Red Sox LH David Price (2016: 17-9, 3.99 ERA) vs. White Sox LH David Holmberg (0-0, 0.87)

Dave Price the BoSox starting hurler today just finished rehab, and maybe getting to much respect based on his overall career numbers. He maybe healthy enough to get back in the rotation, but after allowing nine runs (six earned) on 12 hits in 5 2/3 innings with Triple-A Pawtucket in two rehab appearances he's far from being ready to pitch at a high level right out of the gate in my humble opinion. I'm willing to put my money where my mouth is , and bet he won't prove me wrong, via a value line. Meanwhile, the White Sox stater today, Holmberg has been impressive as is evident by having allowed only one run in eight relief appearances covering 10 1/3 innings and has allowed none in last seven trips to the hill.. He went 3-0 with a 1.76 ERA in six appearances (one start) with Triple-A Charlotte. I know he is not a regular starter, but the White Sox if they have to go to bullpen , at least have a reliable group to back him up as is evident by a stable 2.47 ERA at home.

Yes, I know the Red Sox have been hot, but all good bad runs must come to end. While timing can be difficult, I like my odds today.

CHI WHITE SOX are 18-7 L/25 against the money line in home games against left-handed starters.

Note:Hanley Ramirez has struggled against the White Sox during his career. The Red Sox DH has hit just .191 in 22 career games, which marks his worst average against any team.

Red Sox are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Red Sox are 5-12 in their last 17 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Red Sox are 3-8 in their last 11 vs. American League Central.White Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 home games.

Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection   

Mets RH Matt Harvey (3-3, 5.36 ERA) vs. Pirates RH Tyler Glasnow (2-3, 6.69)

NYM starter tonight Harvey has failed to pitch beyond 5 1/3 innings in five consecutive starts, and is obviously  struggling as is evident by having issued 21 walks in 25 innings of work .He is 0-1 with a 5.29 ERA in three career starts versus Pittsburgh. Meanwhile, Glasnow, the Pirates starter has yielded at least one homer in five consecutive starts, and  is 1-2 with a 6.00 ERA at home and could also easily get lit up by a NYM offense, that is averaging 6 rpg on the road this season.

Harvey's 85.9 mph average exit velocity ranks 23rd-best among 133 pitchers with at least 100 balls put in play, according to Statcast. Glasnow is just behind him at 29th, with an 86.0 mph average exit velocity. Both pitchers according to my own speed averages makes these two hurlers very hittable by these types of offenses.  Note: The Pirates strike out the least of any NL team.

Over is 15-4-2 in Mets last 21 road games.Over is 4-0 in Harveys last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 13-2-2 in Mets last 17 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 5-0 in Mets last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 6-0 in Mets last 6 vs. National League Central.Over is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 overall.Over is 7-0-1 in Glasnows last 8 starts overall.Over is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 5-0 in  e umpire Nelsons last 5 games behind home plate.

GLASNOW is 7-0 OVER  vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season with a combined average of 12.2 rpg getting scored.NY METS are 20-4 OVER  when the money line is -100 to -150 this season with a combined average of 11.7 rpg going on the board. NY METS are 26-5 OVER  in night games this season with an average of 10.2 rpg going on the scoreboard. 

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

Angels RH Matt Shoemaker (4-2, 3.97 ERA) vs. Marlins RH Jose Urena (2-2, 3.08)
Shoemaker the Halos starting pitcher is currently in top form and is on a three-start winning streak and has kept the opposition scoreless in two of those trips to the hill. He has shut out opponents in two of those outings, posting a 1.45 ERA during that span with 21 strikeouts over 18 2/3 innings.The righty is is 4-3 with a 2.96 ERA in interleague action. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent, Urena is off his ugliest effort of the season, allowing 6 runs and 2 HRs last time out, and looks more suited for the bullpen than a starting role. The Marlins are tied in the majors for least wins at 17-30, and with a inconsistent Urena on the hill, they are in my betting opinion, fade material again today.

Angels are 6-0 in Shoemakers last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Marlins are 1-11 in Urenas last 12 home starts.Marlins are 6-20 in their last 26 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Marlins are 6-21 in their last 27 games vs. a right-handed starter.Angels are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Miami.


URENA is 0-8 against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last few seasons.   

Play on the LA Angels to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

Cardinals RH Adam Wainwright (4-3, 4.81 ERA) vs. Rockies LH Kyle Freeland (5-2, 3.31)

The Cardinal's starter today Wainwright, is in top form after starting his season slowly. Wainwright has allowed one run and nine hits in 13 1/3 innings for a 0.68 ERA in his L/2 trips to the hill. Wainwright is 9-1 along with a stingy 1.70 ERA in 14 games (10 starts) against the Rockies. That is the lowest all-time ERA against the Rockies among opposing pitchers. He has beaten them more times than any other team outside the National League Central. At Coors Field, Wainwright is 3-0 with a 2.73 ERA in five games (four starts). Meanwhile, the Cards offense will go against Freeland a thrower, that owns a 4.58 ERA in his L/3 starts, with his biggest problem coming via control issues where he has walked 10 batters in those starts.  His two losses this season have come at home in Denver. After watching the Cardinals get clobbered by a 10-0 count yesterday, many might have a problem backing the Cards today, but in my usual contrarian fashion thats what I am recommending we do in this spot play.

Cardinals are 10-3 in their last 13 road games.Cardinals are 43-17 in Wainwrights last 60 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Cardinals are 7-0 in Wainwrights last 7 starts vs. Rockies.

ST LOUIS is 11-5  against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start like Freeland.ST LOUIS is 23-12 L/35 against the money line in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season.

Play on the St.Louis Cardinals to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

Cubs RH John Lackey (4-4, 4.82 ERA) vs. Dodgers RH Brandon McCarthy (4-1, 3.76)

A pair of right-handers will take the hill in the second game of a three-game series between the Chicago Cubs and the Los Angeles Dodgers on Saturday at Dodger Stadium. John Lackey the Cubs starter owns a 4.82 ERA on the season, while allowing 12 HRS and 58 hits in 53.3 innings of action. Lackey lost to San Francisco in his last start as he gave up five runs and seven hits over five innings.He his most vulnerable in the early innings, as is evident by an ERA of 8.00 in the first inning this season and 4.15 from the second inning on. Meanwhile, the Dodgers starting thrower, Mccarthy , despite of some decent numbers, owns a 5.94 ERA in his L/3 turns. I expect the Cubs hitters will be very aggressive today, after being shutout yesterday. Note: Over is 7-1 in Cubs last 8 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Over is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Both offenses are capable of big outputs, and that's what I'm betting on today as both pitchers have shown vulnerabilities this season.


CHICAGO CUBS are 17-8 OVER vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season, with a combined average score of 9.9 rpg getting scored. CHICAGO CUBS are 21-10 OVER vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season, with a combined average of 10 rpg getting scored and are 12-4 OVER vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season, averaging 5.6 rpg on offense , with a combined average of 10.6 rpg getting scored.Over is 11-1-1 in Cubs last 13 Saturday games.Over is 6-1 in Lackeys last 7 road starts.Over is 11-2-2 in Lackeys last 15 starts overall.Over is 11-5-1 in umpire Gibson last 17 games behind home plate .

Home teams like the Dodgers - decent NL offensive team ( 4.7 runs/game or more ) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA3.33 or less), after shutting out their opponent are 60-17 OVER dating back 20 seasons, for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection   

Mariners RH Yovani Gallardo (2-4, 5.84 ERA) vs. Red Sox LH Eduardo Rodriguez (3-1, 3.10)

 Red Sox starter LH Rodriguez has tossed a career-high six straight quality starts while posting a 2.61 ERA so far this season, and now goes against a struggling Seattle offense , that has averaged just  2 rpg during a current 7 game stretch, and have averaged a lowly 3.5 rpg vs southpaws this season.  The Box Sox bullpen has also been brilliant especially at home where they own a solid 2.51 ERA. With that said, I'm betting on the Mariners offense to be muted tonight. Meanwhile, the Red Sox have shown some offensive swagger of late, but according to my power charts, are still an inconsistent offense, and seem to be a little timid with run production in night games, averaging just 4.4 rpg this season under the lights. I know Mariners starting hurler  Gollardo  may not inspire many to keep his batting opponents under control, but in games where the total has been 8.5 to 10 runs , he has seen opposing offenses average just 4.3 rpg over an extended 47 games span, with a combined average score of 8.5 rpg going on the board, for a 32-15 under conversion rate. The Mariners hurler has been his best on the road this season, allowing only 2 HRS in 4 starts. 

Under is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 4-0 in Gallardos last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

RODRIGUEZ is 9-0 UNDER L/9 after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last few seasons, with a combined average of 4.8 rpg going on the board and  is 20-7 UNDER L/27  in all games dating back to last season, with a combined average of 8.2 rpg getting scored and also 13-2 UNDER after a win with a combined average of 7 rpg getting scored.SEATTLE is 26-10 UNDER  vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better with an average of 7 rpg getting scored.Also an interesting anomaly SEATTLE is 7-0 UNDER when playing on Friday this season with  a combined average of 4 rpg going on the board. 

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection

Angels RH Jesse Chavez (4-5, 4.61 ERA) vs. Marlins RH Dan Straily (2-3, 3.70)

The top performing Marlins starter has been right-hander Dan Straily  this season who owns a (2-3, 3.70 ERA). He  will  get the start on Friday against the banged up Angels.

Right-handed batters are hitting only .156 against Straily, with five homers in 90 at-bats. Lefty batters are hitting .173 with one homer in 81 at-bats.Marlins Park has truely been home sweet home for  Straily, who has a 1.95 ERA here as  opposed to  a 6.00 ERA in away tilts.

I know the Marlins are slumping and also banged up, but today against Jesse Chavez, I can see some light at the end of the proverbail tunnel.Chavez, the Halos starter is ranked in lower 25%  portion of my pitcher rankings, and owns sub par career record of 30-45 with a 4.55 ERA. He lost five of six decisions this year and despite o pitching better of late is still on my fade list.CHAVEZ is 0-11 L/11 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher dating back to last season.

Angels are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.

Play on the Miami Marlins to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

Mets RH Jacob deGrom (3-1, 3.56 ERA) vs. Pirates RH Chad Kuhl (1-4, 5.85)

Kuhl  the Pirates starter has registered a ugly  8.20 ERA and 2.09 WHIP in five home starts and has gone no further than five innings in six consecutive starts. I'm betting on the Mets who have averaged 6.1 rpg on the road this season, doing some more damage against him in this spot. Meanwhile, the NY Mets starter DeGrom, despite of exhibiting some over powering heat, this season, averaging 12.29 SO per game, is slowing down on that front and has only averaged 8 SO in his 4 May starts, and now goes against a Pirates team that is the best in MLB averting the strike out, with a 19% ratio. DeGrom has also done his shabbiest work on the road where he owns a 4.65 ERA in 5 starts, and has given up nine runs on 16 hits in 11 innings over his last two road starts. Today I'm also betting on the Pirates who have scored 21 runs in their L/2 tilts,  doing more than  enough  offensive damage against him  and his over used bullpen backups who own a nasty looking 7.17 ERA on the road this season.

Over is 9-0-2 in Mets last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 22-3-4 in Mets last 29 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 8-3 in Kuhls last 11 home starts.

NY METS are 9-0 OVER L/9 vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season.NY METS are 18-3 OVER   vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season..NY METS are 22-9 OVER  when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season.

Play on the OVER 1 unit reg selection 

Piitsburgh Nova vs Colon -Atlanta 

The Pirates took out the Braves by a 12-5 count yesterday. It must be noted that ATLANTA is 18-4 OVER after a game with a combined score of 15 runs or more were scored, with a combined average of 10.5 rpg going on the board. 

Both Atlanta and the Pirates are showing upward momentum in offensive production as this season has progressed. The Braves have scored 5 or more runs in 8 o their L/10 games, and own a .301 team batting average in their L/7 overall, while the Pirates, 

have averaged 5.4 rpg in their L/7 overall. Also  both bullpens are marginally  below average . The Braves D, has been atrocious at home and has allowed an average of 5.8 rpg and Pittsburgh has allowed 4.4 rpg in road tilts. Considering the starting pitching, bullpens  and trends charts I am betting we eclipse this number this afternoon. 

ATLANTA is 12-3 OVER L/15 in home games after batting .315 or better over a 5 game span with a combined average 11.1 rpg.ATLANTA is 16-4 OVER L/20 after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs with a combined average 10.2 rpg getting scored.

MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 like the Braves - good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game on the season, after a combined score of 17 runs or more are 92-42 to the over for a 69% conversion rate.

Play on the OVER  1 unit reg selection 

Mariners RH Sam Gaviglio (0-0, 1.29 ERA) vs. Nationals RH Tanner Roark (3-2, 4.73)

Seattle has done their best offensive work against righty starters like the Nationals Roark , averaging 4.8 rpg . Roark has been in a funk of late, as is evident by a 6.32 ERA in his L/3 starts, with all 3 eclipsing the total. Meanwhile, the Nats, have averaged 6 rpg vs right handers like the Mariners Gavilglio. I know the Mariners offense has been struggling, but with formerly injured Robinson Cano back in the lineup, things should get better quickly. Both teams have had bullpen problems with the Mariners staff recording 5.61 road ERA, while the Nationals , bullpen owns a bloated 5.06 ERA on the season. The Mariners have gone over in 7 of their L/9 overall. and the Nationals in 10 of their L/14.

Over is 13-3-1 in Mariners last 17 interleague road games.Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 interleague games.Over is 5-0-1 in Roarks last 6 starts overall.


SEATTLE is 12-3 OVER vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season, with a combined average of 12.9 rpg going on the scoreboard. SEATTLE is 26-8 OVER L/34 in road games after scoring 1 run or less 2 straight games with a combined average of 10.6 rpg, and 13-2 to the OVER when the moneyline -100 to -150 with a combined average of 12.9 rpg. WASHINGTON is 18-6 OVER L/24 in night games this season, with a combined average of 11.2 rpg go on the board.

MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 like the Mariners - with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 10 games, with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings are 40-12 on to the OVER, for a 77% conversion rate.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

Texas Andrew Cashner R vs Boston- Rick Porcello R

The Texas bats have been very consistent of late , but overall this season, the Rangers have averaged only 4,4 rpg on the road .  Meanwhile, Boston has averaged 4 rpg at home, and own a bullpen that has recorded a 2.62 ERA. Meanwhile, today's starting pitcher for the BoSox Porcello has been consistent of late , garnering a 3.79 ERA in his L/3 starts. His pitching opponent from the Rangers Cashner, has been very dominant, recording a 1.89 ERA in his L/3 starts while allowing just 4 ERA in 19 soild innings of work. Considering the pitching matchup, and a mathematical evaluation of the correlated line, I'm betting on this contest staying on the low side of the number.

BOSTON is 37-21 UNDER vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game dating back to last season with a combined average of 8.1 rpg going on the board. BOSTON is 20-8 UNDER  after a game where the bullpen threw 1 inning or less with a combined average of 8 rpg getting scored. Texas Manager BANISTER is 30-17 UNDER   as a road underdog of +150 to +200 , with a combined average of 8.2 rpg going on the board. 

MLB teams where the total is 10 or higher like the Rangers/BoSox - in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 54%), in May games are 48-12 to the under dating back 20 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

Twins RH Ervin Santana (6-2, 2.07 ERA) vs. Orioles RH Dylan Bundy (5-2, 2.97)

Two pitchers who have actually outperformed their own general talents, are on disaply today. The Twins Santana gave up five runs on six hits over seven innings against the Rockies last time out, and the Orioles Bundy is off his roughest outing of the season, allowing a career-high six runs on eight hits over six innings against the Tigers Both have been consistent this season, but now I expect a reversion to average mean according to my own listed power rankings, which puts both hurlers in the middle of the pack.

Minnesota has scored 22 runs in their L/2 games and look like they have offensive upward momentum on their sides heading into this tilt against the Orioles. Meanwhile, the Orioles, have scored 5 or more runs in 6 of their L/8 and have scored an average of 6 rpg in their L/7 and are charting towards decent production here. Considering the pitching , and average bullpens both have, a high score that eclipses this number is higher than normal possibility, making for a viable wagering opportunity for over bettors.

Over is 5-0 in Twins last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Over is 5-1 in Santanas last 6 starts vs. American League East.Over is 6-2-1 in Twins last 9 road games.Over is 8-3 in Orioles last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.

MINNESOTA is 26-10 OVER L/36 vs starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.40 or better with a combined average of 10.5 rpg getting scored. MINNESOTA is 9-1 OVER in road games after a 5 game span with an OBP of .375 or better, with a combined average score of 11.1rpg getting scored.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection   

Royals LH Danny Duffy (3-3, 2.97 ERA) vs. Yankees LH Jordan Montgomery (2-3, 4.81)

Duffy snatched the series finale against New York Yankees last time he faced them, as he pitched a brilliant seven scoreless innings  and scattered just three hits. The southpaw hurler  struck out 10 batters and walked two. Duffy has allowed a combined three runs over 20 2/3 innings in his last three trips to the hill.

Meanwhile, the Yankees starter  is not on his managers favorite list at the moment, as he has lost his second straight start, surrendering five runs in five innings to the Royals at Kauffman Stadium.  I know the Yankees bats have been consistent this season, but  Montgomery has received an average run support of 4.71 runs per game. Luis Severino is the only Yankees starter who has received less run support than Montgomery.Montgomery is winless since April 17 at home, with this being his 5th start. 

Needless to say, both starters are currently operating the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum of late and with value attached to the visitors under these circumstances, a viable underdog wager is being recommended. 

Royals are 14-5 in Duffys last 19 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Yankees are 1-4 in Montgomery's last 5 starts.

Play on the KC Royals to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

Pirates RH Gerrit Cole (2-4, 2.84 ERA) vs. Braves RH Mike Foltynewicz (2-4, 4.10)
Cole has pitched through at least six innings in his last five starts, only allowing six earned runs in 34 innings in that span. He is truly in top form. But he entered his last start with the Majors' lowest run support average -- 2.22 in eight starts. The Pirates pushed that average to 2.89 in their 6-1 win over the Nationals. While I fully expect Cole to do well today and limit the Braves run production, I also expect a limited amount of run support. Meanwhile, Foltynewicz has allowed three earned runs or fewer in six of his seven starts. The young hurler still gets in trouble at times when he overthrows, but he has shown he has the stuff to be a front-line starter and despite of some down starts in the past vs the Pirates, I feel he will adequately keep Pirates from a big offensive fireworks display.
COLE is 10-0 UNDER on the road in his career when the total is 8 to 8.5, with a combined average of 5.8 rpg going on the board. Under is 7-0 in Coles last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Under is 7-0 in Coles last 7 starts overall.

Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection   

White Sox LH Derek Holland (3-3, 2.70 ERA) vs. Mariners RH Chris Heston (0-0, 22.50)

Seattle has done its best work at home this season on offense, averaging 5 rpg, while the bullpen owns a shabby 5.32 ERA. Meanwhile, the White Sox, despite a 4.5 rpg production level this season on offense, are on a upward momentum trend, scoring 6.9 rpg over their L/7 tilts via a .290 BA and .479 slugging %. These numbers have pointed me the direction of a over investment option today, and that is what I am recommending. The starting pitchers, also offer a glimpse of some  higher scoring possibilities as Holland despite of some decent numbers, has seen a combined average of 11, 13, 13 combined runs scored in his L/3 trips to the hill, while his pitching opponent from the Mariners has not started in the Majors since the 2015 campaign, and could easily get lit up in this spot. Note:  On April 25,  Heston   was smashed for five runs and seven hits over two innings of relief at Detroit.

Over is 4-0 in Hollands last 4 road starts.Over is 5-0-1 in Hollands last 6 starts overall.Over is 9-4 in Mariners last 13 home games. Over is 13-6 in Mariners last 19 overall.Over is 37-18-2 in Mariners last 57 home games vs. a left-handed starter.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

Nationals RH Stephen Strasburg (4-1, 3.42 ERA) vs. Braves LH Jaime Garcia (1-2, 4.65)

The Nationals send Stephen Strasburg to the mound to match up with Jaime Garcia and the Braves in Atlanta.


Atlana's Garcia has surrendered four runs in each of his first two May starts and I'm betting on him allowing at least that many runs today. Meanwhile, Washington's starter Strasburg, has been average at best of late , after a fast start, and has posted a 4.08 ERA and averaged 109 pitches per outing, which tells me a story of a pitcher on the verge of imploding.

Washington has averaged 6 rpg on the road this season, while, the Nats bullpen owns a ugly 6.58 ERA when away and overall the Nats have allowed 63 runs in their L/11,with 8 games seeing them allow 5 or more runs. Meanwhile, Atlanta offense has shown some life of late, scoring 7 or more runs in 4 of their L/5 games, with the bullpen registering a 4.33 ERA at home allowing 29 ERs and 60 hits in just 60.3 innings of work which is almost a run allowed output every second inning.

My own data suggests this Total is vulnerable to being eclipsed by the combined score.

WASHINGTON is 16-7 OVER vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season with a combined average of 11.3 rpg going on the board. Nats starter STRASBURG is 9-1 OVER vs. teams like Atlanta outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season dating back to the last campaign, with a combined average of 11 rpg going on the scoreboard. ATLANTA is 30-13 OVER at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 dating back to last season with a combined average of 10.4 rpg getting registered. and 24-8 at home to the OVER with a 8.5 to 10 Totals line attached , with a combined 11.1 rpg going on the scoreboard. ATLANTA is 24-12 OVER against right-handed starters this season with a combined average of 10.2 rpg clicking in. Nats Manager, SNITKER is 20-5 OVER vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game with a combined average of 10.6 rpg going on the board.

MLB Home teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 like the Braves - team with a terrible SLG (.390 or worse) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or less) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season-NL are 40-8 over in the last 20 seasons, for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection

Rockies LH Kyle Freeland (4-2, 3.13 ERA) vs. Reds RH Bronson Arroyo (3-3, 6.31)

The explosive Colorado Rockies, have an offense that can chew up the best of pitchers. Today the Rockies, go against Reds Starter Arroyo who owns a ugly looking 6.32 ERA so far this season and a 5.00 ERA at home.  With the Rockies offense  in top form after having scored 20 runs in the first two games of this series, I once again I am betting they  will put up at least 4 to 6 runs again . Meanwhile, Cincinnati has also been rattling hurlers, especailly at home this season where they average 5.5 rpg , and their  big barrels will be well prepared to explode again as they take on a pitcher in Freeland who has performed very well so far, but I'm betting his past performances won't prepare or shield him for what he will face today.The Cincinnati Reds and the Colorado Rockies have provided fans  with some big time fireworks displays. Cincinnati crushed  three home runs in a 12-8 win Saturday the day after Colorado’s 12-6 win in the opener. Rinse and repeat , I'm betting on more of the same action today. 

Over is 7-0-1 in Arroyos last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.

CINCINNATI is 7-0 OVER  after allowing 7 runs or more 2 straight games this season, with a combined average of 14 rpg going on the board. CINCINNATI is 11-1 OVER  vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season, with a combined average of 14.1 rpg going on the board.CINCINNATI is 10-1 OVER vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season with combined average of 13.5 ppg getting registered on the scoreboard. CINCINNATI is 9-1 OVER   vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season. 

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

Rangers RH A.J. Griffin (4-0, 3.15 ERA) vs. Tigers RH Justin Verlander (3-3, 4.47)

Texas enters this game in red hot form , as is evident by having won 10 straight games. Meanwhile, Motown, remains inconsistent for the most part losing 7 of their L/12 and are fade material today, vs a currently explosive Texas offense that has scored 64 runs during the above mentioned span ( 6.4 rpg). Today with two viable hurlers on the hill, with Griffin going for the Rangers and Verlander throwing for the Tigers, it will come down to which offense has more gas in the proverbial tank, and that of course is Texas. Note:  Griffin just threw a brilliant  four-hit shutout at San Diego in his previous outing and has not allowed a run in two of his last four starts. 

Rangers starter GRIFFIN is 16-3  against the money line in night games  season. GRIFFIN is 12-4 against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 .Rangers are 8-0 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.Rangers are 5-0 in Griffins last 5 road starts.Tigers are 6-13 in their last 19 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Rangers are 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in Detroit. Tigers are 2-5 in Verlanders last 7 starts vs. Rangers.

Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

Yankees RH Masahiro Tanaka (5-2, 5.80 ERA) vs. Rays RH Matt Andriese (3-1, 3.18)

The NY Yankees continue to produce offensively on a consistent basis, averaging 5.8 rpg this season entering Friday action, and their bullpen (2.31 ERA on the road) has supported some decent starting pitching. With the ace of the Yanks staff on board today, I expect he Yankees have the edge, vs their hosts the Rays today. Yes , I know the Yanks big Japanese righty has struggled in his last game against the Astros,and lost his opening day assignment to the Rays,  but the big guy has shown resiliency and the ability to bounce back in the past and nothing will change in this spot.  As far as Rays starter Andriese goes, I expect he is getting a little ragged of late, and despite of some quality starts, has shown a propensity to have his pitch count  rise of late after issuing 12 walks the past four outings - five more than he allowed in the season’s first four appearance. To me this signifies,  a pitcher on the verge of imploding. 

TB has been playing decent ball of late, but have not dealt with success well of late going,  just 13-32  against the money line after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games dating back to last season.

TANAKA when he starts has seen his team go 15-0  against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record dating back to last season.

MLB teams with a money line of -100 to -150 Yankees - team with a good SLG (.440 or better) against a good starting pitcher (WHIP=1.300 to 1.350) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start are 36-8 dating back 20 seasons, for a very profitable 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NY Yankees to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Indians RH Trevor Bauer (3-4, 6.92 ERA) vs. Astros RH Charlie Morton (5-2, 3.97)

Bauer has been inconsistet so far this season, but is a capable hurler,  and off a quality start, and best of all as far as we are concerned tonight he has owned the Astro's in the past as is evident by a  6-0 record along with a 2.61 ERA in six career starts against them.  I know the Indians pitchers have not faired well of late, but in a pressure situation Bauer Im betting will respond. Indians are 5-0 in Bauers last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Meanwhile, the Astros starter Cahrlie Morton, still remains in the middle of my pitcher power rankings despite of a viable record this season, and far from a solid favorite in this spot.

Indians are 9-2 in their last 11 vs. American League West.ndians are 14-6 in their last 20 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Astros are 3-11 in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Astros are 3-10 in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Astros are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. American League Central. Indians are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.CLEVELAND is 28-8  against the money line after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games.

Angels RH Ricky Nolasco (2-2, 4.34 ERA) vs. Mets RH Jacob deGrom (2-1, 4.07)

Nolasco the Halos starter today has paired together  back-to-back quality starts in his last two outings but was held out of the decision in both tilts. Meanwhile, the NY Mets, DeGrom is looking powerful vs strikeout numbers but has not polished off a win in his record column in his L/2 starts. With the Mets losing 7 in a row, and the Angels super star Mike Trout, ripping the cover off the ball of late , homering in 5 of his L/6 games, things don't look to get much better DeGrom and company tonight. Note: The Mets have allowed a whopping 7.4 rpg during their current skid. 

Angels are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.Mets are 3-13 in their last 16 vs. a team with a winning record.Mets are 3-7 in their last 10 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher like the Mets - after 5 or more consecutive losses, a bad team (38% to 46%) playing a team with a winning record are just 37-60 dating back 20 seasons for a go against long term conversion rate of 62% for underdog bettors.

Play on the LA Angels to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

Rangers RH Nick Martinez (0-2, 5.04 ERA) vs. Tigers LH Daniel Norris (2-2, 4.34)

Texas Rangers starter Martinez has been a sub par performer of late allowing a total of 11 runs - 10 earned - and 17 hits in 11 1/3 innings over his previous two starts.   .Meanwhile, the Tigers starter Norris is having issues of his own, and struggling to  work very deep into games due to control issues and walked at least two batters in each of his first seven starts.Norris started just once  in his career vs Texas and was blasted for six runs - two earned - and five hits in 1 2/3 innings of ugly work. Motowns bullpen owns a 5.5 ERA and cannot be relied on for solid work. The Rangers have been on fire winning 9 games in a row while averaging 6.6 runs, and another big time output must be expected here tonight in Motown.Essentially the Rangers could eclipse this number on their own.

