5* NCAAB Big 12 Game of the Month on Texas +

I really like the value here with the Longhorns as a decently priced home dog against the Jayhawks. Texas was competitive in a 12-point loss at KU earlier this season and are going to be 100% locked in for revenge against the best the Big 12 has to offer. Last time out the Jayhawks secured yet another Big 12 title and that's a big relief for the players, as no one wants to be the ones who are responsible for stopping the streak. I believe that has Kansas primed for a letdown here on the road against a team they know they are better than.

Kansas covered last time out and that's a good thing, as they are just 1-8 ATS this season after covering the number in their last game. Longhorns on the other hand are 20-4 ATS in their last 24 home games after failing to cover the spread in 4 of their last 5 games and 10-2 ATS in their last 12 when revenging a road loss. Take Texas!

4* NCAAB Situational ATS Annihilator on Iowa State -

The general public is going to look at this line and want to jump all over No. 9 Baylor as a dog against the Cyclones, but my money is on Iowa State to Knock off the Bears at home. The Cyclones should have beat Baylor earlier this season on the road, but ended up losing 63-65. ISU enters this meeting playing their best basketball of the season. They have won 4 straight and 5 of 6 overall, which includes that road win over Kansas. Baylor is getting a lot of love, but are just 3-3 in their last 6 games and I'm just not buying them being a Top 10 team.

Iowa State has a huge homecourt edge which is why they are favored here. Cyclones are 32-16 ATS in their last 48 home games off a conference win and a ridiculous 26-4 ATS in their last 30 home games as a favorite of 3 or less. Baylor on the other hand is 1-9 ATS in their last 10 after playing 3 straight games as a favorite. Take Iowa State!

4* NBA Over/Under Total No Brainer on Suns/Bulls OVER

I'm not expecting a lot of defense to be on display when the Bulls host he Suns tonight. Chicago just traded away one of their better defensive players in Taj Gibson. That move also means the pulls are going to play more of a smaller lineup with a stretch 4 like Mirotic. That should help generate more offense, but will hurt the Bulls defensively and Phoenix is a team that can put the ball in the basket. The Suns come in averaging 106.9 ppg and don't have hardly any dropoff on the road (106.2 ppg).

Phoenix doesn't play defense, as they come in allowing 113.3 ppg on the road. They also just traded away one of their best defensive players in P.J. Tucker. The Suns final 4 games before the break all had a combined score of at least 212 points. That included a 115-97 win over the Bulls at home. That's the only time Phoenix has held an opponent under 100 points in their last 20 games. OVER is 12-4 in the Suns 16 games this season against teams that allow opponents to shoot 46 or better from the field. Take the OVER!

4* NBA Over/Under Total Annihilator on Mavs/Wolves OVER

The books have set the bar too low for tonight's total between the Mavericks and Timberwolves. Minnesota is a team that likes to push the pace offensively and while their head coach preaches defense, they don't play a ton of it. The Timberwolves scored 106 or more points in 6 straight before the break and have allowed 100+ points in 14 of their last 16 games. Dallas isn't known for being an offensive team, but I believe they are trending in that direction with the move to release Deron Williams and give the point guard job to Yogi Ferrell.

I'm not expecting this to be in the 220's but I feel this number is way to low given that the average combined score in Minnesota home games is 210.7. OvER is 5-1 in the Mavs last 6 against the west and 20-7 in their last 27 when playing on 3 or more days of rest. OVER is also 5-0 in the T-Wolves last 5 home games against a team with a losing road record and 6-1 in their last 7 when playing on 3 or more days of rest. Take the OVER!

5* NBA Non Conference Game of the Month on Pacers +

I really like the value here with Indiana at basically a pick'em at home against the Grizzlies. The Pacers limped into the All-Star break with a 6-game losing streak and then had their best player rumored in multiple trades prior to yesterday's trade deadline. Some might view this as a negative, but I believe it's going to unite this team and have them playing inspired the rest of the way.

The biggest thing here is the Pacers just aren't getting enough respect for playing at home, where they are 20-10 SU on the season. Memphis does come in with a 16-13 road record, but they are just 11-22 ATS in their last 33 road games against a team with a wining record and a mere 3-16 ATS in road games against a marginal winning team like the Pacers with a win percentage between 51% to 60%. Take Indiana!

4* NBA Situational ATS Annihilator on Rockets -

I believe the Davis/Cousins combination is going to eventually turn the Pelicans into a serious threat in the West. The key word in that phrase is "eventually." It's easy to think the two superstars will instantly mesh, but that's just not how it works. You have to have chemistry to be successful in the NBA and it will especially take some time for these two big men to figure out how to compliment each other.

Not only does a trade like this cause problems on offense, but it really has a negative impact on their ability to communicate and lockdown defensively. That's the biggest problem I see for New Orleans in this game. The Rockets feature one of the most dynamic offenses in the game and know they can take advantage of the Pelicans in this one. Take Houston!

5* NBA Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Blazers/Magic OVER

I really like the value we are getting here on the total in tonight's matchup between the Blazers and Magic. I have this one easily eclipsing the 220 mark and potentially getting to 230. I just don't see either of these teams being all that motivated to play defense coming out of the break, especially given how disappointing a season it's been for both of these teams.

On top of that, defense has been a major problem for both teams, as each ranks in the bottom 8 in defensive efficiency. Not to mention both teams have had some big moving pieces in trades. OVER is 11-2 in the Magic's last 13 home games against a team from the Northwest division and 11-3 in the Blazers last 14 road games after going under the total in their previous game. Take the OVER!

4* NCAAB Undervalued Underdog on Memphis +

I really like the value here with the Tigers as a massive road dog against the Bearcats. Cincinnati is clearly the better team, but I just feel the books have drastically inflated this line in their favor. These two teams play a very similar style, which more times than not is going to lead to a competitive game. Memphis is certainly going to bring everything they have to this one, as they desperately need a win after losing their last 2.

Cincinnati's defense has been great of late, but the Bearcats are 0-8 ATS over the last 2 seasons after allowing 65 points or less in 4 straight games. On the flip side of this, the Tigers are a perfect 7-0 ATS over the last 3 seasons when coming off 2 straight conference losses. Take Memphis!

5* American Athletic Game of the Month on Connecticut +

I really like the value here with the Huskies as a good sized dog against the Cougars. UConn comes in playing the best basketball of the season, as they have won 4 straight and 7 of 8 overall. That includes outright wins at UCF and Temple. Houston has also been playing well but come in off a crushing 66-76 home loss to SMU, which will be tough to bounce back from. The Huskies also will be coming out with a chip on their shoulder, as the Cougars embarrassed them 62-46 on their home floor earlier this season. Note that came with UConn missing it's best player in Jalen Adams, who is averaging a team-high 14.9 ppg and 6.6 apg.

Huskies are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 road games off an upset win as an underdog and 34-14 ATS in their last 48 after a win by 3 points or less. Take Connecticut!

4* NCAAB Over/Under Total Annihilator on Providence/Creighton OVER

These two teams should have no problem eclipsing the total set by the books tonight. These played earlier this season at Providence and combined for 142 with the Friars shooting just 39% from the field and 16% from long-distance. Creighton likes to push the pace and will be able to do so at home, where they are averaging 85.5 ppg. The Bluejays allow 73.2 ppg on the road and Providence comes in having scored 70+ in 3 straight.

OVER is 10-2 in the Friars last 12 games off 2 or more home wins and 21-7 in their last 28 when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days. OVER is also 20-9 in Creighton's last 29 games against teams who force 14 or fewer turnovers/game. Take the OVER!

4* NCAAB Situational Undervalued Underdog on St. Louis +

I really like the value here with the Billikens as a massive underdog against the well respected Rams. VCU comes in having won 8 straight and are simply way overvalued in this spot, as they are going to have a hard time getting up for this one with a couple of huge road games on deck against Rhode Island and Dayton, which will likely decide if they win the A-10 regular season title.

St Louis is a mere 4-10 in conference play, but are a strong 9-5 ATS. VCU is 0-3 ATS this season when listed as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points and 1-5 ATS this year after covering the spread in 2 of their last 3 games. Billikens are 6-0 ATS off a road loss and a perfect 3-0 ATS off back-to-back conferences losses by double-digits. Take St. Louis!

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Georgia Tech -

I like the value here with the Yellow Jackets at home against the Wolfpack. NC State is a program that's a mess right now. Their head coach has been fired but is finishing up the season with the team. NC State has lost 7 straight and really haven't been competitive. In their last 4 games they have lost by 9 at home to Notre Dame, 24 at home to UNC, 30 at Wake Forest and 24 at Florida State. Georgia Tech beat the Wolfpack 86-76 on the road back on 1/15 when NC State hadn't thrown in the towel. I could see NC State getting up for Saturday's home finale against Virginia, but not here on the road in a meaningless game.

The Wolfpack are a mere 2-10 ATS in their last 12 as an underdog, 1-7 ATS in their last 8 on the road and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 after playing 2 straight games as an underdog. Take Georgia Tech!

4* NCAAB Situational ATS Shocker on Clemson +

This line is going to make the public want to take the Hokies at home as a short favorite, as Virginia Tech is 13-1 at home this season and have covered 4 straight. Oddsmakers aren't stupid and by setting the line where they did, they are basically telling us that Clemson is the bet here. I completely agree.

The Tigers are so much better than their 4-10 record in the ACC would lead you to believe and have been playing well without the results of late. They are 1-3 in their last 4 with all 3 losses by 6 points or less. Clemson also has revenge on their mind here from a 81-82 loss at home to Va Tech on 1/22. Take Clemson!

