3* LATE INFO INSIDER

No Analysis on late releases

3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Creighton -

I like the value here with the Bluejays at this price. Creighton just played arguably their best game of the season, as they knocked off Villanova 89-83 at home this past Saturday. I think we are seeing a shorter number than we should because of the potential letdown here for the Bluejays off that big win, but I'm not as concerned with teams not showing up this late in the season, especially teams like Creighton, who are trying to put the finishing touches on their resume. Keep in mind the Blue Jays were a 7-point road favorite against DePaul earlier this season, which based off that line means they should be around a 13 to 14-point favorite here. 

I actually think there's a better chance the Blue Demons struggle to show up here, as they come in off a big upset win over Marquette at home, snapping a 3-game losing streak. However, DePaul hasn't won back-to-back games since winning 5-straight from 11/26 to 12/11. They are a mere 7-18-2 ATS in their last 27 off a SU win. The Bluejays on the other hand are 35-17 ATS in their last 52 off an upset win and a perfect 10-0 ATS in their last 10 home games when they come in having lost 2 of their last 3. Take Creighton! 

3* LATE INFO INSIDER

No Analysis will be posted on late releases

3* NBA Vegas ATS ANNIHILATOR on Hornets -

I like the value here with the Hornets even as a double-digit favorite here at home against the Bulls. Charlotte has come out of the All-Star break playing like a team on a mission to get back in the Eastern Conference playoff race. They have won 3 straight all in convincing fashion. It started with a 111-96 win at home over the Nets, continued with a 122-105 upset win at Washington an added to it most recently with a 114-98 home win over the Pistons. Key here is there's still a ton of work to do, as they are still 4-games out of the 8th and final playoff spot. 

As for Chicago, this is a team I think is trying to lose (tank) and will be a good team to fade going forward, especially on the road. The Bulls lost 104-122 at Minnesota (without Butler) and followed that up with an ugly 87-104 loss at Brooklyn last night. This is now their 3rd road game in 4 days and they are playing on no rest. Look for the Hornets to win this one going away an improve to 5-0 ATS in their last 5 at home vs a team with a losing road record. Take Charlotte! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Miami (OH) +

I like the value here with the Red Hawks catching points on the road against the Golden Flashes. Miami (OH) has been one of the more underrated teams in the MAC this season and that's evident by the fact that they are 10-5 ATS in conference play. They come in off back-to-back upset wins. First they knocked off Buffalo 84-81 as a 6-point home dog. They followed that up with a 64-62 win at Akron as a 1.5-point dog.

I think the streak continues here against a Kent State team they already beat by 11 on their home floor earlier this season. Note Miami really dominated that game, shooting 51.8% from the field, while holding the Golden Flashes to a mere 41%. They also had twice as many 3-pointers (10), while hitting on 40% from deep. 

Kent State is just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall and a mere 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs a team with a winning record. The Golden Flashes are also winless at 0-6 ATS this season when playing a marginal winning team, that's won between 51% and 60% of their games. Take Miami (OH)! 

4* NBA Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Jazz +

I like the value here with the Jazz as a home dog against the Rockets tonight. This line really tells you everything. It's no secret that Houston is one of the best teams in the league and they come in having won 12 straight. Utah had been rolling, but have failed to cover each of their last 4 and the public simply won't trust them here, especially with this short number. 

What the public will overlook here is that this is a really tough spot for the Rockets. Houston just played last night in the thin air of Denver and now has to travel to the thin of Utah. Arguably the toughest back-to-back slate in the league. Add in the possibility that Houston will again be without key reserve Eric Gordon and just how well Utah has been playing (12-1 last 13) I think we see the Jazz pull off the upset here. Take Utah! 

3* LATE INFO INSIDER

No Analysis on late releases

3* NCAAB Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR  on James Madison +

I like the value here with the Dukes catching points on the road against the Phoenix. I just don't trust this Elon team laying points given their current form. The Phoenix have lost 5 straight and have failed to cover all 5 of them. Last time out they lost 59-81 at home to Northeastern as a 3-point dog. Their previous home game they got rolled 67-48 by Delaware as a 1-point dog. 

James Madison is just 3-6 SU in their last 9, but have been a covering machine during this stretch, going 6-2-1 ATS during this run. Last time out they lost by just 2-points on the road to Delaware, covering as a 3.5-point dog. They are now 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 true road games. Dukes are also 9-1 ATS away from home as an underdog this season. Take James Madison! 

4* NBA Over/Under TOTAL NO-BRAINER on Rockets UNDER

I like the value here with the UNDER in Sunday's late night NBA action between the Rockets and Nuggets. Houston is a team the public absolutely loves to back the OVER because of their offensive fire-power. What people overlook with all the points the Rockets put up is how well they are playing defensively. Houston ranks in the Top 10 in defensive efficiency and have allowed 108 or fewer points in 8 of their last 9, with 6 of those being 102 points or less. 

A big key here is that the Rockets will be playing without Eric Gordon, who is 3rd on the team in scoring at 18.5 ppg and primarily has been their biggest spark off the bench. I think that disrupts the rhythm enough to keep Houston from putting up a big number here. 

This will surprise a lot of people, but the UNDER is 11-2 in the Rockets last 13 games against other teams from the west. It's also 10-4 in their last 14 road games and 5-1-1 in their last 7 road games vs a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Take the UNDER! 

5* NCAAB PAC-12 GAME OF THE MONTH on Colorado +

I absolutely love the value here with the Buffaloes catching points at home against the Bruins. Colorado is a prime bounce back spot after dropping 3 straight. The most recent being a crushing 9-point loss at home to USC. Not only will the Buffaloes come out swinging against one of the top teams in the Pac-12, but there's added incentive here to win on senior day. 

I also think this is a great spot to go against the Bruins. UCLA is a full 2-games back of Arizona for the regular-season Pac-12 title and would need to win out and have the Wildcats lose their final two at home to Stanford and Cal (Bears are a league-worst 2-14 in league play) just to earn a share of the title. They know that's not going to happen, which in turn makes this game less important and more likely that UCLA looks ahead to their big showdown on the road against rival USC to close out the regular-season.

Another key factor here is just how much better Colorado is at home than they are on the road. The Buffaloes have gone 11-3 SU and 9-5 ATS on their home floor this season. UCLA is just 5-7 on the road. Colorado is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games, while the Bruins are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games vs a team with a winning home record. Take Colorado! 

3* NCAAB Situational ATS ANNIHIALTOR on Tulsa +

I'm recommending grabbing the points here with the Golden Hurricane on the road, as they face off against No. 11 Cincinnati. There's no question that the Bearcats are the better team and while Cincinnati should be emotionally up for senior day, I think they are way overvalued here and will have a hard time putting away this Tulsa team. 

The Golden Hurricane come in playing their best basketball of the season. Tulsa is riding a 6-game winning streak and are now sitting 4th in the AAC at 10-5. This is their only matchup against the Bearcats, who lead the conference at 13-2, and I think they give everything they got. 

Last time out, Tulsa knocked off UCF 70-61 as a slim 2.5-point home favorite. That's worth noting, as the Golden Hurricane are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 off a home win. Cincinnati enters off a 77-52 blowout win over UConn , which is also worth noting, as the Bearcats are a mere 5-17 ATS in their last 22 home games off a conference win by 20 or more points. Take Tulsa! 

4* NCAAB Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Oregon -

I like the value here with the Ducks as a short home favorite against the Wildcats on Saturday. Oregon bounced back in a big way after two hard fought losses at USC and UCLA with a 75-68 win and cover at home over Arizona State last time out. The Ducks have now won 5 straight at home in Pac-12 play and my money is on them making it 6 in a row. 

This is simply a horrible spot for the Wildcats. It was bad enough when star point guard Allonzo Trier was made ineligible for a positive PED test, then came the news regarding head coach Sean Miller and the wiretap that proved he took a payment. I just don't see how Arizona puts all this aside and plays well here. Take Oregon! 

3* LATE INFO INSIDER

No Analysis on late releases

3* LATE INFO INSIDER

No Analysis on late releases

3* LATE INFO INSIDER

No Analysis on late releases

5* NBA Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Celtics UNDER

I love the value here with the UNDER in Saturday's NBA action that has division rivals Boston and New York going head-to-head at Madison Square Garden. The Celtics returned from the All-Star break with a 110-98 win at Detroit. Their defense held the Pistons to just 43.5% shooting and my money is on another big effort on the defensive side of the ball tonight.

