On Saturday, the Angels will send out left-hander Patrick Sandoval (3-3, 3.09 ERA) to oppose Orioles right-hander Dean Kremer (2-1, 2.48). Both pitchers should go long and strong and offer up a viable opportunity for an under wager to cash.

Under is 8-2-1 in Orioles last 11 games following a win.Under is 4-1 in Orioles last 5 during game 3 of a series.Under is 13-4-1 in Orioles last 18 overall.

NEVIN is 9-1 UNDER when the money line is -100 to -150 as the manager of LA ANGELS.

Under is 2-0-2 in Angels last 4 games following a loss.Under is 7-0 in Angels last 7 during game 3 of a series.Under is 3-0-1 in Angels last 4 vs. American League East.Under is 5-0-2 in Angels last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 3-0-2 in Angels last 5 road games.

Under is 7-2-1 in Angels last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 7-2-2 in Angels last 11 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.Under is 11-4-2 in Angels last 17 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Play UNDER

Detroits offense has woken up recently and have scored four or more runs in seven of their last eight games. With the White Sox starter struggling at home this season, Im betting on the tigers to continue to crush the ball. Cueto owns a  4.97 ERA and a 5.03 FIP over 29 innings at home this season. CUETO is 8-0 OVER   in home games vs. an AL team with a batting average of .265 or worse in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.3 rpg.

Over is 5-1-1 in White Sox last 7 overall.Over is 9-2-1 in White Sox last 12 during game 3 of a series.Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 games following a loss.

Meanwhile, despite of being in a slump the White Sox offense continues to be dangerous offensive force and must not be underestimated in their ability to put a boatload full of runs on the board. 

Over is 5-0-1 in Tigers last 6 during game 3 of a series.

Play OVER 

 When Stripling goes to the hill during this campaign slugfests are not uncommon as is high scoring affairs continue to be registered when he toes the rubber . The Blue Jays have eclipsed the total in  eight of his last 10 starts and in L/4 consecutive outings.Considering the  Mariners have been heating up as is evident by  having scored six or more runs in each of their last three trips to the diamonds Im betting , they contribute enough to see this combined score to go over the set total. Note: STRIPLING is 0-0 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 18.00 and a WHIP of 2.667.

Meanwhile, the Jays have a talented batting order and at any time and against any pitcher explode. Even is they continue to regress here Im betting they do enough damage to get us over the total. 

Over is 20-8 in Blue Jays last 28 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

Over is 17-7 in Blue Jays last 24 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Over is 11-3 in Mariners last 14 vs. American League East.Over is 11-3 in Mariners last 14 vs. American League East.

Play OVER 

The Mariners are playing some top tier baseball at the moment  having won eight of their last 10 tilts  and  are on a current 5 games  winning streak .  The catalyst behind their top tier performances is buoyed by a  2.66 ERA over the last  2 plus weeks which ranks  second  in the majors during this span while allowing opponents  a .226 batting average. With Jays  Ross Stripling  owning a ugly 11.81 ERA in three career appearances against the Mariners, with one start and a personal power ranking projection that tells me he will be bombed again Im betting on a combination of momentum , pitching and offense offering us up the magic of 3 for a win backing Seattle starter Kirby.

Blue Jays are 1-5 in their last 6 road games.

Blue Jays are 1-6 in their last 7 overall.

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SEATTLE) - with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL), after a win by 4 runs or more are 70-37 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate.

Play on Seattle to win 

The White Sox were upset yesterday as hefty favs vs Detroit, but Im betting on a rebound performance here today by the Pale Hose.

CHI WHITE SOX are 43-18  against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 3 seasons.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (DETROIT) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 45-145 L/5 seasons for a go against  76% conversion rate.

Play on White Sox to cover 

PITCHING PROBABLES: Tigers: Beau Brieske (1-6, 4.54 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, 46 strikeouts); White Sox: Dylan Cease (7-3, 2.51 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 125 strikeouts)

White Sox: 6-4 L/10, .280 batting average, 4.00 ERA, outscored opponents by eight runs. Over is 4-0-1 in White Sox last 5 overall.

Tigers: 6-4, .272 batting average, 3.89 ERA, outscored opponents by 10 runs. 

Both offenses are operating fairly efficiently of late and my projections estimate both will do enough damage here to eclipse this total. 

DETROIT is 39-19 OVER  after sweeping a 3 game series against a division rival with the average rpg count clicking in at 10.1 . (Tigers just swept the Guardians )

MLB Home teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (CHI WHITE SOX) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA  3.75 or less), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games are 44-13 OVER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

CEASE is 10-0 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 1.91 and a WHIP of 1.158.

Probable pitchers: Braves - S. Strider-R vs Cardinals - M. Liberatore-L

Under is 5-0 in Braves last 5 vs. National League Central.Under is 6-0 in Braves last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 6-0 in Braves last 6 home games.

ATLANTA is 27-15 UNDER vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (ST LOUIS) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse on the season-NL, excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less  errors/game on the season are 38-9 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 81% conversion rate.

Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Atlanta.

Play on the UNDER 

 Yankees Cole owns a  5-3 record along with a 4.00 ERA vs the Red Sox. However,  In two postseason starts vs. the Red Sox, including the AL wild-card game last year, he is 0-2 with a 7.86 ERA and my current pitcher. vs batting order power rankings suggest this version of the BoSox offense matches up well against the right hander. Meanwhile,Boston's  starting hurler Josh Winckowski (3-2, 3.12) will make his first appearance against the Yankees. The 24-year-old right-hander recorded victories in three of his past four starts and has allowed just 1 HR. Im betting the Red sox righty keeps them in the game.

Red Sox are 8-2 in their last 10 during game 1 of a series. Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

Red Sox are 8-3 in their last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Red Sox are 21-8 in their last 29 games on grass.

Play on Boston Red Sox to win

Atlantas starter Fried is 3-0 with a 0.44 ERA in four career appearances (three starts) against St. Louis. He last beat the Cardinals 6-1 on Aug. 3, 2021, by throwing six scoreless innings. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here tonight. Braves are 8-2 in their last 10 home games vs. a right-handed starter like the Cards starter Mikolas. 

Braves are 25-7 in their last 32 overall.

Cardinals are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.Cardinals are 1-5 in their last 6 road games.

MLB opening line favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (ATLANTA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL) are 75-19 L/25 seasons for a for a 84% conversion rate for bettors.

Cardinals are 0-6 in the last 6 meetings.

Play on Atlanta to win 

I know the Giants are struggling at the moment, but now in desperation mode, Im expecting them to come out with a strong effort vs Giants starter  Gilbert (0-3, 7.88 ERA). 

SAN FRANCISCO is 12-3  against the money line after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse this season.

SAN FRANCISCO is 23-7  against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.

 MLB team (SAN FRANCISCO) - with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games against opponent starting a pitcher who was rocked for 6+ runs in his last 2 outings are 39-15 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. 

Play on SF Giants to win 

The Twins improved to 4-0 against the White Sox this season with a 6-3, 10-inning win on Monday and overall have won the L/6 meetings in this series. Im betting the Twins continue to garner wins vs the Pale hose as they face   right-handed hurler  Michael Kopech (2-5, 2.78 ERA). He does not have a victory  since June 7, a span of four winless starts. Kopech, garnered a 5.19 ERA in six June starts, and is fade material in his current form.KOPECH is 1-8   against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season. (Team's Record)

CHI WHITE SOX are 5-11  against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season.

White Sox are 1-5 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter. White Sox are 1-5 in their last 6 home games.

Play on Minnesota to win 

Baltimore is 2-0 in their L/2 trips to the diamonds, but they have a  recent history of being alertic to long term success. Note: HYDE is 4-20  against the money line in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins as the manager of BALTIMORE.

Rangers are 17-4 in their last 21 during game 2 of a series.

Rangers are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Baltimore.

MLB Road teams (TEXAS) - after having lost 4 of their last 5 games, a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a bad team (38-46%) are 32-10 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate.

Play on Texas to win 

Padres LH starter MANAEA is 27-9  against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record) Mariners are 2-9 in their last 11 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter.

