteers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 off an upset win against a conference opponent, while South Carolina is 14-3 ATS in their last 17 home games, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 revenging a SU loss as a favorite. Lay the points! 

4* NBA Sharp Money Vegas Insider on Grizzlies -

I was on the wrong end of a horrible bad beat Tuesday with the Lakers losing by just 7-points after going into the 4th quarter down 25 against the Bucks as a 8-point dog. That isn't going to keep me from fading Los Angeles in a similar spot against the Grizzlies. 

Memphis is flying under the radar right now, as no one is really taking this team seriously since they loss Marc Gasol to a season-ending injury. I believe it has the Grizzlies playing with a chip on their shoulder and that's especially going to be the case after an embarrassing 13-point loss at Toronto last time out. 

Memphis won 112-96 at home against the Lakers back on 12/27 and it could have been an even bigger blowout, as the Grizzlies shot 56.2% from the field, while holding the Lakers to just 38.1%. I just don't see LA putting up much of a fight in this one, as they find themselves playing their 3rd straight road game in a span of just 4 days. Keep in mind the Lakers are 5-28 on the road, getting outscored by 11.1 ppg on the season. 

Memphis is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 off a SU loss, 12-4 ATS in their last 16 home games and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games. Lay the points!