3* Main Event on Charlotte -

It is extremely unlikely that the Knicks will risk an injury to a key player when they face off against Charlotte tonight. New York has locked up the No. 2 seed in the Eastern Conference so they do not have much to play for until the postseason. New York is already missing Tyson Chandler, Kenyon Martin, Amare Stoudemire, Rasheed Wallace and Marcus Camby so it is almost a certainty that the remainder of the Knicks talent will not see the court tonight.

Charlotte may have missed the postseason by a long shot, but they still have something to play for. The Bobcats are playing for pride and looking for their 20th win on the season. Charlotte is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games against teams from the Atlantic Division and playing at home should provide them with enough of an offensive boost to get past the Knicks tonight. Charlotte already owns a 2-0 ATS record over New York this season and the last game played in Charlotte was decided by just two points back when the Knicks were playing their top players.

5* Total No Brainer on Spurs/Lakers UNDER

San Antonio has been trending heavily towards the under in recent games. They have gone under the total is 7 of their last 10 games. This matchup falls into a system to play on the under when you have a team like San Antonio that is outscoring their opponents by an average of 6 or more points per game when playing on Sunday. This system is 167-91 (65%) over the last five seasons.

The Lakers have gone under at a rate of 10-1 in their last 11 home games when playing against a team with a winning road record. They are also 4-1 to the under in their last 5 games played on Sunday. These teams have a strong head to head history of getting into a low scoring battle. The under is 8-2 in the last 10 games played at Los Angeles and it is 20-7 the last 27 meetings overall. These angles are a combined 42-11 (79%) to the under.

With the Lakers fighting to keep that 8th spot in in the Western Conference playoffs race I expect to see them really step it up defensively. Their defense certainly plays much better at home than they go on the road holding opponents to 3.6 points per game less than their overall average. The offense does not get much of a boost with just 6 tenths of a point in increased scoring production when playing at home.

3* No Doubt Rout on Raptors +

The Raptors are hot coming into this game winning four of their last five straight up and against the spread. Brooklyn is on the third leg of a three game road stretch and they are 7-19 ATS over the last three seasons when playing in a road game and coming off two consecutive road games. They are facing a Toronto team that has shot over 45% from the field in five of their last six games. In the last five head to head meetings between these teams the home team is 4-0-1 ATS. Going back even further the Nets are 1-4 ATS in their last five games being played at Toronto.

The Nets are not a team that is going to light up the scoreboard with points. They average just 96.4 points per game when playing on the road while the defense is allowing 95.3 points per game. The numbers for Toronto are actually identical at 96.4 points per game at home and 95.3 allowed by the Raptors. Considering how evenly matched these teams are and that the last matchup was played at Brooklyn and decided by 7 points the change in venue should be more than enough to change the outcome of this game.

3* Total Dominator on Pacers UNDER

Indiana has failed to cover the spread in their last four games. They are 19-5 to the under when they have failed to cover 3 or more consecutive games over the last three seasons. The under is 5-2 in the Pacers last 7 games after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. That is a perfect fit for an under angle from the Knicks as they are 4-1 to the under in their last 5 games when their opponent scores 100 points or more in the previous game. The under is also 4-1 in New York

4* No Limit Play on Suns +

The Minnesota Timberwolves have a strong history of playing poorly against Pacific Division teams. They are 5-20 ATS in their last 25 home games against the Pacific Division over the least three seasons. Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in their last five games and they have given up an average of 102 points per game. They are playing a Suns team that has had trouble getting points on the board, but that will have no problem scoring points in today

3* No Doubt Rout on 76ers +

Philadelphia is the better team and even though they are playing on the road tonight, they are receiving too many points. You should always play against favorites like Washington when they are an extremely tired team playing their 5th game in 7 days and they are a bad team winning only 25-40% of their games playing another team with a losing record. This system is 61-29 (68%) since 1996.

The 76ers are coming off a shootout with Atlanta that ended with the Hawks picking up a 124-101 victory. Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when coming off a double digit loss at home and they are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 day of rest. They face a Wizards team that is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against Eastern Conference teams and 1-4 ATS after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. The 76ers also own the head to head history for these teams. They are 13-3-1 in the last 17 meetings and 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games played at Washington.

4* Heavy Hitter on Toronto Raptors -

The Bulls have a bad habit of playing down to their level of competition. They are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games against teams winning 40% or less of their games on the season and they are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 against any team with a losing record. They are also playing on back to back nights after picking up a 7 point win over the Knicks last night. At this point in the season those back to back games can take their toll on a team and the Bulls are in a perfect spot to look past the Raptors today.

This is a repeat game from just a few nights ago in which the Raptors traveled to Chicago and picked up a three point win straight up over the Bulls. A change in venue only makes the Raptors look even more favorable since they will be playing on their home court. The Bulls offense has struggled on the road this season averaging just 93.4 points per game. They face a Raptors team that is scoring 96.8 points per game while holding their opponents to 95.5 in home games.

5* Vegas Insider on Pacers -

The Nets have picked up two wins over the Pacers this season but we should see a completely different result tonight. In the last game between these teams the Pacers shot 34.4% from the field and 22.7% on three point attempts. That anomaly is very unlikely to take place again since the Pacers have averaged 43.6% shooting at home and the Brooklyn defense is not overly talented. You should always play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Pacers when they are playing in a double revenge situation following two straight losses to their opponent when that same opponent is coming off an upset win over a division rival. This system is 44-17 (72%) ATS.

The Pacers have are solid from their home court sitting on a 30-9 straight up record. They are playing with an extra day of rest over the Nets in today

4* Total Dominator on Bulls/Knicks UNDER

The Bulls beat New York back on January 11th as well as on December 21st this season. This matchup falls into a system to play the under when one of the teams, in this case it is New York, is revenging two consecutive straight up losses against an opponent as a favorite when they are a good team winning 60-57% of their games playing another team with a winning record. This system is 121-72 (63%) in favor of the under.

When playing at home the Bulls defense has held opponents to 90.3 points per game. Their offense has only scored slightly more than the defense is allowing at 92.8 points per game which indicates the slow pace of play for games played in Chicago. The Knicks offense has not done that well on the road averaging just 96.8 points per game and they have faced few defenses that are as tough and scrappy as this Bulls team.

Coach Tom Thibodeau for Chicago is 30-11 to the under after failing to cover three of their last four against the spread as the coach of Chicago. The Bulls have already gone under the total in four of their last five games. The Knicks should also be playing with a little more of a defensive effort after allowing the Bulls to score 108 points in their last game.

5* Total No Brainer on Spurs/Nuggets UNDER

This game falls into a system to play on the under when the total is 200 to 209.5 points and one team, in this matchup it is San Antonio, has gone under the total by 48 or more points in their last 10 games and they are winning 60-75% of their games on the season playing another team with a winning record. This system is 38-14 (73%) to the under throughout the last five seasons.

The Spurs are 6-0 to the under in their last 6 consecutive road games and they are 5-1 to the under when playing against teams winning 60% or more of their games on the season. They are facing a Nuggets team that is 5-1 to the under in their last 6 home games and 4-1 to the under at home against teams with a winning record on the road. These team specific trends are a combined 20-3 (87%) to the under this season.

San Antonio is very solid defensively and they have held opponents to an average of 96.2 points per game this season. They are playing exceptionally well lately holding opponents to just 92.2 points per game in their last 5 games. It is unfortunate for Spurs fans, but the offense is not performing well over that same time span. They are averaging that same 92.2 points per game offensively. They face a Denver defense that has held opponents to 97.7 points per game. The Spurs will be one of the better defensive units the Nuggets have faced on their home court so it is unlikely they will reach their typical scoring average which makes the under a no brainer in this game.

3* Oddsmakers Error on Kings -

New Orleans and Sacramento will battle it out as two of the worst teams in the league face off tonight. The home team laying the points is the smart play in this game as New Orleans has won a mere 11 games on the road this season. Sacramento is one game under .500 at home and it is because of their ability to score at will. The Kings average 104.1 points per game on their home court.

New Orleans is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games while Sacramento is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against teams winning 40% or less of their games on the season. The Kinds are also 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss. In the last 30 head to head meetings between these teams the home team has earned a 22-8 ATS record and in the last 7 the favorite is 5-2 ATS. All signs point to an easy Sacramento win in this game.