SEATTLE is 3-14  against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 this season.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (SEATTLE) - with a team batting average of .260 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 30-126 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on San Diego to win 

SFs starter Rodon has gone 3-0 with a 1.25 ERA in six dominating  June starts and Im betting he shuts down the Diamondbacks today as the Giants batting order takes advantage of veteran Left-hander Madison Bumgarner (3-8, 3.63 ERA) who rarely seems to get run support. 

MLB Road teams against a 1.5 run line (SAN FRANCISCO) - with a slugging percentage of .330 or worse over their last 3 games, after a game where the bullpen threw 8 or more innings are 33-6 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (SAN FRANCISCO) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL), after a game where the bullpen threw 8 or more innings are 172-63 L/25 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on SF Giants to win 

The Cubs have won 2 of 3 of Steeles last three starts vs the Brewers. The Chicago left-hander has garnered  a 2-0 record along  with a 3.03 ERA last month after allowing one earned run in three of his five trips to the hill. Meanwhile, Brewers starter Lauer, owns a  1-2 record of late along with an inflated  6.83 ERA in June after surrendering 20 earned runs and 25 hits over his last four starts. Lauer is 1-1 with a 4.91 ERA in six career appearances (five starts) versus the Cubs. Advantage Cubbies.

MILWAUKEE is 11-18  against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. Brewers are 4-9 in their last 13 home games.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (CHICAGO CUBS) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA  3.75 or better ), in July games are 27-15 L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win 

Marlins starter Braxton Garrett is 1-3 with a 5.24 ERA and 1.70 WHIP including a  .346 xwOBA, .294 xBA and a .457 xSLG.  Over the last month the Marlins’ relief pitching ranks just 27th in the league in ERA, 28th in BA, 29th in SLG and 29th in wOBA. Meanwhile, Nationals starter Corbin is 4-10 with a 6.06 ERA and a 1.70 WHIP including .390 xwOBA, .307 xBA and a .553 xSLG.  He has allowed   11 earned runs over 15 innings.There have been nine or more total runs scored in five of his last seven starts. In the last month the Nationals’ relief pitching ranks 25th in the league in ERA, 23rd in BA, 27th in SLG and 26th in wOBA. Everything points to this being a high scoring affair.

MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (WASHINGTON) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against a below avg. starter (ERA  5.20 to 5.70)-NL, after 10 straight games where they failed to hit more than one HR are 37-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play OVER 

Cards starter WAINWRIGHT is 26-12 against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) WAINWRIGHT is 14-4  against the money line in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) WAINWRIGHT is 7-4 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.06 and a WHIP of 1.140. Wainwright is 7-4 with a 3.00 ERA in 17 career outings against the Phillies, including 15 starts.

Wainwright threw seven shutout innings in his most recent start, a 9-0 victory over the Miami Marlins on Monday and has momentum entering this tilt. 

Phillies starter Wheeler is 1-2 with a 4.24 ERA in four career starts against the Cardinals.

PHILADELPHIA is 3-10 against the money line in home games after a loss by 2 runs or less this season. (Cards took yesterdays tilt 7-6)

Play on the Cards to win 

SouthpawTarik Skubal goes to the hill for the Tigers. Through 15 starts this season, Skubal is 5-6 with a 3.75 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP and despite of the average numbers he has very strong metrics garnering a  .301 xwOBA, .248 xBA and a .403 xSLG. In each of his last two starts against the Royals,  holding them  scoreless through 9 2/3 innings. Rinse and repeat on board here again today.

Play on Detroit 

Former Cy Young award winner Keuchel (2-5, 7.93)  was on the verge of being let go or reassigned by the  Chicago White Sox at the end of May after giving up six runs in back-to-back starts,  which pushed his  ERA to 7.88 on the season .

The Diamondbacks signed him to a minor-league deal on June 6, and he was recalled from Triple-A Reno on Sunday. He than got the call  against the visiting Detroit Tigers, allowing four runs and six hits in 4 1/3 innings of the 11-7 victory. This is a bad matchup for him today against a Colorado side that seems to play their best offensive baseball at the launching pad known as Coors Field. 

Anderson the Dodgers starter is off his first loss of the season last time out and Im betting he may suffer another registered loss here today vs the Padres. With Darvish who own s a 2.14 ERA in his L/3 starts  on the hill for the Padres Im betting they will be a tough out in this tilt. 

Padres have averaged 5.2 rpg on the road this season.

MELVIN is 14-4  against the money line after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse as the manager of SAN DIEGO.

SAN DIEGO is 18-5  against the money line vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game this season.

MLB team (LA DODGERS) - very good offensive team (5.0 or more  runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less) (NL), in July games are 17-38 L/5 seasons for a go against  69% conversion rate. 

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (SAN DIEGO) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less), in July games are 27-14 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate. 

Play on the SD Padres to win 

As starter BLACKBURN is 6-1  against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) BLACKBURN is 7-2 against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record) BLACKBURN is 6-1 against the money line as a road underdog of +150 to +200 this season. Blackburn is 5-0 on the road this season while garnering a 1.44 ERA and gives his team viable edge here on the road on a value moneyline. 

SEATTLE is 7-14  against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -200 over the last 2 seasons. 

 OAKLAND is 9-3  against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Play on Oakland to win 

Halos starter Sandoval is 3-2 with a 2.63 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP and  has been in top form of late allowing two or less runs in six of his last seven starts.  The Angels starter also owns a  viable looking .328 xwOBA, .259 xBA, and .401 xSLG and has the big gun to keep the marauding Astros hitters and offense at bay. 

Houston rocked the Angels yesterday 8-1 but Im expecting the downtrodden Angels to bounce back today.

LA ANGELS are 10-3  against the money line in road games after scoring 4 runs or less 5 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

HOUSTON is 3-9  against the money line after scoring 8 runs or more this seaso

 MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (HOUSTON) - below average hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or less) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season-AL are 42-65 L/25 seasons for a 61%  go against conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on LA Angels to win 

Both these starters are in top form entering this tilt, however, here at home with a more consistent offense the Giants have the edge. 

Giants starter WEBB is 10-0  against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) WEBB is 16-3   against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) WEBB is 20-2  against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CHI WHITE SOX) - with a team on base percentage .320 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 2 runs or less are 62-14 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate.

MLB Home teams (SAN FRANCISCO) - good team, outscoring opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season, after getting shut out are 96-35 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate.

Play on SF Giants to win 

Marlins starter Castano has logged 6 2/3 innings while going 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA vs the Nationals in his previous starts against them, and a rinse and repeat type situation is my bet here today. Meanwhile, Right-hander Jackson Tetreault (2-1, 4.24 ERA) goes to the hill for  the Nationals for his fourth career game, all starts. He won each of his last two outings, throwing a combined 13 innings while allowing four runs (one earned) and deserves respect here in the underdog role. 

Nationals are 5-2 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

Nationals are 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.

Marlins are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MIAMI) - a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a terrible team (38%) or less, in July games are 18-45 L25 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate.

Play on Washington Nationals to win 

Orioles right-hander Spenser Watkins (1-1, 5.14 ERA) Im betting could  notch back-to-back victories after beating the Chicago White Sox in his most recent outing. He gave up one unearned run on five hits in five innings and has momentum entering this game and will keep his team in this tilt and give us an opportunity to cash a nice underdog ticket. 

BALTIMORE is 6-0 against the money line after a loss by 6 runs or more this season- ( lost to Seattle 9-3 L/time out)

Orioles are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. American League Central.

MLB team (MINNESOTA) - off 2 consecutive close losses by 2 runs or less to a division rival, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 10-27 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate.

Play on Baltimore Orioles to win 

Lorenzen is 0-1 with a 7.20 ERA in three career appearances (one start) against the Astros. In his second career start with the Angels, he allowed four runs on four hits and two walks with two strikeouts over 3 1/3 innings in an 8-3 road loss to the Astros on April 18 and Im betting the Astros get to him again.

JAVIER is 2-0 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 2.53 and a WHIP of 0.843.

LA ANGELS are 6-19  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start this season. LA ANGELS are 5-18 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this season.

HOUSTON is 33-14  against the money line with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) this season. 

HOUSTON is 41-18 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season.

Play on the Houston Astros to win 

 NY Mets BASSITT is 18-2 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) BASSITT is 12-1  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) BASSITT is 31-10 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

 Rangers are 1-7 in their last 8 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.

Mets are 20-6 in their last 26 during game 1 of a series. Mets are 13-4 in their last 17 home games.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (TEXAS) - after 2 straight games where they committed no errors against opponent after a game where they had 4 or less hits are 3 -38 L/5 seasons for a go against 93% conversion rate with a rpg diff of -3.5 rpg. 

Play on NY Mets to win 

The Phillies offense is hitting on all cylinders right now and scored 15 runs yesterday and in their current form must be respected against all teams and their pitchers making them a viable underdog investment option. 

PHILADELPHIA is 11-2  against the money line after scoring 9 runs or more this season.

Cardinals are 0-5 in their last 5 games following an off day.

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (PHILADELPHIA) - good power team - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game on the season, after a combined score of 17 runs or more are 29-13 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate.

Play on the Phillies to win 

Blue Jays starter BERRIOS is 9-17  against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) In five career starts against Tampa Bay, Berrios is 0-3 with a 5.76 ERA.

Tampa Bays starter Kluber has pitched well of late and owns a 2.08 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill and gives the Rays the edge they need here in game 2 of this series.

TAMPA BAY is 27-8  against the money line after a game where the bullpen threw 7 or more innings over the last 2 seasons.

MLB favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +115 to +160) (TORONTO) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a top level starting pitcher (ERA 3.60 or less, WHIP 1.300 or less -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season-AL are 64-13 L/25 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (TORONTO) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a top level starting pitcher (ERA 3.60 or less, WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season-AL are 27-50 L/25 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Tampa Bay Rays to win 

This is probably going to be a bullpen day for the Rays, but this team is well established as a group that has become experts at this approach. On the flip-side, it must be noted that own power rankings suggest that Tampa Bays batting order matches up well vs Jays starter Kikcuchi. 

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TORONTO) - off a loss to a division rival as a favorite of -150 or higher, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 15-49 L/5 seasons for a go against  77% conversion rate! 

MLB Home teams (TORONTO) - off a loss to a division rival as a favorite of -150 or higher, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 46-71 L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate.

Play on Tampa Bay to win 

Milwaukee is 6-0 against the Pirates this year, having swept a pair of two-game series in April and are picking up speed after dropping 9 of 10 games, and now on a 4 game win streak. I now expect the Brewers momentum to continue here vs a side they matchup very well against . Note:The Pirates have lost eight of their past 13 games. 

Brewers starter , Houser is 2-1 with a 2.25 ERA and a 0.964 WHIP and is backed up  by one of the best bullpens in pro baseball.

Pirates starter  Brubaker  is 0-2 and has given up seven runs on eight hits in 11 innings vs the Brewers in his most two recent starts agains them and is susceptible to being beaten up on again and if he falters he is backed by a bullpen that ranks 20th in MLB. 

PITTSBURGH is 11-38  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start over the last 2 seasons like the Brewers starter Houser.

MILWAUKEE is 16-4 against the money line in road games after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs this season.

MLB team (MILWAUKEE) - with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 3 or less batters per start, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 15 games are 41-16 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Milwaukee to win 

Phillies starter NOLA is 0-7  against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. (Team's Record)NOLA is 2-8   against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)  NOLA is 11-20  against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Braves starter ANDERSON is 13-2  against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

The Braves improved to 21-5 in June  with a 4-1 victory over the host Philadelphia Phillies on Wednesday and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation today. 

Braves are 8-1 in their last 9 during game 3 of a series.

Braves are 7-1 in their last 8 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

Braves are 11-2 in their last 13 road games.

Play on the Atlanta Braves to win 

Rockies starter MARQUEZ is 8-2  against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MARQUEZ is 7-2  against the money line as an underdog of +150 or more over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)  MARQUEZ is 5-0  against the money line in June games this season. (Team's Record)

Dodgers starter URIAS is 2-6 (  against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. (Team's Record)  URIAS is 1-6  against the money line as a favorite of -175 to -250 this season. (Team's Record)

LA DODGERS are 3-11 against the money line when playing against a sub par  team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) this season.

Play on Colorado to win 

The Reds won yesterdays game against the Cubs 5-3 and Im now betting on a similar result today. CHICAGO CUBS are 7-21 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.Cubs are 4-11 in their last 15 games following a loss.

 Cubs starter STEELE is 0-2 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 9.82 and a WHIP of 2.091.

Cubs are 8-22 in their last 30 during game 2 of a series.Cubs are 5-16 in their last 21 overall.

Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Reds are 6-2 in their last 8 road games. CINCINNATI is 9-1   against the money line in road games off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog over the last 2 seasons

MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (CHICAGO CUBS) - below average NL hitting team (AVG .255 or less ) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA  5.00 or more ), with a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start are 29-45 L/25 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors.

 Reds are 5-2 L/7 meetings vs the Cubs. 

Play on Cincinnati to win 

The Jays found a way to win last night, but despite of all the accolades they are getting I still see alot of flaws and today against a redemption minded BoSox side Im betting their deficiencies are exposed. 

Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like \Red Sox starter  Pivetta. The Boston hurler owns a stingy 1.64 ERA in his L/3 starts all wins and Im betting he keeps his team in this one as well. 

Red Sox are 12-2 in their last 14 games following a loss.Red Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series.Red Sox are 6-2 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.Red Sox are 12-4 in their last 16 road games.Red Sox are 19-7 in their last 26 overall.Red Sox are 8-3 in their last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.Red Sox are 39-15 in their last 54 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.

Play on Boston Red Sox to win 

 Astros top tier hurler Justin Verlander is in top form  as he enters this start with a 9-3 record and 2.22 ERA. Every-time he goes to the hill his team has a chance to win, and here at short chalk deserves respect. Opponents are batting .192 against Verlander, who has posted an 84-16 strikeout-walk ratio through his first 14 starts this season. 

The Astros showed me last week in their 2 game sweep of the Mets that they are the better side, and nothing Im betting changes today. Note: MY Mets will start T Walker, who owns a 5-5 mark and 5.04 ERA in 13 career starts against Houston. my pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest the Mets starter is at a disadvantage vs this very consistent Astros offense. 

Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games.Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League East. Astros are 9-1 in their last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

HOUSTON is 11-2  against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season.

NY METS are 37-71 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 3 seasons.Mets are 2-8 in their last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Mets are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. Mets are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Play on Houston Astros to win

Athletics starter  Irvin has posted a 5.03 ERA and a 5.92 FIP in his L/34 innings of sub par work and here today in the finale of this series Im betting the Yankees unleash their offense and easily come away with a 2 more run victory.OAKLAND is 0-18  against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better this season like the Yankees starter  Taillon with the average rpg diff clicking in at -3.4 which qualifies on this runline investment option. TAILLON is 12-1 (+11.2 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff coming in at +3.5 rpg. 

Play on the Yankees to win -1.5 RL 

The Rays have smashed LHP lately and Im betting Brewers starter  Lauer gets beaten up here today . I know this is a bullpen day for the Rays, but they are one of the teams in pro baseball that does this quite often and it wont throw them of their pace what so ever.TAMPA BAY is 15-6   against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better over the last 3 seasons.TAMPA BAY is 21-5  against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons.TAMPA BAY is 17-2  against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse over the last 2 seasons. Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.

Rays are 8-1 in their last 9 vs. National League Central.Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record. 

Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter like Beeks. 

Play on the Tampa Bay Rays to win 

LA ANGELS are 9-20  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season. Angels are 2-11 in their last 13 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Cueto qualifies on these trends. Advantage White Sox. 

Angels are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.

White Sox are 13-5 in their last 18 during game 2 of a series.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CHI WHITE SOX) - after having lost 4 of their last 5 games, a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a losing team are 32-14 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on White Sox to win 

Mets starter CARRASCO is 17-5 OVER in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season . (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.6 rpg. CARRASCO is 34-13 OVER in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in his career . (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.2 rpg scored. CARRASCO is 15-4 OVER  in home games against AL West opponents in his career. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 12.2 rpg scored. 

Astros  starter Valdez has posted a 4.00 ERA along with a 1.111 WHIP in his L/3 trips to the mound. Hes looking average of late after a fast start , and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not matchup all that well vs the NYM. 

Over is 5-0-2 in Mets last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 5-0-1 in Mets last 6 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 4-0-2 in Mets last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Over is 5-0-1 in Mets last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Over is 6-1 in Astros last 7 during game 1 of a series. Over is 11-4 in Mets last 15 home games. Over is 16-5-2 in Mets last 23 interleague games.

MLB Road teams (HOUSTON) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against an average NL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 31-7 OVER L/25 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Over is 6-1 in Astros last 7 during game 1 of a series.

Play OVER

Right-hander Michael Wacha (6-1, 2.34) will start for Boston. Wacha earned a win on April 27 when he held the Blue Jays to four hits and one run in six innings and Im betting on a similar rinse and repeat situation. WACHA is 9-2   against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record)

BOSTON is 13-3 against the money line on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (BOSTON) - good team, outscoring opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season, after a loss by 4 runs or more are 59-41 L/5 seasons for a 59% conversion rate! 

Play on Boston Red Sox to win 

Halos start Right-hander Noah Syndergaard (4-6, 3.86) will be on the mound to face the White Sox. He is 0-4 with a 5.31 ERA in his last four starts and is fade material according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings. I know Giolito the White Sox starter is also off consecutive down outings, but he according to my power rankings matches up well here vs the Angels. GIOLITO is 27-13  against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse in his career (Team's Record)

LA ANGELS are 1-7 against the money line in home games after allowing one run or less in a win over a division rival over the last 2 seasons.Angels are 1-8 in their last 9 during game 1 of a series.Angels are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Angels are 4-14 in their last 18 home games.

White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record. White Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter. 

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CHI WHITE SOX) - after having lost 4 of their last 5 games, a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a losing team are 32-13 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the White Sox to win 

Guardians starter McKenzie is 1-4 lifetime with a 6.39 ERA in six career starts against Minnesota. He is 0-1 with a 7.15 ERA in two outings against the Twins this season and is fade material here vs the Minnesota Twins again. The Guardians have proved very streaky this season, and after being swept this past weekend are not good bets in their current form, and are bet against investment options instead. Guardians are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. FRANCONA is 65-85  against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.90 or better as the manager of CLEVELAND like the Twins starter Gray.

Play on Minnesota to win 

The Red Sox are red hot and are off a  8-3 victory over the host Cleveland Guardians on Sunday afternoon to finish a three-game series sweep. I know Toronto is an explosive opponent and deserve respect, but this offering on the moneyline is to generous according to how well the BoSox have played and how they can make the best of pitchers look average at best. I know Gausman, has pitched well in two April outings vs the Red Sox already this season , but now that they know what hes offering this very resilient lineup will be primed to perform and get some revenge.

BOSTON is 19-4 against the money line in June games this season.BOSTON is 13-2  against the money line on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season.

Play on Boston Red Sox to win 

The Yankees are off a hard fought series vs the Houstons Astros this past weekend that resulted in a series split. Now in a emotional letdown state, Im betting the Yankees are vulnerable to a sub par performance vs a top tier hurler in the form of the As starter Blackburn 6-3, 2.97 ERA).  BLACKBURN is 6-0 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) BLACKBURN is 7-1 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season. (Team's Record) Blackburn's only career appearance against the Yankees was on  Aug. 29 in Oakland when he opposed Montgomery and pitched five scoreless innings. He goes against Montgomery again  and I like what he brings to the table again. OAKLAND is also 29-14 against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons like Montgomery. 

MLB Home teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (NY YANKEES) - cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games are 13-41 L/5 seasons for a  go against 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Oakland on the RL. +1.5

Dodgers starter GONSOLIN is 17-5 UNDER   vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.2 rpg scored. TONY GONSOLIN owns a 1.56 ERA along with a minuscule 0.635 WHIP in his L/3 starts. 

Meanwhile, the Braves starter Strider despite of a down effort last time out, saw his two previous starts replicate 2 run outputs from the opposing side.  

LA DODGERS are 32-19 UNDER  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. LA DODGERS are 9-1 UNDER  on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 this season. LA DODGERS are 13-4 UNDER   on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season.

 Under is 4-0-1 in Dodgers last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game which was the case yesterday in a 5-3 loss. Under is 6-1-2 in Dodgers last 9 games following a loss.

Under is 5-1-1 in Dodgers last 7 vs. National League East.Under is 5-1-3 in Dodgers last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-1-1 in Dodgers last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (ATLANTA) - having won 18 or more of their last 25 games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 141-75 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER 

The Phillies are off a win yesterday vs the Padres, but the home side has proved to be resilient this season, and are very capable of a bounce back today. Padres are 17-7 in their last 24 games following a loss. With the red hot Darvish on the hill for the Padres we have an edge laying lumber. ( Darvish owns a 3-0 recored along with a  0.82 ERA and a .0592 WHIP in his L/3 trips to the hill). 

Padres are 7-2 in their last 9 home games vs. a right-handed starter like the Phillies Gibson. 

Padres are 8-1 in their last 9 during game 4 of a series.

SAN DIEGO is 13-3  against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season.

Phillies are 3-13 in their last 16 Sunday games.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (PHILADELPHIA) - good NL offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less ), cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games are 34-11 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on San Diego to cover 

White Sox starter CEASE is in top form but is must be noted that he  is 15-5 OVER  after giving up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 12.1 rpg scored. 

The White Sox have allowed 35 runs in their L/6 games ( 5.83 RPG) and with the Orioles bats showing some life of late averaging 5 rpg in their L/3 trips to the diamond Im betting they do enough damage here to help this total be eclipsed.

Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 during game 4 of a series. Over is 7-3 in Orioles last 10 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. BALTIMORE is 12-4 OVER vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start this season like the White Sox Cease. 

Orioles starter LYLES is 1-2 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 6.13 and a WHIP of 1.909.

MLB Home teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (CHI WHITE SOX) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less ) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less ), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games are 44-12 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play OVER 

Seattles starter GILBERT is 20-9   against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GILBERT is 18-4   against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record.GILBERT is 9-1 against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GILBERT is 12-1 (+13.5 Units) against the money line after giving up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) With Gilbert on the mound for the Mariners Im betting we have a solid edge here vs a very inconsistent Angels side.

MLB  Road teams (SEATTLE) - with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season, stranding 7.5 or more runners on base per game on the season are 46-19 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Chris Archer takes to the hill for the Twins. He owns a  1-3 recored with a 3.44 ERA and 40 strikeouts this season, but despite of the losing record is a  solid hurler . Archer is 2-1 with a 3.94 ERA and 17 strikeouts in his career against the Rockies and gets my support here. After getting upset yesterday the Twins Im betting will primed to bounce back. 

Twins are 8-2 in their last 10 games following a loss.Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Twins are 12-5 in their last 17 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Twins are 7-3 in their last 10 during game 2 of a series

MINNESOTA is 6-0  against the money line after having lost 4 of their last 5 games this season.

COLORADO is 17-34 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season. Rockies are 1-5 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Rockies are 1-7 in their last 8 during game 2 of a series.

 MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (MINNESOTA) - after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less are 50-7 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. 

Play on Minnesota 

Mitch White the dodgers starter today has been solid of late garnering a 1.93 ERA in his L.3 trips to the hill and deserves enough respect here for me to back him vs a talented but  inconsistent Atlanta batting order. I know his pitching opponent from the Braves Fried is a quality pitcher, but the Dodgers can make the best of pitchers look bad. Considering my pitcher vs batting order ranking suggest the LAD side matches up well here its an easy decision for me to back the Dodgers on a value money-line  offering. FRIED is 2-4 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.71 and a WHIP of 1.294.

Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.

Dodgers are 40-11 in their last 51 during game 2 of a series.

Braves are 3-9 in their last 12 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Play on the LA Dodgers to win 

Astros starter Cristian Javier is a good looking hurler , but considering the Yankees  own a MLB-best 151 wRC+ in June off of right-handers Im betting they do more than enough offensive damage to help this total get eclipsed. Javier also wons a hefty 5.78 road ERA this season. Meanwhile, Cole the Yanks starter being a top tier hurler, his supporting cast ( bullpen) is banged up and vulnerable. Add to that the Astros bats can make the best of hurlers look bad. Everything points to a higher scoring affair. Over is 5-0-1 in Astros last 6 during game 3 of a series.

HOUSTON is 19-8 OVER  as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.1 rpg. 

Over is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 during game 3 of a series.Over is 7-3 in Yankees last 10 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

MLB Home teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (NY YANKEES) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA  3.75 or less), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games are 40-12 OVER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. 

Over is 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings.

Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in New York.

Play OVER 

The Washington Nationals enter this road game off a  7-0 loss at the hands of the Baltimore Orioles in their last matchup.Note: Nationals are 0-7 in their last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Meanwhile, the Rangers have momentum  and I expect them to  build on back-to-back wins over the Philadelphia Phillies. 

WASHINGTON is 10-30 against the money line vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season.

Nationals are 1-7 in their last 8 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.WASHINGTON is 13-33 (against the money line in night games this season.

Nationals are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings.

Play on the Rangers to win 

From a matchup perspective the  Rays are the overall superior side and deserve respect here even as big chalk.

TAMPA BAY is 14-1  against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

TAMPA BAY is 27-6  against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start over the last 3 seasons.

TAMPA BAY is 22-6 against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Tampa Bay to win 

Right-hander Joe Musgrove (8-0, 1.59 ERA) takes to the hill for  the Padres on Thursday vs the Phillies. Musgrove is 2-0 with a 1.29 ERA in four career appearances, three starts, against the Phillies and could easily have a shut down performance vs a formerly hot run Phillies side that has suddenly gone cold as is evident by having lost 3 straight games while only producing 5 runs total in those defeats and in their L/4 have only put 7 runs on the board. Note:All of Musgroves starts have been quality efforts .The righty hurler owns the  second-lowest earned run average in the major leagues, along with a  0.924 WHIP and a .196 opponents' batting average. Meanwhile, the Phillies  lefty starter Suarez is 3-0 in his four quality starts, during which he issued only four walks in 26 innings. He is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA in three games (no starts) against the Padres.  The Fathers are hitting just .229 at home this season, and with Tatis and Machado expected out today production may also be an issue. These teams have saw 3 straight lower scoring affairs when these teams mets in May 3-0, 2-0, 3-0 (all three meetings featured a shutout). Im betting on more of the same lackluster action here again today. 

MLB team (SAN DIEGO) - after a game where they committed 4 or more fielding errors, with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.250 the last 15 games are 108-52 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER 

Houston enters this game having won their L/ 6 games against a team with a winning record like todays opponent the Yankees and are  4-0 in their last 4 series-opening starts by Valdez and according to my projections have an edge as underdogs here in NY again. I know the Yankees starter Tallion is in top form but according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings the Astros matchup well here. 

HOUSTON is 30-11  against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.40 or better over the last 3 seasons.BAKER is 10-1  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 80% as the manager of HOUSTON. BAKER is 26-9 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season as the manager of HOUSTON.

Astros are 7-0 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.

Astros are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

Play on Houston to win 

I know lefty Ray the Mariners starting pitcher may not inspire bettors it must be noted that the OAKLAND As are just  1-10  against the money line in home games against left-handed starters this season and overall are just 3-19  against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher this season. Ray has pitched better of late, going 2-0 along with a minuscule 1.89 ERA and gives the Mariners an edge as viable chalk. OAKLAND is 4-28 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season.

Athletics starter MONTAS is 1-9  against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record)

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SEATTLE) - with a team on base percentage .310 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 66-37 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate.

Play on Seattle Mariners to win 

Rockies starter FREELAND is 14-3   against the money line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) FREELAND is 34-16  against the money line in day games since 1997. (Team's Record) FREELAND is 2-0 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 3.75 and a WHIP of 0.917. Miamis is batting just .222 at home this season vs LHP while producing just 3.7 rpg. 

Rockies are 5-2 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series.

The Marlins will start left-hander Braxton Garrett (1-2, 4.85 ERA) and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings the Rockies have an edge in an attempt to avoid being swept by the Marlins. Braxton owns a ugly 10.81 ERA in his home outing  this season.  In his 3 games one was brilliant vs the Astros , while the other two were clunkers - where he allowed a combined seven runs in 7 1/3 innings of sub par work. Advantage Rockies.

Marlins are 9-19 in their last 28 vs. National League West.

Play on Colorado to win

White Sox starter RODON is 9-1 UNDER  on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.6 rpg scored. Rodon has a miniscule 1.00 ERA in his L/3 trips to the mound including a 0778 Whip. Meanwhile, Atlantas Morton has done his best work at home this season where he own a 2-0 record in 6 starts. The righty hurler also owns a 1.000 Whip in his L/3 trips to the hill with his most recent outing ending a 1-0 loss to the Cubs. 

Under is 5-0 in Braves last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like Rodon. Under is 4-1 in Braves last 5 home games.

SAN FRANCISCO is 14-4 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season with a combined average of 7.7 rog scored. Under is 4-0 in Giants last 4 during game 3 of a series.Under is 6-1-1 in Giants last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Under is 10-3-2 in Giants last 15 overall. Only 1 of the Giants L/11 games have eclipsed the total. 

MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (ATLANTA) - having won 15 or more of their last 20 games, in a game involving two good teams (54% to 62%) are 34-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Atlanta.

Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.

Play UNDER 

Arizonas starter BUMGARNER is 0-12  against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) In the Dbacks current form ( L/7 games .189 Team Batting average I doubt they will give Bumgarner much support making the above trend a strong one. Meanwhile, the Padres starter Clevinger owns a stingy 2.19 ERA along with a minuscule .973 WHIP and gives a pitching edge to the Fathers at home.

LOVULLO is 18-53 against the money line in road games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better as the manager of ARIZONA.

ARIZONA is 2-18  against the money line in road games after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less over the last 2 seasons which was the case yesterday in a 3-2 loss.ARIZONA is 2-17 against the money line after two straight games where they had 5 or less hits over the last 2 seasons.

Play on the Padres to win 

NY Mets took it on the chin in game 1 of this series by a 8-2 count, but have proved themselves resilient this season going  23-5 in their last 28 games following a loss. Note: Astros are 0-4 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Astros are 3-8 in their last 11 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter like the NY Mets starter Carrasco. 

Astros are 5-11 in their last 16 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.

NY METS are 32-12  against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season. NY METS are 30-14 against the money line against right-handed starters this season. SHOWALTER is 22-10 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities as the manager of NY METS.

MLB team (NY METS) - very good NL offensive team (5.0  or more runs/game) against a good AL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or better ), with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 39-14 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on NY Nets to win 

Athletics starter James Kaprielian in  his  L/9 starts owns a ugly 0-4 record along  with a 6.31 ERA. In 41.1 innings he has permitted 43 hits, 29 earned runs and 27 walks. Needless to say he looks vulnerable, and in his current form gives the Seattle Mariners a strong opportunity for victory. 

OAKLAND is 0-15  against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better this season.OAKLAND is 4-26 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season. OAKLAND is 1-11 against the money line as a home underdog of +125 or more this season.

Athletics are 22-47 in their last 69 games as an underdog.Athletics are 16-39 in their last 55 home games. Athletics are 3-14 in their last 17 home games vs. a team with a losing record.

SEATTLE is 12-2  against the money line in road games after 5 or more consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons.Mariners are 10-3 in their last 13 games as a road favorite.

Mariners are 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Oakland.

Play on Seattle to win 

Left-hander Reid Detmers (2-3, 4.25 ERA) goes to the hill for  Los Angeles to make his 12th start. He has no wins since he  threw a no-hitter on May 10 against the Tampa Bay Rays, going 0-2 with a 4.91 ERA in five starts since and in his current form is fade material. 

LA ANGELS are 4-9  against the money line in home games vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season this season.Angels are 2-11 in their last 13 home games.Angels are 1-7 in their last 8 games as a home favorite.

Angels are 1-7 in their last 8 during game 2 of a series.

Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road underdog.

Play on the Royals to win 

The Rockies are off three straight underdog wins at home vs San Diego and now head out on the road with momentum on their sides. Note:COLORADO is 14-4 against the money line off an upset win over a division rival as a home underdog over the last 2 seasons.COLORADO is 7-0 against the money line off 2 straight upset wins over division rivals as a home underdog over the last 3 seasons.

Rockies starter: FELTNER is 1-0 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 0.714.

Rockies are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter like the Marlins Castano. 

COLORADO is 24-13  against the money line when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) over the last 2 seasons.

MIAMI is 6-14  against the money line against NL West opponents this season.

Rockies are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (COLORADO) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.70 to 5.20 on the season (NL), playing on Tuesday are 25-10 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Colorado to win 

Miami's starter Rogers is 3-5 with a 5.87 ERA and a 1.64 WHIP. There have been eight or more runs scored in each of his last six starts and Im betting nothing changes today.Since May 1st, the Marlins’ bullpen has been a shambles  as is evident by ranking 26th in the league in ERA, 30th in BA, 28th in SLG and 30th in wOBA. The Marlins in their L/10 tilts  are permitting  4.8 runs per game. Meanwhile, Mets left-hander David Peterson has seen  eight or more runs scored in each of his last six trips to the hill and has posted 6.56 ERA in his L/3 starts. Everything points to a higher scoring affair.

Play OVER

The White Sox offense has suddenly begun and quick accent averaging 7.6 rpg in their L/7 trips to the field. Im betting on their hot bats to continue their upward momentum again today in Houston. Meanwhile, the Astros, until yesterday had averaged 6.1 rpg in their previous 7 and Im betting on them bouncing back again in this totals spot play. Both starting pitchers Javier /Kopech have ERAs north of 5.00 in their L/3 starts. 

CHI WHITE SOX are 11-3 OVER  vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season with a combined average of 12.2 rpg. 

Over is 6-0 in White Sox last 6 during game 3 of a series.Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 vs. American League West.Over is 7-1 in White Sox last 8 overall.Over is 7-1 in White Sox last 8 games as a road underdog.

Over is 5-0 in Astros last 5 during game 3 of a series.Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 5-1 in Astros last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter

MLB  teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (CHI WHITE SOX) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA  3.75 or less), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games are 72-33 OVER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate.

Play OVER

The Royals offense matches up very well against JARED KOENIG at hurler that has seen his team lose both his starts this season by 13-2 and 6-1 counts. Rinse and repeat here as the Royals look like a viable chalk choice in this matchup. 

Royals are 11-4 in their last 15 games as a road favorite.

OAKLAND is 7-25  against the money line in home games this season. OAKLAND is 2-17  against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher this season.

OAKLAND is 3-26  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season.OAKLAND is 1-15 (against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better this season.

Play on the KC Royals to win 

Torontos powerful offense was help scoreless yesterday as the Blue Jays bats have gone cold and here against a top tier hurler in Severino they will have issues again. Note: The Yanks have allowed a total of 12 runs in their L/7 tilts.  Meanwhile, Kikuchi the Jays starting hurler s 2-3 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.96 and a WHIP of 1.349.Under is 11-5-1 in Yankees last 17 road games vs. a left-handed starter like the Jays  starter Kikuchi. 

NY YANKEES are 21-9 UNDER  when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. Under is 12-3-2 in Yankees last 17 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. 

MLB Road teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (NY YANKEES) - good offensive team (5.1 or more  runs/game) against an average starting pitcher (ERA  4.70 to 5.70)-AL, with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 27-5 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 85% conversion rate.

MLB Road teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (NY YANKEES) - having won 18 or more of their last 25 games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 57-25 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate.

Play UNDER 

Eflin in his five road starts, owns a sub par 0-3 record along with a 7.13 ERA and 1.71 WHIP. Considering the Phillies bullpen ranks a lowly 17th in the league in ERA, 21st in BA, 14th in SLG and 22nd in wOBA the Phillies look like they will need to score in bunches here to win this tilt.In  62 career plate appearances against Eflin, this current manifest-ion of the  Nationals batting order owns a .304 BA, .446 SLG and .356 wOBA. Meanwhile, Tetreault the Nats starter  allowed seven runs on nine hits in  four sub par  innings of work  in his only outing.  He is backed by a bullpen that ranks just 24th in the league in ERA, 25th in BA, 21st in SLG and 24th in wOBA. Against a explosive Phillies offense hes and his backup group look to be in trouble. 

Over is 6-0-1 in Phillies last 7 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Over is 5-1-1 in Phillies last 7 during game 5 of a series.Over is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Over is 10-4 in Phillies last 14 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Over is 5-2 in Phillies last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Over is 20-8-1 in Phillies last 29 road games.Over is 9-4 in Phillies last 13 vs. National League East.

PHILADELPHIA is 13-4 OVER vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse this season with a combined average of 10.5 rpg scored. 

EFLIN is 21-7 OVER   in road games against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.7 rpg scored. PHILADELPHIA is 21-8 OVER   when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season with a combined average of 10 rpg scored.

PHILADELPHIA is 13-4 OVER vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse this season with a combined average of 11.5 rpg scored. 

Over is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Over is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Over is 6-1 in Nationals last 7 vs. National League East. Over is 5-2 in Nationals last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 25-10-1 in Nationals last 36 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

Over is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings in Washington.

Over is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings.

Play OVER

 Padres starter Martinez has been in top form in his  last two starts. In those tilts he allowed just  three earned on nine hits and three walks in 9.2 innings. Meanwhile, the Rockies starter  Marquez, last  13  innings of work has seen him allow five earned on 10 hits and four walks . According to my power rankings both pitchers matchup well vs these batting orders and thus Im recommending  a under wager here. These teams have gone under in 5 of their L/7 at Coors field. 

COLORADO is 29-15 UNDER vs. a team with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 8.7 rpg scored. COLORADO is 26-13 UNDER  vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.8 rpg scored. COLORADO is 50-28 UNDER  at home when the total is 11 or higher over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 10.5 rpg scored. 

Under is 7-2 in Padres last 9 during game 2 of a series.Under is 19-7-1 in Padres last 27 games following a loss.Under is 8-3-1 in Padres last 12 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Under is 9-4-1 in Padres last 14 vs. a team with a losing record.

MLB Road teams where the total is 11 or higher (SAN DIEGO) - good offensive team (4.7 or more  runs/game) against a poor starting pitcher (ERA 5.70 or more ) (NL), with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 33-8 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. 

Play UNDER

I know the Red Sox will send out a hurler (Kutter Crawford) may not light up a board with top tier stats but he is a useable hurler, and against a batting order that has not faced him before gives us an enough an edge for me to support a BoSox side that has had alot of success against National League teams. CORA is 27-8 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better in all games he has managed like the Cards starter Hudson. 

Cardinals are 0-5 in their last 5 games as an underdog.Cardinals are 0-7 in their last 7 games as a road underdog.Cardinals are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague games.Cardinals are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague games as an underdog.Cardinals are 8-20 in their last 28 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Cardinals are 7-21 in their last 28 vs. American League East.

Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.Red Sox are 10-1 in their last 11 vs. National League Central.Red Sox are 60-19 in their last 79 interleague games as a favorite.Red Sox are 8-3 in their last 11 games following a win.Red Sox are 21-8 in their last 29 overall.

CORA is 16-4 against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 4.0 or less runs/game on the season in all games he has managed since 1997.

Cardinals are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings.

Play on BoSox to win 

Dodgers starter JULIO URIAS is 1-6   against the money line as a favorite of -175 to -250 this season. CLEVELAND is 13-4  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season. URIAS is 0-5  against the money line in day games this season. (Team's Record)

Cleveland has been playing well of late and have been particularly strong against LHP pitching averaging 5.3 rpg and deserve respect here on this big a value line offering. 

Meanwhile, Quantrill the Guardians starter owns a 3-0 record in his L/3 trips to the hill and offers up a strong opportunity for an underdog victory for the visitors. 

Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 inter-league road games.Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. National League West.Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 road games.

Guardians are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Los Angeles.

Play on Cleveland to win 

The Jays were crushed last night by the Yankees in game 1 of this series, and now after the beating Im betting the home side will be ready for redemption behind their top hurler MANOAH who  is 25-7 against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MANOAH is 2-0 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 1.52 and a WHIP of 0.887. MANOAH is  also 18-3 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Blue Jays are 40-17 in their last 57 during game 2 of a series. TORONTO is 34-18 against the money line with double revenge - 2 straight losses against opponent over the last 3 seasons. 

MLB Road teams (NY YANKEES) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 87-180 L/25 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Toronto to win 

White Sox are heating up and have momentum on their sides after a 3-0 game sweep of their last opponents. White Sox are now 5-0 in their last 5 road games. CHI WHITE SOX are 22-7  against the money line in road games after sweeping a 3 game series against a division rival since 1997.

Pale Hose starter GIOLITO is 19-14  against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher in his career. (Team's Record) GIOLITO is 29-12 against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse in his career. (Team's Record) It must also be noted that the White Sox bullpen in road games this season own a 2.86 ERA and must be respected in a support role here in a game that Im betting is much closer than the offered ML, giving us value on the underdog. 

HOUSTON is 0-8  against the money line after scoring 8 runs or more this season which was the case day before yesterday and their last game before todays series opener against the White Sox.

Play on Chicago White Sox to win 

Wacha (4-1, 2.33 ERA) is very familiar with  the team he will be going against here tonight in Fenway, having come up in the St. Louis organization and pitched parts of seven seasons for the Cardinals. Wacha top tier  2.33 ERA and .195 opponent batting average are No.1  among Boston starters. The righty has allowed two runs or fewer in eight of his 10 starts, in which the Red Sox are 6-2. WACHA is 21-9  against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 in his career. (Team's Record) His pitching opponent Wainwright a former teammate is also a viable pitcher, but here at home in Fenway the best of visiting pitchers can be made to look bad. 

BOSTON is 18-6  against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons.

Cardinals are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague games as an underdog.Cardinals are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Cardinals are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Cardinals are 7-20 in their last 27 vs. American League East.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ST LOUIS) - off a loss to a division rival as a favorite of -150 or higher, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 46-15 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Cardinals are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings.

Play on Red Sox to win 

Stripling (3-1, 3.14 ERA) will take on Yankees left-hander Jordan Montgomery (2-1, 2.70).

Blue Jays Starter Stripling in his past two starts, including a six-inning an appearance  against the host Detroit Tigers on Sunday, has allowed a total of two hits and no walks while striking out six in 11 scoreless innings of work and has momentum entering this tilt against the NYY. Stripling is 2-1 with a 2.81 ERA in seven starts this season and 1-0 with a 4.09 ERA and one save in eight relief appearances. I know the Yankees are hot after 7 straight wins, but the Jays because of their explosive offense and now playing at home must not be underestimated. I know Toronto got blasted by the Orioles 10-2 yesterday, but Im betting they were caught looking ahead to this series. Note: TORONTO is 38-17 against the money line after scoring 2 runs or less over the last 2 seasons. MONTOYO is 15-6  against the money line in home games after a loss by 6 runs or more as the manager of TORONTO.

Blue Jays are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series.

Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.

NY YANKEES are 3-11 against the money line in road games after allowing one run or less in a win over a division rival over the last 3 seasons which was the case last time out. 

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (NY YANKEES) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 39-138 L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate! 

MLB Home teams (TORONTO) - hot hitting team - batting .305 or better over their last 5 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.00 over his last 3 starts are 42-21 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Toronto to win 

Severino (4-1, 2.80 ERA) suffered his only loss this season   against the Rays on May 29 in St. Petersburg, Fla. Severino allowed four runs in 6 1/3 innings in the 4-2 defeat and Im betting this batting order matches up very well against him and should some decent damage again. Meanwhile, the Yanks explosive bats can take the best of pitchers down making this a over wager for me on this offered Totals number. 

TAMPA BAY is 18-5 OVER   vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.90 or better over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 10.1 rpg scored. 

TAMPA BAY is 24-11 OVER  in road games after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better over the last 2 seasons with a 11 rpg scored. 

MLB Home teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (NY YANKEES) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA  3.75 or less), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games are 40-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. 

Over is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

Over is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 home games vs. a left-handed starter.

Play OVER 

As starter BLACKBURN is 5-0  against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record)BLACKBURN is 6-1   against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season. (Team's Record) Almost every time Blackburn goes to the hill he gives this As team a chance to pull off a victory. He is 4-0 on the road along with a minuscule 0.91 ERA this season. 

BoSox lefty starter Rich Hill (2-3, 4.38 ERA)  is 17-24 against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -200 in his career. (Team's Record)OAKLAND is 28-14 against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on Oakland to win 

ANDERSON is 10-1 against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

LA ANGELS are 6-15 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

LA DODGERS are 24-3  against the money line in home games after scoring 2 runs or less over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (LA DODGERS) - after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less are 49-6 L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Dodgers 

Braves are red hot and laying a little lumber with them in their current form is weighted risk factor that is worth taking according to my projections. Atlanta is 13-0 L/13 overall. 

WASHINGTON is 4-15  against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season. like the Braves starting pitcher Strider.

WASHINGTON is 14-45  against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. 

Nationals are 14-47 in their last 61 vs. National League East.

ATLANTA is 41-19 (against the money line in road games vs. a team with a sub par bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse over the last 3 seasons.

Braves are 21-6 in the last 27 meetings in Washington.

Play on Atlanta to win 

The Giants are heating up again having won 5 straight games, while their opponents tonight have lost 4 straight. Im betting on both these runs remaining intact tonight. Rinse and repeat. 

Note: The Royals have seen their L/13 games decided by 2 runs ore more. 

MLB Home teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (SAN FRANCISCO) - cold hitting team - batting .200 or worse over their last 3 games, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 10 games are 39-14 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on San Francisco to win -1.5 

Astros starter Garcia is 2-0 with a 2.25 ERA in four career games (two starts) against the Rangers and Im betting he matches up well again here today and should help keep this total on the low side of the offered number. Opposing Garcia is Miller who is a senior hurler with viable numbers and according to my power rankings matches up well here vs a Astros offense that has scored more than 4 runs just once in their L/8 games. 

Under is 20-7 in Astros last 27 vs. American League West.Under is 20-7 in Astros last 27 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 20-7 in Astros last 27 road games.Under is 8-2 in Astros last 10 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.

Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 games as a home underdog.

Under is 7-1 in Rangers last 8 home games.

Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Texas. Under is 9-0 UNDER L/9 meetings. 

Play UNDER 

Mariners starter GILBERT is 20-9 against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GILBERT is 17-4  against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GILBERT is 6-0 against the money line in June games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League Central.

MLB Road teams (MINNESOTA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better on the season-AL are 169-295 L/25 seasons for a 64% conversion rate. 

Play on Seattle to win 

Colorados righty  starter SENZATELA is 12-3   against the money line in home games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Senzatela is 1-0 with a 3.97 ERA in two career starts against the Guardians.

 The Rockies have momentum entering this series vs the Guardians  after beating San Diego last Saturday, then  repeated the feat to win two in a row for the first time since May 4-5.  

Guardians are 5-17 in their last 22 vs. National League West.Guardians are 1-6 in their last 7 interleague games.Guardians are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague games as a favorite.Guardians are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.

Rockies are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague games as an underdog. Rockies are 8-2 in their last 10 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter like Bieber. 

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (COLORADO) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse on the season-NL, starting a pitcher who walked 1 or less hitters each of his last 2 outings are 28-10 L/25 seasons for a 74% conversion rate.

Guardians are 0-8 in the last 8 meetings in Colorado.

Boston starter  Nick Pivetta (5-5, 3.78 ERA) who is 5-1 with a 1.96 ERA over his past seven starts go to the hill today to take on a very inconsistent Oakland batting order that my own power rankings suggest he matches up well against. Pivetta has pitched seven shutout innings in each of his two career starts against Oakland (last two seasons). PIVETTA is 2-0 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.571. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation today. 

Athletics are 0-6 in their last 6 vs. American League East.

OAKLAND is 1-14 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at - 3.7 .KOTSAY is 2-25  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start as the manager of OAKLAND with the average rpg diff clicking in at -3.7. 

Play on Boston Red Sox -1.5 runline 

The Reds Veteran left-hander Mike Minor (0-2, 8.64 ERA)  looks like he is headed towards a 3rd straight season with a 5 plus ERA and today the DBacks are highly likely to  produce offensively. Meanwhile, M.Kelly (5-3, 3.32 ERA) is a viable hurler, but hittable. The Reds bats have picked up the pace of late so Im betting they do enough damage here to get the combined score to be eclipsed. 

Over is 5-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.

ARIZONA is 49-28 OVER vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 10 rpg going on the board. 

CINCINNATI is 31-16 OVER after 3 consecutive game versus a division rival over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 10.5 rpg scored. 

