5* Elite Eight Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on North Carolina -

I really like the value here with the Tar Heels at basically a pick'em at against the Wildcats. Kentucky is coming off a tough game against UCLA, which they had revenge against from an earlier loss. North Carolina on the other hand cruised to a 11-point when over Butler. The Tar Heels had the much easier Sweet 16 matchup and they are the ones playing with revenge, as they fell 100-103 to Kentucky earlier this season. When North Carolina plays like they have been in the tournament, they are without a doubt in my mind the best team in the country. The Tar Heels have the speed and athleticism at the guard positions to limit Fox and Monk for the Wildcats and without those two there's not a lot for Kentucky to go with. Take North Carolina!

4* Oregon/Kansas Elite Eight Annihilator on Oregon +

I really like the value here with the Ducks as a decently priced dog against the Jayhawks. Kansas is coming off a 98-66 blowout win over Purdue in the Sweet 16 and I believe that's playing into this number being higher than it should be. The big thing to keep in mind, is that the Boilermakers were a perfect matchup for Kansas. Purdue didn't have the speed or athleticism to hang with the Jayhawks for 40 minutes. Oregon definitely does and the Ducks have now proven they can't be taken lightly, even with the big injury to Boucher. Not only do I think the Ducks keep this closer than the number, but I give them a really good shot at winning this game outright. Take Oregon!

5* Xavier/Gonzaga Elite Eight Vegas Insider Top Play on OVER

I really like the value here on the total and for Xavier and Gonzaga to go over the mark here set by the books. We haven't seen the best of what the Bulldogs offense can bring to the table. They came out flat in their opener against South Dakota State and ended up scoring just 66 points, but note they had 40 in the 2nd half. They put up 79 on a very good Northwestern defense in the Round of 32, but then were held to just 61 by an even better West Virginia defense, which also took them out of their flow with the press. I look for Gonzaga's offense to explode here against the Musketeers, who are far from an elite defensive team. At the same, I look for Xavier's offense to stay hot and score enough here to push this well over the number. Take the OVER!

4* NBA Situational ATS No Brainer on Clippers -

I really like the value here with Los Angeles as a relatively short home favorite against the Jazz. This is a huge game in terms of playoff seeding. These two teams are fighting for the 4th spot in the west, which ensures home court in the first round of the playoffs. Right now the Jazz hold a 1.5-game edge, so it's that much more important for the Clippers to hold serve here at home. These two teams did just play in Utah on 3/13, which the Jazz won 114-108. Home court is huge for both teams and while LA lost last time out at Dallas, they have been looking more and more like the team that was so dominant to start the season. Utah is just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 points and 6-19-1 ATS in their last 26 road games against a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Take Los Angeles!

4* Sweet 16 Late Night Total No Brainer on Wisconsin/Florida UNDER

I don't think there's much to this one. Both of these teams are excellent on the defensive side of the ball and a bit limited offensively. Not to mention both are accustomed to playing a grind it out type of game. Florida held Virginia to a mere 39 points in their last game, while Wisconsin limited No. 1 overall seed Villanova to just 62. That was with both teams having just one-day to prepare for the opposition. Each has now had 5 days to prepare for the opponent and I look for these two to struggle to eclipse 120 let along 130. Take the UNDER!

4* NBA Undervalued Underdog on Pelicans +

The Rockets find themselves in a difficult spot to close out the season. Houston is all but locked into the No. 3 spot in the west, as they are 6-games back of the Spurs and 5.5 in front of the Jazz. This makes it easy for the Rockets to limit minutes and make sure they are in prime form going into the playoffs. I also believe it will have them picking and choosing when to bring a max effort. I know Houston just lost to New Orleans, but I don't think they get up for this one, with much bigger games on deck against the likes of the Thunder and Warriors (play GS twice in their next 5 games). Keep in mind the Rockets can still win here and not cover. The Pelicans are playing for the playoff lives and have been playing much better of late. Take New Orleans!

4* NBA Over/Under Total Annihilator on Hawks/Bucks UNDER

The Bucks have been locking down opponents on the defensive side of the floor lately. Milwaukee has allowed more than 103 points just twice in their last 12 games and both of those came on the road with one of them being the Warriors. They should have no problem keeping the Hawks in check at home. Atlanta continues to play without two of their most important pieces in Millsap and Bazemore. The Hawks have scored 100 or less in 5 straight games. Atlanta can't keep messing around. They are sitting in 5th place in the east, but just 3.5 games from being in 9th. I look for both teams to bring the intensity on defense and keep this well below the number. UNDER is 13-3 in the Hawks last 16 road games after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 and 14-2 in their last 16 off a road loss. UNDER is also 20-8 in the Bucks last 28 games in the month of March and 9-1 in their last 10 when facing a team that scored 100 or more in their last game. Take the UNDER!

5* NCAA Tournament Total of the Year on S Carolina/Baylor UNDER

I really like the value here on the total and this one going well under the mark set by the books. South Carolina is an excellent defensive team. Yes, they gave up 81 points to Duke in the Round of 32, but they held the Blue Devils to a mere 41.5% shooting percentage. Duke plays at a much faster tempo than Baylor and has a lot better offensive players. Baylor has put up 91 and 82 in their first two tournament games, but that's a bit out of character for a team that only averages 73.5 and didn't score 80 or more in a single Big 12 game. Not to mention the Bears are a dominant defensive team as well, as they only give up 63.5 ppg. Add in the pressure and the fact that neither of these teams exactly no how to handle it and I look for both teams to struggle offensively. Take the UNDER 135!

4* NBA No Doubt ATS Blowout on Pistons -

The Pistons come into this game off an ugly 22-point loss at Chicago and have lost 5 of their last 6 overall. The key here is that Detroit is still right in the thick of things for the final playoff spot in the east. I look for the Pistons to bounce back in a big way here against the Magic. Orlando says they are still playing to win, but there's just no way they bring the same intensity as Detroit. The Magic are also a horrible home team, as they have gone just 13-23 on their home floor this season. Last time out Orlando lost 102-109 at home to division rival Charlotte and are 2-13 ATS off a division game and 0-8 ATS in their last 8 off a loss to a division opponent. Pistons are 27-14 ATS in their last 41 off an upset loss as a favorite and 35-14 when revenging a loss as a home favorite of a 7 or more. Take Detroit!

4* NBA Situational ATS Heavy Hitter on Mavericks +

I like the value here with Dallas as a home dog against the Clippers. Los Angeles has won 3 straight, but let's not get too carried away. They blew out the Cavs with Cleveland resting their stars, took out the Knicks at home and crushed a tanking Lakers team on the road. At the same time, Dallas is getting zero love after an ugly 87-112 loss at home to the Warriors. I look for the Mavs to bounce back here and catch the Clippers looking ahead to Saturday's big showdown at home against the Jazz, who they are chasing for the No. 4 seed in the west. LA is just 6-20 ATS in their last 26 after a win by 20 or more over a division rival. Mavs on the other hand are 27-13 ATS in their last 40 off a loss by 10 points or more. Take Dallas!

5* Sweet 16 NO LIMIT Top Play on West Virginia +

The public is going to be all over No. 1 seed Gonzaga at this price, but I believe the books have set a nice trap here and know that the Mountaineers are the better team here. I've said this multiple times now. The Bulldogs are a really good team, I'm just not buying they would be a No. 1 seed if they played in a Power 5 conference. West Virginia is more than capable of taking down Gonzaga. The Mountaineers press attack is extremely difficult to prepare for, even when you have had a few days to prepare for it. Until you see it in action, you really don't know what to expect. West Virginia's doesn't have a superstar, but are strong from top to bottom. What also gets overlooked is that while it's know they force a lot of turnovers, people don't realize how well they take care of the basketball and attack the offensive glass. I'll take the points, but I'm calling for the Mountaineers to win outright. Take Gonzaga!

4* Sweet 16 ATS Annihilator on Michigan -

The Wolverines have got something special going right now and I just don't see it coming to an end just yet. Oregon is a talented team, but was very fortunate to get past No. 11 Rhode Island in their last game. I believe that's a clear sign that this is not the same Ducks team that was so good during Pac-12 play. The loss of star big man Chris Boucher has really taken Oregon down a level. There's no question that Michigan is playing their best basketball of the season and the confidence and belief in this team is at an all-time high. Derrick Walton has been the go to guy, but there's a lot more weapons than just him. I look for the Wolverines to keep it rolling with anther hard fought win. Take Michigan -1!

5* NBA Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Pacers/Celtics UNDER

I really like the value here with the total in tonight's matchup between the Pacers and Celtics. Boston has really been locking teams down defensively in the 2nd half of the season and it's resulted in 17 of their last 21 going UNDER the total posted by the books. Indiana has also been playing much better on defense of late, as they have allowed 100 or less in 9 of their last 10. The Pacers have seen the UNDER going 16-7 in their last 23. These two teams also have a tendency to play lower-scoring games than the books expect, as 7 of their last 10 meetings have finished UNDER the total. Take the UNDER!

