Gonzalez the White Sox starter is 2-0 with a 1.29 ERA over his last four starts and  owns a 2.93 ERA in eight starts since coming off the disabled list with AC joint inflammation in his right shoulder. Needless to say he is in top form. Meanwhile, Minnesota's veteran hurler, Colon, despite of being fairly stable , owns a bloated 6.94 ERA at home this year spanning 9 starts. Looking at this games pitching matchup, there is value in backing a visiting White Sox team that has cashed 4 of their L/7 as underdogs and 7 of their L/11 overall, with young rejuvenated lineup. 

CHI WHITE SOX are 17-7   against the money line after scoring 1 or less runs in a loss to a division rival which happened last time out.

Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Athletics RH Kendall Graveman (4-4, 4.24 ERA) vs. Angels RH Parker Bridwell (7-2, 2.89)

Bridwell the Angels starter tonight continued to be in top form last Friday but suffered his first loss in nine starts after giving up two runs and six hits in seven innings against Houston. Today I expect he will bounce back and get his team to the win via his usual solid work.Angels are 6-0 in Bridwells last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Despite the absence of Mike Trout, the Angels have outscored the Athletics 11-3 in winning the first two , games of this series, and  with Trout expected back tonight the Angels will be ready for a bigger output. Meanwhile, Graveman (4-4, 4.24 ERA) has pitched well against Los Angeles this season, going 1-1 with a 2.84 ERA in three starts. However, all three of those outings were well before he missed 2 1/2 months with a strained shoulder. He has pitched decently of late, but I still feel he is less than 100% and susceptible to being beaten around. Athletics are 0-5 in Gravemans last 5 road starts and are 0-6 in Gravemans last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Athletics are 18-41 in their last 59 road games.Athletics are 2-9 in the last 11 meetings in Los Angeles.

BRIDWELL team when he starts is 8-0   against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season.LA ANGELS are 19-4 l/23  against the money line in home games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last few seasons.OAKLAND is 17-42  against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season.

Play on the LA Angels to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Red Sox RH Rick Porcello (8-15, 4.57 ERA) vs. Blue Jays LH J.A. Happ (6-10, 4.10)

Over his past five starts, Happ the Blue Jays starter is 3-2 with a 3.94 ERA. Happ won the first three of those starts, allowing one run in each outing, then lost the next two, allowing five runs each time. I expect he will bounce back today vs a Red Sox batting order that he matches up well against according to my own cross reference baseball pitcher vs offense power rankings. He has pitched once this season against the Red Sox, a no-decision July 18 in the Blue Jays' 5-4, 15-inning loss at Fenway Park. He allowed five hits, two walks and two earned runs while striking out two over five innings.Happ is 5-3 with an ERA of 3.66 in 14 career games (13 starts) against Boston. Meanwhile, his Boston Red Sox pitching opponent Porcello goes against a Toronto Blue Jays team that has averaged only 4.1 rpg at home this season via a .242 BA. Porcello ahs been average at best, but the way the inconsistent offense of the Jays is operating I expect he will have a decent start and than rely on a solid bullpen with a 3.21 ERA on the season.

The Red Sox have gone under 12 straight times  as a dog past the first game of a series after they scored more runs off the bullpen than they did off the starter last game.

Under is 6-0 in Porcellos last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.Under is 5-2 in Porcellos last 7 road starts.Under is 25-12 in Red Sox last 37 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 9-1 in Blue Jays last 10 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 6-0 in Happs last 6 starts vs. Red Sox.Under is 5-1 in Happs last 6 starts overall.

TORONTO is 24-9 UNDER L/33 when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season dating back to last season with a combined average of 7.7 rpg going on the board.TORONTO is 12-2 UNDER  L/14 vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 7 or more hits/start with a combined average of 6.6 rpg scored.BOSTON is 31-18 UNDER  when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.HAPP is 10-1 UNDER   as a favorite of -110 or higher this season with a combined average of 7.3 rpg going on the board.TORONTO is 30-18 UNDER  in home games against right-handed starters this season. HAPP is 8-0 UNDER  in night games this season with a combined average of 71 rpg going on the scoreboard.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection

The Giants starter tonight  Matt Moore’s has pitched well recently  with his team winning his last two starts, but the Giants have not performed well in this spot going  0-11 on the road off a road tilt when they won the last two games their starter started, losing by an average of 4.2 rpg. Previous too his recent success Moore was just 1-8 from May 24-Aug. 7, so a regression to the norm is not out of the question. Meanwhile Perdomo (6-8, 4.84 ERA)  the Fathers starter, was in top form in his last trip  out at St. Louis on Thursday. Over six innings, he allowed just two runs on seven hits and two walks in a no-decision.In seven career games against the Giants, Perdomo is 1-0 with a 3.94 ERA. He is 0-0 with a 3.63 ERA in three starts vs. San Francisco this year. I like the Padres hurler here to keep his team in the game.

SF took a 3-0 win yesterday but SAN DIEGO is 7-1  against the money line revenging a shutout loss to opponent this season.

Giants are 1-6 in Moores last 7 starts vs. National League West.Padres are 5-2 in Perdomos last 7 home starts.Padres are 6-1 in Perdomos last 7 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.

MLB  teams when the money line is +125 to -125  like the Giants- starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 7.00 the last 10 games are just 35-70 L/105 opportunities for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the San Diego Padres to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Minnesota will start right-hander Ervin Santana (13-7, 3.24 ERA), while Chicago will go with James Shields (2-4, 5.63 ERA).A new arm slot has aided Shields upward performance  in August, where he has allowed three or fewer earned runs in each of his four outings and he had three quality starts. He allowed three runs on three hits against the Twins on Aug. 23.He has a 3.00 ERA over two starts against the Twins this season. Meanwhile, the Twins starter Santana looks to close out a top tier August, during which he’s gone 2-0 with a 2.73 ERA. His last start was also against the White Sox where he allowed just three hits and one earned run but came away with a no-decision in Chicago's win.He is 3-0 with a 2.33 ERA over four starts against the South Siders this season. I'm betting both these capable hurlers will keep the other offense under wraps tonight and for this tilt to stay on the low side of the number.

Under is 5-0 in White Sox last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 9-2-1 in White Sox last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-0 in Shields' last 4 starts overall.Under is 5-1 in Twins last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 10-1-1 in Santanas last 12 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 11-4-1 in the last 16 meetings.Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Minnesota.

CHI WHITE SOX are 10-2 UNDER L/12 after a win by 6 runs or more this season with a combined average of 6.4 rpg.(White sox won 7-1 last time out) The Twins have gone under 14 of the l/15 times as a favorite after a game as a road dog in which they won by 5 or more runs with a combined average of 6.2 rpg going on the board.(Minnesota won 7-2 last time out)

Play  UNDER 1 unit reg selection

Two pitchers who do not inspire all star day dreaming go to the mound to face each other tonight. The Angels left-hander Andrew Heaney (0-0, 8.10 ERA) will make his third start of the season following his return from Tommy John surgery.His last major league victory came against Oakland on Sept. 2, 2015, when he went seven innings and allowed three runs and seven hits in a 9-4 road victory.Heaney has made just 21 starts with the Angels since being acquired in a December 2014 trade. The 26-year-old is 6-5 with a 3.99 ERA in his Angels career. He has not been very good after coming off the disabled ,list , but now fully healed and the rust wearing off I'm betting he has enough juice in his arm, to keep the As bats under control tonight. Meanwhile, A's rookie  hurler Gossett hasn't faced the Angels, but he is 0-3 with a 5.63 ERA against the AL West this season.Gossett gave up five runs in five innings in his return Wednesday but didn't get a decision in Baltimore.On the season, Gossett is 3-6 with a 5.49 ERA in 11 starts and is fade material in this spot play.

Note:Angels superstar Mike Trout has hit more homers against the A's (24) than against any other team in his career. Trout is batting .308 in 104 games against Oakland in his career.

I know Oakland has played well lately,  but they have not dealt with success well. as they are

OAKLAND is 9-22   against the money line in road games with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) this season.

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more like the Angels - cold hitting team - batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games, starting a pitcher who walked 1 hitters or less each of his last 2 outings are 191-64 over the L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LA Angels to win vs the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Rays RH Austin Pruitt (6-4, 5.76 ERA) vs. Royals RH Ian Kennedy (4-9, 5.09)

Pruitt the Rays starter tonight vs the Royals  has struggled in his last two starts, allowing 11 runs and 18 hits over 10 2/3 innings of ugly work, and once again looks susceptible to being lit up vs an extremely hungry Royals team that just set a franchise-record 34 consecutive innings without scoring a run. Meanwhile, Kansas City will send  right-hander Ian Kennedy (4-9, 5.09 ERA), who is winless in a franchise-record 16 straight home starts. He is 0-3 with a 7.99 mark in five starts this month, and could easily give up a boatload full of runs in a place (Kaufman Stadium where he has absolutely no luck.He is 0-6 with a 5.97 ERA in 12 starts, there this season.

KENNEDY is 7-0 OVER   in home games in night games this season with a combined 11.2 rpg going on the board.

The Royals are 10-0 to the OVER as a home favorite after a game as a road dog in which they did not hit a home run.

The L/7 games in this series here in KC have gone over the Total.

MLB teams against the total KC Royals - after scoring 1 or less runs in a loss to a division rival, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or more over his last 5 starts are 53-22 L/75 for a 71% conversion rate for OVER bettors.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection

Mariners LH Marco Gonzales (0-1, 7.40 ERA) vs. Orioles RH Chris Tillman (1-7, 7.75)

Tillaman the Os starter tongiht has had an off year, but the former all star is a very capable hurler , and  has faired well against Seattle in his career as is  evident by a 7-1 record along with a 3.30 ERA in 11 career games (10 starts)  and his team has won his L/7 starts vs the Mariners. Meanwhile, Gonzales the Mariners starter  continues to struggle and has not made it past the 5th inning in any of his L/5 starts.

After sweeping the American League East-leading Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park over the weekend, the streaking Orioles  (65-65) bring a four-game winning streak  into tonight's tilt  vs the Seattle Mariners. Note the  above mentioned weekender vs the BOSox saw them  out score them by a 25-4 count.

BALTIMORE is 20-6 L/26  against the money line after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games. BALTIMORE is 17-4 L/21 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season.SEATTLE is 3-11  against the money line after batting .200 or worse over a 3 game span this season.

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 like the Orioles - with a cold starting pitcher- ERA  6.50 or worse over his last 10 starts, hot hitting team - batting .300 or better over their last 15 games are 33-12 during the last 20 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Baltimore Orioles to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

The Angels had a very efficient offensive performance yesterday scoring 7 runs in a win vs the Astros. LA ANGELS are 21-7 L/28  against the money line in home games after a game where they stranded 3 or less runners on base . Today I expect Nolasco who is 7-2 in his career against the Astros with a 3.63 ERA in 69 1/3 innings and  1-1 in two starts against Houston this season with a 2.77 ERA in 13 innings to do well and get his team to the promised land. the veteran Halos hurler has won four of his last five outings and must not be underestimated on a underdog line. Meanwhile, Astros starter MORTON's team when he starts  is 14-36   against the money line in day games in his career and fade material in this spot play.

Angels are 8-3 in their last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter.

 .HOUSTON is 9-15  against the money line in August games this season.

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 like the Angels - team with a terrible OBP (.310 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or better ) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start are 78-39 over the L/20 seasons, for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LA Angels to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Orioles LH Wade Miley (7-10, 5.11 ERA) vs. Red Sox RH Doug Fister (3-6, 4.78)
Fister the BoSsox starter this afternoon is coming off the best start of his career - a complete-game beauty at Cleveland on Monday in which he faced the minimum over the final eight innings. Meanwhile, his Baltimore pitching opponent  Miley has  allowed three or fewer earned runs in each of his last five starts and is coming off a win. Both hurlers look to be in good form, and are capable of keeping each other offense under control this afternoon.

It must be noted that the Bosox have dropped the first two games of this series:

The Red Sox have gone under in 10 straight games  when it is the last game of a three game series and they are trying to avoid a sweep.

MILEY is 13-3 UNDER  L/16 vs. an AL team with an slugging percentage .410 or worse in the second half of the season with a combined 7.7 rpg going on the board. BALTIMORE is 14-3 UNDER   rested bullpen - threw  2 innings or less in each of the last 2 games with a combined average of 7 rpg going on the board.BALTIMORE is 12-3 UNDER  L/15 off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog this season with a combined average of 6.5 rpg being scored.

MLB Road teams where the total is 10 or higher like the Orioles - after having won 4 of their last 5 games, a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a winning team are 47-16 UNDER for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection

Taillon Pittsburgh Starter today will wear a jersey with "J-Mo" on the back above his number 50 as part of Players Weekend. After he was diagnosed with testicular cancer in May, the Pirates donned wristbands with the hashtag #JamoStrong for their friend and teammate. He has not pitched all that well of late, but this kids been through hell and back, and on a special occasion like today , I'm betting we see him at his best. Yesterday the Pirates shut out the Reds, and must be noted that  the Reds are 0-9 on the moneyline  as a dog coming off a home game in which they were shutout. The Pirates are also 13-0 L/13 against an opponent seeking immediate revenge for a shutout loss, with their starters providing 12 straight quality starts in this situation. Meanwhile, Mahle the Reds starting hurler  is ranked as the Reds' highly in the Reds pipleine of pitchers . The 22-year-old right-hander has a 2.06 ERA between Double-A Pensacola and Triple-A Louisville this season, and a combined 2.85 ERA in 105 career Minor League games, but here making his first MLB start I expect he won’t be as smooth here against top tier pros.  