Play OVER 

Cubs starter left-hander Steele looks to build on a solid outing from June 5, when he gave up seven hits and three walks, but only two runs (one earned) . Meanwhile, DARVISH has been a viable force on the hill. Not over powering but useable.In 5  road games when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) he has seen a combined average score of 8,4 rpg scored. 

Under is 7-2-1 in Padres last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 3-1-1 in Padres last 5 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Under is 3-1-1 in Padres last 5 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Under is 8-3-2 in Padres last 13 vs. National League Central.

Under is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

DARVISH is 7-0 UNDER  when the money line is -100 to -150 this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 4.7 rpg scored. 

MLB Road teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (SAN DIEGO) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.050 or better on the season-NL, excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less  errors/game on the season are 41-13 under L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Under is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings in Chicago.

Play UNDER 

Right-hander Kyle Bradish (1-3, 6.45 ERA) will start for the Orioles against Blue Jays right-hander Alek Manoah (7-1, 1.81). The powerful Jays lineup should do very well here today and the under rated Baltimore offense should reciprocate as they are 10-2 OVER vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start this season with a combined average of 11 rpg going on the board. Minoah in 3 career starts vs the Orioles has seen the total eclipsed each time, with a combined score of 11 , 11, 17 runs going on the board . Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here tonight.  MANOAH in his L/20 outings with a   total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) has seen a combined average score of 9.2 rpg scored.

Over is 3-0-1 in Orioles last 4 games as a road underdog.Over is 8-0 in Orioles last 8 during game 1 of a series.

Over is 5-0-2 in the last 7 meetings.Over is 6-0 in Blue Jays last 6 games as a home favorite.Over is 6-0 in Blue Jays last 6 on astroturf.Over is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 6-0 in Blue Jays last 6 home games. Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

MLB Home teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (TORONTO) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA  3.75 or better ), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games are 39-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate.

MLB Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (BALTIMORE) - bad offensive team ( 4.2 or less  runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or better ) (AL), after a combined score of 17 runs or more are 28-6 OVER L/25 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. 

Play on the OVER 

Seattles Ray is 2-2 with a 4.28 ERA in seven career appearances (six starts) against the Red Sox, including a 7-3 loss on May 20 in Boston . The Red sox offense once again matches up well against him according to my projections and power rankings.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BOSTON) - on a good fielding streak, 10 straight games with one or less errors against opponent after 5 straight games where they stranded 8 or more runners on base are 46-22 L/25 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Boston to win 

Tampa Bay sends   left-hander Jeffrey Springs (2-2, 1.62) to the hill to face the Twins . Springs is 1-2 with a 2.01 ERA in six starts since joining the Rays' rotation in early May and is a viable pitcher to back in this spot. With the Twins sending Sands (0-2, 8.49 ERA) to the mound, the Rays offense looks ready to avenge yesterdays 6-5 loss. Twins are 1-7 in their last 8 games following a win.

Rays are 40-19 in their last 59 during game 3 of a series.Rays are 21-10 in their last 31 games as a road favorite.Rays are 92-44 in their last 136 games as a favorite.

Play on Tampa Bay to win 

Braves took a 10-4 win yesterday and my projections estimate another lopsided victory today. The Braves are red hot having won 10 straight while the Pirates are in a slump as is evident by 5 straight losses. ' PITTSBURGH is 9-34  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start over the last 2 seasons with a the average rpg diff clicking in at -2.8. 

Note: Pirates starter Quintana  owns a  8.68 ERA in four career starts against Atlanta. Quintana is coming off a poor start against the Detroit Tigers on Tuesday when he permited four runs in 3 1/3 innings of a 5-3 loss.

Pirates are 3-9 in their last 12 games after losing the first 3 games of a series. Pirates are 0-5 in their last 5 overall.

Braves are 10-1 in their last 11 overall.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (PITTSBURGH) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.050 or better on the season-NL are 8-61 L/25 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at -2.3. 

Play on Atlanta to win 

Blue Jays starter GAUSMAN is 14-22 ( against the money line when playing against a struggling  team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) in his career. (Team's Record)

Note:  Detroit Rookie Brieske still does not have a Major league win but he looked over powering vs New York Yankees lineup  holding them to two runs on three hits and struck out seven in six innings in a 3-0 loss on June 4 and at this price is a viable starter to back in this spot play. 

DETROIT is 19-14  against the money line in home games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 3 seasons.

MLB Home teams (DETROIT) - after 2 straight games with no home runs, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 15 games are 43-15 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Road teams (TORONTO) - after a game where they had at least 10 more hits than their opponent against opponent after 4 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base are 12-33 L/5 seasons for a go against  73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Detroit Tigers to win 

PITTSBURGH is 9-34  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start over the last 2 seasons with a rpg diff clicking in at -2.8. 

Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (PITTSBURGH) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.050 or better on the season-NL are 8-61 L/25 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at -2.3 . 

The Phillies are red hot and with Zack Wheeler on the hill at home wheres  he’s been over powering this season they have a definitive edge. Wheeler in  36 1/3  innings of work as a host  has recorded a minuscule  1.73 ERA and a 2.21 FIP. PHILADELPHIA is 7-0  against the money line in June games this season winning by an average of 4.9 rpg (  Phillies 7.6  Opponent 2.7)

Dbacks starter BUMGARNER is 0-11  against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a average rpg diff clicking in at -2.5 rpg. 

ARIZONA is 7-36  against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +250 over the last 2 seasons with the average run diff clicking in at -2 which qualifies on this runline offering. 

Play on Philadelphia Phillies to win 

Nationals starter CORBIN is 17-35 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)CORBIN is 1-13   against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record.

The Brewers send lefty Eric Lauer (5-1, 2.38 ERA)  to the hill knowing he owned the the Nationals in a  seven inning shutout performance  on May 20.  

Milwaukees been struggling but this is to good a team for them to stay down for long, and today   Im betting the Brewers have an edge to get moving on the right direction again. 

COUNSELL is 27-13  against the money line after allowing 7 runs or more 2 straight games as the manager of MILWAUKEE.

Play on Milwaukee to win 

The Pale Hose are playing better ball of late and have won four of their past six games and have an edge here as  Chicago will send right-hander Lucas Giolito (4-2, 3.54 ERA) to the mound to face Texas left-hander Martin Perez (4-2, 1.56). The Rangers own a lowly   team OBP of .295 over the last month vs righties like Giolito. I know the Rangers starter Perez has been hot, but he is a little over rated considering White Sox  trio of  Adam Engel, Yoán Moncada or Yasmani Grandal have hit LHP hard in their careers and if Perez has shown any weakness its been against these type of hitters. 

GIOLITO is 2-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 2.38 and a WHIP of 1.147.

TEXAS is 11-25  against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TEXAS) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better on the season-AL against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.400 to 1.500 on the season-AL are 36-75 L/25 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on White Sox to win 

Megill (4-2, 4.41 ERA) made a rehab start for Double-A Binghamton on Sunday, allowing two runs and striking out five in 3 2/3 innings but may still be a little rusty and vulnerable against a Halos team that is now in complete desperation mode for wins. Angels will go with left-hander Jhonathan Diaz who comes from the minors to make this start. Diaz (1-0, 1.32 ERA) started two games for the Angels earlier this season and did not allow a run in either contest.  

Mets are 3-9 in their last 12 interleague road games.

Mets are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague games.

Mets are 1-6 in their last 7 vs. American League West

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA ANGELS) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less ) against an average NL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20), starting a pitcher who gave up no earned runs last outing are 28-7 L/25 seasons for go against  80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LA Angels to win

Right-hander Drew Rasmussen (5-2, 3.02 ERA), who is 0-0 with a 9.00 ERA in two career relief appearances vs. Minnesota, will make his first career start against the Twins today. Meanwhile, southpaw hurler Devin Smeltzer (2-0, 1.93) will make his first career start  against the Rays. According to my power rankings the Twins have an edge. 

MINNESOTA is 10-1  against the money line in home games after allowing 9 runs or more over the last 3 seasons which was the case in a 10-7 loss to the Yankees. 

MLB Road teams (TAMPA BAY) - ice cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 15 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or better over his last 5 starts are 17-58 L/25 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Minnesota to win