| MLB Archive | |||||||
| Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
| 07-24-23 | Blue Jays v. Dodgers OVER 9 | 6-3 | Push | 0 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
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Jays starter BERRIOS is 8-0 OVER in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.9 rpg scored. BERRIOS is 9-1 OVER as a road underdog of +100 or higher over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 12 rpg scored. Micheal Grove the Dodgers starter has garnered a (2-2 record along with a , 6.40 ERA) and Im betting he will have problems with this sometimes explosive Blue Jays offense tonight. LA DODGERS are 7-0 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 14 rpg scored. The Los Angeles Dodgers have only hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 90 games (-27.15 Units / -27% ROI)Play on the OVER |
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| 07-24-23 | Rangers v. Astros +100 | 9-10 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
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Right-hander Jon Gray (6-5, 3.31) goes to the hill for the Rangers on Monday. He is winless over his last seven starts, recording a 0-4 record with a 4.66 ERA during that span and Im betting his fortunes will not change here today vs the Houston Astros.Gray has seen his L/3 starts vs the Astros result in his team losing (two of them in Houston) Meanwhile, the Astros will reply with right-hander Brandon Bielak (5-5, 3.46 ERA) . He threw 5 2/3 scoreless innings in a 4-1 win over the Colorado Rockies on Wednesday, allowing one hit and three walks while recording four strikeouts and is 2-1 with a 1.02 ERA in three starts since returning from Triple-A Sugar Land on July 3. In his current form Im betting he gives the Rangers batting order all they can handle. BAKER is 45-16 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season as the manager of HOUSTON. HOUSTON is 9-1 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. HOUSTON is 20-7 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.HOUSTON is 25-8 against the money line vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road teams (TEXAS) - in a game involving two good teams (54% to 62%), playing on Monday are 13-35 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (TEXAS) - after 4 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base, playing on Monday are 14-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (HOUSTON) - after having won 4 of their last 5 games, playing on Monday are 33-14 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to win |
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| 07-23-23 | Mets v. Red Sox -144 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
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The Boston Red Sox and New York Mets meet on Sunday with the three-game series tied 1-1. The Mets have showed a little life of late, but are still playing inconsistent ball. Red Sox: 6-4, .271 batting average, and own a 4.24 ERA in their L/10, and have outscored opponents by 17 runs. Meanwhile, the Mets: 4-6, L/10 along with a .188 batting average, 4.40 ERA, and have been outscored by 15 runs. NYM starter CARRASCO is 0-3 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 8.23 and a WHIP of 2.085 and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not match up well vs the BoSox. The Red Sox remain in the postseason hunt and are 2.5 games behind the AL East rival Toronto Blue Jays for the third and final wild-card spot and must keep pace so a prime time effort must be expected here in the rubber match of this inter-league series by the home side. In a game they may end up being a bullpen start for the Red Sox they will send LHP B. Bernardino to get things going on the mound. Note: The Mets have struggled mightily against LHP this season averaging just 3.3 rpg via a lowly .214 BA. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win |
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| 07-23-23 | Rockies v. Marlins -1.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -128 | 5 h 20 m | Show | |
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Luzardo (8-5, 3.34 ERA the Marlins starter has seen his team go 13-7 when he starts. The southpaw has won his past three decisions and hasn't lost since June 12 and gives his team a great opportunity to end their current 7 game losing streak here today in convincing fashion. Colorado has averaged just 3.7 rpg on the road this season MLB Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more (MIAMI) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL), where team's hitters draw 3 walks or less/game on the season are 70-10 L/5 seasons for a 88 % conversion rate including 8-0 100% this season with a rpg diff clicking in at +2.7 which qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on the Miami Marlins to win -1.5 |
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| 07-22-23 | Pirates v. Angels OVER 9 | 3-0 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
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The LA Angels have scored and average of 7.1 rpg in their L/7 trips to the diamonds and Im betting on more quality offensive production today vs the Pittsburgh Pirates who have allowed an average of 7.3 rpg in their L/7 games overall. I know the Pirates offense has not been all that productive or consistent, but Im betting the Halos doing most of the heavy lifting for us today in a game I have pegged to see the offered number eclipsed. Note: Pittsburgh's starter Bido owns a 8.10 ERA in his L/3 starts. Meanwhile, Angels starter Reid Detmers, has recorded a ugly 7.63 ERA on his L/3 starts, LA ANGELS are 8-0 OVER vs. an NL team with a batting average of .250 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.6 rpg scored. PITTSBURGH is 14-4 OVER vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse this season with a combined average of 10 rpg scored. Play over |
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| 07-22-23 | Diamondbacks v. Reds -105 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show | |
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The Dbacks have lost 6 of their L/8 games while the Reds have won 3 straight and Im betting on both these trends remaining in place after this game has finished. Note: Brandon Williamson, Reds Starter has looked very strong of late as is evident by garnering a 2.57 ERA L/3 starts and deserves respect here on a short line. MLB team (ARIZONA) - cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 15 games, after 2 straight games where the bullpen was hit hard for 4+ earned runs are 30-69 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate. Play on Cincinnati Reds to win |
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| 07-22-23 | Dodgers v. Rangers +114 | 16-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
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The Texas Rangers had a six game win streak abruptly end yesterday in the first game of this series, vs the visiting LA Dodgers. But Im betting on a bounce back situation today for a under rated group of Rangers. Rangers starter DUNNING is 11-1 against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 in his career. (Team's Record) Dunning is 4-0 at home this season, and has been very stable. BOCHY is 24-11 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 as the manager of TEXAS. TEXAS is 31-18 against the money line vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game this season. LA DODGERS are 6-14 against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 this season. MLB Road teams (LA DODGERS) - very good NL offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against a team with a below avg. bullpen (ERA 4.50 or worse), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or worse over his last 5 starts are 33-85 L/26 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Texas Rangers to win |
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| 07-21-23 | Mets +110 v. Red Sox | 5-4 | Win | 110 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
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The New York Mets have hit the Money-line in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.40 Units / 19% ROI) and are starting to play the type of baseball that was expected of them to begin this season. With Japanese hurler Kodi Senga on the hill the Mets once again look like viable bets as underdogs. Senga owns a 1.89 ERA in his L/3 starts along with a even stingier 0.947 WHIP. Meanwhile, the NYM offense, according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings matches up well vs the Red Sox starter tonight- Crawford who in 15 innings at home this season in Fenway has recorded a ugly 9.00 ERA via 22 hits and 15 ERS averaging just 3.7 innings per start or appearance. The NYM have done their best offense work against righties this season as is evident by averaging 5 rpg in run production against orthodox hurlers. I know the Red sox have a viable bullpen, but it must be noted that SHOWALTER is 39-23 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities as the manager of NY METS. BOSTON is 2-8 against the money line in home games vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season.BOSTON is 1-8 against the money line in home games with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) this season.BOSTON is 2-13 against the money line in home games in an inter-league game this season. NY Mets to win . |
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| 07-20-23 | Astros -1.5 v. A's | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 32 m | Show | |
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The Astros dominated a pair of earlier three-game series against Oakland, sweeping both by a total score of 31-9 and Im betting on more of the same action here tonight in Oakland. OAKLAND is 6-37 against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season this season with average rpg diff clicking in at -3.9 which qualifies on this run line offering.
Im betting Astros starter (France) who was supported by 27 total runs, in three recent starts has the edge. He went 2-0 with a 2.60 ERA in those outings and deserves respect on this run-line offering as he is supported by a bullpen that owns a solid 3.67 ERA on the season. Meanwhile, As starter left-hander Hogan Harris (2-3, 6.51 ERA), have seen his team lose in each of his last five appearances, three of which were starts. In the other two, Harris served in a bulk-innings reliever role. The rookie has gone 0-3 with an 8.03 ERA over that stretch and is fade material at this point of his career in a starters role. MLB underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =-190 to +165) (OAKLAND) - terrible offensive team (3.6 or less runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or less) (AL), playing on Thursday are 5-29 L/5 seasons for a 85% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston -1.5 run-line |
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| 07-19-23 | Twins +144 v. Mariners | 6-3 | Win | 144 | 14 h 39 m | Show | |
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The Twins are heating up offensively, as is evident by having scored 5 or more runs in all five games coming out of the all-star break including the 10 runs yesterday via a 14 hit output. Im betting on the Twins momentum heading to this game against a light hitting Seattle side that owns a lowly .212 batting average in their L/10 trips to the diamonds. Seattle starter CASTILLO is 5-11 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) CASTILLO is 6-14 against the money line against AL Central opponents since 1997. (Team's Record) CASTILLO is 1-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 8.18 and a WHIP of 1.909. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (SEATTLE) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better on the season-AL, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 54-70 L/5 seasons for a go against 57% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to win |
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| 07-18-23 | Giants -130 v. Reds | 11-10 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
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San Francisco right-hander Anthony DeSclafani (4-8, 4.44 ERA) returns from the 15-day injured list to start against his former team. He was experiencing arm fatigue but says he feels much better now. The Giants righty is 1-1 with a 0.84 ERA in three career appearances (two starts) against Cincinnati and deserves respect here in his return. The Giants have won 5 straight and are my choice in this tilt against a Reds side that has lost 4 straight. SAN FRANCISCO is 10-1 against the money line in road games against NL Central opponents this season. SAN FRANCISCO is 55-18 against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. MLB Home teams (CINCINNATI) - off 3 straight losses vs. division rivals, winning between 51% and 54% of their games on the season are 7-29 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the SF Giants to win |
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| 07-18-23 | Diamondbacks v. Braves -182 | 16-13 | Loss | -182 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
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The Braves had won 11 consecutive series before losing two of three games to the Chicago White Sox over the weekend and will now be in a key bounce back situation vs a Arizona side that is now slumping after a fast start to their campaign. Im betting the Braves explosive batting order matches up well vs right-hander Zach Davies (1-5, 6.37),. ATLANTA is 12-0 against the money line in home games after a loss by 4 runs or more over the last 2 seasons which was the case last time out in. a 8-1 loss to the Chicago White Sox. ATLANTA is 29-8 against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (ARIZONA) - after a loss by 2 runs or less against opponent after a loss by 6 runs or more are 4-46 L/26 seasons for a go against 92% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to win |
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| 07-18-23 | Padres v. Blue Jays +122 | 9-1 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
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The Padres have lost 12 of their past 15 road games as they visit the red hot Toronto Blue Jays that has won 4 straight games and 8 of their L/9 overall. Im betting both sides trajectory remain the same today in this matchup. TORONTO is 13-2 ( against the money line in home games vs. an NL starting pitcher like Musgrove whose WHIP is 1.250 or better over the last 3 seasons TORONTO is 11-1 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. SAN DIEGO is 7-17 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities this season. Play on Toronto to win |
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| 07-17-23 | Red Sox -160 v. A's | 7-0 | Win | 100 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
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Im betting on the Red Sox to get their 10th win in their last 12 games, tonight in Oakland against a As team on a 7 game losing streak. Note: Expected BoSox starter Pivetta has made four appearances (three starts) against Oakland, going 4-0 with a 1.00 ERA in 27 innings. OAKLAND is 5-22 against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Boston is 11-0 since 2021 in the first game of a series vs non-AL East teams when coming off a 5+ run win. (Red Sox won yesterday by a 11-5 count vs Oakland). Play on Bosox to win |
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| 07-17-23 | Yankees v. Angels OVER 9 | 3-4 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 46 m | Show | |