5* Vegas Insider on Golden State Warriors -

The Timberwolves are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 road games when playing against a team winning 60% or more of their home games this season. Golden State is an impressive 26-12 at home this year. The Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss and they are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games against a team with a losing straight up record. Minnesota is 29-47 this season and they are an embarrassingly bad 10-27 when playing on the road.

When playing at home the Warriors are scoring 101.4 points per game and holding opponents to 97.2 points per game. They should be able to beat their averages with ease against a Timberwolves team that allows 100.6 on the road while scoring only 95.2 points per game. The Warriors are hot coming into this game averaging 104.4 points per game in their last five games. They have shot just under 50% from the field while holding opponents to 45.6% shooting.

In the last matchup between these teams the Warriors picked up a one point win on the road at Minnesota. A change in venue should be more than enough to cover the -6.5 point line set for today

3* Bailout Blowout on Houston Rockets -

This matchup falls into a system to play on a good team like Houston that is outscoring their opponents by 3 or more points per game when they are coming off a blowout loss by 15 points or more. This system is 121-79 (61%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. This game falls into another system to play on favorites like Houston when they are an explosive offensive team averaging over 102 points per game after three or more consecutive games scoring 110 points or more against an average offensive team scoring 92-98 points per game. This system is 27-7 (79%) ATS over the last 5 seasons.

The Suns have not performed well against good shooting teams over the last 2 seasons as they have an 8-24 (75%) ATS record against teams making over 46% of their shots. Phoenix is one of the worst road teams in the league with a 7-30 straight up record and a defense that is allowing 105.7 points per game. That is a losing combination for Phoenix and should result in a big blowout win for the Rockets today. The last matchup between these teams being played at Houston was won by 30 points by the Rockets.

3* Oddsmakers Error on Washington Wizards +

The Knicks were in a shootout with the Thunder on Sunday in a game that ended with a 125-120 final score. This matchup falls into a system to play on underdogs of 10 or more points like Washington after a loss by 10 or more and playing against an opponent that is coming off a combined score of 215 points or more. This system is 114-72 (61.3%) since 1996.

The Knicks are not the Miami Heat so it is likely their win streak will come to an end soon. It may not happen in today's game against Washington, but this game should certainly end much closer than the 10 points we are receiving. They are facing a Washington team that has been undervalued on the road this season which has led to a winning ATS road record for the Wizards. Washington

3* Main Event on Michigan -

Louisville does not have a great history against Big Ten teams. They are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 against Big Ten opponents. Michigan on the other hand is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against Big East teams. The Wolverines have been undervalued throughout the NCAA Tournament which has led to a 5-0 ATS record in their last 5 games. Michigan is outscoring Louisville offensively this season averaging 75.2 points per game which is impressive coming from a Big Ten conference loaded with defensive talent.

Louisville is 0-6 ATS against teams shooting 48% or better this season and Michigan has averaged 48.3% in all games. Michigan has played extremely well in neutral court games this season as they have a 9-1 ATS record. The Wolverines defense has held opponents to 62.8 points per game. They also do a great job of avoiding turnovers which makes them a matchup nightmare for this Louisville team that thrives on forcing turnovers. Michigan averages just 9 per game and with Burke running the offense they should have no problem staying around that average against the Cardinals tonight.

3* Bailout Blowout on Portland +

The Mavericks are really struggling having lost two of their last three games. Portland is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 home games against teams winning 40% or less of their games on the road. Dallas is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game and they are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 following a straight up win. In head to head matchups between these teams the underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

Portland may not have a great overall record on the season, but they are a respectable 22-15 at home. The Trail Blazers average 99.8 points per game on their home court and they are a solid free throw shooting team at 78.2%. They face a Mavericks team that is allowing 103.5 points per game on the road and sitting on a 14-24 road record. Dallas is poor defensively when it comes for forcing turnovers too. The Mavericks average just 14 per game. Take the points, but the oddsmakers may have favored the wrong team in this matchup.

4* Heavy Hitter on Chicago Bulls -

Detroit has lost their last two games against Boston and Minnesota. This game falls into a system to play against underdogs like Detroit when they are revenging a loss against their opponent and they are off 2 road covers where the team lost straight up as an underdog. This system is 99-50 (66%) ATS.

This matchup falls into another system to play on road favorites like Chicago when they are a good ball handling team committing 14.5 or less turnovers per game playing against a poor pressure defense team forcing 14.5 or less turnovers and when they are holding opponents to 43.5% to 45.5% shooting against a poor defensive team like Detroit that is allowing 45.5% to 47.5% after 42 or more games. This system is 187-117 (62%) ATS since 1996.

3* Bailout Blowout on Syracuse +

The Orange have looked extremely impressive throughout the NCAA Tournament. Michigan on the other hand has had to overcome a couple very close games before beating Florida in their last matchup. The Big East is arguably the best defensive conference in college basketball this season and Syracuse is one of the best Big East teams. In their last five games, the Orange have held opponents to 52.2 points per game, a full 12 points lower than Michigan

5* Total Annihilator on Hawks/Spurs UNDER

The Hawks offense has been struggling on the road. They average 95.9 points per game and they will have their hands full against a San Antonio defense that has held opponents to 93.7 points per game at home. The Atlanta Hawks are 4-0 to the under in their last four games overall and they are 5-1 to the under following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. They are playing in a back to back situation which also favors the under at a rate of 10-3 the last 13 games playing with no rest.

The Spurs have also gone under the total in their last 4 games and they are 5-0 to the under in their last 5 games against Southeast division teams. San Antonio is 13-3 to the under in their last 16 games following a straight up loss this season. In head to head matchups between these teams the under is 5-1-1 in the last 7 games played at San Antonio. The Spurs defense has played extremely well at home. The offense has been struggling recently averaging only 93.2 points per game in their last five games. All signs point to this game ending with a low score.

5* Final Four Game of the Year on Louisville -

Louisville is one of the only teams left in the NCAA Tournament that has dominated every opponent they have faced. The Cardinals are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games and 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games against teams winning 60% or more of their games on the season. They are a well coached team which explains why they have an 8-1 ATS record in their last 9 NCAA Tournament games.

The Louisville defense is one of the best in college basketball holding opponents to 58.1 points per game while their offense scores 74.3 per game. That is a 16.2 point margin playing in the Big East which is arguably the first or second strongest conference in college basketball this year. The Cardinals defense gets a lot of points off of turnovers as they force an average of 19 per game.

Wichita State has had a nice run in the NCAA Tournament but they were playing in the West region which was hands down the least talented. The Shockers offense scores 69.8 points per game which ranks them 112th among division one teams. Their statistics were built on a season played against weak competition in the Missouri Valley Conference. The Cinderella Story for the Shockers was great, but reality will settle in when they face the overall top seed in the Tournament.

5* No Brainer on Phoenix Suns +

Golden State is coming into this game with a 3-10 ATS record in their last 13 road games and a 3-8 ATS record in their last 11 games following a straight up win. Golden State is also 0-9 ATS in road games after covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games this season. The Golden State defense has been the biggest problem when playing on the road. The Warriors are allowing 102.8 points per game while averaging 99.9 in scoring.

In head to head meetings between these teams the home team is 6-2 over the last 8 games. The Warriors have not won more than two consecutive games since February and their poor play on the road may prevent them from picking up that third win today. Phoenix has held opponents to 97.1 points per game and they have covered two of their last three games when playing at home.

In the last matchup between these teams the Warriors pulled off a 10 point victory on their home court. Considering we have a change in venue and the oddsmakers have left the line the same the Suns have become the value play in this rematch. Phoenix shot 53% from the three point line in the last game and the soft Golden State defense playing on the road should make for an easy cover for the Suns.

3* Oddsmakers Error on Milwaukee Bucks +

Milwaukee has a history of playing in close games against Atlantic Division teams. They are 47-18 ATS in their last 65 against Atlantic teams. In head to head history between these teams the Bucks own a 7-2 ATS record in the last 9 games played at New York. The Knicks have allowed 48.5% and 50% shooting in their last two games so they are trending in the wrong direction.