New York put up 120 in a win over the Magic in their last game, but that's nothing to get excited about. This is still a very limited Knicks offense without Porzingis and last time they faced the Celtics they managed just 73 points. Adding to this is the fact that each of the last 4 meetings in the series have seen 204 or fewer combined points with all 3 meetings this seasons failing to eclipse the 200 mark. Take the UNDER! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Oklahoma -

I like the value here with the Sooners laying a short number at home against the Wildcats. This is do or die for Oklahoma, who comes in having lost 6 straight games. What you can't overlook is that 4 of the 6 losses during their skid came on the road. The Sooners are simply a different team at home, where they are 11-2 this season, outscoring teams by 13 ppg. 

Another key factor here is revenge. Oklahoma was embarrassed in the first meeting with K-State, losing by 18 on the road to the Wildcats. Sooners are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 when revenging a loss to an opponent. It's also worth pointing out that K-State comes in having won 3 straight, as the Wildcats are a miserable 0-6 ATS this season after 3 or more consecutive wins. Take Oklahoma! 

5* NCAAB Big 12 TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Iowa State UNDER

I think the books have completely missed the mark here on Saturday's total for West Virginia/Iowa St. The Cyclones simply don't have the offensive fire-power away from home to push this over the mark, which is why you can't read into the first meeting that saw ISU put up 93 in a 16-point win at home over West Virginia. 

Iowa State has failed to score more than 67 in each of their last 4 road games and don't figure to eclipse that mark here against the Mountaineers. West Virginia is only giving up 63.4 ppg and holding teams to 39.1% shooting at home this season. It's a big reason why just one of their last 6 Big 12 home games have seen a combined score more than what is listed here. 

UNDER is also 10-3 in West Virginia's last 13 conference games and 7-2 in the Mountaineers last 9 after a game where they covered the spread. Take the UNDER! 

3* NBA Undervalued UNDERDOG on Magic +

I like the value here with the Magic catching double-digits on the road against the 76ers this afternoon. While Orlando lost their first game back from the break, this team is finally got their key pieces back from injury and have been an absolute covering machine here of late. The Magic are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games and have lost just once during this stretch by more than 10 points. 

Philadelphia needed some late-game heroics to escape with a 116-115 win at Chicago on Thursday and I just think the 76ers are overvalued right now, as they come in having won 6 straight. Note that this is a team that has routinely struggled to put bad teams away, as they are  a mere 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs a team with a winning percentage below 40%. 

Adding to all of this is a great system in play to fade the 76ers. Home favorites on Saturday when coming off a game where they won outright as a favorite but didn't cover the spread are just 19-47 (29%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Orlando! 

3* NCAAB Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Notre Dame OVER 

The books have set the bar too low for Saturday's total between Notre Dame and Wake Forest. The Irish come in off a loss at home to Miami, but still managed to score 74 points and shoot 53% from the field. Notre Dame is averaging 80.8 ppg over their last 5. 

While the offense has been clicking, the defense hasn't been great for the Irish, as they are allowing 76.2 ppg over their last 5. Wake Forest is a very capable offensive team and are also in good form, as they are averaging 75.4 ppg over their last 5. In their last home game they combined for 174 points with NC Stat and I think we could see a similar outburst in this one.

OVER is 5-1 in the Demon Deacons last 6 ACC games and 12-4 in the Irish's last 16 vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games. Take the OVER! 

4* NCAAB Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Georgia Tech UNDER

I like the value here with the UNDER in Saturdays' ACC action that has Georgia Tech visiting Clemson. These are two teams that like to slow down the pace, which in turn limits the number of possessions and more times than not leads to a much lower scoring game than anticipated.

Georgia Tech ranks 13th in the ACC in pace of play and an even bigger bonus is they are dead last in the league in offensive efficiency. Clemson ranks 10th in the league in pace of play in the ACC. They are also 3rd in defensive efficiency and a mere 11th in offensive efficiency. 

UNDER is 14-4 in Clemson's last 18 home games and 7-1 in the Tigers last 8 home games vs a team with a losing road record. Take the UNDER! 

4* NCAAB Early Bird Vegas Line Mistake on Boston College +

I like the value here with the Eagles as a near double-digit dog against the Hurricanes in Saturday's ACC action. Miami comes in off an impressive 77-74 win as a 4.5-point dog at Notre Dame in their last game, but are still just 1-3 SU in their last 4 and 3-9 ATS in their last 12. With a huge game at UNC on deck, I think the Hurricanes have a hard time giving BC the full respect they deserve. 

As for the Eagles, they are in a big bounce back-back spot here after a couple of ugly losses the last two times out. BC was a dreadful 4 for 25 (16%) from long-distance in their last game and that's worth noting, as the Eagles are 20-9 ATS in their last 29 after a game where they shot 20% or worse from behind the 3-point line. Miami is also just 4-14 ATS in their last 18 as a home favorite. Take Boston College! 

3* LATE INFO INSIDER

No Analysis on late releases

3* NCAAB Early Bird ATS ANNIHILATOR on Maryland 

I like the value here with the Terrapins at basically a pick'em at home against the Wolverines. Michigan comes in having won and covered 4 straight with the most recent being a 9-point win at Penn State as a 4-point underdog.

I believe the Wolverines are way overvalued here on the road against a underrated Maryland squad that has won 3 of 4 and have are red-hot from the field, hitting 51.2% from the field in their last 5 games. The Terps should be able to keep the offense rolling here, as Michigan has allowed opponents to connect on 47% of their shots away from home. 

Maryland might be just 8-9 in Big Ten play, but the important thing here is the game is being played at the XFINITY Center, where the Terps are 12-2 this season, where their only two losses have come against two of the elite teams in the entire country in Purdue and Michigan State. Take Maryland! 

3* NCAAB Over/Under Total DOMINATOR on Michigan OVER

I think we are getting some great value here with the OVER in Saturday's Big Ten action that has Michigan visiting Maryland. The Wolverines feature one of the most efficient offenses in the Big Ten, as they come in averaging 73.9 ppg on 47% shooting. The big key here is the offense doesn't regress when they are on the road, as Michigan is averaging 73.6 ppg on 47% shooting away from home. 

As for Maryland, the Terps are flying high on the offensive end right now. They come shooting a scorching 51.2% from the field over their last 5 games and are averaging 76.8 ppg on their home floor this season. These two teams combined for 135 points in the first meeting and that was back when Maryland wasn't playing well and Michigan shot an uncharacteristic 41% from the field. I think we could see this one eclipse 150. Take the OVER! 

3* LATE INFO INSIDER 

5* NCAAB Heavy Hitter GAME OF THE MONTH on Yale -

I love the value here with the Bulldogs laying a short number on the road against the Big Red in Friday's Ivy League action. Yale comes in off an ugly loss at Harvard, but had won each of their previous 3 games and I like their chances of bouncing back in a big way here against Cornell. These two teams already played once this season and Yale won by 9 as a 6.5-point home favorite. 

Backing the Bulldogs on the road has been a money-maker, especially when they are laying points. Yale is 12-2 ATS over the last 3 seasons when listed as a road favorite. The Bulldogs have also owned this series, as they are a perfect 8-0 ATS in the last 8 meetings and have covered 6 straight on the road against the Big Red. Take Yale! 

3* NCAAB Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Hawaii - 

I like the value here with the Warriors laying a short number at home against the 49ers. Hawaii comes into this one riding a wave of confidence after racking up back-to-back road wins over UC-Irvine and UC-Riverside.

Long Beach State on the other hand has dropped 3 of their last 4 and all 4 of those came on the road. I just don't see the 49ers flipping the switch here on the road and winning this game. Long Beach State is a mere 4-12 ATS in their last 16 road games off a loss and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games after playing 3 or more consecutive games at home. Take Hawaii! 

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Loyola Marymount +

I really like the value here with the Lions catching points on the road against the Broncos. While Santa Clara comes in having won 3 straight, each of the last two came on the road. The Broncos simply don't have a great home court edge and are just 6-10 SU and 4-10 ATS at home this season.

I know Loyola Marymount is just 2-12 away from home, but they have gone 6-5 ATS on the road and Santa Clara is a mere 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games vs a team with a losing road record. The Broncos are also 9-21 ATS in their last 30 home games off an upset win over a conference opponent and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games after 2 or more consecutive wins. Take Loyola Marymount! 