Over is 12-3-1 in Rangers last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 21-4-1 in Rangers last 26 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 10-3 in Rangers last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 12-3-1 in Tigers last 16 during game 1 of a series.Over is 9-4-1 in Norris' last 14 starts overall. Texas Rangers Manager BANISTER is 23-12 OVER L/35 vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season. 

Play on the OVER 1 unit reg selection 

Phillies RH Jeremy Hellickson (4-1, 3.71 ERA) vs. Pirates RH Trevor Williams (2-2, 6.41)

In three May starts Hellickson has struggled to make it past 6 innings, and another tough outing is a high probability event, as his numbers are spiraling in the opposite direction of his record .In the opening month, he was 4-0 with a 1.80 ERA. This month, he has given up 12 earned runs on 19 hits, including seven homers, in 13 2/3 innings over three starts. He is backed by a bullpen that owns a bloated 5.04 ERA on the season. Meanwhile, his Pirates pitching opponent Williams, despite of a decent outing in his last trip to the hill, still is a yung pitcher trying to figure things out on the MLB, as was evident by his  his previous turn, when he was  smashed around  for eight runs - six earned - in three innings vs the Dodgers on May 8.

The Phillies D, and pitching remain near the bottom of my MLB power rankings, and with Pittsburghs bats starting to come to life as is evident, by 26 runs in their L/4 games, I will not be surprised if the Pirates come close to eclipsing this number all by themselves. 

PHILADELPHIA is 9-1 OVER   in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season, with a combined average of 9.5 rpg going on the board. PHILADELPHIA is 20-6 OVER  in road games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse with a combined average of 10.6 rpg going on the board. PHILADELPHIA is 7-0 OVER L/7 in road games after 4 or more consecutive road games this season with a combined average of 10.3 rpg getting scored.PITTSBURGH is 11-2 OVER L/13 in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start  with a combined average score of 11.9 rpg going on the board.

MLB Road teams like the Phillies - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 7.00 the last 10 games are 31-9 to the over for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

White Sox RH Dylan Covey (0-3, 7.98 ERA) vs. Mariners RH Sam Gaviglio (0-0, 4.50)

Covery the White Sox starting hurler today has worked six or more frames in just one of his past six starts with opposition batters crushing him for a collective .339 batting average. Seattle does their best offensive work at home, averaging 5.5 rpg and I'm betting on these equaling or eclipsing their average today.Note: White Sox starters are 0-7 with a 6.19 ERA (36 earned runs in 52 1/3 innings pitched) and .295 opponent's batting average (64-for-217) over the last 10 games Meanwhile, the Mariners will respond with Gaviglio who will be making his second career major-league appearance and his first ever start. My own pitcher rankings suggest him to be the lower 25% of active MLB pitchers.He is backed by a struggling bullpen with a 5.39 ERA on the season. With the Pale Hose offense perking up of late scoring 31 runs in their L/5 , I'm expecting them to have some success with offensive production in this spot.

Over is 39-16-4 in White Sox last 59 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Over is 7-3 in White Sox last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 9-4 in White Sox last 13 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 7-3 in Mariners last 10 home games.Over is 11-5 in Mariners last 16 overall.

SEATTLE is 19-7 OVER as a home favorite of -150 or more dating back to last season with a combined average of 10.6 rpg getting scored.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection

Phillies RH Nick Pivetta (0-2, 6.14 ERA) vs. Rangers LH Martin Perez (1-5, 3.89)
Rangers left-hander Martin Perez (1-5, 3.89 ERA) hasn't won a start since April 9, dropping his last four decisions. He has not been what I would describe as over powering, despite of some stable numbers. What is concerning for me are some side stats, and a personal feeling , he's one of these guys that can implode at any time, and today could easily be one of those days.He is 0-4 with a 4.58 ERA in his last five starts. He is 4-5 with a 4.46 ERA in 14 starts against National League teams. The Phillies have done their best offensive work against southpaws this season , scoring an average of 4.9 rpg. Meanwhile, Pivetta the Phillies starter, has not pitched well this season, and has allowed 4 ERs in each of his L/2 starts and is slated to be sent down to triple A after this start. The Phillies own the the second-highest ERA in the major leagues (4.82). The Rangers have averaged 5 RPG at home this season, and are showing current upward production numbers, scoring 5 or more runs in 6 straight games while scoring 51 runs during a current 8 game span.

Over is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 20-8 in Phillies last 28 road games.Over is 21-8-1 in Phillies last 30 interleague games.Over is 6-2-1 in Rangers last 9 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.

PHILADELPHIA is 21-9 OVER vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse over the last few seasons with a combined average of 10.9 rpg going on the board. .PHILADELPHIA is 13-4 OVER vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season.


MLB team like the Rangers - lower tier AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a team with a below average bullpen (ERA 4.50 or worse), hot hitting team - batting .305 or better over their last 5 games are 32-8 L/40 to the OVER or a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the OVER 1 unit reg selection   

Yankees RH Michael Pineda (3-2, 3.27 ERA) vs. Royals LH Jason Vargas (5-1, 1.01)

KC starting hurler today Jason Vargas has the best ERA in the majors, 1.01, after seven starts.However, the Kansas City Royals southpaw,  , has had a ugly history  against the Yankees  is evident by his  0-5 record along with a 6.53 ERA in eight starts and one relief appearance. Meanwhile, Yankees starter  Pineda (3-2, 3.27 ERA) will be facing the Royals for the first time this season. He has a 3-5 record with a 3.88 ERA in eight starts against Kansas City, allowing 45 hits and 22 earned runs in 51 innings. He is 2-2 with a 4.56 ERA in four starts at Kauffman Stadium.PINEDA is 8-0 OVER L/8  when playing against a lower tier  team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) with a combined average of 10.3 rpg getting scored. Despite of this being a decent pitching matchup Im betting on this combined score eclipsing the number. 

NY YANKEES are 11-2 OVER L/13 when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season with a combined average o 13.6 rpg getting scored. 

MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 like the Royals - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a top level starting pitcher (ERA 3.60, WHIP 1.300 or better) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL is 55-16 over dating back 5 seasons, for a 78% conversion rate.MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 like the Yankees - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better on the season-AL against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL are 35-10 to the over for a 78% conversion rate for over bettors.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

Yankees RH Michael Pineda (3-2, 3.27 ERA) vs. Royals LH Jason Vargas (5-1, 1.01)

KC starting hurler today Jason Vargas has the best ERA in the majors, 1.01, after seven starts.However, the Kansas City Royals southpaw,  , has had a ugly history  against the Yankees  is evident by his  0-5 record along with a 6.53 ERA in eight starts and one relief appearance. With the Yankees showing no signs of slowing down offensively to this point in the season, as is evident by bringing  25 runs across the plate in their L/3 games, they once again look like solid bets vs a inconsistent KC team.   

NY YANKEES are 10-1 against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better this season.KANSAS CITY is 7-16  against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.

Play on the NY Yankees to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Orioles RH Ubaldo Jimenez (1-1, 6.15 ERA) vs. Tigers RH Michael Fulmer (4-1, 2.54)

These teams took part in 13-11 slufest yesterday, and I'm betting on more of the same type of offensive fireworks today.

Baltimore has averaged 5.3 rpg on the road this season in run production, while the Tigers, have averaged 5.2 rpg at home. The Orioles, bullpen owns a sub par 5.61 ERA on the road, while the Tigers bullpen has recorded a bloated 5.71 ERA overall on the season.
The Tigers have historically hit the Baltimore Orioles right-hande Ubaldo Jiminezr hard. He is 6-11 with a 5.49 ERA in 21 starts vs. Detroit, the most appearances and losses he has against any opponent.Jimenez is just (1-1, 6.15 ERA) has struggled for the most part this season, despite of a decent start last time out. Meanwhile, Fulmer despite of some good starts this season, was just Orioles twice as a rookie last season and didn't get a decision while posting a 4.76 ERA , permitting seven runs (six earned) over 11 1/3 innings.

DETROIT is 13-4 OVER L/17 vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season with a combined average of 12.3 rpg getting scored. BALTIMORE is 26-12 OVER L/28 after a game with a combined score of 15 runs with a combined average of 11.4 rpg. 

All teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 Tigers/Orioles- after scoring and allowing 8 runs or more in a game against opponent after a combined score of 20 runs or more are 49-16 to the OVER for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the OVER 1 unit reg selection

Athletics RH Andrew Triggs (5-2, 2.21 ERA) vs. Mariners RH Chase De Jong (0-3, 7.85)

Oakland starter Triggs despite of a good run this season,  is just  0-1 with a 14.85 ERA in two career appearances against Seattle, including an 11-1 loss April 23. Triggs lasted just 4 2/3 innings in that tilt, while allowing six runs on five hits with two walks and four strikeouts. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent from the Seattle Mariners, rookie Chase De Jong owns a ugly (0-3, 7.85 ERA) and looks like cannon fodder vs a improving Athletics offense.De Jong was torched for six runs and seven hits over five innings while losing to the Toronto Blue Jays in his last turn.

SEATTLE is 20-8 OVER L/28 in home games vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse with a combined average of 10 rpg. SEATTLE is 19-8 OVER  in home games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season with a combined average of 10.4rpg getting scored.Over is 7-1 in Athletics last 8 road games.Over is 11-3 in Athletics last 14 overall.Over is 6-2 in Mariners last 8 home games.Over is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15

MLB teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 like the As - poor fielding team - averaging 0.75+ errors/game on the season, after 2 straight losses by 2 runs or less are 33-11 L/44 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rte for over bettors. 

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

Yankees LH CC Sabathia (2-2, 5.77 ERA) vs. Royals RH Jason Hammel (1-4, 5.97)

NY Yankees southpaw hurler CC Sabathia (2-2, 5.77 ERA) will start for the Yankees and  Right-hander Jason Hammel (1-4, 5.97 ERA) will get the turn for the Royals.Hammel is 1-2 with a 5.05 ERA in four home starts but where hes been horrendous is the  third inning on, Hammel has an 8.71 ERA, surrendering 20 earned runs in 20 2/3 innings while opponents bat .363 against him. Meanwhile, Sabathia started fast this season, recording a  2-0 mark with a 1.47 ERA in his first three starts. The 36-year-old since than  is 0-2 with a 9.58 ERA  allowing  22 earned runs on 30 hits, including five home runs, over 20 2/3 innings of sub stardard.

The Yankees offense is averaging 5.7 rpg this season vs righties and Im betting on more of the same production today. Meanwhile, despite of the Royals bats not producing at a consistent level this season, they have shown some pop of late with 12 and 14 hits in their L/2 games, and with momentum on their sides against a struggling thrower should do more than enough damage today to get us over this  Totals number.

NY YANKEES are 10-1 OVER L/11 vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season. KANSAS CITY in their L/12 games against the money line in home games after batting .333 or better over a 3 game span over the last 2 seasons have seen an average of 9.5 rpg go on the board. NY YANKEES are 11-1 OVER L/11 when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season.

Over is 6-0 in Sabathias last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.Over is 9-3 in Royals last 12 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 17-6 in Royals last 23 games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

Orioles LH Wade Miley (1-1, 2.45 ERA) vs. Tigers LH Matthew Boyd (2-3, 3.89)

Miley is 0-0 with a 7.50 ERA in one career appearance against Detroit, while Boyd has never faced Baltimore.

Miley  the Orioles starter  for this tilt is having problems  working deep in games and issued a total of 15 walks in 17 2/3 innings over his last four outings, and in his current form will aid to Detroits run production here in this tilt. Meanwhile, Tigers starter Boyd  has been sub par of late as is evident by back-to-back losses to Cleveland and Arizona in his last two trips to the hill while allowing a total of seven runs - six earned - and 13 hits in 13 2/3 innings. Im expecting the hit an inning average to help buoy the Orioles ability to score a few more runs than linesmakers expect .Over is 7-1 in Mileys last 8 road starts.

Over is 35-16-1 in Tigers last 52 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.Over is 7-0-1 in Boyds last 8 starts with 5 days of rest.Over is 22-8-1 in Tigers last 31 games following an off day. Over is 3-1-1 in Tigers last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.DETROIT is 12-4 OVER  vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season with a combined average of 11.5 rpg going on the board.MILEY in his last 11 starts   in road games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons has seen a combined average of 11.5 rpg scored . DETROITs offense when in a slump  is 15-4 OVER  after batting .200 or worse over a 3 game span dating back to last season, with themselves and their opponents averaging 10.6 rpg, ( Motown has averaged 5 runs per game ) Baltimore has averaged 4.9 rpg on the road this season, while Detroit has averaged 4.8 rpg at home. Both the Tigers and Orioles bullpens have been sub par, with Baltimore's pen recording a 5.35 road ERA and the Tigers recording a 5.94 ERA overall.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

Brewers RH Chase Anderson (2-0, 2.97 ERA) vs. Padres RH Luis Perdomo (0-0, 4.13)

The Brewers have averaged 5.3 rpg this season, and 5.3 rpg vs righty starters. Meanwhile, the Fathers, own a lowly 3.1 rpg offensive average at home this season, via a ugly .210 BA, and Im betting they have problems vs Brewers starter Anderson tonight ( 2-0 2.97 ERA). If their pitchers falter, they own a bullpen that has registered a bloated 5.64 ERA. Note:Louis Perdomo the Padres starter despite of decent starts of late, owns a 4.96 ERA at home this season, and looks susceptible to getting smacked around by a Brewers team that has scored 11 runs in back to back games, and 6 or more runs in 6 of their 7 tilts. San Diego, has lost 9 of their L/11 overall, and are a high probability loser on the moneyline in this tilt. ( Perdomo is looking for his first career win against Milwaukee and is 0-1 with a 5.19 ERA in two previous trips to the hill)


Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Padres are 0-4 in Perdomos last 4 starts.Padres are 6-15 in their last 21 games vs. a right-handed starter.MILWAUKEE is 13-6 L/19 against the money line vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season.
MLB Home teams like the Padres - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL), after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs are 79-31 for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

 Tigers RH Justin Verlander (3-2, 4.25 ERA) vs. Angels RH Alex Meyer (1-1, 7.62)

Verlander the Tigers starter has shown inconsistencies so far this season, and just 2-4 with a 5.98 ERA in seven trips to the hill at Angel Stadium in his career and his team has lost his L/4 road starts here. Verlander owns a ugly 7.59 ERA in road games this season and the Tigers are  just 0-4 in Verlanders last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record. I know the Angels, bats are in  a bit of a funk at the moment, but in this league , slumps and explosive bursts are common place, and they Halos must not underestimated. 