The Milwaukee offense has played well this season averaging 99.2 points per game. They are a good rebounding team pulling in 52 boards per game against a Knicks team averaging only 48 rebounds per game at home. The Bucks also have an advantage when it comes to assists, blocks and avoiding foul trouble. They are getting too many points today in what should be a very close game.

3* Total Dominator on Santa Clara UNDER

The last game between these teams being played at George Mason gave us a combined total of 139 points. The only reason the first game of this three game series went over the total is because Santa Clara shot 42% on three point attempts and over 80% from the free throw line. The Broncos have averaged 36.2% from three point range and 72.7% from the free throw line. The anomaly of 42% is unlikely to occur in today

3* Oddsmakers Error on Dallas +

The Mavericks are coming off a tough loss to the Lakers, scoring only 81 points in that game. They have had a day of rest coming into today

3* Main Event on Iowa -

Iowa is 14-1 (93%) ATS when playing against a team winning 60% to 80% of their games this season. Iowa has been undervalued most of the season which has led to an overall 24-9 ATS record. They are 11-6 ATS when playing away from home this season and the Hawkeyes defense has held opponents to 62.5 points per game. Baylor has not faced a tough Big Ten team like Iowa and that makes the Hawkeyes the smart play in this game.

Iowa has faced much tougher opponents than Baylor all season in the Big Ten. They had wins over many of the Big Ten teams that made the NCAA tournament. They are a young team but have improved each week and they are playing some great basketball right now. Baylor

5* Total No Brainer on Hornets/Warriors UNDER

Golden State has gone under the total in five of their last seven games. They are 5-0 to the under in their last 5 games against Southwest Division teams and they are 4-1 to the under in their last 5 games against teams winning 40% or less of their games on the season. They are well rested coming into this game so there should not be any tired legs on the defensive end of the court.

The Hornets are 7-3 to the under in their last 10 games when playing on 2 days of rest. The extra rest for both teams should help improve their defensive numbers. Golden State is allowing 97.4 points per game at home while New Orleans is allowing 97.6 points per game. The Hornets defense has been better in their last five games holding opponents to 94.8 per game.

The style of play from these teams indicates this game should be low scoring. The last time these teams met was back on March 18th and the total was 196 points with the teams scoring a combined 165 points in a 93-72 game. Both teams are playing well right now with the Hornets winning four of their last six and Golden State winning five of their last seven. These recent win streaks have been because of solid defensive performances.

3* Bailout Blowout on Jazz -

Denver is coming off a home game against Brooklyn in which they were outrebounded by 19 boards. The Nuggets pulled off the win because they shot 57% from the field but that is not likely to happen again today when they play at Utah. This matchup falls into a system to play against underdogs like Denver when they are 3+ on rebounding margin and coming off a game where they were outrebounded by their opponent by 15 or more boards. This system is 51-21 (71%) ATS.

The Jazz have one of the best home court advantages in the NBA with a 28-9 straight up record and a 23-13 ATS record. They are averaging 100.9 points per game at home while holding opponents to 95 points per game. Denver may be scoring 103.4 points per game on the road, but their defense is allowing 104.4 per game. You can

3* No Doubt Rout on Celtics -

Boston is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games against teams winning 40% or less of their road games. They are also 12-2 ATS in their last 14 home games overall. They are facing a Detroit team that is having a horrible season with a 25-50 record.

The Celtics have struggled recently and a game against this soft Detroit team is just what they need to bounce back. Boston has a 25-11 overall record at home while Detroit is 10-28 when playing on the road. The Pistons are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against Atlantic Division teams and they are 0-5 ATS following a straight up win.

3* Oddsmakers Error on Hawks -

The Atlanta Hawks are 16-6-1 ATS in their last 23 games when playing on 1 day of rest. They have a great home record at 24-13 straight up and average 99.9 points per game on their home court. The Knicks are averaging 96.1 points per game on the road and allowing 96.6 on the defensive end. Obviously, anytime your defense is allowing more points than you are scoring it is a recipe for disaster.

These teams last met on January 27th in New York with the Knicks squeaking out a 2 point win over the Hawks. A change in venue should be more than enough to change the end result of this game. New York is suffering through a lot of injuries right now so it looks as though their 9 game win streak will come to an end tonight against this solid Atlanta Hawks team.

3* No Doubt Rout on Raptors -

The Raptors do a great job of limiting turnovers averaging only 13 per game. Washington is 17-34 ATS in road games when playing against good ball handling teams that are committing 14 or less turnovers per game over the last 3 seasons. The Raptors are 17-8 ATS in their last 25 games against teams winning 40% or less of their games on the season.

We are getting some added value here because Washington has played well recently which forced the oddsmakers to make this line a little smaller than it should be. Washington is 7-29 on the road this season and they are playing on back to back nights. Playing in back to back games is tough enough at this point in the season but playing that second leg on the road makes things even tougher. This should be a blowout win for the Raptors.

3* Total Annihilator on Santa Clara UNDER

The under is clearly the value play in this game. The last matchup between these teams was played at Santa Clara where the Broncos offense averages over 75 points per game. Round two of this matchup is being played on George Mason

3* No Doubt Rout on Wizards -

The last time these teams played in January the Bulls managed only 73 points as Washington won in a blowout. You should always play against underdogs like Chicago when they are revenging a loss where they scored 75 points or less and they have a 45-55% win percentage on the season. This system is 100-57 (64%) ATS.

The Bulls defense has struggled on the road allowing 95 points per game while forcing only 13 turnovers per game. They now face a Wizards team that is 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games against teams with a winning road record. Washington is a respectable 24-13 (65%) ATS on their home court this season.

The Bulls are beat up with injuries right now. They squeaked off a one point victory over a horrible Detroit team on Sunday after a straight up loss to Dallas on Saturday. The Bulls are trending in the wrong direction making the Wizards the smart play in today

3* Main Event on BYU +

BYU is coming off a 17 point win on the road against Southern Miss. This matchup falls into a system to play on an underdog like BYU when they are scoring 74-78 points per game playing a team that has held opponents to 63-67 points per game after 15 or more games in the season and when that underdog is coming off a win by 15 points or more. This system is 38-19 (67%) over the last 5 seasons.

There are few teams in college basketball that can compete with BYU offensively. The Cougars are averaging 77.3 points per game which ranks them 10th among all division one teams. They are also a great rebounding team averaging 38.8 boards per game while allowing their opponents only 31.6 per game.

Considering how well this BYU team rebounds the ball, and that they are one of the best shooting teams in college, it seems the oddsmakers may have favored the wrong team. Baylor is horrible defensively and if they are getting outrebounded and unable to force turnovers we have a potential Cougars blowout in the making. The Baylor offense is one of the few teams that can come close to keeping pace with the Cougars so we will still take the points.

3* Bailout Blowout on Clippers -

The Pacers are playing their 9th game in the last two weeks. You should always play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Indiana when they have won four of their last five games but they are a tired team playing 8 or more games in the last 14 days. This system is 69-41 (63%) ATS over the last five seasons.

Los Angeles is coming off an 81 point performance on the road against Houston so a home game is just what the Clippers need to turn things around. This game falls into another system to play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Clippers when they are scoring 98 to 102 points per game against a team averaging 92 to 98 points per game after scoring 85 points or less in their last game. This system is 33-11 (75%) ATS over the last five seasons.

The Pacers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record and they are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against NBA Pacific. The Clippers on the other hand are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 against Central division teams and they are 4-0 ATS in home games against teams with a losing road record. The Clippers should have a big game against a Pacers team that struggles on the road.

3* Total DOMINATOR on George Mason UNDER

The Santa Clara Broncos are 4-1 to the under in their last 5 home games. They will have their hands full when they take on this George Mason defense that has held opponents to 65.1 points per game this season. George Mason is also one of the few teams who has performed better defensively on the road than they have on their home court.

Santa Clara beat Purdue and Wright State on the road as an underdog. You should always play the under when the total is between 140 and 149.5 and one of the teams is coming off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog. This system is 83-45 (65%) to the under over the last five seasons.