5* NBA Eastern Conf TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Bulls/76ers UNDER

I really like the value here with the UNDER in Thursday's NBA action that has the Bulls hosting the 76ers. Chicago's offense simply isn't as potent following the trade of Mirotic and they went into the break averaging just 101 ppg over their last 5. Philadelphia on the other hand really got their defense going in the final games before the break, as they allowed just 95.2 ppg over their last 5, while holding opponents to just 41.3% from the field. 

I think that combination will be more than enough to keep this below the mark set by the books. It also helps the game is being played in Chicago, as we should get a big effort here from the Bulls defensively at home.

It's also worth noting the Bulls went into the All-Star break having failed to cover the spread in each of their final 3 games. That's important, because the UNDER is 23-8 in Chicago's last 31 games after failing to cover 3 or more games in a row. UNDER is also 13-4 in the Bulls last 17 home games in the 2nd half of the season vs strong offensive teams that average 106 or more points/game. Take the UNDER! 

3* LATE INFO INSIDER 

5* NCAAB Colonial (CAA) GAME OF THE YEAR on Hofstra -

I love the value here with the Pride at basically a pick'em against the Dukes on Thursday. Hofstra has been rolling and hasn't got the respect they deserve. That's evident by this low number here and the fact that they have gone 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games. 

Last time out the Pride rolled 88-76 at home over Drexel and are 8-1 in their last 9 road games after a combined score of 155 or more in 2 straight games and a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games after a home game where both teams scored 75 or more points. Hofstra is also 12-1 ATS in their last 13 road games with a total set of 150 to 159.5, while the Dukes are a mere 2-9 ATS in their last 11 home games after playing their previous game on the road. 

Adding to all of this is a great system going against the Dukes covering this number. Underdogs off a conference win as a dog of 6 or more are a mere 9-27 ATS (25%) ATS in their next game if facing a team that just scored 80 or more points in a conference win. Take Hofstra! 

5* NCAAB Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Fullerton +

I love the value here with the Titans as a short road favorite against the Highlanders in Wednesday's Big West action. CS-Fullerton is simply the superior team and there's just not a big enough home court edge for UC-Riverside to keep this within the number. The Titans are 15-9 overall and 8-4 in league play, while the Highlanders are just 7-19 overall and a mere 2-10 in conference play. 

The fact that Riverside only lost be 3 on the road to Fullerton in the previous matchup this season isn't a big concern for me. The Titans should have won that game going away, as they shot 54% from the field, while holding the Highlanders to just 34% shooting. They also had a +11 edge in rebounding. The big difference in the game was Riverside made 10 3-pointers on 46% shooting. That's unlikely to repeat itself. The Highlanders are shooting just 29.7% from 3-point range at home this season. 

Riverside is a mere 9-22 ATS in their last 31 home games, 3-11 ATS in their last 14 conference home games and 0-6 ATS over the last 2 seasons in home games played in February. Titans are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games and 10-2 ATS in their last 12 vs a bad team that's won fewer than 40% of their games. Take CS-Fullerton! 

3* NCAAB Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR on Virginia Tech -

I like the value here with the Hokies laying a short number at home against the Tigers. Virginia Tech has been rolling here of late, as they are 6-2 SU and 6-2 ATS over their last 8 games. I just don't feel they are getting enough respect here at home given the state of Clemson right now. 

The Hokies are 12-3 SU this year and are 26-11-1 ATS in their last 38 home games. The Tigers come in having lost their last two. The most recent an 11-point loss at home to Duke. Some might write that loss off because it came against the Blue Devils, but I believe it was more of a result of the team being without both Shelton Mitchell and Donte Grantham. Mitchell won't be available again and Grantham is out for the season. I think it's going to be really hard for Clemson to be competitive on the road here. 

The Tigers are just 5-11-2 ATS in their last 18 off a SU loss and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs a team with a winning record. Take Virginia Tech! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Northern Iowa +

I like the value here with the Panthers as a road dog against the Crusaders on Tuesday. Northern Iowa won the first meeting on their home floor 81-76 and it could have been a lot worse as the Panthers shot 48% from the field and finished with a +13 rebound margin. 

Valparaiso comes in with a mere 14-15 record overall and these are the teams that UNI has had their way with. The Panthers are a dominant 20-8-4 ATS in their last 32 games vs a team with a losing record. 

Adding to all of this is a great system in favor of fading the Crusaders. Home favorites who have gone OVER the total by 30 or more combined points in their last 3 games are just 23-55 (30%) ATS since 1997 when it's a matchup of two marginal losing teams that have won between 40% to 49% of their games. Take Northern Iowa! 

3* NCAAB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Boston College +

I like the value here with the Eagles catching a big number here on the road against the Wolfpack. NC State is coming in off a couple of big road wins over Syracuse and Wake Forest and I could see them overlooking a pesky Boston College team that is going to be motivated off an embarrassing 17-point home loss to Notre Dame. The Eagles had won 3 of 4 prior to that defeat and while it won't be easy winning this one outright, I believe they can keep it close. 

A big reason for that is the Wolfpack are not a great defensive team. NC State has allowed 84 or more in 3 of their last 4 games. While BC isn't a top tier team, they do have two of the best players in the ACC in Ky Bowman and Jerome Robinson, who combined average 37.4 ppg, 10.5 rpg and 8.0 apg. These two guards should have their way here against the Wolfpack defense and that should allow the Eagles to keep this within the number. 

Note the Eagles are 14-1 ATS in their last 15 road games off an upset loss as a home favorite, while NC State is just 3-10 ATS in their last 13 off a cover and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 at home vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games. Take Boston College! 

3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Central Michigan +

I like the value here with the Chippewas catching a decent number on the road against in-state rival Western Michigan. Central Michigan has covered 4 of their last 5 on the road in league play and the road team has dominated this series against the number, covering 7 of the last 10 meetings. 

Western Michigan has been overvalued a lot in MAC play and are just 3-7 ATS over their last 10 conference games. The Broncos have also not been a great bet at home, despite at 9-4 SU record, as they are just 3-6-1 ATS in their 10 lined home games. It's also worth noting that last time out Western Michigan fell 67-75 at Northern Illinois, as the Broncos are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 off a SU loss. Take Central Michigan! 

3* LATE INFO INSIDER

No Analysis on late releases

3* LATE INFO INSIDER

No Analysis on late releases

3* LATE INFO INSIDER

No Analysis on late releases

3* NCAAB Over/Under Total NO BRAINER on Kansas/Oklahoma UNDER

I like the value here with the UNDER in Monday's Big 12 matchup that has Kansas hosting Oklahoma. There were a lot of offensive fire-works in the first meeting between these two teams and yet they only combined for 165 points in a 85-80 win at home for Oklahoma. 

I just don't see the rematch being more of an offensive game than the first meeting. Especially given how much this game means to both teams. Kansas needs a win here to stay in a position to win the Big 12, while the Sooners are desperate for a victory after losing their last 5 (in danger of missing the NCAA Tournament). 

All the hype surrounding Trae Young has really made life difficult for the Sooners and opposing teams appear to be figuring him out. Young is really struggling from the outside, as he's just 9-51 (17.6%) over his last 5 games on 3-point attempts. I don't see Young breaking out of his slump here against the Jayhawks. Kansas is 2nd in the Big 12 at defending the 3-point shot. They will also have a much better idea of how to game-plan for Young having already faced him once this season. 

UNDER is 9-1 in the Sooners last 10 off a conference loss and a perfect 10-0 in the Jayhawks last 10 games off a home win. Take the UNDER! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Cincy -

I like this spot for the Bearcats at home against Wichita State. This might seem like a big number for Cincinnati to be laying against a quality opponent, but my money is on the Shockers winning this one going away. This is a prime bounce back spot for the Bearcats off a lackluster showing in a 62-67 loss at Houston. Cincinnati had won 16 straight prior to that defeat to the Cougars. Their only other two losses were on the road to Xavier and Florida, as they come in a perfect 13-0 at home with a 7-3 ATS record in home lined games (outscoring opponents by almost 30 ppg, 83.7-54.6). 

Wichita State has found life a lot harder in the American. They are just 4-3 in their last 7 with all 4 wins coming on their home floor. Bearcats are 30-19 ATS in their last 49 as a favorite and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 off a game where they failed to cover. Take Cincinnati! 

