NLDS - Best of 5 - Game 1

Cardinals RH Miles Mikolas (9-14, 4.16 ERA) vs. Braves LH Dallas Keuchel (8-8, 3.75)

Cards starter Mikolas,  is 4-8 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in 17 road starts. Im betting he has his hands full with the Braves offence that leads the  NL in runs scored, and is fourth in batting average and homers. MIKOLAS is 13-4 OVER  on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.1 rpg scored. 

Meanwhile, his Braves pitching opponent lefty Dallas Keuchel enters post season play having allowed 11 earned runs in 16 innings across his final three regular-season outings  and his current form looks vulnerable. The Cards have done their best work against LHP this season averaging 5.6 rpg and Im betting they do some damage here again vs a southpaw hurler. 

Both sides have average bullpens with home /away splits in the 4.00 ERA range.

ST LOUIS is 15-4 OVER  in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.2 rpg scored. 

ATLANTA is 13-3 OVER in home games after a 2 game span where the bullpen threw 9 total innings or more this season with a combined average of 12.5 rpg scored. 

Play OVER 

AL Wild Card Game

CHARLIE MORTON (R) vs. SEAN MANAEA (L)

Two solid pitchers and bullpens go head to head here as TB and Oakland go head to head in the wildcard game. However, Im betting the difference maker will be home field advantage  for the Athletics where they are 52-27 this season. Note: Rays are 31-66 in their last 97 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Rays are 2-6 in their last 8 playoff games.

MORTON the Rays starter is 5-13 against the money line vs. Lower tier speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)

MANAEA the As starter is 20-5 against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Athletics are 13-3 in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a winning record.

Athletics are 10-3 in their last 13 games following an off day.Athletics are 11-4 in their last 15 vs. American League East.Athletics are 20-8 in their last 28 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

Play on the Oakland As to win on the ML

TB starter Morton  is a big time  curveball pitcher. It's his most-used pitch, and hitters are batting .151 with 136 strikeouts against it. The A's haven't hit curveballs very well this season . The As own . .211 team batting average against curves ranks 23rd in MLB and Im betting they do limited damage here tonight. The righty allowed one run over 13 1/3 innings (0.68 ERA) vs. Oakland in two starts this year and has a 2.97 ERA vs. the A's in his career. Meanwhile, the A's starter Manaea   been  dominant and healthy  since his return, as he finishes his abbreviated 2019 season with a 1.21 ERA, 0.78 WHIP and 30/7 K/BB ratio across 29 2/3 innings of work and will Im betting be every bit as strong as his pitching opponent Morton. Both are backed by top 5 bullpens and generally average offences, which gives credence to my under call here in this Wild card game. 

OAKLAND in 27 games at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season have seen a combined average of 6.9 rpg scored. 

Under is 6-0 in Athletics last 6 overall.Under is 5-0-1 in Athletics last 6 playoff home games.

Under is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings in Oakland.Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.

Play UNDER 

Im betting the Brewers experience in last seasons play offs will aid them here tonight.Milwaukee went 20-7 in September and almost caught the Cards and enter this Wild Card game with momentum and confidence.The Brewers according to my projections match up well against the Nationals as was evident when they took 4 of 6 meetings this year. 

SCHERZER the Nats starter is 1-7 against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Max Scherzer is 3-10 SU in postseason play, dating back to 2011, losing four games in a row and all three of his  starts with the Nationals.

Nationals are 2-5 in Scherzers last 7 starts vs. National League Central.Nationals are 1-8 in Scherzers last 9 starts during game 1 of a series.

MILWAUKEE is 20-6 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better this season.Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

WOODRUFF the Brewers starter  is 12-1  against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. (Team's Record)WOODRUFF is 16-3 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record)WOODRUFF is 9-1 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)Brewers are 4-0 in Woodruffs last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.

Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the ML

Reds starter Tyler Mahle (2-12, 5.34 ERA, 124 SO ) has made five career starts vs. the Pirates, posting an 0-3 record with a 4.61 ERA. Its been a tough campaign for Mahle and Im betting nothing changes here this afternoon in this finale.

Reds are 2-14 in Mahles last 16 road starts.Reds are 1-8 in Mahles last 9 starts vs. National League Central.Reds are 0-7 in Mahles last 7 Sunday starts.

Meanwhile,Trevor Williams (7-8, 5.52 ERA, 108 SO)is capable of ending the Pirates' disappointing season on a high note as he starts the finale at PNC Park. He's coming off a solid start, as he held the Brewers to two runs on three hits (two homers) in five efficient innings his last time out and has momentum entering this tilt.

Pirates are 14-2 in Williams' last 16 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.Pirates are 20-7 in Williams' last 27 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Pirates are 9-4 in Williams' last 13 home starts

Pirates are 6-0 in Williams' last 6 starts vs. Reds.Pirates are 5-0 in Williams' last 5 home starts vs. Reds.

Reds are 0-5 in Mahles last 5 starts vs. Pirates.

Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the ML

Mariners starter Marco Gonzales (16-12, 4.09 ERA, 143 SO) has posted career highs in wins (16), starts (33) and innings (196). The 27-year-old lefty closes out his season against the A's team that he beat in Tokyo on Opening Day in March. Gonzales is 3-1 with a 4.00 ERA in four starts vs. Oakland this year and gets my support on a value line here tonight.the Mariners snapped a four-game losing streak yesterday by upsetting the As, a side that  could be looking ahead to their wildcard game next week. As for the Mariners their still playing hard . QUOTE:"Our guys have a lot to play for, too, trying to prove themselves," Seattle manager Scott Servais said. "It's nice for those guys to get the results like that." END QUOTE.

Athletics are 1-6 in  their starters Andersons last 7 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.Mariners are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

Mariners are 6-1 in Gonzales' last 7 home starts.

MLB Home teams (SEATTLE) - allowing 4.9 or more runs/game on the season (AL), after scoring and allowing 5 runs or less last 4 games are 116-75 L/22 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Seattle Mariners to win on the ML

Braves starting hurler  has been top form  of late and  was brilliant on  Sept. 20 against San Francisco, allowing three hits in eight shutout innings as the Braves clinched the NL East. Foltynewicz  is now  6-0 with a 2.35 ERA  with opposition batting orders hitting just .211  against him in nine starts since being recalled on Aug. 6.  The righty hurler owns a  a 1.49 ERA in his last seven starts and gets my support here today. Note: Mets starter Matz has seen his team lose his L/4 start vs the Braves.MATZ is 1-10 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)Mets are 0-6 in Matzs last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.

FOLTYNEWICZ is 9-0  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) and is 8-0 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) 

Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the ML

Nats starter Austin Voth (1-1, 3.35 ERA, 39 SO)No young player in the Nats’ organization took a bigger step forward this season than Voth, who will likely enter the team’s postseason bullpen. In four games since coming off the injured list, Voth picked up where he left off, with a 2.12 ERA and 19 K's in 17 innings and he gets my support here today vs the Indians. 

Nationals are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.

Indians are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. National League East.Indians are 18-46 in their last 64 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.Indians are 2-7 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Indians are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Play on the Washington Nationals to win on the ML

Cincinnati right-hander Anthony DeSclafani (9-9, 3.84 ERA) is scheduled to face Pittsburgh left-hander Steven Brault (4-6, 5.07 ERA).Against Cincinnati, Pittsburghs starter Brault is 4-0 with a 1.01 ERA in nine career games, three of them starts, and he carries a scoreless streak of 19 2/3 innings.The Reds are 0-9 on the Money line  when Anthony DeSclafani starts when their opponent is averaging more than seven strike outs a game and they won his last start. In 12 career starts against Pittsburgh, he is 2-6 with a 4.27 ERA.

CINCINNATI is 7-14  against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Cincinnati (73-85) has lost four in a row and five of six and Pittsburgh (68-91) have won three straight, a sweep against the Cubs and get my support here today with momentum on their sides.

Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the ML

Since he opened the season with a 13-2 record and a 2.71 ERA in 22 starts, Kershaw has struggled. He has given up 13 homers in his last six starts. On the season, Kershaw has given up a career-high 28 homers -- with 10 of those coming in the first inning, where he an ERA of 6.00.  In his current form giving up more runs than the linesmakers expect makes for a higher scoring game than the linesmakers also expect.

KERSHAW is 15-3 OVER  when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.7 rpg scored. LA DODGERS are 17-6 OVER on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season with a combined average of 9.9 rpg going on the score board. 

Over is 4-0 in Kershaws last 4 starts overall.Over is 4-0 in Kershaws last 4 starts vs. National League West.

Meanwhile Padres starter Lucchesi will be making his fourth start against the Dodgers this season. He is 1-1 in the first three meetings with a 5.29 ERA and could easily get rolled by a sometimes explosive Dodgers batting order .LUCCHESI is 1-4 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 6.67 and a WHIP of 1.483.

Over is 6-1-1 in Padres last 8 vs. National League West.

Play OVER 

Heaney is off a bad start last time but it must be noted that the Angels are 8-0 on the ML when Andrew Heaney starts at home and they lost in his last start. Meanwhile, As starterMontas was having a breakout season, going 9-2 with a 2.70 ERA in 15 starts, before he was suspended 80 games on June 21 for violating major league baseball's drug policy after testing positive for a performance-enhancing substance. Im betting he comes back a little rusty and gives the Angels a solid chance at us cashing a underdog ticket in this spot. Note: The Athletics are 0-4 SU as a 150-plus favorite off a road game in which their bullpen did not allow a run which was the case yesterday. 

MLB favorites with a money line of -150 or more (OAKLAND) - excellent power team - averaging 1.5 or more HR's/game on the season are 213-371 L/5 seasons for lowly 36% conversion rate. 

Play on the LAAngels to win on the ML

Indians starter Shane   (15-7, 3.23 ERA, 252 SO)Bieber surpassed 250 strikeouts on the year in his Friday outing against the Phillies, becoming just the fourth Indians pitcher to reach that mark before turning 25 years old. The righty also picked up his 15th win after limiting Philadelphia to two runs over 7 1/3 innings. Im betting he shuts down the White Sox here tonight, and for him to be the main reason this combined score shows value to the under. BIEBER is 8-1 UNDER (+7.0 Units) in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.1 rpg scored.BIEBER is 10-1 UNDER as a road favorite of -110 or higher this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.3 rpg scored. 

The Indians have gone under 15 straight times  in the second game of a series as a 125-plus favorite off a game as a favorite in which they scored in at least four separate innings and drew fewer than ten walks.No game saw more than 8 runs scored with the average combined score clicking in at 4.94 rpg. 

