Rockies starter Jon Gray ( RHP4-5, 3.71 ERA, 50 SO)  is 4-1 with a 2.36 ERA in seven starts at home, and he is 8-1 with a 3.06 ERA against American League teams and gets the nod here vs the As tonight. 

The Rockies are 11-0 L/11 on the ML when Jon Gray starts at home and he had a WHIP of 2+ in his last start in a Rockies lost.

COLORADO is 12-4  against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (COLORADO) - average NL offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against a decent AL starter (ERA 4.20 to 4.70), starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 37-16 L/24 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Rockies to win 

Jon Gray the Rockies starter owns a sting  2.36 ERA in seven starts at home, and has also recorded a solid  3.06 ERA against American League teams. Meanwhile,  Montas has pitched well lately garnering a viable .3.24 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill and a 2.50 ERA in his L/3 road starts this season.

The Rockies are 0-12 UNDER L/12  as a dog after they allowed 6 or fewer hits. COLORADO is 17-6 UNDER  in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.5 rpg scored. 

OAKLAND is 13-5 UNDER when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) this season with a combined average of 6.9 rpg scored.OAKLAND is 14-5 UNDER  as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season with a combined average of 7.8 rpg scored.OAKLAND is 32-9 UNDER   when playing on Friday over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 8.2 rpg scored.

Play UNDER 

Cards starter Kwang Hyun Kim( LHP1-3, 3.65 ERA, 33 SO) was in top form facing the Reds on April 23, allowing one earned run in 5 2/3 innings while striking out a career-high eight batters. Rinse and repeat here as the under rated Cards have the edge at home. KIM is 6-0  against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's RecordNote: Reds starter  CASTILLO is 0-8  against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)The Reds are 0-17 L/17 on the ML after a game as a road dog in which they scored first, then trailed and came back to win. 

 Play on the St.Louis Cards to win

 Jean Carlos Mejia (RHP1-0, 0.00 ERA, 7 SO) The Indians are ready to give Mejía, who's made three scoreless appearances in relief, a chance to earn a spot in the rotation and now Im betting he will be primed to perform . 

The Indians are 13-0 L/13 on the ML on the road after they scored 6+ runs last game.

HYDE is 16-30 against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 as the manager of BALTIMORE

BALTIMORE is 2-11 against the money line in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season.

Play on Cleveland to win 

Washington starter Max Scherzer(RHP4-4, 2.34 ERA, 95 SO)  is 5-1 with a 2.63 ERA in his eight starts in Philadelphia since joining the Nationals in 2015. The Nats are 7-1 in those games. PHILADELPHIA is 9-26  against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better over the last 3 seasons. 

Phillies starter  WHEELER is 6-11 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 4.41 and a WHIP of 1.439. 

 Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.

MLB Home teams (PHILADELPHIA) - team with a poor OBP (.310 or worse ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or better ) -NL, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 8-26 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Nationals to win 

NY Mets starter Taijuan Walker(RHP4-1, 1.84 ERA, 49 SO)  returned from the IL to throw five scoreless innings and strike out eight in a win over the Braves last Saturday. He is 3-1 with a 1.33 ERA in five career starts against the Padres and gets my support here on a value line. I know the Padres starter Darvish has been in top form for most of the season, but he looked worn out last time out as he gave up five runs (four earned) over five innings vs. Houston.

WALKER is 8-1  against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) WALKER is 15-4  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

MLB team (SAN DIEGO) - NL team with a low slugging percentage (.400 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or better), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP   1.100  or better over his last 10 games are 36-90 L/24 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play in the NY Mets to win 

Halos starter Griffin Canning( RHP4-3, 5.40 ERA, 45 SO)  is coming off one of his better starts, allowing three runs across six innings with seven strikeouts in a win over the Rangers. The right-hander pitched well against Seattle on May 1, yielding no earned runs across 5 1/3 innings and gets my support here again today vs the Mariners.  Mariners are 2-8 in their last 10 games as a road underdog.Mariners are 2-8 in their last 10 road games.

The Mariners are 0-19 L/19 on the ML as a road dog of at least +140 when seeking same season revenge vs their opponents starting pitcher.

Play on the LA Angels to win 

These are two very inconsistent offense and my projections using multiple data points  estimate a lower scoring game.

The Diamondbacks are 0-9 UNDER L/9 on the road after they lost by one run last game.Under is 5-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 during game 1 of a series.Under is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 road gamesUnder is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 games as a road underdog.

Play UNDER 

Im betting on the BoSox to salvage a game from this 4 game series vs Houston .

 BoSox stater PEREZ is 9-3 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

The Red Sox are 10-0 L/10 on the ML  in the last game of a series as a dog after they lost by one run last game which was the case in a 2-1 heart breaker. Red Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Astros are 4-14 in their last 18 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.

BOSTON is 11-4 against the money line in road games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season.

Play on Boston Red Sox to win 

Lefty Nationals starter Patrick Corbin( LHP3-4, 6.23 ERA, 41 SO)   allowed his fifth first-inning home run of the year against the Brewers on Saturday, which is the second most in the Majors. The most first-inning homers Corbin has allowed in his nine seasons was six in 2017. He owns a 7.45 ERA on the road this season.  I dont like his from as of now and more than willing to bet against him in this spot play. The Nationals are 0-7 L/7 on the ML when Patrick Corbin starts as a dog when they lost in his last start.  Nationals are 1-7 in their last 8 during game 4 of a series.Nationals are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter like Davidson.

MLB team (WASHINGTON) - team with a terrible SLG (.390 or less) against a good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 to 1.300) -NL, in June games are 9-27 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Atlanta to win 

Todays under call is based on two very inconsistent offenses.  

The Rangers are 0-8-1  L/9 UNDER  off a road game in which they scored in at most two separate innings with a combined average 6.2 rpg scored with no game seeing more than 8 combined runs scored. TEXAS is 8-0 UNDER after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base this season with a combined 4.2 rpg scored. 

COLORADO is 22-10 UNDER  vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.8 rpg. COLORADO is 16-5 UNDER (+10.6 Units) against AL West opponents over the last 2 seasons with an average of 8.1 rpg . 

Play on the UNDER

BoSox starter  PIVETTA is 9-1  against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)

The Red Sox are 7-0 L/7 on the ML when Nick Pivetta starts after he threw more strike out than hits allowed in his last start.

BOSTON is 11-4  against the money line in road games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season . BOSTON is 27-14   against the money line after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.

Play on the Red Sox 

MLB Home teams (KANSAS CITY) - with a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 15 games are 49-15 L/24 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. 

Play on the KC Royals 

Atlanta starter FRIED is 28-9 ( against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) FRIED is 20-5   against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

The Braves are 14-0 L/14 on the ML when Max Fried starts after they won as an home favorite in his last start.

WASHINGTON is 7-17  against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. 

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (WASHINGTON) - poor team, outscored by opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season, after scoring 3 runs or less 4 straight games are 17-43 L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Home teams (ATLANTA) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.450 to 1.550 on the season-NL, after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs are 73-35 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. 