4* NCAAB Late Night BAILOUT B-L-O-W-O-U-T on Santa Clara +

I like the value here with the Broncos as a near double-digit dog on the road against the Tigers. Santa Clara comes in red-hot off two straight upset wins. First they knocked off San Diego 70-64 as a 5-points home dog. They followed that up with a 81-72 win at Portland as a 2.5-point dog.

I think there's a shot here the Broncos can keep it rolling and make it 3 straight upset wins, but I'm especially confident they keep this one close. Revenge is also a major factor here, as Pacific laid it on Santa Clara earlier this season. That was simply an off night shooting for the Broncos, as they connected on just 32.1% from the field. Take Santa Clara! 

4* NCAAB Situational ATS NO-BRAINER on St. Peter's -

I like the value here with the Peacocks as a short road favorite against the Red Foxes. These two teams recently played on Feb. 8th and St. Peter's won that contest 70-66. the Peacocks dominated on the glass and had it not been for an off night shooting they would have won by a wider margin. 

Marist is a mere 1-9 SU in their last 10 games and have lost 4 straight on their home floor. The Red Foxes are just 9-20-1 ATS in their last 30 home games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their home games, while the Peacocks are 25-12-1 ATS in their last 38 road games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their home games. Take St. Peter's! 

4* LATE INFO INSIDER

No Analysis on late releases

5* NCAAB Vegas Insider GAME OF THE YEAR on William & Mary +

I like the value here with the Tribe catching a decent number here on the road against Northeastern. William & Mary have been an excellent team to back on the road, as they are 9-3 ATS away from home.

The Huskies on the other hand are a team that has been overvalued basically the entire month of February, as they are 1-5 ATS in their last 6, which includes an outright loss at home to Charleston as a 4-point favorite. 

The Tribe are also a team you want to look to back off a loss, as they have gone 14-5 in their last 19 off a conference loss. They also are great at getting revenge, as they are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 when revenging a loss to an opponent over the last 2 seasons. Take William & Mary! 

3* NCAAB Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Michigan State OVER

I like the value here with the OVER in Saturday's Big Ten action that has Michigan State visiting Northwestern. While these are two strong defensive teams, it's not asking a lot here for them to go over the mark set here. Keep in mind that Michigan State comes in average 83.2 ppg on the season and have scored at least 87 in each of their last 2 road games. Only 3 of the Spartans 15 conference games have failed to combine for more than the total set here. 

Adding to all of this is a great system. OVER is 36-12 (75%) over the last 5 seasons when you have  a total of 130 to 139.5 in a game in involving two good defensive teams that are allowing 63-67 ppg at last 15 games into the season with one of the teams off a win by 20 or more points. Take the OVER! 

3* NCAAB Early Bird Total DOMINATOR on SMU UNDER

I like the value here with the UNDER in Saturday's AAC action that has UCF hosting SMU. Both of these teams have been hit hard with injuries and simply don't have a whole lot of offensive fire-power to work with.

These are also the two slowest teams in the American in terms of pace and both rank outside the top 300 in pace nationally. SMU is only giving up 63.5 ppg and will be facing a UCF offense that averages just 59.8 ppg. The Knights only give up 59.8 ppg at home and are facing a Mustangs offense that is averaging only 65.4 ppg on the road. 

UNDER is 9-1 in UCF's last 10 after allowing 65 or less points in 2 straight games, 12-3 in their last 15 off a SU win by 15 or more points and 18-5 in SMU's last 23 road games when playing their 3rd game in a week span. Take the UNDER! 

3* NCAAB Ivy League ATS ANNIHILATOR on Cornell +

I like the value here with the Big Red catching points at home against the Tigers. Cornell is a rock-solid 6-2 on their home floor with both losses coming by a mere 3-point. Princeton on the other hand has dropped 4 in a row, with each of the last two on the road. The offense has gone missing for the Tigers, as they have now shot 40% or worse from the field in each of their last 3 games. I don't see them being able to keep pace here on the road against a Cornell offense that averages a healthy 84.2 ppg at home. 

Last time out the Big Red lost 65-74 as a 6.5-point dog at Yale and that puts them in a great spot here, as they are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 after failing to cover their last game. Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Ivy League games and 2-9 ATS in their last 11 off a SU loss. Take Cornell! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Yale -

I like the value here with the Bulldogs laying a short number on the road against the Big Green. Dartmouth is getting way to much respect on their home floor. The Big Green are just 5-16 overall with a mere 1-7 record in league play. Yale is 11-13 with a 4-4 record in league play. 

Dartmouth is simply getting love here following their impressive upset win over Princeton, as they won 72-56 as a 5.5-point home dog. The Big Green are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 off a SU win and are also a mere 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games against Yale. The Bulldogs already beat Dartmouth by 10 at home and it could have been worse, as they shot 50.9% from the field. It's also worth noting that Yale has been an excellent team to back in this spot. The Bulldogs are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 as a road favorite. Take Yale! 

3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Blowout on Montana State +

I like the value here with the Bobcats as a double-digit dog on the road against the Vandals Thursday. Idaho is coming off a hard fought 66-64 win at home over Eastern Washington and I believe it puts them in a prime letdown spot here against a struggling Montana State team, as they will have a hard time not looking ahead to their showdown at home against Montana, who sits on top the Big Sky with a perfect 13-0 record. 

Idaho is also just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a SU win and a mere 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. The Bobcats have also gone an impressive 4-1 ATS in their last 5 trips to Idaho and the underdog is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Take Montana State! 

3* NCAAB Late Night ATS Annihilator on Arizona +

I like the value here with the Wildcats at basically a pick'em on the road against the Sun Devils. Arizona rebounded nicely from back-to-back losses with a convincing 81-67 win at home over USC this past weekend an I look for them to carry over that strong play with another win over Arizona State. The Wildcats defeated Arizona 84-78 in the first meeting this season, thanks in large part to their defense, which held a potent Sun Devils attack to just 37.9% shooting from the field. 

I just think Arizona State is still getting way too much respect from their 12-0 start to the season. They haven't been anywhere close to that in Pac-12 play and simply put Arizona is the much better team and knows how to win on the road. The Wildcats are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 conference road games and a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games off a home conference win. Take Arizona! 

3* NCAAB Undervalued Underdog on Delaware +

I like the value here with the Blue Hens catching double-digits on the road against the Tigers. Delaware comes in off a 66-83 loss as a 9.5-point dog at William & Mary. Few teams have been as good as the Blue Hens at bouncing back after a non-cover, as they are 33-16-3 ATS in their last 52 games after failing to cover the number in their previous game. 

Towson on the other hand comes in having failed to cover the spread in each of their last 5 games. The most recent being a 15-point home loss to Northeastern as a 3.5-point favorite. It's the second straight game they have lost outright at home as a favorite, as they fell 76-83 as a 9-point favorite against Elon in their previous home game.

Adding to all of this is a strong system in favor of the Blue Hens. Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points off a game where they allowed 80 or more points are 65-34 (66%) ATS when facing a team that's coming off a loss by 15 or more points. Take Delaware! 

3* LATE INFO INSIDER

No Analysis on late releases

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on William Mary +

I love the value here with the Tribe catching points on the road agains the Pride. William & Mary has been a road covering machine this season, as the Tribe are 9-2 ATS away from home. They have also enjoyed the role of the underdog going 8-2 ATS in the 10 games this season when getting points. 

On the flip side of this Hofstra has been a great team to fade at home, as they are a mere 14-36-1 ATS in their last 51 home games. Last time out they lost by 20 as a 3-point road favorite at UNC-Wilmington. That's important to note as they are just 4-13 ATS in their last 17 home games after playing their previous game as a favorite and 2-12 ATS in their last 14 off a game where they didn't cover. Simply put, the Pride are getting way too much respect at home here. Take William & Mary. 

5* NCAAB Big West GAME OF THE MONTH on Riverside +

I'm recommending a play on the Highlanders as a short road dog against the Matadors in Wednesday's Big West action. UC Riverside is going to be out for revenge from an earlier loss at home to Northridge and I believe there's reason they get it. The Highlanders couldn't have shot much worse in that first meeting, as they connected on just 32.1% from the field. Riverside is also a perfect 6-0 ATS in their lsat 6 when revenging a loss as a home favorite. 

I look for a much better showing here against a Matadors defense that comes in having allowed each of their last 2 opponents to shoot better than 50% from the field. Note that Northridge ranks 8th out of 9 teams in the Big West in defensive efficiency. 

