4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Fairfield +

Like the value here with the Stags getting points against the Bobcats. Fairfield comes in off back-to-back home wins and while they are just 3-6 SU in their last 9, they have covered 5 of their last 7.  

The Stags are 37-19 ATS last 56 road games after playing 2 straight games at home and 40-23 ATS in their last 63 road games off a win by 6 points or less. Quinnipiac has won 2 of their last 3, but are just 15-30 ATS when they come into a game having done so. 

This series has also been dominated by the road team, as the away side has covered 6 of the last 7 meetings. Stags have covered 4 straight at Quinnipiac. Take Fairfield! 

3* NCAAB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Iona +

The books have the wrong team favored in this one, as my numbers show Iona should be a small favorite here. Gaels are just 4-10 overall, but are 2-1 in conference play and will have no problem picking apart a bad Golden Griffins defense that is giving up 80.6 ppg and allowing 48% shooting on their home floor. 

Canisius is 4-10 ATS last 14 games, 1-9 ATS last 10 off a SU loss and 0-8 ATS last 8 at home. 

Adding to this is a great system in play favoring a fade of the Golden Griffins. Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points off a home loss against an opponent off an upset loss as a favorite have covered just 32.2% (29-61) of the time since 1997. Take Iona! 

3* NBA Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Kings -

Easy play here for me on the Kings as a small home favorite against the Hornets. Sacramento got back on the winning track with a 112-102 win at home against the Pistons on Thursday and have really been playing solid basketball of late. While they are just 2-5 in their last 7, they have covered 3 of 4 and all 5 losses have come by 7 or less. 

Sacramento should have no problem here taking down a struggling Charlotte team that is coming off an ugly 127-96 loss at Portland last night and now faced with the difficult task of playing the 2nd leg of a back-to-back on the road. On top of that, this is their 5th straight on the road, so they have to be running on fumes. 

Thinking Charlotte is primed for a bounce back after the blowout loss last night? Hornets are 0-8 ATS last 2 seasons off a loss by 20 or more. They are also 1-6 ATS last 7 on the road and 0-6 ATS last 6 on the road vs a team with a winning home record. Take Sacramento! 

4* NCAAB West Coast GAME OF THE WEEK on Pacific -

This is the perfect spot to jump on the Tigers as a small road favorite against the Pilots. Pacific should have no trouble winning this game, but are being undervalued by the books because they come in off an ugly 67-36 loss at Gonzaga, which was their 3rd straight overall. Note the other two were both against quality teams. 

This is also a big game for the Tigers, as they are still searching for that first conference win and while the same can be said about Portland, a lot less is expected of them. Pilots are a mere 4-10-1 ATS last 15 home games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games  and 1-6 ATS last 7 after a SU loss by more than 20. Tigers are 4-1 ATS last 5 after scoring 50 or less and 5-1 ATS last 6 after a SU loss by more than 20 points. Take Pacific! 

3* NCAAB Vegas Oddsmakers ERROR on Northeastern -

The Huskies come in off a 81-70 win at Elon last time out and should have no problem securing another road win against William & Mary. The Tribe have a solid 5-3 SU record over their last 8, but are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10. 

The books have tipped their hand in recent meetings between these two, as the favorite is 7-3 ATS last 10 overall. Key here will be defense or the lack of it from William & Mary. The Tribe are allowing 80 ppg, as opposing teams are shooting 47% from the field and 38% from deep against them this season.

It's also worth pointing out that the Huskies are 19-8 ATS last 27 on the road after a conference road game and a perfect 7-0 ATS last 7 on the road with a line of +3 to -3. Take Northeastern! 

5* NCAAB Colonial Athletic GAME OF THE MONTH BEST BET on Towson +

The books have completely missed the mark here with the Tigers as a 5-point road dog. My numbers show this game should be a lot closer to a pick'em. James Madison has the better record, but that's simply because they played the much easier non-conference schedule. 

The Dukes won and covered their last time out, but are just 9-20 ATS in their last 29 off a game where they covered. James Madison is also a mere 1-7 ATS last 8 vs a team with a losing record and 0-7 ATS last 7 at home vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games. Take Towson! 

4* NCAAB Big 12 GAME OF THE WEEK on Oklahoma -

Oklahoma should have no problem covering this short number at home against TCU. The Sooners are showing some value here after starting out 1-2 in Big 12 play. They key is both losses came on the road in arguably the two toughest venues in the Big 12 at Kansas and Texas Tech. Both of which the Sooners could have easily won with a couple more breaks going their way at the end of the game. 

I look for Oklahoma to come out firing here at home against the Horned Frogs. The Sooners are a perfect 6-0 SU and 6-0 ATS in their 6 home games, where they are outscoring teams 78 to 62. TCU is a quality team, but that 12-2 record has them overvalued here on the road. They just lost at Kansas last time out 77-68, failing to cover as a mere 6.5-point favorite. 

Sooners are 10-1-2 ATS in their last 13 games vs a team with a winning record, while TCU is 1-5 ATS last 6 after a failed cover. Take Oklahoma! 

4* NBA Late Night Total NO-BRAINER on Bulls UNDER

The books have missed the mark here with the total in this one. People just see the Warriors and automatically assume it's going to be a high-scoring game. I don't think we see an offensive explosion in this one. The Warriors are so much better than Chicago that it's going to be extremely hard for Golden State to show up for this one. 

On the flip side of this, the Bulls are a young team that is going to play their hearts out to see how they stack up against the defending champs. Don't be fooled by the 149-124 Warriors win at Chicago earlier this season. The Bulls were missing a ton of players to injury and if anything that result will make them focus that much more on the defensive side of the ball. 

UNDER is 12-3-1 in the Warriors last 16 home games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games and 11-3 in the Bulls last 14 road games vs a team with a winning home record. Take the UNDER! 

5* NBA Non-Conf TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Cavs/Rockets OVER

The books have completely missed the mark here with the total. Houston and Cleveland should have no problem eclipsing 220 points and there's a potential for them to fly by the number. Houston can light up the scoreboard, especially when James Harden has it going like he does now. 

Last 3 games the Cavs have allowed 140 at New Orleans, 123 to the Pacers and 133 to the Pelicans at home. Each of their last 7 opponents have eclipsed 110 points. I think Houston could easily top 130 and we should see the Cavs score at least 100. Rockets haven't allowed fewer than 100 since the middle of December and are just not the same defensive team without Chris Paul in the lineup. 

OVER is 8-2 in the Rockets last 10 vs a team from the Eastern Conference and 5-1 in their last 6 at home vs a bad team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games. Take the OVER! 

3* NCAAB Money Line ANNIHILATOR  on Iona +

The Gaels should have no problem here secure a win on the road against the Purple Eagles. While Iona is 4-9 overall, they are 2-0 in league play. Niagara has a much more respectable 7-8 record, but are 0-2 in league play. 

It just so happens that both have played a common opponent early in conference action. That would be Fairfield. The Gaels beat the Stags 94-87, while the Purple Eagles got annihilated by 18-points (77-59). 

I know that Iona has a mere 1-8 record in road games, but that's because the road slate was brutal in non-conference play. Niagara is just 1-5 ATS last 6 at home vs a team with a losing road record and the road team has covered 6 straight in the series. Take Iona! 

3* NBA Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE on Clippers +

This is too good a price to pass up on the Clippers. Denver comes in with the best record in the West and are 16-3 at home. Both of which have them way overvalued right now. That's evident by the fact that the Nuggets are a mere 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games. 

The Clippers won by 21 at home in a recent meeting between these two teams in late December and enter this one having won 3 straight. LA's offense has been one of the best in the league and are in prime form right now, as they are averaging 115.8 ppg and shooting 47% from the field over their last 5 games.

Denver is only giving up 105.5 ppg on the season, but are allowing 111.0 ppg in their last 5. I just don't see the Nuggets pulling away and wouldn't be shocked if the Clippers won this game outright. Take Los Angeles! 

3* NCAAB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Eastern Illinois +

Easy play here on the Panthers as a big road dog against the Gamecocks of Jacksonville State. Eastern Illinois is way undervalued right now. The Panthers come in having won 3 straight and and 6 of their last 7 overall. A stretch where they have covered 5 of 7, including outright wins as road dogs of 7.5 and 13 at Western Illinois and Bradley. 

Jacksonville State is a quality team and have gone 9-2 in their last 11, but they are simply being asked to lay too many points in this one. The Gamecocks are a mere 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games off a conference win and 0-6 ATS last 6 off back-to-back conference wins. Take Eastern Illinois! 

4* NCAAB Small Conference PLAY OF THE WEEK on St Peters

The Peacocks are worth a look here as a decently priced road dog against the Stags. While St. Peter's comes winless away from home at 0-8, I'm confident they get their first road win of the season and at worst keep it within the number. A big reason for that is Fairfield has little to no home court edge here, as they are 1-4 at home this season. 