4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Annihilator on South Carolina +

I really like the value here with the Gamecocks catching near double-digits on the road against the Gators. South Carolina already beat Florida at home 57-53 this season. I'm not buying that the change in venue is going to see that kind of a swing to where the Gators blow this thing wide open. I believe this line is simply inflated on Florida, who comes in having won 8 straight and are 6-2 ATS during this stretch. The Gamecocks on the other hand have lost 3 of 4 and failed to cover the spread in 5 straight. Another big factor here against the Gators is they have a huge game on deck at Kentucky this Saturday.

These Tuesday night games get a lot of attention and the Gators have struggled in this spot at home, going just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 at home on Tuesday night. Florida is also 0-11 ATS in their last 11 after a combined score of 115 or less in their last game and 0-8 ATS in their last 8 when revenging a same season loss. Take South Carolina!

5* NCAAB Vegas Insider Game of the Week on Virginia -

I like the Cavaliers to put away the Hurricanes in blowout fashion tonight. Virginia is a pissed off bunch after a rare 3-game losing streak. It started with them blowing a big lead on the road against in-state rival Virginia Tech. Then they had to play two elite teams in Duke and North Carolina in a span of just 4 days. The most recent was an embarrassing 24-point loss on the road to the Tar Heels.

Virginia is 3-1 ATS this season off a road loss and 8-3 ATS in this same spot over the last 3 years. Miami comes in having really played well at home in their last two games, but are just 1-3 ATS this season off back-to-back home wins, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 after allowing 65 or less points in 2 straight games and 0-4 when playing their 3rd game in a week span. Take Virginia!

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Syracuse/Georgia Tech UNDER

I think the books have set the total too high here. The UNDER has gone 8-3 in Georgia Tech home games and is 5-1 in their 6 conference home games. It's because the style of play that the Yellow Jackets play. They are a limited offensive team, so they have to slow the pace down and rely on their defense to be competitive. They are doing just that, scoring only 67.8 ppg and allowing just 61.1 ppg at home. 

UNDER is 14-3 in the Yellow Jackets last 17 home games when playing their 2nd game in a week, 15-4 in their last 19 home games off a conference loss and 11-2 in their last 13 home games as an underdog and 7-0 in their last 7 as a home dog of 6 points or less. Take the UNDER! 

5* ACC Game of the Month on Virginia/North Carolina OVER

I think the books have set the total way too low for tonight's big ACC showdown between North Carolina and Virginia. The Cavaliers are known for being a dominant defensive team, but they don't often go up against an offensive like the Tar Heels. North Carolina is averaging 90.6 ppg at home. Virginia is more than capable of keeping pace and their defense isn't near as strong on the road as it is at home.

OVER is 16-4 in the Tar Heels last 20 home games with a total of 130 to 139.5, 14-5 in their last 19 after scoring75 or more in 4 straight games and a perfect 8-0 in their last 8 against elite defensive teams that are allowing 57 or less points/game. Take the OVER!

4* NCAAB Situational ATS Annihilator on Iowa -

I like the value we are getting here with the Hawkeyes as a short home favorite against the Illini. Iowa will be out for revenge from an earlier loss at Illinois. The Hawkeyes are a completely different team at home compared to on the road. That's evident by their 5-1 record in the Big 10 at home, compared to just 1-6 record on the road (only win at Rutgers). It's a similar story for the Fighting Illini, who are just 1-5 on the road in Big 10 play with the only win coming at Northwestern in a game the Wildcats were minus one of their best players.

Illinois is 10-20 ATS in their last 30 as an underdog and 6-16 ATS in their last 22 off an upset loss as a home favorite in conference play. Illini are also just 7-17 ATS in their last 24 against a team with winning record at least 15 games into the season. Take Iowa!

4* NCAAB Undervalued Underdog on Wake Forest +

I really like the value here with the Demon Deacons as a double-digit dog against the Blue Devils. Duke is playing better of late, but are in a prime letdown spot here off that huge win at Virginia earlier in the week. Not to mention the Blue Devils have three of their top players dealing with injuries. While they won't prevent them from playing, I think it takes away from the mental focus for Duke here.

It's a very similar spot to last week. Duke was off that big win over North Carolina and barely held on for a 64-62 win at home against Clemson as a 11-point favorite. Wake Forest only lost by 2-points at home to the Blue Devils. I don't expect them to pull off the upset, but I think this one goes down to the wire. Duke is just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 after covering the spread and the Demon Deacons are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games off a loss by 10 points or more. Take Wake Forest!

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Valparaiso

I really like the value here with the Crusaders at basically a pick'em on the road against the Golden Grizzlies. This is a big revenge spot for Valparaiso, who were upset at home by Oakland 78-66 back in early January. Since that loss the Crusaders have gone 10-1 and are sitting at 11-2 in the Horizon. With a win here they can pretty much lock up the regular season title (Oakland is 2nd at 9-4).

Valparaiso came out flat in that first meeting with Oakland. They shot just 36.2% from the field, while allowing the Grizzlies to connect on 47% of their attempts. That's uncharacteristic for the Crusaders on both sides of the ball. Valpo is shooting 46% from the field in Horizon play, while limiting conference opponents to just 65 ppg on 38.1% shooting.

It's also worth noting that this is not the same Oakland team as the first meeting. The Grizzlies are without a key contributor in Stevie Clark. He was a big factor against the Crusaders, scoring 16 points with a team-high 5 assists. I believe his loss isn't getting enough respect here, due to Oakland coming in having won 4 straight, but note that all 4 of those wins came against the bottom 4 team in the conference. Take Valparaiso!

4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Annihilator on Connecticut -

I really like the Huskies to take care of business at home against the Tigers and win here comfortably. Connecticut might be just 12-12 overall, but they aren't playing like it right now. The Huskies have won 5 of their last 6 with the only loss coming on the road against an elite Cincinnati team. UConn has won 5 straight homes in conference play and will take on a Memphis squad that has been getting way to much respect of late, which is why they are 1-5 ATS in their last 6. Last time the Tigers played on the road they were embarrassed 57-72 at UCF, which is the same team that UConn just beat on the road in their last game.

Memphis is a mere 10-21 ATS in their last 31 games when listed as an underdog and just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games against a team with a winning home record. Huskies are 33-13 ATS in their last 46 after a win by 3 points or less, 9-2 ATS in their last 11 after allowing 25 or less points in the 1st half of their last game and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 as a home favorite of 6.5 or less. Take UConn!

5* NCAAB West Coast Game of the Month on San Francisco +

Betting against Gonzaga this season hasn't been a profitable move, but I just think this spot has created too much value on San Francisco to pass up. The Dons have a winning record in the WCC and are one of the few teams to keep it respectable against Gonzaga this season, losing by just 15 points in the first meeting. Note that was with Gonzaga shooting a ridiculous 61% from the field.

The even bigger key here is that this is an ideal situation to fade the Bulldogs. Gonzaga just played their biggest game in quite some time last Saturday at St. Mary's, which most were calling their last chance at having their perfect record broken. The Bulldogs prevailed 74-64 and it's only human nature for them to have a letdown here. On the flip side of this, San Francisco is going to treat this like it's their Super Bowl. Dons did lose at home last time out and that's worth noting as they are 21-9 ATS in their last 30 road games off a home conference loss and 8-1 ATS in their last 9 off a home loss by 10 or more points. Take San Francisco!

4* NBA Situational ATS Heavy Hitter on Bulls

I'm expecting an all out effort here from Chicago at home in a nationally televised game going into to the All-Star break. The Bulls have had their struggles, but they have shown the ability to step up their game at home against top level teams. That includes a 105-99 win over Boston at home earlier this season. As for the Celtics, this isn't a great spot. Boston just played an up-tempo game last night at home against the 76ers, which was their first home game after a 4-game west coast trip and now they are right back on the road. With the Celtics comfortably sitting in 2nd in the east, I just don't see them matching the intensity of Chicago in this one.

Boston is a mere 2-6 ATS in their last 8 following a win and 1-13 ATS in their last 14 after 4 or more consecutive wins. Bulls are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games against a team with a winning road record. Take Chicago!

4* NCAAB Situational Underdog No Brainer on Tulane +

This is all about the situation and going against SMU in a major flat spot. The Mustangs knocked off Cincinnati at home on Saturday in the biggest game of the season. The Bearcats had already knocked off SMU earlier this season and were undefeated in AAC play.Now the Mustangs and Cincinnati are sitting with just 1 loss each.

It's only human nature to suffer a letdown after a game like that, especially when the next opponent has lost 8 straight and are just 1-11 in conference play. I just don't see SMU being all the interested here, as they know all they have to do is show up and they win this one. Green Wave are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 after a double-digit loss at home and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 as a road underdog. Take Tulane!

4* NCAAB Vegas ATS Shocker on Indiana +

I really like the value here with the Hoosiers as a decent priced dog against the Gophers. It's been an ugly stretch here for Indiana, which is just 1-5 in their last 6. Injuries have played a big part of this, but the Hoosiers just recently got back leading scorer James Blakmon and I look for him to go off here against a Gophers defense that is allowing 74.8 ppg over their last 5.

Minnesota comes in having won 3 straight, but it's come against the likes of Illinois, Iowa and Rutgers. Prior to that the Gophers had lost 5 straight. I look for Indiana to be the more desperate team here and fully expect them to win outright, but I'll gladly take the points. Hoosiers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 games. Take Indiana!

4* NBA Over/Under Total Dominator on Heat/Rockets OVER

I look for a lot of offensive fireworks tonight when the Rockets host the Heat. These two recently played in Miami, with the Heat winning 109-103. Houston shot just 40% from the floor and the two teams still managed to combine for 212 points. Considering the Rockets are on 3-days rest and averaging 116.0 ppg at home this season, I think these two will have no problem making up the difference to push this over the mark. Miami has scored 105 or more points in 7 straight games.