Tigers are 8-24 in the last 32 meetings.

Dodgers LH Julio Urias (0-0, 1.06 ERA) vs. Rockies RH Antonio Senzatela (5-1, 2.86)

In four starts at Coors Field, Senzatela the Rockies starter here today vs the Dodgers is 3-1 with a 3.12 ERA.The Rockies are 6-1 this year in games started by Senzatela, who has allowed 36 hits and 11 walks in 44 innings with 24 strikeouts and has limited opponents to a .228 average. Rockies are 4-0 in Senzatelas last 4 starts vs. National League West.Meanwhile, Dodgers starter, Urias has seen his team lost 4 of  his L 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record like the Rockies.Rockies are 9-3 in their last 12 home games vs. a left-handed starter.  With that said, I like the value associated with backing the Rockies in this spot play.

MLB Road teams  - average hitting team like the Dodgers (AVG = .255 to .269) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less -NL, with a slugging percentage of .500 or better over their last 3 games are 17-49  for a go against conversion rate of 74% for bettors.

Play on the Colorado Rockies on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

Twins LH Hector Santiago (4-1, 2.76 ERA) vs. Indians RH Trevor Bauer (2-4, 7.36)

Cleveland offense is currently struggling and I'm betting on more problems today vs Twins starter Santiago who is unbeaten in his last five starts.Indians are 0-5 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Meanwhile, his Indians pitching opponent,Bauer has allowed at least four runs in five of his six starts this season, and is fade maerial at the moment in his current form.Bauer, is  just 2-5 with a 5.09 ERA in 12 career starts against Minnesota. Twins are 7-0 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

Play on the Minnesota Twins on moneyline1 unit reg selection 

Braves RH R.A. Dickey (3-2, 4.29 ERA) vs. Marlins LH Justin Nicolino (2016: 3-6, 4.99)

Dickey in good form right now and has had success against Miami in his career, going 10-2 with a 2.87 ERA in 15 career appearances and once again looks like a vable pitcher to back here vs a Marlins team that has lost 5 games in a row . Meanwhile, the Marlins call on Nicolino who has been brought up from Triple-A New Orleans to start the series finale.Nicolino went 2-6 with a 5.48 ERA in 13 starts last season.

Marlins are 0-7 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Marlins are 0-5 in Nicolinos last 5 home starts.Marlins are 0-7 in their last 7 home games.Braves are 5-2 L/7 meetings and  41-17 in the last 58 meetings in Miami.

Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

Athletics RH Sonny Gray (0-1, 4.22 ERA) vs. Rangers RH Nick Martinez (0-2, 5.18)

MARTINEZ is 4-2 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 2.34 and a WHIP of 1.093.
GRAY is 8-3 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 2.51 and a WHIP of 1.129. .

.The As enter this game struggling with their offense, averaging just 3.4 rpg vs righty hurlers and 3.3 rpg on the road and have scored 3 runs or less in 8 of their L/11 overall. Meanwhile, Texas is also less than explosive, averaging 4.4 rpg via lowly .221 BA this season and a .220 team batting average vs right handed starters. The Rangers D, has also been solid of late allowing 7 runs in total in their L/4, and today against a struggling offense another low output from their opponents is a solid possibility and higher than average probability.

TEXAS is 8-0 UNDER after allowing 3 runs or less 2 straight games this season, with a combined average of 5.7 rpg gtting scored.TEXAS is 10-1 UNDER in home games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season with a combined average of 6.8 rpg going on the board and 16-4 UNDER when playing against a team with a losing record this season with a combined average of 7.2 rpg getting scored. Manager MELVIN is 42-19 UNDER on the road when the total is 10 to 10.5 .

Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection   

Reds RH Lisalverto Bonilla (0-0, 7.20 ERA) vs. Giants LH Matt Moore (1-4, 6.52)

The Reds a have new guy in the rotation (Bonilla) a young man they think highly of, despite of his small sample size current numbers. Reading some exerts of scouting reports , its become obvious they have high hopes for this kid, and might actually end up being a diamond in the rough. Cincinnati starting pitchers are 6-1 with a 2.85 ERA over the last nine games and the bullpen owns a 1.88 ERA in 57.3 inning sof road work this season.. SF has averaged just 3.1 rpg vs righty hurlers this season via a ugly .219 team BA. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent, Moore from the Giants, has for the most part struggled all season long, as is evident by his record and overall ERA and WHIP. Monday against the Mets as he allowed three runs in 5 1/3 innings while throwing 108 pitches and once again looks like fade material, despite of some good recent numbers at AT&T Park. The Reds have done their best work against lefty starters scoring 5.3 rpg.Giants are 0-5 in Moores last 5 starts.

Yesterday, The Giants some how pulled out an extra inning win vs the Reds, but it must be noted that SAN FRANCISCO is 1-11 L/12 against the money line after a win this season. The Reds meanwhile are 7-2 L/9 overall and must be respected here on a value line vs a team and ballpark they have recently played well in as is evident by going 13-4 in the last 17 meetings in San Francisco

SAN FRANCISCO is 5-15 L/20 against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

CINCINNATI is 8-1 L/9 against the money line vs. terrible power teams - averaging 0.75 or less HR's/game this season.SAN FRANCISCO is 2-9  against the money line vs. a team with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better this season and is 4-16  against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season

MLB Road teams like the Reds - a good team (54% to 62%) playing a lower tier team team (.380 or less), in May games are 38-19 dating back 5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Harvey RH ( NY Mets)  vs  RH Garza ( Milwaukee)

The Brewers enter this game against the NY Mets averaging 5.6 rpg at home this season and considering the way Harvey has pitched for the Mets ( 8.10 ERA in his L/3)  Im betting on the Brewers bats doing some damage again . Meanwhile, the NY Mets are averaging 5.4 rpg overall this season vs right handers like Garza, but even more explosive 6.7 rpg on the road.  Considering both bullpens are below average according to my current rankings and overall upward scoring trends,  Im betting on this tilt eclipsing the number.

GARZA is 13-4 OVER L/17 vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last few seasons, with a combined average of 11.5 rpg going on the board. METS are 13-1 OVER  vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season. with a combined average of 12.1 rpg going on the board and are are 13-2 OVER L/15  vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season, with a combined average of 11.2 rpg getting scored.NY METS are 18-3 OVER  in night games this season with an average of 10.2 rpg clikcing in.NY METS are 9-0 OVER after having won 2 of their last 3 games this season with an average of 13.1 rpg going on the scoreboard. NY Mets manager Collins ,  is 31-13 OVER L/44 in road games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game with a combined average of 10.1 rpg going on the board.

MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 - NY Mets - lower tier hitting team (AVG .250 oor less) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA 2.70 or less ) -NL, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA  7.00 or more over his last 3 starts are 34-8 to the OVER dating back 20 seasons. 

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

In taking  three games from the Giants last week, Cincinnati  scored 31 runs in 3 games , and Im betting they do more damage here again today. Blachs Cincinnati's starter has pitched decently at times this season, but according to Statcast, when he faced the Reds last Saturday in Cincinnati, he gave up three barrels, seven balls hit at least 100 mph and six with a 1.000-plus expected slugging, over only three innings. Note: the Reds have averaged 5.8 rpg this season vs soutpaws like Blach Meanwhile, Cincinnati's Arroyo despite of pitching in good form last time out, is still not at the top of his game according to my pitcher power rankings and could easily get blasted here in ATT Park as he owns a bloated 11.25 ERA on the road his season and a 6.53 ERA overall. Note: Giants first baseman Brandon Belt is batting .438 (7-for-16) with two home runs vs Arroyo.

Twelve of the L/15 meetings in this series have gone over the total including 5 of the L/6 in SF.

CINCINNATI is 16-6 OVER  vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season with a combined average of 10.8 rpg going on the board.

MLB Home teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 like the Giants - allowing 5.0 or more runs/game on the season (NL) against opponent good team, outscoring opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season are 40-17 OVER for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

Red Sox RH Kyle Kendrick (0-1, 13.50 ERA) vs. Brewers RH Chase Anderson (2-0, 2.86)

 Looking at todays pitching matchup gives us an impression of a Brewers team that has an advantage, but BoSox starting hurler Kendricks with revenge on board for a previous loss in this series, Im betting will be primed to rebound.

Red Sox are 22-8 in their last 30 interleague games.MILWAUKEE is 13-31 L against the money line in home games after 2 straight wins by 4 runs or more which has just happened. Brewers are 1-10 in Andersons last 11 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher Brewers - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL), with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL) are 15-35 L/50 dating back 5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 70% for bettors.

Play on the Boston Red Sox on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection  

Yu Darvish (3-2, 2.76 ERA) goes to hill for the Rangers against the Padres this Wednesday night. Darvish has pitched well against the National League as is evident by a  7-2 mark and a 2.09 ERA  and once again looks like a viable hurler to back in this spot vs  a Padres team is averaging 3.7 rpg via a lowly .220 BA.  Meanwhile the Padres counter with Luis Perdomo (0-0, 4.03) who is backed by a bulpen wih a 5.07 ERA. Im betting he gets rocked today vs a Rangers offense that will use the momentum of yestedays explosive output here to ignite their attack again.

Texas crushed the Padres yesterday by a 11-0 count, and I am expecting another lopsided win by the Rangers again tonight. 

Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 Rangers - with a rested bullpen - threw 2 innings or less in each of the last 2 games against opponent after a game where the bullpen threw 6 or more innings and are 53-5 SU dating back 20 seasons. SAN DIEGO is 15-49  against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start over the last few seasons losing SU by an average of 2 rpg.

Play on the Texas Rangers on the RUNLINE -1.5 to win 

Angels RH Alex Meyer (0-1, 9.39 ERA) vs. Athletics RH Jharel Cotton (3-3, 4.64)

Oakland enters into this game , playing decently and winning 3 straight games, while, their opponents today the LA Angels, are playing at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum, having lost 5 of their L/6 and are also expected to be without DL Mike Trout tonight 

The Angels, starting hurler  Alex Meyer does not give much credence to a quick turnaround tonight for the Halos, as he is bad form and  owns a ugly 9.39 ERA in his last couple of trips to the hill, along with a equally ugly 2.216 WHIP. Meanwhile, Cotton, the Athletics starter is 3-3 with a 4.64 ERA this season,but has looked good of late, and owns a 2-1 record along with stable 3.96 ERA in his L/3 starts . The right hander, very much looks like a solid option, behind a solid bullpen with a 3.78 ERA.

LA ANGELS are 2-14 L/16 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season.

Road teams Angels - bad offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70)-AL, after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less are 7-37 L/44 for a go against 84% conversion rate  on the moneyline. 

Play on the Oakland As to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

Yankees RH Masahiro Tanaka (4-1, 4.46 ERA) vs. Reds RH Rookie Davis (1-1, 7.36)

The Yankees bullpen pitched alot of innings last night in a 5-4 18 inning marathon event in a win vs Chicago Cubs, and could sit longer on the sidelines than is usually the case. Now the Yanks hot bats averaging 5.8 rpg behind Aaron Judge go into Cincinnati to play against the Cincinnati Reds and face Reds first-year right-hander Rookie Davis (1-1, 7.36 ERA). Im betting the Yanks light this kid up, and for red hot Cincinnati , to also do more than enough damage against starter Tanaka who despite of some quality efforts of late, owns a sub par 5.40 road ERA average in three starts. Note: The Reds scored 31 runs in a a three-game weekend series at Great American Ball Park vs the San Francisco Giants and have average 7 rpg in their L/7 games overall.

Over is 8-1 in Yankees last 9 overall.Over is 5-1 in Tanakas last 6 road starts.Over is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 3-0-1 in Davis' last 4 starts overall.Over is 12-3 in Reds last 15 overall.

CINCINNATI is 24-8 OVER L/32 as a home underdog of +125 or more with a combined average of 10.8 rpg getting scored. CINCINNATI is 42-18 OVER L/60 vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season dating back to last season with a combined average of 10.4 rpg getting scored and s 22-8 OVER vs. teams whose hitters draw 4 walks or more/game, with a combined average of 10.6 rpg going on the board.NY YANKEES are 8-0 OVER  when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season with a combined average of 14.4 rpg getting scored.

Play on the OVER 1 unit reg selection

Yankees RH Luis Severino (2-2, 3.86 ERA) vs. Cubs LH Jon Lester (1-1, 3.67)

Severino the NYY starter tonight has shown flashes of brilliance this season, and looked over powering at times, compiling 27 strikeouts in 3 starts prior to a bad outing last time out. He has been especially tough on left-handed batters, who are hitting  just .179 against him.  Considering the Cubs are hitting just .248 vs righties, this season Severino must not be underestimated. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent from the Cubs Lester  despite of  alot of success here at Wrigley Field over the past two seasons, going 11-2 with a 1.71 ERA in 18 starts, has still shown signs of being in a slump. as is evident by issuing a season-high five walks last time out , while allowing  a home run  for the third consecutive start., and a 6.61 ERA during that span. It must be noted that the Yankees own a .294 team batting average vs southpaws, scoring an average of 6.7 rpg. 

I don't know what it is with the defending World Series champs, ie hangover from last years successes etc, or are currently just slumping. No matter what the situation is, the Yankees come into this game, having taken the first two games of this series,and are  looking surprisingly solid early this season, and are very confident  with momentum on their sides,  making them look like viable underdogs in this spot.

One last thing, I know Lester at home , has seen his team win a row of game vs winning teams, but that was when both him and his team were playing incredible baseball. Thats not the situation at this time. Also , all good and bad runs must come to end, and with this kind of value attached to the moneyline, its worth betting on the hotter team. 