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The Angels pitching has really been struggling of late as is evident by allowing an average of 8.9 rpg in this L/7 overall and here against the Yankees today Im betting things wont change much as my pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest, NYY matches up well vs Canning (6-4, 4.62 ERA) who is coming off his shortest outing of the season, when he lasted just 2 2/3 innings in an 11-4 defeat to the Los Angeles Dodgers on July 7. On the flip-side, the Halos offense 5.1 rpg vs NYY righty pitcher like Severino.LUIS SEVERINO in 5 road games, this season owns a bloated 9.27 ERA. Everything points to a higher scoring event. LA ANGELS are 20-8 OVER in home games after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored. The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.10 Units / 50% ROI) MLB Road teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (NY YANKEES) - after a loss by 2 runs or less against opponent after a combined score of 12 runs or more 4 straight games are 37-9 OVER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate with a combined average of 12 rpg scored in those tilts. Play on the over |
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| 07-17-23 | Nationals v. Cubs -133 | 7-5 | Loss | -133 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
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Cubs starter SMYLY is 9-1 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) SMYLY is 15-3 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record) SMYLY is 17-5 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) SMYLY is 2-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.103. Meanwhile, Washingtons starter Gore is 0-2 with a 7.00 ERA in two career starts versus the Cubs. He lost to Smyly and Chicago on May 1, when he yielded four runs on seven hits in four-plus innings. Rinse and repeat here today . WASHINGTON is 12-26 against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season. MLB Road teams (WASHINGTON) - with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start, after 2 straight games where the bullpen was hit hard for 4+ earned runs are 16-31 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cubs to win |
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| 07-16-23 | Astros -124 v. Angels | 9-8 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
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Javier (7-1, 4.34) is 5-1 with a 2.49 ERA in 10 career appearances (six starts) against the Angels and get my support here tonight agains the Angels. Yesterday the Halos came from behind late for a extra innings win, which ended and 6 game win streak, but Im betting they don't make it two in a row in this spot play. Note: Javier has received plenty of run support in his L/3 outings (10,10, 12) .Entering Saturday's game, Astros starters were 5-0 with a 2.44 ERA against the Angels this season and a bounce back in the cards again according to my projections. Angels starter Anderson (4-2, 5.25) does not have a win and nearly a month. He is 0-1 in five career starts against the Astros with a 6.75 ERA. The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 44 away games (+8.20 Units / 15% ROI) |
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| 07-16-23 | Marlins +152 v. Orioles | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 5 m | Show | |
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Miami's starting pitcher will be left-hander Steven Okert (3-0, 2.43) will start his first career start after 201 relief appearances. Today should be a bullpen day for the Marlins, but my pitching vs batting order power ranking still suggest the Marlins have the edge. Yesterday the Marlins smashed out 11 hits and relinquished a early 4-0 lead to lost 6-5, but now Im betting a bounce back scenario. The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 49 of their last 83 games (+14.70 Units / 14% ROI) MLB team (MIAMI) - average NL hitting team (AVG .255 to .269) against a good AL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or better ), with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 48-21 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Miami to win |
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| 07-15-23 | Astros -133 v. Angels | 12-13 | Loss | -133 | 13 h 50 m | Show | |
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The Halos have lost 6 straight after losing the first game of this series, and Im going to bet against them again today. The Los Angeles Angels have only hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 20 games (-13.95 Units / -54% ROI) and are fade material in their current form.Astros starter VALDEZ is 24-6 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) LA ANGELS are 8-17 against the money line against left-handed starters this season like Valdez. LA ANGELS are 1-10 against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game in the second half of the season this season. Play on Houston to win |
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| 07-15-23 | Rays -1.5 v. Royals | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
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After a fast start to their season the Rays showed some regression just before the all star break, but they did take a 10-4 win in their final game before the break against the Atlanta Braves and have both rest and some momentum entering this game after yesterdays tilt was cancelled. ampa Bay's Tyler Glasnow (2-3, 4.10 ERA) and Kansas City's Alec Marsh (0-2, 7.00) are scheduled to face off in the opener. With the pitching advantage going to the Rays. Glasnow struck out 12 of the 19 batters he faced in five innings during the most recent outing against the Royals, back on June 25 and gets my support today against a very inconsistent Royals offense. The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 93 games (+8.15 Units / 7% ROI) MLB favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line -120 to +115) (TAMPA BAY) - good offensive team (5.1 or more runs/game) against a below average starter (ERA= 5.70 to 6.20)-AL, on a good fielding streak, 10 straight games with one or less errors are 32-7 L/26 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tampa Bay to win -1.5 |
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| 07-15-23 | Padres v. Phillies UNDER 10 | 4-9 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 12 m | Show | |
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The Phillies Taijuan Walker (10-3, 4.02 ERA) and Ranger Suarez (2-4, 3.77) are expected to be the' starters in the second game of the doubleheader. Both pitchers are backed by viable bullpens and Im betting pitching bests the batting orders this afternoon in a game I have projected to remain on the low side of the total. Suarez is 2-0 with a 1.64 ERA in four career games (one start) against the Padres. Walker is 3-3 with a 2.61 ERA in seven career starts against San Diego. SAN DIEGO is 30-18 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 8 rpg scored. SAN DIEGO is 16-5 UNDER as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season with a combined average of 7.3 rpg scored.
The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 84 games (+13.15 Units / 14% ROI) The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 73 games (+11.60 Units / 14% ROI) MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (SAN DIEGO) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse on the season-NL, excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game on the season are 42-10 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored. Play under |
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| 07-15-23 | Marlins +104 v. Orioles | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
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Marlins left-hander Braxton Garrett (5-2, 3.70 ERA) has won his past four decisions and hasn't taken a loss since May 8 and gets my support here tonight against the Baltimore Orioles. note:The Marlins are 10-1 in Garrett's last 11 trips to the hill. MIAMI is 20-8 against the money line in an inter-league game this season. Meanwhile, Orioles starter GIBSON is 6-16 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 41 games (+12.80 Units / 24% ROI)Play on the Miami Marlins to win |
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| 07-15-23 | Red Sox -102 v. Cubs | 4-10 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
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BoSox hurler Left-hander James Paxton (5-1, 2.73 ERA) makes his 11th start of the season.Paxton has been out standing over his last seven starts, going 4-0 with a 1.93 ERA. Im betting on more of the same top tier action from the fireballer again today.PAXTON is 18-7 against the money line in road games when working on 5 or 6 days rest in his career. (Team's Record) Meanwhile the Cubbies starting hurler Stroman is struggling as is evident in his last three outings recording a 0-2 record along with a 7.71 ERA and is fade material in his current form. STROMAN is 18-31 against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) BOSTON is 21-4 against the money line in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season. CHICAGO CUBS are 0-13 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. MLB team (CHICAGO CUBS) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against a good AL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less), starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are 39-16 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Boston Red Sox to win |
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| 07-14-23 | Tigers v. Mariners -180 | 5-4 | Loss | -180 | 17 h 10 m | Show | |
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Castillo as member the AL all star team this season, is 2-0 over his past three starts. Last Friday at Houston, he allowed just one unearned run on five hits in seven innings against the Astros in a 10-1 victory and once again looks like a viable bet against a team batting order my power rankings suggest he matches up well against. Seattle starter CASTILLO is 6-0 against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (SEATTLE) - with a rested bullpen - threw 2 or less innings in each of the last 2 games against opponent after a game where the bullpen threw 6 or more innings are 61-5 L/26 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Seattle to win |
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| 07-14-23 | Astros +142 v. Angels | 7-5 | Win | 142 | 16 h 30 m | Show | |
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LA entered the all star break having lost 5 straight times, and 9 of their L/10 overall. Their trajectory is still not a good one, even with big name pitcher/player Ohtani (7-4, 3.32 ERA) on the hill. The Japanese phenom lost his most recent outing, allowing five runs and seven hits in five innings of an 8-5 loss to the San Diego Padres on July 4 and may not be 100% healthy entering this tilt. Meanwhile, Houstons starter France (4-3, 3.26) has won his past two outings while recording a stingy 2.84 ERA over his L/3 starts , and on the season has pitched well away from home as is evident by a 1.95 ERA. Advantage Houston. HOUSTON is 21-8 against the money line in road games after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse over the last 2 seasons. LA ANGELS are 1-9 against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game in the second half of the season this season and 1-9 against teams that strike out by an average of more than 7 times a game like the Astros. Play on Astros to win |
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| 07-14-23 | Yankees v. Rockies +179 | 2-7 | Win | 179 | 14 h 3 m | Show | |
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Colorados starter Gomber has won his last three starts while garnering a 3.00 ERA. Here against a struggling NYY side that owns a lowly .231 team BA average while ranking 28th in the majors he looks to be a strong underdog candidate. Note: NYY starter Rodon in his only start in the Mike High City , Rodon was roughed up for six runs in 5 1/3 innings. GOMBER is 9-2 against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) since 1997. (Team's Record) The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 32 games at home (+5.60 Units / 17% ROI) MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (COLORADO) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.20 or worse on the season (NL), starting a pitcher who walked 1 or less hitters each of his last 2 outings are 32-16 L/26 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Colorado to win |
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| 07-14-23 | Marlins +113 v. Orioles | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 16 m | Show | |
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Top tier pitcher Alcantara does not have a great record this season for Miami, but is still a viable hurler who finished off his first half of the season , by recording 6 2/3 strong innings by giving up only one run last Friday against the Philadelphia Phillies. Alcantara won his only career appearance against Baltimore, allowing three runs in six innings of a 2021 game at Baltimore and get the nod here today vs the Orioles starter Kremer. The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 41 games (+15.00 Units / 28% ROI) MIAMI is 10-2 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season.MIAMI is 17-4 against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse this seasonBALTIMORE is 6-21 against the money line in home games after a game with a combined score of 15 runs or more over the last 3 seasons. MLB team (MIAMI) - average NL offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against an average AL starter (ERA 4.30 to 5.70), hot hitting team - batting .305 or better over their last 5 games are 30-8 L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Miami to win |
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| 07-14-23 | Red Sox -116 v. Cubs | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 15 h 46 m | Show | |
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Boston has won 5 straight entering this tilt and have major momentum entering this tilt. I know . Chicago pitchers have done well of late, but it must be noted that CHICAGO CUBS are 2-9 against the money line in home games after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better this season. Note Bostons starter Bello Bello (6-5, 3.04 ERA) is currently in top form as is evident by his last 12 starts, he is 6-4 with a 2.35 ERA and has allowed no more than three earned runs in each of those 12 outings, Bello has worked at least five innings on 11 occasions during that stretch and gives the Red Sox the edge here. Over his last 12 starts, the 24-year-old has gone 6-4 with a 2.35 ERA. In addition to allowing no more than three earned runs in each of those 12 outings, Bello has worked at least five innings on 11 occasions during that stretch. CHICAGO CUBS are 0-12 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. BOSTON is 20-4 L/24 against the money line in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season . MLB Home teams (CHICAGO CUBS) - NL team with a poor SLG (.400 or less) against a very good AL starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less), with an on base percentage of .285 or worse over their last 5 games are 9-27 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the BoSox to win |
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| 07-14-23 | White Sox v. Braves -1.5 | 0-9 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
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Atlanta (60-29) has won three of its last four games, 12 of its last 14, and has won 11 consecutive series dating back to Arizona, June 2-4. The Braves lead the NL East by 8 1/2 games over the Miami Marlins and deserve respect here on this run line offering vs a very inconsistent Chicago White Sox club. Atlantas starter Morton has won his last four starts. His last time out he pitched 6 1/3 innings and allowed one run on four hits, two walks and six strikeouts in a win over Tampa Bay.Quote: "Charlie was really, really good and very efficient," Atlanta manager Brian Snitker said. "He just keeps amazing me. The ball was coming out of his hand really good." End Quote. Morton has made three career starts against Chicago, going 3-0 with a 3.57 ERA and get the nod again in what Im betting will be a conclusive Braves victory. Note: The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 17 games at home (+14.05 Units / 72% ROI) ATLANTA is 19-3 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.4 which qualifies on this ATS offering. ATLANTA is 11-0 against the money line in home games after a loss by 4 runs or more over the last 2 seasons with the average rpg diff registering at +3. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (CHI WHITE SOX) - after a loss by 2 runs or less against opponent after a loss by 6 runs or more with the average rpg diff clicking at +4 which easily qualifies on the is run-line offering. Play on Braves to cover -1.5 run-line |