CINCINNATI is 1-12 against the money line after scoring 1 run or less this season.CINCINNATI is 1-12 against the money line after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less this season.CINCINNATI is 1-10 against the money line revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less this season.

Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to cover 1 unit reg selection

Left-hander Carlos Rodon (2-4, 3.88) will start Saturday for the White Sox. Right-hander Buck Farmer (2-1, 6.62) will start for Detroit.Farmer hasn't pitched for the Tigers since June 18 against the Tampa Bay Rays, when he allowed seven runs in 2 1/3 innings. Meanwhile, Rodon owns a 2.49 ERA in his L/3 starts, while allowing just 6 ERs in his L/22 innings of work. Needless to say, these pitchers  indicators are at the opposite end of the proverbial performance spectrum, making Rodon and the White Sox a viable moneyline investment option.

RODON is 9-1 L/10 against the money line in home games after giving up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings.

White Sox are 4-0 in Rodons last 4 starts vs. American League Central.White Sox are 8-3 in Rodons last 11 home starts.Tigers are 0-8 in their last 8 road games.

CHI WHITE SOX are 7-0 L/7  against the money line in home games off an upset win vs. a division rival as an underdog of +130 or higher . Which happened yesterday in a 3-2 Pale Hose win vs Verlander and company.RODON is 8-0 L/8 against the money line in home games in August games over the last few seasons.

Home teams like the white Sox - allowing 4.9 or more runs/game on the season (AL), after scoring and allowing 5 runs or less last 4 games are 105-64 dating back 20 seasons.

Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Since he came to the Texas Rangers on July 31, 2015, in a trade from the Philadelphia Phillies, left-hander Cole Hamels has gone 31-7 on the moneyline.This season, he's recorded a solid 9-1  record and will take a five-game winning streak into this the second game of the this set with their hosts the Oakland A's.Hamels has a .816 winning percentage in his career with the  Rangers. He's the second pitcher in major-league history with a winning percentage of .800 or higher in his first 60 starts with a team. Needless to say, I'm feeling confident in backing him in the Rangers this afternoon

Hamels is 2-1 with a 2.94 ERA in five career starts against the A's. He's 2-0 with a 1.37 ERA in three starts at the Coliseum..After losing the series opener against Oakland and falling two games behind Minnesota for the second wild-card spot in the American League I'm expecting his offense to also be ready to back him in this spot. Meanwhile, Manaea his pitching opponent from the A's is slumping and not in good form as his recent   slump, that  has seen him go-0-3 with an 8.17 ERA in six starts.

HAMELS is 9-0   against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game in the second half of the season dating back to last season.

TEXAS is 33-17  against the money line vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse this season.

Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Tigers RH Justin Verlander (9-8, 3.96 ERA) vs. White Sox RH Miguel Gonzalez (7-10, 4.44)

Detroit's starter Verlander is coming off a stellar performance against the Los Angeles Dodgers last weekend when he allowed one run on two hits and struck out nine over eight innings in a 6-1 Tigers victory. He was keyed up for that game, and will now be in an emotional let down situation. He is  3-6 with a 5.24 ERA away from Comerica Park this year, including three homers at Texas last week. it must also be  noted the Tigers have lost their past seven road games since Aug. 5, including a three-game sweep at Texas last week. They've been outscored by a 54-20 margin in that stretch and overall have allowed 29 runs in their L/3 games, and  I'm betting on the White Sox doing some offensive damage tonight, which help us get over the Total. I know Migule Gonzalez the Pale Hose starter has pitched well lately, but he is just   3-6 with a 7.07 ERA in 12 career appearances (10 starts) against Detroit and in 3 outings against them this season, two were disastrous allowing 13 runs in 12 innings of 24 hits. My own cross reference pitcher vs batter power rankings suggest Motown matches up well against him.

VERLANDER in 7 starts this season  in road games with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) this season has seen a combined score of 9.6 rpg go on the scoreboard.

CHI WHITE SOX are 23-12 OVER   vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse this season with a combined average of 9.7 rpg getting scored.DETROIT is 25-14 OVER  vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season this season with a combined average of 10.4 rpg scored in those tilts. DETROIT in 31 games  when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season has seen average of 10.2 rpg get scored.

Over is 3-1-1 in Verlanders last 5 road starts vs. White Sox.Over is 4-1 in Gonzalezs last 5 starts vs. Tigers.Over is 6-0 in Gonzalezs last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 7-0 in Gonzalezs last 7 starts vs. American League Central.Over is 9-1 in Tigers last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 12-3 in Tigers last 15 overall.

Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection

Tonight's pitching matchup for the opener of the Mariners @ NYY series will feature a pair of left-handers, New York's CC Sabathia (10-5, 3.99 ERA) and Seattle's Ariel Miranda (8-6, 4.78).

Sabathia returned from  the DL Saturday in Boston and was in good form, allowing just  two runs and four hits in six innings in a 4-3 win. He is 3-2 with a 4.45 ERA in six starts since the All-Star break.One of those starts came on July 21 in Seattle, as the veteran allowed one run and four hits in five innings of a 5-1 win. Sabathia improved his career stats against the Mariners to 14-6 with a 2.62 ERA in 27 starts.. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent, Miranda is showing some inconsistencies. He was 7-4 with a 4.15 ERA in his first 18 starts but is 1-2 with a 6.51 ERA in his past seven outings and not exhibiting quality form at the moment and is fade material.

SABATHIA is 7-1  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.SABATHIA is 8-0   against the money line after his team suffered al loss this season.Yankees are 9-0 in Sabathias last 9 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Yankees are 5-0 in Sabathias last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Yankees are 13-3 in Sabathias last 16 starts vs. Mariners

Mariners are 9-20 in their last 29 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Mariners are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings.

The Yankees are 15-0 L/15 as a 140+ favorite off a game as a dog in which they scored in at least four separate innings , which happened in yesterdays 10-6 loss vs Detroit.

Play on the NYY to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Astros starter  Keuchel (11-2, 2.58 ERA) struggled coming off the  the disabled list, but has finally transformed back to the pitcher he was prior to his injuries and  is 2-0 with a 0.66 ERA over his last two starts.KEUCHEL is 14-2 UNDER  L/16 as a home favorite of -125 to -175 with a combined average of 5.9 rpg scored.   Meanwhile, Nationals Right-hander Stephen Strasburg (10-4, 3.24) will start the series finale. He is 1-0 with a 3.00 ERA over two career starts against the Astros.On Saturday,  Strasburg started after missing nearly a month with an elbow impingement, and took a 3-1 loss to the San Diego Padres, but pitched well as he gave up two runs on four hits, with eight strikeouts, over six innings. I'm betting his form will be even better today as he gets back into game shape. I expect both starting pitchers to go fairly deep today, and for this score to remain on the low side of the Total.

WASHINGTON is 22-8 UNDER L/30 as an underdog of +125 to +175 with a combined average of 7.1 rpg scored.HOUSTON is 21-7 UNDER   in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) with a combined average of 7.1 rpg going on the board.HOUSTON is 11-2 UNDER   in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season dating back to last year, with a combined 6.4 rpg going on the board.WASHINGTON is 12-3 UNDER   when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season with a combined average of 6.8 rpg getting scored.

Only one of Washington's L/12 games have gone over the total allowing an average of 2.33 rpg during that span, On 5 different occasions during this 11 game run, they have allowed just 1 run. Meanwhile, the Astros have gone over only two times in their L/14 games, and have gone under 6 straight times , allowing an average of 2.16 rpg. I'm betting this total score will also land on the low side of the number.

The linesmakers have dropped this total a full 1 and 1.r runs lower than the first two totals listed in this series, but there is still real value attached to under wager in this spot.

Play UNDER

Royals starter Jake Junis' is off a bad turn, out the bullpen last time out, but his last two starts for the Kansas City Royals were of a top tier variety and he looks ready to carry that momentum into this game vs the Rockies as KC trolls for the sweep.He limited the Seattle Mariners to four hits and one run over eight innings, walking none and striking out seven, in an Aug. 6 victory and than he controlled the Oakland Athletics on Aug. 14, giving up two runs on four hits over six innings, walking none and striking out two. With Kansas City in red hot form having won three straight and seven of 10 following Wednesday's 6-4 victory vs the Rockies
I have no problem backing them in this spot vs a side that has lost 18 of their L/22 on the road vs a right handed pitcher like Junis. Hey , I know the Rockies starter Germain Marquez has been pitching well, but he has a problem of late allowing HRs, as he has allowed 9 in his L/9 games and could implode at any time Note: .Rockies are 1-4 in Marquezs last 5 road starts.



Rockies are 6-23 in their last 29 road games.Rockies are 16-38 in their last 54 interleague road games.Royals are 25-9 in their last 34 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

KANSAS CITY is 12-1 against the money line in home games after batting .333 or better over a 3 game span dating back to last season.

MLB Road teams like the Rockies - good NL offensive team (4.7 runs/game or more ) against an average AL starting pitcher (ERA= 4.70 to 5.70),
with a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season are just 13-32 L/45 opportunities for a 71% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the KC Royals to win on the moneyline

Tonights pitching matchup - featyres Right-hander Mike Fiers (7-8, 4.32 ERA) going to the hill for the Astros. Right-hander Edwin Jackson (4-2, 3.43 ERA) will start for the Nationals.Jackson has won back-to-back starts, allowing just two runs over 13 innings in is currently in the best form of the season.  Jackson has posted a strong 1.11 WHIP in six starts for the Nationals and has struck out 29 while issuing only eight walks. Meanwhile, Friers, the Astros starter despite of some ugly outings lately, is still a sold hurler, that has performed well against the Nationals in the past, as is evident by a 2-1 record along  with a 2.45 ERA over four career outings (including two starts) against the Nationals.

Only one of Washingtons L/11 games have gone over the total allowing an average of 1.9 rpg during that span, On 5 different occasions during this 11 game run, they have allowed just 1 run. Meanwhile, the Astros have gone over only two times in their L/13 games, and have gone under 5 straight times , allowing an average of 2.4 rpg. I'm betting this total score will also land on the low side of the number.

JACKSON is 10-1 UNDER L/11 when the total is 8.5 to 10 dating back to last season with a combined 5.8 rpg going on the board. FIERS is 22-8 UNDER  in career starts when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) with a combined average of 6.6 rpg scored.

WASHINGTON is 21-8 UNDER  L/29 as an underdog of +125 to +175 with a combined average score of 7 rpg going on the board.WASHINGTON is 11-3 UNDER  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season with a combined average of 6.8 rpg going on the scoreboard.

Under is 9-0-2 in Nationals last 11 overall.Under is 9-0 in Nationals last 9 interleague games.Under is 8-0 in Nationals last 8 vs. American League West.Under is 5-1 in Jacksons last 6 starts overall.Under is 5-0 in Astros last 5 home games.Under is 20-7-1 in Astros last 28 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Houston.

MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 like the Nationals  - with an on base percentage of .260 or worse over their last 3 games, with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.250 the last 15 games are 60-33 under during the past 5 seasons.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection

Blue Jays RH Marcus Stroman (11-6, 2.99 ERA) vs. Rays RH Austin Pruitt (6-4, 5.37)

Stroman the Blue Jays starter today enters this tilt against the Rays in top form as is evident by  having limited opposition batters to three earned runs or fewer in 20 of 25 starts this season. He has allowed just one homer over his last 10 starts and has recorded  a stingy 2.02 ERA over that time.Among starters with at least 100 batted balls allowed since the All-Star break, Stroman has the lowest average launch angle (-0.8 degrees), according to MLBs Statcast. He also has the second-lowest rate of barreled balls allowed (1.4 percent), surrendering only two total during that time. This will be Stroman's second straight start vs the Rays, as he faced them last Wednesday. On average, Stroman has performed better in the second game of those back-to-back starts. He recorded a 3.48 ERA over 20 2/3 innings in the second starts, and a 5.06 ERA over 16 innings the first time he faced the opponent. Today I'm betting we see the Jays young hurler at his best. Note: Stroman owns a  2.25 ERA over three starts against Tampa Bay. He's struck out 22 Rays over 20 innings this season. Meanwhile, Austin Pruitt (6-4, 5.37 a rookie  and will make his first start against the Blue Jays, though he's seen them three times coming out of the bullpen. He gave up 11 hits AND 6 RUNS  in 7 innings last time out, and according to my own cross reference batter vs pitcher power rankings matches up poorly vs the Jays sometimes explosive offense. Overall, the Rays have lost four of Pruitt’s L/5 starts and the losses in his last three outings have all been at home, and I'm betting things don't get better in this spot as the Jays bounce back from yesterdays 6-5 loss.