NY YANKEES are 11-0 L/11 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 4 walks or more/game over the last 3 seasons.NY YANKEES are 7-0 against the money line vs. teams who strand 7.5 or more runners on base per game this season.NY YANKEES are 12-2  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.Yankees are 10-1 in their last 11 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Yankees are 9-1 in their last 10 games vs. a left-handed starter.Yankees are 42-15 in their last 57 vs. National League Central.Yankees are 7-1 in the last 8 meetings and 5-1 L/6 meetings in Chicago. Road team is 8-0 in umpire Wests last 8 games behind home plate vs. Chicago.

Play on the NYY to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

Diamondbacks RH Taijuan Walker (3-1, 4.19 ERA) vs. Rockies RH Tyler Chatwood (2-4, 5.40)

Colorados starter Chatwood (2-4, 5.40 ERA) lost 6-2 Tuesday at San Diego and has now lost his L/2 starts and owns a ugly 7.72 ERA in his L/3 starts, and faces a DBacks team that is averaging 5.3 rpg vs righty hurlers. Chatwood is backed by a bullpen that owns a bloated 5.88 ERA at home this season. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent from the Arizona DBacks Walker (3-1, 4.19) is averaging 10.22 strikeouts per nine innings, up from 7.97 last year and very much looks like a viable pitcher to back here in the launching pad known as Coors field. 

Diamondbacks are 4-0 in Walkers last 4 starts.CHATWOOD is 0-7 L/7 against the money line at home when the total is 11 to 11.5.Rockies are 1-5 in Chatwoods last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.Diamondbacks are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.

Play on Arizona DBacks to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Brewers RH Zach Davies (2-2, 6.07 ERA) vs. Pirates RH Tyler Glasnow (1-1, 6.97)

Davies  the Brewers starter has been inconsistent so far this season, but has had big problems, vs the Pirates in the recent past , as is evident by a 0-2 record in 3 career starts in this series along with a hugley bloated 13.06 ERA. Meanwhile, Glasnow the Pirates starter,  picked up his first career win after allowing three runs and four hits in six innings at Cincinnati on Tuesday. The young man looked pretty good, and I'm betting the confidence should carry over into this game. Pirates are 4-0 in Glasnows last 4 starts.The Brewers entered the series with the third-most runs (148) in the National League but they have been limited to one in the last  19 innings over the first two games and look to be slumping and reverting back to the mean average of what my power rankings suggest is their true hitting/offensive value.

Brewers are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Brewers are 2-5 in their last 7 road games.Pirates are 72-33 in their last 105 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Pirates manager HURDLE is 14-0 in his career against the money line in home games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.750 or worse in all games.MILWAUKEE is 2-18 L/20 against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start dating back to last season. 

Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

Cardinals RH Michael Wacha (2-1, 3.23 ERA) vs. Braves RH R.A. Dickey (3-2, 3.94)

We have a Atlanta knuckleballer in Dickey whos signature pitch is not effective so far this season, and I'm expecting that when teams figure this out, the flood gates will open .That could easily happen today vs a St.Louis team, that has scored 10 runs in the first game of this series and followed it up with 5 runs yesterday. Meanwhile, Wacha the Cards starter has been pitching decently lately, but its not like he is invincible, and Im betting on the Braves doing enough damage to help this total get eclipsed. Note: Cards bullpen owns a bloated 5.14 road ERA this season.

WACHA is 11-0 OVER L/11 in road games vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game  getting an average of 6.4 rpg in support, with the total combined average of 11.1 rpg getting scored. WACHA is 16-4 OVER  on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last few seasons.ATLANTA is 13-2 OVER L/15 as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season wit a combined average of 11.1 rpg getting scored.ST LOUIS is 9-1 OVER  after having won 3 of their last 4 games this season with a combined average of  10.2 rpg going on the board.Over is 13-2-1 in Wachas last 16 starts with 5 days of rest.Over is 27-9-1 in Wachas last 37 starts overall.Over is 22-5 in Braves last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

MLB Home teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 like the Braves - team with a terrible SLG (.390 or less) against a decent starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or better) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season-NL are 39-8 to the OVER in the L/21 seasons for a impressive 83% conversion rate for betting backers. 

Play on the OVER 1 unit reg selection 

Marlins RH Odrisamer Despaigne (2016: 0-2, 5.93 ERA) vs. Mets RH Robert Gsellman (1-2, 6.75)
The Marlins enter this game struggling defensively in their last 10 games as the pitching staff is surrendering an average of 5.5 rpg in that span. With a current minor leaguer starting ( Despaigne) who has not pitched in the majors yet this season,, things don't look to get much better vs a explosive NY Mets batting order. Meanwhile, the Mets , starter Gsellman has been beaten around for 11 runs - 10 earned - and 16 hits in nine innings over his last two trips to the hill. In the right handers first two starts of the season against Miami he went 0-1 while surrendering a total of 11 runs - seven earned - and 10 hits in 9 2/3 innings of below average work, and nothing should change today. It must also be noted, that New York has scored least five runs in each of the last eight games but as good as the offense has been the pitching staff has also been atrocious, allowing at least five in seven of the above mentioned tilts. Everything points to a fairly high scoring affair.

MIAMI is 16-3 OVER L/19 vs. poor fielding teams - averaging 0.75+ errors/game, with a combined average of 10.6 rpg getting scored.NY METS are 16-3 OVER L/19 in night games this season, with a combined average of 10.3 rpg scored. Over is 17-5-4 in Marlins last 26 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 6-2-1 in Marlins last 9 road games.
Over is 13-3 in Marlins last 16 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Over is 19-4-3 in Mets last 26 overall.Over is 12-3-2 in Mets last 17 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 5-0 in Gsellmans last 5 starts overall.Over is 5-0 in Gsellmans last 5 home starts.Over is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings in New York.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection

Blue Jays RH Marco Estrada (1-1, 2.43 ERA) vs. Rays RH Jake Odorizzi (1-1, 3.50)

Estrada the Blue Jays starter has  had four straight strong trips to the hill since a loss at Tampa Bay. The Jays righty hurler, has been in very good form, but he has not faired well against the Rays in the past with his team losing his L/5 starts against them including this years lone appearance. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent Odorizzi limited Miami to two runs (one earned) on a pair of hits over five innings Monday and looks like a viable starter to back in this spot.He gave up two runs on two hits over six innings to beat the Blue Jays on April 9, improving to 4-2 with a 3.24 ERA in 12 career games vs a Jays offense that averages just 3.6 rpg vs righty starters this season via  .231 BA. 

Blue Jays are 2-10 in their last 12 games following a win.Blue Jays are 1-6 in Estradas last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Blue Jays are 8-20 in their last 28 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Blue Jays are 5-11 in their last 16 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Rays are 6-2 in their last 8 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Blue Jays are 0-5 in Estradas last 5 starts vs. Rays.

mlb Home teams like the Rays - excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game on the season against opponent with a hot starting pitcher like Estrada- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 3 starts are positive outcome teams/bets converting at 60% of the time  dating back 20 seasons. Also MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher like TB - struggling  hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 10 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts are actually good bets cashing 32-L/38 times for a 84% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Tampa Bay Rays to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

Giants RH Matt Cain (2-0, 2.30 ERA) vs. Reds RH Bronson Arroyo (2-2, 7.20)

The Giants offense has been asleep at the proverbial wheel early on this campaign, but tonight is a good opportunity to activate their attack. San Francisco totaled 16 runs in three games in Cincinnati last season and Im betting on a decent output in game 1 vs 40 year old Bronson Arroyo the Reds starter (7.20 ERA). Over is 12-3-1 in Arroyos last 16 starts overall.Meanwhule, SF despite of sending their best hurler of late to the hill, Matt Cain, will still I am betting give up enough runs to send this tilt floating above the number. Cain has  just been average on the road, as is evident by a 3.97 EA allowing including 3 HRs in two starts. Note: Over is 6-1-2 in Cains last 9 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game (which happened last time out).

Over is 3-0-1 in Arroyos last 4 starts vs. Giants.Over is 4-0 in Cains last 4 starts vs. Reds.

Cincinnati has gone over in 10 of their L/12 games.

Cincinnati/SF have gone over in 10  their L/12 meetings including 5 of their L/6 in Ohio. 

Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 like the Giants - with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.00 the last 10 games are 39-10 to the over for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. 

CINCINNATI is 14-5 OVER L/19 vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse with a combined average of 10.6 rpg getting scored and is 12-1 OVER  in home games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better with a combined average of 11.6 rpg getting scored.SAN FRANCISCO is 14-2 OVER L/16 in road games after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 7.00 or worse, with a combined average of 10.6 rpg.Over is 22-8-2 in Cains last 32 starts vs. National League Central.Over is 8-3-1 in Giants last 12 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 9-3-2 in Cains last 14 road starts.Over is 7-2-1 in Arroyos last 10 home starts.

Play on the OVER 1 unit reg selection 

Red Sox LH Eduardo Rodríguez (1-1, 2.70 ERA) vs. Twins RH Phil Hughes (4-1, 5.06)

The Twins will start right-hander Phil Hughes (4-1, 5.06 ERA) on Friday. He'll will go against  southpaw Eduardo Rodriguez (1-1, 2.70). Rodriguez has been hot and has allowed one run over 12 innings in his past two starts,  and is in top form , but is just  6-9 with a slightly bloated 5.36 ERA against the Red Sox in 26 career games (17 starts). Tonight I wont be surprised of the Red sox sometimes explosive offense lets loose with a big output, and almost single handed fashion eclipse this number all by themselves and for Minnesota to do more damage than expected vs Rodriguez.

Over is 8-3 in Rodriguezs last 11 starts vs. American League Central.Over is 4-0 in Hughes' last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 5-1 in Hughes' last 6 home starts.

MINNESOTA is 21-5 OVER L/26 in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) and is 47-15 OVER  vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start, Minnesota has gone over in 6 straight games. 

MLB Home teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 like the Twins - starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing against opponent starting a pitcher who gave up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings, like Rodriguez are 34-8 over for a 81% conversion rate for bettors over the L/5 seasons.Over is 42-10-2 in Twins last 54 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Minnesota.Over is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings.

Play on the OVER 1 unit reg selection 

Brewers RH Jimmy Nelson (1-2, 5.34 ERA) vs. Pirates RH Chad Kuhl (1-2, 6.26)

Nelson the Brewers starter has had three straight bad outings, and has allowed 16 runs in 15 2/3 innings of lowly work. I know the Pirates offense has struggled to find a spark this season, ranking in the bottom third of the majors in runs scored, batting average, slugging percentage and hits., but should do enough damage today vs a hittable starting pitcher.Meanwhile, the Pirates starter, Kuhl, Compared to last season, owns a walk rate that  is concerning and has jumped from 6.6 percent to 11.1 percent. The key difference seems to be that in three-ball counts, Kuhl's zone rate has dropped from 61.3 percent to 47.1 percent and his strike rate from 78.5 percent to 64.7 percent. That added inventory of throws almost always will result in more base runners which many times leads to  runs, and that is what I am betting on tonight.  The Pirates thrower in two home starts owns a bloated 14.84 ERA.

MLB Home teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 like the Pirates - lower tier  defensive catchers - allowing 0.85 + SB's/game on the season, playing on Fridays are 36-6 to the over for a 86% conversion rate for bettors dating back 5 seasons.

PITTSBURGH in their L/6 games against the money line vs. excellent power teams - averaging 1.5 or more HR's/game, with a combined average of 9.6 rpg.NELSON starts are   11-2 OVER L/13 in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse with an average of 11 rpg going on the scoreboard.MILWAUKEE is 14-3 OVER  when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

When you first look at this pitching matchup today, and look at the both hurlers data , and of course the opening total,  you may-be inclined to look at an under wager , but the linesmakers are more accurate in their assumptions than a causal glance would indicate, by a casual bettor, because of the array of info they have on their sides. In the As last 8 games they have allowed  7 or more runs in 5 of those tilts. Meanwhile, Minnesota, has scored 6 or more runs in 4 of their L/5 and have gone over in 4 straight and have also allowed an average of 5.7 rpg over a 7 game span. With Oakland doing their best offensive work against lefties like Hector Santiago averaging 4.1 rpg, I’m expecting them to do some more damage here. Meanwhile the Twins,  average 4.9 rpg vs righty starters like Graverman. ( The As bullpen also owns a bloated 5.68 ERA in road games and when if called upon should provide us with runs –as we push for THIS TOTAL being eclipsed)

MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 like the Athletics/Twins - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a top level starting pitcher (ERA 3.60 or better, WHIP1.300 or less) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL are 52-16  to the OVER dating back 5 seasons, for a 77% conversion rate.

MINNESOTA is 31-18 OVER L/48 vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better with a combined average of 10.2 rpg going on the board MINNESOTA is 17-3 OVER L/20 vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season with a combined average of 11.2 rpg going on the board. MINNESOTA is 24-8 OVER L/32 as a favorite of -110 or higher  with a combined average of 11.1 rpg getting scored. MINNESOTA is 47-18 OVER  after 2 or more consecutive overs with a combined average of 10.6 rpg getting scored.

Over is 5-1 in Athletics last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 overall. Over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 12-4-5 in Twins last 21 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Over is 20-7-1 in Twins last 28 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 36-14-1 in Twins last 51 vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 34-15-2 in Twins last 51 during game 3 of a series.Over is 11-5-2 in Twins last 18 Thursday games.Over is 24-11-2 in Twins last 37 vs. American League West.Over is 6-1-1 in Gibsons last 8 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 6-1-1 in Gibsons last 8 home starts.Over is 5-1-1 in Gibsons last 7 starts during game 3 of a series.Over is 12-3-2 in Gibsons last 17 starts overall.Over is 10-3-2 in Gibsons last 15 starts on grass.Over is 3-1-1 in Gibsons last 5 starts with 5 days of rest..Over is 3-1-1 in Gibsons last 5 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 12-5 in the last 17 meetings in Minnesota.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

Diamondbacks LH Robbie Ray (2-1, 3.56 ERA) vs. Nationals LH Gio Gonzalez (3-0, 1.62)

Ray, the DBacks starter today is 2-1 with a stable 3.56 ERA in five starts this year and has allowed just 24 hits in 30 1/3 innings with 39 strikeouts and 17 walks and is a viable pitcher to back in this spot today. I know that the Nationals starter  Gonzalez has also  pitched well in his first five starts this year, going 3-0 with a 1.62 ERA, but  from a pitching standpoint he is backed by a struggling Washington bullpen, that went  three innings Tuesday in a 6-3 loss to Arizona, and is less than dependable. Former closer Blake Treinen allowed three runs and one hit in two innings in yesterday’s loss, and now owns a ugly 8.25 ERA with Joe Blanton also in bad form has registered a super inflated 9.82 ERA. It must also be noted that despite of Gonzalez’s lofty numbers this season so far , last year he was just 11-11 with a 4.57 ERA in 32 starts and is rated towards the middle of pitcher rankings. Considering Arizona is doing their best offense work against southpaws this season averaging 4.9 rpg and Washington bats struggling against lefties with a .242 BA, I feel confident in recommending we back the underdog visitors to cash again today.