I also think this is a good spot to fade the Matadors off a ridiculous shooting game against Hawaii, where they shot 65.1% from the field in an outright win as a 12.5-point dog. Northridge is just 3-12 ATS in their last 15 off a game where they shot 55% or better. They are also a mere 5-13 ATS in their last 18 home games and 0-9 ATS in their last 9 home games when they come in having lost 4 of 5. Take UC Riverside! 

4* NBA No Doubt ATS Blowout on Pelicans -

I'm recommending laying the points with New Orleans at home on Wednesday against the Lakers. The Pelicans have won and covered each of their last two games, including an impressive 118-103 win on the road against a red-hot Detroit team last time out. 

The Lakers come in off a 123-130 loss at Dallas in the first game with newly acquired Isaiah Thomas. I think the trade LA made to get Thomas, giving up two solid pieces in Nance Jr and Clarkson are a clear sign this team is looking ahead to next year. The big reason Thomas was outed in Cleveland was his defense and in his first game the Lakers the Mavs to put up 130 on them, while shooting 54% from the field. I expect the defense to continue to struggle with him going forward, especially on the road. Take New Orleans!

4* NBA Situational Vegas Insider on Hornets -

I think the price and situation present some solid value here with Charlotte covering as a road favorite against the Magic on Wednesday. This is a big game for the Hornets, who come in having lost 4 straight. I believe they will be extra motivated here to avoid a 5th straight loss going into the All-Star break. As for Orlando, this isn't a team that has a whole lot to play for right now and I think we see a lack of focus from the home team in this one. 

Note that the Hornets have absolutely dominated this series with the Magic, as they have won 9 straight and covered each of the last 7. That includes two meetings this season in Charlotte. Orlando hasn't been great revenging a loss, as they are just 5-13 ATS in their last 18 home games when revenging a road loss to an opponent. They are also just 14-29-1 ATS in their last 44 home games vs a team with a losing road record. Look for the Hornets to take control early on in his one and cruise to a win and cover. Take Charlotte! 

3* NBA Over/Under Total Annihilator on Hawks/Bucks OVER

Last time out the Bucks combined with the Magic for 115 points, finishing well over the total posted for that game of 208.5. That snapped a streak of 9-straight games for Milwaukee that had gone UNDER the total. I think we saw a big overreaction from that streak in their game against Orlando, who is awful defensively and not a team the Bucks are going to get up for. I see a very similar scenario here with this game against Atlanta. 

The Hawks are in full on rebuilding mode, and as you might expect for a team that's basically tanking for the future, they aren't great on the road. Atlanta is just 5-22 away from home and a big reason for that is their defense, which gives up 109.3 ppg, while allowing their opponents to shoot 47% from the field. Milwaukee should be able to score at will here. With the All-Star break just around the corner, I don't think we see a great defensive effort here from the Bucks, which should allow the Hawks to provide more than an enough here to push this over the mark. Take the OVER! 

4* NCAAB Situational ATS No-Brainer on Central Michigan +

I like the value here with the Chippewas at basically a pick'em on the road against the Huskies. Central Michigan had their way with Northern Illinois in the previous meeting this season, winning 81-67 as a mere 5-point home favorite.

They did so while allowing the Huskies to shoot 51.9% from the field. I think we get a better defensive effort here, while the offense once again rolls over a struggling Northern Illinois defense that has allowed their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field in 5 of their last 8 games. The Huskies were able to snap a 4-game skid with a 90-88 upset win at home over Buffalo, but are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 off a SU win. Take Central Michigan! 

3* NCAAB Vegas Line Mistake on St. Peter's +

I like the value here with the Peacocks catching points on the road against the Hawks. St. Peter's will hit the road following a 4-game homestand and this has proven to be a great time to back the Peacocks, as they are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 road games after playing 3 or more consecutive games at home. Not to mention they are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 road games after a loss.

They will be taking on a Monmouth team that i just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games. The Hawks are just 1-4 in their last 5 and have won a grand total of 8 games all season. These are the kind of teams that the Peacocks have performed well against, as they are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games. Take St. Peter's! 

3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Blowout  on West Virginia -

I like the value here West Virginia at home against the Horned Frogs. The Mountaineers come into this game off a crushing 85-88 loss at home just when it looked like they were getting back on track after that 1-5 stretch. I believe they will be extremely motivated here not to go into another slump and will do whatever it takes to get a win. On top of that, they also will be out for revenge against the Horned Frogs. 

TCU has been hit or miss since losing point guard Jaylen Fisher, so while they come in off an impressive 16-point win at home over Texas, they are just as likely to lay an egg here. Note that the Horned Frogs haven't won consecutive games since they started the season 12-0. Part of that is they aren't a deep team, which I think is a major factor here on the road playing on just 1-day of rest. Take West Virginia! 

3* NBA Situational ATS Annihilator on Pelicans +

There's been plenty of excitement with with the Pistons after they landed Blake Griffin in a trade. They won their first 5 games after acquiring him, but have lost their last two, including a bad loss at Atlanta last time out. I think this is a team that is overvalued right now and the Pistons 2-5 ATS record during this stretch backs that up. 

I know the Pelicans aren't the same caliber a team with Cousins sidelined, but they do still have one of the best players in the game in Davis and I think they are poised to go into Detroit and get a win tonight. Pelicans are 18-8 ATS in their last 26 road games vs the Eastern Conference, while the Pistons are a mere 1-6 ATS in their last 7 off a loss. Take New Orleans! 

4* NCAAB Situational ATS No-Brainer on Illinois +

I like this spot here with Illinois as a home dog against the Nittany Lions. I know the Fighting Illini are just 2-10 in Big 10 play and Penn State is the better team, but the situation here really favors the home team. The Nittany Lions are not a great road team and I think they could have a hard time not looking ahead to this week's big home game against Ohio State. 

On the flip side of this, I think we are going to get a max effort here from Illinois after a lackluster showing in their last game at home against Wisconsin. The Fighting Illini shot just 38.2% from the field in that game, which is well below their season average of 46% at home. 

Nittany Lions are just 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 road games vs a team with a winning home record and are 0-6 ATS on the road over the last 3 seasons when they come into a game having covered 3 of their last 4 games. Take Illinois! 

5* NBA Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Raptors UNDER

I love the value here with the UNDER in today's early action that has the Raptors visiting the Hornets. I think it's hard for NBA teams to get in a flow offensively in these early games on Sunday, especially this late in the season. These two teams combined for 140 points in their previous meeting back in December, which I believe has this total way too high. 

Toronto has been locked in defensively over their current 4-game winning streak. The Raptors have held their opponents to just 92.5 ppg and have held each of their last 3 opponents under 40% from the field. I think there's a good chance they keep it going here against a Hornets team that has shot poorly in each of their last two games and managed just 94 points in their last game against the Jazz. 

UNDER is 5-1 in the Raptors last 6 games off a win and 4-1 in the Hornets last 5 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. 

Adding to all of this is a great system in play. The UNDER is 74-39 (66%) over the last 5 seasons when you have a total north of 200 where they home team comes in having failed to cover the spread in 3 or more games and are on little rest, playing their 3rd game in a 4 day span. Take the UNDER! 

3* NCAAB Late Night ATS Annihilator on Portland +

I like the value here with the Pilots catching a big number on the road against the Tigers. I just feel that Portland is way undervalued right now due to their 4-9 league record and it's shown in their recent games, as they come in on a 6-0-1 ATS run in their last 7 games. Last time out they went on the road and lost by just 2-points at San Francisco as a 10-point dog. They also have outright wins at San Diego as a 13-point dog and Loyola-Marymount as a 7-point dog. 

The Pilots are a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games, 11-3 ATS in their last 14 road games when playing on just 1 day of rest and a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games when revenging a same season loss. Take Portland! 

4* NCAAB Vegas ATS No-Brainer on Pepperdine +

I like the value here with the Waves catching a decent amount of points against the Lions. While Pepperdine is just 4-21 on the season and a mere 1-12 in conference play, Loyola Marymount isn't much better. The Lions are only 7-17 overall and just one game better at 2-11 in West Coast action. 

It just so happens that lone win for Pepperdine came against Loyola-Marymount. That outcome is a good sign that the Waves can not only keep this within the number, but I wouldn't be shocked if they won the game outright given how little a home court edge the Lions have. Loyola is just 6-15 ATS in their last 21 home games when listed as the favorite and are just 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 off a SU loss of more than 20 points (lost by 21 at home to St. Mary's last game). Take Pepperdine! 