4* NBA Situational ATS Annihilator on Hornets -

I like the value here with Charlotte against the Magic. The Hornets are 3.5-games out of the 8th and final spot in the east an every game from here on out is a must win. They come into this matchup off back-to-back wins. The most recent a 15-point beat down of the Hawks. Orlando has won their last two, but it's come against the Suns and 76ers. The Magic say they are playing out the season hard, but there's simply no way they are going to bring the same intensity as a team fighting for a playoff spot. The Hornets have owned Orlando this season. They have won all 3 meetings by at least 19 points, including a 120-101 win at Orlando as a similar 4.5-point favorite. Take Charlotte!

4* NBA No Doubt ATS Blowout on Blazers -

I really like the value here with the Blazers as a relatively short home favorite against the Bucks. Portland is playing some of their best basketball of the season right now and are just 1/2-game back of the Nuggets for the final playoff spot in the west. The Blazers have won 3 straight and 8 of their last 10 overall. Damian Lillard is playing out of his mind right now, averaging 35.3 ppg over their last 4 and 31.2 ppg since the All-Star break. Milwaukee has also been playing well of late, as they are 8-2 in their last 10, but this is their 5th straight game on the road and last time out was against the Warriors. Portland is a difficult place to win when the Blazers have it going like they do right now. Bucks are 3-7 ATS last 10 vs west and 3-7 ATS last 10 off a SU loss by more than 10 points. Take Portland!

5* NBA Western Conference Total of the Month on Spurs/Wolves UNDER

I'm expecting a much lower-scoring game than the books are anticipating when the Wolves and Spurs clash on ESPN tonight. San Antonio is one of the elite defensive teams in the league and come in allowing just 98.6 ppg. Minnesota's defense slipped during their 3-game road trip, but the T-Wolves have held the Wizards, Warriors and Clippers to 104 or less points in their last 3 home games. Keep in mind that these two teams also just recently played on 3/4 and combined for a mere 187 points. UNDER is 31-17 in the Spurs last 48 as a road favorite of 6-points or less and 13-3 in their lat 16 in the 2nd half against marginal losing teams (40% to 49%). UNDER is also 4-1 in the Wolves last 5 home games against a team that's won more than 60% of their road games. Take the UNDER!

4* NIT Situational ATS Annihilator on Ole Miss -

The ACC hasn't lived up to the hype in postseason play and I look for the Rebels to put an end to Georgia Tech's season tonight in relatively easy fashion. The Yellow Jackets won their first two NIT games in impressive fashion, but both of those came at home. Georgia Tech is not the same team away from home, as they are a mere 2-11 on the road this season. Ole Miss has won back-to-back road games at Monmouth and Syracuse and I believe are one of the more underrated teams in the country. The Rebels are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 as a favorite and a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. Take Ole Miss!

4* NIT Situational ATS Heavy Hitter on Illinois -

I look for the Fighting Illini to have no problem putting away Boise State by double-digits at home. Illinois came out inspired in their NIT opener, crushing a talented Valpo team 82-57 as a 9-point favorite. I look for a similar type of effort here against the Broncos. Boise State pulled off a big upset in their opener, defeating Utah 73-68 as a 12-point dog. The thing is, the Utes didn't show up to play. The Fighting Illini have thrived in this spot, as they are a perfect 8-0 ATS over the last 3 seasons as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points, winning on average by more than 16 ppg. Take Illinois!

5* NBA Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Nuggets +

These two teams just played in Denver on Saturday and the Rockets pulled out a 109-105 win as a mere 2-point favorite. Now they return to Houston to play again and this time the Rockets are laying close to double-digits. I think the value here is clearly with the Nuggets, who I believe are going to be the more motivated team. Not only is Denver out for revenge, but they are trying to hold on to the No. 8 spot in the west. Houston on the other hand doesn't have a ton of motivation here. The Rockets are pretty much locked into the No. 3 seed in the west, as they are 5.5-games back of the Spurs and 5 games ahead of Utah with just 12 games to play. Not to mention This is the Rockets 3rd game in 4 nights and will get a full 3-days off after this contest. Take Denver!

4* NBA Situational ATS Annihilator on Magic -

I really like the value here with Orlando as a short home favorite against the 76ers. Philadelphia comes in off a 105-99 win over the Celtics yesterday and have covered 6 straight. Most will be looking to back them here, but I see this as a major flat spot for the 76ers off that big win over Boston, playing on no rest and their 3rd game in 4 days overall. Orlando has continued to play hard despite having nothing to play for and are fresh off a 109-103 win at Phoenix. This is clearly a much better 76ers team than previous seasons, but they are just 9-24 on the road and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games. Take Orlando!

4* NBA Over/Under Total No Brainer on Pacers/Raptors UNDER

I really like the value here with the total in Sunday's NBA matchup between the Pacers and Raptors. Indiana comes in having held each of their last 5 opponents under 100 points and failed to eclipse the 100 point mark in 3 of their last 4. Their last game saw just 175 combined points and the game before that was just 168. Toronto has held 2 of their last 3 opponents to 80 or points or less and combined for a mere 162 in their last game at Detroit. Toronto's just not the same offensive team without Lowry and have to rely more on their defense. UNDER is 24-7 in the Raptors last 31 off an upset win and 16-5 in the Pacers last 21 overall. Take the UNDER!

4* Michigan St/Kansas Midwest ATS Annihilator on Michigan St +

The Spartans are showing great value here against the Jayhawks. We saw a Big Ten team (Wisconsin) pull off a similar upset yesterday and I think Michigan State is more than capable of taking out Kansas. This is a much better Spartans team than the one that struggled to compete against that brutal schedule they played in non-conference. As is the case every year, Izzo has Michigan State peaking at the right time. The biggest key here is that the Spartans have the disciple and talent to make things tough on Kansas' high-powered offense and take them out of their game. Note that the Spartans are 62-37 ATS on the road against elite teams that have won 80% or more of their games and 24-9 in their last 33 when playing only their 2nd game in a 8 day stretch. Take Michigan State!

5* Round of 32 Game of the Year on Kentucky -

I really like the value here with the Wildcats as a short favorite against the Shockers. Wichita State is a lot better than their No. 10 seed, but unfortunately for them the poor seeding by the committee has them playing an elite Kentucky team in the 2nd round. The Wildcats were once again the class of the SEC and once the games started meaning a little more this team really came alive. I just think Kentucky is head and shoulders above Wichita State in terms of talent in this one. The Shockers three toughest games in non-conference were against Louisville (lost by 10) Michigan State (lost by 5) and Oklahoma State (lost by 23). Note the game against the Spartans was back when Michigan State was struggling to compete against the elite teams. The Wildcats aree better than all of those teams and I expect them to win here by double-digits. Take Kentucky!

4* NBA Over/Under Total No Brainer on Spurs/Grizzlies UNDER

I'm expecting a defensive battle here between these two Southwest Division rivals. The Spurs come in allowing just 98.5 ppg which is second in the league behind the Jazz. Memphis isn't far behind, as they rank 4th at 100.4 ppg and are even stronger at home, where they allow a mere 97.2 ppg. UNDER is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams. It's also 9-3 in the Grizzlies last 12 home games against a team that's won more than 60% of their road games and 12-4 in the Spurs last 16 after they scored 100 or more points in their previous game. Take the UNDER!

5* Round of 32 Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Arizona -

I really like the value here with the Wildcats laying what I feel is a very short number against the Gaels. Arizona made easy work of North Dakota in their opener, hanging 100 points on the Fighting Hawks. St. Mary's was impressive in their win over VCU, but lets not carried away with a win over a A-10 team. Arizona is on a whole different level and are playing their best basketball of the season right now. When the Gaels have had to face an elite team like the Wildcats (Gonzaga), they have struggled to keep it competitive and I see this being no different. All 3 of their losses to Gonzaga were by double-digits. Take Arizona!

4* Round of 32 Early Bird ATS Annihilator on Notre Dame +

I really like the value here with the Fighting Irish as a dog against the Mountaineers. The perception here is that the Mountaineers have the edge with Note Dame not having a lot of time to prepare for the non-stop press of West Virginia. The thing is, the biggest key to breaking a press is guard play and the Irish are strong in the backcourt and a veteran team that understands the importance of taking care of the basketball. The Irish haven't turned it over more than 9 times in 9 straight games. Without getting easy baskets via the press and turnovers, this West Virginia team is pretty average. The Mountaineers are a mere 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games away from home after 15+ games against a team that averages 14 or less turnovers/game. Take Notre Dame!

4* Late Night March Madness ATS No Brainer on Kentucky - 

I got no problem laying this big number on the Wildcats. I know Kentucky is a No. 2 seed, but I just don't feel this team is getting near the respect they should be getting. I believe a lot of that has to do with so much attention in the South Region on UNC and UCLA, as well as the poor seeding of Wichita State. This Wildcats team is the real deal and really turned it on down the stretch and I expect them to be even better in the tournament. Northern Kentucky has no business being on the same floor as them. The Norse lost by 15 to Illinois and 31 to West Virginia in non-conference play (only two power 5 teams they played). I think this one gets ugly in a hurry and the Wildcats potentially have this number covered by halftime. Take Kentucky!

4* NBA Situational ATS Blowout on Rockets -

I like the value here with Houston against the Pelicans. These two teams met back in New Orleans' first game with newly acquired big man DeMarcus Cousins. The Rockets won that game by 30-points (129-99) at New Orleans. While I don't expect that big of a blowout this time around, I look for Houston to have no problem winning here by more than 5 points. The Rockets are playing at an elite level offensively right now and the big difference here is that Pelicans aren't a great 3-point shooting team and will for the most part be trading 2s for 3s. Houston is also the much fresher team here. The Rockets are playing just their 2nd game in 5 days, while New Orleans is lacing them up for the 3rd time in 4 days. Take Houston!

4* NCAA Tourn ATS Heavy Hitter on Rhode Island Pick'em

The fact that you have a pick'em in a 6 vs 11 really tells you all you need to know here. We saw the same thing yesterday with Xavier and Maryland and the 11-seeded Musketeers took that one. I see this one playing out similar, as this Rhode Island team is the real deal. The Rams knocked off Cincinnati and only lost to Duke by 10 in non-conference play. Plus they are playing even better right now than they were to start the year. Creighton is just not the same team without point guard Mo Watson. The Bluejays at one point were 18-1 with their only loss to Villanova. They are just 7-8 in their last 15 since. Take Rhode Island!

5* NCAA Tourn First Round Game of the Year on USC +

The Trojans pulled off a remarkable comeback in their play-in game on Wednesday against Providence and that's the kind of win that really gives a team the belief and confidence they go do something special. I also love that USC's best player, Boatwright, had a monster game with 24-points. You need your best players playing their best to pull off an upset like this. However, I'm not really sure it would be that big of an upset. USC has already beat SMU once this season.

I know the Mustangs record is impressive and they come in on a huge winning streak, but outside of Cincinnati the AAC is a joke and even the Bearcats aren't an elite team, which is why SMU is 6 seed and not a 2 or 3. I look for this game to go right down to the wire and think there's a really good chance the Trojans win here outright. Take USC!

4* Big Dance Early Bird ATS Annihilator on Seton Hall +

I really like the Value here with the Pirates as a dog against the Razorbacks. Seton Hall comes into the tournament playing their best basketball of the season. The Pirates have won 5 of 6 with the only loss being a mere 2-point defeat to Villanova in the Big East Tournament. I know Arkansas has been on a decent run of their own, but outside of Kentucky and Florida the SEC is very weak and the Razorbacks did a nice job feeding on the bottom feeders in the conference to bolster their resume. Keep in mind Arkansas lost by 14 to Minnesota early in the year and by 28 to Oklahoma State in the middle of their SEC schedule. I think the wrong team is favored in this one, but I'm okay with it, as the Pirates are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 as a dog. Take Seton Hall!

5* NCAA Tourn First Round NO LIMT Top Play on Iowa State -

I really like the value here with the Cyclones laying single-digits against the Wolf Pack. Nevada gets a lot of love for their showing in the Mountain West, but I don't think it's justified. The Wolf Pack played a soft non-conference schedule. The best team the played was St Mary's and they lost by 18. Iowa State is arguably going to be the best team they have played this season and the Cyclones come into the NCAA Tournament playing their best basketball of the season. They won the Big 12 tournament and finished 9-1 over their last 10. With so much attention going to Kansas, Baylor and West Virginia, a lot of people overlook how good this ISU team is. They have a ton of experience and one of the elite point guards in the country in senior Monte Morris.

Iowa State can knock down the 3-point shot with the best of them and that's worth noting as Nevada is just 9-23 ATS in their last 32 road games against a team that makes 8 or more 3-point shots per game. Cyclones are also 10-2 ATS in their last 12 tournament games and 9-1 in their last 10 road games after winning 3 of their last 4. Take Iowa State!

4* NBA Situational ATS Blowout on Hawks -

I really like the value here with Atlanta as a short home favorite against the Grizzlies. We should get a great effort here from the Hawks, who are off a loss at San Antonio and playing with a full 2 days of rest. Memphis on the other hand is in a really tough spot, as they are playing the 2nd game of a back-to-back road set and their 3rd in the last 4 days overall. Not to mention they have a huge game against the Spurs on deck this Saturday. Grizzlies are just 0-5 ATS in their last 5 against a team with a winning record, a mere 1-9 ATS in their last 10 when playing a marginal winning team (Winning Pct between 51% to 60%) and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 against the Eastern Conference. Take Atlanta!

4* West Region Vegas Oddsmakers Error on Xavier +

I think the Big Ten isn't getting enough respect as a whole, but Maryland is one team I'm not sold on. The Terps have had a very fortunate run in close games and were not the same team down the stretch, going just 4-6 in their final 10 games. I know Xavier hit a rough patch as well later in the season, but I like how they responded in the Big East Tournament. I don't think they go far without Edmond Sumner, but after looking at this game closely I think they are the better team here and will find a way to win behind the play of Trevon Bluiett, who led the team in scoring at 18.1 ppg.

Musketeers have a history of exceeding expectations in the Big Dance, as they are 22-9 ATS in their last 31 games in the NCAA Tournament. They are also 16-6 ATS in their last 22 neutral site games and a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games with a total of 140 to 149.5. Take Xavier!

4* Big Dance Early Bird ATS Annihilator on UNC-Wilmington +

I really like the value here with UNC-Wilmington against the Cavaliers. This is not the same Virginia team that we have seen in recent years coming into the tournament. Sure they are still really good on the defensive side of the ball, but the offensive struggles are for real. The Seahawks aren't going to be intimidated by Virginia's defense, as they come in averaging 85.2 ppg on 48% shooting. They are especially dangerous from deep, as they average 10 made 3-pointers a game. I'm calling for Wilmington to get hot early and put Virginia on their heels. It wouldn't surprise me at all if the Seahawks won this game outright. Note they are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 as a neutral site underdog and 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 NCAA Tournament games as a dog of 7 to 12.5 points. Take UNC-Wilmington!

4* NCAA Early Bird Over/Under Total No Brainer on Princeton/Notre Dame UNDER 

I don't see either team being able to have a ton of success offensively in this one. I know this isn't the same Princeton style of play from years past, but the Tigers still like to slow it down and limit the opposing teams possessions. Princeton only gives up 61.5 ppg. Notre Dame is a team that can play fast or slow, as they had no choice but to speed it up in some of their ACC games. With that said, the Irish would prefer to play at a slower tempo. Throw in this being a neutral setting and the first game off the board, I just think it's going to be a bit sloppy.

Dating back to 1997 the UNDER is 60% in Notre Dame's road games when facing a team that allows 64 point or fewer. UNDER is also 12-2 in the Irish's last 14 NCAA Tournament games when listed as the favorite. Take the UNDER!

4* NBA Over/Under Total No Brainer on Bucks/Clippers UNDER

Both of these teams are fighting for playoff position and will be extra motivated after losing last time out. Milwaukee was embarrassed in a 93-113 defeat at Memphis, while the Clippers lost at Utah 108-114. Note that prior to giving up 113 to the Grizzlies, the Bucks had held each of their last 5 to 100 points or less and 8 of their last 9 to 102 or fewer. I expect a much more locked in Milwaukee team in this one on defense. LA is also a team that can play defense and they have been trending much better on that side of the ball.

UNDER is 24-9 in the Clippers last 33 as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points, 13-3 in their last 16 home games in the month of March, 22-9 in their last 31 home games after a game where they failed to cover the spread and a perfect 8-0 in their last 8 after 3 straight games where they shot 47% or better from the field. Take the UNDER!

5* First Round NIT Game of the Year on Iowa -

I look for the Hawkeyes to have no problem cashing in against South Dakota. Iowa is young team that really showed a lot of positive signs towards the end of the season. They ended up getting beat badly in the Big Ten Tournament by Indiana and I think it's going to have them coming out with a chip on their shoulder at home against the Coyotes. Iowa was a much better team at home and I wouldn't be surprised if the Hawkeyes ended up winning the NIT.

This isn't just a play on Iowa. South Dakota is in a brutal spot here having to try to emotionally get up for this game after coming so close to the NCAA Tournament. The Coyotes blew a double-digit half-time lead and lost on a last second shot to in-state rival South Dakota State in the Summit League Championship Game. Even if South Dakota State came in 100% locked in, I still think they would struggle to keep this close. Note they lost by 27 to Houston, 12 to Nebraska and by 37 to Gonzaga in non-conference play. Take Iowa!

4* NBA Situational ATS No Brainer on Jazz -

I really like the value here with Utah as a short road favorite against the Pistons. The Jazz come in having won 5 of their last 6 and are sitting in 4th place in the Western Conference. Utah simply doesn't get the respect or attention they deserve. This team is fighting to hold off the Clippers for the No. 4 spot and I just don't see them letting down until it's secured the rest of the way. The Jazz should have no problem taking care of business against a Pistons team that is playing on no rest after an ugly 96-128 loss at Cleveland last night.

Pistons are a mere 1-6 ATS in their last 7 when playing on 0 days of rest and 4-10 ATS in their last 14 against a team with a winning record. It's also worth noting the Jazz had their way with Detroit in the earlier meeting this season, winning 110-77. Take Utah!

4* NIT No Doubt ATS Annihilator on CS Bakersfield +

I really like the value here with the Roadrunners as a double-digit dog against the Golden Bears. Bakersfield won the WAC this year and while they suffered a heartbreaking loss in the title game against  New Mexico State, I believe this team is going to show up here against the likes of Cal. Two non-conference games for the Roadrunners that stand out were a mere 12-point loss at Arizona and just a 6-point defeat at SMU. This team isn't just capable of hanging in there with the Golden Bears, but winning this game outright. Keep in mind that this is not the tournament Cal expected to be in. On top of that, one of their best players in Jabari Bird is questionable and there's talk already starting about head coach Cuonzo Martin leaving town. Take CS Bakersfield!

4* NIT Situational Undervalued Underdog on Georgia Tech +

Indiana is the higher seed, which I think is playing into this line, but it's Georgia Tech that's the home team. That's a big time factor, as the Hoosiers are just 4-11 on the road this season. I know Georgia Tech was on the bubble later in the year than Indiana, but the Hoosiers came into the season ranked in the Top 15 in the country. To not be playing in the NCAA Tournament is a major disappointment. As for the Yellow Jackets, not getting to the tournament hurts, but this team wasn't even suppose to be a factor in the ACC this year. Head coach Josh Pastner has the program excited about what's to come and I look for this team to try and start building for next year with a strong showing in the NIT. Keep in mind that the Yellow Jackets are 15-4 at home with wins over the likes of Notre Dame, FSU, and North Carolina. Take Georgia Tech!

5* NBA Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Knicks +

New York is showing great value here as a short home favorite against the Pacers. Indiana is just 11-22 on the road and while the Knicks have been a disappointment they shouldn't be a dog here. The Pacers come in off a 102-98 home win over the Heat, which actually only adds more value to the Knicks, as Indiana is a mere 5-14 ATS in their last 19 road games after a win. Pacers are also a mere 1-5 ATS in their last 6 against a team with a losing record. New York's last game was against the Nets and the Knicks are 13-2 ATS in their last 15 home games after playing a division opponent in their previous game. Take New York!

4* NBA Situational ATS Annihilator on Wolves -

I really like the value here with Minnesota as a short home favorite against the Wizards. Minnesota has quietly been playing some of their best basketball of the season, as they come in 6-3 SU and 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games. I know Washington has been playing well also, but this is a brutal spot for the Wizards. It's the 5th and final game of a 5-game road trip. It's their 3rd game in the last 4 days and 5th in the last 7. Keep in mind that each of their last two games at Portland and Sacramento went to OT. Washington is running on fumes and are going to struggle to bring the intensity to this one, especially knowing they get to head home as soon as this one is over.

Wizards are just 15-30 ATS in their last 45 off 2 or more consecutive road wins and 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 road games against a team with a losing home record. T-Wolves are 5-0 ATS last 5 off a SU loss and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Take Minnesota!

5* NBA Non-Conf Total of the Month on Bucks/Grizzlies UNDER

I'm expecting a low-scoring defensive battle tonight between the Bucks and Grizzlies. I know Memphis has slumped on the defensive side of the ball of late, but they were better in their last home game against the Hawks. With the losing streak at 5 now, I'm expecting a max effort here from the Grizzlies and it starts with the defensive side of the ball. Milwaukee will be more than willing to grind it out with Memphis, as the Bucks have been sensational on the defensive side of the ball of late. Milwaukee has held each of their last 5 opponents under 98 points and will face a Memphis offense that managed just 90 points on 37.8% shooting in their last game.

UNDER is 15-6 in the Grizzlies last 21 as a home favorite, 17-5 in their last 22 when revenging a loss of 10 or more and 7-1 in their last 8 when facing a team with a losing record. Take the UNDER!

4* NBA Vegas ATS Line Mistake on Raptors -

I like the value here with Toronto as a short home favorite against the Mavericks. Dallas is getting a lot of respect from the books right now, as they are 6-2 over their last 8 games. What is getting overlooked is all 6 of those wins came at home as the Mavs have played 7 of their last 8 at home. Dallas is a mere 8-22 on the road this season. I know the Raptors have struggled of late without Lowry, but they just played 5 straight on the road. Toronto is 21-11 at home. I expect a big time effort here from the Raptors, as they are fighting for playoff position in the east and will be highly motivated off an ugly 89-104 loss at Miami last time out.

Raptors are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games after a road trip of 7 or more days, while the Mavs are a mere 4-13 ATS in their last 17 after playing their previous 3 games at home and 11-24 ATS in their last 35 road games after wining 4 or 5 of their last 6. Take Toronto!

4* NBA Situational ATS Annihilator on Pacers -

I really like the value here with the Pacers as a short home favorite against the Heat. Both teams played yesterday. Miami won and covered at home against the Raptors, while Indiana lost by 14 at Milwaukee. I look for the Pacers to be the much more motivated team in this one and the big key here is that Indiana is a completely different team at home compared to on the road. The Pacers are 22-10 at home compared to 11-22 on the road. Pacers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 off a SU loss by more than 10 points and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games on Sunday. Take Indiana! 

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Wisconsin -

I really like the value here with the Badgers at basically a pick'em here against the Wolverines. Michigan is a great story with what they have done, but Wisconsin is playing their best basketball when it matters the most and are the much more rested team here. Michigan has done an amazing job riding the adrenaline of getting to the title game, but now that they have made it, I look for them to come out a bit flat. After that brutal stretch that saw them lose 5 of 6 late in the season, Wisconsin knows they desperately need to keep the momentum going if they want to make a run in the NCAA tournament. Badgers have rolled in each of their 2 games in the Big Ten tournament and are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 after back-to-back wins by 10 or more. Take Wisconsin!  

5* NBA Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Blazers -

I really like the value here with the Blazers as a relatively short home favorite against the Wizards. This is a big time flat spot for Washington, who will be playing on no rest after an overtime win last night against the Kings. A game that saw both Wall and Beal log over 40 minutes. Note this is also the Wizards 4th game in 5 nights. I just don't see the Wizards having the energy to match the Blazers in this one. Portland has really been playing well of late. The Blazers enter having won 4 straight. Washington is just 14-30 ATS in their last 54 after 2 or more consecutive road wins and the Blazers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 against  a team that's won more than 60% of their games Take Portland! 

4* NBA No Doubt ATS Blowout on Heat - 

The Heat are showing great value here as a short home favorite against the Raptors. Toronto is in a very bad spot here. The Raptors are playing their 5th and final game of their road trip and have to so on no rest, as they played in Atlanta last night. This is a huge flat spot for a Toronto team that is missing one of it's best players. At the same time, Miami continues to play like one of the best teams in the east. They just aren't getting treated like it because of their poor overall record. I look for Miami to come out and lay a beating on the Raptors in this one. Heat are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 off a home win and 31-18 ATS in their last 49 when revenging a same season loss. Take Miami! 

4* NCAAB Situational ATS Annihilator on Wisconsin - 

I really like the Badgers here as a short favorite against the Wildcats. Wisconsin has really turned it on after a miserable stretch late in the regular season and I look for them to keep it going against Northwestern. Wisconsin is going to be the much fresher team here, as yesterday's game was their first of the tournament, while the Wildcats are getting ready to play their 3rd game in 3 days. These two teams did meet up in the regular season, which Northwestern won at Wisconsin. That actually sets up a very profitable system. Favorites playing with revenge from a loss a home favorite of 7 or more are 76-44 (63%) against the spread when playing their 2nd road game in 3 days. Take Wisconsin! 

4* Warriors/Wolves NBATV Heavy Hitter on UNDER 

The injury to Durant combined with Curry just not playing at the same level as the past two years has the Warriors offense in a funk. Golden State is averaging just 102.4 ppg over their last 5 and that's well below their season mark of 117.0 ppg. They now face a Minnesota team that is locking down on the defensive side of the ball. The Timberwolves have allowed 97 or fewer points in 4 straight. While the offense has struggled, Golden State's defense has picked up the pace and they are really playing well on that side of the ball. I look for both offenses to struggle here. We know we are going to get a max effort from the Timberwolves at home in a game being televised on NBATV and the Warriors aren't going to take this one lightly off a loss. UNDER is 9-1 in the Warriors last 10 road games after 5 straight games allowing a shooting percentage of 42% or less and 13-5 in their last 18 road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread. Take the UNDER! 

4* NBA Situational ATS No Brainer on Bucks - 

I really like the value here with Milwaukee as a short home favorite against the Pacers. The Bucks have been playing some of their best basketball of late. Milwaukee has won 4 straight and 8 of their last 11 overall. Indiana comes in off a big win at home over the Pistons, but this Pacers team is just not the same on the road. Indiana is just 11-21 away from home and are just 5-13 ATS in their last 18 road games after a win. It's also worth noting that the Bucks have won the last two meetings and Indiana is just 5-15 ATS in their last 20 road games when playing with double-revenge. Take Milwaukee! 

5* NCAAB SEC Game of the Month on Florida - 

I really like the Gators here against the Commodores. Kentucky is the team that gets all the hype, but Florida might just be the best team in the SEC. I know Vanderbilt has been playing better of late and just recently beat the Gators at home, I just think that adds more fuel to the fire for Florida in this one. I also think it has the line lower than what it should be. The thing that gets overlooked here is the fact that Florida has the big edge in rest, having not played yesterday. Gators are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 road games off a road loss by 3 points or less, 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games as a favorite and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 as a neutral site favorite. Vandy is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games as a dog. Take Florida! 

4* NCAAB Afternoon ATS Annihilator on South Carolina - 

I really like the value here with the Gamecocks as a short favorite against the Crimson Tide. South Carolina is just a notch below the two elite SEC teams in Kentucky and Florida. They just aren't getting much love right now, as they have gone just 1-8 ATS in their last 9. I see this as a statement game for the Gamecocks and they should be able to have their way here. South Carolina has a big time edge here in rest. They haven't played a game yet in the SEC Tournament and Alabama is playing their 2nd in as many days. The Crimson Tide did blowout Miss State yesterday, but are just 19-41-2 ATS in their last 62 off a SU win and a miserable 9-23 ATS in their last 32 after a came where they covered the spread and 2-9 ATS in their last 11 off a win by 10 or more. Take South Carolina! 

4* NCAAB Vegas ATS Shocker on Minnesota - 

I really like the value here with the Gophers in this one. I cashed in on Michigan State yesterday against an inferior Penn State team. The Spartans had the big edge in that one playing on multiple days of rest with the Nittany Lions in the 2nd game of a back-to-back. Now it's Minnesota who owns that advantage in rest. That's not all. The Gophers are out for double-revenge against Michigan State. This Minnesota team is a lot better than people think and are playing their best basketball right now. They come in having won 8 of their last 9. The last time these two teams played the Spartans won by double-digits on their home floor. That's worth noting, as Minnesota is a perfect 6-0 ATS this season when revenging a loss by 10 or more points. Take Minnesota! 

5* Big 10 Tournament Game of the Month on Northwestern -

I really like the value here with the Wildcats laying what I feel is a very short number against the Scarlet Knights. Rutgers was able to pull off the big upset win over Ohio State yesterday, but I just don't see this team being able to bring that same intensity on no rest against what I believe is going to be an extremely motivated Northwestern team that wants to get some momentum going into the tournament. Rutgers is a mere 17-41-1 ATS in their last 59 after a game where they covered the spread, 3-9 ATS in their last 12 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games and 4-13 ATS in their last 17 after losing 15 or more of their last 20. Wildcats are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 road games when playing only their 2nd game in a week and 11-2 in their last 13 road games after failing to cover the spread last time out. Take Northwestern! 

4* NBA Underdog Heavy Hitter on Thunder + 

The Spurs pulled of the biggest come from behind win in the Popovich era last night, as they erased a 28-point deficit in a 114-104 win over the Kings. Playing from behind requires more energy and I think San Antonio is going to come out flat here against the Thunder. Not only are the Spurs playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back, but this is also their 5th game in 7 days. Typically this is when Popovich rests some of his star players and I wouldn't be surprised to see a couple guys miss this one, so be sure to get the bet in early, as the line will move. On the flip side of this, I look for a huge effort here from OKC after losing their last 4. San Antonio is just 5-13 ATS in their last 18 after 4 or more wins this season and the Thunder are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 home games after going over the total in their last game. Take Oklahoma City! 

4* NBA Situational ATS No Brainer on Grizzlies -

I really like the value here with Memphis as a short home favorite against the Clippers. Memphis is going to come out with a chip on their shoulder after an embarrassing home loss to the Nets, which was their 3rd straight loss. Note that the Grizzlies have had the last 2 days off to get ready for this one. They should be able to take advantage of a Clippers team that is playing on no rest after a game last night in Minnesota. This is also Los Angeles' 5th game in the last 7 days. Clippers are 8-18 ATS in their last 26 road games when playing 8 or more games in a 14 day stretch and the Grizzlies are 21-9 ATS in their last 30 after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games. Take Memphis! 

4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Annihilator on Florida State -

I like the Seminoles to lay it on the Hokies today. Florida State has a big advantage here catching Va Tech on no rest after a hard fought win over Wake Forest yesterday. This Seminoles team I feel is flying under the radar and one that can not only do damage in the ACC Tournament but in the NCAA Tournament. The Hokies are a good team, but I just don't see them on the same level as the top teams in the ACC. Seminoles seem to step up their game when facing a good team, as they are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 against a team that's won 60% to 80% of their games. It's also worth noting the Seminoles held Miami to just 57 points in their last game and are a perfect 6-0 ATS the last two years after holding an opponent to 60 points or less. Take Florida State!

4* NCAAB Situational ATS Blowout on Butler - 

I like the value here with the Bulldogs laying what I think is a short number against the Musketeers. Xavier is not the same team right now as they were a couple months ago. They escaped with a 11-point win over DePaul yesterday, but played just 7 players and had 3 guys play 36+ minutes. Keep in mind the Blue Demons are the only team Xavier has beat since Feb. 4th. Bulldogs are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 neutral court games as a favorite of 6 or less, while the Musketeers are a mere 1-9 this season as an underdog. Take Butler! 

4* NCAAB Afternoon Vegas Insider on Michigan State - 

The Spartans are in rare territory this time a year, as they likely need to win this game to ensure a spot in the NCAA Tournament. I don't think that will be a problem for Izzo and Michigan State. The Spartans have gotten better and better as the season has progressed and are simply undervalued in this spot after losing their final two games of the regular season. However, both were on the road and by a mere 3-points a piece. I also think we are getting value here due to The Spartans losing to the Nittany Lions in their lone regular season meeting. Big edge here for Michigan State having yesterday off, while Penn State had to play Nebraska. Spartans are 22-9 ATS in their last 31 when playing on their 2nd game in a week and 31-10 ATS in their last 41 off a loss by 3 points or less. Take Michigan State! 

5* ACC Tournament Game of the Month on Louisville - 

I really like the value here with the Cardinals as a short favorite against the Blue Devils. Louisville has a big advantage here in rest, as this is their first game of the tournament, while Duke had to play yesterday. I also think the Cardinals are the better team. I know the Blue Devils are playing better of late, but there's something to be said about the Cardinals 9-point win over Duke earlier this season. Note that Duke is just 2-9 ATS in their last 11 after a game where they covered the spread, 1-7 ATS in their last 8 as a dog of 6.5 or less points and 4-11 ATS in their last 15 neutral site games. Take Louisville! 

4* Conference Tourn Undervalued Underdog on Texas +

I really like the value here with the Longhorns as a decently priced road dog against the Red Raiders. These two teams split their two regular season meetings, but Texas Tech is getting all the love here due to the fact that beat Texas on 67-57 at home on 3/1. I like the revenge angle here for the Longhorns and I feel like Texas is undervalued due to the fact that they have lost 7 straight. This team is a lot better than their record would suggest as they have had some tough luck in close games. As for the Red Raiders, it's not like they are lighting it up down the stretch. They are just 4-9 in their last 13. Texas Tech is just 3-11 ATS in their last 14 road games after losing 5 or 6 of their last 7 and 0-6 in their last 6 road games after losing 3 of their last 4. Longhorns on the other hand are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games when revenging a road loss. Take Texas!

5* NBA Southeast Game of the Month on Heat -

I really like the value here with the Heat as a short home favorite against division rival Charlotte. Miami continues to play like a completely different team that opened the season looking like one of the worst teams in the league. The books are slower to adjust on bad teams, which is evident by the fact that Miami is 6-2 ATS in their last 8. Most will assume they will be in line for a letdown off back-to-back wins over the Cavs, but I don't believe it. The Hornets are a team that are right on their heels in the east playoff race and Miami will be out for double-revenge having lost each of the two meetings this season. The Hornets have won 3 of their last 4, but it's more of the schedule than them turning things around. Charlotte is just 1-8 ATS this season after covering the spread in each of their last 2 games, while the Heat are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 off an upset win and 30-18 ATS in their last 48 when revenging a same season loss. Take Miami!