The Stags like to shoot it from deep, as they average 26 3-pointers a game. They area also a poor rebounding team, as they are getting beat on by an average of 5 boards/game. The Peacocks are 33-14 ATS last 47 road games (at least 15 games into the season) when facing a team that averages 21 or more 3-point attempts. They are also 14-4 ATS in their last 18 road games (at least 15 games into the season) against teams who are getting outrebounded by 4+ boards/game. Take St. Peter's! 

4* NBA Non-Conf GAME OF THE WEEK on Bulls +

Love the value here with Chicago as a near double-digit road dog against the Blazers. The Bulls come in having lost 4 straight, the most recent being a non-cover in a 7-point loss at home to the Nets. However, they are a strong 5-3 ATS in their last 8 games and haven't dropped back-to-back games against the spread since the middle of December. 

Chicago is also coming in well-rested, as they have had the last 2 days off and will be playing only their 4th game in 10 days. Portland on the other hand is playing their 4th game in the last 6 days and it would be really easy for the Blazers to not take this Bulls team seriously. Chicago's got some nice young pieces and while they likely won't be able to win, I like them to keep it closer than expected. 

Blazers are just 2-5 ATS last 7 at home and 1-5 ATS last 6 off a SU win. Bulls are 4-1 ATS last 5 road games vs a team with a winning home record. Take Chicago! 

3* NCAAB Money Line SMASH on Northridge 

I like the Matadors to go into UC Riverside and get a win tonight. CS-Northridge has been a great team to back on the road once conference play rolls around. The Matadors are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games in the month of January. 

On the flip side of this, UC Riverside is just 1-9 ATS last 10 with a line of +3 to -3 and 0-8 in this spot at home. The Highlanders are also a mere 2-15 on the money line in their last 17 vs a team with a losing record. Take CS Northridge! 

4* NCAAB In-State Rivalry GAME OF THE WEEK on NC State -

This is just too good a price to pass up on the Wolfpack at home. Not a lot of people expected much out of this NC State team, but here we are in January and they are 13-1. They went on the road in their ACC opener and knocked off Miami as a slim 2.5-point favorite. 

The books have simply not made the proper adjustments on this team and it's resulted in them going an incredible 11-3 ATS. They are a perfect 10-0 at home and the only reason this line isn't bigger is because of how big a public play UNC is. 

I think this is a much more even matchup in terms of talent than people think and the home court edge is massive here. NC State is a perfect 10-0 at home, while we have already seen the Tar Heels slip up on the road to the likes of Michigan and Kentucky. 

Wolfpack are 15-6 ATS last 21 home games and 10-2 ATS last 12 at home when playing on their 2nd game in 8 days. UNC just 5-14 ATS last 19 road games after winning 3 of their previous 4 games. Take NC State! 

3* NBA Public ATS ANNIHILATOR on Heat -

The books are begging the public to play the Nuggets here at basically a pick'em at Miami, which makes this an easy play for me on the Heat. A closer look and you can see why Miami is favored. 

While the Heat come in off an ugly 106-82 loss at Atlanta, that was more of them just not showing up to play against an inferior team. It happens. I'm more focused on the fact that Miami is 8-3 in their last 11 games. 

The other key here is this is just a really tough spot for the Nuggets. Denver had to play last night in Houston, which they lost 125-113. Simply playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back would be tough, but this is also the Nuggets 5th game since the calendar turned to 2019. It's also worth pointing out Denver hasn't played consecutive games in the same spot since a 4-game homestand back in early December. 

Nuggets are also 1-6 ATS last 7 road games  and 3-8 ATS last 11 off a SU loss. Miami is 5-1 ATS last 6 off a loss, 8-2 ATS last 10 vs a team from the West and 5-1 in their last 6 at home vs a team with a winning road record. Take Miami! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER  on Manhattan +

I like the value here with the Jaspers as a decently priced road dog against the Red Foxes. Manhattan snapped a 8-game losing streak with a 90-80 upset win at home over Niagara last time out and I wouldn't be shocked at all if they won this game outright. 

Marist just lost at home to Canisius as a favorite and are a mere 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games. Adding to this is a great system in play that suggest a fade of the Red Foxes. Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points off an upset loss at home to a conference opponent are a mere 32-65 (33%) ATS since 1997 when it's a match of two bad teams (win percent between 20% and 40%). Take Manhattan!

3* NBA Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Kings -

Big time value here with Sacramento laying a short number at home against the Magic. Kings come in having lost 4 straight, including 3 in a row at home, but those 3 home losses came against the Warriors, Nuggets and Blazers. Sacramento could have easily won all 3, as all 5 defeats were by 4-points or less. 

Despite not winning the game, I think the Kings gained a lot of confidence from their strong showing last time out against Golden State. I look for a big effort here to get back in the win column and the Magic come in having lost 7 of their last 10 and are playing in the second game of a back-to-back road set. Take Sacramento! 

5* NCAAB Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Niagara +

Love the value here with the Purple Eagles as a dog against the Stags. Fairfield is getting way too much credit on their home floor. The Stags are 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS in their 4 home games this season. 

Niagara is simply the better team and my numbers say they should be the ones favored in this matchup. The Purple Eagles have covered 4 of their last 5 on the road against a team with a losing home record. Niagara is also 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog and 6-0 ATS last 6 after two or more losses. 

On top of all that, we find a great long-term system backing the away team. Road teams of +3 to -3 that have allowed 75 or more points in 2 straight games are 66-34 (66%) ATS over the last 5 seasons when facing a team that just allowed 85 or more. Take Niagara! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Iowa +

Easy play here for me on the Hawkeyes as a home dog against Nebraska. Iowa comes in off an ugly 16-point loss at Purdue, but this is a team that will likely struggle to win a lot of games on the road in conference play. Keep in mind Iowa lost by 22 at Michigan State earlier this season and 3 days later whooped in-state rival ISU 98-84 at home. 

The Hawkeyes are simply a different team at home and it doesn't get much bigger for this for Iowa this early in the season. The Hawkeyes have started 0-3 in Big Ten play. They have to have this game. I like the Cornhuskers, but they have lost each of their first two Big Ten road games and playing their second straight away from home, as they were at Maryland on Wednesday. Take Iowa! 

5* NCAAB American Athletic GAME OF THE MONTH on Wichita 

I love the value here with the Shockers at a pick'em on their home floor. I think we are going to get a huge effort here from Wichita State coming off a couple of road losses to VCU and Memphis. Shockers didn't play up to their potential in either game. 

Temple is a quality team, but I think they are getting a little too much respect right now and this is not an easy spot for the Owls. Temple just played at UCF on Wednesday and have played a mere 1 home game since Nov. 16. 

Shockers are 5-1 at home this season and their defense has been outstanding at home. Wichita State is holding teams to 63.8 ppg and 40.1% shooting at home. I like the Shockers to not just win, but win comfortably. Take Wichita State! 

3* NBA Public ATS ANNIHILATOR on Bulls +

I think Chicago is one of the more underrated teams in the NBA right now, as they are just now getting healthy and have some nice young talent on the roster. They basically played the first third of the season without 3 of their best players in Markkanen, Dunn and Portis. With Portis listed probable, that's a huge boost to the bench. 

Not only do I like this spot for Chicago to play well, but I think this is a bit of a trap game for Brooklyn. The Nets have been playing well and already beat the Bulls in Chicago earlier this season. With a game Boston tomorrow night looming, really easy for Brooklyn to come out flat, especially on the road. Take Chicago! 

3* NBA Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Blazers +

The Rockets have been on quite a run and the public will be inclined to fade Portland in the second game of a back-to-back. However, I think it's Houston that will have the more difficult time showing up for this game. 

Last time out the Rockets rallied from 20 down to stun the Warriors 135-134 in overtime during a nationally televised game on TNT. Six different players payed at least 30 minutes for Houston, including 40+ from Harden, Rivers and Capela. Even with a day off Friday, I just don't see the Rockets having the energy needed to win at a difficult place like Portland, especially with the Blazers highly motivated for a win off an upset loss on their home floor. Take Portland! 

4* NCAAB BIG 12 GAME OF THE WEEK on Iowa State -

All you need to know is the No. 5 team in the country is a dog against a team that's not even ranked in the Top 25. The books don't make mistakes and while it's not a full proof system, these types of plays where the line looks way off cash the majority of the time. 

A closer look at Kansas' resume definitely suggests the Jayhawks could be overrated right now. They have been very fortunate in close games. Their only loss of the season also came in their only true road game. There's not many places tougher to play on the road than Iowa State's Hilton Coliseum.

Cyclones are a perfect 7-0 at home and their only two losses are to Arizona and Iowa. They just won at Oklahoma St, despite shooting 36.4% from the field. They also had a bunch of guys out early, which is why they are flying under the radar right now. Take Iowa State! 

4* NCAAB SEC GAME OF THE WEEK on Alabama +

Big time value here with the Crimson Tide as a decently priced home dog against the Wildcats. No surprise here that Kentucky is being way overvalued by the books off a couple of impressive wins over North Carolina and Louisville. 

If anything, that has the Wildcats primed for a letdown. Every SEC teams lays it on the line when Kentucky comes to town and the Crimson Tide roll into this one playing their best basketball of the season. Alabama has won 4 straight with impressive wins over both Arizona and Penn State. 