Teams that get hot shooting will eventually have an off night. Santa Clara is no different which is why you should play the under when the total is between 140 to 149.5 points and they are shooting 36.5% or more on three point attempts and have played three straight games shooting over 47% playing against a team holding opponents to 32-36.5% on three point attempts. This system is 216-137 (61.2%) to the under since 1997.

4* No Limit on Bobcats +

Milwaukee is ice cold losing five of their last six games and allowing 100 points or more in five consecutive games. You should always play on underdogs of 10 points or more like Charlotte when they are allowing 103 or more points per game on the season and playing against an opponent coming off a combined score of 205 points or more in 2 straight games. This system is 49-21 (70%) ATS.

Charlotte has covered their last three consecutive games against the spread and they have covered five of their last seven going back to the middle of March. The oddsmakers have still not given them the respect they have earned since they come into this game as a double digit dog against a very poor Milwaukee team.

Milwaukee Head Coach Jim Boylan is 0-8 ATS against Southeast Division opponents and he is 8-20 ATS in the second half of the season as the coach of the Bucks. Boylan has proven he is taking this Milwaukee team in the wrong direction. With how bad the Bucks have been playing there is no reason they should be a double digit favorite over anyone.

4* No Brainer on Spurs -

San Antonio has one of the best home court advantages in the league. The Spurs are 32-4 straight up at home and average 105.6 points per game while allowing only 94.2 points per game. They are one of the few teams in the league shooting over 50% from the field and almost 40% on three point attempts.

The Spurs are 9-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. The Heat on the other hand are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games when their opponent is coming off a game where they scored 100 points or more. In head to head meetings between these teams Miami is 2-5 ATS in the last 7 games.

The Heat may get all the publicity for their long win streak but the reality is, San Antonio has only 2 more losses than the Heat do this season. The Spurs have won 10 of their last 11 games when playing in San Antonio. With the Spurs having such a great home court advantage these teams will only be one game apart after today

3* No Doubt Rout on Duke +

Louisville has been hot and that may have this line slightly inflated considering how evenly matched these teams are. You should always play on a team like Duke after going under the total by 48 points or more in their last 7 games when they are playing in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1 conferences. This system is 41-15 (73%) over the last five seasons.

Duke is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 neutral court games. Their offense averages 77.6 points per game which outpaces Louisville by 3.6 per game. The defensive differences between these teams are a bit misleading. The ACC is stacked with offensive talent while the Big East was not.

This game falls into another system to play against a favorite like Louisville after 9 or more consecutive wins when they are a top level team winning 80% or more of their games on the season. This system is 349-250 (58%) ATS over the last five seasons. The recent success for Louisville has driven this line up higher than it should be for two very evenly matched teams.

4* Elite 8 Game of the Year on Michigan +

The Michigan Wolverines proved in their win over Kansas that they are a team that never gives up. They face a Florida team that has not earned their way into the Elite 8 this season. They had the softest schedule coming into the Elite 8 and they had a very soft schedule in SEC play all season.

Michigan is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 NCAA Tournament games. They are also 5-1 in their last 6 non-conference games too. Florida on the other hand is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with a winning record and they are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.

The Michigan offense is in a completely different class over Florida. They average 75.4 points per game playing in the Big Ten Conference which is arguably the best defensive conference in college basketball. The Gators average 71.7 per game against soft SEC opponents.

4* Total Annihilator on Nets/Jazz OVER

Brooklyn has gone over the total in six of their last seven road games. They are also 5-1 to the over against Western Conference Teams and 4-1 to the over when playing on 0 days of rest. The Jazz are also a team that trends to the over when playing without rest as they are 5-1 the last six games played without getting a day off.

The Jazz have a great home court advantage and that has helped their offense shine when playing in Utah. They are averaging 100.1 points per game at home while their defense is allowing an average of 98.6 points per game. Brooklyn is a solid offensive team and should not have a problem going above their 96.1 point per game average against the weak Jazz defense. With both of these teams playing without rest we have a matchup that is sure to be light on defense which should push this game above the total.

4* Vegas Insider on Thunder -

The Bucks have had a very busy schedule the past few days. You should always play against the home team when they are playing their third game in four days and they are coming off a game in which they scored and allowed over 100 points. This system is 77-40 (66%) ATS over the last five seasons.

You should always play on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like OKC when they are an excellent offensive team averaging 102 points per game or more and playing against a poor defensive team allowing 98-102 points per game after 42 or more games in the season. This system is 46-19 (71%) ATS over the last five seasons.

The Thunder are in the perfect situation to have a big game. They are coming off an upset loss to Minnesota and facing a Milwaukee team that has lost four of their last five games. The Thunder offense has been almost unstoppable this season averaging 106 points per game and they have the luxury of facing one of the worst home defenses in the league.

3* Total No Brainer on Clippers/Rockets UNDER

The Rockets are playing solid defense right now holding opponents to 94.8 points per game in their last five games. This matchup falls into a system to play on the under when the total is between 200 to 209.5 points and there is a well-rested team like Houston playing 4 or less games in 10 days and they are winning 51-60% of their games and playing another team with a winning record. This system is 50-16 (76%) to the under over the last five seasons.

The Clippers defense has been solid all season holding opponents to 94.3 points per game. They should have no problem keeping Houston in line considering Los Angeles is one of the best teams in the league. The Rockets are 29-13 to the under when the total is set between 200 to 209.5 over the last two seasons. With the Rockets playing solid defense and going up against one of the best teams in the league this game should have no problem staying under the total.

3* No Doubt Rout on Grizzlies -

This is Minnesota

3* Total Dominator on Grizzlies/TWolves OVER

Both of these teams have played a lot of games recently and the first thing tired teams give up on is defense. Minnesota has scored over 100 points in four of their last five games while the Grizzlies have gone over the total in their last four consecutive games. Neither team has a good defense to begin with and the fact that they are both playing tired should make the over an easy cover.

This game falls into a system to play on the over when the total is 180 to 189.5 points and the home team is making 33% or less of their three point attempts and playing on a Saturday game. This system is 47-25 (65%) over the last five seasons. Minnesota is also 4-1 to the over in their last five games after scoring 100 points or more in the previous game.

3* Main Event on Wichita State +

Ohio State has been very lucky to advance this far in the NCAA Tournament and they have been involved in some very close games. Last second three point attempts have saved the Buckeyes but their luck may be running out when they face this undervalued Wichita State team. You should always play against neutral court teams like Ohio State after two straight games making 50% or more of their 3 point shot attempts in a game involving two teams shooting 69-73% from the free throw line. This system is 25-4 (86%) ATS.

There has been a lot of talk about how strong the Big Ten conference is defensively. Well Wichita State is not far behind. The Shockers have held opponents to 60.7 points per game on 39.6% shooting from the field. They are +8 in the rebounding margin and play just as well on the road as they do at home with a 15-6 road record. Offensively the Shockers average 69.8 points per game which is right in line with Ohio State.

Wichita State has not allowed above 36% shooting during the NCAA Tournament while Ohio State has played back to back games allowing 44.2%. The Buckeyes cannot continue to play so poor defensively because there is no way they can continue shooting at the pace they have in their last two games. This game could be an upset in the making, but definitely take the points.

3* Total Dominator on Evansville/East Carolina UNDER

East Carolina has won their last three home games coming into this matchup and all three have gone under the total. This game falls into a system to play the under when the home team is off three or more consecutive home wins and they are a good team winning 60-80% of their games playing against an opponent that is winning 51-60% of their games. This system is 45-14 (76%) in favor of the under.

Evansville has had a three day break coming into this game and they were definitely making defensive adjustments after allowing over 50% shooting in their last two games. This matchup falls into another system to play on the under when the road team has allowed 50% shooting or more in their last two games and they are shooting above 36.5% on three point attempts and playing against a team holding opponents to 32-36.5% shooting on three point shots. This system is 51-24 (68%) to the under over the last five seasons.

3* No Doubt Rout on Duke -

Duke is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 neutral court games. The Big Ten may be the conference with the most ranked teams, but the ACC could certainly make an argument for the most potent offensive teams. Duke is averaging 77.8 points per game this season shooting 47.7% from the field and over 40% from beyond the three point line. They do an excellent job of avoiding turnovers averaging just 11 per game compared to 14 by Michigan State.

