Rockies starter FREELAND is 20-2 UNDER   as a road underdog of +150 to +200 in his career. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.3 rpg scored. 

Under is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 home games vs. a left-handed starter like Rockies starter Freeland. 

Under is 8-3 in Phillies last 11 home games.

Under is 5-0 in Rockies last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like Phiiles stater Sanchez.Under is 6-1 in Rockies last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter like Phillies starter Sanchez.Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.

Under is 22-8-3 in Rockies last 33 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.

COLORADO is 16-5 UNDER  with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL) over the last 2 seasons with q combined average of 8.1 rpg scored.

THOMSON is 22-7 UNDER  after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better as the manager of PHILADELPHIA with a combined average of 7 rpg scored. 

Play on the under

The Giants, who have lost six of seven and are not in good from,  and my power rankings suggest they are being over rated here today . Giants starter DeSclafani,   recorded a 6.63 ERA while being limited to five starts last season due to a right ankle injury, and despite of being a solid pitcher overall, is a go against option for me today against a solid NY Mets side that are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter like  Desclafani . Note: DeSclafani is 0-4 with a 5.91 ERA in eight career games (seven starts) against the Mets.

Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter like the Mets Lucchesi .Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

  .Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.NY METS are 42-25  against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.NY METS are 22-5 against the money line after a 2 game span where the bullpen threw 9 total innings or more over the last 2 seasons.

Play on the NY Mets to win

The Rays are off to a 16-3 start with a plus-83 run differential, the largest through 19 games in the modern-baseball era and Im betting on some rinse and repeat action here this evening as they host the White sox they will send Michael Kopech (0-2, 6.32 ERA)  to start the series opener for Chicago. Tampa Bay ahs averaged 7.8 rpg at home this season and blasted righty starters like Kopech for an average 7.2 rpg. 

TAMPA BAY is 20-2   against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 5.4 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.9 which qualifies on this run-line offering.TAMPA BAY is 12-0  against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season with the rpg diff registering at +5.8 which qulaifies on this runline offering. 

Play on TB to win -1.5 

The series starts with Michael Wacha (2-1, 6.06 ERA) going to the hill for San Diego against Ryne Nelson (1-0, 3.71) in a match up of right-handers. 

Offensively the Padres enter this game struggling to score runs recently and were shutout two times in a row and then followed up with 1 run output last time out . So one run in their L/3 games and have not scored more than 3 runs in game in their L/7 overall. Meanwhile, Arizona has faired better offensively of late, but my pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest that Wacha should cause their output status immediate regression. Advantage to the under.

Under is 5-1 in Padres last 6 road games.Under is 4-1 in Padres last 5 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Under is 7-3 in Padres last 10 overall.

ARIZONA is 50-33 UNDER  against division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.6 rpg scored. Under is 12-5-1 in Diamondbacks last 18 home games. Under is 7-3 in Diamondbacks last 10 home games vs. a right-handed starter like the Padres expected starter Wacha. 

Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Arizona.

Play under

Things don't look cohesive in Dodger town right now, and after a losing 3 of 4 at home to the NY Mets, bouncing back will not come so easy with jet lag a tailing factor in tonights Wrigley Field tilt after a late night flight in from the West coast. CHICAGO CUBS are 9-2  against the money line vs. poor defensive catchers - allowing 0.85 + SB's/game over the last 3 seasons.CHICAGO CUBS are 11-4  against the money line in home games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. 

Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.Cubs are 11-4 in their last 15 home games.Cubs are 8-3 in their last 11 home games vs. a right-handed starter like Grove. Cubs are 20-8 in their last 28 during game 1 of a series.

LA DODGERS are 6-13  against the money line vs. good base-running teams - averaging 0.85 or more SB's/game over the last 3 seasons. Dodgers are 2-8 in their last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.

MLB Home teams where the total is 10 or higher (CHICAGO CUBS) - good NL hitting team (AVG .275 or better ) against a team with a below average bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more ), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 48-16 L/26 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win

 Nestor Cortes (2-0, 2.60 ERA) goes to the hill  for the Yankees as he bids for a franchise record. He has allowed two runs or fewer in nine straight starts, and gets my support here to go long in this tilt and help his team to victory. Cortes is 1-0 with a 2.63 ERA in five career games (one start) against the Angels. He earned a win vs. Los Angeles last June 2 in New York when he allowed five hits in seven scoreless innings.Rinse and repeat on board. 

LA ANGELS are 7-23  against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.90 or better over the last 3 seasons like NYY expected starter Cortes. LA ANGELS are 22-43 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better over the last 2 seasons.

NY YANKEES are 30-8  against the money line in home games in day games over the last 2 seasons.

MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (NY YANKEES) - AL team with a low on-base percentage (.320 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or less), starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 106-37 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on NYY to win

Colorado has scored a total of 8 runs in their L/4 games overall and Im betting they struggle here again today vs Johan Oviedo (1-1, 2.45 ERA) who  will look to extend the streak of Pittsburgh quality starts. . The Cuban right-hander allowed just one run and struck out 10 over seven innings in his latest start, but he has no run support vs  St. Louis Cardinals, losing  3-0 .

Rockies are 18-40 in their last 58 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Meanwhile, Pittsburgh gets to go against a lefty Gomer. The Pirates have lit up lefties this season for an average of 5.7 rpg and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation this afternoon in the Mile High  city.

Rockies are 9-25 in their last 34 overall. Rockies are 6-20 in their last 26 during game 3 of a series.

Play on Pittsburgh to win 

Quantrill, a 15-game winner last season, is 2-2 with a 3.34 ERA in eight career outings against the Tigers, including five starts and according to my power rankings matches up well vs this version the Tigers. Meanwhile, Turnbull (1-2, 9.00 ERA), who was sidelined all of last season while recovering from Tommy John surgery, had allowed 12 runs in eight innings during his first two starts of the season and once again looks like cannon fodder. Guardians are 21-7 in their last 28 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

QUANTRILL is 18-9  against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (DETROIT) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less), with a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season are 34-121 L/26 seasons for a go against  78% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Guardians to win 

Tampa Bays starter RASMUSSEN is 13-0  against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at +4.9 which easily qualifies on this runline offering. Meanwhile ,the Reds will turn to a rookie making his major league debut Wednesday as right-hander Levi Stoudt gets the spot start. Needless to say this is a bad matchup vs an inexperienced MLB pitcher. Rays are 9-2 in their last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter. Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.

Reds are 8-24 in their last 32 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Reds are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

Play on the TB Rays to win -1.5 runline

Texas has won 6 of their L/8 while their hosts KC have lost 7 of their L/8. Its obvious these teams are currently playing at the opposite ends of the performance spectrum. With that said, Ill ride the Rangers momentum here to what my power rankings suggest will be a victory.  KCs starter KELLER is 1-10   against the money line in home games with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) KELLER is 1-12 against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) In five lifetime appearances (four starts) against the Rangers, Keller is 1-2 with a 6.35 ERA.

Royals are 0-6 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter like the Rangers starter Eovaldi. 

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (TEXAS) - with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 10 games, with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings. are 55-14 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Texas to win

Twins starter GRAY has a had a good start to his season but  is just  15-24 against the money line when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) since 1997. (Team's Record) The Twins right hander has also struggled agains the Red Sox in his career and owns   1-7 record  when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 7.13 and a WHIP of 1.488.

Twins are 13-31 in their last 44 road games.Twins are 4-11 in their last 15 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Twins are 4-12 in their last 16 road games vs. a left-handed starter like Sale.

Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League Central.. Red Sox are 11-5 in their last 16 home games

MLB Road teams (MINNESOTA) - poor AL offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less), after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base are 4-33 L/5 seasons for a go 89% against conversion rate for bettors .

Play on the Red Sox to win 

The Orioles won three of four games against the Nationals last season, outscoring the inter-league foe 17-8. My power ranking suggest they still matchup well vs this current Washington squad and have the edge here as road favs. 

Orioles are 21-7 in their last 28 during game 1 of a series.Orioles are 6-2 in their last 8 inter-league road games.Orioles are 6-2 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

Nationals are 1-7 in their last 8 inter-league games vs. a right-handed starter.Nationals are 1-7 in their last 8 inter-league home games.Nationals are 0-6 in their last 6 vs. American League East.

WASHINGTON is 9-23  against the money line in home games when playing with a day off over the last 3 seasons. ( Washington did not play yesterday)

WASHINGTON is 8-26 against the money line as a home underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons.

MARTINEZ is 2-14 against the money line in home games with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (AL) as the manager of WASHINGTON.

Orioles are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.

Play on Baltimore Orioles to win 

 My projections make the NYY a viable fav here this evening vs a inconsistent Angels team that has lost 4 of their L/5 road games. 

NY YANKEES are 33-8  against the money line in home games after 2 straight games where they committed no errors over the last 2 seasons.

NEVIN is 12-35   against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better as the manager of LA ANGELS.

Angels are 8-25 in their last 33 vs. American League East.

Angels are 1-5 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (LA ANGELS) - starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest, after a game where the bullpen threw 7 or more innings are 2-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 94% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on NYY to win

The Mets have played better overall ball than the Mets early this season, but in this one instance (game) the Dodgers look to have the advantage with May on the hill. The Mets will send left-hander David Peterson (0-2, 4.91 ERA) to the mound in the series opener a hurler that the Dodgers matchup well against according to my power rankings.

Dodgers are 42-13 in their last 55 home games vs. a team with a winning record.

Mets are 19-39 in their last 58 road games vs. a team with a winning record.

Mets are 3-10 in their last 13 vs. a team with a winning record.

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (LA DODGERS) - where team's hitters draw 4 walks or more/game on the season, after scoring 2 runs or less are 88-26 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Home teams (LA DODGERS) - where team's hitters draw 4 walks or more/game on the season, after scoring 2 runs or less are 103-41 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rare for bettors.

Mets are 6-14 in the last 20 meetings in Los Angeles.

Play on LA Dodgers 

The Marlins on Monday will start lefty Jesus Luzardo (2-0, 1.93 ERA). According to my power rankings he matches up well vs the SF batting order. When or iff he leaves this game Miami has well rested bullpen performers ready to go with  lefty A.J. Puk, and righty Dylan Floro. Puk, a former  starter in his college  career, has a 1.50 ERA so far this season. He's using his upper-90s fastball against lefties and his slider versus lefties giving them fits.Floro a finesse pitcher, owns a 0.00 ERA in six appearances,   and gets hitters to chase by using his sinker-slider combo. Meanwhile, on the flipside Logan Webb armed and with his new 90 million dollar contract will be primed to perform here against a struggling Miami offense. Advantage to the under.

Under is 3-1-1 in Giants last 5 vs. National League East.

SAN FRANCISCO is 18-6 UNDER in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 6.7 rpg scored. 

MIAMI is 8-0 UNDER n home games vs. excellent power teams - averaging 1.5 or more HR's/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 5.3 rpg scored.

Under is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 overall.

Under is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 on grass.Under is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 vs. National League West.Under is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 4-0-1 in Marlins last 5 home games.Under is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

Under is 13-5-1 in the last 19 meetings.

Play on the UNDER

The Reds, who have lost five of their last seven and according to my power rankings do not matchup well vs the Tampa Bay Rays. Reds starting righty hurler GREENE is 5-20 (  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GREENE is 4-20  against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) the Rays have absolutely demolished right handed pitchers like Green, averaging 7.8 rpg in offense  via. a.284 BA. TAMPA BAY is 14-1  against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season.Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague road games.

Play on Tampa Bay to win 

The Angels will look to avoid a 4 game sweep at the hands of the Red Sox today when they send Japanese phenom Ohtani out to the hill . Ohtani has seen his team win his L/3 starts vs the Red Sox and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here today in Fenway.Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (BOSTON) - allowing 4.9 or more runs/game on the season (AL), after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 8-54 L/5 seasons for a 87% go against conversion rate for bettors. MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (LA ANGELS) - with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season, starting a pitcher who walked 4+ hitters each of his last 2 outings are 50-11 L/26 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Halos to win 

Houstons starter VALDEZ is 22-5  against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.4 which qualifies on this runline offering. Rangers are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter and this year so far are averaging just 2.5 rpg in production vs southpaws. .Meanwhile,HOUSTON is 45-15   against the money line against left-handed starters  like Heaney over the last 2 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at +1.9. The Astros superior starter and bullpen will  help us cover this runline offering. 

Play on Houston to win -1.5 runline 

Miami Marlins Right-hander Sandy Alcantara, the reigning National League Cy Young Award winner im betting matches up very well vs the the Dbacks batting order and should limit their production to a minimum here today. Meanwhile, , Arizona will start right-hander Zac Gallen (1-1, 4.58 ERA). Gallen is coming off a career year in 2022, when he went 12-4 with a 2.54 ERA in 31 starts for Arizona. After a rough start this season, Gallen  settled down last time out  and pitched seven scoreless innings against the Brewers. He struck out 11 and allowed just three hits and one walk and has momentum entering this tilt. Im betting these two hurlers go long and strong and we see little offensive production making for a lower scoring affair.

Miami hurler ALCANTARA is 16-4 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.5 rpg scored. ALCANTARA is 15-5 UNDER  at home when the total is 7 or less over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Under is 3-1-2 in Marlins last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter like Arizonas Gallen . Under is 4-1-2 in Marlins last 7 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

Under is 10-3-2 in Marlins last 15 vs. a team with a winning record.

Play under

NYY starter Cole (3-0, 1.40 ERA) has won three straight starts to begin a season for the third time in his career (2013, 2020) and is once again ready for a shutdown performance against a batting order he matches up well against. MINNESOTA is 14-34  against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.90 or better over the last 3 seasons.MINNESOTA is 17-37against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. COLE is 4-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.21 and a WHIP of 1.143 and his teams have won all 5 of his starts vs the Twins in his career.

NY YANKEES are 32-8  against the money line in home games after 2 straight games where they committed no errors over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Road teams (MINNESOTA) - poor AL offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less), after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base are 4-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the NYY to win

Atlanta enters this game having won 4 straight games, and have momentum on their sides entering this game vs a struggling KC Royals side that has lost 4 of their L/5 and 10 of 14. I know Bubic the Royals starter has looked solid so far this season, but run support has been hard to come by for the Royals southpaw, as Kansas City scored scored just one run in each of his first two outings of the season. Run support behind a side that averages just 2.5 rpg will once again be the Royals undoing. 

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (KANSAS CITY) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less), with a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season are 118-34 L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Atlanta to win 

Saturday's pitching matchup will feature Miami left-hander Braxton Garrett (0-0, 4.70 ERA) and Arizona right-hander Ryne Nelson (1-0, 4.91). The key here will not be the starting pitchers but Miami's bullpen which has been strong with A.J. Puk (1.50 ERA) and Dylan Floro (0.00).  The Marlins won 5-1 yesterday and look like viable shot home favs in this spot play. Diamondbacks are 3-9 in their last 12 games vs. a left-handed starter lie Garrett.

Marlins are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record

MLB Home teams (MIAMI) - very bad NL offensive team (3.5 or less runs/game) against a team with a below avg. bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more ), with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse on the season are 91-43 L/26 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Miami to win

Both these offenses are of the sub prime variety and Im betting they will once again find the sledding tough in todays matchup. In the first two games of this series a total of 8 runs have been scored with each side recording a shutout and a rinse and repeat scenario from a total runs perspective is a good bet here. The Cards have gone under in 9 of their L/10 overall, and the Pirates have gone under in 3 straight and 4 of their L/6 overall. 

Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 vs. National League Central.Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 road games.Under is 12-2 in Pirates last 14 during game 3 of a series.Under is 5-1-1 in Pirates last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 like Matz. 

PITTSBURGH is 22-10 UNDER  on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.3 rpg scored. 

SHELTON is 31-17 UNDER  in road games after scoring 1 run or less as the manager of PITTSBURGH with a combined average of 8 rpg scored. 

 Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 7-0 in Cardinals last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.

MARMOL is 20-9 UNDER   after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games as the manager of ST LOUIS with a combined average of 6.7 rpg scored. 

ST LOUIS is 7-0 UNDER vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game this season with a combined average of 7.2 rpg scored. 

.

MLB Road teams (PITTSBURGH) - after being shut out in a loss to a division rival, starting a pitcher who was rocked for 7 or more runs last outing are 44-13 UNDER L/276 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (PITTSBURGH) - after being shut out in a loss to a division rival, starting a pitcher who was rocked for 7 or more runs last outing are 29-7 L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play under

After getting swept in four games by the undefeated Rays in St. Petersburg, Fla  and now with  no momentum on their sides the BoSox are vulnerable to another defeat. My power ranking suggest that with  Patrick Sandoval (1-0, 1.64 ERA) going to the hill  for the Angels that they have an edge. Red Sox are 4-13 in their last 17 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

Note: Red Sox righty starter Houck is 1-1 with a 14.54 ERA against the Angels in two career starts, both in relief last year. Angels are 10-3 in their last 13 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Angels are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.

BOSTON is 15-34  against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 2 seasons.BOSTON is 11-33  against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Angels to win 

Both these pitchers Clevinger and Wells , matchup well here vs each opposing batting order according to my early season power rankings. Factoring in the  bullpens and edger to the under makes for viable wagering opportunity. 

Under is 15-6-1 in Orioles last 22 road games vs. a right-handed starter like Clevinger. 

Under is 3-0-1 in White Sox last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 3-0-1 in White Sox last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter like Baltimores Wells. Under is 6-0-2 in White Sox last 8 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Under is 6-1 in White Sox last 7 vs. American League East.

BALTIMORE is 14-3 UNDER  in road games against AL Central opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.8 rpg scored.BALTIMORE is 25-12 UNDER  vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.8 rpg scored. 

The last 6 games in this series played in south side Chicago have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons .

Play under

The Rays own a 13-0 record  and are  12-1  against the run-line, as they’ve won all but one game by multiple runs. That one game was a 1-0 shutout. Rays are 8-0 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter like Berrios and have an edge here as short road favs.BERRIOS is 7-21  against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season in his career. (Team's Record) TBs starter RASMUSSEN is 15-4  against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Play on Tampa Bay to win 

After the first two weeks of the 2023 season, the Brewers are off to an 8-4 start. The Padres are 7-6. The Brewers according to their win loss record are also playing a more consistent brand of baseball and deserve respect here as road dogs. I know the Brewers lost yesterday to Arizona by a 7-3 count but they have been resilient recently after suffering a defeat as is evident by going 6-0 in their last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game while registering a  4-0 record  in their last 4 games following a loss. Brewers are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in San Diego.

MILWAUKEE is 12-3  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 4 walks or more/game over the last 3 seasons.MILWAUKEE is 39-19  against the money line in April games over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Milwaukee to win

Yankees matchup well here vs the Twins in the opener of their 4game series according to my early season power rankings. The Yankees are averaging 5 plus runs while their pitching staff is giving up 2.75 runs per game.

Ryan has pitched well for the Twins, but Yankees expected starter Johnny Brito owns a 2-0 record and an ERA of 0.90 and is in top form. RYAN is 0-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 1.750. ( Ryan's one start was here at Yankee Stadium in a 7-1 loss last season in September)

NY YANKEES are 30-6 (against the money line in home games after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 6-22 against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons.Twins are 8-24 in their last 32 vs. a team with a winning record.

Twins are 11-44 in the last 55 meetings in New York.

Twins are 12-39 in the last 51 meetings.

Play on NYY to win 

The Rays have been in top form so far this season and have recorded 4 shutouts and  registered 12 straight wins and now Im betting on lucky 13 to be a conclusive victory. The 12 wins to start their season have seen 11 of those games decided by 2 or more runs  and a rinse and repeat situation is my bet today vs a Red Sox side that has lost 3 straight .TAMPA BAY is 20-5 against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons as hosts.Rays are 42-11 in their last 53 home games vs. a team with a losing record.

Red Sox are 8-20 in their last 28 road games.Red Sox are 4-12 in their last 16 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Red Sox are 13-40 in their last 53 games on astroturf.

Play on Tampa Bay to win -1.5

Brad Keller. In his first two starts of the year Keller has a 1-1 record with a 2.61 ERA and nine Ks in 10.1 innings and has the ability to keep his team in this game. Meanwhile, Texas sends Eovaldi  who is 1-1 with a 4.22 ERA. According to early season power rankings KCs struggling offense matches up well here giving us an edge on a runline wager backing the visiting Royals. 

TEXAS is 38-60against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Home favorites against a 1.5 run line (Money Line =-190 to +175) (TEXAS) - very good offensive team - scoring  5.4  or more runs/game on the season (AL), playing on Wednesday are 6-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate. 

Play on Royals +1.5 run-line 

Washington left-hander MacKenzie Gore (2-0, 2.38), who will start Wednesday's game, has pitched well in his first two start and now expecting he has another good start and will help contribute to what Im betting will be a lower scoring affair.

Washingtons starter GORE in 6 games  against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) has seen a combined average of 7 rpg scored. 

Under is 4-1-2 in Angels last 7 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.

Under is 10-2 in Nationals last 12 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter like Canning. 

LA ANGELS are 19-7 UNDER  in home games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7 rpg. LA ANGELS are 23-11 UNDER  vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.LA ANGELS are 30-15 UNDER  as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.

Under is 5-1-2 in the last 8 meetings in Los Angeles.

Under is 6-1-2 in the last 9 meetings.

Play under

 Stroman (2-0, 0.00 ERA) is 5-0 with a 1.18 ERA in his past six starts. In his five home starts going back to last season.   Stroman has yielded just two runs, with 17 hits and 11 walks, while striking out 32 in 32 innings to earn five consecutive victories and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here today vs the visiting Mariners. .

Mariners are 3-8 in their last 11 vs. a team with a winning record and have lost 5 of their L/7 road games. 

 Mariners are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series.

  Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games. cubs are 5-1 L/6 overall. 

CHICAGO CUBS are 31-16  against the money line in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 3 seasons.

Mariners are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago.

Mariners are 1-10 in the last 11 meetings.

Play on Chicago to win 

The Arizona Diamondbacks have won 4 straight games and have scored 26 runs in their last 3 games and roll into this game with offensive momentum and deserve respect here as home underdogs. It must be noted the Dbacks starter Kelley has seen his team win his L/3 starts vs the Brewers and Im betting on a rinse repeat situation today. Especially considering the Brewers starter Burnes has struggled so far this season as is evident by garnering a bloated 9.65 ERA so far this season. Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Brewers are 7-18 in their last 25 road games vs. a right-handed starter like Kelly.

MILWAUKEE is 9-16 against the money line after a 3 game span with an OBP of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

 Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 2 of a series.

Brewers are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Arizona.

Play on Arizona to win

Angels starting hurler OHTANI is 7-0 UNDER  vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5 rpg going on the board.OHTANI is 20-7 UNDER  as a home favorite of -110 or higher since 1997. (Team's Record) OHTANI is 12-3 UNDER  when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Across his first two starts Ohtani is 1-0 with a 0.75 ERA. He has 18 Ks in 12.0 innings total. 

I know Washington   scored 6 or more runs in each of the past 4 games , but 3 of those were in the launching pad known as Coors Field, but here against a top tier hurler like Ohtani Im betting on offensive regression which will contribute to a lower scoring affair. 

NEVIN is 15-4 UNDER vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse as the manager of LA ANGELS.

Under is 3-1-1 in Nationals last 5 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 15-5-3 in Nationals last 23 interleague road games.Under is 4-1-2 in the last 7 meetings in Los Angeles.

Under is 22-9-4 in Angels last 35 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 9-4 in Angels last 13 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

Play under

  On Monday versus the Mets, San Diego had just two hits in a 5-0 loss and Im betting their offense struggles to be consistent today vs Mets starter Peterson 

Meanwhile, the Mets are 17-8 in their last 25 at home versus a southpaw starter and 46-22 in their last 68 at home vs lefties like the Padres starter Weathers. 

Mets are 13-5 in their last 18 home games vs. a team with a winning record.

NY METS are 23-5   against the money line in home games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.NY METS are 47-20  against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons

Play on the NY Mets to win 

Yesterday the Phillies put 15 runs on 20 hits, including nine runs and 10 hits against  top tier hurler Alcantara. This is an explosive Phillies lineup and Im betting on another top shelf effort today against a lesser pitcher in Luzardo. 

Marlins are 18-37 in their last 55 games vs. a right-handed starter like Nola.

Marlins are 12-32 in their last 44 vs. National League East.Marlins are 8-20 in their last 28 during game 2 of a series.

PHILADELPHIA is 32-8  against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. 

PHILADELPHIA is 25-9 against the money line after scoring 8 runs or more over the last 2 seasons

MLB Road teams (MIAMI) - allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season (NL) against opponent allowing 5.5 or more runs/game on the season (NL) are 25-58 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Phillies to win

Arizona starter  GALLEN is 25-11 UNDER vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game. with a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored. ARIZONA is 16-3 UNDER with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL) over the last 2 seasons.

Lefty Wiley goes to the hill for the Brewers and he is backed by a strong looking bullpen  that has recorded a minuscule 0.84 ERA. The Dbacks have struggled against southpaws this season so far as is evident by a .220 BA  and those struggles Im betting continue today. 

Under is 8-3 in Brewers last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter.MILWAUKEE is 12-2 UNDER in road games when playing on Monday over the last 3 seasons.

Under is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings.

Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Arizona.

Play on the UNDER 

The Angels will be primed for a redemption performance today after blowing a big lead to the Blue Jays yesterday and finally succumbing in extra innings by a 12-11 count. 

 Washingtons starting hurler CORBIN is 2-19   against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at -3.4 which qualifies on this run line offering. CORBIN is 4-25   against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff registering at -3.9 rpg. 

MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (WASHINGTON) - after 2 straight games where they committed no errors against opponent after a game they hit 4 or more home runs are 10-61 L/5 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at  -3.5 which easily qualifies on this run-line offering. 

Play on Angels -1.5 runline 

The Royals enter this game against Texas  with a  41-88 record  in their last 129 vs. American League West and  are 6-13 in their last 19 during game 1 of a series. Royals are also 16-35 in their last 51 road games and are fade material here at Texas tonight. Meanwhile, the Rangers ,  are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 like Greinke and  are 6-2 in their last 8 home games. Rangers are also 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter and according to my projections have multiple edges in this tilt. 

Rangers starter HEANEY is 2-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 2.28 and a WHIP of 0.887.

KANSAS CITY is 2-15  against the money line after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base over the last 2 seasons.

 MLB Road teams (KANSAS CITY) - poor AL offensive team (4.2  or less runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less ), after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base.

Play on Texas 

My power rankings suggest Kikuchi the Blue Jays expected starter does not matchup well vs the LA Angels batting order. KIKUCHI is 4-12  against the money line with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record). KIKUCHI is 1-6  against the money line vs. poor base-running teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) KIKUCHI is 1-4 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 9.61 and a WHIP of 2.222.

Meanwhile, Blue Jays are 4-11 in their last 15 games vs. a left-handed starter like the Halos starter Detmers. 

Detmers pitched at a top tier level in his lone start against the Jays ,  allowing just  four hits and no runs in 5 plus innings while striking out five batters. Rinse and repeat situation on board.

Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. American League West.

Angels are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a left-handed starter.

Angels are 7-1 in their last 8 home games.

Angels are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series.

The Angels have won four of their last seven games and are in a groove   offensively, scoring 16 runs in their last four trips to the diamonds. 

Play on LA Angels to win 

My projections expect a total combined score of 9+ runs here giving us value with an over wager. 

Over is 6-1 in Royals last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter like the Giants expected starter   A. Desclafani. 

Over is 5-0 in Royals last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 8-1 in Royals last 9 road games. Over is 11-3 in Royals last 14 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 15-5 in Royals last 20 interleague games. 

Over is 5-1 in Giants last 6 vs. American League Central.Over is 4-1 in Giants last 5 interleague games.

SAN FRANCISCO is 10-1 OVER  after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 5 or more earned runs over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.5 rpg scored. 

KAPLER is 21-6 OVER  after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 5 or more earned runs as the manager of SAN FRANCISCO with a combined average of 10.2 rpg going on the board. 

MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (KANSAS CITY) - very bad AL offensive team (3.6 or less runs/game) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA 5.00 or more), after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base are 40-12 OVER L/26 seasons. 

Play over

In the series finale, right-hander George Kirby (0-1, 8.31 ERA) gets the start for Seattle. The Guardians counter with right-hander Zach Plesac who is 2-0 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 0.533.

These teams have played each other 6 times already this season, with Seattle winning 3 of 4 in Seattle. Now here in Cleveland the Mariners took the first two games of the series, but now Im betting on a bounce back scenario for the Guardians. FRANCONA is 36-14 (against the money line revenging 2 straight losses vs opponent as a home favorite as the manager of CLEVELAND.

CLEVELAND is 27-9 against the money line when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Home teams (CLEVELAND) - where team's hitters draw 4 walks or more/game on the season, after scoring 2 runs or less are 95-36 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Cleveland to win 

The Red Sox will  send right-hander Kutter Crawford (0-1, 15.75 ERA), who was battered in his season debut by Pittsburgh on Monday, giving up seven runs in four innings . My early season  power rankings suggest he does not matchup well here vs the Tigers batting order. Advantage to the Tigers. 

HINCH is 19-12  against the money line after a game with a combined score of 15 runs or more as the manager of DETROIT. Boston pounded Motown yesterday 14-5)

Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Red Sox are 2-8 in their last 10 road games.

Tigers are 9-4 in their last 13 vs. a team with a losing recordTigers are 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Tigers are 5-2 in their last 7 home game.

Play on Detroit to win 

LAA southpaw  starter ANDERSON is 16-9   against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) and according to my early season power rankings matches up well here vs the Jays.ANDERSON is 25-10  against the money line when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)TORONTO is 14-22  against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons. Note:Anderson was 15-5 with a 2.57 ERA and  named to the All-Star team for the first time in his career last year with the Los Angeles Dodgers. Jays starter BERRIOS is 2-4 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 6.81 and a WHIP of 1.598.  Berrios (0-1, 12.71 ERA) will start for the Blue Jays after a poor performance in his first start of the season. 

Blue Jays are 3-8 in their last 11 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Blue Jays are 2-6 in their last 8 during game 2 of a series.Blue Jays are 3-10 in their last 13 vs. American League West.

Angels are 6-1 in their last 7 home games.

Advantage LA Angels to win 

Dodgers starter Syndergaard (0-0, 1.50 ERA), who spent last season with the Los Angeles Angels and Philadelphia Phillies, allowed just four hits and struck out six without issuing a walk on Sunday and will Im betting shine again vs the Dbacks batting order. Meanwhile, Arizona right-hander Zach Davies (0-0, 1.80 ERA)  look to keep pace   and hold the Dodgers' lineup at bay. Davies made his season debut against Syndergaard on Sunday and made a strong showing , allowing one run on four hits in five innings. He walked two and fanned four. Im looking for both pitchers to go deep here and for the bullpens when needed to help keep this tilt on the low side of the offered totals number. 

Arizonas starter DAVIES is 12-1 UNDER vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

ARIZONA is 16-1 UNDER with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL) over the last 2 seasons.

Under is 7-1 in Dodgers last 8 during game 3 of a series. Under is 8-2 in Dodgers last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

Under is 12-3-1 in the last 16 meetings in Arizona.

Under is 13-3-1 in the last 17 meetings.

Play under

Baltimore is one of the American Leagues most under rated teams, and thanks to what has been so far an explosive offense look to be underrated in this spot play vs the NYY.  Yankees are 3-9 in their last 12 games vs. a left-handed starter like Irvine and with my early season power rankings suggesting he has an edge against this NYY batting order especially with Josh Donaldson expected to miss. Im also betting on this hardcore offense of the Orioles having a good day against a rookie hurler in Brito. 

Yankees are 1-6 in their last 7 road games. Yankees are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.

Orioles are 6-2 in their last 8 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Play on the Orioles to win 

Royals right-hander Brady Singer (1-0, 1.80 ERA)Im betting will duplicate his  effort in a 9-5 home victory over the Toronto Blue Jays this past  Monday. He worked the first five innings, allowing  the Jays to one run on two hits. Meanwhile, the Giants starter Manaea will be making his first home start since joining the Giants as a free agent in December and Im also betting he will be primed to compete.Under is 6-2-1 in Royals last 9 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 4-1 in Giants last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 4-1 in Giants last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Note: KC has scored 3 or less runs in 4 straight and 5 of 8 games and have already been shutout 3 times. 

SF has been shutout twice already this season and scored 3 or less runs in 4 of 7 games. 

More offensive struggles look imminent today, 

Play under 

Colorado shutout Washington yesterday 1-0 and another low scoring game is my forecast here today . Colorados starter URENA is 16-4 UNDER   in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.5 rpg scored. 

Colorado has not scored more than 4 runs in 6 straight games. Washington has scored 2 or less runs in 5 of their 7 games this season. 

COLORADO is 11-0 UNDER  after shutting out their opponent over the last 3 seasons.COLORADO is 8-0 UNDER  after a game with a combined score of 2 runs or less over the last 3 seasons. COLORADO is 16-1 UNDER after a game with a combined score of 3 runs or less over the last 2 seasons. ( the combined score of these games were all well below this offering)

Under is 6-0 in Rockies last 6 vs. National League East.

COLORADO is 22-9 UNDER vs. a team with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.8 rpg scored. 

Under is 6-0 in Nationals last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-0-2 in Nationals last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.

Play under

The Orioles have 11 home runs so far this season -the same amount as the Yankees -- and their 34 runs scored are five more than the Yankees' total. So from a offensive perspective the Orioles must not be discounted here as underdogs. Im betting that they get a decent start from Kremer today, which put them in a great spot to cash a underdog ticket for us. KREMER is 14-6  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Yankees are 1-5 in their last 6 road games.

 MLB Home teams (BALTIMORE) - where team's hitters draw 4 walks or more/game on the season, after scoring 2 runs or less are 94-35 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Baltimore to win 

Tylor Megill (1-0, 3.60 ERA) is expected  take the hill for the Mets against Edward Cabrera (0-0, 4.50 ERA) in a matchup of right-handers going against  each other for the second time this season. Megill allowed two runs over five innings while Cabrera gave up two runs in four innings in the first meeting. Im betting we see them continue their successes here today and for both bullpens to stand tall in support.Under is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 road gamesUnder is 4-1 in Mets last 5 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days .NY METS are 13-3 UNDER  in home games in April games over the last 3 seasons.