WASHINGTON is 13-18 L/31  against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters.ARIZONA is 7-2  against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. Manager LOVULLO of Arizona is 11-5 L/16 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher. Nationals are 3-12 in Gonzalezs last 15 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Play on the Arizona DBacks to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

Orioles RH Alec Asher (1-0, 2.16 ERA) vs. Red Sox LH Chris Sale (1-2, 1.19)

·         Baltimore’s starter Asher, who is 1-0 with a 2.16 ERA in  three appearances, this season and the ace of the Red Sox pitching staff Sale owns a 1-2 record along with a miniscule 1.19 ERA , but is receiving very little run support. Asher was 2-1 with a 2.28 ERA in five starts with the Philadelphia Phillies last season. Both these pitchers I am betting provide us with a solid starting pitching matchup.

SALE in his L/21 May starts has seen a combined average of 6.1 rpg scored. SALE is 26-11 UNDER  in home games in the first half of the season in his career, with a combined average of 6.2 rpg getting scored.BOSTON is 13-3 UNDER L/16  as a favorite of -110 or higher this season with a combined 7.2 rpg getting scored. Under is 25-9-1 in Orioles last 35 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 5-0-1 in Red Sox last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 9-1-2 in the last 12 meetings.

·          

Only 2 of Bostons last 9 games have eclipsed the total and I'm betting they will be involved in another fairly low scoring affair tonight in Fenway.

 MLB  teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 like the Red Sox - after a game where they committed 4 or more fielding errors, with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.250 the last 15 games are 35-7 UNDER L/41 times for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

Diamondbacks RH Taijuan Walker (3-1, 3.94 ERA) vs. Nationals RH Tanner Roark (3-0, 3.64)

     Tiguan Walker the DBacks starter today is  2-0 in his L/3 starts along with a stable, 3.37 ERA and must not be underestimated as a viable pitcher to back here against a top tier opponent. Arizona is also averaging 5.4 rpg vs righty starters this season, like the  Nationals Roarke.Washington’s usually stable bullpen owns a bloated, 5.70 ERA on the season, so their not as solid as many pundits might believe.. Diamondbacks are 11-5 in their last 16 games vs. a right-handed starter.

ARIZONA is 10-5  against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this season. ARIZONA is 12-5 L/17 against the money line in road games against NL East opponents dating back to last season.  

Washington is off a victory last time out, but it is interesting to note that , they are just barely above .500 team in this situation as they are  29-28  against the money line in home games after a win.  With that said, there is value here with the Dbacks on the  

  MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher like the Nationals - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL), with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL) are 13-34 during the L/5 seasons

Play on the Arizona DBacks to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection  

        Indians RH Trevor Bauer (2-2, 6.26 ERA) vs. Tigers LH Daniel Norris (1-2, 4.71)

Monday Cleveland sends right-hander Trevor Bauer (2-2, 6.26 ERA) to the hill in the opener of a four-game series against the Tigers at Comerica Park. Bauer has had mucho problems dealing with Detroit in the recent past, losing his only decision to the Tigers this year and just  4-4 with a ugly looking 7.24 ERA against the Tigers.Note: The Tigers are hammering righty hurlers this season averaging 5.7 rpg. Indians are 1-6 in Bauers last 7 starts vs. Tigers.

       Meanwhile, Cleveland has yet to beat Norris in four career starts , he is 2-0 with a 1.69 ERA and once again looks like a viable starting thrower to back as he faces a Indians team struggling against southpaw hurlers averaging just 3.2 rpg on via lowly .199 BA . Tigers are 6-1 in Norris' last 7 starts vs. American League Central.  DETROIT is 27-9  against the money line after a win by 4 runs or more, which happened yesterday in a 7-3 win vs the White Sox. Tigers are 23-8 in their last 31 during game 1 of a series.

Play on the Detroit Tigers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

Cubs RH Kyle Hendricks (2-1, 4.50 ERA) vs. Red Sox LH Eduardo Rodriguez (1-1, 3.12)

The World Series Champs look like solid wagers tonights according to my own projections, which take into account the pitching matchups(starters/bullpens) and cross reference batting orders opp numbers. Chicago has averaged 6.8 rpg vs southpaws like Rodriguez, while Boston has scored an average of just 3.9 rpg vs righties like Hendricks. There is enough value , for me to recommend we pull the trigger on the Cubbies.

Cubs are 7-0 in Hendricks' last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.Cubs are 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter.Cubs are 20-7 in Hendricks' last 27 starts.Red Sox are 2-8 in Rodriguezs last 10 home starts.Red Sox are 1-6 in Rodriguezs last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Cubs are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Boston.Cubs are 8-0 in Hendricks' last 8 road starts.

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win vs the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

• Jordan Zimmerman the Tigers starter today vs the White Sox has given up five runs in each of his last three starts , and very much looks like fade material, and owns a 8.10 ERA at home this season . Unlike Zimmermann, White Sox starter Miguel Gonzalez has been in top form during this campaign so far. He's 3-0 with a 2.00 ERA, including a over powering effort against Kansas City on Monday allowing just one earned run and 2 hits in 8 innings work. He has a 2.54 ERA over his last 17 starts dating back to last season
• .MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 White Sox - AL team with a low on-base percentage (.320 or less) against a team with a bad bullpen (WHIP =1.550 or more), with an excellent bullpen whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season are 33-9 L/42 on the moneyline. White Sox manager RENTERIA is 11-1 against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse in his career. CHI WHITE SOX are 8-1 L/9 against the money line vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose WHIP is 1.550 or worse.


Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Mariners RH Yovani Gallardo (1-2, 4.84 ERA) vs. Indians RH Danny Salazar (1-2, 4.37)

 Seattle got a 19-9 hammering by Detroit on Tuesday, and have a tendency of taking part in  some crazy games, because of a viable batting order, and inconsistent pitching staff. The Mariners offense remains viable, and  have outscored the opposition 13-2 over the last three contests. Today I don’t think their pitching staff,  will hold up, but their offense will be, in a game that will  end up being fairly high scoring according to my own projections.

Seattle has averaged 5.2 rpg vs righty hurlers this season. Meanwhile, Cleveland has also done their best work against righties, averaging 5.8 rpg and go against a bullpen with a bloated 6.53 ERA and a starting pitcher Gollardo who has seen his team go 10-2 over against a team like Cleveland whose hitters strike out 7 or more times a game , with a combined average of 12.1 rpg getting scored.

·         CLEVELAND is 11-2 OVER  in home games revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite of -150 or more over the last couple of seasons with an average of 12.1 rpg going on the board and is 15-4 OVER  in home games after a loss by 2 runs or less with a combined average of 11.5 rpg getting scored. Over is 5-1 in Salazars last 6 home starts.Over is 9-3-1 in Salazars last 13 starts overall.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection

P

Mets RH Zack Wheeler (1-2, 5.40 ERA) vs. Nationals RH Stephen Strasburg (2-0, 2.89)

Zack Wheeler after sitting out the last two seasons with Tommy John surgery, is finally starting to round into form , and looked good last time out while logging 110 pitches.  That is impressive , and Im betting he shocks some people here today with the life he has in his arm. Meanwhile, the Nationals Strasburg, despite of being a big time hurler and in good form, enters this game of paternity leave, and may not be 100% into this game , mentally and also a little rusty after being off since April 20th.

Mets are 9-4 in their last 13 road games.

Mets are 8-3 in their last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter.NY METS are 23-9  against the money line in road games after 6 consecutive games versus division rivals.

Yesterday the Mets looked hot and took out the Nationals 7-5 and still have some payback left on board for a 3 game sweep they suffered at home to Washington earlier this season.

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher like Washington - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL), with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL) are just  13-33 L/44 opportunities for a go against positive conversion rate for 72% for bettors. Also Home teams like the Nationals - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL), with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL) are just 19-43 for a 70% go against conversion rate for bettors.

There is value here taking the runline +1.5 with the Mets 

Play on the NY Mets on the runline 1 unit reg selection 

Phillies RH Jerad Eickhoff (0-1, 2.55 ERA) vs. Dodgers RH Kenta Maeda (1-2, 8.05)

Dodgers right-hander Kenta Maeda, owns a bloated 8.05 ERA as he struggles with his mechancics and could easily get lit up tonight vs a Phillies team,  that is red hot and on a 6 game win streak. I know the Dodgers have been struggling a little of late on olffense but have still average 5.2 rpg at home this season, and are more than capable of rebounding.

PHILADELPHIA is 26-9 OVER L/35 in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 10.1 rpg going on the board.

Over is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 road games.Over is 9-4 in Phillies last 13 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 15-4-2 in Phillies last 21 vs. National League West.Over is 10-1 in Maedas last 11 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 5-0 in Maedas last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 8-1 in Maedas last 9 home starts.Over is 5-0-2 in the last 7 meetings.

MLB Road teams  - after 4 or more consecutive wins, in April games are 53-28 to the over.

Rockies LH Kyle Freeland (2-1, 3.32 ERA) vs. Diamondbacks LH Robbie Ray (2-0, 3.42)

My own projections set this game total closer to 8.14 rpg, than the 9s being posted by the linesmakers. These estimates are based in a large group of variables, and not only the starting pitchers. With that said, I'm betting their value with an under wager.

COLORADO is 24-11 UNDER  as a road underdog of +125 to +175 dating back to last season with a combined average of 7.8 rpg going on the scoreboard. Colorado’s Manager BLACK is 74-44 UNDER  vs. teams like the DBacks outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season in his career with an average of 7.6 rpg going on the board.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

 RH Jake Arrieta (3-0, 3.65 ERA) vs. Red Sox LH Drew Pomeranz (1-1, 4.60)

 Boston bats are struggling at the moment and have scored just 13 runs over the past seven games, including three shutouts over that span and once again look to be in trouble vs a top tier pitcher in Arrietta. Meanwhile, Pomeranz the Red Sox starter has recorded just one quality start in his first three outings of the season, and that came in his season debut, and Im betting is in trouble again vs the defending world series champions offense tonight. Cubs are 7-0 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter. Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. MLB  teams when the money line is +125 to -125 like the Red Sox - off a loss to a division rival as a home favorite, winning between 51% and 54% of their games on the season are just 24-54 for a go against conversion rate of 69% for bettors.

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

Orioles RH Kevin Gausman (1-2, 7.50 ERA) vs. Yankees LH CC Sabathia (2-1, 2.70)

The Orioles enter this game winning despite a .236 team batting average and a .297 on-base percentage and must not be underestimated vs a Yankees team in an emotional letdown spot after defeating the Red Sox Ace Chris Sale last night in a 3-0 decision. It must also be noted, that Yankees starter Sabathia, despite of decent numbers early this season, looked out of rhythm last time out, as the veteran hurler comes off his worst start of the season when, he allowed four runs and seven hits in five innings in a 6-3 loss at Pittsburgh on April 21

. I know the Orioles starter Gausman has struggled so far this season but has been consistent for a while dating back to last season, as is evident by a 8-6 record with a 3.10 ERA in his last 15 starts . Gausman is also backed by a viable bullpen with a solid 2.81 ERA on the season.

Last year On Aug. 28, Gausman allowed seven hits and struck nine in seven innings of a 5-0 victory vs the Yankees. Than on Oct. 2, he helped the Orioles clinch the second American League wild-card spot by allowing two runs and eight hits in 7 1/3 innings of a 5-2 win.Gausman is 6-3 with a 2.24 ERA in 18 appearances (12 starts) against the Yankees. He is 3-2 with a 2.38 ERA in nine appearances (six starts) in NY. BALTIMORE is 11-3 against the money line in night games this season

. MLB Road underdogs like the Orioles with a money line of +100 or higher  - with a cold starting pitcher- ERA  7.00 or worse over his last 5 starts, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 3.00 the last 15 games have been value based bets cashing at a  46-33 clip on the moneyline.

·          Orioles are 8-0 in their last 8 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Orioles are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Yankees are 2-6 in Sabathias last 8 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Orioles are 4-0 in Gausmans last 4 starts vs. Yankees. Yankees are 2-8 in Sabathias last 10 starts vs. Orioles.

Play on Baltimore to win on the moneyline  1 unit reg selection

Jared Weaver (R) vs Tijuan Walker (R)
San Diegos offense going into Wednesday nights action were averaging just 3.1 rpg via a ugly .218 BA, and no matter what happened last night are fade material here this Thursday, behind a bullpen that owns a bloated 5.81 ERA on the season. Considering how explosive the offensively the DBacks have been, especially at home averaging 7.5 rpg, and how inept the Fathers have been overall it is an easy decision for me to back them at home tonight on the runline!

ARIZONA is 8-1 against the money line in home games in night games this season, winning SU by an average of 4.2 rpg and are 10-2 at home overall winning SU by an average of 3 rpg.

Play on Arizona DBacks on the runline -1.5 / 1 unit reg selection

Yankees RH Masahiro Tanaka (2-1, 6.00 ERA) vs. Red Sox LH Chris Sale (1-1, 0.91)

Chris Sale the ace of the Red Sox and the Yankees ace hurler Tanaka go head to head tonight in a premier pitching matchup in Fenway Park.  We all know about Sales dominance so far this season, but it must be noted that the Yankees batting order has done their best work against southpaws this season averaging 7.2 rpg and must not be underestimated on a value line , especially with Tanaka on the hill.  Also in expected low scoring games, Tanaka has done well, as is evident by  a  24-7 team record against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last couple of seasons. TANAKA is 15-3 L/18 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last couple  of seasons.