Keith Appling is the best player on Michigan State

4* Heavy Hitter on Nuggets -

Brooklyn is an overrated team. They have not performed well against good teams and that has led to a 4-9 ATS record in their last 13 games against teams with a winning record. They are 2-7 ATS in their last 7 games against teams winning 60% or more of their games. The Nuggets on the other hand are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games against teams with a winning record and 14-4 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

The Nets are playing their 6th game of an 8 game road stretch against Denver tonight. They are trending in the wrong direction going from an average shooting percentage of 52.4% in their first two games to barely over 45% in their last three games. The Nets were allowing opponents an average of 41 rebounds per game and they have now allowed an average of 53 in their last two games.

The Nuggets won 15 consecutive games before dropping back to back games on the road against New Orleans and San Antonio. They have had a day of rest and now have the luxury of playing on their home court where they have earned a 32-3 record. All signs point to Denver getting right back to their winning ways with a blowout win over Brooklyn.

3* No Doubt Rout on Thunder -

This matchup falls into a system to play on road favorites like Oklahoma City when they are coming off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more. This system is 70-26 (73%) over the last five seasons. That system tights up to 31-8 (80%) ATS over the last five seasons when the road favorite is playing against a home team coming off a home loss.

The Thunder are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games against teams with a losing record and they are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 when that team is winning less than 40% of their games. Conversely, the Timberwolves are 3-12 ATS in their last 16 games against a team winning 60% or more of their games. Minnesota is also 2-12 ATS against Northwest Division teams.

The Thunder are one of the best teams in the league and they are hot covering double digit spreads in two of their last three games. They are facing a Minnesota team that has lost four of their last six games and they are one of the few teams in the league below .500 on their home court.

3* Total Annihilator on Hawks/Celtics OVER

Atlanta

3* Oddsmakers Error on Michigan +

The Wolverines are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games against Big 12 teams and they are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games played on a neutral court. Michigan also has a history of success in the NCAA Tournament with a 4-1 ATS record in their last five games. Kansas has struggled against Big Ten opponents as they have a 4-12 ATS record in their last 16 against the conference.

When teams hit big win streaks the oddsmakers are forced to drive the lines up on that team to ensure even action. This seems to be the care in today

3* Bailout Blowout Phoenix Suns +

The Kings should not be favored on the road against anyone. They are coming off an upset win over Golden State and playing on back to back nights now traveling to Phoenix. This puts Sacramento in the perfect spot for a letdown game.

The Kings are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games coming off a straight up win and they are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a losing record. The Suns also own the head to head history between these teams with a 10-2 ATS record on the last 12 meetings in Phoenix and 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings overall.

Sacramento has one of the worst road defenses in the league allowing 105 points per game on 47.5% shooting. They have won only 7 games away from home out of 37 total games. In Sacramento

3* Main Event on Indiana -

Based on what we have seen in the NCAA Tournament so far, it is obvious the Big Ten is the power conference. The Indiana Hoosiers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Big East opponents and they are 16-6 in their last 22 non-conference games. Syracuse on the other hand is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against Big Ten opponents.

Indiana is a great rebounding team. They average 38 boards per game while allowing their opponents to pull in only 31 per game. Syracuse is 0-8 ATS over the last two seasons against dominant rebounding teams that are outrebounding their opponents by 7 or more boards per game. The Hoosiers play well when they are getting a lot of games in. They are 7-1 ATS when playing their 3rd game in a week this season.

Indiana

3* No Doubt Rout on Santa Clara +

Santa Clara is the better team in this matchup and they are solid when playing on the road. The Broncos average 74.1 points per game this season compared to 61.8 for Wright State. The Broncos are winning the rebounding, turnover and shooting percentage margins too.

Santa Clara is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games and they are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 road games against teams with a winning home record. The Wright State Raiders are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games against teams with a winning road record. Wright State

5* NIT Game of the Year on Providence +

Baylor

4* Heavy Hitter on Lakers -

The Timberwolves are playing in a back to back situation traveling from Detroit last night. You should always play against home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Minnesota when they are an extremely tired team playing their 5th game in 7 days and they are a bad team winning 25-40% of their games on the season. This system is 58-25 (70%) since 1996.

The last time these teams played the Lakers handed the TWolves a 116-94 beat down. This game also falls into a system to play against home teams revenging a loss where the opponent scored 110 points or more and that home team is playing on back to back days. This system is 104-50 (68%) over the last five seasons.

3* Oddsmakers Error on BYU +

BYU is coming off a confidence boosting pounding of Mercer earlier this week. You should always play on an underdog like BYU when they are coming off a win by 15 points or more and they are averaging 74-78 points per game and playing against a team with a defense that allows 63-67 points per game. This system is 74-44 (63%) over the last five seasons.

BYU is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games against teams with a winning record and they are 4-0 when playing against Conference USA teams. They play well against good teams too. The Cougars are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games against teams winning 60% or more of their games. Southern Miss on the other hand is 2-8-1 in their last 11 games against teams winning 60% or more of their games.

Both of these teams are solid on the offensive and defensive end of the court. The Cougars have an advantage when it comes to turnovers. They are averaging only 12 per game compared to 15 by the Golden Eagles. The Cougars are also a better rebounding team averaging 39 per game compared to only 36 for Southern Miss. This is too many points for the Cougars to be receiving against a team they matchup so well against.

5* Vegas Insider on Grizzlies +

The Knicks have been plagued by injuries in the second half of the season. Tonight they face a tough Memphis team that is coming off an embarrassing loss to Washington. The Grizzlies should be set for a big game against the Knicks since they are the more rested team as New York is playing in a back to back traveling from Boston last night. You should always play against teams like New York when they are revenging a loss of 10 points or more and their opponent is coming off a road loss and the line is between +3 to -3. This system is 109-64 (63%) over the last five seasons.

You should also play on road teams like Memphis when they were beaten by the spread by more than 18 points in their last game and they are a good team winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season. This system is 55-35 (61%) over the last five seasons. Memphis has a better ATS record on the road at 20-14 than the Knicks do at home with a 19-15 ATS record. The Grizzlies defense has been solid on the road holding opponents to 89.7 points per game. They should have no problem picking up a win over New York tonight.

3* Total No Brainer on Bucks/76ers OVER

Both of these teams have been playing horrible defense recently. In their last five games the Bucks have allowed 101.6 points per game on 48.1% shooting and the 76ers have allowed 102.4 points per game on 48.2% shooting. You should always play on the over when the total is 190 to 199.5 points and the road team has allowed 100 points or more in 2 straight games playing against an opponent that allowed 105 points or more in their previous game. This system is 188-124 (60%) since 1996.

Milwaukee is 5-2 to the over in their last 7 games against teams winning 40% or less of their games and they are 7-3 to the over in their last 10 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. The 79ers are 4-0 to the over in their last 4 home games against teams with a losing record and 5-1 in their last 6 home games overall. With both of these defenses struggling the way they are this game should have no problem going over the total.

3* Oddsmakers Error on Bradley +

This is a rematch from a February 10th game in which Northern Iowa won by three points. You should always play on underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points like Bradley when they are revenging a home loss against an opponent and they are winning 51-60% of their games on the season playing another team with a winning record. This system is 116-52 (65%) over the last five seasons.

Bradley has played well against winning teams. They are 401 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning straight up record. They are also 6-2-1 in their last 9 road games following three or more consecutive home games so they should have no problem playing at Northern Iowa today. The Panthers have been struggling recently. They are 3-3 in their last six games and 1-5 ATS in that span playing some pretty bad teams. They are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games against teams with a losing road record.

These teams are pretty even from a statistical standpoint. Both of them average 65-68 points per game, they both do a good job of controlling turnovers and neither team is great at rebounding. Considering the last game was decided by a mere three points the line today seems excessive making Bradley the value play.

3* Total Dominator on Twolves/Pistons OVER

Both of these teams are bad defensively. You should always play on the over when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points in a game involving two poor defensive teams allowing 45.5-47.5% shooting and two average rebounding teams after 42 or more games in the season. This system is 222-146 (60.3%) since 1996.