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| 07-11-23 | National League v. American League -102 | 3-2 | Loss | -102 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
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The American League have won the all star game nine straight times and once again deserve respect as slight favs. Alot has been made of Aaron Judge and Mike Trout missing, but my power rankings still suggest the American League has an edge. Starters Garrett Cole of the AL and Zac Gallen of the NL, are making first time starts in the mid season classic , but Cole stands out as more dominating than Gallen, and gives us an advantage through the early part of this game.The NL will be without Clayton Kershaw and Spencer Strider and because of this I project the AL pitching staff to get the nod in the end and help us deliver a winning ticket to AL backers. Expect Felix Bautista (1.95 xERA) of the American League to be the shut down catalyst that get it done in the ned if this game is close. Play on AL to win. HR Derby: I know Alonso is getting alot of support here tonight in the HR Derby, but he has struggled offensively since returning from a wrist injury in June, as is evident by a .153/.265/.361 triple slash line across 83 plate appearances and may not be 100% healthy giving an edge to Rodriguez who has a better average exit velocity (93rd vs. 49th percentile) and hard-hit rate (92nd vs. 52nd percentile). than Alonso. Advantage : Rodriguez to win HR Derby. |
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| 07-09-23 | Mets v. Padres UNDER 8 | 2-6 | Push | 0 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
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SAN DIEGO is 12-3 UNDER vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season.SAN DIEGO is 21-9 UNDER when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. SAN DIEGO is 31-18 UNDER at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.1 rpg scored. Under is 7-3-2 in Mets last 12 overall. Play under |
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| 07-09-23 | Orioles +150 v. Twins | 15-2 | Win | 150 | 6 h 8 m | Show | |
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Baltimore according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings matches up well here vs a Twins starter Ryan who is 1-4 with a 5.18 ERA in his past seven starts. BALTIMORE is 20-9 against the money line on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. MINNESOTA is 4-17 against the money line vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (MINNESOTA) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better on the season-AL, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or better over his last 10 games are 52-69 L/5 seasons. Play on the Baltimore Orioles to win |
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| 07-08-23 | Braves v. Rays +131 | 6-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
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The Tampa Bay Rays lost for the fourth straight time at home yesterday to the visiting Atlanta Braves, by. 2-1 count but Im now betting on a bounce back performance here today. MLB Home teams like Tampa Bay cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games, starting a pitcher like the Rays Bradley who was hit for 5+ runs in his last 2 outings are 62-32 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Braves are 2-6 in their last 8 inter-league road games vs. a team with a winning record.Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. American League East.Braves are 1-5 in their last 6 games on astroturf. Rays are 41-16 in their last 57 inter-league home games.Rays are 10-4 in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. TAMPA BAY is 14-2 against the money line after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less last 2 games over the last 3 seasons. Rays are 41-18 in their last 59 vs. National League East.Rays are 132-58 in their last 190 home games vs. a right-handed starter. The Rays have the second-ranked team on-base percentage in the AL at .332. MLB Road teams (ATLANTA) - after a combined score of 3 runs or less against opponent after a combined score of 4 runs or less 2 straight games are 32-68 L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate. Play on Tampa Bay to win |
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| 07-07-23 | Reds +110 v. Brewers | 3-7 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
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Reds: Andrew Abbott (4-0, 1.21 ERA, .88 WHIP, 42 strikeouts); Brewers: Corbin Burnes (6-5, 4.00 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 96 strikeouts) The Cincinnati Reds are in top form as is evident by their current five-game win streak and deserve respect here as underdogs. The Reds have also played well on the road garnering a 26-18 record in away games. With Abbott on the hill the Reds look like the right side. In his last two starts he has gone 13.2 innings giving up just two runs. ABBOTT is 6-0 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) NOTE: The Brewers are only averaging 3.1 rpg vs LHP this season via a lowly .208 BA. Brewers are 6-13 in their last 19 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. I know Corbin Burnes the Brewe crews starter is a quality pitcher going to the hill for the Brewers, but he has been inconsistent so far this season and has garnered a 6.62 ERA in this L/3 starts and owns a sub par 4.27 ERA at home . Needless to say he is currently not a lights out type of pitcher. Meanwhile on the flip-side the Reds are a wrecking ball right now averaging 5.9 rpg in production in their L/7 winning 6 of those tilts. Reds are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series. Reds are 18-3 in their last 21 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Reds are 23-4 in their last 27 games following a win. CINCINNATI is 10-1 against the money line after allowing 4 runs or less 3 straight games this season. MLB Home teams (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a shutout loss to opponent, a marginal winning team (51% to 54%) playing a winning team are 10-28 L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. ( On June 5th the Brewers shutout the Reds 2-0) Play on Cincinnati Reds to win |
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| 07-07-23 | Mariners v. Astros -112 | 10-1 | Loss | -112 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
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PITCHING PROBABLES: Mariners: Luis Castillo (5-6, 3.14 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 114 strikeouts); Astros: Hunter Brown (6-5, 3.86 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 103 strikeouts) Note: CASTILLO is 0-6 (-7.6 Units) against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)CASTILLO is 3-8 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record) BAKER is 77-39 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better as the manager of HOUSTON like the Mariners Castillo. Seattle won the first game of this series 5-1, but the Astros are a resilient group as is evident by a 25-7 record against the money line after a loss by 4 runs or more over the last 2 seasons. Mariners are 7-15 in their last 22 road games.Mariners are 6-13 in their last 19 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Mariners are 6-14 in their last 20 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Astros are 38-14 in their last 52 vs. American League West.Astros are 5-2 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starterAstros are 126-56 in their last 182 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Astros are 42-19 in their last 61 vs. a team with a losing record. Mariners are 15-37 in the last 52 meetings in Houston.Play on Houston Astros to win |
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| 07-07-23 | Blue Jays v. Tigers +125 | 12-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
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Blue Jays starter Manoah (1-7, 6.36 ERA) recorded only two quality starts in 13 outings this season before he was demoted to work on his mechanics and regain his confidence. He may have temporarily gained some confidence, but Im still betting against him today vs a Detroit side that has averaged 6.1 rpg in production in their L/7 trips to the diamonds and off a 9-0 win vs the As last time out. Note: MANOAH is 3-9 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) HINCH is 12-7 against the money line after a win by 6 runs or more as the manager of DETROIT. DETROIT is 12-4 against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (DETROIT) - poor offensive team - scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 1 run or less are 87-53 L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Tigers to win |
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| 07-06-23 | Rangers v. Red Sox +124 | 6-10 | Win | 124 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
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PITCHING PROBABLES: Rangers: Nathan Eovaldi (10-3, 2.64 ERA, .99 WHIP, 106 strikeouts); Red Sox: Kutter Crawford (3-4, 3.77 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 55 strikeouts) Rangers are 2-7 in their last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like Crawford.Rangers are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter like Crawford .Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. BOSTON is 30-14 against the money line against AL West opponents over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road teams (TEXAS) - team with a good SLG (.440 or better) against a good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 to 1.350) -AL, starting a pitcher who gave up no earned runs last outing are 12-30 L/26 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Rangers are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings.Rangers are 7-19 in the last 26 meetings in Boston. This moneyline offering does not matchup with my own power rankings data. Giving us an edge with the value home underdog. Play on the Red Sox to win |
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| 07-05-23 | Royals v. Twins OVER 8.5 | 0-5 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
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Minnesotas starter LOPEZ is 13-4 OVER vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 91. rpg scored. KANSAS CITY is 23-11 OVER vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season with a combined average of 10.7 rpg scored. LOPEZ is 17-6 OVER in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 9.5 rpg . Lopez (4-5, 4.24 ERA) is 2-0 with a 4.76 ERA. Meanwhilel, Right-hander Alec Marsh (0-1, 11.25 ERA) will make his second major league start for the rebuilding Royals, against a sometimes explosive Minnesota offense. Note: KC has allowed an average of 6.9 rpg in their L/7 overall. KANSAS CITY is 15-6 OVER vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season this season with a combined average of 10.9 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (KANSAS CITY) - terrible offensive team ( 3.6 or less runs/game) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70)-AL, after allowing 9 runs or more are 33-7 OVER L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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| 07-05-23 | Cardinals v. Marlins UNDER 8.5 | 9-10 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
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Marlins expected starter Hoeing has great home where his numbers have been stellar (0-0, 0.87 ERA). Meanwhile, Cards starter Matz did not pitch against the Marlins last year but has enjoyed success against them in his career, recording a 3.44 ERA and a 4-4 record in 65 innings. He has been pitching out of the bullpen and is expected to be in the game only be in for a short time as this should be a bullpen start for the Cards. MIAMI is 34-19 UNDER vs. an NL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.9 rpg. MIAMI is 15-5 UNDER after scoring 8 runs or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.9 rpg. MIAMI is 30-17 UNDER against NL Central opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.9 rpg. MLB road teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (ST LOUIS) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse on the season-NL, excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game on the season are 78-21 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the under |
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| 07-05-23 | Rockies v. Astros -1.5 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 0 m | Show | |
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Colorado is only averaging 3.7 rpg on the season, and against a quality pitcher like France should once again have problems with run production.France pitched seven shutout innings in his previous trip to the hill against the St. Louis Cardinals on Thursday, allowing four hits and two walks while fanning two in a 14-0 win.Meanwhile, Right-hander Chase Anderson (0-3, 6.50) will start the series finale for the Rockies on Wednesday and is projected as cannon fodder for a Houston team that starting to hit on all cylinders having won 6 of their L/7 overall. Anderson has lost each of his last three starts ,recording a ugly a 21.21 ERA in the process.Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Rockies are 2-9 in their last 11 vs. American League West.Rockies are 1-5 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Rockies are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record. MLB Road underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +110 to +155) (COLORADO) - after a game where they had at least 10 less hits than their opponent, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.00 the last 10 games are 9-38 L/26 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston Astros runline -1.5 |
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| 07-04-23 | Angels +118 v. Padres | 5-8 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
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Over his last three starts, Ohtani is 2-1 with a 1.86 ERA and gets the nod here from me in a tilt I will be backing the Angels . SAN DIEGO is 7-15 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better over the last 2 seasons like the Halos starter Ohtani. Yes, the Haos have lost 5 of their L/6 overall, but have proved resilient when in this kind of funk as is evident by a 8-1 mark against the money line after having lost 4 of their last 5 games this season. I know Musgrove has been pitching well of late, but Im betting against him here.Padres starter MUSGROVE is 4-11 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse in his career. (Team's Record).MUSGROVE is 7-17 against the money line in home games in day games in his career. (Team's Record) Angels are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter. Angels are 5-2 in their last 7 interleague road games.Angels are 9-4 in their last 13 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record. Angels are 8-3 in the last 11 meetings.Angels are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in San Diego. Play on the LA Angels to win |
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| 07-04-23 | Phillies v. Rays -107 | 3-1 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
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Rays lost the last two games of their series against Seattle and are now in a bounce back situation here this evening vs the Phillies . TAMPA BAY is 21-7 against the money line in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons..TAMPA BAY is 26-8 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season. Phillies starter NOLA is 8-18 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) NOLA is 10-24 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) NOLA is 11-21 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Phillies are 0-7 in their last 7 games on astroturf. Rays starter EFLIN is 27-7 against the money line at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 since 1997. (Team's Record) TAMPA BAY is 27-8 against the money line in home games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (PHILADELPHIA) - off a loss to a division rival as a favorite of -150 or higher, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 18-45 L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Phillies are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings in Tampa Bay.Phillies are 0-7 in the last 7 meetings.Play on Rays to win |
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| 07-04-23 | Rangers v. Red Sox -105 | 6-2 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 22 m | Show | |
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The Rangers took a back forth slugfest yesterday against Houston by a 12-11 score and that came after a 12-11 loss the day before. Im now expecting the Rangers to be in a emotional letdown spot after those back and forth affairs and a long trip from Texas last night .Im also betting for immediate regression from a offensive standpoint in this tilt against a Boston side that is rested after a day off on Monday and currently on a 3 game win streak. Texas starter DUNNING is 0-3 when starting against BOSTON in his career along with an ERA of 9.41 and a WHIP of 2.022. Advantage Boston. Note: Boston has not officially announced its starting pitcher, but left-hander Chris Murphy (0-0, 1.80 ERA) is among those who could get the start. MLB team (TEXAS) - after allowing 10 runs or more against opponent after 2 straight wins by 2 runs or less are 13-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Red Sox to win |
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| 07-03-23 | Braves v. Guardians UNDER 9 | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
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The Braves enter this game having allowed an average of 2.3 rpg. On the season the Guardians have average 3.5 rpg at home on the season, and depend greatly upon a solid pitching staff to keep them competitive and nothing changes today. Note: Cleveland bullpen owns a 2.24 ERA at home this season. Atlanta will send right-hander Bryce Elder (6-1, 2.44 ERA) to the hill. He enters this series opener with the second-lowest ERA in the majors. Elder is 2-0 in his past three starts with a 1.42 ERA. Braves right handed starter ELDER is 17-7 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.6 rpg scored.ELDER is 10-1 UNDER (+8.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.8 rpg scored. ELDER is 15-3 UNDER after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.8 rpg scored. Cleveland starter rookie right-hander Gavin Williams (0-0, 2.84 ERA) might be young and inexperienced but has the tools to cool down a hot hitting Atlanta group that has never faced the 23 year old before. CLEVELAND is 33-18 UNDER against right-handed starters this season with a combined average of 7.8 rpg scored in those 51 tilts. CLEVELAND is 14-4 UNDER vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season with a combined average of 7.2 rpg scored.CLEVELAND is 11-1 UNDER ) after 3 consecutive games versus an interleague opponent this season with a combined average of 6 rpg scored. MLB Road teams (ATLANTA) - after 3 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs against opponent after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 5 or more earned runs are 33-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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| 07-03-23 | Cardinals v. Marlins -126 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
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Braxton Garrett in six starts since May 31, has garnered a 2.14 ERA, 1.86 xFIP, and a 45:4 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 33 2/3 innings and deserves respect here as a home favorite. GARRETT is 13-3 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GARRETT is 7-1 against the money line after a loss this season. (Team's Record) ST LOUIS is 0-8 against the money line in road games after 7 or more consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons. MLB- Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MIAMI) - with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.250 the last 15 games, playing on Monday are 62-35 L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Miami to win |
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| 07-03-23 | Cubs v. Brewers UNDER 9 | 6-8 | Loss | -125 | 5 h 7 m | Show | |
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Milwaukee has scored just 13 runs in their starters Teheran's seven starts which is not a good omen for run production today which will help keep this score on the low side of total. TEHERAN is 22-9 UNDER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) since 1997. (Team's Record) TEHERAN is 15-4 UNDER ) in home games in July games since 1997. (Team's Record) Under is 9-1 in Cubs last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter. CHICAGO CUBS are 15-4 UNDER in road games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better over the last 2 seasons Meanwhile,Chicago will counter with left-hander Drew Smyly (7-5, 3.96) who has pitched well agains the Brewers , in the recent past as is evident by a 1-0 record along with a 0.60 ERA in three career starts covering 15 innings versus Milwaukee. This adds to my projections of lower output from the Brewers offense.SMYLY is 15-2 UNDER vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MILWAUKEE is 20-6 UNDER at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. Under is 33-16-2 in Brewers last 51 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Play under |
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| 07-03-23 | Astros +106 v. Rangers | 12-11 | Win | 106 | 6 h 57 m | Show | |
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Right-hander Cristian Javier (7-1, 3.72 ERA) goes to hill for the Houston Astros this Monday vs the Texas Rangers . He is 5-0 with a 3.88 ERA over his last nine starts .Javier is 5-1 with a 2.90 ERA in 13 career appearances (nine starts) against the Rangers. Javiers counterpart Texas left-hander Martin Perez (7-3, 4.28), has allowed no more than two earned runs in each of his last three starts.,Perez is 3-1 with a 1.91 ERA this season in home tilts Im betting on a pitchers duel here and for both starters to go long and strong in a projected lower scoring affair. HOUSTON is 20-8 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.8 rpg scored.HOUSTON is 54-29 UNDER after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.5 rpg scored. Under is 2-0-3 in Rangers last 5 vs. American League West.Under is 5-1-3 in Rangers last 9 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Under is 6-1-4 in Rangers last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 9-2-1 in the last 12 meetings in Texas. Play under |
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| 07-03-23 | Astros v. Rangers UNDER 9 | 12-11 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
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Right-hander Cristian Javier (7-1, 3.72 ERA) goes to hill for the Houston Astros this Monday vs the Texas Rangers . He is 5-0 with a 3.88 ERA over his last nine starts .Javier is 5-1 with a 2.90 ERA in 13 career appearances (nine starts) against the Rangers. Javiers counterpart Texas left-hander Martin Perez (7-3, 4.28), has allowed no more than two earned runs in each of his last three starts.,Perez is 3-1 with a 1.91 ERA this season in home tilts Im betting on a pitchers duel here and for both starters to go long and strong in a projected lower scoring affair. HOUSTON is 20-8 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.8 rpg scored.HOUSTON is 54-29 UNDER after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.5 rpg scored. Under is 2-0-3 in Rangers last 5 vs. American League West.Under is 5-1-3 in Rangers last 9 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Under is 6-1-4 in Rangers last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 9-2-1 in the last 12 meetings in Texas. Play under |
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| 07-02-23 | Giants +112 v. Mets | 4-8 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
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The New York Mets and San Francisco Giants meet on Sunday with the three-game series tied 1-1 and Im betting on the Giants in the tie breaker. According to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings this is a bad matchup for the Mets with David Peterson on the hill. The lefty is just 2-6 with a 7.00 ERA on the season and is fade material . Note: Giants are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Giants are 10-2 in their last 12 games vs. a left-handed starter. I know the Giants Ross Stripling may not inspire bettors, but the Mets have not faired well against pitchers in sub par form recently going just 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 and have lost 6 of their L/8 vs a right handed starter. Giants are 16-5 in their last 21 road games.Giants are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. National League East.Giants are 60-29 in their last 89 road games vs. a team with a losing record. KAPLER is 30-8 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.40 or worse as the manager of SAN FRANCISCO like the NYM Peterson. Mets are 0-7 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series. Giants are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. Play on San Francisco to win |
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| 07-02-23 | Rays +116 v. Mariners | 6-7 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
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Seattle found a way to beat the Rays yesterday but TB has proved resilient of late after a loss winning 4 straight and thats what Im betting on them doing today. Meanwhile, the Mariners are 1-5 in their last 6 games following a win and have lost 4 of their L/5 after scoring 5 or more runs. Rays are 8-2 in their last 10 during game 3 of a series.Rays are 21-7 in their last 28 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Mariners are 4-9 in their last 13 vs. American League East.Mariners are 2-7 in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Seattle starter CASTILLO is 2-8 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record) and is is 4-9 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) SEATTLE is 11-16 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season. Rays are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.Play on the Tampa Bay Rays to win |
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| 07-02-23 | White Sox -145 v. A's | 8-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
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BLACKBURN is 0-2 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 5.28 and a WHIP of 1.370 and his team has lost all 3 of his career starts vs the White Sox. My own projections estimate the Pale Hose matches up well here and that the As bullpen is also fade material giving us an edge with the road fav. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CHI WHITE SOX) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a team with a below average bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more), with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP 2.250 or worse over his last 3 starts are 30-9 L/26 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the White Sox to win |
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| 07-02-23 | Tigers v. Rockies UNDER 12 | 14-9 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
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Despite of this being the launching pad known as Coors Field , there comes a time to fade slightly bloated totals offerings. My projections make this total closer to a 11 giving us a full 1 run cushion on cashing a under wager here. Yes, I know these teams have played some high scoring games of late, but the Rockies starter Seabold is being under rated here. He did lose last time here at home, by a 5-0 count to the Dodgers, but he still performed decently allowing 5 hits in 5 innings against a dangerous offense and is capable of slowing down this usually inept Tigers batting order. On the flipside Tigers starter Manning, been decent in limited action( 17.3 innings) and can hold down the inconsistent Rockies bats and has a decent bullpen backing him when he fades. Tigers bullpen owns a stable 3.98 ERA on the season. Under is 36-15-1 in Rockies last 52 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter like Manning. COLORADO is 90-63 UNDER when the total is 11 or higher over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 11 rpg scored. BLACK is 14-4 UNDER in home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the season as the manager of COLORADO with a combined average of 9.4 rpg scored Under is 19-9-2 in Rockies last 30 interleague home games.Under is 42-20-3 in Rockies last 65 interleague games.Under is 35-17-1 in Rockies last 53 vs. American League Central. COLORADO is 21-9 UNDER vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 9 rpg scored. DETROIT is 67-44 UNDER when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 8.4 rpg. Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 road games with the total set at 11.0 or higher. MLB teams where the total is 10 or higher (COLORADO/DETROIT) - in an inter-league game, in July games are 58-22 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors with the average rpg clicking in at 9.4 . Under is 18-7-1 in the last 26 meetings.Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Colorado. Play under |
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| 07-02-23 | Twins -109 v. Orioles | 1-2 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 30 m | Show | |
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Twins right-hander Sonny Gray (4-2, 2.67 ERA) enters this game in good form much like the rest of the rotation recently as was evidenced by Pablo Lopez and Bailey Ober combined who allowed the Orioles to one run and five hits over 13 innings in the first two tilts in this series.The Orioles have now lost four straight and are fade material in their current form. Add to that my power rankings suggest the Twins matchup very well vs Left-hander Cole Irvin (1-3, 7.18) who goes to the hill for the Orioles. BALDELLI is 38-12 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.90 or worse as the manager of MINNESOTA. MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BALTIMORE) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or less) -AL, playing on Sunday are 12-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to win |
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| 07-01-23 | Rays -115 v. Mariners | 3-8 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
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Glasnow (2-1, 4.45 ERA) will take to the the mound Saturday in Seattle after a dominating 12 Strike performance last time out. Meanwhile, the Mariners Right-hander George Kirby (6-7, 3.26 ERA) who lacks run support on a consistent basis is set to start for Seattle on Saturday and Im betting he will fail to end the Rays current 3 game win streak, as they begin to heat up against after scorching hot to their season . Meanwhile, Seattle who are in a funk and lost three in a row, after blowing a four-run lead in a 15-4 beatdown in the series opener look very much like fade material in this spot. Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like Kirby. TAMPA BAY is 24-8 against the money line after a 2 game span where the bullpen threw 9 total innings or more this season. SEATTLE is 5-17 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season. Mariners are 7-19 in their last 26 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Mariners are 3-9 in their last 12 vs. American League East.Mariners are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Mariners are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series. MLB team (SEATTLE) - team with a terrible SLG (.400 or less) against a good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 to 1.350) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better on the season-AL. Rays are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Seattle.Rays are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.Play on Rays to win |