Crimson Tide are 5-1-1 ATS last 7 at home vs a team with a winning road record. I see this one coming right down to the wire with a decent chance the home team pulls off the upset. Take Alabama! 

3* NCAAB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Fairfield +

Easy play here on the Stags as a road dog here against the Gaels. Iona is just 3-9 on the season and have been as bad as it gets with a 1-10 ATS mark. That was with them covering in their last game. Fairfield has covered 4 straight and are a strong 6-3 ATS in their 9 road games so far this season. 

Stags have covered 7 of their last 8 road games vs a team with a losing home record, while the Gaels are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games and 1-7 ATS last 8 off a SU win. Take Fairfield! 

4* NBA Pacific Div GAME OF THE WEEK on Clippers -

This is the perfect spot to jump on the Clippers. Los Angeles comes in having lost two straight and are simply undervalued here as a short road favorite to the Suns. I expect a big effort here from the Clippers and while Phoenix has been playing better, they are no match for a motivated LA side. 

Suns simply don't have a home court edge. Phoenix is 5-15 at home this season. They have also failed to cover 11 of their last 12 home games on a Friday night and are a mere 3-13 ATS in their last 16 with a total north of 230. Clippers are 18-5 ATS in their last 23 division games and 14-4 in their last 18 played on Friday. Take Los Angeles! 

4* NCAAB Situational ATS NO-BRAINER on Loyola -

No need to overthink this one. The Lions are the better team and this is simply too good a price to pass up. Loyola-Marymount comes in at 12-2 with upset wins over UNLV, Georgetown and CS-Fullerton. 

The Waves had lost 5 of 6 before a cupcake win at home over Alabama A&M. Pepperdine is projected by many to be the worst team in the WCC. The Waves are getting way too much respect because of this game being on their home court. Pepperdine is a mere 1-5 ATS last 6 at home vs a team that's won more than 60% of their road games and the Lions are 5-1 ATS last 6 meetings with the Waves. Take Loyola-Marymount! 

4* NCAAB West Coast Conf GAME OF THE WEEK  on San Diego -

The Toreros should have zero problem cashing in a cover here as a short road favorite against the Broncos. San Diego was expected to be one of the top teams in the WCC and so far they look the part. The Toreros have opened up 11-4. 

Santa Clara is just 8-6, despite playing a weaker schedule. This is also a big let down spot for the Broncos, who just beat Washington State as a 8-point dog. Santa Clara is just 4-10-1 ATS 15 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. 

Toreros have covered 11 of their last 14 trips to Santa Clara and the road team has gone a remarkable 23-4-1 ATS in the last 28 meetings. Take San Diego! 

5* MAAC College Hoops GAME OF THE MONTH on Canisius +

The books have completely missed the mark here. My ratings say the Golden Griffens, despite their 3-8 record, should be favored in this matchup against 5-7 Marist.

Canisius has played a brutal schedule to this point and it simply has them way undervalued here. We just saw this team win outright as a dog at Elon and cover as a 7-point dog at Holy Cross a few days later. 

These two have a common opponent in Buffalo and while both loss, the Griffens lost by just 15, where the Red Foxes lost by 27 and managed just 49 points. Last year Canisus won both meetings and have won 4 of the last 5. 

Golden Griffins are 19-7 ATS last 26 road games vs a team with a winning home record and 5-1 ATS last 6 vs the MAAC. Take Canisius! 

3* NBA Money Line MASSACRE  on Mavs +

The books are begging for you to take the Hornets here as a small home favorite. Dallas is just 2-16 SU in 18 road games and come in having lost 8 of their last 10 overall. This is the definition of a trap set by the books and I'll gladly play the money line on the Mavericks in this spot. 

If anything, Dallas is due for a win on the road and I think we get their very best here, as they know wins at Boston and Philadelphia are unlikely to close out their road trip. Charlotte hasn't been playing great of late and figure to take a big step back after losing starting center Cody Zeller to a broken hand in their last game. They also figure to be without Jeremy Lamb, who suffered a hamstring injury in the same game. 

Last time out the Mavs were embarrassed at OKC and that's a positive for us in this matchup, as Dallas is 32-12 under Rick Carlisle off a road loss by 20 or more points. Mavs have also covered 5 of their last 6 vs a team from the Eastern Conference. Take Dallas! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Xavier -

The Musketeers came into this season way overvalued by the books, but I think the public has caught on and the value is now back with Xavier. This is definitely a favorable price to be getting the Musketeers on their home floor, where they have gone 7-1 to start the season and the lone loss was to a really good Wisconsin team early on. 

Seton Hall comes in riding a 6-game winning streak, which is definitely keeping this line lower than it should be. What gets overlooked is 4 of the 6 wins came by 6-points or less and while they have won 6 straight they are just 2-4 ATS during this stretch. 

Pirates most recently won 76-74 at home over St. John's and that's worth noting, as Seton Hall is just 13-26 ATS in their last 39 off a conference win by 3-points or less. Musketeers enter off a 74-65 win at DePaul as a 2-point dog and are a dominant 11-1 ATS in their last 12 home games off an upset win as a conference dog. Take Xavier! 

4* NCAAB Big Ten GAME OF THE WEEK on Maryland 

I really like what I have seen from this young Terps team. Maryland is led by junior Anthony Cowan, but the rest of the key contributors are sophomores and freshmen. The Terps are 10-3 and will be a tough place for any team in the Big Ten to get a win. 

Nebraska comes in at 11-2 and ranked No. 24 in the country, but I don't think they are any better than this Maryland squad. Cornhuskers have some nice wins, but they also lost by 18 to Texas Tech on a neutral site and by 7 as 4-point road favorite at Minnesota. 

Terps come into this game having covered 5 of their last 6 and are a dominant 11-2 ATS in home games under Mark Turgeon when they enter the contest having covered 4 of their last 5. Take Maryland! 

3* NBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Sixers UNDER

There's simply too much value to pass up on here with the UNDER. I get the Clippers have been a part of a lot of high-scoring games of late, but this will be their 3rd game in 4 days and we should get a max effort here defensively from the 76ers after their embarrassing 34-point loss to the Blazers, where they gave up 129 points and allowed Portland to shoot 59% from the field. 

UNDER is 64-42 in the 76ers last 106 games after they allow 120 or more points and an amazing 15-4 in their last 19 road games after a blowout loss by 30 or more points. Take the UNDER! 

3* NCAAB Big East PLAY OF THE DAY on St. John's

The Red Storm should have no problem securing a win on their home floor. Marquette is a good team and are sitting No. 16 in the country, but winning on the road in conference play is no easy task. I also think people are sleeping on this St. John's team, who started the season 12-0 before a controversial call cost them in a 76-74 loss at Seton Hall. 

One of the reasons Marquette has started out so strong, is they have only played 1 true road game and all but 3 of their games at home. That one true road game was a 96-73 loss at Indiana. Golden Eagles are just 1-4 ATS last 5 away from home and 1-8 ATS last 9 road games after covering the spread in 2 or more games. Take St. John's! 

3* NBA Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Grizzlies UNDER

If you have watched Memphis play at all, you know that they are an ideal team to be involved in a low-scoring game. While everyone else is trying to speed it up and stretch the floor, the Grizzlies are grinding out possessions and trying to win games with their defense. 

It  hasn't worked great for them of late, as they are just 3-8 in their last 11, but they have won 2 of their last 3 and we can bank on a big effort here, as Memphis just lost at home to Houston on 12/15. 

The other key here is that the Rockets will have to play this one without Eric Gordon and they are already without Chris Paul. Gordon averages 15.7 ppg. That means the only healthy double-digit score for Houston besides James Harden is big man Clint Capela. As good as Harden is, he can't do it all and Memphis is going to make him work. 

All this should add up to a very low-scoring game. Take the UNDER! 

3* NCAAB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Drexel +

I love the value here with the Dragons as a double-digit dog against the Pride. I just think because Hofstra has the better record at 11-3, are 8-0 at home, and come in riding a 8-game winning streak, we are seeing them way overvalued in this matchup. 

Drexel is just 6-8, but they have played the tougher schedule and while they aren't as talented as the Pride, they are more than capable of keeping this close. This has also been a good time to fade Hoftra. They are are 10-22 ATS last 32 at home off a conference win by 10 or more and 1-10 ATS last 11 at home after making 10 or more 3-pointers in back-to-back games. Take Drexel! 

3* NBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Pistons UNDER

This is an ideal matchup for a low-scoring grind it out type of game. Both the Magic and Pistons rank in the bottom 5 in the league in offensive efficiency. While both have struggled to score, they have played hard defensively and both are in the top half of the league in defensive efficiency. Another key here is pace and while the Pistons are 14th in pace, Orlando is 26th. 

UNDER is 10-4-1 in the Pistons last 15 games and 8-4 in Orlando's last 12. UNDER is also 20-7 in the Magic's last 27 games vs a team from the Eastern Conference and 5-0 in Detroit's last 5 vs the Southeast Division. Take the UNDER! 