The over is 7-2 in Minnesota

3* No Doubt Rout on 76ers +

The Jazz are struggling right now having lost their last four games and traveling from Dallas after last night

3* Main Event on Oral Roberts -

Oral Roberts is shooting 46.2% from the field this season, but they are shooting 48% when playing on their home court. You should always play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Oral Roberts when they are shooting between 45-47.5% and playing against a defense allowing 40% or less in a game involving two teams committing 14.5 or less turnovers per game after 15 or more games. This system is 72-33 (69%) over the last 5 seasons.

The Oral Roberts defense is much better than UC Irvine's. They are holding opponents to 63.5 points per game at home while UC Irvine is allowing 68.4 points per game on the road. The Golden Eagles also have an offensive advantage. They are scoring 73.9 points per game at home while UC Irvine is averaging only 66.4 points per game on the road. The Golden Eagles are shooting 74% from the free throw line compared to only 66.7% from UC Irvine. Overall Oral Roberts is just a much better team and they should have no problem covering such a small number tonight.

3* Oddsmakers Error on Pacers -

The Pacers have won three of their last four games and they are playing at home where they own a 28-8 record. They are facing an Atlanta team that is playing in a back to back situation traveling from Milwaukee last night. This is the second leg of a four game road stretch for Atlanta so the Hawks should look a bit sluggish in today

3* No Doubt Rout on Duke -

This is a Duke team that almost always plays well in tournament matchups. The Blue Devils are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 neutral court games. Creighton on the other hand has a history of struggling in the NCAA Tournament with a 1-5 ATS record in their last 6 NCAA Tournament games.

The Blue Devils lost to Maryland in the ACC Tournament and they had an underwhelming performance against Albany in the opening round of the NCAA Tournament. It appears the oddsmakers have may have over adjusted for today's matchup against Creighton. Duke is 9-2 ATS after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread this season.

Creighton's soft schedule in the Missouri Valley Conference will not have them prepared for this game against Duke. The Bluejay's defense looks good statistically because of the poor competition they have faced. Duke has put up an average of 78.1 points per game and their scoring potential is something Creighton has not seen this season.

3* Oddsmakers Error on Philadelphia 76ers +

The 76ers have lost their last two games but it has not been because they are playing bad. In the loss against Denver the 76ers shot 55.1% from the field and still came up just one point shy. You should always play against home favorites like Sacramento when they are revenging a loss where they scored less than 85 points and their opponent is coming off two or more road losses. This system is 92-49 (65%) since 1996.

Sacramento

3* Total No Brainer on Bucks/Hawks UNDER

Atlanta has gone under the total in their last two games while Milwaukee has gone under in their last three. You should always play on the under when the total is between 200 to 209.5 and the home team has gone under the total by 30 points or more in their last three games. This system is 124-75 (62%) over the last five seasons.

This matchup falls into another system to play on the under. You should take the under when the total is 200 points or more and one of the teams has been beaten by the spread by 18 points or more in their last game, like Atlanta, and when they are playing against an opponent that has gone under the total by 30 or more points in the last three games. This system is 29-9 (76%) over the last five seasons.

Milwaukee is 11-2 to the under when playing 8 or more games in 14 days this season. The Bucks are the only real scoring threat in this game as they average 100 points per game at home. They seem to be in a shooting rout right now averaging 34% from the field in their last two games so it seems unlikely they will be able to match that home scoring average in today

3* No Doubt Rout on Brooklyn Nets +

The Brooklyn Nets are a good team and they are a solid 4 games above .500 when playing on the road this season. The Nets are on fire coming into this game winning their last two and scoring an average of 116 points in those games. You should always play on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points when they are scoring 92-98 points per game on the season after 42 or more games and coming off two straight games scoring 110 points or more when they are playing against an average defensive team allowing 92-98 points per game. This system is 23-5 (82%) ATS!

You should also play on any team that has gone over the total by more than 6 points in four consecutive games like Brooklyn when they are playing in a non-conference matchup. This system is 114-69 (62%) since 1996. Brooklyn

3* Total Dominator on Nuggets/Kings UNDER

This total is set much higher than it should be. You should always play on the under when the game involves a team like Denver that is averaging 71% or less on free throws and 46% shooting or better from the field. This system is 139-101 (58%) over the last five seasons. The Nuggets are a poor free throw shooting team averaging only 69.6% so they will not be adding a lot of points when the clock is stopped.

Sacramento

3* No Doubt Rout on Wichita State +

Gonzaga has been on quite a tear recently, but they have played a soft schedule throughout the season. They will have their hands full when they face a physical Wichita State team. You should always play against favorites like Gonzaga after 9 or more consecutive wins when that team has won 80% or more of their games on the season. This system is 346-249 (58%) over the last five seasons.

The proof is in the numbers when it comes to Gonzaga being an overrated team. They are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games. They almost lost to Southern, a team they were favored to beat by 22 points. Gonzaga is not a very physical team which is why they stay out of foul trouble. There are times when that style of play is fine, but against Wichita State it will not work. Head Coach Gregg Marshall is 11-3 against teams who are called for 3+ less fouls per game than their opponents as the coach of Wichita State. The physical play of the Shockers could end up giving the Bulldogs a bit of a shock today.

5* No Brainer of the Year on Michigan -

The Michigan Wolverines are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral court games. They are facing a VCU team that has been a bit inconsistent against the spread. The Rams are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win and they are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games against teams with a winning record.

The high pressure style of play the VCU Rams use will not work against a top tier team like Michigan. The Wolverines average a mere 9 turnovers per game and if VCU can

3* Oddsmakers Error on Minnesota -

Minnesota played in the toughest conference in college basketball this season and that should have them prepared for a big game against UCLA. You should play on a team like Minnesota after going under the total by 48 or more points in their last seven games and they are playing in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1 conferences. This angle is 37-13 (74%) over the last 5 seasons.

This is a Minnesota team that started the season with a 13-1 non-conference record. In conference play they picked up wins over Michigan State, Illinois, Wisconsin and Indiana, all teams that are substantially better than UCLA. Strength of schedule is heavily in favor of the Golden Gophers.

UCLA

3* No Doubt Rout on Iowa State +

Notre Dame has a history of under performing in the NCAA Tournament. The Fighting Irish are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 NCAA Tournament games. They are in for some trouble today when they face one of the most underrated teams coming out of the Big 12.

Iowa State is coming off a loss to Kansas in the big 12 conference tournament. The Cyclones are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight up loss. Iowa State averages 79.6 points per game and they are one of the most dangerous teams in college basketball is they get hot from beyond the three point line.

Notre Dame does not run a pressure defense which suits Iowa State

3* Total Dominator on Cavs/Rockets UNDER

Cleveland is coming off a close loss to Miami and their defense looked impressive in that game. You should play the under when the total is 210 points or more and a team is revenging a same season loss like Cleveland and they are off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog. This system is 50-27 (65%) over the last five seasons.

This matchup falls into another system to play the under when the total is greater than 210 points and one of the teams, in this case Houston, has been beaten by the spread by 18 or more points in their last three games playing against an opponent that has gone over the total by 18 or more points in the last three games. This system is 113-82 (62%) in favor of the under.

The Cavaliers are going to need to score over 100 points for this game to go over the total. That is a feat they have accomplished only 2 times in their last 10 games. It seems very unlikely they will be able to do it against this Houston team that has gone under the total in six of their last seven games.

3* Total No Brainer on Heat/Pistons OVER

You should always play on the over in a game involving a team that has 7 or more consecutive wins and they have won 75% or more of their games on the season playing a team with a losing record. This system is 110-70 (61.1%) to the over. When that team is off 8 or more consecutive wins, that system tightens up to 82-52 in favor of the over.

Detroit may not have a great overall record but they can still get a lot of points on the board. The Pistons have gone over the total in five of their last six games. Their defense is allowing 101.6 points per game on the road which has been a big factor in this recent stretch of overs, but the offense has been performing well too averaging over 95 points per game in three of their last five games.

3* No Doubt Rout Syracuse -

You should always play against a team like Montana when they have covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, and they have won 80% or more of their games playing against an opponent that has won 60% to 80% of their games on the season. This system is 124-76 (62%) over the last 5 seasons. Syracuse will be, without a doubt, the toughest team Montana has faced this season. Montana

5* NCAA Tournament GOY on Colorado State +

Missouri has struggled in the second half of the season. They have lost two of their last three games coming into this matchup against Colorado State. The Tigers are 1-7 when playing against a team winning 60% to 80% of their games after the 15 game point in the season.