Blue Jays are 4-1 in Stromans last 5 starts vs. American League East.Blue Jays are 8-2 in Stromans last 10 starts on astroturf.Rays are 5-11 in their last 16 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Blue Jays are 4-1 in Stromans last 5 road starts vs. Rays. Long term team trend: The Blue Jays are  also 19-0 L/19 on the moneyline  as a favorite after a game as a road dog in which their bullpen allowed multiple runs and it is after the All-Star break.

Play on the Toronto Blue Jays to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

DBacks starter Godley (5-6, 3.13 ERA) is scheduled to oppose  NY Mets starter Flexen (2-2, 6.55) in a matchup of right-handers.Godley has allowed two runs or fewer in 10 of 18 starts.

Godley is 1-0 with a 1.80 ERA in three career appearances (two starts) against the Mets. Flexen has never faced the Diamondbacks. According to my own power rankings the DBacks have a bigger edge than the moneyline would indicate making them a solid investment opportunity here even a 1.50 + line! Arizona has won all 5 meetings in this series this season and get the nod again.

NY METS are 1-12  against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better this season and are 1-12  against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher this season.

ARIZONA is 32-18   against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse this season. GODLEY team when he starts  is 21-12   against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game .NY METS are 10-34  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season and 3-14 L/17 in the second half of the season.are 8-31  against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season and are 0-11 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season.

Play on Arizona dbacks to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

NYY Severino (10-5, 3.18 ERA) is in top form and  has won five of his past six starts, including his last outing when he held the New York Mets to one run, which was unearned, in 6 1/3 innings while striking out nine. Meanwhile, Zimmerman his Motown pitching opponent, has not fared well in his L/2 starts, but is more than capable of coming back big, against a team he has done well against in the recent past. Zimmermann owns  a 3-0 record along with a miniscule 1.33 ERA in four outings against them. He tossed seven shutout innings against New York on Aug. 2 at Yankee Stadium.

Yesterday these teams put a combined 17 runs on the board in a Yankees 13-4 win, but today I expect a much lower scoring affair.NY YANKEES are 16-5 UNDER    in road games after a game with a combined score of 15 runs or more scored with a combined average of 7 rpg going on the scoreboard.

NY YANKEES are 12-3 UNDER  in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start this season with a combined average of 6.5 rpg getting scored.

Under is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Under is 15-7-1 in Yankees last 23 road games.Under is 10-3-1 in Yankees last 14 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection

 Rangers RH Tyson Ross (3-2, 7.02 ERA) vs. Angels RH Ricky Nolasco (6-12, 5.16)

Nolasco the Angels starter tonight has won his last two decisions, including a victory over Washington in his last trip to the hill. Meanwhile, the Angels Tyson Ross is having control issues as is evident by allowing 15 walks in 13 2/3 innings over his last three trips to the hill and 31 on the season in just 42 1/3 innings. That is not a recipe for success and today I'm betting these control issues bite him in the proverbial butt. Ross owns a ugly 8.50 ERA in 4 road starts this season.

The Angels lost yesterday to the Rangers 5-3, but tonight I'm betting they bounce back and add to a 9-3 L/12 run, as they desperately chase Minnesota for a wild card birth.

The Angels are 17-0 L/17 as a moneyline favorite off a game as a favorite when seeking same-season revenge vs their opponents starting pitcher and it is after the All-Star break and not a series opener. (Ross beat the Angels 5-2 on July 8.)

Play on the LA Angels to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Nationals RH Tanner Roark (9-8, 4.70 ERA) vs. Astros RH Charlie Morton (10-5, 3.69)

 Charlie Morton the Astros starter today is 5-2 with a 3.26 ERA over eight starts following his reinstatement from a month long  stay on the  10-day disabled list. Morton is 3-1 with a 2.53 ERA in his last five starts and struck out nine while allowing just  one run on three hits over 6 1/3 innings against Arizona this past  Wednesday. Meanwhile, Roark his pitching opponent from the Nationals, allowed three or fewer runs in each of his last three starts  , and is in good form. With both starting pitchers in stable form, and both these teams showing a propensity to stay under the number of late, I'm recommending we go under again when these teams meet tonight.

ROARK is 16-4 UNDER L/20 when playing against a team with a winning record with a combined average of 6.7 rpg going on the board. WASHINGTON is 30-12 UNDER  as a road underdog of +100 or higher  with a combined average of 7.9 rpg getting scored.

Under is 5-0 in Roarks last 5 starts overall.Under is 8-1 in Roarks last 9 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 7-0 in Nationals last 7 vs. American League West.

Only one of Washingtons L/10 games have gone over the total allowing an average of 1.9 rpg during that span, On 5 different occasions during this 10 game run, they have allowed just 1 run. Meanwhile, the Astros have gone over only two times in their L/12 games, and have gone under 4 straight times , allowing an average of 2 rpg.
It must also be noted that Washington bullpen has finally come to life, after a horrendous beginning to their season . the  additions of left-hander Sean Doolittle (11 saves in 15 games with Washington), and righties Ryan Madson (2-0, 0.00 ERA ) and Brandon Kintzler (2-0, 0.90 ERA) make the Nationals bullpen a force to be reckoned with.

Under is 6-0-1 in Astros last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Houston.

Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection

Cubs RH John Lackey (10-9, 4.67 ERA) vs. Reds RH Homer Bailey (4-6, 8.44)

Lackey the Cubs starter today vs the Cincinnati Reds  is 5-0 with a 3.06 ERA in six starts since the All-Star break. Needless to say he is in top form and must be given respect here in this spot. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent, Homer Bailey has been highly inconsistent this season, and had a propensity to be bashed around on a consistent basis, He was smashed for  six runs and seven hits in 5 2/3 innings at Chicago on Wednesday. Bailey is 0-4 in 4 starts at home this season along with a ugly looking 14.33 ERA, and is fade material vs a Cubs team off a 3 game sweep of the Jays and in pursuit of sustaining another play off appearance .

CINCINNATI is 1-11  against the money line after scoring 1 run or less this season. BAILEY team when he starts is 1-9  against the money line at home when the total is 10 to 10.5 in his career.Cubs are 11-0 in their last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Reds are 0-5 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Cubs are 7-0 in Lackeys last 7 starts.Cubs are 20-7 in their last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30

The Cubs are 24-1 L/25 on the moneyline  in the first game of a series as a 140-plus favorite off a home game when playing a team that has a worse record and it is after the All-Star break.

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 like the Reds - with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game, with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP  2.000 or worse over his last 3 starts is 13-58 for a go against conversion rate of 81% for bettors.

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Hamels (8-1, 3.48 ERA) has a stellar career record against the Angels. In   seven turns against the Halos he owns a  3-1  record along with a 2.45 ERA and one complete game. The southpaw hurler has opposed the Angels twice this season, going 1-0 along with a minuscule 0.61 ERA. Meanwhile, the Angels Tyler Skaggs (1-3, 3.63 ERA) will start for Los Angeles on Monday, and is still not 100% after his  return to the rotation after missing three months with a strained oblique.Skaggs is 2-1 with a 5.46 ERA in six career starts against the Rangers, and that includes two starts in April this year before his injury. Skaggs got a no-decision in both games, giving up six runs in 10 innings of very average at best work.Angels are 2-5 in Skaggs' last 7 home starts.  It must be noted that the Rangers have done their best offensive work against left handed starters this season averaging 5.1 rpg .

Angels are 4-10 in their last 14 during game 1 of a series.Angels are 2-5 in their last 7 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Angels are 24-49 in their last 73 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

HAMELS team when he starts  is 15-1 L/16  against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game in the second half of the season dating back to last season. SKAGGS team when he starts is 4-12 L/16   against the money line in home games in the second half of the season in his career.

Rangers are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.

MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher like Angels - below average hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or better) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season-AL  are 27-53 for a go against 67% conversion rate for underdog bettors.

Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

KCs starter Jason Hammel (5-9, 4.74 ERA) will start the series finale for the Royals this afternoon knowing he has pitched well against the Indians this season, going 2-0 with a 2.84 ERA in two starts. He has limited them a .178 batting average. After beginning the season, 1-6 with a 6.18 ERA, Hammel is 4-3 with a 3.89 ERA since June. Meanwhile, Danny Salazar the Indians starter, despite of pitching well of late is  is 0-2 with a 4.63 ERA over 11 2/3 innings against the Royals this year.Indians are also just 1-4 in Salazars last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.

I know the Indians are hot, but I'm betting on the Royals getting the win here on a value line.

KANSAS CITY is 25-11 L/36 against the money line in home games vs. AL teams allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season .KANSAS CITY is 33-24   against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season.Royals are 23-9 in their last 32 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher like the Royals - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a good starter (ERA 4.20 or less) (AL), with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season-AL are 37-18 for a 67% underdog conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the KC Royals to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

The Dodgers will start right-hander Kenta Maeda (11-4, 3.76 ERA) on Sunday in their final interleague game vs the Detroit Tigers. He has been solid in his L/3 starts garnering a sting 2.08 ERA allowing just 4 ERS in just under 18 innings of work. Meanwhile, Detroit counters with  Right-hander Justin Verlander (8-8, 4.11). The veteran hurler owns a  3-2 record along with a very stable 2.72 ERA in seven starts since the All-Star break.VERLANDER is 12-2 UNDER  L/14 vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season, dating back to last season with a combined average of just 6.3 rpg going on the scoreboard.

I am betting  both these pitchers do decently today and for the combined score to remain on the low side of the Total.

Under is 8-2 in Dodgers last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 3-1-1 in Maedas last 5 interleague starts.Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 vs. National League West.Under is 17-8-2 in Verlanders last 27 home starts.

Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Detroit. 

The Tigers are 0-17 UNDER L/17 as a dog when seeking immediate revenge for a  loss in which they allowed at least the first two runs of the game and never led and it is after the All-Star break.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection

Phillies RH Jerad Eickhoff (3-7, 4.33 ERA) vs. Giants LH Ty Blach (8-8, 4.37)

Eickhoff the Phillies starter has been pitching better of late, but seems to find ways not to get wins for himself or his team as he only has 3 wins since June 7th. Eickhoff dropped his first career start against San Francisco on June 2 after giving up five runs on six hits and five walks over only 2 2/3 innings of sub par work. Meanwhile, Ty Blach the Giants starter, is off a down performance last time out, but prior to that made three strong quality starts, and is more than capable of bouncing back here.

The Giants have not had a great season, but they have played close to .500 ball here at home (29-32) and have played decently of late, winning 8 of their L/13 and are of a 10-2 win vs the Phillies yesterday. Meanwhile, the Phillies have lost 8 of their L/9 and 6 in a row, and are fade material.

PHILADELPHIA is 1-13  against the money line after a loss by 6 runs or more this season.PHILADELPHIA is 9-32   against the money line after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games this season

PHILADELPHIA is 1-11   against the money line in road games vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game this season. PHILADELPHIA is 9-26   against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse this season

Phillies are 0-6 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.Phillies are 1-5 in Eickhoffs last 6 starts vs. National League West.Phillies are 8-23 in Eickhoffs last 31 road starts.Giants are 4-1 in Blachs last 5 home starts.Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 home games. Giants are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Phillies are 1-9 in the last 10 meetings in San Francisco.

Play on the SF Giants to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

.

update....White Sox LH Derek Holland (6-12, 5.68 ERA) vs. Rangers LH Martin Perez (7-10, 5.08)

MLB teams where the total is 11 or higher like the Rangers - starting a pitcher who walked 1 or less hitters each of his last 2 outings against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA  7.00 or worse over his last 3 starts are 88-43 to the under dating back 20 seasons.

Play UNDER

Right-hander Collin McHugh (0-2, 4.88 ERA) makes the  start of thefor the Astros (75-47) here vs Oakland tnight. McHugh  missed the first three-plus months of the season, but after some key starts should be now rounding in to game form. The top tier hurler  is 6-1 with a 3.02 ERA over nine career starts against Oakland.MCHUGH is 13-2 L/15  against the money line against division opponents. Meanwhile, Oakalnd responds with Right-hander Kendall Graveman (3-3, 4.70 ERA). In three starts since coming off the the 10-day disabled list on Aug. 3, Graveman is 1-1 with a bloated 7.53 ERA and a .359 opponents batting average.Against the American League West Graverman is 1-3 in his career along with a 7.20 ERA in five starts on the road. He and the Athletics once again look like fade material in this the 2nd game of this series.

The Astros are a franchise perfect 15-0 as a favorite of more than 135 with McHugh when they won his last start vs this team.Astros are 6-0 in McHughs last 6 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.Astros are 6-0 in McHughs last 6 home starts vs. Athletics.Athletics are 0-5 in Gravemans last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.Athletics are 0-7 in Gravemans last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.Athletics are 0-4 in Gravemans last 4 road starts.

OAKLAND is 11-34 L/45   against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per game.

MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher like the Astros - with a starting pitcher who is winless after 5 or more starts, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 3.00 the last 10 games are 89-35 dating back 20 seasons.