3* NCAAB Vegas Line Mistake on Alabama +

I like the value here with the Crimson Tide as a home dog against the Volunteers on Saturday. Alabama has a tremendous home court advantage and it's a big reason why they are 10-2 at home this season. Coleman Coliseum is going to be electric tonight when the Crimson Tide take on No. 15 Tennessee and I fully expect them to win this game outright. 

Tennessee is just 11-25 ATS in their last 36 road games when they go into a game having won 3 or more conference games in a row and are just 4-9 ATS in their last 13 trips to Tuscaloosa. Crimson Tide are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 conference games and 16-6 ATS in their last 22 as a home dog of 3 points or less. Take Alabama! 

4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Blowout on Quinnipiac +

I like the value here with the Bobcats catching a big number on the road against the Golden Griffins. I just feel that Canisius is way overvalued here in a game they could be easily overlooking, as they have already knocked off Quinnipiac on the road and the Bobcats have lost their last 3 with the most recent being a 19-point loss at Niagara. 

Quinnipiac did keep it close against the Golden Griffins in that first meeting, losing by just 8, despite shooting just 35% from the field and allowing Canisius to connect on 48% of their attempts. The Golden Griffins come in having won 3 straight and that's important to note as they are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games when off 3 straight conference wins. Take Quinnipiac! 

4* NCAAB Undervalued Underdog on Delaware +

I like the value here with the Blue Hens as a near double-digit dog against the Tribe on Saturday. Delaware is simply undervalued right now, as they come in having lost 7 straight. A lot of that has been the simply inability to close out games, as 5 of the 7 losses have come by 8 points or less.

I like their chances of keeping it well within the number here against William & Mary and wouldn't be shocked if they won this game outright. The Tribe are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. The most recent being a 79-91 loss to Drexel as a 8.5-point favorite. Take Delaware! 

4* NCAAB Situational Vegas Insider on Baylor +

I like the value here with the Bears as a home dog against the Jayhawks in Saturday's Big 12 action. Baylor comes into this game with a ton of confidence after back-to-back impressive wins. First they rolled ISU 81-67 at home and they followed that up with a 67-56 victory at Oklahoma State. On top of that, this is a game the Bears have had circled on the calendar, especially after that heartbreaking 67-70 loss at Lawrence in late January, where Baylor blew a 6-point lead in the final couple minutes of regulation. 

I know Kansas comes in at 19-5, but this is not the same caliber a Jayhawks team as we have seen in years past. They have been very fortunate in close games and I think it has them overvalued on the road here. Kansas was able to beat TCU at home in their last game, but are just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 off a SU win. Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 off a win and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 at home vs a team that's won more than 60% of their road games. Take Baylor! 

3* NCAAB Oddsmakers Error on NC State +

I think we are getting some great value here with the Wolfpack as a home dog against in-state rival North Carolina. This is an ideal spot to fade the Tar Heels off arguably their biggest win of the season in Thursday's 82-78 victory against rival Duke. Big time letdown spot here for UNC, while NC State is going to lay everything they have into this matchup. 

The biggest factor here is just how well the Wolfpack play at home. NC State is 13-2 on their home floor this season, which includes a 96-86 win over Duke as a 12.5-point dog. The other key here is we know the Wolfpack matchup well with the Tar Heels, as they went into Chapel Hill and knocked off UNC in late January. 

It's also worth noting that North Carolina is just 4-12 ATS in their last 16 conference road games and a mere 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games off a conference win. Take NC State! 

5* NCAAB Colonial Athletic GAME OF THE MONTH on Northeastern +

I love the value here with the Huskies catching points against the Tigers in Saturday's Colonial Athletic showdown. Northeastern comes in having won 2 straight and are 6-2 in their last 8 overall, while Towson has failed to cover the spread in each of their last 4 games. Playing on the road hasn't been a problem for the Huskies, who are 4-1 in their last 5 away from home in CAA action with the only loss a mere 1-point defeat at Drexel. 

One of the big keys to this game will be the edge Northeastern has on the defensive side of the ball. The Huskies have held 5 of their last 6 opponents under 70 points, while Towson has allowed 70+ in 6 straight games, including a whopping 92 points in their last game against the Dragons. The Tigers are just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 after giving up 90+ points. Take Northeastern! 

4* NBA Situational (ATS) NO-BRAINER on Jazz -

I like the value here with Utah laying what I feel is a short number at home given the circumstances. The Jazz are playing their best basketball of the season right now. Utah has won 7 straight and 6 of the 7 wins came on the road. No surprise the surge for the Jazz has coincided with the return of big man Rudy Gobert, who is one of the best rim protectors in the game. 

I don't think the Jazz will have any problem keeping it going here against the Hornets. This is a really tough spot for Charlotte, who will be concluding a 4-game road trip that has seen them go from Phoenix to Denver to Portland and now to Utah. They also are on no rest and on top of that last night's game against the Blazers went to OT. Note that the Hornets had to use a ton of energy late in that game, as they rallied from 17 down in the 4th quarter. I just don't think they have enough gas left in the tank to keep this one close. Take Utah! 

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Columbia +

I love the value here with the Lions catching points on the road against the Bulldogs. Columbia held on for a 77-74 win at home over Dartmouth, which was a good win coming off that big victory at home over Harvard. The Lions are now 3 -1 in their last 4 with the only loss being a 1-point loss at Cornell. 

Yale on the other hand has dropped each of their last 2 games and are just 1-4 SU in their last 5. The most recent being a 50-59 loss at Penn, which is important to note as the Bulldogs are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 after playing their last game on the road and 0-6 ATS this season off a road loss. Yale is also a mere 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games, while Columbia is 19-8 ATS in their last 27 road games vs a team that's won 60% or more of their home games. 

Adding to all of this is a great system favoring a play on the Lions. Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points who are off a home win as a favorite where they didn't cover the spread are 27-7 (79%) ATS when playing on Friday over the last 5 seasons. Take Columbia! 

5* NCAAB Late Night GAME OF THE MONTH on San Diego -

I love the value here with the Toreros in Thursday's road game against Pepperdine. San Diego is going to be chomping at the bit to get back in action after losing their last two games, both of which were contested battles against two of the top teams in the conference in Gonzaga and St. Mary's. 

I just don't see the Waves being able to keep this one competitive enough to cover this spread. Pepperdine is just 4-20 overall and a mere 1-11 in conference play. They are just 6-21 ATS in their last 27 vs a team with a winning record and are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs a team with a winning record. 

The Toreros on the other hand are a great road team, especially when it comes to covering the number. They are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 road games overall and a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs a team with a losing home record. Take San Diego! 

5* NCAAB Big West GAME OF THE YEAR on Poly +

I look for the Mustangs to have zero problem covering this spread on the road against the Titans Thursday. CS-Fullerton simply has no business being this big a favorite in this matchup. These two teams played earlier this season at Cal-Poly and the Titans needed overtime to escape with a 101-97 win, despite shooting a ridiculous 58% from the field in that contest. 

I wouldn't be the least bit surprised if the Mustangs won this game outright. Cal Poly has won each of their last two games, including a 78-64 win over Hawaii as a 4-point home dog in their last game. CS-Fullerton has lost each of their last 2 games at home are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs a team with a losing road record. 

Adding to all of this is a great system backing a play on the Mustangs. Underdogs off an upset win by 10 or more points as a home dog, who have 2 more returning starters than their opponent are 54-23 (70%) ATS going all the way back to 1997. Take Cal Poly! 

4* NCAAB Late Night ATS Heavy Hitter on Portland +

I like the value here with the Pilots as a double-digit dog against the Dons in Thursday's West Coast action. Portland is playing arguably their best basketball of the season right now. The Pilots come in off back-to-back wins and are 4-2 SU and 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games. San Francisco was able to knock of Santa Clara on the road in their last game, but are just 3-5 in their last 8.

The Dons have struggled to put back-to-back quality games together, as they are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 off a win and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 off a cover. San Francisco is also a miserable 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games. Pilots are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs a team with a winning record and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 on the road. Take Portland! 

