Atlanta sends Spencer Strider (1-2, 2.76 ERA) to the mound to face Pittsburgh's Roansy Contreras (1-0, 1.93). According to the pitching matchup this offer suggest we have  good value on the moneyline . Contreras  has allowed three runs in 15 2/3 innings in his previous three starts. 

Braves are 1-8 in their last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

PITTSBURGH is 5-1   against the money line in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season.Pirates are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League East.

Pirates are 7-2 in their last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Play on Pittsburgh to win 

Baltimore right-hander Jordan Lyles (3-4, 4.50 ERA) and Kansas City left-hander Kris Bubic (0-3, 9.33) go the hill today with Baltimore according to my projections with an edge.Lyles owns a 3-1 record and a stingy 2.25 ERA in six career starts against the Royals and gets the nod tonight. 

Royals are 1-10 in their last 11 vs. a team with a losing record.KANSAS CITY is 3-17 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better this season.

Play on Baltimore to win 

White Sox starter Cease has not faced the Dodgers in his career but has had success in interleague play, going 4-4 with a 3.42 ERA in 10 starts, with 67 strikeouts in 55 1/3 innings and must not be underestimated here vs a Dodgers team that is just 3-6 L/9 and not scored more than 4 runs in any of those tilts, and averaging just .214 team  BA in 6 games of interleague action this season. 

LARUSSA is 36-13 against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) as the manager of CHI WHITE SOX.

White Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter like Dodgers starter  Anderson.

White Sox are 14-3 in their last 17 interleague games.

MLB Road teams (LA DODGERS) - with a starting pitcher who is undefeated after 5 or more starts, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 14-32 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on White Sox to win 

Dbacks starter Davies is making his sixth road start this season . In five previous road starts, Davies is 1-2 with a 3.81 ERA while holding opponents to a .225 batting average. Also according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings matches up well here and gives us an enough of edge on this value money-line offering to get us the victory.  DAVIES is 17-11  against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 in his career. (Team's Record)

Reds starter MAHLE is 6-11   against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

CINCINNATI is 15-36 against the money line against NL West opponents over the last 2 seasons. 

MLB  Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (CINCINNATI) - team with a poor SLG (.400 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or less) -NL, with a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season are 9-24 L/25 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Arizona to win 

The white Sox starter CUETO is 18-4  against the money line in home games vs. NL teams scoring 5 or more runs/game on the season in his career. (Team's Record) With the Dodgers currently not in top form after losing 6 of their L/8 the home side look very much like viable bets on a value money-line offering from the books. 

White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. White Sox are 14-2 in their last 16 interleague games.White Sox are 7-1 in their last 8 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.White Sox are 7-1 in their last 8 interleague home games.

CHI WHITE SOX are 36-13  against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) over the last 2 seasons like the Dodgers  Gonsolin.LA DODGERS are 2-8 against the money line in road games after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons.

Play on the Chicago White Sox to win 

Astros Right-hander Jose Urquidy (5-2, 4.76 ERA) might have a winning record but hes not in the best of form despite of winning  three of his past four starts he has posted a bloated  5.24 ERA and .939 opponent OPS with five home runs allowed over 22 1/3 innings and is being over rated in this spot vs a Seattle side that matches up well against him according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings. Urquidy is 1-2 with a 5.93 ERA in  six career outings (five starts) against the Mariners. Both of his losses this season have come against Seattle, with Urquidy pitching to an 11.42 ERA and 2.654 WHIP while allowing 12 runs (11 earned) on 20 hits and three walks over 8 2/3 innings of sub par work. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation today. Note: Mariners Right-hander Logan Gilbert (5-2, 2.22)  goes to the hill for the Mariners. The American League Pitcher of the Month for April, Gilbert ranks sixth in the AL in ERA and gives the Mariners upset dog potential . 

GILBERT is 15-7 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GILBERT is 16-4  against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GILBERT is 11-1 against the money line after giving up 2 or less  earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.

Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.

MLB Home teams (HOUSTON) - AL team with a low slugging percentage (.410 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or better ), with a slugging percentage of .500 or better over their last 3 games are 55-94 L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Seattle  to win 

Blue Jays starter KIKUCHI is 2-8   against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) and is 2-10 (  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) and also  1-7 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) and  2-8  against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) KIKUCHI is 0-2 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 7.58 and a WHIP of 1.579 spanning 4 starts . Advantage Royals on a value money-line offering. 

Blue Jays are 2-5 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series.

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (TORONTO) - with an on base percentage of .375 or better over their last 5 games against opponent with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games are 11-26 L/5 seasons for a 70% go against conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on KC Royals to win 

Right-hander Michael Kopech (1-2, 2.20 ERA) will  go the hill for Chicago. Kopech  pitched four scoreless innings against the Chicago Cubs earlier this season in his only career interleague start and gives the home dog an edge here tonight. 

White Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter like the Dodgers M.white. 

White Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 interleague home games.

LA DODGERS are 18-23  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start over the last 2 seasons. LA DODGERS are 2-8  against the money line in road games after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons.

MLB  team (LA DODGERS) - very good NL offensive team (5.0 or more  runs/game) against a good AL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less), on a good fielding streak, 10 straight games with one or less errors are 37-68 L/25 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago White Sox to win 

Right-hander Jason Alexander (0-0, 2.57 ERA) goes to the hill for his second big league start for Milwaukee, while left-hander Ranger Suarez (4-3, 4.69) takes his turn for Philadelphia. Note: PHILADELPHIA is 15-23   against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

The Brewers have not played very well of late but injured players are expected back today for this tilt ie Renfroe , and Urias.  Meanwhile, the Phillies have played strong ball of late, with top tier efforts at home but in away tilts the Phillies are 0-5 in their last 5 games as a road underdog.

and  are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (PHILADELPHIA) - good NL offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less), cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games are 9-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Milwaukee to win 

The A's are 16 games under .500 for the first time since Sept. 18, 2017 and are off a 1-9 home stand. Needless to say the As are not in good form and susceptible to be blown out against a Braves side that is one of the best in baseball vs LHP like Irvin averaging 6.1 rpg in production.  Atlanta ranks #1 vs LHP pitching with isolated power  and No.4 in OPS vs southpaws. Note:Irvin has made five career relief appearances against Atlanta, all while he played for Philadelphia, and posted an 11.32 ERA in 10 1/3 innings. 

OAKLAND is 0-11  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at -3.5 rpg. 

MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (ATLANTA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL), with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games are 57-5 L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.8 which qualifies on the RL offering. 

Play on Atlanta Braves  to win -1.5 

Cleveland will start right-hander Cal Quantrill (2-3, 3.52 ERA) in the opener against Texas. He has two previous outings against the Rangers and hasn't given up an earned run. He gives the Indians an edge again. 

MLB home chalk playing with no rest coming off a victory as an away favorite and their opponent hit more than 1 HR last game are 9-0 L/9 on the ML. guardians qualify.

CLEVELAND is 10-2 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season.

TEXAS is 11-44  against the money line in road games after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span over the last 3 seasons.

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CLEVELAND) - with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing 2 runs or less are 112-68 L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Cleveland Guardians 

Torontos starter Stripling is 2-1 lifetime against Kansas City with a 2.84 ERA and despite of prob not expecting to go long here today gives his team enough viability early until the Jays top tier bullpen can enter the game against a struggling  KC offense averaging just 3 rpg at home this season via a sub par .240 BA. Royals are 8-21 in their last 29 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Blue Jays are 9-2 in their last 11 overall and have won 5 straight road games. 

Royals are 1-6 in their last 7 home games.

KANSAS CITY is 2-13  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start this season. 

KANSAS CITY is 8-23  against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season. KANSAS CITY is 12-30  against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this season.

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (KANSAS CITY) - after having lost 12 or more of their last 15 games against opponent after having won 8 or more of their last 10 games are 87-25 L/25 seasons for a 78% go against conversion rate. 

Play on Toronto to win 

Bosox have scored 27 runs in their L/4 games and here against Noah Syndergaard Im. betting they do enough damage to get us over the offered total. The righty owns a 8.18 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill, and the Halos have allowed  26 runs in their L/3 games and with the pitching staff looking tired we should see some more offensive fireworks.  I know the Halos offense has stalled lately but they matchup well vs Wacha according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings. 