Play on the Houston Astros to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Marlins RH Vance Worley (2-2, 4.97 ERA) vs. Mets RH Rafael Montero (1-8, 5.80)

Worley the  Marlins starter,  has won each of his last six starts and once again has the edge here against a Mets pithing staff that has had just one quality start in their starting pitchers last 8 starts. It was actually Montero the Mets starter who gave them the quality start, but,he was clobbered for five runs in 3 2/3 innings of his first start of the year May 5 against Miami. He has allowed 26 hits and 17 walks in 21 2/3 innings in his career versus the Marlins. Mets are 0-5 in Monteros last 5 home starts. He is 0-4 with a 5.95 ERA in his last eight games (seven starts).

The Mets are struggling, and essentially in my humble opinion have completely given up on their season and just going through the motions at this time.

NY METS are 18-32   against the money line after 2 or more consecutive home games this season.

Play on the Miami Marlins to win on the moneyline

Cardinals RH Michael Wacha (9-5, 3.85 ERA) vs. Pirates RH Chad Kuhl (5-8, 4.64)

Kuhl the Pirates starter here today lost to the Toronto Blue Jays in his last turn when he gave up five runs (four earned) and four hits over five innings. The Pirates right hander has struggled at home this season by going 3-4 with a 5.15 ERA in 12 starts at PNC Park. Kuhl is also 0-2 with a 5.50 ERA in four career starts against St. Louis, including an 0-1 mark and 4.91 ERA in two 2017 outings. With the Cardinals bats on fire , scoring 22 runs in their L/2, I'm betting Kuhl will once again bump into trouble. I won't be surprised actually of the Cards eclipse this number all by themselves. Note: The Cardinals have scored eight or more runs in eight of their last 12 games, and procured  double digits five times during the stretch. Meanwhile, Wacha lost to the Atlanta Braves in his last outing when he gave up four runs and eight hits over five innings.The Cardinals are 14-0 OVER when Michael Wacha starts on the road after they lost in his last start.

OVER is 5-0 in Wachas 5 L/ road starts vs the Pirates.

MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 like the Pirates - after scoring and allowing 8 runs or more in a game against opponent after a combined score of 20 runs or more are 59-20 OVER for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection

The starters for this tilt at Coors Field are Milwaukee's Matt Garza (6-6, 4.38 ERA) and Colorado's German Marquez (9-5, 4.13).

Garza the Brewer starter tonight pitched decently last time out and got the win, but has been far from a work horse, and  has not pitched six innings in any of his past six starts.Garza is 2-5 with a 6.10 ERA in seven career starts against the Rockies and 0-3 with an 8.82 ERA in three starts at Coors Field. Meanwhile,  Marquez, the Rockies starter took at loss last time out, after 4 straight quality starts sand wins and is now ready to bounce back in a place where he seems to flourish as is evident by a   5-0 record along with a very stable  2.72 ERA in his past seven starts at Coors Field.

The Rockies are 12-0 L/12 a 140+ favorite vs a team that has won at least their last four game games. I know the Rockies have not exactly been consistent of late as they have lost seven of their past 10 games overall but are 37-23 at home and most be respected in this spot.

COLORADO is 9-1  against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) this season.Brewers are 2-7 in Garzas last 9 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.Brewers are 1-4 in Garzas last 5 road starts.Rockies are 7-0 in Marquezs last 7 home starts.

Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Drew Pomeranz the BoSox starting pitcher tonight at Fenway is, one of the most underrated players on this year's Red Sox squad.The left-hander was in top form while notching a victory vs the Yankees on Aug. 12, giving up just seven hits and three runs over 6 2/3 innings. Pomeranz has given up three earned runs or fewer in 10 of his last 11 starts. Meanwhile, Montgomery, the Yankees starter despite of being a quality pitcher, I'm betting will be in a natural letdown situation, after a hyped up appearance against this same Boston squad last Sunday night, against the ace of the Red Sox rotation Chris Sale. You could tell the kid was running high on emotion, which I really don't think will serve him well in the rematch. Boston hitters up and until now have seen him no more than 6 times ,but with each at bat should find the sledding easier against the big hard throwing young man.

It must also be noted that NYY Chapman has struggled against Boston this season (two blown saves, 8.44 ERA), while Red Sox closer Craig Kimbrel has a 1.80 ERA and a .105 opponents' batting average in four appearances against New York.

The Red Sox pitching staff have also been able to slow down the explosive bat of Aaron Judge this season, holding him to a .174 average and one home run in 12 tilts.

Yankees are 1-6 in Montgomerys last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Red Sox are 6-0 in Pomeranzs last 6 starts vs. American League East.Red Sox are 14-3 in Pomeranzs last 17 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Red Sox are 4-0 in Pomeranzs last 4 starts vs. Yankees.POMERANZ team when he starts is 11-1   against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season.NY YANKEES are 1-11 L/12  against the money line in road games after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs .

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher like the Yankees - good offensive team (5.1 or more runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or less) (AL), with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities are just 9-37 dating back 5 seasons for a go against  80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Mariners RH Erasmo Ramirez (4-4, 4.73 ERA) vs. Rays RH Austin Pruitt (6-3, 5.07)

The Rays have lost 10 of their last 13 contests to fall three games back of the second AL wild card and currently playing at a very low operational performance level. In 13 games since Aug. 4, the Rays have totaled 23 runs. They are hitting .196 (82-for-419) overall and .105 (8-for-76) with runners in scoring position in those games and even below average pitchers have looked like cy Young award winners against them. Meanwhile, Seattle has won 2 in a row, and I'm betting they ride the momentum of those tilts and take out a struggling team here in game 1 of their series.

Mariners are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings and have won 7 of the L/9 meetings in TB. SEATTLE is 7-1   against the money line in road games after a one run win this season ( Mariners won yesterday 7-6)Seattle is 9-0 L/9 as a dog off a game as a favorite in which they allowed 6+ runs and it is post All-Star break.Rays are 1-5 in their last 6 home games.Rays are 1-7 in their last 8 during game 1 of a series.

Play on Seattle to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

White Sox RH Reynaldo Lopez (0-0, 3.00 ERA) vs. Rangers RH Tyson Ross (3-2, 7.11)

Ross the Rangers starter  recorded a no decision against the White Sox on July 2 when he allowed four runs and four hits over five innings and is 3-0 with a 2.95 ERA in four appearances (three starts) against Chicago and gets the nod from me here in this spot.  The Rangers are playing some good ball at the moment and are going for their 4th straight win. With momentum on their sides after a 12-6 win yesterday I like their chances today against a very inconsistent Pale Hose team.

Texas is 16-0 in the first game of a series with no rest as a 140+ favorite off a game as a favorite in which they scored five-plus runs.

White Sox are 6-16 in their last 22 games vs. a right-handed starter.White Sox are 14-37 in their last 51 road games.Rangers are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.Rangers are 36-16 in their last 52 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.CHI WHITE SOX are 17-42 L/59  against the money line in road games in the second half of the season dating back to last season.TEXAS is 60-34 L/94 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150.

Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Cardinals RH Adam Wainwright (12-5, 4.87 ERA) vs. Pirates RH Jameson Taillon (7-5, 4.50)

Last night the Cardinals blew a lead late and lost to the Bosox by a 5-4 count. Their manager,Mike Matheny was ejected and will come in here with a chip in his shoulder, as will the rest of the Cardinals. The Cards had won 8 straight prior to a current 3 game losing streak, and are more than capable of up ending their losing run vs a Pittsburgh Pirates team that is mired in a slump, after losing their 4th straight yesterday to the Brewers by a 7-6 count. The Pittsburgh dressing room after the game according to media accounts was not in a up mood. PITTSBURGH is 11-26 L/37  against the money line after a one run loss.

I know both these teams need wins, but I like the Cards overall form better than the inconsistent bats and arms  of the Pirates. With that said, I expect Cards starter Adam Wainwright to out duel Taillon of the Pirates. It must be noted that In his career, Adam Wainwright has never lost on the road vs a team on a 4-plus game losing streak.

Wainwright  earned the win in his last trip to the hill  limiting Atlanta to one run over five innings to improve to 5-0 over his last eight mound appearance's.

WAINWRIGHT is 11-2 L/13 against the money line after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing. WAINWRIGHT team when he starts is 25-8 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 dating back to last season.Cardinals are 10-1 in Wainwrights last 11 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Pirates are 4-9 in their last 13 games vs. a right-handed starter.Cardinals are 4-1 in Wainwrights last 5 starts vs. Pirates

St. Louis has won six of its last nine games at PNC Park.

Play on the St.Louis Cardinals to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Braves LH Sean Newcomb (1-7, 4.45 ERA) vs. Rockies LH Kyle Freeland (11-7, 3.70)

Freeland a Denver native, enjoys pitching in his own digs, and  is 6-4 with a 3.19 ERA in 11 home  starts. Growing up in Colorado and being accustomed to thin air, he has no problems pacing himself in this environment, and has an edge here tonight vs Atlanta batting order and team that has lost six of its last seven contests overall and have lost 11-straight games  at Coors Field after being shut out yesterday.

Braves are 0-7 in Newcombs last 7 starts.Braves are 1-8 in their last 9 road games.Braves are 8-22 in their last 30 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Braves are 17-35 in their last 52 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Rockies are 5-1 in Freelands last 6 home starts.Rockies are 21-8 in their last 29 home games.

COLORADO is 34-17 L/51  against the money line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) this season.COLORADO is 14-4   against the money line after allowing 1 run or less this season.Atlanta is 0-13 L/13 when their opponent’s starter has an ERA of higher than 4.00 and , their opponent is not on a three-plus game losing streak and it is not a series opener.

Play on Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline

Cardinals RH Mike Leake (7-10, 3.48 ERA) vs. Red Sox RH Rick Porcello (6-14, 4.63)

Porcello enters this game in good form after a  two-start winning streak and finally starting to get some support from his offense, which has totaled 17 runs in his last two trips to the hill. Meanwhile, the Cards starter Leake is winless in his last three starts and was smacked  around for five runs - four earned - and 11 hits over five innings against Kansas City on Wednesday. These two hurlers are currently operating at the opposite end of the proverbial performance spectrum.

Both these teams are off losses, but Boston has proven itself consistently off of negative results, and get my backing here today. (.BOSTON is 27-7  against the money line in home games after a loss by 4 runs or more and 17-4 at home on the season after a loss including 4 straight overall wins of late after a loss. )

Porcello is 17-8 lifetime in interleague play, while Leake is just 6-10.Red Sox are 8-1 in their last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter.Red Sox are 81-27 in their last 108 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.Red Sox are 10-2 in their last 12 overall.Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss.

ST LOUIS is 10-20   against the money line vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season.ST LOUIS is 4-12  against the money line when playing with a day off this season. LEAKE's team when he starts is 17-34 in his career against the money line in road games in the second half of the season

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher like the BoSox- average AL offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a good NL starter (ERA 3.70 or less ) are 51-17 dating back 5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline 

Astros RH Brad Peacock (10-1, 3.07 ERA) vs. Diamondbacks LH Anthony Banda (1-2, 4.60)

Arizona and Houston have been explosive offensively for much of this season , but of late their bats have cooled off. The Astros have averaged 2.9 rpg during a current 7 game run, while the DBacks have averaged 3.9 rpg via a lowly .231 BA. Considering the pitching matchup, and the heat these two teams will deal with this afternoon , I'm expecting a fairly low scoring affair that will fail to eclipse

 ARIZONA is 12-2 UNDER   when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season with a combined average of 6.7 rpg going on the board.HOUSTON is 25-9 UNDER   after scoring 4 runs or less 4 straight games with a combined average of 6.6 rpg getting scored.

Under is 9-3-1 in Diamondbacks last 13 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 5-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Under is 9-4 in Peacocks last 13 road starts.

MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 like the Astros - very good AL offensive team (5.4 runs/game or more ) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less), with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 80% have gone under 32 of the L/38 times for a 84% conversion rate for under bettors.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection

: Phillies RH Jerad Eickhoff (3-7, 4.45 ERA) vs. Padres LH Travis Wood (2-4, 6.71)

San Diego's starting hurler Travis Wood  enters this game against the Phillies.  in struggling form. Since coming to the Padres from the Kansas City Royals in a late-July trade,  he has been sub par  in three starts, going 1-1 along with a bloated 6.19 ERA.Last time out against the Reds on Wednesday, he allowed six runs (five earned) and seven hits in five innings. Meanwhile, Phillies starter Jerad Eickhoff,  is 3-0 along with a 2.00 ERA lifetime against the Padres, and  is coming off one of his best starts of the current campaign, as he threw a season-high 6 2/3 innings and surrendered two runs on nine hits against the Atlanta Braves on Wednesday. He is currently  in very good form and  owns a 3.04 ERA in a recent 23 2/3 inning span. Considering both hurlers current form it will not be difficult for me to take the value moneyline situation with the Phillies.

Padres are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.Padres are 4-9 in their last 13 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Phillies are 25-8 in the last 33 meetings in San Diego.

WOOD team when he starts in his career is 7-23   against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with an slugging percentage .400 or worse in the second half of the season.EICKHOFF is 10-3 L/13  against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season .SAN DIEGO is 17-37 L/54  against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season.