Colorado State returned four starters from last season compared to only one from Missouri. That kind of experience will be huge in the biggest game these teams have played this season. The Rams also have an advantage on defense, holding opponents to 62.9 points per game.

Colorado State

3* NBA Main Event on Bulls -

This game galls into a system to play on an average defensive team allowing 92-98 points per game like Chicago when they are playing a poor defensive team allowing 98-102 points per game after 42 or more games in the season and coming off two games with a combined score of 205 points or more. This system is 113-63 (64%) since 1996.

Portland has really struggled on the road this season. They have a 9-25 straight up record and a 13-20 record against the spread. The reason they have been unsuccessful on the road is because of their defense. Portland is allowing 102.1 points per game and 48.1% shooting from the field.

The Portland offense has been average at best on the road scoring 95.8 points per game. They now face a Bulls team that is holding opponents to 89.7 points per game at home. Chicago is the better team overall and playing at home should make it easy for the Bulls to cover the number today.

3* Oddsmakers Error on Michigan -

You should always play on neutral court teams as a favorite or pick like Michigan after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers against an opponent coming off a game committing 8 or less turnovers. This angle is 73-36 (67%) since 1997. Michigan certainly has the better defense between these teams as they have held opponents to 62.9 points per game. The scrappy play by the Wolverines will force South Dakota State to make bad decisions.

When it comes to coaching, Michigan has a huge advantage in this game. John Beilein is 20-7 ATS in post-season tournament game in all games he has coached since 1997. This is a coach that knows how to prepare for a big game and he will certainly have his Wolverines ready for South Dakota State.

The Big 10 is arguably the toughest conference in college basketball. The strength of schedule played by Michigan will have the Wolverines ready to dominate their weaker opponent. In the NCAA Tournament good teams never let off the gas so this game will turn into a blowout.

3* No Doubt Rout on Marquette -

Davidson has played so well lately that the oddsmakers were forced to put out a tight line on this game. The problem is the fact that Davidson has played such a soft schedule it has skewed their statistics. You should play against a team like Davidson after four games shooting 47% or better in a game involving two teams taking less than 55 attempts per game after 15 or more games in the season. This system is 66-37 (64%) over the last 5 seasons.

The style of play from Davidson is a perfect matchup for Marquette to get a big win. Marquette is 21-9 ATS against defensive teams allowing a shooting percentage of 42% or less after 15 or more games over the last two seasons. Marquette

3* Main Event on Long Beach State +

The confidence for these Baylor players has to be at a season low. The Bears have lost 9 of their last 13 games. Long Beach State has had a slightly better finish to their regular season winning 8 of their last 13 games. They are coming off a tough loss to UC-Irvine. You should always play on road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points like Long Beach State when they are off an upset loss as a favorite, playing only their 3rd game in a week. This system is 134-83 (62%) since 1997.

Baylor has not been very consistent in recent years. They are 3-12 ATS after covering two of their last three games over the last two seasons. Long Beach State is playing well even though they lost in their last game. They have averaged just under 50% shooting from the field in their last two games and they have held their opponents to under 30 rebounds while collecting an average of 38.5 of their own. Baylor is coming off a 36.7% shooting performance against Oklahoma State and they have allowed over 45% shooting in two of their last three games. This double digit line is too many points for such an inconsistent Baylor team to cover against Long Beach State.

3* Oddsmakers Error on Oral Roberts +

The scoring potential of this Oral Roberts team is much greater than it is for Texas Arlington. The Golden Eagles are averaging 70.3 points per game. They are led in scoring by Warren Niles who has been unstoppable averaging 19.1 points per game.

Texas Arlington ranks 263rd among division one teams in scoring with 63.9 points per game. They are one of the few teams in the country that has more trouble scoring at home than they do on the road averaging only 61.9 points per game. The Mavericks are also one of the worst shooting teams in the country at 41.2% from the field and 65.3% from the free throw line.

5* Total Dominator on Rockets/Jazz UNDER

You should always play the under when the total is greater than or equal to 200 and one of the teams, in this case Houston, is a well-rested team playing 4 or less games in 10 days, and they have won 51% to 60% of their games playing another winning team. This system is 68-27 (71.6%) over the last 5 seasons.

You also want to play on the under when the total is greater than 200 and the home team has gone under the total by 24 or more points in their last three games and the game involves two teams with a winning record. This system is 65-29 (69%) over the last 5 seasons.

The Jazz have gone 4-0 to the under in their last 4 games when they are playing with only 1 day of rest and they are 5-1 to the under against teams from the Southwest division. The Rockets are 5-1 to the under against Western Conference teams and 4-1 to the under in their last five home games.

4* Total No Brainer on Mavs/Nets UNDER

Both Dallas and Brooklyn are coming off big wins. This matchup falls into a system to play on the under when the total is set between 190-199.5 points and the home team is off a win by 10 points or more against an opponent off a win by 15 points or more. This system is 128-77 (62.4%) to the under since 1996.

Brooklyn has played a soft schedule their last four games and they have managed to score over 100 points in each of those matchups. Their recent scoring success has driven this total up higher than it should be. You should also play on the under when one of the teams has gone over the total by 6 or more points in four consecutive games and that team has a winning record and the total is set between 190-199.5 points. This system is 50-24 (67.6%) in favor of the under.

3* No Doubt Rout on Fairfield +

Fairfield has more experience playing in the post season returning three starters from last season compared to only one from Kent State. You should always play on a road team like Fairfield after scoring 60 points or less in their last game with 2 more starters returning from last year than their opponent. This system is 267-200 (57.2%) over the last five seasons.

The better defensive team in this game is definitely Fairfield. They have held opponents to 58.8 points per game compared to 68.9 points allowed by Kent State on their home court. In their last five games Fairfield has held opponents to 51.2 points per game.

Many times these post season games are decided by coaching. This is an area where Fairfield has another advantage. Sydney Johnson is 27-12 ATS after allowing 60 points or less 3 straight games in all games he has coached since 1997. Rob Senderoff is 1-11 ATS in home games after a game where they covered the spread as the coach of Kent State.

4* Heavy Hitter on Ohio +

This is a lot of points for Ohio to be receiving considering they have the better overall record and a similar strength of schedule. You should always play on road teams as an underdog like Ohio when they are off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite and they are a good team winning 60% to 80% of their games on the season playing another team with a winning record. This system is 86-48 (64.2%) ATS.

Ohio has played really well against non-conference teams. They are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 non-conference games while Denver is 3-7 ATS against their last 10 non-conference opponents. Denver is a poor rebounding team averaging just 25 per game which includes a mere 5 boards on the offensive end. Ohio will also have an advantage with the turnover margin. The Bobcats force an average of 18 turnovers per game while committing only 13 turnovers of their own.

3* No Doubt Rout on Thunder -

Oklahoma City is the hot team coming into this matchup. Denver may have a solid win streak in play, but they are trending in the wrong direction. The Nuggets in their last four games have gone from above 50% shooting down to 45.5%. They are coming off a close battle with the Bulls last night and now have to travel from Chicago to Oklahoma City to play in a back to back against the Thunder.

You should always play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Denver after they have covered three of their last four games against the spread in a game involving two good teams winning 60 to 70% of their games on the season. This system is 48-23 (67.6%) over the last five seasons. This game also falls into a system to play on a team holding their opponents to 92-98 points per game like Oklahoma City when they are playing a poor defensive team allowing 98-102 points per game after 42+ games and coming off a combined score of 205 points or more in two straight games. This system is 112-62 (64.4%) ATS.

3* Oddsmakers Error on Hartford +

Rider is coming off a one point loss to Fairfield. You should always play against a team averaging 63-67 points per game after a loss by 6 points or less when they are playing against a team that averages 63 or less points per game. This system is 125-80 (61%) over the last five seasons.