LA ANGELS are 31-13 OVER  after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span over the last 2 seasons. LA ANGELS are 22-9 OVER  in June games over the last 2 seasons. LA ANGELS are 20-9 OVER after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

The Angels are 16-0 OVER L/16 as home chalk in non divisional play off a game in which Mike Trout had no hits in at least 3 at bats.

Play OVER 

Mariners RAY is 7-17  against the money line with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) HOUSTON is 49-19 (against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher like Ray  who gives up 5.5 or less hits/start over the last 3 seasons.

SEATTLE is 0-8  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start this season like the Astros Javier. SEATTLE is 1-12 ( against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 this season.

HOUSTON is 16-4  against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons and have won 3 straight games in Seattle, 

Play on the Houston Astros to win 

St. Louis lost 6-1 in the first game of Saturday's doubleheader before winning 7-4 in the nightcap and now Im betting they come back tonight with Wainwright on the hill for them. WAINWRIGHT is 20-9  against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Chicago will send Justin Steele (1-5, 5.40 ERA) to the mound for the series finale and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not matchup well. ST LOUIS is 17-3 against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.

MLB chalk in divisional matchups facing an opponent coming off a game with 10+ hits and 0 HR are 103-29 when the total 6+ and the line is higher than -130 are 15-2 this season.

Play on St.Louis to win 

Milwaukee left-hander Eric Lauer (5-1, 2.49 ERA)  goes to the hill today . The Padres counter with right-hander Mike Clevinger (1-0, 3.21), who will make his first start since coming off the injured list.  My projections estimate we have a definitive edge with Lauer on the hill in this spot play. Im betting on the Brewers bouncing back from yesterdays 7-0 loss. COUNSELL is 24-6  against the money line revenging 2 straight losses vs opponent as a home favorite as the manager of MILWAUKEE.

Brewers are 14-4 in their last 18 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

Brewers are 9-3 in their last 12 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

MLB Home teams (MILWAUKEE) - good team, outscoring opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season, after getting shut out are 90-33 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Brewers to win 

In the series finale, Arizona right-hander Zac Gallen (4-0, 2.32 ERA) is expected to go against Pittsburgh right-hander Zach Thompson (2-4, 5.18).On the road, Gallen is 2-0 with a 1.76 ERA, a .167 opponents' batting average and a 0.85 WHIP and gives is an edge backing Arizona this afternoon.Diamondbacks are 9-3 in their last 12 games as a favorite.Diamondbacks are 8-3 in their last 11 vs. a team with a losing record.

ARIZONA is 10-4  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season.

PITTSBURGH is 8-31  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start over the last 2 seasons.THOMPSON is 1-12 against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Play on Arizona to win 

 Detroits offense on the road has really been struggling averaging just 2.1 RPG via a lowly .197 BA. My pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggests Montgomery matches up very well here and that the Yankees  top tier offense also matches up well vs Garcia who is a right-hander  (0-1, 4.70 ERA). 

Yankees team ERA is a major-league-best 2.73. Montgomery has allowed three runs or fewer in each start this year. 

Yanks have won all 5 games this season by 2 runs or more vs Detroit. 

NY YANKEES are 19-2  against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game this season with the average  rpg diff clicking in at +3.6. NY YANKEES are 15-1  against the money line in home games after 2 straight games where they committed no errors this season with the average rpg diff coming in at +3.8. 

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (DETROIT) - after 2 straight games where they committed no errors against opponent after a game where they had 4 or less hits are 37-2 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.7. 

Play on NYY -1.5 

: The Mets are 13-0 ML off a loss in which they drew multiple walks this season.

Reds starter MAHLE is 5-12  against the money line after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (CINCINNATI) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.20 to 5.20)-NL, with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are just 20-37 L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Reds are 3-7 in their last 10 games as a favorite.

Play on the Washington Nationals to win 

TAMPA BAY is 10-1  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season like the White Sox Cease. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay's Drew Rasmussen (5-2, 3.47 ERA) is a viable pitcher to back vs a White sox offense that has proven itself very inconsistent this season. 

CHI WHITE SOX are 12-31 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 3 seasons.

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TAMPA BAY) - with a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start, playing on Saturday are 67-31 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate.

Play on Tampa Bay 

Oakland right-hander Paul Blackburn (5-1, 2.15 ERA), goes for the  As  today here at home.Blackburn was 5-0 with a 1.70 ERA in first nine starts this year before allowing a season-high four runs in 6 2/3 innings in a 5-1 home loss to the Houston Astros on Monday in his last outing, but now Im betting on a bounce back here. Meanwhile, the Red Sox   is  expected to go with their hottest pitcher -- right-hander Nick Pivetta (4-4, 3.95)  as it goes for a third consecutive victory .Pivetta has won his last four starts and is unbeaten in his last five, having allowed six runs in 34 innings over that stretch.

Under is 14-5-1 in Athletics last 20 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game

BOSTON is 23-9 UNDER  in road games vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons.BOSTON is 30-16 UNDER  as a road favorite of -110 or higher over the last 3 seasons.Under is 13-6-1 in Red Sox last 20 during game 2 of a series.Under is 33-16-2 in Red Sox last 51 games as a road favorite.

Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.

Play on the UNDER

The Orioles will go with right-hander Tyler Wells (2-4, 3.71 ERA), who is coming off throwing six shutout innings Monday at Boston. Wells has encountered Cleveland twice, both in 2021 relief appearances , and he didn't give up a run in 2 2/3 total innings and now Im betting he gives the Orioles an opportunity to cash as home dogs.  Guardians are 1-4 in their last 5 road games.

Road teams (CLEVELAND) - after 2 straight games with no home runs, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.000 or better  over his last 5 starts are 33-65 L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Baltimore to win 

Dylan Bundy is in top form of late, garnering a 3.07 ERA in his L/3 starts. Meanwhile, Berrios is owns  a .3.05 ERA at home this season. With Minnesota currently struggling at the plate scoring just 2 runs in total in their L/3 games Im betting Berrios continues his top tier home starts. Meanwhile, I know the Blue Jays bats are starting to heat up but Bundy  according to my pitching vs batting order power rankings.  

TORONTO is 12-3 UNDER in home games vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game this season. TORONTO is 18-7 UNDER in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start over the last 2 seasons. TORONTO is 26-13 UNDER  against AL Central opponents over the last 2 seasons. TORONTO is 44-28 UNDER  when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.

Under is 11-5 in Twins last 16 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 3-1-1 in Twins last 5 games as an underdog. 

Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.

MLB Home teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (TORONTO) - with an on base percentage of .375 or better over their last 5 games against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA  7.00 or better  over his last 5 starts are 154-83 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on UNDER 

The Dodgers will send left-hander Tyler Anderson (6-0, 2.90 ERA) to the mound, while the Mets will counter with right-hander Chris Bassitt (4-2, 3.66). The advantage on the hill comes with Anderson who is 3-0 since May 13 along with a minuscule 0.86 ERA.  

The NYMets are 0-17 L/17 as a dog of at least +150 if the line is not more than 50 points lower than last game which is the case here tonight. 

LA DODGERS are 15-1 against the money line after 3 or more consecutive home games this season.

NY METS are 25-42against the money line in road games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons.

Play on LA Dodgers to win 

Colorados righty starter KUHL is 15-4   against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record . (Team's Record) KUHL is 10-5  against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)  The last time Atlantas starter Fried went against the Rockies the Braves lost 8-4. 

Rockies are 16-7 in their last 23 during game 2 of a series.

ATLANTA is 13-21  against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

ATLANTA is 0-6 against the money line after 2 or more consecutive wins this season.

MLB Road teams (ATLANTA) - after a game where they had 17 or more hits, starting a pitcher who gave up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 14-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Braves are 13-30 in the last 43 meetings.

Play on the Rockies to win 

Royals starter Singer is in very good form but BAKER managed teams are  35-15   against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.90 or better in all games . Royals are 1-10 in their last 11 games as a home underdog.

Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite. Astros are 38-15 in their last 53 during game 1 of a series.Astros are 15-6 in their last 21 games vs. a right-handed starter. Astros are 24-9 in their last 33 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

HOUSTON is 25-9 against the money line with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) this season.

KANSAS CITY is 3-15 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. KANSAS CITY is 2-15  against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better this season.

MLB  team (KANSAS CITY) - struggling offensive team (3.6 or less  runs/game) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, after scoring 3 runs or less 4 straight games are 13-39 L/25 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (HOUSTON) - after a one run win against opponent after scoring 3 runs or less 4 straight games are 28-10 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Astros are 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Kansas City.