Play on the Philadelphia Phillies to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Royals RH Jake Junis (4-2, 4.70 ERA) vs. Athletics RH Jharel Cotton (5-9, 5.72)

Cotton the Athleitc's starter tonight vs the KC Royals is winless in his last four starts after  Wednesdays down performance which saw him smacked around for six runs and eight hits - three homers - in six innings of a loss to Seattle.Royals are 22-8 in their last 30 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30, which Cotton has. Meanwhile, Junis is expected to be recalled from Triple-A Omaha to make  a start in place of Trevor Cahill. The rookie  was out standing against Seattle on Aug. 6, allowing one run and four hits while striking out a career-high seven in a victory, and is a pitcher that must not be under estimated.

KC has looked good in back to back games, after an ugly slump, and won yesterday by a 14-6 count. I'm expecting they use that momentum of that game to continue gearing up into a top level of play here tonight in Oakland. Note:KANSAS CITY is 14-2 L/16  against the money line after scoring 10 runs or more.

Kansas City is 10-0 on the moneyline in the first game of a series with no rest after a game as a road favorite in which they scored in more innings than their opponent. Oakland is also off a blowout win vs Baltimore, but they don't do so well in this type of situation as the A’s are 0-9  on the moneyline at home when their line is within 20 cents of pickem after a five-plus run win.

MLB teams like the Royals - with a team on base percentage .310 or worse on the season (AL), after a win by 8 runs or more are 75-36 L/111 opportunities dating back 5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate.

Play on the KC Royals to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Sale the Red Sox ace has recorded  a 1.17 ERA in 12 appearances (nine starts) against the Yankees. In New York, he is 1-1 with a 1.80 ERA in five games (four starts) and the current Yankees roster is a combined 19-for-96 (.198) against Sale.He leads the league in ERA, hits per nine innings (6.3), walks per nine (1.62), strikeouts per nine (12.77), strikeout-to-walk ratio (7.90) and innings pitched (161 1/3). With that said,  Im betting the Yankees bats struggle here tonight. Meanwhile, the Yankees will reply with Montgomery , a hurler that has allowed three runs or fewer in 16 starts while recording a  4.05 ERA this season. He faced a good Cleveland batting order last week, and did well and ha looked exceptional in 2 of his L/3 starts. This kid is a viable young thrower and is capable of slowing the Red Sox batting order in this key spot. 

SALE is 14-4 UNDER vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last few seasons with a combined average of 6.5 rpg going on the board.

MLB Home teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 like the Yankees - off a loss to a division rival as a home favorite, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 57-24 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for UNDER bettors.

Play UNDER 

R.A. Dickey (7-7, 4.03), fresh arm will take the mound for the Braves this Sunday afternoon. Dickey the veteran knuckleballer hasn't pitched snince Aug. 4, when he took a 5-3 win over Miami, allowing three hits and three runs in six innings. Meanwhile, St.Louis responds, with Michael Wacha (9-4, 3.70 ERA).He has pitched four times in his career against the Braves, going 0-1 with a 3.07 ERA. I know The Cards are red hot but, Dickey I'm betting keeps them off balance today. I'm not all in on a moneyline win by the Braves, but I am betting they make this interesting , which makes for a value runline wager.

DICKEY team when he starts is 9-3  against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season and is 11-1 against the money line in August games dating back to last season.

The Cards, are 0-18 L/18 against runline, when Micheal Wacha starts as a favorite after he went 6 or more innings, and gave up 6 or less hits in his L/start.

Play on the Atlanta Braves ruline +1.5 1 unit reg selection

Detroit closes its weekend series with Minnesota on Sunday with southpaw Matthew Boyd (5-6, 5.64 ERA) going o the hill. Boyd is 5-1 with a 3.52 ERA in eight starts against the Twins, with his team winning his L/4 starts in this series including 2-0 in three starts this season. Note: The Twins have struggled against lefties like Boyd this season averaging just 3.9 rpg via BA well below the mendoza line (.241).Minnesota counters with right-hander Ervin Santana (12-7, 3.27 ERA). Santana's shortest start of the season, 3 1/3 innings, came against the Tigers on July 21 at Target Field, and my own cross reference power rankings suggest that the Tigers batting order matches up well against him

Twins are 1-6 in Santana L/7 starts in game 3 of a series. Twins are -1-6 in game 3 of a series if their opponent scored 5 or more runs.Tigers are 5-1 in Boyds L/5 starts.

.MINNESOTA is 6-15 against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.9 or more runs/game on the season this season.DETROIT is 35-15  against the money line after scoring 8 runs or more(Tigers won 12-11 yesterday vs the Twins)

Play on the Detroit Tigers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

 Mets LH Steven Matz (2-5, 5.77 ERA) vs. Phillies RH Aaron Nola (8-7, 3.12)

Phillies stater today vs the NY Mets Nola is finally coming into his own as a Major League Hurler . The 24-year-old right-hander has been over powering in his last nine starts recording a 1.76 ERA, .207 batting average against and a 10.3 K/9 rate since June 22. Meanwhile, Matz his NY Mets southpaw pitching opponent is in a big time funk,  as is evident by garnering a ugly  11.03 ERA in his last six starts. Opponents are hitting .418 with a 1.149 OPS against him during the 22 2/3-inning span and is fade material here in this spot.

NY METS are 21-31  against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.Phillies are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 3 of a series.Phillies are 8-2 in their last 10 vs. National League East.Mets are 7-21 in their last 28 during game 3 of a series.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 like the Mets - with a slugging percentage of .500 or better over their last 3 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts are 14-63 over the 5 seasons, and have failed to get a win all 5 times this league wide trend has been effect this season. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher like the Mets - with a slugging percentage of .500 or better over their last 3 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts are 33-109 dating back 5 seasons, and 1-15 this season.

Play on the Philadelphia Phillies to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Indians RH Mike Clevinger (5-4, 4.00 ERA) vs. Rays RH Chris Archer (8-6, 3.80)

Clevinger the Indians starter returns to the rotation after a brief spell in the bullpen and will make his first start since July 31 in Boston, and now I expect he will have a quality start with a fresh arm. He goes against a TB team that has lost 5 of their L/7 and that has suddenly gone into a offensive slump as is evident by being shut out in 4 of their L/7 games, as was the case yesterday in a 5-0 loss to the Indians. I know the Indians have not been playing all that well of late either, but have consistently shown they can bust out of temporary slumps. CLEVELAND is 41-14  against the money line after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games.

TBs starter -ARCHER has seen his team go 3-12 when he starts   against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season and 4-11 L/15  against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 .

Indians are 5-1 in Clevingers last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.Rays are 3-8 in Archers last 11 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Rays are 0-6 in Archers last 6 starts vs. Indians.

Indians are 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Tampa Bay.

Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Pirates RH Trevor Williams (5-4, 4.17 ERA) vs. Blue Jays RH Chris Rowley (NR)

Williams the Pirates starter today has pitched well of late, but on the road this season, he has not been so dominant as is evident by a  ERA that clicks in at 4.89. The Jays have averaged 5.5 RPG in their L/11 and will not be easily held down here in the Skydome. Meanwhile, Rowley the Jays starter has been spending most of his time in minors during his career, and I'm betting the Pirates batting order matches up well against him.

Over is 9-3 in Pirates last 12 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 5-2 in Pirates last 7 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 9-3-1 in Blue Jays last 13 interleague games.Over is 2-0-3 in home plate umpires Bakers last 5 interleague games behind home plate.PITTSBURGH is 11-1 OVER    in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season with a combined average of 12.7 rpg going on the board.The Blue Jays are 12-0 to OVER when their line is within 20 cents of pick-em off a game as a favorite in which they did not score after the third inning and it is after the All-Star break and not a series opener with a combined average of 13.2 rpg going on the board.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection

Cubs RH John Lackey (9-9, 4.81 ERA) vs. Diamondbacks RH Taijuan Walker (6-5, 3.60)
Lackey has pitched well since the All-Star break, going 4-0 with a 3.00 ERA in four starts.Lackey also owns a 4-0 record and 2.76 ERA in five career starts against Arizona with his team winning all 5 starts. Meanwhile, The DBacks respond, with T Walker who's winless streak reached seven starts after his last trip the hill. The Snakes right hander,  owns a 4.14 ERA in eight starts at home - more than a full run higher than his 3.11 road ERA.

Cubs are 5-0 in Lackeys last 5 starts.Diamondbacks are 0-5 in Walkers last 5 starts.Cubs are 9-4 in the last 13 meetings.

ARIZONA is 9-20 L/29  against the money line in home games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game. CHICAGO CUBS are 62-32 L/94  against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150.

Both these teams are struggling at the moment, but I'm betting the Cubs having the edge here today in the desert.

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the moneyline

Braves RH Mike Foltynewicz (10-6, 3.94 ERA) vs. Cardinals RH Adam Wainwright (11-5, 5.00)

Braves starter tonight . Foltynewicz is pitching well, but he was clobbered for seven runs in four innings of a loss to the Cardinals on May 5 in Atlanta. My own cross reference power rankings suggest the Cards batting order matches up very well against the Braves right hander. Note: . The Cardinals outscored the Braves 21-7 in sweeping a three-game series May 5-7 in Atlanta. Meanwhile, the Cards starter Wainwright struggled early in the season, but has since righted his ship, and has now won 11 of his L/13 decisions and gives his team a very good chance at victory in this spot.

Braves are 8-21 in their last 29 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Braves are 0-5 in their last 5 road games.Braves are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Braves are 3-8 in Foltynewiczs last 11 starts vs. National League Central.Cardinals are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Cardinals are 9-2 in their last 11 home games.Cardinals are 41-13 in Wainwrights last 54 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Cardinals are 9-3 in Wainwrights last 12 starts vs. Braves.Braves are 2-7 in the last 9 meetings.

The Cardinals are 19-0 L/19 on the moneyline in the first game of a home series as a favorite of more than 130 after playing as a home favorite when facing a team that has lost at least their last three games with the average margin of victory coming by 4.53 rpg.

Play on the St.Louis Cardinals to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Red Sox LH Eduardo Rodriguez (4-3, 4.08 ERA) vs. Yankees LH Jaime Garcia (5-8, 4.49)

Since returning from a knee injury July 17, Rodriguez the BoSox starter today is 0-1 with a 5.66 ERA in four starts.  .Meanwhile, Since the All-Star break, Garcia the Yankees starting hurler tonight  is 3-1 with a 4.26 ERA in four starts and gives an edge to the Yanks at home in this spot.

I know the Yankees were shut out yesterday 4-0 by the Jays but, I expect they will rebound in game 1 of this series vs their long time rivals the Bosox.

NY YANKEES are 23-8 L/31  against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better this season.Yankees are 9-3 in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Red Sox are 1-6 in the last 7 meetings in New York.

The Red Sox are 0-11 L/11 on the moneyline  as a dog in the first game of a series when they are off a road game in which they had multiple multiple-run innings and it is after the All-Star break losing by an average of 3.27 rpg. 

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 like the Red Sox - after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games against opponent after getting shut out are 108-189 dating back 5 seasons.

Play on the NY Yankees to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

 Indians RH Danny Salazar (4-5, 4.32 ERA) vs. Rays LH Blake Snell (0-6, 4.98)

Salazar has produced three strong starts since coming off the disabled list and is in top form and pitching some of his best  baseball of the season. Danny Salazar also owns  a 2-0 record and 0.66 ERA at Tropicana Field Meanwhile, the Indians seem to love playing here in Tropicana Field as is evident by winning 7 of their L/8 games here and are my choice here tonight.

Rays starter Snell is   0-5 in his last 5 starts vs. American League Central.

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher TB - ice cold hitting team - batting .175 or worse over their last 3 games against opponent ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 10 games are just 14-47 L/61 for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

The Mets have garnered victories in six of their last seven tilts and nine of their last 12 in Philadelphia including a three-game sweep at Citizens Bank Park in April and look primed to grab this game here vs the Phillies again with starting hurler DeGrom on the hill  . The ace of the Mets staff is 5-0 with a 2.34 ERA in nine career starts against the Phillies. ( The Mets have won all 9 of those starts). Meanwhile, his pitching opponent from the Phillies V. Velasquez  is   1-4 with a 5.54 ERA in seven appearances in Philadelphia.Velasquez was slapped around for eight runs over 11 innings over back-to-back starts against the Mets in April and once again looks like fade material.

Mets are 4-0 in deGroms last 4 starts vs. National League East.Mets are 10-2 in deGroms last 12 starts during game 1 of a series.Phillies are 3-9 in Velasquezs last 12 home starts.Mets are 4-0 in deGroms last 4 road starts vs. Phillies.DEGROM is 14-1 L/15  against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season .

Play on the NY Mets to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Yankees RH Sonny Gray (6-6, 3.41 ERA) vs. Blue Jays RH Marco Estrada (4-7, 5.12)

The Blue Jays bats have been inconsistent  this season, but it must be noted that when NYY starter GRAY goes to the hill, his team is 3-11   against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season. GRAY when he starts  is 1-10   against the money line on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 dating back to last season I know Estrada the Jays starter has not had a great season, but he has garnered a tight 2.84 ERA in his L/3 starts, and is capable of holding the Yankees batters down. 

Blue Jays are 6-1 in Estradas last 7 starts vs. Yankees.Yankees are 4-11 in the last 15 meetings in Toronto.

The Yanks are public favorites, so sometimes their lines are skewed, and today, with the unfortunate Sonny Gray on the hill I'm betting we have a value line to bet into with the Jays.

Play on the Toronto Blue Jays to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Padres LH Travis Wood (2-3, 6.49 ERA) vs. Reds RH Asher Wojciechowski (2-1, 4.15)

I am betting on Votto and the Cincinnati offense to unload on Wood tonight and for rookie Wojciechowski to do just enough to get us to the promised land tonight.

Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Padres are 29-59 in their last 88 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Padres are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.

The Reds are 24-0 L/24 as a home 140+ favorite off a game as a favorite in which they allowed 6+ runs which happened yesterday.

MLB teams with a money line of -100 to -150 like the Reds- after 5 straight games where they had less than 10 hits, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA >= 7.00 over his last 3 starts are long term 158-84 for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Cleveland starter today vs Colorado is Trevor Bauer (10-8, 5.00 ERA). Bauer has won each of his past three starts, and has garnered a stingy 2.25 ERA and  is tied with Corey Kluber and Carlos Carrasco for the team lead in wins. Meanwhile,Right-hander Antonio Senzatela (10-4, 4.78 ERA) will start Wednesday for the Rockies. Over his last five starts, he is 1-2 with an 8.05 ERA and is not in good form.

COLORADO is 3-20 all time  against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game in the second half of the season .Rockies are 3-15 in their last 18 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Rockies are 0-4 in Senzatelas last 4 road starts.Rockies  are.e 15-36 in their last 51 interleague road games.Indians are 13-3 in their last 16 home games.Indians are 8-1 in their last 9 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Rockies are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings in Cleveland.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more like the Rockies- NL team with a low on-base percentage (.350 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or better), hot hitting team - batting .280 or better over their last 20 games are 22-90 for a go against conversion rate of 81% for bettors .Indians manager FRANCONA is 38-13 L/51 against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start .

Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Birdwell the Orioles starter today is 5-1 with a 3.20 ERA. Los Angeles is 9-1 in the games the rookie has pitched this season. Meanwhile, the O's will counter with newly acquired  Hellickson (7-5, 4.45 ERA).

The Orioles took out the Angels yesterday by a 6-2 count wasting Trouts 1000th career hit, and a HR , but today I'm betting they rebound and get us the win.

BALTIMORE is 0-14  against the money line in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better this season. BRIDWELL team when he starts is 7-1 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season.BALTIMORE is 0-10  against the money line in road games after 2 straight games where they committed no errors this season. BRIDWELL team when he starts  is 5-0  against the money line against AL East opponents this season.

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 like the Halos - team with a terrible OBP (.310 or worse) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less ) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start are 77-38 dating back 20 seasons.

Play on the LA Angels to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

The Royals starting pitcher Vargas (13-5, 3.10 ERA) goes against a hot St. Louis offense currently in a funk. The lefty has not pitched well since the start of July accumulating a  1-3 record along with a bloated 6.85 ERA in his L/5 starts.St. Louis will counter with right-hander Michael Wacha who is 4-5 with a 3.42 ERA in 13 career interleague starts.

After scoring 13 runs Sunday in Cincinnati, the Cardinals kept the bats rolling Monday and pounded the Royals 11-3. Tonight, I expect they will roll again and help us get this score over the total.

ST LOUIS is 8-0 OVER  vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season with an average of 13.4 rpg going on the board.ST LOUIS is 10-2 OVER  in an inter-league game this season with a combined average of 11.5 rpg scored.WACHA is 18-4 OVER L/22 on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 with a combined average score of 10 rpg going on the board Manager .MATHENY is 11-1 OVER L/12  in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the season.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection

The Pirates starter Kuhl is coming off his best start of the season; he threw seven scoreless innings against the Reds on Thursday. Kuhl has really hit a groove  after a rough start to the season, posting a 2.70 ERA and .620 opponents’ OPS since July 1. The hard throwing hurler,  has not tired easily either ,  as his 96.6-mph average this season on fastballs thrown in the seventh inning or later ranks fourth among all pitchers who have thrown at least 10 of them that late in a game. Meanwhile ,Boyd the Tigers starter  in nine road starts this season,  has posted a bloated 5.61 ERA sand is fade material here today.

Tigers are 0-6 in their last 6 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.Pirates are 23-8 in their last 31 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more like the Pirates - cold hitting team - batting .190 or worse over their last 3 games, starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 74-19 for a 80% conversion rate for bettors dating back 5 seasons.

The Giants (44-69) are mired in last place in the NL West, but they beat Arizona 6-3 on Sunday and won the series 2-1 and must not be underestimated in this particular situation. It was San Francisco that the Cubs beat in last seasons 2016 NL Division Series, and now the Giants out of the play off race, would love nothing more to get a little revenge and  curtail any hopes of the Cubs have of making a run at post season play.

I know the Cubs starter Arrieta (10-8, 3.88 ERA) is in good form while Moore (3-11, 5.80 ERA) the Giants starting hurler is mired in a season long slump. But it must be noted Moore , the last time he faced the Cubs at AT&T, in Game 4 of the 2016 NL Division Series he surrendered just two runs (one earned) over eight innings with 10 strikeouts , and will very motivated and  primed for a repeat performance in the opening game of this series.

ARRIETA's team when he starts  is just  5-9  against the money line against NL West opponents dating back to last season. SAN FRANCISCO is 26-16 L/42  against the money line in home games vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better .CHICAGO CUBS are 10-16   against the money line against NL West opponents this season.Giants are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. National League Central.Giants are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Giants have won 6 of the L/9 home games in this series.

MLB Road teams like the Cubs  - with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.100 or less  over his last 10 games, after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 5 or more earned runs are  16-36 for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the San Francisco Giants to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Ramirez (10-9, 4.03 ERA) the Angles man on the hill tonight has been the most consistent Angels starter since May and is a quality candidate to back for bankroll expansion this evening vs the Baltimore Orioles. The Orioles'  starter, Dylan Bundy (10-8, 4.24 ERA), began his year in very good form but, then slowly began to garner less effectiveness  back in June. In his past 10 appearances, he has recorded only had four quality starts and has gone six innings or more just four times  and is fade material. He has faced the Angels once, in 2016, when he gave up four runs in a ugly 1 1/3-inning relief effort.

Orioles are 8-19 in their last 27 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Angels are 5-1 in Ramirezs last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Angels are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher like the Orioles - with a slugging percentage of .500 or better over their last 3 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts  are 32- 109 and have lost all 15 straight times when this long term league wide trend has been effect this season.

Play on the LA Angels to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Brewers LH Brent Suter (2-2, 3.04 ERA) vs. Twins RH Ervin Santana (12-7, 3.28)
Suter the Brewers starting hurler has pitched well in his last three trips to the hill on the road, allowing five runs over 17 innings. He has made 5 quality starts in his L/6 trips to the mound and is a viable pitcher to back in this spot. Meanwhile, Santana the Twins starter, has lost each of his last two turns at  home and has had trouble with the Brewers, going 0-2 with a 7.41 ERA in three career starts. He did pitch well last time out, but the Twins are 9-23 in Santanas last 32 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Twins are also just 1-11 in Santanas last 12 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.MILWAUKEE is 11-5  against the money line in an inter-league game this season.

SANTANA is 3-11 L/14  against the money line in home games in night games. Twins are 2-10 in their last 12 games vs. a left-handed starter.The Twins are 0-14 L/14  with no rest in the first game of a series coming off a one-run, non-shutout win as a favorite , which happened last time out.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 like the Twins - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a good NL starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or better), with a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start are just 14-41 for a go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Brewers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

NYM starter tonight Matz's winless streak now stands at  six starts . Since his most  last win on June 28, Matz is 0-3 with an 8.53 ERA and fade material tonight vs a Dodgers team that has won 43 of their L/50 games. Meanwhile, Ryu the dodgers starter is coming off his best start of the season July 30, when he allowed five hits over seven scoreless innings in a no decision. RYU owns a 2.38 ERA in his last 4 starts and looks more than capable of helping his team notch yet another win this evening on national tv. Note: The Mets are hitting just .238 as a team at home this season, and averaging just 4.3 rpg, and are a disadvantage vs an explosive dodgers lineup.

RYUs team is is 27-8  when he starts against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in his career.NY METS are 8-24   against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. MATZ team when he starts  is 3-11   against the money line in the second half of the season dating back to last season.

LA DODGERS are 18-2   against the money line vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season this season. LA DODGERS are 15-1 against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less  errors/game in the second half of the season this season.

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more like the Mets - with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game, with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP  2.000 or worse over his last 3 starts are just 17-65 for a go against conversion rate of 79% for bettors.

Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Patrick Corbin the DBacks starter  owns a bloated 7.24 ERA on the road this season, and is almost always a candidate to implode even against a struggling offense like the Giants own. Meanwhile,  The giants starter Samardzija is 2-3 with a 4.45 ERA in 14 games (nine starts) in his career against Arizona and despite of pitching well of late does not matchup well vs the Dbacks batting order according to my own cross reference power rankings.

 CORBIN is 10-0 OVER  L/10 vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 14.3 rpg going on the board. CORBIN is 8-0 OVER   vs. an NL team with an slugging percentage .400 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The Diamondbacks have gone over  14 straight times by an average of 5.29 ERPG  when Patrick Corbin starts when they lost in his last start and they also lost in his last start against the current opponent.

Play OVER

Yesterday these teams took part in a pitchers duel, and the Yankees pulled off the 2-1 win. Today Im betting on the Indians bouncing back in a big way. Todays pitching matchup features Cleveland's Carlos Carrasco (10-4, 3.89) vs. New York's Luis Severino (8-4, 2.98). Note:Severino will pitch with an extra day of rest after being taxed for 116 pitches over just five innings in his last start, a July 31 outing vs. the Tigers and could easily feel some exhaustion as this game progresses.

CLEVELAND is a long term 251-188  against the money line revenging a one run loss to opponent.

NY YANKEES are 14-24   against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.

From a long term MLB Archive: MLB  Home teams like the Indians - excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less  SB's/game on the season against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 3 starts are 425-294 dating back 20 seasons.

Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

A's starters have allowed four runs or more in seven of their last eight games, and gone less than four innings four times over  that span. The starting pitchers' ERA in the last seven games is above 8.00, and I'm betting things do not get much better tonight with  RHP Paul Blackburn (2-1, 3.05), who was recalled from Triple-A Nashville on July 1.Blackburn has a fastball that tops out at 89 mph and is a very hittable pitcher, and despite of his small sample size of stats, that show he's a quality pitcher, my cross reference power rankings suggest he at a disadvantage vs the Halos batting order . Meanwhile, Angels are 6-0 in their southpaw starters  Skaggs' last 6 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.  With that said, Billy Beans team, is now in the process of playing out the string and trying to figure out future lineups, which means the As motivation as a group will be limited as their will their ability to win.

OAKLAND is 4-16 L/20 against the money line in road games with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) this season.LA ANGELS are 41-18 L/59  against the money line in home games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season.OAKLAND is 13-36   against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season.Athletics are 11-44 in their last 55 road games vs. a left-handed starter.

Play on the LA Angels to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Youngster Nick Pivetta will take the mound for the Phillies. Pivetta pitched well in his previous start, giving up just one run in six innings against the Braves, and despite of some rookie mistakes this season this kid has some good stuff, and is more than capable of keeping his team in this game vs a Rockies side, that has slowed down on their offensive production of late, averaging just 4.3 rpg in their L/10 overall.

Phillies are 5-2 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 like Jon Gray the Rockies starting hurler.Rockies are 1-4 in Grays last 5 starts vs. National League East. Rockies are 0-5 in Grays last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.Rockies are 3-9 in their last 12 during game 2 of a series.

MLB team like the Phillies - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against a below avg. starter (ERA= 5.20 to 5.70)-NL, with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game are 41-13 for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 like the Rockies - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a below average starter (ERA= 5.20 to 5.70)-NL, hot hitting team - batting .280 or better over their last 20 games are 18-31 for a go against 63% underdog conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Philadelphia Phillies to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

The Yankees enter this game in a funk, and  have lost four in a row and scored a total of six runs in those games. I'm betting things won't get much better  Saturday night at Progressive Field in the third game of a four-game series against the Cleveland Indians.

The pitching matchup Saturday will be Cleveland's Danny Salazar (4-5, 4.63 ERA) vs. New York's Jordan Montgomery (7-6, 4.15).Salazar has been hard on opposing offenses in two starts since coming off the disabled list. In two starts since being activated off the DL on July 22, Salazar is 1-0, with a 1.38 ERA and has held opponents to a .095 batting average, with 16 strikeouts and two walks in 13 innings of masterful work.In his last start, Salazar generated a season-high 23 swinging strikes, per Statcast. The only Indians pitcher to record more whiffs in a single game this season was Corey Kluber on June 1. Meanwhile, the Yanks starter Montgomery is coming off his worst start of the season, a 5-3 loss to Tampa Bay on July 30 and he was  1-2 with a 5.90 ERA in July.

CLEVELAND is 21-3 L/24  against the money line after 2 straight wins by 4 runs or more. FRANCONA is 30-8 in his career as a manager  against the money line after 2 straight wins by 4 runs or more .CLEVELAND is 18-4 L/22 against the money line in home games vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game in the second half of the season dating back to last season.NY YANKEES are 5-11 against the money line after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse this season.

Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Estrada the Jays starter allowed a total of three runs and seven hits in 12 innings over his last two trips to the hill  after throwing seven strong innings against the Chicago White Sox on Monday. He will go against a Houston offense, that has been inconsistent of late, in boom or bust fashion. Meanwhile, Toronto has scored 42 runs in their L/6 games, which is just under 7 rpg. Their ability to explode offensively makes them viable underdogs.

Blue Jays are 6-1 in Estradas last 7 starts vs. American League West .Estrada  is a perfect 5-0 in his career as a dog after a start where he threw 100 or more pitches (which happened last time out)

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 like Toronto - with a slugging percentage of .500 or better over their last 3 games, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 6.50 or worse over his last 10 starts are a bankroll expanding , 50-37 .

Play on the Blue Jays to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Scribner the Halos starter tonight vs the As will make his first Major League start on Friday, replacing Jesse Chavez in the Angels’ rotation. The 26-year-old has allowed two runs over four innings in a pair of relief outings for the Halos this season.He was solid as a starter for Triple-A Salt Lake City, going 10-3 with a 4.16 ERA in 97 1/3 innings before getting called up to Anaheim. Meanwhile, the Athletics starter cotton is still rusty and struggled in his first start off the disabled list, allowing five runs in 3 2/3 innings Sunday against the Twins. After developing a blister on his right thumb June 23, Cotton only made one start in July before he faced Minnesota and despite of being fresh, has seen his arm strength decrease.Cotton will be facing the Angels for the fourth time in his career, but he has struggled against them, going just 1-2 with a 7.47 ERA in 15 2/3 innings of sub par work and once again looks like fade material.  I also expect Mike Trout, who has owned the A's in his career, hitting 23 homers (tied for the most he's hit against any team) and stealing 21 bases (the most he's stolen against any team) to be the catalyst behind a As victory in this spot.

Athletics are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Angels are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.Athletics are 0-6 in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles.the Athletics are 0-10 L/10 as a dog with no rest in the first game of a series when they are off a game as a dog and facing a divisional opponent with more wins.

Play on the LA Angels to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Nova the Pirates starter is off two straight  down performances, but  he's been at his best at PNC Park, with a 7-2 record along with a  2.83 ERA this year and very capable of a rebound today.San Diego will counter with left-hander Travis Wood (2-3, 6.42).

NOVAs team when he starts  is 20-8   against the money line in August games in his career.Padres are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Pittsburgh.Pirates are 4-0 in Novas last 4 home starts.Padres are 27-56 in their last 83 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

MLB favorites with a money line of -150 or more like the Pirates - poor power team (0.9 or less  HR's/game) against a starting pitcher who gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL are a bankroll expanding 100-26 for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the runline -1.5

The Astros are inserting the fresh arm of Peacock, into the starting role tonight , as he is filling in for Lance McCullers Jr. (10-day DL, back discomfort). The Stros hurler  will make his first start since July 24. Peacock went 4-0 with a 2.42 ERA in five July games (four starts). Meanwhile, the Jays will respond, with Valdez who allowed seven runs in his last outing against the Angels and looks like a candidate for a beat down vs the explosive Astros offense tonight.Opponents have managed at least a 95-mph exit velocity 45.7 percent of the time they have put the ball in play against Valdez this season. That's tied for the highest hard-hit rate among all pitchers who have generated at least 75 balls in play in 2017.

Astros are 6-0 in Peacocks last 6 starts.

HOUSTON is 23-6   against the money line vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game this season.HOUSTON is 54-24  against the money line against right-handed starters this season

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher like the Blue Jays  - with a slugging percentage of .500 or better over their last 3 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts are just 32-108 dating back 5 seasons and are 0-14 this season.

Play on the Houston Astros to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Conley the Marlins starter has found a groove. In three starts since being called up from the Minors, the lefty has gone at least 6 innings and allowed 2 or fewer runs in each outing. He struck out 7 and allowed just 2 runs in 7 2/3 innings to the Reds his last time out.He was 2-0 with 0.98 ERA in three starts versus Atlanta last year and is 3-0 with a 2.73 ERA vs. the Braves in five career outings. I know Dickey the Braves knuckleballer is also in a groove, but according to my own data, and cross reference power rankings the Marlins batting order has an edge.

Braves are 1-4 in Dickeys last 5 starts.Marlins are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Atlanta beat the Marlins 5-4 in their last meeting back on June 18 in walk off fashion. It must be noted however, that the Marlins are 11-0 L/11  in the first game of a series when seeking same season revenge for a walk-off loss in their last meeting against this team.

Play on the Miami Marlins to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Right-hander Tanner Roark, the Nats starter will take the mound for the Nationals on Friday. It'll be his fifth career appearance at Wrigley, where he owns a 3.38 ERA.The Cubs will counter with right-hander Kyle Hendricks, who has given up two runs in 9 1/3 innings -- with eight strikeouts and no walks -- in two starts since being activated from the disabled list.

I expect both starters to do enough to help keep this score on the low side of the Total.

Under is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter. HENDRICKS when he starts is 10-1 UNDER   when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%)  with a combined average of 4.9 rpg.Under is 4-0 in Hendricks' last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.

MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 like the Nationals  - after getting shut out against opponent after a combined score of 17 runs or more are 30-8 under L/38 opportunities.

Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection

Phillies RH Jerad Eickhoff (2-7, 4.56 ERA) vs. Angels RH Parker Bridwell (5-1, 2.83)

Phillies starter Eickhoff is 0-5 with a 5.36 ERA in eight road starts this season and 7-14 with a 4.26 ERA in 29 career outings away from home and once again looks like fade material. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent from the Angels , Bridwell, was in top form in July by going 3-0 with a 1.69 ERA in four starts, and looks like a viable  investment option in this spot. The Angels are 7-1 in games he has started.

The Angels are playing at a very high level right now and have won 5 of their L/6, and took down the  Phillies for the 11th consecutive time yesterday  7-0 victory and have won the first two games of the series by a lopsided combined 14-1 score and I'm betting nothing changes.

Phillies are 0-6 in Eickhoffs last 6 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.Angels are 4-0 in Bridwells last 4 starts.Angels are 7-2 in their last 9 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.Phillies are 0-11 in the last 11 meetings.Phillies are 0-6 in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles.LA ANGELS are 13-1 L/14  against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in the second half of the season .PHILADELPHIA is 1-11   against the money line after a loss by 6 runs or more this season.

Play on the LA Angels to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Reds RH Sal Romano (2-2, 4.57 ERA) vs. Pirates RH Chad Kuhl (3-7, 4.84)

The Reds took the first two games of this series, and looks capable of producing a sweep of this series vs the Pirates. 

PITTSBURGH is 2-12   against the money line in home games vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game in the second half of the season dating back to last season.The Reds are a 8-0 L/8 in the last game of a series as a 140 or more dog  after a game in which they hit multiple home runs

Pirates are 6-14 in Kuhls last 20 starts.Pirates are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.Pirates are 0-6 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Reds are 8-0 in the last 8 meetings in Pittsburgh.

Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Kuhl the Pirates starter has allowed more than two earned runs just three times in his past 11 starts. His biggest problem is run support, which justifies my backing an under wager here this evening. He goes against the Reds Right-hander Sal Romano (2-2, 4.57 ERA) a hurler that does not give up many extra base hits. 

PITTSBURGH is 18-5 UNDER  L/23 vs. an NL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season this season with an average of 7.7 rpg scored. PITTSBURGH is 20-6 UNDER in the second half of the season this season with an average of 8 rpg going on the board. Under is 9-2-1 in Reds last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 11-0 in Pirates last 11 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 11-0 in Pirates last 11 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 21-6-1 in Pirates last 28 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-1-1 in Kuhls last 6 starts overall.Under is 11-5-1 in the last 17 meetings in Pittsburgh.The Pirates are 0-13-1 under  after they did not hit a home run last game.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection

Cardinals RH Michael Wacha (8-4, 3.71 ERA) vs. Brewers RH Matt Garza (4-5, 3.83)

Cardinals starter vs the Brewers today Wacha,  is 8-4 with a 3.71 ERA this season but has a bloated  7.20 ERA without a decision in two outings against Milwaukee in 2017, and I'm betting he gets lit up again today vs a batting order that matches up well against him. Meanwhile, the Brewers starter Garza  is set to make his first start following a second stint on the disabled list this season, and could easily experience some rust, which will aid the Cards in producing runs in this game.

WACHA is 7-0 OVER  L/7 when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) with a combined average of 12.2 rpg getting scored.WACHA is 18-4 OVER  L/22 on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 with a combined average of 10 rpg going on the board. Over is 21-5-2 in Wachas last 28 road starts.Over is 5-1 in Wachas last 6 starts vs. Brewers.Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Play OVER

Cardinals RH Michael Wacha (8-4, 3.71 ERA) vs. Brewers RH Matt Garza (4-5, 3.83)

Wacha has struggled in both outings this season versus Milwaukee, surrendering four runs on seven hits in both no-decisions on May 1 and June 15. I'm betting the Brewers do some damage here, and with the added value of getting a run and half on the runline, I very much like our chances of cashing this ticket.

MILWAUKEE is 9-1   against the money line vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less  SB's/game this season.The Cardinals are 0-17L/17 on the runline   when Michael Wacha starts as a favorite after he went 6+ innings gave up 6 or fewer hits in his last start.

Play on the Milwaukee Brewers on the runline +1.5

Ace left-hander Dallas Keuchel (9-0, 1.94 ERA) goes to the hill for the Astros tonight in a game I'm betting the Astros win comfortably. He is a perfect 4-0 at home this season, in 5 starts along with a  minuscule 1.04 ERA.TB responds with Right-hander Austin Pruitt (5-2, 6.63 ERA).

KEUCHELs team  is 10-0 when he starts  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season winning SU by an average of 3.8 rpg, which reflects in the confidence of my runline selection this evening. TAMPA BAY is 8-24 L/32  against the money line in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season losing SU by an average of 1.7 rpg. It must also be noted that TB is 0-31 L/31 as a 170plus underdog vs a starter with an ERA less than 3.439, a walks allowed per start of less than 2.2 and a home runs allowed of at least 0.35 per game.

Play on the Houston Astros

Diamondbacks RH Zack Godley (4-4, 3.06 ERA) vs. Cubs RH Jake Arrieta (10-7, 4.03)

The Chicago Cubs right-hander starter  went 3-1 with a 2.25 ERA in five July starts -- including three consecutive quality trips to the hill. He now leads the Cubs rotation in wins. His Cubs will be ready to support him against Godley' whos only career start against the Cubs, saw him give up six runs in 3 2/3 innings during a 2015 loss. Chicago smashed out  five homers and bashed out a  16-4 win in the series opener Tuesday and they once again look like strong favorites in this spot, vs  Diamondbacks team that  are 0-21 L/21 as a road 140+ dog past thee first game of a series after they lost and never led last game.

Diamondbacks are also 0-7 in their last 7 during game 2 of a series.Cubs are 8-0 in Arrietas last 8 starts with 6 days of rest.Diamondbacks are 1-6 in the last 7 meetings in Chicago

MLB Road teams like the Dbacks - with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP

 Braves Julio Teheran has never beaten the Dodgers, going 0-7 with a 5.32 ERA in seven starts and I'm betting nothing changes tonight. Teheran is 1-7 at home this season, bloated 7.05 ERA. The Braves have lost 12 of their L/15 and now look to be playing out the string.

LA DODGERS are 55-13   against the money line vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season.TEHERAN is 6-22   against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.

Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Twins RH Ervin Santana (11-7, 3.37 ERA) vs. Padres RH Luis Perdomo (5-5, 4.76)

Twins all star hurler Santana is 2-0 with a 1.69 ERA in four career starts against the Padres and 7--2 along with a solid 2.59 ERA on the road this season. I know he has struggled since the all star break, but he is a quality pitcher that will be back on track sooner than later.

San Diego posted a 3-0 victory in Tuesday's series , but have lost 9 of their L/10 in this series, and according to my post all star rankings are not the superior team in this matchup, despite of playing better ball of late. I know the Twins are struggling but I'm betting on them avoiding  a 2 game sweep of this series.

Twins are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.Padres are 0-6 in their starters Perdomos last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.Padres are 6-13 in their last 19 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.

Play on the Minnesota Twins to win on the monyeline 1unit reg selection

As starter Manaea went seven or more innings in four of his five July starts, going 1-1 with a 3.71 ERA in the month.Manaea beat the Giants last season at the Coliseum when he threw 5 2/3 innings of scoreless ball and looks like a soil option in this spot.

Meanwhile, the Giants will send Jeff Samardzija to the hill. He's a good control pitcher, but it must be noted that OAKLAND is 13-1   against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season.SAN FRANCISCO is 11-31  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season.

Play on the Oakland As to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Toronto right-hander Marcus Stroman (9-5, 3.08 ERA) will face Chicago right-hander Mike Pelfrey (3-8, 4.73 tonight).Stroman was ejected from his last start in a fiery exchange with the home plate umpire, and walked a career high six batters before his early exit. The right-hander has now walked 11 batters in his last 12 1/3 innings pitched and is not in the best of  form. Stroman has struggled against the White Sox in his career, going 0-3 with a 6.23 ERA in five starts and is far from being a solid favorite tonight.

Note:In five career starts against Toronto, Pelfrey is 2-2 with a 3.49 ERA.

TORONTO is 7-12   against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more this season. STROMAN is 0-7   against the money line in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season dating back to last season, and is is 0-7   against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the season dating back to last season.

Yesterday, the Jays took a 6-0 lead over the Pale Hose, but the White Sox came back and prevailed 7-6. That's extremely deflating for a team, and payback is far from being a guaranteed outcome today despite of what the linesmakers are expecting.

MLB Road teams like the Jays - with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games, after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs are 32-71 for a go against conversion rate of 69% for bettors.

Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Indians starter Carrasco held the Angels to two runs over 6 1/3 innings on Wednesday, striking out five and walking none. The big right-hander is 7-2 with a 2.87 ERA in 11 road starts this year. I know he goes against the ace of the Red Sox rotation, Chris Sale, however, the BoSox hurler is just 5-7 with a 4.07 in 27 career appearances (16 starts) against Cleveland.The Indians have some good numbers against Sale. Francisco Lindor is 8-for-16 (.500), Edwin Encarnacion 5-for-13 (.385), Jose Ramirez 5-for-14 (.357) and Carlos Santana 12-for-30 (.300) with a homer. and must not be underestimated a value line here today.SALE is 5-13 L/18  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season dating back to last season. CARRASCO team when he starts  is 21-6 L/27 against the money line in road games in night games .

Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Right-hander Felix Hernandez (5-4, 4.08 ERA) is expected to take the mound for the Mariners against Rangers left-hander Cole Hamels (5-1, 3.97).Hamels took his first loss of the season in Baltimore on July 20, but he bounced back to beat the Marlins on Tuesday. He's received five-plus runs of support in 10 of his 11 starts in 2017, and is 4-0 with a 2.88 ERA at home this season. Meanwhile, Hernandez is 3-2 with a 3.67 ERA in seven starts since a two-month DL stint with shoulder bursitis.  The veteran is just  7-11 with a 4.28 ERA in 23 career starts in Arlington.

HAMELS is 14-2 L/16  against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last few seasons.HAMELS is 25-7 L/35  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game .HAMELS is 15-3 L/18  against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175.

Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 like the Rangers - with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 80%.

Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

The Monday pitching matchup features Washington left-hander Gio Gonzalez (8-5, 2.81 ERA) and Marlins right-hander Jose Urena (9-4, 4.04 ERA).Urena has had his work cut out for him in July, giving up 16 runs in 24 innings (6.00 ERA) in five starts with 22 strikeouts and 12 walks. Urena has a 1-0 record with a 6.10 ERA in 10 1/3 innings vs. Washington and is once again fade material in this spot. Meanwhile, Washingtons starter , Gonzalez has seen Four of the six runs he gave up in his past two starts come in the first inning. After allowing two runs in the first in his last outing, he threw six scoreless innings. He is 1-0 with a 2.08 ERA in two starts vs. his hometown team in '17 and looks like a solid  hurler to back here this evening on the road where he is 7-3 along with a stable 3.95 ERA. .

MIAMI is 5-16  against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season.WASHINGTON is 18-7  against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 this season.WASHINGTON is 61-30 L/91  against the money line as a road favorite of -110 or higher .

Play on the Washington Nationals to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Detroits starter Fulmer turned in a strong start against the Royals on Tuesday, allowing three runs in eight innings five days after being chased in the third against them. He threw six scoreless frames last year in his only start against the Yankees and is a upset candidate here this Monday evening.FULMER is 12-6 L/18  against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher. Meanwhile,  His pitching opponent from the Yankees , SEVERINO despite of pitching well of late is 2-8 L/10 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record and could be in trouble against a confident Tigers offense that just scored 13 runs in a lopsided win vs the Astros yesterday. Note: DETROIT is 14-3 L/17  against the money line after a win by 8 runs or more.

Play on the Detroit Tigers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Garret Cole the Pirates hurler is in good form compared to Clayton Richard the Padres staring thrower. However, considering how ice cold the Pirates bats have been, I'm betting the pitching matchup advantage will only be marginal.

The Padres have looked strong in the first two games of this series, while the Pirates look stagnant in key situations and vulnerable to being swept.

SAN DIEGO is 20-12 against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse this season.PITTSBURGH is 5-16 against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.

MLB Road teams like Pittsburgh - ice cold hitting team - batting .175 or worse over their last 3 games against opponent with a slugging percentage of .460 or better over their last 15 games are 15-49 dating back 5 seasons, for a go against conversion rate of 77%.

Play on the San Diego Padres to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

 Twins LH Adalberto Mejia (4-4, 4.10 ERA) vs. Athletics RH Chris Smith (0-1, 3.32)

The As starter Mejia owns a 4.10 ERA in 15 starts this season. In his past six starts, Mejia is 3-1 with a 2.38 ERA. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent Smith is a crafty hurler, with a fastball clocked in the mid 80's . He has yet to record a major league win, and is once again fade material.

Twins are 0-4 in Mejias last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Twins are 22-9 in their last 31 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

MINNESOTA is 21-9 L/30  against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse this season.Athletics are 17-35 in their last 52 games vs. a left-handed starter.Athletics are 0-5 in their last 5 overall.OAKLAND is 4-17   against the money line after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games this season which has just happened.

Play on the Minnesota Twins to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Cubs RH Kyle Hendricks (4-3, 3.95 ERA) vs. Brewers RH Junior Guerra (1-4, 5.22)

Cubs pitcher Kyle Hendricks has enjoyed success at Miller Park, where he is 4-1 with a 2.52 ERA in six starts and once again I expect he will be in good from.  Meanwhile, Brewers starter Guerra is 1-0 with a 2.03 ERA in two starts against the Cubs, with both occurring last season and despite of some very inconsistent efforts of late matches up well vs the Cubs batting order.

Under is 10-3 in Brewers last 13 overall. Under is 4-1-2 in Cubs last 7 overall.Under is 4-1-2 in Cubs last 7 overall.Under is 9-1 in Guerras last 10 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Under is 7-1 in Guerras last 8 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 8-0-1 in Guerras last 9 starts during game 2 of a series.Under is 11-4 in Guerras last 15 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

MILWAUKEE is 12-2 UNDER   in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) in the second half of the season dating back to last season, with a combined average with a combined average of 6.4 rpg scored.  CHICAGO CUBS are 31-19 UNDER   when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection

The Rockies will send German Marquez (8-4, 4.20 ERA) to the hill for this opener vs the red hot  Nationals (9-3 L/12) . Marquez is 0-1 with an 18.00 ERA against Washington after facing them on April 25 and allowing nine hits and eight runs The Rockies hurler once again looks to be a disadvantage according to my cross reference pitcher vs offense (batting order) data base . Meanwhile, Washington starting pitcher Tanner Roark (8-6, 4.83) is currently in  top form after a slow start to his campaign.He is 2-0 with a 1.38 ERA in his last two starts, and he is 1-0 with a 3.00 ERA in two career appearances (one start) against the Rockies and has an advantage vs a side that is slumping as is evident by 3 straight losses.

COLORADO is 4-15 L/19  against the money line vs. a team with a terrible bullpen whose ERA is 5.20 or worse. WASHINGTON is 41-18   against the money line in night games this season. Rockies are 3-13 in their last 16 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

Rockies are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Rockies are 5-16 in their last 21 road games.Nationals are 11-3 in their last 14 vs. National League West.

Play on the Washington Nationals to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection   

The Phillies clobbered the Braves last night by a 10-3 count, and lost their previous game by an identical 10-3 count to the DBacks,  but I'm betting the Braves rebound here this evening vs a very inconsistent Phillies team.ATLANTA is 11-2 L/13  against the money line in road games after allowing 9 runs or more 2 straight games. ATLANTA is 9-2 L/11  against the money line in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 10 or more runs. Braves Manager SNITKER is 9-1  against the money line in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 10 or more runs.

Phillies starter EICKHOFF's team when he starts  is 1-11 L/12  against the money line in night games this season.Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter like the Braves Newcomb. Phillies are 3-10 in Eickhoffs last 13 starts.

Play on the  Atlanta Braves to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

The Tigers starting hurler Boyd (4-5, 5.48 ERA), I'm expecting may be a little drained after  his daughter was born Thursday. In 2 career starts , vs the Astros he owns a 7.20 ERA despite a 1-0 record. Houston will respond with Right-hander Collin McHugh, a rotation regular last season. This is just  his second start of the year and should supply a fresh arm for the Astros in this spot.MCHUGH's  team is 17-4  L/21  when he starts against the money line when playing against a lower tier team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) .

Houston is clobbering opposition offenses on the road this season averaging 7.1 rpg and have been hard on southpaw hurlers like Boyd averaging 6.1 rpg. Meanwhile, the Tigers have averaged 4.5 rpg via a .249 BA vs righties like McHugh.

HOUSTON is 24-5 L/29 against the money line vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse this season.HOUSTON is 10-1 against the money line when the total is 10 or higher this season.HOUSTON is 29-4 against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 this season.DETROIT is 7-18  against the money line against AL West opponents this season.

Play on the Houston Astros to win vs the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

 TB Blake Snell LHP ( 0-6, 4.86 ERA) vs Yankees Caleb Smith LHP ( 1-8 , 8.10 ERA)

TB has scored an average of 4.6 rpg on the road this season, while, the Yankees have scored 5.9 rpg at home this season. The Rays have scored 5 runs in 4 of their L/6, and have allowed 5 or more runs in 4 of their L/6, and my own projections estimate a similar type out put, which favors this number being eclipsed. The Yankees have scored 5 or more runs in 6 of their L/7 games, and my output projections estimates 6 plus runs, which pushes me toward a over wager.

Over is 10-1 L/11 vs a LH starter for Rays and their L/4 games vs a lefty starter have gone over. Over is 9-4 L/13 meetings in NY.

TAMPA BAY is 27-13 OVER L/40 vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season with a combined average of 10 rpg going on the scoreboard. 

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

Left-hander Robbie Ray (9-5, 3.15), starts for the DBacks tonight vs the Cards. Ray was smacked around for four first-inning runs Sunday against Washington in a 6-2 defeat at Chase Field.Ray's first two career starts against the Cardinals have resulted in losses and a bloated  7.88 and I'm betting he does not match up well against the Cards in this spot once again. Meanwhile, Wacha the Cardinals starting hurler,  is coming off a 5-3 loss Sunday night at the Chicago Cubs, even though he pitched well. However in  his previous four outings, including a shutout of the New York Mets on July 18 he has been very reliable, and once again gets the nod in this spot.

Cardinals are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Cardinals are 5-1 in Wachas last 6 starts.Cardinals are 8-1 in Wachas last 9 starts during game 2 of a series.

ARIZONA is 11-32   against the money line vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season dating back to last season.

Play on the St.Louis Cardinals to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Quintana the Cubs  LHP starter is 2-0 with a 0.60 ERA in two career starts against the Brewers. Meanwhile the Brewers LHP starter Suter has not fared well against the Cubs, posting an 18.00 ERA in four career relief appearances. Both pitchers have been decent of late, but considering how hot both these offenses have been vs left handed pitchers , I really think the offenses will trump pitching. The Cubs have averaged 6.2 rpg vs southpaw starters this season, and Brewers have averaged 5.7 rpg vs lefties.

MILWAUKEE is 17-8 OVER vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season with a combined average of 10.8 rpg going on the board. Milwaukee has allowed 6 or more runs in 5 of their L/6 games. Cubs have scored 21 runs in their L/3 games. The Brewers have gone OVER in 18 straight games as an underdog in the first game of a series after they had at least 5 fewer left on base than their opposition in their last tilt.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

The Orioles, will counter send righty Chris Tillman (1-5, 7.01), to the hill to face the Rangers tonight. The Os thrower has lost four of six and owns  a ugly 12.34 road ERA this season . Meanwhile, the Rangers,  will send right-hander Andrew Cashner (5-8, 3.64 ERA) to the hill. BALTIMORE is 0-13   against the money line in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better this season, and I'm betting the Birds are fade material here in this spot.

BALTIMORE is 0-9  against the money line in road games after 2 straight games where they committed no errors this season.BALTIMORE is 4-17 L/21 against the money line in road games against AL West opponents .TEXAS is 6-0  against the money line after 3 consecutive games versus an interleague opponent this season.

Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection