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Basketball Archive
Date	Match Up	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Lead Time	Analysis
12-01-20	Green Bay +25 v. Wisconsin		42-82	Loss	-110	7 h 13 m	Show
3* BEST BET on Green Bay +25 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
12-01-20	Oakland +22.5 v. Purdue		50-93	Loss	-110	5 h 13 m	Show
3* BEST BET on Oakland +22½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-30-20	Pacific v. Nevada -4		58-70	Win	100	12 h 46 m	Show
4* MAJOR on Nevada -4 -103 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-30-20	Auburn +1.5 v. UCF		55-63	Loss	-110	10 h 45 m	Show
4* MAJOR on Auburn +1½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-30-20	Texas v. Davidson +8.5	Top	78-76	Win	100	3 h 46 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Davidson +8½ -105 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-29-20	Texas Tech v. Houston +3		53-64	Win	100	8 h 3 m	Show
3* BEST BET on Houston +3 -105 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-29-20	Florida A&M v. Georgia -19	Top	75-85	Loss	-109	5 h 53 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Georgia -19 -109 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-29-20	South Carolina -1 v. Tulsa		69-58	Win	100	4 h 32 m	Show
3* BEST BET on South Carolina -1 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-28-20	Texas-San Antonio -3 v. UT-Rio Grande Valley		64-81	Loss	-110	8 h 24 m	Show
4* MAJOR on Texas-San Antonio -3 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-28-20	CS-Northridge v. Air Force UNDER 149	Top	61-66	Win	100	8 h 24 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on CS-Northridge/Air Force under 149 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-27-20	Cal-Irvine +13.5 v. San Diego State	Top	58-77	Loss	-108	9 h 56 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Cal-Irvine +13½ -108 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-27-20	Bryant +23 v. Syracuse		84-85	Win	100	5 h 56 m	Show
3* BEST BET on Bryant +23 -108 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-27-20	Sam Houston State +31 v. Texas Tech		52-84	Loss	-110	4 h 56 m	Show
3* BEST BET on Sam Houston State +31 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-26-20	Auburn -7.5 v. St. Joe's	Top	96-91	Loss	-103	7 h 53 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Auburn -7½ -103 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-26-20	East Tennessee State v. Austin Peay -4.5	Top	66-67	Loss	-112	5 h 32 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Austin Peay -4½ -112 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-26-20	Gonzaga v. Kansas OVER 150		102-90	Win	100	4 h 39 m	Show
4* MAJOR on Gonzaga/Kansas over 150 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-26-20	Bradley v. Xavier -9		50-51	Loss	-110	3 h 32 m	Show
4* MAJOR on Xavier -9 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-25-20	Tennessee Tech v. Indiana -21		59-89	Win	100	11 h 34 m	Show
3* BEST BET on Indiana -21 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-25-20	West Virginia -9 v. South Dakota State		79-71	Loss	-110	20 h 36 m	Show
4* MAJOR on West Virginia -9 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-25-20	Illinois-Chicago +2 v. Northern Illinois		65-61	Win	100	10 h 34 m	Show
4* MAJOR on Illinois-Chicago +2 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-25-20	Arizona State v. Rhode Island +8	Top	94-88	Win	100	20 h 36 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Rhode Island +8 -108 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-25-20	Western Carolina v. NC-Wilmington OVER 149		98-76	Win	100	7 h 34 m	Show
3* BEST BET on Western Carolina/NC-Wilmington over 149 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-11-20	Lakers -5 v. Heat	Top	106-93	Win	100	9 h 49 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Lakers -5 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-06-20	Lakers v. Heat +8	Top	102-96	Win	100	4 h 27 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Heat +8 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-04-20	Lakers v. Heat +9.5	Top	104-115	Win	100	2 h 9 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Heat +9½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-02-20	Heat +10.5 v. Lakers	Top	114-124	Win	100	2 h 16 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Heat +10½ -115 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-30-20	Heat v. Lakers -4.5	Top	98-116	Win	100	4 h 6 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Lakers -4½ -107 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-27-20	Celtics -3 v. Heat	Top	113-125	Loss	-102	9 h 56 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Celtics -3 -102 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-24-20	Lakers v. Nuggets +6.5	Top	114-108	Win	100	5 h 4 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Nuggets +6½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-19-20	Celtics v. Heat +3	Top	117-106	Loss	-110	21 h 38 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Heat +3 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-15-20	Heat v. Celtics -1.5		117-114	Loss	-105	2 h 15 m	Show
3* BEST BET on Celtics -1½ -105 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-12-20	Rockets +6.5 v. Lakers		96-119	Loss	-105	8 h 5 m	Show
3* BEST BET on Rockets +6½ -105 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-10-20	Lakers v. Rockets UNDER 219.5	Top	110-100	Win	100	6 h 6 m	Show
5* BEST BET on Lakers/Rockets under 219½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-08-20	Heat v. Bucks +4.5		103-94	Loss	-105	3 h 38 m	Show
4* BEST BET on Bucks +4½ -105 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-07-20	Celtics v. Raptors +2		111-89	Loss	-110	6 h 54 m	Show
3* BEST BET on Raptors +2 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-06-20	Bucks +2.5 v. Heat		118-115	Win	100	5 h 37 m	Show