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| 07-01-23 | Giants v. Mets -139 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
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MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SAN FRANCISCO) - good offensive team ( 4.7 or more runs/game) against a poor starting pitcher (ERA 5.70 or worse) (NL), with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games are 6-29 L/26 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. |
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| 07-01-23 | Marlins +151 v. Braves | 0-7 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
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Atlantas starter today MORTON is 3-9 against the money line when playing on Saturday over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) and is 7-13 against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MIAMI is 17-11against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season. MIAMI is 20-7 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. Marlins are 6-0 in their last 6 Saturday games. ( Interesting anomaly matches up well with Mortons allergic reactions to playing on the Saturdays. ) Sometimes these kinds of trends seem meaningless, but human biological algorithms and optimal performance cycles are a real thing ) Marlins are 7-1 in their last 8 road games.Marlins are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. National League East.Marlins are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter like Morton. I know the Braves are a great team, but they occasionally lose and Im betting on that in this spot play value money- line opportunity. MLB team (ATLANTA) - very good offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or less) (NL), after a game where they committed 3 or more errors are 12-40 L/26 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Miami to win |
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| 07-01-23 | Padres v. Reds OVER 11 | 12-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
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The Reds southpaw starter Williamson owns a 5.82 ERA against a 6.76 xERA. According to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not matchup well vs the Padres sometimes explosive batting order that has eight hitters with a .325+ xwOBA on the campaign and also hit left handed pitching well, and have averaged 4.7 rpg on the road this season. In relief, the Reds have a combined 5.35 xFIP during the month of June (Dead last in MLB). Meanwhile, Padres starter Wacha, has been strong but the Reds offense can ramp it up against any arm, in MLB , and are more than capable of causing issues for the veteran hurler and with the Padres bullpen looking tired as we approach the midway part of the season , and have a 4.55 road ERA. Im betting the Reds do enough damage here to get us over the hump here and cash a totals ticket. Note : In the Reds L/7 games over both themselves and their opposition have average 6.7 rpg in production. CINCINNATI is 14-4 OVER at home when the total is 10 or higher this season with a combined average of 12.5 rpg scored. Play over |
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| 06-30-23 | Diamondbacks v. Angels -147 | 6-2 | Loss | -147 | 13 h 9 m | Show | |
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Griffin Canning the Halos starter today has pitched very well of late , garnering a 2.65 ERA in his L/3 starts while receiving a ton of runs from his offense in support (9, 9, 25 runs in those 3 games. Rinse and repeat is the projection here in what Im betting is a conclusive Angels home victory. Diamondbacks are 9-20 in their last 29 vs. American League West. Diamondbacks are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings. MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (ARIZONA) - starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest, after a game where the bullpen threw 7 or more innings are 5-33 L/5 seasons for a 87% go against conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (ARIZONA) - good NL offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less), starting a pitcher who gave up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 11-47 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate. Play on LA Angels to win |
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| 06-30-23 | Twins v. Orioles -106 | 8-1 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
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Minnesota right-hander Pablo Lopez (3-5, 4.41 ERA) opposes Baltimore righty Dean Kremer (8-3, 4.50) in the opener. Lopez is 0-2 with a 5.40 ERA in his past two starts and is fade material in his current form.Meanwhile, Kremer is 2-0 with a 3.00 ERA over his last three starts - lowering his season ERA by nearly half a run. The Orioles have the advantage on the hill. Baltimores starter KREMER is 15-2 against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)KREMER is 8-1 against the money line when working on 5 or 6 days rest this season. (Team's Record)Twins are 7-19 in their last 26 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 like Kremer. Twins are 24-50 in their last 74 road games.Twins are 16-35 in their last 51 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Orioles are 37-17 in their last 54 during game 1 of a series.Orioles are 17-8 in their last 25 vs. a team with a losing record. Play on Baltimore to win |
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| 06-30-23 | Red Sox +126 v. Blue Jays | 5-0 | Win | 126 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
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BoSox starter Paxton (3-1, 3.19) gives his team a strong opportunity to end a 5 game losing streak. Boston swept the visiting Blue Jays in a four-game series from May 1- and actually matchup well vs the Jays despite of their recent struggles. Note: The Blue Jays are 7-17 against teams within their own division like the Red Sox and 38-20 against all other teams. Jays right-hander Jose Berrios (8-5, 3.60 ERA) . In 11 career starts against the Red Sox, is just 1-5 with a 4.15 ERA. He got a no-decision at Boston on May 1, when he gave up five runs on 11 hits in 5 1/3 innings of his team's 6-5 loss. Bosox have the edge on a value money-line offering. TORONTO is 1-8 against the money line after 6 or more consecutive home games this season. Home teams (TORONTO) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a good starter (ERA 4.20 or better ) (AL), playing on Friday are 19-42 L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Red Sox to win |
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| 06-30-23 | Brewers -136 v. Pirates | 7-8 | Loss | -136 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
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In the series opener today, Milwaukee's Freddy Peralta (5-7, 4.65 ERA) is expected to start against Pittsburgh's Osvaldo Bido (0-1, 3.45) in a matchup of right-handers. The Brewers do their best offense work against RHP averaging 4.6 rpg in production, while the Pirates struggle mightily against RHP averaging 3.8 rpg via a .227 BA. the Brewers bullpen also have the edge, as their overall road ERA registers at a stable 3.85 . Note: Pittsburghs Rookie starter Bido has received zero run support in his L/2 outings which is never a good omen for positive results. Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Pirates are 0-9 in their last 9 vs. National League Central. PITTSBURGH is 5-19 against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better over the last 2 seasons. Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.Pirates are 2-8 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter like Peralta . MILWAUKEE is 35-24 ( against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game this season. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (PITTSBURGH) - after 4 straight games where they committed no errors, in June games are 8-41 L/5 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (PITTSBURGH) - hot hitting team - batting .325 or better over their last 3 games against opponent with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games are 11-46 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win |
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| 06-29-23 | Astros v. Cardinals +102 | 14-0 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
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Cards starter Wainwright (3-2, 6.56 ERA) is coming off of a 9-1 loss to the Chicago Cubs on Saturday in London, England, where he allowed seven runs on 11 hits in three ugly innings of work. Quote:"It was a perfect storm of horribleness," the right-hander said. "I'm pretty sad about it, honestly. Pitched terrible. Trying to make Cardinals fans, and we didn't make any because of me."It's 2-1 without me in the game. That whole game was my fault. I pitched terrible and I put our team in a bad spot and lost the game because of me. I don't know what else to say; End quote. - With that said, Im betting on the veteran hurler, being ready to bounce back in a big was vs a team he has dominated his his career as is evident by his 13-1 record when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 1.35 and a WHIP of 0.994. Meanwhile,The Astros will respond t with rookie J.P. France (2-3, 3.54 ERA), who is 1-2 with a 3.08 ERA in four starts this month. My power vs pitcher power rankings suggest the Cards batting order matches up well here giving us the edge needed with the home dog.Astros are 3-8 in their last 11 inter-league games. Astros are 1-6 in their last 7 vs. National League Central.Cardinals are 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.(Houston won yesterday 10-7). Play on the Cards to win |
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| 06-29-23 | Marlins v. Red Sox UNDER 9 | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
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The Marlins pitching staff have allowed 3 runs or less in 9 of their L/11 games overall. With Luzardo, on the hill Im betting on a rinse and repeat scenario today vs the Bosox. wiThe Miami hurler has recorded 103 strikeouts through 16 starts. He SO batters - across seven shutout, two-hit innings on Sunday against the Pittsburgh Pirates, which was his eighth quality start. Meanwhile the Red Sox will counter with Brayan Bello (5-4, 3.27 ERA) who has shown a great deal of consistency on the hill this season.Bello has worked at least six innings in each of his last four starts and five of his last six overall , which includes back-to-back, seven-inning outings against the New York Yankees . Im betting he goes long and strong again and keeps the Marlins bats under wraps. Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 9-2 in Red Sox last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 during game 3 of a series.Under is 8-3 in Red Sox last 11 home games. MIAMI is 18-8 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season.MIAMI is 11-3 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Boston.Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. Play under |
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| 06-29-23 | White Sox +130 v. Angels | 9-7 | Win | 130 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
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Left-hander Patrick Sandoval (4-6, 4.16 ERA) goes to the hill for Los Angeles today vs the White Sox. He is coming off a no-decision against the Colorado Rockies on Friday, when he matched a season worst by giving up 10 hits in five-plus innings of sub par work. He is 0-2 with a 5.23 ERA in two career starts against the White Sox and my power rankings suggest he is being over rated today . SANDOVAL is 1-8 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The White Sox also hit lefties much better than righties. Meanwhile, White Sox right handed starter Lance Lynn (4-8, 6.40 ERA) is winless in his last five starts, but showed his veracity and velocity when he recorded 16 strikeouts on June 18 against the Seattle Mariners and according to my power rankings matches up well here. Advantage - Chicago white sox full game wager. Play on Chicago White Sox |
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| 06-29-23 | Guardians -147 v. Royals | 3-4 | Loss | -147 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
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Guardians starter Bieber has never lost to the Royals. He is 6-0 with a 3.03 ERA in 13 career starts vs. Kansas City and Im betting that perfect mark will remain intact after todays confrontation.Meanwhile, the Royals are , right-hander Zack Greinke (1-8, 5.31 ERA).Greinke is winless over his last nine starts, going 0-4 with a 5.36 ERA during the stretch and Im betting that negative run continues here vs a Cleveland side that is 27-7 against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 with Bieber on the hill. (Team's Record) KANSAS CITY is 1-13 against the money line vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.00 or better this season. KANSAS CITY is 0-13 against the money line after scoring 2 runs or less 2 straight games this season. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (KANSAS CITY) - revenging 2 straight home losses vs opponent, off a loss by 10 runs or more to a division rival are 6-37 L/26 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (KANSAS CITY) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or better ), with a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season are 37-132 L/26 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland to win |
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| 06-28-23 | Dodgers v. Rockies +175 | 8-9 | Win | 175 | 16 h 36 m | Show | |
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Colorados starter Kyle Freeland pitches his best ball at Coors field where he owns a 3.42 ERA in 9 starts this season and beat the visiting LA Dodgers here when he faced them last July in. a 5-3 victory. His most recent start against the dodgers came on Oct 1 last season where he allowed them just 1 ER in 5.7 innings of work. With that said, my current power rankings suggest he matches up well against the Dodgers batting order and gives is a value edge with the home dog. I also expect the Rockies do get enough backing from their offense vs a struggling pitcher in Mike Grove who owns a 7.96 ERA on the season in 6 trips to the hill. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA DODGERS) - very good NL offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against a team with a below avg. bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or worse over his last 5 starts are just 12-51 L/26 seasons for a 81% go against conversion rate. Play on the Colorado Rockies to win |
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| 06-28-23 | Tigers +190 v. Rangers | 2-10 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 40 m | Show | |
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The Tigers are the only team that procured a victory vs Rangers scheduled starter Dane Dunning (6-1, 2.76 ERA )this season. In five career starts vs. Detroit, Dunning is 0-3 with a 5.70 ERA and Im betting against him here again today vs a Tigers side that lost yesterday and now ready to bounce back. DUNNING is 4-10 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Tigers are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a loss.Tigers are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.Tigers are 4-1 in their last 5 road games. HINCH is 9-5 (+ against the money line in road games with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (AL) as the manager of DETROIT.