Play on the UNDER 

Cleveland bats are currently on fire and have brought 18 runs across the plate in their L/2 games, and Im betting they light up As starter  Muller here today which gives us an a pronounced edge to the over.Note: Oakland has allowed 31 runs in their L/3 trips to the diamonds. These teams took part in a 12-11 slugfest and Im betting on not of lot of regression in this meeting. 

Over is 3-0-1 in Guardians last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.

Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings.

Over is 4-0-2 in Athletics last 6 vs. American League Central.

Over is 6-0-1 in Athletics last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Play on the over

Two quality right handed pitchers Cole (NYY )and Nola for Philadelphia  go head to head against two quality offensive lineups. Both teams hit righties well and even the best of pitchers in this league would have problems with these batting orders. Im expecting a decent offensive utput by these sides today in a game that I pegged to eclipse this offered total. 

Over is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.Over is 7-1-1 in the last 9 meetings in New York.

Over is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.

Over is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.

 COLE is 25-11 OVER in home games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season with a combined average of 10 rpg scored. 

NY YANKEES are 15-1 OVER L/16 vs. NL teams scoring 3.5 or less runs/game on the season  with a combined average of 12.4 rpg scored.

BOONE is 22-10 OVER (+10.9 Units) in home games vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season as the manager of NY YANKEES with a combined average of 11.2 rpg scored.

MLB Home teams where the total is 7 or less (NY YANKEES) - good team from last season, outscored opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game are 79-38 OVER L/27 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play over

Marlins starting pitcher today ALCANTARA despite of being one of MLBs top hurlers  is just  5-17  against the money line vs. teams like the Twins  outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. ALCANTARA is 0-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 13.49 and a WHIP of 2.355. The Twins have won 4 straight out of the gate this season and deserve respect here as road dogs. vs a Miami side that has lost 4 of their first 5 home tilts. 

Twins are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter dating back to last season.

Marlins are 8-21 in their last 29 interleague home games.Marlins are 7-19 in their last 26 during game 2 of a series.

MIAMI is 20-46  against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. MIAMI is 11-29 ( against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Minnesota to win 

The Padres send Yu Darvish to the hill this afternoon vs the DBacks. The right hander  finished eighth in the 2022 Cy Young voting and matches up well here according to my early season power rankings. DARVISH is 12-0 UNDER ( when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average 4.6 rpg scored.

Arizona's Zac Gallen, who finished fifth in the 2022 Cy Young race goes for the Dbacks. He has struggled of late in the  spring and his opener, but he matches up well vs the Padres batting order.Gallen, who went. 12-4 in 31 starts last season with a 2.54 ERA, a league-leading 0.913 WHIP and a .186 opponents' batting average.

Im betting both hurlers go fairly deep today and both bullpens stand tall behind them when need be. 

Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.

Play under

In the first series of the season vs Baltimore, The Red Sox restructured  batting order looked like it would be an explosive offensive group  and that what it was . The offense scored nine runs in each of the first three games and now with momentum on their sides look like a side on a mission here vs the light hitting Pirates today. 

Red Sox are 8-1 in their last 9 home games.

Pirates are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.

PITTSBURGH is 11-37  against the money line in road games against AL East opponents since 1997. Pirates are 8-26 in their last 34 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Pirates are 7-24 in their last 31 interleague road games.

SHELTON is 3-21  against the money line in road games when playing on Monday as the manager of PITTSBURGH.

MLB Road teams (PITTSBURGH) - after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less against opponent after scoring 7 runs or more 3 straight games are 48-17 L/27 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Pirates are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in Boston.

Play on Red Sox to win 

New York Mets right-hander Kodai Senga is set to make his major league debut on Sunday when he faces the Miami Marlins and Im betting he gives the edge on the mound to the Mets with an extremely motivated effort. Meanwhile, Trevor rogers the Marlins starter has seen his side lose his L/3 starts vs the Mets and Im betting that run continues. Rogers struggled against right-handed batters last year, allowing them to hit .299 with an .886 OPS : the Mets matchup well in that category. 

ROGERS is 4-13  against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Mets are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League East.

Marlins are 11-28 in their last 39 vs. National League East.

Mets are 8-3 in the last 11 meetings.

Mets are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Miami.

Play on NY Mets to win

Gray has pitched well against the Royals in his career, owning a 7-2 record in 10 starts with a 1.66 ERA and my early season power rankings suggest he still matches up well and should keep the Twins in this game and give them an edge vs a light hitting KC Royals group. Twins are 8-3 in the last 11 meetings.

Play on Minnesota to win 

Flaherty was 2-1 with 4.25 ERA last season in nine appearances (eight starts), after recovering from a shoulder injury. He was 9-2 with a 3.22 ERA in 2021, but he was limited to 17 appearances (15 starts) by an oblique strain that season. He is now said to be as healthy as he has been in a few years and is ready for a rebound. Quote: "At the end of the day, we are counting on him to be a dude," Cardinals manager Oliver Marmol said. "And he has prepared in a way to do exactly that." END Quote.

Toronto's starter GAUSMAN is 1-4 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 4.76 and a WHIP of 1.482.

Blue Jays are 1-5 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series.

Cardinals are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (TORONTO) - good team from last season, outscored opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game, after a combined score of 15 runs or more are 17-32 L/27 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on St.Louis Cards 

Mariners starter Ray In 32 games last season procured a 12-12 record and had a 3.71 ERA and a 1.190 WHIP.He ranked 31st in ERA (3.71), 31st in WHIP (1.190), and 10th in K/9 (10.1) among qualified pitchers in the majors last year and according to my early season power rankings matches up well vs this Guardians batting order. Ray is 2-0 with a 0.90 ERA in four career appearances against Cleveland, including three starts. On the flipside I know Gaddis does not inspire the same confidence in being able to curb the Mariners bats , but he is under rated according to my projections and should do just fine here and if he falters he has the benefit of having the backing of a viable bullpen, Everything points to a lower scoring affair. 

Under is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 road games.Under is 7-1 in Guardians last 8 overall.Under is 7-1 in Guardians last 8 on grass.Under is 7-1 in Guardians last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 6-1-1 in Guardians last 8 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Under is 12-3 in Guardians last 15 during game 2 of a series.

Under is 13-3 in Mariners last 16 during game 2 of a series.

Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Seattle.

Play UNDER

Dodgers blasted the Dbacks last night 8-2 in the opening game in this series and now Im betting on a rinse and repeat scenario in game 2. 

Dodgers are 41-10 in their last 51 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.

DBacks starter Kelly, was 13-8 last season with a 3.37 ERA in 33 starts. In his recent starts with Team USA he went 0-1 with an 8.31 ERA. Kelly does not have a victory against the Dodgers in 12 career starts, garnering a  0-9  record along with a 5.97 ERA over 63 1/3 innings and Im betting his less than stellar starts vs the Dodgers will continue today. Rinse and repeat as the Dodgers win for the 18th time in the L/21 meetings in this series.

Play on LA Dodgers to win 

Seattle really had Cleveland's number last year, winning six of their seven matchups in a home-and-home split down the stretch. But most of those games were incredibly close, headlined by their final matchup in what became a weather-impacted matinee and now  Im betting on things turning around starting tonight/ 

Clevelands starter BIEBER is 21-7 against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

 CASTILLO is 5-13  against the money line against AL Central opponents in his career. (Team's Record)Current Cleveland batters own an .838 OPS against him.

CLEVELAND is 24-13  against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.

Guardians dating back to last season are 21-7 in their last 28 road games.Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. American League West.

Play on Cleveland to win on the ML ( Late Steam) 

Theres blood in the water and Houston Im betting will be ready to finish off their opponents here today. This is a championship side with lots of experience and are capable of top tier efforts in situations like this while the Phillies under pressure have a better chance of succumbing to having their backs up against a wall. 

Astros starter VALDEZ is 21-4  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)VALDEZ is 2-0 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 0.79 and a WHIP of 0.883.

Phillies starter WHEELER is 0-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 7.20 and a WHIP of 1.800. 

HOUSTON is 44-18  against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season.

Play on Houston to win - 

Astros starter Verlander World Series history has been less than faltering as is evident by garnering a  0-6 record in eight starts along  with a bloated 6.07 ERA.   Thats the worst ever recorded among pitchers who threw at least 30 innings in the Fall Classic. Needless to say, Im not betting on a sudden turn around performance. Meanwhile,Philadelphia sends Noah Syndergaard (10-10, 3.94 ERA regular season; 0-0, 1.69 postseason). He is well rested and under rated in his ability to control this Astros batting order.

PHILADELPHIA is 25-9  against the money line at home when the total is 7 to 7.5 over the last 2 seasons.Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss.Phillies are 8-1 in their last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter.Phillies are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

Astros are 3-8 in their last 11 World Series games.

Play on Philadelphia to win 

After a flat performance yesterday the Astros will be keen on a big rebound  and Im betting they get it . The Astros starter Cristian Javier (11-9, 2.54 ERA regular season; 1-0, 1.35 ERA postseason) will help  pivot the momentum back to the Astros side.

Javier has allowed only one run in 6 2/3 innings in the playoffs.

Phillies starter NOLA is 7-18 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

HOUSTON is 30-10 ( against the money line after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season.HOUSTON is 41-17  against the money line after a loss this season.

Play on Astros to win 

The Phillies came back from a 5-0 deficit to win 6-5 in 10 innings in Game 1 and then were taken out by 5-2 count in Game 2 Saturday. I know the Phillies are 5-0 at home this season, but Im betting that comes to end in game 3 of the World Series. Houston will send Lance McCullers Jr. (4-2, 2.27 ERA regular season; 0-0, 2.45 ERA postseason) to the hill here and my data suggests he matches up well here vs the Phillies .

Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 playoff road games.Astros are 8-1 in their last 9 playoff games.Astros are 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.

HOUSTON is 20-5 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season this season. BAKER is 39-17 against the money line when playing with a day off as the manager of HOUSTON.

HOUSTON is 23-8 against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 this season.HOUSTON is 23-9 against the money line in October games over the last 2 seasons.

Phillies are 2-5 in their last 7 World Series games.Phillies are 2-5 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series.Phillies are 2-5 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Phillies are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. American League West.Phillies are 3-8 in their last 11 interleague games.

Play on Houston to win

Astros southpaw starter VALDEZ is 19-5 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) VALDEZ is 1-0 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.600. Phillies are 1-6 in their last 7 interl-eague road games vs. a left-handed starter. Meanwhile, Astros are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like  the Phillies starter today Wheeler. Astros in certain desperation mode and now wide awake have the edge vs upstart Phillies who may finally start to feel the pressure . 

HOUSTON is 42-17  against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season.

Phillies are 8-20 in their last 28 interleague road games.Phillies are 1-4 in their last 5 World Series games.Phillies are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.

MLB Road teams (PHILADELPHIA) - with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 5 games, in October games are 11-34 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Astros 

Houston Astros right-hander Justin Verlander, in  seven career World Series starts with two franchises, is 0-6 with a 5.68 ERA and here today vs a upstart and very under rated Phillies baseball team the veteran star hurler Im betting is in trouble again 

Meanwhile, Nola the Phillies starter for game 1 of the World Series was the pitcher of record when Philadelphia took out the Astros 3-0 on Oct. 3, a victory that cemented the Phillies' first postseason appearance in 11 campaigns. Nola was in top form in that tilt, allowing  the Astros just two hits while garnering  nine strikeouts and no walks over 6 2/3 innings. Rinse and repeat is the call in the opener. 

Phillies are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.

PHILADELPHIA is 9-2 against the money line in playoff games this season and on the season are  15-11 against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175.

Astros are 1-6 in their last 7 World Series home games.

MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (HOUSTON) - starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  0.800 or less over his last 3 starts are 47-77 L/25 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Philadelphia to win

The Astros smell blood in the water and have an edge here to sweep this series 4-0 and advance to their fourth World Series in six seasons Sunday night when they take on  a Yankees  team that has struggled on and off since Aug. New York is batting .161 (40-for-248) in the postseason and .128 for the series and against a strong pitcher on Mccullers up-trending will be a difficult proposition.McCullers went head to head with the Yankees two times in the 2017 ALCS when he allowed one run in 10 innings.  Rinse and repeat scenario now on board. 

Astros are 6-0 in their last 6 League Championship games.Astros are 6-0 in their last 6 playoff games.Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League East.Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like the NYY starter Cortes. 

Yankees are 7-19 in their last 26 League Championship games.Yankees are 2-8 in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Play on Astros to win 

Astros starter Javier allowed just one earned run ins his last five September/October starts  garnering a minuscule (0.32 ERA), Javier  didnt get a start in the last series and just came out of the bullpen, but hes going to be the starter today, which gives me confidence in the Yankees have a below average offensive output while hes out there. Meanwhile, Cole goes for the Yankees. The hard throwing righty has allowed just three runs in 13.1 innings during the play offs. The two-time Cy Young finalist  is not stranger to top tier post season efforts as is evident by a 2.81 ERA and 11.5 K/9 rate in  16  trips to the hill in the starters role.

HOUSTON is 21-9 UNDER  vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better this season.HOUSTON is 50-22 UNDER  vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season. HOUSTON is 37-14 UNDER vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better this season.

HOUSTON is 23-8 UNDER ( against AL East opponents this season.

NY YANKEES are 12-3 UNDER  when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  62% or better) this season.NY YANKEES are 22-10 UNDER against AL West opponents this season.

Play UNDER

Houstons starting pitcher VALDEZ is 18-5  against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)  Valdez set a major league single-season record by recording 25 consecutive quality starts during this campaign. 

NYY SEVERINO is 2-5 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 4.07 and a WHIP of 1.254. In three career postseason starts against the Astros, Severino is 0-2 with a 4.15 ERA

NY YANKEES are 1-10 against the money line in road games vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game in the second half of the season this season. 

NY YANKEES are 6-1 against the money line in road games against AL West opponents this season.

HOUSTON is 17-2  against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 3.9 or less runs/game in the second half of the season this season.HOUSTON is 18-4  against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season.

Play on Astros to win 

 Padres starter SNELL is 11-3 UNDER vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season. (Team's Record)

Phillies starter NOLA is 12-5 UNDER  in road games this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.9 rpg. 

PHILADELPHIA is 16-6 UNDER  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 6 rpg scored in those 22 tilts. PHILADELPHIA is 8-1 UNDER  in road games after allowing 3 runs or less 4 straight games this season with a combined average of 4.9 rpg . 

Under is 11-4 in Phillies last 15 road games vs. a team with a winning record.

SAN DIEGO is 11-3 UNDER  in home games after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better this season with a combined an average of 6.2 rpg. 

Under is 9-4 in Padres last 13 vs. National League East.

MLB teams where the total is 7 or less (SAN DIEGO/PHILADELPHIA) - after a combined score of 2 runs or less against opponent after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 52-23 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate! 

Under is 12-4 in the last 16 meetings.

Play UNDER 

Yesterday game 5 postponement gives both bullpens  and both teams in general a much needed rest period . This Im betting will see a very low scoring do or die battle take place . No pitcher will be given much room or leeway and each pitch will be important. 

Under is 7-1 in Guardians last 8 vs. American League East.Under is 6-1 in Guardians last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 overall.Under is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 playoff games.

Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 overall.Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 Divisional Playoff games.Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 on grass.Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 home games.

Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

Play on the UNDER 

Houstons starter MCCULLERS JR. is 8-22  against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 in his career. (Team's Record) This is great opportunity for Seattle to make a series of this and Im betting they will be primed to perform. 

SEATTLE is 25-13  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start this season. SEATTLE is 31-16   against the money line vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Road teams (HOUSTON) - with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 5 games, in October games are 10-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Seattle 

Game 3  is expected to have right-hander Tony Gonsolin ( 16-1, 2.14 ERA regular season) starting for the Dodgers against Padres left-hander Blake Snell (0-0, 5.40 ERA postseason; 8-10, 3.38 ERA regular season).Gonsolin was 2-0 in two starts against the Padres this season with a 0.71 ERA and a 0.632 WHIP and is 3-0 in his career vs the Fathers with his team winning all 5 starts he had made against them. Advantage on the mound gives us a solid opportunity to cash with a short fav. 

SNELL is 4-12  against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. (Team's Record) SNELL is 5-10 against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record)

SAN DIEGO is 4-19  against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Padres are 0-4 in their last 4 Divisional Playoff home games.Padres are 2-10 in their last 12 Divisional Playoff games.

Dodgers have won 15 of the L/21 in this series in San Diego. 

Play on the Dodgers to win 

Cleveland goes with right-hander Shane Bieber (1-0, 1.17 ERA postseason; 13-8, 2.88 regular season). He began the playoffs by allowing one run and three hits in 7 2/3 innings against Tampa Bay in the wild-card round and must be respected here to keep Cleveland close enough out of the gate for us to pull off an upset underdog win,Clevelands starter BIEBER is 10-0  against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)BIEBER is 20-7 against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Yes, the Yankees Cortes has looked good, but it must be noted despite of a lack off offense of late the Guardians were averaging 5.0 runs per game in their final 30 regular-season tilts and are more than capable of getting things rolling offensively and have hot southpaws like Cortes well. .Guardians are 8-1 in their last 9 during game 2 of a series. Guardians are 8-1 in their last 9 games vs. a left-handed starter.

Play on Cleveland 

Mariners starter CASTILLO is 11-21v against the money line in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) CASTILLO is 13-25  against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Astros are 14-2 in their last 16 Divisional Playoff home games.

Astros are 6-1 in their last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Mariners are 1-5 in their last 6 games following an off day.

HOUSTON is 26-7  against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season this season. HOUSTON is 20-3 against the money line in home games after 6 or more consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons.

MLB Road teams (SEATTLE) - with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 5 games, in October games are 10-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. 

MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (HOUSTON) - after a win by 2 runs or less against opponent after scoring and allowing 6 runs or more 2 straight games are 33-6 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Houston Astros to win 

Phillies top tier hurler Wheeler has a solid history facing the the Braves. He made three starts against them during the regular season and went 2-0 with a 2.70 ERA. He struck out 25 and walked only one in 20 innings and he gets my support here vs a viable pitcher in Wright. My power ranking suggest Wheeler matches up very well vs the Atlanta  batting order. Both bullpens are tired after yesterday so thats a wash. Whats left is two solid offenses and one pitcher that slightly better than the other. Considering the value on the line, Ill be recommending we take the underdog.Phillies are 6-1 in their last 7 Divisional Playoff road games.

MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (ATLANTA) - starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  0.800 or less over his last 3 starts are 46-74 L/25 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Philadelphia to win 

Clevelands starter Quantrill was 15-5 with a 3.38 ERA and finished his regular season by going 11-0 with a 2.95 ERA over his final 17 trips to the hill and deserves respect here in his ability to control the explosive NY Yankees bats.  QUANTRILL is 10-0  against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) QUANTRILL is 16-1 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) 

Meanwhile,NYY starter COLE is 4-9 against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -200 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) COLE is 1-6   against the money line in home games after a loss this season. (Team's Record) He lost his last trip to the hill.  

Yankees are 4-9 in their last 13 games following an off day.

Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 playoff games.

Guardians are 8-0 in their last 8 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League East.

 Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.

 Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

Play on the Cleveland Indians to win 

Chris Bassitt (15-9, 3.42 ERA) is expected to start for the Mets against Joe Musgrove (10-7, 2.93 ERA) in a battle of right-handers. Bassitt is 0-2 with a 6.60 ERA in three career starts against the Padres. Both losses came  this season, recording a ugly 7.84 ERA in two starts. Advantage Padres. 

Padres starter MUSGROVE is 12-2  against the money line after a loss this season. (Team's Record) (Mets won 7-3 yesterday)

SAN DIEGO is 18-6 against the money line after a 3 game span with an OBP of .260 or worse this season.Padres are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

Padres are 6-2 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

Padres are 6-2 in their last 8 road game.

Mets are 1-4 in their last 5 playoff home games.

Play on the San Diego Padres 

Phillies starter NOLA is 2-10   against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) He lost his only start against the Cardinals on July 11 when he allowed five runs on seven hits in seven innings. My projections and power rankings suggest he does not matchup well vs the now desperate Cards. 

Cards starter MIKOLAS is 25-10 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record) MIKOLAS is 11-3 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Mikolas has been very effective at Busch Stadium this season, garnering a solid  6-3 record along with a 2.38 ERA in 14 starts. He is 1-1 with a 2.13 ERA in two starts against the Phillies this season and he is 2-1 with a 3.16 ERA in five career outings against them, including four starts.

Phillies are 4-10 in their last 14 road games.

Phillies are 3-8 in their last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

Phillies are 2-6 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

Cards held a 2-0 lead in the top of the 9th inning yesterday and than lost control late and were taken out 6-3 in a bizarre finish to what was  a tight game. Im betting they rebound here. Cardinals are 19-7 in their last 26 games following a loss.

MLB Home teams (ST LOUIS) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL, after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs are 50-19 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Road teams (PHILADELPHIA) - after 2 straight games with no home runs, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.000 or less over his last 5 starts are 44-80 L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on St.Louis to win 

Toronto came into the play offs on fire, and have not slumped for a while, which sometimes gives off alarm bells. Being that hot for an extended time quite often results in a team cooling off at some point and that was what we saw yesterday as the explosive Blue Jays bats  took suddenly went silent losing by 4-0 count in the series opener.The Mariners, with a victory here today can  advance to the ALDS and will feel confident with last season  AL Cy Young winner Robbie Ray to the mound(He knows this Blue Jays batting order well as he was with them last season). With the Jays quite possibly hitting a bump in the road at the worst possible time, are vulnerable here despite of their desperation. Real value with the underdog  in a contrarian stance here today in this Seattle vs Toronto play off headliner. 

Jays starter GAUSMAN is 2-8 against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Gausman has seen his team lose his L/3 starts vs the Mariners. 

I know the Mariners starter Ray has not done all that well of late, but Im betting he stands tall here and frustrates the Jays today. TORONTO is 11-17   against the money line in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better this season.

Play on Seattle to win 

These teams took part in a low scoring affair yesterday with Cleveland pulling off a 2-1 win. With two quality hurler and bullpens on the diamonds today Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation and a low scoring affair that fails to eclipse this total.  MLB teams where the total is 7 or less (TB/ CLEVELAND) - after allowing 2 runs or less against opponent after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 106-84 UNDER L/5 seasons. TAMPA BAY is 20-9 UNDER  revenging a one run loss to opponent this season.

Rays starter Tyler Glasnows last 3 starts vs the Guardians has seen a combined score of 2,2,3 runs total scored. Tampa Bay lost all 3 by 2-1, 2-0, 3-0 counts. 

Mckenzies last two starts were wins vs the Rays with 2-1, and 3-2 margins of victory both staying under the total. 

Guardians starter MCKENZIE is 12-2 UNDER in home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.2 rpg. 

MCKENZIE is 13-3 UNDER  in home games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.3 rpg. 

Play UNDER

I know we have to quality pitchers on the hill here today, but both don't have alot of big league  play off  game experience and both these teams have offenses that can take advantage against hurlers with post season jitters . Seattle has scored 44 runs in their L/8 games ( 5.5 rpg) while the Jays have scored 39 runs in their L/6 games (6.5 rpg).  

TORONTO is 20-9 OVER  in home games after batting .315 or better over a 5 game span over the last 2 seasons.

SEATTLE is 21-9 OVER  in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season.

Play over 

NATIONAL League Playoffs - Wild Card - Best Of 3 - Game 1

In 12 trips to the hill since coming over the Cardinals , Quintana has garnered a  2.01 ERA and a 2.60 FIP.  He enters this game and post season play having allowed just one run over 25.1 innings of top tier work and Im betting his top shelf effort continues here today. Meanwhile, the Mets, starter Wheeler has been in top form since  returning from the injured list three starts ago.  During that time he has surrendered  just one run on  nine hits with opposition batters hitting just  .177  over a span of  15 innings. Note: Wheeler faced the Cardinals in back to back starts, going deep and strong with both starts seeing him record seven scoreless innings both times.

 WHEELER is 14-5 UNDER  vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.2 rpg scored. 

THOMSON is 16-5 UNDER  in road games vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better as the manager of PHILADELPHIA with a combined average of 6 rpg scored. 

These two teams  have combined for seven or less runs in each of their last five head to head meetings in this series. Rinse and repeat scenario now on board. 

Play UNDER 

Mets, starter Wheeler has been in top form since  returning from the injured list three starts ago.  During that time he has surrendered  just one run on  nine hits with opposition batters hitting just  .177  over a span of  15 innings. Note: Wheeler faced the Cardinals in back to back starts, going deep and strong with both starts seeing him record seven scoreless innings both times. He gives the Mets a strong edge on the hill past on past performances vs this Cards lineup. 

Play on the Phillies to win 

Dodgers starter URIAS is 15-0  SU vs. an NL team with a slugging percentage .400 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at +4.6 which qualifies on this run line offering. 

LA DODGERS are 17-1 SU in home games after a game with a combined score of 3 runs or less over the last 2 seasons with the average rpg diff recording at +3.. The Rockies upset the Dodgers yesterday by a 2-1 count. Big rebound on board for today for the Dodgers. 

ROBERTS is 164-61 SU in home games after allowing 2 runs or less as the manager of LA DODGERS.

MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (LA DODGERS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL), with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games are 61-7 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.6 which qualifies on this run-line offering. 

Play on LA Dodgers to win -1.5 

The Rays (86-73)  have dominated the Bosox this season, winning 12 of this season's first 16 head-to-head meetings with Boston. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here today. both sides has struggle of late, but TB gets the nod in this spot play. Rays are also 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

TAMPA BAY is 9-0  against the money line after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less last 2 games this season.

BOSTON is 3-25  against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season this season.BOSTON is 19-44  against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or ,less errors/game in the second half of the season this season. BOSTON is 8-21 against the money line after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span this season.

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BOSTON) - after being swept on the road in a 3 game series by a division rival, with a winning percentage of between 46-49% on the season are 7-29 L/25 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Tampa Bay to win 

Baltimores starter KREMER is 6-1 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record) KREMER is 11-1  against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season. (Team's Record)

Jays starter Jose Berrios (11-7, 5.37 ERA), is on a  two-game personal losing streak, and in his current form is fade material. 

The Blue Jays after a big weekend series and sweep against the BoSox this past weekend Im now betting on an emotional letdown scenario to give us an edge taking a viable home underdog in this spot. 

TORONTO is 3-8  against the money line off 2 straight home wins against division rivals over the last 2 seasons.

MLB team (TORONTO) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.20 to 5.70 on the season (AL), playing on Monday are just 14-30 L/5 seasons for a 68% go against conversion rate for bettors.

MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (TORONTO) - hot hitting team - batting .305 or better over their last 5 games, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.00 the last 5 games are 25-38 L/5 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Baltimore Orioles to win 

Charlie Morton (9-6, 4.29 ERA) is expected take the hill for the Braves against Chris Bassitt (15-8, 3.27) in a battle of veteran right-handers. 

The Braves now have a one-game lead with four games to go and now with blood in the water Im betting on Atlanta to keep rolling tonight against a slumping rival. ATLANTA is 13-3  against the money line in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 62% or better ) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.  SNITKER is 26-16  against the money line in October games as the manager of ATLANTA.

NY METS are 26-40  against the money line with double revenge - 2 straight losses against opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Braves are 10-2 in their last 12 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Braves are 41-12 in their last 53 home games

MLB Home teams (ATLANTA) - good offensive team (4.7 or more  runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or better) (NL), after allowing 3 runs or less 3 straight games are 46-19 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate. 

Mets are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Atlanta.

Play on Atlanta to win 

Blue Jays are crushing the BoSox this season going  15-3 against the bean town  crew. They’ve won eight consecutive tilts in the season series by a combined score of 77-22  count and Im betting that run wont end today behind a offense that has been on fire -Toronto’s owns  .828 OPS over the last 15 days which ranks second in MLB and will also  help power this total to be eclipsed . 

Jays starter GAUSMAN is 17-7 OVER after giving up 2  or less earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 9.2 rpg scored. 

Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

Over is 7-1 in Red Sox last 8 games following a loss.

Note: Wacha the Red Sox starter has looked tired of late, and Im betting the explosive Jays bats take advantage of the veterans fatigue and make is 14 overs in 19 meetings this season vs Bo/sox. The last time the Jays faced Wacha back in late June, they smashed him for four runs in a 6-5 win - rinse and repeat and with extra mustard added on in the rematch.

Play OVER

Blue Jays are crushing the BoSox this season going  15-3 against the bean town  crew. They’ve won eight consecutive tilts in the season series by a combined score of 77-22  count and Im betting that run wont end today behind a offense that has been on fire -Toronto’s owns  .828 OPS over the last 15 days which ranks second in MLB and will also  help power this total to be eclipsed . 

Houstons starter VERLANDER is 21-3 against the money line in home games with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) since 1997. (Team's Record)

ARIZONA is 15-44 against the money line vs. a team with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better over the last 2 seasons like Verlander. 

HOUSTON is 13-2   against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 80% over the last 2 seasons like Arizonas Z. Gallen. 

 ARIZONA is 11-47  against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +250 over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (ARIZONA) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 44-4 L/25 seasons.

Play on Houston 

OAKLAND is 15-6 OVER in September games this season with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored.

MLB Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (OAKLAND) - bad offensive team ( 4.2 or less runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or less) (AL), after a combined score of 17 runs or more are 30-8 OVER L/25 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

The Yankees (94-59) will start right-hander Jameson Taillon (13-5, 3.90). Taillon is 4-4 with a 3.72 ERA in nine career starts against the Blue Jays. He is 3-2 with a 2.67 ERA in five starts against Toronto this year. Berrios has faced the Yankees three times this season, all in New York, going 1-1 with a 4.76 ERA. 

NYY starter TAILLON is 20-5 against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse this season. (Team's Record) TAILLON is 22-7   against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record)TAILLON is 18-3 against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season. (Team's Record)TAILLON is 22-8  against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)

The Yankees had a 7 game win streak end last night in a extra innings loss to the Jays but Im betting on them to rebound tonight 

Yankees are 8-1 in their last 9 vs. American League East.Yankees are 66-29 in their last 95 during game 2 of a series.

Play on the NY Yankees to win 

Royals starter GREINKE is 10-1 OVER  on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Joey Wentz the Tigers starter 6.75 ERA at home this season while Greinke owns 6.36 ERA on the the road this season. 

MATHENY is 9-0 OVER in road games after allowing 12 runs or more in all games he has managed since 1997 which was the case last time out in a 13-12 win. 

KC has scored 5 runs or more in 5 of their L/6 games and with their offense flourishing Im betting on more explosive action here today with momentum in full swing. 

KANSAS CITY is 91-60 OVER vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game in the second half of the season. Over is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 games following an off day.Over is 9-2-1 in Royals last 12 during game 1 of a series.

DETROIT is 39-19 OVER  after sweeping a 3 game series against a division rival . Over is 9-1-1 in Tigers last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

MLB Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (KANSAS CITY) - bad offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or less ) (AL), after a combined score of 17 runs or more are 30-8 OVER L/25 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play OVER 

Pirates starter KELLER is 1-11  against the money line in home games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season. (Team's Record) KELLER is 0-10  against the money line at home when the total is 7 to 7.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) KELLER is 1-4 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 7.36 and a WHIP of 1.795. Against Cincinnati, this season he is  0-1 with a 10.00 ERA in two starts this year. 

Greene lost his last start vs Pittsburgh by a 1-0 count, and with little help from his offense looks like a viable hurler to get redemption. Greene will be making his third start since spending six weeks on the injured list because of a shoulder strain. He is 0-1 with a 1.64 ERA and 19 strikeouts in his two starts and just needs his offense to help him out. Something I bet he gets today. Pirates are 3-12 in their last 15 home games vs a right hander. 

I know the Pirates have won 5 straight in this series but all good and bad runs eventually come to an end, and thats what Im betting on here in this spot play. 

PITTSBURGH is 8-20  against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game this season. Pirates are 4-15 in their last 19 home games.

CINCINNATI is 16-10  against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.CINCINNATI is 18-10  against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 this season.

Play on Reds to win 

After an extended last season slump the Yankees are back in a groove and have won 7 straight games and Im betting they will continue that flow into this tilt against the Blue Jays. Yankees are 8-0 in their last 8 vs. American League East.

The Yankees are scheduled to start right-hander Luis Severino (6-3, 3.36 ERA) on Monday. Severino is 6-3 with a 3.94 ERA in 17 career games (14 starts) against the Blue Jays and gives is am edge against Gausman who has a 4.91 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill. 

Yankees are 9-3 in the last 12 meetings in Toronto.

Play on the NY Yankees to win 

White Sox starter CEASE is 15-1 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 3.9 or less runs/game on the season in his career. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at +4.8 which qualifies on this this run line offering.CEASE is 10-1 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 1.87 and a WHIP of 1.144.. 

I know the White Sox have lost 5 straight, but today Im betting on a offensive explosion vs a pitcher on T.Alexander that owns a 7.07 road ERA this season. ALEXANDER in his career is 0-4 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 5.17 and a WHIP of 1.722.

DETROIT is 91-268 against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +250 since 1997 with a rpg diff of -2.1. 

Play on White Sox to win -1.5 

 Cubs lefty starter MILEY is 9-1 OVER   vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)  MILEY is 22-11 OVER   in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 9.8 rpg scored in those 33 games.

Over is 5-1-1 in Pirates last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.

Over is 9-2-1 in Pirates last 12 games vs. a left-handed starter like Miley. 

PITTSBURGH is 21-9 OVER in home games when playing on Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

 J. Oviedo owns a 7.71 ERA at home in limited action this season, but my projections estimate he gets lit up here this Saturday.

MLB Home teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (PITTSBURGH) - bad offensive team (3.8 or less  runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less ) (NL), playing on Saturday are 34-9 OVER L/25 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play OVER

The San Diego Padres have lost 13 of their past 14 games in Colorado, including six of seven at Coors Field this season and Im betting those negative numbers will continue to intensify. 
I know Manaea who owns a ugly 10.80 ERA and 0-3 record in his last 3 starts saw his team take that that lone win in Coors by a 6-5 count, but the lefty was lucky to get out of that game with a W , and Im betting he wont duplicate the effort here. 

Padres starter MANAEA is 0-9  against the money line in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season. (Team's Record)

Rockies starter Feltner holds a 3.72 ERA and a pair of no-decisions vs the Fathers this season, and will Im betting keep his team in this matchup as they find a way to squeeze out another win in this series. 

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (COLORADO) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.20 or worse on the season (NL), in September games are 26-10 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Rockies to win