OVER is 4-1 in the Rockets last 5 home games against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games and a perfect 4-0 in Houston's last 4 when playing on 3 or more days rest. OVER is also 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams in Houston. Take the OVER!

4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Blowout on Miami (FL) -

I'm not expecting this one to be all that competitive. I know the Yellow Jackets are playing better than expected, but most of their success has come at home. Georgia Tech lost 3 straight and 4 of 6 on the road in the ACC by double-digits. That includes recent losses at both Clemson and Wake Forest by 12-points. Miami is better than both of those teams and are going to be locked in here after a loss at Louisville.

The Hurricanes are 11-2 at home on the season with the only two losses coming to elite teams in Notre Dame and Florida State. Yellow Jackets are a mere 2-7 on the road, where they are getting outscored by 12.0 ppg. Miami should be able to create plenty of separation here with their defense. The Hurricanes are allowing a mere 62.4 ppg at home and are taking on a Georgia Tech offense that averages only 64.2 ppg on the road. Take Miami!

4* NBA Over/Under Total Annihilator on Spurs/Magic UNDER

I think the books have set the total too high for this one. San Antonio is playing on fumes right now, as this will be their 6th straight on the road, all of which coming since 2/6. I just don't see the Spurs looking to push the pace here. Their only focus is getting a win going into the All-Star break.

With Orlando likely playing short-handed, I look for the Spurs to try and put this game away early. Their defense should be able to make life miserable for the Magic. San Antonio has held 6 of their last 8 opponents under 100 points and Orland is only averaging 97.7 ppg at home. UNDER is 23-8 in the Spurs last 31 road games when playing 6 or more games in 10 days. Take the UNDER!

4* NBA ATS Heavy Hitter on Pacers +

I really like the value here with the Pacers catching a good sized number given the circumstances. Every team gets up for playing the Cavs and there's no question we are going to get the best Indiana has to offer in this one. The Pacers are not only going to be motivated to snap a 4-game losing streak, but they want to get revenge from a 117-132 loss at home to Cavs. While the Pacers are going to be locked in, I don't know that the same can be said about Cleveland.

Unlike Indiana, who has to play Washington tomorrow, this is the Cavs final game before the All-Star break. Cleveland has been desperate for some rest and will be coming into this one off tired legs. The Cavs just played a pretty fast-paced game last night in Minnesota, which they won 116-108. I just don't see Cleveland being all that interested here. Pacers are 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings and are 31-17 over the last 3 seasons in road games off a loss. Take Indiana!

5* NCAAB Big East Game of the Month on Providence -

I really like this spot for Providence at home against the Musketeers. Xavier lost point guard Edmond Summer to a season ending injury at the end of January and now are expected to be without Trevon Bluiett tonight against the Friars. That's the Musketeer's two best players not available. That's just too much to overcome on the road against a hungry Providence team that has been playing much better of late. While the Friars are just 4-4 in their last 8, they are 7-1 against the spread during this stretch. They also come in with a 12-3 record at home and fresh off an impressive 71-65 home win over Butler as 3-point dog.

I don't see Providence overlooking Xavier given the injury situation, as they will be out for revenge from an ugly 56-82 loss at Xavier back on 12/28. Note that Bluiett and Summer combined for 35 points 11 assists and 13 rebounds. Friars are 14-2 ATS in their last 16 when revenging a road loss. Take Providence!

4* NCAAB Late Night ATS Annihilator on Boise State +

I'm backing the Broncos as a short road dog against the Lobos tonight. This might seem like a mistake by the books, as New Mexico already went on the road and beat Boise State 81-70 back on 1/17. Nothing went right for the Broncos, who shot just 38% from the field, while allowing the Lobos to shoot 50% from the field and behind the 3-point line. That was an uncharacteristic performance from Boise State, who is only allowing opponents to shoot 41.8% from the field on the season. 

A big difference this time around is New Mexico will be minus one of their best players in Tim Williams, who is averaging 17.9 ppg and 7.0 rpg. It's a huge loss the only other player averaging more than 7 ppg is Elijah Brown (18.8 ppg). Boise is going to consistently double-team Brown and force these other guys beat him. Note that Williams had a game-high 19 points in the Lobos win over the Broncos earlier this season.

Broncos are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 when revenging a loss as a home favorite, 14-4 ATS in their last 18  with a line of +3 to -3 and 24-12 in their last 36 road games. Take Boise State!

5* NBA Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Raptors/Bulls OVER

There's a lot of moving parts going on around this game, as the Raptors just made a trade for Serge Ibaka and the Bulls are expected to be without starters Wade and Butler, as well as reserves Mirotic and Zipser. All of this has this game feeling a bit like an exhibition game and I just don't see either team playing much defense in this one.

Chicago certainly hasn't been playing any of late. The Bulls have allowed 100 or more points in 9 straight games and given up 115 or more in each of their last 3. Given what Chicago has to work with and the Raptors ability to light it up offensively (109.1 ppg), I think Toronto is going to continue that streak. Not having Butler and Wade might seem like a huge loss for Chicago's offense, but it allows them to play at a little faster pace and gets some more 3-point shooters on the floor. You also have to take into consideration that Toronto will have a difficult time taking the Bulls seriously without their star players, so it's unlikely they are coming into this one looking to lock down defensively. OVER is 8-0 in the Bulls last 8 against a team with a winning record. Take the OVER!

4* NBA Situational Undervalued Underdog on Nuggets +

I like the value here with the Nuggets catching double-digits against the Warriors tonight. I just don't see Golden State being mentally all that interested in this contest. They played at Memphis on Friday, in a game where they had double-revenge from losing the first two against the Grizzlies this season, then they had the highly anticipated showdown against the Thunder on Saturday, which was Durant's first game back in OKC. Even with yesterday off, I see them coming out flate in what's their final road game before the All-Star break.

Denver on the other hand is going to treat this like it's the biggest game of their season. I'm not expecting them to win, but I'm confident they can keep it competitive. Warriors are just 3-12 ATS this season after 3 straight games where they hit 47% or more of their field goal attempts. Take Denver!

5* NBA Southeast Game of the Month on Magic/Heat OVER

I'm expecting a shootout in Miami when the Heat host the Magic tonight. Miami had their 13-game winning streak snapped in a 109-117 loss at Philadelphia on Saturday. It's exactly difficult to keep the momentum going from a long winning streak after it's snapped. On top of that, the Heat are returning home from a 4-game road trip. I just don't see the effort being their on the defensive side of the ball, especially against a bad team like the Magic.

Offensively the Heat should be able to continue to their recent surge. Miami has scored 100+ points in 12 straight games and are facing a Orlando defense that has allowed 112 or more in each of their last 4 and are giving up 109 ppg on the road this season. OVER is 8-1 in the Magic's last 9 road games after losing 6 or 7 of their last 8 and 12-4 in their last 16 after giving up 60+ points at the half of their last game. Take the OVER!

4* NCAAB Over/Under Total Annihilator on Louisville/Syracuse UNDER

I like the value here on the total and this one going under the mark set by the books. These two teams are both capable of shutting down the opposition with their defense. Louisville comes in allowing just 63.7 ppg on the road and the Orange are giving up only 64.1 ppg at home. I know both offenses average over 75+ ppg, but these two have a history of low-scoring games when they meet up at Syracuse. In fact, 5 of the last 6 the Orange have hosted in the series have gone UNDER the total.

UNDER is 8-2 in Louisville's last 10 games when playing in one of these rare Monday matchups and 9-3 in their last 12 after failing to cover the spread in their last game. UNDER is also 20-6-3 in Syracuse's last 29 home games against a team that's won more than 60% of their road games and 40-18-1 in their last 59 games on Monday. Take the UNDER!

4* NCAAB Late Night ATS No Brainer on Washington St +

I like the value here with the Cougars as double-digit road dog. Washington State comes in having lost 3 straight and I believe it's playing into this line. The thing is, the Cougars last 3 games have been back-to-back at home against UCLA and USC, followed by a road game at Utah. Those are 3 of the better teams in the Pac-12 and Washington State was competitive in thos games. I know the Cougars aren't a great team, but they have won on the road at both Washington and Arizona State.

Colorado is a solid team and come in having won 4 of 5, but the schedule has been favorable. What is getting overlooked here is that the Cougars already beat Colorado at home 91-89 back on 1/21 as a 7-point dog. I'm not saying they win on the road, but I think there's a good chance this game is close until the end and Washington State covers. Colorado is just 3-10 ATS in their last 13 off a win and the Cougars are 22-10 ATS after 3 straight games allowing a shooting percentage of 47% or better. Take Washington State!

4* NBA Situational ATS Annihilator on Raptors -

I like the Raptors to not only win but to win big at home against the Pistons. Toronto has gone just 4-9 in their last 13 games, which is an uncharacteristic run for what most consider one of the elite teams in the east. The thing is, Toronto played a number of those games without one of their best players in DeRozan and the majority came on the road. The Raptors come into this contest as healthy as they have been in a while and fresh off 3 days of rest.

I look for Toronto to come out looking to make a statement here and the Pistons are definitely a team they can beat by double-digits. In fact, they already beat them by 18 at home earlier this season. Detroit is only 9-18 SU and 10-17 ATS on the road. Pistons are also just 4-14 ATS in their last 18 after allowing 60 or more points in the 1st half of their last game and 3-11 ATS in their last 14 road games after playing their last game against a team from the west. Take Toronto!

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Northern Iowa +1.5

I really like the value here with the Panthers at basically a pick'em on the road against Missouri State. UNI is playing their best basketball of the season right now. After starting out 0-5 in conference play, the Panthers have won 7 of 8. They will be out for revenge here from a 4-point loss at home to the Bears back in UNI's dreadful start to the MVC. Note that Missouri State only won by 4 points, despite jumping out to a 32-8 lead in the 1st half, which included a 19-0 run.

The Bears win over UNI came during a 6-1 stretch. This time they enter having lost 4 of their last 5 and fresh off a ugly 18-point loss at Wichita State. Missouri State is only 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games after going over the total in their previous game and 4-12 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in a day stretch. Panthers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games after allowing 65 or less points in 5 straight games. Take UNI! 

4* NCAAB Over/Under Total Annihilator on Oregon/USC UNDER

I really like the value here with this one going under the total set by the books. These two teams played at Oregon back in late December and combined for fewer than the total here. That was with the Ducks putting up 84 points at home. I just don't see that same kind of offensive outburst here for Oregon, who is primed for a letdown after playing their last two against the league's two best teams in Arizona and UCLA. Even more so with just 1-day of rest after blowing a big lead against the Bruins.

USC comes in having won 5 straight and I expect them to really get after it defensively here. Not only to get a huge win at home, but to get revenge from that ugly 23-point loss to the Ducks in December. UNDER 15-5 in Oregon's last 20 games when playing for 2nd time in just a 3 day span. UNDER is also 11-2 this season after a game where the Ducks covered the spread and 4-0 in USC last 5 games as a home underdog. Take the UNDER!

4* NBA Late Night ATS Bailout on Jazz -

I like the value here with the Jazz laying what I feel is a short number given how bad a spot this is for the Celtics. Boston is playing their 3rd straight road game on the west coast in a span of just 4 days. They started out with a loss at Sacramento then had to rally for a win at Portland. I just don't see them having enough left in the tank to keep up with the Jazz in the thin air of Utah.

Celtics beat the Blazers 120-111 in their last game and that's important to note, as Boston is a mere 7-20 ATS in their last 27 road games after scoring 120 or more points in their previous game. The Jazz are 35-19 ATS in their last 54 after 3 straight games with a combined score of 205 or more and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 at home against a team with a winning road record. Take Utah!

4* NCAAB Over/Under Total Dominator on Oklahoma/Iowa St OVER

I'm expecting a very high-scoring game this afternoon between the Cyclones and Sooners. These two teams played already this season and combined for 179. I know that came in OT, but the flow of the game was exactly what we look for when backing the over. Keep in mind that neither team shot the ball well and they still put up a ton of points. ISU was only 42.7% from the field and Oklahoma was a mere 40.3% from the field. It was also the 4th straight meeting in the series that saw at least 155 points.

I don't normally pay a ton of attention to the day of the week when it comes to trends, but this one is hard to ignore. OVER is 7-1 in the Sooners last 8 games played on Saturday and a perfect 6-0 in the Cyclones last 6 games on Saturday. OVER is also 4-0 in Oklahoma's last 4 road games against a team with a winning home record and 5-1 in ISU's last 6 off a SU loss. Take the OVER!

4* NCAAB Situational ATS No Brainer on Michigan St -

I really like the value her with the Spartans at home, as Michigan State is going to be locked in after getting annihilated in their last game on the road against Michigan. I know the Spartans aren't on the same level as they have been in previous years, but this is still a well-coached team that isn't going to lay down. I expect one of Michigan State's best game to take place today.

It helps that they are catching the Hawkeyes in a terrible spot. Iowa has had their road woes as it is in Big Ten play and now have to play their 2nd straight on the road after a crushing double-overtime loss at Minnesota last time out. With just two days between games, I just don't think that's enough time for the Hawkeyes to recover. Iowa is just 3-12 ATS in their last 15 road games after a road game where both teams scored 75 or more points and the Spartans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 off a SU loss by more than 20 points and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 as a home favorite. Take Michigan State!

4* NBA Big Money ATS Blowout on Hornets -

I really like this spot for the Hornets at home against the Clippers. Los Angeles is just 3-7 since Chris Paul tore a ligament in his thumb and their only two wins have come against the likes of the Suns and Knicks. Now I now Charlotte hasn't been playing great of late, but the schedule hasn't done them in any favors. This is a great spot for them to turn things around. LA can't have a whole lot left in the tank here, as they are playing their 4th straight on the road, all on the east coast.

The Hornets are a respectable 16-11 at home this season and LA is a mere 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games against a team with a winning home record. Clippers are also just 5-12 ATS in their last 17 against the Eastern Conference and 5-15 ATS in their last 20 after a combined score of 205 or more in 3 straight games. Take Charlotte!

5* Big Ten Game of the Month on Maryland -

This might seem like a big number for the Terrapins to be laying at home against an Ohio State team that has won 2 straight, but I really like this spot for Maryland and for them to win here in a blowout. We know we are going to get a max effort here from the Terrapins, as they come in off a back-to-back losses.

The bigger key here is that Ohio State will be without the services of point guard JaQuan Lyle. That's a big time loss as Lyle is 3rd in scoring at 11.4 ppg and leads the team with a solid 5.0 apg. Losing a point guard is tough to overcome, especially on the road. I think it's even more of a problem for a team like the Buckeyes who aren't a great offensive team to start with.

Ohio State is a mere 3-11 ATS in their last 14 road games on Saturday and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games after winning 2 of their last 3 games. Terrapins are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 home games off an upset loss as a favorite. Take Maryland!

4* NCAAB Afternoon ATS Heavy Hitter on Illinois -

I really like the value here with the Fighting Illini as a relatively short home favorite against the Nittany Lions. This is a prime spot for Illinois to get back on track at home, where they are a very respectable 10-4 this season. We also catch the Illini fresh off a upset win at Northwestern. Penn State is also off a win, but it was a big one, as they upset Maryland on their home floor. I believe that puts the Nittany Lions in a prime letdown spot with this game being on the road. Penn State is just 4-7 away from home with their only road win coming against bottom feeder Rutgers.

The Fighting Illini are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games against a team with a losing road record and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 as a favorite of 6.5 or less. Take Illinois!

4* NBA Late Night ATS Annihilator on Hawks -

I like the value here with the Hawks as a short road favorite against the Kings. Atlanta comes in off a 117-106 win over the Nuggets and are playing the much better basketball. The Hawks have actually been rock solid on the road, where they are 15-11 on the season. Sacramento on the other hand is just 10-15 at home and are primed for a letdown after a 108-92 blowout win over the Celtics. A win that came with Cousins. While he will be back for this one, Atlanta has someone who can matchup with him in Howard.

Kings come in shooting the ball well, but are 0-8 ATS over the last 3 seasons after 3 straight games where they shot 47% or better from the field. Sacramento is also just 5-14 ATS this season off a win and 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 off a win by more than 10 points. Hawks are 10-4 ATS last 14 road games and 5-0 ATS last 5 vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games. Take Atlanta!

4* NBA Vegas ATS Shocker on Pelicans +

I expect the public to be all over the Timberwolves in this one, but I think the Pelicans are the play. Minnesota is still trying to figure out how to cope with the loss of Zach LaVine and incorporate their new addition of Lance Stephenson. The Timberwolves were able to knock off the Raptors 112-109 in their last game, but had lost 4 straight prior to that and continue to struggle on the defensive end. Minnesota has allowed 100+ points in 12 straight games.

New Orleans is primed for a big time effort here after an ugly 33-point loss to the Jazz at home and while they are just 1-5 in their last 6, the schedule has been brutal of late. Note that these two teams played earlier this season and the Pelicans cruised to a 117-96 win, shooting over 54% from the field, while the Wolves were under 40%. Minnesota is just 3-12 ATS in their last 15 home games after scoring 110 or more in their previous game and a mere 8-17 ATS as a favorite this season. Take New Orleans!

5* NBA No Limit Heavy Hitter Top Play on Wizards -

I like the value here with the Wizards laying a relatively short number at home against the Pacers. Washington was on an absolute roll before losing in OT to the Cavs at home. No surprise, they didn't play their best game after that crushing loss, but they still managed to win at Brooklyn. I look for Washington to return to form here against the Pacers, who are primed for a letdown after a crushing 117-132 loss at home to Cleveland, which snapped their 7-game winning streak.

Indiana hasn't exactly been great on the road this season, as the Pacers are just 9-16 away from home. Washington on the other hand has been lights out at home. They had won 17 straight prior to the loss to the Cavs and are 22-7 at home on the season.

Pacers are just 3-15 ATS in their last 18 road games after scoring 110 or more in their previous game, while the Wizards are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 as a home favorite of 6 or less. Take Washington!

5* NBA Late Night Vegas Insider Top Play on Celtics +

Boston laid an egg in Sacramento last night, losing 82-108 as a 8.5-point favorite against a Kings team that was minus their best player in Boogie Cousins. Those performances are going to happen over an NBA season. The key here is that elite teams like the Celtics almost always bounce back after an ugly showing like that. I expect a completely different Boston team to show up tonight, especially with this game being a nationally televised contest on TNT.

This year's Blazers team still gets respect for how good they were a year ago, especially when playing at home, but the truth is they just aren't very good. Portland is only 14-11 SU at home on the season, which is the exact same record the Celtics have on the road. No rest for the Celtics has been no problem, as they are 42-17-1 ATS in their last 60 when playing on 0 days rest. They are also 9-3-2 ATS last 14 road games against a team with a winning home record. Take Boston!

4* NCAAB Undervalued Underdog on Nebraska +

I really like the value here with the Cornhuskers catching a decent amount of points at home against the Badgers. It's not been the season Nebraska was hoping for in Big Ten play, but this team has found a way to compete with some of the top teams in the conference. The Cornhuskers have road wins at both Indiana and Maryland, as well as a win at home against Purdue. I don't know that they can knock off the Badgers, but I wouldn't be surprised if they did.