3* BEST BET on Bucks +2½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-05-20	Nuggets +9 v. Clippers		110-101	Win	100	11 h 44 m	Show
3* BEST BET on Nuggets +9 -105 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-04-20	Bucks v. Heat +5.5		100-115	Win	100	7 h 43 m	Show
4* BEST BET on Heat +5½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-03-20	Nuggets v. Clippers -8.5		97-120	Win	100	10 h 25 m	Show
3* BEST BET on Clippers -8½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-02-20	Heat v. Bucks -5.5		116-114	Loss	-105	4 h 38 m	Show
4* BEST BET on Bucks -5½ -105 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-01-20	Celtics v. Raptors -1.5		102-99	Loss	-105	7 h 5 m	Show
3* BEST BET on Raptors -1½ -105 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
08-31-20	Rockets v. Thunder OVER 225.5		100-104	Loss	-101	29 h 20 m	Show
3* BEST BET on Rockets/Thunder over 225½ -101 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
08-29-20	Thunder +5 v. Rockets		80-114	Loss	-105	8 h 58 m	Show
4* BEST BET on Thunder +5 -105 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
08-25-20	Mavs v. Clippers -6.5		111-154	Win	100	10 h 14 m	Show
4* BEST BET on Clippers -6½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
08-24-20	Lakers v. Blazers +7.5		135-115	Loss	-110	10 h 36 m	Show
3* BEST BET on Blazers +7½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
08-23-20	Clippers -8 v. Mavs		133-135	Loss	-110	4 h 25 m	Show
4* BEST BET on Clippers -8 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
08-21-20	Nuggets v. Jazz +1.5		87-124	Win	100	5 h 29 m	Show
4* BEST BET on Jazz +1½ -105 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
08-20-20	Magic v. Bucks -12.5		96-111	Win	100	7 h 28 m	Show
4* BEST BET on Bucks -12½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
08-19-20	Mavs +6.5 v. Clippers		127-114	Win	100	8 h 32 m	Show
4* BEST BET on Mavs +6½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
08-18-20	Heat v. Pacers +4.5		113-101	Loss	-105	4 h 35 m	Show
4* BEST BET on Pacers +4½ -105 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
08-17-20	Jazz v. Nuggets UNDER 216	Top	125-135	Loss	-110	5 h 8 m	Show
5* BEST BET on Jazz/Nuggets under 216 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
08-14-20	Nuggets +3.5 v. Raptors		109-117	Loss	-110	2 h 25 m	Show
4* BEST BET on Nuggets +3½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
08-13-20	Kings v. Lakers -4		136-122	Loss	-110	3 h 5 m	Show
3* BEST BET on Lakers -4 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
08-12-20	Heat -1.5 v. Thunder		115-116	Loss	-110	9 h 25 m	Show
3* BEST BET on Heat -1½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
08-11-20	Bucks v. Wizards +8		126-113	Loss	-110	10 h 10 m	Show
3* BEST BET on Wizards +8 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
08-10-20	Pacers v. Heat -4		92-114	Win	100	3 h 43 m	Show
3* BEST BET on Heat -4 -105 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
08-09-20	76ers +150 v. Blazers	Top	121-124	Loss	-100	10 h 50 m	Show
5* BEST BET on 76ers +150 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
08-06-20	Clippers v. Mavs UNDER 230.5		126-111	Loss	-110	9 h 57 m	Show
3* BEST BET on Clippers/Mavs under 230½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
08-05-20	Nets v. Celtics -8.5		115-149	Win	100	10 h 57 m	Show
4* BEST BET on Celtics -8½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
08-05-20	Nuggets v. Spurs OVER 225		132-126	Win	100	5 h 56 m	Show
3* BEST BET on Nuggets/Spurs over 225 -113 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
08-04-20	Celtics v. Heat +145	Top	106-112	Win	145	6 h 26 m	Show
5* BEST BET on Heat +145 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
08-03-20	Nuggets v. Thunder -6		121-113	Loss	-110	4 h 28 m	Show
3* BEST BET on Thunder -6 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
08-02-20	Wizards v. Nets UNDER 236	Top	110-118	Win	100	7 h 49 m	Show
5* BEST BET on Wizards/Nets under 236 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
08-01-20	76ers v. Pacers OVER 211.5		121-127	Win	100	60 h 50 m	Show
3* BEST BET on 76ers/Pacers over 211½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
07-31-20	Kings v. Spurs OVER 216	Top	120-129	Win	100	37 h 51 m	Show
5* BEST BET on Kings/Spurs over 216 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
07-30-20	Clippers v. Lakers -4	Top	101-103	Loss	-110	23 h 40 m	Show
5* BEST BET on Lakers -4 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
07-30-20	Jazz v. Pelicans OVER 224.5		106-104	Loss	-106	11 h 25 m	Show
3* BEST BET on Jazz/Pelicans over 224½ -106 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
05-05-20	76ers GC -2.5 v. Raptors Uprising GC	Top	56-79	Loss	-115	1 h 60 m	Show
5* BEST BET on 76ers GC -2½ -115 Analysis will be posted shortly
03-11-20	DePaul v. Xavier -4.5	Top	71-67	Loss	-110	12 h 9 m	Show
5* NCAAB - Big East PLAY OF THE MONTH on Xavier -4½ -110 Easy play here on the Musketeers as a small favorite against DePaul in the opening round of the Big East Tournament. Xavier won both meetings between the two teams in the regular season. They won the first meeting on the road by 8 and then by 9 at home. Both times the Musketeers defense made it tough on the Blue Demons to score. I see no reason to expect a different outcome, especially given how bad DePaul has been in the Big East Tournament under head coach Dave Leitao. Blue Demons have made 4 appearances under Leitao and have lost all 4, going just 1-3 ATS in those games. DePaul is also just 4-15 ATS last 19 as a neutral court dog of 6 or less. Another key factor here is motivation. Xavier absolutely has to have this game and likely at least one more to have a legit shot at an at-large bid (currently projected as one of the first four teams out). Musketeers could also catch a big break, as DePaul's top player Paul Reed has missed the last 3 and is listed as questionable. Take Xavier!