3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on La Tech -

This is too good a price to pass up on the Bulldogs at home in their conference opener against the Golden Eagles. Louisiana Tech comes in having won 6 straight and are a perfect 7-0 at home this season. The Bulldogs have absolutely dominated teams at home, as they are averaging an impressive 84.0 ppg, while only giving up 69.9 ppg. 

I just see no way Southern Miss can keep pace offensively. The Golden Eagles are a good defensive team, but they are only scoring 64.0 ppg away from home. Last 34 times Southern Miss has been a dog of 3.5 to 6 points they have only covered 10. Eagles are also 0-6 ATS last 6 road games vs teams who average 8 or more made 3-pointers. Take Louisiana Tech! 

4* NBA Eastern Conf GAME OF THE WEEK on Hornets -

This is an easy play for me on Charlotte. These two teams just played against each other on Wednesday at Brooklyn, which the Nets won 134-132. It was Brooklyn's 9th win in their last 10 games. 

As tempting as it might be to take the points with the Nets, the team that lost the first meeting in these home-and-home matchups almost always has the edge in the second meeting. Not to mention the Hornets are a completely different team at home, where they are 12-7, compared to 4-10 on the road. Nets are also just 1-4 ATS last 5 on the road against a team with a winning home record. Take Charlotte! 

3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Towson -

The Tigers are showing big time value here at basically a pick'em on the road against the Phoenix. Both teams have just 4-wins on the season, but Towson is playing the better basketball and have also played the tougher schedule. 

The Tigers won't be looking past Elon this time, as they were upset last year at home as a 9-point favorite by the Phoenix. Towson has covered 5 of their last 7 and are use to playing away from home, as 9 of their first 12 have been on the road. 

This one should come down to defense and the Tigers being able to get stops. Elon is giving up 82.3 ppg on their home floor. Phoenix are also just 7-16 ATS last 23 as a dog and 4-12 ATS last 16 with a line of +3 to -3. Take Towson! 

3* NCAAB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Drexel +

I absolutely love the value here with the Dragons as a double-digit dog against the Huskies. Northeastern has been way overvalued by the books in 2018 and that's evident by the fact that they are just 4-7 ATS overall, including a 1-3 ATS mark at home. They come in just 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9. 

Dragons can light up the scoreboard, as they come in averaging 79.5 ppg. That's worth noting, as that should allow them to keep it close and we see that Northeastern is just 5-16 ATS in their last 21 home games vs teams who average 77 or more points/game. 

There's also a big time system in play. Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points, who are coming off a game where they allowed 80+ points and facing an opponent that has scored 30 or less in the 1st half of their last two are 65-29 (69%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Drexel! 

5* NCAAB Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on James Madison +

The Dukes should have zero problem here covering on the road against the Tribe. James Madison comes in off an ugly 75-48 loss at Fordham as a mere 3.5-point dog and that's definitely playing into this inflated number on William & Mary. 

It's been a wise move to jump on the Dukes in this spot, as they are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 off a SU loss and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 off a loss by 20 points or more. 

We are also talking about a William & Mary team that has only won 4 games all season. Note that these two teams have played 3 common opponents. The Dukes are 1-2 vs those teams and the Tribe are 0-3. 

William & Mary is also a mere 1-4 ATS last 5 vs a team with a winning straight up record and the Dukes are a rock solid 8-3 ATS in their last 11 vs a team from the CAA. Take James Madison! 

4* NBA Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Knicks +

New York is showing exceptional value here in this quick rematch from Christmas Day. The public perception will be that the Bucks just won by 14 at New York two days ago, so why wouldn't they win by more than that at home. It just doesn't work like that in the NBA. 

If anything, I think that blowout win by Milwaukee will make it hard for them to get up for this game, as they have to feel like they just need to show up to get a win. Not to mention the value we are getting at this price, simply needing the Knicks to lose by 14 or less. 

Road underdogs who are a bad team (25% to 40% win percentage) have hit 58% of the time the last 5 seasons when revenging a loss. Knicks are also 22-11 ATS last 33 when revenging a home loss. Take New York! 

3* NBA Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE on Hawks +

This is way too many points for the Pacers to be laying on the road against a Hawks team that is playing arguably it's best basketball of the season right now. 

Atlanta has won 3 straight, including back-to-back wins on the road over New York and Detroit. Confidence can do wonders for a young team like the Hawks and they have to be itching to get back on the court and take on a good Pacers team. 

Indiana has been playing well of late, but I just have to wonder how motivated the Pacers are going to be in their first game back, the day after Christmas, against a bad team like the Hawks. 

Note that Indiana was a 11.5-point home favorite against these Hawks back on Nov. 17th. That line suggest that had the two played in Atlanta on that day the line would have been closer to 5. 

Hawks are 7-3 ATS last 10 at home vs a team with a winning road record and the Pacers are 1-5 ATS last 6 games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games. Take Atlanta! 

4* NBA Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Heat +

The books are begging for you to lay the short number here with Toronto, but the sharp money is on the red-hot Heat. A lot of people probably aren't aware of just how well Miami has been playing. They have won 5 straight and 9 of their last 12 overall. 

This team is playing with a ton of confidence and to them this is going to be one of those "measuring stick" games, where they see how they stack up against the perceived best team in the Eastern Conference right now. I just don't think the game means that much to Toronto, who is not only a little upset they weren't playing on Christmas Day, but also got a lot of guys banged up. 

Adding to this is a great system in play. Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points in the month of December are an amazing 43-18 (71%) ATS over the last 5 seasons when they come in having played 4 or fewer games in 10 days. 

5* NBA Eastern Conf TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Sixers/Celtics UNDER

I love the UNDER here in this division clash between the 76ers and Celtics. There's a ton of talent on both teams and these are two teams that are believed to have a legit shot at winning the Eastern Conference. I think both are going to be out to make a statement here and we are going to get max effort from both sides on the defensive side of the ball. 

These two played back in October and the Celtics won 105-87 for a combined total of just 193 points. That game had a total of 211.5. I get the 76ers have added Jimmy Butler since that game, but he's an elite defender and we got plenty of wiggle room here with this total north of 220. 

The average score in the 76ers last 17 division road games is 214.5. The average score in the Celtics last 15 division home games is 207.1. Take the UNDER! 

4* Bucks/Knicks Side Winner on Knicks +

I love the value here with the Knicks as a double-digit dog and this game staying well UNDER the mark on the total. 

New York is way undervalued here because of the fact that they have lost 4 straight and are just 1-9 in their last 10. They have been competitive in a lot of these losses and we know we are going to get a max effort here at home against a team like the Bucks. 

These two teams have already played twice this year and both times the Knicks have kept it within single-digits. In fact, they won outright earlier this month at home as a 8-point dog. 

That last meeting was very high-scoring, which is why we are seeing such a high total here. There's just a different defensive intensity that teams play with on Christmas Day. I also think this early start time will have both offenses struggling to get going. Take New York & UNDER! 

3* Bucks/Knicks NBA Total Winner on Knicks UNDER

I love the value here with the Knicks as a double-digit dog and this game staying well UNDER the mark on the total. 

New York is way undervalued here because of the fact that they have lost 4 straight and are just 1-9 in their last 10. They have been competitive in a lot of these losses and we know we are going to get a max effort here at home against a team like the Bucks. 

These two teams have already played twice this year and both times the Knicks have kept it within single-digits. In fact, they won outright earlier this month at home as a 8-point dog. 

That last meeting was very high-scoring, which is why we are seeing such a high total here. There's just a different defensive intensity that teams play with on Christmas Day. I also think this early start time will have both offenses struggling to get going. Take New York & UNDER!

3* NBA Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Clippers +

I like the value here with the Clippers as a double-digit dog against the defending champs. This game simply means a lot more to LA than it does Golden State. There's only a few games during the regular-season that will get the juices flowing for the Warriors. 

One of those is Christmas Day, when they host LeBron James and the new-look Lakers. Even though they lost 121-116 to the Clippers in LA back on 11/12, I have a hard time believing Golden State is even the slightest bit concerned about the Clippers being the team that dethrones them in the West. 

I actually think there's a decent shot LA wins this game outright, but all we need is for them to keep it within single digits. Clippers are 15-5 ATS lats 20 vs a division opponent and 15-4 ATS last 19 road games after covering 3 of their last 4. Take Los Angeles! 

4* NBA Atlantic Div GAME OF THE WEEK on Sixers -

Philadelphia should have no problem covering the number at home in a win over the Raptors. Toronto is playing in the second game of a back-to-back set and instead of sitting Khawi Leonard against the Cavs and having him play here, he played vs Cleveland and will take tonight off. 

That has to feel like a slap in the face for the 76ers and given some of Toronto's success without Khawi in the lineup, I don't see Philadelphia taking this one lightly at all. The 76ers really need this win, as they are just 4-4 in their last 8 without a real signature win in the process. P

Philadelphia is also out for revenge from two earlier losses to the Raptors this season. Both of those were in Toronto. Note that the 76ers are 15-3 at home compared to 6-9 on the road. Take Philadelphia! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on St. Mary's -

St. Mary's should have no problem here leaving with a win at Western Kentucky on Saturday. The Gaels have won 5 of their last 6 and are fres off a 85-56 thrashing of Bucknell, which is worth noting, as St Mary's has gone a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 off a SU win by more than 20 points. 