Either way I'm expecting an all out effort here from Nebraska at home against a Top 10 team and wouldn't be shocked if Wisconsin struggled to match that intensity. Badgers have won 7 straight, but are just 2-4 ATS in their last 6. Cornhuskers are 39-18 ATS in their last 57 home games off 2 straight conference losses and 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 as a home dog of 7 to 12.5 points. Take Nebraska!

4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Blowout on West Virginia -

This might seem like a big number for the Mountaineers to be laying on the road, but I think this is a prime spot for West Virginia to lay it on the Sooners. The Mountaineers are going to be 100% locked in for this game. Not only are they looking to bounce back from a 75-82 home loss to Oklahoma State, but they also want revenge against the Sooners, who beat them at home 89-87 back on 1/18. It just so happens that was the last win for Oklahoma, who has dropped 5 straight. Sooners are a great home team, just 5-6 on the season and recently lost by 34 at home to Florida.

Oklahoma is a mere 8-20 ATS over the last 2 seasons when playing a good team that's won between 60% to 80% of their games. They are also a mere 3-12 ATS in their last 15 home games against a team that's forcing 18 or more turnovers after 15+ games and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games against good passing teams that are averaging 16 or more assists/game. Take West Virginia!

4* NBA Over/Under Total No Brainer on Heat/Bucks OVER

I think this total is a good 10-points lower than what it should be. The Heat are playing at a different level right now than they were just a few weeks ago. Miami only averages 100.7 ppg on the season, but have scored 100 or more in 9 straight games, eclipsing 115 points in each of their last 3. That trend doesn't figure to come to an end against a Bucks team that has allowed 100+ in 17 straight games and is mixing up the rotation with three new faces tonight.

While Miami figures to have no problem surpassing the 100-point mark, I think the Bucks could really light up the scoreboard here. The Heat are not the same team defensively on the road and the Bucks are locked in offensively right now. After putting up 117 at Denver, the hung 137 on the Suns the next night. These two played in Miami on 1/13 and combined for 224 points and I think we will see a similar type of output tonight. Take the OVER!

5* NCAAB Missouri Valley Game of the Month on Southern Illinois +

I really like the value here with the Salukis on the road against the Panthers. UNI has won 6 of their last 7, but most of those have come against the bottom half of the Missouri Valley. They do have a 58-57 win at Southern Illinois during this stretch, but I think that only adds to the value here with the Salukis in a big time revenge spot. Note that Southern Illinois only lost by 1-point and shot a mere 38.2% from the field, while UNI hit an uncharacteristic 47% (only shoot 40.7% on the season).

UNI failed to cover in their last game and are a mere 3-10 ATS in their last 13 after a game where they failed to cover the number and only 2-11 ATS in their last 13 against a team with a winning record. Salukis are also 13-2 ATS in their last 15 road games after allowing 30 points or less in the first half of 2 straight games.Take Southern Illinois!

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Vanderbilt +

The Commodores are showing some great value here as a short road dog against the Razorbacks. Arkansas comes in with the better record, but I just don't think they are all that great. I see two very evenly matched teams with a huge motivational edge to Vanderbilt, who hasn't forgot about a heartbreaking 70-71 loss at home to the Razorbacks on 1/24. Since that win Arkansas has lost by 28 at Oklahoma State and were just upset by SEC bottom feeder Missouri.

Vanderbilt has really played well on the road, especially in the SEC. Their last two on the highway resulted in big time wins at Florida and Texas A&M. The Commodores are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 against a team with a winning record, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 as an underdog and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games against a team with a wining home record. Take Vanderbilt!

4* NBA Over/Under Total Annihilator on Magic/Rockets OVER

I don't think the books have set the total high enough for tonight's showdown between the Rockets and Magic. On one side you have one the most dynamic and efficient offenses in the league in the Rockets and on the other you have one of the worst defensive teams in the NBA in the Magic, Houston is averaging 114.8 ppg at home and the Magic are giving up 108.2 ppg on the road. The Rockets should score close to 120-125 on their own, which means we just need an average offense night from the Magic to push this over the total.

I believe we will get at least that from Orlando and maybe some more. Given how bad the Magic have been this year and are playing at the moment, this isn't a game where the Rockets are going to choose to use up a ton of energy on the defensive side of the ball. OVER is 6-2 in the Rockets last 8 games against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games and 7-0 in the Magic's last 7 road games after losing 6 or 7 of their last 8. Take the OVER!

4* NCAAB Undervalued Underdog on Wake Forest +

The Demon Deacons are showing some great value here as a pretty good sized dog against the Fighting Irish. Notre Dame has lost 4 straight and 5 of 6 overall. I look for their struggles to continue here against a talented Wake Forest team that is playing with confidence off back-to-back wins. The Deacons are also a solid 5-2 ATS in their last 7.

Notre Dame held Georgia Tech to 69 points in their last game, but had allowed 79 or more in each of their previous 7. Wake Forest comes in averaging 81.6 ppg on the season and aren't far off at 80.2 ppg in conference play. The Deacons ability to score is going to make it hard for the Irish to turn this into a blowout and leaves open the possibility of an outright upset. Note that the Demon Deacons are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games against teams outscoring opponents by 8 or more points/game at least 15 games into the season and Notre Dame is only 10-23 ATS in their last 33 home games with a high total of 150 to 159.5. Take Wake Forest!

4* NBA Over/Under Total Dominator on Lakers/Knicks OVER

These two teams played back in December and combined for 230 points in a 118-112 Knicks win. I think we are going to see a similar scoring output here. Both of these teams have the ability to put up a lot of points and each rank in the top half of the league in pace. Each also come into this game in good form. Lakers have scored at least 107 in each of their last 3 and the Knicks are averaging 109.8 ppg over their last 5.

The big key here is that neither of these teams play much defense. In fact, both rank in the bottom 7 of the league in defensive efficiency. Lakers have allowed 113 or more in each of their last 3 games and the Knicks have allowed 100+ in 11 of their last 12. Add in this being a game played on Monday, where players just aren't always locked in and I think there's going to be zero defense played in this one. OVER is 13-4 in the Lakers last 17 road games when revenging a loss where they allowed 110 or more points. Take the OVER!

4* NBA Situational ATS Annihilator on Pacers -

I really like the value here with the Pacers as a short home favorite against the Thunder on Monday. Indiana is playing their best basketball of the season right now. They come in having won 6 straight and are 13-4 in their last 17 overall. On top of that they are one of the best in the league at home, where they are 19-6 on the season.

OKC continues to get a lot of respect from the books because of all the attention that's been given to Westbrook, but this is a pretty average team that I think is starting to wear down. This is definitely a tough spot for the Thunder, who will be playing on no rest and 3rd in the last 4 overall. OKC is just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games against a team with a winning home record and 2-11 ATS in their last 13 road games against the Central division. Take Indiana!

5* NBA Eastern Conference Total of the Month on Cavs/Wizards UNDER

I really like the value here with the total and this one going under the mark set by the books. This is a big time game. Cleveland is the team to beat in the Eastern Conference and the Wizards are playing as well as anyone right now. Washington is 14-2 over their last 16 and have won 17 straight at home. The Cavs are well aware of this and I expect them to try a send a massage to the Wizards, especially with this being a nationally televised prime time game on TNT.

The defensive numbers for Cleveland aren't great, but this is a team that can get after it on that side of the ball when they want to. They also have been playing much better on that side of the ball of late, allowing just 99.0 ppg over their last 4. Washington's defense has also been solid of late, giving up just 96.0 ppg over their last 5. UNDER is 14-4 in Cleveland's last 18 as a road dog. Take the UNDER!

4* NBA Situational ATS No Brainer on Clippers +

I like the value here with Los Angeles as a decently priced road dog against the Celtics on Super Bowl Sunday. The Clippers are a bit undervalued right now, as they have had to play two of their last 3 against the Warriors. LA was competitive in either game against Golden State, but that's to be expected without Chris Paul. Boston is another quality team, but no where close to the level of the Warriors.

I think we get a motivated and desperate Clippers team this afternoon. Not only do they want to get back to winning, but anytime their head coach goes up against his former team it means a little something extra. Note that Los Angeles is 5-1 in the series since Rivers left Boston for LA with the only loss by 5-points. Clippers are also 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 after a double-digit loss at home, while Boston is only 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games when playing 6 or more games in 10 days and 1-11 ATS in their last 12 after 4 or more consecutive wins. Take Los Angeles!

4* NCAAB Over/Under Total Annihilator on Notre Dame/UNC UNDER

I think the value here is with the UNDER on the total. This game was suppose to take place yesterday on North Carolina's home floor, but had to be moved and is now being played 50 miles out to the Greensboro Coliseum. The quick change in venue is big, as it keeps the Tar Heels off their home court and will likely have a negative impact on the scoring output of both teams. This is also a big time game and I expect both to bring the defensive intensity here. Notre Dame is only giving up 68.1 ppg and the Tar Heels aren't too far behind at 71.4 ppg.

North Carolina wants to protect their home court and are catching the Irish at the right time, as they have lost 3 straight. On the flip side of this, Notre Dame will come out and lay it all on the line here to not only snap the losing streak, but to get some revenge from losing to UNC in the East Regional Final of last year's NCAA Tournament. UNDER is 8-2 in the Tar Heels last 10 when playing a team that's won between 60% to 80% of their games and 12-3 in the Irish's last 15 off a conference loss. Take the UNDER!

4* NBA Late Night ATS Bailout on Kings +

I think the value here is clearly with the Kings as a massive home dog against the Warriors. Golden State is the best team in the league, but I just don't see them being all the interested in this one, as they get to return home an enjoy a 3-day break after this contest. Sacramento is going to treat this one like a Game 7 at home and are certainly capable of keeping it close. The Warriors really don't have an answer inside for Cousins. Look for him to have a big game here and for the Kings to keep this closer than people expect.

Kings are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 home games against a team that's won more than 60% of their road games, while the Warriors are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 against a team with a losing record and 2-10 ATS in their last 12 road games against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their home games. Take Sacramento!

4* NBA Over/Under Total No Brainer on Pistons/Pacers UNDER

I think we are getting some great value here on the UNDER in the total for tonight's game between the Pistons and Pacers. Both teams are coming off a win last night where they scored 100+ points. The thing is, the offense figures to be down a notch for both sides playing on no rest, and this being their 3rd game in 4 nights. On top of that, we have two division rivals, who are both playing well at the moment and desperately want a win here.

UNDER is 31-17 in the Pistons last 48 road games after playing their previous game against a team from the western conference. UNDER is also 29-9 in the Pacers last 38 when playing their 3rd game in 4 nights and 20-9 in their last 29 at home after a game where they covered the spread. Take the UNDER!

5* NCAAB SEC Total of the Year on Arkansas/Missouri OVER

Get ready for a shootout in Missouri this afternoon when the Tigers host the Razorbacks. These two teams played back on 1/14 in Arkansas and combined for 165 points in a 92-73 win by the Razorbacks. That was the fourth straight meeting between these two schools where they combined for at least 150 points and I don't see that trend coming to an end here.

Both of these teams are struggling to stop their opponents. Arkansas is allowing 77.4 ppg in conference play and the Tigers are giving up 79.6 ppg. I expect another strong showing offensively from the Razorbacks against this Missouri defense and for the Tigers to provide a little more punch offensively playing at home this time around.

OVER is 19-9 in Missouri's last 28 when revenging a loss and 9-1 when revenging a road loss of 10 or more points. OVER is also a perfect 6-0 this season in Tigers' games against an opponent that is shooting 45% or better from the field. Take the OVER!

4* NCAAB Undervalued Underdog on Oklahoma State +

I like the value here with the Cowboys catching double-digits on the road against the Mountaineers. These two teams played in Oklahoma State to open up Big 12 play and West Virginia embarrassed the Cowboys 92-75. I know that loss was aback on 12/30, but I can assure you Oklahoma State hasn't forgot about it and will be out for revenge here. The Cowboys come in having won 4 straight and have really been competitive in every Big 12 game since that loss to West Virginia.

The Mountaineers won't find it as easy to get motivated for Oklahoma State, given how easily they beat them on the road, plus they have to be feeling pretty good about themselves off 3 straight wins, including a 85-72 blowout win at ISU. I don't know that the Cowboys pull off the upset, but I expect this one to be a lot closer than the oddsmakers are suggesting. Take Oklahoma State!

4* NCAAB Situational ATS Shocker on UCF -

I really like the value here with the Knights as a short home favorite against the Tigers. UCF is way undervalued right now, due to having lost 4 straight. The thing is, three of those came on the road and the other was a mere 5-point loss at home to SMU. The Tigers are a quality team, but not on the same level as SMU. Adding extra incentive here is the fact that UCF will be out for revenge from a 65-70 loss at Memphis just a few weeks back.

It's also worth noting that the Knights are a rock solid 10-2 at home this season and are a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games on Saturday. Memphis on the other hand is 7-15 ATS in their last 22 as a dog of 6.5 or less points and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games against a team with a winning home record. Take UCF!

4* NBA Vegas ATS Shocker on Suns +

I like the value here with Phoenix as a road dog against the Kings. Sacramento will be playing for the first time since finishing up a grueling 8-game road trip that spanned just 12 days. So while they have had 2 days off since losing 83-105 at Houston, I look for them to be dealing with jetlag and a lack of motivation against a bad Phoenix team. Especially given they have a much bigger home game on deck against the Warriors tomorrow.

The Suns have lost 5 straight, but I like what I have seen from this team in those losses and think they are a great bet going forward. This is also a great matchup for Phoenix, as the Kings have struggled to guard the perimeter and that's clearly the strength of the Suns on the offensive side of the ball. Suns are also 31-19 ATS in their last 50 off a loss by 10 or more and the Kings are just 6-18 ATS in their last 24 when playing on 2 days of rest. Take Phoenix!

5* NBA Vegas Insider Total Top Play on Mavs/Blazers OVER

I believe the books have set the bar way too low for tonight's total between the Blazers and Mavericks. A big reason for the small total is the fact that the Mavericks are one of the worst offensive teams statistically at just 97.4 ppg. However, those numbers don't reflect how Dallas is playing right now. The Mavs are averaging 104.6 ppg over their last 5 and fresh off a 113-pt outburst against the 76ers.

Portland is a dynamic offensive team that comes in averaging 107.8 ppg on the season and is even better than that right now, putting up 114.0 ppg over their last 5. Defense has been the problem for the Blazers, as they are allowing 110.0 ppg. I see both teams easily eclipsing the 100-point mark and see this one finishing around the 215-210 range. Take the OVER!

4* NBA Situational ATS Annihilator on Pacers -

Indiana is finally playing like the team everyone expected to see to start the season and I look for them to have no problem blowing out the Nets on the road tonight. The Pacers have won 4 straight and are 11-4 in their last 15 overall. Brooklyn on the other hand is playing horrible basketball right now. The Nets have lost 7 straight and are 1-18 over their last 19 overall. Of those 18 defeats, 15 came by 7 or more points.

Indiana did lose at Brooklyn back in October, but haven't messed around in the two meetings since, beating the Nets 118-97 and 121-109. I see a very similar type of score here, as Brooklyn is a tired team and haven't performed in this situation. The Nets are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 when playing 8 or more games in a 14 day stretch. Take Indiana!

4* NCAAB Late Night ATS Annihilator on Stanford -

I really like the value here with the Cardinal laying a short number at home against the Buffaloes. I see this as a great spot to fade Colorado, who comes in off a surprising 74-65 win at home over Oregon as a 6.5-point dog. The thing is that wasn't a great spot for the Ducks, who had just played in the thin air of Utah and had to turn around and face a hungry Buffaloes squad. Colorado is also not nearly the same team on the road, where they are just 3-7 on the season.

Stanford isn't a top notch team by any means, but they are every bit as good as the Buffaloes and are a strong 7-3 at home. It's also worth pointing out that 5 of their 6 conference losses have come @ Oregon, @ Cal, @UCLA, @ USC and at home to Arizona. Colorado is 1-7 ATS off a home win and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 off 2 or more wins. Take Stanford!

4* NCAAB Undervalued Underdog on Oregon State +

I really like the value here on Oregon State as a massive home dog against Arizona. No secret here that the Wildcats are the better team, but this is all about the situation. The Beavers are going to give us a max effort at home against a Top 5 team. On the flip side of this, is extremely hard for Arizona to get up for this game, especially with a big road game at Oregon on deck. Arizona is 9-0 in the Pac-12 and the Ducks are right behind at 8-1. It's also the only regular season meeting, which only magnifies the game.

I think we get a not so focused Wildcats team and the Beavers do enough here to keep this competitive. Note that Oregon State has played well at home against some quality teams in the Pac-12. They lost by just 7 at home to USC, by only 13 at home to UCLA and by 11 to Cal. Arizona is 2-10 ATS in their last 12 road games after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games. Take Oregon State! 

5* NBA Prime Time  (TNT) Game of the Week on Rockets -

I know this look like a big number to lay on Houston, but I think the Rockets are poised to blowout the Hawks at home. Atlanta hasn't been playing well of late. They are just 2-3 in their last 5 and could easily be on 5-game skid, as they stole a 119-114 win at Chicago (trailed by double-digits with like 3 mins to go) and escaped with a 4-OT win at home over a struggling Knicks team 142-139. Atlanta also comes in on no rest after a 93-116 loss at Miami last night and I just don't think this team has the legs or confidence to keep pace with the Rockets.

Houston will be out to make a statement here. One because they want to send a message to Dwight Howard and the other to get revenge from an ugly 97-112 loss at Atlanta in November. Rockets are 15-6 when revenging a loss to an opponent this season and 16-6 ATS after playing their previous game at home. Take Houston!

4* NCAAB Late Night ATS No Brainer on USC -

I like the value here with the Trojans laying a short number here on the road against the Huskies. USC is 18-4 and fresh off an impressive 84-76 win over UCLA. The big key here is they have had time to let that win sink in, as it came last Wednesday. I look for the Trojans to carry over that momentum here against a Washington team that I think is overvalued because of star freshman Markelle Fultz, who many think will be the No. 1 overall pick. It's very similar to last year with LSU and Ben Simmons.

One NBA prospect doesn't make a team. Washington is just 9-13 overall and 2-7 in Pac-12 play. Not to mention the two conference wins are against Oregon State and Colorado. The Beavers haven't won a Pac-12 game to this point and the Buffs are just 2-7. Huskies are 9-22 ATS in their last 31 off a road cover where they lost the game outright as an underdog and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 off 2 or more consecutive road losses. Take USC!

4* NBA Situational ATS Annihilator on Mavericks -

I believe this is going to be a tough spot for the 76ers, who will once again be without their best player in Embiid. While Philadelphia has played well without him on the floor, they are no where close to the same team, especially on the road. The 76ers are only 6-14 at home on the season and in their last road game (without Embiid) they lost by 13 to a Bulls team that was on a free fall.

Dallas has been playing much better of late and I see no reason why not to ride their hot play. The Mavericks have won 4 of their last 5 and are 7-3 in their last 10. They just recently won at San Antonio and then beat Cleveland at home in back-to-back games. I don't see any letdown here from the Mavs. Take Dallas!

5* NBA Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Celtics -

I really like the value here with Boston at home against the Raptors. This is a key game for these two division rivals and right now just 1/2-game separates them. The key here is this is a really bad spot for the Raptors. Toronto is playing on no rest after a grueling 108-106 overtime game last night against the Pelicans, which saw Kyle Lowry log 45 minutes and all 5 starters with 30+. On top of that, they are short-handed right now with DeMar DeRozan sidelined.