MLB Home teams (CHI WHITE SOX) - below average hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or better) -AL, starting a pitcher who walked 4+ hitters each of his last 2 outings are 45 -16 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

DBacks starter Merrill Kelly ( 12-14, 4.31 ERA, 151 SO) comes into the game riding a 15-inning scoreless streak. He tossed seven shutout innings in each of his previous two starts, against the Padres and Reds. Over his last four starts, he has a 1.00 ERA.Diamondbacks are 4-0 in Kellys last 4 home starts and gets my support here this afternoon at home.  Meanwhile, Cards starter Wacha has looked a little fatigued of late, and has been on a short leash in September, pitching 15 innings in his four starts this month. 

The Cardinals (90-68) eliminated the Diamondbacks (81-77) from playoff contention with their win Monday and now its payback in the spoilers role this afternoon for Arizona.

ARIZONA is 12-3  against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season.

LOVULLO is 36-25 against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher as the manager of ARIZONA.

Play on the Arizona DBacks to win on the ML

Bailey is coming off his best start of the season a shut vs Kansas City, on three hits in seven innings last Wednesday. He struck out a season-high 11 and walked just one. He's  also 4-0 with a 1.88 ERA in his past seven starts overall and in top form. Meanwhile,Dillon Peters, 3-3 with a 4.81 ERA in 15 games (10 starts), will start for the Angels. He's coming off a serviceable performance against the New York Yankees last Wednesday, when he allowed just two runs and five hits in four innings and is capable of slowing down the As attack here tonight. 

Under is 3-0-1 in Baileys last 4 starts overall.Under is 4-1 in Peters' last 5 starts overall.

MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (OAKLAND) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season-AL against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.600 to 1.700 on the season-AL are 35-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Baltimores starter Bundy is 1-0 with a 2.12 ERA in three starts against the Blue Jays this season and  gets my support here tonight in Toronto against the Blue Jays. Yesterday the Os won a 11-10 game, but teams in this situation in the followup have not been a profitable venture as the following trend illustrates.MLB Home teams (TORONTO) - after scoring 10 runs or more against opponent after scoring 9 runs or more are 52-74 L/5 seasons for a go against 59% conversion rate for bettors.TORONTO is also just  8-21  against the money line in home games after a win this season.

Play on the Baltimore Orioles to win on the ML

Wainwright the Cards starter tonight  has allowed just two runs in his L/ 27 innings . The Cards have also won   12 of his last 14 starts including a mid July victory against Arizona,  in  seven scoreless innings of top tier work. The Cards hurler owns a 9-4 record along with a solid 2.56 ERA in his career against the Diamondbacks and gets my support again here tonight in the desert. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent Young has given up eight runs  along with  10 hits with six walks in his last  7 2/3 innings of work in his L/2 sub par starts and looking like fade material vs a Cardinals team  looking for momentum as they enter the  post season . 

WAINWRIGHT is 12-1 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Cardinals are 4-1 in Wainwrights last 5 starts vs. Diamondbacks.

Cardinals are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Diamondbacks are 0-5 in Youngs last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Play on the St.Louis Cards to win on the ML

Dodgers manager Roberts will pair rookie catcher Will Smith with their starter today. Ryu the Dodgers starter has a 5.81 ERA in 26 1/3 innings with Smith behind the plate, which projects well for us hitting the over here, especially with the Rockies  countering with right-hander Antonio Senzatela (10-10, 6.83), who has struggled  mightily of late   registering a  11.85 ERA over his last eight starts going back to July 5.

Over is 3-0-1 in Senzatelas last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 3-1-1 in Senzatelas last 5 road starts.

Over is 3-0-1 in Senzatelas last 4 starts vs. Dodgers.Over is 4-1 in Ryus last 5 starts vs. Rockies.

The Rockies have gone over 11 straight times  as a road dog in the last game of a series after a game in which they hit multiple home runs with the average combined score clicking in at 13.27 rpg. (Ryan McMahon and Josh Fuentes hit solo homers, and the Rockies defeated Los Angeles 4-2 Saturday night to snap a 12-game skid in the Dodgers' home park.)

Play OVER 

Giants starter Johnny Cueto (1-0, 0.00 ERA, 6 SO)gets his third start of the season for the Giants when he faces the Braves. He has not given up a run in 10 innings pitched, while opponents are batting .129 against him in two starts and gets my support here tonight vs the Braves. Meanwhile, The Braves nailed down their 19th division championship with a 6-0 win over the Giants on Friday, and now will be vulnerable in an emotional letdown spot. 

Note: Max Fried the Braves starter  has allowed five earned runs in three of his past five starts .

Giants are 6-2 in Cuetos last 8 road starts.Giants are 10-4 in Cuetos last 14 starts.Giants are 10-4 in Cuetos last 14 starts on grass.

Play on the SF Giants to win on the ML

Boston Red Sox starter Travis Lakins  will make his second career start as the Red Sox opt for a bullpen game against the Rays. The 25-year-old righty held the Yankees hitless over two frames during his first start on Sept. 7 and he  and his bullpen crew gets my support here today in the spoilers role . Note: Rays  starter Glasgow is 0-4 in his  last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Boston is 5-2 in Tampa Bay this season. 

The Red Sox are 6-0  L/6 on the ML as a road 170-plus dog off a road game in which their bullpen allowed multiple runs.

Red Sox are 8-2 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Red Sox are 11-5 in their last 16 road games.Red Sox are 82-40 in their last 122 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Red Sox are 39-19 in their last 58 games on astroturf.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BOSTON) - ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 15 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games are 57-29 L/22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the BoSox to win on the ML

Tonight we have a couple of top teir pitchers  that have had some struggles of late. But Im betting on them correcting their slumps here this evening in Oakland  in a tilt I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total.

Note: The Coliseum has been a place Fiers the AS right-hander loves to pitch in , as is evident by his   8-1 record along with a  stingy 2.76 ERA over 15 starts in Oakland this year would indicate. Minor the Rangers starter has struggled a bit vs the As recently but knowing his work ethic and ego you can bet he will be ready to fire back. 

MINOR is 11-3 UNDER   in road games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.3 rpg scored. MINOR is 10-1 UNDER as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.8 rpg scored. 

MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (OAKLAND) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 3 runs or less 2 straight games are 55-21 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (TEXAS) - with an on base percentage of .260 or worse over their last 3 games against opponent with a slugging percentage of .460 or better over their last 15 games are 87-47 UNDER  L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Friday's pitching matchup will feature a pair of right-handers: Nationals veteran Anibal Sanchez (9-8, 3.86 ERA) against Marlins rookie Robert Dugger (0-2, 3.95 ERA). Sanchez beat the Marlins the last time he faced them. Note: The Marlins have gone over 12 straight at home when seeking same-season revenge vs their opponents starting pitcher with each game seeing 9 or more runs scored.

Over is 5-2 in Sanchezs last 7 starts on grass.Over is 9-1-1 in Marlins last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Over is 12-4-1 in Marlins last 17 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Miami.

MIAMI is 21-11 OVER  in home games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 10.8 rg scored.MIAMI is 17-8 OVER in home games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 11.3 rpg going on the board.MIAMI is 13-3 OVER as a home underdog of +175 or more this season with a combined average of 10.5 rpg going on the board.

Play OVER 

The Mariners are heading to Baltimore riding a five-game winning streak after a 6-5 win vs Pittsburgh Pirates  on Thursday afternoon and have momentum on their sides . With Felix Hernandez a long standing hurler with Seattle dating back 14 seasons probably making his last start with the Mariners before becoming a free agent in the off season Im expecting  a motivated and  big effort from him which has me backing this veteran hurler. He is coming  off a strong seven-inning outing in which he allowed just one run on five hits vs. the White Sox.

Baltimore has lost four straight, including a  8-4 loss to Toronto on Thursday night. The Orioles are now 49-104 for the season, and showing little fight as they go through the motions of getting to the end of this nightmare season. 

Seattle has also had a dismal season, but they thrive against sides like Baltimore going 14-2  against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season this season.

Meanwhile,Baltimore has been the poster boys for futility when going against teams like Seattle.BALTIMORE is 6-31 against the money line vs. excellent power teams - averaging 1.5 or more HR's/game this season.

Play on Seattle to win on the ML

The Yankees' Thursday starter, right-hander Masahiro Tanaka (10-8, 4.60 ERA), is 0-1 with a 6.00 ERA in his past three starts. He gave up four runs on eight hits in five innings last Friday during New York's 6-5 loss at Toronto and currently looks vulnerable. Meanwhile, Heaney despite of some recent struggles has shown flashes of brilliance, as he went  2-0 with a 1.82 ERA in four starts in August. Heaney is 1-1 with a 1.47 ERA in three career starts against New York, one outing in 2015 and the other two last year. Angels are 5-1 in Heaneys last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.Angels are 4-1 in Heaneys last 5 road starts.

Angels are 6-0 in their last 6 games with  umpire Whitson behind home plate.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA ANGELS) - below average hitting team (AVG at least .265) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.70 to 5.70) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.70 to 5.20 on the season (AL) are 32-9 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LA Angels to win on the ML

Padres starter Joey Lucchesi 10-8, 4.22 ERA, 145 SO  has emerged as one of the Padres' most reliable starters and Im betting he limits the Brewers production here this evening.LUCCHESI is 12-3 UNDER in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.3 rpg scored. The Brewers have average just 4.2 rpg vs lefties this season via a .241 BA.

Meanwhile, since coming over from the Pirates,Lyles is  6-1 with a 2.39 ERA and a .209 opponents’ average in his first nine starts for the Brewers and Im betting on him being equally tough on the Padres batting order here tonight . 

The Padres have gone under 11 straight times in the last game of a series as a road dog after a game in which they did not score after the third inning with a combined average of 6.45 rpg scored and no game has seen more than 9 runs scored. 

SAN DIEGO is 16-4 UNDER  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 8.1 rpg scored. 

MILWAUKEE is 13-4 UNDER in home games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 7.3 rpg scored.

Play on the UNDER 

Brewers hurler Adrian Houser( 6-6, 3.84 ERA, 104 SO) is coming off a disappointing start in St. Louis marred by a Paul Goldschmidt grand slam. Before that, he'd allowed three or fewer runs in six straight starts and Im betting he bounces back here with a big effort vs an erratic Padres offence that has scored 3 or less runs in 8 of their L.12 games. I also expect the Padres pitchers to limit the Brewers damage here .Padres starter Lamet will be making his 13th start since returning from the Tommy John surgery that cost him all of 2018. He took the loss last Thursday, when he gave up three runs over five innings as the Padres fell to the Cubs, 4-1.SAN DIEGO is 15-4 UNDER  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

The Padres hqve gone under 11 straight times  off a road game in which they allowed 6 or fewer hits with a combined average of 5.4 rpg scored. No game has seen more than 8 runs scored.