Play on the NY Yankees to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

Dodgers LH Alex Wood (1-0, 3.29 ERA) vs. Giants RH Johnny Cueto (3-1, 5.25)

Wood (1-0, 3.29 ERA) the Dodgers starter tonight has never beaten the Giants, going 0-2 with a 6.89 ERA in six appearances, including two starts, and I am betting nothing changes tonight. Meanwhile, SF will trot veteran starter Cueto (3-1, 5.25 ERA) this Wednesday. The righty hasn't lost a home game since last Aug. 30, a stretch of nine starts. With that said I am recommending we take the Giants tonight. 

Dodgers are 0-5 in Woods last 5 starts.Giants are 16-3 in Cuetos last 19 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Dodgers are 5-17 in the last 22 meetings in San Francisco.

WOOD is 1-7 L/8 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 3.5 or less runs/game on the season in his career. CUETO teams  are 10-0 (in his starts against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game dating back to last season, with the average margin of victory coming by 2.5 rpg.CUETO is 17-3 L/20 against the money line in the first half of the seasons.LA DODGERS are 9-21 L/30 against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125.

Play on the SF Giants  to win on the money-line 1 unit reg selection 

Dodgers LH Alex Wood (1-0, 3.29 ERA) vs. Giants RH Johnny Cueto (3-1, 5.25)

Alex Wood the Dodgers starter today is 0-2 with a 6.89 ERA in six career games (two starts) against San Francisco and I'm betting he gets lit up again tonight. Yes, even against some minor league incumbents because of injuries. I will not be surprised if this total is eclipsed by what the Giants put on the board. 

CUETO is 13-4 OVER   in home games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game.Over is 3-1-1 in Dodgers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Over is 7-3 in Giants last 10 during game 3 of a series.Over is 5-0-1 in Cuetos last 6 home starts.Over is 5-0 in Cuetos last 5 starts vs. National League West.

Play on the OVER 1 unit reg selection 

Yankees RH Luis Severino (1-1, 4.05 ERA) vs. Red Sox RH Rick Porcello (1-2, 5.32)

Porcello is 7-5 with a 3.28 ERA lifetime against the Yankees, and owns a 9.20 ERA at home this season while Severino is 0-3 with a 4.71 ERA with a 5.71 ERA in four outings, three starts, against Boston, and own s a7.20 ERA on the road this season. My own cross reference pitcher vs batter data base options suggests a score that eclipses the number.
BOSTON is 24-11 OVER L/35 in home games vs. a team with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better with an average of 11.7 rpg going on the board. BOSTON is 27-14 OVER L/41 in home games after a win by 4 runs or more , with a combined average of 12.4 rpg getting scored.

Over is 7-1 in Yankees last 8 during game 1 of a series.Over is 7-1 in Yankees last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 road games.Over is 4-1 in Porcellos last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Boston.

Play on the OVER 1 unit reg selection   

Marlins LH Wei-Yin Chen (2-0, 3.94 ERA) vs. Phillies RH Vince Velasquez (0-2, 7.20)

Phillies will send Vince Velasquez to the hill todnight (0-2, 7.20), a flame-throwing right-hander who has given up at least three earned runs in each of his three starts. He will face a good fastball hitting team in the Marlins that are averaging 5.1 rpg vs righty hurlers this season. Meanwhile, Miami will turn to Wei-Yin Chen (2-0, 3.94 ERA) to open the series, as the lefty takes the mound and faces aPhillies Batting order that has averaged 5.7 rpg at home this season. Considering my own projections this game looks very beatable for over bettors.

Over is 5-0 in Chens last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. ver is 35-17-4 in Marlins last 56 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 road games.Over is 5-0 in Velasquezs last 5 home starts.

MIAMI is 23-11 OVER vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities dating back to last season with a combined average of 9.2 rpg going on the scoreboard. MIAMI is 25-6 OVER in road games after 2 straight games where they committed no errors dating back to last season with a combined average of 9.8 rpg crossing the plate.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection   

Astros RH Lance McCullers Jr (2-0, 3.38 ERA) vs. Indians RH Trevor Bauer (1-2, 6.35)

The Astros are in a groove. They have won 10 of their last 12 games,  but all good things must eventually come to end. With that said, the Astros are a fade list for tonight, against the Indians startng hurler, Bauer  who was 2-0 along with a 3.75 ERA last season against the Stros, and in five career starts against the Astros, he is 5-0 with a 1.97 ERA. Tonight look for the red hot Jose Rameriz Ramirez who is batting a league-leading .520 (13-for-25) at home to be one of the key catalysts behind a Tribe win. The Indians have done some of their best offensive work this season vs righty starters like MCCullers (10.39 ERA on the road) averaging 5.9 rpg. 

 Astros are 4-12 in McCullers Jr.s last 16 road starts.Indians are 11-4 in their last 15 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

Cleveland Indians to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

Padres LH Clayton Richard (2-2, 3.04 ERA) vs. Diamondbacks LH Patrick Corbin (1-3, 3.27)

The Diamondbacks have equaled the best home start in team history at 9-2, and they're explosive offense leads the majors with 112 runs. I'm betting their current high octane energy and momentum will genrate the tone to this tilt. 

Corbin Arizona's starting hurler   is 13-3 OVER  in night games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 12.6 combined runs going on the scoreboard. ARIZONA is 7-0 OVER  in home games in night games this season, with a combined average of 13.6 runs getting scored.Over is 7-0 in Corbins last 7 starts during game 2 of a series.SAN DIEGO is 20-8 OVER + vs. good baserunning teams - averaging 0.85 or more SB's/game, with a combined average 9.6 rpg getting scored.Over is 20-8-1 in Diamondbacks last 29 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Over is 5-1 in Richards last 6 road starts vs. Diamondbacks.Over is 20-7 in the last 27 meetings in Arizona.

MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 like the Padres - with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.00 the last 10 games are a bankroll expanding 35-10 to the over for a 78% conversion rate for bettors dating back 5 seasons. 

  Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

Twins RH Ervin Santana (3-0, 0.64 ERA) vs. Rangers RH Andrew Cashner (0-1, 2.38)

The Twins and Rangers face off in the middle game of the series Tuesday night at Globe Life Park. The Twins found a way to win yesterday and Im betting they turn the trick again tonight behind the ace of their staff , Right-hander Ervin Santana who owns a  3-0 record along  with a miniscule 0.64 ERA on the season. Santana is backed by a bullpen with a 1.85 ERA on the road this season. Considering the Rangers are batting just .211 early on in their campaign, fading them is an easy decision for me. Meanwhile the Rangers hurler , Cashner has a bad start and good start so far this season , but his team has given him very little support as is evident by  having scored just once in his two starts this sesaon. Tonight this will once again be an issue, behind a struggling offense. 

Twins are 4-0 in Santanas last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Rangers are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Rangers are 3-7 in their last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Rangers are 4-9 in their last 13 vs. a team with a losing record.Twins are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.wins are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Texas.

Play on the Minnesota Twins to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

Dodgers LH Hyun-Jin Ryu (0-3, 5.87 ERA) vs. Giants RH Matt Cain (1-0, 3.31)

Ryu the Dodgers starter his struggled out of the gate this season and has already given up six home runs over 15 1/3 innings of lower tier work. Meanwhile, San Francisco's rotation has recorded  a 5-11 record with a major league-worst 5.02 ERA and once again look vulnerable vs a sometimes explosive Dodgers batting order. Over is 3-0-1 in Dodgers last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Over is 4-0 in Cains last 4 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.CAIN is 17-6 OVER L/23 with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) with a combined average of 10.3 rpg. Dodgers batters are pummeling righty hurlers averaging 5.6 rpg this season.

 Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

Blue Jays LH Francisco Liriano (1-1, 5.11 ERA) vs. Angels RH Jesse Chavez (1-3, 5.00)

I feel like Toronto's starter Liriano's best days are behind him, and I wont be surprised by a steady decline in his work going forward. Yes, off course there will be flashes of brilliance but his consistency is what I am questioning. With that said, and according to my own cross reference match-up pitcher vs hitters power rankings, he is at a disadvantage tonight in the land of the Angels.Liriano has struggled against the Angels in his career, going 2-6 with a 6.20 ERA in 10 starts and a relief appearance and nothing changes tonight. The Jays won last time out for just their 5th time in 18 games , but it must be noted that the  Blue Jays are 0-5 in their last 5 during game 4 of a series and  are 0-7 in their last 7 games following a win and are also  0-8 in their last 8 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Angels are 9-3 in their last 12 home games vs. a left-handed starter.

Play on the LA Angels to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

 Reds LH Amir Garrett (2-1, 1.83 ERA) vs. Brewers RH Matt Garza (2016: 6-8, 4.51)

Garrett the Reds starter is a fine young pitcher and athlete,  and early on in his first mlb season, has looked good. However, as teams generate better scouting reports on him and batters adjust to his stuff, I'm betting he may not be as consistent, especially against a team like the Brewers that does its best work vs southpaws. Brewers are 15-5 in their last 20 home games vs. a left-handed starter.

MILWAUKEE is 25-14 L/39 against the money line after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games. Reds are 17-42 in their last 59 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 overall.Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.Brewers are 4-1 in Garza's last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

Rays RH Chris Archer (2-0, 3.20 ERA) VS. Orioles RH Ubaldo Jimenez (1-0, 5.51)

Archer struggled   last time out, allowing four runs on seven hits in just five innings of work in a no-decision against Detroit. Archer,  went 1-2 with a 4.62 ERA in four starts versus Baltimore and I estimate that the Orioles will do enough damage against him here tonight to help us eclipse the number. It must also be noted that the Rays bulpen has registed a 6.35 ERA in road games this season. Meanwhile, Jimenez the Orioles starter, did have a quality outing last time out, but  prior to that had allowed 10 runs on 15 hits (three homers) over 8 2/3 innings in his first two starts of the season. Im beting he remains vulnerable vs the Rays bats, that have been very consistent of late. Over is 3-0-1 in Jimenezs last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 4-1 in Archers last 5 starts overall. Over is 21-7-1 in Archers last 29 road starts.ARCHER is 11-3 OVER L/14 on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 with a combined average of 10.2 rpg going on the board. 

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

Cubs LH Brett Anderson (1-0, 4.40 ERA) vs. Pirates RH Chad Kuhl (1-1, 2.60)

Cubs starter ANDERSON for this tilt looked vulnerable last time out, getting hammered for  six runs and eight hits in 3 2/3 innings Tuesday against Milwaukee. Meanwhile, Khule the Pirates starting thrower  despite of a fast start this current campaign, does not matchup well vs the Cubs batting order, and went 0-2 with a 10.45 ERA in three starts against the Cubs as a rookie last season. Considering the Pirates did well vs the Cubs in their first meetings of the season winning and sweep  a 3 game set  and scoring 18 runs in the three victories, I feel that a repeat type of of offensive performance is not out of the question. Meanwhile, Im also betting on the revenge minded Cubbies coming out here and showing little mercy in a all out offensive onslaught vs a inconsistent pithing staff and bullpen with a 5.24 ERA is a high probability occurrence. 

Over is 6-0 in Cubs last 6 overall.Over is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 10-3-1 in Pirates last 14 home games.Over is 6-1 in Kuhls last 7 home starts.Over is 33-16-2 in Pirates last 51 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings in Pittsburgh.

MLB Road teams like the Cubs- triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent, a top tier team (54% to 62%) playing a lower tier team (38% to 46%) are 51-21 dating back 20 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for this trends betting backers. 

Play on the  OVER 1 unit reg selection 

Nationals RH Max Scherzer (2-1, 1.37 ERA) vs. Mets RH Zack Wheeler (1-1, 5.52)

I wont be surprised if Washington all by themselves help eclipse this Total. Zack Wheeler  gave up eight runs and 10 hits over 9 2/3 innings in his first two starts of the season after missing two years due to Tommy John surgery. He pitched well last  time out vs a inconsistent Philies offense, but against this explosive  Nationals Im betting on a different story unfolding. Note:WHEELER is 8-0 OVER L/8 in home games after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing and is  2-6 with a 5.09 ERA in eight career starts against the Nationals.Meanwhile, I know the Mets ave been struggling but I'm also betting that they do just enough damage against Scherzer to help us get over this totals number.

Over is 10-1 in Nationals last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Over is 4-1 in Scherzers last 5 starts vs. National League East. Over is 3-0-2 in Mets last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 5-2-1 in Wheelers last 8 starts overall.Over is 3-1-1 in Wheelers last 5 starts vs. Nationals.

MLB teams where the total is 7 or less like the Nationals  - after 4 or more consecutive wins, in April games are 38-16 OVER for a 71% conversion rate for betting backers.

  Play OVER  1 unit reg selection 

Mariners RH Yovani Gallardo (0-2, 6.19 ERA) vs. Athletics RH Andrew Triggs (3-0, 0.00)

Gollardo the Mariners starter has struggled for the most part this season and is just  0-5 with a 5.29 ERA in six career starts against the Athletics and looks like fde material here today. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent from the A's Triggs has a career 1.93 ERA in 14 games (six starts) at home and has not allowed a run in 17 1/3 innings this season . Oakland starters have allowed two runs or fewer in eight of the last 11 contests and look to be an under rated commodity to this point in the season. Oakland has won 5 straight games, and today I recommend we ride their momentum. 

Mariners are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Mariners are 0-6 in their last 6 road games. Mariners are 3-16 in their last 19 games after losing the first 3 games of a series.Mariners are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings.

Play on Oakland As to win on the money-line 1 unit reg selection 

Blue Jays RH Marcus Stroman (1-2, 4.05 ERA) vs. Angels RH Daniel Wright (0-0, 6.75)

Toronto is batting .213 vs right handed pitchers this season averaging 3 rpg, while, the Angels are averaging 3.6 pg vs righties, via .237 BA. Both bullpens have proved capable this season, and todays starting pitchers have some value for extended innings according to my own power rankings. TORONTO is 28-14 UNDER vs. a team with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better with a combined average of 7.8 rpg going on the soreboard.TORONTO is 15-4 UNDER  in road games in April games dating back to last season.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

Giants RH Jeff Samardzija (0-3, 6.16 ERA) vs. Rockies LH Kyle Freeland (1-1, 4.91)

This wager is based on math rather than the current form of both these staring hurlers. Colorados Coors field has  reputation as launching pad,  so lines-makers playing to public perceptions usually shade in a way that gives under bettors some value. With a slight edge today according to my own numbers I'm betting on this score not eclipsing the total. 

Under is 13-2-2 in Samardzijas last 17 starts overall.Under is 7-2-2 in Samardzijas last 11 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Under is 5-2-1 in Samardzijas last 8 road starts.Under is 12-4 in Rockies last 16 overall.Under is 11-3 in Rockies last 14 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-0 in Samardzijas last 5 starts vs. Rockies.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection

Indians RH Danny Salazar (1-1, 3.57 ERA) vs. White Sox LH Derek Holland (1-2, 2.16)

Cleveland starter Salazar has been over powering with his stuff early this season and registered some big strikeout numbers in all three of his starts.  Note:Chicago has four hitters with a batting average of .214 or worse - three under .200 - in  the top five spots, and my projections have them struggling today. Meanwhile,  the Pale Hose starter Holland pitched 6 scoreless innings in his first meeting against the Tribe back in April and  6-1 with a 2.35 ERA in 10 career starts against the Indians. With that said, I expect both these hurlers to go deep into this game today, and give us quality innings, which in turn will help keep this score on the low side of the number. 

Under is 5-1 in Indians last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 5-1 in Indians last 6 road games.Under is 5-0 in White Sox last 5 home games.Under is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 11-3 in White Sox last 14 overall.Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.Under is 20-8-1 in the last 29 meetings in Chicago.

Play UNDER  1unit reg selection 

Red Sox LH Eduardo Rodriguez (0-1, 4.76 ERA) vs. Orioles RH Kevin Gausman (1-1, 7.23)

Bostons offense is struggling and were shutout yesterday and Im betting things won't get much beer today vs a Baltimore side that has won 6 of their L/7 home games this season.

 Red Sox are 3-11 in their last 14 road games.Red Sox are 2-8 in their last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.Orioles are 9-1 in Gausmans last 10 home starts.

Play on the Baltimore Orioles on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

Braves RH Mike Foltynewicz (0-2, 4.26 ERA) vs. Phillies RH Zach Eflin (0-0, 3.60)

The Phillies are hitting .297 with runners in scoring position in their past 14 games and rode Maikel Franco’s bases-loaded 10th-inning single to a 4-3 victory Saturday and look to be in good form.  Meanwhile, the Phillies starter owns a bloated 6.00 ERA in four career appearances (three starts) against the Phillies, allowing four homers in 10 2/3 innings and will once again I am betting be on the wrong side of the final score this Sunday .Braves are 6-13 in Foltynewiczs last 19 road starts.Braves are 1-7 in their last 8 road games.Braves are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Braves are 0-5 in their last 5 overall. Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter. 

Play on the Philadelphia Phillies to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

Cubs RH John Lackey (1-2, 4.00 ERA) vs. Reds RH Bronson Arroyo (1-2, 8.40)

Lackey  is not in great from early this season, and is  1-2 with a 4.96 ERA in six outings at Great American Ball Park. Meanwhile, Arroyo the Reds veteran  Starter is on his last days in this league at 40 years old, and while capable is still far from dependable, and could easily get crushed by the Cubs explosive offense. With that said, I'm betting on this combined score to eclipse the total .

Over is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 overall.Over is 4-0 in Lackeys last 4 road starts.Over is 5-0-1 in Arroyos last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record. ver is 4-0 in Lackeys last 4 starts vs. Reds.Over is 38-15-3 in the last 56 meetings in Cincinnati.Over is 6-1 in home plate umpire Eddings' last 7 games behind home plate

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

 Marlins RH Dan Straily (1-1, 4.61 ERA) vs. Padres RH Jered Weaver (0-1, 4.24)

Straily was pulled after 5 1/3 hitless innings in his last outing against the New York Mets as he struggled with his control and issued five walks. Im expecting the streaky hurler  will have more problems again today. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent Weaver,   from the Padres continues to serve up HR blast on a regular basis  as is evident by allowing  five homers in just 17 innings of average at best  work. My own daa base programs suggest these starting hurlers will help the other teams score 4 runs or more in a game I have pegged to eclipse the total. 

Over is 20-8-4 in Marlins last 32 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 13-6-4 in Marlins last 23 road games.Over is 9-4-1 in Marlins last 14 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Over is 3-1-1 in Padres last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

SAN DIEGO is 17-6 OVER L/23 in home games vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better with a combined average of 10.4 rpg.SAN DIEGO  in the L/18 games  against the money line in home games after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 6.50 or worse, with a combined average of 8.7 rpg. STRAILY is 14-3 OVER L/17 when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last couple of seasons. MIAMI is 16-4 OVER L/20  in road games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games with an average of 10.7 rpg getting scored. SAN DIEGO is 20-9 OVER L/29 as a home underdog of +125 to +175 over the last couple of seasons, by a combined average score of 10 rpg getting scored. 

Giants LH Matt Moore (1-2, 4.26 ERA) vs. Rockies RH Antonio Senzatela (2-0, 2.37)

Colorados Coors field is known as a  proverbial launching pad. It is a stadium that has a reputation for hig scoring events. However, at this time of year, their are still some chilly prevailing winds  and temps that can get whipped up of the rocky mountain frontier, and effect scoring outputs. With that said, and  ,  considering the pitching matchup, and expected batting orders, I have come to the conclusion of a lower scoring game than the lines-makers might expect. 

Under is 7-1 in Giants last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 22-7-2 in Giants last 31 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Under is 6-0 in Rockies last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 7-0 in Rockies last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 12-3 in Rockies last 15 overall.Under is 8-2 in Rockies last 10 vs. National League West.SAN FRANCISCO is 13-2 UNDER L/15 in road games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better with a combined average of 4.8 rpg going on the scoreboard.MOORE is 13-4 UNDER L/17 as an underdog of +100 or higher dating back to last season.

teams where the total is 10 or higher like the Rockies - with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 10 games against opponent with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.00 the last 10 games are 98-48 under over  20 year span , for a 67% conversion rate for backers of this league wide trend. 

Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

Braves LH Jaime Garcia (0-1, 4.67) vs. Phillies RH Jerad Eickhoff (0-1, 2.75)

Southpaw thrower Jamie Garcia (0-1, 4.67 ERA) gets the start for the Braves against right-hander Jerad Eickhoff (0-1, 2.75) of the Phillies.Throughout his career, Garcia has 10 games (eight starts) against the Phillies despite of a 3-4 W/L  record owns a  2.82 ERA along with  42 strikeouts in  51 innings pitched. The 2.82 ERA is the best mark Garcia has against opponents which he's pitched at least 50 innings against.Meanwhile, the Phillies starting hurler Eickhoff has faced the Braves six times ( 6 starts) and has recorded  a 2-1 record in 35 innings  of top tier work as is evident by a  1.54 ERA with 24 strikeouts against seven walks in those games. Tonight, I expect those trends to continue. Note: Philadelphia is averaging just 2 rpg via a ugly .185 BA vs lefty starts this season.

EICKHOFF is 16-6 UNDER L/22  in night games. Under is 6-2-1 in Eickhoffs last 9 starts vs. National League East.Under is 12-2 in Eickhoffs last 14 starts during game 2 of a series.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

Tigers LH Matthew Boyd (2-1, 3.77 ERA) vs. Twins LH Adalberto Mejia (0-1, 4.05)

The Tigers are struggling having lost 4 straight, as their pitching staff continues with inconsistencies as is evident by allowing 27 runs during their skid. (The Tigers starting hurler Boyd has pitched well in his last two starts, but the Twins, have faired well against southpaws of late winning 5 of their L/6 vs unorthodox starting throwers, and must not be underestimated here in their own back yards.  It must also be noted that the Tigers bullpen own a ugly 7.98 ERA in road games this season. Meanwhile, the Tigers are hitting just .187 vs lefties this season, like the Twins hurler Mejia.

Twins are 40-19 in their last 59 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Tigers are 4-10 in their last 14 during game 2 of a series.

All teams when the money line is +125 to -125 like the Twins - lower tier AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less) vs a team with a below average bullpen (ERA 4.50 or worse), ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 10 games are 32-13 L/45 for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Minnesota Twins on the money-line 1 unit reg selection 

Tigers LH Matthew Boyd (2-1, 3.77 ERA) vs. Twins LH Adalberto Mejia (0-1, 4.05)

Detroit has allowed 27 runs during a current 4 game losing streak, including yesterdays 6-3 loss here in Minnesota to open this series.  The Tigers own the worst run differential in the league at -24, which correlates with the Twins  13-3 OVER L/16 record  vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season, with the average combined score of 11 rpg going on the board. MINNESOTA is also 25-10 OVER L/35  vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse with a combined average  10.7 rpg going on the scoreboard. DETROIT is struggling offensively but is 16-6 OVER after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span , with the combined average score of 10.3 rpg getting scored.MINNESOTA is 31-12 OVER L/33  after 4 or more consecutive home games. My own cross reference pitcher/batter and matchup stats suggest a fairly high scoring game .

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

Dodgers LH Alex Wood (1-0, 1.00 ERA) vs. Diamondbacks RH Taijuan Walker (2-1, 3.94)

Arizona's starting hurler Walker took out the Dodgers on Sunday, when he struck out seven while allowing one run and four hits over five innings. Im betting on him turning the trick again here this Friday night vs a LAD side that has lost 4 of 6 road games this season, while,  managing just five runs in their four road losses,.

Dodgers are 0-4 in Woods last 4 road starts. Dodgers are 0-5 in Woods last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.WOOD is 3-12 L/15 against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game dating back to last season.LA DODGERS are 5-22 L/27 against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive home games dating back over the last few seasons. Diamondbacks have won four of their last six home games against the Dodgers. Diamondbacks are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Diamondbacks are 14-3 in their last 17 home games.

Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 like Arizona - starting a pitcher who gave up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings, well rested bullpen - threw  2 innings or less in each of the last 3 games are 34-14 on the moneyline for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the DBacks to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

Yankees LH CC Sabathia (2-0, 1.47 ERA) vs. Pirates RH Tyler Glasnow (0-1, 12.15)

Pittsburgh right-hander Tyler Glasnow (0-1, 12.15 ERA) is struggling mightily, and with the way the Yankees have been hitting (5.1 RPG) I will not be surprised, if he gets clobbered again. Also , the Pirates, bullpen has been less than viable, as is evident by a 6.29 ERA at home. My own data suggests, that the Yanks should put at least 5.5 runs on the board, and the Pirates 3.5 runs, vs Sabathia and bullpen which gives us value to the over.

PITTSBURGH is 15-3 OVER in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season with an average of 10.4 rpg getting scored and is 22-8 OVER L/30 in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season, and is 21-8 L/29 OVER  in home games vs. a team with a strong bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better.PITTSBURGH is 14-4 OVER L/18 as a home underdog of +100 or higher and is 12-2 OVER L/14 in home games after scoring 1 run or less in game which happened last time out.

Over is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 during game 1 of a series. Over is 4-0 in Sabathias last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.Over is 7-2 in Sabathias last 9 interleague starts.Over is 21-7 in Pirates last 28 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.Over is 11-4-1 in Pirates last 16 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 9-1-1 in Pirates last 11 interleague home games.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

The Braves will have Matt Kemp in the lineup today which will boost their expectations going forward. The veteran slugger after being on the disabled list is welcome site to an offense with upside potential. Today against the Nationals starter Strasburg, a pitcher who has had problems in the past at Turner Field , Im betting on the Braves, to surprise as underdogs. Meanwhile, Im betting on Braves  knuckleballer Dickey, giving the Nationals ussually potent but fastball orientated batting order problems.  I know the Braves have had a big edge over the Braves the last few seasons , and got clobbered 14-4 yesterday, but it must be noted, ATLANTA is 12-1 L/13 against the money line off a loss by 10 runs or more to a division rival.

*Nationals  bullpen owns a ugly 7.63 ERA on the road this season.

Play on the Atlanta Braves on the runline 1 unit reg selection 

Diamondbacks RH Zack Greinke (1-1, 4.32 ERA) vs. Padres RH Jhoulys Chacin (1-2, 7.80)

The Arizona Diamondbacks are a team on the rise and look for their fourth straight victory Wednesday as they continue their three-game away series against their  the host that San Diego Padres, a side that  have struggled and  lost five in a row. The DBacks starting hurler Greinke a former Cy Young award winner has owned the San Diego Padres in his career, going 8-1 with a 2.02 ERA in 16 career starts including a 4-1 record  record along with a  stingy 1.90 ERA in 10 starts at Petco Park. With that said Look for and bet on the DBacks team that is operating at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum compared to the Fathers,  to deliver the dough in this spot.

Diamondbacks are 7-1 in Greinkes last 8 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.Diamondbacks are 10-2 in their last 12 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Padres are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Diamondbacks are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.

Play on the Arizona DBacks to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

Rockies LH Tyler Anderson (1-2, 8.59 ERA) vs. Dodgers LH Clayton Kershaw (2-1, 2.53)

Kershaw has recorded 22 strikeouts against just one walk over his first three outings while limiting batters to a .179 average. Scoring against this top tier hurler is never an easy proposition and I expect after losing for the first time to the Rockies in his first meeting will be primed to perform. Meanwhile, the Dodgers bats are struggling as they have lost three straight games, and despite of Rockies starting hurlers high ERA so far this season thanks to allowing (4 HRs in 14 1/3 innings of work),   is more than capable of rebounding, as was evident, when Anderson made his major league debut in June of last season and in 114 1/3 innings allowed an average of just 0.94 home runs per nine innings.

Under is 6-0 in Rockies last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 7-1 in Rockies last 8 vs. National League West.Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 20-9 in Dodgers last 29 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 4-0-1 in Kershaws last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.Under is 10-2 in the last 12 meetings in Los Angeles. When Kershaw starts his team 15-3 UNDER  vs. struggling  baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined score of 5.4 rpg going on the scoreboard. Colorados bullpen owns a 2.77 ERA on the season. LA despite of trying many remedies still struggles against southpaws as is evident by a .238 BA and just 3.2 rpg.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection