The Yankees enter this game in struggling form as is evident by losing 5 straight games.The Mariners took two of three games from New York last week in the Bronx, which set in motion the Yankees downward momentum. Now Im betting at least for now the Yankees bad run will continue while the hungry Mariners keep up their fight for a post season spot. NYY starter Taillon allowed six runs (five earned) over 4 2/3 innings of an 8-6 loss to the Mariners on Tuesday and while Gilbert the Mariners starter dod not do much better still found a way for his team to get to the promised land and a rinse and repeat situation Im betting plays out tonight on the west coast. GILBERT is 11-3  against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. (Team's Record)

SEATTLE is 10-4 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70% over the last 2 seasons like J. Taillon.

Mariners are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Mariners are 8-1 in their last 9 vs. American League East.Mariners are 20-7 in their last 27 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Mariners are 30-12 in their last 42 overall. NY YANKEES are 1-7  against the money line vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game in the second half of the season this season. Yankees are 0-9 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning record.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (NY YANKEES) - allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 9 runs or more are 21-54 L/25 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Seattle to win 

 Wood the Giants starter tonight vs Padres owns a  4.40 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP in three starts vs the Padres this season. He has 18 strikeouts in 14 1/3 innings. Key here tonight is how Wood faired in his   career   against the Padres (19 appearances, 13 starts) .During those trips to the mound he has garnered  a 3.12 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP. And in San Diego, Wood is 3-1 in nine games (six starts) with a 1.56 ERA, a 0.87 WHIP. Tonight Im betting he keeps his top shelf action going against a Padres side, that is off getting swept by the Dodgers this past weekend and getting shutout last night.The Dodgers outscored the Padres 20-4 over the weekend and now reeling don't look like viable bets here with downward momentum firmly in place. I know after a slow start that the Padres starter Snell has pitched well recently but my pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest the Giants matchup well against him. 

WOOD is 14-1  against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .250 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

SNELL is 3-8 against the money line after giving up 2 or less  earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (SAN DIEGO) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.20 to 5.20)-NL, with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 23-42 L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate.

MLB team (SAN DIEGO) - excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game on the season, after 3 straight losses by 4 runs or more are 12-35 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on San Francisco to win 

Chris Bassitt (8-7, 3.61 ERA) is expected to start for the Mets against another  right-hander Justin Dunn (0-0, 0.00), who will be recalled from Triple-A Louisville to make his Reds debut as well as his first major league appearance since June 2021.Dunn, who opened the season on the injured list due to a right shoulder strain before being optioned to Louisville July 24, is 0-3 with a 6.75 ERA in eight minor league starts this season and looks like cannon fodder for the Mets batting order here today which will aid us in our over investment option cashing. On the flipside the Reds have shown improvement of late and on the season are moving into a positive mass formation , and are 5-1-1 in their L/7 series matchups, behind a offense that has averaged 5.4 rpg in their L/7 games overall. 

Note: Reds starter DUNN is 8-0 OVER vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 12.2 rpg scored. 

NY Mets starter BASSITT is 8-1 OVER  when playing against a team with a losing record this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 9.2 rpg scored. 

Over is 16-5 in Mets last 21 during game 1 of a series.Over is 6-2-1 in Mets last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Over is 5-2 in Mets last 7 home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5

CINCINNATI is 35-18 OVER   after 3 consecutive game versus a division rival over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 10.4 rpg scored. 

Over is 5-0-1 in Mets last 6 overall.

Play OVER

We have two viable pitchers on the hill  with the Padres Darvish and the Dodgers Anderson. Both these hurlers are backed up by top-10 bullpens. The Dodgers are first in reliever xFIP @(3.53), while the Padres are seventh in reliever xFIP @ (3.70). My pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest pitching has the edge tonight and should provide us with a under wager cashing. 

ROBERTS is 27-11 UNDER  after 7 or more consecutive wins as the manager of LA DODGERS with a combined average of 7.3 rpg scored.Under is 7-0 in Dodgers last 7 during game 3 of a series.Under is 5-2-1 in Dodgers last 8 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Under is 12-5-3 in Dodgers last 20 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 7-3-2 in Dodgers last 12 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 14-6-5 in Dodgers last 25 home games.Under is 11-5-2 in Dodgers last 18 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 13-6-3 in Dodgers last 22 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

DARVISH is 22-5 UNDER vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.3 rog scored.

Under is 3-1-1 in Padres last 5 during game 3 of a series.

Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Los Angeles.

Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings.

MLB Home teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (LA DODGERS) - good offensive team - scoring 4.5 or more  runs/game on the season (NL), after scoring 8 runs or more 2 straight games are 37-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate.

MLB Road teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (SAN DIEGO) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.050 or better on the season-NL, excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game on the season are 48-19 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

 Toronto has been red hot before yesterdays 7-3 loss to Minnesota, and Im betting they lose again here . Note. Jays starter Gausman is 0-4 with a 7.30 ERA in eight career starts against the Twins and I wont be surprised by a rinse and repeat situation here as Blue Jay regression looks imminent. GAUSMAN is 1-7  against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season. (Team's Record) GAUSMAN is 8-20  against the money line against AL Central opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)

Blue Jays are 3-9 in their last 12 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.

MLB Home teams (MINNESOTA) - with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.50 or better  over his last 3 starts are 44-27 L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Minnesota to win

Right-hander Spenser Watkins (4-1, 3.80 ERA) goes to the mound for  Baltimore's Sunday. He has won three of his last four starts, giving up just one run in each of the victories.The Baltimore Orioles as a team have won five games in a row and Im betting they extend that run here today vs the generally light hitting Pittsburgh Pirates. Note:The Pirates will send right-hander Bryse Wilson (1-6, 6.20)  to the hill as their starter. Wilson is 0-3 with a no-decision in his last four road starts. The righty in his current form is fade material. 

WATKINS is 9-4  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record)

SHELTON is 7-27  against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start as the manager of PITTSBURGH.

Pirates are 14-43 in their last 57 during game 3 of a series.Pirates are 6-22 in their last 28 interleague road games.Pirates are 11-41 in their last 52 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.Pirates are 1-5 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Pirates are 1-6 in their last 7 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.Pirates are 1-6 in their last 7 vs. American League East. PITTSBURGH is 0-11  against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) this season.

BALTIMORE is 12-2 against the money line when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) in the second half of the season this season.

Pirates are 1-11 in the last 12 meetings in Baltimore.

MLB team (BALTIMORE) - with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 3 or less batters per start, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 15 games are 47-18 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate.

Play on Baltimore to win 

KC Royals starter LYNCH is 6-0  against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)LYNCH is 9-4  against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)LYNCH is 8-3  against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

Meanwhile, BoSox starter Eovaldi owns a 7.20 ERA in his 3 most recent trips to the hill, and is showing signs of a tired arm. 

Red Sox are 1-5 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series.

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (KANSAS CITY) - with a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start, playing on Saturday are 73-35 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on KC Royals to win 

Twins starter Bundy has allowed a .472 slugging percentage to the current Blue Jays lineup over 140 plate appearances and Im betting some key players like Vlad Guerrero have big days in this tilt. Bundy owns a ugly 5.04 ERA ranking  98th among 109 pitchers with 80-plus innings thrown. . In  two outings against the Jays this season , Bundy was crushed and his team lost both appearances and lopsided manner. 

Twins starter Bundy has allowed a .472 slugging percentage to the current Blue Jays lineup over 140 plate appearances and Im betting some key players like Vlad Guerrero have big days in this tilt. Bundy owns a ugly 5.04 ERA ranking  98th among 109 pitchers with 80-plus innings thrown. . In  two outings against the Jays this season , Bundy was crushed and his team lost both appearances and lopsided manner.  With that said, Vlad Guerrero has gone over  this offering in 11 of his last 15 games owns a slash line of  .441/.500/.729 . More of the same action now on board. 

Left-hander Carlos Rodon (9-6, 3.00 ERA), will get the start on Saturday against right-hander Adam Oller (1-4, 7.68).

RODON is 18-5  against the money line in August games in his career. (Team's Record) and has the edge today in this matchup vs the As. 

 With Brandon Crawford (knee), outfielder Joc Pederson (concussion) and utility infielder Thairo Estrada (concussion) expected to return from injuries the Giants current bad run could easily come to an end today vs OAKLAND. 

OAKLAND is 17-34 against the money line in home games this season.

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (SAN FRANCISCO) - with a slugging percentage of .370 or worse over their last 15 games, in August games are 34-4 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Giants to win 

DETROIT is 0-8 SU in home games after 3 or more consecutive unders this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.4. 

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (TAMPA BAY) - with a slugging percentage of .370 or worse over their last 15 games, in August games are 34-4 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate.

Rays are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

Pittsburghs starter BRUBAKER is 3-20   against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) BRUBAKER is 0-13  against the money line in road games when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) BRUBAKER is 3-21  against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Pittsburgh are ranked No. 29 in team batting average (.221)

The Pirates were shutout 1-0 yesterday. Note: Pirates are 0-5 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Pirates are 8-23 in their last 31 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Pirates are 6-21 in their last 27 interleague road games. Pirates are 1-10 in the last 11 meetings in Baltimore.

PITTSBURGH is 0-10  against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) this season.

BALTIMORE is 11-2 against the money line when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) in the second half of the season this season.

Play on Baltimore to win 

LA Dodgers starter GONSOLIN is 22-4 against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GONSOLIN is 2-0 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 1.87 and a WHIP of 0.750 in 4 starts with the Dodgers winning all 4 games.  He has pitched his best baseball at home in dodgers Stadium this season garnering a 7-1 record and stingy 1.67 ERA and deserves respect in this tilt on a mid ranged chalk line. 

Dodgers are 42-17 in their last 59 games vs. a left-handed starter like Manaea. MANAEA is 0-3 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 7.00 and a WHIP of 1.778.

Dodgers are 54-17 in their last 71 home games.

The Padres  despite of being on a run of late have struggled at  Dodger Stadium recently. They've dropped nine of their last 10 there and Im betting nothing changes tonight in this hardcore rivalry. Note: LA DODGERS are 16-1  against the money line in home games against division opponents this season

LA DODGERS are 22-6  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season like the Padres starter Manaea.LA DODGERS are 13-1  against the money line vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season this season.

SAN DIEGO is 16-34  against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better over the last 2 seasons.

Play on the LA Dodgers to win 

Cardinals have won 6 of their L/7 and are  not an easy out. Cortez the Yanks starter has been fairly strong lately, but in his last win vs KC their was alot of traffic and he was lucky to get out of that tilt mostly unscathed. The way the Cards are seeing the ball lately in general, gives credence to some value here as them cashing for us as home dogs. 

Yankees are 2-7 in their last 9 road games.Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague games.Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague road games.

Yankees are 1-6 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.Yankees are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter like the Cards starter Hudson.

NY YANKEES are 9-12   against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less  errors/game in the second half of the season this season. NY YANKEES are 3-10   against the money line after 4 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.

MLB team (ST LOUIS) - after sweeping a 3 game series against a division rival, in an inter-league game are 42-14 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate.

Play on the Cards to win 

White Sox starter Cease has dominated of late, going 3-0 along with a minuscule 0.47 ERA. Im betting he continues to own his opposition here tonight and projected run-ilne win. Cease is  6-1 with a 1.30 ERA in nine road starts.

CEASE is 24-6 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.8 

Texas Starter OTTO is 1-11 SU in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at  -3.  Otto owns a 2-3 home record this season with a 7.69 ERA and is fade material in his current form. 

Play on White Sox to win 

Bubic in his only start vs the Sox saw his team get clobbered 15-1 and is fade material vs this batting order according to my power rankings.

BOSTON is 16-5  against the money line in road games vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 2 seasons.

KANSAS CITY is 9-29 against the money line after 2 straight games with at least 7 less hits than their opponent .

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (BOSTON) - with a slugging percentage of .370 or worse over their last 15 games, in August games are 34-3 L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Boston to win

Toronto’s is on fire and Vlad  Guerrero has been a key contributor . Since moving up to the No. 2 spot in the batting order,  the phenom has really lit up the scoreboard, batting .352 BA , .493 SLG%. .453 OBP.  Tonight vs Gray who owns a 5.92 ERA in his L/ 24.1 innings pitched Im betting he goes over the runs total. 

Justin Verlander the Astros top tier veteran starter owns a 1.72 ERA on the  road this season, and  owns a very stingy 1.64 ERA against teams that are .500 or better in his six road starts. Im betting on more of the same action here today against the Guardians. 

The Astros come to play against top tier teams consistently showing their elite status and laying -1.5 runs here is a viable wagering opportunity with Verlander on the hill. 

CLEVELAND is 6-26  SU vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at 2.8 rpg. 

HOUSTON is 23-9 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at 2 rpg. 

Play on Houston Astros -1.5 

Rockies starter FREELAND is 8-2 SU when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record) FREELAND is 7-3 SU against division opponents this season. (Team's Record) FREELAND has seen his team win his L/3 starts vs Padres. 

 Padres are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.

We definitely have a runline advantage here and a viable investment opportunity. 

MLB team (SAN DIEGO) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.20 to 5.20)-NL, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less  over his last 10 games are 26-41 L/5 seasons for a go against  61% conversion rate.

Play on Colorado +1.5 runline 

Super star Dodgers starter  Clayton Kershaw (7-3, 2.66 ERA), has started more games against the Giants than against any other team. When he gets the ball on Thursday, he will be making his 53rd career start in his 55th overall head-to-head against the Giants, having garnered a 1.99 ERA.

The veteran lefty   is also 14-6 with a 1.58 ERA in 27 career games, including 25 starts, at San Francisco's Oracle Park and gets the nod again for a highly likely dominating performance. 

Im betting the road side   to sweep this series and improve to 8-0 against the Giants  since the All-Star break and in the process win by more than 2 runs according to my projections. 

MLB favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (LA DODGERS) - average hitting team (AVG .255 to .269) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or better ) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL) are 57-9 L/25 seasons for a 87% conversion rate with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.5 which qualifies on this RL offering. 

Play on the LA Dodgers to win -1.5 RL 

 Colorado Rockies starter Snell is 3-0 in his last five starts, while garnering fewer than two runs in four of the five games along with registering  with a 2.81 ERA. He has 40 strikeouts in 25 2/3 innings and Im betting he gets the job done again tonight vs the San Diego Padres. 

SHOHEI OHTANI lost all three of his starts last year vs Oakland while, Oaklands starter KAPRIELIAN is 2-0 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 1.02 and a WHIP of 0.792 in three starts with his team winning all 3 of those outings. 

Athletics are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Athletics are 8-2 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.Athletics are 7-2 in their last 9 during game 2 of a series.Athletics are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. American League West.

Athletics are 10-4 in the last 14 meetings in Los Angeles.

MLB team (LA ANGELS) - struggling  offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70)-AL, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 10-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Oakland As to win 

CHI WHITE SOX are 3-10   against the money line in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better this season like the Royals B.Singer. The Royals righty  starter also owns a 0.95 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill and is a viable pitcher to back in his current form. Note" The White Sox struggle against right-handed pitching (94 wrC+, 21st). 

Meanwhile, the White Sox starter Lynn has struggled more than usual in this campaign, as his velocity is down as is evident by a 5.40 ERA in his L/3 and a 5.40 ERA at home in 2022. 

CHI WHITE SOX are 9-15  against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season.

 Royals are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Chicago.

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (CHI WHITE SOX) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or worse) against a top level starting pitcher (ERA 3.60, or better  WHIP 1.300 or less ) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season-AL are 26-41 L/5 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on KC Royals to win 

NY Yankees starter COLE is 11-2 OVER  in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.9 rpg scored.

Over is 5-1 in Mariners last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like Mariners starter Castillo. 

SEATTLE is 32-18 OVER  in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 9.4 rpg scored.

NY YANKEES are 18-8 OVER  in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 10.5 rpg scored.

My projections estimate these teams will combine for +8 runs . (Top tier pitching matchup or note I still estimate these offenses get us over the hump and deliver and over wager for profit. 

MLB  teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (SEATTLE) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or better ), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games are 101-47 OVER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

The Braves will send Charlie Morton (5-5, 4.34 ERA) against Wheeler (9-5, 2.77) in a battle of veteran right-handers. ATLANTA is 26-11  against the money line in home games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better over the last 3 seasons.(Wheeler qualifies) Braves are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter like Wheeler. 

The Atlanta offense looked explosive Tuesday by collecting 14 hits and now Im betting on that momentum continuing here today against the Phillies again. 

Phillies are 3-8 in their last 11 during game 2 of a series.

Braves are 20-6 in their last 26 during game 2 of a series.

MLB Home teams (ATLANTA) - team with an excellent SLG (.440 or better ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or less ) -NL, in August games are 32-9 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. 

Play on the Atlanta Braves to win 

KC starting hurler KELLER is 6-17 against the money line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

White Sox starter Giolito, who is 8-4 with a 3.44 ERA in 18 career starts against Kansas City.

Royals are 18-38 in their last 56 vs. a team with a winning record.Royals are 17-36 in their last 53 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Royals are 3-7 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.Royals are 2-5 in their last 7 overall.Royals are 8-20 in their last 28 during game 2 of a series.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (KANSAS CITY) - allowing 4.9 or more runs/game on the season (AL), after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 9-78 L/5 seasons for a go against 90% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago White Sox to win 

In a matchup of right-handers, Antonio Senzatela (3-5, 4.90 ERA) will start for the Rockies on Monday against Mike Clevinger (2-3, 3.38). The L/3 starts that each of these pitchers have seen action in when these teams go head to head have seen this total eclipsed. Senzatela- 11, 11, 9 runs go on the board in his L/3 vs San Diego and Clevinger, 8, 19, 14 runs click in on the scoreboard vs Colorado. Im betting both these hurlers will help contribute to another combined score that goes over this offered number. Over is 5-2-3 in Rockies last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like Clevinger.  Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 like Senzatela. 

COLORADO is 8-0 OVER  after 3 or more consecutive unders this season with a combined average of 13.2 rpg scored. Over is 6-1-1 in Rockies last 8 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

 SAN DIEGO is 42-26 OVER )vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 9.8 rpg scored. Over is 8-3 in Padres last 11 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in San Diego.

Play OVER

Arizona, which is making its first trip to Progressive Field since 2014, will send right-hander Zach Davies (2-4, 3.94 ERA) to the hill in the series opener. Cleveland is off an extensive road trip, and despite of some teams taking time to get used to home cooking again, the resourceful Indians , Im betting are well coached enough to be wide awake enough to deal with this lower tier national league opponent. With Arizonas clubhouse on edge knowing moves are coming and have already been made Im sure they may not be as focused as usual making them vulnerable vs a up-trending team. Diamondbacks are 15-53 in their last 68 road games vs. a team with a winning record.

Guardians are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. National League West.Guardians are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (ARIZONA) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL, in August games are 58-154 for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Cleveland to win 

CORBIN is 0-10  against the money line after a loss this season. (Team's Record) CORBIN is 2-15 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this season. (Team's Record)

WASHINGTON is 8-36 against the money line against division opponents this season.WASHINGTON is 3-23  against the money line in home games revenging 4 or more straight losses vs opponent in last 2 years over the last 2 seasons.

MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (NY METS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 106-18 L/5 seasons for a  86% conversion rate for bettors. 

The Cubs enter this game in top form  having garnered wins in six of  their last eight since the All-Star break, including sweeping the Phillies in Philadelphia. The pitching  rotation has also stepped up  and in that span  has delivered a minuscule  1.01 ERA. With SF struggling  and missing key players from their lineup with injuries(Brandon Crawford, Evan Longoria, and Joc Pederson ) they look vulnerable to being upset here tonight. I know a top tier hurler for the Giants  in Rodon will be on the hill here tonight but he has not done particularly well on the road this season, where he owns a 3.88 ERA, and overall he has struggled against strong LHP hitting lines-ups . Chicago may not be explosive against lefties, but are equipped to deal with Rodon. RODON is 2-8 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse this season. (Team's Record)  RODON is 4-9  against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season. (Team's Record) Rodon is winless in his last three starts, having served up 10 runs in 11 innings in his last two.

Giants are 5-11 in their last 16 vs. a team with a losing record.

Giants are 4-9 in their last 13 games following a win.

Giants are 3-7 in their last 10 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Giants are 5-16 in their last 21 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Giants are 2-8 in their last 10 overall.

CHICAGO CUBS are 16-13  against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 this season. 

Play on Chicago Cubs to win 

Atlanta will send All-Star left-hander Max Fried (10-3, 2.73 ERA) against Arizona right-hander Merrill Kelly (10-5, 3.04). Kelly has been hot lately, but my power rankings suggest regression here vs a hot hitting Braves batting order that my pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggests he does matchup well against. Note: Kelly has made two career starts against the Braves, going 0-2 with a 6.23 ERA.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (ARIZONA) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 42-4 L/25 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.1 rpg. 

Play on the Atlanta Braves to win 

Brewers starter Ashby who owns a 5.72 road ERA and  has lost his L/2 starts  also threw a career-high 111 pitches, 81 for strikes in his last trip to the hill, which Im betting sees him a little tired here today at Fenway and vulnerable.Note: Red Sox are 12-4 in their last 16 games vs. a left-handed starter. Red Sox are 6-2 in their last 8 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.

Meanwhile, desperate Boston send out Winckowski (3-5, 5.18) who despite of recent struggles went 3-0 in three starts in June with a 2.12 ERA.

Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.

Red Sox are 42-17 in their last 59 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.

Red Sox are 130-63 in their last 193 interleague home games.

Red Sox are 94-46 in their last 140 interleague games.

Play on Boston Red Sox to win 

In seven career appearances in New York, Royals starter Greinke is 0-3 with a 9.22 ERA. I know the veteran hurler has pitched well recently, but according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings the NY Yankees explosive batting order matches up well against him and severe damage is something Im betting they induce on the Royals starter. Meanwhile,  NYY starter Montgomery is 0-2 with a 4.97 ERA over his past seven starts since getting a win in Toronto on June 17 and is  0-1 with a 4.63 ERA in two career starts against the Royals. 

Over is 12-3-2 in the last 17 meetings.Over is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings in New York.

Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 games following a win.Over is 11-1 in Yankees last 12 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 7-1 in Yankees last 8 home games

Braves starter ANDERSON is 8-0 against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at 3.5 runs which qualifies on the -1.5  RL offering. ANDERSON is 10-1 SU  in home games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff registering at 2 rpg.  ANDERSON is 1-0 in his career when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 0.429.  9 I know Anderson has had a hiccup in his L/2 starts, which were far from quality but he matches up very well here according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings and deserve respect . 

ARIZONA is 7-39 SU  as a ML road underdog of +175 to +250 over the last 2 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at -2.3 which qualifies on this RL offering. 

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (ATLANTA) - where team's hitters draw 3 walks or less/game on the season against opponent starting a pitcher who walked 5 or more hitters last outing are 57-7 with the average rpg diff coming in at +2.6 which once against qualifies on this RL offering from the books. 

The Red Sox have allowed four or less runs in three of their last five games,  and on the flip side have only  averaged  3.4 runs per game  in those five tilts. Yesterday they lost 4-1 and Im expecting that pattern to continue here vs visiting Milwaukee today which bodes well for a under cashing for us. Under is 14-3-2 in Brewers last 19 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.  Under is 28-10-3 in Brewers last 41 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter like  Bosox starter Pivetta. 

MILWAUKEE is 38-19 UNDER L/57 vs. an AL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season with a combined average of 7.5 rpg scored. MILWAUKEE is 41-21 UNDER in road games against AL East opponents with a combined average of 8.1 rpg scored. 

BOSTON is 29-18 UNDER after a loss this season with a combined average of 8.5 rpg scored. Under is 9-4 in Red Sox last 13 vs. National League Central.

MLB teams where the total is 10 or higher (BOSTON/MILWAUKEE ) - in an inter-league game, in July games are 75-26 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

BoSox starter Pivetta (8-7, 4.35 ERA)  had his best start in the past  month on Monday, holding the Cleveland Guardians scoreless until the fifth inning and totaling six strikeouts while allowing  one run in 5 2/3 innings. Im betting he gives the desperate Red Sox an edge here at home today in Fenway.BOSTON is 103-67  against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better like the Brewers Lauer. BOSTON is also 16-7  against the money line against left-handed starters this season. Lauer has not won since June 17 in Cincinnati.

Play on Red Sox to win 

 Baez has owned Stripling over the course of their careers. Baez has seven hits, including four doubles and a home run, in 10 plate appearances against the righty, according to Swish Analytics. His .700 batting average against Stripling is the best of any hitter vs. pitcher duel on Saturday with at least five previous plate appearances.

Stripling has also been struggling lately, which is another factor working in Baez’s favour. The 32-year-old has allowed 36 hits over his last 35.1 innings pitched. That’s a noticeable drop-off as he only allowed 35 hits across his first 43.0 innings pitched this year.

Texas starter PEREZ in 9  in road games this season. (Team's Record) has seen a combined average of 8.9 rpg scored. PEREZ  in 8 games on the  road when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season. (Team's Record) have seen a combined average of 9.5 rpg scored. Perez is 7-6 with a 4.01 ERA in 21 career games (17 starts) against the Angels.

LA ANGELS are 23-9 OVER  in home games after being shut out in a loss to a division rival with a combined average of 10.7 rpg scored. ( Angels were shutout yesterday) 

Texas has averaged 5.2 rpg vs LHP starters like Perez this season. Patrick Sandoval has garnered a 5.14 ERA in his L/3 starts and looks vulnerable here again tonight. Note:This month has been particularly bad for Sandoval, who is 0-4 with a 7.11 ERA in four starts.

My projections estimate 8+ runs scored here making this viable over wager. 

Play OVER 

Brewers starter WOODRUFF is 5-12  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) WOODRUFF is 6-13  against the money line in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Woodruff has not pitched all that well on the road this season is as evident by his 5.26 ERA and Im betting the BoSox get to him here at home in Fenway. Note: CORA is 28-9 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better in all games he has managed since 1997.

I know B. Bello the Red Sox starter might not give us alot of confidence but my power rankings suggest he matches up well here vs this Brewers batting order.

Red Sox are 102-42 in their last 144 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter

Red Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (BOSTON) - with a  bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL) are 90-70 L/26 seasons.

Play on Boston 

Cubbies starter Justin Steele has registered  just one loss in his last nine starts, going 3-1 with a 3.10 ERA and gives the visitor the advantage vs a Giants side that has lost 7 straight. 

CHICAGO CUBS are 7-1  against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .250 or worse in the second half of the season this season.

SAN FRANCISCO is 7-13  against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season.

MLB team (SAN FRANCISCO) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (NL), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 17-39 L/5 seasons for a  against 70% conversion rate.

Astros starter Urquidy is 2-3 with a 5.50 ERA over eight career appearances (seven starts) against the Mariners, including a 1-3 record and 7.58 ERA over four starts this season and is fade material against this group of Seattle hitters. 

Seattles starter GILBERT is 13-3 against the money line in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GILBERT is 13-1 against the money line after giving up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GILBERT is 9-2 against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record) and  is 2-1 with a 2.37 ERA in three starts against Houston this season

SEATTLE is 16-4  against the money line in July games this season.

SERVAIS is 8-1  against the money line in road games vs. AL teams allowing 3.9 or less runs/game in the second half of the season as the manager of SEATTLE.

Play on Seattle to win 

Reds starter CASTILLO is 4-9  against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at -0.9 . 

Im betting on the Marlins keeping this close or getting the outright win which adds value to gets +1.5 runs on the line. 

MLB Home favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =+115 to +160) (CINCINNATI) - team with a poor SLG (.400 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or better ) -NL, with a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season are 2-32 L/25 seasons for a  go against 94% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Miami to cover +1.5 on the runline 

The Giants are slumping but all good and bad runs must come to an end. Im betting on the current ugly outings, will come to end behind righty Webb is 3-0 with a 1.17 ERA in four career starts against Arizona. He took out the  Diamondbacks on July 12 when he struck out eight and gave up five hits and two walks during six scoreless innings. Webb is also  2-0 with a 1.38 ERA over his past four starts and deserves respect here as a short favorite.

 WEBB is 11-0   against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Meanwhile, Arizonas starter are 1-4 with a 5.05 ERA in eight career starts against San Francisco.

SAN FRANCISCO is 24-9 against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

MLB  teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SAN FRANCISCO) - after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a bad team (38-46%) are 31-7 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on SF Giants to win 

Colorado has struggled against RHP this season averaging just 4 rpg vs orthodox hurlers, and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does matchup well vs Pale Hose starter Giolito  . Meanwhile, Rockies starting thrower Senzatela despite of not being in good form, has pitched decently at home this season, garnering a 3-2 record and a 4.02 ERA and matches up well vs a White Sox batting order that is very inconsistent and not used to his stuff. 

COLORADO is 34-16 UNDER in an inter-league game over the last 3 seasons. COLORADO is 41-27 UNDER  vs. poor base-running teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Under is 8-0-1 in Rockies last 9 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 23-8-1 in Rockies last 32 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 11-4-1 in Rockies last 16 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 34-15-3 in Rockies last 52 interleague home games.Under is 37-17-2 in Rockies last 56 interleague games.Under is 47-22-4 in Rockies last 73 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.

Under is 8-3-1 in White Sox last 12 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 21-8-5 in White Sox last 34 road games with the total set at 11.0 or higher. Under is 40-19-6 in White Sox last 65 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.

CHI WHITE SOX are 101-67 UNDER  when the total is 11 or higher since 1997.

MLB teams where the total is 10 or higher (CHICAGO WHITE SOX/COLORADO) - in an inter-league game, in July games are 68-26 L5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

Tigers starter Yu Darvish (9-4, 3.28 ERA) in  five of his last eight starts,has allowed one or no runs. He's worked long and gone  six or more innings in 16 of his 18 starts. Im betting a on a rinse and repeat situation here today. Note: DARVISH is 7-0 in his career when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.47 and a WHIP of 1.178. 

Padres are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Padres are 11-5 in their last 16 road games vs. a left-handed starter like the Tigers starter Skubal.

SAN DIEGO is 18-11  against the money line in road games vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game this season.

Play on San Diego to win 

The Giants are slumping especially defensively and with their pitching and  bull pen and have now allowed 37 runs in their L/6 games overall. With the Dbacks bats showing life recently scoring 7 runs or more in 3 of their L/4 games Im betting the Giants are breached again, whihc will significantly help get is over the total . 

SAN FRANCISCO is 7-0 OVER after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 5 or more earned runs this season with a combined 13.3 rpg. 

ARIZONA is 51-29 OVER  vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 10 rpg scored.

MLB Home teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (ARIZONA) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against a very good starter (ERA 3.00 or less ) (NL), after a win by 4 runs or more are 47-14 OVER L/25 seasons for a 77% conversion rate.

MLB Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (SAN FRANCISCO) - with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start against opponent with a starting pitcher who is winless after 5 or more starts are 99-49 OVER L/25 seasons for a 67% conversion rate! 

Play OVER

The Angels,  offensive production is and has almost non existent during July as they are averaging just 2.7 runs per game and have scored two runs or fewer in 12 of their 18 games this month. Their solid inconsistent ineptness was on display yesterday in a 7-0 loss to the Royals and that ugly betty output Im betting gets them into a rinse and repeat situation in this tilt vs the Royals this Tuesday.  

Angles starter SUAREZ is 2-12   against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in his career. (Team's Record)

LA ANGELS are 4-17  against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 this season.NEVIN is 9-22  against the money line in night games as the manager of LA ANGELS.

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (KANSAS CITY) - with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 36-16 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate.

Play on the KC Royals to win 

The Cincinnati Reds Im betting will continue their home dominance of the visiting Miami Marlins when the clubs meet Tuesday.With their 11-2 win on Monday, the Reds have routed the Marlins 53-12 in eight straight home wins. Miami hasn't won in Cincinnati since 2018 and has dropped 12 of its past 15 overall to the Reds. This is a rinse and repeat situation at play here in this spot play behind Greene the Reds starting pitcher. Note: Marlin have been shutout in 4 of their L/7 and have scored one run or less 5 of their L/8. 

Reds are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Reds are 7-1 in their last 8 home games.

Marlins right-hander Pablo Lopez (6-5, 3.14 ERA) hs had  poor stats vs. Cincinnati: 0-2 with a 7.45 ERA in two starts, and is fade material again.

Marlins are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.

Play on Cincinnati Reds to win 

GREINKE is 118-51 against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game since 1997. (Team's Record) The veteran hurler owns a 1.86 ERA at home this season where he has pitched his best ball.  Meanwhile, Los Angeles' Noah Syndergaard (5-7, 4.00 ERA) has won only once in his last seven starts and is fade material in his current form. 

NEVIN is 4-19  against the money line vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game as the manager of LA ANGELS.NEVIN is 2-14  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) as the manager of LA ANGELS.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA ANGELS) - poor offensive team - scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season (AL) against opponent starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are 31-61 L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate. 

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (KANSAS CITY) - with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing 2 runs or less are 125-82 L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on KC Royals to win 

The Pirates have averaged 2.9 runs  in their L/8 games overall  but their starting pitchers have a 2.65 ERA in the last seven road contests. So Im betting on more of the same here today and also betting this will contribute to a lower scoring affair. 

CHICAGO CUBS are 21-7 UNDER after having won 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons. CHICAGO CUBS are 18-7 UNDER after allowing 4 runs or less 4 straight games over the last 2 seasons.  

PITTSBURGH is 22-11 UNDER  in road games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season.PITTSBURGH is 17-7 UNDER  in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse this season.

5 of the L/6 meeting have gone under the total.

Play UNDER 

Pittsburgh's starter  BRUBAKER is 3-21 against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

Note:From 2019 to 2021, Pittsburgh batted .239 and posted a ugly looking  6.54 ERA while going 3-19 against the Cubs in Chicago and Im betting that ugly run continues here today.

The Pirates have averaged 2.9 runs while going 2-6 after winning four in a row, and are fade material entering this game vs the Cubs.

Pirates are 50-117 in their last 167 road games.Pirates are 21-51 in their last 72 road games vs. a right-handed starter like the Cubs starter Sampson.

Play on Chicago Cubs to win 

Southpaw Sean Manaea (5-4, 4.11 ERA) will start Monday's game for the Padres. Manaea has won his last two starts  vs  Colorado where he held them  to two runs in 6 1/3 innings on July 11, then gave up three runs in six innings against Arizona on July 16. Im betting he continues to being upward momentum into this tilt vs a very inconsistent Tigers side that has lost 10 of their L/12 games overall.MANAEA is 16-2  against the money line against AL Central opponents in his career. (Team's Record)

Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.

Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Play on the San Diego Padres to win 

The Rays starting hurler does not matchup well vs the Orioles batting order. The O’s have a .320 OBP and 17 RBIs against Kluber in 124 at-bats and Im betting they continue their success today. Meanwhile, Voth the Orioles starter who already saw his team win his lat start this season vs the Rays has an edge here vs TBs projected batting order. 

Rays are 1-5 in their last 6 road games.

Orioles are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter like the Rays starter Kluber. Orioles are 9-2 in their last 11 home game

BALTIMORE is 17-11  against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better this season.BALTIMORE is 6-1  against the money line after a loss by 6 runs or more this season. (Yankees won 6-0 yesterday vs Orioles) BALTIMORE is 12-6  against the money line in July games this season.

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BALTIMORE) - after a loss by 6 runs or more against opponent after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games are 91-49 L/25 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Orioles to win 

 The Padres have won four of the past five meetings  with the Mets and my projections show me they have the edge again with all star Musgrove  (8-2, 2.42)  on the mound.  it must be noted that Mets continue to falter, and with Carrasco on the hill look to be at a disadvantage. The righty  ended the first half  in bad form despite of one shutout vs the inconsistent Cubs . He put up a 5.66 ERA and a very ugly  1.65 WHIP over his final seven starts and is fade. material in his current form. CARRASCO is 3-14 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

SAN DIEGO is 7-0  against the money line in road games after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better this season.

SAN DIEGO is 19-12  against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this season.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SAN DIEGO) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against a decent starter (ERA 3.70 to 4.20)-NL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL) are 43-18 L/25 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on San Diego to win 

The Halos enter this game having allowed 6 or more runs in 6 of their L/8 games and have allowed 31 runs in their their L/4 trips to the diamonds which averages out to just under 8 runs per game. My projections estimate the Braves will score 6+ runs here today vs Detmers ( 5.26 Road ERA ) and company. Note: Atlanta has averaged 5.7 RPG vs LHP this season and the  Braves have scored 24 runs in their last 4 tilts and 4 or more runs in 9 of their last 12 games overall. 

Atlanta starter Anderson owns a 5.26 ERA at home this season and Im betting the Angels do enough damage in coordination with the Braves explosive offense to get us over the set total. 

SNITKER is 32-19 OVER  after scoring 7 runs or more 2 straight games as the manager of ATLANTA with a combined average of 9.9 rpg scored. 

Over is 4-0 in Angels last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter like Atlantas starter Wright. Over is 8-2 in Angels last 10 inter-league road games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 7-2-2 in Angels last 11 vs. National League East.Over is 19-7-7 in Angels last 33 during game 2 of a series.

 Over is 4-0 in Braves last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 4-1-1 in Braves last 6 inter-league home games.

Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Atlanta.

Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

MLB  Road teams (LA ANGELS) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less ) against an average NL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 33-7 OVER L/25 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

Over is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 like Baltimores righty starter Kremer. Over is 10-2 in Yankees last 12 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Meanwhile, Cortes the Yanks starter despite of some good numbers could easily be rusty as this is first start since the all star break. Hes the type of pitcher that needs alot of innings to stay loose. 

Over is 13-3 in Yankees last 16 vs. American League East.

Over is 4-0-1 in Orioles last 5 overall.

HYDE is 26-6 OVER vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game in the second half of the season as the manager of BALTIMORE with a combined average of 12.6 rpg scored. BALTIMORE is 14-2 OVER vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 13.2 rpg scored.HYDE is 12-3 OVER vs. AL teams allowing 3.9 or less runs/game in the second half of the season as the manager of BALTIMORE with a combined average of 10.9 rpg scored. BALTIMORE is 8-0 OVER  vs. AL teams allowing 3.9 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored. 

Over is 20-8-1 in Orioles last 29 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

NY YANKEES are 10-1 OVER  vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 12.2 rpg scored. 

Play OVER

Oakland right-hander James Kaprielian (1-5, 5.09 ERA), has made two starts against the Rangers this season,, but he didn't get a decision in either after allowing seven runs in 9 1/3 innings of sub par work. Im betting the Rangers get to him again today. 

Rangers are 14-4 in their last 18 during game 2 of a series.

OAKLAND is 8-19  against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season. OAKLAND is 1-12 against the money line in home games after a win by 2 runs or less this season (As won 5-4 yesterday)

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TEXAS) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games are 100-51 L/25 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Rangers are 9-4 in the last 13 meetings.

Rangers are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Oakland.

Play on Texas to win 

Philadelphia will hand the ball to right-hander Zack Wheeler (8-5, 2.89 ERA) on SaturdayPhillies starter WHEELER is 23-8  against the money line in July games since 1997. (Team's Record)

Cubs are 18-55 in their last 73 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

Right-hander Marcus Stroman (2-5, 4.69) is scheduled to start for the Cubs on Saturday. STROMAN is 6-16  against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Phillies are 21-9 in their last 30 games vs. a right-handed starter like Stroman. 

Cubs are 10-21 in their last 31 vs. National League East.Cubs are 31-65 in their last 96 vs. a team with a winning record.Cubs are 3-9 in the last 12 meetings.Cubs are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings in Philadelphia.

Play on Philadelphia to win 

The Toronto Blue Jays obliterated the Bosox yesterday 28-5 and now a regression performance from the Jays must be expected which Im betting coordinates with redemption the home team intends to feed on here. Note: The runs were also the most allowed by the Red Sox in club history.

Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Blue Jays are 2-8 in their last 10 road games.

MLB Road teams (TORONTO) - after a game where they had at least 10 more hits than their opponent against opponent after 4 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base are 12-37 L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate.

Play on Boston Red Sox to win 

The Angles have allowed 6 or more run in 4 of their L/6 leading up the all star break and despite of having a top tier hurler on the hill tonight in Ohtani, they remain vulnerable defensively and in their bullpen. Before the all star break Atlanta won 5-4 last  Thursday, 8-4 Friday and 6-3 in the Saturday matchup and Im betting the offense continues its stability here and helps us get over the set total. Meanwhile, the Angels offense has shown some flashes of brilliance, and according to my pitcher vs power rankings matches up well here vs Morton and company. 

Over is 5-1-1 in Braves last 7 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 27-11-1 in Braves last 39 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter like the Halos  Ohtani. 

Over is 7-2 in Angels last 9 inter-league road games vs. a right-handed starter like the Braves Morton. Over is 6-2-2 in Angels last 10 vs. National League East.

MLB  road teams (LA ANGELS) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against an average NL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.100 or less  over his last 10 games are 32-7 OVER L/25 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

The Marlins lost  8-0 yesterday, extending their losing streak to four games and their scoreless streak to 34 innings and now in a state of complete desperation Im betting they find a way to put runs on the board here and grab a win vs the Pittsburgh Pirates. 

Note: Marlins left-hander Braxton Garrett (1-3, 3.70 ERA) is scheduled to start Friday. Garrett is coming off his first career start vs the Pirates but did  not get a decision in the Marlins' 3-2 victory July 14, but he set a career high with 11 strikeouts over six scoreless innings, with two hits and two walks. Rinse and repeat scenario at play here. 

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MIAMI) - after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a struggling team (38-46%) are 29-7 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Miami to win 

 On May 11 Louge the As starter shutout the Tigers in his teams 9-0 win. He matches up well here vs the Tigers batting order and gets the nod again in a rinse and repeat situation.

  MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (OAKLAND) - off an upset win vs. a division rival as an underdog of +130 or higher against opponent off a loss by 6 runs or more to a division rival are 29-7 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Oakland As to win 

We start the 2nd half of the season off with a key ML investment option centering around the NY Yankees @ Houston Astros. My power rankings suggest we have very good value here with a Yankees wager. New York is off losing game 1 of their last series before the all star break to the Boston Red Sox in  extra-innings  in the opener before roaring back in the last 2 games of the series and  outscoring the Red Sox 27-3 to take the series. Im betting that explosive offense momentum continues here vs the Astros vs C Javier the Astros expected starter. In his last three starts, Javier is 1-2 with a 5.17 ERA, a 1.02 WHIP. 

Note: Expected starter for Yankees not named yet. 

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (HOUSTON) - off a loss to a division rival as a favorite of -150 or higher, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 15-49 L5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate!

Rangers hurler Gray is a solid pitcher but my own pitcher vs batting order rankings suggest Lopez the Marlins starter has the edge. Pablo Lopez has garnered  a record of 6-4 in his 18 starts this season including. a solid  2.86 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP in those trips to the hill. 

Marlins are 13-3 in their last 16 vs. a team with a losing record.Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 Thursday games.Marlins are 10-3 in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing record.

Rangers are 14-40 in their last 54 games following an off day. Rangers are 0-4 in their last 4 overall.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MIAMI) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a bad team (38-46%) are 39-12 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. 

MLB Home teams (MIAMI) - after a game where they had 4 or less hits, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 10 games are 111-51 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. 

The Seattle Mariners have won 13 straight games, two short of their franchise record, and Im betting that run continues into the all star break behind the arm of Flexen and a viable bullpen. Flexen hasn't faced the Rangers this season, but he's 4-0 in five starts against Texas in his career with a 2.53 ERA. FLEXEN is 12-1  against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Mariners are 27-8 in the last 35 meetings.

Mariners are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Texas.

Seattle according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings matcxhes up well vs the Rangers,  right-hander Glenn Otto (4-5, 5.50 ERA) . Otto is 0-3 in four starts . 

 Mariners are 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Mariners are 15-3 in their last 18 vs. a team with a losing record.

SEATTLE is 7-0   against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season this season.SEATTLE is 11-0  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season. 

SEATTLE is 13-1  against the money line in the second half of the season this season.

Mariners are 27-8 in the last 35 meetings.Mariners are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Texas.

Play on Seattle to win 

Mets are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter like the Cubbies starter  Sampson. Meanwhile, Cubs are 17-37 in their last 54 games vs. a left-handed starter and are 5-11 in their last 16 home games vs. a left-handed starter like the NY mets starter Peterson. 

These are two teams playing at the opposite end of the performance spectrum as is evident by the Mets having won 4 straight while the Cubs have lost 9 straight. With that said, Im betting the Mets momentum continues into the all star break, while the Cubbies downward momentum also continues. 

CHICAGO CUBS are 1-16  against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 4.0 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. CHICAGO CUBS are 3-21  against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. CHICAGO CUBS are 4-19 against the money line after 6 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (NY METS) - NL team with a low on-base percentage (.350 or less ) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or better ), with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 10 games are 232-99 L/25 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NY Mets to win 

In 14 trips to the hill  this season, Royals starter  Bubic is 1-6 with a 6.63 ERA and a 1.86 WHIP and looks like cannon fodder for this sometimes explosive batting order. note: When he leaves this game Bubics  backup crew  dating back to  June 1st,  ranks  22nd in the league in ERA, 25th in BA, 18th in SLG and 25th in wOBA. ( The Blue Jays are averaging 4.25 runs scored per game L/20 trips to the diamond).   

Meanwhile, the Blue Jays starter Berrios, could easily get lit up a team that has been consistent offensively, as is evident during  their last 15 games ,  where they are  averaging 4.53 runs per game. Berrios is 7-4 with a 5.38 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP this season, and Blue Jays’ bullpen is ranked  24th in the league in ERA, 20th in BA, 22nd in SLG and 19th in wOBA since June 1st. 

So according to the performance data both pitchers and bullpens are in sub par form, and a probable  boatload full of runs is gives us an edge on cashing  an over wager. 

TORONTO is 8-1 OVER after batting .315 or better over a 5 game span this season.  Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 during game 4 of a series.

KANSAS CITY is 23-12 OVER  when playing against a team with a winning record this season.Over is 5-1 in Royals last 6 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.

Play OVER 

Marlins - M. Meyer-R vs Phillies - R. Suarez-L

Only twice in their L/12 games have the Marlins scored more than 4 runs and nothing changes today against left hander Suarez and his bullpen. The Marlins have struggled against LHP this season averaging just 3.6 runs per game. Meanwhile, Philadelphia's explosive offense has suddenly gone quiet of late, scoring more than 3 runs only once in their L/7 trips to the diamonds . The saving grace for the Phillies sort of speak has been their pitching and D, as they have allowed more than 4 runs just twice  in their 11, including 4 shutouts during that strong run suppressing span. 

Key stats:LAST 10 GAMES:   .189 batting average, 3.00 ERA,.  Phillies: .212 batting average, 3.03 ERA.

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games on the road.The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 9 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games.he total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games at home.

Play UNDER

Mariners are 8-1 in their last 9 road games vs. a right-handed starter like the Rangers starter today Howard. Spencer Howard the Rangers starter has garnered a ugly 8.25 ERA in his L/3 starts and looks to be cannon fodder in this spot play. 

Seattles starter GILBERT is 7-0 against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)  GILBERT is 16-4  against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GILBERT is 2-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 2.70 and a WHIP of 1.033.

SEATTLE is 9-0 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season.SEATTLE is 12-3   against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season.SEATTLE is 11-1  against the money line in the second half of the season this season. Mariners are 9-1 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing record.

Play on Seattle to win 

BUNDY is 5-0 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 3.43 and a WHIP of 0.929. in 7 career starts with the White Sox winning all of those games. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here again today. 

BALDELLI is 33-10 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.90 or worse as the manager of MINNESOTA like the White Sox Lynn (6.97 ERA). 

Twins are 6-2 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Twins are 16-7 in their last 23 home games vs. a team with a losing record.

White Sox are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Minnesota.

White Sox are 2-7 in the last 9 meetings.

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MINNESOTA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or less over his last 5 starts are 43-19 L/25 seasons for a 73% conversion rate.

Play on Minnesota Twins to win 

The Yankees have lost four of their past five games after taking the first two contests in last week's four-game series at Boston vs the Red Sox.

In the four losses, New York bullpen was pulverized for  19 runs (15 earned) in 12 innings for an ERA of 11.25 which culminated in a 7-6 loss yesterday to the Reds. The Yankees have now allowed 45 runs in their L/7 games and Im betting things dont get much better for them again today.

Meanwhile, the BoSox relievers allowed 10 runs (six earned) in 11 innings against the Rays in this weeks series, and also look vulnerable against a NYY offense that can pound the best of hurlers. 

My projections estimate late run accumulation thanks to explosive offenses and  tired pitching staffs get us over this offered total.

Play OVER

Both these teams look tired entering this final series before the all star break, but Im betting the Yankees home field advantage and overall superior offense get the job done here tonight . Im betting on a redemption minded Yankee group that blew two leads and suffered losses in the last two games of their previous weekend series against this same Bosox side will be a key motivating factor.

Red Sox are 0-4 in their last 4 road games. Red Sox are 8-20 in their last 28 vs. American League East.

Yankees are 39-13 in their last 52 during game 1 of a series.Yankees are 39-13 in their last 52 home games.Yankees are 38-14 in their last 52 games vs. a right-handed starter like BoSox starter Eovaldi. .

MLB Road teams (BOSTON) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better on the season-AL are 175-302 L/25 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors.

Red Sox are 15-38 in the last 53 meetings in New York.

Red Sox are 4-10 in the last 14 meetings.

Play on NY Yankees to win 

Miami's starter Sandy Alcantara is a top tier starting pitcher, but the Phillies talented and explosive batting order can make the best of hurlers look average. Note: PHILADELPHIA is 10-4   against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better this season. I know the Phillies have not looked good in the batters box in their L/few trips to the diamond , but it must also be noted that PHILADELPHIA is 8-1 L/9 against the money line in road games after 2 straight games with at least 7 less hits than their opponent.

Considering the Marlins have scored more than 4 runs only twice in their L/11 games, its not a stretch to suggest they could be outscored tonight even with their all star on the hill. 

 Phillies are 9-3 in their last 12 during game 1 of a series.Phillies are 5-2 in their last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Marlins are 17-40 in their last 57 during game 1 of a series.

MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (MIAMI) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.20 to 5.20)-NL, with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 22-40 L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. 

MLB team (MIAMI) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.20 to 5.20)-NL, starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 16-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Philadelphia to win 

Im betting after losing 7-1 yesterday to the Angels the top tier Astros will be ready to bounce back here behind the arm of Valdez. Note: Angels are 20-42 in their last 62 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 and are 3-8 in their last 11 games vs. a left-handed starter.  LA ANGELS are 6-23 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start this season.

HOUSTON is 23-9   against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season like the Halos Detmers. 

Astros are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Astros are 5-1 in their last 6 road games.Astros are 17-4 in their last 21 during game 3 of a series.

Astros are 38-18 in the last 56 meetings in Los Angeles.

LA ANGELS are 1-11  against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season this season.

Play on Astros to win 

White Sox starter CUETO is 6-0   against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) CUETO is 3-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 1.38 and a WHIP of 1.115.

Minnesota's righty starter GRAY is 14-22   against the money line when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) in his career. (Team's Record) Note: White Sox are 19-9 in their last 28 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.

 Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 overall.

Play on the Chicago White Sox to win 

Yankees pitching and bullpen looks tired which is evident by allowing 38 runs in their L/6 games and have gone over the total in 6 of their L/7 overall. Six of the games saw the other side score 4 or more runs scored and 5 have seen 5 or more runs go on the board from their opposition.  With the Reds recently showing some life offensively and the Yankees always a threat to explode with a boat load full of runs we have a situation that favors an over wager cashing. 
CINCINNATI is 33-18 OVER  vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game this season.

Play OVER

Snell the Padres starter in nine starts this season,   is 1-5 with a 4.66 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings actually matches up well vs the Rockies. Snell is also in good form after allowing  just two earned runs on seven hits through his L/ 11 innings of work. He is backed by a strong bullpen  which ranks  seventh in the league in ERA, 14th in BA, ninth in SLG and ninth in wOBA since June 1st.

SNELL is 15-4 UNDER vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record)

Meanwhile, the Rockies starter   left-hander Kyle Freeland goes to the hill. Im betting he has an edge as  , the Padres rank just 19th in the league in BA, 22nd in SLG, 21st in OPS and 21st in wOBA since the beginning of June vs southpaw pitching.In his two trips to the hill against the Fathers , Freeland is 2-0 with a 4.15 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP.  He has seen  11 or less runs scored in nine of  his L/ 10 starts.

FREELAND is 29-10 UNDER  vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record)  

FREELAND is 35-16 UNDER  at home when the total is 11 or higher in his career. (Team's Record)

 Road teams where the total is 11 or higher (SAN DIEGO) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less ) against a team with a below average bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more ), with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start are 68-32 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Astros are 11-1 in their last 12 road games vs. a right-handed starter like the Angels starter Ohtani. HOUSTON is 30-12  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season (Ohtani)

LA ANGELS are 16-35  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season like Astros starter Javier. 

Ohtani the Halos starter has the big name brand on his side, which is tainting this monehyline offering. No matter what the superior talent is on the Astros side of the field including all important team chemistry, something the Angels are lacking. 

Astros are 21-7 in their last 28 vs. American League West.

Astros are 37-18 in the last 55 meetings in Los Angeles.

Play on Houston to win 

Mike Minor is for lack of a better word, crap during this campaign,  as is evident by garnering a 6.33 ERA and 6.79 FIP. With that said Im betting on Stanton lighting him up.  Minor this  has a ugly slash line vs righties .310/.385/.610  and with guys like  Stanton in the lineup who  is a top tier right handed batter.  

Pirates starting hurler BRUBAKER is 3-18  against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) BRUBAKER is 3-20 against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Marlins matchup well here, and after losing the first two games of this series are going to be primed to bounce back.

Marlins are 6-0 in their last 6 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.

Marlins are 11-3 in their last 14 vs. a team with a losing record.Marlins are 8-3 in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing record.

Pirates are 12-40 in their last 52 during game 3 of a series. Pirates are 49-113 in their last 162 road games. Pirates are 19-40 in their last 59 road games vs. a team with a losing record.

MLB Home favorites with a opening money line of -175 to -250 (MIAMI) - where team's hitters draw 3 walks or less/game on the season against opponent starting a pitcher who walked 5 or more hitters last outing are 55-7 L/25 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Miami Marlins to win 

Arizonas starter today vs the Giants ( Gallen)  has not got a decision in  five straight starts, during which he compiled a 4.97 ERA.    In seven lifetime starts against the Giants, he is 1-4 with a 5.50 ERA, including 0-2 with a 6.41 ERA in four starts in San Francisco and is fade material once again. The Giants took out the Dbacks by a 13-0 count yesterday and that momentum Im betting will carry into this tilt. 

Diamondbacks are 14-46 in their last 60 road games vs. a team with a winning record.

SAN FRANCISCO is 26-6  against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.ARIZONA is 9-36  against the money line in road games after scoring 2 runs or less over the last 2 seasons.

Diamondbacks are 5-17 in the last 22 meetings in San Francisco.

Play on SF Giants to win 

NY METS are 35-19 against the money line against right-handed starters this season like Atlanta's starter Morton. 

Mets are 14-5 in their last 19 during game 3 of a series. Mets are 5-2 in their last 7 road games.

NY METS are 19-9 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. NY METS are 27-11  against the money line against division opponents this season.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (NY METS) - team with a poor SLG (.400 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or better ) -NL, starting a pitcher who walked 1 or less hitters each of his last 2 outings are 29-15 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB team (ATLANTA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (NL), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.100 or better  over his last 10 games are 17-37 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Play on the NY Mets to win 

Dodgers are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a left-handed starter like the Cards starter  Liberatore. The Dodgers are batting just .239 vs LHP this season and despite of being in good form are fade material here according to my power rankings. 

Dodgers starter WHITE is 0-1 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 7.20 and a WHIP of 1.000.

Cardinals are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. National League West. 

ST LOUIS is 26-18 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. ST LOUIS is 11-2  ) against the money line after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span this season. ST LOUIS is 29-19  against the money line against NL West opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Dodgers are 2-7 in the last 9 meetings in St. Louis.

MLB  underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (ST LOUIS) - team with a poor SLG (.400 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or better ) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.70 to 5.20 on the season (NL) are 29-11 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on st.Louis to win

Probable Pitchers: Twins - J. Winder-R vs Brewers - J. Alexander-R

Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 overall.

Twins are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 home games. Twins are 5-2 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.

Twins are 5-2 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Twins are 5-2 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. Twins are 5-2 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.

 teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MILWAUKEE) - off a loss to a division rival as a favorite of -150 or higher, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 15-49 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. 

Brewers are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings.

Brewers are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings in Minnesota.

Play on Minnesota Twins to win 

MLB  Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (ATLANTA) - where team's hitters draw 3 walks or less/game on the season against opponent starting a pitcher who walked 5 or more hitters last outing are 55-7 L/25 seasons for a 89% conversion rate.

Bostons starter Sale has been off with a while because of injuries, and Im betting he still is not 100% where he was before being sidelines, and is vulnerable vs the Rays batting order that despite of being banged up with injuries showed some explosiveness yesterday Look for the momentum to continue. .

Red Sox are 2-7 in their last 9 games on astroturf.Red Sox are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.

TAMPA BAY is 27-9  against the money line after a game where the bullpen threw 7 or more innings over the last 2 seasons. TAMPA BAY is 14-4  against the money line in home games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons. CASH is 35-14 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in home games after scoring 9 runs or more as the manager of TAMPA BAY which was the case yesterday in a 10-5 win vs this same BoSox. Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. American League East.

Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TAMPA BAY) - with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL), after a win by 4 runs or more are 72-37 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. 

Red Sox are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings.

Red Sox are 4-10 in the last 14 meetings in Tampa Bay.

Play on Tampa Bay to win 

MLB  Home favorites with a opening money line of -175 to -250 (MIAMI) - where team's hitters draw 3 walks or less/game on the season against opponent starting a pitcher who walked 5 or more hitters last outing are 55-7 L/25 seasons for a 89% conversion rate.

The San Diego Padres play their home games at sea level and have developed some series issues winning in the mile-high altitude of Denver and have lost 10 straight games here at Coors field. 

With San Diego expected to start left-hander Sean Manaea (3-4, 4.18 ERA), who is making his third career start at Coors Field, the Padres losing streak according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings will continue.

Note: Manaea lost both of those outings as a member of the Oakland Athletics. He has a 5.06 ERA in 10 2/3 innings in Denver

COLORADO is 38-17 against the money line in home games with a team slugging percentage .390 or worse on the season (NL) over the last 2 seasons.

SAN DIEGO is 2-9 against the money line on the road when the total is 11 or higher over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (COLORADO) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against a decent starter (ERA 3.70 to 4.20 or less)-NL, starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 24-11 L/25 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. 

Play on Colorado to win 

Cardinals starting hurler Miles Mikolas (5-7, 2.72 ERA) has suffered from poor run support all season. The Cardinals have been shut out in four of his starts and it scored just once in two others and because of this is fade material here today vs a explosive Phillies offense. 

ST LOUIS is 6-17  against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better this season like Phillies starter Nola. 

MLB Home teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (ST LOUIS) - cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games are 13-43 L/5 seasons for a go against  77% conversion rate.

Play on Philadelphia Phillies to win 

After a big series against the NYY this past weekend and big come back victories in back to back games an emotional letdown situation is on todays agenda for the BoSox vs another key rival Tampa Bay.

BOSTON is 1-7 against the money line after scoring 9 runs or more this season. (Boston won 11 -6 yesterday after being down 6-3 early on in the game)

CASH is 51-36  against the money line in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season as the manager of TAMPA BAY.

Play on TB Rays to win 

The first game of the doubleheader features a matchup between the Tigers' Michael Pineda (2-3, 3.62 ERA) and the Royals' Brad Keller (4-9, 4.37). Pineda, 33, has made two starts since missing nearly two months with a fractured right middle finger. The right-hander allowed two runs over five innings in an 8-2 win over the Cleveland Guardians last Wednesday and gives the Tigers an edge as underdogs in this spot play. 

KCs starter KELLER is 0-10 against the money line in home games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)KELLER is 1-12   against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Tigers are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Tigers are 6-2 in their last 8 overall.

KANSAS CITY is 3-16 against the money line after 3 consecutive game versus a division rival this season.

Royals are 10-23 in their last 33 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Royals are 2-5 in their last 7 home games.

The first game of the doubleheader features a matchup between the Tigers' Michael Pineda (2-3, 3.62 ERA) and the Royals' Brad Keller (4-9, 4.37). Pineda, 33, has made two starts since missing nearly two months with a fractured right middle finger. The right-hander allowed two runs over five innings in an 8-2 win over the Cleveland Guardians last Wednesday and gives the Tigers an edge as underdogs in this spot play. 

KCs starter KELLER is 0-10 against the money line in home games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)KELLER is 1-12   against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Tigers are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Tigers are 6-2 in their last 8 overall.

KANSAS CITY is 3-16 against the money line after 3 consecutive game versus a division rival this season.

Royals are 10-23 in their last 33 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Royals are 2-5 in their last 7 home games.

Play on Detroit to win 

Im betting the Boston Red Sox  ride the momentum of a energy charged comeback victory last night into a series split. Note: Yankees starter Tallon maybe starting to show signs of fatigue lately, as he has  allowed 14 earned runs and 23 hits in 16 innings over his last three starts. Advantage Red sox batting order. 

BOSTON is 10-1  against the money line after 6 or more consecutive home games this season. Red Sox are 7-0 in their last 7 Sunday games.

Yankees are 3-7 in their last 10 during game 4 of a series.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (NY YANKEES) - off a loss to a division rival as a favorite of -150 or higher, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 15-49 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (NY YANKEES) - top level team, winning 62% or more of their games on the season, playing on Sunday are 20-39 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate.

MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (NY YANKEES) - hot hitting team - batting .305 or better over their last 5 games, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.00 the last 5 games are 20-35 L/5 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate.

Play on Bosox to win 

JAMESON TAILLON (R) vs. NICK PIVETTA (R)

Two quality offensive lineups, go head to head vs two pitchers that have registered   ERAs over five in their last three trips to the hill.  Both bullpens are also exhausted and depleted and this Im betting relates to a higher scoring affair. 

BOSTON is 17-4 OVER  in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 12.7 rog scored. CORA is 20-7 OVER  in home games vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less  errors/game in the second half of the season in all games he has managed .

BOONE is 40-15 OVER after a 5 game span with an OBP of .375 or better as the manager of NY YANKEES with a combined average of 11.4 rpg. 

MLB Road teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (NY YANKEES) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), red hot hitting team - batting .325 or better over their last 5 games are 45-16 OVER L/25 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Boston.

Play on the OVER

Gilbert will make his fifth start of the season filling in for the injured Zach Davies. Gilbert is 0-0 with a 7.20 ERÅ in one career start against the Rockies and Im betting the Rockies do damage here and help eclipse this total. Meanwhile, Right-hander German Marquez (4-7, 5.90 ERA) will start the series finale for Colorado and my power rankings suggest the Arizona batting order matches up well against him furthering our bid to see an over wager cash here today. 

 ARIZONA is 17-6 OVER in home games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

COLORADO is 26-15 OVER when playing against a team with a losing record this season with a combined average of 11.3 rpg scored in those tiolts. 

The Rockies are 15-0-3 OVER when the line is +100 or less off a game in which their starter gave up multiple runs and his strike-to-ball ratio was less than 2.05.

Play OVER

Taijuan Walker (7-2, 2.86 ERA) is scheduled to start for the Mets against Sandy Alcantara (9-3, 1.82) in a battle of right-handers.Walker is a top tier hurler but Miami's Alacantara is a Cy Young award winning candidate, and must be respected as he has now gone 7 plus inning in 11 straight games. Note: Mets are 2-9 in their last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

Yesterday the Mets took a comeback win , but now Im betting on a bounce back situation from the redemption minded Marlins and a emotional letdown situation to be  hamper the Mets. 

Play on the Miami Marlins to win 

Blue Jays starter Manoah owns a bloated 4.38 ERA and has surrendered a .308 on-base percentage in his last four trips to the hill all starts. Meanwhile, former Jay , the Mariners starter today, Ray has been brilliant in his L/33.2 innings of work allowing just  three-runs in his last five starts ,for a minuscule 0.80 ERA. Opp batters have garnered a sub par  .216 on-base percentage over during that span.

The Blue Jays are 1-3 in their starter Manoah’s last four starts while the Mariners are 4-1 in Ray’s last five starts.

The Mariners are red hot having won  six straight  games  and have now won nine of their last 10.  Meanwhile, the Blue Jays  have lost  seven of their last 10 games and are winless in seven of their last eight series and are fade material in this current form. 

SEATTLE is 21-8  against the money line vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (TORONTO) - with a team on base percentage .320 or worse on the season (AL) against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or less over his last 5 starts are 46-73 L/5 seasons for an61% conversion rate. 

Play Mariners to win

Rodon is off a down outing last time out , but in his four previous starts the southpaw  had allowed two runs on 14 hits and six walks with 30 strikeouts in 27 innings. That's a 0.67 ERA and Im betting on a rebound here today vs the Fathers. Meanwhile, Padres starter Darvish will be facing the Giants for the second time this season. In  first matchup @ San Francisco  he offered up his ugliest start in his  227-start career. On April 12, in his second outing of the season, Darvish gave up nine runs on eight hits and two walks in just 1 2/3 innings and is fade material here again this Saturday Darvish has a 2-2 career record against the Giants with a 7.13 ERA over eight starts.DARVISH is 1-7 against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .245 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)DARVISH is 9-24 against the money line in July games since 1997. (Team's Record)

Padres are 0-5 in their last 5 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.Padres are 8-18 in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning record.

Play on SF Giants to win 

The Bosox have lost the first two games of this series vs the NY Yankees but in the past have proven themselves resilient in this situation.  Note: Red Sox are 41-15 in their last 56 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.

Red Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series. Red Sox are 10-2 in their last 12 games vs. a left-handed starter like NYY starter Montgomery. 

Play on Red Sox to win 

Mets starter CARRASCO is 18-25   against the money line in home games after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing in his career. (Team's Record) He is off a top tier effort last time out and is set for regression. Mets are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter like the Marlins starter Barrett. 

Marlins are 6-0 in their last 6 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.

MIAMI is 23-15 against the money line against division opponents this season.

MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (NY METS) - with a cold starting pitcher- ERA  7.00 or more  over his last 5 starts, with a slugging percentage of .500 or better over their last 3 games are 35-53 L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate!

Play on Miami Marlins to win