4* Oklahoma/TCU Big 12 Tourn ATS Annihilator on TCU

These two teams just closed out the regular season against each other with Oklahoma pulling out a 73-68 win at home. The Sooners covered as a short 3.5-point favorite and have now covered the number in 6 straight. TCU on the other hand has dropped 7 straight. Needless to say the public is going to be all over the Sooners here, but I think the value is with the Horned Frogs. I like the revenge angle and the fact that the Sooners are a miserable 3-12 SU away from home this season. Keep in mind that TCU beat Oklahoma at home. The Horned Frogs are also 7-1 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games. Take TCU!

5* NBA Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Thunder -

I like OKC to bounce back with a statement win at home against the Blazers tonight. The Thunder enter this contest off 3 straight losses and the last was an embarrassing 89-104 defeat at Dallas on Sunday. On top of that, Oklahoma City is going to be out for revenge here from a 109-114 loss at Portland back on 3/2. Needless to say the Thunder are going to bring their "A" game in this one. As for the Blazers, they have won their last two, but both were at home and this is a team that is just 10-22 on the road. Note that OKC is a dominant 23-8 at home.

Thunder are also 21-9 ATS in their last 30 home games, 12-1 ATS in their last 13 after losing 3 of their last 4 and 10-2 ATS in their last 12 revenging a same season loss. Blazers are 6-16 ATS as a road dog this season and 3-11 when listed as a road dog of 6 or less. Take Oklahoma City!

4* Pitt/Ga Tech ACC Tourn Total No Brainer on UNDER

These conference tournament games have a tendency to be much lower-scoring than people anticipate and a lot of that has to do with teams don't shoot as well away from home and the defensive intensity is turned up a notch. I look for both of these teams to struggle to score, which would be nothing new. Pittsburgh is only averaging 68.0 ppg away from home and the Yellow Jackets are even worse at 63.3 ppg on the road.

It's also worth noting that these two combined for a mere 113 points in their only regular season matchup. UNDER is 9-3 in Pitts last 12 as a favorite of 6.5 or less, 8-2 in their last 10 after scoring 50 or less in their last game and 6-0 in their last 6 vs the ACC. UNDER is also 15-5-1 in Georgia Tech's last 21 as a dog of 6.5 or less. Take the UNDER!

5* NBA Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Rockets/Spurs UNDER

I'm taking the Spurs and Rockets to finish below the high total set here by the books. San Antonio can be a dominant defensive team when they want to and are capable of slowing down the Rockets. In fact, they have held Houston to 100 points or fewer in 9 straight meetings between the two clubs. That includes two games this year, which the two teams combined for 206 and 202 points respectively. I expect a similar outcome here.

UNDER is 12-3 in the Rockets last 15 road games after scoring 105 or more points in 4 straight games, 11-4 in their last 15 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games and a perfect 5-0 in their last 5 road games against a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. UNDER is also 8-2 in the Spurs last 10 when playing on 1 day of rest, 10-1 in their last 11 off a win and 5-1 in their last 6 home games against a team that's won more than 60% of their road games. Take the UNDER!

4* NBA Undervalued Underdog on Hawks +

I really like the value here with Atlanta as a decently priced home dog against the Warriors. Golden State has not been the same since the Durant injury and it's asking a lot for them to be laying this kind of number against what's going to be a very motivated Hawks team that's going to treat this as a statement game. Warriors are also playing on no rest after failing to cover yesterday at New York and are just 5-13 ATS in their last 18 off a win where they failed to cover the spread. They are also 1-8 ATS this season in road games after failing to cover the number in 2 or more games. Take Atlanta!

4* NBA Situational ATS Annihilator on Bucks -

I really like the value here with Milwaukee as a short road favorite against the 76ers. I know Philadelphia has been playing better of late, but this is not an ideal spot for the 76ers, who will be playing their 3rd game in 4 nights and could have their eyes set on a lengthy 4-game west coast trip on deck. On top of that they could be without a couple key pieces in Okafor and Henderson, who are both questionable. Milwaukee isn't going to overlook the 76ers, as they have already lost twice at home to Philadelphia. I love that double-revenge angle and the Bucks are playing well coming into this one, as they just beat the Clippers and Raptors at home. Take Milwaukee!

4* NBA Situational ATS Annihilator on Thunder -

I really like the value here with OKC at basically a pick'em on the road against the Mavericks. We are going to get a max effort here from Westbrook and the Thunder, as they come in looking to snap a 2-game skid. Dallas has been playing better of late and have covered 4 straight, but I believe it has them overvalued here in what I think is a horrible matchup with Ferrell having to go up against Westbrook. These two played in OKC back on 1/26 and the Thunder rolled 109-98 while shooting 51.4% from the field. Thunder are 13-2 ATS in their last 15 road games off 2 or more road losses. Take Oklahoma City!

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Northwestern +

I really like the value here with the Wildcats as a home dog against the Boilermakers. Northwestern comes in off a thrilling 67-65 home win over Michigan and that victory was a big relief for the Wildcats, as it all but punched their ticket to the big dance. I look for them to come out relaxed and motivated here to build off that win in their home finale. Purdue on the other hand is in a tough spot. Not a lot to play for here, as the Boilermakers already have the Big 10 regular season title locked up. I think they struggle to match the intensity of the Wildcats in this one. Take Northwestern!

5* Duke/UNC ACC Game of the Month on North Carolina -

I like the Tar Heels to not only get their revenge from that earlier loss at Duke, but to do so in blowout fashion. While Duke has been playing better of late, I still North Carolina is the much better team and playing at home is a massive edge here. The Tar Heels are a perfect 14-0 at home this season and have double-digit wins over the likes of Louisville, Virginia, Syracuse and FSU in conference play. I don't think it will be any different against the Blue Devils.

Duke is just 2-8 ATS this season when they come in having won 8 or more of their last 10 games, while the Tar Heels are 10-3 ATS at home, 21-7-2 ATS in their last 30 as a favorite of 7 to 12.5 points and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 as a favorite in that range. Take North Carolina!

4* NBA Big Money ATS No Brainer on Pistons -

This might seem like a big number for Detroit to be laying on the road given the Pistons are just 10-20 away from home and the 76ers just covered last night at home against the Knicks as a 1.5-point dog. That right there is where the value comes in on Detroit, as this is an ideal spot to fade Philadelphia playing on no rest against a Pistons team that has had the last 2 days off. Not to mention Detroit is going to come out with a chip on their shoulder after an ugly 23 point loss at New Orleans last time out.

Pistons are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 against a team with a losing SU record and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 when playing on 2 days of rest. Take Detroit!

4* NCAAB Vegas No Doubt ATS Blowout on Utah -

The Utes come into this one off a 30-point (74-44) blowout win at home over California and I got no problem laying less than 10 points on Utah at home against the Cardinal. Stanford just lost 72-91 on Thursday at Colorado, dropping them to 4-10 on the road this season. It's not just the poor road record that has me like the Utes, it's the fact that Stanford is playing two road games at Colorado and then Utah in a span of just 3 days. That's as tough as it gets with the thin air players have to deal with.

Adding even more value here is that the Utes will be out for revenge from a 75-81 loss at Stanford back on 2/4. Utah is 31-14 ATS in their last 55 home games when playing on 1-day or less of rest, while the Cardinal are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 road games after playing their previous game on the road and 1-10 ATS in their last 11 road games off a conference road loss. Take Utah!

4* NCAAB Situational Undervalued Underdog on Notre Dame +

I like the value here with the Fighting Irish as a decently sized dog against the Cardinal. You don't hear a lot about them on TV, but Notre Dame is currently sitting second by themselves in the ACC, just 1-game back of North Carolina for the top spot (can tie with win and UNC loss to Duke). I just feel the Irish aren't getting near the respect they deserve in this one. Notre Dame is a veteran bunch that knows how to go on the road and win in a hostile environment and they already beat Louisville earlier this season at home 77-70.

The Cardinals come into this one off a 81-88 loss at Wake Forest on Wednesday and that's worth noting, as Louisville is just 9-23 ATS in their last 32 after playing a game where both teams scored 80 points or more. Cardinals are also just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 as a home favorite of 7 to 12.5 points and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Irish are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 road games and 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Take Notre Dame!

4* NCAAB Early Bird ATS Annihilator on Illinois -

The Fighting Illini have really turned it on down the stretch. Illinois comes in having won 4 straight and 5 of their last 6 overall. During this stretch they have impressive road wins over Northwestern, Iowa and Nebraska. I don't see the Illini letting their guard down here against Rutgers. The Scarlet Knights are a mere 2-15 in Big Ten play and come into this one having lost 6 straight. I know it's their home finale, but I just don't think that's a big deal for a team as bad as Rutgers.

Last time out Illinois defeated Michigan State 73-70 at home and that's worth noting, as the Illini are a dominant 22-8 ATS in their last 30 off a conference win by 3 points or less. They are also 12-3 AT in their last 15 against a team with a losing record. Take Illinois!

5* NBA Southwest Game of the Month on Spurs -

I really like the Spurs to go into New Orleans and lay a beating on the Pelicans tonight. New Orleans really struggled in their first 3 games with Cousins and it's just going to take some time for them to adjust. It was pretty evident how much they are off when Cousins sat our their last game because of a suspension and the Pelicans rolled to a 109-86 win. I do think the duo of Davis and Cousins is going to work, but it's going to take weeks before they get comfortable with each other.

The Spurs aren't the team you want to face when you are trying to find your way, especially with San Antonio likely coming out with a chip on their shoulder after a poor showing at home in a 1-point win over the Pacers. The Spurs also know a thing or two about winning away from home, as they are 26-7 on the road this season, which includes a 20-12 ATS mark. Take San Antonio!

4* NBA Vegas Oddsmakers Error on Mavericks +

Dallas is showing some great value here as a home dog against the Grizzlies. The Mavericks will be out for revenge from one of their worst performances of the season. Dallas lost 64-80 at home to Memphis back on 11/18. That's definitely playing into this line, which is a mistake, as the Mavericks are a completely different team right now than they were when these two last met.

Dallas has been especially good on their home floor, where they are 11-1 ATS in their last 12. The Mavs are also 9-3 ATS in their last 12 against the western conference, 7-2 ATS off a SU loss, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 against a team with a winning record and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games played on Friday. Take Dallas!

4* NBA Situational ATS Annihilator on 76ers +

I like the value here with Philadelphia as a home dog against the Knicks. Even with Embiid out the 76ers have continued to play well and I like this spot for them. These two teams played in New York recently on 2/25 and the Knicks won on a last second shot 110-109. That's not a loss you forget about and I expect Philadelphia to get get their revenge. Keep in mind the 76ers are a dominant 22-8-1 ATS at home this season. As for the Knicks, this isn't a team that should be favored on the road against all but maybe the Nets, as they are just 10-20 away from home this season. Not to mention they only have 3 more wins than Philadelphia.

The 76ers are 22-7 ATS as a home dog and 12-4 ATS in their last 16 as a home dog of 6 points or less. They are also 15-5 ATS off a road loss and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games off a loss by 10 or more. Take Philadelphia!

4* Evansville/Illinois St MVC Early Bird Heavy Hitter on Illinois St -

The Redbirds swept the season series against the Purple Aces, winning by 12 at home in the first meeting and 10 on the road in the rematch. I believe the 3rd time around is going to be an even bigger blowout, as Illinois State has a big time edge in rest. The Redbirds last played on 2/25, while Evansville had to lace them up last night against Indiana State. Big favorites playing with rest against an opponent off a cover and playing on no rest have been a very profitable bet over the years. Evansville is just 1-6 ATS over the last 3 years when revenging a loss of 10 or more points and 1-3 ATS in their last 4 when playing with double-revenge like we have here. Take Illinois State!

4* NCAAB Late Night ATS No Brainer on Utah -

I really like the value here with the Utes as a short home favorite against Cal. Utah is just below the top 3 teams (Arizona, UCLA & Oregon) in the Pac-12 and I just don't think they are getting the respect they deserve at home in this one. Utes are 9-7 in Pac-12 play with 5 of those losses coming on the road. The 2 home losses were a 1-point defeat to UCLA and 6-point loss to Oregon. Right now Utah is projected to make the NCAA Tournament, while Cal is. That only addes fuel to the fire here for the Utes and I expect them to deliver in a big way.

Utes are 34-17 ATS in their last 51 home games after losing 2 of their last 3, 36-19 in their last 55 home games after scoring 80 or more points in their last game and 23-9 ATS in their last 32 when revenging a loss of 3 points or less (lost 75-77 at Cal on 2/5). Take Utah!

4* NCAAB Situational ATS Annihilator on Colorado -

I like the value here with the Buffaloes as a relatively short home favorite against the Cardinal. Colorado comes in off a 81-86 home loss to Utah, but are still a very respectable 11-4 at home and I just don't see them dropping two straight on their home floor, especially with Stanford not being a great road team (4-9). This is also a bad spot for the Cardinal, who are coming off a crushing 73-75 home loss to Oregon. While that loss looks good on paper, it's really hard for a bad team like Stanford to bounce back from a defeat like that.

Cardinal are 7-21 ATS over the last 3 seasons in conference road games, 2-12 ATS in their last 14 off a conference loss and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 road games after covering the spread in 2 of their last 3 games. On top of that, the Buffaloes are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 off an upset loss as a favorite. Take Colorado!

5* NBA Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Bulls +

I really like the value here with the Bulls as a pretty big dog at home against the Warriors. We know we are going to get Chicago's best effort here in a nationally televised game against the team everyone wants to beat in Golden State. As for the Warriors, they are going to have to adjust to life without Durant for the rest of the regular season and I believe it's a bigger loss than people thing, as they just don't have the depth they did a year ago. Durant was also playing at a ridiculous level. Not to mention Curry has really been struggling of late.

The Bulls are just 30-30 overall, but this team has found a way to play their best against the better teams. Chicago also will be out for revenge from a 21 point loss at Golden State less than a month ago. Bulls are 21-9 ATS in their last 30 home games off a loss by 10 or more and the Warriors are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 when playing their 3rd game in 4 nights. Take Chicago!

4* NCAAB Situational ATS Annihilator on TCU -

I really like the value here with the Horned Frogs laying a short number at home against the Wildcats. Both of these teams have struggled of late, but for TCU it's been more about a brutal schedule than anything. They have lost 5 straight but the 5 games were @ Baylor, Oklahoma St, @ ISU, @ Kansas and West Virginia. Without question the 5 best teams in the Big 12. As for the Wildcats, they just have lost all confidence and are a mere 2-8 in their last 10.

TCU already went on the road and beat K-State and I give the Horned Frogs a big advantage here with this being their home finale and how desperate they are going to be after losing their last 5 games. Note that the Wildcats are a mere 2-9 ATS when revenging a same season loss over the last 2 years. Take TCU!

4* NBA ATS Heavy Hitter on Pelicans -

I really like the value here with New Orleans as a short home favorite against the Pistons. The Pelicans have lost each of their first 3 games since acquiring Cousins from the Kings and it has them undervalued here. The thing is, I wasn't the least bit surprised to see New Orleans struggle after the trade. It was going to take some time for Davis and Cousins to not only learn how to play together, but make everyone else better. I still think that's a work in progress, but I love this spot at home against a Pistons team that struggles on the road and is playing on no rest after a hard fought win last night at home against the Blazers.

Pistons are a mere 10-22 ATS in their last 32 road games after they scored the spread and 4-12 ATS in their last 16 with a line of +3 to -3. Take New Orleans!

4* NBA Oddsmakers Line Mistake on Bucks -

I really like the value here with the Bucks laying a short number at home against the Nuggets. Milwaukee comes in off a hard fought 95-102 loss at Cleveland on Monday and are going to be 100% locked in on getting a win at home tonight. I like their chances against a Nuggets team that figures to be playing on fumes. Denver is playing on no rest after playing in Chicago last night and this is also the Nuggets 3rd game in 4 nights and 5th in the last 7 days.

Not to mention the Nuggets aren't a good road team. Denver is 1-9 ATS in their last 10  off a road win and 3-14 ATS off an upset win as a road underdog. Bucks on the other hand are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 home games off a loss to a division rival. Take Milwaukee!

5* NBA Vegas Insider Top Play on Celtics +

I really like the value here with Boston at basically a pick'em at home against the Cavaliers. I think we saw just how important this game is to the Celtics with their lackluster performance in Monday's 98-114 home loss to the Hawks. Boston was clearly looking ahead to this matchup and I expect the Celtics and their fans to treat this like a playoff game. Cleveland won't lie down, but I just think they are going to struggle to match the intensity of Boston and let's not forget they are still missing a key piece to the puzzle in Kevin Love.

Cavs are a mere 7-20 ATS in their last 27 road games after winning 6 or 7 of their last 8 games. Cleveland is also a miserable 0-8 ATS this season when playing a road game after playing their previous 2 games at home. Take Boston!

4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Blowout on Tennessee -

LSU is a complete mess right now and not even their regular season home finale is going to snap them out of this slump. The Tigers come in having lost 15 straight and are just 5-10 ATS during this stretch. Note that all 5 of those games where they covered were on the road. LSU is a mere 3-11 ATS at home this season, as the books just aren't setting the lines high enough. I believe that's once again the case here, as Tennessee is more than capable of turning this into a blowout.

The Vols are just 1-4 in their last 5, but the losses have come against Georgia, Kentucky, Vanderbilt and South Carolina, 4 of the better teams in the SEC at the moment. The lone game against a bottom feeder like LSU was a home game against Missouri, which they won by 20. It's also worth noting that Tennessee has played well on the road this season. The Vols are also 23-9 ATS in their last 32 road games off 2 or more losses and 13-4 ATS in their last 17 off a conference loss by 20 or more points. Take Tennessee!

4* NCAAB Late Night Heavy Hitter on Iowa State -

I really like the value here with the Cyclones at basically a pick'em at home against the Cowboys. Iowa State has quietly been playing their best basketball of the season and come into this game in sole possession of 2nd place in the Big 12, yet are only ranked No. 24 in the country. Hilton will be electric with ISU playing their final home game of the season and even more so given how well Oklahoma State has been playing. While the Cowboys have won 10 of their last 11 they lost by 10 at home to Iowa State earlier this season and that was with them shooting 53% from the field.

Cyclones come in off a big win and cover against Baylor on Saturday and are a dominant 20-8 ATS in their last 28 home games off a home win against a conference opponent. It's also worth noting that OK State is just 9-21 ATS in their last 30 as a road dog of 3 or less, while ISU is 27-4 as a home favorite of 3 or less. Take Iowa State!

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Providence -

The fact that the Friars lost 63-64 at DePaul earlier this season will have some questioning why Providence is such a big favorite here, but I think it's more than warranted. The Friars are playing their best basketball of the season right now, as they come in having won 4 straight over the likes of Butler, Xavier, Creighton and Marquette. Providence isn't going to over look DePaul given the first meeting and I expect them to get their revenge in blowout fashion.

The Friars are a 14-3 at home this season, compared to 4-8 on the road, so the road loss to DePaul isn't a huge shocker. On the flip side of this, DePaul is 1-11 on the road, where they are getting outscored by nearly 14.5 ppg. Coming off a crushing 79-82 home loss to Seton Hall, I just don't see them being all that interested in a meaningless game. DePaul is 5-13 ATS in their last 18 road games off a home game and 9-19 ATS in their last 28 road games off a loss. Friars are 9-2 ATS when revenging a road loss. Take Providence!

4* NBA Situational ATS Annihilator on Pistons -

I really like the value here with Detroit laying a relatively short number at home against the Blazers. Portland (10-21) is not a good road team and the Pistons are much better at home (18-12). This is also the final game of a 3-game trip for the Blazers, who just lost in Toronto to a Raptors team without one of their best players in Kyle Lowry.

Detroit has been a bit of a disappointment this season, but have shown signs of coming to life of late. They are 7-4 in the month of February with two of those losses on the road and the other two at home against elite teams in the Spurs and Celtics. Pistons are 33-18 ATS in their last 51 as a home favorite and a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games. Take Detroit!

5* NBA Western Conference Game of the Month on Kings +

Most just assume the Kings were throwing in the towel after they traded away Cousins, but what they forget is that for as good as Cousins was, he had almost the same negative effect on the team with his attitude, which is why Sacramento continued to be one of the worst teams in the league. I think the Kings are going to surprise some people down the stretch and let's not forget they won their first game at home without Cousins 116-100 over the Nuggets as a 6.5-point dog.

The Timberwolves are in a horrible spot here, as they get read to play their 3rd game in 4 nights after an extremely up-tempo game at Houston that saw 272 combined points in a 130-142 defeat. I just don't see Minnesota being locked in for this one and that makes the Kings great value here as a decently priced home dog vs a T-Wolves squad that is 8-18 on the road this season.

Minnesota is 14-40 ATS in their last 56 after scoring 120 or more points in their previous game and 13-26 ATS in their last 39 off a road loss by 10 or more. Kings are 4-1 ATS last 5 at home and 4-1-1 ATS last 6 off a double-digit loss at home. Take Sacramento!

4* NBA Over/Under Total Annihilator on Heat/Mavs UNDER

The fact that offenses are scoring at a ridiculous pace this season has forced oddsmakers to adjust the totals big time and I believe it creates some decent value when you get two teams like the Mavericks and Heat that aren't all that great offensively and still bring it on the defensive end of the floor. Dallas has especially been grinding games out of late. The Mavs have failed to eclipse 100 points in 4 straight and allowed 100 or less in their last 3.

Miami's offense has been playing well during their huge 2nd half surge, but I don't see them putting up a big number here on the road against this Mavs team. Not only will the Heat not being scoring as much as normal, they should be able to lockdown defensively on Dallas, who is scoring just 96.2 ppg over their last 5. Take the UNDER!

4* West Virginia/Baylor ATS No Brainer on West Virginia +

I played against Baylor successfully on Saturday at ISU and will fade them once again, as they get ready to host West Virginia. The Mountaineers tormented the Bears at home in a 89-69 win back on 1/3. The win snapped Baylor's perfect 15-0 start to the season, which had just got them to No. 1 in the polls. West Virginia's press gave the Bears a lot of problems, as Baylor turned it over 29 times. Sure they shouldn't turn it over that much at home, but they could be without starting point guard Manu Lecomte, who is questionable after leaving their last game against ISU early. Even if he does play, he's not going to be at full strength and if he doesn't the West Virginia press could cause chaos once again.

The Mountaineers are also playing the much better basketball right now. They are 8-2 in their last 10 and one of those losses was that unthinkable 14-point collapse at Kansas in the final minutes. Baylor on the other hand is just 3-5 in their last 8. Bears are also 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 on Monday. Take West Virginia!

4* NCAAB Situational ATS Annihilator on Notre Dame -

I look for the Fighting Irish to lay a beating on the Yellow Jackets at home tonight. Notre Dame enters riding a 4-game winning streak and are well rested having not played since last Saturday (2/18). The Irish aren't going to over look Georgia Tech here, as they got BC on deck and have revenge on their mind from a 60-62 loss at Georgia Tech back on 1/28. Yellow Jackets have exceeded expectations, but they have struggled on the road, especially against the top tier teams of the ACC. I expect that trend to continue.

Irish are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 following a winning streak of 3 or more games, 15-5 ATS in their lat 20 home games when playing against a marginal winning team and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games. Take Notre Dame!

4* NBA Undervalued Underdog on Lakers +

I like the value here with the Lakers as a double-digit home dog against the Spurs. LA is a young team that struggles with consistency, but have been a lot more competitive at home, where they are actually outscoring opponents on the season. I just feel the Lakers are getting zero respect here against the Spurs, who no one wants to go against when facing a team like LA. I think it's created great value in what I think could be a bit of a flat spot for San Antonio, as they finally finish up their lengthy rodeo road trip.

Lakers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 following a SU loss and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record. Spurs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after covering the spread in their last game and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games. Take Los Angeles!

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Xavier +

I really like the value here with the Musketeers as a home dog against the Bulldogs. Xavier comes in having lost 4 straight, which has them undervalued. It started with a home loss to Villanova, which is nothing to be ashamed about and then they lost 3 straight on the road. What a lot will overlook is they played a number of those with Bluiett. He returned in their last game at Seton Hall and it was their best showing in weeks. I look for them to snap out of their funk at home against Butler, who is poised for a bit of a letdown here after that huge road upset over Villanova.

Musketeers are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 as a home underdog and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 after playing 3 straight on the road. Butler is only 1-4 ATS last 5 as a favorite and 0-4 ATS last 4 off a cover. Take Xavier!

4* NBA Over/Under Total No Brainer on Hawks/Magic OVER

I'm expecting a high-scoring affair tonight between the Hawks and Magic. Orlando traded away one of their best defensive players in Ibaka and were not good defensively to start with. The Magic come in having allowed 107 or more points in 7 straight games. They allowed the Blazers to shoot 50.6% from the field in their first game back from the break.

Atlanta only managed 90 points in their first game back last night at home against the Heat, but that came without starting point guard Dennis Schroder, who was serving a suspension. Atlanta has scored at least 110 points in each of the last 4 meetings in the series. Hawks haven't been playing great defense of late and I think Orlando does enough at home to push this well over the mark. Take the OVER!

5* NCAAB Big 12 Game of the Month on Texas +

I really like the value here with the Longhorns as a decently priced home dog against the Jayhawks. Texas was competitive in a 12-point loss at KU earlier this season and are going to be 100% locked in for revenge against the best the Big 12 has to offer. Last time out the Jayhawks secured yet another Big 12 title and that's a big relief for the players, as no one wants to be the ones who are responsible for stopping the streak. I believe that has Kansas primed for a letdown here on the road against a team they know they are better than.

Kansas covered last time out and that's a good thing, as they are just 1-8 ATS this season after covering the number in their last game. Longhorns on the other hand are 20-4 ATS in their last 24 home games after failing to cover the spread in 4 of their last 5 games and 10-2 ATS in their last 12 when revenging a road loss. Take Texas!