Tigers are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Texas. Play on Detroit to win |
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| 06-28-23 | Astros +103 v. Cardinals | 10-7 | Win | 103 | 14 h 21 m | Show | |
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Cards starter Mikolas is 0-3 in his L/3 starts along with garnering a bloated 6.16 ERA. He is also 0-1 in two career starts vs the Astros with his team losing both games. His ERA in those innings vs the Astros is 10.80, and Im betting he does match up well here today. Astros are 15-6 in their last 21 vs. a team with a losing record.Astros are 5-2 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Astros are 7-3 in their last 10 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.Astros are 9-4 in their last 13 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 Cardinals are 3-11 in their last 14 vs. American League West. Cardinals are 2-8 in their last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.Cardinals are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter. ST LOUIS is 1-10 against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) this season. ST LOUIS is 11-19 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season. Play on Houston to win |
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| 06-28-23 | Padres v. Pirates UNDER 8 | 1-7 | Push | 0 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
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Pittsburgh right-hander Mitch Keller (8-3, 3.45 ERA) will oppose San Diego left-hander Blake Snell (4-6, 3.22). Both hurlers are in good form and capable of keeping the opposing offense at minimal offense production levels. Note: Snell enters this tilt having recorded a minuscule 0.29 ERA over his last five starts. Keller gave up one run and five hits in seven innings with five strikeouts and no walks against Miami last time out. SAN DIEGO is 31-18 UNDER against right-handed starters this season with a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored. SAN DIEGO is 13-4 UNDER vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse this season. SAN DIEGO is 7-0 UNDER vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better this season like the Pirates Keller. SAN DIEGO is 24-8 UNDER vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season like Keller. Under is 6-1 in Padres last 7 vs. National League Central. Under is 15-7-1 in Padres last 23 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 17-8 in Padres last 25 road games. Play under |
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| 06-27-23 | Dodgers v. Rockies UNDER 12 | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 14 h 20 m | Show | |
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Los Angeles will send veteran lefty Clayton Kershaw (9-4, 2.72 ERA) to the mound against Colorado's Connor Seabold (1-3, 5.88) in the opener.Kershaw has been at his best in June, going 3-0 with a 1.33 ERA in four starts. He has gone seven innings in three of those outings and 27 innings total and Im betting he continues with his top tier work here . Kershaws ability to hold down the inconsistent bats of the Rockies will help keep this score on the low side of the offered total. LA DODGERS are 31-18 UNDER in road games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8 rpg scored. COLORADO is 20-8 UNDER with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 8.2 rpg scored. COLORADO is 18-6 UNDER after a 3 game span where the bullpen threw 13 total innings or more this season with a combined average of 9.9 rpg scored.
MLB teams where the total is 10 or higher (COLORADO) - with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings against opponent with a tired bullpen - after 2 straight games throwing 5+ innings are 28-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with an average of 8.8 rpg scored. MLB Road teams where the total is 11 or higher (LA DODGERS) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a poor starting pitcher (ERA 5.70 or worse) (NL), with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 34-8 UNDER L/26 seasons with a combined average of 10.9 rpg scored. Play under |
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| 06-26-23 | Nationals +225 v. Mariners | 4-8 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
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The Nationals' Trevor Williams (4-4, 4.14 ERA) is expected to start against Seattle's Luis Castillo (4-6, 2.89) in a matchup of veteran right-handers this Monday. It must be noted that Castillo is 0-5 with a 4.81 ERA in six career starts against the Nationals and has lost all four of his starts this month . Castillo is a top tier pitcher, but has a history of down efforts vs the Nationals and is currently in a losing loop. With the Nationals showing some life after recording 2-0 and 8-3 victories over the weekend in San Diego look like viable underdogs in this ML spot play.CASTILLO is 2-8 against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) CASTILLO is 1-8 against the money line in June games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) SEATTLE is 14-25 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season like Williams. Play on Washington to win |
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| 06-26-23 | White Sox +120 v. Angels | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
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Left-hander Reid Detmers (1-5, 4.02 ERA) will start Monday for the Angels and with my pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggesting that the White Sox have the edge Im betting on the road side with a value line attached to it.DETMERS is 8-18 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, White Sox starter Cease has allowed two runs or less in all four starts this month, while garnering a solid 2.38 ERA. He hasn't lost a decision since May 18 and gets my support here.Angels are 1-4 in their last 5 overall. Play on the Chicago White Sox to win |
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| 06-26-23 | Reds +120 v. Orioles | 3-10 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
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The Reds dropped two of three against the visiting Atlanta Braves after winning 12 straight games to move into first place in the National League Central but Im betting they have a strong opportunity to bounce back here vs the Orioles as they go against starter Cole Irvin (1-3, 7.71 ERA) in the series opener. The Reds have battered lefties like Irvine as is evident by 5.6 rpg production ratio via a .285 BA. Reds are 6-0 in their last 6 inter-league road games. Orioles are 17-38 in their last 55 inter-league games vs. a team with a winning record. BALTIMORE is 8-45 against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 7.00 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (That is the case entering this tilt vs the Reds) Note:Felix Bautista has been on the hill in consecutive days for Baltimore on Saturday and Sunday and is vulnerable here with what could easily be a over used arm. Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win |
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| 06-25-23 | Astros v. Dodgers UNDER 8.5 | 6-5 | Loss | -114 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
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Houstons starter Hunter Brown has pitched his best baseball on the road this season, as is evident by a 4-1 record along with a 3.46 ERA. Meanwhile, the Dodgers reply, with T. Gonsolin who owns a solid 2.92 ERA on the season, and despite of some uneven starts recently is a top tier hurler who deserves respect here. Note: Dodgers' bullpen over a current four-game winning streak, have seen the relievers allow just up one run in 19 innings of top tier work. After yesterdays 8-7 event Im betting on immediate offensive regression and a combined score that fails to eclipse this total. GONSOLIN in his last 14 starts at home as a favorite of -125 to -175 in his career has seen a combined average of 7.3 rpg. (Team's Record) Under is 5-1 in Astros last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like Gonsolin. Under is 14-5 in Astros last 19 road games vs. a right-handed starter like Gonsolin Under is 13-3 in Astros last 16 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game which was the case yesterday in a 8-7 loss. HOUSTON is 7-0 UNDER after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 6.50 or worse this season. Under is 15-7-2 in the last 24 meetings. Play under |
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| 06-25-23 | Astros v. Dodgers -125 | 6-5 | Loss | -125 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
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The Dodgers in the series s finale will start right-hander Tony Gonsolin (4-2, 2.92), who had his worst start of the season in his last outing, but now Im betting on a big bounce back effort with a solid mechanical pitcher. GONSOLIN is 13-1 against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 in his career. (Team's Record) if he does falter all , the Dodgers' bullpen has a current four-game winning streak, the relievers have given up one run in 19 innings and Im betting on another solid effort in a win tonight vs a Houston side that has struggled recently and overall has averaged just 4.2 RPG vs RHP this season. Astros are 0-6 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.Astros are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Astros are 0-6 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. LA DODGERS are 10-1 against the money line in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season.LA DODGERS are 21-7 against the money line after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span this season.LA DODGERS are 10-1 against the money line in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season.LA DODGERS are 70-19 against the money line in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons. Astros are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Los Angeles.Astros are 3-8 in the last 11 meetings. LA Dodgers to win |
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| 06-25-23 | Nationals v. Padres -1.5 | 8-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
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Left-hander MacKenzie Gore (3-6, 4.02 ERA) will start for the Nationals against Padres' right-hander Seth Lugo (3-3, 3.86). After getting shutout yesterday Im betting on an immediate bounce back today in what my projections estimate is a multiple run or more victory. Note: Gore is on a five-decision losing streak, and the Nationals have lost nine of the past 10 games that Gore has started. Add another negative number to that tally today. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (SAN DIEGO) - after a loss by 2 runs or less against opponent after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games are 54-7 L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.9 which qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on San Diego to win -1.5 |
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| 06-25-23 | Pirates v. Marlins -165 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 6 m | Show | |
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In eight major league starts Perez the Marlins starter is 4-1 with a 1.54 ERA and has a current streak of 15 consecutive scoreless innings. The righty is 2-0 with a 0.41 ERA in four June starts.Right-handed hitters are hitting are just .188 against Perez. Lefty hitters are batting just .177.Nick Fortes has served as Perez's catcher for seven of his eight starts, and that pairing has compiled a 1.24 ERA. Powerful pitching advantage for the Miami Marlins here, and despite of a hefty ML offering still offers value. MIAMI is 26-11 against the money line vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse this season.MIAMI is 15-2 against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more this season. MIAMI is 11-3 against the money line after a game where the bullpen threw 6 or more innings over the last 2 seasons. PITTSBURGH is 7-31 against the money line in road games in June games over the last 3 seasons. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more (MIAMI) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL), where team's hitters draw 3 walks or less/game on the season are 68-10 L/5 seasons and 6-0 this season. Play on Miami Marlins to win |
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| 06-25-23 | Cubs v. Cardinals OVER 11.5 | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 1 h 7 m | Show | |
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Stroman has pitched very well this season, and ranked among MLB top pitchers but he has not pitched very well against the Cards in the recent past as is evident by a 0-4 record along with a 5.22 ERA in seven starts against the Cardinals. Here on the road in a baseball park that compares with Coors field in run production, probabilities, Im betting Stroman is hit harder than has usually been the case of late. Meanwhile,Matthew Liberatore (1-2, 6.12 ERA) will take to the hill for the Cards.In his list last start the left-hander allowed five runs, four hits and two walks in four innings in Sunday's 8-7 victory over the New York Mets and Im betting he gets beat around again vs a Cubs side in a good offensive groove of late. Note: Liberatore, went 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA in two outings against Chicago in 2022. Rinse -repeat on board. Liberatore owns a 6.03 ERA in 15 career appearances (59 2/3 innings). His biggest problems have come against right handed hitters(.404 wOBA, 5.35 xFIP). Considering their Cubs can field nine right-handed bats. St. Louis has been outscored 12-1 in losing two straight after totaling 30 runs during a four-game winning streak and are more than capable of an explosive offensive effort in bounce back mode. Over is 12-4 in Cubs last 16 vs. National League Central. Over is 3-1-1 in Cardinals last 5 during game 2 of a series. Over is 7-3 in Cubs last 10 overall. |
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| 06-24-23 | Nationals v. Padres -1.5 | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 47 m | Show | |
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Padres bats have exploded in their L/2 trips to the diamond procuring 23 runs , and Im betting their red hot bats will continue thier top tier work today vs a Washington side that has allowed 8, 9, 5, and 13 runs in 4 of their L/5 tilts and allowed an average of 6.3 rpg in their L/7 games overall with the average rpg diff clicking in at 3.2 rpg (1-6 record). note: MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (WASHINGTON) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL), starting a pitcher who walked 1 hitters or less each of his last 2 outings are 13-74 L/26 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors with the the average rpg diff clicking in a t +2.3 which qualifies on this run line offering. Padres to win -1.5 runline |
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| 06-24-23 | Astros +162 v. Dodgers | 7-8 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
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Dodgers starter Miller gave up just two runs in his first four starts of his career (23 innings) but was smacked around for seven runs on seven hits over 5 2/3 innings in a loss to the San Francisco Giants last Saturday and might be dealing with some PTSD at the major league level entering this game against a Houston team that is more than capable of beating up on this kid. HOUSTON is 34-12 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Astros are 6-2 in their last 8 during game 2 of a series.Astros are 8-3 in their last 11 inter-league road games vs. a team with a winning record.Astros are 8-3 in their last 11 inter-league road games.Astros are 7-3 in their last 10 inter-league road games vs. a right-handed starter. HOUSTON is 61-29 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. Dodgers are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.Dodgers are 2-6 in their last 8 games following a win. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (HOUSTON) - AL team with a low slugging percentage (.410 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or better ), with a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start are 45-39 L.5 seasons. Play on Houston to win |
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| 06-24-23 | Red Sox -119 v. White Sox | 4-5 | Loss | -119 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
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White Sox starter Lynn like his team has struggled this season and is 4-8 with an ERA of 6.51 in 15 starts this season, and is fade material in his current for vs a Boston side that has won 7 of their L/9 overall. Meanwhile, the BoSox will reply with James Paxton who owns a 3-1 record in seven starts this season, including four quality starts and is 2-0 in his L/3 starts along with a stingy 2.33 ERA including 23 SOs in 19.3 innings of work. Note :White Sox are 3-9 in their last 12 home games vs. a left-handed starter like Paxton. Advantage Red Sox. White Sox are 8-19 in their last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.White Sox are 7-19 in their last 26 vs. American League East.
Play on Boston Red Sox to win |
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| 06-24-23 | Cubs -135 v. Cardinals | 9-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
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The Cubs are currently in top form and have won 8 of their L/9 and deserve to be road favs here vs a very inconsistent Cards side. Cubs starter Justin Steele (7-2, 2.71 ERA) has been one of the majors' top hurlers this season, and gives his team the edge they need to get us across the finish line today for a victory. Cubs are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. National League Central. Cardinals are 7-19 in their last 26 during game 1 of a series.Cardinals are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.ST LOUIS is 21-30 against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game this season. Cardinals are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. National League Central. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (ST LOUIS) - after 4 straight games where they committed no errors, in June games are 7-40 L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Chicago to win |
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| 06-23-23 | Diamondbacks +179 v. Giants | 5-8 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 32 m | Show | |
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SF 10 game win streak came to an abrupt end yesterday in a 10-0 loss to the Padres and Im now betting they begin a new streak here , but it will be a losing one. ARIZONA is 8-0 against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season like Logan Webb. ARIZONA is 6-0 against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season.(Webb qualifies ) Diamondbacks are 20-7 in their last 27 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Diamondbacks are 20-7 in their last 27 road games. Diamondbacks are 7-0 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.Diamondbacks are 7-0 in their last 7 vs. National League West.Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Giants are 7-18 in their last 25 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Play on the Arizona DBacks to win |
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| 06-23-23 | Astros v. Dodgers -142 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 17 h 55 m | Show | |
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The Dodgers will send right-hander Emmet Sheehan (0-0, 0.00 ERA) to the hill vs the Astros this Friday for his second career start. The rookie had a top tier debut last Friday when he did not allow a hit over six innings against the San Francisco Giants and deserves respect here at home behind the usually consistent bats of the Dodgers. HOUSTON is 4-11 against the money line after scoring 10 runs or more over the last 2 seasons. LA DODGERS are 27-6 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home teams (LA DODGERS) - after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 15 runs or more are 35-10 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Dodgers to win |
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| 06-23-23 | Angels v. Rockies +144 | 4-7 | Win | 144 | 13 h 24 m | Show | |
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Colorado is off losing 8 straight road games and will now be primed to bet back on track here at home in Coors field after. day off yesterday. Note: COLORADO is 26-13 against the money line after 8 or more consecutive losses. Rockies are 8-2 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning record. COLORADO is 10-5 against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season like Sandoval. Angels are 0-7 in their last 7 vs. National League West. Play on Colorado to win |
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| 06-23-23 | Brewers +1.5 v. Guardians | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 6 m | Show | |
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Brewers starter Miley (4-2, 3.28 ERA) is of a 5-0 win against the Pittsburgh Pirates last time out and has momentum behind him entering this tilt against a Guardians side Im betting he matches up well against. Meanwhile, Cleveland will reply with right-hander Shane Bieber (5-4, 3.51 ERA) in the series opener. Bieber has not looked as consistent this season as he did when the won the Cy Young award in the 2020 season. Brewers are 5-1 in their last 6 inter-league road games vs. a team with a losing record. Guardians are 7-15 in their last 22 interleague home games. MILWAUKEE is 20-10 against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons CLEVELAND is 4-11against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (MILWAUKEE) - NL team with a poor SLG (.400 or less) against a very good AL starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less), cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 5 games are 34-18 L/26 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home teams (CLEVELAND) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), hot hitting team - batting .290 or better over their last 20 games are 10-25 L/26 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home teams against a 1.5 run line (CLEVELAND) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), hot hitting team - batting .290 or better over their last 20 games are 5-30 L/26 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Brewers |
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| 06-23-23 | Mariners v. Orioles -110 | 13-1 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
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Os starter GIBSON is 10-1 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Seattles starter GILBERT is 3-8 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. (Team's Record) Mariners are 3-7 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter like Gibson.Mariners are 3-8 in their last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.Mariners are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. American League East.Mariners are 4-12 in their last 16 road games. Value resides with the Orioles at home. ( The Orioles are 22-13 at home this season, with a a .629 winning percentage that ranks them third in the American League as hosts) SEATTLE is 16-28 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BALTIMORE) - excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game on the season, after a game where they stranded 3 or less runners on base are 56-29 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Baltimore to win |
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| 06-22-23 | Mariners v. Yankees -115 | 10-2 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
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New York opened this series with Seattle with a 3-1 victory on Tuesday and followed it up with a 4-2 win on Wednesday and Im betting the Yanks turn the trick again behind the arm of German. The Yanks starter faces a struggling offense that has scored three runs and eight hits in the first two games of this series.German is 3-0 with a 4.22 ERA in four career appearances (three starts) against the Mariners. Meanwhile, the Mariners will reply with rookie hurler Bryan Woo (0-1, 7.30 ERA) who makes his fourth career start . I know the Yankees offense since A. Judge went down has been less than amazing, but this kid will still have his hands full in this intimidating venue. Mariners are 1-8 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Mariners are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter like NYY D.German. Mariners are 3-8 in their last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.Mariners are 6-21 in their last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Yankees are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. American League West.Yankees are 41-15 in their last 56 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Mariners are 4-14 in the last 18 meetings in New York.Mariners are 15-38 in the last 53 meetings. Play on the NY Yankees to win |
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| 06-22-23 | Red Sox +140 v. Twins | 0-6 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 35 m | Show | |
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Minnesota sends suddenly struggling right-hander Joe Ryan (7-4, 3.30 ERA) to the hill . Ryan allowed a season-high six runs over seven innings in a 7-1 loss to the Detroit Tigers on Friday.Ryan, after a solid start this campaign has allowed 16 runs over his last four outings covering 23 2/3 innings (6.08 ERA) and is now being over rated on this line offering giving us value with the visiting BoSox. Minnesota ended a winning streak yesterday with a extra inning victory, but that momentum Im betting will be short lives vs a Red Sox team that outscored opponents 50-18 during its win streak, Boston went 3-for-15 with runners in scoring position during the Wednesday loss and immediate bounce back is the call.Red Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter like Ryan.Red Sox are 11-5 in their last 16 vs. American League Central.Red Sox are 9-4 in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Twins are 4-10 in their last 14 games following a win. Twins are 2-5 in their last 7 home games.Twins are 3-8 in their last 11 during game 4 of a series. Red Sox are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Minnesota. Play on Boston Red Sox to win |
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| 06-22-23 | Braves -105 v. Phillies | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 21 m | Show | |
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Bryce Elder (5-1, 2.60 ERA) will start on Thursday vs Phillies , and Im betting the fireballer gives the Braves who are on a 8 game winning streak a solid chance at victory here vs Nola and the Phillies. The Braves have a lot of momentum on this sides, and after yesterdays cancelled game will be rested and primed to resume their winning ways.Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter like Nola. Phillies are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. National League East. Braves are 41-14 in their last 55 during game 2 of a series.Braves are 37-14 in their last 51 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Braves are 42-16 in their last 58 vs. National League East. Play on Atlanta to win |
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| 06-21-23 | Mariners v. Yankees UNDER 7.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show | |
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The New York pitching staff has a 3.73 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .229 opponent batting average this season, and Im projecting and betting on their starter today staying within those data parameters. Meanwhile, Seattle starting hurler Luis Castillo, has allowed just six earned runs in his last five starts (30.2 IP) and matches up well here vs a NYY batting order playing without super star A Judge. Im betting on both throwers going long and strong and for the capable bullpens to help keep this combined score on the low side of the offered total. Under is 4-0-1 in Mariners last 5 overall. Under is 4-0-1 in Mariners last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 3-0-1 in Mariners last 4 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Under is 5-0-1 in Yankees last 6 games following a win.Under is 3-0-1 in Yankees last 4 during game 2 of a series.Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 home games.Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.Under is 6-1-1 in Yankees last 8 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Under is 44-21-5 in the last 70 meetings.Under is 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings in New York. Play under |
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| 06-21-23 | Diamondbacks v. Brewers +135 | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 55 m | Show | |
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Gallen (8-2, 2.96 ERA) will be opposed by right-hander Julio Teheran (2-2, 1.78). I know Gallens numbers look very viable but he has over achieved and is due for regression. stat cast projects his true ERA at (3.84 xERA) Note: Gallen is 0-2 with a 4.50 ERA in two starts at Milwaukee in his career. Meanwhile, the Brewers starter Teheran is 4-1 with a 2.98 ERA in 11 career starts against the Diamondbacks and has pitched well since returning from the minors. The Brewers have won 14 of the past 17 meetings with Arizona in Milwaukee and get the nod again on a value line. Diamondbacks are 42-87 in their last 129 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Brewers are 7-3 in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Milwaukee Brewers to win |
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| 06-21-23 | Orioles v. Rays UNDER 8.5 | 2-7 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
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Baltimores starter Wells (6-2, 3.20 ERA), goes to the hill Wednesday vs the Tampa Bay Rays ., Wells has become and elite team leader in four important stats that demonstrate his rotational value. ERA, strikeouts (82) and opposing batting average (.183) are the best Baltimore's starting rotation, while his WHIP (0.86) leads MLB. Meanwhile, TB will send fire baller, Bradley to the mound His 13.19 K/9 rate ranks second in the league among starting hurlers. He has struck out over 34% of the batters he has gone against and is coming off an 11 strikeout outing . I know these strong pitchers, will go against solid offenses, but Im betting their young arms go long and strong, and for both bullpens to pick up any slack in what my projections estimate will be a lower scoring affair. Under is 11-5-1 in Rays last 17 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.Under is 13-6-1 in Rays last 20 overall. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play under |
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| 06-21-23 | Blue Jays -128 v. Marlins | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 43 m | Show | |
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Gausman has won his past four decisions and he hasn't lost since May 4 and enters this game with momentum.In seven appearances, including six starts, he is 3-1 with a 1.53 ERA.vs Miami and when visiting south Florida Gausman is 1-0 with a 1.04 ERA in three appearances (two starts). Gausman has pitched better than Miamis star hurler Alcantara and gets my support today.Marlins are 35-72 in their last 107 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Marlins are 20-41 in their last 61 inter-league home games vs. a team with a winning record. Blue Jays are 35-16 in their last 51 inter-league games vs. a right-handed starter like Alcantara. .Blue Jays are 39-18 in their last 57 inter-league games. Blue Jays are 23-9 in their last 32 vs. National League East. Blue Jays are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. Play on Blue Jays to win |
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| 06-20-23 | Padres +100 v. Giants | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 43 m | Show | |