Play on Atlanta to win 

Twins starter Michael Pineda(RHP3-2, 2.62 ERA, 47 SO)looks to be healthy after a  abscess that caused him to hit the injured list and miss a turn in the rotation, tossing six innings of one-run ball with a season-high eight strikeouts against Baltimore on Wednesday on 101 pitches.  Im betting on more of the same top tier action today from the righty . 

Baltimore is 0-14 L/14 overall. 
BALTIMORE is 8-37  against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better over the last 3 seasons. 

BALTIMORE is 1-12 against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.

The Orioles are 0-12 L/12 in the second game of a series as a dog after a loss where they never led in the first game.

Play on the Twins to win 

Yanks starter Domingo German(RHP4-3, 3.06 ERA, 47 SO)  faced the Rays on April 10 in St. Petersburg, taking a loss after permitting four runs in four innings. My pitcher vs batting order rankings suggest he does not matchup well and should give the Rays an opportunity to explode offensively which will aid this being a high scoring affair. 

The Rays are 11-0 OVER L/11 as a road favorite with a combined average of 15.54 rpg scored.TAMPA BAY is 13-4 OVER in road games in night games this season with a combined average of 11.4 rpg scored. 

Play OVER 

Royals starter MINOR is 22-9 OVER vs. struggling  power teams - averaging 0.75 or less HR's/game since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 9 rpg scored. He is off a strong start last time out, but is MINOR in his L/6 after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) has seen a combined average of 10.7 rpg scored with his team allowing an average of 7.7 rpg. 

Pirates starter KUHL is 8-0 OVER when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 13.2 ppg. KUHL is 11-2 OVER as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.4 rpg scored.

The Pirates are 10-0 OVER L/10 off a game as a favorite in which they lost by one run with a combined average of 13.6 rpg scored. 

KANSAS CITY is 23-10 OVER in home games after a 2 game span where the bullpen threw 9 total innings or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 10.3 rpg scored. 

Play OVER 

Astros starter Jose Urquidy (RHP3-2, 3.22 ERA, 33 SO) returns from the IL (inflammation in right shoulder) to make his first start since May 12. He’s 3-0 with a 1.52 ERA in his last four starts, walking just two batters and allowing four earned runs and 15 hits in 23 2/3 innings and gets my support here int his spot vs struggling lefty Rodriguez  who has had a rough May, going 1-3 with a 6.48 ERA. 

The Red Sox are 0-10 L/10 on the ML  in the first game of a series with rest as a dog after a game as a home favorite in which they used 5+ pitchers.

Astros are 37-14 in their last 51 home games vs. a left-handed starter.HOUSTON is 37-8 against the money line in home games vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Houston to win 

I know the Yanks have been struggling but what I have learned is that you never count this current version of the Yankees out , no matter who the opposition is. Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

The Yankees are 12-0 L/12 on the ML  at home after a loss as a road favorite in which they never led. 

NY YANKEES are 32-13  against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 season.  NY YANKEES are 33-14 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 3 seasons

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TAMPA BAY) - team with a poor SLG (.410 or worse ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 5 games are 9-31 L/5 seasons for a 78% go against conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the NYY to win 

The Arizona DBacks are on 13 game losing streak, and completely in disarray. In their current form they are fade material. The Diamondbacks are 0-9 L/9 after they left 18+ men on base individually last game.

Cards starter KIM is 11-4 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) KIM is 11-4  against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

ST LOUIS is 11-2  against the money line vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game this season.

Play on the Cards to win 

As left-hander Irvin has allowed nine runs on 18 hits in his last two starts after posting a 2.49 ERA over his previous seven. Hes a quailty hurler and Im betting he bounces back here vs a batting order my power rankings suggest he matches up well against. Meanwhile, angles starter Qunitana owns a ugly 12.54 ERA in 3 road starts. 

The Athletics are 17-0 L/17 on the ML as a home favorite on the opening line of more than -135 after they did not score after the third inning last game.

OAKLAND is 31-13 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last 2 seasons.  OAKLAND is 21-9 against the money line vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities this season.

LA ANGELS are 1-13   against the money line in road games after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs over the last 3 seasons.

Play on the As to win 

Zach EflinRHP2-4, 3.84 ERA, 63 SO has pitched six or more innings in each of his 10 starts this season. It is the longest streak by a Phillies pitcher since a 12-start streak by right-hander Aaron Nola from April 10-June 12, 2018 and Im betting he puts another solid effort in this spot play vs the Rays. Meanwhile, the Rays COLLIN MCHUGH and a bullpen that owns a solid 2.95 ERA will Im betting also limit offensive productions from a inconsistent Philly offense with a .224 team BA  . 

The Rays are 0-15 UNDER L/15  when their starter went less than four innings in his last start.

PHILADELPHIA is 11-3 UNDER in road games after 3 or more consecutive road games this season.

Play on the UNDER 

The Dbacks are on a 12 game losing streak, and there is little very little light at the end of the tunnel considering their current form. Today against a hurler that my power rankings suggest they do matchup well against the Dbacks are fade material once again. Cards starter  Adam Wainwright (RHP 2-4, 3.95 ERA, 51 SO)was let down by his offense, Wainwright earned a no-decision Sunday despite eight shutout innings of one-hit ball vs. the Cubs. It was his second consecutive scoreless home start and he deserves betting respect here as a short favorite.Note: The Cardinals are 11-0  on the ML when Adam Wainwright starts on the road when their opponent is on a 4+ game losing streak.

Play on the Cardinals to win 

Rangers starter Mike Foltynewicz (RHP1-4, 4.53 ERA, 42 SO)  is coming off his best start of the season, a seven-inning shutout outing vs. the Astros on Sunday . Im betting his current momentum transferring into tonight tilt vs the Mariners. Meanwhile, Mariners starter  Justin Dunn (RHP 1-2, 3.40 ERA, 37 SO) kept the Padres' potent offense in check in his last start, allowing just one earned run across five innings with four strikeouts and looks like a viable option here to keep the inconsistent Mariners offense at bay as well. 

The Mariners are 0-11 UNDER L/11 as a favorite after they scored in at most two separate innings last game with a combined score of 6 rpg scored with none of the games seeing more than 8 runs scored.  Under is 7-0-1 in Mariners last 8 games as a home favorite.Under is 5-0-1 in Mariners last 6 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

Under is 6-2 in Rangers last 8 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Seattle.

Play UNDER 

The Tigers'  took a 3-2, 10-inning walk-off victory on Friday and now the Yankees Im betting rebound here in a big way vs  Tigers starter TURNBULL who is 0-2 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 7.20 and a WHIP of 1.600. Yankees are one of baseballs best fast ball hitting teams and with Stanton now back in the lineup despite of a less than stellar 0 for 5 return to the lineup yesterday still matches up well here and could easily be a catalyst for NYY. 

The Tigers are 0-11 on the ML as a home dog off a home game that went to extra innings.