Hartford is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games against teams with a losing road record. In Rider

5* Total No Brainer on Heat/Celtics UNDER

Miami is 8-1 to the under in their last 9 games when playing without rest and they are 4-1 to the under in their last 5 road games. When playing on the road against a team with a winning home record, the Heat are 5-2 to the under in their last 7 games. In their last 5 matchups against teams winning 60% or more of their games on the season the Celtics are 4-1 to the under.

The last time these teams played the total reached 198 points, but that was only because they went to double overtime. The score at the end of regulation was 174 points in that game. It is unlikely these teams will go to double overtime again making the under the value play in this matchup.

Neither of these teams takes a lot of shots with both the Celtics and Heat averaging fewer than 80 field goal attempts per game. The Heat have gone under the total in three of their last four games and the Celtics defense has been solid at home holding opponents to 42.6% shooting. The style of play for these teams makes the under a no brainer.

3* Total Annihilator on Wizards/Bobcats OVER

You should always play the over when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points with the home team is coming off a game where they allowed 105 points or more and they are playing against an opponent that is coming off a game scoring 110 points or more. This system is 62-30 (67.4%) in favor of the over.

You should also play the over when the game involves an average offensive team scoring 92-98 points and coming off a game with a combined score of 225 points or more like Washington, against a horrible defensive team that is allowing 102 or more points per game after 42 or more games in the season. This system is 50-19 (72.5%) in favor of the over.

3* Total Dominator on Indiana/Cleveland UNDER

You should always play the under when the total is between 180 to 190.5 points and the road team is off two or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite and they are a good team winning 60-75% of their games on the season. This system is 48-18 (72.7%) in favor of the under.

This total has been driven up because the Pacers have been on a run of games going over the total. You should also play the under when one of the teams has played 5 or more consecutive overs and they are outscoring their opponents by 3 or more points per game. This system is 154-95 (61.8%) since 1996.

3* No Doubt Rout on Indiana -

You should always play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Cleveland when they are revenging a home loss against an opponent, off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog. This system is 81-39 (67.5%) ATS over the last five seasons.

The Pacers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against teams winning 40% or less of their games this season and they are 8-1 in their last 9 road games against teams with a losing home record. Cleveland is a young team and they are struggling without Kyrie Irving who is out with a shoulder injury.

Indiana has done well against Central Division teams posting a 6-1 ATS record their last 7 compared to a 4-12 ATS record for Cleveland. The Cavaliers have lost six of their last eight games and this is just the matchup the Pacers need to snap out of their two game skid.

4* Heavy Hitter on Rockets -

You should always play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points coming off a home loss like Golden State when they are trying to revenge a home loss against their opponent. This system is 126-67 (65.3%) over the last five seasons. This is a tough spot for Golden State to be in. They are coming off an embarrassing loss to Chicago getting only one day of rest and now traveling to Houston to take on a Rockets team that has won five of their last seven games.

Golden State has been overrated all season. They are one of the few teams above .500 whose scoring average is less than their points allowed average. It appears things are finally catching up to them as the Warriors are 6-15 ATS in the second half of the season this year.

Houston is averaging 111.3 points per game on their home court and Golden State is allowing 104.4 points on the road. While neither team will ever be accused of being great defensively, the Rockets style of play is getting into a shootout with their opponent and the Warriors simply don

3* Total Dominator on Heat/Raptors UNDER

Miami is not a team that needs to score a lot of points to win games. They have scored over 100 points in only three of their last nine games and they still have a 9.6 point margin of victory in that span. This means their defense is being undervalued by the oddsmakers when the total is set this high. In that same nine game span the under is 6-2-1 with the average total being set at 195 points.

This game falls into a system to play the under when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points and both the home team and opponent are coming off a win by 10 points or more. This system is 111-62 (64.2%) ATS. The Raptors are 6-0 to the under in their last six games against Southeast division teams. In head to head games between these teams the under is 5-2 in the 7 meetings.

3* Main Event on Miami -

Miami is 15-6 ATS when playing against teams with a winning record this season and they are 8-2 ATS when that team has won between 60% and 80% of their games. Miami owns a 2-0 record in the series against North Carolina this season and their margin of victory in those two games averages out to 17.5 points. The Hurricanes know how to beat the Tar Heels and they have already proven they are the best team in the ACC.

It may come as a surprise to many, but Roy Williams is 4-13 ATS in conference tournament games as the coach of North Carolina. Now the Tar Heels will face one of the toughest defenses in the ACC. The Hurricanes are holding opponents to 59.8 points per game on 39.4% shooting. They do an exceptional job of avoiding turnovers, averaging 11 per game, as well as making their opponent earn their points in the paint by averaging 5 blocks per game.

The Tar Heels are going to try to force the Hurricanes into a shootout and Jim Larranaga is not going to let that happen. North Carolina gives up 70.8 points per game when they are playing away from home. Both Florida State and Maryland let North Carolina control the pace of the game and that is a mistake this top ranked Miami team is not going to make.

4* Heavy Hitter Jazz -

You should always play on home favorites when they are a well-rested team playing their 2nd game in 5 days against an opponent playing their 4th game in 5 days. This system is 36-9 (80%) over the last five seasons. A well-rested Utah team on their home court is big trouble for Memphis. The Jazz have one of the best home court advantages in the league. They are 23-8 straight up and 19-12 ATS at home this season.

The Jazz respond well after a loss. They are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a loss of more than 10 points. They also play well against good teams at home. Utah is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games against teams winning 60% or more of their road games this season.

With Memphis playing on a back to back traveling from Denver the Jazz are the smart play in this game. Their home court advantage is hard enough for teams to overcome and since Utah is playing on two days of rest they should come out looking sharp today.

3* No Doubt Rout on Spurs -

San Antonio is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games against Central division teams and they are 20-7 ATS in home games against teams winning less than 40% of their road games. The Cavaliers are 3-7 ATS against teams winning 60% or more of their games. In head to head matchups between these teams the favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. And Cleveland is 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings played at San Antonio.

San Antonio

3* No Doubt Rout on Louisville -

Louisville has returned to their mid-season form. This is a team that was ranked #1 in the nation and they are playing like they want to earn that spot back. The Cardinals have won 12 of their last 13 games since their 3 game skid in January. They are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games against teams winning 60% or more of their games this season and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 overall. Syracuse is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against teams winning 60% or more of their games and they have really been struggling in conference play.

The Louisville defense is playing exceptionally well right now holding their last 6 opponents to under 40% shooting from the field and forcing an average of 18.25 turnovers per game in their last four games. Even though the Orange are 3-0 in the Big East Tournament they are not on a hot streak by any means. They have squeaked off two out of three wins by only 3 points and the defense has forced an average of only 10 turnovers over game in their last four games while allowing an average of 42.1% shooting from the field.

Louisville is the hot team in this game and they have always been the team to beat in the Big East. The Orange are coming off an overtime game against Georgetown and those extra minutes can really wear a team down this late in the season when playing on back to back nights.

5* Total No Brainer Wizards/Suns OVER

You should always play the over in a game involving two teams averaging 92-98 points per game after one of those teams has allowed 105 points or more in three straight games. The Suns gave up 108 to Denver, 111 to Houston and 107 to Atlanta. This system is 45-18 (71.4%) over the last 5 seasons.

The first thing a tired team gives up on is playing defense. This is why you should play the over when the total is 180-189.5 and one of the teams is off a road loss by 10 points or more and they are an extremely tied team playing their 3rd game in 4 days. This system is 120-77 (61%) over the last 5 seasons. The Suns are bad enough on defense allowing 104.6 points per game on the road and playing tired means this game should be an offensive show.

3* Oddsmakers Error on Pacific -

Close games always come down to the turnover margin. Pacific has averaged only 9.6 turnovers per game in their last five games. UC-Irvine has been extremely inconsistent in the turnovers column this season. They ended the regular season averaging 14.6 turnovers per game in their last five games. You should always play on neutral court teams as a favorite or pick like Pacific after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers playing against an opponent that committed 8 or less turnovers in their last game. This system is 69-36 (66%) ATS.

The Pacific Tigers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. This is a revenge game for Pacific too. They lost on the road at UC-Irvine back in February shooting 33.3% from the field. This is a Tigers team that shoots 45.3% on average so that poor shooting effort is not likely to take place in today