The Hilltoppers have lost 5 of their last 7. Last time they were at home we saw them lose outright 87-81 to Troy as a 9.5-point favorite. WKU is a bad defensive team. They are allowing 77.3 ppg and 47.7% shooting at home this season.

The Gaels average 78.2 ppg and are shooting 50% from the field and 40% from deep on the year. I just don't see the Hilltoppers being able to keep pace and with this number all we really need is for the Gaels to win outright. Take St. Mary's! 

3* NCAAB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Georgia +

The Yellow Jackets are getting way too much respect here at home against their in-state rivals. Georgia Tech comes in off an impressive 69-65 win as a 9-point dog at Arkansas, but are still just 2-3 in their last 5, including a 10-point home loss to Gardner Webb. 

Georgia has won 3 of their last 4 and covered all 4 during this stretch. The only loss coming by a mere 2-points to a really strong Arizona State team. I know both teams are down from last year, but keep in mind that Georgia has owned this series the last two years. The Bulldogs won 60-43 in 2016 and 80-59 a year ago. We don't even need them to win, just keep it close. 

Bulldogs are 23-12 ATS in their last 35 as an underdog, while the Yellow Jackets are a mere 1-8 ATS when playing their 3rd game in a week span. Take Georgia! 

3* NBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Kings - 

This is too good a price to pass up on Sacramento at home against a Grizzlies team that has lost it's mojo. Memphis was one of the big surprise teams early on, but things have quickly took a turn for the worst. 

The Grizzlies have lost 4 straight and are just 4-10 after starting the year 12-5. They just have a horrible time scoring the basketball. Memphis hasn't eclipsed 100 points in 7 straight games. While they are likely to hit that mark against the Kings given Sacramento's pace of play, I don't see them scoring near enough to have a shot at winning the game. 

Kings didn't play any defense in their 132-113 loss at home to the Thunder on Wednesday, so we should get a better effort on that side of the ball. Sacramento is also 11-3 ATS last 14 off a game where they allowed 125+. They are also 8-3 ATS last 11 home games vs a team with a losing road record. Take Sacramento!  

4* NCAAB Vegas ATS HEAVY HITTER on Mercer - 

The Bears should have zero problem covering this short number at home against the Seahawks. These two teams have a common opponent, as both have played on the road against Georgia State. Mercer lost by 2, while NC-Wilmington lost by 15. I think the line here is closer to what it should be if these two were playing on a neutral court and even then it's a little low. 

The big key here is only one of these teams plays defense. Mercer is only giving up 67.4 ppg and that number drops down to 61.6 ppg at home. The Seahawks are allowing 82.3 ppg on the season, as opposing teams are shooting 47% against them. They are losing on average by 10 ppg away from home and this one should be no different. Take Mercer! 

4* NCAAB Early Bird ATS NO-BRAINER on St. Bonny +

The Huskies are a mere 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games, as the books continue to give them way too much respect. St Bonaventure comes in with a mere 4-7 record and haven't won a game away from home, but this is a team they can easily come away with a win against. 

The Bonnies have covered 4 of their last 5 and are 4-1 ATS last 5 vs a team with a losing record. Both of these teams last played on the road against Vermont. St Bonaventure lost 83-76 and Northeastern fell 75-70. Two very similar scores, which is no surprise, as these are two very evenly matched teams. 

Keep in mind these two teams played last year about this same time and the Bonnies won 84-65, easily covering as a 8.5-point favorite. Take St. Bonaventure! 

4* NCAAB Late Night GAME OF THE WEEK on Pepperdine +

My projections have Pepperdine winning the game outright, so this is an easy play for me on the Waves as a decently priced dog. Pepperdine comes in at 6-6, but are undervalued due to losing 4 of their last 5 and failing to cover each of their last 4. 

Long Beach State is just 3-9 on the season and have no business being this big of a favorite. The 49ers are just 1-6 in their last 7. The play little to no defense, as Long Beach is allowing 79.2 ppg and that's a problem against a Waves team that is scoring 79.2 ppg. Take Pepperdine! 

5* NBA Western Conf GAME OF THE MONTH on Jazz +

The books are absolutely begging the public to take the Warriors here as a small road favorite and they are doing exactly that (close to 70% action on Golden State). They did the same thing when these two met back in October and the Jazz covered in a painful 124-123 loss as 2.5-point dog. 

There's no doubt that Utah has been itching for this rematch after nearly knocking off the defending champs. We are going to get their best effort here. It's hard for Golden State to get up for regular-season games and I have to think they are a bit annoyed that they have this 1-game road trip to Utah before returning home for Christmas (next road game is 12/29). 

Not to mention the Warriors aren't just struggling to cover on the road, they are a mere 8-7 straight up away from Oracle Arena. Golden State is also just 2-8 ATS last 10 vs a team from the Western Conference. Take Utah! 

3* NCAAB Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on UCLA +

I really like the value here with the Bruins here. While Cincinnati comes in off a loss at Mississippi State, they are still 9-2 on the season and 6-2 ATS in their last 8. They are still overvalued, as this is too many points for UCLA to be catching. 

The Bearcats were only a 2.5-point dog to Mississippi State and lost by 11, shooting just 37.3% from the field. Their other loss this year is a 8-point home defeat to Ohio State as a 4.5-point favorite and they shot a mere 27.4% in that game. I just don't think this team is as good as people think, but they went 31-5 last year, so they are getting some love. Take UCLA! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Omaha +

The books have the wrong team favored in this one. Nebraska-Omaha enters with a mere 4-7 record, but they have only played 3 games on their home floor leading up to this contest. They have also played nearly half (5) of their games against Power 5 opponents. 

They were able to snap a 4-game skid with a 89-80 win at Idaho as a mere 1-point favorite in their last game and I expect a big time effort here from the Mavericks in their first home game since they hosted and annihilated Montana State 89-65 as a 8-point favorite back on Nov. 24th. 

This is a long way from home for the Gauchos and I just think it's a really tough spot for them to play well. I think given that they have won 7 of 8, they might not give the Mavs their full attention, especially given the books made them the favorite. Take Nebraska-Omaha! 

5* NBA Southeast PLAY OF THE MONTH on Hawks +

This is a great spot to jump on Atlanta as a home dog against the Wizards. Washington has been one of the most overvalued teams this season, especially on the road. The Wizards are 4-12 SU and 4-12 ATS in their 16 road games. 

I get the Hawks aren't a great team, but no way should Washington be a road favorite. The Wizards come in off what looks like an impressive 128-110 win over the Lakers, but they got a LA team that didn't show up to play on the second night of a back-to-back road set. Prior to that win they had lost 4 straight, including a 15-point loss on the road to the Cavs. 

Wizards are 0-9 ATS last 9 road games after allowing 105 or more points in 3 straight games and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 road games after a game with a combined score of 235 or more. Take Atlanta! 

3* NCAAB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Xavier +

I like the value here with the Musketeers at basically a pick'em on the road against the Tigers. Xavier was way overvalued to start the year and that was evident by their 0-4-1 ATS start. 

While the Musketeers have won 5 of their last 6 and are a respectable 4-2 ATS during this run, they are still flying under the radar from their slow start. It's not as bad as it looks. They are 7-4, but the 4 losses have come against Wisconsin, Auburn, San Diego State and Cincinnati. 

I don't think Missouri is on the same level as those teams. WE have already seen the Tigers lose at home to Temple. They also lost by 15 to Kansas State and by 17 to ISU. Missouri is just 4-11-1 ATS last 16 non-conference games and 1-7-1 ATS last 9 at home vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games. Take Xavier! 

4* NCAAB Situational HEAVY HITTER  on Georgetown -

I got no problem laying double-digits here with the Hoyas at home against the Mountaineers. We can bank on a big effort here from Georgetown after losing their last two, including an upset loss last time out at home against SMU. 

They should have no problem bouncing back with a big win. Appalachian State has played 6 road games and lost all 6. The Mountaineers are giving up 85 ppg on the road and the Hoyas are averaging 82.8 ppg at home. Georgetowns defense will be able to limit App St and that's where they will create the separation needed to cover. 

Mountaineers are 7-20-2 ATS last 29 road games vs a team with a winning home record and a mere 2-10 ATS last 12 road games after winning 2 of their last 3. Take Georgetown! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on SIU-Edwardsville +

The Bulldogs are getting way too much respect here from the books. Drake should be able to win this game, but it's asking a lot for them to win by 14 or more.

This line is simply inflated due to the fact that the Bulldogs come in having covered 6 straight and SIU Edwardsville a mere 2-5 overall. The Cougars only lost by 5 at Valpo as an almost identical 14.5-point dog. They are 4-0 ATS last 4 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. 

There's also a huge system in play favoring a fade of Drake. Home favorites that have won between 60% to 80% of their games and enter having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 are a mere 19-47 (29%) ATS when facing a bad team that's won between 20% to 40% of their games. Take SIU Edwardsville! 

3* NBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Bucks -

Milwaukee should have no problem covering this short number on the road against the Pistons. Detroit comes in off a upset win at home over the Celtics, but I'm just not buying it as a sign of things to come. Pistons simply had a good night shooting, as they connected on 49% of their attempts. 

I don't see the offense being able to match that hot shooting here against a good Milwaukee defense. Bucks have held 4 of their last 6 opponents under 42% from the field and been outstanding this season on that side of the ball against division opponents. Milwaukee is 6-1 in division games and have held their division rivals to just 102.4 ppg and 41.9% shooting. 

Pistons are 0-4 ATS last 4 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games and a mere 4-15 ATS last 19 vs strong rebounding teams, who are outrebounding opponents by 3 or more/game. Take Milwaukee! 

4* NBA Situational NO-BRAINER on Mavs -

This is a great price to back the Mavs at home. Sacramento is getting a lot of love for their recent game agains the Warriors, which they went toe-to-toe with the defending champs in a 130-125 loss at home.

They blew that game. They were up 10 with a little over 3 minutes to play. That's a loss that can linger for days and I just think we see a flat Kings team in this one. Dallas is also a team you don't want to be betting against right now. The Mavs have covered 11 of their last 16. They are also an amazing 13-2 SU and 12-3 ATS on their home floor this season. 

There's also going to be a different kind of buzz at American Airlines Center, as Dirk Nowitizki will be taking the court for the first time at home this season. Take Dallas! 

3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Cal-Irvine -

The Anteaters should have zero problem beating the Pioneers by the number here. UC-Irvine is sitting at 9-2 on the season with an outright win on the road against Texas A&m. Denver is 4-9 an and are simply outclassed here. 

These two team played about this time last year and the Anteaters won by 14 on the road, easily covering as a a 5-point dog. Irvine has covered 8 of their last 10 against a team with a losing record and 4-1 ATS last 5 vs a team from the Summit. Pioneers are 5-16 ATS last 21 in non-conference play. Take UC-Irvine! 

4* NCAAB Situational ATS NO-BRAINER on Virginia Tech -

The Hokies should have zero problem here covering the spread at home against the Huskies. Virginia Tech's only loss on the season is a mere 1-point defeat at Penn State. No surprise, as this is what many thought to be the 4th best team in the ACC behind Duke, UNC and Virginia. 

There was some hype with Washington, but the Huskies have struggled to come away with wins when they take a step up in competition. They have lost at Auburn and Gonzaga, as well as a neutral site game against Minnesota. 

Note that these two played on a neutral court last year and it wasn't close. The Hokies won 103-79 as a 7-point favorite. They are simply the much better team and what is normally a strong homeport advantage gets even stronger when you factor in how far the Huskies have had to travel for this one. 

Washington is 1-5 ATS last 6 vs a team that's won 60% or more of their games and 4-13 ATS last 17 vs top caliber teams who are outscoring opponents by 12+ points/game. Hokies are 13-5 ATS last 18 non-conference and 9-2 ATS last 11 after playing 3 straight games as a favorite. Take Virginia Tech! 

3* NCAAB Early Bird ATS ANNIHILATOR on SMU +

The Hoyas simply are a great team to fade at home, especially as a favorite in non-conference play. Georgetown is 6-17 ATS in their last 23 as a home favorite and 4-13 ATS last 17 at home in non-conference play. 

Last time out the Hoyas suffered a crushing 72-71 loss at Syracuse and are 0-5 ATS last 5 off a loss. SMU on the other hand is an impressive 56-32 ATS L88 road games and have gone 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 games played on a Saturday. 

While the Mustangs are just 6-4, they have played the tougher schedule to this point. I see no reason they can't make a game of this and I think worst case they lose by 5 or less, with a really good shot they win the game outright. Take SMU! 

4* NBA Cavs/Bucks CENTRAL PLAY OF THE WEEK on Cavs +

There's no denying the Cavs are one of the worst teams in the NBA, but they do come out and play hard on a regular basis. I think that effort will be more than enough for Cleveland to keep this within double-digits at home against the Bucks. 

Milwaukee has cooled off some from their amazing start, as they are just 5-5 in their last 10 games. They lost 113-97 as a 2-point favorite last time out at Indiana and are just 5-6 on the road on the season. 

Bucks are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 road games and are just 20-48 ATS last 68 as a favorite of 10 or more. Cavs are 4-0 ATS last 4 vs a team from the east and the home team is 3-0-1 last 4 in the series. Take Cleveland! 

3* NBA Clippers/Spurs PLAY OF THE DAY on Clippers +

The betting public is all over San Antonio and to no surprise. The Spurs have won 4 straight and people are going to be quick to look for reasons to back this team. It's the exact opposite for the Clippers. They have been one of the best teams in the West from the start, but no one believes in them and re definitely not backing them here. LA has failed to cover 4 in a row and just lost by 24 at home to the Raptors. 

That loss to Toronto doesn't look nearly as bad after what the Raptors did to the Warriors in Golden State last night. I just think the Clippers are the more talented team and let's not overlook that prior t being a 13-point favorite against the Suns, the Spurs were a 4-point home dog to the Jazz and 1-point home dog to the Lakers. The Clippers are better than both of those teams and simply should not be a dog here. Take Los Angeles! 

4* NCAAB Small Conference HIDDEN ATS GEM on Morehead State +

The records here would suggest that Samford is the far superior team, as the Bulldogs enter with an 8-2 record and Morehead State is limping in at 3-6. That's definitely playing into this line and creating big time value here with the Eagles.

The reason the Bulldogs are 8-2 is they haven't played anybody outside of one road game against Ohio State. Morehead State's already played 3 true road games against UConn, Syracuse and Marshall and it's worth noting they were competitive in all 3, losing by just 10 the Huskies, 14 to the Orange and 8 to the Thundering Herd. 

I not only think they are are capable of covering the spread, but I like them to win outright. Eagles are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 13 road games and 8-3 in their last 11 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Take Morehead State! 

4* NBA Atlantic GAME OF THE WEEK on Nets +

I like the value here with Brooklyn as a big road dog against the the 76ers. Philadelphia has gone an impressive 10-2 in their last 12 games and are off a 14-point win at home against the Pistons as a 11.5-point favorite. It has the 76ers way overvalued here at home against a Nets team that has recently turned a corner. 

Brooklyn upset Toronto at home 106-105 as a 8.5-point dog and the very next night went on the road and beat the Knicks 112-104 as a 2-point dog. Even with those back-to-back wins, the Nets are still a team that don't command a lot of respect. I just think it's hard for teams like the 76ers to emotionally get up for opponents like this and that will allow Brooklyn to hang around and keep this within the number. 

Nets are well rested here, as they haven't played since Saturday and that's worth noting, as they are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games when playing on 3 or more days of rest. Nets are also a strong 31-18 ATS as a road dog the last 2 seasons and 14-4 ATS in their last 18 road games after scoring at least 105 points in 3 straight games. Take Brooklyn! 

3* NCAAB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Columbia +

I love the value here with the Lions as a big road dog against the Eagles. Columbia comes in with a mere 3-6 record, but it's a very misleading mark. The Lions largest margin of defeat is a mere 11-points and 3 of the 6 losses have come by 2-points or less. 

I think they are more than capable of keeping this within the number. Columbia is a great 3-point shooting team. They come in averaging 11 made 3-pointers a game and are shooting 39% as a team from long distance. BC hasn't exactly faired well against teams that can shoot from deep, as they are a mere 12-28 ATS in their last 40 home games against teams who average 8 or more 3-pointers a game. 

The Eagles are also a bit overvalued because of their hot start. they are 6-2 overall and have won 4 of their last 5. BC is 15-31 in their last 46 home games when they come in having gone 4-1 in their previous 5 games. Take Columbia! 

3* Late Info Insider on Clippers +

No Analysis on late releases

3* NCAAB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Penn +

I like the Quakers here to at least keep this within the number. This is not the same caliber a Villanova team that we have seen the past few years. While they are 8-2 to start the year, we have seen them lose by 27 to Michigan at home as well as by 8 as a 16-point home favorite to Furman. 

Penn has had this one circled since the schedule was released and are coming in playing with a ton of confidence. They have won 4 straight with the last two being a 14-point win at home over Miami and a 18-point win on the road over LaSalle. The Quakers were embarrassed last year by the Wildcats, losing 90-62 at Villanova, so that's even more incentive for them to lay it all on the line in this one. 

Quakers are 6-1 ATS last 7 off a SU win, 5-1 ATS last 6 at home and 7-2 ATS last 9 non-conference games. Take Penn! 

5* NBA Non-Conf GAME OF THE MONTH on Magic +

I really like this spot for Orlando to cover the spread and possible win the game outright at Dallas on Monday. This is a big letdown spot for the Mavs, who are coming off a thrilling 107-104 win at home over the Rockets. 

As for the Magic, we can bank on a big effort here after back-to-back home losses to the Nuggets and Pacers. Orland has been a solid road team. They are 6-6 away from home and most importantly, 9-2 ATS on the highway. Magic have also covered 7 straight away from home when facing a team that is allowing 106+ points/game. 