Boston isn't going to care who the Raptors are paying, as they will be out for revenge. Toronto has already beat the Celtics twice this season, including a 101-94 win at Boston. I don't see that happening here, as the Celtics are playing very well right now, as they have won 4 straight and will be the much fresher team after a day off and no travel. Celtics are 31-16 ATS in their last 47 after a game where they made 12 or more 3-pointers and 14-4 ATS in their last 18 home games after a win by 6 or less. Take Boston!

4* NCAAB Undervalued Underdog on Drake +

I like the value here with the Bulldogs as a massive home dog against Wichita State. Drake isn't a great team, but have been playing much better of late. The Bulldogs are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 with the only two non-covers coming against in-state rival Northern Iowa. Drake just recently only lost by 14-points at Illinois State, who sits on top the MVC at 10-0. Speaking of the Redbirds, they are a key part to why I'm going against the Shockers.

Next up for Wichita State is a massive home game against Illinois State. The Shockers lost 62-76 on the road to the Redbirds, which is their only conference loss. If they want to win the MVC, they have to win that next game at home against Illinois State. That's going to make it that much harder for Wichita State to take this game seriously, especially given they already beat the Bulldogs by 25 at home. I think the Shockers come out flat an allow the Bulldogs to hang around and get the cover. Take Drake!

4* NCAAB Oddsmakers Error on NC State +

I really like the value here with the Wolfpack at basically a pick'em at home against Syracuse. On one side we have a NC State team that's going to be motivated to bounce back from an ugly 60-85 loss at No. 13 Louisville. On the other side, we have an Orange team primed for a letdown after a 82-72 win at home over then No. 6 Florida State. The other big key here is the home/away splits of these two teams. Syracuse is 0-7 SU and 0-7 ATS on the road, while the Wolfpack are 11-2 at home.

Another thing here is that I think this is a great matchup for NC State. Syracuse's zone can be challenging for teams that don't have great guard play to penetrate and get the Orange out of position. The Wolfpack have one of the elite point guards in the country in Dennis Smith Jr., who is averaging 19.0 ppg and 6.5 apg. Take NC State!

4* NBA Late Night Total No Brainer on Hornets/Blazers OVER

I think we are getting some great value on the total going over the mark in tonight's matchup between the Blazers and Hornets. Portland likes to get up and down the floor and should be able to dictate the tempo at home, where they are averaging 108.9 ppg and allowing 107.8 ppg. I don't see Charlotte having any problem playing at the Blazers pace, as the Hornets come in off 2 days of rest and are putting up 104.8 ppg on the road this season. Charlotte's defensive woes are a big reason they are 23-25 and they come in allowing 106.0 ppg on the road. I see both teams easily getting past the 100-point mark and believe it will end up somewhere in the 220's.

OVER is 22-8 in the Hornets last 30 road games after playing their previous game at home, 14-6 in the Blazers last 20 after going under the total in their last game and a perfect 8-0 in their last 8 after covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games. Take the OVER!

4* NCAAB Situational ATS Annihilator on Auburn Pick'em

I like the value here with the Tigers at a pick'em at home against the Volunteers. This line is low due to the fact that Tennessee comes in off 3 straight impressive wins. They defeated Miss State 91-74, then had the huge upset over Kentucky 82-80 as a 10.5-point dog and then this past Saturday defeated K-State 70-58 at home. The key is all 3 of those games came at home and I believe the Volunteers are now primed for a big time letdown on the road, where they are just 4-6 on the season and most recently lost by 11 at Ole Miss.

Auburn is a talented young team that is also playing well right now. The Tigers have won 3 of their last 4 and are 4-2 ATS in their last 6. Last time out they went on the road and beat TCU 88-80 as a 10-point dog. Auburn is also a strong 8-2 at home and are going to be excited about this one given the embarrassing 59-97 loss to the Volunteers in last year's SEC Tournament. Tennessee is just 10-26 ATS in their last 36 as a favorite and 3-12 ATS in their last 15 off an upset win as an underdog. Take Auburn!

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Iowa State +

I really like the value here with the Cyclones catching points at home in a primetime matchup against No. 7 West Virginia in a nationally televised game on ESPN2. Iowa State is one of the more difficult places to play in the country, especially in this type of an environment with a Top 10 team coming to down.

It's been an up and down season for the Cyclones, who just lost at Vanderbilt. ISU is 8-2 at home and the Mountaineers are just 5-3 on the road despite their 17-4 overall record. West Virginia also comes in off a 81-77 win over Texas A&M as a massive 15-point favorite and are now just 1-4 ATS in their last 5. This team has already lost at Texas Tech and Kansas State in Big 12 play and were lucky to escape with a 74-72 win at Texas. Cyclones are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games, 7-3 ATS in their last 10 vs the Big 12 and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 as an underdog. Take Iowa State!

4* NBA Over/Under Total Dominator on Kings/Rockets OVER

This might seem like a high total for tonight's matchup between the Kings and Rockets, but I don't see either team putting forth much effort on the defensive side of the ball in this one. Sacramento is playing on no rest, their 4th game in 5 nights and 8th straight on the road in a 12-day span. While the Rockets had yesterday off, they are dealing with jetlag after just returning home from a 5-game east coast trip.

On top of that, these two teams aren't exactly known for their defense and each is giving up a lot here of late. In fact, the Kings are allowing 111.8 ppg over their last 5 and the Rockets are allowing 116.0 ppg. At the same time, both offenses are scoring at will. Sacramento is averaging 112.8 ppg over their last 5 and Houston is even better at 113.2 ppg. Note that the Rockets average 115.3 ppg at home. Take the OVER!

4* NCAAB Undervalued Underdog on Boston College +

I like the value here with the Eagles catching a decent number at home against the Demon Deacons. Boston College has been undervalued for quite some time and it's resulted in them going 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games. They continued to be undervalued because of the fact that they have lost 5 straight and are 1-7 in their last 8 overall. The thing is, during this stretch, 5 of the losses are on the road and two were at home against elite teams in UNC and Virginia.

Wake Forest is a quality team, but certainly are not elite and I think they are getting way to much respect here, especially given the Demon Deacons have lost their last two and are coming off a crushing 83-85 loss at home to Duke. On top of that, the Eagles have revenge on their mind from a 66-79 loss at Wake Forest earlier this season. Eagles are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 and 8-1 ATS in their last 9 when revenging a loss. Take Boston College!

4* NBA Late Night Total Dominator on Grizzlies/Suns OVER

I really like the value here with the total in Monday's matchup between the Suns and Grizzlies. The game is being played in Phoenix and I look for the Suns to dictate the tempo here against a Memphis team that has to be tired, playing their 3rd road game in 4 nights.

The Grizzlies are thought of as a great defensive team, but I don't see the effort being there tonight and they are giving up 104.4 ppg on the road this season. Offensively, Memphis is better than people think and have scored 100+ in 7 of their last 8. Phoenix has scored and allowed at least 100 points in 10 straight games. Only once in those 10 games did they fail to combine for at least 210 points. Take the OVER!

5* NBA Vegas Insider Top Play on Nets +

I really like the value here with the Nets as a near double-digit dog against the Heat. I know Miami has won 7 straight, which includes a 109-106 win at Brooklyn, where they covered as a 2.5-point favorite. The thing is, the Nets blew an 18-point lead in that game. I'm just not buying the Heat being a team that deserves to be laying this many points against any team. Add in that last meeting against Brooklyn was just last week, revenge is going to be fresh in the minds of the Nets. Too much value to pass up on the Nets in this one. Take Brooklyn!

4* Duke/Notre Dame NCAAB ATS Annihilator on Notre Dame -

I like the value here with the Fighting Irish at basically a pick'em at home against the Blue Devils. Duke was able to win on the road at Wake Forest, but by a final of just 85-83. Now the Blue Devils have to turn around and go to Notre Dame on just 1-day of rest and face a pissed off Irish team that has lost two straight. This Irish team has not been intimidated by Duke, as they have won 4 of the last 5 meetings.

Given how much respect Duke gets and how the public loves to bet them, these small lines are typically ones where the books are trying to entice the public to back the Blue Devils. In fact, Duke is 0-7 ATS over the last 2 seasons in games with a line of +3 to -3. Take Notre Dame!

4* NBA Situational ATS No Brainer on Bulls -

There's been a lot of negative with the Bulls of late, but the team held a players meeting on Friday to straighten things out. I'm expecting one of Chicago's best performances of the season tonight against the 76ers. Philadelphia has been playing lights out of late, but will be without their heart and soul in Embiid. On top of that, the 76ers are running on fumes right now. This will be their 6th games in the last 10 days and they have to turn around and play against to tomorrow.

76ers are just 9-21 ATS in their last 30 road games after playing their previous game at home and 1-9 ATS in their last 10 after 3 straight games with a combined score of 20 or more. Bulls are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 home games after allowing 100 or more in 2 straight games. Take Chicago!

4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Annihilator on Northwestern -

I like the Wildcats to win and cover at home over Indiana tonight. Northwestern is playing lights out at the moment, as they come in having won 5 straight and are now 6-2 in Big Ten play. There's no letdown for this team, as they are trying to make the NCAA Tournament for the first time in school history. I expect another big time effort here at home against Indiana, who gets a lot of respect for being a great team, but is just 14-7 with a miserable 2-5 record away from home. Northwestern on the other hand is 17-4 and has a 11-1 record on their home floor, where they our outscoring teams 79.1 to 62.4.

Wildcats are 22-11 ATS in their last 33 off a home win, 9-2 ATS this season when listed as a favorite and 12-3 ATS in their last 15 off a SU win. Take Northwestern!