Houston to win 

Over the past 21 days in the first inning when on the road, the Padres are just 8-for-47, good for a .170 average whihc is not a good omen against Brewers starter Burnes who in  37 first inning batters, has recorded a miniscule  0.90 ERA  and just two passes. 

Gilbert is a viable hurler for the Mariners, but the Rangers  13-8 (+12.1 Units) against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.90 or better over the last 2 seasons and are being under rated here today. Meanwhile, Rangers starter DUNNING is 9-1 (  against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) and is is 13-3 against the money line in home games in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

SEATTLE is 4-15  against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season.

MLB team (SEATTLE) - bad offensive team (4.2 or less  runs/game) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70)-AL, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 31-8 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Texas to win 

Arizonas starter Kelly matches up well vs a PITTSBURGH side that  is 8-30   against the money line vs. a starting pitcher who gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start over the last 2 seasons. In his only start against Pittsburgh in 2019, Kelly picked up a win when he gave up two runs in seven innings. Note: Brubaker has pitched well for the Pirates of late, but is one of those hard luck pitchers who consistently gets very little run support as is evident by having just two runs scored with him on the mound over his last four starts.

I know Pittsburgh is off a 3-0 game road sweep vs the Dodgers . However, Im now betting on a regressive state from a jet lagged side that just travelled west to east after a 6 game road trip.

PITTSBURGH is 6-23  against the money line after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (ARIZONA) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a losing team are 43-12 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Arizona Cards to win 

Arizona's starter Brubaker has allowed just two runs over 11 2/3 innings of his past two starts and both runs were unearned and has faced Arizona once, pitching five scoreless innings in a 4-2 victory last season on Aug. 24. Meanwhile, The Dbacks starter Kelly started off the season in over powering form, going 3-1 with a 1.22 ERA through six starts, and even though he has cooled a bit is still in top form and according to my power rankings he matches up well against this Pirates batting order that has struggled against right handers averaging just .233 BA as a team vs orthodox pitching opp. It must also be noted Brubaker has seen his team not back him offensively on a consistent basis ,giving just two runs in support  with him on the mound over his past four starts. 

Under is 6-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 games as a road favorite.Under is 6-1-1 in Pirates last 8 vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 10-3-1 in Pirates last 14 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

Under is 3-1-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a home underdog.

Under is 8-3-3 in Pirates last 14 games as an underdog.

Under is 10-4-3 in Pirates last 17 overall.

MLB Home teams (PITTSBURGH) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 47-17 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

Cleveland starter BIEBER is 12-1   against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) BIEBER is 13-1  against the money line in road games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game since 1997. (Team's Record) With Cleveland on a 3 game win streak and cashing 4 of their L/5 the momentum is on their side especially with a top tier hurler on the hill. 

Guardians are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.

Orioles are 51-121 in their last 172 during game 1 of a series.Orioles are 32-79 in their last 111 games vs. a right-handed starter.

BALTIMORE is 9-34  against the money line in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

Play on the Cleveland Guardians to win 

Atlanta took a 6-0 win yesterday and now Im betting on the Rockies bouncing back behind the arm of Gomer. In three career appearances (one start ) against Atlanta, he is 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA.

ATLANTA is 6-18  against the money line after a win this season.

COLORADO is 39-14 against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons. 

ATLANTA is 4-11  against the money line after allowing 2 runs or less this season.

 MLB Road teams (ATLANTA) - after a win by 6 runs or more against opponent after a combined score of 20 runs or more are 17-40 L/5 seasons for a 70% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Rockies to win 

The tigers shutout the Twins yesterday and Im betting they come back with another victory here this afternoon as they use the momentum of that previous tilt to propel them here at home . DETROIT is 9-2   against the money line after shutting out their opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Tigers are 4-0 at home L/4 vs a right hander like Archer. 

Twins are 2-7 in the last 9 meetings in Detroit.

Tigers are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League Central.Tigers are 8-2 in their last 10 home games. Tigers are 6-2 in their last 8 during game 5 of a series.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MINNESOTA) - with a team batting average of .265 or worse on the season (AL), after 2 straight losses by 4 runs or more are 17-50 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Detroit to win 

Rangers' starters have given up one earned run, and two total, in 13 innings in the first two games of the series and Im betting on Gray to come up big for them again. Meanwhile, the Rangers offense will continue its consistent outputs as was evident during a current run that has seen them win 7 of their L/8 games overall. 

TEXAS is 6-0  against the money line in home games vs. a team with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better this season.TEXAS is 9-4  against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better this season.

Road teams (TAMPA BAY) - sub par offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, ice cold hitting team - batting .175 or worse over their last 3 games are just 7-35 L25 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (TAMPA BAY) - after a game where they had 4 or less hits, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000  or less over his last 5 starts are 15-30 L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Texas to win 

Reds Hunter Greene has consistently struggled , as is evident by allowing 24 hits and 17 runs in his last 26.1 innings of sub par work. Im betting a hungry and upset BoSox side that lost yesterday, will take their frustrations out today. 

Reds are 2-9 in their last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Reds are 6-21 in their last 27 during game 2 of a series.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (CINCINNATI) - after 2 straight games where they committed no errors against opponent after a game where they had 4 or less hits are 2-36 L/5 seasons for a go against  95% conversion rate for bettors with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.7. 

 White Sox starter M.Kopech has been in top form and in 4 road appearances this season owns  a minuscule 0.45 ERA and deserves respect here in the underdog role. 

White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series. White Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Torontos starter RYU is 6-10 (against the money line at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

MLB  favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (TORONTO) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a top level starting pitcher (ERA  3.60, WHIP 1.300 or better ) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season-AL are 53-80 L/25 seasons for a 60% conversion rate.

Play on White Sox to win 

Darvish the Padres starter matches up well vs the Cards batting order and he is off a top tier performance last time out and deserves respect here on a short line to get the job done vs the home side today.  The Fathers righty has faced the Cardinals’ hitters a combined 140 times and has held them to a lowly .229 batting average.Darvish has allowed two runs or fewer in six of his nine 2022 starts.

Cardinals are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

Padres are 15-3 in their last 18 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Padres are 9-2 in their last 11 games as a road favorite.Padres are 13-3 in their last 16 games following a loss.

Play on San Diego to win 

Brewers starter Lauer (5-1, 2.31 ERA), gives the Brewers a definitive edge in this matchup. Only twice in eight starts has he allowed more than two earned runs. Note : Cubs starter Justin Steele (1-5, 5.40 ERA), and  has had problems with  Christian Yelich who is 3-for-6 against Steele. More problems are projected in this spot play. 

Cubs are 1-22 on the money-line since 7/28 as home dogs after a defeat which was the case in both tilts yesterday. Rinse and repeat situation today.

CHICAGO CUBS are 0-9  against the money line in home games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games this season. CHICAGO CUBS are 7-22 against the money line in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (MILWAUKEE) - NL team with a low on-base percentage (.350 or less ) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or better ), with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 10 games are 225-96 L/25 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Milwaukee to win 

Lucas Giolito (3-1, 2.63) is expected to take to the hill for the White Sox in the opener of the three-game series against  right-hander Kevin Gausman (4-3, 2.25) of the Blue Jays. Giolito has gone 2-0 with a 3.22 ERA in four career starts vs  the Jays and gets my support here in the underdog role. 

GAUSMAN is 7-16  against the money line against AL Central opponents in his career. (Team's Record)

I know the Jays are hot, but it must be noted TORONTO is 0-5 against the money line in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins this season. MONTOYO is 2-8  against the money line in home games after 4 or more consecutive wins as the manager of TORONTO.

Play on Chicago White Sox to win 

Baltimore took a 10-0 win yesterday vs the BoSox and now with momentum behind them  once again look like viable value money-line options. According to my power rankings the Orioles batting order matches up well vs  Mariners  rookie right-hander George Kirby (0-1, 4.50 ERA),

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SEATTLE) - poor AL offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less ), with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL). are 12-41 L/25 seasons for a 78% go against conversion rate.

Play on Baltimore to win 

Jordan Montgomery (0-1, 3.30), who is winless in his past 11 starts since Sept. 21, goes for the Yankees today giving an edge to the Angels according to my power rankings featuring pitcher vs batting order data. I know the Halos  are on a season-high five-game losing streak. But they are still scoring as was evident by producing  18 runs and getting 32 hits in three straight one-run losses to the Toronto Blue Jays. With Noah Syndergaard on the hill for the Angles Im betting a better outcome and abrupt end to this ugly runs ends. 