Another thing is Orlando is fresh, as they have played just once in the last 4 days. Playing into that is a great system in favor of a Magic cover. Underdogs of 3.5 to 9 points who are playing just their 4th or less game in the last 10 days are 41-15 (73%) ATS in the month of December over the last 5 seasons. Take Orlando! 

3* NBA Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Cavs +

This is a great price to back Cleveland, as this is a really tough spot for the Bucks. Milwaukee is coming off a huge road win on Sunday at Toronto and with the quick turnaround they aren't even going to have a shoot-around before the game.

This is just one of those games where the Bucks are going to have a hard time showing up with a ton of intensity, as they have to feel like they can beat the Cavs at home in their sleep. It's a spot where they have failed to cover quite often, as Milwaukee is 2-11 ATS in their last 13 home games vs terrible teams that are getting outscored by 6 or more points/game. 

Bucks are also a mere 2-11 ATS in their last 13 as a favorite of 10 or more points and 3-12 ATS last 15 off an upset win as an underdog. Take Cleveland! 

4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Texas +

This is the ideal spot to jump on the Longhorns. Since upsetting North Carolina to improve to 5-0, Texas has lost 3 straight, including back-to-back home losses to VCU and Radford as double-digit favorites. If that doesn't humble the Longhorns nothing will. 

I expect a extremely motivated and locked in Texas team to take the floor here at home against the Boilermakers. Purdue is a one-man show. Carsen Edwards averages 23.9 ppg. The only other player in double-figures is Ryan Cline at 14 ppg. I think that's a tough way to win against good teams, especially on the road and Purude has lost both of their true road games, as well as a neutral site game to Va Tech. 

Longhorns are 26-13 ATS in their last 39 as a home underdog with a very profitable 15-5 ATS mark as a home dog of 3 points or less. Take Texas! 

4* NCAAB Situational ATS NO-BRAINER on Tennessee +

The public is coming in on the #1 ranked Bulldogs at close to a 80% clip and I'm putting my trust in the books that they have set this line to where they are confident the Vols will cash. I'm on board, as I like Tennessee to win this game outright. 

The Vols are no pushover. They are 6-1 and their only loss is a mere 6-point defeat to Kansas on a neutral field. They only lost by 6 to the Jayhawks, despite shooting just 41% from the field and Kansas was a red-hot 50%. Gonzaga has a bunch of big wins on their resume, including that upset of Duke, but they are due for a loss and they were lucky to get by Washington 81-79 at home as a 16-point favorite in their last game. 

Vols are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 road games when the previous two were against non-conference opponents. They are also 210-8-2 ATS in their last 30 off a SU win by more than 20 points and 8-1 ATS in their last 90 after holding their previous opponent to 25 or less 1st half points. Take Tennessee! 

3* NBA Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Lakers OVER

These two teams should have no problem eclipsing the total set here by the books. I get the low number here with Memphis and their tendency for lower-scoring games, but I just don't think these two will be bringing the defensive intensity in this one. 

Both teams are on no rest, as the Lakers played at San Antonio last night in a shootout (lost 133-120) and the Grizzlies were in a dog fight at New Orleans (won 107-103). I think both teams easily reach the 100-point mark in this one and I wouldn't be shocked if this thing ended up a closer to 225. 

OVER is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams, including 3-1-1 in the last 5 games played at Memphis. Take the OVER! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on UNLV +

There's no reason for Illinois to be laying close to double-digits at home against the Rebels. I get the Illini have played a pretty tough schedule, but they are just 2-7 and have been way overvalued by the books in their slow start. Illinois is just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games. 

UNLV is 4-3 and off back-to-back losses to Valparaiso and Cincinnati, but they played both of them close and didn't shoot well in either game. Illinois has let opponents shoot 49% from the field, so good chance the Rebels get going offensively in this one. 

Rebels are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games vs a struggling defensive team that is giving up 77 or more points/game and are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 vs a team from the Big Ten. Illinois is 0-4 ATS last 4 at home and 1-4 ATS last 5 off a double-digit loss at home. Take UNLV! 

4* NCAAB Underdog PLAY OF THE WEEK on Seton Hall +

I really like the value here with the Pirates catching a big number on a neutral court against the Wildcats, as these two get ready to face off at Madison Square Garden. Kentucky is 7-1 with the only setback being that ugly 118-84 loss to Duke in their season opener, but I'm still not quite sold on this team. 

The Wildcats have played absolutely no one since that game against Duke and are just 3-5 ATS on the season. Set Hall has one bad loss at Nebraska and a couple of close calls against St Louis and Louisville. No question the Pirates are going to put everything they have into pulling off the upset here and this is a tough spot for Kentucky. Wildcats last played on Dec. 1 and won't play again after this one until Dec. 15. 

Pirates are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Kentucky is 5-15 ATS in their last 20 road games after scoring 75+ in 4 straight. Take Seton Hall! 

5* NCAAB No Limit GAME OF THE MONTH on Florida +

I cashed in on the Gators in their 10-point win over West Virginia and I'll gladly back them as a home dog here against the Spartans. Florida beat the Mountaineers by double-digits, despite shooting a mere 33.3% from the field. Note that game was played on a  neutral court. 

This has been a much different Florida offense at home, where they are averaging 85.3 ppg and shooting 53.1% from the field. It's not so much the offense, as it is the defense that has me liking the Gators here. Michigan State took won't have the same advantages against Florida as they did in their 22-point blowout win at home against Iowa, where they shot 52%. 

Spartans are just 6-15 ATS in their last 21 road games after 2 or more wins and are a mere 1-9 ATS in their last 10 road games off a conference win by 10 or more points. Take Florida! 

4* NCAAB Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Santa Clara -

I got no problem laying the short number here with the Broncos, as I look for them to easily cover the small spread at home against the Bengals. Santa Clara got off to a brutal 0-4 start, but have rebounded to win 3 of their last 4 with the only loss during this stretch coming in a true road game at Cal. 

Idaho State is 3-3 and 2 of those wins have come against the likes of Bethesda-CA and Montana Western. Bengals are expected to finish near the bottom of the Big Sky and are simply outclassed here. Idaho State has failed to cover 4 of their last 5 vs teams from the West Coast and are 2-8 ATS last 10 off a SU win. They are also a mere 5-15 ATS last 20 road games after playing their previous game as a road dog. Take Santa Clara! 

4* NBA Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Cavs +

Kings are getting way too much respect here as a road favorite. As bad as Cleveland is, Sacramento should not be laying points away from home. I know the Kings just covered as 5.5-point road favorites in a 122-105 win at Phoenix, but they are just 3-14 ATS in their last 17 off a win by 10 or more points. 

Last time out the Cavs gave up 129 in a 14-point loss at home to the Warriors and that's worth noting as Cleveland is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 after giving up 125 or more points. Cavs had covered each of their previous two games before coming up short as 11-point dogs to Golden State and I'm confident they bounce back here with a win at home. Take Cleveland! 

4* NCAAB Rivalry GAME OF THE WEEK on Iowa State -

Iowa State should have no problem going on the road and taking down in-state rival Iowa. The line really tells you all you need to know for this one, as the Hawkeyes are ranked No. 18 and getting points at home against a Cyclones team that isn't currently in the Top 25. 

The books are telling you who is the better team, as the public will be on the ranked team getting points at home. I really like what I have seen from Iowa State in their 7-1 start. They haven't even had their full compliment of players and yet still have wins over Missouri, Illinois and San Diego State. Their lone loss being by just 5-points on a neutral court. 

Iowa looked impressive in back-to-back wins over Oregon and UConn, but they have went ice-cold from the field since those two victories. They were lucky to escape with a 69-68 win at home over Pitt, as they shot just 36.5%. They shot 39% in a 6-point loss to Wisconsin at home and 32.8% in a 22-point loss at Michigan State. 

Cyclones on the other hand come in having scored 80 or more in 4 straight games and are an impressive 9-1 ATS in their last 10 after scoring 80+ in 2 straight games. Hawkeyes are also a mere 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games vs a team that's won more than 80% of their games. Take Iowa State! 

4* NCAAB Late Night VEGAS INSIDER on Cal +

While the Golden Bears are one of the worst teams in the Pac-12, this is too many points for them to be catching at home against a team from the West Coast Conference. I get San Francisco is a quality team and have started out 7-1, but not a single one of those wins have come against a Power 5 opponents. 

Cal already has one win against a team from the WCC, as they defeated Santa Clara at home as a 7.5-point favorite. Now they are a 6.5-point dog against SF? I just think this number has been inflated a ton and there's just too much value to pass up. 

Note that while Cal is just 2-4 overall, they have only played 2 games at home and are 2-0 SU and 2-0 ATS at home. It's also worth noting they come in off a 84-71 loss at St-Mary's, where they gave up 45 in the 1st half. Golden Bears are 24-8 ATS last 32 after giving up 45 or more in the 1st half. Dons are also 0-6 ATS last 6 road games after winning 5 or 6 of their last 7. Take California! 