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (DETROIT) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or better ), with a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season are 32-109 L/24 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Yankees to win 

MLB Zach Davies(RHP2-2, 4.96 ERA, 26 SO) continued the string of strong outings by Cubs starters by tossing five innings of scoreless ball on Sunday. He'll face the Reds on Saturday, against whom he allowed two runs (one earned) in just four innings on May 1.  DAVIES is 10-1 UNDER  after giving up no earned runs last outing over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, Castillo the Reds hurler despite of struggling this season, does matchup well vs the Cubs  according to my pitcher vs batting order ratings, and the last time he pitched a Wrigley   he struck out 10 and earned the win. Note: Cubs batters are averaging just .217 vs right handed starters this season like Castillo. 

Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 games as a road underdog.

Under is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 30-11-3 in Cubs last 44 vs. National League Central. Under is 8-3 in Cubs last 11 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. CHICAGO CUBS are 9-1 UNDER in home games vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.5 rpg scored. CHICAGO CUBS are 17-4 UNDER  at home with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons

Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Chicago.

MLB teams where the total is 7 or less (CINCINNATI REDS/ CHICAGO CUBS) - after a combined score of 2 runs or less against opponent after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 31-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate.

Play on the UNDER

J Happ the Twins starter has pitched his best baseball at home this season garnering a 3.86 ERA and gets my support here at home vs a side that he has won his last 3 outings against. The Twins are 12-0 L/12 on the ML at home in the first 100 games of the season after they lost by 5+ runs last game. (After a 4 game win streak they got blasted 8-3 in the first game of this series and now its bounce back time). Royals are 2-7 in their last 9 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.

MLB Road teams (KANSAS CITY) - ice cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 20 games, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 59-106 L/5 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors.

Royals are 7-20 in the last 27 meetings in Minnesota.

Play on Minnesota to win 

Dodger starter Walker Buehler( RHP3-0, 2.78 ERA, 59 SO)   is 2-0 with a 2.97 ERA in five starts at Dodger Stadium this season, striking out 38 over 33 1/3 innings. He allowed one run over seven innings in his lone start against the Giants this season and gets my support here laying extra lumber on the money-line. 

The Dodgers are 9-0 L/9 on the ML when Walker Buehler starts at home after their bullpen gave up 3+ runs yesterday.

LA DODGERS are 68-20 against the money line in home games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons.  Dodgers are 24-9 in their last 33 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Giants are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.Giants are 0-4 in their last 4 games as an underdog.

Play on the LA Dodgers to win 

Arizona enters this game having lost 11 straight games and are fade material in their current form. Considering Dbacks starter Madison Bumgarner (LHP -4-4, 4.53 ERA, 56 SO) lost his last start as he allowed seven runs (five earned) over six innings and is also in bad form entering this tilt Im liking the value we have with the visitors in this spot play. ST LOUIS is 14-3   against the money line in road games after a one run win over the last 3 seasons which was the case yesterday in their 5-4 victory vs struggling Arizona.ST LOUIS is 14-3  against the money line in road games after a one run win over the last 3 seasons.

MLB team (ARIZONA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (NL), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 12-33 L/5 seasons for a 73% go against conversion rate. 

Play on the Cardinals to win 

CHI WHITE SOX are 25-3 against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons. (Orioles starter Zimmerman is a southpaw hurler) The Pale hose have blasted left handers this season averaging 7.8 rpg via a .292 BA. Rinse and repeat here today. 

BALTIMORE is 3-18against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start over the last 2 seasons.

CHI WHITE SOX are 30-9  against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

MLB  favorites with a money line of -200 or more (CHI WHITE SOX) - after a game without an extra base hit are 51-3 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate.

Play on the White Sox to win 

The Yanks looked asleep at the proverbial wheel last time they played on  and the Blue /jays took advantage of the situation to end a 6 game losing streak and at the same time end of the Yanks 6 game winning streak. The Yankees are 17-0 L/17 on the ML in the second game of a series at home after they allowed 12+ hits.

Note: NYY starter GERMAN is 11-0  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Play on the NY Yankees to win

TB is red hot having won 12 of their L/13 and must be respected in this spot play .

The Royals are 0-10 L/10 on the ML as a road dog vs a left-handed starter when they won the last three times they faced a left-handed starter.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (KANSAS CITY) - after allowing 2 runs or less against opponent after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 15-74 L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate. 

 MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (KANSAS CITY) - with a team on base percentage .320 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 26-105 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate.

Play on TB to win 

Mets starter Marcus Stroman (RHP) 3-4, 2.75 ERA, 43 SO----Although Stroman hasn't been quite as sharp in May as he was in April, the right-hander is coming off one of his best starts of the month -- six innings, two runs and eight strikeouts in a no-decision against the Marlins. Hes a streaky pitcher and deserves respect here on a short chalk line. 

Meanwhile, the Rockies are 0-11 L/11 on the ML when German Marquez starts on the road when they won as an home favorite in his last start.

 COLORADO is 3-18  against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. COLORADO is 3-18  against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (COLORADO) - poor fielding team - averaging 0.75+ errors/game on the season, after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games are 22-62 L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the NY Mets to win 

Glasonw the Rays  staff ace is still off to a solid start,, averaging nearly nine strikeouts per outing and after a sub par outing last time will be fully focused and ready to perform. 

MLB favorites with a opening  money line of -200 or more (TAMPA BAY) - after a game without an extra base hit are 50-3 L/5 seasons for a 94% conversion rate for bettors. 

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (KANSAS CITY) - bad offensive team (4.2  or less runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or worse) (AL), after allowing 2 runs or less  are 8-42 L/5 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on TB to win 

Angels start Griffin Canning ( RHP3-3, 5.56 ERA, 38 SO)  saw his stretch of three-straight strong starts come to an end against the Twins, allowing four runs over two innings. He gave up a grand slam in the first that spoiled his outing. I am now betting on a bounce back. 

Rangers starter DUNNING is 0-1 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 7.20 and a WHIP of 1.400.

The Rangers are 0-9 L/9  on the ML  in the second game of a series as a road dog after they lost by 5+ runs last game. 

MLB team (TEXAS) - struggling  offensive team (4.2  or less runs/game) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, after allowing 8 runs or more are 10-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LA Angels to win 

Nationals starter Max Scherzer(RHP4-2, 2.24 ERA, 76 SO)  is 5-0 with a 1.06 ERA and 55 strikeouts in five starts against the Reds while with the Nationals. He fanned eight over five innings in his last start on Wednesday against the Cubs. Rinse and repeat in play here. 

Reds starter MAHLE is 1-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 12.14 and a WHIP of 2.099.

MLB Home teams (WASHINGTON) - average hitting team (AVG .255 to .269) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 to 4.20) -NL, starting a pitcher who gave up 2 or less  earned runs in his last 2 outings are 33-9 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate.

MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (WASHINGTON) - average hitting team (AVG  .255 to .269) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 to 4.20) -NL, starting a pitcher who gave up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 38-8 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. 

Play on the Washington Nationals to win 

TORONTO is 0-9  against the money line after 6 or more consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons.

The Blue Jays are 0-10 L/10 on the ML as a road 140+ dog after they allowed 6+ runs. TORONTO is 3-11  against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season.

Play on the Yankees to win 

As starter MONTAS is 12-1  against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)  Mariners are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Athletics are 11-1 in their last 12 during game 1 of a series.