Angels are 9-1 in their last 10 road games vs. a left-handed starter like the Yanks  Montgomery. 

NY YANKEES are 5-10 against the money line in home games after a 3 game span with an OBP of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons. BOONE is 11-16 against the money line after scoring 2 runs or less 2 straight games as the manager of NY YANKEES.

MADDON is 101-82  against the money line when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  62%) or better in all games he has managed since 1997.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA ANGELS) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a very good starter (ERA 3.50) or better  (AL), after a game they hit 4 or more home runs are 29-10 L/25 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the LA Angels to win 

Arizona starter Gallen has been in his best form at home, going 3-0 with a 2.40 ERA in his last seven starts at Chase Field and gets the nod here . I know the Braves start a good looking hurler in Strider, but he has worked in relief, and starting makes for a diff type of approach whihc includes pitch count limitations. 

ATLANTA is 13-19  against the money line against right-handed starters this season. Braves are 0-7 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League East.Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (ARIZONA) - after having lost 4 of their last 5 games, a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a losing team are 36-15 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Arizona DBacks to win 

Drew Rasmussen (5-1, 2.68 ERA) goes  for the Rays, and Glenn Otto (2-2, 4.91) for the Rangers in a matchup of right-handers. Rasmussen has worked at least five innings in each of his last six starts and Im betting that momentum continues today vs the Rangers. Meanwhile, Otto, who has never faced the Rays, gave up one run in five innings, with seven strikeouts in a win at the Los Angeles Angels. More of the same from here today vs a batting order he matches up well against. 

Under is 11-5-3 in Rays last 19 during game 1 of a series.

Under is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 6-1-1 in Rangers last 8 games as an underdog.

MLB teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (TEXAS) - after a game where they committed 4 or more fielding errors, with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.250 the last 15 games are 41-9 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 82% conversion rate.

Play on the UNDER 

Chicago's Drew Smyly (2-5, 4.08 ERA) goes to the hill in  Game 2, after allowing three runs on two homers in 5 2/3 innings at Cincinnati on Monday to snap a five-game losing skid. The left-hander,  is 0-3 with a 5.93 ERA at home in 2022 and is fade material and ready to start a new losing streak. SMYLY is 1-7  against the money line in home games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Cubs are 1-21 on the money-line since 7/28 as home dogs after a defeat which was the case this afternoon.

CHICAGO CUBS are 3-10  against the money line in home games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game this season.

ROSS is 27-46 against the money line in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better as the manager of CHICAGO CUBS.

Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win 

As starter BLACKBURN is 7-1  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) BLACKBURN is 5-0 against the money line as an underdog of +150 or more this season. (Team's Record) BLACKBURN is 7-1   against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) BLACKBURN is 8-1   against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season. (Team's Record). Blackburn is the one pitcher you want to back against a top tier team like Houston. Astros are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

Note: Astros starter Valdez has never defeated the Athletics, going 0-2 in six appearances (four starts) with a 4.08 ERA.

HOUSTON is 2-8 against the money line when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) this season like the Oakland As. 

MLB team (OAKLAND) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better on the season-AL, starting a pitcher who walked 5 or more hitters last outing are 30-9 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Road teams (HOUSTON) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 84-175 L/5 seasons for a 68%  go against conversion rate. 

Astros are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings.

Play on Oakland As to win 

Cardinals will go with a  bullpen start with left-hander Packy Naughton (0-1, 2.89 ERA) arriving from Triple-A Memphis to fill the role of opener. Naughton has made five relief appearances and one start this season for the Cardinals. He is 2-0 with a 1.84 ERA in seven relief appearances for Memphis and must not be under estimated to slow down the Padres offense. Advantage Cards at home. 

St.Louis got blasted yesterday, but now after that embarrassment Im betting they will be primed to bounce back against a Padres side that just travelled from the West Coast to is jet lagged .  . 

ST LOUIS is 24-8  against the money line after a game where they had 4 or less hits over the last 3 seasons

MLB Home teams (ST LOUIS) - good team, outscoring opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season, after getting shut out are 89-32 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Cards to win 

Texas starter DUNNING is 0-11  against the money line in road games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Oakland lost the first two games of this series after its bullpen gave up runs in the ninth inning but yesterday came out completely flat . Now Im betting they stop feeling sorry for themselves and finally notch a win in this spot vs a pitcher in Dunning that they matchup well against. 

Rangers are 19-51 in their last 70 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Rangers are 5-16 in their last 21 games as a road favorite.

Athletics are 35-16 in their last 51 during game 4 of a series.Rangers are 16-38 in their last 54 during game 4 of a series.

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (OAKLAND) - ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 15 games against opponent ice cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 20 games are 60-32 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Oakland to win 

Both expected starting pitchers and their bullpens and the starting offensive lineups have me  projecting a combined  8 + run production event that gives us an edge taking the over . 

Over is 5-2 in Rangers last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 5-2-1 in Rangers last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

 Over is 3-1-1 in Athletics last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 3-1-1 in Athletics last 5 home games.Over is 3-1-1 in Athletics last 5 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.Over is 5-2-1 in Athletics last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.

MLB teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (OAKLAND) - terrible offensive team ( 3.6 or less runs/game) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70)-AL, after allowing 9 runs or more are 30-6 OVER L/25 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Over is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings.

Play OVER 

The White Sox had won seven straight interleague games, including a pair of contests at Wrigley Field on May 3-4, before the Cubs earned Saturday's victory . However, Im now expecting the White Sox to get back on track here vs the Cubs this Sunday . Note: Cubs starter Stroman is 2-4 with a 4.85 ERA in nine career starts against the White Sox and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings the Pale Hose matchup well here. Meanwhile, the Cubs are 1-6 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter like the White Sox starter today Cease .

STROMAN is 8-15 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

CHI WHITE SOX are 41-15 against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) over the last 3 seasons.

White Sox are 12-2 in their last 14 interleague games.

MLB team (CHICAGO CUBS) - NL team with a poor OBP (.310 or less) against a good AL starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 to 1.350), with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start are 16-40 L/25 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Cubs are 2-7 in the last 9 meetings.

Play on the White Sox to win 

Reds starter Mahle is 2-5 with a 6.32 ERA and 1.49 WHIP while, Giants starter Cobb is 3-2 with a 6.25 ERA and 1.55 WHIP. Im betting these pitchers take a beating todays and help this combined score get eclipsed. 

Mahle is 0-3 with a 9.18 ERA in four starts, including May 20, 2021, when Mahle was charged with seven runs on seven hits in just two innings of a 19-4 San Francisco victory.

In  47 career plate appearances against Mahle, this current Giants roster owns a  a .293 BA. 

San Francisco’s relief pitching ranks 26th in the league in ERA, 29th in BA, 29th. 

Play OVER 

Seattle  starter GILBERT is 14-7   against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GILBERT is 11-3   against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GILBERT is 14-4 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Astros starter Urquidy is 1-1 with a 5.16 ERA in five career appearances (four starts) against Seattle. 

BAKER is 19-27  against the money line when playing against a sub par team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) as the manager of HOUSTON.

HOUSTON is 1-7  against the money line when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) this season.

Astros are 4-10 in their last 14 Saturday games. Astros are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

 MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (HOUSTON) - poor offensive team - scoring 4.4 or less  runs/game on the season (AL), after scoring 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 13-44 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SEATTLE) - with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL), after a win by 4 runs or more are 64-32 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. 

Astros are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Seattle.

Play on Mariners to win 

Chicago recalled Cueto from Triple-A Charlotte this month, and he wasted little time in making an impression. For the first time in a 15-season career, he has started a season with consecutive scoreless outings of at least six innings and now enters this game in top form and gets my support here today. White Sox starter CUETO is 40-19 against the money line in May games in his career. (Team's Record) Chicago got clobbered last time out by DD deficit as did the Cubs but it must be noted that the CHI WHITE SOX are 31-8  against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.

CHICAGO CUBS are 34-49 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Home teams (CHI WHITE SOX) - after a loss by 4 runs or more against opponent after a combined score of 20 runs or more are 51-26 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago White Sox to win

The Rays' starter will be Corey Kluber (1-2, 4.42), a two-time Cy Young Award winner and he will be opposed by the Yankees' ace, Cole (4-1, 3.31 ERA) . Im both top tier hurlers go long and strong with both bullpens supplying viable backup options. 

 COLE is 15-4 UNDER  in road games in May games in his career. (Team's Record)

KLUBER is 11-2 UNDER  in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

MLB teams where the total is 7 or less (TAMPA/ NY YANKEES) - after a combined score of 2 runs or less against opponent after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 47-11 UNDER  L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. 

Play UNDER 

The Reds are playing good baseball entering this game having won 3 straight games while SF has not as is evident by losing 6 of their L/8 overall and 8 of their L/12. The Reds took game one of this series, against a tired looking Giants squad by a 5-1 count. Im betting on the energy and momentum of the Reds to continue here today and get is a win on a value moneyline offering.

Giants are 1-7 in their last 8 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. SAN FRANCISCO is 10-17  against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season.

MLB Road teams (SAN FRANCISCO) - with a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start, starting a pitcher who was hit for 5+ runs in his last 2 outings are 13-53 L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SAN FRANCISCO) - starting a pitcher who walked 1  or less hitters each of his last 2 outings against opponent starting a pitcher who was rocked for 7 or more runs last outing are 8-25 L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Cincinnati Reds to win 

Cole is a top tier hurler but has had bad luck vs the Rays in the past as is evident by a    1-6 record  with a 4.46 ERA in 11 career starts against the Rays. Meanwhile, former Cy Young award winner   Kluber,  has  had strong performances vs his 2021 club. Over eight starts, he has recorded  a 5-2 record along  with a stingy 2.51 ERA. Note: Rays are 7-2 in their last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

Rays are 7-3 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Rays are 37-17 in their last 54 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.

Rays are 61-29 in their last 90 home games.

Road teams (NY YANKEES) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 2 runs or less are 29-72 L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the TB Rays to win 

Bieber is a top tier hurler but it must be noted that the average four-seamer in his last start Sunday clocked in at just 90.4 MPH, several ticks lower than two seasons ago , which makes him more vulnerable against this type of  under rated power hitting side. Meanwhile, the tigers send  rookie Alex Faedo (1-1, 3.00) to the hill, who will be making his fifth career start. Faedo grabbed his first major league win on Sunday by holding the Guardians to two runs on six hits in 5 1/3 innings and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings matches up well here and gives us an edge with the underdog. Guardians are 1-7 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record

DETROIT is 41-46 against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons for +15.4 units of profit. 

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (DETROIT) - after 2 straight games where they stranded 10 or more runners on base, with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.200 the last 10 games are 24-11 L/25 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (CLEVELAND) - with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 1.50 the last 5 games are 15-30 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Detroit Tigers to win 

Arizona looks like. a viable underdog behind left-hander Madison Bumgarner (2-2, 2.76 ERA), Bumgarner, has been in good form  in his first nine starts, with a 28-to-14 strikeout-to-walk ratio over 42 1/3 innings. Note: BUMGARNER is 6-0  against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

ARIZONA is 14-10  against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities this season.

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (ARIZONA) - after a game where they had at least 10 less hits than their opponent, after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs are 25-11 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. 

Play on Arizona to win 

The Rangers will send right-hander Jon Gray (1-2, 5.14 ERA) to the mound against Athletics left-hander Cole Irvin (2-2, 3.21).

The Rangers rode a ninth-inning uprising to a 4-1 win Thursday in the first game of the series and were lucky to get the win, Im betting their luck runs out tonight. 

Athletics are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.

Athletics are 90-43 in their last 133 home games vs. a team with a losing record.

TEXAS is 8-23   against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons. TEXAS is 19-51  against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons

MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (TEXAS) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less ) against a top level starting pitcher (ERA  3.60, WHIP 1.300 or less ) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season-AL are 24-49 L/25 seasons  for a go against 67% conversion rate. 

Play on Oakland to win 

Boston posted a season-high 16 runs against  the Chicago White Sox and now Im betting on a reversal to the norm and a much lower offensive output  vs  Bradish who made his  debut came against the Red Sox on April 29, when he gave up three runs, two earned, in six innings while absorbing a 3-1 loss and low scoring tilt that stayed on the low side of the total. Meanwhile, the Red sox will return fire with right-hander Garrett Whitlock (1-1, 3.58). 

His six previous appearances against Baltimore all came as a reliever last year, and he allowed one run across 11 innings, with 12 strikeouts and one walk. His first game in the majors came on April 4, 2021, vs. Baltimore, and he threw 3 1/3 scoreless innings and still matches up very well against this Orioles offense. 

Under is 8-0 in Orioles last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 vs. American League East.

BALTIMORE is 13-3 UNDER vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season.BOSTON is 12-3 UNDER  against division opponents this season.

MLB  teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (BALTIMORE) - after getting shut out against opponent after a combined score of 17 runs or more are 36-10 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. 

Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

Play UNDER

Michael Wacha (3-0, 1.76 ERA) is set to start Thursday for the Red Sox. He will be opposed by Pale Hose starter  KEUCHEL who  is 38-20 UNDER   vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game in his career. (Team's Record)

The Red Sox, after scoring 54 runs during a season-high, six-game winning streak, stranded 12 runners on Wednesday while going 1-for-9 with men in scoring position. This is never a good omen for a team like Boston that has a tendency of going on long scoring droughts. Feat or Famine for the BoSox and today Im betting on famine. 

BOSTON is 20-7 UNDER  in road games vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 15-4 UNDER after a loss this season.

MLB team (BOSTON) - sub par hitting team (AVG .260 or less ) against a struggling  starting pitcher (ERA 6.70 or worse ) -AL, with an on base percentage of .375 or better over their last 5 games are 29-6 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER

The Royals pitching staff is struggling and as a result of this have lost 6 straight games and fade material here vs a Minnesota side that matches up well against them. KANSAS CITY is 4-18  against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 7.00 or worse over the last 2 seasons. Note: the Royals have the worst starting pitching ERA (4.96) and are last with the bullpen ERA (4.86) in the American League. They rank 27th in starting pitchers  and 29th among relievers in all of MLB .

Twins starter owns a 1-0 record this season and a 1.74 ERA - SMELTZER is 2-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 1.72 and a WHIP of 0.894.

MINNESOTA is 21-8 against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season. MINNESOTA is 22-7  against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game this season.

MINNESOTA is 11-1  against the money line after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games this season.

KANSAS CITY is 0-10  against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season this season. KANSAS CITY is 1-13  against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. KANSAS CITY is 9-24 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this season.

MLB Road teams (KANSAS CITY) - with a team batting average of .260 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing 7 runs or more 3 straight games are 14-60 L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Minnesota Twins to win 

Motowns starter Skubal (3-2, 2.22 ERA) is in top form , not allowing a run in any of his last three trips  to the hill and is currently on a  19-inning scoreless streak entering  the Thursdays game. He gives the Tigers an advantage in this tilt vs a sub par traveling Cleveland side that is  1-5 in their last 6 games as a road underdog. 

Tigers are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record. 

Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CLEVELAND) - with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 25-108 L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Detroit Tigers to win 

The Tampa Bay Rays, prepare to open a 4 game  series at home in St.Petersburg  for a showdown with the American League East-leading New York Yankees.The Rays Im betting will continue their success against the Yankees. Tampa Bay has won 19 of the teams' 29 meetings during the last two seasons, outscoring New York by 61 runs during that positive run. With that said Im recommending we back Rays starter  Ryan Yarbrough who will make his 10th career appearance and second start against the Yankees. The southpaw is 5-2 with a 2.41 ERA vs. NYY and matches up well here according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings. 

TAMPA BAY is 8-0  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season like the Yanks starter Cortez. 

NY YANKEES are 2-10  against the money line in road games after allowing one run or less in a win over a division rival over the last 3 seasons.( NYY 2 Orioles 0 last time out)

MLB Road teams (NY YANKEES) - after shutting out a division rival, starting a pitcher who walked 1  or less hitters each of his last 2 outings are 14-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Tampa Bay Rays to win 

These teams have spilt the first two games in this series with Houston coming back yesterday  with a 7-3 victory after the opening game loss .Note: Astros are 1-5 in their last 6 games following a win. Astros are also 0-4 in their last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.

CLEVELAND is 23-9  against the money line in road games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. Guardians are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League West.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CLEVELAND) - team with a terrible SLG (.400 or less ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less ) -AL, with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season are 106-92 L/5 seasons for a 54% conversion rate. 

Play on Cleveland to win 

The Mets took part in a run/slug/fest last night with the Giants pulling off a 13-12 win. With that momentum of that game still reverberating around the Giants locker room Im betting they come out here ready to explode offensively again and get a win behind viable hurler Junis (1-1, 2.70 ERA) .  

Giants are 39-14 in their last 53 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Giants are 11-4 in their last 15 during game 3 of a series.

Giants are 63-24 in their last 87 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.

MLB Home teams (SAN FRANCISCO) - good offensive team - scoring 4.5  or more runs/game on the season (NL), after a combined score of 20 runs or more are 63-25 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Road teams (NY METS) - after scoring 12 runs or more against opponent after a combined score of 20 runs or more are 27-54 L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate fro bettors.

Play on the SF Giants to win 

Detroit has averaged just 2.3 rog on the road this season behind a lowly .209 BA. The Tigers have lost 9 of their L/11 games by 2 runs or more and Im expecting similar results here vs a Minnesota side that is averaging 6.6 rpg in their L/7 tilts with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.9 . 

DETROIT is 2-14  against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season this season with the average of 2 rpg diff clicking in  which qualifies on this runline offering. 

MINNESOTA is 21-6  against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at 2 rpg. 

MLB  underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line  +110 to +155) (DETROIT) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.70 to 5.70) -AL, with a slugging percentage of .350 or worse over their last 5 games are 6-37 L/25 seasons for a 86% go against conversion rate. 

Play on the Minnesota Twins -1.5 runline 

SF Giants  starter WEBB is 10-0  against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) WEBB is 16-2  against the money line vs. poor base-running teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)  WEBB is 17-1 against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) . I know the Giants have been slumping but all and bad runs must come to end, and thats what Im betting on with Webb on the hi,, for the Giants. 

Giants are 87-41 in their last 128 games vs. a right-handed starter.Giants are 61-30 in their last 91 games as a home favorite.

Mets are 30-67 in their last 97 games as a road underdog.Mets are 16-36 in their last 52 games as an underdog.Mets are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (SAN FRANCISCO) - with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start, after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs are 34-6 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.

Mets are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings in San Francisco.

Play on SF Giants to win 

White start right-hander Dylan Cease (4-1, 3.09 ERA) against Boston righty Nick Pivetta (2-4, 4.22).Cease has recorded a  7.30 ERA in three career appearances against the Red Sox covering 12 1/3 innings. Meanwhile, BoSox starter  Pivetta, who opposed Cease this month, also took a no-decision despite six innings of shutout ball with five hits and eight strikeouts. He is 0-0 with a 1.50 ERA in five career appearances against Chicago, including three starts and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings gives his team an edge , which translates into what is a value moneyline offering from the linesmakers. 

Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.

White Sox are 1-6 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.White Sox are 3-7 in their last 10 during game 1 of a series.

CORA is 80-56  against the money line in night games as the manager of BOSTON.

Play on the Boston Red Sox to win 

Phillies starter GIBSON is 15-8 against the money line in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Braves are 2-6 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter. Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Gibson according to my power rankings matches up well vs the Atlanta batting order. 

Phillies are 5-1 in their last 6 road games.Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a road underdog.Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter. like Atlanta's starter  Fried. 

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (PHILADELPHIA) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a losing team are 33-11 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. 

Play on Philadelphia Phillies to win 

Peterson (1-0, 1.89 ERA) goes for the  Mets and is  opposed by right-hander Alex Cobb (3-1, 5.61). Peterson has never opposed the Giants. Cobb is 1-1 with a 4.76 ERA in three starts against the Mets. My own power rankings suggest the Mets batting order despite of being with top tier catcher James McCann matchup well vs Cobb and gives us a viable opportunity  to cash a value line ticket with this spot play. 

Mets are 11-1 in their last 12 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Mets are 9-2 in their last 11 during game 1 of a series.

Giants are 2-8 in their last 10 games following a loss.Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Giants are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Giants are 1-6 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Giants are 1-6 in their last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Giants are 0-4 in their last 4 overall.

COBB is 5-14  against the money line in home games vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game in his career. (Team's Record)

NY METS are 10-1  against the money line after scoring 2 runs or less this season.NY METS are 23-7  against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

MLB Home teams (SAN FRANCISCO) - off 3 straight losses vs. division rivals, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 44-16 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on NY Mets to win 

 Brewers will start the series with right-hander Adrian Houser (3-4, 3.22 ERA) against Padres right-hander Nick Martinez (2-2, 3.89). Im betting home field advantage this Monday night in the opener of this series will be the difference maker. Note: MLB Home teams (SAN DIEGO) - in a game involving two top-level teams ( 62% or better ), playing on Monday are 32-12 for a 73% conversion rate L/25 seasons. 

SAN DIEGO is 15-5 against the money line after 2 or more consecutive road games this season.Padres are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Padres are 9-3 in their last 12 vs. National League Central.Padres are 8-3 in their last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Padres are 13-5 in their last 18 games as a favorite.

Brewers are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. National League West.Brewers are 3-8 in their last 11 games as a road underdog.Brewers are 6-16 in their last 22 vs. a team with a winning record.

MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (SAN DIEGO) - poor power team (0.9 or less  HR's/game) against a starting pitcher who gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start, after a game where they had at least 10 more hits than their opponent are 47-11 L/25 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on San Diego to win 

The Royals will send Zack Greinke (0-2, 3.48 ERA) to the mound to face another  right-hander Zach Davies (2-2, 4.35).Greinke,  is 7-3 with a 3.72 ERA all-time against the Diamondbacks and gives the underdog visitors an edge here today. Greinke has pitched well for the Royals this season; as is evident by allowing more than two earned runs in just two of his eight starts. 

ARIZONA is 1-11  against the money line in home games in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons.

ARIZONA is 1-11  against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. ARIZONA is 0-7   against the money line in home games with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Home teams (ARIZONA) - NL team with a terrible OBP (.300 or less ) against a very good AL starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less ), cold hitting team - batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games are 9-29 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. 

Play on Kansas City to win 

Chicago's Michael Kopech (0-1, 1.54) goes against Right-hander Luis Severino (3-0, 3.63). Both hurlers matchup well against each opposing lineup.  Im betting both go deep and with this being the 2nd game of the day, a more sluggish effort from both sides which Im betting will see less offensive production. 

Under is 8-1-1 in White Sox last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 8-2-1 in White Sox last 11 road gamesUnder is 10-4-1 in White Sox last 15 games as a road underdog.

Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Under is 7-2 in Yankees last 9 Sunday games.

NY YANKEES are 14-3 UNDER  when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season.

Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in New York.

Play on the UNDER 

Giants starter WOOD is 6-13  against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997. (Team's Record) The Giants lost 2-1 yesterday to the Padres for their 3rd straight loss)  Padres are 10-1 in their last 11 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.

The Giants current form does not. bode well for their fortunes today vs a up-trending side that is in top form. 

Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.

Giants are 2-7 in their last 9 games following a loss.Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Giants are 1-5 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Giants are 1-5 in their last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.

MELVIN is 20-8  against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less  errors/game as the manager of SAN DIEGO.

SAN DIEGO is 13-4  against the money line vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less  errors/game this season.

MLB Home teams (SAN FRANCISCO) - off 3 straight losses vs. division rivals, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 16-43 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate.

MLB road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SAN DIEGO) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against a decent starter (ERA 3.70 to 4.20)-NL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL) are 42-18 L/25 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. 

Play on SD Padres to win 

Fire baller  Logan Gilbert (4-2, 2.40 ERA) will look to continue his recent success in his second career start against Boston. GILBERT is 9-2  against the money line in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GILBERT is 14-3  against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GILBERT is 6-0  against the money line in road games when playing on Sunday over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Meanwhile, Nathan Eovaldi (1-2, 4.32 ERA) is off a  bad start when he takes  to the mound Sunday, as he allowed nine runs (six earned) on eight hits in just 1 2/3 innings last Tuesday. His current form does not bode well vs a Mariners side that is   4-0 in their last 4 games after losing the first 3 games of a series.

Red Sox are 4-9 in their last 13 games following a win.Red Sox are 2-6 in their last 8 games as a favorite.Red Sox are 0-4 in their last 4 Sunday games.

MLB Home teams (BOSTON) - AL team with a low slugging percentage (.410 or less ) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or less ), with a slugging percentage of .500 or better over their last 3 games are 50-86 L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate.

Play on the Mariners to win 

Texas will send Jon Gray (1-1, 5.73 ERA) to the mound while Houston will counter with fellow right-hander Justin Verlander (5-1, 1.38). The pitching advantage obviously resides with the Astros . Verlander has won his last four starts, has pitched at least five innings in each of his seven starts this season and has not allowed more than five hits in any tilt he has pitched in . His most recent outing was on Sunday when he gave up just two hits and three walks in five innings in an 8-0 Houston win in Washington.

HOUSTON is 30-10  against the money line in home games vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at +1.8 . 

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (HOUSTON) - top level team, outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season, after scoring 1 run or less are 49-5 L/5 seasons for a 91% conversion rate with a average of +3.2 which qualifies on this runline offering. 

Play on the Astros to win -1.5 

DBacks starter Bumgarner posted a 1.17 ERA in five April starts but has cooled a bit this month but still deserves respect here in the underdog role. Bumgarner has usually performed well  against the Cubs, going 9-3 with a 2.25 ERA in 15 career starts. The Dbacks cashed for us an underdog yesterday and Im going back to the well again here in this spot play. ARIZONA is 8-1  against the money line after 4 or more consecutive road games this season.

ARIZONA is 9-4  against the money line in road games with a team slugging percentage .390 or worse on the season (NL) this season. 

CHICAGO CUBS are 6-21  against the money line in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons

 CHICAGO CUBS are 1-9 against the money line in home games after a loss this season.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (ARIZONA) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a losing team are 32-11 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. 

Play on Arizona to win 

Dallas Keuchel (2-3, 5.54), took a no-decision against the Yankees last Saturday after pitching five scoreless innings, The veteran southpaw is  4-4 with a 2.06 ERA in 10 career starts against New York.Since getting roughed up for 10 runs in an 11-1 loss at Cleveland on April 20, Keuchel has recorded a solid 2.70 ERA in his past four starts and is being under rated here in his ability to slow down the Yankees offensive production . Meanwhile his pitching opponent  Cortes has been on fire to start his season, posting a  (2-1, 1.35 ERA) record and .Since May 30 2020   he owns  a stingy  2.44 ERA in 133 innings of top tier work.CORTES is 13-3 UNDER  when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) and is 10-2 UNDER when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) CORTES is 15-5 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Under is 8-1-1 in White Sox last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 8-1-1 in White Sox last 10 road game. Under is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 games as an underdog.Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 games as a road underdog. Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 6-2 in White Sox last 8 during game 1 of a series.

NY YANKEES are 14-2 UNDER  when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season.NY YANKEES are 9-0 UNDER  after a loss this season.LARUSSA is 28-14 UNDER  on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 as the manager of CHI WHITE SOX. Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 12-3-1 in Yankees last 16 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.

Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in New York.

Play UNDER 

Despite of alot of accolades and obvious talent Silseth the Halos starter today is still young and vulnerable. The Angels inexperienced hurler  will be matched up against A's right-hander Paul Blackburn (4-0, 1.67 ERA), who is coming off a no-decision against the Angels on Saturday. He gave up one run and five hits in 6 2/3 innings.Blackburn has been Oakland's most consistent pitcher this season, giving up two runs or fewer in six of his seven starts.In two career starts vs. the Angels, Blackburn is 1-0 with an 0.68 ERA and deserves respect here on a value line. I know the As offense has been problematic so far, but that will eventually change as there are to many under rated on base options in this lineup for their fortunes not to change at some point. Athletics are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road underdog.OAKLAND is 15-8 against the money line in road games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons.Athletics are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Los Angeles.Angels are 1-6 in their last 7 games following an off day.

Play on Oakland As to win 

Cincinnati sends right-hander Luis Castillo (0-1, 5.59 ERA) to the hill on Friday against Toronto left-hander Hyun Jin Ryu (0-0, 9.00). It will be Castillo's first career start against Toronto. CASTILLO is 2-9   against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Ryu has gone against the  Cincinnati Reds  seven times in his career (all starts), recording a  4-2 record along  with a 3.70 ERA. RYU is 57-19 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in his career. (Team's Record) Reds are 3-13 in their last 16 games vs. a left-handed starter.

CINCINNATI is 4-20  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Reds are 27-62 in their last 89 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.

The Blue Jays hitters have not performed optimally of late, but Im expecting a break out performance today vs a hurler that my pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggests does not match up well against them. 

Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.

Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.

Play on Toronto to win 

Arizona's scheduled Friday starter, Humberto Castellanos (2-1, 4.15 ERA).

Dback starting pitchers are 2-0 with a 2.86 ERA in four games this season versus Chicago, which is batting .169 as a team against them.

Meanwhile, Chicago's Kyle Hendricks (2-3, 4.03 ERA) will look for a third straight strong outing when he takes to the hill today. Hendricks has yielded just one run over 14 1/3 innings of his last two appearances and is in top form entering this tilt. Hendricks is 4-2 with a 2.94 ERA in eight career starts against the Diamondbacks, including 1-1 with a 2.12 ERA in three outings at Wrigley Field.

Im expecting two solid hurlers and two inconsistent offenses to help keep this tilt on the low side of the total. 

ARIZONA is 10-1 UNDER  vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season.

CHICAGO CUBS are 13-3 UNDER  vs. NL teams scoring 4 or less runs/game on the season this season.

MLB teams where the total is 11 or higher (ARIZONA) - after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs against opponent after 3 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs are 30-6 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. 

MLB Home teams (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 47-16 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Dbacks starter Castellanos has not completed six innings in any of his six starts this season. However, he's 1-0 with a 2.76 ERA in three May starts and deserves respect here on a value line vs a inconsistent Cubs offense. I know Cubs starter  Hendricks has also pitched well but Im betting the Dbacks find just enough offense to slip by here and get us a victory as underdogs. 

Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 vs. National League Central.

Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 vs. a team with a losing record

CHICAGO CUBS are 2-8  against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.CHICAGO CUBS are 3-11  against the money line in home games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season.

MLB  team (ARIZONA) - after having lost 4 of their last 5 games, a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a bad team (38-46%) are 50-19 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Chicago.Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings.

Play UNDER

Houston left-hander Framber Valdez (2-2, 2.93 ERA) will start the opener against Texas on Thursday. He is coming off his longest outing of the season: stretching out for  7 2/3 innings during which he allowed one run on seven hits and two walks with six strikeouts in a 6-1 win over the Washington Nationals on Friday. Im betting the momentum of his last effort continues here . Meanwhile,Right-hander Glenn Otto (1-1, 6.38 ERA) goes to the hill for the Rangers. He matched his career high for hits (eight), walks (four) and earned runs (eight) allowed in his latest start, an 11-3 loss to the Red Sox on Saturday. His form in that game is a pretest to what Im betting his fate is here today vs a consistent Houston Astors squad. Otto owns a  6.39 ERA against Houston -- all at Globe Life Field. WOODWARD is 10-40  against the money line in road games vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better as the manager of TEXAS with a rpg diff  average of -2. 

Play on Houston to win -1.5 runline 

The White Sox bats have been very inconsistent so far this season, averging just 3.3 rpg on a .233 BA and today against a hurler in Hernandez  who is  3-0 with a 2.70 ERA in five career appearances (three starts) against the Pale Hose we have an edge on a value moneyline offering,

.CHI WHITE SOX are 2-12  against the money line after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span this season. CHI WHITE SOX are 6-12  against the money line against division opponents this season.

MLB Home teams (KANSAS CITY) - terrible offensive team - scoring 3.9 or less  runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 34-9 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

MLB team (CHI WHITE SOX) - terrible offensive team (3.6 or less  runs/game) against a poor starting pitcher (ERA 6.20 lor worse ) (AL), with a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season are 15-40 L/25 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. 

Play on KC to win 

The Reds will go with right-hander Tyler Mahle (2-4, 5.89 ERA), Meanwhile, the  Right-hander Cal Quantrill (1-2, 3.93)  will start for the Guardians.Mahle enters the Wednesday game 0-2 with a 6.61 ERA in four career starts against the Guardians and is fade material here today according to pitcher vs batting order power rankings. 

CLEVELAND is 17-5  against the money line in home games after a 3 game span with an OBP of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

Reds are 7-20 in their last 27 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Reds are 6-20 in their last 26 games as a road underdog.Reds are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.

MLB team (CLEVELAND) - after having lost 4 of their last 5 games, a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a losing team are 87-43 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate.

Play on Cleveland 

Jordan Hicks (1-3, 4.15 ERA) is slated to start for the Cardinals against Max Scherzer (4-1, 2.66) in a battle of right-handers. When looking at the pitching matchup the Mets might seem to have an edge, but according to my power rankings the Cards batting order matches up well vs Scherzer and when I compare value on the moneyline its obvious that the Cards are the play here. Note: Scherzer is 4-6 with a 2.55 ERA in 14 starts versus the Cardinals.

Cardinals are 13-6 in their last 19 games as a road underdog.

Cardinals are 19-9 in their last 28 games as an underdog.

Cardinals are 35-17 in their last 52 road games.

MLB  underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (ST LOUIS) - team with a poor SLG (.400 or less ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or less ) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.70 to 5.20 on the season (NL) are 27-11 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate. 

MLB team (NY METS) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.20 to 5.20)-NL, after 5 straight games where they had less than 10 hits are 16-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Cardinals to win 

Mariners starter Gonzales (1-4, 3.38 ERA) will face right-hander Kevin Gausman (3-2, 2.40), who is out to give the Blue Jays their first series sweep of the season and Im betting they get it in a conclusive victory. Toronto took the first two games of this series 6-2 and 3-0 and a rinse and repeat scenario is no on board. 

Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (TORONTO) - after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less are 47-4 L/5 seasons with a average rpg diff clicking in at +2.7 which qualifies on the runline . 

The Diamondbacks will trott out right-hander Zach Davies (2-1, 3.57 ERA) to the mound Wednesday. He is 4-3 with a 2.43 ERA over 10 lifetime starts against the Dodgers.The Dodgers will respond with right-hander Walker Buehler (4-1, 2.81 ERA), who has dominated Arizona with a 5-0 record a 1.96 ERA in 12 lifetime starts. Considering bullpen availability and this pitching matchup a projected 7 makes this a under wager. 

BUEHLER is 10-1 UNDER  in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins in his career. (Team's Record)

 Under is 9-4-1 in Diamondbacks last 14 vs. National League West.

MLB Road teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (ARIZONA) - after a game where they committed 3 or more errors, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.000 or less over his last 3 starts are 57-19 L/25 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Play UNDER 

After yesterdays win over Colorado SF has now won 7 straight meetings  at Coors Field vs the Rockies. Rinse and repeat situation on board as I will be Giants starter COBB who is 2-0 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.167. Note: Kuhl will make his fifth career start against the Giants and the second in less than a week. He took his first loss in San Francisco's 7-1 win on Wednesday. He is 0-1 with a 4.91 ERA in his four career starts against the Giants. 

SAN FRANCISCO is 45-14  against the money line vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. SAN FRANCISCO is 26-7 against the money line as a road favorite of -125 or more over the last 2 seasons.

MLB team (SAN FRANCISCO) - after a win by 2 runs or less against opponent after scoring and allowing 6 runs or more 2 straight games are 43-15 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate.

MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (SAN FRANCISCO) - after a win by 2 runs or less against opponent after scoring and allowing 6 runs or more 2 straight games are 30-5 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate.

Play on Giants to win 

 Cleveland already has retained the Ohio Cup this season. The Guardians won both games at Cincinnati in April, and the Ohio Cup does not change hands in the event of a tie in the season series. Cincinnati has not won the Ohio Cup since 2014. Im betting on another Cleveland win as they pad their lead in this series. 

CINCINNATI is 3-18 against the money line in road games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better over the last 2 seasons. Reds are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague games. BELL is 1-11  against the money line after a game with a combined score of 4 runs or less 2 straight games as the manager of CINCINNATI.

Reds are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter like Plesac . 

Reds are 6-20 in their last 26 games as a road underdog.

PLESAC is 13-5  against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

MLB Road teams (CINCINNATI) - NL team with a terrible SLG (.390 or less ) against a good AL starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 to 1.350), with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games are 4-28 L/25 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Cleveland to win 

The Cards are off a big output win vs the SF giants last night and now Im betting on a bit of letdown in this spot  after arriving late into NY on Sunday night. . Mets are 14-2 in their last 16 games following a loss.

Mets are 9-2 in their last 11 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like the Cards Mikalos. 

MLB Road teams (ST LOUIS) - after a game where they had at least 10 more hits than their opponent against opponent after 4 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base are 11-33 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on NY Mets to win 

These teams both took part in high scoring affairs last time out. The Mariners beat the Mets 8-7 while the Card s pounded the Giants 15-6. Now today Im betting both teams in a letdown situation which will result in a lower scoring affair. 

Mets starter WILLIAMS is 9-1 UNDER   with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7 runs per scored! WILLIAMS is 13-2 UNDER  at home with a money line of -100 to -150 in his career . (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.9 rpg scored.

Right-hander Miles Mikolas (3-1, 1.49 ERA) will start for the Cardinals.

NY METS are 22-9 UNDER  vs. an NL starting pitcher like Mikalos whose ERA is 3.20 or better over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.6 rpg. MIKOLAS is 1-0 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 1.20 and a WHIP of 0.733.

ST LOUIS is 8-0 UNDER  in road games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season with a combined average of 4.8 rpg scored. ST LOUIS is 11-1 UNDER after a game with a combined score of 17 runs or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 6 rpg scored. 

MLB Road teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (ST LOUIS) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.050 or better on the season-NL, excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less  errors/game on the season are 37-11 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. 

Los Angeles starter right-hander Tony Gonsolin (3-0, 1.33),has limited the opposition to a .168 batting average through his first six starts covering 27 innings and gives the an edge to the Dodgers on the runline. I know the DBacks have played well ,but they now go against a Dodgers side that will want to keep momentum going after a win vs the Phillies on Sunday. If this game is close, in the later innings and even if the Dbacks have a improbable lead  it must be noted that DBacks closer, Mark Melancon has an 8.49 ERA with five losses.

ARIZONA is 2-27 against the money line in road games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better over the last 2 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at -3.6. 

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (LA DODGERS) - very good offensive team (5.0 or more  runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or less) (NL), with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL) are 31-2 L/25 seasons for a 94% conversion rate with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.7 which qualifies on the ATS line. 

Play on LA Dodgers to win -1.5 

The Giants enter this game having allowed 15 runs last night in a loss to the Cards and  will look to redeem themselves with a better pitching and defensive effort tonight in Coors Field. Meanwhile, the Rockies have allowed 26 runs in a 3 game set this past weekend vs KC, and in a recent 3 game set vs the Giants allowed 8,9,7 runs respectively and are viable candidates to allow 7  runs or more here according to my projections based on the pitching matchups .

Giants are 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Colorado. Giants are 6-0 in their last 6 road games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.

Giants starter WOOD is 18-4   against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

SAN FRANCISCO is 19-5  against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.SAN FRANCISCO is 32-12   against the money line after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.

Rockies are 0-4 in their last 4 games as an underdog.

Rockies are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.

Play on SF Giants to win 

Freddy Peralta (2-1, 4.40 ERA) is Milwaukee's expected starter on Monday. The righty is in top form entering this game as is evident by  having allowed just five earned runs in his last 21 2/3 innings, good for an ERA of 2.08. He gives the Brewers the edge according to my projections.

Brewers are 12-2 in their last 14 home games vs. a right-handed starter like the Braves expected starter Anderson.

.Brewers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.Brewers are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series.

ATLANTA is 4-9 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse this season

MILWAUKEE is 40-18  ) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.

MLB  teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ATLANTA) - good power team - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game on the season, after 2 straight games where they committed 2 or more errors are 8-35 L/26 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for. bettors.

MLB Road teams (ATLANTA) - with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start, after 2 straight games where their bullpen blew a save are 86-153 L/26 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors, 

Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win 

The Astros had an 11-game win streak snapped Saturday in Washington, but they bounced back for an 8-0 Sunday win as Justin Verlander threw five shutout innings and now Im betting they continue that momentum into this meeting at Fenway Park vs the Bosox.  Note: Astros starter Jake Odorizzi (3-2, 3.38 ERA)  is currently in top form and on a dominant run  . The right hander has won his last three starts, allowing just one run on six combined hits over 17 2/3 innings while recording a minuscule 0.51 ERA. .Advantage Houston. 

Astros are 22-7 in their last 29 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Red Sox are 0-5 in their last 5 games as a favorite.Red Sox are 0-5 in their last 5 home games.

CORA is 10-21   against the money line in home games vs. AL teams allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season in all games he has managed in his career.

MLB team (HOUSTON) - with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 3 or less batters per start, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 15 games are 36-15 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Astros are 9-4 in the last 13 meetings.

Play Houston to win