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SF starter DeSclafani is off a win last time out , but he lasted just three innings, allowing five runs in. a 8-5 victory vs . He has been beaten up for 13 runs (12 earned) over just 12 innings in his three June starts and is fade material, even though the Giants are on a 8 game win streak. Remember all winning and losing streaks eventually come to an end.Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.Padres are 7-1 in their last 8 games following a loss.( They lost yesterday in extra innings)Padres are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in San Francisco. Play on San Diego to win |
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| 06-20-23 | Diamondbacks +106 v. Brewers | 5-7 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
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Arizonas starter Nelson, , is 1-0 with a 0.53 ERA in his past three road starts, having allowed just one run in 17 innings and gets the nod here today vs the inconsistent Milwaukee Brewers.The Diamondbacks, have won three of four this season vs. the Brewers, and have won six consecutive road games. Momentum gives the edge to the Dbacks. Diamondbacks are also 18-6 in their last 24 road games.Brewers are 1-6 in their last 7 vs. National League West. Play on the Arizona Dbacks to win |
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| 06-20-23 | Mariners v. Yankees -122 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
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Yankees right-hander Gerrit Cole (7-1, 2.75 ERA), has allowed two runs or less in 12 of his 15 starts this season and gives the Yankees a solid opportunity for a victory here tonight against Seattle. The Mariners are 1-6 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Mariners are 4-12 in the last 16 meetings in New York.Mariners are 15-36 in the last 51 meetings. Play on the NYY to win |
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| 06-20-23 | Blue Jays +105 v. Marlins | 2-0 | Win | 105 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
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Toronto will send Yusei Kikuchi (6-2, 4.31). The left-hander, who has never faced Miami, went 4-0 with a 3.00 ERA in April and deserves respect here as an underdog. I know the Blue Jays have lost three straight and four of five, but will be very primed for a bounce back here in this spot play. Blue Jays are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. National League East.Blue Jays are 11-2 in their last 13 inter-league games vs. a team with a winning record. Marlins are 15-39 in their last 54 vs. American League East.Marlins are 8-17 in their last 25 inter-league home games vs. a team with a winning record. Blue Jays are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Miami.Blue Jays are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. Play on Blue Jays to win |
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| 06-20-23 | Braves -144 v. Phillies | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
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Spencer Strider (7-2, 4.12 ERA) gets the start for the Braves.Strider has been effective against the Phillies in his career, going 5-0 with a 1.65 ERA in five games with four starts and gets the nod here again today.The Braves enter this game in Philadelphia on a six-game winning streak, highlighted by a four-game home sweep over the Colorado Rockies and enter this game in top form, and according to my power rankings matchup well here against another hot side.Braves are also 7-2 in their last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 like Suarez.Braves are 40-18 in their last 58 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Phillies are 3-7 in their last 10 during game 1 of a series.Phillies are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. National League East. Play on Atlanta to win |
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| 06-19-23 | Padres -108 v. Giants | 4-7 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 51 m | Show | |
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Both these sides are playing very good baseball at this time, but the Padres stand out as the superior side, based on their ability to hold down opposing offenses with top tier pitching--- both from their starters and bullpen. Padres are also 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter like the Padres Walker. Padres are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like Walker. Giants are 9-23 in their last 32 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days which is the case here today after playing the Dodgers and Cards. Giants are 2-6 in their last 8 home games vs. a right-handed starter like Wacha and are are 19-46 in their last 65 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like Wacha. Giants are 2-6 in their last 8 home games Padres are 9-1 in the last 10 meetings.Padres are 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in San Francisco. Play on the Padres to win |
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| MLB Archive | |||||||
| Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
| 07-24-23 | Blue Jays v. Dodgers OVER 9 | 6-3 | Push | 0 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
| 07-24-23 | Rangers v. Astros +100 | 9-10 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
| 07-23-23 | Mets v. Red Sox -144 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
| 07-23-23 | Rockies v. Marlins -1.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -128 | 5 h 20 m | Show | |
| 07-22-23 | Pirates v. Angels OVER 9 | 3-0 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
| 07-22-23 | Diamondbacks v. Reds -105 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show | |
| 07-22-23 | Dodgers v. Rangers +114 | 16-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
| 07-21-23 | Mets +110 v. Red Sox | 5-4 | Win | 110 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
| 07-20-23 | Astros -1.5 v. A's | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 32 m | Show | |
| 07-19-23 | Twins +144 v. Mariners | 6-3 | Win | 144 | 14 h 39 m | Show | |
| 07-18-23 | Giants -130 v. Reds | 11-10 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
| 07-18-23 | Diamondbacks v. Braves -182 | 16-13 | Loss | -182 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
| 07-18-23 | Padres v. Blue Jays +122 | 9-1 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
| 07-17-23 | Red Sox -160 v. A's | 7-0 | Win | 100 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
| 07-17-23 | Yankees v. Angels OVER 9 | 3-4 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 46 m | Show | |
| 07-17-23 | Nationals v. Cubs -133 | 7-5 | Loss | -133 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
| 07-16-23 | Astros -124 v. Angels | 9-8 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
| 07-16-23 | Marlins +152 v. Orioles | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 5 m | Show | |
| 07-15-23 | Astros -133 v. Angels | 12-13 | Loss | -133 | 13 h 50 m | Show | |
| 07-15-23 | Rays -1.5 v. Royals | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
| 07-15-23 | Padres v. Phillies UNDER 10 | 4-9 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 12 m | Show | |
| 07-15-23 | Marlins +104 v. Orioles | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
| 07-15-23 | Red Sox -102 v. Cubs | 4-10 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
| 07-14-23 | Tigers v. Mariners -180 | 5-4 | Loss | -180 | 17 h 10 m | Show | |
| 07-14-23 | Astros +142 v. Angels | 7-5 | Win | 142 | 16 h 30 m | Show | |
| 07-14-23 | Yankees v. Rockies +179 | 2-7 | Win | 179 | 14 h 3 m | Show | |
| 07-14-23 | Marlins +113 v. Orioles | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 16 m | Show | |
| 07-14-23 | Red Sox -116 v. Cubs | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 15 h 46 m | Show | |
| 07-14-23 | White Sox v. Braves -1.5 | 0-9 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
| 07-11-23 | National League v. American League -102 | 3-2 | Loss | -102 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
| 07-09-23 | Mets v. Padres UNDER 8 | 2-6 | Push | 0 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
| 07-09-23 | Orioles +150 v. Twins | 15-2 | Win | 150 | 6 h 8 m | Show | |
| 07-08-23 | Braves v. Rays +131 | 6-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
| 07-07-23 | Reds +110 v. Brewers | 3-7 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
| 07-07-23 | Mariners v. Astros -112 | 10-1 | Loss | -112 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
| 07-07-23 | Blue Jays v. Tigers +125 | 12-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
| 07-06-23 | Rangers v. Red Sox +124 | 6-10 | Win | 124 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
| 07-05-23 | Royals v. Twins OVER 8.5 | 0-5 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
| 07-05-23 | Cardinals v. Marlins UNDER 8.5 | 9-10 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
| 07-05-23 | Rockies v. Astros -1.5 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 0 m | Show | |
| 07-04-23 | Angels +118 v. Padres | 5-8 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
| 07-04-23 | Phillies v. Rays -107 | 3-1 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
| 07-04-23 | Rangers v. Red Sox -105 | 6-2 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 22 m | Show | |
| 07-03-23 | Braves v. Guardians UNDER 9 | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
| 07-03-23 | Cardinals v. Marlins -126 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
| 07-03-23 | Cubs v. Brewers UNDER 9 | 6-8 | Loss | -125 | 5 h 7 m | Show | |
| 07-03-23 | Astros +106 v. Rangers | 12-11 | Win | 106 | 6 h 57 m | Show | |
| 07-03-23 | Astros v. Rangers UNDER 9 | 12-11 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
| 07-02-23 | Giants +112 v. Mets | 4-8 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
| 07-02-23 | Rays +116 v. Mariners | 6-7 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
| 07-02-23 | White Sox -145 v. A's | 8-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
| 07-02-23 | Tigers v. Rockies UNDER 12 | 14-9 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
| 07-02-23 | Twins -109 v. Orioles | 1-2 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 30 m | Show | |
| 07-01-23 | Rays -115 v. Mariners | 3-8 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
| 07-01-23 | Giants v. Mets -139 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
| 07-01-23 | Marlins +151 v. Braves | 0-7 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
| 07-01-23 | Padres v. Reds OVER 11 | 12-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
| 06-30-23 | Diamondbacks v. Angels -147 | 6-2 | Loss | -147 | 13 h 9 m | Show | |
| 06-30-23 | Twins v. Orioles -106 | 8-1 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
| 06-30-23 | Red Sox +126 v. Blue Jays | 5-0 | Win | 126 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
| 06-30-23 | Brewers -136 v. Pirates | 7-8 | Loss | -136 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
| 06-29-23 | Astros v. Cardinals +102 | 14-0 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
| 06-29-23 | Marlins v. Red Sox UNDER 9 | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
| 06-29-23 | White Sox +130 v. Angels | 9-7 | Win | 130 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
| 06-29-23 | Guardians -147 v. Royals | 3-4 | Loss | -147 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
| 06-28-23 | Dodgers v. Rockies +175 | 8-9 | Win | 175 | 16 h 36 m | Show | |
| 06-28-23 | Tigers +190 v. Rangers | 2-10 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 40 m | Show | |
| 06-28-23 | Astros +103 v. Cardinals | 10-7 | Win | 103 | 14 h 21 m | Show | |
| 06-28-23 | Padres v. Pirates UNDER 8 | 1-7 | Push | 0 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
| 06-27-23 | Dodgers v. Rockies UNDER 12 | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 14 h 20 m | Show | |
| 06-26-23 | Nationals +225 v. Mariners | 4-8 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
| 06-26-23 | White Sox +120 v. Angels | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
| 06-26-23 | Reds +120 v. Orioles | 3-10 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
| 06-25-23 | Astros v. Dodgers UNDER 8.5 | 6-5 | Loss | -114 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
| 06-25-23 | Astros v. Dodgers -125 | 6-5 | Loss | -125 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
| 06-25-23 | Nationals v. Padres -1.5 | 8-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
| 06-25-23 | Pirates v. Marlins -165 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 6 m | Show | |
| 06-25-23 | Cubs v. Cardinals OVER 11.5 | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 1 h 7 m | Show | |
| 06-24-23 | Nationals v. Padres -1.5 | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 47 m | Show | |
| 06-24-23 | Astros +162 v. Dodgers | 7-8 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
| 06-24-23 | Red Sox -119 v. White Sox | 4-5 | Loss | -119 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
| 06-24-23 | Cubs -135 v. Cardinals | 9-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
| 06-23-23 | Diamondbacks +179 v. Giants | 5-8 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 32 m | Show | |
| 06-23-23 | Astros v. Dodgers -142 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 17 h 55 m | Show | |
| 06-23-23 | Angels v. Rockies +144 | 4-7 | Win | 144 | 13 h 24 m | Show | |
| 06-23-23 | Brewers +1.5 v. Guardians | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 6 m | Show | |
| 06-23-23 | Mariners v. Orioles -110 | 13-1 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
| 06-22-23 | Mariners v. Yankees -115 | 10-2 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
| 06-22-23 | Red Sox +140 v. Twins | 0-6 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 35 m | Show | |
| 06-22-23 | Braves -105 v. Phillies | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 21 m | Show | |
| 06-21-23 | Mariners v. Yankees UNDER 7.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show | |
| 06-21-23 | Diamondbacks v. Brewers +135 | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 55 m | Show | |
| 06-21-23 | Orioles v. Rays UNDER 8.5 | 2-7 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
| 06-21-23 | Blue Jays -128 v. Marlins | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 43 m | Show | |
| 06-20-23 | Padres +100 v. Giants | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 43 m | Show | |
| 06-20-23 | Diamondbacks +106 v. Brewers | 5-7 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
| 06-20-23 | Mariners v. Yankees -122 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
| 06-20-23 | Blue Jays +105 v. Marlins | 2-0 | Win | 105 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
| 06-20-23 | Braves -144 v. Phillies | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
| 06-19-23 | Padres -108 v. Giants | 4-7 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 51 m | Show | |