3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT  on Long Beach State -

This line really tells you everything you need to know. Long Beach State comes in at 2-7 and riding a 4-game losing streak, yet are laying points against a Southern Utah team that is 4-1. The 49ers have played the much tougher schedule and that's easy to see as they have already logged 5 games against Power 5 opponents and have only played 2 of their 9 games at home. 

To give you an idea of how easy the schedule has been for Thunderbirds, the opponents they have faced give up on average 82.3 ppg, so don't be fooled by the 86 ppg that Southern Utah is averaging. Thunderbirds are just 4-10 ATS last 14 games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games and the 49ers are a perfect 4-0 ATS last 4 off a SU loss. Take Long Beach State! 

3* NBA Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR on Cavs +

The Cavs snapped a 4-game losing streak with a 99-97 win at Brooklyn as a 6-point dog and I really like their chances of keeping this within the number against the Warriors. Cleveland is definitely one of the worst teams in the league, but that often has them getting a few too many points from the books, as no one wants to be on this team. Cavs have covered each of their last 2 and 5 of their last 8. 

Warriors come in at 16-9, but they just don't seem to have that killer instinct in the regular-season any more. They actually have a losing record on the road at 5-7 and are just 4-8 ATS in those 12 road games. They did win and cover last time out against the Hawks, but are just 1-5 ATS off a SU win and a mere 12-25-1 ATS last 38 off a SU win by more than 10 points. Take Cleveland! 

3* NBA Late Night Bailout BLOWOUT on Jazz -

I got no problem laying this kind of number with Utah at home against the Spurs. San Antonio is way down this year and it's just unlikely to get a lot better. Spurs are 11-12 and own a miserable 4-8 record on the road, where they are getting outscored by nearly 6 ppg. 

San Antonio does come in off a nice win at home against the Blazers, but they shot a ridiculous 60% from the field. That hot shooting covered up another bad defensive night, as the Spurs let Portland shoot 50% from the field. That's 3 straight opponents where San Antonio has allowed 50% or better shooting and they haven't held a team under 46.5% in their last 8 games. 

Jazz have the talent to be one of the top defensive teams in the league and last time out they held the Heat to just 39.6%. Their ability to get stops should allow them to pull away and win this one by double-digits. Take Utah! 

4* NCAAB Big Ten GAME OF THE WEEK on Penn State -

A lot of people wrote-off the Nittany Lions this year because they lost their star in Tony Carr. While that was a huge loss, there's plenty of talent still on board, including junior Lamar Stevens, who was the NIT's most outstanding player.

Stevens has been sensational, averaging 22.4 ppg and 8.6 rpg. He's got 3 guys around him who can all hit from deep and this team is holding opponents nearly 12 points below their season average on the defensive side. 

Indiana is a well-known program and there's a lot of hype with this year's team, but I haven't been all that impressed. They have lost both their true road games and barely held on to beat Northwestern at home, despite shooting 55.1% from the field. That's a major cause for concern, especially on the road, where it's a lot harder to score. Take Penn State! 

5* NCAAB Non-Conf GAME OF THE MONTH  on Oklahoma -

This is a no-brainer for me. I think Oklahoma is the better team and it's not even close. While both teams come into this game with a 6-1 record, the Sooners' 6-1 record has been a lot more impressive. 

Oklahoma's only loss is to a Wisconsin team that figures to finish near the top of the Big Ten. They have impressive wins over Florida and Dayton and have only played 2 true home games so far this season. Notre Dame has a 2-point win over Illinois on it's resume, but also a loss at home to Radford. Irish have also played all 7 of their games at home. 

Both teams lost a lot from last year, but I think a lot more people wrote off Oklahoma because they lost a superstar in Trae Young. While Young was the talk of CBB, the Sooners went just 4-12 down the stretch. A lot of that was it was a one-man show. This year they are playing much better team basketball and a lot better defense. I look for them to win this one going away. Take Oklahoma! 

3* NCAAB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Rutgers +

Really like the value here with the Scarlet Knights as a huge underdog against the Badgers. Wisconsin comes in over a big road win against undefeated and No. 14 ranked Iowa. The Badgers were No. 22 in their win over the Hawkeyes and are now the No. 12 team in the country. 

I think it has them getting way too much respect here against a quality Rutgers team. While the Scarlet Knights failed to cover as a 8-point home dog in a 78-67 loss to Michigan State, that was a 1-point game in the 2nd half. Prior to that loss, Rutgers went on the road and beat Miami, FL 57-54 as a 11-point dog. 

Scarlet Knights are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 off a double-digit loss at home and 4-0 ATS last 4 games on the road. Take Rutgers! 

4* NBA East Conf GAME OF THE WEEK on Wizards -

Washington should have no problem going into New York and leaving with a victory and that's all we need with this line at basically a pick'em. The Wizards come into this one off one of their best performances of the season in a 102-88 win against the Nets. 

The Wizards shot 52% from the field, while holding Brooklyn to just 37% shooting. Washington's dynamic backcourt of Wall and Beal combined for 52 points and Morris came off the bench with 20. When Wall and Beal are both clicking, this is a very difficult team to beat and with the Knicks giving up 114.6 ppg and 47.4% shooting on the season, I like their chances of staying hot. 

There's also a strong system in play favoring a fade of the Knicks. Teams who are allowing 103+ points/game and off a close win by 3-points or less are just 51-100 ATS since 1996 when the line is +3 to -3. That's a 66% system in favor of the Wizards. Take Washington! 

5* NCAAB Big Ten GAME OF THE MONTH on Ohio State -

I got no problem laying this number here at home with the Buckeyes against the Gophers. Minnesota is going to be a trendy pick here by the pubic, as this will look like too many points for them to be catching, as they are 6-1 with wins over Utah, Texas A&M, Washington and most recently Oklahoma State.

However, their lone loss came in their only true road game against Boston College and they got rolled by 12-points and shot a miserable 29.2% from the field. Ohio State can really lock teams down defensively and were playing extremely well (won true road games at Cincinnati and Creighton) before a setback at home against a quality Syracuse team. 

Buckeyes lost to the Orange by a final score of 72-62 and that's worth noting, as they are a prefect 5-0 ATS last 5 times they have come off a double-digit home loss. Gophers on the other hand are 0-4 ATS last 4 road games vs a team with a winning home record and 1-9 ATS last 10 off a cover. Home team has covered 4 of the last 5 in the series and Gophers are 1-10 ATS last 11 trips to Columbus. Take Ohio State! 

3* NBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Jazz -

Utah should have zero problem here getting a win on the road against the Heat on Sunday. The Jazz are a team that has under-performed early on, but they are starting to turn a corner. They just won by 8 as a 2-point dog at Charlotte on Friday and won by 10 at Brooklyn as a mere 3.5-point favorite on Wednesday. 

I just think this team is starting to play some of their best basketball and Miami is a team that is struggling to find their way. The Heat have only won 5 times since Oct. 29th, but are getting some love here due to the fact that they are fresh off an upset win at home over the Pelicans. 

Miami is just 3-8 ATS last 11 off a SU win and 1-6 ATS last 7 at home. Utah is 24-12 ATS last 36 when coming off back-to-back wins and are a perfect 4-0 ATS last 4 trips to Miami. Take Utah! 

3* NCAAB Early Bird ANNIHILATOR on Arizona 

I really like the Wildcats to go on the road and take down UConn. This might not be your Final 4 caliber Arizona team, but I think because they aren't quite what they have been the last couple of years they are flying under the radar. 

Arizona's only two losses this season have come against Gonzaga and Auburn and the loss to the Tigers came the day after they laid it all on the line against the Bulldogs. They had an impressive win over Iowa State and their two losses are a lot better than UConn's loss to Iowa, who I think is a bit overrated right now. 

Wildcats are 13-4 ATS last 17 road games off a home win and the Huskies are 0-7 ATS last 7 after 2 straight games where they committed 11 or fewer turnovers. 

We also find a strong system in play backing a fade of the Huskies. Home teams with a line of +3 to -3 and are coming in off 4 straight high-scoring games where 155 or more points were scored are a mere 19-45 ATS over the last 5 seasons. That's a 70% system in favor of the Wildcats covering. Take Arizona! 

4* NBA Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Bulls/Rockets OVER

The Bulls and Rockets should have no problem eclipsing the total set here by the books. A big reason for that is both teams don't figure to be exerting a lot of energy on the defensive side, as each team will be playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set, as well as their 3rd game overall in the last 4 days. 

Houston's offense has really gotten better since the start of the season and they put up 136 last night in San Antonio and are averaging 118.8 ppg over their last 5. Chicago is giving up 113.8 ppg on the road and will have no answer for Harden and company. 

Key here is that while the Bulls offense is limited, the Rockets defense has been slipping of late. Houston has allowed at least 105 in 7 straight games and I just don't see this game being close enough to where they feel they have to lock down defensively. 

OVER is a perfect 7-0 in the Rockets last 7 after scoring 100 or more points, 5-0 in their last 5 vs a team from the Eastern Conference and 4-0 last 4 home games vs a team with a losing road record. Take the OVER!