OAKLAND is 59-23  against the money line against left-handed starters like the Mariners Kikuch over the last 3 seasons .

OAKLAND is 32-9  against the money line in home games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons

Mariners are 0-7 in their last 7 road games. 

MLB team (SEATTLE) - struggling offensive team (4.2  or less runs/game) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, after allowing 8 runs or more are 9-33 L/5 seasons for a 79% go against conversion rate.

Play on Oakland to win 

Brewers starter Brandon Woodruff(RHP 2-2, 1.58 ERA, 65 SO )

 Brewers are 10-0 L/10 on the ML when Brandon Woodruff starts as a favorite when they lost in his last start.   WOODRUFF is 18-3  against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

The Brewers are 9-0 L/9 on the ML after a game as a road favorite in which Christian Yelich had multiple RBIs.

Padres starter  SNELL is 5-14  against the money line in road games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MILWAUKEE) - poor hitting team (AVG .250 or less ) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 to 4.20) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL) are 104-54 L/24 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Brewers to win 

Brandon Woodruff(RHP2-2, 1.58 ERA, 65 SO)  1.58 runs of support per nine innings is the lowest in the Majors for a qualifying pitcher. That explains how he's winless in four May starts despite having gone at least six innings with no more than two runs allowed in those games which Im betting will help contribute to another lower scoring affair here today. Meanwhile,  Padres southpaw Blake Snell(LHP1-0, 3.79 ERA, 60 SO) is coming off his best start as a Padre and his first outing of at least six innings since 2019. Snell's stuff has been electric all year, but he hasn't been in the strike zone enough. On Tuesday, however, he K'd 11 with one walk.

WOODRUFF is 11-1 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. Team's Record.. MILWAUKEE is 10-1 UNDER (  vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.00 or better over the last 2 seasons.WOODRUFF is 10-0 UNDER vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 2 seasons.  )

 SNELL is 19-6 UNDER   in road games after giving up 2 earned runs in his last 2 outings since 1997. (Team's Record) 

Play UNDER 

Rockies are inconsistent bunch and even against sub par teams have had problems maintaining any kind of momentum. 

Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.

The Rockies are 0-9 L/9 on the ML on the road after they scored in at least four separate innings.

COLORADO is 1-11  against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 3.5 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.  COLORADO is 2-17 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season.  COLORADO is 5-24  against the money line in road games revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less over the last 3 seasons. 

BLACK is 6-19  against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 3.5 or less runs/game on the season as the manager of COLORADO.

MLB Road teams (COLORADO) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or worse), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 22-48 L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Mets 

As workhorse starter Sean Manaea(LHP3-2, 4.41 ERA, 48 SO) pitched around heavy traffic on the basepaths to limit the Astros to just three runs on Tuesday, despite allowing 10 hits over six innings. His quality outing kept the A's in striking distance of what was an eventual 6-5 walk-off win over Houston. He is a nnever say die hurler that deserves respect on a short chalk line. MANAEA is 11-2 against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

  LA ANGELS are 2-9 against the money line in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season which the As have.  

Angels starter UNDY is 5-22  against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

OAKLAND is 12-2  against the money line vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse this season.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (LA ANGELS) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70) -AL, starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are 8-45 L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate.

MLB team (LA ANGELS) - with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games, starting a pitcher who was rocked for 6+ runs in his last 2 outings are 5-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Oakland As to win 

Angels starter Dylan Bundy(RHP0-5, 6.02 ERA, 46 SO)  has been dealing with a foot issue, but was cleared on Friday for his next start. He has a 10.13 ERA in three starts in May, allowing 15 runs in 13 1/3 innings and Im betting him and sub par bullpen will be responsible for helping this total get eclipsed.   LA ANGELS are 7-0 OVER  in home games against left-handed starters this season with a combined average of 17.2 rpg. (S.Manaea the As starter is a southpaw. )LA ANGELS are 8-0 OVER off 2 straight home losses against division rivals over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 13 rpg scored.  The Angels are 12-0-1 OVER L/13 at home off a game as a dog in which they had more strikeouts than hits with a combined average of 12.2 rpg scored with each game eclipsing this offered total. 

 Play OVER 

The Diamondbacks are 0-8 L/8 on the ML   as a road dog after a loss where they never led.

ARIZONA is 1-12  against the money line in road games vs. poor fielding teams - averaging 0.75+ errors/game over the last 2 season.

ARIZONA is 4-23 ( against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

MLB team (ARIZONA) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL, with a struggling bullpen whose WHIP is over 1.750 the last 15 games are 26-57 L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Road teams (ARIZONA) - cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 15 games, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.00 the last 15 games are 51-115 L/5 seasons for a 69% go against conversion rate for bettors.

The Indians squeaked out a 5-3 win with late inning runs yesterday vs the Twins which is emotionally deflating for a struggling side like the Twins making them fade material here in this spot . Note: Twins starter J.A. Happ (LHP 2-2, 5.35 ERA, 20 SO) has had less than viable starts recently and is on a two-game losing streak that has seen him total seven innings over his last two starts. The Indians are 11-0 L/11 on the ML as a favorite off a game as a favorite in which their opponent left 18+ men on base individually.

Play on the Cleveland Indians to win 

Red starter  fell to 1-6 with a 7.44 ERA in nine starts this season, including a seven-start winless streak and five straight losing decisions despite of 11 SOs last time out. Hes in a groove to be hard luck pitcher in his current form , and Im betting because of some glitches in this delivery his previous strong effort could easily be derailed here vs a Brewers batting order that my pitcher vs offense power ranking suggest is a bad matchup for him. 

The Brewers are 8-0 OVER L/8  when their starter  Freddy Peralta starts as a favorite when they won in his last start with a combined average of 13.67 rpg scored. PERALTA is 13-3 OVER   as a favorite of -110 or higher in his career . (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.7 rpg scored. 

CINCINNATI is 16-6 OVER when playing against a team with a losing record this season with a combined average of 12.1 rpg scored.CINCINNATI is 21-10 OVER  in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored. 

Play OVER 

Indians starter Shane Bieber(RHP4-3, 3.17 ERA, 92 SO)   Last time,   lasted just 4 2/3 innings vs. Seattle. His slider (and command, overall) hasn't been as sharp as it was to start the year, and  he is showing flaws in his mechanics which not a good sign, making him fade material on a value line. 

The Twins are 13-0 L/13 on the ML past the first game of a series on the road after they shut out their opponent last game.

Manager BALDELLI is 29-13 against the money line in road games after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs as the manager of MINNESOTA.

MLB team (CLEVELAND) -struggling  offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, after allowing 8 runs or more are 8-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Minnesota to win 

Two pitchers with alot to play. for as they try to solidify  their standing in their rotations makes for what Im betting will see them limit two very inconsistent offences outputs. Both sides have viable bullpens so mop up action should be generally successful. Note: Nationals starter  LESTER is 15-4 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 2.78 and a WHIP of 1.272.  The Orioles are averaging just .224 BA on the road this season. 

 MARTINEZ is 32-18 UNDER   against AL East opponents as the manager of WASHINGTON with an average of 8.2 rpg scored. 

