Saturday, Philadelphia right-hander Aaron Nola (7-6, 4.37 ERA) is slated to start opposite Pittsburgh right-hander JT Brubaker (4-10, 4.67).

Phillies starter NOLA is 19-7 OVER  after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

SHELTON is 11-2 OVER  in home games when playing on Saturday as the manager of PITTSBURGH.

The Phillies are 9-0 OVER L/9  on the road after their starter pitched less than 3 innings.Over is 10-1 in Phillies last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Over is 7-1 in Phillies last 8 vs. National League Central.Over is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games as a road favorite.Over is 9-2 in Phillies last 11 road games.

Over is 7-1 in Pirates last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 4-1-1 in Pirates last 6 games a home underdog.

Play OVER 

 Mariners starter ANDERSON is 8-0 OVER  on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) ANDERSON is 20-7 OVER in road games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record) Seattle starter HEARN is 0-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 109.09 and a WHIP of 21.212.

SEATTLE is 15-5 OVER in road games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 2 seasons.

MLB teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (TEXAS) - terrible offensive team (3.6 or less runs/game) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70)-AL, after a loss by 4 runs or more are 30-6 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate.

Play on the OVER 

Greinke (10-3, 3.48 ERA) has dominated the Giants over the years, as is evident by a  14-3 record with a 2.18 ERA over 21 starts. He has never lost at Oracle Park in San Francisco, going 6-0 with a 1.19 ERA in eight starts and Im betting on more top tier pitching action today as Im betting he greatly limits the Giants offence here today. GREINKE is 8-0 UNDER in road games with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL) in his career. (Team's Record)

Meanwhile, the Giants counter with left-hander Alex Wood (9-3, 3.65), who has gone 4-0 with a 3.86 ERA in his last eight starts.Like Greinke, he has been brilliant vs the the Astros  allowing just one run and eight hits in 14 career innings over three games, including two starts. He's gone 1-1 with a 0.64 ERA in those games. Im betting on a pitching duel in this spot play. 

MLB  - Any team (SAN FRANCISCO/HOUSTON) - in an inter-league game, in July games are 284-190 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

Greinke (10-3, 3.48 ERA) has dominated the Giants over the years, running up a 14-3 record with a 2.18 ERA over 21 starts. He has never lost at Oracle Park in San Francisco, going 6-0 with a 1.19 ERA in eight starts and Im betting he gets continues those previous efforts and finds a way to take down the Giants at home today. Astros are 8-1 in the last 9 meetings.

Astros are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in San Francisco. 

Giants are 4-15 in their last 19 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.Giants are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (HOUSTON) - with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (AL), hot hitting team - batting .325 or better over their last 3 games are 28-8 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the AStros to win 

The Rockies are 0-8 L/8 when right hander Jon Gray starts on the road after they won in his last start against the current opponent.COLORADO is 10-37  against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season.Padres are 9-3 in their last 12 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Padres are 27-10 in their last 37 home games.

Play on the Padres to win 

The dodgers do their best work against sub par sides, like Arizona as is evident by a  42-11 mark in their last 53 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Dodgers are 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Arizona and get the nod here laying a little bit of extra lumber.

The Dodgers are 17-0 L/17 as a road favorite of at least -125 after they were shutout last game.

The Diamondbacks are 0-10 L/10 as a dog after they hit multiple home runs last game.

ARIZONA is 2-16 against the money line as a home underdog of +125 or more this season.

Play on the LAS Dodgers to win 

 Arizona righty starter GALLEN is 12-0 UNDER vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) GALLEN is 0-1 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 2.31 and a WHIP of 0.943 and has seen his last three starts vs the Dodgers remain on the low side of the total. In a September start last year at Dodger Stadium, he held the eventual champs scoreless over seven innings on one hit.  Under is 14-6-3 in Dodgers last 23 games vs. a right-handed starter. Meanwhile, Los Angeles will start Tony Gonsolin (2-1, 2.38 ERA) in the series opener at Arizona and he is more than capable of keeping this inconsistent Arizona offence at bay and helping this combined score to stay on the low side of the. number.  

MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (ARIZONA) - with a cold starting pitcher- ERA  7.00 or less over his last 3 starts, after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs are 62-30 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

Bassitt (10-3, 3.46 ERA) will be making his second try at setting a career-high win total for a season. He won 10 consecutive decisions after starting 0-2 this year, but he has struggled in three of his four starts in July and in his current form very susceptible to being lit up by a Twins offense that can show alot of explosiveness. 

LA ANGELS are 23-10 OVER  after a 3 game span where the bullpen threw 13 total innings or more this season. MADDON is 23-7 OVER  in home games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games as the manager of LA ANGELS.

The Angels are 14-0-2 OVER L/16  at home off a game as a dog in which they had more strikeouts than hits.LA ANGELS are 11-2 OVER  in home games after scoring 2 runs or less over the last 2 seasons.LA ANGELS are 23-10 OVER  after a 3 game span where the bullpen threw 13 total innings or more this season.

Over is 57-25-3 in Angels last 85 home games.

Over is 9-4 in Angels last 13 vs. American League West. 

Over is 20-7-1 in Angels last 28 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

Play OVER 

 The Cardinals will start Wade LeBlanc (0-2, 4.58 ERA) in the series opener. LeBlanc, who pitched for the Baltimore Orioles earlier this season, is 0-1 with a 4.86 ERA in six career appearances against the Twins, including three starts. Meanwhile, Berrios (7-5, 3.48 ERA) is in line to counter LeBlanc if he isn't traded. Both hurlers and bullpens are  according to my power rankings middle of the pack and could easily get slapped around a little bit today, which will see this combined score eclipsed. 

ST LOUIS is 10-0 OVER  in home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse over the last 2 seasons. ST LOUIS is 10-1 OVER  in home games against AL Central opponents over the last 2 seasons. Over is 5-0-1 in Cardinals last 6 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 10-1-1 in Cardinals last 12 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.

MINNESOTA is 21-5 OVER  vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start this season.

Over is 6-0 in Twins last 6 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter.

MLB Road teams (MINNESOTA) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less ) against an average NL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP of 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 30-7 OVER L/24 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

Dodgers starter Price has never beaten the Giants in his career, going 0-2 with a 2.45 ERA in five meetings, four of which have been starts and Im betting nothing changes tonight. 

The Giants are 13-0 L/13 after they did not score after the third inning last game.

SAN FRANCISCO is 23-6 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season.

Giants are 10-2 in their last 12 during game 3 of a series.Giants are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.Giants are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Dodgers are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings.

Play on the SF giants to win 

Reds starting Right-hander Tyler Mahle (7-3, 3.92 ERA) is scheduled to start Wednesday for the Reds.  Mahle,  this season   has set a career high with 131 strikeouts in 105 2/3 innings.  In 11 career starts against the Cubs, Mahle is 4-2 with a 3.47 ERA. He has 18 walks and 70 strikeouts in 62 1/3 innings and gets my support here vs a side my projections estimate is a good matchup for him. 

The Cubs are 0-9 L/9 as a dog after they had more strikeouts than hits last game.

Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.Reds are 10-4 in their last 14 during game 3 of a series.Reds are 5-2 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter like Davies. Reds are 18-8 in their last 26 vs. National League Central.

Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win 

NYY starter Nestor Cortes (0-0, 1.95 ERA), who is in the middle of a top tier  2021 campaign gets my support here as an underdog.n 10 games -- two of them starts -- totaling 27 2/3 innings, the Cuban pitcher has allowed just 18 hits and one homer, while striking out  34 while posting a rock solid WHIP of 1.012. Opposition hitters are batting only .182 against the southpaw. Advantage NYY. 

The Yankees are 12-0 on the ML in the second game of a series after they won and never trailed the opening game.

Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 games on astroturf.Yankees are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Tampa Bay.

NY Yankees to win 

My projections suggest a combined score of 8 or less making this a viable under wagering opportunity. 

The Yankees are 0-11 UNDER as a road dog after their bullpen allowed multiple runs last game. Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 overall.Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 games as an underdog.Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 games as a road underdog.Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 6-0 in Yankees last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 road games.Under is 9-1-1 in Yankees last 11 vs. American League East.

Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 7-2 in Rays last 9 vs. American League East.Under is 6-2 in Rays last 8 on astroturf.

Play UNDER

St. Louis left-hander Kwang Hyun Kim (6-5, 2.88 ERA) owns  a five-start winning streak entering Wednesday's action.Hyun Kim has allowed just three runs on 16 hits in 30 innings during that stretch.

Cardinals are 8-1 in their last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Indians starter Plesac qualifies. 

Indians are 2-8 in their last 10 during game 2 of a series.Indians are 4-14 in their last 18 vs. a team with a winning record.

Play on the Cardinals to win 

Oakland starter Kaprielian, a first-round pick of the Yankees (16th overall) in the 2015 draft, blanked the Angels on five hits and two walks with seven strikeouts over six innings on July 20. He has a 1.118 WHIP and a .202 opponents' batting average in 12 starts this season. He has a 1.50 ERA in three July starts,. "Kaprielian has been fantastic," A's manager Bob Melvin said after the 6-0 win over the Angels. "He's topped our expectations." He gets my support here on a value line. 

Athletics are 11-2 in their last 13 games following an off day.Athletics are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in San Diego.

Play on the Oakland As to win 

 In nine relief appearances, Angles starter Suarez was 3-1 with a 1.98 ERA and 26 strikeouts in 27 1/3 innings and looks like a viable hurler here in this spot play. 

Angels are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.Angels are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Angels are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games as a favorite.Angels are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a left-handed starter.

Rockies are 1-5 in their last 6 interleague road games.mRockies are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague games as an underdog. Rockies are 17-53 in their last 70 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Rockies are 11-40 in their last 51 road games.Rockies are 11-41 in their last 52 games as a road underdog.

Rockies are 1-6 in the last 7 meetings in Los Angeles.Rockies are 7-20 in the last 27 meetings.

MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (LA ANGELS) - with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 10 games, well rested bullpen - threw 2 or less innings in each of the last 3 games are 39-6 L/5 seasons for a 86% go against conversion rate. 

Play on the Angels to win 

Twins do not deserve to be this big a favorite here vs the Tigers today  according to my projections and are just  are 2-7 in their last 9 games as a favorite. This bet Im making is based on value . 

Twins are 2-7 in their last 9 home games vs. a left-handed starter like Alexander . Twins are also  1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 ( Alexander qualifies). 

Play on the Detroit Tigers to win 

The Twins are 0-8L/8 when Kenta Maeda starts after a quality start in his last outing which is the case. 

Under is 5-2-1 in Tigers last 8 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-2 in Tigers last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 4-0-1 in Twins last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 5-1 in Twins last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.

Play on the UNDER 

National League Central-leading Milwaukee has won seven of the 10 meetings against the Pirates, who reside in the Central cellar. For his career, Brett Anderson the Brewers starter is 4-1 with a 2.82 ERA in seven starts against Pittsburgh and once again has the edge needed for a Milwaukee victory. 

Brewers are 10-4 in their last 14 vs. National League Central.Brewers are 9-4 in their last 13 games vs. a left-handed starter.Brewers are 41-20 in their last 61 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.Brewers are 5-2 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.Brewers are 10-4 in their last 14 vs. National League Central.

The Pirates are 0-12 L/12 on the ML off a game as a dog in which they did not score after the third inning.Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Pirates are 1-8 in their last 9 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.

Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win 

Royals starter minor MINOR is 0-6   against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season. (Team's Record) MINOR is 1-7  against the money line after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing over the last 2 seasons. KEUCHEL is 7-1 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 2.49 and a WHIP of 1.197.

White Sox starter KEUCHEL is 10-1 against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)

The White Sox are 9-0 L/9 as a road favorite off a win as a dog.White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.White Sox are 10-1 in the last 11 meetings in Kansas City.

Play on the White Sox to win 

The Cubs are 10-0 L/10 when Kyle Hendricks starts as a home favorite after he gave up no walks in his last start. CHICAGO CUBS are 13-3  against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

MLB Road teams (CINCINNATI) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 28-68 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. 

Play on the Cubs to win 

Nats starter Joe Ross goes  on Monday. The Under is 12-3 in his 15 starts this year and Im betting on more of the same action here today. The Nationals are 0-11 UNDER L/11 when Joe Ross starts as a dog after they scored less than 3 runs in his last start.  ROSS is 8-0 UNDER as a road underdog of +100 or higher over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, the Phillies starter  Spencer Howard,  owns a  1.072 WHIP in his last three starts, and is in viable form. Today along with his bullpen against a Nats team that is suddenly struggling to score another lower scoring output should be expected. Under is 23-9-2 in Nationals last 34 vs. National League East.
MLB Home teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (PHILADELPHIA) - cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 5 games against opponent starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are 63-34 UNDER  L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate. 

Play on the UNDER 

White Sox are 0-16 SU since Sep 20, 2020 as a dog when their opponents starter has an ERA of less than 3.20 on the season.

Boston Red Sox to win on moneyline 

Gibson was 6-0 with a 1.51 ERA over 15 starts dating to April 7, allowing three runs or less in each appearance before two bad recent performances vs the Tigers. However, he is 4-2 with a 2.41 ERA in 12 career starts against the Astros and has recorded a quality start in all three appearances against Houston this season garnering a stingy 1.89 ERA in 19 innings and today Im betting he helps his team end a 10 game losing streak on a value line. Astros are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

Play on the Texas Rangers to win 

Blue Jays top tier  southpaw hurler RYU is 41-15  against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse  in his career . RYU is 10-1 against the money line in road games in July games in his career. (Team's Record) The Mets have struggled against lefties this season averaging just 2.8 rpg via a ugly .218 BA. RYU is 5-1 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 1.53 and a WHIP of 0.954.

TORONTO is 7-0 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better this season like NYM starter Walker. WALKER is 0-3 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 3.96 and a WHIP of 1.320.

TORONTO is 13-2 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season.

Play on the Blue Jays to win 

Right-hander Vince Velasquez (3-4, 5.00 ERA) will start Saturday for the Phillies. For Velasquez's career against the Braves, he's 1-6 with a 4.57 ERA in 15 trips to the hill (13 starts) and is fade material here in this tilt vs the Braves.Velasquez has been inconsistent all season, and is backed by a  bullpen that owns an MLB-high 23 blown saves.

Braves starter SMYLY is 7-0  against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)SMYLY is 20-9 ( against the money line in road games against division opponents in his career. (Team's Record)

The Phillies won the opener of this series, but now Im expecting the Braves to bounce back here today.Phillies are 5-11 in their last 16 games following a win.

Phillies are 8-20 in their last 28 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Phillies are 1-4 in their last 5 games as a favorite.

Play on the Braves to win 

Mariners starter Kikuchi, didn't pitch in the All-Star Game because he wasn't feeling well after being placed on the coronavirus injured list, and  is coming off his worst start of the season. In a 9-4 loss to the Los Angeles Angels on Saturday, he allowed seven runs on nine hits in five innings. His current form makes him fade material vs a team that matches up well against him according to my projections. 

Athletics are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League West.

OAKLAND is 32-18  against the money line vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities this season.

The Mariners are 0-8 SL/8 on the ML when lefty Yusei Kikuchi starts as a dog after he averaged fewer than 3.5 pitches per batter in his last start.OAKLAND is 13-4   against the money line in road games against left-handed starters this season.

Athletics are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Seattle and have won 4 of L/5 meetings overall. 

Play on the Oakland As to win 

Detroit starter, Bubic is 0-0 with a 3.68 ERA vs Motown. He has given up just two runs in 10 innings vs. the Tigers this year and offers up enough pitching support for the Royals for them to be successful in this spot vs a streaking Tigers team. 

Tigers are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.

The Royals are 12-0 L/12 on the ML as a home favorite after they scored first before trailing and then coming back to win last game.

 Royals are 6-0 in their last 6 games following an off day.

MLB Home teams (KANSAS CITY) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less ) against a team with a below avg bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more ), starting a pitcher who was hit for 5+ runs in his last 2 outings are 31-10 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. 

Play on Kansas City to cover 

Freddy Peralta (7-3, 2.39) right-hander was named to his first All-Star team and has recorded a 1.91 ERA over his last 11 starts and gets my support in this spot. 

The White Sox are 0-11 L/11 as a dog after their opponent scored first last game. White Sox are 8-21 in their last 29 inter-league road games vs. a team with a winning record. CHI WHITE SOX are 15-27 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons. 

Brewers are 7-2 in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

MLB team (MILWAUKEE) - below average NL hitting team (AVG .255or less ) against a good AL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less), playing on Friday are 26-13 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate.

Play on Milwaukee to win 

NYY starter COLE is 29-13 OVER   vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game.  Over is 5-1-1 in Yankees last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter like BoSox starter Rodriguez. 

BOSTON is 27-14 OVER in home games vs. poor base-running teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 14-3 OVER  in home games after 6 consecutive games versus division rivals over the last 3 season.The Red Sox are 10-0 OVER L/10 in the second game of a series after they played extra inning in game one.

Over is 9-4-1 in Yankees last 14 games as a road underdog.NY YANKEES are 36-19 OVER   in road games after a 3 game span where the bullpen threw 13 total innings or more over the last 3 seasons.

Play OVER 

Cubs  Davies since May 1,  has made 15 starts and has garnered a 3.10 ERA. He has allowed two runs or less in 11 of his last 15 starts and against a inconsistent Arizona offence Im betting he holds the fort again. Meanwhile, the Cubs offence has really struggled for a while now, and here against the Diamondbacks   Zac Gallen (1-4, 3.86), Im betting will provide support . He   allowed a run, three hits and struck out seven with a walk over 5 2/3 innings against the Cubs on Saturday.Under is 6-0 in Diamondbacks last 6 during game 1 of a series.Under is 9-4 in Diamondbacks last 13 vs. National League Central. Under is 7-1-1 in Cubs last 9 vs. National League West.

Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Chicago.

Play UNDER 

Giants starter DESCLAFANI is 1-7 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 6.32 and a WHIP of 1.574.  Dodgers starter BUEHLER is 6-0 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 2.08 and a WHIP of 1.070.

Im betting on the Dodgers to salvage a game from this series.  Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 4 of a series.

The Dodgers are 15-0 L/15 on the ML in the last game of a series at home after they left fewer than 10 men on base individually.

Play on the Dodgers to win 

SEATTLE is 16-6 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better this season like the As Manaea. Seattle starter FLEXEN is 9-1  against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season. (Team's Record) FLEXEN is 8-2 (  against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season. (Team's Record)

Mariners are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.

Mariners are 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a left-handed starter.

SERVAIS is 35-19  against the money line in home games after 2 or more consecutive road games as the manager of SEATTLE.

MLB Road teams (OAKLAND) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a very good starter (ERA 3.50 or less ) (AL), cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 10 games are 16-50 L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Mariners to win 

Halos  lefty starter HEANEY is 11-1 OVER vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse this season. (Team's Record) Over is 7-2-1 in Twins last 10 home games vs. a left-handed starter.

The Angels are 10-0 OVER L/10 when Andrew Heaney starts as a road dog of less than +200.

LA ANGELS are 24-8 OVER when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

HEANEY is 7-0 OVER  as a road underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Over is 7-2 in Angels last 9 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.

Over is 22-3-1 in Twins last 26 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game which was the case in a 7-2 win vs the White sox yesterday. Over is 21-9-1 in Twins last 31 during game 1 of a series. 

Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.

Play OVER 

Cleveland right-hander Cal Quantrill (2-2, 4.05) will make his 28th appearance -- and 10th start -- on Thursday. Quantrill is currently in to form after, winning his second straight start on Saturday after permitting one run on four hits in five innings against the Oakland Athletics. Hes finally getting acclimated to being a starter and its showing as his confidence and work continue to uptrend. Meanwhile, right-hander Luis Patino (1-2, 4.87 ERA) despite of some less than stellar starts, is a capable hurler that the Rays have big plans for. Both sides have quality bullpens who Im betting will help keep this combined score on the low side of the total.

CASH is 104-67 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5 as the manager of TAMPA BAY.

CLEVELAND is 16-5 UNDER vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better over the last 3 seasons. CLEVELAND is 55-36 UNDER at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 3 seasons.

MLB Road teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (TAMPA BAY) - with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season, starting a pitcher who was hit for 5+ runs in his last 2 outings are 29-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for. a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER

BOSTON is 9-1 against the money line in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better this season like NYY starter Montgomery. Red Sox are 9-2 in their last 11 home games. Montgomery took the lone loss in the series against the Red Sox last week, allowing three runs on three hits over six innings in a 4-0 defeat. The southpaw is 0-4 in seven starts since June 2.

Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.

BOSTON is 17-2 (against the money line after 3 consecutive game versus a division rival this season. Red Sox are 24-9 in their last 33 vs. American League East.

Yankees are 5-11 in their last 16 during game 1 of a series.Yankees are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in Boston.Yankees are 2-8 in the last 10 meetings.

Play on the Red Sox to win 

Dodgers starter  Urias is just 1-3 with a 2.97 ERA in 17 career appearances (11 starts) vs. San Francisco and is vulnerable in this spot vs a batting order that my own projections suggest he does not matchup well against. I know the Dodgers are desperate after losing the first two games of this series, but teams do not always get what they want.Dodgers are 0-4 in their last 4 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.

Giants are 8-2 in their last 10 during game 3 of a series.Giants are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League West.

LA DODGERS are 6-12 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start this season.

SAN FRANCISCO is 20-5  against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season.SAN FRANCISCO is 11-5  against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 this season.

Play on the SF Giants to win 

The Cubs had lost 21 of their previous 29 games before their comeback win yesterday. But its obvious this team is not acting cohesively and fade material until further notice. The Cubs are 0-12 L/12  as a road dog after they scored first before trailing and coming back to win last game.

St.Louis starter WAINWRIGHT is 47-19  against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)

Play on the St.Louis Cards to win 

TEXAS is 0-10 against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.

DETROIT is 7-0  against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TEXAS) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), after scoring 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 69-21 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TEXAS) - with a team on base percentage .310 or worse on the season (AL), after scoring 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 54-14 L/5 years for a 79% conversion rate. 

Play on the Detroit Tigers 

The Detroit Tigers have come out of the All-Star break playing at a high level. In stark contrast, the Texas Rangers who cannot even score a run.

Dunning has pitched well of late for Texas but the   Rangers are just 0-14 L/14 on the road when they won in each of their starter's last two outings.

The tigers  pitching staff posted its third shutout in four games while improving to 4-0 since the break and get my support here again.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TEXAS) - with a team on base percentage .310 or worse on the season (AL), after scoring 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 14-50 L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Tigers to win 

Dunning's road ERA is 6.55, compared to 2.54 at home so Im not fooled by his recent quality performances, and Im expecting the hot hitting Tigers light him up and easily help this combined score go over the set total. 

The Rangers are 8-0 OVER as a favorite after they were shutout last game with the average combined score of those tilts coming in at 14.5 rpg. 

DETROIT is 15-3 OVER  vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game this season with a combined average of 12.3 rpg scored. 

MLB Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (TEXAS) - after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 10 runs or more are 40-15 OVER l/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. 

Play OVER 

The Rockies are 15-0 L/15  when German Marquez starts as a home favorite of at least -130 when they won in his last start.MARQUEZ is 9-1   against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) MARQUEZ is 8-1  against the money line when the total is 10 or higher this season. (Team's Record)  MARQUEZ is 2-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 1.71 and a WHIP of 0.667.

Seattle will send Marco Gonzales (1-5, 5.88 ERA) to the mound at Coors Field. Gonzales is 1-0 with a 5.06 ERA in two career starts against Colorado, including one start at Coors Field as a rookie in 2014 when he allowed five runs on seven hits in five innings and is fade material here in the launching pad know as Coors Field. Rockies are 10-3 in their last 13 home games vs. a left-handed starter.

Mariners are 0-7 in their last 7 interleague games as an underdog.Rockies are 13-3 in their last 16 games as a favorite.

Play on the Rockies to win 

Minnesota rookie right-hander Bailey Ober (1-1, 5.45 ERA) is set to oppose White Sox lefty Dallas Keuchel (7-3, 4.25 ERA) on Tuesday. Ober already has started against the White Sox three times in his career, going 1-1 with a 6.57 ERA in 12 1/3 innings. Keuchel is 6-3 with a 3.91 ERA in 10 career appearances against the Twins, including nine starts and has the edge needed on the hill for the Pale Hose in this spot. 

The White Sox are 13-0 L/13 on the ML as a home favorite after they left fewer than 10 men on base individually last game.

 CHI WHITE SOX are 32-9  against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.9 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons

MLB Road teams (MINNESOTA) - with a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start, with a rested bullpen that pitched one inning or less last game are 38-75 L/5 seasons for a 66% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the White Sox to win

Angels starter Ohtani has pitched four times against Oakland in his career, going 2-2 with a 5.21 ERA and despite of having a decent  season, is vulnerable vs this Oakland batting order according to my projections. 

OAKLAND is 19-6   against the money line vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse this season.

 LA ANGELS are 29-70  against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better over the last 3 seasons.

MLB Home teams (OAKLAND) - ice cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 10 games, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 92-55 L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the As to win 

Rays / Orioles have met six times  this season with three contests at each venue. The Rays have taken all six meetings, outscoring the Os by a 48-21 count while holding the Orioles to two runs or fewer three times and Im betting on a decisive rinse and repeat situation here today. Note: TAMPA BAY is 21-3   against the money line in home games vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with the average margin rpg diff clicking in 2.6 rpg. 

MLB underdogs with a money line of +200 or more (BALTIMORE) - poor offensive team - scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 1 run or less are 1-37 L/5 seasons for a 98% conversion rate with the average rpg diff clicking in at -3.63 rpg. 

Play on the Rays to win -1.5 

The White Sox and Twins already have met 12 times this season, with the  Pale Hose owning a  10-2 record against the Twins with a 91-47 run diff . More of the same action Im betting is on board here again today, behind White Sox consistent offence and strong pitching that will see,  right-hander Lance Lynn (9-3, 1.99 ERA) who is coming off his second career All-Star selection  .  Lynn allowed opponents to  hit  just .189 against him with a .260 on-base percentage entering the break. Lynn in three outings this season vs Minnesota , 2-0 record with a 1.59 ERA (three earned runs in 17 innings) during that span.

White Sox starter  LYNN is 12-1  against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

The White Sox are 12-0 L/12 on the ML after a game as a home favorite in which they allowed 6 or fewer hits which was the case yesterday in a shutout win vs the Astros.

MLB Road teams (MINNESOTA) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a very good starter (ERA 3.50 or less ) (AL), cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 15 games are 22-61 L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the White Sox to win 

The Cubs struggled mightily before the all star break, but they have come back looking refreshed and have gotten back to .500 and are more than capable of up-trending here vs a Dbacks side that is extremely inconsistent. ARIZONA is 9-42  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season

The Diamondbacks are 0-17 on the ML this season as a dog after they held a multiple-run lead.

Cubs are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a road favorite.

Play on the Cubs to win

As starter BASSITT is 18-3 against the money line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)  ) BASSITT is 11-0 against the money line against AL Central opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

The Athletics are 16-0 L/16 on the ML when Chris Bassitt starts as a favorite of at least -140 when they won in his last start.

The As lost yesterday 3-2, but have proven resilient in bounce back situations.OAKLAND is 13-2 against the money line revenging a one run loss to opponent this season.

Play on Oakland to win 

For the White Sox, Carlos Rodon (7-3, 2.31 ERA) will make his 16th start of the season. He is coming off his first selection to the All-Star Game after a stellar first half that included a no-hitter.In 89 2/3 innings this season, Rodon has issued 26 walks to go along with 130 strikeouts and deserves respect on a short line at home. 

The White Sox are 11-0 on the ML after a game as a home favorite in which they allowed 6 or fewer hits.

CHI WHITE SOX are 17-3 against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season.

MLB Road teams (HOUSTON) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better on the season-AL are 152-278 L/24 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate.

Play on White Sox to win 

The Orioles will send Matt Harvey (3-10, 7.70 ERA) to the mound, while fellow right-hander Carlos Hernandez (1-0, 4.98) will start for the Royals and my projections based on the starters and substandard bullpens has me projecting a higher scoring affair that eclipses this total.KANSAS CITY is 11-2 OVER  in home games when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 38% or less ) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 11.5 rpg scored.BALTIMORE is 9-1 OVER  in the second half of the season this season with an average of 11.4 rpg scored. Over is 26-7 in Orioles last 33 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.

Play OVER 

Rays lefty starter HILL is 31-10  against the money line in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in his career. (Team's Record) Hill owns a 5-0 record with a 1.74 ERA in nine career appearances (seven starts) vs. Atlanta.

 Braves are 1-8 in their last 9 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.

Braves are 1-8 in their last 9 interleague home games.

ATLANTA is 3-11 against the money line against AL East opponents this season. 

Play on Tampa Bay to win 

The explosive Blue Jays lineup led by MVP candidate Guerrero  matches up very well vs Ranger starter Allard . Note: Allard, is 1-6 with a 3.95 ERA in eight starts since he was inserted into the rotation. Meanwhile, the Jays top hurler Ryu  offers up stability for the Jays ability to slow down the Ranger offence. RYU is 53-17  against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in his career . (Team's Record)TEXAS is 1-16   against the money line in road games after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs over the last 3 seasons which was the case last time out. ( Jays beat Texas 10-2 on Friday).  TEXAS is 1-14   against the money line in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season.

Play on the Blue Jays to win

Seattles  southpaw starter  KIKUCHI is 1-3 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 10.22 and a WHIP of 2.311 and has lost his L/3 trips to the hill vs the Halos. 

Angels are 8-2 in their last 10 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Angels are 9-3 in their last 12 games as a home favorite.

Mariners are 18-39 in their last 57 road games vs. a team with a winning record.  Mariners are 5-11 in their last 16 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (SEATTLE) - below average hitting team (AVG .265 or less ) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70) -AL, starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are 9-48 L/5 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Angles to win 

HOUSTON is 3-9   against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start this season like Giolito. 

 Astros stater ODORIZZI is 1-7  against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) LARUSSA is 20-2 against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) as the manager of CHI WHITE SOX like Odorizzi. White Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter

The White Sox are 14-0 L/14 on the ML as a home favorite after they scored in fewer innings than their opponent last game.

CHI WHITE SOX are 14-3  against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 this season.

Play on the White Sox to win 

Jose Urena (2-8, 6.43 ERA) is scheduled to start the opener for Detroit. Urena has been in a huge funk  where he has  allowed 30 earned runs in 22 2/3 innings in his last six trips to the hill. He hasn't pitched since July 6, when he gave up five runs in 4 2/3 innings at Texas.In two starts against Minnesota this season, he's 0-1 with an 8.59 ERA and is fade material here in this spot. 

Twins are 7-0 in their last 7 games as a favorite.

Tigers are 16-44 in their last 60 opening games of a double-header. 

MLB Home teams (DETROIT) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a top level starting pitcher (ERA  3.60, WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30% are 4-30 L/5 seasons for a go against  for a 89% go against conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Road teams (MINNESOTA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30% are 30-5 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Twins are 15-7 in the last 22 meetings in Detroit.

Twins are 46-19 in the last 65 meetings.

Play on Minnesota Twins to win 

As starter BASSITT is 11-0 against the money line against AL Central opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)The Athletics are 16-0 L/16 on the ML when Chris Bassitt starts as a favorite of at least when they won in his last start. BASSITT is 18-2  against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)BASSITT is 18-3  against the money line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)BASSITT is 11-1  against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. (Team's Record)

Meanwhile, the flipside, the Indians starter right-hander Eli Morgan (1-3, 8.44 ERA) looks like he is cannon fodder for the As batting order.

Indians are 0-5 in their last 5 games as a road underdog.Indians are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. American League West.Indians are 0-8 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.

Indians are 1-7 in the last 8 meetings.

Play on the Oakland As to win 

Cubs right-hander Kyle Hendricks (11-4, 3.77 ERA) get the start in the opener of the three-game set vs Arizona. The 31-year-old Hendricks is 9-0 over his past 11 starts and gets my support here vs the Dbacks. 

The Diamondbacks are 0-16 L/16 on the ML as a dog after they held a multiple-run lead last game. Diamondbacks are 2-12 in their last 14 vs. National League Central. Diamondbacks are 6-48 in their last 54 games as an underdog.

Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Cubs are 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Arizona.

Play on the Cubs to win 

  CORA is 23-8   against the money line vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better as the manager of BOSTON (NYY starter  Montgomery fits these parameters) 

NY YANKEES are 4-12 against the money line vs. teams averaging 3.5 or more extra base hits per game over the last 2 seasons. NY YANKEES are 2-11 against the money line after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 5 or more earned runs over the last 2 seasons.Yankees are 4-10 in their last 14 during game 1 of a series.

BOSTON is 20-9 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this season.

Red Sox are 21-7 in their last 28 vs. American League East.  

 Boston is 6-0 vs the NYY this season. 

Play on the Red Sox to win 

TONY GONSOLIN the Dodgers starter owns a 1.38 ERA in his L/3 starts and gets my support in this spot. 

The Dodgers are 29-0 L/29 on the ML in the last game of a series as a home favorite of at least -200 after a win where they never trailed.

ARIZONA is 9-40  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season. 

MLB Home teams (LA DODGERS) - with a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 15 games are 57-23 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Dodgers to win 

WOODRUFF is 19-3 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

CASTILLO is 2-8  against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season. (Team's Record)

The Brewers are 12-0  L/12 ML when Brandon Woodruff starts as a favorite when they lost in his last start.

Play on Milwaukee Brewers to win 

Less than 24 hours removed from one of their worst losses of the season, the Boston Red Sox will primed to bounce back here before going into the all star game. With that said, Im supporting Righty Nick Pivetta (7-3, 4.09)  who will go for Boston against his former team.Red Sox are 7-0 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.( Nola is righty)

BOSTON is 11-3  against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season ( like Nola). 

Phillies are 17-36 in their last 53 games as a road underdog.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BOSTON) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less ) against an average NL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20), starting a pitcher who gave up no earned runs last outing are 27-7 L/24 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Boston Red Sox to win 

Padres starter Joe Musgrove has pitched his best ball at home this season as is evident by garnering a 2.89 ERA. MUSGROVE is 2-1 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 0.750 and gets my support here vs a poor traveling Rockies side.

The Rockies are 0-12 L/12  when German Marquez starts on the road after they won as an home favorite in his last start. COLORADO is 1-15 ( against the money line in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons.Rockies are 2-9 in their last 11 games as an underdog. COLORADO is 2-19   against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season. 

SAN DIEGO is 24-6  against the money line in home games after a 2 game span where the bullpen threw 9 total innings or more over the last 2 seasons.

MLB team (SAN DIEGO) - with an on base percentage of .350 or better over their last 20 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 72-41 L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on San Diego to win 

The Red Sox overpowered the Phillies 11-5 in the series opener Friday and my projections estimate another win here today.  Note:   Boston has won each of Perez's past four starts. Perez has pitched to a 1.86 ERA during that stretch, allowing just four earned runs over 19 1/3 innings an he gets my support in this spot play.

Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter.BOSTON is 11-2  against the money line in an inter-league game this season

Phillies are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague road games.

MLB  Home teams (BOSTON) - with a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 15 games are 57-22 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. 

Play on the Red Sox to win   .

James Kaprielian has been one of the better rookie pitchers in the majors this season for the Oakland Athletics and now in his third start against them Im expecting his best effort. I know the As have been in a funk, but today Im betting they get a win vs Texas starter Mike Foltynewicz (2-8, 5.17 ERA).

OAKLAND is 12-2  against the money line revenging a one run loss to opponent this season

Home teams (TEXAS) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less ) against a top level starting pitcher (ERA 3.60 or less, WHIP 1.300  or less ) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30% are 4-29 L/5 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate. 

Play on Oakland to win 

 Tampa Bay has not lost since getting beat by Toronto in Buffalo, last Saturday.   Im betting that run continues here, behind starting hurler Yarbrough, who struck out five Sunday, and is unbeaten in his past 11 appearances. During that run, Yarbrough is 4-0 with a 4.03 ERA and gets the nod here on a short moneyline offering.

 Yarbrough,  s 7-1 with a 2.38 ERA in 15 career appearances with seven starts against the Blue Jays.

The Rays are 15-0 L/15 on the ML in the second game of a series at home after they scored in at least four separate innings in game one. TAMPA BAY is 11-2   against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 this season.

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TAMPA BAY) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.000 or less over his last 5 starts are 41-15 L/24 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Tampa Bay to win 

Back in June the Rockies swept a 3 game series at home vs the Padres now in revenge mode Im betting the Padres to come out here and get some redemption.

The Rockies are 0-19 L/19 on the ML as a road dog of over +130 after they left 18+ men on base individually last game.

COLORADO is 0-13 against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +250 this season.

MLB team (SAN DIEGO) - revenging a 3 game sweep at the hands of their opponents, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 31-7 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. 

Play on the Padres to win 

The Yankees were shutout last night by the Mariners, but today Im betting the offense bounces back. The Yankees are 8-0 OVER L/8  after they were shutout averaging 9.25 rpg in those tilts with a combined average of 12.75 runs per game scored by both sides. 

Over is 8-2-1 in Yankees last 11 games as a road underdog.Over is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 vs. American League West.Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Over is 11-4 in Yankees last 15 games following a loss.Over is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 9-4 in Yankees last 13 road games.

Over is 6-2 in Astros last 8 vs. American League East.Over is 8-3 in Astros last 11 games as a home favorite.Over is 8-3 in Astros last 11 home games. Over is 21-8 in Astros last 29 during game 1 of a series

Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings.

Play OVER 

Pale Hose starter KEUCHEL is 4-2 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.23 and a WHIP of 1.245 and gets my support here on what projections estimate is a value moneyline proposition. 

The White Sox are 13-0 L/13 on the ML in the first game of a series with rest as a favorite after they allowed 6 or fewer hits last game.

CHI WHITE SOX are 31-8  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons.  CHI WHITE SOX are 27-8  against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season.

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BALTIMORE) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.500 to 1.600 on the season-AL, starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 14-35 L/5 seasons for a 72% go against conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the White Sox to win 

 Reds starter MAHLE is 7-0 against the money line against division opponents this season. (Team's Record) The Cincinnati righty has also been brilliant away from home posting a 1.84 road ERA and deserves respect here on this value line. 

Note: The Reds have won 5 straight at Milwaukee. Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.Reds are 6-1 in their last 7 overall.Reds are 6-1 in their last 7 games on grass. Reds are 12-2 in their last 14 vs. National League Central.

MLB Home teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (MILWAUKEE) - with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 10 games against opponent with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 3.00 the last 15 games are 35-82 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win 

Tigers starter Tarik Skubal  is 4-0 with a 3.40 ERA in his past seven starts for Detroit and deserves respct here on an underdog line. Minnesota has lost seven of its past nine games following a 6-1 setback to the first-place Chicago White Sox on Wednesday and are fade material in their current form even here at home.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (DETROIT) - with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.500 to 1.600 on the season-AL are 36-16 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. 

MLB team (MINNESOTA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.70 to 6.20 on the season (AL), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA  6.50 or worse over his last 10 starts are 15-41 L/5 seasons for a 71% go against conversion rate. 

Play on the Detroit Tigers to win 

 The Cleveland Indians, are in their longest losing streak under manager Terry Francona, ( 9 game losing streak) entering   Thursday when they open a four-game series against the visiting Kansas City Royals. Needless to say we are backing a desperate team, that will go against a Royals side that has struggled as well losing 12 of their L/15 overall. 

Royals are 7-24 in their last 31 road games.  royals are 0-5 L/5 meetings in this series. 

The Indians are 10-0 L/10 at home off a road game in which they had 6 or fewer hits. Indians are 40-18 in their last 58 games as a home favorite. 

MLB Home teams (CLEVELAND) - after 6 or more consecutive losses, in the second half of the season are 59-26 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. 

Play on the Indians to win 

The Oakland As have  12 losses over the past 17 games and an 0-5-1 record in the past six series and are at a disadvantage from a momentum standpoint. The second-place Athletics fell to 3-9 against the first-place Astros this year after yesterdays 4-3 loss, with Oakland 5 1/2 games out in the American League West. 

 Im betting on Astros McCullers who is 5-0 with a 2.38 ERA over his past nine starts to help the home team get another winner today.

OAKLAND is 5-17  against the money line in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better over the last 2 seasons.

HOUSTON is 31-13  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. HOUSTON is 63-17   against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (OAKLAND) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a very good starter (ERA 3.50 or less) (AL), cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 10 games are 6-41 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate. 

Play on Houston to win 

OAKLAND is 4-15 against the money line in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better over the last 2 seasons like Garcia. 

HOUSTON is 10-1  against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.40 or better this season like As starter Manaea. 

The Astros are 13-0 L/13  at home off a game as a favorite in which they held a multiple-run lead.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (OAKLAND) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a very good starter (ERA 3.50 or less) (AL), cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 10 games are 6-40 L/5 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Astros to win 

Blue Jays starter RYU is 52-17  against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record) RYU is 3-0 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.69 and a WHIP of 1.137.

TORONTO is 11-1  against the money line in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.90 or worse over the last 3 seasons like Orioles starter Harvey. 

MLB Home teams (BALTIMORE) - team with a poor SLG (.410 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or better ) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30% are 5-32 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate. 

Play on Toronto to win 

Red starter GRAY who owns a 2.84 ERA in his L/3 starts  is 13-1 against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

The Royals are 0-18L/18 on the ML past the first game of a series as a home dog after they had at least two multiple-run innings last game.

MLB Home teams (KANSAS CITY) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.70 to 5.20 on the season (AL), in July game are 15-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 715 conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Reds to win 

MINNESOTA is 14-2 OVER  vs. AL teams allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season this season.MINNESOTA is 16-4 OVER vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better this season.MINNESOTA is 25-8 OVER  as an underdog of +100 or higher this season.

White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.Over is 10-1-2 in White Sox last 13 games following a win.

Over is 8-1 in White Sox last 9 overall.

The Rays are 10-0 OVER L/10 off a game as a favorite in which they had at least 12 hits. Now with momentum behind them it will not matter who the Indians send to the hill, Im expecting the Rays to do some damage and help propel this total to be eclipsed. 

Play OVER

The Cardinals  Adam Wainwright (6-5, 3.49 ERA), has allowed just four runs over 21 innings in his last three starts and Im betting on that momentum to continue into this tilt vs the Giants. Meanwhile, the Giants counter with  Cueto i who owns a  3.92 ERA in 24 career starts against the Cardinals. Im betting the Giants righty will offer stability here in a game Im betting stays under the total. 

The Cardinals are 0-10 UNDER L/10 as a dog after a game that was tied at the end of at least six separate innings.Under is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 road games.Under is 3-0-1 in Cardinals last 4 during game 2 of a series. Under is 7-1-1 in Cardinals last 9 games following a win.ST LOUIS is 20-8 UNDER   after allowing 4 runs or less 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

Under is 4-1 in Giants last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

Play UNDER 

 Jon Gray has plenty of experience pitching at Chase Field in Phoenix and has looked in top form of late. In two starts since returning from the injured list with a right flexor strain, Gray has allowed just two runs over 11 innings with 15 strikeouts and offers value here as a starter vs a extremely inconsistent DBacks side. Note: This season Gray is 1-1 with a 3.86 ERA in three starts against them, which includes six innings of no-hit ball in his second start of the season. Meanwhile, Kelly Arizonas stater  is 1-3 with a 7.06 ERA in five career starts against Colorado.

ARIZONA is 3-30   against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season.

The Diamondbacks are 0-13 L/13 on the ML  after they allowed 6 or fewer hits last game.

Rockies are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. National League West. Rockies are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (ARIZONA) - team with a poor SLG (.400 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or less) -NL, with a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season are 10-26 L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Colorado Rockies to win 

Red sox starter EOVALDI is 13-3 OVER in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)LA ANGELS are 10-0 OVER  in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 14,2 rpg scored. 

Boston has been on fire offensively of late, and have averaged 6.1 rpg and Im betting on them lighting up whoever the  the Angels send to the hill. The Halos bats have also been ignited, and they have been winning, and it must be noted that they are 17-4 OVER   after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 3 seasons. Yes, I know the Angels have shortened bench, but they should do enough damage here to get us over the finish line and allow us to cash a over bet. 

Play on the OVER 

As stater Bassit is a top tier hurler, but against an explosive Astros lineup  lineup that is 31-18 vs right-handed starters Im betting he will be humbled. Also on the flipside, that Astros starter. Houston's Framber Valdez (5-1, 2.18 ERA) and deserves respect here at home. 

HOUSTON is 9-1  against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.40 or better this season. HOUSTON is 15-1   against the money line in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better over the last 3 seasons.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (OAKLAND) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a very good starter (ERA 3.50 or less) (AL), ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 10 games are 10-47 L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Houston Astros to win 

 The Pirates blasted the inconsistent Braves yesterday by a 11-1 count . Note: PITTSBURGH is 12-6  against the money line after a win by 6 runs or more over the last 3 seasons

The Pirates are 8-0 L/8 on the ML  when their starter  Chad Kuhl starts at home when they scored less than 3 runs in his last start.

 Braves are 1-7 in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

 MLB Home teams (PITTSBURGH) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.450 to 1.550 on the season-NL, after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs are 79-39 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Pirates to win 

Royals starter MINOR is 22-8  against the money line against NL Central opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)

Reds are 1-6 in their last 7 games as an underdog.Reds are 9-23 in their last 32 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.

KANSAS CITY is 11-3 against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse over the last 2 seasons. Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games.Royals are 7-0 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague home games.Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.Royals are 10-1 in their last 11 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.

MLB home teams (KANSAS CITY) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a team with a below avg bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more ), starting a pitcher who was hit for 5+ runs in his last 2 outings are 30-9 L/24 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Royals to win 

Braves have not been able to keep momentum going this season. ATLANTA is 0-10  against the money line after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this seasons. Braves are also just  1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

 MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (ATLANTA) - on a good fielding streak, 15 straight games with one or less errors against opponent after a game where they had 4 or less hits are 10-26 L/5 seasons for a 72% go against conversion rate. 

Play on the Pirates to win 

The Los Angeles Dodgers, the hottest team in the majors with nine straight wins, will visit the Miami Marlins on Monday night for the start of a four-game series. Lets ride their momentum here and bet on a 10th straight win.

The Marlins are 0-14 L/14 on the ML as a home dog of at least +140 off a game as a dog in which they scored 6+ runs. Marlins are 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.Marlins are 1-8 in their last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

 MIAMI is 11-29   against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season.   LA DODGERS are 28-8  against the money line after 2 or more consecutive wins this season.

MLB Home teams (MIAMI) - team with a poor OBP (.310 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP1.250 or less) -NL, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 32-11 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate.

Dodgers are 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.

Play on the Dodgers to win 

Dodgers top tier starter BUEHLER is 13-3 OVER  in road games after giving up no earned runs last outing since 1997. (Team's Record)The Dodgers are 10-0-2 OVER L/12 when Walker Buehler starts on the road when they won as an home favorite in his last start.

LA DODGERS are 10-1 OVER  in road games revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons with an average of 11.3 rpg scored. 

LA DODGERS are 21-7 OVER when the total is 7 or less over the last 3 seasons.LA DODGERS are 21-7 OVER when total is 6.5 or lower which coordinates with a total they may get lowered as game draws closer.

Over is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

These teams have gone over in 4 of L/5 meetings.

Play over 

 Rockies starter MARQUEZ is 9-2 against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record) 

The Rockies are 14-0 L/14 on the ML when German Marquez starts as a home favorite of at least -130 when they won in his last start.

Cardinals are 0-5 in their last 5 during game 4 of a series.

COLORADO is 21-8  against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse this season. COLORADO is 9-2  against the money line in home games vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game this season

COLORADO is 7-1 against the money line in home games after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games this season. Rockies are 12-2 in their last 14 games as a favorite. Rockies are 20-7 in their last 27 home games.

Play on Colorado to win 

Two underachieving Opening Day starters will take the mound for the finale, as Minnesota's Kenta Maeda (3-3, 5.56 ERA) squares off against Kansas City's Brad Keller (6-8, 6.67). But Im betting the difference maker will be the Twins offense. MAEDA is 1-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 1.200.

The Royals are 0-17L/17 on the ML past the first game of a series as a home dog after they had at least two multiple-run innings last game.KANSAS CITY is 6-13 against the money line in home games against division opponents this season.

wins are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.

Play on the Twins to win 

Miami rookie Zach Thompson (2-2, 1.50 ERA) will be opposed by Atlanta veteran Charlie Morton (7-3, 3.74)  . The Marlins have won six of nine games against the Braves this season and will once again be a viable underdog alternative here today.

ATLANTA is 0-9  against the money line after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season.

 MLB  Home teams (ATLANTA) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or worse ) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games are 24-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate.

Play on the Marlins to win 

Seattles starter GONZALES is 11-2 UNDER  vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Under is 7-1 in Rangers last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

SEATTLE is 12-2 UNDER  in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start over the last 2 seasons. (Lyles the Rangers starter fits these parameters) Under is 8-3 in Mariners last 11 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

The Mariners are 0-10-1 UNDER L/11 as a home favorite. Under is 12-3-2 in Mariners last 17 games as a favorite.

WOODWARD is 28-15 UNDER in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season as the manager of TEXAS.

These teams have gone under in 4 of their L/5 meetings in Seattle.

Play on the UNDER 

Rangers  right-hander Jordan Lyles (3-5, 5.12)  is 1-5 with a 6.23 ERA in 10 career appearances against Seattle, including eight starts. Seattle has won 13 straight games against the Rangers at home and now Im going to fade Lyles here and ride the momentum of the Mariners home win streak in this series. TEXAS is 0-9 (  against the money line in road games vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season.

Play on Seattle to win 

Astros  starter  Odorizzi looks to record his fourth straight scoreless outing on Saturday when he faces the host Cleveland Indians. Odorizzi has seen his team win his L/3 starts vs Cleveland.  Meanwhile, the Indians will throw out a sacrificial lamb to face the Astros explosive batting order when  they  send rookie right-hander Eli Morgan (1-2, 9.37 ERA)  to make his first  appearance against Houston in his brief career. Astros are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

The Indians are 0-11 L/11 on the ML as a home dog off a game as a dog in which they drew 5+ walks.

Astros are 12-3 in their last 15 during game 3 of a series.Astros are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Cleveland.Astros are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.

Play on the Astros to win 

Alcantara will make his 18th start of the year and second against the Braves. He beat Atlanta on June 11 when he allowed two runs and struck out six over six inning and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings matches up well here vs the Braves. 

ATLANTA is 0-9  against the money line after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season.Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record. ATLANTA is 14-17 (-10.9 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season.

MLB Home teams (ATLANTA) - with a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 1.50 the last 5 games. are 59-99 L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate. 

Play on Miami to win 

Pale Hose starter Keuchel (6-2, 3.96 ERA) officially pitched in relief in his last outing, lasting five innings as the White Sox completed a suspended game against Seattle  . He gave up two runs on six hits and wound up with a no-decision and enters this tilt with momentum. His Tigers pitching opponent Skubal has also pitched well lately, but according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings is at a disadvantage vs a White sox team that rips southpaws apart at the seams averaging 6 rpg. 

CHI WHITE SOX are 33-7 against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Road teams (CHI WHITE SOX) - with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70%, with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL). are 26-12 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. 

MLB team (CHI WHITE SOX) - with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL), after scoring 8 runs or more 3 straight games are 43-18  last 24 seasons. 

Play on White Sox to win 

 The Brewers enter this game on a 10 game win streak including consecutive 7-2 wins in the first two games of this series vs a Pirates side that  have lost five in a row overall and are struggling to score. They have six runs in their funk. With both teams art the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum it will not be a difficult decision to lay some road lumber here with the hotter team. 

The Brewers are 10-0 L/10 as a favorite of at least -140 after they scored at least five runs last game. Milwaukee  is 13-4  against the money line in road games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season.  Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series.Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 road games. Brewers are 40-19 in their last 59 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

PITTSBURGH is 8-25  against the money line with double revenge - 2 straight losses against opponent this season.

Play on the Brewers to win 

Mets starter WALKER is 0-3 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.26 and a WHIP of 1.448. The Yanks smashed him for seven runs (one earned) and six hits in 1 2/3 innings in a 20-6 win on Sept. 15, when he was with the Toronto Blue Jays.

NY YANKEES are 26-8  against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) over the last 3 seasons.

Note: The /Mets are just   6-11  L/ 17 games, the Mets have been blanked four times and have scored three runs or less 11 times, including a 4-3 loss to the host Atlanta Braves on Thursday. More of the same whiffs and soft hits in this spot vs a viable pitcher ( Montgomery) 

MLB Road teams (NY METS) - NL team with a low slugging percentage (.400 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or less), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.100 or less  over his last 10 games are 28-60 L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Home teams (NY YANKEES) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less ) against a good NL starting pitcher (ERA  3.70 or less ), starting a pitcher who gave up 2 or more home runs last outing are 29-10 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. 

Play on the NYY

 Rangers starter Gibson has been in good form this season, but he has not faired well against Seattle recently losing his L/3 starts against them. The Mariners,  have won 12 of their past 16 games and have my attention here on a short line, 

TEXAS is 0-11 against the money line in road games vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better over the last 2 seasons.

TEXAS is 0-7 against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.

The Rangers are 0-10 on the ML after a game as a road dog in which they scored in at least five separate innings which happened yesterday in a upset win of the As. 

Rangers are 16-44 in their last 60 games as a road underdog.

Rangers are 4-11 in their last 15 vs. American League West.

MLB Road teams (TEXAS) - after a game they hit 4 or more home runs, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts are 13-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors, 

 The giants after 4 straight losses will be motivated to get back in the win column and Im expecting them to be wide awake here vs a Arizona side that really does not deserve alot of respect despite of some recent upset wins  vs SF. ARIZONA is 4-17 against the money line against left-handed starters this season like the Giants starter Wood. 

ARIZONA is 2-31 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season.

Gants hav won 7 of their L/9 as road favorites. 

Play on the SF Giants to win