03-11-20	Iona v. St. Peter's -2	Top	54-56	Push	0	11 h 11 m	Show
5* NCAAB - Late Night NO-BRAINER Top Play on St. Peter's -2 -115 Easy play here on the Peacocks as a slim 2-point favorite against the Gaels in Wednesday's quarterfinal matchup out of the MAAC Tournament. St. Peter's has a big edge in rest in this one. Peacocks haven't played since beating Iona in the regular-season finale last Friday. The Gaels on the other hand had to open up MAAC Tournament play yesterday against Canisius. While Iona won and covered against Canisius as a 4.5-point favorite, the Gaels are just 1-5 ATS last 6 as a neutral site underdog. As for St. Peter's, they are headed into postseason play on a roll. Peacocks went 11-2 over their last 13 games. St. Peter's is 16-5 ATS last 21 off a SU win and have covered 6 straight games on a neutral floor. Peacocks were tops in the MAAC in both defensive efficiency and effective field goal defense. They allowed just 62.4 ppg on 39.9% shooting in conference play. Iona has not fared well agaisnt strong defensive teams, going just 2-8 ATS this season vs teams who held opponents to 42% or worse from the field. Take St. Peter's!
03-11-20	Nuggets -1.5 v. Mavs		97-113	Loss	-109	10 h 32 m	Show
4* NBA - Sharp Money HEAVY HITTER on Nuggets -1½ -109 The fact that Denver is favored on the road against the Mavs really tells you all you need to know. The books set this line, knowing the betting public will be all over Dallas at this price. They are making it pretty clear that they like the Nuggets to win this game and I agree. This is not a good spot at all for the Mavs, who have not been playing well. Dallas has lost two straight and are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games. Big key here is the Mavs will be playing on no rest after last night's 109-119 loss at San Antonio. It's also their 3rd game in 4 nights. Dallas is also just 3-8-1 ATS last 12 games vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games and are 0-7 ATS last 7 games at home vs a team with a winning road record. Take Denver!
03-11-20	Washington +5.5 v. Arizona		70-77	Loss	-105	8 h 9 m	Show
4* NCAAB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Washington +5½ -105 I like the value here with the Huskies as a decently priced dog in their first round matchup against Arizona in the Pac-12 Tournament. Washington ended up finishing last in the Pac-12, but were far from the worst team in the conference. Huskies are sitting 53rd in KenPom's rankings, which is better than 7 other teams in the Pac-12. You also have to like how Washington closed out the regular-season, winning 3 of their last 4 games, including a 69-63 win on the road at Arizona in the finale. Huskies really should have swept the Wildcats, as they gave away a game at home to Arizona in a 72-75 loss. Covering on a neutral site has been a big problem for Arizona. Wildcats are 0-7 ATS last 7 neutral site games and 0-6 ATS last 6 as a favorite. Arizona is also just 2-10 ATS last 12 on the road off a loss. Underdog has covered 5 of the last 6 meetings in the series. Take Washington!
03-11-20	Pittsburgh v. NC State -4.5	Top	58-73	Win	100	4 h 6 m	Show
5* NCAAB - Early Bird NO LIMIT Top Play on NC State -4½ -110 Easy play here on the Wolfpack as a small favorite in Wednesday's action out of the ACC Tournament. NC State got a first round bye and will have a big rest advantage here over Pitt, who had to play yesterday against Wake Forest. Panthers were able to knock off the Demon Deacons 81-72 in a high-scoring game and while they needed a late 2nd half run to pull away. Pitt just doesn't have the depth to play well on no rest. Panthers basically only play 7 guys and 4 of those logged 35+ minutes on Tuesday. Makings matters even worse is the fact that NC State likes to run, as they finished 3rd in the ACC in tempo. Pitt ranked just 10th in the ACC in defensive efficiency and were 14th in effective field goal defense. The only thing that really saved them is turnovers, but that's negated here by a NC State team that had the 5th best turnover rate in the conference. I not only think the Wolfpack cover the small spread, I like them to win here in a blowout. Take NC State!
03-10-20	Mavs -3 v. Spurs		109-119	Loss	-109	10 h 54 m	Show
3* NBA - No Doubt VEGAS ATS BLOWOUT on Mavs -3 -109 The Mavs are definitely worth a look as a slim road favorite at San Antonio. These two teams have already met three times this season and Dallas has won all three meetings. I look for them to no have no problem finishing off the season sweep against the short-handed Spurs. San Antonio is down their top two big men in LaMarcus Aldridge and Jakob Poeltl. They area also going to be without another key contributor in Dejounte Murray. Dallas should be able to dominate the glass in this one. Not to mention their offense should pick apart a bad Spurs defense that is giving up 121 ppg on 49% shooting over their last 5 games. Mavs are 19-6-1 ATS last 26 off a loss and 16-4-1 ATS last 21 as a road favorite. They have also covered 11 of the last 14 meetings with the Spurs. Take Dallas!
03-10-20	Pittsburgh v. Wake Forest +1		81-72	Loss	-108	6 h 20 m	Show
3* NCAAB - Early Afternoon ATS ANNIHILATOR on Wake Forest +1 -108 No reason to overthink this one. Pitt finished the regular-season on a 7-game losing streak and 5 of the 7 defeats came by double-digits. Hard to believe this team was once sitting at 4-4 in ACC play (finished 6-14). I get Wake Forest had the same record in ACC play, but unlike Pitt they played awful at the beginning of the year and got better as the season went on. Demon Deacons started out just 2-8 in league play before a 4-6 finish that included a win over Duke. Not to mention Wake Forest went into Pitt and beat the Panthers in the only meeting between the two. No a big concern for revenge, as Pitt is just 10-23 ATS last 33 when revenging a loss. Panthers are also 3-14 ATS last 17 when they come in having lost 2 or more games in a row. Demon Deacons are 6-0-1 ATS last 7 games on a neutral floor. Take Wake Forest!
03-09-20	IUPU Ft Wayne +2 v. North Dakota	Top	56-73	Loss	-103	10 h 59 m	Show
5* NCAAB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER Top Play on IUPU Ft Wayne +2 -103 Easy play here on the Mastodons at basically a pick'em against North Dakota in the semifinals of the Summit Conference Tournament. IUPU Ft. Wayne followed up their strong showing on the road in the regular-season finale (lost by 6 at Oral Roberts as a 10.5-point dog) with a 77-74 win over South Dakota State on Saturday as a 7-point dog. The Mastodons are now a strong 4-1 ATS last her last 5 games as a dog. They are also 28-13 ATS last 41 off an outright win as a dog. The Fighting Hawks also won as a dog in their first game of the Summit Tournament, but they are just 1-5 STS last 6 off a SU win. Big factor here that favors IUPU Ft Wayne is that North Dakota does not force a lot of turnovers. Fighting Hawks rank just 337th in the country in defensive turnover rate. That's huge for a Mastodons offense that doesn't have a traditional true point guard. Take Ft Wayne!
03-09-20	Hornets +4.5 v. Hawks		138-143	Loss	-110	9 h 1 m	Show
4* NBA - Sharp Money HEAVY HITTER on Hornets +4½ -110 Easy play here on the Hornets as a decently priced road dog against the Hawks. Charlotte has really been playing some of their best basketball over the last month. Hornets are 6-5 SU over their last 11 games. Even more important is they are covering the number. Charlotte has cashed a winning ticket in 6 straight games and 9 of their last 11 overall. Most recently beating the Rockets 108-99 as a 8-point dog. As for the Hawks, they come in having lost and failed to cover 3 straight. Atlanta will have the home court edge, but will be playing their 3rd game in 4 nights and have several guys banged up or dealing with a bit of the flu bug. Jeff Teague, De'Andre Hunter and DeAndre Bembry are all questionable to play. Hornets have gone 15-5 ATS this season vs bad teams like the Hawks who have won between 25% to 40% of their games. Take Charlotte!
03-09-20	Western Michigan v. Toledo -8.5	Top	73-76	Loss	-110	10 h 39 m	Show
5* NCAAB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Toledo -8½ -110 The Rockets are definitely worth a look to cover the spread at home against Western Michigan. Toledo finished with a mere 8-10 record in MAC play, but that's a bit misleading in terms of how the Rockets are playing. Toledo has won 5 of their last 7 games, which includes a 9-point road win over Western Michigan. While the Rockets are surging to the finish line, Western Michigan went just 2-6 over their final 8 games. Broncos ended the year with an ugly 68-85 loss to rival Central Michigan, who came into that game on a 9-game losing streak. Rockets went 4-1 ATS over their last 5 games and the favorite has covered 5 of the last 6 in the series. Broncos are 0-4 ATS last 4 as a road dog. Take Toledo!
03-08-20	Raptors v. Kings UNDER 228.5		118-113	Loss	-110	10 h 26 m	Show
3* NBA - Late Night Total ANNIHILATOR on Raptors/Kings under 228½ -110 I really like the UNDER in Sunday's late night NBA action that has the Raptors visiting the Kings. Toronto's offense has been potent here of late, scoring 118 or more in each of their last 3, but the last two came against the Suns and Warriors. I just think we are going to see a bit of an uninterested Raptors' team in this one. This will be Toronto's 4th straight on the road in their 5-game west coast trip, which concludes with a much bigger game tomorrow night in Utah. Kings also figure to be playing at a much slower pace than normal, as they will be on no rest after a up-tempo game last night in Portland. Sacramento also just got back one of their top defensive players in Richaun Holmes. Take the UNDER!
03-08-20	Heat -4.5 v. Wizards		100-89	Win	100	9 h 34 m	Show
3* NBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Heat -4½ -110 I know Miami has had their struggles on the road this season, but I just feel like this is too good a price to pass up with the Heat. Washington is somehow still in the playoff mix and are fresh off a win and cover at home against Atlanta. I think it has the Wizards getting to much love here against what I expect to be a desperate Heat team off a loss at New Orleans. Miami has been a good team to back off a loss, going 15-6 ATS after defeat this season. Washington is also a team they have had a lot of success against. Heat are 25-9-2 ATS in their last 36 trips to DC. Wizards just 1-4-1 ATS last 6 off a win and 1-7 ATS last 8 times they have had to play on Sunday. Take Miami!
03-08-20	Tulsa v. Wichita State -6.5		57-79	Win	100	6 h 32 m	Show
4* NCAAB - Sharp Money HEAVY HITTER on Wichita State -6½ -110 Most will be looking to take the points here with Tulsa. The Golden Hurricanes can clinch the outright AAC regular-season title with a win and already beat Wichita State at home earlier this season. Much like the books, I'm not a believer in Tulsa. I look for the Shockers to win big here at home, where they are 12-2 on the season. Wichita State is also 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games against the Golden Hurricane. I just don't see Tulsa being able to score enough to keep it close. Golden Hurricane are only averaging 63.5 ppg on 41% shooting from the field and 25% from deep on the road this season. Take Wichita State!
03-08-20	East Carolina v. UCF -7.5	Top	62-94	Win	100	5 h 39 m	Show
5* NCAAB - Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on UCF -7½ -110 Easy play here on UCF at home against the Pirates, as the Knights should have no problem winning by double-digits in this one. East Carolina is a mere 3-11 over tehir last 14 games and just got annihilated on their home floor 84-63 by UConn. UCF won the first meeting between these two by just 4 at ECU, but that game felt a lot more lopsided. Knights shot 48% to the Pirates 41% and were even on the boards, free throws and turnovers. Seeing how ECU is just 2-11 on the road and giving up 75 ppg away from home, this one figures to get ugly in a hurry. Pirates are 2-10 ATS over the last 3 seasons in toad games against a marginal winning team that has won between 51% to 60% of their games and are losing in this spot by an 15.5 ppg. Take UCF!
03-07-20	76ers v. Warriors +2.5		114-118	Win	100	10 h 4 m	Show
3* NBA - Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Warriors +2½ -110 This is just too good a price to pass up with Golden State. The Warriors are a team that just got back their best player in Steph Curry and despite a sub-par shooting night, he still managed to score 25 in his first game back from injury. I think Curry makes GS a dangerous team, as I think we are going to see his return spark the entire team into playing well. It's hard to not like them in this spot. 76ers were able to win at Sacramento last time out, but no way can this team be trusted on the road without their two best players in Joel Embiid and Ben Simmons. Philadelphia is 6-20-1 ATS last 27 road games, 1-5 ATS last 6 as a road favorite and 0-5 ATS last 5 off a win by 10 or more points. Take Golden State!
03-07-20	Oklahoma +2 v. TCU		78-76	Win	100	15 h 51 m	Show
4* NCAAB - Prime Time ATS BLOWOUT on Oklahoma +2 -115 I like the Sooners to go into Fort Worth and cover as a small dog against the Horned Frogs. Oklahoma won the first meeting between these two by a score of 83-63. It was complete domination, as they shot 54% from the field, while holding TCU to 38%. One of the big reasons that I don't see the script being flipped with a change in venue is the Sooners ability to take care of the basketball. The Horned Frogs defense really relies on their ability to force turnovers, as they struggle to get stops when they don't take the ball away. TCU is just 5-15 ATS this season vs teams who average 14 or fewer turnovers/game (Sonners average just 11). Oklahoma has also dominated this series more than just that first meeting this season. Sooners have won 15 of the last 18 meetings between the two teams. They have won 6 of their last 8 trips to TCU. Take Oklahoma!
03-07-20	UCLA v. USC -3	Top	52-54	Loss	-115	12 h 12 m	Show
5* NCAAB - Pac-12 GAME OF THE MONTH on USC -3 -115 I absolutely love the Trojans laying a slim 3-points at home against rival UCLA. The Bruins have caught fire in the second half of the season and come into this game having won 7 straight, but I think it has them getting way to much respect in this one. USC enters off back-to-back impressive home wins over Arizona (57-48) and Arizona State (71-61). That's now 4 straight home wins for the Trojans, who are 13-2 on their home floor this season. The defense has been outstanding during their last 4 at home, as they held all 4 teams to 61 or fewer. Let's also not forget that USC went on the road and beat UCLA by 11 earlier this season. I get the Bruins are playing better now, but they could do next to nothing offensively in that game, shooting just 38% from the field and 3-13 from deep. UCLA is just 11-25 ATS last 36 on the road vs a team that's won more than 60% of their home games and 4-13 ATS in their last 17 on the road after 2 or more wins in a row. The home team is 7-3 ATS last 10 in the series. Take USC!