BALTIMORE is 8-0 UNDER  when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) this season with a combined average of 5.4 rpg scored.WASHINGTON is 7-0 UNDER in home games vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5  or less errors/game this season.WASHINGTON is 15-3 UNDER  in day games this season with a combined average of 6.1 rpg scored.WASHINGTON is 20-8 UNDER   at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.6 rpg scored. 

Play UNDER 

DBacks Madison Bumgarner(LHP4-3, 4.15 ERA, 54 SO)  exited his last start early after having a spasm in his left adductor muscle and is still not 100%. The left-hander felt the injury during his pregame warmups, but he made it through four innings against the Dodgers before leaving the game. Im betting on his health effecting this out come which favors the rockies collecting the cash for their backers on a value moneyline offering.  Rockies starter  SENZATELA is 13-6 against the money line at home when the total is 11 or higher over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

The Rockies are 0-13 L/13 on the ML as a dog after they scored in at least four separate innings last game.

ARIZONA is 4-22  against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. ARIZONA is 1-11   against the money line in road games vs. poor fielding teams - averaging 0.75+ errors/game over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ARIZONA) - poor team, outscored by opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season, after scoring 3 runs or less 4 straight games are 15-41 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Colorado to win 

Braves starter Ian Anderson (RHP3-1, 3.20 ERA, 47 SO)  carried a no-hit bid into the seventh inning of Saturday's start in Milwaukee. The young right-hander has held an opponent hitless through the first five innings of two of his first 15 career starts and is a  very viable option to back in this spot play. 

ATLANTA is 22-9  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) over the last 2 seasons. ( T Anderson qualifies) ATLANTA is 14-2 against the money line after having lost 4 of their last 5 games over the last 3 seasons.

The Pirates are 0-9 L/9 on the ML as a dog after they scored first lat game before trailing and coming back to win.

Play on the Atlanta Braves to win 

Orioles starter Jorge Lopez(RHP1-4, 6.35 ERA, 34 SO)  was hit hard in his last outing, allowing five runs in two innings to the Yankees on Saturday. The right hander has completed at least five innings in just two of his seven starts this season and is fade material in his current form. 

BALTIMORE is 4-20  against the money line in road games after allowing 8 runs or more 3 straight games. 

MLB Road teams (BALTIMORE) - with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing 7 runs or more 3 straight games are 4-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 90% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Road teams (BALTIMORE) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing 7 runs or more 3 straight games are 10-52 L/5 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rare for bettors. 

Play on the Nationals to win 

Red Sox starter Perez is pitching better lately, after some early season struggles, but watching his delivery has me a little alarmed at is overall health. Note: Peréz labored in a start at Philly last season, walking six and allowing five hits and four runs over five innings in a no-decision.

The Phillies are 13-0 L/13 on the ML when their starter  Aaron Nola starts as a home favorite of -140 or greater when they lost in his last start which is the case here. Nola has ben his best at home this season recording a 2-0 record along with a 1.40 ERA. 

MLB team (PHILADELPHIA) - below average NL hitting team (AVG .255 or less) against a good AL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less), playing on Friday are 24-10 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate. 

Play on the Phillies to win 

NY YANKEES are 3-11 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 4 walks or more/game over the last 2 seasons.

Play on the White Sox to win 

 The Braves will send veteran left-hander Drew Smyly (2-2, 5.23 ERA) to the mound against Pittsburgh right-hander Wil Crowe (0-2, 4.35). both hurlers have been highly inconsistent so far this season.  

Over is 21-8-2 in Pirates last 31 road games vs. a left-handed starter like Smyly.

The Braves are 9-0 OVER L/9  as a favorite off a home game in which Freddie Freeman had multiple hits with a combined average 15.56 rpg scored.  

ATLANTA is 20-8 OVER when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.3 rpg scored. ATLANTA is 16-5 OVER  as a home favorite of -150 or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.3 rpg going on the board. SNITKER is 25-11 OVER  vs. terrible power teams - averaging 0.75 or less HR's/game as the manager of ATLANTA with a combined average of 10.8 rpg scored. 

Play OVER 

Game 1 of Double Header 

Angels starter Alex Cobb ( 1-2, 5.48 ERA)  does matchup well vs the Twins batting order according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings and is fade material in this spot play. 

The Angels are 0-11 L/11 on the ML after they lost by one run last game which was the case yesterday. 

 LA ANGELS are 9-21 against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season. LA ANGELS are 3-12  against the money line with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings over the last 2 seasons.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MINNESOTA) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA=4.70 to 5.70)-AL, cold hitting team - batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games are 158-100 L/24 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Minnesota Twins to win 

 Astros starter GREINKE is 9-23   against the money line in road games vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record)

As starter Frankie Montas(RHP5-2, 4.93 ERA, 39 SO) has been sharp in the month of May, now 3-0 with a 3.12 ERA over three starts. He limited Houston to one run over six innings in a win on April 10 and gets my support turn the trcik again . MONTAS is 12-0  against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Play on the As to win 

Starting Cleveland starter Aaron Civale (RHP) 5-1, 3.40 ERA, 39 SO )  is coming off his first loss of the year, allowing a season-high five runs on seven hits in 6 2/3 innings against the Mariners and now Im betting on a bounce back effort vs a hurler has shown significant effecinchy this season.  Considering Angels starter Ohtani has been shown signs of fatigue this season. 

The Indians are 11-0 L/11 on the ML  on the road after they scored 6+ runs last game which was the case yesterday.   

MLB  team (LA ANGELS) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a very good starter (ERA 3.50 or better ) (AL), ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 10 games are 25-65 L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Cleveland to win 

Garret Richards has pitched well lately, but has not had a lot of luck vs the Blue Jays in the past posting a   2-5  record along with a 5.49 ERA in nine career games (seven starts) against Toronto.  The Jays have a powerful batting order than can tear apart fast ball hurlers  and thats wnhat Im betting on here tonight.

Note:  Blue Jays hurler STRIPLING is 2-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 2.51 and a WHIP of 1.186 

Red Sox are 0-11 L/11 on the ML on the road off a game as a dog in which they were shutout.TORONTO is 9-2   against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season. TORONTO is 9-2   against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.

Play on Toronto to win 

Juston Dunn the Mariners starter has the best numbers on the starting staff, but he is averaging less than five innings per outing. However, Im betting his support crew will help us get to the promised land .  DUNN is 6-0 ( against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) DUNN is 7-0   against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

SEATTLE is 16-2 against the money line in home games vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.

The Tigers are 0-10 L/10 on the road after they left fewer than 10 men on base individually.

Play on the Mariners 

Both these starting hurlers have deficiencies and according to my pitcher vs batting order rankings this total should be closer to 8.5 to 9. 

LA ANGELS are 35-14 OVER  vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 season with a combined average of 10.9 rpg scored. LA ANGELS are 32-14 OVER   in home games over the last 2 seasons with 11.1 rpg scored. 

The Indians are 11-0 OVER L/11 on the road after they struck out at least ten times last game.

MLB Road teams where the opening  total is 8 to 8.5 (CLEVELAND) - poor AL offensive team (4.2 or less  runs/game) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA 5.00 or more ), with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game are 47-18 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate.

Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (CLEVELAND) - poor AL offensive team ( 4.2 or less  runs/game) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA 5.00 or more), with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game. are 53-22 OVER  L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors . 

Play OVER

Twins starter Michael Pineda(RHP2-2, 2.79 ERA, 39 SO)  consistent Twins career continued  on with another strong start in which he allowed three runs over 5 1/3 innings on a season-high 96 pitches against the White Sox on Thursday. He's held opponents to three or fewer earned runs in six of his seven outings this season and must be respected in this underdog role as the Twins Im betting bounce back off a 16-4 drubbing yesterday. Note: Big time regression on board for a White Sox side that is just sub par vs righties. Pale Hose are just 4-14 L/18 vs righties.The Twins are 8-0 L/8 on the ML  when Michael Pineda starts against an opponent he lost to the last time he faced them which is the WS starter Lynn)

Play on the Minnesota Twins to win 

TB Rays starter ( Luis PatinoRHP1-1, 1.54 ERA, 13 SO) will make his second straight start, and he'll likely pitch more like a starter than an extended opener after working four strong innings vs. the Yankees last Tuesday. He has allowed only three runs (two earned) while striking out 13 in 11 2/3 innings and deserves respect here in this spot play. 

The Rays are 12-0 L/12 on the ML as a road favorite off a game as a dog in which they won by 5+ runs.

TAMPA BAY is 10-4  against the money line vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game this season.

MLB Road teams (TAMPA BAY) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games are 160-109 L/24 seasons for a 60% conversion rate. 

Play on TB to win 

Seattle starter Yusei Kikuchi(LHP1-2, 4.30 ERA, 45 SO)  is coming off a career-high 11 strikeouts,   against the defending champion Dodgers,   a competitive game in which Seattle's bullpen blew a late lead. He’s pitched into the seventh inning in each of his past three starts and according to my power ranking pitcher vs batting order data has a definitive edge here vs a Detroit offense that is hitting just .209 vs southpaws while averaging just 2.3 rpg. Tigers are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter. SEATTLE is 16-1  against the money line in home games vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. 

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more (SEATTLE) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL), with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL) are 55-9 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. \

Play on the Seattle Mariners to win 

Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (OAKLAND) - with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.500 to 1.600 on the season-AL are 34-14 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Oakland to win 

Boyd the Tigers starter has pitched well overall despite of tendentious issues. It must be noted however, that  The Tigers are 0-7 L/7 on the ML when Matthew Boyd starts in the last game of a series when they split the first two games. The Tigers are also 0-13 L/13 on the ML  in the last game of a series as a dog after they won by one run last game. The Cubs have also been hard on southpaws like Boyd hitting .273 as a team an averaging a whopping 6.5 rpg. 

DETROIT is 30-63  against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 3 seasons.

Play on the Cubs to win 

Rays starter (Josh FlemingLHP2-3, 2.73 ERA, 16 SO)After making his last two appearances as a bulk-inning reliever out of the bullpen, Fleming will make his first start since May 1, when he pitched six innings vs. Houston. The lefty has allowed more than three runs just once in his 13 career outings and is more the capable of helping his team notch a win here vs the Mets. 

Mets are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in Tampa Bay. NY METS are 1-10  against the money line after 3 consecutive games versus an interleague opponent over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (NY METS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL), after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs are 14-35 L/24 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Rays to win 

Nationals starter Joe Ross
(RHP2-2, 4.26 ERA, 28 SO)  is 2-0 with a 1.17 ERA in three starts against the D-backs. He struck out seven and allowed two runs with three hits and five walks in his last outing on Sunday at Yankee Stadium. Rinse and repeat here vs a side he owns. ROSS is 15-2 (  against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997. (Team's Record)

Diamondbacks are 0-9 in their last 9 games as an underdog.

The Nationals are 8-0 L/8 on the ML when Joe Ross starts as a favorite after he averaged more than 4 pitches per batter in his last start.

Play on the Washington Nationals to win 

Aaron Nola(RHP3-2, 3.59 ERA, 53 SO) threw a career-low 58 pitches in four innings in Sunday's loss to the Braves. Since he threw a shutout on April 18 against the Cardinals at Citizens Bank Park, Nola is 2-1 with a 5.09 ERA in four starts and today Im betting his problems continue vs an explosive Blue Jays batting order that according to my power rankings matches up well vs the righty.Phillies are 5-12 in the last 17 meetings in Toronto. Phillies are 3-7 in their last 10 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Phillies are 2-5 in their last 7 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.Phillies are 3-8 in their last 11 during game 2 of a series.Phillies are 2-6 in their last 8 interleague road games. Phillies are 3-11 in their last 14 interleague games as a favorite.

Play on Toronto to win 

 Dylan Bundy (RHP 0-4, 5.03 ERA, 43 SOD) is winless in his seven starts this season. The right-hander was removed in the fourth inning of his previous start after the Dodgers scored six earned runs on five hits. Rinse and repeat as Im betting the BoSox to pound away here and get us the win. 

The Angels are 0-9 L/9  after they lost by one run which was the case yesterday. 

Angels are 0-6 in their last 6 vs. American League East.

Angels are 0-7 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA ANGELS) - poor fielding team - averaging 0.75+ errors/game on the season, after scoring 3 runs or less 3 straight games are 10-30 L/5 seasons for ago against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Boston to win 

 Todays starting pitchers have been inconsistent this season, but both bullpens have shown alot of consistency and will supply ample support vs two offences that have shown alot of inconsistencies. San Diego team batting average at home is .213  while the Cards batting order has garnered a sub par .215 BA in on the road. 

SAN DIEGO is 11-2 UNDER in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season. SAN DIEGO is 8-0 UNDER  in home games after scoring 2 runs or less this season. SAN DIEGO is 12-3 UNDER   as a home favorite of -110 or higher this season.

MLB teams where the total is 7 or less (SAN DIEGO) - after scoring 2 runs or less against opponent after a combined score of 2 runs or less are 28-4 UNDER  L/5 seasons for 88% conversion rate. 

Play UNDER 

Padres starter MUSGROVE is 0-8   against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) . MUSGROVE is 1-7 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 5.92 and a WHIP of 1.377.

ST LOUIS is 10-1 against the money line after batting .175 or worse over a 3 game span over the last 2 seasons. ST LOUIS is 20-11 against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

ST LOUIS is 8-1   against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season. Cardinals are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series. Cardinals are 5-1 in their last 6 road games. Padres are 3-7 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning record.

Play on the Cardinals to win 

Colorado took a 13-8 win yesterday and now Im betting on a more muted effort from the Rockies. Reds starter Wade Miley (LHP)4-2, 2.00 ERA, 27 SO is , coming off last Friday's no-hitter against Cleveland, in which he tallied eight strikeouts to one walk and threw 114 pitches, gets an extra day of rest for this start and is primed to slow down the Rockies in this spot play. 

The Rockies are 0-12L/12 on the ML after they had 12+ hits last game. CINCINNATI is 26-12    against the money line after allowing 8 runs or more over the last 3 seasons.  CINCINNATI is 14-3  against the money line after a loss by 4 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (COLORADO) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse on the season-NL, with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) are 14-43 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. 

Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win 

Braves starter Smyly will be starting with three extra days of rest which will help him greatly here. Meanwhile, the Brewers starter Houser had quite a night in his previous start at Miami matching a career-high 10 strikeouts and now with that momentum behind him should be in top form here in this spot. 

The Brewers are 0-11-1  UNDER L/12 as a favorite after they had 6 or fewer hits last game with a combined average of 5.59 rpg scored. 

MILWAUKEE is 38-22 UNDER when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.

Play UNDER 

Red Sox Starter Nick Pivetta(RHP5-0, 3.19 ERA, 35 SO) has been Boston's best and most consistent starting pitcher this season. Pivetta has allowed three earned runs or fewer in six of his seven starts. Opponents are hitting .190 against him and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here vs a side he matches up well against according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings. 

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA ANGELS) - poor fielding team - averaging 0.75+ errors/game on the season, after scoring 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 6-29  L/24 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Road teams (LA ANGELS) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a very good starter (ERA 3.50 or less) (AL), cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 15 games are 19-56 L/24 seasons for a go against  75% conversion rate.

Play on the Boston Red Sox to win 

Detroit has been playing well but the Cubs matchup well here and deserve respect on a short chalk line .

The Cubs are 13-0 L/13 on the ML when their starter today  Jake Arrieta starts when their opponent is on a 4+ game win streak.

MLB home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (DETROIT) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.500 to 1.600 on the season-AL, starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 9-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Cubs 

Indians starter Zach Plesac (RHP2-3, 3.83 ERA, 31 SO)joined some rare company on Friday, when he ended up on the losing end of a no-hitter for the second time this season, he proved that his progression is far from slowing down. He turned in a gem of an outing, tossing eight scoreless frames, with seven K's. Considering his current form it will be an easy decision to back him here today vs the Mariners. SEATTLE is 9-28 against the money line in May games over the last 3 seasons.The Indians are 10-0 L/10 on the ML as a favorite off a game as a favorite in which their opponent left 18+ men on base individually which was the case last time out. 

Play on the Indians to win 

Rich Hill(LHP1-1, 5.17 ERA, 32 SO)After a rough start, Hill has been on a roll lately. He has allowed two runs in 15 innings over his past three outings, including a scoreless six-inning start in Oakland last Friday night. Hill struck out seven Yankees in six innings in a win on April 9 and gets my support here vs the NY Yankees on a value ML.   James Tallion the Yankees starter owns a 5.02 ERA and a has garnered a 10.23 ERA on the road  and according to my pitcher vs batting order  power rankings does not matchup well vs the Rays strong left handed hitting batting order. TAMPA BAY is 51-28 (against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons. NY YANKEES are 3-11 against the money line in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons.

Yankees are 3-8 in their last 11 games on astroturf.Yankees are 5-11 in the last 16 meetings in Tampa Bay.Rays are 9-2 in their last 11 games after losing the first 2 games of a series and are 4-0 L/4 game 3 of a series. 

Play on Tampa Bay to win 

Nationals starter Patrick Corbin since joining Washington he is 2-1 with a 3.00 ERA in six starts vs. the Phillies and is well suited to go against this group of Phillies hitter.s Meanwhile, Zach Eflin  continues to pound the strike zone, which is a big reason for his strong start. He has walked only three batters in 45 1/3 innings in his first seven starts. And one of those walks was an intentional walk. He has struck out 42. Im betting on both hurlers doing decent work here and for the combined score of this tilt to stay on the low side of the total. 

WASHINGTON is 10-0 UNDER as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season.WASHINGTON is 15-4 UNDER  vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game this season.WASHINGTON is 12-3 UNDER  vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities this season.Washington has gone under in 3 straight and 7 of his L/8 games.

Under is 8-2 in Phillies last 10 games as a road favorite. 

Under is 6-2-2 in the last 10 meetings in Washington.

Play UNDER 

Charlie Morton(RHP2-2, 4.98 ERA, 40 SO) matched a career-short start when he recorded just two outs against the Phillies on Friday. The veteran hurler has not found a consistent feel for his curveball and cutter. Consequently, he's allowed at least four runs in four of his past five starts and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not matchup well here. 

Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games and have cashed 4 straight as interleague underdogs and get my support here today on a value ML. 

TORONTO is 25-12 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start over the last 3 seasons.

Jays have won all 4 meetings this season and have won 5 straight overall meetings. 

Play on the Blue Jays to win 

MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (SEATTLE) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 or better on the season (AL), with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.50 the last 5 games are 8-51 L/24 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Dodgers to win  

Astros starter Jose Urquidy(RHP3-2, 3.51 ERA, 29 SO) has thrived in his last three starts, going 3-0 with a 1.80 ERA and 0.75 WHIP. He's allowed four earned runs in 20 innings in those starts, with all four runs coming off solo homers. Rinse and repeat situation vs the Angels in this spot play. 

LA ANGELS are 19-35  against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons. Angels are 27-55 in their last 82 games as an underdog.

Play on the Astros to win 

TB starter Luis Patino (RHP1-0, 1.17 ERA), 10 SO ) Rather than pairing Patiño with Shane McClanahan on Sunday, the Rays held him back to start vs. New York. He's likely only built up to pitch 3-4 innings, but he's been lights out so far with four baserunners and 10 Ks in 7 2/3 IP over three outings and will take the Rays deep enough for the bull pen cleanup . Meanwhile, Yankees starter MONTGOMERY is 4-15   against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125.  MONTGOMERY is 1-3 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 5.25 and a WHIP of 1.500.

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (TAMPA BAY) - ice cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 10 games, starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are 28-12 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate.

Play on TB to win 

The Tigers are 0-9 L/9 on the ML when Matthew Boyd starts as a dog when he went fewer than 5 innings in his last start.  DETROIT is 0-11  against the money line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) this season.

DETROIT is 1-18  against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse this season.

KANSAS CITY is 6-0  against the money line in road games after scoring 4 runs or less 4 straight games over the last 3 seasons.KANSAS CITY is 16-4  against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Royals to win 

Nationals starter Erick Fedde(RHP2-3, 5.27 ERA, 28 SO)  is 2-4 with a 5.26 ERA in eight appearances (seven starts) in his career against the Phillies. He allowed five runs in as many innings in his last start on Wednesday vs. the Braves. Meanwhile,  Chase Anderson the Phillies starter  still has not pitched more than five innings in any of his first six starts and owns a bloated 5.54 ERA on the season, and does not matchup well vs the Nationals batting order according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings. Over is 6-1 in Phillies last 7 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Over is 9-2 in Phillies last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing record.

Play on the OVER

ATLANTA is 13-2   against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Home teams (ATLANTA) - with a tired bullpen - after 2 straight games throwing 5+ innings, playing on Sunday are 54-25 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Braves to win 

Rays starter Shane McClanahan(LHP0-0, 2.25 ERA, 10 SO)  has unleashed his electric stuff in two starts. In eight innings, he's given up two runs on seven hits and two walks while striking out 10. He is now ready to go deeper as the Magick of 3 takes us to a win. 