4* NBA Celtics/Wizards ATS NO BRAINER on Celtics +

I like the value here with Boston as a dog against the Wizards. I just think we are seeing Washington won their first 5 games after losing John Wall to an injury that will have him sidelined for an extended period, but couldn't keep it going in a 102-115 loss at Philadelphia last time out. I just think we saw a spike in effort with the Wizards, as they wanted to show that they could win without Wall. The problem is that's become a national story, with Wall seemingly upset with his team's success. I just think that takes away from what they had going and this is the time to start fading them. 

As for Boston, this is a great spot to jump on the Celtics after they played one of their worst games of the season last time out in a 20-point loss at Toronto. Anytime a team gets embarrassed like that and doesn't come out with the right energy, they almost always fire right back in the next game with one of their best efforts. I expect exactly that from the Celtics, who will have some added motivation here with this being a nationally televised game on TNT and the fact that they will be out for revenge from a loss to Washington on Christmas Day. Take Boston! 

4* NCAAB Vegas Line Mistake on Manhattan +

I like the value here with the Jaspers catching a big number on the road against the Broncs in Thursday's MAAC action. Manhattan snapped a 3-game skid with a 51-47 win at Siena last time out and are now 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games. They are also a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. 

Rider is also a team that is way overvalued right now. The Broncs come in riding a 6-game winning streak and are 10-1 in their last 11 overall. Keep in mind in their last home game they were just a 6.5-point favorite against Monmouth, who currently has the same 6-6 record in league play as Manhattan. 

The Jaspers are also 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games when playing only their 2nd game in a 7-day span, while the Broncs are just 10-22 ATS in their last 32 home games when riding a winning streak of 3 or more games. Take Manhattan! 

4* NCAAB Undervalued Underdog  on Quinnipiac +

I like the value here with the Bobcats catching a big number on the road against the Purple Eagles in Thursday's MAAC action. Quinnipiac will be out for revenge from a 73-81 home loss to Niagara back in January and it's worth noting that they lost by just 8-points in that game, despite playing about as poor as they could. The Bobcats shot just 37.8% from the field, while allowing the Purple Eagles to shoot 50%. 

This is also a great spot to go against Niagara, as they are in a prime letdown spot here after playing about as well as they could in Sunday's 96-91 upset win at Monmouth. The Purple Eagles are just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games off an upset win and are also a worthless 0-7 ATS at home in the month of February over the last 3 seasons. Take Quinnipiac! 

3* NCAAB Situational ATS Annihilator on Norhteastern -

I look for the Huskies to have no problem going into Delaware and covering this spread against the Blue Hens. Northeastern is currently tied for 2nd in the Colonial at 8-4, just 1-game back of Charleston for the top spot in the conference. Delaware on the other hand is tied for the 2nd worst record in the CAA at 4-8, just 1-game ahead of last place James Madison. 

The Blue Hens have also been a great team to fade when they take a step up in competition. Delaware is just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 vs a team that's won between 60% and 80% of their games and a mere 8-20 ATS in their last 28 vs strong offensive teams that are shooting 45% or better from the field. In both scenarios the Blue Hens are losing on average by double-digits. Take Northeastern! 

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Hofstra +

I love the value here with the Pride as a dog against the Phoenix on Thursday. Hofstra will be out for revenge from a home loss to Elon earlier this season and are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 road games vs a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. As for the Phoenix, they are a mere 2-9 ATS in their last 11 home games against a team with a winning road record. 

On top of that we see that Hofstra is 15-4 ATS in their last 19 games when listed as a road dog and 11-1 ATS in their last 12 road games with a total in the range of 150 to 159.5. 

Adding to all of this is a huge system in favor of the Pride. Road underdogs who are evening a loss where they allowed 75+ points in a game that involves two marginal winning teams are 49-21 (70%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Hofstra! 

4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Blowout on Marist +

I like the value here with the Red Foxes as a double-digit dog against the Peacocks in Thursday's MAAC action. Marist was just embarrassed in their last game, losing by 34-points at home to Iona and that should lead to a big time effort here from the Red Foxes. 

St. Peter's comes in off a 15-point home loss against one of the top teams in the conference in Canisius and are now just 1-7 in their last 9 games. Simply put this team has no business being a double-digit favorite here. The Peacocks are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 following a double-digit loss at home and a mere 8-25 ATS in their last 33 home games after a stretch where they have lost 8 or more of their last 10.

The Red Foxes on the other hand are 22-10 ATS in their last 32 in this price range of a road dog of 9.5 to 12 points. They are also 12-4-2 ATS in their last 18 off a double-digit loss at home and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games. Take Marist! 

5* NBA WESTERN CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH on UNDER

I love the value here with the UNDER in Wednesday's NBA action that has the Jazz visiting the Grizzlies. I know Utah has been putting up some big offensive numbers of late, but I think we could see them struggle to put up a big number here against Memphis. The pace here figures to be  a lot slower than the last few games for the Jazz, plus they have to be a bit fatigued here playing their 4th straight on the road. 

The Grizzlies have decided to sit out arguably their biggest offensive threat in Tyreke Evans until the trade deadline passes. In the 4 games without him the offense hasn't scored more than 102 points and have failed to eclipse 90 in their last 2 games. Memphis has no choice but to slow down the pace without Evans and this isn't a spot where they will look to push it playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back. 

UNDER is 11-3 in the Grizzlies last 14 after losing 3 or more straight games, 4-1 in their last 5 following a SU loss of more than 10 points and 7-2 in their last 9 home games following a road trip of 7 o more days. UNDER is also 23-8 in the last 31 meetings between these two teams in Memphis. Take the UNDER! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER (Florida -9)

I really like this spot for the Gators to win in blowout fashion at home against LSU on Wednesday. Florida is going to be a pissed off group when they take the floor in this one. The Gators come in off back-to-back losses. The most recent being an ugly 18-point upset loss at home to Alabama as a 8-point favorite. The big key here is we know this is a really good Florida team and let's not forget the last time they lost at home was to South Carolina and they came back the very next game and destroyed a good Baylor team by 21-points. 

The other key here is that LSU is a team they can put away early and win comfortably against. The Tigers come in off a win and cover at home against Arkansas, but are just 2-5 SU in their last 7 games and have lost 3 straight on the road in SEC play, including a 23-point loss to Tennessee and 25-piont loss at Auburn in their last two away from home. 

The favorite is a perfect 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in this series and LSU is just 4-13 ATS in their last 17 off a conference win and just 1-9 ATS in their last 10 off a home conference win. Take Florida! 

3* NCAAB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Missouri +

I like the value here with the Tigers catching points against the Rebels in Tuesdays' SEC matchup. Missouri has been better than anticipated without star freshman Michael Porter Jr. The Tigers are 15-8 with a 5-5 record in the SEC and if the season were to end today they would be a NCAA Tournament team. Ole Miss on the other hand is just 11-12 with a mere 4-6 record in league play. 

The Rebels come into this game struggling to get anything going. They have lost 3 straight and 5 of their last 6 overall. I think Ole Miss will find it difficult to get on the right track against Missouri, who are an excellent defensive team. The Tigers rank in the Top 25 in the country in field goal % allowed (39.9%) and defending the 3-pointer (31%). The Rebels rank 238th in shooting at 43.5% and 252nd in 3-point shooting at 33.6%. Factor in that Ole Miss is 281st allowing 76.8 ppg and struggle to defend the 3-pointer and are facing a good 3-point shooting team and all signs point to the Tigers getting the victory here. Take Missouri! 

4* NBA Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Raptors/Celtics UNDER

I really like the value here with the UNDER in the total for Tuesday's big Eastern Conference showdown that has Atlantic Division rivals Toronto and Boston facing off. It's no secret that the Celtics are an elite defensive team and we have to believe they will bring their "A" game on that side of the ball against the Raptors, as Boston comes in having allowed just 93.7 ppg in their 11 division games this season. 

So while Toronto comes in averaging 111.4 ppg, there's a good chance they don't come anywhere close to that. The Raptors have been such a good team offensively, people overlook how well they have been playing on the defensive side of the ball. Toronto is only giving up 101.3 ppg at home and have allowed just 99.2 ppg in division games. They are 3rd in the NBA in defensive efficiency. Opponents are making just 44.9% of their field goal attempts (6th) and a mere 34.8% of their 3-point shots (4th). As good as Boston is defensively, they are just 24th in scoring at 103.2 ppg and their 44.9% field pct also ranks 24th. Take the UNDER 206! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Tennessee + 

The public is all of Kentucky as a slim home favorite, but I think the Vols are the right side in Tuesday's big SEC showdown on ESPN. Tennessee has been one of the bigger surprises this season, as they come in at 17-5 overall and 7-3 in the SEC. One of those wins was a comfortable 76-65 home win over Kentucky back in early January.

As much respect as I have for Calipari and what this Wildcats program has been able to do, I think it has them getting a little too much respect with this years team, which is way down in comparison to what we have seen in the past. That's pretty evident when you look at the fact that Kentucky is just 9-13 ATS on the season and are a mere 2-7-1 ATS in their 10 conference games.

While the Wildcats do have a 13-1 record at home, we did just recently see them lose to Florida on their home floor and Tennessee has gone 7-3 SU and 8-2 ATS in their 10 games away from home this season. I think the Vols pull off the upset tonight. Take Tennessee! 

4* NBA Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Kings -

I like the value here with Sacramento at basically a pick'em on their home floor against the Bulls. Chicago had something going, but it's been all down hill of late. It started with the injury to Kris Dunn that has had him out the last 7 games and won't be suiting up tonight. Then the team traded away their best player in Mirotic, whose return from injury is what sparked their big turnaround. Note they were just 3-20 before he played his first game. They have played the last two without talented rookie Lauri Markkanen, as he was with his family for the birth of his child. He was expected to play tonight, but a flight cancelation has him ruled out. 

Simply put, this is not the same Bulls as they were a couple weeks ago, but are still getting some respect from the books for that run. Sacramento is also a team the public wants nothing to do with, which only adds to the value here with the Kings, who are an impressive 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs the Eastern Conference. Take Sacramento! 

4* NBA Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Wizards +

Washington has won 4 straight without their All-Star point guard John Wall and have covered the spread in all 4 games, winning twice outright as underdogs. The most recent was a 17 point win as a mere 5-point favorite at Orlando. Simply put the books are undervaluing the Wizards right now because of the Wall injury. Washington's offense hasn't missed Wall at all, as they come in averaging 116 ppg over their last 5. 

The Pacers are a much better team at home, but have really struggled to figure out this Washington team. The Wizards have covered each of their last 8 trips to Indiana, as the road team has now gone a ridiculous 21-5 ATS in the last 26 meetings in the series. Take Washington! 

3* NCAAB Over/Under TOTAL ANNIHILATOR on Rutgers OVER 

I like the value here with the OVER in Monday's Big Ten matchup that has Rutgers hosting Indiana. I think a big reason we are getting such great value here is the fact that the Hoosiers come in having had each of their last 3 games go under the mark and all 3 saw Indiana struggle to score. What is getting overlooked is those 3 games came against the 3 best teams in the Big Ten in Purdue, Ohio State and Michigan State. 

The other thing here is that Rutgers is only giving up 59.7 ppg at home this season, but they haven't been playing well defensively of late. The Scarlet Knights just gave up 78 at home to Purdue and the game before that allowed 91 to Illinois (Illini shot 57% from the field). Coming off a crushing 76-78 loss to the Boilermakers and all the injuries that are starting to mount up will make it tough on Rutgers to get the defense back on track against this explosive Indiana offense. Take the OVER! 

4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Temple -

I like the value here with the Owls as a slim 2-point favorite at Tulane on Sunday. Temple comes in having won 4 of 5 and are fresh off a thrilling 81-79 win at home over Wichita State. That followed a 27-point blowout win at home over UCONN. Needless to say the Owls are rolling right now and the Green Wave are certainly a team they can handle away from home. 

I just think Tulane is getting way too much respect here on their home floor. Let's not forget they lost 75-80 in their last home game against USF as a massive 13-point favorite. I also think there's a perception here that Temple is going to suffer a letdown after that big win, but I see them building off that. 

Owls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings with Tulane and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 on the road after a game where 155 combined points were scored. Green Wave are just 3-13 ATS in their last 16 after playing a game as a road favorite and 6-15 ATS in their last 21 conference home games. Take Temple! 

4* NBA Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Celtics OVER 

I like the value here with the OVER in Sunday's NBA action that has the Celtics taking on the Blazers. Most will just blindly take the UNDER here due to Kyrie Irving not playing for Boston, but I actually think the books have over-adjusted for this one. 

Boston has scored 100+ in 6 straight games and have shot 47% or better from the field in each of their last 3. Portland is also rolling offensively right now. The Blazers come in off a 25-point loss at Toronto, despite shooting 51% from the field. The second straight game they made more than half their shots. As good as the Celtics are defensively, I don't think we get a great effort from Boston on that side of the ball today. 

OVER is 22-9 in the Celtics last 31 home games after winning 3 of their last 4 and 12-2 in their last 14 home games after scoring 115 or more points in their previous game. Take the OVER! 

5* NBA Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Bucks Nets UNDER

I love the value here in the UNDER with Sunday's NBA total that has the Bucks visiting the Nets. Both of these teams have seen the majority of their games finish below the mark here of late. The UNDER has chased in 6 straight games for the Bucks and 11 of their last 13 overall. UNDER is 7-2 in the Bucks last 9 games and 14-4 in their last 14 games at home. 

Add in the early start time here and I just don't see these two teams eclipsing the mark set here by the books. Keep in mind both teams have been struggling offensively. Milwaukee followed an 89-point effort at Minnesota with a mere 92-points in their last game against the Knicks. As for Brooklyn, they scored fewer than 100 points in 4 of their last 5. Take the UNDER! 

3* NCAAB Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Georgia Tech OVER 

I like the value here with the OVER in Sunday's college action that has Boston College hosting Georgia Tech. The Eagles have really struggled defensively in ACC play, where they are giving up 78 ppg. The average combined score in BC's 9 conference games so far is 150.6 points and that's with a game against Virginia that saw just 117 total points scored. 

Georgia Tech comes in off a very low-scoring game against Syracuse, where they pulled out a 55-51 win. I think that is definitely playing into that number. Georgia Tech had scored 70 or more in each of their previous 2 games and should easily hit that mark here against the Eagles. OVER is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in the series between these two teams and 16-5-1 in the Eagles last 22 conference games. Take the OVER! 

4* NCAAB Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on San Francisco -

I like the value here with the Dons laying what I think is a short number here on the road against the Broncos. San Francisco has got off to a disappointment 4-7 start in conference play, but a big part of that is they have already played Gonzaga twice and had to play at St. Mary's. Another one of their losses came at home to Santa Clara, which I think was more of a result of the Dons not showing up after a hard fought 10-pt loss at home to Gonzaga. 

I think we get an all-out effort here from San Francisco in this one and that should lead to a rather comfortable win. The Dons are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 off a SU loss of more than 20 points, 8-2 ATS in their last 10 after scoring less than 50 points and 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 road games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their home games. Take San Francisco! 

3* NCAAB Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR on UCLA -

I like the value here with the Bruins laying a short number at home against the Trojans. USC comes in having won 6 straight games and are 4-1-1 ATS during this stretch. I think it has the Trojans way overvalue here on the road against a good UCLA squad that is playing with confidence after winning their last two games. The Bruins are also 11-2 on their home floor this season, where they are outscoring opponents by 12.5 ppg. 

Bruins are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 home games vs a team that's won more than 60% of their road games and are 5-0 in their last 5 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games overall. It's also worth noting the home team has consistently been the right side, going 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in the series. Take UCLA! 

3* NCAAB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Drexel +

I like the value here with the Dragons catching almost double-digits on the road against the Tribe. Drexel is playing well right now, as they come in having won 3 straight, and are going to be extremely motivated here to get revenge from an earlier loss at home to William & Mary. 

Needless to say the Dragons have been money in this spot. They are 50-28 ATS in their last 78 when revenging a home loss and a much better 24-9 ATS when revenging a home loss of 10 or more points. Take Drexel! 

4* NCAAB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Illinois State -

I like the value here with the Redbirds as a short home favorite against the Purple Aces on Saturday. Illinois State simply isn't getting enough respect here with this game being on their home floor. The Redbirds are 7-3 at home this season, while Evansville is just 3-7 on the road (getting outscored by nearly 10 ppg). 

Not only does Illinois State have a big home court edge here, but they have also already shown they matchup well with this Evansville side, handing them one of their two home losses earlier this season. Redbirds are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games, 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games played on Saturday and 22-7 ATS in their last 29 when they come in having won 2 of their last 3 games. Take Illinois State!