03-07-20	UTEP v. Rice OVER 139.5		77-72	Win	100	12 h 18 m	Show
4* NCAAB - Sharp Money Total HEAVY HITTER on UTEP/Rice over 139½ -109 Rice and UTEP should have no problem eclipsing the total. This will actually be the third meeting between these two this season. Both of the first two games went under, but both teams shot poorly in both games and still each had at least 130 points. OVER has been a strong play when the Owls are laying points at home, cashing in 4 straight. OER is also a staggering 8-0 in Rice's last 8 games when playing with double-revenge and the average combined score in these games is 157.1. OVER is also 8-1 in the Owls last 9 off 2 or more wins in a row and 32-15 in UTEP's last 47 after allowing 65 or less in 3 straight games. Take the OVER!
03-07-20	Georgia v. LSU UNDER 159.5		64-94	Win	100	11 h 53 m	Show
3* NCAAB - Over/Under Total DOMINATOR on Georgia/LSU under 159½ -115 The UNDER is definitely worth a look here in Saturday's SEC matchup that has LSU hosting Georgia. Really big game for the Tigers, who need to win to lock up a double-bye in the SEC Tournament. That should lead to a big effort defensively from LSU sho should also be motivated to play well after giving up 99 at Arkansas last time out. Georgia comes in off 14-point home loss at Florida, where they managed just 54 points and that game is worth noting. UNDER is 16-7 in the Bulldogs last 23 off a double-digit loss at home and 8-1 in their last 9 after playing a game as a home dog. UNDER is also 6-2-1 in the Tigers last 9 at home vs a team with a losing road record and 13-3 in LSU's last 16 home games after playing in a game with a combined score of 175 or more. Take the UNDER!
03-07-20	Rutgers v. Purdue UNDER 127.5		71-68	Loss	-110	11 h 42 m	Show
4* NCAAB - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Rutgers/Purdue under 127½ -110 Easy play on the UNDER in Saturday's Big Ten clash between Purdue and Rutgers. These two combined for 133 in the first meeting at Rutgers, as the Scarlet Knights won 70-63. I think that result has created value with the number this time around. Total for that first meeting was just 120.5. Purdue is only giving up 59.8 ppg on 39% shooting at home this season and Rutgers' offense hasn't exactly traveled well. Big reason why the Scarlet Knights are a mere 1-10 on the road. Boilermakers also like to slow the game down. They are dead last in the Big Ten in tempo and 334th overall in that department. Both teams rank in the Top 4 of the Big Ten in defensive efficiency and are both in the bottom half of the conference in offensive efficiency. Take the UNDER!
03-07-20	George Mason v. Fordham UNDER 120.5		65-61	Loss	-110	11 h 41 m	Show
4* NCAAB - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on George Mason/Fordham under 120½ -110 This has the makings of a very ugly offensive game, which tends to be the case anytime Fordham is involved. The Rams play solid defense, as they are giving up just 63.5 ppg in conference games and are 5th in the A-10 in defensive efficiency. The problem is they can't score. Fordham averages just 55.2 ppg in league play (dead last in the A-10 in offensive efficiency). George Mason figures to have a hard time scoring in this one. Patriots aren't as bad as the Rams, but are one of the worst offenses in the A-10. Big problem here is Fordham does a great job of forcing teams to take 3-pointers and the outside shot is not a strength of George Mason. They only shoot 30% from deep and average a mere 6 made 3-pointers/game. UNDER is 10-3 in Fordham's last 13 home games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games, 8-3 in their last 11 as a dog and 23-9 in their last 32 off a SU win. Take the UNDER!
03-07-20	Baylor +1.5 v. West Virginia		64-76	Loss	-109	10 h 56 m	Show
4* NCAAB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Baylor +1½ -109 Easy play here on the Bears getting points at West Virginia. I get the Mountaineers were able to snap a 4-game skid with a win at ISU on Tuesday, but no way should they be favored over the likes of Baylor, especially when you take into account what happened in the first meeting and how these two matchup. The Bears absolutely dominated West Virginia, defeating the Mountaineers by a final of 70-59. The final score does not do justice to how lopsided that game was. Baylor was up 53-25 in the 2nd half. They shot 52% from the field, while limited the WVU to 35%. You also have to think the Bears are going to be motivated to win here. With a win and a Kansas loss on the road at Texas Tech, Baylor would earn a share of the Big 12 regular season title. Bears are 6-0 ATS this season on the road vs quality teams that are outscoring opponents by 4+ points/game and 12-3 ATS last 15 as a road dog. Take Baylor!
03-07-20	Wisconsin v. Indiana UNDER 130		60-56	Win	100	9 h 46 m	Show
3* NCAAB - Early Bird Total ANNIHILATOR on Wisconsin/Indiana under 130 -110 The UNDER is worth a look in Saturday's early Big 10 action that has Wisconsin visiting Indiana. These two combined for 148 when they played way back in early December. That was simply a result of the Badgers going off, as they shot 54% from the field and 40% from deep. I'm confident they will regress in the rematch. Wisconsin is only averaging 67.4 ppg on 43% shooting for the season, so that was clearly an outlier. They are even worse on the road, where they are only scoring 60.9 ppg on 40% shooting (only 30% from deep). Indiana's defense may rank bottom half in the Big Ten, but they are giving up just 66.9 ppg on 42% shooting at home, where they are 15-3 compared to 4-8 on the road. No reason to expect a ton offensively from the Hoosiers. While the Badgers' offense hasn't traveled well, their defense has. Wisconsin also plays at one of the slowest paces in the conference. UNDER is 10-4 in their 14 road games this season. UNDER is also 14-5 in Badgers last 19 as a dog and 13-3 in Indiana's last 16 when revenging a loss where they allowed 75 or more. Take the UNDER!
03-06-20	Santa Clara v. Pepperdine -1		73-84	Win	100	14 h 48 m	Show
3* NCAAB - Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Pepperdine -1 -110 Hard not to like Pepperdine at basically a pick'em against Santa Clara in the 2nd round of the WCC Tournament. Big rest advantage for the Waves, who got a first round bye, while the Broncos had to play Portland yesterday. Note that Portland (3 wins) is the only team Santa Clara has beat since Jan. 25. Playing on no rest this time a year is tough on a college team and I just don't feel that it's taken into the line enough. Pepperdine won both meetings between these two in the regular-season. They won in OT at Santa Clara and then won by 14 at home. Both times the Waves reach 90 points. Pepperdine is 7-1 ATS on the season in road games against solid teams who are outscoring opponents by 4+ points/game. Waves are also 10-2 ATS last 12 after 2 or more losses (lost last two). Take Pepperdine!
03-06-20	Ball State v. Northern Illinois UNDER 126.5	Top	75-54	Loss	-110	11 h 39 m	Show
5* NCAAB - MAC TOTAL PLAY OF THE YEAR on Ball State/Northern Illinois under 126½ -110 I absolutely love the UNDER in Friday's MAC West showdown that has Ball State visiting Northern Illinois. These two are 1-2 in their respective division and both come in playing well. Ball State has won 3 of their last 4, while the Huskies have gone 9-3 in their last 12. Both teams were outstanding defensively last time out. The Cardinals held Central Michigan to just 68 points on 38% shooting, while NIU limited one of the best offenses in the MAC in Toledo to just 50 points on 30% shooting. These two teams played once already back on Feb. 11 and that game saw a combined score of just 122. I think they will be lucky to get to 120 in the rematch. UNDER is 9-1 in Ball State's last 10 road games and 9-2 in their last 11 as a road dog of 6 points or less. UNDER is also 11-3 in Northern Illinois last 14 off a game with a combined score of 125 or less and 7-1 in their last 8 at home off a win. Take the UNDER!
03-06-20	Hawks +3 v. Wizards		112-118	Loss	-115	8 h 57 m	Show
4* NBA - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Hawks +3 -115 I like this spot with Atlanta as a slim road dog at Washington. I'm just not buying the Wizards as a playoff team and I think some of that talk is playing into this great price with the Hawks here. You also are getting Atlanta on the cheap after they were just annihilated 127-88 at home by Memphis. Thing about that loss to the Grizzlies is they aren't the first team that Memphis has done that to here of late. Grizzlies have also held the Lakers to 88 and the Nets to 79 over their last 3 games. Prior to that Atlanta was playing well coming off back-to-back wins. Washington has lost their last two, most recently losing by 21 at Portland. While the Wizards will be at home here, it's not the greatest spot. They only got one day to regroup from their 4-game west coast trip and will be playing their 3rd game in 4 nights. Hawks on the other hand have had the last 3 days off. Take Atlanta!
03-05-20	Weber State -4 v. Idaho	Top	72-64	Win	100	12 h 8 m	Show
5* NCAAB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Weber State -4 -110 I love the value here with the Wildcats laying a small number on the road against the Vandals. The books have really struggled to price Idaho here of late. The Vandals are just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games. It's gotten worse down the stretch, as they have lost and failed to cover each of their last 5 games, losing all 5 by double-digits. Not only does the current form favor Weber State, but this is a great matchup for the Wildcats. Idaho struggles to score inside and Weber State defends the 2-point shot well. If the outside shot isn't falling the Vandals are in big trouble, because the Wildcats are going to score. Weber State shoots 51% on 2-point shots, third best in the Big Sky, and that's an area the Vandals struggle to defend. Weber State has failed to cover their last two games, but that's almost more of a positive than a negative. Wildcats are 23-9-2 ATS last 34 off a failed cover and 8-1 ATS last 9 after 2 straight games where they didn't cover. Take Weber State!
03-05-20	UMKC +3.5 v. Utah Valley		61-51	Win	100	11 h 4 m	Show
3* NCAAB - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on UMKC +3½ -109 Easy play on the Kangaroos getting points against the Wolverines. I get Utah Valley has the home court edge, but they are just 2-5 in their last 7 games with those two wins coming at home against bottom feeders Cal St. Bakersfield and Grand Canyon. UMKC has won 3 straight and their strong play goes back even further than that, as they are 5-1-1 ATS last 7 games. You also have to like the fact the Kangaroos won the earlier meeting between the two and did so jumping out to a 30-19 lead at the half. UMKC's defense held the Wolverines to just 34.5% shooting and forced them into 18 turnovers. Kangaroos are 16-5 ATS last 21 games off a win and 5-0-1 ATS last 6 as an underdog, including 3-0-1 ATS last 4 as a road dog. Utah Valley is 3-7 ATS last 10 off a loss and a dreadful 3-11 ATS last 14 as a favorite (2-8 ATS last 10 as a home favorite). Take UMKC!
03-05-20	Clippers +1 v. Rockets		120-105	Win	100	9 h 59 m	Show
4* NBA - Sharp Money HEAVY HITTER on Clippers +1 -110 I really like the value here with Los Angeles as a slim 1-point dog at Houston. The Rockets have been playing much better since their move to small ball, but did just lose at New York as a double-digit favorite on Monday. They have shot just 42% from the field in each of their last 2 games. I just feel like the Clippers are playing the basketball of any team since the All-Star break. The additions of Marcus Morris and Reggie Jackson have been huge. LA is arguably the deepest team in the league and just think they will be able to not only defend Harden and Westbrook, but wear down the Rockets with their onslaught of talent. LA has covered 21 of their last 33 against high-scoring teams that are averaging 110+ points/game and are 46-29 (61%) last 75 road games vs teams who allow 106+ points/game. Take Los Angeles!
03-05-20	Illinois State v. Drake -2.5		65-75	Win	100	10 h 41 m	Show
4* NCAAB - MVC Tournament ATS NO-BRAINER on Drake -2½ -110 The Bulldogs are worth a look here as a small favorite against the Redbirds. Drake had a tough finish to the regular-season, losing 3 straight, including a 53-57 loss at Illinois State that started the skid and a ugly 43-70 loss at home to UNI to end it. I just trust the Bulldogs a lot more in this spot. Drake was the much better team in MVC play at 8-9, as Illinoi State went just 5-13 with two of their 5 wins coming against Evansville, who finished 0-18 in league play. Drake is 15-5-1 ATS last 21 neutral site games and 8-2-1 ATS last 11 neutral site games when listed as a favorite. They are also 4-0 ATS last 4 off a double-digit loss at home. and 4-1 ATS last 5 off a loss by more than 20 points. Adding to this is a solid system in favor of the Bulldogs. Teams playing with revenge from a loss where they scored 60 or fewer and off a conference loss by 10 or more are 129-75 (63%) ATS if playing on a neutral site. Take Drake!
03-04-20	Dayton -3.5 v. Rhode Island		84-57	Win	100	23 h 48 m	Show
3* NCAAB - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Dayton -3½ -109 The Flyers are worth a look here as a small road favorite against Rhode Island. Dayton has proven to be in a class of their own in the A-10. They are 16-0 in league play (no other team has fewer than 4 losses) and have made it clear they want to go undefeated in league play. A big reason for that is they feel if they run the table and win the A-10 Tournament, they got a legit shot at a No. 1 seed in the Big Dance. That's more than enough motivation for me to lay the short number with the Flyers. Especially with how poorly Rhode Island has been playing down the stretch. The Rams were at one points 10-1 in league play, but have lost 3 of their last 5, including a 14-point loss at Dayton and most recently a shocking 10-point loss at home to St Louis (never led). Their two wins were both against bottom feeders in St. Joe's and Fordham (only won by 1-point). Rams are just 2-6 ATS last 8 at home against a team with a winning road record, while the Flyers are 10-3 ATS this season when playing only their 2nd game in a 8-day stretch. Take Dayton!
03-04-20	Florida State v. Notre Dame +2.5		73-71	Win	100	12 h 36 m	Show
4* NCAAB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Notre Dame +2½ -115 The simple fact that Florida State is basically a pick'em in this spot against an unranked Notre Dame team says it all. The books are begging the public to take the Seminoles. Anytime something looks too good to be true, especially this late in the year, it typically is, which is why I like the Irish to win and cover. We did just see FSU lose at Clemson as a mere 3.5-point favorite on Saturday and you have to wonder if the pressure of winning the school's first ever ACC title in hoops is a bit too much for them. As for the Irish, their NCAA Tournament hopes took a massive hit with a loss at Wake Forest, but a win here could get them back into the conversation. Notre Dame is still trending in the right direction with 7 wins in their last 10 games. Their ability to take care of the ball (No. 2 in turnover rate) is huge against Florida State, who relies a lot on forcing their opponents into mistakes. We also saw the Irish go on the road and lose by just one-points (84-85) at FSU earlier this season. Irish are 4-1 ATS last 5 at home, 3-1-1 ATS last 5 as a dog and the underdog has covered 6 of the last 7 in the series. Take Notre Dame!