5* NCAAB Vegas No Limit Top Play on Michigan State -

I'm backing the Spartans as a short home favorite against in-state rival Michigan. This clearly isn't the same caliber of Michigan State team as years past, but it's still a Tom Izzo coached squad and they always keep improving as the season goes along. After a disappointing 73-84 home loss to Purdue, which was their 3rd in a row, we are going to get a max effort here from the Spartans. Michigan is going to come to play given the rivalry, but I don't trust them on the road. The Wolverines are just 2-5 away from home on the season, while Michigan State is 9-2 at home.

Michigan is also just 2-9 aTS in their last 11 road games when playing only their 2nd game in a week and an 0-6 ATS in their last 6 after 2 or more conference wins. Spartans are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home game after losing 4 of their last 5. Take Michigan State!

4* NCAAB Late Night BAILOUT on Colorado +

I'm going to jump on the points with the Buffaloes at home against the Ducks. I know Oregon is the better team and coming off an impressive win at Utah, but I just think the books are begging for you to take the Ducks here. Colorado defeated Oregon State in their last game, but had lost 7 straight prior to that. Needless to say this isn't a team the public will trust in this spot.

The thing is, we know we are going to get a max effort from the Buffaloes here against Oregon. On the flip side of this, the Ducks could struggle to match that intensity. That's because they are playing their second road game in just 3 days and both road games are in the thin air of Utah and Colorado. Take the Buffaloes!

4* NBA Heavy Hitter ATS Blowout on Suns -

I really like the value here with Phoenix as a short home favorite against the Nuggets. These two teams just played on Thursday in Denver, which the Nuggets squeaked out 127-120. That has the Suns in prime position to get revenge with this meeting coming on their home court. At the same time, the Nuggets will be without a key player here, as Jokic was injured in that win over the Suns and won't be available. Denver also figures to be without Mudiay for this one.

Suns are 27-13 ATS in their last 40 home games off a SU loss and 21-5-1 ATS in their last 27 after failing to cover the spread in their previous game. Take Phoenix!

4* NCAAB Big Ten Game of the Week on Iowa -

The Hawkeyes have been an up and down team, as you would expect given all the freshman they are playing. Iowa has hit a minor bump of late with 3 straight losses and I think it has them primed for a big time performance at home, where they are a completely different team. Ohio State has won 3 of their last 4, but this isn't an elite team by any means and are vulnerable on the road.

In fact, the Buckeyes are a mere 2-10 ATS in their last 12 road games on Saturday. Ohio State is also just 3-11 ATS in their last 14 after covering the spread in 3 of their last 4 games. Hawkeyes are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 home games. Take Iowa!

4* NBA Over/Under Total No Brainer on Kings/Hornets UNDER

My money is on the Kings and Hornets to go under the mark set by the books on Saturday. Neither team is going to be looking to push the pace here. The Kings have to be running on fumes right now. Sacramento is playing their 6th straight road game in a span of just 9 days and this one comes on no rest after an overtime loss at Indiana last night. The Hornets haven't had to deal with as much travel, but are also playing for the 6th time in 9 days and on no rest after an ugly loss last night at New York. I look for both teams to come out flat and both offenses to struggle to score enough to push this over the mark.

UNDER is 4-1 in the Kings last 5 when playing on no rest, 6-2 in their last 8 after a SU loss and 11-5 in their last 16 road games against a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. UNDER is also 7-1 in the Hornets last 8 overall, 4-1 in their last 5 off a SU loss and 5-0 in their last 5 home games against a team with a losing road record. Take the UNDER!

4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Annihilator on Minnesota -

I'm backing the Golden Gophers at home against the Terrapins. Some might wonder why Minnesota is this big of a favorite against a Maryland team that is 18-2 overall and 6-1 in the conference, especially with the Gophers coming in having lost 4 straight and just 3-5 in the Big 10. The thing is, Maryland isn't quite as good as their record would lead on, as they have been very fortunate in close games. Minnesota on the other hand is much better than their recent skid would suggest and this has the feeling of a must-win game for the Gophers at home. I just don't see Maryland being able to match that intensity.

Terrapins are just 12-25 ATS in their last 37 road games after covering as a double-digit favorite and 4-15 ATS in their last 19 road games after covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games. Take Minnesota!

4* NCAAB Situational Undervalued Underdog on Providence +

I think we are getting some great value here with the Friars catching a big number on the road against the Golden Eagles. Marquette is ripe for a letdown after their improbable 74-72 win at home over No. 1 Villanova, which they erased a 17-point deficit. Providence on the other hand is primed for a big time effort here, as they look to avoid a 3rd straight loss and bounce back from a disappointing home loss to St. John's. I think the Friars keep this close throughout and wouldn't be shocked if they pulled of the upset.

Marquette is just 4-12 ATS in their last 16 home games against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games and 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 as a favorite of 7-12.5 points. Friars are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 as a road dog and 4-1 in their last 5 against a team with a winning record. Take Providence!

5* NCAAB Non-Conference Game of the Month on Kansas State +

I really like the value here with the Wildcats getting points against the Volunteers. Tennessee is getting a lot of love here after their shocking 82-80 win at home over Kentucky as a 10.5-point dog. For whatever reason the Vols have had Kentucky's number of late. The thing is, this is still a mediocre team and I look for them to suffer a letdown here against K-State.

The Wildcats are in good shape to make the NCAA Tournament, but are far from a lock and could really use this road win to boost that resume. I don't think that will be a problem for K-State, who has played very well on the road against some good teams and hungry for a win off a loss to ISU. Volunteers are 2-14 ATS in their last 14 off an upset win as an underdog and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 when off an upset win against a conference opponent. Tennessee is also 6-21 ATS in their last 27 as a home favorite or pick and 4-13 ATS in their last 17 vs the Big 12. Take Kansas State!

4* NBA Over/Under Total Annihilator on Nets/Cavs OVER

I'm expecting a lot of points on the scoreboard in this one. Cleveland failed to win after LeBron called out ownership, losing in overtime at home to the Kings. The problem was the defense and I just don't see the Cavs being locked in on that side of the ball here. Cleveland is playing on fumes right now and aren't going to waste up their energy with a much bigger home game on deck Sunday against the Thunder.

Cleveland hasn't had any problem scoring of late, as they ahve put up 112 or more in each of their last 4 games. There's a good chance that trend continues against the Nets, who are allowing a ridiculous 117.3 ppg on the road this season. Brooklyn likes to play at a fast pace and that should allow them to take advantage of this tired Cleveland defense and do enough here to push it over the mark. Take the OVER! 

5* NBA Situational Vegas Insider Top Play on Hornets -

I look for the Hornets to take care of the Knicks tonight. Charlotte comes in off back-to-back losses. The last one was a hard fought defeat at home to the Warriors. The other was against the Wizards, who are playing as well as anyone right now. I believe it has the Hornets in a prime bounce back spot against a Knicks team that has lost its way.

New York has gone 4-14 over their last 18 games and the trade rumors with Melo aren't going to help turn this around. That's more of a sign that the team is throwing in the towel on this season. New York is just 13-26 ATS in their last 39 as a home underdog of 6 or less and the road team has gone 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings in the series. Take Charlotte! 

4* NBA No Doubt ATS Blowout on Pacers -

I like the value here with Indiana as a short home favorite against the Kings. The Pacers snapped a 3-game losing streak with a 109-103 win at Minnesota last night and I look for them to carry over that momentum tonight at home where they are 16-6 on the season. These two teams recently met in Sacramento and the Pacers turned a 19-point deficit into a 6-point victory. I just don't think the Kings will have much of an answer here, as they are primed for a letdown after that improbably overtime win at Cleveland, plus this is now their 5th straight game on the road.

Kings are just 11-23 ATS in their last 34 road games when revenging a home loss, 3-12 in their last 15 after scoring 100 or more points in their previous game and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 following a SU win. Take Indiana!

5* NCAAB Pac-12 Game of the Month on Utah -

I really like the value here with the Utes laying a short number at home against the Ducks. Oregon comes in ranked No. 10 and have won 16 straight, so the public is going to be all over them against an unranked Utah team. That's even with the Ducks best player in Dillon Brooks questionable to play. This Utah team has been playing exceptional basketball and I firmly believe they are one of the 15 best teams in the country right now. They are 7-2 in their last 9 with their two losses being a 10-point defeat at Arizona and 1-point loss at home to UCLA. Oregon is due for a bad game and Utah is not an easy place to play. I think the Utes take control of this game and win here going away.

Utah is 15-6 ATS over the last 3 seasons in conference home games, 5-0 in their last 5 as a home favorite of 6.5 points or less, 11-2 in their last 13 home games after 2 straight wins by 20 or more points and 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games after a game where they made 50% or more of their 3-point shots. Take Utah!

4* NBA Over/Under Total Annihilator on Mavs/Thunder UNDER

I'm expecting a low-scoring game here when the Thunder host the Mavericks tonight. Both of these teams are running on fumes right now. Dallas will be playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set and will have to so without several key pieces. Wesley Matthews, Deron Williams, Dirk Nowitzki and Jose Barea are all out for this contest. As for the Thunder, they too are playing on no rest, plus are going to be dealing with some jetlag after just wrapping up a lengthy 6-game road trip. Neither team is going to be looking to push the pace here and the shots from long distance won't be falling like they normally would. Not to mention, Dallas knows they can't run up and down the floor with OKC and will really try to slow this game to a snails pace.

UNDER is 10-1 in the Mavericks last 11 after scoring 100 or more points in their previous game, 12-3 in their last 15 games on Thursday and 4-0 in their last 4 road games against a team with a winning home record. UNDER is also 6-2 in OKC's last 8 after a win and 12-3 in their last 15 home games when playing 4 or less games in days. Take the UNDER!