Play UNDER 

Veteran hurler  CC Sabathia is 0-4 with a 6.75 ERA in his last eight starts. He is banged up and showing his age right now and is fade material in his current form. It must be noted that the Yankees took the first game of this series, 8-0 yesterday by have proven futile in a follow up under the following perimeters. The Yankees are 0-5 L/5 on the ML in the second game of a series as a 200+ favorite when they shut out their opponent in the series opener.LA ANGELS are 11-6 against the money line in road games after allowing 8 runs or more this season and are 33-17 against the money line in road games after a game where the bullpen threw 7 or more innings. 

Play on the LA Angels to win on the ML

Miamis starter Sandy Alcantara (5-13, 3.93 ERA, 137 SO)  has been a top tier hurler   in recent weeks. He has gone at least seven innings in six of his past seven starts. One was a complete-game, four-hit shutout against the Royals on Sept. 8. This will be his second career start against Arizona and is more than capable of limiting the DBacks production here this afternoon. Alcantara is 1-3 with a 2.59 ERA in his past eight starts, with 36 hits allowed and 48 strikeouts in 55 1/3 innings. Meanwhile, Leake, 2-3 since joining Arizona at the trade deadline, has made quality starts in three of his past four outings., and is also more than capable of limiting the offensive production of one of MLB worst offences, averaging just 3.5 rpg on the road.Leake is 6-2 with a 2.74 ERA in eight career starts against the Marlins, his second-best ERA against teams he has faced at least eight times.LEAKE is 11-1 UNDER with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.8 rpg scored. 

MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (ARIZONA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30% are 52-19 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

Noah Syndergaard has never made a start at Coors Filed but gets his chance today in the launching pad. Im betting it will be an unpleasant experience despite of the team granting his wish of having Rene Rivera or Tomas Nido as his catcher instead of Wilson Ramos despite of his managers reluctance to do so. Syndergaard has a 5.20 ERA. In 11 combined starts with Ramos and with Nido (10) and Rivera, he has a 2.22 ERA.

However, today, they are giving  him his wish in the worst possible place . Ummm makes you wonder if the Mets brass are trying to prove a point here. Anyhow the bottom line here is Im betting against Syndergard and the Mets, and backing Colorado on the value line at home. 

 MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (NY METS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher  like Hoffman whose lasts less than 5 innings per start are 21-42 L/22 seasons for a 65% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the ML

The As were upset yesterday by the Royals and will be ready for big bounce back here today. Note: The Athletics have won 7 straight as a 140-plus favorite after they lost by one run, winning by an average of 8.43 runs per game qualifying as a strong runline situation. 

OAKLAND is 31-7 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.3 rpg. 

MLB Road underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +100 or higher) (KANSAS CITY) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less ) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start are 15-43 L/22 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Oakland As on the runline -1.5

Brewers Brandon Woodruff (11-3, 3.75 ERA, 136 SO)The All-Star right-hander will be on a limited pitch count in his first start since he strained his left oblique pitching at Arizona on July 21. Veteran left-hander Gio Gonzalez will follow. Im betting on Woodruff and Gonzalez having the edge over what has looked like a fatigued Padres pitcher in Paddock  who is expected to be shut down following Tuesday's start. He has already thrown 45 2/3 more innings than he did last season between Class-A and Double-A.

Padres are 0-5 in their last 5 overall.Padres are 0-7 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Padres are 0-6 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Brewers are 12-1 in Woodruffs last 13 home starts.Brewers are 8-1 in Woodruffs last 9 starts during game 2 of a seriesBrewers are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.Brewers are 10-1 in their last 11 vs. a team with a losing record.WOODRUFF is 10-0  against the money line as a home favorite of -110 or higher this season. (Team's Record)WOODRUFF is 10-0  against the money line at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record)

Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the ML

Cubs left-hander Cole Hamels (7-7, 3.89 ERA) has suffered  three consecutive losses, including a 4-0 defeat in his last outing Wednesday against the San Diego Padres.  Hamels has a 7.58 ERA (25 earned runs in 29 2/3 innings) in his last seven starts and is fade material in his current form. HAMELS is 1-7  against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record )

After the Cubs took part in a 16-6 slugfest yesterday that they won , Im betting they are in a letdown spot here. Note: MLB team (CINCINNATI) - after a win by 2 runs or less against opponent after a win by 8 runs or more are 41-22 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.CHICAGO CUBS are also 1-7  against the money line after scoring 7 runs or more 2 straight games this season.

Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win on the ML

White Sox starter Ivan Nova(10-12, 4.69 ERA, 103 SO)won for the 10th time on Tuesday against the Royals, marking the fifth season he has recorded double-digit wins. The victory also ended a stretch of three straight losses for Nova after a 5-0 run. Im betting on him getting us to the promised land here today in Seattle vs the lowly Mariners.

NOVA is 15-8 against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

The White Sox are 4-0 on the ML in franchise history as a dog with Ivan Nova when they scored more than six runs in his last start and they won. 

Mariners are 3-8 in their last 11 overall.Mariners are 3-8 in their last 11 games on grass.Mariners are 1-6 in their last 7 games following a win.Mariners are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series.

Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the ML

Cubs starter Jose Quintana (13-8, 4.15 ERA, 143 SO) has seen his team supply him with a  average seven runs a game in all his starts since the All-Star break, helping him to a 7-1 record in the second half. Today Im betting on more huge run support. Note:The Cubs are 8-0 on the ML as a home 200+ favorite after they won by five-plus runs and it is not a series opener. winning by an average of 6.4 runs per game and thus qualify as a solid runline favs in a favourable matchup vs the Pirates.

Cubs are 8-0 in Quintanas last 8 starts vs. National League Central.Cubs are 59-19 in their last  home games vs. a team with a losing record.Cubs are 5-0 in Quintanas last 5 starts vs. Pirates.Pirates are 0-6 in the last 6 meetings in Chicago.

Play on the Chicago Cubs -1.5 runline 

Rangers starter Mike Minor (13-8, 3.08 ERA, 183 SO)  is 2-0 with a 1.17 ERA in August and is one win away from setting a new career high for one season. He owns a 3.18 ERA in three starts against the Athletics over the past two seasons. In 13 starts at home, he is 5-3 this year with a 3.70 ERA and gets my support in  the underdog role tonight. Meanwhile, As starter Mike Fiers(14-4, 3.97 ERA, 116 SO) looked rattled last time out in his  shortest outing of his career, when he surrendered nine runs and a career-high five homers, recording only three outs vs. the Astros. He was charged with his first loss since May 1 and could still be suffering a sort of PTSD syndrome after that nasty performance. Its never easy to have your confidence shaken like that and could be in a fragile state vs a Texas team that can bang out some offence. 

The Rangers have won 6 of their L/8 and are looking strong of late, and must be respected in their ability to pull off a underdog win here this evening. 

The Rangers lost the first game of this series last night 14-9, but are  7-1 in their last 8 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game ad  5-1 in their last 6 games following a loss.

Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the ML

Brewers starter Lyles recorded  a very good start at St.Louis earlier this season when he was with the Pirates allowing one run on one hit over six innings on May 11 at Busch Stadium and Im betting on another strong performance here. Lyles has in top form since coming to the Brewers from the Pittsburgh Pirates in late July, posting a 5-1 record with a 2.51 ERA in eight starts.

Meanwhile, Card starter Jack Flaherty (10-7, 2.99 ERA, 196 SO) lowered his ERA to below 3.00 after his last dominant start, which included eight scoreless innings of five-hit ball, along with 10 strikeouts. The 23-year-old has an MLB-best 0.76 ERA since the All-Star break. Im betting on both these hurlers and the bullpens when called upon to supply us with top quality work, which Im betting results in . lower scoring affair. FLAHERTY is 8-0 UNDER vs. an NL team with a batting average of .250 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)FLAHERTY is 9-1 UNDER  vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record)

This is a big game as St.Louis and Milwaukee continue to search for a playoff birth. With that said, Im betting on these two divisional rivals to play hard, and conservatively in what Im betting will be a low scoring affair. 

Under is 3-1-1 in Brewers last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 8-3-1 in Brewers last 12 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 10-4 in Brewers last 14 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-2-1 in Brewers last 8 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 37-15-1 in Brewers last 53 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Under is 5-0-1 in Flahertys last 6 starts vs. National League Central.Under is 10-1-2 in Flahertys last 13 starts on grass.Under is 10-1-2 in Flahertys last 13 starts overallUnder is 21-8 in Cardinals last 29 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 13-5 in Cardinals last 18 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 26-10-1 in Cardinals last 37 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 35-16-1 in Cardinals last 52 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 21-10 in Cardinals last 31 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Under is 18-7-1 in Tichenors last 26 games behind home plate.

Play UNDER

Foltynewicz the Braves starter this afternoon vs the Nationals  has pitched well since returning from the minors. This will be his eighth start since returning and he's gone 4-0 with a 2.95 ERA in 39 2/3 innings. In two starts in September, Foltynewicz is 2-0 and has allowed only one run over 12 innings. Note:The Braves are 6-0 on the ML in franchise history with Mike Foltynewicz as a road underdog when they won his last four starts.

Braves are 10-1 in Foltynewiczs last 11 starts. Braves are 6-0 in Foltynewiczs last 6 road starts.

FOLTYNEWICZ is 6-0  against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record)

WASHINGTON is 8-15  against the money line in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season.

Meanwhile,Austin Voth (1-1, 4.00 ERA, 30 SO)is filling in for the injured Joe Ross, Voth allowed two runs over four innings in a loss to the Braves last time out and Im betting he will be on the wrong side of the scoreboard yet again this afternoon.

Nationals are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. National League East.Nationals are 1-4 in Voths last 5 starts.

Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the ML

Brewers starter Adrian Houser (6-5, 3.59 ERA, 99 SO) faced the Cardinals in consecutive outings toward the end of August, giving up a combined four runs (two earned) over 10 1/3 innings. His last win came in that first start on Aug. 21 at Busch Stadium and gets my support here tonight vs the Cards as the Brewers extend their current red hot 7 game winning streak.

MILWAUKEE is 28-9 against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.

MLB team (ST LOUIS) - after a game where they hit 5 or more home runs, starting a pitcher who gave up 1 earned runs or less in his last 2 outings are 20-35 L/22 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the ML

Clayton Kershaw( LHP13-5, 3.06 ERA, 171 SO )  Kershaw takes the bump to open the weekend series in New York. The southpaw has gone more than six innings just once in his last four outings, seeing his ERA rise above 3.00 for the first time since July 15 in the process, but Im betting he bounces back here as he has been showing alot of crankiness about his lack luster efforts and his egos on the line here tonight so expect a big effort from the super star hurler. 

Dodgers are perfect 6-0  L/6 as visitors vs Mets. 

MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (LA DODGERS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL), after a game where the bullpen threw 8 or more innings are 141-49 L/22 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LADodgers to win on the ML

Max Scherzer(10-5, 2.56 ERA, 216 SO)Dave Martinez said Scherzer threw a bullpen on Tuesday and reported feeling good, setting up the right-hander to start Friday at home against Atlanta. Scherzer has been easing his way back to full strength after a back injury and still not 100% so we have value here fading him against what can be an explosive Atlanta batting order. Meanwhile, Saroka the Braves starter always gives his team a chance at victory and has consistently gotten stronger as a game progresses. Note: If Soroka can get out of the first inning, he's hard to hit. He gave up two runs before retiring a batter against Washington in his last start. He has a 4.15 ERA in the first inning and a 2.46 ERA in the second inning or later. The two previous times he has allowed more than one run in the first inning, he hasn't given up another run.

WASHINGTON is 1-9 against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70% over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (ATLANTA) - good team, winning 54-62% or more of their games on the season, in September games are 49-31 L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the ML

LH Starter Patrick Corbin 11-7, 3.16 ERA, 210 SOwill make his  first career start against the Twins. He has been excellent all season for the Nationals, but especially in his past 15 starts when he has posted a 2.29 ERA with 116 strikeouts and 31 walks in 94 1/3 innings and get the nod here today vs the Twins. Note:Twins are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.Twins are 0-9 in their last 9 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.

Meanwhile, Gibson his pitching opponent from the Twins will be rusty after a long lay off. Gibson had a 7.18 ERA in his last five starts before going on the injured list.GIBSON is 4-13  against the money line in home games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)GIBSON is 0-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 21.00 and a WHIP of 3.000.

Nationals are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.

Play on the Washington Nationals to win on the ML

A 4-0 loss to the Padres on Wednesday dropped the Cubs into a tie with the Milwaukee Brewers for the final NL playoff berth and they will now be primed for a bounce back effort as losses are unacceptable at this juncture of their campaign. SAN DIEGO is 4-14 against the money line after a win by 4 runs or more this season

Padres starter LAMET is 0-7  against the money line in home games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Padres are 0-9 in Lamets last 9 home starts.

Cubs are 35-16 in their last 52 during game 4 of a series.

Meanwhile, Cubs starter Yu Darvish(5-6, 4.12 ERA, 190 SO)After missing one turn (right forearm tightness), he returned Saturday with five shutout innings vs. Milwaukee. He struck out seven and walked one in a no-decision. Darvish has a 2.96 ERA with 85 strikeouts and four walks in his last 11 starts and gets my support here this afternoon in a West coast tilt. 

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the ML

Royals starter Sparkman owns a  3.24 ERA in three starts against the White Sox this season, which includes a one-inning outing on May 29 at Guaranteed Rate Field where he was ejected. Meanwhile, White  Sox starter  Reynaldo Lopez . (9-12, 5.17 ERA, 149 SO)is off a top tier effort vs a Cleveland team where he  allowed one hit and threw the first complete game of his career. In two of Lopez’s past three starts, he has allowed one or no hits and Im betting on him being tough on his opponents tonight, which will help this combined score stay under the total. 

LOPEZ is 12-4 UNDER vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 8.2 rpg. KANSAS CITY is 13-4 UNDER   on the road when the total is 10 to 10.5 this season with a combined average of 8.4 rpg. 

The White Sox are 0-11 L/11 UNDER at home after a game in which their opponent scored first and it is not a series opener.

Play UNDER 

Rockies starter Gonzalez (0-6, 7.29 ERA) made his only career start against the Cardinals on Aug. 24, a 6-0 win by St. Louis. He allowed five runs on three hits over 4 1/3 innings and took the loss and is fade material here tonight. Meanwhile, The Cardinals have recieved steady performances from their rotation while the Rockies' inconsistent  staff has posted a 5.97 ERA this year, which ranks last in the majors. The Cardinals are 13-0 on the ML when their starter Michael Wacha starts as a favorite and he went fewer than five innings in his last start.

 ST LOUIS is 17-4 against the money line vs. a team with a terrible bullpen whose ERA is 5.20 or worse this season.ST LOUIS is 40-16 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season.

COLORADO is 16-44  against the money line in the second half of the season this season

Cardinals are 4-0 in Wachas last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.Cardinals are 6-0 in Wachas last 6 Tuesday starts.Cardinals are 8-2 in Wachas last 10 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Cardinals are 9-3 in Wachas last 12 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Cardinals are 21-8 in Wachas last 29 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (COLORADO) - with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL), after scoring and allowing 4 runs or less last 3 games are 28-85 L/22 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the St.Louis Cardinals to win on the ML

Miley has a 3.41 ERA in 14 starts since his last loss and provides top tier stability for the Astros pitching rotation.Miley, owns a 7-0 record  in 14 starts since his last loss, and  has been strong against Oakland over three starts this season. He is 1-1 with a 1.83 ERA and has allowed just 12 hits and four runs in 19 2/3 innings.Miley holds a 5-2 record along  with a  stingy 1.71 ERA in eight career starts against the A's, allowing just 37 hits and 10 earned runs in 52 2/3 innings and once again gets my support ere tonight. MILEY is 10-1  against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season. (Team's Record) MILEY is 18-4 against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

HOUSTON is 20-2  against the money line in home games with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (AL) this season.HOUSTON is 15-1 against the money line after scoring 10 runs or more in a win over a division rival since 1997.HINCH is 25-4 against the money line in home games vs. excellent power teams - averaging 1.5 or more HR's/game as the manager of HOUSTON.

Play on the Houston Astros to win on the ML

 Blach the Os starting pitcher faces a familiar opponent  in the Dodgers, the team he famously blanked for five innings on Opening Day 2018 as a member of the Giants. Now in Baltimore, he gets another start after defeating the Rays in his last trip to the hill. BLACH is 4-2 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 1.64 and a WHIP of 1.045.

Im betting on a value line upset here in their interleague battle.

LA DODGERS are 9-18 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game in the second half of the season.

MLB Road teams (LA DODGERS) - after 5 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base, with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings are 1-12 this season!

Play on the Baltimore Orioles to win on the ML

Quantrill the Padres starter has been in a funk over his last couple of starts but was 4-1 with a 1.31 ERA during a six-game stretch,  before his current 3 game losing streak.  Also Quantrill  according to my power rankings matches up well vs the Cubs as was evident when he gave up just two hits in 5 2/3 scoreless innings  this last July 21 . The young Stanford product has also performed well at home where he  is 4-2 with a 4.17 ERA this season.CHICAGO CUBS are 12-26 (against the money line in road games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season.

Note the Cubs are on a 3 game losing streak and have a hard luck pitcher on the hill of late Hendricks who has better home splits than away . The righty is 4-7 with a 5.20 ERA on the road this year, compared to 5-2 with a 1.77 ERA at home. HENDRICKS is 0-6  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record)

Cubs are 0-4 in Hendricks' last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record .

Cubs are 2-6 in Hendricks' last 8 road starts.Cubs are 2-7 in Hendricks' last 9 starts vs. a team with a losing record.

MLB Home teams (SAN DIEGO) - ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 15 games against opponent ice cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 20 game are 83-41 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the San Diego Padres to win on the ML

Todays starter for the Astros Greinke has surrendered nine earned runs on 14 hits over 11 2/3 innings in his last two starts, with the Astros losing both of those contests. Meanwhile, Athletics starter Fiers is 12-0 with a 2.59 ERA over his last 21 starts, a streak that began with his no-hitter against the Cincinnati Reds on May 7. He has allowed a .639 OPS during his winning streak, with the Athletics going 17-4 in those starts. Oakland has won Fiers' previous two starts against the Astros and gets my support tonight on a value line. 

 FIERS is 16-2 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

MLB team (HOUSTON) - average hitting team (AVG  .265 to .279) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or better) -AL, with an on base percentage of .360 or better over their last 15 games are 23-53 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate.

MLB road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (OAKLAND) - a good team (54% to 62%) playing a team with a winning record, in September games are 39-24 L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Oakland As to win on the ML

Blue Jays starter Jacob Waguespack (4-3, 3.97 ERA, 46 SO)shut out the Rays on four hits over six innings back on Aug. 5, and is ready to send the Blue Jays home on a high note. Waguespack has a 2.92 ERA in six road starts this season and gives us a viable underdog opportunity here this Sunday afternoon. Meanwhile, TBs starter Tyler Glasnow (6-1, 1.86 ERA, 55 SO)Glasnow will be making his first start since sustaining a mild forearm strain in his throwing arm on May 10 against the Yankees and will take time to stretch out, so he wont be 100%, giving further credence to back the Jays on a value line. Rays are 0-4 in Glasnows last 4 starts vs. Blue Jays.

Rays are 6-2 in Glasnows last 8 starts.Rays are 3-7 in Glasnows last 10 starts vs. American League East.Rays are 2-6 in Glasnows last 8 starts on astroturf.Rays are 1-4 in Glasnows last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game. 

Play on the Toronto Blue Jays to win on the ML

Padres starter Joey Lucchesi(9-7, 4.00 ERA, 135 SO)In six August starts, Lucchesi posted a 3.58 ERA, and he was one of the Padres' most reliable starters and is a very viable pitcher to back in this spot play.

COLORADO is 8-26  against the money line after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs this season.COLORADO is 16-42  against the money line in the second half of the season this season.

MLB favorites with a money line of -150 or more (SAN DIEGO) - cold hitting team - batting .190 or worse over their last 3 games, starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 55-8 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the San Diego Padres to win on the ML

White Sox ace Lucas Giolito(14-8, 3.30 ERA, 210 SO)The chance for 20 wins all but disappeared for Giolito with a tough loss to the Braves on Sunday. But he continues to finish strong during this All-Star season, with 90 strikeouts in his last 63 2/3 innings and gets my backing here tonight. Giolito is 2-0 with a 3.75 ERA in two career starts against Los Angeles. Note:LA ANGELS are 12-35  against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season.Diamondbacks are 8-2 in Rays last 10 starts.

Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the ML

Arizona southpaw starter Robbie Ray (12-7, 3.97 ERA, 199 SO) has picked up a win in each of his last two starts. Last time out against the Dodgers, he allowed four runs over five innings in a 6-5 D-backs win and enters this contest offering stability and a viable ml option for his supporters tonight. Ray  went 3-0 in August with a 4.30 ERA as the Diamondbacks averaged 7.8 runs in his five starts.RAY is 11-3  against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Meanwhile, Mahle (2-10, 4.72 ERA) his Reds pitching opponent is looking for his first win since May 31, having gone 0-5 with a 5.32 ERA in his past nine starts.MAHLE is 1-11  against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)MAHLE is 1-9  against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. (Team's Record)

Arizona is finding ways to win and have won 9 of their L/10 overall and must be respected in their current form.

Play on the Arizona DBacks to win on the ML

German, the Yankees starter tonight faced the Red Sox just last month, earning the victory by allowing two runs over seven innings against the club on Aug. 3. For his career, he's 2-0 with a 3.98 ERA in five games (four starts) versus Boston. GERMAN is 13-1 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. (Team's Record) and s 12-1 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season. (Team's Record) and also 9-1 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record) GERMAN is 11-0 against the money line against division opponents this season. (Team's Record)

Meanwhile, BoSox starter Jhoulys Chacin (3-10, 5.79 ERA, 80 SO)will make his debut for the Red Sox when he serves as the opener in place of the ailing David Price. Chacin made 19 starts for the Brewers this season before being released on Aug. 26. He is 1-1 with a 6.52 ERA in two career starts at Fenway Park and is fade material even though he goes against a Yanks offence that has been inconsistent of late. Note: NY YANKEES are 13-0 against the money line after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span this season.

BOSTON is 9-16 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season. BOSTON is 3-11 against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (NY YANKEES) - team with an excellent SLG (.450 or better ) against a good starting pitcher (WHIP=1.300 to 1.350) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start was 35-14 L/22 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NY Yankees on the ML

Twins starter Martin Perez (9-6, 4.89 ERA, 120 SO)had a off game last time out as he was shelled by the Tigers for eight runs in 2 2/3 innings on Saturday and felt that his cutter was moving too much, which he hoped to address in bullpen work between starts. He had allowed four runs in 11 frames over his previous two outings and is more than capable of bouncing back here tonight vs the Red Sox. Meanwhile,Nathan Eovaldi (1-0, 6.23 ERA, 46 SO)is not yet fully stretched out since returning to the rotation, and could easily end up as cannon fodder vs a explosive Minnesota batting order averaging 6.3 rpg on the road this season. 

The linesmakers are expecting a high scoring game but it must be noted that the Twins excel in these situations. MINNESOTA is 16-3 against the money line on the road when the total is 10 or higher this season.

BALDELLI is 41-18 against the money line in road games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game as the manager of MINNESOTA. BALDELLI is 14-1 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.90 or worse as the manager of MINNESOTA.

MLB Road teams (MINNESOTA) - with an on base percentage of .350 or better over their last 20 games, in September games are 89-45 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Minnesota Twins to win on the ML

Jose Quintana (12-8, 3.90) will start against Milwaukee for the second straight time and is 8-1 with a 3.08 ERA in his last 11 starts. He opposed Anderson last week and tossed 5 2/3 scoreless innings when he allowed three runs or less for the 21st time.Quintana is  8-4 with 2.65 ERA in 16 career starts against the Brewers.

Cubs are 7-0 in Quintanas last 7 starts vs. National League Central.Cubs are 9-2 in Quintanas last 11 starts.Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 road games.Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Cubs are 5-1 in Quintanas last 6 road starts vs. Brewers.

Meanwhile,Chase Anderson (6-4, 4.58 ERA) will start against Chicago for the second straight time. He allowed five runs on seven hits, including two homers to Castellanos, in four innings of a 7-1 loss Friday afternoon at Wrigley and is fade material here tonight.Anderson is  1-1 with a 6.00 ERA in his three outings against Chicago this season.

Brewers are 0-5 in Andersons last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.Brewers are 0-4 in Andersons last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

MADDON is 60-27  against the money line when playing on Thursday as the manager of CHICAGO CUBS.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (MILWAUKEE) - with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL), after scoring and allowing 4 runs or less last 3 games are 28-84 L/21 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the ML

Todays starters  TBs Pruitt is 2-0 with a 4.29 ERA in eight career appearances (one start) against the Blue Jays. Thornton the Jays starter is 0-1 with an 11.12 ERA in three starts against the Rays and Im betting both get lit up tonight according to my offence vs pitching projections.

THORNTON is 11-3 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.8 rpg scored. TORONTO is 10-2 OVER in road games after batting .200 or worse over a 5 game span this season with a combined average of 11.6 rpg scored.

The Blue Jays are 13-0 OVER L/13 in the first game of a series with rest as a road dog off a road game in which they had fewer team-left-on-base than their opponent.

MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (TB/TORONTO) - after 3 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base, with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games are 47-19 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

As starter Tanner Roark (8-8, 4.04 ERA, 135 SO)had allowed two or fewer earned runs in four starts since being traded to the A’s, until Thursday vs. the Royals. He turned in six innings, but gave up four runs on five hits in Oakland’s 6-4 loss, but today I expect a more focused effort and a victory. Roark  in 3 career  starts against the Angels,  has garnered a  1.89 ERA.ROARK is 6-0  against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) 

OAKLAND is 51-17  against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more over the last 2 seasons.

The Athletics are 7-0 on the ML  L/7 in the second game of a series as a home 140+ favorite vs a team that has lost at least their last two games. The As have crushed their opposition in those tilts winning all won seven games by multiple run deficits ( 5.86 rpg run).

Play on the As to win on the ML

Phillies starter Aaron Nola (12-4, 3.45 ERA, 194 SO) going to the hill every five days the rest of the season. The Phillies are winless in his first two starts since making the announcement, although he has a 2.70 ERA in those games and is more than capable of helping his team get a win here vs the Reds tonight.NOLA is 13-2 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) 

Meanwhile, Reds starterTrevor Bauer (10-12, 4.53 ERA, 222 SO) enters this game in a funk as is evident by allowing a  combined 14 runs (13 earned) over his past two outings, spanning just seven innings. The right-hander has an 8.40 ERA across six starts since being traded to the Reds at the end of July and is fade material in his current form. BAUER is 4-12  against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) 

Play on the Philadelphia Phillies to win on the ML

The Tigers will send left-hander Daniel Norris (3-11, 4.66 ERA) to the mound Tuesday. Norris is 0-1 with a 7.36 ERA in three appearances (two starts) against the Royals in 2019. For his career, he is 1-3 with a 4.37 ERA in 12 appearances (11 starts) vs. Kansas City and has dropped 10 of his L/11 decisions  and is once again fade material in this spot.NORRIS is 1-11  against the money line with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

KANSAS CITY is 20-8 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with an slugging percentage .410 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. 

DETROIT is 13-31 (against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.

Play on the KC Royals to win on the ML

Jake Odorizzi (14-6, 3.55 ERA), is 5-1 with a 3.05 ERA in 10 starts. He's 3-0 with a 1.93 ERA in four career outings at Comerica Park and gets my support here today. He has allowed one run in 13 innings against the Tigers in 2019. Meanwhile, the Home Run heavy Twins look well equiped to beat up on a 2 seam fastball hitter in Zimmerman who is  1-9,  along with a bloated 6.24 ERA.

MINNESOTA is 13-1 SU vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.90 or worse this season with the average run diff clicking in at 5 rpg. 

DETROIT is 3-22 SU in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season with the average run diff clicking at at 4.6 rpg.

Play on the Minnesota Twins to win on the RL -1.5

  The Mets won Saturday afternoon as Wilson Ramos had four hits to extend his hitting streak to a career-high 24 games and Todd Frazier delivered three hits and a pair of RBIs in a 6-3 win and Im betting they notch a win here tonight in prime time action.

Todays pitching matchup features: the Mets Stroman who is 2-0 with a 1.86 ERA in three career appearances (one start) against the Phillies and Z Eflin who is 3-4 with a 6.00 ERA in nine starts against the Mets, whom he's faced more than any other opponent. in his career. 

 Philadelphia is also 0-8 on the ML with Eflin as a underdog and he gave up no walks in his last start. EFLIN is 0-11  against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

EFLIN is 0-8 against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season. (Team's Record) 

NY METS are 9-4  against the money line in road games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.NY METS are 26-6 against the money line vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season this season.

KAPLER is 8-20 against the money line in September games as the manager of PHILADELPHIA.

Play on the NY Mets to win on the ML

Dodgers Ross Stripling (4-4, 3.64 ERA, 76 SO)Stripling will be activated from the injured list to make his first start since July 24. The right-hander is expected to pitch only two or three innings before the Dodgers turn to righty Dustin May, who made four starts in August and Im betting he has his hands full with the suddenly hot Arizona team on a 6 game win streak and output of 22 runs in their L/3 games. Meanwhile, Young the Dbacks starter had his shortest start of the season at Dodger Stadium on Aug. 10, giving up four runs and five hits in 3 1/3 innings of a 4-0 loss. Note: The Dodgers have scored 29 runs in their L/5 games and Im betting continue their ferocious hot hitting in their quest for a play off spot here this afternoon.

Over is 20-6-1 in Dodgers last 27 road games vs. a team with a winning recordOver is 4-0-1 in Dodgers last 5 road games.Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Arizona.Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings.

Play OVER 

Southpaw KC hurler Danny Duffy (5-6, 4.93 ERA, 90 SO)Duffy is expected to be activated on Sunday. He last pitched last Sunday on a rehab assignment with Double-A Northwest Arkansas and gave up one run over five innings. He likely will have a 90-pitch limit. My own projections tells me he matches up well vs this very inconsistent   Os batting order and gets my support here today. Duffy won his last start against the Orioles, 15-7, on May 8, 2018 in Baltimore. He's 3-2 with a 2.17 ERA lifetime vs. Baltimore, his lowest ERA vs. any opponent (minimum three starts) in his career.  These teams split the first to game of this series.. However it must be noted that  the Orioles are 1-12 on the ML  L/13  away when it is the last game of a three game series and they split the first two games. DUFFY is 43-22  against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 since 1997. (Team's Record) 

BALTIMORE is 4-21 against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with an slugging percentage .410 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. BALTIMORE is 6-23  against the money line in road games against AL Central opponents over the last 2 seasons. 

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (KANSAS CITY) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA 5.00 or more ), starting a pitcher who was rocked for 7 or more runs last outing are 54-18 L/22 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the KC Royals to win on the ML

Lucchesi  a native of Oakland California has gone 0-2 with an 8.10 ERA in two San Francisco homecomings this season and is fade material here today  again. LUCCHESI is 7-18  against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

SAN DIEGO is 3-9 against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .245 or worse in the second half of the season this season. 

MLB Road teams (SAN DIEGO) - ice cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 20 games, after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 5 or more earned runs are 32-62 L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the SF Giants to win on the ML

Mariners starter Marco Gonzales(14-10, 4.17 ERA, 126 SO)is his teams  No. 1 starter and is 9-4 with a 3.53 ERA over his last 14 starts, including a win over the Rangers in Seattle on July 22, when he allowed two runs in seven innings. He's 2-2 with a 3.24 ERA in four starts vs. Texas on the season. He gets the nod again here tonight vs the Rangers.GONZALES is 10-2  against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season. (Team's Record)

Mariners are 4-1 in Gonzales' last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Mariners are 4-1 in Gonzales' last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.

TEXAS is 15-30 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season this season.

Play on the Seattle Mariners to win on the ML

Astros starter Miley is 7-0 with a 2.59 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in his last 11 starts, and  in the top five in ERA in the American League at 3.13. Opponents are hitting .233 against him. Im betting he will slow down this young  Blue Jays offence that has scored and average of just 2.6 rpg in their L/10 overall and limit their output today. The Astros have allowed an average of 2.8 rpg in their L/10 tilts overall.

MILEY is 15-7 UNDER vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season. (Team's Record) with the average combined score of those 22 games clicking in at 8.4 rpg. 

Under is 6-1 in Mileys last 7 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 6-1 in Mileys last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.Under is 5-1 in Mileys last 6 starts vs. American League East.Under is 9-4-1 in Blue Jays last 14 games vs. a left-handed starter.

Meanwhile, Thorton his pitching opponent  form the Blue Jays continues to flash glimpses of brilliance,  and despite of inconsistencies is a capable hurler that can slow down this Astros offence. 

Under is 3-0-1 in Blue Jays last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 6-1-1 in Blue Jays last 8 games following an off day.Under is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 9-2 in Blue Jays last 11 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 4-1-2 in Blue Jays last 7 on astroturf.Under is 4-1-2 in Blue Jays last 7 home games.

Play UNDER 

Senior citizen CC Sabathia looked good in his last outing  at Dodger Stadium, where he permitted two runs and five hits over four innings, walking one with seven strikeouts. Sabathia has pitched seven innings in two starts since returning from a right knee injury and will be ready to go longer and stronger here tonight vs the As. The Yankees can almost always depend on him go be a stable force in their rotation, especially late in the season. Meanwhile, his Athletics pitching opponent Anderson is 1-4 with a 4.93 ERA in his last six starts, and fade material here in this spot.  Note: Anderson is 0-6 with a 6.86 ERA in eight career starts against the Yankees.

The Athletics are 0-13 on the ML in the first game of a series with no rest on the road off a one-run road win.

NY YANKEES are 15-4 against the money line in home games vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season this season.NY YANKEES are 39-16 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season.NY YANKEES are 18-3  against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 this season. 

Play on the NY Yankees to win on the ML

Berrios the Twins starter is 0-2 along with an 8.44 ERA in four starts this month after giving up five runs and 10 hits over 5 1/3 innings against the Detroit tigers this past   The Twins righty has allowed six homers in his last four trips to the hill. Meanwhile, Cease (3-6, 5.76) the Pale Hose starting thrower today, has allowed two homers in each of his last two starts,  allowing nine runs and 12 hits and once again looks like cannon fodder vs a explosive Minnesota offence averaging 6.2 rpg on the road this season. Everything points to a high scoring affair.

MINNESOTA is 34-18 OVER vs. AL teams allowing 4.9 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11 rpg scored.

Play OVER 

Athletics starter Chris Bassitt has seen (9-5, 3.59 ERA, 117 SO) has een Left-handed batters hitting .198 off him compared to .255 against righties. He's close to averaging one strikeout per inning (117 in 125 1/3 innings) and his 1.18 WHIP is solid.

Athletics are 7-0 in Bassitts last 7 starts vs. American League Central.

Meanwhile,Royals right-handed starter Glenn Sparkman (3-9, 5.52 ERA),  has gone 0-4 with a 7.50 ERA in his past seven starts and is fade material here. 

Royals are 0-8 in Sparkmans last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

OAKLAND is 30-8 SU vs. AL teams allowing 4.9 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons winning by an average of 3.4 rpg.OAKLAND is 28-5  against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons winning by an average of 3.4 rpg.

KANSAS CITY is 2-13  against the money line in home games vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game in the second half of the season this season losing by an average of 3.9 rpg. 

Play on the Oakland AS on the runline -1.5 

Cole despite of being in top form has not fared well vs TB as he is 0-2 with a 2.84 ERA over three career starts against the Rays, including a 4-1 loss on March 29 when he allowed four runs (one earned) on five hits with 10 strikeouts over six innings in St. Petersburg, Fla. Meanwhile,Rays lefty starter  Ryan Yarbrough(11-3, 3.29 ERA, 93 SO)s last start may have been cut short due to rain, but it was no less dominant. The lefty now owns a 1.48 ERA across 61 innings over his past 12 appearances, which includes a staggering 59 strikeouts compared to just four walks and must be respected on a value line no matter who the opposition is . Yes even the mighty Astros. 

CASH is 17-11  against the money line when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  62% or better) in the second half of the season as the manager of TAMPA BAY. 

The Rays are 5-0 L/5 on the ML as a underdog of more than 160 vs a team that has won at least their last two games and it is not a series opener. 

MLB team (HOUSTON) - hot hitting team - batting .333 or better over their last 3 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  0.800 over his last 3 starts are 18-44 L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the TB Rays to win on the ML

The Yankees' James "Big Maple" Paxton (10-6, 4.43 ERA), who spent his first six seasons in Seattle, will go up against the Mariners' Justus Sheffield (0-0, 6.43), who will be making his second major league start. Im betting both offences do enough damage here this afternoon to help us eclipse this total. The Yankees won yesterday 7-0 but in the past this has been an omen for a fairly high scoring game as SERVAIS in his L/31 after getting shut out as the manager of SEATTLE has seen a combined average of 10.7 rpg scored. 

PAXTON is 10-2 OVER  vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse this season. (Team's Record)  with a combined average of 11.9 rpg going on the board. PAXTON is 8-0 OVER as a favorite of -175 to -250 this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 14.2 rpg scored.

NY YANKEES are 20-9 OVER in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season with a combined average of 11.9 rog scored. 

MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (SEATTLE) - after 3 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base, with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games are 44-19 OVER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

The Yankees have gone over 14 straight times and its not the first game of a series as a road chalk vs a team that has lost at least their last two games with the average combined score of 14.15 rpg scored with no game seeing less than a combined 11 runs scored. 

Play OVER 

Bostons offence is built to destroy parks like Coors Field and matchup well vs the Colorado Rockies. 

Red Sox are 14-3 in their starters Porcellos last 17 interleague starts.

Red Sox are 21-6 in their last 27 interleague road games.Rockies are 1-7 in their last 8 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.

BOSTON is 21-2 against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season since 1997.BOSTON is 16-4 against the money line in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season since 1997.BOSTON is 41-17 against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 3 seasons. 

MLB team (BOSTON) - with an on base percentage of .350 or better over their last 20 games, with a tired bullpen - throwing 13+ innings over the last 3 games are 161-89 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the ML

White Sox starter Lucas Giolito (14-6, 3.20 ERA, 194 SO) termed his shutout of the Twins last Wednesday as the “best I’ve ever felt pitching in my life.” Giolito struck out 12 in that three-hitter, without issuing a walk. Giolito needs six strikeouts to reach 200 for the season and gets my support again vs a team that matches up well against.

 GIOLITO is 11-4 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season. (Team's Record)

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CHI WHITE SOX) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less ) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA4.20 to 4.70) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 30-15 L/22 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago White Sox on the ML

The Washington Nationals starter Patrick Corbin(10-5, 3.17 ERA, 184 SO) ranked fifth in the NL in strikeouts, joining teammates Max Scherzer (second) and Stephen Strasburg (third) in the top five. His 1.76 ERA at home this year (12 starts) is the second-best home ERA in the NL and deserves his big chalk status here today. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent, Brooks despite of coming off a good effort vs a struggling team in KC, is just 1-4 with an 8.07 ERA in eight starts for Baltimore overall and fade material in this spot on the runline. 

Home favorites with a money lines of -200 or more (WASHINGTON) - in an inter-league game, in August games are 50-4 L/21 seasons for a 93% conversion rate with the average score of 6.1 to 2.9 - with a diff of +3.2 rpg qualifying as a solid run-line situation. 

Play on the Washington Nationals to win on the RL -1.5

Tyler Beede the Giants starter is 0-4 with an 8.23 ERA over his last six starts, each of which the Giants have lost and is fade material here in this spot play vs the Arizona DBacks.He is 0-3 in eight home games (seven starts) in his two-year career, and has never beaten the Diamondbacks (0-1 with a 5.40 ERA in three starts).Meanwhile, Young his pitching opponent from the DBacks has pitched his best on the road this season, where he 3-1 with a 3.27 ERA  so far this season.

Giants are 10-21 in their last 31 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Giants are 13-32 in their last 45 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Giants are 8-20 in their last 28 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. Diamondbacks are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in San Francisco.

MLB team (ARIZONA) - with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL), ice cold hitting team - batting .190 or worse over their last 5 games are 62-33 L/22 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Arizona DBacks to win on the ML

Gray the Reds starter  has a mixed history against the Marlins. In three career appearances against them, he is 1-0 with a 3.38 ERA. But he is 0-0 with a 9.00 ERA in one career start at Marlins Park.  GRAY is 4-15  against the money line on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Meanwhile,Pablo Lopez (5-5, 4.23 ERA, 73 SO) will come off the injured list and make his first start since June 15 when he beat the Pirates, working seven innings. The 23-year-old made 14 starts before his shoulder injury. At home, he is 3-1 with a 2.13 ERA.

The Marlins are 4-0 L/4 on the ML as a home 140-plus underdog after a game in which they left fewer than ten men on base, which happened yesterday. 

 CINCINNATI is 2-13 (against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. 

Reds are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Reds are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record

Reds are 3-7 in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Reds are 4-10 in their last 14 overall.

MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (CINCINNATI) - team with a poor OBP (.310or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP1.250 or less ) -NL, starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 22-40 L/22 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Miami Marlins to win on the ML

The series opens with a pair of veterans as Milwaukee starts left-hander Gio Gonzalez (2-1, 3.64 ERA) and St. Louis starts righty Adam Wainwright (9-9, 4.51).

Brewers starter Gio Gonzalez (2-1, 3.64 ERA, 53 SO)has pitched well for the Brewers since they originally acquired him last Aug. 31 from the Nationals. He has allowed two or fewer earned runs in four of six starts since returning from a shoulder injury. Meanwhile, Card starter Adam Wainwright(9-9, 4.51 ERA, 126 SO) gave up four runs in the first inning to the Brewers in the Cardinals’ rain-shortened loss Wednesday and five runs total in his five innings. He struck out two and struggled with fastball command and according to my power rankings just does not matchup well vs the Brewers batting order.

ST LOUIS is 4-18 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. ST LOUIS is 2-14  against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better this season.

The Cardinals are 0-11 L/11 on the ML as a underdog in the first game of a series when they are off a game as a favorite and they are seeking same season revenge for a loss.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ST LOUIS) - hot hitting team - batting .325 or better over their last 3 games against opponent starting a pitcher who walked 4+ hitters each of his last 2 outings. are 11-37 L/22 seasons for a  go against 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the ML

Kershaw has made three starts against the Yankees in his career. While the Dodgers' left-hander does not have a decision against the Yankees, he has an ERA of a minuscule 0.90 in 20 innings. Meanwhile  Yankees will lean on major league wins leader Domingo German (16-3, 4.15), who is second in baseball in win percentage behind ... Kershaw. The 27 year old did get knocked around last time, but his consistency is unmatched and Im betting he bounces back here tonight in a game I have pegged to stay under the total. 

LA DODGERS are 15-4 UNDER in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.4 rpg scored.LA DODGERS are 20-7 UNDER   at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season with a combined average of 7.7 rpg scored.

Under is 6-0 in Dodgers last 6 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.

NY YANKEES are 22-11 UNDER revenging a one run loss to opponent over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.2 rpg scored. ( Dodgers won a 2-1 game yesterday)

Under is 9-1 in Yankees last 10 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-1-1 in Yankees last 7 games following a loss.Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 interleague road gamesUnder is 20-6-1 in Yankees last 27 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.

Play UNDER 

Padres starter Lucchesi threw a career-high 109 pitches in Philadelphia his last time out,  so fatigue could rare its ugly head here, even though he is on 6 days resr. The left-hander hasn't pitched into the seventh inning since before the All-Star break and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not matchup well vs the Red Sox. Note: Lucchesi's ERA has climbed from 3.94 to 4.20 since the All-Star break. He has given up seven homers in his last eight starts. LUCCHESI has seen his team lose 13 of his L/20 against the money line when working on 5 or 6 days rest this season. (Team's Record) CORA is 15-4   against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better as the manager of BOSTON.

Meanwhile, Brian Johnson the BoSox starter despite of probably not inspiring bettors or linesmakers has shown he can get the job done as his team has won 17 of his L/24 starts and 4 of his L/5 interleague trips to the hill. 

Red Sox are 8-3 in Johnsons last 11 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Red Sox are 10-4 in Johnsons last 14 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Red Sox are 5-2 in Johnsons last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.Red Sox are 17-7 in Johnsons last 24 starts.Red Sox are 7-3 in Johnsons last 10 road starts.Red Sox are 15-7 in Johnsons last 22 starts on grass.

Padres are 0-4 in Lucchesis last 4 home starts.

SAN DIEGO is 3-19 against the money line in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. 

Red Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record. Red Sox are 21-5 in their last 26 interleague road games.BOSTON is 11-1   against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

Red Sox are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in San Diego.Red Sox are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

MLBeam (BOSTON) - with a starting pitcher who is winless after 5 or more starts, after a game where the bullpen threw 6 or more innings are 39-22 L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the ML

Strasburg the Nats starter is coming off a strong performance in which he hurled seven scoreless innings against the Pittsburgh Pirates on Tuesday.In seven career starts against the Cubs, Strasburg is 2-1 with a 2.05 ERA and gets my support here today vs the Cubs at Wrigley. STRASBURG is 15-2 against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

The Nationals have scored double-digit runs five times in the past 10 games, and have scored at least seven runs eight times and are dangerous against any hurler the Cubs trot out. 

The Nationals are 9-0 on the ML  as a favorite off a road game in which they did not hit a home run which was the case yesterday.

WASHINGTON is 16-4 against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season this season. 

CHICAGO CUBS are 9-22 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this season

MLB team (CHICAGO CUBS) - ice cold hitting team - batting .175 or worse over their last 3 games against opponent with an on base percentage of .375 or better over their last 5 games are 32-65 L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Washington Nationals to win on the ML

Rangers young starter Burke  shined in his debut Tuesday, scattering four hits and two walks while striking out four in six scoreless innings against the Los Angeles Angels in a game the Rangers went on to win 3-2 in 11 innings.Only four of 17 balls put in play had an exit velocity of 95 mph or greater. The kid has alot of promise and gets my support here today on a value line. Meanwhile, Lopez  ( 7-11, 5.25 ERA) his pitching opponent from the White Sox despite of a quality outing last time out , has been inconsistent this season, and according to my power rankings does matchup all that well vs the Rangers batting order. 

White Sox are 8-23 in Lopezs last 31 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.White Sox are 2-6 in Lopezs last 8 starts on a natural surface.White Sox are 1-4 in Lopezs last 5 home starts.White Sox are 1-5 in Lopezs last 6 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.White Sox are 0-4 in Lopezs last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.

MLB Home teams (CHI WHITE SOX) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.20 to 5.70 on the season (AL), with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 7.00 the last 5 games are 14-30 L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the ML

Oakland starter Chris Bassitt (9-5, 3.61 ERA, 112 SO)limited the Astros to three runs over six innings in a win last Saturday, continuing his strong run over the past month. The right-hander holds a 1.80 ERA over his past four starts and in his current form makes for a viable investment opportunity backing the As.Meanwhile, Bumgarner the Giants starter has struggled a bit of late and  is 2-2 with a 6.30 ERA in five lifetime starts in Oakland.

With this being the Giants 8th straight road game, Im betting their gruelling schedule will effect them against a streaking squad with their eye on the post season.

Giants are 10-22 in Bumgarners last 32 road starts.Giants are 2-5 in Bumgarners last 7 interleague starts.Giants are 1-7 in Bumgarners last 8 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Athletics are 22-8 in their last 30 vs. a team with a losing record.Athletics are 23-9 in their last 32 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Athletics are 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Athletics are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Athletics are 4-0 in Bassitts last 4 home starts.Giants are 7-16 in the last 23 meetings in Oakland.Giants are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings.

OAKLAND is 37-10 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on the Oakland As to win on the ML

The Padres just look like their going through the motions right now as the season winds down. Tonight they will send a hurler in Lamet, that despite of being in decent form is still a little unstable after coming of Tommy John surgery. Here against a BoSox side that grind out at bats like no one else in the majors, Lamet could easily find himself tired and in trouble. Note: The Red Sox are averaging 6 rpg vs right handers like Lamet this season. 

The Padres got blasted yesterday  by  the BoSox by an11-0 count.  Note: SAN DIEGO is 3-16 against the money line in home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 10 or more runs over the last 3 seasons and is 1-7  against the money line revenging a home loss vs opponent of 6 runs or more this season. 

SAN DIEGO is 3-18  against the money line in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. 

BOSTON is 40-16 against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 3 seasons.BOSTON is 10-1 against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on the Boston RedSox to win on the ML

Wheeler the NY Mets starter is struggling mightily in his most recent two outings, where he allowed eight earned runs and an opponents’ batting average of .372 in only 10 innings pitched.With that said, Im betting on him continuing to be lit up as fatigue late in the season is rearing its ugly head. Meanwhile, Fried the Braves starter managed to complete five innings after nearly getting the hook during the first inning of Sunday's start against the Dodgers. The southpaw has  seen  opponents hit .271 against him in  his last four starts. I do epect he will bounce back here this week, but that is his overall form, is downtrending , and he should also end up taking on some more damage from the Mets offence this week in what Im betting will br a high scoring affair. 

Over is 5-1-1 in Braves last 7 road games.Over is 7-1-2 in Wheelers last 10 starts with 5 days of rest.

The Braves are 18-0 OVER L/18 on the road off a game as a dog when their opponent's starter has a strike-per-ball ratio greater than 2.00 and an ERA of less than five, their opponent is less than .640 and they are not a 130-plus dog.

Play OVER 

The public loves Zach Greinke the Astros starting pitcher, but according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings the Halos matchup well vs the veteran hurler. With the Astros getting bitten by the injury bug of late, with shortstop Carlos Correa sidelined indefinitely with back discomfort and utility infielder Aledmys Diaz on the 10-day injured list the Astros are at a disadvantage. 

Angels are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

The Angels are 6-0  L/6 on the ML in the first game of a series with rest off a walk-off-loss as a dog. 

The Astros are 0-4 L/4 on the ML in the first game of a series with no rest as a home 200-+ favorite after playing as a home chalk when their opponent's starting pitcher has same-season-revenge.

Play on the LA Angels to win on the ML

Today 12-14 mph winds blowing in at Wrigley made could make for a type of pitchers’ duel, and for a limited amount of offence, making this a value Totals selection to the under.

 MLB teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (CHICAGO CUBS) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, in a game involving two good teams (54% to 62%) are 49-17 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (WASHINGTON) - after allowing 1 run or less 2 straight games against opponent after a win by 2 runs or less are 36-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Tanner Roark(7-8, 4.01 ERA, 124 SO) went too to toe with Justin Verlander and turned in six innings of two-run ball in a win over the Astros on Friday. He's posted a 2.55 ERA in three starts since joining the A's via trade and he gets my support here tonight vs Tanaka and the banged up Yanks. This is a momentum play, the As have won 8 of 9 meetings in this series here in Oakland over the last couple of seasons , and have won two straight here, and a third Im betting on tonight agenda vs a Yanks team that has lost 3 straight and looking fatigued and short handed.

OAKLAND is 9-4 against the money line when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  62% or better) in the second half of the season this season. OAKLAND is 8-1 against the money line in home games in August games this season.

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (OAKLAND) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less ) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 29-15 L/22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Oakland As to win on the ML

Braves starter Mike Soroka (10-2, 2.41 ERA, 107 SO) has limited the Marlins to three runs ( one earned) over 22 innings this year. He exited Friday's start against the Dodgers one out shy of what would have been his fourth straight seven-inning effort. Im expecting a stellar effort from him today vs a light hitting Miami side that has averaged just 3.4 rpg in offensive production on the road this season. Meanwhile, Marlins starting hurler Sandy Alcantara (4-11, 4.35 ERA, 101 SO)was excellent in a seven-inning start at Coors Field last Friday, giving up just two runs on three hits in Miami’s 3-0 loss. In August, he has a 3.20 ERA, and in his current form a hard guy to face for opposition batting orders.

Under is 8-3 in Alcantaras last 11 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.

Under is 5-0 in Braves last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

Considering the pitching matcup here today, Im betting on these teams to convert on the UNDER for the 7th straight time here in Atlanta this season. 

MIAMI is 20-9 UNDER  in road games vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season with a combined average of 8.3 rpg scored.MIAMI is 21-9 UNDER  on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season with a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored.

Play UNDER 

Giants starter Jeff Samardzija (9-9, 3.54 ERA, 119 SO)has been one of the best starters in the NL since July 1, posting a 2.09 ERA over his last nine starts and now gets my support here this afternoon in Chicago against the Cubs. SAMARDZIJA is 5-0 ( against the money line in road games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) The Giants are 5-0 on the ML when Jeff Samardzija starts as a underdog when they lost in his last start against their opponent.Giants are 7-0 in Samardzijas last 7 road starts. 
Meanwhile,  Cubs are 0-7 in their starters Hendricks' last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.

Giants are 5-0 in their last 5 games with umpire Nauert behind home plate.

.The Cubs won yesterday vs the Giants in a 12-11 shoutout, but those kinds of games in the followup have not been kind to the Cubs as they are   are 1-7   against the money line after a game with a combined score of 17 runs or more this season.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (SAN FRANCISCO) - after 2 straight losses by 2 runs or less against opponent after scoring and allowing 8 runs or more in a game are 38-24 L/22 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the SF Giants ( Late Steam)

J.A. Happ 10-7, (5.40 ERA, 101 SO) has given the Yankees at least five innings in each of his last four starts, though he has done so with a 6.23 ERA over that span. Meanwhile, As hurler Fiers  has not lost a game since May 1 at Boston. Beginning with his no-hitter against the Cincinnati Reds on May 7, Fiers is 9-0 with a 2.40 ERA in 18 starts and deserves our support here tonight at home on a value line. FIERS is 14-2 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)  and is s 11-3 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season. (Team's Record) FIERS is 9-0 against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

NY YANKEES are 3-16 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.

Athletics are 9-1 in their last 10 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Athletics are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Athletics are 8-2 in their last 10 vs. American League East.Athletics are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.Athletics are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Athletics are 20-7 in their last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. 

 Yankees are 7-19 in the last 26 meetings in Oakland.

MLB Road teams (NY YANKEES) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.20 to 5.70 on the season (AL), good power team - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game on the season are 42-84 L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Oakland As to win on the ML

Musgrove In his last 11 starts, owns a 4.22 ERA in 59 2/3 innings and Im betting the Nationals sometimes explosive batting order will light him today.  Meanwhile, Patrick Corbin despite of being a left hander, which Pittsburgh has struggled against this season, has not been very consistent on the road where he owns a 5.12 ERA in 13 road outings. CORBIN in his career is 20-8 OVER  in road games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) with an average of 10.6 rpg going on the board. 

Over is 4-0 in Corbins last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.

Over is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 vs. National League East.Over is 20-6 in Pirates last 26 during game 3 of a series.Over is 4-1 in Musgroves last 5 starts vs. National League East.

PITTSBURGH is 27-8 OVER  at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season with a combined average of 12.4 rpg scored. 

PITTSBURGH in 33 games  against left-handed starters this season have seen a combined average of 9.5 rpg scored.

Play OVER

Royals LH Mike Montgomery (3-5, 4.63 ERA) vs. Orioles RH Aaron Brooks (2-7, 6.49)

Montgomery, has pitched decently of late, but  has a bloated 4.91 ERA in three appearances against the Orioles and from a power ranking pitcher vs batting order perspective does not matchup all that well against the Orioles batting order. His pitching opponent Brooks is fighting for a future rotation spot either here or somewhere else and after some bad efforts will primed to respond like a cornered animal. ( No disrespect intended)

KANSAS CITY is 19-30 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.

KANSAS CITY is 32-60  against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Royals are 19-64 in their last 83 during game 3 of a series. 

 Road teams (KANSAS CITY) - with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.00 the last 10 games against opponent with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 7.00 the last 10 games are 20-50 L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Baltimore Orioles to win on the ML

Lucas Giolito (13-6, 3.41 ERA, 182 SO)  delivered a quality start against the Angels on Friday, fanning 11 in six innings of two-run ball. The right-hander has reached double-digit strikeouts in each of his last two outings and gets my support here this afternoon. 

The White Sox are 6-0 on the ML in franchise history with Lucas Giolito as a 150-plus road dog when he averaged more than 3.90 pitches per batter in his last start.

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (MINNESOTA) - after a win by 4 runs or more against opponent after a combined score of 17 runs or more are 30-53 L/5 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the White sox to win on the ML ( Late Steam)

Colorado has been playing a little better of late winning 4 of their L/5 and now they go against a pitcher in Young who has struggled in his past two starts, losing both and giving up a total of nine earned runs in 8 1/3 innings. Thats not a good omen for Arizona backers as the team is just 5-11 (against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more this season. The Rockies offence despite of being inconsistent this season are averaging 5.2 rpg vs LHP and offer us value here tonight vs this type of hurler.

Meanwhile FREELAND the Rockies stater is 13-4  against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) and gets mys upport here on a value line. Rockies are 4-0 in Freelands last 4 road starts vs. Diamondbacks.

MLB team (COLORADO) - with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30%, averaging 3.5 or more extra base hits per game on the season is 37-20 L/22 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the ML

Cardinals starting pitcher Michael Wacha (6-6, 5.44 ERA) has done well against the Brewers. He is 1-0 with a 2.25 ERA in two starts against them this season and 6-0 with a 3.84 ERA in 13 career appearances against them. I know his presence will not inspire bettors, but what inspires me is not Wacha but the team that surrounds him does . The Cards are a team that finds ways to win, behind usually solid pitching and limited offence. Meanwhile, Brewers starter Gonzalez has not been able to get his team to the promised land against light hitting sides like St.Louis as the following negative trend suggests.GONZALEZ is 0-7 against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) and is  is 0-8 against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with a batting average of .250 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

ST LOUIS is 16-3  against the money line in home games with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL) this season. 

Play on the St.Louis Cardinals to win on the ML

Braves starter Keuchel is making his 12th start of the season. He has been inconsistent since signing with the Braves as a free agent in June, and despite of being off a quality effort last time out does not inspire me in this spot, and according to my power rankings vs batting orders he does not matchup well vs the Marlins. Note: Keuchel is 1-1 with an 8.18 ERA in two starts against the Marlins this season. KEUCHEL is 4-9  against the money line after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) and is 2-7 against the money line in home games when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

Meanwhile, his Marlins pitching opponent Hernandez has had seven previous  outings this season , two of them starts, against Atlanta, going 1-1 with a 2.00 ERA. He looked good in his most recent start against the Braves on Aug. 8 when he threw six scoreless innings and allowed two hits with two walks and seven strikeouts. 

MLB team (ATLANTA) - after 5 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.00 the last 15 games are 77-150 L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Miami Marlins to win on the ML

Dakota  (11-6, 3.82 ERA, 97 SO)Hudson put together one of his best starts of the season Wednesday, shutting out the Royals over six innings and enters this game vs the Brewers with momentum. HUDSON is 10-0 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, Brewers light throwing starter Zach Davies (8-5, 3.74 ERA, 78 SO) will return from his two-week stint on the injured list to face the Cardinals. The Brewers thought he needed rest after he allowed 18 runs (17 earned) in three starts before going on the shelf. Truth is the guy throws beach balls, and if it were not for his savvy baseball intelligence and ability o pinpoint his stuff, he would be consistent cannon fodder. I respect Davies, but Im not a fan of his overall arsenal (or lack there of), and considering my power rankings suggest he does not matchup well vs the batting order he  is fade material in this spot.

ST LOUIS is 15-3  against the money line in home games with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL) this season. 

MIKE is 12-3  against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) in the second half of the season as the manager of ST LOUIS.

MILWAUKEE is 9-18 against the money line vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season.

MLB team (ST LOUIS) - excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game on the season against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP  2.000 or worse over his last 3 starts are 130-71 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MILWAUKEE) - team with a good SLG (.430 or more ) against a poor starting pitcher (WHI 1.550 to 1.650) -NL, with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse on the season are 53-97 L/22 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the St.Louis Cards to win on the ML

Bauer, the Reds starter vs San Diego has garnered a 7.31 ERA in his L/3 starts . He now  goes up against the Fathers  for the first time this season. However his experiences vs the Padres have not been good ones as he is 0-3 with a bloated 6.28 ERA in three career starts against the Padres, with batters hitting .348 against him. Meanwhile, the Padres starter Lauer In three career starts against Cincinnati, is 1-1 along with a very stingy  1.93 ERA, and Reds batters are hitting at just a .219  vs him. Padres despite of being without rookie sensation Tatis, are value bets here tonight. 

Note:The Padres are 4-0 l/4 on the ML as a road 140+ dog after a game as a road dog in which they hit at least one home run which happened Sunday. 

MLB team (CINCINNATI) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL), after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs are 102-151 L/5 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Padres ML

John Means(8-8, 3.76 ERA, 84 SO)After a decent mid season run, has now started to down trend and has  lost his last three starts. He pitched 3 2/3 innings in his most recent outing, allowing six runs to the Yankees on Aug. 13 and is fade material here today vs the KC Royals. I know Lopez his pitching opponent from the Royals may not inspire bettors, but he  has a 1-0 record with a 1.29 ERA in one career appearance versus Baltimore.

Baltimore has now has lost 12 of its last 13 games and went 0-7 on a road trip where it also took on the Yankees and while KC is not much better they do matchup well vs the Orioles and my power rankings suggest we have value on this line, making this a green light selection on the Royals. 

The Orioles have been a 200+ underdog in 13 straight games and are now chalk for the first time in while. It must now be noted that the Orioles are 0-11L/11  on the ML as chalk after a tilt  in which they struck out at least ten times which happened last time out. 

MLB team (BALTIMORE) - team with a terrible OBP (.310 or less) against a poor starting pitcher (WHI 1.600 to 1.700) -AL, with a slugging percentage of .330 or worse over their last 3 games are 25-53 L/22 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the KC Royals to win on the ML

The Nationals have a shot at a play off spot and the Pirates are playing for pride and rosters spots next season. However, it must be noted that the Nats have really racked up alot of innings on their bullpen  after some exciting high scoring weekend games, and after some very explosive offensive performances a regression of their out put must be expected as well as they themselves getting lit up because of the above mentioned work placed on their relievers. I know that was a long sentence, but it was a long weekend for the Nats, and a natural letdown scenario vs a non play off side, makes them susceptible in the first game of this series. 

Note: WASHINGTON is less than a break even venture on the ML going  48-51  against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons with their betting backers down more than 14.4 units. 

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (WASHINGTON) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL), with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.00 the last 10 games are 11-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the ML

There is a divergence in the way both these starting pitchers have done of late as  Bumgarner is 5-0 during a 10 game run where the Giants have won 9 of those games, and on the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum, that shows Kelly's team has lost 8 of his 10 starts. However, despite of the recency bias, the line on this tilt has been moving overnight, towards the Dbacks. My power ranking pitcher vs batting order is flashing value here with the home team despite of the recent divergent path both hurlers have forged for themselves. Kelly is 1-1 with a 2.76 ERA in three starts against San Francisco and gets my support to his team in this tilt and to help us get the ML win. 

BUMGARNER is 1-9 against the money line as a opening line road favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Giants are 10-21 in Bumgarners last 31 road starts.

SAN FRANCISCO is 14-24 against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 3 seasons.

MLB opening line Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (ARIZONA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.70 to 5.20 on the season (NL), with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games are 33-13 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Arizona on the ML