The Rays are 11-0 on the ML in the last game of a series as a road dog when they are off two losses in which they never led.

TAMPA BAY is 21-10   against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons.TAMPA BAY is 13-6   against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons.

Play on TB to win 

Royals starter Mike Minor(LHP2-1, 5.23 ERA, 30 SO) relied heavily on his fastball on Tuesday against the Indians, breezing through five innings before loading the bases and giving way to the bullpen in the sixth for the eventual loss. The lefty despite of that good effort last time out, still has not been consistent this season, and has lacked the ability to go deep which will once again put pressure on the Royals bullpen that owns a 4.77 ERA this season . Note: CHI WHITE SOX are 21-1 against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

KANSAS CITY is 0-12 against the money line off 2 straight home losses against division rivals over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home teams (KANSAS CITY) - bad offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, after scoring 2 runs or less are 6-27 L/24 seasons for a go against  82% conversion rate.  

Play on the White Sox to win 

Nats starter ROSS is 11-1 UNDER  as a road underdog of +100 to +150  in his career. (Team's Record)  WASHINGTON is 8-0 UNDER as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season.

 Nationals are 0-9 UNDER L/9 when Joe Ross starts on the road when they scored less than 3 runs in his last start.

WASHINGTON is 10-2 UNDER  vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season.

NY YANKEES are 10-2 UNDER   when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.

 MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (WASHINGTON) - with a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better on the season against opponent with a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start are 48-16 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate.

Play UNDER

Phillies starter VELASQUEZ is 1-6 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 5.02 and a WHIP of 1.552. 

The Phillies are 0-9 L/9 on the ML past the first game of a series as a road dog after they scored 6+ runs last game.

MLB Road teams (PHILADELPHIA) - off an upset win vs. a division rival as an underdog of +130 or higher, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 13-46 L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Braves to win 

Arizona starter Merrill Kelly(RHP2-2, 5.79 ERA, 24 SO)is coming off a three-day stint on the injured list for what he said was a COVID-protocol issue. He could be rusty weak or both and according to my  pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not matchup well vs the NYM offense. Considering the Mets current good form that has seen them win 6 of 8 and the Dbacks struggling form that has seen them lose 4 straight it will be an easy decision to back the home side in this spot play. Diamondbacks are 0-5 in their last 5 games as an underdog. Mets are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League West.Diamondbacks are 0-8 in the last 8 meetings in New York. Diamondbacks are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings.

Play on the NY Mets to win 

White sox starter Lance Lynn(RHP2-1, 1.82 ERA, 29 SO) earned the victory in his return from the injured list, working five innings during his first start since April 15. Lynn allowed three runs and had a streak of 66 batters faced without a walk come to an end and looks healthy enough to be even more proficient here in this tilt. Meanwhile, the Royals starter Daniel Lynch(LHP0-0, 5.79 ERA, 3 SO  will make his second career start, after his MLB debut on Monday against the Indians. The Royals' top pitching prospect was tagged for three runs on four hits and four walks in 4 2/3 innings with three strikeouts, and while looking like he has some solid stuff will still be in over his head here vs a Pale hose batting order that likes to dismantle lefties. 

CHI WHITE SOX are 20-1  against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons. Sox are 20-6 in their last 26 road games vs. a left-handed starter. CHI WHITE SOX are 24-6 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

White Sox are 8-0 in the last 8 meetings in Kansas City.Royals are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter. KANSAS CITY is 0-11  against the money line off 2 straight home losses against division rivals over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (CHI WHITE SOX) - starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest, ice cold hitting team - batting .190 or worse over their last 5 games are 72-35 L/24 seasons for a 75% conversion rate.

Play on the Chicago White Sox to win 

Texas starter Kohei Arihara(RHP2-3, 5.76 ERA, 14 SO)After being scratched from his last start with a callus on the middle finger of his pitching hand, he returns to the mound at less than 100 percent healthy. The Japanese pitcher  has posted two straight losses. He enters the matchup with a 5.76 ERA on the year. According to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings he does not matchup well vs the Mariners offense and is fade material here.

.Mariners are 8-0 in the last 8 meetings.

Play on Seattle to win 

Under is 5-1 in Rays last 6 games as a favorite.

 Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings.

TAMPA BAY is 21-9  against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasonsRays are 5-1 in their last 6 overall and are 9-2 L/11 on the road. 

Play on the TB Rays to win 

Eduardo Rodriguez(LHP4-0, 4.18 ERA, 31 SO)is coming off a shaky outing . Facing the Rangers, he allowed eight hits and four runs over five innings. Lacking his usual velocity and command, he was lifted after 67 pitches and he looks vulnerable here to a down performance which adds credence to this total being eclipsed. Meanwhile, Harvey the Orioles starter despite of some decent efforts does not matchup well against this BoSox batting order according to my pitcher vs offence power rankings. 

RODRIGUEZ is 13-0 OVER  in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)   RODRIGUEZ is 11-0 OVER in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)RODRIGUEZ is 10-1 OVER as a road favorite of -125 or more over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Play OVER

PITTSBURGH is 0-12  against the money line in road games after scoring 3 runs or less 3 straight games over the last 3 seasons. PITTSBURGH is 3-24   against the money line in road games after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games over the last 3 seasons

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.750 or worse on the season-NL, with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP  2.000 or more  over his last 5 starts are 57-17 L/24 seasons for a 77% conversion rate.

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse on the season-NL, with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP  2.000 or more  over his last 5 starts are 80-28 L/24 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. 

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (PITTSBURGH) - poor team, outscored by opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season, after scoring 3 runs or less 4 straight games are 15-41 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Chicago Cubs  to win 

The Royals are 9-0 on the ML when their starter  Danny Duffy starts as a home favorite when he had a WHIP of less than 1.00 in his last start and the Royals won.DUFFY is 8-2 against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)CLEVELAND is 7-15  against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.90 or better over the last 3 seasons. Duffys last two starts vs the Indians  were shutout wins . Rinse and repeat. 

Play on the Royals to win 

Brewer starter Brandon Woodruff(RHP2-0, 1.80 ERA, 40 SO)has delivered five consecutive quality starts, the sort of stability that's crucial for a team fighting so many injury issues. He's allowed only one earned run in 18 career innings against the Phillies. Meanwhile, Phillies starter Zack Wheeler(RHP2-2, 3.49 ERA, 41 SO) suffered from some bad defense in a long first inning Saturday against the Mets, but he recovered and did not allow another for six more innings. Wheeler is 1-1 with a 2.90 ERA in five career starts against the Brewers. Look for both these strong hurlers to long and strong today and for this combined score to stay on the low side of the total. 

Brewers starter WOODRUFF is 8-0 UNDER  vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.3 rpg scored.   

WOODRUFF is 10-1 UNDER in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.3 rpg scored. 

 The Brewers are 0-13 UNDER L/13 when Brandon Woodruff starts when the bullpen allowed more runs than he did in his last start.

Play UNDER